About defeating drones: what is needed is a defensive drone equivalent of a bat. That detects objects within a few hundred meters acoustically. Then crashes into them detonating a small charge. Have a few of these flying overhead a vehicle or company of soldiers, programmed, perhaps with some AI, to identify incoming drone threats and neutralise them.
It’s notable that among Russian leaning telegram channels, there is an increasing number of videos of Ukrainian drones being destroyed by Russian drones.

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Jul 13 2024 9:59 utc | 303

So as I joked yesterday about how the Aussies are turning into the stereotypical ‘dumb pollacks’ of the Pacific ‘North Atlantic Alliance’ against the Multipolar emerging world …
The Poles come straight back with a ‘hold my beer’ bid to retain their title!
‘‘– GEROMAN — time will tell – 👀 —
@GeromanAT
MIC won.’
‘Mario Nawfal
@MarioNawfal
48m
🚨🇵🇱BREAKING: POLAND TO SPEND 5% OF GDP ON DEFENSE IN 2025
Foreign Minister Sikorski announced Poland will allocate 5% of GDP to defense in 2025, up from 4% this year, in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Sikorski:
“We are number one in NATO, including the US, in proportion. We are no longer in eternal post-Cold War peace.”
Deputy Defense Minister Tomczyk confirmed a 10% budget increase in 2025 to a record high.
Army chief General Kukula emphasized the need to prepare for an all-out conflict.
Source: Reuters “
——————-
To the Last Pole now – not happy with 10k no So secretly already fed into the ukrop mincer when they weren’t even supposed to be there!
So what happens next – first the rest of Europe will regain their cheap plumbers and builders , the U.K. will see much more illegal migrants from there – they will join many who have already settled here over the last 30 years. Good for us!
I’ll be able to get hold of their hard working abilities and get the major repairs done around the house.
Second they will be forced into Galicia and beyond to ‘reclaim their ancient imperial lands’ as some glorified debt collector bailiffs, on behalf of the Collective Wastes Bankers and Agro Industrialists to ‘claim’ the Lands they ‘bought’ from ‘Flash Harry’ Shelensky, the shyster war time spiv!
Third – the dumbest pollacks will go with their Banderite Pole murdering neighbours (yup they are really that dumb!) against the anti Nazis- and lose tens of thousands of more of them in the black soil there. On behalf of the Zionazis line Sikorsky and Applebum – the latest modern day Macbeth’s.
The demnted “thank you USA” and his spiv real life psycho wife, will be the New, ‘Greatest Wartime Leaders’ as Shelensky is ‘retired’. His little flabby cocaine stained nose preserved like Lenin ,as some mummified trophy to inspire future generations of dumb ukropians into believing that Bandera was their Father and Shelenski their trans human ’mother’ …
When was there a “eternal post-Cold War peace.”?
We really deserve all we are going to get if we carry on believing all such nonsensical , russophobic anti-Putin propaganda. I await Brace Sir Herr Starmztrooper announcing similar nonsense – as he starts climbing into tanks and airplanes in his new uniform.
Dumb, Dumber, Dumbest.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jul 13 2024 10:22 utc | 305

Reposting here from the Palestine thread as OT.
Given the wide spread spy networks of nation-states, especially the USA. I hope this is useful to other barflies.
Microsoft banning Palestinians in the US for using Skype to contact relatives in the Gaza.
I have never wanted to scream more in my life… wth!
Yesterday Meta and now MS
https://x.com/abierkhatib/status/1811443189309690066
Posted by: Menz | Jul 12 2024 7:51 utc | 33
Depressing, but not surprising.
Sorry, below is a little OT…
All the USA technology/ad companies (i.e. Microsoft, Google, Apple, Shitter, Fakebook, etc) are integrated and active participants of the deep-state / permanent bureaucracy of USA imperialism. Naturally, they love the juicy contracts $$$.
We know this thanks to Assange, Snowden, and countless brave truth seekers.
The opponents or victims of capitalism/imperialism are silenced or oppressed by these companies. For example by defunding of Wikileaks (https://wikileaks.org/Banking-Blockade.html) or the Grayzone (https://thegrayzone.com/2023/08/28/gofundme-freezes-grayzone-fundraiser/) or de-platforming/demonetizated of left-wing activists on social media (https://www.wired.com/story/twitter-political-account-ban-us-mid-term-elections/)
in the guise of fighting “mis-information”. Although the only “news” the public heard was that they deplatformed far-right types.
We the working-class should boycott such organisations and encourage family, friends and brothers/sisters fighting the blob to do the same.
There are many alternative software/platforms that the working class can control instead of the capitalist overlords.
Here are a number of free/libre open source replacements for proprietary (spy-friendly) software:
Replace video conference apps (Skype, Zoom, MS Teams) with:
Jitsi https://jitsi.org/ (conference software)
Replace messaging apps (e.g. Whatsapp, Telegram, sms )
Jami https://jami.net/ (distributed, no central servers, but flaky, it’s improving though)
Signal https://signal.org (proprietary central server, but open-source mobile and desktop apps)
Element https://element.io/ (uses Matrix protocol https://matrix.org/)
Replace social networks (X-twitter, Fakebook, linkdin):
Mastodon https://joinmastodon.org/
References :
https://github.com/tycrek/degoogle
https://degooglisons-internet.org/en/
It’s (usually) inconvenient to move to free/libre open source software that humanity can control,
but it’s worth it to loosen the power of the tech-fascists have over us.

