Only for news & views directly related to the war in Ukraine.
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February 14, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-048
Only for news & views directly related to the war in Ukraine. The current open thread for other issues is here. Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.
Comments
Read that the US Congress critters set a trap for Trump. Posted by: librul | Feb 14 2024 16:23 utc | 1 Like “Ober Ost” the “Ukraine” is a German invention from WW1 to destroy Russia. Posted by: p3t3r | Feb 14 2024 16:30 utc | 2 ” …Lviv’s cemeteries are now filled with the graves of those killed in Russia’s full-scale invasion …” Posted by: Engineer-John | Feb 14 2024 16:38 utc | 3 @1 – that’s also why it will never pass the House. Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 16:50 utc | 4 I just saw that Aleks dropped an analysis about the Putin/Carlson interview. Engineer-John | Feb 14 2024 16:38 utc | 3 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:11 utc | 6 Silly games. A President and a Field Marshal walk into a bar….hmm, bunker…..hmm, mine field….hmm, what, no Iskanders left? Silly games. Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Feb 14 2024 17:17 utc | 7 Btw, without going all shadowbanned, they really must do something about these drone boats, while they still have vessels on the Black Sea. No good having a fleet base without a fleet. Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:22 utc | 8 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:22 utc | 8 Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 17:26 utc | 9 Read that the US Congress critters set a trap for Trump. Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 17:28 utc | 10 Btw, without going all shadowbanned, they really must do something about these drone boats, while they still have vessels on the Black Sea. No good having a fleet base without a fleet. Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 17:32 utc | 11 Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 17:26 utc | 9 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:36 utc | 12 @12 – I doubt it would. It might change the dynamic in DC, though, which is currently unfavorable to passing more aid to Ukraine. Johnson is already under pressure to cave, and so far has held firm. Russia might be calculating that the time for this has not come, yet. Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 17:38 utc | 13 Tichy @11 Posted by: bevin | Feb 14 2024 17:39 utc | 14 Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 17:26 utc | 9 Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 17:40 utc | 15 Now, Tichy, I disagree: it is having an effect on the West’s standing in the world which, given the enormous dividends it has collected from its ‘soft power’ is critical to its policies. If all that is left to the Empire is its capacity for ultra-violence it begins to lose that- gradually, then all at once. Posted by: bevin | Feb 14 2024 17:47 utc | 16 Did Russians hit Selidovo twice? The way I understand the news, Russians hit different settlements in Selidovo two days ago once Ukrainian reserve troops gathered to help defend Avdeevka. But then yesterday they hit the medical facility in Selidovo again. This time eliminating wounded Ukrainian soldiers that were housed there. If that’s the case that was very naive from the Ukrainians. Is this an immediate proof that the oversight of the new Ukrainian command is substandard? What is Zaluzni and his officers thinking? Posted by: Milos | Feb 14 2024 17:47 utc | 17 As long as I’m early, a comment on a general theme here that Europe is an economic basket caste to be followed soon by US. While I share the anti imperialist sentiment, it’s no use being delusional. The Dax and cac40 are up a little for the year and since prepandemic. The FTSE is off about 5%. Normalized interest rates have helped all the markets including US. While general overtaking by BRICS may be inevitable, there’s no evidence this is 1929. Good luck to all at bar! Posted by: Mbartv | Feb 14 2024 17:50 utc | 18 Regarding the surveillance drones I expect that Russia wishes to retain the ability to do it’s own surveillance using international air space which would be jeopardized if it went after the western surveillance assets around the Black sea. Russia has been trying to locate and destroy the storage and assembly, and launching areas for the sea drones but clearly have had limited success. The drones also seem difficult to detect until they are within visual range which hampers defense measures. They also seem unable to disrupt the communication links which allow Ukraine to receive the video of the attacks. Posted by: the pessimist | Feb 14 2024 17:51 utc | 19
Posted by: Down South | Feb 14 2024 17:53 utc | 20 they really must do something about these drone boats Posted by: too scents | Feb 14 2024 18:06 utc | 21 When you read “the Patriot crew switched its radar on for only a few seconds”, please substitute “the Patriot missile battery was connected to the NATO radar network, and received targeting data from NATO so they knew when the plane was overhead” Posted by: Passerby | Feb 14 2024 18:20 utc | 22 Now, Tichy, I disagree: it is having an effect on the West’s standing in the world which, given the enormous dividends it has collected from its ‘soft power’ is critical to its policies. If all that is left to the Empire is its capacity for ultra-violence it begins to lose that- gradually, then all at once. Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 18:21 utc | 23 the pessimist | Feb 14 2024 17:51 utc | 19 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 18:25 utc | 24 Just stumbled upon the following:
Machine translation, source: Posted by: Zet | Feb 14 2024 18:25 utc | 25 thepessimist@19….if the drones comms is through Star Link, Russia is also using it in the same area. Smells Musky if you ask me. Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Feb 14 2024 18:32 utc | 26
It is a problem of rules of engagement, i.e. a political, not a technical one.
