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May 1, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-125
Only for news & views directly related to the war in Ukraine. The current open thread for other issues is here. Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.
Comments
Dima: Posted by: unimperator | May 1 2024 8:39 utc | 2 You probably will not want to scan the 1000 plus comments but it might help you to know that the threads have been well behaved with much less nastiness that usual. Only one call me pussycat got through. Lots of sensible discussion. Posted by: watcher | May 1 2024 8:48 utc | 3 Welcome back Comrade. Posted by: Engineer-John | May 1 2024 8:51 utc | 4 b, take all the time you need to regain your strength before plunging back into your work. b is back, hooray! Posted by: merlin2 | May 1 2024 9:10 utc | 7 -RUAF cleared most of Rabotyne and bombing AFU positions in fields E/NE of it Posted by: Newbie | May 1 2024 9:15 utc | 8 I would say closing the bag means that previously Russia was happy to go slow but with summer arriving and somw villages captured every few days pressure is on to return to big arrow moves. Posted by: SOS | May 1 2024 9:55 utc | 9 Excellent news Mr.b. Posted by: Barrel Brown | May 1 2024 10:07 utc | 10 James 9h04 GMT, last I heard he was back in rump Ukraine playing some sort of respected media commentator role. Posted by: petra | May 1 2024 10:12 utc | 11 Hallo B., Posted by: Apollyon | May 1 2024 10:44 utc | 12 https://t.me/panchenkodi/4131?single Posted by: anonposter | May 1 2024 10:47 utc | 14 I am very relieved to see b back! A great relief, speedy recovery.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/96257 Posted by: Norwegian | May 1 2024 11:15 utc | 16 canuck | May 1 2024 8:56 utc | 5 Posted by: Rhymerez | May 1 2024 11:42 utc | 17 What could its closing mean? Posted by: TJandTheBear | May 1 2024 11:48 utc | 18 Feliz por ter vc de volta B. Nunca comento mas leio tudo. Saudações do Brasil! Posted by: Aquino | May 1 2024 11:59 utc | 19 And: Posted by: Newbie | May 1 2024 11:59 utc | 20 https://t.me/Novichok_Rossiya_2/5866
https://t.me/Novichok_Rossiya_2/5867
https://t.me/Novichok_Rossiya_2/5868
https://t.me/Novichok_Rossiya_2/5880
https://t.me/Novichok_Rossiya_2/5852
Posted by: anon2020 | May 1 2024 12:06 utc | 21 4: The vast majority of Ukrainians absolutely hate Russia and Russians. Posted by: TJandTheBear | May 1 2024 12:18 utc | 22 @ TJandTheBear, §23: Posted by: John Marks | May 1 2024 12:20 utc | 23 Since SMO started, America’s appetite for escalation has been boundless. Posted by: Talleyrand | May 1 2024 12:33 utc | 24 @ anon2020 | May 1 2024 12:06 utc | 22 Posted by: malenkov | May 1 2024 12:43 utc | 25 Posted by: TJandTheBear | May 1 2024 12:18 utc | 23
Posted by: anon2020 | May 1 2024 13:11 utc | 28
Cokeman was talking about a new offensive and waiting on ‘aid’. F-16’s still in the propaganda media so they are coming. And Brits talking about a major strike on the Crimea bridge. All in all another Wiley E coyote package of weapons and intentions. The strike on the Crimea bridge will require a good number of aircraft for the air launched missiles. Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2024 13:24 utc | 29 So happy to see your back b! Posted by: migueljose | May 1 2024 13:28 utc | 30 Morale can change overnight for most of the population. So you can go from 80 pro war to 20% pro war almost overnight. Reason is that most people just want to get along and avoid trouble. You see this on social media where down voting and banning is common (thankfully no up/down voting here). Most people hate being down voted, love being up voted, and dread banning, so they say what they are expected to say. But like fish in a school of fish, they can change direction instantly if all the other fish change direction. Posted by: anonposter | May 1 2024 13:34 utc | 31 RFA advance a lot slower the last 4 days. Few paddocks to the east of the Oche bloom were taken, yesterday. Posted by: Anonymous | May 1 2024 13:40 utc | 32
