Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Aug 1 2024 9:24 utc | 99
Looking at the numbers of Ukr refugees found in natostan now, I’d say many from the western parts did not want to be a part of it either but still hated Russia enough to not go there. Now their little brains will have to process that nato wants them on the front line and no more free money. Oops
Also looks like Putin is fixing, as usual, ( t.me/DDGeopolitics/118003 ) the Duma geniuses ( tass.com/society/1823375 )

Posted by: rk | Aug 1 2024 9:49 utc | 103

@61
Not sure that Anonymous’s belief that anything (let alone war) will just progress in a linear manner is incredibly naïve or incredibly stupid. I guess its just trolling but I think based on available information , it’s the latter.

Posted by: yarpos | Aug 1 2024 10:08 utc | 105

Ilya Ponomarev, one of the chief Ukrainian propagandists, have been struck with a drone.

Ukrainian media write that today a UAV flew into the house of rooster Ilya Ponomarev near Kiev.
For those who don’t know, he is a former Russian deputy who is recognized as a foreign agent and included in the list of terrorists and extremists; he has been living in Ukraine for several years and strongly supports the current regime and the fight against the Russian Federation.
The building itself was badly damaged; Ponomarev and his wife received shrapnel wounds.
– ISZ reports
https://x.com/Zlatti_71/status/1818949807433462147

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 1 2024 10:23 utc | 107

Ru MOD announced today that 3 Patriot Launchers + another HIMARS were hit. If we go with what they announced in recent weeks, they should’ve destroyed quite a few HIMARS already. But if there is any truth regarding those Patriots, then it’s very big deal.
Hope some footage will be released at some point.

Posted by: JamesBond | Aug 1 2024 11:00 utc | 109

@110,
What is so unusual about the law? If you want to be a Russian citizen, you need to do military service for the state as any other Russian native. It’s only relevant for foreigners that want to be RU citizens not all foreigners.

Posted by: JamesBond | Aug 1 2024 11:19 utc | 111

as any other Russian native.
Posted by: JamesBond | Aug 1 2024 11:19 utc | 111

I’d add “male” to that, male citizens only, unlike some other country.

Posted by: Poslan1 | Aug 1 2024 11:28 utc | 113

RU MOD claims three Patriot PAC-3 launchers destroyed in Ukraine over the past day.
This is no more affecting only Ukraine, it must be having impact on US defending all its bases world wide, and even the US homeland. This must also contribute to Iran’s counter strike in Israel.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 1 2024 12:19 utc | 115

https://t.me/rybar/62303

🇷🇺✈️”What’s the FPV Drone Trend?” – On the Problem of Chasing UAV Production Figures Many different events have taken place
in the six months since our publication on the problems of domestic unmanned aerial vehicle manufacturing. And yesterday, Defense Minister Andrei Belousov reported an increase in drone production and daily deliveries of about four thousand UAVs to the troops.
The figure is really large – more than a million units per year. However, today it is not so much the bare figures for the production of UAVs that are important, but the efficiency of their use. Which is largely ensured by the speed of adaptation to new realities and reactions to changes.
▪️Thus, over the course of a year, the front has become saturated with portable electronic warfare systems, but the army continues to receive FPV drones mainly from one supplier on the same frequencies long known to the enemy. The volume of deliveries does not matter here: what difference does it make how many UAVs arrived if this entire batch is lost due to interference?
▪️In conditions of the frontline being saturated with “trench EW”, new technical solutions are emerging, which may lead to an increase in the cost of the product and a reduction in production. But this is compensated by an increase in efficiency: an operator with only ten interference-resistant drones will be much more effective than an operator with two hundred unstable ones .
▪️Finally, FPV drones must be delivered to the right people, which requires changes in the organizational structure — this is what the enemy is currently doing with its unmanned aircraft battalions. What is the point of producing 4,000 units a day if drone operators are not supposed to have them, and they have to be obtained in a roundabout way?
Today, the industry is at a stage where quantity must turn into quality. Mindless pursuit of drone production figures for the sake of a beautiful report will lead to the supply of a mass of non-functioning products and complete chaos in their use. Which will lead to a lag behind the enemy, fraught with failures on the battlefield.
#UAV #Russia
@rybar

Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 1 2024 12:40 utc | 117

There seems to be a major prisoner swap happening today, reports mention something like 20-30 people involved which is huge. It remains to be seen who RU actually let’s go besides those 2 Americans and who they get in return.

