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Ukraine Open Thread 2024-145
Only for news & views directly related to the war in Ukraine.
The Economist wants us to know that Volodymyr Zelensky’s presidential term expires on May 20th.
I am sure that Russia will act accordingly.
The current open thread for other issues is here.
Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.
Telegram trawl: multiple accounts. No links. Idgaf.
The President of Bulgaria called Ukraine’s victory over Russia impossible – Euractiv
According to Rumen Radev, if the conflict continues, Ukraine will be “a demographically devastated country, with completely destroyed infrastructure, industry, production, and this will have extremely serious consequences not only for Ukraine, but also for the whole of Europe.”
The Bulgarian leader called for a move from the distribution of weapons to a diplomatic solution to the situation.
He also spoke about the assassination attempt on Slovak Prime Minister Fico by “radical fanatics because of his support for peace”, which “indicates a deep-rooted intolerance of dissent and hatred”.
>…Electronics production in Moscow increased by more than 2.5 times
While amusing Russophobic propagandists imagine Russia as a kind of gas station country, in reality, high-tech production is successfully developing in our country. Based on the results of the first quarter of this year, the production of electronics and computer equipment in Moscow increased 2.5 times.
>… Nine people were arrested in Poland due to “sabotage ordered by the Russian Federation” – Prime Minister Tusk.
According to him, the detainees are accused of beatings, arson and attempted arson. Among the “mercenaries” there are allegedly representatives of the criminal world from Ukraine, Belarus and Poland.
>… Ukraine will be forced to pay debts
Friendship is friendship, but Ukraine will still pay its bills to Western creditors. Holders of Ukrainian government debt are demanding that Kyiv resume payments on Eurobonds, which were stopped at the beginning of 2022 due to the start of the SVO.
In total, Western creditors expect to receive up to $500 million a year in interest from Kyiv.
>… The US State Department explained why the ICC can prosecute Russia, but not Israel.
According to Washington, for the international criminal court to extend its jurisdiction, it must be recognized by at least one party to the conflict.
State Department spokesman Miller said that neither Israel nor Palestine recognize the court, but Ukraine does.
According to him, the United States is ready to cooperate with the ICC, despite the resistance of the Israeli authorities against any investigation into Tel Aviv’s actions in the Gaza Strip.
>…Reader warning. Some of you will reflexively get a grip; Maria speaks/
The Russian Foreign Ministry compared the United States to a spider entangled in its own web
“Washington’s statements in connection with the ICC charges against the Israeli leadership resemble the reaction of a scorpion stung by itself or a spider caught in its own web,” the official noted representative of the Zakharov ministry.
According to her, the catastrophic situation in the Middle East is the work of American political engineers, and the legitimization of the ICC, which is not recognized by Washington itself, depending on the situation – “the calling card of the Anglo-Saxons”.
>…Part of “this is different you don’t understand” and how the “rules based order” applies…
The State Department explained the “fundamental difference” regarding the ICC jurisdiction over the conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine.
According to Washington, the jurisdiction of the ICC extends to those cases where it is recognized by at least one of the parties to the conflict.
Neither Israel nor Palestine recognizes the jurisdiction of this court, but Kiev, the US emphasizes, does.
Therefore, the US believes that only Russia can be persecuted, and this does not concern Israel.
The State Department also emphasized Israel’s readiness to cooperate with the ICC, despite the fact that Israeli authorities had previously rejected all attempts to investigate possible violations of humanitarian law in Gaza.
>…On this day, 20th of May, 2022 Russian Army liberated Mariupol.
>… European officials believe that after the assassination attempt, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, who opposed arms supplies to Ukraine and the country’s membership in NATO, may become embittered, the Financial Times reports, citing sources.
According to the publication, the EU fears that Robert Fico could become the “new Viktor Orban” and interfere with the work of the alliance.
>…In the U.S. Congress, a bill will be introduced to impose sanctions on Georgian politicians responsible for promoting the foreign agents law, reports Politico.
The document asserts that Georgia “openly attacked American and other Western organizations promoting democracy,” while seeking to strengthen ties with Moscow and Beijing.
Meanwhile, the Georgian Prime Minister stated on Monday morning that the foreign agents law will ensure long-term peace in the country.
>…Ukrainian bloggers demand that eighteen-year-old boys be drafted into the Armed Forces of Ukraine
One of the flagships of this statement is the well-known “military” blogger Evgeniy Karas, who began to be indignant at the absence of 18-year-old boys at the front during a live telethon.
In his words, they need to be called up first, because “ they don’t have a family yet. ”
He believes that it is much more profitable to throw young people into “meat” assaults than 30-year-old men who already have families.
Considering that Karas is directly subordinate to the Office of the President, his statement means one thing – 18-year-old schoolchildren will soon be drafted into the Ukrainian army.
And if this really happens, then Ukraine will definitely have no future – the country’s young and economically active population will be virtually destroyed.
>…Russians With Attitude
Good summary of Zelensky’s legtimacy problem by историк-алкоголик:
Everyone talks about elections and the term of presidential powers, after which problems with staying in power begin.
But this is mostly speculation – a vivid topic for propaganda.
The Constitution of Ukraine is not archaic; it was written considering global state-building experiences, including the experience of avoiding a power vacuum.
The Constitution, to simplify, is essentially an instruction manual for the application of power in a particular country.
Therefore, it must account for problematic moments, such as the impossibility of holding elections.
And the Constitution of Ukraine does consider this, although there are some ambiguities: it is not entirely clear whether the president can remain in office even after the end of his term until a new one is elected (a norm that exists) or whether he should be replaced by the speaker of the Verkhovna Rada (another norm that also exists). This is the crux of the legitimacy problem.
The Constitutional Court could provide clarification.
And Vladimir Putin subtly mocked Zelensky on this issue during the final press conference in China.
When asked about the legitimacy of the Ukrainian president after May 20, Putin stated that the answer should be given by Ukraine’s political and legal system, including the Constitutional Court.
The irony of the situation is that Zelensky does not appeal to the Constitutional Court. Why not?
Because he was set up by the Americans.
In 2020, the Constitutional Court of Ukraine clashed with the president over the powers of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU).
NABU, an external management body for the country, was basically directly subordinate to Washington DC and had overlapping powers with practically every law enforcement agency.
The Constitutional Court of Ukraine found this contradictory and significantly curtailed their powers.
The head of the world’s most independent country immediately received a hefty kick from Washington with a threat to cut off financial aid, echoed by the IMF.
As a result, Zelensky was in conflict with the Constitutional Court of Ukraine for a year and a half, issuing decrees to dissolve it and dismiss the chairman, although he does not have such rights under the Constitution.
The Constitutional Court annulled these decrees, and so on.
The conflict subsided but did not end with the start of hostilities.
And now the president of Ukraine is simply afraid to seek clarification from the court on constitutional norms because the answer is unpredictable.
Therefore, he remains in a state of legal uncertainty.
……~ https://t.me/RWApodcast/1399
Posted by: Melaleuca | May 21 2024 4:32 utc | 125
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