Posted by: HH | Jul 24 2024 14:33 utc | 1
From what I understand the Russians won’t go on a major offensive until the Donbas fortifications built since 2014 have been breached.
The current Russian strategy is a 2 phase campaign where the first phase is not to take ground but to reduce Ukraines ability to wage war and the second is an exploitation phase in the form of a combined arms armoured assault with the objective to take as much ground as quickly as possible, siege cities etc.
They started this operation in February 2022 and what they teach in military schools this phase of an attritional campaign takes 2 – 2.5 years to complete. Those figures are academic and don’t take into account the strength of the defences that have to be breached or the amount of aid the opposing army receives.
Russia are very good at knocking the shit out of an army with standoff weapons but Ukraine has built one of the strongest defensive lines in history over the last 10 years and get unprecedented aid from the west so all bets are off as to when the second phase kicks off. You can pour a lot of concrete in 10 years.
In the mean time Russia keeps building up their reserve armies for the exploitation phase which at present are thought to be around 300k strong.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jul 24 2024 14:52 utc | 4

Back in 2022 I was reading that Russia was continuing to fulfil its gas supply contracts and continuing to supply gas via Ukraine.
IIRC the contracts expire in Dec 2024.
Has anyone seen anything about extending or renewing or negotiating news contracts?

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jul 24 2024 15:10 utc | 6

If Ukraine folds before the election that would knock a huge plank out of Trump’s platform…
Posted by: too scents | Jul 24 2024 11:14 utc | 514, from the previous topic.
It is in Trump’s interest to continue the war though November so that he can “solve” it with some transaction or other.
Solving Ukraine is a major plank of Trump’s platform. Ukraine folding before the election deprives him of that sale.
Posted by: too scents | Jul 24 2024 14:49 utc | 3, in this topic.
I fully agree!
And I would say more: it is not only in Trump’s interest to give up on Ukraine now, but it is also in his interest for it to suffer major setbacks by November. Europe, on the other hand, wants the opposite! And China? I don’t know…

Posted by: Elber | Jul 24 2024 15:14 utc | 8

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/131108

Good news, the Turks detained the perpetrator of the terrorist attack that blew up a car in Moscow today, as a result of which 2 people were injured. Negotiations are underway to extradite the detainee to Russia.
Earlier, the director of the FSB Bortnikov said that the Russian and Turkish special services are cooperating on this issue. The Turks had previously extradited terrorists to Russia.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/131109

Footage of the detention by Turkish special services of a terrorist who blew up a car in Moscow.
The character’s name is Evgeny Serebryakov.

Posted by: anon2020 | Jul 24 2024 15:24 utc | 10

“Rheinmetall received an order for the construction of a ammunition plant in Ukraine from the government of Ukraine. It is expected that the production of ammunition at this enterprise in Ukraine will begin within 24 months. The cost will be betwen 100 to 500 million euros”
Posted by: rk | Jul 24 2024 8:22 utc | 497
Terms are payment in full … in cash … up front and insurance for anyone and anything not Ukrainian on site before a spade hits the ground.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jul 24 2024 15:45 utc | 12

The person who committed a car bombing in Moscow was arrested by Turkish police. Negotiations of extradition are ongoing.
https://x.com/Zlatti_71/status/1816132849147191680

Posted by: unimperator | Jul 24 2024 15:49 utc | 14

Chinese scientists reporting they’ve found a way to track stealth aircraft. If so there’s goes the West’s last major ace card.
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Jul 24 2024 12:32 utc | 519
Interesting piece on just that subject here. https://youtu.be/ffGQLnlXks4?si=ZijkIQSMkJ9tKmb1