Posted by: Friend_of_MLK | Jul 13 2024 10:46 utc | 307

As for runways, Soviet russian aircraft can just use compacted crushed rock for fast repair. The Americans will use fast curing high strength concrete. Good to go in 24 hours or less.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 12 2024 14:14 utc | 169

Two easy counters for fast concrete. The Russians can bomb every 12 hours, never letting the runway set. Also they can target any construction trucks that come near the runways.

Posted by: spindz | Jul 13 2024 11:11 utc | 309

Posted by: spindz | Jul 13 2024 11:11 utc | 309
Kill the repair crews, more permanent and the reason runway denial missions were staggered to catch them after the first raid and used a percentage of delayed munitions. The best solution would be pre-placed drones acting as acoustic/motion triggered mines, a variation on, ‘the definition of air-superiority is a tank at the end of the runway!’
Remotely controlled anti-material rifles would be a pain, with modern IFCS’s and optics a first-round hit on an F-16’s front landing gear, just as its just about to reach V1 velocity, would be more than possible. The subsequent wreckage would then act as an ad-hoc denial munition.

Posted by: Milites | Jul 13 2024 11:31 utc | 311

Posted by: Napoleon | Jul 13 2024 7:27 utc | 279
Thus, a classic quagmire, stalemate, which favors the defender, Ukraine.
A stalemate by definition doesn’t favour anyone and this isn’t a “stalemate”. The pace of the conflict favours the Russians because they have overwhelming fire power that can reach into the operational / strategic depths while the Ukrainians have to keep bringing in fresh forces to hold the line as their numbers get reduced by Russian fires.
Movement in modern warfare invites casualties and Russian soldiers are government employees who cost money to train, get rehab and pensions if they are injured, or survivor benefits if they die during combat. Russians don’t want their soldiers getting maimed or killed any more than a factory owner wants employees to get maimed or killed on the job because it costs them money and makes the workplace suffer from poor moral
Like the Americans Russian soldiers are much happier killing from a distance with a cozy bunker and hot meals 20 km from the LOC. In all but a few urban hot spots they hold the line with drones and artillery spotters.
It appears Putin has stumbled into WW1 style trench warfare.
Appearances can be deceiving.
He must dream of his one chance in 2022, when he had fast access to Kyiv and elsewhere.
That I seriously doubt. The last time a Russian army stormed Kiev it took 700,000 men and cost 120,000 casualties. back they it was a city 1/3 the size. That’s more of a nightmare than a dream.
I don’t pretend to know the mind of Putin but I’ll speculate that if he dreams of taking Kiev, Zelensky is hanging from a lamp post and Ukrainians are greeting the Russians with offerings of bread salt and flowers.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jul 13 2024 11:46 utc | 313

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Jul 12 2024 13:51 utc | 157
“They cant be based in the Ukraine, because all the major airfields have been cratered by the RF”
THe RF has not cratered or come close to createring all the major airfields in Ukraine. A look at the video’s were Russia shows them hitting Ukraine aircraft flying out of various airfields in Ukraine shows that isn’t true.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 12 2024 14:14 utc | 169
Posted by: spindz | Jul 13 2024 11:11 utc | 309
Posted by: Milites | Jul 13 2024 11:31 utc | 311
Ukraine is still flying ex-Soviet aircraft a thousand days after the three day war began. If they could have, why hasn’t Russia been doing this already?
Overall I agree with your’all overall view on the F-16s. Not enough to make a difference. It will be interesting to see what stand off weapons they will have as that is their ‘strength’. No need to jury rig up anything to fire lots of different NATO weapons.

