Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 14, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-048

Only for news & views directly related to the war in Ukraine.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

Read that the US Congress critters set a trap for Trump.
The latest bill going thru Congress to continue funding Ukronazis and ongoing slaughter of Ukrainians
has a date in it. Funding is to continue well into Trump’s (or whoever) next term. It is in the funding bill.
They attempted to impeach Trump before when he interrupted funding to Ukraine that Congress had allocated.
Whoever is next Prez has hurdle to jump if he/she wants to negotiate peace in Ukraine.

Posted by: librul | Feb 14 2024 16:23 utc | 1

Like “Ober Ost” the “Ukraine” is a German invention from WW1 to destroy Russia.
Instructions of August 11, 1914, from the Chancellor to the German embassy in Vienna, drafted by Jagow, are revealing on this point. They define the aims of German policy in the following words:
To produce revolution, not only in Poland but also in the Ukraine, seems to us very important:
1. As a means of warfare against Russia,


Berchtold told the Bulgarian government on October 17, 1914, and the Turkish at the beginning of November:
‘Our main aim in this war is to weaken Russia enduringly, and for that reason we should, in the event of our victory, welcome the establishment of an independent Ukrainian State’.”
https://archive.org/details/FischerFritzGermanysAimsInTheFirstWorldWar/page/n161/mode/2up?view=theater
“Germans Taught Russian Prisoners of War the Idea of Ukraine”
https://web.archive.org/web/20140409053550/http://tarpley.net/metaphysical-doubts-concerning-the-existence-of-modern-ukraine-a-1918-creation-of-the-german-general-staff/

Posted by: p3t3r | Feb 14 2024 16:30 utc | 2

” …Lviv’s cemeteries are now filled with the graves of those killed in Russia’s full-scale invasion …”
——————————————————————
This was a headline on a BBC news channel article today.
It looks like they are preparing the UK audience for what we have known for some time.
U$A has sacrificed its proxy Ukraine is pursuit of its futile aim to dominate Europe.
The poor deluded Ukrainians are just beginning to realise that they’ve been used and abused.

Posted by: Engineer-John | Feb 14 2024 16:38 utc | 3

@1 – that’s also why it will never pass the House.
Johnson again re-iterated that he won’t bring it to the floor.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 16:50 utc | 4

I just saw that Aleks dropped an analysis about the Putin/Carlson interview.
Very interesting. Especially, the part about what denazification means…
https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/vladimir-putin-and-tucker-carlson

Posted by: Thomas | Feb 14 2024 17:02 utc | 5

Engineer-John | Feb 14 2024 16:38 utc | 3
There seems to have been a style manual handed out to all UK journalists, in which it is made clear that the conflict MUST be described as either “Russia’s full scale invasion” or “Putin’s full scale invasion”.
The adjectives “unprovoked” and “brutal” may be added to taste.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:11 utc | 6

Silly games. A President and a Field Marshal walk into a bar….hmm, bunker…..hmm, mine field….hmm, what, no Iskanders left? Silly games.
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Feb 14 2024 17:17 utc | 7

Btw, without going all shadowbanned, they really must do something about these drone boats, while they still have vessels on the Black Sea. No good having a fleet base without a fleet.
So far Russia has managed to match each technological innovation of the NATO powers, but this one seems to be harder to tackle than most. To lose one ship is a misfortune, three(?) starts to look careless.
Don’t have a clue what the answer is – more radar planes or radar drones, though of course they become targets in themselves? Do they have underwater detection systems?
I’m not saying this’ll affect the inevitable outcome, but it’s not good.
I remember a year or so back a Russian drone boat hit a bridge not far from the Romanian border. What countermeasures did NATO forces take, I wonder? Definitely need to strike back.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:22 utc | 8

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:22 utc | 8
What about shooting down NATO drones over the Black Sea?
They seem to be essential to these sort of attacks.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 17:26 utc | 9

Read that the US Congress critters set a trap for Trump.
The latest bill going thru Congress to continue funding Ukronazis and ongoing slaughter of Ukrainians
has a date in it. Funding is to continue well into Trump’s (or whoever) next term. It is in the funding bill.
They attempted to impeach Trump before when he interrupted funding to Ukraine that Congress had allocated.
Whoever is next Prez has hurdle to jump if he/she wants to negotiate peace in Ukraine.
Posted by: librul | Feb 14 2024 16:23 utc | 1
And for some reason this passes as “democracy.”

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 17:28 utc | 10

Btw, without going all shadowbanned, they really must do something about these drone boats, while they still have vessels on the Black Sea. No good having a fleet base without a fleet.
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:22 utc | 8
Without being shadowbanned, I do not actually believe him to be a NATO troll. From what I’ve seen he’s reasonably knowledgeable about the history of the region and even while I don’t agree with him in many instances, I don’t think he’s actually serving the interests of the Hegemon.
Time might prove me wrong but there’s that.

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 17:32 utc | 11

Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 17:26 utc | 9
“What about shooting down NATO drones over the Black Sea?”
That would be the shadowbanned solution – but might the reaction start WW3?
The drones are imho in international airspace.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:36 utc | 12

@12 – I doubt it would. It might change the dynamic in DC, though, which is currently unfavorable to passing more aid to Ukraine. Johnson is already under pressure to cave, and so far has held firm. Russia might be calculating that the time for this has not come, yet.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 17:38 utc | 13

Tichy @11
You are right. Some of his posts are useful. The problem, which he shares with one or two (hundred) other posters is that he tends to be obsessive. He seems to believe that the way to get people to agree with an opinion they have rejected is to repeat it, preferably in even starker terms. Persuasion is an art.

Posted by: bevin | Feb 14 2024 17:39 utc | 14

Ghost of Zanon | Feb 14 2024 17:26 utc | 9
“What about shooting down NATO drones over the Black Sea?”
That would be the shadowbanned solution – but might the reaction start WW3?
The drones are imho in international airspace.
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:36 utc | 12
The United States doesn’t care about such technicalities so why should Russia.
I do get that Russia is presenting itself as the adult in the room but it doesn’t seem to have any discernible effect on the actions of the West, so…

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 17:40 utc | 15

Now, Tichy, I disagree: it is having an effect on the West’s standing in the world which, given the enormous dividends it has collected from its ‘soft power’ is critical to its policies. If all that is left to the Empire is its capacity for ultra-violence it begins to lose that- gradually, then all at once.
And that is what is happening- the UNSC is staring to look like a moral desert with the US and its zombie like satraps, the living corpses of once great powers, and its clients, their mouths stuffed with dollar bills, on one side and a disdainful world on the other.

Posted by: bevin | Feb 14 2024 17:47 utc | 16

Did Russians hit Selidovo twice? The way I understand the news, Russians hit different settlements in Selidovo two days ago once Ukrainian reserve troops gathered to help defend Avdeevka. But then yesterday they hit the medical facility in Selidovo again. This time eliminating wounded Ukrainian soldiers that were housed there. If that’s the case that was very naive from the Ukrainians. Is this an immediate proof that the oversight of the new Ukrainian command is substandard? What is Zaluzni and his officers thinking?

Posted by: Milos | Feb 14 2024 17:47 utc | 17

As long as I’m early, a comment on a general theme here that Europe is an economic basket caste to be followed soon by US. While I share the anti imperialist sentiment, it’s no use being delusional. The Dax and cac40 are up a little for the year and since prepandemic. The FTSE is off about 5%. Normalized interest rates have helped all the markets including US. While general overtaking by BRICS may be inevitable, there’s no evidence this is 1929. Good luck to all at bar!

Posted by: Mbartv | Feb 14 2024 17:50 utc | 18

Regarding the surveillance drones I expect that Russia wishes to retain the ability to do it’s own surveillance using international air space which would be jeopardized if it went after the western surveillance assets around the Black sea. Russia has been trying to locate and destroy the storage and assembly, and launching areas for the sea drones but clearly have had limited success. The drones also seem difficult to detect until they are within visual range which hampers defense measures. They also seem unable to disrupt the communication links which allow Ukraine to receive the video of the attacks.