Posted by: JamesBond | Aug 1 2024 12:49 utc | 119

https://t.me/vysokygovorit/16708

A couple of days ago I witnessed the confident work of our drone on the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, at a distance of about 25 km. The “Northerners” launched 5 FPV, of which 4 confidently overcame this distance and hit the target, one fell a little short.
The enemy also flies at such distances, here the question is how soon the tactics and technical solutions will be developed that will turn the 20 km strip (20 km from the LBS) into a zone of continuous destruction. At the moment, these are still sporadic strikes, and not constant patrolling in the air. But the time is not far off when artillery will be constantly under attack from drones and the countermeasure tactics will include calculations of ultra-low air defense, which will operate as part of both artillery batteries and individual guns.

Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 1 2024 12:56 utc | 121

@120,
I’m not Russian. You can look at Israel as an example, if you want to get Jewish citizenship, you need to do military service. I think this is pretty what this bill is all about. And of course, it’s not the only case. Again, the article only mentions people that want to get the citizenship, not all foreigners in RU. Calm down.
And I am sorry to break it to you (if you are Russian) but you have a lot of enemies around you that (also) want to reintroduce military conscription in their countries as well. Why do you think they do it?
If you don’t care about your nation, that’s fine .. I think you still have the option to leave RU now (maybe later it will be like Ukr where the chance to leave now is close to 0).

Posted by: JamesBond | Aug 1 2024 13:04 utc | 123

As for EW to defeat drones, won’t work against autonomous.
Posted by: anonposter | Aug 1 2024 12:43 utc | 118
Sure it works. They have to “see”, get location, maintain path. You don’t understand what autonomous means. You can mess a fighter jet with EW and it’s more autonomous than a drone since it has its own pilot. I’m sure Russia does not use all EW they have on the smo, many things are reserved for nato. The smo is as its name says, a police action, very far from a war.

Posted by: rk | Aug 1 2024 13:08 utc | 125

The smo is as its name says, a police action, very far from a war.
Posted by: rk | Aug 1 2024 13:08 utc | 125

See, you know it, and still in

No one will be soldier for two years for the privilege to be blown up by cluster bombs on a Russian beach
Posted by: rk | Aug 1 2024 5:45 utc | 86

you posit that conscripts can somehow end up in the SMO zone, which is forbidden.

Posted by: Poslan1 | Aug 1 2024 13:53 utc | 127

The barflies are way up the river de Nile. The SMO wasn’t conceived as a war of attrition, it was a blitzkreig to quickly seize Kyiv.
The plan failed for obvious reasons.
Now Russia is stopped cold along a static front. Ukraine, the defenders are holding. Dreaming about a future where Russia breaks out of their quagmire is fine, but it is speculative fiction at this point.
The Putin fanboys have been staring at a pet rock for years, imaging motion or fantasizing about future motion. On this thread, the four Oblasts are already taken, F16s have all been shot down, and the Ukrainian front has collapsed — and those are the rational barflies!
It is as if the Russia fans are all sitting on Santa’s lap while they post here, simply rattling off their wish list for the future — because Santa knows which nations have been naughty or nice.
The slog deniers should start off their posts with: “I know the front has been locked for years, but …”
How can anyone take what they post seriously, when they deny the past? Russia failed to take Kyiv in 2022. Ukraine has gained land since. Russia’s invasion was an abject failure. Now they are locked in a quagmire.
You can fantasize that Martians will land and help Putin out of his Vietnam, but please acknowledge the past instead of rewriting it.

Posted by: Napoleon | Aug 1 2024 14:43 utc | 129

Colonel Douglas MacGregor says in a July 29th interview (below) that presumably Ukrainian drones flew over presumably the Finnish air space and destroyed at least one supersonic Russian bomber on a Russian airfield on the Arctic circle.
Question. What is the contribution of US/UK/NATO/FR?
Posted by: Richard L | Aug 1 2024 13:57 utc | 128
Already discussed, unconfirmed and if it happened it would render poland, the baltics and finland either co-belligerents or liable to be asked to prove they are not by punishing ukraine.

Posted by: Newbie | Aug 1 2024 15:35 utc | 131

Posted by: Napoleon | Aug 1 2024 14:43 utc | 129
I’ll add another indicator to the incline, decline cycle. Cautious optimism v’s hyperbole, I appreciate your contribution.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 1 2024 15:42 utc | 133