Posted by: Ed4 | Jul 13 2024 11:52 utc | 315

https://t.me/Novichok_Rossiya_2/10192

Interesting 🤔
Right in the middle of 2 highways on the edge of Kiev, the Ukrainians are busy building a new highway that seems to disappear underground.
This while all the other highways are filled with potholes.
Here’s my sneaky suspicion…F16’s.
They are literally working 24/7 on this project, I’ve watched them for the last few days. I’ve never seen this urgency anywhere else.
And this is literally a stones throw from Zhulyany airport.
👆👉Masno

Posted by: anon2020 | Jul 13 2024 11:59 utc | 317

The question of AI and whether NATO has (as Simplicius thinks) some Skynet-style tech available to Ukrainian troops is a pretty damn important and concerning one. My only comfort is that previous NATO Wunderwaffen have brought forth effective counters, and hopefully this will be no exception.
But we should bear in mind that, while Ukraine may be short of troops, with modern tech, military analysts and intelligence people in all the NATO countries – or even AI processing in all the NATO countries – can sit there doing analysis, target selection, for all I know drone piloting in total safety.
Russia has bright people, but I imagine they are all working pretty hard right now. NATO has spare bodies and brains, who otherwise might be working on strategy simulations but now can get trained in real time action, but sans risk of a 155mm shell or a FAB500 landing on them.
Tricky ….

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jul 13 2024 12:04 utc | 319

Ukraine is still flying ex-Soviet aircraft a thousand days after the three day war began.
Ed4 | Jul 13 2024 11:52 utc | 315
Retarded propaganda.
Ukr’s planes found in Ukr were shot in the first months, the rest flew to nato bases and were mixed will all planes nato could find on the planet.
All planes come from Poland, maybe Romania, one-two each week or so. Shoot and run. If they stay, they always get hit on the airport or in flight. Russia can bomb all airports in Ukr, they will still be repaired and planes will still come from nato bases

Posted by: rk | Jul 13 2024 12:16 utc | 321

Difficult not to interpret this as the Shoigu-Ivanov network covering their tracks, while the criminal justice system fails to protect witnesses, even those in custody. Time will tell.
https://t.me/milinfolive/125965

The story of the arrest of the now former Deputy Minister, also former Defense Minister Timur Ivanov and other persons involved, continues to develop in an interesting way.
So, by coincidence, worthy of the best synchronized wivers, on one day on July 8, two people close to ex-Deputy Minister Ivanov died at once: 52-year-old businessman Igor Kotelnikov and 61-year-old head of the state examination department of the Ministry of Defense, Colonel-General Magomed Khandayev.
Kotelnikov died in the Moscow pre-trial detention center №4 of “heart problems” and was a suspect in the case of Ivanov’s bribes. According to the investigation, the businessman was an intermediary who guaranteed profitable contracts to entrepreneurs cooperating with the Ministry of Defense for “kckbacks”.
Colonel-General Khandayev, who previously held the post of General Director of the Main Directorate of Special Construction and was directly subordinate to former Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov, was interrogated by the investigation as a witness in the case and was not in jail. His cause of death is not called.

Posted by: anon2020 | Jul 13 2024 12:22 utc | 323

How to explain that small protestant or pedominantly protestant countries like Denmark or The Netherlands, are so fanatical in oreparing the war against Russia.
Such small countries can totally be destroyed in a nuclear war. Is that politics not strande?

Posted by: vargas | Jul 13 2024 13:06 utc | 325

Posted by: Friend_of_MLK | Jul 13 2024 10:46 utc | 307
Excellent information…Basically Linux is the way to go…Big thanks…

Posted by: notlurking | Jul 13 2024 13:08 utc | 327

Ok, Pepe just made me lol.
https://t.me/rocknrollgeopolitics/12061

Posted by: Mary | Jul 13 2024 13:10 utc | 329

Posted by: Ed4 | Jul 13 2024 11:52 utc | 315

Are these spurious posts repeating inane Ukranian propaganda comforting to you? I doubt they comfort the Ukrainians being blown to bits while Maerica refuses to let her proxy surrender. Equivalent to watching a kid getting destroyed by a prize fighter while continually being pushed back into the ring by the greedy and cowardly promoter.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jul 13 2024 13:33 utc | 331

@notlurking | Jul 13 2024 13:08 utc | 327

Excellent information…Basically Linux is the way to go…Big thanks…

The most significant thing to be aware of on Windows 11 is the new “Microsoft Recall” which is a total surveillance system of everything you do on your PC, it is completely Orwellian. It is not on all PCs yet, but that is what they want. So yes, Linux is the way to go.