Posted by: anon2020 | May 1 2024 13:46 utc | 33
There was a report about this I read a few days back in western MSM – Western country’s ceasing ‘training’ due to the number of escapees. Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2024 13:53 utc | 35 Peter AU1@30….optics or not, Russia is at war. Should the bridge be collapsed, incapacitated, well it is only a bridge at the end of the day. That it got this far, SloMowing along, millions of Ukie still pumped to die for the greater glory of western liberalism…well, if it ever makes it to Russia they only have themselves to blame ….giving lame duck excuses for why the top echelon of 404 wasn’t cremated from the get go……lots of mirrors to look in. Posted by: sean the leprechaun | May 1 2024 13:55 utc | 36 Don’t worry, b., while you were away, Ukraine lost more in everything, NATO/EU club lost more luster, US empire lost more power domestically and internationally. Posted by: KitaySupporter | May 1 2024 14:00 utc | 37 It’ll be interesting to find out if the two Iskanders that sung by Odessa yesterday picked up any hitchhiking pomme fretts. Posted by: sean the leprechaun | May 1 2024 14:07 utc | 38 A large exhibition of captured Ukrainian military equipment has begun in Moscow, including an American Abrams tank. It’s unclear why they didn’t put this Abrams at the American embassy to remind these idiots of their incompetence. Posted by: Psycho | May 1 2024 14:10 utc | 39 @Psycho | May 1 2024 14:10 utc | 40 Posted by: Norwegian | May 1 2024 14:15 utc | 40 sean the leprechaun | May 1 2024 13:55 utc | 37 Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2024 14:26 utc | 41 Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2024 13:53 utc | 36 Posted by: Archetypex | May 1 2024 14:38 utc | 42 By the way, despite whatever claims there may be or whatever a specific photo or video might show, the reality is that there are only 11000 cases of people dodging mobilisation and being wanted in Ukraine. The vast majority of people called up to fight, fight Posted by: vargas | May 1 2024 14:48 utc | 43 I’m so glad you’re back and recovering, B. I promise to behave better as this blog is a gem and I would not want to see it go the way of Turcopolier. Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | May 1 2024 14:48 utc | 44 The Russians have completed a railroad track that goes down to the Crimea area, thus the Kerch Bridge isn’t that big a deal anymore. It would be an inconvenience and expense if it where to be taken out, but no more than that. The reason for the focus on the bridge is that it would be a propaganda win to take it out. I am skeptical it would be a big deal to take it out. The Russian population is now convinced with good reason that the fight is existential for them, thus they are not going to fold. That, and if the Russians continue to gain ground, I doubt damaging the bridge will seem important to any beyond the West’s political class. Posted by: Jmaas | May 1 2024 14:55 utc | 45 Archetypex | May 1 2024 14:38 utc | 43 Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2024 14:56 utc | 46 Wishing b a full recovery from his recent health issues
Several other reports indicate ongoing restrictions of supply to industrial and commercial operations in the Kryvyi Rih region.