Napolean 129
You are emotionally wedded to your Russophobic Barbarossa 2.0 NAZO position –
fine, most of the west is with you there.
That doesn’t make it any less pathetic though.
Russia expected Blitzkrieg victory?
Pure fantasy, all the evidence is against that.
Modern war technology greatly favours defenders so its WW1 again,
Russia realised that first with their advances in Severodonesk and Lyzychansk.
Seeing how slowly the front moves now,
does that not make it more remarkable how Russia gained so much of Ukraine (Lugansk, Donetsk, Zapo, Kherson) in their initial inflationary phase of the war?
In a war where progress is measured in tree-lines and half-fields,
that doesn’t look like failure to me.
Russian industry is outperforming the entire NAZO – did that happen just by accident?
Russia have been preparing for EXACTLY THIS SCENATIO since 1991.
Since Yeltsin appointed Putin as successor.
Yeltsin told Putin to prepare for WW1 style war in 30 years time.
When it became clear to Yeltsin – even through his alcohol befuddlement –
that NAZO would settle for nothing less than a final solution to the Russian untermenschen.
So let NAZO waste time in the middle east, 911, Iraq 1+2 – that worked excellently.
Think that beating small second world ragtag armies means they’re a superpower LOL!
The result of west sanctions is that Russia’s economy overtakes both Germany and Japan,
Russia richer and stronger than ever before,
which side did poor planning?
NAZO have their trousers round their ankles in front of Russia,
sacrificed all their hardware stockpiles and technology “secrets”, for nothing, they are still losing.
Not to mention half a million Ukrainians killed who no-one ever mentions – why should they?
And quite a lot of their own people as well,
a dozen or so NAZO specialists killed per month in little Russia.
So the line is static you say? Ukies doing just fine?
Why then are they bringing Himars launchers dangerously up to the front line which they never did before,
like in desperation, three more destroyed just today:
https://youtu.be/vJJalfeMFmA?si=L5HpO41RLQu4tHis
That NAZO storyline doesn’t really add up.
Probably because nothing whatsoever in western media “adds up” any more to anything
other than deliberate lying antidemocratic crowd-control propaganda.
Kamala Harris never had anything to do with the Mexico border!
She’s not Indian but Afro black as black can be!
Did someone really try to assassinate Trump?
Do you still believe that?
Didn’t a bird just crap on his ear?

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Aug 1 2024 16:20 utc | 135

Posted by: Napoleon | Aug 1 2024 14:43 utc
“Now Russia is stopped cold along a static front. Ukraine, the defenders are holding.”
Can we agree to disagree on this point? If this were the case Ukraine would still hold Krasnahorovka and Avdeevka, New York and Toretsk wouldn’t be in the process of being gobbled up and they wouldn’t be fighting on the western side of the canal in Chasov Yar.
That said, there absolutely are areas that remain static or semi static and that’s not for lack of trying on the part of the Russians (Sinkovka, Ugledar, Seversk) but to say that the entire front is locked up and unmoving is not something that can be supported by what’s going on mostly in Donetsk right now.
“How can anyone take what they post seriously, when they deny the past? Russia failed to take Kyiv in 2022. Ukraine has gained land since. Russia’s invasion was an abject failure. Now they are locked in a quagmire.”
I guess it depends on how you look at it. One could argue that Russia has “won” in that the DPR and LPR weren’t overrun by a Ukrainian offensive in March of 2022, and their territory has only grown compared to what they had pre Feb 2022.
But you are right about the rose colored glasses, the initial invasion was a failure for the Russians in that the Ukrainian Gov and Army did not melt away as they thought they would, and Russia went in with FAR too few troops in far too many areas all at once (most folks are agreeing it was around 100K, one of the few times where the attacker was significantly outnumbered by the defender)
I would counter that the bigger failure wasn’t around Kiev but rather failing to take or neutralize Kharkov. I believe the Russians thought it would be similar to Crimea but with a bit more violence, a few die-hards here and there they would need to take out piecemeal. They weren’t expecting to get seriously stopped and bogged down only 30-40 km from the border and when the Kharkov domino didn’t fall that sealed the deal for any quick end to all this. Nobody likes to openly admit their mistakes, especially in front of their adversaries in the heat of the moment- but it’s my hope when this all over more objective voices will be able to speak to just how big of a problem Kharkov was for the Russians and how much not taking it really hurt them. Example, most of the territory that Ukraine has managed to retake was thanks to the Russians not taking Kharkov seriously enough, a mistake the Ukrainians rightly exploited to their credit.
Who knows, maybe the Russians will even see the light and admit (grudgingly, likely on the back pages of the paper) that Strelkov wasn’t entirely wrong with his supposed crazy defeatest hand-waving early on. Without getting into all of the nitpicky details around his case, a lot of what he was saying turned out to be largely correct but instead the Russians chose to vilify and silence him. Here we are a couple years later and they’re largely doing what he said they’d have to do, throwing much greater resources into the effort which are (slowly) bearing fruit.