Posted by: the pessimist | Feb 14 2024 17:51 utc | 19

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Front #Summary for 14 Feb 2024 by 19:30⚡️
🔹In #Kherson Direction, ours report from the field that for quite some time now the entire AFU operation in #Krynki has been led by AFU sergeants, while there are no officers on the left bank. This is probably wrong from the point of view of classical military theory, but if we abstract from the number of losses and the poor outlook of the whole operation, they seem to be coping and holding on.
🔹In #Zaporozhye Direction, there were oncoming battles in the west of #Rabotino; ours tried to counterattack from #Novoprokopovka, without success.
🔹In #SouthDonetsk Direction, our forces advanced in the eastern part of #Novomikhaylovka up to 0.8km wide and up to 0.5km deep. Yesterday our military expanded the bridgehead at #Pobeda, and today ours attacked with armoured vehicles and hit a concentration of AFU infantry, disrupting preparations for a counterattack.
🔹In #Donetsk Direction, our army reached Industrial Avenue and cut off the Coke Plant from the rest of #Avdeyevka. Further ours extended the zone of control. To the west – to the Brevno Restaurant and to the east – to the Railway Station. Our groups on the eastern flank have broken through from #Kamenka and are rushing to support ours in the center. All relatively convenient AFU supply and evacuation routes are either cut off by ours or under heavy fire. On the southern coverage of #Avdeevka, ours cut off the enemy positions around the Zenit and Cheburashka fortifications. A section of the road connecting them to the Khimik microdistrict has also been taken under control. The AFU tried to counterattack in a number of areas, everywhere to no avail. Our aviation is hitting Khimik with FABs, where are snipers’ and machine gunners’ firing points and UAV launching points in multi-storey buildings.
📌 It is reported that the 3rd Assault Brigade with Azov, came into the Coke Plant area. Probability Syrsky’s idea, to try to hold with this brigade the flanks along the Coke Plant – #Lastochkino – #Severnoye line. And the garrison of Southern #Avdeyevka has probably been ordered to “stand to the end” actually surrounded. Although Ukrainian resources do not lose hope that the personnel can still be withdrawn at night and in the fog.
🔹In #Bakhmut Direction, our army is bypassing the AFU positions in #Ivanovskoye (#Krasnoye). The village itself is in a lowland, so the goal is to take the heights around it and establish fire control. To the north, the AFU on a tank tried to counterattack from Chasov Yar towards our new positions in the Popovsky Forest. A strike by our kamikaze drone foiled the attempt. From the #Bakhmut front, some AFU troops have been moved to #Avdeyevka.
💥 In addition to the attack of sea drones on the landing ship “Caesar Kunikov” near #Crimea (heavily damaged or sunk), the AFU at night tried to attack the peninsula itself with six UAVs, all shot down/intercepted. Another 5 drones were eliminated over various areas.
🎯 Our Aerospace Forces, at night, carried out strikes in the #Kupyansk district and a second one in the #Selidovo area. This town is used as a staging point for the transfer of AFU units to the entire #Donetsk front. Strikes on logistics facilities in #Slavyansk and #Kramatorsk are also reported. The MoD in the summary said that our military destroyed 5 anti-aircraft missile systems over the day. This has not happened for a very long time.

https://t.me/sitreports/22939

Posted by: Down South | Feb 14 2024 17:53 utc | 20

they really must do something about these drone boats
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:22 utc | 8

The 755 landing craft can only make 18 knots and as such is obsolete. Proper warships should be able to outrun glorified skiffs in anything more than glass calm seas.

Posted by: too scents | Feb 14 2024 18:06 utc | 21

When you read “the Patriot crew switched its radar on for only a few seconds”, please substitute “the Patriot missile battery was connected to the NATO radar network, and received targeting data from NATO so they knew when the plane was overhead”

Posted by: Passerby | Feb 14 2024 18:20 utc | 22

Now, Tichy, I disagree: it is having an effect on the West’s standing in the world which, given the enormous dividends it has collected from its ‘soft power’ is critical to its policies. If all that is left to the Empire is its capacity for ultra-violence it begins to lose that- gradually, then all at once.
Posted by: bevin | Feb 14 2024 17:47 utc | 16
I can only hope you’re right. Unfortunately I don’t think any powers of state follow the United States because of its moral superiority anymore. If we’re talking the general Western population there’s no way they’ll ever get to know what happened apart from “Russia murdered a million Ukrainians in Bucha,” which is what the mainstream media tells them everyday.
A drone or two or two hundred doesn’t matter, it’s just Russia telling the West to fuck off; the real question is if Russia can avert a nuclear war while safeguarding its national self-determination.

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 18:21 utc | 23

the pessimist | Feb 14 2024 17:51 utc | 19
“I expect that Russia wishes to retain the ability to do it’s own surveillance using international air space which would be jeopardized if it went after the western surveillance assets around the Black sea”
I’m sure if Russia flew Global Hawk equivalents in the same international airspace, they’d be targeted by “Ukrainian” missiles, even if the Ukrainian flags were stuck on straight over the NATO logo.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 18:25 utc | 24

Just stumbled upon the following:

Russia threatened with “logistical collapse”: China bank lets Putin run aground
Last week, Zhejiang Chouzhou Commercial Bank informed its customers about the termination of relations with all Russian and Belarusian organizations, as bank customers told Wedemosti. Business associations and financial advisors also confirmed the financial end to the news portal. “We have already canceled several transactions,” one company owner told the newspaper. In addition, the Chinese New Year, which begins on February 10, would exacerbate the situation. A “logistics collapse” is imminent, the business owner fears. Exports from China to Russia could come to a standstill until at least March, the source added. Previously, the bank had reportedly informed another businessman who buys machine tools in China that payment for certain products subject to an import ban due to Western sanctions had been suspended.

Machine translation, source:
https://www.fr.de/wirtschaft/sanktionen-usa-eu-china-russland-ukraine-krieg-transaktionen-logistikzusammenbruch-92820304.html
Does anyone have more information on this or read anything about it? I can’t imagine that a single bank can cause the problems mentioned or that there is no fallback…

Posted by: Zet | Feb 14 2024 18:25 utc | 25

thepessimist@19….if the drones comms is through Star Link, Russia is also using it in the same area. Smells Musky if you ask me.
Not sure why there are no fast attack boats with these ships capable of engaging surface sea drones……hmm, maybe anti drone depth charges….for sub surface.
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Feb 14 2024 18:32 utc | 26

Btw, without going all shadowbanned, they really must do something about these drone boats, while they still have vessels on the Black Sea. No good having a fleet base without a fleet.
So far Russia has managed to match each technological innovation of the NATO powers, but this one seems to be harder to tackle than most. To lose one ship is a misfortune, three(?) starts to look careless.
Don’t have a clue what the answer is – more radar planes or radar drones, though of course they become targets in themselves? Do they have underwater detection systems?
I’m not saying this’ll affect the inevitable outcome, but it’s not good.
I remember a year or so back a Russian drone boat hit a bridge not far from the Romanian border. What countermeasures did NATO forces take, I wonder? Definitely need to strike back.
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:22 utc | 8

It is a problem of rules of engagement, i.e. a political, not a technical one.
Under the current rules of engagement, there is no real technological solution that is bulletproof, and it will only get worse — we haven’t really seen the UUVs they have been getting from the UK and Germany, only the USVs, and presumably the UUVs will be even harder to deal with.
In principle you could have aviation scanning the sea surface all the time and shooting the drones down. Preferably unmanned aviation, e.g. the Orion drones, which are totally MIA at the moment for whatever reason.
But that can be overwhelmed too.
Now if we change the rules of engagement, it’s a very different situation.
Shoot down the RQ-4Bs, and there is no targeting.
Shut down the Ukrainian coast completely with massive strikes and by sinking all Ukrainian vessels and cargo ships that go there, and impose a cost on them that will make them think twice about striking the BSF.
Start sinking NATO ships with UAVs and UUVs of unknown origin. RU in fact has the most advanced such tech — after all, they have the Poseidon, which is the fanciest such tool, it should be trivial for them to churn out a large number of non-nuclear UUVs and start doing real damage to US and UK fleets, with plausible deniability.
All of these are political bottlenecks, not technical ones.