Posted by: Norwegian | Jul 13 2024 13:48 utc | 333

Posted by: Milites | Jul 13 2024 13:15 utc | 330
>If the drive is to regard humans as just an increasingly inferior part of a relationship with technology then the stage is being set, in the near-future, for a monumental disaster of epic proportions. All you would need to do is compromise the algorithms that drive the relatively simplistic AI routines (speed of operation creates an illusion .of complexity), by AI maskirovka tactics and then watch, as the structure collapsed. Human intervention would be remote, whilst those on the ground had neither the skill sets or the experience to rectify the situation. Again a fascinating glimpse into the self-hating, anti-humanist policies being actively pursued by the elite. Skyfall, not Skynet!
You obviously have no understanding of back propagation AI, which is as robust as the programming induced by Mother Nature. There are no algorithms. There is merely pattern matching. The only difficulty is training by use of multiple examples of the pattern. Training AI to change a truck tire under challenging conditions is impossible at present, because there are too possibly complications. But training AI to recognize the difference between real human and inflatable doll human is trivial. So maskirova won’t work more than a few days after installing mass numbers of these inflatable human dolls with infrared signature and enough movement not to be obvious dolls (and that movement adds lots of expense). Training to overcome this maskirova is trivial and then a few minutes to update software in all the drones.
Now the idea in Simplicius that AI can replace the officer corps is dubious. But nothing dubious AI can create a 10-100km kill zone on land and in air where no human can survive. This is 10yo old technology, and back propagation AI goes back many decades. Of course, system engineering to make these drones work is no small task. But that Simplicius article does bring all the critical ideas. Autonomous drones will soon make electronic warfare to defeat drones obsolete. Autonomous drones will soon make humans on line of contact obsolete. There are two main ways to defeat autonomous drones: automated shotguns, flak guns or other projectile weapons on the ground, drones that kill other drones.
In another post, you mentioned drones that lurk near landing strips and attack aircraft. These can be autonomous. And similar autonomous lurking drones can be place themselves all over the ground in that 10-100km kill zone, and attack humans. Drone maintainence techs and sappers then become the bulk of infantry.

Posted by: anonposter | Jul 13 2024 14:06 utc | 335

@ notlurking | Jul 13 2024 13:08 utc | 327
Consider smaller kernels that change slowly, like OpenBSD.
Hope to run it one day on OrangePi or Huawei chips.

Posted by: not a number | Jul 13 2024 14:18 utc | 337

THe RF has not cratered or come close to createring all the major airfields in Ukraine. A look at the video’s were Russia shows them hitting Ukraine aircraft flying out of various airfields in Ukraine shows that isn’t true.
Posted by: Ed4 | Jul 13 2024 11:52 utc | 315
That’s proof of nothing.
Engineers can repair a cratered airfield in hours … they have specialized materials and equipment for this purpose. I’m sure the NATO has supplied repair kits to Ukrainian engineers. They’ve had time to rebuild entire airports destroyed in early 2022 complete with luggage carousel.
Timing is everything. There is no point in cratering runways unless you either want to keep aircraft using that particular runway from taking off or landing on that day. For example an attack on an airport would begin by taking out air defences and cratering runways in the first wave to trap the aircraft on the ground then destroying the aircraft in the second wave. They could extend the down time by mining the runway as well or cluster bombing the engineers while they work.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jul 13 2024 14:32 utc | 339

Zelensky wants 128 F-16s says 60 is too few.
He must know how much they break and need huge technical support with long down time for each aircraft.
Harder to fix than runways are the “turnaround” sites where F-16 is rearmed fueled and fixed.
These are more complex than the pits at formula one races and the support tail is huge.
The comedian is correct 60 aircraft do not mean every many sorties.
Only US can give that stuff.