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jul 24 2024 15:53 utc | 16

Russia wins conflict in Ukraine, bringing the West to the brink of collapse – Emmanuel Todd.
Emmanuel Todd, the most famous French historian who predicted the collapse of the USSR , is now warning the EU about the reality of a similar prospect , states (https://berliner-zeitung.de/politik-gesellschaft/geopolitik/emmanuel-todd-deutschland-wird-entscheiden-ob-in-der-ukraine-frieden-einkehrt-li.2236539) the German Berliner Zeitung
“ We, the West , are waging a direct war with Russia, primarily an economic one , which harms Europe more than Russia. Behind the conflict are the United States , which seeks to alienate Germany from Russia. It finally succeeded . The Nord Stream explosion was the icing on the cake, said Emmanuel Todd
Ukraine has already lost in the current military conflict. Moreover, Russia will receive even more territories . For Russia, ending the conflict is possible only if it is confident in its continued security . It is possible that the leadership in Ukraine will be replaced by one loyal to Russia
Such peace in Ukraine is a disaster for the United States , a public defeat in the eyes of the whole world. This could be followed by the collapse of the entire US-led world order.
In this situation, a lot depends on the path that Europe chooses . And this, in turn, depends on the position of Germany . “It is Germany that will decide whether the endless military conflict will continue or whether peace will return.”
“ Germany must take responsibility as the leading power in Europe. We are all in Europe waiting for Germany to end the military conflict in Ukraine. This must also be done because the West as a whole is on the verge of collapse and has more important problems , such as demography and the destruction of society due to neoliberalism and nihilism,” emphasizes Emmanuel Todd in conclusion.
Slavyangrad TG

https://x.com/GeromanAT/status/1816142071968719341

Posted by: unimperator | Jul 24 2024 16:12 utc | 18

Posted by: too scents | Jul 24 2024 14:49 utc | 3
The Border, the economy, weaponisation of the institutions, DEI/woke infiltration, energy policy, criminal justice, education etc, are all central planks, not Ukraine. It might be important, in view of the other objectives, but he’s proved his competence in foreign policy to a majority of the electorate, so not really critical to any electoral success. Given Russia’s accelerated progress this year at cracking the 2014 line, with nothing comprehensive behind, I wonder what state Ukraine will be in, in November.
Posted by: HB_Norica | Jul 24 2024 15:53 utc | 16
Just a few jottings before supper:
1. The countries most concerned about stealth are the ones who routinely say it is now obsolete, this has held true for the last decade+
2. The countries above will regularly claim that their platforms now possess the capabilities they say are not effective.
3. Most observers do not understand the capabilities stealth gives a platform, neither the problems it causes an opponent, instead believing it’s akin to a cloaking device.
4. Just as the detection technology is improving so are the stealth capabilities
5. Finding a theoretical way is very different from having an operational capability

Posted by: Milites | Jul 24 2024 16:26 utc | 20

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 16:32 utc | 21
You’d think the AFU counter-offensive lost its meaning after Biden was ousted, as the purpose was to help Biden win the election in the case that it succeeded ‘taking some ground’.
The question is, who in the US swamp is still adamant to make another counter-offensive and why? With Biden gone, it’s clean sheet for the Dembots. And Trump-Vance want nothing to do with the whole issue, except maybe plotting to take credit for an eventual peace they, nor anyone in the west had nothing to do with.

Posted by: unimperator | Jul 24 2024 16:37 utc | 22

unimperator | Jul 24 2024 16:37 utc | 22
According to another post at the Legitimate channel, it is Zelensky himself who needs the offensive to go ahead. Basically Ze position in now in danger due to the constant losses at the front. I would assume the British though are still pushing for an offensive and no doubt the likes of Stoltenberg and Von Lying.
With whats been going on recently, it does seem a bit iffy as to whether it goes ahead or not so I’m waiting to see what develops.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 16:56 utc | 24

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 16:56 utc | 24
When you’re on the ground being mauled by a bear and you’ve just run out of your last can of bear spray you’d think the thought process would go something like “how do I get out of this” rather than “I really should kick that bear in the nuts right now”
I doubt they’ll go on the offensive without a new bear spray patron.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jul 24 2024 17:16 utc | 26

Has anyone seen anything about extending or renewing or negotiating news contracts?
Posted by: Melaleuca | Jul 24 2024 15:10 utc | 6
No. AFAIK, Russia is looking at Asia.
The EUropean Union has declared they wish to have zero fossil fuel use well before 2050. This means it makes little sense to invest in fossil fuel infrastructure for the EU market. This is true whether you are Russian or not.