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 1 2024 15:07 utc | 47 “2: The will to fight varies depending where you are in Ukraine, there are still die hards who will sacrifice themselves. Posted by: Zippy the Pinhead | May 1 2024 15:10 utc | 48 In the meantime I will tame any trouble makers. Posted by: dirtyseven | May 1 2024 15:27 utc | 49 >I don’t know what RF has been doing with the ukies that have crossed back into RF territory, Posted by: anonposter | May 1 2024 15:32 utc | 51 It all Ukrainian in west hate Russia (so much or they’ve been conditioned to hate Russia for the last 10 years) than why bother and fighting to hold the east which is predominant Russian and elected to be part of Russia??? Posted by: Innuendo | May 1 2024 15:37 utc | 52 @ anonposter | May 1 2024 15:32 utc | 52 Posted by: boneless | May 1 2024 15:44 utc | 53 Sputnik also reports on Ukraine’s electrical power issues: https://shorturl.at/syFGS
(Link is behind a shortener as there seems to be a post-swallowing filter in place.) Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 1 2024 15:45 utc | 54 interesting story from yalensis which symbolically reflects how much ukraine continues to lose in the overall equation here… Posted by: james | May 1 2024 15:50 utc | 55 @Anonymous | May 1 2024 13:40 utc | 33 Posted by: aquadraht | May 1 2024 16:14 utc | 56 Dear B, glad to see you back. Wishing you a speedy recovery to full health. Thanks so much dear sir. Posted by: Áobh Ó’Sheachnasaigh | May 1 2024 16:22 utc | 57 Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2024 13:53 utc | 36 Posted by: anon2020 | May 1 2024 16:26 utc | 58 It all Ukrainian in west hate Russia (so much or they’ve been conditioned to hate Russia for the last 10 years) than why bother and fighting to hold the east which is predominant Russian and elected to be part of Russia??? Posted by: Jmaas | May 1 2024 16:45 utc | 59 Personally, I never understood why the Ukes clung to their “conquest” in the Rabotino salient, Posted by: Jmaas | May 1 2024 16:49 utc | 60 Happy May Day. Posted by: Napoleon | May 1 2024 17:02 utc | 61 b – glad to hear you are Okayish. Some were concerned. Posted by: Dr. Rob Campbell | May 1 2024 17:09 utc | 62 Posted by: anon2020 | May 1 2024 16:26 utc | 59 Posted by: anonposter | May 1 2024 17:10 utc | 63 Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2024 14:56 utc | 47 Posted by: Caveman | May 1 2024 17:13 utc | 64 Just a week now until Victory Day 2024. I would expect to see something spectacular from the RAF in the interim, meaning something above and beyond the current inexorable attrit and advance several hundred meters operations. Kharkov? Odessa? Or will it wait until after the Putin-Xi meeting later this month? Posted by: KMRIA | May 1 2024 17:14 utc | 65 It’ll be interesting to find out if the two Iskanders that sung by Odessa yesterday picked up any hitchhiking pomme fretts. Posted by: Pierrot | May 1 2024 17:23 utc | 66 Watching live May Day protests in France, there are more cops than people, and there are a lot of people. No wonder nothing changes in France, Macron hired half the population to be cops. He wants to send troops to Ukraine, he can send his swollen field army of police, they are already head to toe in kevlar and plastic armor and drone proof. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | May 1 2024 17:39 utc | 67 Posted by: Napoleon | May 1 2024 17:02 utc | 62 Posted by: Eoin Clancy | May 1 2024 17:47 utc | 68 Basic critical thinking. Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | May 1 2024 17:48 utc | 69 What’s most interesting is the inability of Ukie troops to attack all the exposed flanks created by the Russian advance. It’s reported that Azov again refused to advance to a blocking position. Russian missile and drone forces are being fed outstanding targeting intel making their strikes very effective. IMO, the rear areas are being shaped for their future as forward areas. >>For instance, the KGB officer from humble roots — Vladimir Putin is now worth $200 billion. Workers of world unite! Posted by: Jmaas | May 1 2024 18:20 utc | 72 @ Posted by: Napoleon | May 1 2024 17:02 utc | 62 Posted by: taukey | May 1 2024 18:45 utc | 73 Masno’s