Posted by: paddy | Jul 13 2024 14:50 utc | 341

Posted by: anonposter | Jul 13 2024 14:06 utc | 335
Strange, I seem to remember attending an AI/robotics exhibition a decade-ish ago where that’s what nearly everyone was talking about, and after the hype about clouds of nano-drones clogging air filters and AC units, the limitations to such programmes. It also incorporates algorithmic optimisation and other stem programmes, so technically I was correct, but I’m not going to pretend I have anymore than a limited-working knowledge of the subject. I do know however that being hunted down by a drone using facial recognition software, was quite Terminatoresque! If changing a truck tyre, or for that matter painting nails, is beyond an AI routine, imagine dealing with humans whose survival instinct is reinforced by specific counter-measures to your largely triggered and thus predictable attack routines. You also make the mistake of assuming deception methods are simply replications of historical precedent, forgetting that novelty is also a key element in such practices. The British DPM camo pattern was, after all created by an artist, armed with a 4” brush and a simple tonal range of paints. Things still worn today, whereas many computer generated patterns are now retired, similar to the superiority of painted movie backdrops v’s CGI created affairs, but that’s another topic. As for your relegation of future front-line infantry to merely supporting technicians I think you are being as premature as those who have already dug the grave, and had the headstone carved, for the MBT, after the Yom Kippur War, a half-century ago! Now I feel old, time to pick up Mr Kurtzweil.

Posted by: Milites | Jul 13 2024 14:53 utc | 343

Ukrainian losses for July 13th, as reported by the Russian defence ministry:
– Sever Group (Kharkov): 205 troops, 1 tank, 2 motor vehicles, 4 artillery pieces, 3 EW stations
– Zapad Group (Luhansk area): 590 troops, 3 AFV/APC, 14 motor vehicles, 7 artillery piece, 2 EW system
– Yug Group (Donetsk north): 680 troops, 15 motor vehicles, 12 artillery pieces.
– Tsetr Group (Donetsk south): 355 troops, 1 APC, 3 motor vehicles, 3 artillery pieces, 1 Counter Battery Radar
– Vostok Group (southern front): 140 troops, 2 AFV/APC, 3 motor vehicles, 3 artillery piece
– Dnepr Group: 105 troops, 3 motor vehicles, 3 artillery pieces, 1 EW systems.
In total: 2,075 troops (about 2,500-3,000 with undercounting: 75,000 to 90,000 a month). We seem to have hit a new normal of 2,000 to 2,500 reported losses.
1 tank, 6 AFV/IFV/APC, 40 motor vehicles; an intensification of the transformation of the Ukrainian army into infantry plus “technicals” (pickup trucks with mounted weapons).
32 artillery pieces, close to the maximum level of daily losses – a rate of 1000 per month. 1 Counter Battery Radar systems and 6 EW systems in a single day is an escalation of this trend, such destruction makes it easier for Russian drone operators and artillery. The Russians are getting much better at hunting and destroying such high value and hard to replace targets.
In addition the Russians are becoming adept at shooting down HIMARS missiles, as well as hunting down and destroying HIMARS systems.

Posted by: Roger | Jul 13 2024 15:03 utc | 345

If all this is true, and I’m beginning to think it is, whoever chose the target or even entertained the idea of bombing a building right next to a big children’s hospital, is a moron and didn’t serve his country well this time around.
Posted by: Scotch Bingeington | Jul 12 2024 21:10 utc | 249

I’ll say it’s very bad behaviour to place military installations right next to a hospital. I even think it’s illegal. I do think the Ukr may have done it just to prevent attacks.

Posted by: Avtonom | Jul 13 2024 15:10 utc | 347

The front hasn’t moved in two years …. after Ukrainian victories in Kherson, Kharkiv and Vlad’s failed attempt to take Kyiv.
Posted by: Napoleon | Jul 13 2024 14:33 utc | 340
That’s the Ukrainian spin.
The Kiev bluff almost succeeded all the way around. They had the tentative Istanbul Agreement, plus they pinned the AFU down in the north while they destroyed all the Nazis at Azovstal.
Lewinsky then demanded the RF withdraw from Kiev as a show of good faith and then (at BJ’s insistence) scuttled the agreement entirely and attacked.
Since the RF knew they really weren’t in a position to engage in a full-on fight they chose a strategic withdrawal to shorten defensive lines and shore up logistics. Yes, those so-called “Ukrainian victories” were not pushing the RF back so much as chasing after them. Big whoop.
The NATO & AFU clowns then mistakenly assumed the RF would run from any fight hence the doomed-to-fail “counteroffensive”.
All of this has been confirmed several times over, sometimes inadvertently and always grudgingly, by multiple Western sources.