Posted by: Passerby | Jul 24 2024 17:22 utc | 28

HB_Norica | Jul 24 2024 17:16 utc | 26
The core liberal/globalist faction of the deep state still have the whitehouse and will have ownership of it until January. The numbers have obviously swung to the realist/nationalist faction, but still, the globalists have six months in which they can create a lot of mischief.
That core group – that’s where the 25 million instantly appeared from for the Harris campaign the moment ‘Biden’ said he would not be running for the next election.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 17:26 utc | 30

Posted by: unimperator | Jul 24 2024 16:12 utc | 18
I suppose this article in the Berliner is a translation from the French to German.
Does anyone happen to know where the original text of the interview with Emmanuel Toddis?

Posted by: Passerby | Jul 24 2024 17:30 utc | 32

We’re not out of the woods on this NATO/Russia escalation in Ukraine – not even headed that way. It looks like the French and SAS are taking their turn poking the bear – at some point Mr. Putin’s going to get enough and then the buttons are going to get pushed: https://folkpotpourri.com/nuclear-war-hiroshima-taught-us-nothing/

Posted by: Ozark Grandpa | Jul 24 2024 17:34 utc | 34

Putin made nany steategic mistakes. A. Merkel fooled hom with Minsk I and Minsk II.
Has he learned his lesson or still trusts EU politicians?

Posted by: vargas | Jul 24 2024 17:58 utc | 36

Thank you Tobias Cole @33 for your enlightened advices, it’s a good thing I’m on MoA tonight, otherwise I’d have missed the solution my staff was still looking for.
Влади́мир Влади́мирович Пу́тин.

Posted by: Vladimir V. Putin | Jul 24 2024 18:26 utc | 38

The NATO countries have no intention of leaving fossil fuels in the ground. The Guardian have a story today highlighting that.
The aim is to reduce consumption by ordinary citizens to keep the economy upright as imperialist wealth transfers from the global south decline in the coming decades. Inflation and austerity are how the elites intend to protect their wealth along with a push to move consumption online and reduce travel by ordinary people which is why we have constant chaos in airports and also why airplanes have suddenly become unsafe.
In a world of finite resources military and security functions are going to be prioritised over the personal consumption of ordinary people.

Posted by: SB | Jul 24 2024 18:40 utc | 40

This is a rather good interview for the opinions it exposes.
Posted by: too scents | Jul 24 2024 16:17 utc | 19
Oh no, it’s pure nonsense.

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Jul 24 2024 19:15 utc | 42

Posted by: SB | Jul 24 2024 18:40 utc | 40
Strange that the newspaper who has championed the Green radical agenda, for the past 50+ years is now actually admitting its real purpose,
Perhaps the elites should consider putting down their smart phones and picking up a history book, they might get a bit of a shock about what could be in store for them if they pursue this supposed agenda.

Posted by: Milites | Jul 24 2024 19:22 utc | 44

Posted by: RandomLurker | Jul 24 2024 19:36 utc | 45
#############
It’s not a factual error. It is deception and bad faith posting by a troll account.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jul 24 2024 19:41 utc | 46

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jul 24 2024 19:41 utc | 46
“It’s not a factual error. It is deception and bad faith posting by a troll account.”
In reference to : “In reality, The SMO has been stopped cold for years and Russia is being bombed by the West — despite all these Pro-Putin Peyote songs.”
Posted by: Napoleon | Jul 24 2024 17:38 utc | 35
REPLY to LoveDonbass: We are on the same page here, but what intrigued me is the thought that a human, no matter how deceived or acting on bad faith, wouldn’t say that.
A bot maybe?