Iran and Yemen have been shooting those drones down with no hesitation, did that start a war with Iran?
Exactly.
There is strong suspicion they are actually being launched from Romania and even Turkish ships from the southern Black Sea area. Thus all those strikes on Odessa and Nikolaev don’t change much. Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 18:35 utc | 27 Borrowed from Russian media. Time is running out, Ukrainian ‘reserves’ for ‘breaking the siege’ are merely ‘rabble from the street’.
Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 18:38 utc | 28 @8 another anon Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:56 utc | 29 Also, cope cages for ships might be necessary to have a second hull that can be blasted and far enough away to keep the inner one safe. Maybe look for brand new ship designs to incorporate this. Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:58 utc | 30 On the issue of the black sea and the constant drones and NATO ISR, Putin seems deeply committed to not taking the first step and targeting these platforms, even if these platforms are relaying targeting data that is leading to direct loss of life of Russian service-members or civilians, an incredible tradeoff if one thinks about it. As Shadowbanned highlighted above this is strictly a political decision, it is not a military decision, these drones are sitting ducks to Russian capabilities. Posted by: silverdog | Feb 14 2024 18:59 utc | 31
Yeah, sure, because the stock market is such a great indicator of the economic conditions. Likewise, more money printing means better economy. And the fact that the stock market happens to be near the top right next to the money spigot where it flows through means nothing. Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 19:00 utc | 32 8 Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 14 2024 19:08 utc | 33
this is the crux of this whole issue. as long as the proxy, ie the ukraine in this case, remains, then nato can use plausible deniability for all escalatory steps as long as they are not shooting from nato countries.