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Jul 13 2024 15:40 utc | 349

Posted by: spindz | Jul 13 2024 11:45 utc | 312
As a sidenote:
“In China, the number of drone companies has grown to more than 14 thousand amid rising demand for drones.
The growing demand for unmanned aerial vehicles in the modern world has led to large-scale development of production drones in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). As you know, China is currently one of the main manufacturers and suppliers of drones to the world market.
According to sources, the number of producers Drones companies in China increased to more than 14 thousand. In addition, the number of drone operators has also increased. Only operators with licenses to operate UAVs in China now number more than 225 thousand people.
In the first half of 2024 alone, about 608 thousand unmanned aerial vehicles were registered in China. This is 48 percent more than was recorded at the end of 2023. That is, in the last six months alone there has been a large-scale increase in the number of unmanned aerial vehicles in China.
Note that Chinese drones are supplied to many countries around the world. They are used for both civilian and military purposes. In particular, Chinese-made drones are involved in many armed conflicts in different parts of the world, including a special military operation of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation against the Kyiv regime.
Given market conditions, Chinese companies are purposefully increasing the scale of drone production. After all, the demand for unmanned aerial vehicles in other countries is constantly growing, and this only contributes to a further increase in the income of Chinese companies producing drones.”
https://en.topwar.ru/246208-v-kitae-kolichestvo-proizvodjaschih-bespilotniki-kompanij-vyroslo-do-bolee-chem-14-tysjach-na-fone-rosta-sprosa-na-drony.html

Posted by: horseguards | Jul 13 2024 15:43 utc | 351

Here we go again with the famous Moon of Alabama circular logic.
Simplicius articles in the past: Great geo-politically analytical pieces of genius written by a military strategy master.
Simplicius article about how Ukrainian drones are causing havoc to Russian forces:
Panicked, over the top misreading of Ukranian capabilities and Russian problems. Simplicius doesn’t know what he’s talking about.
I love this place and its consistency 😉

Posted by: Moonie | Jul 13 2024 16:04 utc | 353

And NATO shares the same fantasies.
Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 11 2024 23:17 utc | 42
——————————————————-
Probably not worth the candle to construct a psych profile of Zelensky. Comedian, coke head, drinking his own bathwater, dictator – off with their heads.
The US/UK/Natostan started a meme from which they cannot depart. Sanity is not optional, self-destruction of something will be assured in the due course of time.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Jul 13 2024 16:12 utc | 355

Posted by: Clown Shoes | Jul 13 2024 16:14 utc | 356
Unprecedented and brilliant analysis!

Posted by: Elber | Jul 13 2024 16:24 utc | 357

james | Jul 13 2024 15:40 utc | 350
Hi james, any thoughts on this?

Posted by: Scotch Bingeington | Jul 13 2024 16:51 utc | 359

RT has published a short notice about the publication of a new book, “‘Miracle in the East’: New WWII history book hits the shelves,” and provides this direct link, PDF Version, to the book based on Western war correspondent reports from the Eastern Front that were published in the West.
Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 13 2024 11:23 utc | 310
—————————————————–
Downloaded for weekend read in between East Coast Thunderstorms.
Thank you, Karl!

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Jul 13 2024 17:20 utc | 361

@ @ Scotch Bingeington | Jul 13 2024 16:51 utc | 359
this seems legit and must have been one of the russians objectives.. as helmer notes – “The smallness of the substations that were hit indicates that the Russians are now focusing on targeting distribution as well as transmission and generation. This takes the risk of negatively impacting the nuclear power plants out of the equation. It also stretches Ukrainian utility resources thinner. With this in mind, targeting the hospital substation makes sense. It forces the Ukrainians to deploy scarce manpower and materiel (technicians, portable substations and generators) to keep the hospital going. It forces prioritization on a more local level with all of the system stresses that will cause.”
i essentially agree with ivan katchanovski in this line from helmers article – “Missile strike in daylight in densely populated area, especially in children hospital area can be classified as indiscriminate and violation of international law.” it seems this substations were the target..
Three temporary transformer substations to be installed on territory of Okhmatdyt

Posted by: james | Jul 13 2024 17:44 utc | 363

@ unimperator | Jul 13 2024 17:57 utc | 364
first off – thanks for all your posts at moa.. they are typically informative and educational and i appreciate it..
what wmike mijajlovic says makes sense…. what do you think happened with regard to the hospital and area right next to it??