Posted by: Clown Shoes | Aug 1 2024 16:47 utc | 137

I don’t expect linearity. We could have a breakthrough on either side. I can’t predict the future. My main point is that “you people” (trademark Ross Perot) are consuming too much hopium copium clickbait from Dima and the like. If you scan out, CURRENT rate of advance is very small. Of course it might change. But it hasn’t yet. So when you cluck around about villages taken, you’re being silly.
Do you capisce? Now…go and sin no more!

Posted by: Anonymous | Aug 1 2024 16:57 utc | 139

Go troll somewhere else. Very juvenile.
Your incoherent ramblings would be more appropriate for Tic Tok.
Posted by: JoeDontSurf | Aug 1 2024 16:55 utc | 138
I am trolling, but out of love. I hate to see barflies turn into delusional warmongers that call their enemy Nazis — it’s so cliched.

Posted by: Napoleon | Aug 1 2024 17:01 utc | 141

Some more economic stuff.
From: https://ukranews.com/en/news/1023564-deficit-of-current-account-of-balance-of-payments-amounts-to-usd-2-2-billion-in-june

In June, the deficit of the current account of the balance of payments amounted to USD 2.2 billion (in June 2023 – USD 109 million).
This follows from a statement by the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU), the Ukrainian News agency reports.
The formation of the deficit is due to the expansion of the negative balance of trade in goods due primarily to higher volumes of imports and the lack of grant assistance from international partners.
Excluding reinvested income and grants from international partners, the current account deficit amounted to USD 2.1 billion (in June 2023 – USD 1.0 billion).
In the first six months of 2024, the current account deficit amounted to USD 8.7 billion (in H1, 2023 – USD 1.8 billion).
Excluding reinvested income and grants from international partners, the deficit amounted to USD 8.2 billion (in H1, 2023 – USD 7.1 billion).
The export of goods decreased by 4.3% (in May 2024, it increased by 13.1%), and their import increased by 5.5% (in May 2024, it increased by 12.5%).
Compared to the previous month, the exports of goods decreased by 19.7%, while their imports decreased by 1.7%.
The volume of exports of goods amounted to USD 2.7 billion.
Exports decreased primarily at the expense of machine-building products (by 36.1%, compared to May it decreased by 23.6%).
The volume of imports of goods amounted to USD 5.4 billion.
Energy imports increased by 16.3% (in May – increased by 5.6%), mainly due to the increase in imports of electricity and oil products.
In turn, non-energy imports increased by 3.8% (in May – decreased by 2.9%).
In June, the balance of payments was reduced to a deficit of USD 0.9 billion (in June 2023, the surplus was USD 1.0 billion).
Net repayment of loans to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) amounted to USD 248 million, and net receipts in June 2023 amounted to USD 719 million.
As of June 1, 2024, the volume of international reserves amounted to USD 37.9 billion, which provides financing for imports for the future period of 4.9 months.
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, the current account deficit of the balance of payments in 2023 amounted to USD 9.8 billion (5.5% of GDP) compared to a surplus of USD 8.0 billion (5.0% of GDP) in 2022.
In 2023, the consolidated balance of payments was formed with a surplus of USD 9.5 billion (in 2022, the deficit was USD 2.9 billion).
The balance of payments current account surplus was USD 8.6 billion (5.8% of GDP) in 2022, compared with a deficit of USD 3.9 billion (1.9% of GDP) in 2021.
In general, for 2022, the consolidated balance of payments was formed with a deficit of USD 2.9 billion (in 2021, the surplus was USD 487 million).

~~~
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1023708-ukrtelecom-cuts-income-by-8-to-uah-2-3-billion-in-h1-2024

In January-June 2024, the Ukrtelecom telecommunications company reduced its income by 8% to UAH 2.3 billion compared to the same period last year.
The Ukrtelecom has said this in a statement, the Ukrainian News agency reports.
Also, in the first half of the year, the company reduced its EBITDA (Earnings before Taxes, Interest, and Depreciation) by 11.4% to UAH 620 million.
Capital investments during this period amounted to over UAH 585 million.
During the first half of 2024, revenues from commercial real estate leases freed up due to network modernization increased by 39% compared to the previous year and amounted to over UAH 210 million.
Also, in January-June, about 4,000 kilometers of fiber-optic lines were built, and in general, the optical network of Ukrtelecom has more than 84,000 kilometers.
“Connections are increasing, correspondingly, the total income from the provision of optical Internet services is increasing. In the first half of this year, compared to last year, 16% more new subscribers of the mass segment, small and medium-sized enterprises were connected to the high-speed optical Internet. As a result, the income from the provision of optical Internet services for the specified category of users increased by 15.5% year over year. Among large enterprises, the connection of new optical subscribers in the first half of the year increased by 37.5%, and the corresponding income – by 34%,” the report said.
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, in 2023, compared to 2022, Ukrtelecom reduced revenues by 10% to UAH 5 billion and EBITDA by 16% to UAH 1 billion.
JSC Ukrtelecom is one of the largest telecommunications companies in Ukraine.
The company is part of the SCM group of companies.