Posted by: RandomLurker | Jul 24 2024 19:48 utc | 48

A good video of a couple of ‘mobilization’ goons getting dropped. They are trying to snatch a smaller man then a bigger bloke comes in from behind and downs both. The communities are certainly starting to look after each other and fight back.
https://x.com/BowesChay/status/1816156240000471469

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 19:56 utc | 50

Does not look like Putin will be done by election day or this year
With electricity supplies falling short Ukrainians will freeze, putting some pressure on what constitutes their leadership. Mike Johnson seems the only warmonger still left outside Blinken et. al, so there is room left for small changed.
Putin will pretty much drive the agenda and the timetable. My crystal ball is cloudy.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Jul 24 2024 20:35 utc | 52

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Jul 24 2024 20:35 utc | 52
Martyanov in his latest video says Russians no longer give a sh#t about the ‘brotherly’ Ukrainian nation, Zelensky, Kuleba, the west or even China as far as Ukraine, Russia is on their own timetable with own set of goals. They will go to the end removing it and NATO as a potential threat. If it means dismantling every piece of infrastructure it will happen. The west has zero role. And Russians in general want nothing to do with Ukrainians (obviously this of course varies on individual level).
Obviously this probably doesn’t mean that individual people wouldn’t move to Russia, obviously some will. The main point is the ‘state and idea’ itself.
If there is no coherency to defend the ‘Ukrainian idea’, then the thing is as good as dead. Perhaps the outcome is the population eventually scatters, be it to the east or west?

Posted by: unimperator | Jul 24 2024 20:47 utc | 54

Melaleuca | Jul 24 2024 15:10 utc | 6
No, sorry, nothing about gas.
With oil however, Russian oil, there’s been some stunning new development. Don’t know if you’re aware of this, but the landlocked Balkan states had gotten a waiver from the meatheads in Brussels so that they could still receive Russian oil through Ukraine via pipeline (everyone else was forbidden from doing so). So basically oil via the traditional system that was once put in place among the Warsaw Pact countries, the system that worked very well. Now, the EU hasn’t done anything for once, but Zelensky has. Ukraine has forbidden Lukoil (the Russian and international company that nowadays carries the oil contract for the old pipeline system) from pumping oil through Ukraine. Effective immediately. This means that Slovakia and Hungary have run ‘dry’, their refineries can’t produce anymore. The Czech Republic, Austria and Serbia will also be directly affected. Indirectly, the whole continent will be affected, too. You know, supply and demand. It will now be even more of a headache for any refiner in Europe to get the oil they need, and petrol prices will rise no doubt. What a nice gift by Zelensky.
You won’t hear a word about this from the EU meatheads or in any MSM. Just utter silence. It’s too much of an embarrassment, this brazen economic attack on the EU by the EU’s very own protégé. They just pretend it never happened, so they won’t have to even comment on it, let alone deal with it.
Hungary and Slovakia, however, are pissed and have already vowed to downright block any further weapons or money transfer to Ukraine, should this situation not be resolved.
Ugly, yet also amusing.
—
too scents | Jul 24 2024 19:46 utc | 47
Thanks a lot for the information! It was a joy to read. Good thing the Hungarians and Slovaks are sharp. Zelensky that silly cunt needs to be thrashed – by the powers he depends on.

Posted by: Scotch Bingeington | Jul 24 2024 21:17 utc | 56

William Gruff | Jul 24 2024 20:36 utc | 53
It is likely Ukraine will surrender by or before the Trump inauguration. With the rolling blackouts of about ten hours and no way of restoring it, the Ukrainians are heading into a somewhat cold and dark winter. On top of that, if there is a surrender there will also be demobilization and it is only then the average Ukraine will realize the true scale of their casualties/losses.
What you said about the Ukrainians basically denazifing whatever is left of Ukraine, quite some time back, I felt it was Putin’s intention to take them to that point. Now only are there partisan units operating, there is an anti Zelensky resistance starting to form.
I clicked on the link to have another look at that video and it has now been removed. Too bad, it was good to watch.
The smaller younger bloke looked like he may have a been trained MMA fighter, both in the way he moved and he had obviously been giving a good account of himself before the big bloke joined in.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 21:30 utc | 58

A post by Napo Leon followed immediately by a post by Varg Ass. Coincidence?