That would be the shadowbanned solution – but might the reaction start WW3?
The drones are imho in international airspace.
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:36 utc | 12

Iran and Yemen have been shooting those drones down with no hesitation, did that start a war with Iran?

The United States doesn’t care about such technicalities so why should Russia.
I do get that Russia is presenting itself as the adult in the room but it doesn’t seem to have any discernible effect on the actions of the West, so…
Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 17:40 utc | 15

Exactly.
And in fact the technicality here is that these drones are actively participating in kinetic attacks on Russia, so Russia has the full right to shoot them down.

Russia has been trying to locate and destroy the storage and assembly, and launching areas for the sea drones but clearly have had limited success.
Posted by: the pessimist | Feb 14 2024 17:51 utc | 19

There is strong suspicion they are actually being launched from Romania and even Turkish ships from the southern Black Sea area. Thus all those strikes on Odessa and Nikolaev don’t change much.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 18:35 utc | 27

Borrowed from Russian media. Time is running out, Ukrainian ‘reserves’ for ‘breaking the siege’ are merely ‘rabble from the street’.

Plan to destroy the Ukrainian Armed Forces group in Avdeevka: ultimatum and tank “fist”
The situation in Avdiivka is close to disaster for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. All paved roads into and out of the city are under the fire control of our army. The enemy can transport reserves at his own peril and risk only along dirt roads, through fields from Orlovka. According to reports from the field, units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Avdiivka are waiting for Zelensky’s decision regarding the besieged city, and are no longer hiding their desire to leave their positions.
A number of analysts do not rule out that the enemy may soon be given an ultimatum demanding surrender, which may be followed by an even larger attack if the leadership of the Ukrainian Armed Forces ignores the proposal to lay down arms.
The general situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Avdiivka continues to deteriorate, primarily due to logistics violations. Communication routes between the northern and southern fortified areas of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are tightly blocked. The Ukrainian Armed Forces actually admitted the loss of the main asphalt road along which the Avdeevka garrison was supplied. Now the “Western Forces” have to transport ammunition and fuel along dirt roads and through fields. At the same time, above-zero temperatures and rainy weather set in—the front literally drowned in the mud.
The fighting does not stop day or night. They are going behind the station, the clinic, warehouses on Industrial Avenue, the Khimik microdistrict and the private sector in the south… According to our fighters, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not leave on their own yet.
During the day, the Aerospace Forces launch massive missile and bomb attacks on targets that are still held by the enemy. Over the past 24 hours alone, more than 60 FAB-500 and FAB-1500 glide bombs were fired at Avdeevka.
Information about the transfer of the 3rd assault brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which until today was at the level of rumors, has finally received confirmation. The arrival of attack aircraft from Zaluzhny’s “golden fund” in Avdeevka was confirmed by radio interceptions, as well as obituaries that began to appear en masse on the Internet. On average, the life of an Ukrainian Armed Forces fighter on the front line is no more than a week.
The transportation of “Azovites” (an organization recognized as terrorist and banned on Russian territory) is carried out in small groups. Most likely, they will replace the 110th brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which was withdrawn from the city for a long time, at night and with heavy losses.
Ukrainian channels note that the confused “Western Security Service” members also do not stop trying to leave Avdiivka without permission. Thus, in just two days the Avdeevka garrison was reduced by 30%.
https://k-politika.ru/plan-po-unichtozheniyu-gruppirovki-vsu-v-avdeevke-ultimatum-i-tankovyj-kulak/?utm_source=warfiles.ru

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 18:38 utc | 28

@8 another anon
Re: drone suicide boats
Well your not wrong. The latest drones ukraine has look sleek, low profile and would be impossible to see with a naked eye in time at night, which is when they attacked.
I’d wager they are pretty silent too. So Russia isn’t being careless, but they don’t have the doctrine and tools to combat it, no one does.
Also they attack in swarms as well, and probably only float a few inches above the waterline.
I think big boats, like big tanks are too slow and big to stay safe. Tanks can’t put enough armor to stop anti tanks guns and clearly ships also aren’t sufficiently armored either.
In the end, boats will have to become smaller or have their own defensive swarm of AI drones providing a 360 constantly monitored perimeter. Having dudes on board with binoculars clearly isn’t good enough.
If it makes you feel better the houthis tagged a British destroyer sending it back to Port. This is a problem for every navy now. If ukraine had a navy left it would also be sunk, again.
Bur bottom line Russia will need to take it seriously. The drones will only become worse there’s plenty of room for innovation. They’ll have to put away their pride and copy the Ukrainians and sink a few transports with their own drones,maybe blame it on mines.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:56 utc | 29

Also, cope cages for ships might be necessary to have a second hull that can be blasted and far enough away to keep the inner one safe. Maybe look for brand new ship designs to incorporate this.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:58 utc | 30

On the issue of the black sea and the constant drones and NATO ISR, Putin seems deeply committed to not taking the first step and targeting these platforms, even if these platforms are relaying targeting data that is leading to direct loss of life of Russian service-members or civilians, an incredible tradeoff if one thinks about it. As Shadowbanned highlighted above this is strictly a political decision, it is not a military decision, these drones are sitting ducks to Russian capabilities.
Putin, I suspect in the not very far off future will have to call the US escalation bluff and actually do a show of force against NATO assets whether he wants to or not. As Ukraine begins to collapse as a state the calls for a direct NATO intervention will only grow the only way for Putin to show credible deterrence will be a direct strike on NATO assets, these drones in the black sea present the best opportunity.
All the theories about Neocons being crazy and ready to start war with Russia if Russia makes any move to target actual assets being used against them in the Black Sea ignore the Iranian example , of Iran actively targeting US assets in Iraq/Syria and no real responses against Iran proper. So the neocons are only crazy against Russia but not against Iran? It doesn’t make any sense, this is a decision by Putin to keep the door open for “negotiations”, I suspect he is slowly coming to the realization that no one from the West is going to “negotiate” with respect to Ukraine, the power centers in the west would rather see Ukraine be destroyed and its potential both industrial and human be reduced to rubble than negotiate with Russia.

Posted by: silverdog | Feb 14 2024 18:59 utc | 31

As long as I’m early, a comment on a general theme here that Europe is an economic basket caste to be followed soon by US. While I share the anti imperialist sentiment, it’s no use being delusional. The Dax and cac40 are up a little for the year and since prepandemic. The FTSE is off about 5%. Normalized interest rates have helped all the markets including US. While general overtaking by BRICS may be inevitable, there’s no evidence this is 1929. Good luck to all at bar!
Posted by: Mbartv | Feb 14 2024 17:50 utc | 18

Yeah, sure, because the stock market is such a great indicator of the economic conditions. Likewise, more money printing means better economy. And the fact that the stock market happens to be near the top right next to the money spigot where it flows through means nothing.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 19:00 utc | 32

8
Kremlin pickas will not react and will not do anything!
They prefer to swollow their own blood
Three kremlin western partners monkeys :
see no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil”
🙈 🙉 🙊

Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 14 2024 19:08 utc | 33

I’m sure if Russia flew Global Hawk equivalents in the same international airspace, they’d be targeted by “Ukrainian” missiles, even if the Ukrainian flags were stuck on straight over the NATO logo.
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 18:25 utc | 24

this is the crux of this whole issue. as long as the proxy, ie the ukraine in this case, remains, then nato can use plausible deniability for all escalatory steps as long as they are not shooting from nato countries.

Start sinking NATO ships with UAVs and UUVs of unknown origin. RU in fact has the most advanced such tech — after all, they have the Poseidon, which is the fanciest such tool, it should be trivial for them to churn out a large number of non-nuclear UUVs and start doing real damage to US and UK fleets, with plausible deniability.
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 18:35 utc | 27

this is once again where you think wrong. how exactly would this be plausible deniability?
all it takes is for nato to then get some remains of those uav/uuv and determine that it was russia that attacked them. done deal.
plausible deniability would be if some other country or faction would take responsibility for that action. just as nato does with ukraine.
and bombing the whole of the ukrainian coast and shipping, ergo creating a blockade, would be an act of war. so not anymore smo, and now nato could go in for some “humanitarian intervention” or some other bullshit buzzwords they love to use. thus giving nato exactly what it desires.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 19:13 utc | 34

Posted by: Zet | Feb 14 2024 18:25 utc | 25
I think you will find the explanation in the Vedomosti-article, which is linked in your source.
https://www.vedomosti.ru/economics/articles/2024/02/07/1018866-glavnii-dlya-rossiiskih-importerov-bank-kitaya-ostanovil-vse-rascheti-s-rf
The Americans are threatening the Chinese banks, who are trading with Russia, with secondary sanctions.