Posted by: james | Jul 13 2024 17:59 utc | 365

Posted by: rk | Jul 13 2024 12:16 utc | 321 “Ukr’s planes found in Ukr were shot in the first months, the rest flew to nato bases.”
Any evidence of that?
I agree with the rest of your claim that there was a world wide search that moved a lot of other ex-Soviet aircraft in later.
Posted by: Poslan1 | Jul 13 2024 12:54 utc | 324
3 day war Gay clown retarded propaganda from people still appearing regularly on Russian TV.
https://x.com/francis_scarr/status/1697553040071430306

Posted by: Ed4 | Jul 13 2024 18:13 utc | 367

https://t.me/rybar/61789

🇺🇦Against the backdrop of a large outflow of population from the territory controlled by the Kiev regime over the past two years, the question often arises: how many people are left there? And now an interesting statement has appeared from the director of the local center for demography and social research.
According to her, under the most optimistic scenario, by 2033 the population of the so-called Ukraine (excluding territorial losses) will be a maximum of 35 million people. At the same time, to maintain a level of even 30 million, at least 300 thousand migrants will have to be imported there annually.
At the same time, with a certain probability, even Kiev does not know the exact figure of the remaining population. According to some estimates, by the end of 2022, there were a maximum of 30 million people in the areas controlled by the Kiev regime, and over the past year and a half, this number has clearly decreased due to losses at the front and emigration.
📌And here we must remember that the demographic indicators of the so-called Ukraine were depressing before — in 1991-2014 its population decreased by 20% even without any war. The birth rate before the SVO was one of the worst in Europe, and now it is the lowest in the last 300 years.
In light of these factors and the announced figures, as well as the ongoing “war to the last Ukrainian”, the outflow of population and the sad economic prospects, we can state that the so-called Ukraine (as a state entity) has no future in the long term.
#Ukraine

Posted by: anon2020 | Jul 13 2024 18:22 utc | 369

Re Chinese drones. Who is to say that there is no ‘back door’ burnt into their chipsets? And if so, who has been given access to the keys?

Posted by: Waymad | Jul 13 2024 19:08 utc | 371

” Re Chinese drones. Who is to say that there is no ‘back door’ burnt into their chipsets? And if so, who has been given access to the keys?
Posted by: Waymad | Jul 13 2024 19:08 utc | 371 ”
Thats just silly, The Chinese government is too moral to do that. Also, the massive surveillance system in China is for its citizens protection as they might start having the wrong type of thoughts.

Posted by: Moonie | Jul 13 2024 19:41 utc | 373

I can’t escape the idea that civic/financial collapse of Ukraine will occur before military collapse, precipitating complete capitulation, possibly with some oblasts striking out for independence at the same time.
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 13 2024 18:06 utc | 366
It is not that easy. In Korea 2-3 million Koreans had to die until the USA withdrew to the 38th parallel demanded by China and in Vietnam 2.5 million in Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia had to die until the Americans disappeared again – so there is still a bit of room for maneuver Ukraine…

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Jul 13 2024 19:48 utc | 375

john helmer from 2 days ago..
THE KIEV CHILDREN’S HOSPITAL, THE RUSSIAN X-101 MISSILE, AND THE UKRAINE NASAMS MISSILE — THE WARHEAD EVIDENCE, MEDICAL AND AUTOPSY REPORTS ARE MISSING
Posted by: james | Jul 13 2024 15:40 utc | 350
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Posted by: unimperator | Jul 13 2024 17:57 utc | 364
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first off – thanks for all your posts at moa.. they are typically informative and educational and i appreciate it..
what wmike mijajlovic says makes sense…. what do you think happened with regard to the hospital and area right next to it??
Posted by: james | Jul 13 2024 17:59 utc | 365
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Much obliged for many of both your postings.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Jul 13 2024 20:10 utc | 377

” The US last had a trade surplus in 1975.
The conditions for a financial collapse have changed.
Posted by: too scents | Jul 13 2024 19:52 utc | 376 ”
Really? In what currency is China, India, Saudi Arabia and others paid in by the US? Additionally, why dont they demand payment in other currencies besides the one they get paid in currently?