~~~
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1023737-cabinet-introduces-moratorium-on-eurobond-payments

The Cabinet of Ministers has introduced a temporary moratorium on payments for Eurobonds of Ukraine.
This is stated in government resolution No. 865 of July 31 “On the execution of transactions with state debt and state-guaranteed debt in 2024,” the Ukrainian News agency reports.
“In connection with the implementation of transactions with the state debt under the bonds of external state loans of 2018 of the first series, from August 1, 2024, payments on the state’s debt obligations will be temporarily suspended… for the period established by Article 1 of the Law of Ukraine “On peculiarities of the execution of transactions with state, state-guaranteed debt and local debt and state derivatives,” the resolution reads.
The government also transferred the state-guaranteed debt of the former Ukravtodor to the perimeter of the state debt and instructed to carry out its restructuring.
It concerns Eurobonds of 2021 for the total amount of USD 700 million + interest.
At the same time, the Ministry of Finance has been instructed to place bonds of external state loans of Ukraine in 2024 in accordance with the agreed terms, which provide for payments to creditors for consent in the amount of up to USD 246 million.
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, the Verkhovna Rada previously allowed the Cabinet of Ministers to suspend payments on the external state debt until October 2024.

But those fine fellows @Anonymous and @Napoleon will doubtless deny that financial and economic attrition is even a concept, never mind a reality. They really shouldn’t have bought all that Ukrainian government debt for their investment portfolios; now they’re desperately trying to “talk their book”.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Aug 1 2024 17:27 utc | 143

Posted by: Clown Shoes | Aug 1 2024 16:47 utc | 137
The military failure was two-fold. Putin went in light when he raced for Kyiv. He believed the 404 crap that is still gospel among the barflies.
The second failure was geographic. Russia should have ignored Kherson and pushed up the Dnieper on the East bank. Troops that took Kyiv should have instead bypassed the city and moved south on the East side of the river to meet up with Southern group.
This would have cut Ukraine in half. Kyiv would be facing the Russian army, just across the river. The East would be isolated, only another Maginot Line withering away. Instead Vlad went for the shiny objects — cities and wallowed in the East. Hitler made the same mistake, he could have bypassed Stalingrad.
This is not hindsight. I assumed this was the plan before Russia invaded. But no — they had a natural pincer, like in 1914, and blew it. Now the front is so bogged down, it makes World War I look like a Marvel Comics action movie.
Ukraine has held the line for two years. That’s why barflies cling to imagined futures — the invasion has failed. The defense is holding. Good morning Vietnam!

Posted by: Napoleon | Aug 1 2024 17:39 utc | 145

The actual news this week was about Ukraine bonds in default, the West lost the ability to finance the war against debt. Any new deliveries have to be paid in full by the supporting nations. This takes budgets where promises did not.
Together with Israel competition replacements go to zero.
Area captured doesn’t matter. There will be a phase of verbal but no material support before collapse.
US elections, then crickets.

Posted by: SOS | Aug 1 2024 18:07 utc | 147

https://t.me/RVvoenkor/73773
“There is an apocalypse in the Pokrovsky direction, a darkness of Russians is coming to all the timber regiments and massively burning Bradleys, tanks and other equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine”
Today, the media militant of the national battalion “Aidar” writes panicked messages about the powerful offensive of the “Brave”.
“There is an apocalypse in the Pokrovsky direction today… The Russians have climbed into almost all forest belts, there are just a lot of them…
“It’s hard for the guys, so if you want to help, donate to the Scout, his guys are also there now, he collects drones for them.”
Later, he added that there are losses of equipment
“The Pokrov direction is now, without exaggeration, one of the most active. The Russians burn a lot of our equipment, among them Bradleys, tanks, cars… In short, it’s sad.”