Information on cash and commodity flows between China and Russia is available to Western regulators even if the counterparties do not use SWIFT, confirmed foreign trade settlement consultant Iskander Mirgalimov. SWIFT is putting pressure on the Chinese CIPS and is requesting information about the volume of financial transactions with Russia, he said, citing familiar representatives of Chinese banks. Not all Chinese banks are connected to SPFS, and those that have joined also use other systems. Using several systems at the same time is quite difficult, risky and generally creates competition between providers, he explained.

The probable solution to handle the financial traffic with Russia will be to concentrate on a couple of Chinese banks without any relation to the west.

Posted by: Udkanten | Feb 14 2024 19:15 utc | 35

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:56 utc | 29
Yes, there is no defense yet against stealthy subsurface and underwater drone groups. It has been like this for a while, the black sea fleet is actually on the losing end of the battle. They are losing 2-3 of ships per month nowadays. More than production rate, so replacement is negative.
It is very asymmetrical: a dozen or so drones costing x can affect a loss costing 10x. Or 100x sometimes.
It is also true that the problem is increased via NATO support from international waters. The ultimate solution is to retake the whole coast so that any attack will be obviously from NATO waters.
If there is any consolation, any navy will have the same problem.
I am sure the RF navy staff is on the case but the question is if they can solve it before losses accumulate so much that the black sea fleet becomes ineffective and they lose the dominance there.
One solution will be kamikaze defensive drone swarms but I somehow doubt if this solves it as stealth/sneakiness seems to be the issue. I think it is a sensing issue, detecting them with good probability.

Posted by: alek_a | Feb 14 2024 19:21 utc | 36

German MSM so called Experts Labeled in his interview with TC as sycophant!
He tried in his typical naive way to beg for a ceasefire and freezing of conflict
Once u re labeled as weakling nobody is taking u serious anymore

Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 14 2024 19:25 utc | 37

One by one the US (not Ukraine!) is picking off Russia’s once much vaunted Black Sea fleet, The US is having a field day at no cost to itself. One can only imagine the cheers and high-fives all around today.
And remember the A-50 loss a few weeks ago. Ouch!
And more celebrations will be held in the US stock markets today and probably all week.

Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 19:30 utc | 38

this is once again where you think wrong. how exactly would this be plausible deniability?
all it takes is for nato to then get some remains of those uav/uuv and determine that it was russia that attacked them. done deal.
plausible deniability would be if some other country or faction would take responsibility for that action. just as nato does with ukraine.
and bombing the whole of the ukrainian coast and shipping, ergo creating a blockade, would be an act of war. so not anymore smo, and now nato could go in for some “humanitarian intervention” or some other bullshit buzzwords they love to use. thus giving nato exactly what it desires.
Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 19:13 utc | 34

The drone hitting Russian ships come from the UK. But the UK is not “directly responsible”.
It will be the same if a UK ship is sunk in the middle of the Atlantic. Prove that it was the Russians that did it. Or don’t bother and go to war directly.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 19:32 utc | 39

This one I didn’t know about:
https://twitter.com/vicktop55/status/1757798409992278095

The Civil War in Ukraine. Zelensky’s adviser Podolyak admitted that his brother lives in Russia. Please note that he speaks in pure Russian, which is his native language.
The adviser to the President’s Office was asked to comment on the statement by former Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation Alfred Koch that his brother, who “served in the FSB,” lives in Moscow.
Podolyak said that his family members made decisions about their place of residence back in Soviet times, and also that he does not communicate with some of his relatives.
“I don’t know about the KGB, the FSB and so on, of course not. If a person is 60 years old, I’m 51, should I be responsible for other people? People in the Soviet Union chose to live in another country and I don’t communicate with people, so I have to be responsible for them?” said Podolyak.
Russian media previously wrote that Podolyak’s brother (born in 1965), Vladimir, is the current colonel of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Russian Federation (Russian military intelligence). Podolyak commented on this back in June 2021 in an interview with Glavkom and stated that his brother “has long been an ordinary military pensioner.”

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 19:32 utc | 40

36
…there is no defense yet against stealthy….
I will believe it only if Russia sinks Nato ships as easily as NATOukros doing

Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 14 2024 19:34 utc | 41

Germany’s “defense” against the eastern hordes took a new step with Christian Lindner’s proposal to arm nukular, him being quoted on public screens.
Now FAZ explained to me that Mr. Lindner, currently the Bundesregierung Finanzminister, wants to position himself for the upcoming Bundestagswahl elections against Sergeant Scholz.
I’ll believe them. Yet the remarkable sentence is the last: who else are you going to count on, as la France will not agree to shared command, and after brexit — ??

Posted by: persiflo | Feb 14 2024 19:36 utc | 42

If Russia does not follow the rules of the Black Sea, then Turkey will shut the Bosporus.
There are only two ways Russia can use the Bosporus, respect treaties, or war with Turkey.
Russo-Turkish relations have been balanced by this for almost a century, and Russia *really* does not want to antagonize Turkey, especially since Turkey is one pf the most likely members to break from NATO in the future.
Always asking “why dunnit russia do this, why dunnit russia do that?”
Never asking “why dunnit Turkey do this? Why dunnit Poland do that?”

Posted by: UWDude | Feb 14 2024 19:38 utc | 43

The way I understand it, if the Russians double-tapped the first responders and/or hit the hospital full of wounded, those would be war crimes.
That is typical of US tactics, but I hadn’t seen Russia do that before.

Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 14 2024 19:41 utc | 44

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:58 utc | 30
They are called torpedo blisters and they have been a thing since WW1 and even got retrofitted onto ships in WW2 as better designs for them emerged. Guided torpedo’s have also been a thing since WW2 with the first wake homing torpedo’s being fielded by the Germans and British late in the war. It is the range of these modern torpedo’s that is new not the countermeasures for them.

Posted by: badjoke | Feb 14 2024 19:48 utc | 45

The drone hitting Russian ships come from the UK. But the UK is not “directly responsible”.
It will be the same if a UK ship is sunk in the middle of the Atlantic. Prove that it was the Russians that did it. Or don’t bother and go to war directly.
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 19:32 utc | 39

yes, we all know that the drones are british and only re-assembled or whatever in the ukraine, but this is the crucial part. ukraine takes the responsibility, and thus the british have plausible deniability.
“it was not us, the ukrainians already admitted it!”
in your scenario there is no “middleman”. and no plausible deniability.
“oh we didnt do it”- “well we found the remnants build by you” – “oh prove it!” – “okay, give us access to factory x that made them!” – “we wont do this” – “this is an admission that you did it!”
and thus they can spin it that it is russia that attacked nato assets in international waters.
now if ansar allah (houtis) would get some of those russian made drones and sink one of the british agressor ships in the red sea, then there would be plausible deniability.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 19:50 utc | 46

Just by reading the comments so far I can see patterns
Russia needs to attack NATO is a major theme as is the talk about everything but the fall of Avdeevka and the implications.
Recently I was posting here that the shit show, as I call have called it for years, would be “over” in 6 months….early August. Given the escalation of other areas of our civilization war I am beginning to think maybe 6 weeks is more likely…..I am a dreamer but I am not the only one.
Lots of moving and locked up pieces of our global political economy and the escalation pace has gotten to where, like b says about Occupied Palestine escalation, its not a matter of if, but when….which is not going to be controlled by empire.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 14 2024 19:51 utc | 47

Russia’s core inflation keeps on rising.
https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/core-inflation-rate
Well done Elvira Nabiullina. Start cutting rates you fool.