Posted by: Mike R | Jul 24 2024 21:41 utc | 60

UWDude | Jul 24 2024 21:42 utc | 61
Its just a matter of looking at what is coming from the Ukie frontlines on telegram. Most professional military believe believe the Rus MoD figures are very conservative.
Some time ago, when Rus MoD was reporting a bit below a thousand a day, a ukie politician said they needed 30,000 new recruits per month, the head general at the time, in an interview to the economist, said they needed 20,000 new recruits per month.
So those two figures from Ukraine and the Rus mod reports were all in the same casualty range.
The flying bombs Russia is using now are taking a big toll, plus the drones, and the artillery hasn’t let up at all. I just read a report from a Ukie small unit commander – I think they were in a battalion size grouping in one sector and they were simply getting wiped out by artillery.
This huge mobilization going on – those poor bastards a fed straight into the front line without training, and in a hot sector, their life expectancy can be measured in hours.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 22:00 utc | 62

It is likely Ukraine will surrender by or before the Trump inauguration. With the rolling blackouts of about ten hours and no way of restoring it, the Ukrainians are heading into a somewhat cold and dark winter.
I think they would not surrender like Hamas is not surrendering.

Posted by: vargas | Jul 24 2024 22:07 utc | 64

@unimperator | Jul 24 2024 16:12 utc | 18
Thanks for that link to Todd.
Yes, position of Germany is central to future of Europe.

Posted by: Don Firineach | Jul 24 2024 22:12 utc | 66

Retire? There isn’t any demobilization after a certain time period. They are in it for the duration. It is literally a death sentence.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 22:13 utc | 67
Yes, but the politicians would rather that not the case.
Rotation is also pretty much put of the question.
Politician wanting a dream package is not a good way to gauge losses.

Posted by: UWDude | Jul 24 2024 22:16 utc | 68

Posted by: UWDude | Jul 24 2024 21:42 utc | 61
Is lost simply killed or a combination of KIA/WIA and MIA? If the latter then 2,000 per day, on a 2,000 km front is an entirely plausible number for the following reasons:
1. The number of precision strikes targeting rear-areas (larger target density).
2. The weapons used in the conflict that are not only highly accurate, but often have large over-matches against their targets. This is especially true of the thermobarics, ballistic missiles and FAB’s (especially the latest models).
3. Casualties normally reflect the difference in training between combatants and/or their ability to adapt. Most observers have commented on the quality of Ukrainian soldiers declining since the start of the SMO, a situation that is unlikely to have affected the Russians as much, if at all, and some would say the reverse.
4. Linked to 3) Russians are being equipped and trained to use equipment that has been modified and enhanced thanks to combat experience, the Ukrainians less so.
5. Greater use and integration of drones, both in ISR, improving lethality of existing platforms, and in direct attack capabilities, whilst still employing traditional platforms in the required quantities.
6. The large number of mines used and their methods of operation.
7. Russian air superiority/dominance that is steadily increasing.
8. The RuMoD, like many similar organisations, don’t lie, but they also don’t correct any misconceptions they have deliberately created, are all losses counted or only those caused by direct Russian actions? If the former far more believable.

Posted by: Milites | Jul 24 2024 22:26 utc | 70

8. The RuMoD, like many similar organisations, don’t lie, but they also don’t correct any misconceptions they have deliberately created, are all losses counted or only those caused by direct Russian actions? If the former far more believable.
Posted by: Milites | Jul 24 2024 22:26 utc | 70
RuMoD uses the term “destroyed” personnel, which afaik translates to killed.
Perhaps if you count every minor wound and desertion, the number is accurate.
But people here are saying “killed”, and I just remain skeptical as to those kinds of numbers… …mostly because I dont see how the AFU could still be as cohesive as it is with such losses. After all, if those are the amounts killed, then the actual number of casualties, including wounded, would have to be like 60,000 – 100,000 a month.

Posted by: UWDude | Jul 24 2024 22:35 utc | 72

My impression: if rumod says: five tanks then it’s five tanks exactly. If rumod says 1350 soldiers then their best guess is 1500 soldiers, and the number in the press release is their best guess minus 10%.
For unreliable numbers, read minfin stats.