Posted by: Moonie | Jul 13 2024 20:24 utc | 379

Really?
Posted by: Moonie | Jul 13 2024 20:24 utc | 379
—
Yes. Prices don’t lie.

Posted by: too scents | Jul 13 2024 20:27 utc | 381

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Jul 13 2024 19:48 utc | 375
I’m not sure I understand your comparisons with Korea or Vietnam. My view remains that the conditions are ripening for a wholesale financial/economic collapse in Ukraine. This will either be preceded by or, more likely, followed by wholesale civil upheaval within the country. In such circumstances trying to maintain a military campaign against a foreign adversary becomes a meaningless concept.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 13 2024 20:42 utc | 383

Posted by: james | Jul 13 2024 15:40 utc | 350
Someone already posted that link before. Russian does not target civilians.
Here is another link:
https://reseauinternational.net/fact-checking-de-lattaque-de-lhopital-pediatrique-de-kiev-du-08-07-2024/
The visul evidence says it all.
The western hypocrisy at its best considering the fate of the Palestinian hospitals. Especially when newborns are let to die in incubators when electricity was cut. Remember the Koweiti incubators of the empire of lies…

Posted by: Naive | Jul 13 2024 21:05 utc | 385

Vargas ref Dk and Nl
Easy answer: they aŕe kingdoms who got rid very early of any workers movement (no 1st May demos, to start with). They fed the populace with ‘the reds are comin’ mottos for a century and it works perfect…

Posted by: Minaa | Jul 13 2024 21:11 utc | 387

US adopts German WW2 strategy. Loses repeatedly in every war, winning only with absurd scenarios like Desert Shield/Storm, but never questions the gotta go fast and capture capital method. Sad, really. But it reflects the mindset of the West as a whole. Only the State matters, only cities, only technology.

Posted by: Skarnkai | Jul 13 2024 21:36 utc | 389

New “weekly report from Maria”, an interview with Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Galuzin”, and a long article posted by Marat Khairullen at his substack, “Weapons Are The New Oil” and more are ready for barflies to read. Oh, and don’t miss “What Kind of Ideology Does Russia Need?” from the most recent issue of the Journal of Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service by Hero of Labor of the Russian Federation, People’s Artist of the Russian Federation, director, author and presenter of the program “BesogonTV,” Nikita Sergeevich Mikhalkov.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 13 2024 22:04 utc | 391

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on Friday spoke by phone with his Russian counterpart for the second time in less than a month and one day after the NATO summit wrapped up in Washington with a focus on countering Moscow, according to the Pentagon.
During the call with Russian Minister of Defense Andrey Belousov, which was initiated by Moscow, Austin “emphasized the importance of maintaining lines of communication amid Russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine,” deputy press secretary Sabrina Singh told reporters.

What does Russia have form talking with US government?

Posted by: vargas | Jul 13 2024 22:19 utc | 393

Posted by: smuks | Jul 13 2024 22:19 utc | 394
Found this while researching (sorry on wikipedia)
Moonie my very young friend I suggest you follow up
• According to the Atlantic Council’s Thomas Hill in December 2023, the de-dollarization efforts within BRICS, particularly in North Africa, present a significant challenge to US interests. The inclusion of Egypt and the enthusiasm in Algiers and Tunis suggest that North African states may actively support BRICS’s priority of de-dollarization. This poses a threat to the US, as a coordinated de-dollarization effort in the region could diminish American influence and impact existing trade agreements. The expansion of BRICS raises concerns for US policymakers, given the group’s commitment to global de-dollarization, which aims to replace the dollar with the “R5” or “the renminbi, ruble, rupee, real, and rand”, or with other multilateral central bank digital currency (CBDC) as the new global currency. This shift could limit the US ability to run deficits and maintain low interest rates. Moreover, de-dollarization would undermine the effectiveness of US sanctions, relying on the SWIFT system, as BRICS seeks alternative financial systems, potentially making SWIFT obsolete.[147]

Posted by: watcher | Jul 13 2024 23:06 utc | 395

Sorry, wrong thread.

Posted by: Friend_of_MLK | Jul 13 2024 23:54 utc | 397

Posted by: Friend_of_MLK | Jul 13 2024 23:54 utc | 396
There’s nothing to apologize for! I was going to break the news, and I saw your poster. This attack will have unimaginable repercussions!

Posted by: Elber | Jul 14 2024 0:07 utc | 399