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Feb 14 2024 19:56 utc | 48

Start sinking NATO ships with UAVs and UUVs of unknown origin. RU in fact has the most advanced such tech — after all, they have the Poseidon, which is the fanciest such tool, it should be trivial for them to churn out a large number of non-nuclear UUVs and start doing real damage to US and UK fleets, with plausible deniability.
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 18:35 utc | 27
this is once again where you think wrong. how exactly would this be plausible deniability?
all it takes is for nato to then get some remains of those uav/uuv and determine that it was russia that attacked them. done deal.
plausible deniability would be if some other country or faction would take responsibility for that action. just as nato does with ukraine.
Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 19:13 utc | 34
To me, that type of reasoning is bizarre. Everyone knows the West blew up Nordstream. West said “no comment.” Russia did nothing. -> Russia blows up every fucking drone in the Black Sea and torpedoes some select destroyers. Everyone knows they did it. Russia says “no comment.”
Different rules for different people, no? Russia needs to prove the West’s culpability as well as proving its own innocence. As Putin said and as we’ve said here for years, you can’t win a propaganda war with the United States. What you might be able to do would be to blow them to smithereens.
The question comes down to how big a weight you can drop on the toddler’s toes without it going “NYAAAA!!!” and nuking everything. As someone who saw the hysteria of the West when Pakistan gained nukes… even shit-in-their-pants-toddlers have at least some sense of self-perserverance.

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 19:56 utc | 49

CBC in Canada has a 10 min video about the un-interceptable Zircon missile that was allegedly used in an attack on Kiev. See:
https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/2309011523529
(Be warned that the link is to a media player that includes interminable advertising.)

Posted by: N Hanrahan | Feb 14 2024 19:58 utc | 50

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:36 utc | 12
That would be the shadowbanned solution – but might the reaction start WW3?
The drones are imho in international airspace.
————–
Understand this.
The west cannot lay claim to moral aithority anymore. The US government is controlled / run by Israel. The world sees it plainly.
The US / NATO / Zionists have been engaged in war with Russia since 2021. The only factor keeping it from being considered as ‘direct ‘ war is the US and its vassals have not been doing the direct fighting and dying. But heavily engaged in planning/directives , strategy, daily tactical attacks, communications, target identification and tracking, armaments and ammunition (most of) and funding. They’ve been using this proxy force – ‘Ukrainians’ as the cannon fodder. I would speculate that that Ukrainian force is more than the equal of any NATO or US force.
Should the US NATO zionists engage in a direct war with Russia and its allies, then Americans and the rest of Europe will be doing the dying.
In the event of direct war, Russia will take the Mr. Nice Guy gloves off. So will China. You had better hope that doesn’t happen . I certainly do. Russian society is still very much functional and intact despite every sanction the US zionists could think of. The US and Europe is a mess, aside from the extreme minority ‘elite’ class of course. Another major barrier to US/ NATO taking on Russia / China / Iran etc. Is where are they going to find enough troops? If a call to arms is made to Houthis or Palestinians, every able-bodied man and boy will be volunteering. That’s an army of what 5 million? They will join Akhmat. Doubtful one could expect that in the US or EU. The cause is evil. People know it. They will not sacrifice themselves for the few oligarchs this time around. Especially after the despicable murder of innocents in Palestine, promoted by the US and EU governments.

Posted by: Áobh Ó’Sheachnasaigh | Feb 14 2024 20:01 utc | 51

plausible deniability would be if some other country or faction would take responsibility for that action. just as nato does with ukraine.
Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 19:13 utc | 34
By the way, has anyone taken responsibility for the Nordstream bombing?
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/sweden-ends-investigation-into-nord-stream-pipeline-blasts-2024-02-07/

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:03 utc | 52

The way I understand it, if the Russians double-tapped the first responders and/or hit the hospital full of wounded, those would be war crimes.
That is typical of US tactics, but I hadn’t seen Russia do that before.
Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 14 2024 19:41 utc | 44

after seeing israel bomb hospitals with the full blessing and international non-condemnation by us/nato, how would they be able to spin this instance as a warcrime, but not the other?
and remember the bakery incident a few weeks ago. “there was this highranking russian official inside it, so it was fair game!” well, there certainly were some highranking “Ukrainians” now in this building, so its also fair game.
nato sets the precedent, and russia then does in kind. and now us/nato cannot cry foul at the rest of the world.
that is also why russia “whines” (as some …persons here like to call it) officially at certain incidents. they show the rest of the world what us/nato has done, knowing full well that it does not affect the us/nato directly at this moment in time.
but with every incident nato loses a bit of credibility in terms of beeing the good guys. thats also why so many countries already point out the hypocrisy and double standards the us/eu/nato have.
slowly painting the picture.
softly whispering to others that change is coming.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 20:05 utc | 53

The entire Russian Black Sea Fleet is targeted and any time Russia has any sort of success on the battlefield or a spectacular hit such as yesterday in Selidovo, the command is given by the US to sink another ship.
The bad news for Ukraine is twisted into non-news and suppressed until another Russian ship is sunk by the US and that newer news is wildly exploited for days.
It’s obviously not just the Black Sea Fleet that is targeted (as already mentioned, the A-50 for example, or the Black Sea Fleet headquarters in Sevestapol). The US can destroy any valuable Russian target at will with no consequences whatsoever. I wonder if the US has gone so far as to send Russia a list of such targets promising that each one will be destroyed as Russia escalates or wins on the battlefield. The US is mocking Russia and brilliantly using the Ukraine as cover.
It must be brutally difficult for Russia to maintain a stoic stance. All part of the psych war being waged.

Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 20:10 utc | 54

but with every incident nato loses a bit of credibility in terms of beeing the good guys. thats also why so many countries already point out the hypocrisy and double standards the us/eu/nato have.
slowly painting the picture.
softly whispering to others that change is coming.
Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 20:05 utc | 53
Again, the United States and NATO has no credibility with regards to being the good guys by anyone in a place of power, and whispers can’t counter threats, blackmail and extortion.
Only coordinated force can destroy the evil empire.

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:10 utc | 55

“What about shooting down NATO drones over the Black Sea?”
That would be the shadowbanned solution – but might the reaction start WW3?
The drones are imho in international airspace.
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 17:36 utc | 12
1) Yes, it might start WWIII.
2) Everybody knows that if you fire a missile from a ship in international waters at another nation, it’s an act of war. The west wants to provide that providing the weapons and guidance from ‘outside’ the country makes it okay under international law to participate in acts of war. It does not.
3) It’s quite clear that US/NATO forces are operating weapons systems on the ground in Ukraine to kill Russians. This makes them co-belligerents. Putin knows this, of course, but elects not to start WWIII over that, either. Because he’s winning. Don’t start WWIII when you’re winning the regional war.

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 14 2024 20:11 utc | 56

By the way, has anyone taken responsibility for the Nordstream bombing?
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/sweden-ends-investigation-into-nord-stream-pipeline-blasts-2024-02-07/
Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:03 utc | 52
Tucker Carlson?

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 14 2024 20:12 utc | 57

A ship here a ship there, now it’s routine, USA is working up to hitting the modern powerful missile ships and subs I’m sure, as long as it’s done through the UKR proxy the USA can get away with it. Wars with Russia over the centuries have always been over ownership of the Black Sea.
People comment the old ships were expendable, maybe, but the crews were not, last two ships that went down went down fast, hard to judge from the vid as it’s edited, could be 20min could be an hour but I doubt the filming drone had infinite power to loiter. The pervious ship was small with big holes and went right down, this one was a transport so, like a ferry, open w/o compartments and bulkheads. I really doubt all the crew was saved on either ship, it’s probably very bad and Russia is saying little, judge for yourself at the end how fast it rolls over.
https://t.me/TXDPR/12257
My guess is Russia is getting ready for the confrontation with NATO, it’s buying time and for China, DPRK, and Iran. For itself it needs to first concentrate on taking the Donbas, consolidate and build strong defense there, after that it can escalate. Peace is not an option anywhere. If Ukraine implodes it will be like a tree falling in the forest with no one to hear it, USA NATO will simply ignore the crash, kludge together something like Libya and continue pouring in money, men, and weapons for years. The only victory Russia will have is when it defeats NATO.
BTW this is the second transport I believe, I don’t think they were targets of opportunity, these ship would have been important for the MoD if the Crimea Bridge is taken out, and be useful too if Odessa is ever sieged. USA is also honing their skills, old ships are the appetizer, before they start on the main course, the missile ships.
As I said before, Pentagon, UK, NATO are in wargasm mode, they are not going to settle for blue balls, killing and destroying is their reason to live, after 78ys they are unleashed. They’ll rip anyone’s face off who tries to put them back in the cage.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 20:15 utc | 58

now if ansar allah (houtis) would get some of those russian made drones and sink one of the british agressor ships in the red sea, then there would be plausible deniability.
Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 19:50 utc | 46
But Russia wouldn’t need it because the US would blame Iran.