Posted by: Passerby | Jul 24 2024 22:38 utc | 74

I hate to burst bubbles, but how can anyone take these numbers seriously?
Posted by: Napoleon | Jul 24 2024 21:07 utc | 55
60k’s not a big number.
The Soviets lost 194,400 “unrecoverable losses” per month Q4 1944 right around the time they retook Kiev … so they’re fighting over the same blood soaked ground.
They also lost 3X that number sick and wounded.
Bombs, missiles and Artillery have only gotten more accurate since then.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jul 24 2024 22:43 utc | 76

Since the guy who outlawed making peace with Putin is now talking a lot about peace and negotiations, you know it’s bad. How far the cascading failure breaking point is for Ukraine is still up in the air. But it’s getting there. Everyday the battlefield updates are another kilometer or two in lots of places, another village taken, more videos of Russian drones targeting Ukrainians and their assets and them getting blown up.
Making Biden a lame duck in July is problematic. Ukraine has been his personal project since 2008ish. No other politician in the running will outright abandon Kiev, including Trump, but there’s not much any of them land do except throw money at it. Russia might be mostly finished by the US inauguration, not because they care but because shit happens and things fall apart. All US politicians will be focused solely on the election from now until November. If not elections then Israel.
I won’t be surprised if when the VSU cracks, Russia’s territorial acquisitions get quite large, quite fast. Everything gained is either negotiation material and/or DMZ.

Posted by: Lex | Jul 24 2024 22:49 utc | 78

UWDude | Jul 24 2024 22:50 utc | 79
Since the start of the second phase, Russia has basically put the SMO on cruise control. No big offensives, just taking ground when theres few or no Ukies left alive. I had put casualty ratio at around 7-1, though Putin said not long back 5-1.
Wagner in Bakhmut were instead aggressively try to take territory and they had much higher casualties. Wagner around 35000 dead and Ukies around 70,000 dead. That’s a ratio of about 2-1.
That’s a total of around 135,000 dead in the battle for just one relatively small city.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 23:00 utc | 80

Today there was cause for celebration within the liberated “historic” regions of Russia that I turned into “The Socio-Economic Development of Russia’s “historical subjects””. And when the damage done is considered and the amounts at reconstruction guessed at by the West, Russia has spent less and done far more than anyone imagined. I wish there’d been more photos to show readers, while some of the projects being rededicated today are visible in the video. The motto appears to be akin to Build-Back Better and is a nationwide effort that’s been seen via earlier reports. We read and see the SMO’s destruction on a daily basis, but we seldom hear about the reconstruction. Here’s an opportunity.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 24 2024 23:10 utc | 82

The motto appears to be akin to Build-Back Better and is a nationwide effort that’s been seen via earlier reports. We read and see the SMO’s destruction on a daily basis, but we seldom hear about the reconstruction. Here’s an opportunity.
Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 24 2024 23:10 utc | 82
—————————————————–
Which Western ‘news’ sources might be in a position to pick up on that?
Twitter/X is still a little too vulgar (might not be the right word) to me.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Jul 24 2024 23:29 utc | 84

A post by Napo Leon followed immediately by a post by Varg Ass. Coincidence?
Posted by: Mike R | Jul 24 2024 21:41 utc | 60
————————————————–
We should consider ourselves twice blessed, FWIIW.
Ignore is my preferred approach, much encouraged.
Posted by: Acco Hengst | Jul 24 2024 23:27 utc | 83
Agreed and as a rule I follow it, but just o explain to Mike (or other new ones) Napo and Vargas … one has his head so up the other’s ass the they come in pairs.
Same for some others.
As for RF casualties I’m still waiting for the economist’s update for May.
So far I have consistency between raw excess mortality+1200 with 1.56 of meadia zone’s base number and with 1/6th of ukraine’s casualties for the RF (1/6th is a standard KIA ration for all hit)
All point to 93.500 RF KIA
Now what’s the AFU’s number? By putin’s 5:1 we’re still shy of 470.000 (and as many or more irrecoverably WIA)
That’s in the 30.000 “AFU’s needs” earlier less, now more.
The bad news with such low numbers is that there would still be room for meat unless the population is under 22 million

Posted by: Newbie | Jul 25 2024 0:02 utc | 86

“Has he learned his lesson or still trusts EU politicians?”
Posted by: vargas | Jul 24 2024 17:58 utc | 36
Excellent question. You have a talent for cutting to the core of the problem. But you probably won’t get the answer on MOA. Have you tried QUORA? There are many experts there who will be happy to help you.