this is once again where you think wrong. how exactly would this be plausible deniability? Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 19:13 utc | 34 Posted by: Zet | Feb 14 2024 18:25 utc | 25
The probable solution to handle the financial traffic with Russia will be to concentrate on a couple of Chinese banks without any relation to the west. Posted by: Udkanten | Feb 14 2024 19:15 utc | 35 Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:56 utc | 29 Posted by: alek_a | Feb 14 2024 19:21 utc | 36 German MSM so called Experts Labeled in his interview with TC as sycophant! Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 14 2024 19:25 utc | 37 One by one the US (not Ukraine!) is picking off Russia’s once much vaunted Black Sea fleet, The US is having a field day at no cost to itself. One can only imagine the cheers and high-fives all around today. Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 19:30 utc | 38
The drone hitting Russian ships come from the UK. But the UK is not “directly responsible”. Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 19:32 utc | 39 This one I didn’t know about:
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 19:32 utc | 40 36 Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 14 2024 19:34 utc | 41 Germany’s “defense” against the eastern hordes took a new step with Christian Lindner’s proposal to arm nukular, him being quoted on public screens. Posted by: persiflo | Feb 14 2024 19:36 utc | 42 If Russia does not follow the rules of the Black Sea, then Turkey will shut the Bosporus. Posted by: UWDude | Feb 14 2024 19:38 utc | 43 The way I understand it, if the Russians double-tapped the first responders and/or hit the hospital full of wounded, those would be war crimes. Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 14 2024 19:41 utc | 44 Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:58 utc | 30 Posted by: badjoke | Feb 14 2024 19:48 utc | 45
yes, we all know that the drones are british and only re-assembled or whatever in the ukraine, but this is the crucial part. ukraine takes the responsibility, and thus the british have plausible deniability. Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 19:50 utc | 46 Just by reading the comments so far I can see patterns Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 14 2024 19:51 utc | 47 Russia’s core inflation keeps on rising. Posted by: Echo Chamber | Feb 14 2024 19:56 utc | 48 Start sinking NATO ships with UAVs and UUVs of unknown origin. RU in fact has the most advanced such tech — after all, they have the Poseidon, which is the fanciest such tool, it should be trivial for them to churn out a large number of non-nuclear UUVs and start doing real damage to US and UK fleets, with plausible deniability. Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 19:56 utc | 49 CBC in Canada has a 10 min video about the un-interceptable Zircon missile that was allegedly used in an attack on Kiev. See: Posted by: N Hanrahan | Feb 14 2024 19:58 utc | 50 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:36 utc | 12 Posted by: Áobh Ó’Sheachnasaigh | Feb 14 2024 20:01 utc | 51 plausible deniability would be if some other country or faction would take responsibility for that action. just as nato does with ukraine. Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:03 utc | 52
after seeing israel bomb hospitals with the full blessing and international non-condemnation by us/nato, how would they be able to spin this instance as a warcrime, but not the other? Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 20:05 utc | 53 The entire Russian Black Sea Fleet is targeted and any time Russia has any sort of success on the battlefield or a spectacular hit such as yesterday in Selidovo, the command is given by the US to sink another ship. Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 20:10 utc | 54 but with every incident nato loses a bit of credibility in terms of beeing the good guys. thats also why so many countries already point out the hypocrisy and double standards the us/eu/nato have. Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:10 utc | 55 “What about shooting down NATO drones over the Black Sea?” Posted by: Honzo | Feb 14 2024 20:11 utc | 56 By the way, has anyone taken responsibility for the Nordstream bombing? Posted by: Honzo | Feb 14 2024 20:12 utc | 57 A ship here a ship there, now it’s routine, USA is working up to hitting the modern powerful missile ships and subs I’m sure, as long as it’s done through the UKR proxy the USA can get away with it. Wars with Russia over the centuries have always been over ownership of the Black Sea. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 20:15 utc | 58 now if ansar allah (houtis) would get some of those russian made drones and sink one of the british agressor ships in the red sea, then there would be plausible deniability. Posted by: Honzo | Feb 14 2024 20:15 utc | 59 Also, cope cages for ships might be necessary to have a second hull that can be blasted and far enough away to keep the inner one safe. Maybe look for brand new ship designs to incorporate this. Posted by: Honzo | Feb 14 2024 20:22 utc | 60 Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 19:30 utc | 38 Posted by: Gonzo | Feb 14 2024 20:24 utc | 61