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 14 2024 20:15 utc | 59

Also, cope cages for ships might be necessary to have a second hull that can be blasted and far enough away to keep the inner one safe. Maybe look for brand new ship designs to incorporate this.
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:58 utc | 30
Torpedo nets are ancient technology, but with greater explosive load of a surface drone, they must be put further from the ship than is practical. What is practical, however, are barriers rigged to buoys or small boats. For a navy moving to attack, it’s not practical, but in a defensive posture close to home it could be done.

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 14 2024 20:22 utc | 60

Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 19:30 utc | 38
“One by one the US (not Ukraine!) is picking off Russia’s once much vaunted Black Sea fleet…”
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 19:32 utc | 39
“The drone hitting Russian ships come from the UK.”

UK would be my bet too. UK has the capabilities to build and equip stealth sea drones and they have the means to provide target guidance. Russia did not see that one coming, they provided against air and sub-surface attacks, but using small stealthy boats caught them flat-footed. There is almost no way to detect those sea drones visually in normal sea condition, thermal is probable covered, radar is reduced.
And just my personal guess on hull armor on most Russian naval assets: There is none, we are talking “tin foil” here.
So we should assume the “vaunted Black Sea fleet” taken out of the equation for now.

Posted by: Gonzo | Feb 14 2024 20:24 utc | 61

BTW this is the second transport I believe, I don’t think they were targets of opportunity, these ship would have been important for the MoD if the Crimea Bridge is taken out, and be useful too if Odessa is ever sieged. USA is also honing their skills, old ships are the appetizer, before they start on the main course, the missile ships.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 20:15 utc | 58

The US strategy is very sound. At no cost to itself, none!
The noose tightens.

Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 20:26 utc | 62

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13083037/Foreign-fighters-storm-frontline-trenches-killing-22-Russians.html
any comment also on the newly sunk russian warship?

Posted by: magicmirror | Feb 14 2024 20:32 utc | 63

just read this on aviapro, there was an planed assasination attempt by ukrainians on macron that was planned for that cancelled visit of macron to kiev. this was allegedly shown by france24.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 14 2024 20:33 utc | 64

ukraine male aged 50 now on the front line 4 weeks training …vconfirms Polish and British behind them….preventing retreat..or else…..manages to phone wife after3.a.m. to 12p.m. shift back at sleep “time”…..

Posted by: Jo | Feb 14 2024 20:34 utc | 65

Regarding “double-tapping”, as referred to at the bar. I’m far from expert or even well informed, but I think it’s important to distinguish the difference between striking an ambulance, or attacking a medic with their patient, and reattacking an enemy position that already has wounded in it.
An obvious example would be that if you hit a tank, and the driver was applying first aid to a crewman, the tank doesn’t suddenly become illegal to target. Neither would a truck full of soldiers that took some fragmentary damage, and stopped to do a repair and allow the wounded to be treated.
This is related to why medics wear the red cross, and so do ambulances. A medic shouldn’t be shot, but an infantrymen applying pressure to his buddy’s wound would be.
So I think it plausible to apply that logic to dropping bombs. If you hit an area really bad, you shouldn’t come back and target any ambulances, nor should the drones fire on medics. But a bombing initiative can fairly be said to not be concluded until all the combatants were turned into casualties.
It is perhaps a moral quagmire, given that those who are getting bombed can’t surrender, but this particular war has already traveled far down the road of playing for keeps, and with loads of dead and wounded from both sides to confirm that reality.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 14 2024 20:36 utc | 66

My guess is Russia is getting ready for the confrontation with NATO, it’s buying time and for China, DPRK, and Iran.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 20:15 utc | 58
I have a hard time thinking that Russia, in the middle of a low-to-medium-intensity war, would have to or be inclined to buy time for China, Korea or Iran.
And if this were to be the case wrt to China and DPRK, the stage would be world-wide. Let’s hope not.

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:39 utc | 67

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9TOgYrMXLA
An interview with Steve Sweeney about The Donetsk Declaration, do you know where you can find it?

Posted by: Northern Eve | Feb 14 2024 20:40 utc | 68

UK would be my bet too. UK has the capabilities to build and equip stealth sea drones and they have the means to provide target guidance. Russia did not see that one coming, they provided against air and sub-surface attacks, but using small stealthy boats caught them flat-footed. There is almost no way to detect those sea drones visually in normal sea condition, thermal is probable covered, radar is reduced.
And just my personal guess on hull armor on most Russian naval assets: There is none, we are talking “tin foil” here.
So we should assume the “vaunted Black Sea fleet” taken out of the equation for now.
Posted by: Gonzo | Feb 14 2024 20:24 utc | 61

The UK of course, but I liken them to a yipping chihuahua nipping at everyone’s ankles at the behest of the dominant US pit bull.
Also yeah, there’s a key word in the op “…once much vaunted…”
Russia might come up with a solution (they have for other scenarios) but the clock is ticking as they lose enormous resources and the propaganda war.

Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 20:43 utc | 69

Echo Chamber | Feb 14 2024 19:56 utc | 48–
Bullshit! From Putin’s meeting on economic issues on the 12th:
“Of course, special attention should be paid to inflation, its containment. At the end of January, it was 7.2 percent of the annual Expression. Of course, we know that at the end of last year, consumer Prices rose by 7.4 percent, that is, there was a decrease in inflation. I would like to note the joint actions of the Government and the Bank of Russia.”
Here’s what followed in that brief transcript as it appears the broader economic discussion merited classification:

At the same time, against the backdrop of an increase in the key rate The Central Bank – of course, this was a predictable phenomenon – slowed down and lending. Thus, in January, the loan portfolio of legal entities decreased by 0.2 per cent, while the number of individuals, on the contrary, decreased insignificantly added the same 0.2 percent. I know that my colleagues are closely monitoring these parameters. Of course, we will talk about this today.
The parameters I mentioned, of course, affect the growth rate of our economy both in the short term and in the short term. and in the long run. There are some disadvantages to this, And the pros in everything – I won’t go into details now, We are well aware of this. To reiterate, it is extremely important to endure balance between the objectives of development, increasing investment and lending, maintaining employment and ensuring price stability.
I would also like to note that in the coming years, Taking into account the challenges facing the Russian and We need a proactive, stimulating a policy that will allow us to unleash the industrial, agrarian, transport, high-tech potential of Russia and to create, modernize production facilities with modern, well-paid workers in all regions of the Russian Federation.
Now the work on the Socio-Economic Action Plan for the next six years. That Among other things, it will cover such key areas as investment support, Ensuring technological sovereignty, renewal and construction infrastructure, integrated development of settlements, and much more other. At the same time, our main task, our absolute priority is improving the incomes and quality of life of citizens, as well as the well-being of Russian families.
I would like to reiterate that in the implementation of all It is important to maintain the sustainability of public finances, adhere to the same principles of ensuring macroeconomic stability, as in previous years, which, in fact, allowed us to It is so worthy to pass today’s trials. I ask my colleagues to proceed for these basic reasons.