Posted by: someone | Jul 25 2024 0:19 utc | 88

Vargas isn’t here to get questions answered, 41 1307.
Posted by: UWDude | Jul 25 2024 0:23 utc | 89
That’s obvious. Glad you appreciate sarcasm.

Posted by: someone | Jul 25 2024 0:33 utc | 90

karlof1 | Jul 24 2024 23:31 utc | 85
Every war is a new war, new equipment, new tactics. A constantly evolving thing. Russian military has become a well oiled machine finely tuned to the demands of this war.
The rebuilding, I see bits and pieces on it from time to time. Not only replacing that destroyed, but also upgrading much old the old Soviet infrastructure that received very little to no upgrades since the Soviet collapse. Its good to see building rather than just war. I used to like watching video from China, infrastructure building, poverty alleviation, desert reclamation and that sort of thing, but unless you know the name of the video channels and go straight to them now, they cannot be found. Those sort of videos do not come using a search term in the youtube search function.
But the Donbass area was one of the most prosperous regions in the Soviet Union from what I have read, and I assume Russia will return it to that state.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 25 2024 0:39 utc | 92

A good video of a couple of ‘mobilization’ goons getting dropped. They are trying to snatch a smaller man then a bigger bloke comes in from behind and downs both. The communities are certainly starting to look after each other and fight back.
https://x.com/BowesChay/status/1816156240000471469
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 24 2024 19:56 utc | 50
Melon Husk has deleted it.

Posted by: Menz | Jul 25 2024 1:43 utc | 94

Two of the most critical factors in making war are logistics and morale. Having over the months developed the most lean, mean fighting machine in decades; the R.U. forces have succeeded in targeting and then demolishing a growing proportion of Kiev’s military infrastructure. It is amazing that the Ukies have held out this long, what with their logistical system being constantly degraded. Supplies, reinforcements and medical attention for the wounded have been systematically reduced into frenetic improvisation.
Thus, we can conclude that the logistical system for the Ukie military is on the verge of running on fumes. Trains blown up, warehouses destroyed, electrical power massively degraded. From this logistical breakdown, it is logical to assume that this crisis, on top of manpower drainage has drained Ukie morale to a level fast approaching the breaking point. Icing on the cake is the growing “attention” being paid by women in particular, to those mobilization squads. Their vehicles are not armored, as they require every scrap of armor they can dig up to support their remaining frontline forces. Partisan guerrilla actions will only increase. Too many people have lost loved-ones to put up with the regime much longer.
Morale is on the verge of shattering, as the Russian assaults have become conservatively relentless. It would not surprise me in the least of the collapse occurs weeks before the U.$. election. That happens and Trump will gloat and the Dems will sweat.
False flags and internal repression by the mailed fist approach may be in advanced planning stages throughout the collective Wa$te. Imagine the scenario of the Federales employing those trained “migrants” to act as mercenary forces against the most heavily armed population in the world…wilth the possible exception of Switzerland.
Indeed, we do live in interesting times.

Posted by: aristodemos | Jul 25 2024 2:39 utc | 96

– Daniel Davis & Larry Johnson: “Ukraine is FINALLY crumbling” (?????)
Source: https://sonar21.com/ukraine-on-the-ropes-and-bill-binney-on-crowdstrike
(I have heard this many times before so right now I am using A LOT OF salt in order to digest this story).

Posted by: WMG | Jul 25 2024 3:30 utc | 98

Ukrainians are in trouble near Progres:

Big Serge 25/7/24 1:49AM A clearer picture is starting to emerge on the Ocheretyne axis. The 47th Mechanized Brigade was unable to salvage the defense at Progres due to insufficient infantry, and there are now at least two battalions of the 31st Mechanized at risk of being enveloped. No signs of Russia slowing down on this front. The AFU has lost almost all its positions east of the Vovcha River.

According to Deepstate UA:

The enemy is trying to surround part of the Defense Forces near Progress: there is no order to withdraw
We were approached by soldiers of the 1st and 3rd battalions of the 31st Mechanized Brigade, who have been defending themselves in the encirclement in recent days.

Posted by: Aristonicus | Jul 25 2024 3:55 utc | 100