Posted by: Pokrovsk Apocalypse | Aug 1 2024 18:26 utc | 149

Patrick Lancaster embedded himself with an Akhmat special forces training group.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtfgxKFC4CA

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 1 2024 20:47 utc | 151

An interesting look at how individual brigades are building their own internal special forces unit in the Russian military
https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/russian-special-forces-the-remedy

For example, this week, our troops quickly broke through to Konstantinovka (on the Marinka-Ugledar highway) and took a bridgehead on the outskirts. This was preceded by powerful artillery preparation. At the same time, DRGs entered behind enemy lines (near the highway) and began actively assaulting the AFU. This caused real panic!
In some cases, our saboteurs work at a depth of up to 10 kilometers, and we see this, for example, in the Slavyansk direction, where our people regularly attack the AFU at the border between Rai-Alexandrovka and Nikiforovka.
The use of special reconnaissance groups is becoming a widespread practice. There’s an interesting backstory here. Starting in the summer of 2022, the AFU actively used this tactic – the near rear was literally swarming with enemy DRGs. This was a serious problem, the front was just being formed, and it was openly leaking, since ours had not yet added sufficient numbers of troops.
At the junction of the zones of responsibility of different units, gaps in the defense regularly formed, and the enemy actively took advantage of this. Now the situation, we see, has swung in the opposite direction. This means that the enemy is in serious trouble.
To make it clear, the entire more than thousand-kilometer front line is a very serious fortification structure. Rows of barbed wire, continuous minefields, trenches, strongholds – both on their side and on ours. And if we switched to the tactics of actively using DRGs, this clearly shows that gaps have formed in these continuous lines of enemy defense. There were no longer enough forces to contain the entire front.
And, among other things, there is one more interesting detail (I say this from personal observations). In the summer of 2023, in addition to the formation of special Storm units, each brigade began to form its own elite units. This was, as I understand it, a special program – the best fighters of suitable age were collected into a special detachment, subordinate directly to the brigade commander. They were trained according to a special program by special GRU instructors.
I still thought then that it was such a fashion for brigade commanders to start their own special forces units, but today, it becomes clear why this whole strategy was needed.
The army is primarily about long-term planning. That is, when preparations were underway for the future big offensive last summer, our strategists even thought through such a thing in advance – the mass training of special forces. So that when the time comes, put them into action. Our guys are now increasing pressure on the enemy by all possible means, and we see the results along the entire front line.

DRG typically means “Diversion Reconnaissance Group”. A long-range reconnaissance/infiltrator/sabotage unit.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 1 2024 21:44 utc | 153

If I am right – time is running short for Russia to achieve its stated war aims.
Posted by: Julian | Aug 1 2024 11:27 utc | 112
You are wrong.
So that your conclusion is worth nothing.
Of course the supporters of the ukronazis are glued to the territory when people defending that territory are killed at an accelerated rate. Until the last Ukrainian. And what will happen next?
By the way, I know someone who predicted that the Russian Army will have to leave after October. Main reason: no more tank available. Let us wait October. LOL.

Posted by: Naive | Aug 1 2024 22:17 utc | 155

If I am right – time is running short for Russia to achieve its stated war aims.
Posted by: Julian | Aug 1 2024 11:27 utc | 112
How so? Seems to me you’re talking fookin bullshit.
NO FREE DRINKS AT THE BAR FOR JULIAN.
Serves ya right!

Posted by: HERMIUS | Aug 1 2024 22:55 utc | 157

Winter is coming.
With the damage to the Ukr power grid, they’re already having issues trying to keep refrigerated foods. Many (if not all) of the TTPs that have been damaged used to supply steam for district heating. All of those formerly supplied buildings are going to need heating from another source. Easiest to implement would be electric heat. Hard decisions will have to be made on how to distribute what precious little supplies remain while adding all of that extra heating demand. Even if the war stopped today, I would not want to be in what remains of Ukr in 4-5 months.
Ukr officials are on record it’s going to take year+ to repair the damage that has been inflicted since Apr 1st. Even trying to build more transmission lines to import from neighbors is going to take time. And it seems that Ukr wants to deny oil transit from RU to countries supplying them electricity. In the end they only harm themselves.
Put yourself in the shoes of one of the unfortunate souls on the front line. Sure, you’re trying to defend your homeland. But when the .gov fails to provide the basic necessities (heat) to your loved ones, are you going to stand your post? Or are you going to find a way to go and protect/provide for those that you love directly?
This whole, “oh they only took 0.02%” and trying to project that same rate into the future is BS. Conditions are going to change. Surely as day turns into night.
Winter is coming.

Posted by: varnel | Aug 1 2024 23:32 utc | 159

War mapper, on X, says that July was a .03% month for Russia. Better than I expected.

Posted by: Anonymous | Aug 1 2024 23:43 utc | 161

Trolls are stupid per definition. But here we have the emperor of the trolls!
So many stupidities like cutting Ukraine in two with a few thousands soldiers, or blathering about the numbers of kia when mobilisation is currently 30’000/month and ukronazis officials whining that it is not enough to hold.

Posted by: Naive | Aug 1 2024 23:59 utc | 163

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Aug 1 2024 23:15 utc | 158
Laurent Brayart published a list of 170 nazi bataillons (azov, aidar, donbas, kraken, carpathian sich, c15, etc.). But is is cliché, of course. Like their war crimes, of course.