We can get an idea of what was discussed from the agenda Putin outlined at the meeting’s start:
“Today, as agreed, we will discuss The Situation in the Domestic Economy: Let’s Discuss the Results last year, current trends in key industries and, of course, we will talk about on further plans to strengthen industry, the financial sector, foreign trade and the economy as a whole. Moreover, I propose to focus on the immediate tasks and on the work for the future – in the horizon up to 2030.”
Those of us keeping pace with the many meetings dealing with Russia’s development have an idea of Russia’s fiscal ability to accomplish the tasks it’s setting for itself. The riff on science continues as Putin today participated in two major events and toured a new facility in Moscow, the “Scientific and Practical Clinical Center for Diagnostics and Telemedicine Technologies, where he got acquainted with the work of the reference center for radiation Diagnostics.” There’s not much text, but the accompanying photos show a top-notch facility.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 14 2024 20:44 utc | 70

Also, cope cages for ships might be necessary to have a second hull that can be blasted and far enough away to keep the inner one safe. Maybe look for brand new ship designs to incorporate this.
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Feb 14 2024 18:58 utc | 30
There’s a cheaper and easier way to stop these drone boats. Around harbored ships, put “log booms” which are floating logs chained end to end, including cable fencing dropping beneath the surface of the water. Add small pressure-sensitive mines if necessary. Or go with chained floating buoys and cable fences.

Posted by: kupkee | Feb 14 2024 20:46 utc | 71

Posted by: Thomas | Feb 14 2024 17:02 utc | 5
I just saw that Aleks dropped an analysis about the Putin/Carlson interview.
Very interesting. Especially, the part about what denazification means…
https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/vladimir-putin-and-tucker-carlson’
There are two very interesting things about that comment:
Aleks: ‘What was done in Chechnya from 1999 until 2010 is something that I can’t write about here because I would be afraid of getting into conflict with some laws.’
Aleks here is referring to the 15-year prison sentence that could await him in his home country for criticism of the Russian armed forces. The reason why he is so coy is because if he told the truth about Chechnya he would be in big trouble with the Russian authorities.
This is in marked contrast to the west, where the likes of our host have much more latitude to speak their minds. And Tucker can go to Moscow.
Aleks: ‘The reality [of ‘denazification] is slightly… different… And it is certainly in violation of… I will stop here.’
He means that the Russians engaged in a variety of atrocities, from execution of civilians to arson and rape. These atrocities were signed off by Putin, who of course kept his own dainty hands clean.
That’s why the Ukrainians fight. Like the Chechens, the Ukrainians have suffered Russian bombings and atrocities, so they know that if they surrender, Putin’s dainty hands will once again be drenched in blood.

Posted by: Mr B | Feb 14 2024 20:51 utc | 72

If the new Ukrainian commander Syrsky is sending veteran troops as reinforcements instead of the usual freshly kidnapped civilian, they may do a *bit* better on the front lines, but will definitely help Russia’s goal of denazification. Zeluzhny gained loyalty from the neonazis by doing his best to mimimize their losses at the expense of ordinary civilians. Syrsky may play the opposity game in knowing who is more loyal to Zeluzhny and giving orders to send them to the front. Given Azov members are known for making death threats, it could be a matter of future survival on this sinking ship.

Posted by: Matthew | Feb 14 2024 20:52 utc | 73

@ karlof1 | Feb 14 2024 20:44 utc | 69 showing Echo Chamber to be the vomitorium of economic lies and obfuscation.
Thanks for that Karl. I never read their BS anymore but do read your comments.
I am now saying the global shit show is going to come to a head in 6 weeks…..I am a dreamer but I am not the only one.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 14 2024 20:52 utc | 74

The attacks on the Russian black sea fleet are a slow bleed operation, it is interesting that NATO seems to be targeting transport ships which makes sense as they may prevent Russia from moving troops to Odessa or beyond, perhaps also indirectly hurting logistics to Syria/ME at some point. They may be targeting “old” ships as a way to hone tactics but as far as I know Russia is not building new transport ships so I’m not sure why some think this is fine because they are “old”.
This is actually one of the more dangerous areas of the conflict as if the “wrong” line is crossed there will have to be a response. This idea that when the Ukrainian military collapses there can be an insurgency against Russia with Anti Tank/Manpads/Naval drones at large is a pipe dream, Russia would either have to act against NATO or retreat from Ukraine, no military including Russia or the US could fight against an insurgency armed to the teeth in such a way.

Posted by: silverdog | Feb 14 2024 20:59 utc | 75

My guess is Russia is getting ready for the confrontation with NATO, it’s buying time and for China, DPRK, and Iran.
Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:39 utc | 66
The British alone, through their involvement in sinking russian ships, have created a situation for which, sooner or later, there will be Russian retaliation. Sad for the British, who couldn’t choose their rulers any more than we could – but really fine for Great Britain.

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Feb 14 2024 20:59 utc | 76

rape. These atrocities were signed off by Putin,
Posted by: Mr B | Feb 14 2024 20:51 utc |
…and then they threw babies into ovens and ate them and then also they threw puppies off helicopters too even!
And Putin was there, telling them too, in between bites of fried baby leg!

Posted by: UWDude | Feb 14 2024 21:01 utc | 77

@ UWDude | Feb 14 2024 21:01 utc | 76 who needs to be reminded this is an all ages bar and you must include the /s tag at the end of what seems to you to be an obvious sarcastic response to something because there are those among us incapable of nuance.
Thanks, and a beverage for you please barkeep

Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 14 2024 21:06 utc | 78

Posted by: Tichy | Feb 14 2024 20:39 utc | 66
Russia is buying time for itself as well as for China and to a lesser extent NK. Russia started working on new weapons around about 2008 etc. They made huge advances such that many were developed and functional by 2018, but production in scale was not yet established.
I feel that Russia was forced into the SMO, 3-5 years before it was ready. it had no choice once the threat of Ukraine having nukes became real (which it did in Munich, 3 days before the SMPO).
Russia has Sarmats and other weapons which potentially allow it to win any war with NATO, BUT unless they have 1000 or so such weapons, it may not be enough. That is why NATO is constantly trying to provoke Russia (Supported by AI trolls like Shadow Banned). Russia needs to have lots of weapons.
It should be clear that ion the early days of the SMO Russia very rarely used Kinzhals. Just one or two as demonstrations. 6 months on they would use 2-4 every three months or so. Another 6 months and they use 8-10 every two months or so. I imagine that
Russia will not be provokes into war with NATO until:
It has enough submarines to take out at 50-70% of the US and allies nuclear capable sub fleet very quickly.
It has enough Sarmats/Poseidons etc to take out at least 500 cities.
It has enough air defence systems S4-500s to secure all Russian cities and defence installations as well as those of its major allies ie China, Iran etc.
Well stocked nuclear fall out shelters for all its population
No doubt much more.
So yeah!! Russia is buying time.

Posted by: watcher | Feb 14 2024 21:08 utc | 79

Pepe Escobar’s been in Donbass for the last several says and his first report’s been published, “Pepe Escobar: Life During Wartime – On the Road in Donbass”. Some barflies have followed his exploits on his Telegram particularly the photos he’s posted. The report is long and contains some of the mentioned photos, and it begins with a poem that’s very appropriate. Here’s a short excerpt from its beginning:

There are between 28 and 30 Orthodox Christian battalion fighting in Donbass. That’s the power of Orthodox Christianity. To see them at work is to understand the essentials: how the Russian soul is capable of any sacrifice to protect the core values of its civilization. Throughout Russian history, it’s individuals that sacrifice their lives to protect the community – and not vice-versa. Those who survived – or perished – in the siege of Leningrad are only one among countless examples.
So the Orthodox Christian battalion were my guardian angels as I returned to Novorossiya to revisit the rich black soil where the old “rules-based” world order came to die.

It’s clear why the Outlaw US Empire via its Ukie proxy wages war on the Orthodox Church, although that part of the conflict doesn’t get discussed much here. Orthodoxy is very much like The Force that provides spiritual strength for all Russian believers–If you believe, you are able to do things you wouldn’t attempt if you didn’t. Meanwhile, the Ukies have made it very clear that God isn’t on their side by destroying Orthodoxy–Imagine how that affects soldiers and public alike.
I find it important that those of the Deep State seem to be quite obviously godless as their Neoliberalism destroys society in a manner no God would ever allow–not even Yahweh. One very powerful Cold War propaganda narrative labeled Communists as Godless and thus anti-human. IMO, that same narrative point can be turned around and used against the Deep State and would find millions of followers globally.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 14 2024 21:09 utc | 80

Posted by: magicmirror | Feb 14 2024 20:32 utc | 63

The heartstopping footage (pictured) opens with a convoy of Ukrainian trucks speeding down the side of a row of trees lining vast, open, bombed-out fields, in AUGUST last year

Nothing new, or do you want to point out something special?