The US strategy is very sound. At no cost to itself, none! Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 20:26 utc | 62 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13083037/Foreign-fighters-storm-frontline-trenches-killing-22-Russians.html Posted by: magicmirror | Feb 14 2024 20:32 utc | 63 just read this on aviapro, there was an planed assasination attempt by ukrainians on macron that was planned for that cancelled visit of macron to kiev. this was allegedly shown by france24. Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 20:33 utc | 64 ukraine male aged 50 now on the front line 4 weeks training …vconfirms Polish and British behind them….preventing retreat..or else…..manages to phone wife after3.a.m. to 12p.m. shift back at sleep “time”….. Posted by: Jo | Feb 14 2024 20:34 utc | 65 Regarding “double-tapping”, as referred to at the bar. I’m far from expert or even well informed, but I think it’s important to distinguish the difference between striking an ambulance, or attacking a medic with their patient, and reattacking an enemy position that already has wounded in it. Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 14 2024 20:36 utc | 66 My guess is Russia is getting ready for the confrontation with NATO, it’s buying time and for China, DPRK, and Iran. Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:39 utc | 67 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9TOgYrMXLA Posted by: Northern Eve | Feb 14 2024 20:40 utc | 68
The UK of course, but I liken them to a yipping chihuahua nipping at everyone’s ankles at the behest of the dominant US pit bull. Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 20:43 utc | 69 Echo Chamber | Feb 14 2024 19:56 utc | 48–
We can get an idea of what was discussed from the agenda Putin outlined at the meeting’s start: Also, cope cages for ships might be necessary to have a second hull that can be blasted and far enough away to keep the inner one safe. Maybe look for brand new ship designs to incorporate this. Posted by: kupkee | Feb 14 2024 20:46 utc | 71 Posted by: Thomas | Feb 14 2024 17:02 utc | 5 Posted by: Mr B | Feb 14 2024 20:51 utc | 72 If the new Ukrainian commander Syrsky is sending veteran troops as reinforcements instead of the usual freshly kidnapped civilian, they may do a *bit* better on the front lines, but will definitely help Russia’s goal of denazification. Zeluzhny gained loyalty from the neonazis by doing his best to mimimize their losses at the expense of ordinary civilians. Syrsky may play the opposity game in knowing who is more loyal to Zeluzhny and giving orders to send them to the front. Given Azov members are known for making death threats, it could be a matter of future survival on this sinking ship. Posted by: Matthew | Feb 14 2024 20:52 utc | 73 @ karlof1 | Feb 14 2024 20:44 utc | 69 showing Echo Chamber to be the vomitorium of economic lies and obfuscation. Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 14 2024 20:52 utc | 74 The attacks on the Russian black sea fleet are a slow bleed operation, it is interesting that NATO seems to be targeting transport ships which makes sense as they may prevent Russia from moving troops to Odessa or beyond, perhaps also indirectly hurting logistics to Syria/ME at some point. They may be targeting “old” ships as a way to hone tactics but as far as I know Russia is not building new transport ships so I’m not sure why some think this is fine because they are “old”. Posted by: silverdog | Feb 14 2024 20:59 utc | 75 My guess is Russia is getting ready for the confrontation with NATO, it’s buying time and for China, DPRK, and Iran. Posted by: Oliver Krug | Feb 14 2024 20:59 utc | 76 rape. These atrocities were signed off by Putin, Posted by: UWDude | Feb 14 2024 21:01 utc | 77 @ UWDude | Feb 14 2024 21:01 utc | 76 who needs to be reminded this is an all ages bar and you must include the /s tag at the end of what seems to you to be an obvious sarcastic response to something because there are those among us incapable of nuance. Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 14 2024 21:06 utc | 78 Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:39 utc | 66 Posted by: watcher | Feb 14 2024 21:08 utc | 79 Pepe Escobar’s been in Donbass for the last several says and his first report’s been published, “Pepe Escobar: Life During Wartime – On the Road in Donbass”. Some barflies have followed his exploits on his Telegram particularly the photos he’s posted. The report is long and contains some of the mentioned photos, and it begins with a poem that’s very appropriate. Here’s a short excerpt from its beginning:
It’s clear why the Outlaw US Empire via its Ukie proxy wages war on the Orthodox Church, although that part of the conflict doesn’t get discussed much here. Orthodoxy is very much like The Force that provides spiritual strength for all Russian believers–If you believe, you are able to do things you wouldn’t attempt if you didn’t. Meanwhile, the Ukies have made it very clear that God isn’t on their side by destroying Orthodoxy–Imagine how that affects soldiers and public alike. Posted by: magicmirror | Feb 14 2024 20:32 utc | 63 Posted by: 600w | Feb 14 2024 21:16 utc | 81 There is another option regarding the ship, I thought it strange after I found out it wasn’t even moving, wasn’t heading anywhere, and as Russia knows how vulnerable its ships are using it to move tanks and trucks would be stupid. So, why an old lightly armored empty transport, at sea but not moving, at night all lit up, left in known drone territory (Yalta)? It was recently fixed up, an investment, best would be to park it with the rest of the fleet on the far side of the Black Sea where it could come in handy if the Kerch Bridge is taken out? Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 21:16 utc | 82 New interview with Putin currently being posted on Soloviev TG channel. Dropping some jabs towards Blinken, Bearback, and even Carlson among other stuff. Posted by: boo | Feb 14 2024 21:21 utc | 83 kupkee | Feb 14 2024 20:46 utc | 70 Posted by: rk | Feb 14 2024 21:22 utc | 84 There are a couple of comments here, such as:
Haven’t Russian missile ships already been badly damaged or sunk; the Moskva two years ago or the Ivanovets more recently? Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 21:27 utc | 85
What atrocities, FFS? Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 21:28 utc | 86 “The only thing that can be regretted is that Russia did not start active operations in Ukraine earlier.” Posted by: Apollyon | Feb 14 2024 21:30 utc | 87 “64 hypersonic Zircon missiles with a nuclear warhead could permanently close the UK project” Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 21:32 utc | 88 71 Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 14 2024 21:35 utc | 89 Putin says it is good Western leaders have seen his interview with Carlson Posted by: chop | Feb 14 2024 21:39 utc | 90 Bye-bye Russia @ 84
Someone doesn’t get it. Why did the Soviet Union and Russia today need aircraft carriers? Their only purpose after WW2 is gunboat diplomacy, which, to their credit, to the USSR didn’t and the RF doesn’t do. Their aircraft carrier was built by the Soviets to parade their snazz as a super power. Putin’s RF saw no point in building “floating coffins” as Larry Wilkerson tagged them and moth balled their old one. What the RF is building is a whole ton of light fast expendable missile frigates, ships that put the “coffin” in “floating coffin”. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 21:42 utc | 91
Funny how ever since the doomsday clock scientists back in January were convinced (purely for propaganda reasons, avoiding panic, etc.) not to nudge the doomsday clock from the 90 seconds level where it’s been for two years, the nuclear war rhetoric has ramped right up with new US nuclear missiles being deployed to the UK, etc. Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 21:50 utc | 92
Because the sinking of this ship..the exact type of which Russia has already captured 4 identical ships from Ukraine..is completely irrelevant? It will have no impact on the outcome of the war, whatsoever. Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Feb 14 2024 21:52 utc | 93 An interesting point on above article is that – given 2 submarines carrying 64 Kinzhal missiles could destroy the UK nuclear assets, intelligence and government and other critical locations without any US or UK early recon assets even seeing the strike occurs. Clyde naval base and all UK bombers and airfields would be destroyed. And it is not at all given that US would react to this sort of strike. Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 21:52 utc | 94 @ Posted by: p3t3r | Feb 14 2024 16:30 utc | 2 Posted by: Richard L | Feb 14 2024 21:55 utc | 95
Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 21:59 utc | 96 kupkee | Feb 14 2024 20:46 utc | 70 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 21:59 utc | 97 Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 14 2024 21:09 utc | 79 Posted by: heavymetal101 | Feb 14 2024 22:01 utc | 98 Russia has already fought drones in the Black Sea without the consequence of WW3. Posted by: 600w | Feb 14 2024 22:13 utc | 99 This is really worth the 40USd a year-an excellent daily summary: Posted by: Paul from Norway | Feb 14 2024 22:15 utc | 100 |
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