Posted by: Naive | Aug 2 2024 0:06 utc | 165

Napoleon | Aug 1 2024 17:39 utc | 145
Russian Federation is doing so badly in Ukraine that USistan had to have Israel recreate Reagan killing Qaddafi’s 7 year old daughter on the hostage negotiator in Tehran! And leak it was done by F-35s!
Russian Federation is doing so badly in Ukraine that USistan accused Venezuela of running an election with cheating like put Biden in the deep swamp seat!
Next the USistan economy will crater to change the subject of Russian Federation is doing so badly in Ukraine.

Posted by: paddy | Aug 2 2024 0:11 utc | 167

I have to laugh a bit at the username the clown chose. When it comes to war with Russia, he/she/it chose the name of a loser.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 1 2024 22:28 utc | 156
Yep. Explanation:
But why did this choice to be Napoleon impose itself on psychotics?
The acute Napoleonite
[..] It is obvious that sinking into the skin of a normal person has no interest in itself. However, the journey of this self-made man, a small captain born into a poor family who achieves absolute power and holds the whole of Europe under his boot, is fascinating: his hybris allows the newcomer to access this same madness of grandeur. It is tempting to impersonate a usurper. The one who assumes the character of Napoleon can thus exempt himself from any social control and becomes invulnerable.

Posted by: Naive | Aug 2 2024 0:18 utc | 169

It looks as if the difference between Napoleon I of France and our Napoleon is that our Napoleon just can’t get enough of whatever punishment was dished out to his eponymous hero at Waterloo.

Posted by: Refinnejenna | Aug 2 2024 0:22 utc | 171

@ Richard L | Aug 2 2024 1:02 utc | 172
The ironic part of the whole “Touaregs’ were trained to use drones by ukrops” narrative push is, of course, that there is no evidence the Touaregs used those in those battles or even have any drones at all throughout all videos they’ve released. Not to mention the order of media coverage, with SBU “taking credit” only some time after the event perforated through most media. After all, it is hard to take credit for something before knowing it has happened in the first place from Russian media, like everybody else.

Posted by: boneless | Aug 2 2024 1:13 utc | 173

What happened to the guy who used to post good info from Telegram? Seemed mildly Russpophilic, but very even toned and mostly just contributing content (which I value). I forget his name, Deepsouth maybe? They were pretty long posts with bulleted information. Did we lose him, during the bartender interregnum?

Posted by: Anonymous | Aug 2 2024 1:26 utc | 175

Did we lose him, during the bartender interregnum?
Posted by: Anonymous | Aug 2 2024 1:26 utc | 175

Why does he matter if he is only a 0.001 of the bar readership?

Posted by: Poslan1 | Aug 2 2024 4:17 utc | 177

Why does he matter if he is only a 0.001 of the bar readership?
Posted by: Poslan1 | Aug 2 2024 4:17 utc | 177
##########
Unlike meny, he contributed information, that many at the bar do not.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 2 2024 4:32 utc | 179

It’s obvious, sorry, I was just teasing Anonimous who measures everything in decimal points.
Should have used /s
Posted by: Poslan1 | Aug 2 2024 4:52 utc | 180
It was obvious to me and quite funny.

Posted by: Bearish Panda | Aug 2 2024 5:34 utc | 181

We already know the Yankees will nuke. We know all of the West has been working aggressively on biowarfare.
The idea that they follow rules or fear divine judgment is naive and delusional.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 2 2024 0:00 utc | 164
I agree. But, is it clever to be morally restrained in war wiith psychopaths?
The west will nuke, the west has no restraints, that is so obvious.

Posted by: vargas | Aug 2 2024 7:20 utc | 183

Posted by: Anonymous | Aug 2 2024 1:26 utc | 175
I’m still here. Never left. Just been reading the threads.
Didn’t contribute because the front hasn’t moved much and the information was often times contradictory. Then a town was “taken“ and then it wasn’t . Then it was “taken” but only 20% or just the outskirts. Fog of war I guess. But things seem to have cleared up and I think a lot is going to happen before year end.
Will start posting updates on a new thread.