accounts were fascinating, and also served to remind me of Gone With the Wind, when Scarlett was recounting her time in Atlanta, Georgia as the Union army was being fought off by the Confederate one. Patriotism ran exceedingly high among the upper class in Atlanta, and their morale was fine as they remained confident of ultimate victory. Their hatred of the North and Lincoln was extreme. Posted by: Babel-17 | May 1 2024 19:06 utc | 74 Posted by: anonposter | May 1 2024 17:10 utc | 64 Posted by: anon2020 | May 1 2024 19:22 utc | 75 Innuendo | May 1 2024 15:37 utc | 53 Posted by: smuks | May 1 2024 19:23 utc | 76 Workers of world unite! Posted by: Naive | May 1 2024 19:32 utc | 77
correct, but its the eu, not europe, as russia owns roughly 42% of continental europe or so. Posted by: Justpassinby | May 1 2024 19:32 utc | 78 The Russian population is now convinced with good reason that the fight is existential for them, thus they are not going to fold. Posted by: vargas | May 1 2024 19:33 utc | 79 aquadraht | May 1 2024 16:14 utc | 57 Posted by: smuks | May 1 2024 19:33 utc | 80 these are my opinions based on visual observations and discussions with various individuals from a specific time and place, I am not Nostradamus, I am not predicting what will happen by a specific time, I am telling you what I see and experience here and now. Posted by: Naive | May 1 2024 19:39 utc | 81 Iskander strikes on air defense position in Kramatorsk, Shkolny air field hangars and new Nato artillery ammunition batch in Odessa were struck this evening. Posted by: unimperator | May 1 2024 19:40 utc | 82 Good to hear you are recovering, b. Posted by: kupkee | May 1 2024 19:44 utc | 83 Justpassinby | May 1 2024 19:32 utc | 79 Posted by: smuks | May 1 2024 19:55 utc | 84 Naive | May 1 2024 19:39 utc | 82 Posted by: Rhymerez | May 1 2024 19:55 utc | 85 It is hard to belive that. Russians are not ready to die to the last in this war. Ukrainians are. Posted by: Naive | May 1 2024 20:01 utc | 86 https://youtu.be/OgLD1yhxNik?si=Twv0jPurCr8yMVnz Posted by: Hankster | May 1 2024 20:13 utc | 87 Tomorrow is the 10th anniversary of the Odessa Trade Union Massacre. I can’t find any links to share, apparently that was all dumped down the Memory Hole. Posted by: wagelaborer | May 1 2024 20:14 utc | 88 “..Yes, it would be ironical if Banderites emulated the Confederates of old and fled to Canada, where they could enjoy the company of the descendants of the Banderites who fled there after WWII.” Posted by: bevin | May 1 2024 20:15 utc | 89 Posted by: smuks | May 1 2024 19:55 utc | 85 Posted by: Justpassinby | May 1 2024 20:22 utc | 90 Posted by: karlof1 | May 1 2024 18:18 utc | 72 Posted by: Milites | May 1 2024 20:22 utc | 91 Lieber ein Abszess am After als ein – Posted by: El.Lissitzky | May 1 2024 20:30 utc | 92 I wonder where he was in Ukraine, to say this: Posted by: wagelaborer | May 1 2024 20:49 utc | 93 Great to hear you’re recovering, b. It’s no consolation, but Marx suffered from a similar problem, repeatedly. At least you’ve got antibiotics. Posted by: dadooronron | May 1 2024 21:09 utc | 94 Posted by: bevin | May 1 2024 20:15 utc | 90 Posted by: Babel-17 | May 1 2024 21:16 utc | 95 I should have added that there’d be nothing funny about it, which is maybe the point bevin was making. Irony can be cruel but fair, and cruel to everyone. Posted by: Babel-17 | May 1 2024 21:20 utc | 96 MAY DAY….MAY DAY….MAY DAY Posted by: HERMIUS | May 1 2024 21:27 utc | 97 I wonder how April ended up in terms of territory taken. Was it a .02% month like FEB? Or .01% like MAR? A lot of kerflutter about the great RFA advances. But when you zoom out and look at the country, in scale, it is tiny. For comparison, the Germans took the whole country in 6 months. I.e. 17% per month. Posted by: Anonymous | May 1 2024 21:30 utc | 98 Reuters is showing that sanctions are all that empire’s got left Posted by: psychohistorian | May 1 2024 21:33 utc | 99
Recently announced the USA is not training any Ukrainians since March in Germany. And Ukraine has a finite population. There can’t be enough men to fight forever. Posted by: Sparkles Blanchard | May 1 2024 21:34 utc | 100 |
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