Posted by: Down South | Aug 2 2024 8:45 utc | 185

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 2 2024 4:27 utc | 178
I don’t think they are ‘just eating it up’, they are aware that reacting to obvious provocations just advances the agenda of their occupational government and its jackboot presses down on their neck a few more millimetres. People are waiting for the right moment, timing their strike, so to speak. Is it the majority, no, is it a growing minority, yes. Revolutions are largely driven by the minority of the pro-active population, who then drag the others along. The pool of those pro-active citizens is small, but if it grows the tipping point, between action and in-action, is more likely to be reached.
In the US, an administrative coup, on the sitting President (himself installed by a soft coup) and a government sponsored assassination attempt of its political rival and existential threat, following a corrupt series of legal assaults, are driving the two politically pro-active sections of citizenry together. They aren’t in an official alliance, though Democrat crossovers are increasing, but both their end games are merging. Both Democrats and Republicans feel betrayed, both see Nov 2024 as a way of wresting back, even partially, their parties and dealing the enablers of the current situation a good kick in the balls.
The situation here in the UK is beginning to follow the same dynamic, with an incompetent puppet government trying to blame all its recent woes on, extreme right-wing thugs’, sounds familiar?

Posted by: Milites | Aug 2 2024 10:02 utc | 187

that call their enemy Nazis — it’s so cliched.
Posted by: Napoleon | Aug 1 2024 17:01 utc | 141
Yes but it’s so much quicker to spell that “Ukrainian nationalist”, “glorified football hooligan” or “fascist twat”

Posted by: HB_Norica | Aug 2 2024 11:02 utc | 189

Posted by: Newbie | Aug 2 2024 11:55 utc | 190

The latest offensive at the expense of the Ukrainians or an attempt by the Office of the President to save the situation at the cost of thousands of lives of ordinary military personnel.
On Bankova they decided to use manpower to carry out an autumn counter-offensive and try to return the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant in order to sign a peace treaty on this wave.
For Zelensky, the offensive is the last chance to stay in power, and this requires a strong trigger, which is why Donbass is not the main direction now.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/23738

Posted by: Down South | Aug 2 2024 13:10 utc | 191

Another interesting development, Hungary/Slovakia have been fighting Ukraine over Lukoil crude deliveries for their refineries. So far Ukraine is denying transfers. If Hungary stops delivering electrical energy in return expect some more rifts in the EU and a cold winter in Ukraine. Hungary also delivers diesel fuel from those refineries so not exactly win/win.
Posted by: SOS | Aug 2 2024 10:06 utc | 188
Exactly. And EC simply said that they should find other oil sources, the Ukr oil transit block is ok to them, it fits the sanctions for Russia. It’ll be even funnier with the next package of sanctions where EU wants to block fish trade.
Now the result of this depends on how much Hungary and Slovakia need the diesel and electricity money. I assume they get paid, but it’s not impossible they give it for free if Ursula says so. Also if they stop diesel, EU might punish them and take some of their EU money. So they will probably do nothing, they will have to buy oil from an approved seller at an EU approved price, they can’t simply buy what they want. And they can’t escape EU either, they have no access

Posted by: rk | Aug 2 2024 13:29 utc | 193

“On Bankova they decided to use manpower to carry out an autumn counter-offensive and try to return the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant in order to sign a peace treaty on this wave.”
Posted by: Down South | Aug 2 2024 13:10 utc | 191
So rezident_ua thinks Russia will lose ZNPP, for sure, and then Russia will either surrender or start bombing Ukr and/or nato, and that will attract more nato in Ukr.
It’s fascinating the level of retard found in these people. If they do it, there are so many options other than those two, it won’t be in their interest to discover.
rezident_ua should be called rezident_uk to match the iq level. But I do hope Zeli tries something big, if you know what I mean. Last night he dropped cluster atacms again on Crimea but this time it was intercepted and did not explode, the balls still need to be collected

Posted by: rk | Aug 2 2024 13:43 utc | 195

But I do hope Zeli tries something big, if you know what I mean.

Posted by: rk | Aug 2 2024 13:43 utc | 195

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky is preparing the last counter-offensive, which should allow Ukraine to enter the negotiation track as the winner. For this purpose, new brigades and reserves with Western military equipment are being formed.
Now the General Staff, together with NATO military advisers, is preparing two operations, one diversionary in the Kharkov direction and the main one at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
Eight brigades have already been formed, which are undergoing training in Western Ukraine and are waiting for F-16 fighters to launch the autumn counter-offensive.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/23713

Posted by: Down South | Aug 2 2024 13:52 utc | 197

rybar map upates
Pokrovsky direction: the liberation of most of Timofeevka and the successes of the RF Armed Forces on the southern flank of the “Pokrovsky salient”
The situation as of 13.00 on August 2, 2024
https://t.me/rybar/62369
South Donetsk direction: capture by the RF Armed Forces of a section of the T-05-24 highway southwest of Konstantinovka
The situation as of 15:00 on August 2, 2024
https://t.me/rybar/62373

Posted by: updates | Aug 2 2024 14:18 utc | 199