Posted by: 600w | Feb 14 2024 21:16 utc | 81

There is another option regarding the ship, I thought it strange after I found out it wasn’t even moving, wasn’t heading anywhere, and as Russia knows how vulnerable its ships are using it to move tanks and trucks would be stupid. So, why an old lightly armored empty transport, at sea but not moving, at night all lit up, left in known drone territory (Yalta)? It was recently fixed up, an investment, best would be to park it with the rest of the fleet on the far side of the Black Sea where it could come in handy if the Kerch Bridge is taken out?
It’s not impossible it was bait with a skeleton crew on board, it had been quickly re-floated for just that reason. Then I read this post on TG. Ultimately, I think it’s unlikely, a big ship is a lot of money to use as bait, most likely Russian Navy quickly re-floated it and set it at sea to show they are uncowed, military dick waving.
Looking incompetent to build support is an odd strategy, but, who knows – “Remember the Maine!”
About that “space threat” from Russia – would be funny if we see some US / NATO drones disappear from the radar over the Black Sea soon – they had a lot of time to learn about NATO capabilities during the attacks on Crimea and the Fleet – and the rhetoric on Russian TG is pretty agressive against Russian MoD now after another Landing Ship was sunk. So all are prepared – the Russian people want it – the Russian Forces need it – and NATO provoked it. Perfect setup – including that drama in USA about “The National Security Threat”
https://t.me/geromanat/19905

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 21:16 utc | 82

New interview with Putin currently being posted on Soloviev TG channel. Dropping some jabs towards Blinken, Bearback, and even Carlson among other stuff.

Posted by: boo | Feb 14 2024 21:21 utc | 83

kupkee | Feb 14 2024 20:46 utc | 70
On Crimea bridge they use smoke and something like nets. Nato msm showed detailed photos. I guess smoke costs more than the ships so they don’t use anything for protection in Crimea. Just the guy with the ship cannon and good vision. After all, medieval is the theme.
But it’s still not a confirmed event. So far, it’s as real as the big big huge huge Russian strikes on barracks in Salidovo. But depending on the church, some believe one or another very strongly. Or that either of them, if true, will have any effect outside soldier’s family.
In other news, I liked this one: “The only thing that can be regretted is that Russia did not start active operations in Ukraine earlier” – Putin.

Posted by: rk | Feb 14 2024 21:22 utc | 84

There are a couple of comments here, such as:

…before they start on the main course, the missile ships.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 20:15 utc | 58

Haven’t Russian missile ships already been badly damaged or sunk; the Moskva two years ago or the Ivanovets more recently?
The main course, if missile ships, is being feasted on. I was going to suggest an aircraft carrier would be desert with a cherry on top, but well, we won’t talk about that lone Russian aircraft carrier that’s apparently still “safely” tucked away in dry dock.

Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 21:27 utc | 85

That’s why the Ukrainians fight. Like the Chechens, the Ukrainians have suffered Russian bombings and atrocities, so they know that if they surrender, Putin’s dainty hands will once again be drenched in blood.
Posted by: Mr B | Feb 14 2024 20:51 utc | 71

What atrocities, FFS?
We weren’t born yesterday, we were all consciously alive when Kherson was taken without a fight and when Melitopol was taken largely without a fight too. Same in the Kupyansk area in 2022.
Where were the “bombings and atrocities” in those areas? There were none, and there still are none in Melitopol. But there is a lot of investment into infrastructure, higher pensions and other benefits, Ukrainian is still an official language (as it has been in Crimea since 2014), etc, and unlike Russian in Ukraine (even though nobody speaks Ukrainian natively in the now Russian areas and most people are native Russian speakers almost everywhere in Ukraine). Where’s the genocide exactly?
And really, how absurd is it to talk about Russians committing a genocide against Ukrainians when pretty much nobody east of Zhytomyr is actually an Ukrainian, they are all ethnic Russians, and, most importantly, this is how Russians see it too. Who would do a genocide against themselves?
The Chechens on the other hand have real and entirely justified beef with the Russians going back to the 19th century. Chechens are not Slavs, and not even Indo-Europeans. And the one time in its history when Russia did commit real atrocities was in the mid-19th century in the North Caucasus region. What was done to the Circiassians was an outright genocide, and the Chechens got it nearly as bad too (at least they were not actually removed from the land at that time; Circassians were expelled to Turkey). Generally, eastern empires are not settler colonialist but accommodating to diversity, as long as you don’t rebel. It has been that way for millennia, and it’s why China has a hundred different ethnic groups in it today, despite Han being dominant, why the USSR had over 200, and modern Russia still has most of them, why Iran is successfully multiethnic (just as Persia had been for 2500 years), etc. The problem as that in the mid-19th century there was the geopolitical imperative to move the border beyond the mountains, but the mountain people resisted, and the Russians, at their imperial peak at the time, borrowed from the Anglo-Saxons and burned villages and massacred civilians on a large scale to suppress resistance, something that they have otherwise very rarely done.
The animosity between the Chechens and Russians dates back to that time. Then Stalin had them deported after the Germans were pushed out of the region because some of them allied with the Nazis, and they only returned in the late 1950s, only to find Russians have moved into their homes and lands, which didn’t help with generating goodwill at all. And then there were the 1990s, though that was actively instigated by the Americans.
No other group has more real grievances against Russia than the Chechens, and yet they realized they were being used by outsiders, that the past should stay in the past, and that they are in fact better off being allies with Russia and reaping the benefits.
But the Ukrainians? It is all made up mythology and propaganda about both the more distant past and the events of the last couple years.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 14 2024 21:28 utc | 86

“The only thing that can be regretted is that Russia did not start active operations in Ukraine earlier.”
– Vladimir Putin

Posted by: Apollyon | Feb 14 2024 21:30 utc | 87

“64 hypersonic Zircon missiles with a nuclear warhead could permanently close the UK project”
Russian response to UK fantasies of nuking Moscow.
https://en.topwar.ru/235883-64-giperzvukovye-rakety-cirkon-s-jadernoj-boevoj-chastju-mogut-navsegda-zakryt-proekt-velikobritanija.html

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 21:32 utc | 88

71
Ukraine? Fight?
Whats a Ukraine?
I only see brainwashed Russians killing & torturing other Russians for a Jewish clown
What’s happening in Gaza is a Genocide & Holocaust against Palestinians

Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 14 2024 21:35 utc | 89

Putin says it is good Western leaders have seen his interview with Carlson
“MOSCOW, February 14. /TASS/. Russian President Vladimir Putin has said it is a good fact that Western leaders have watched his interview and thanked journalist Tucker Carlson for being a mediator in communication.
“It’s good that they watch and listen to what I say. If we cannot be engaged in a direct dialogue now for some reasons associated with them, we should be grateful to Mr. Carlson for being able to do so through him as a mediator. That is why it is good that they listen or watch,” Putin said in an interview with Pavel Zarubin, a journalist for the Rossiya-1 television channel.”
TASS

US to show its true nature if Carlson is arrested, says Putin
“MOSCOW, February 14. /TASS/. The US authorities will show their true face of a “liberal-democratic dictatorship” in case journalist Tucker Carlson is prosecuted, President Vladimir Putin opined in an interview with journalist Pavel Zarubin uploaded to the Kremlin’s Telegram channel.
“From the point of view of Carlson himself it would be sad, I don’t envy him, but it’s his choice, he knew what he was going for. But from the point of view of making people around the world realize what a modern liberal-democratic dictatorship is, which is vividly represented in today’s US ruling class, it would probably be a good thing. They would then show their true face,” Putin said when asked whether he admitted the possibility of Carlson being arrested in the US for interviewing him.”
TASS

Posted by: chop | Feb 14 2024 21:39 utc | 90

Bye-bye Russia @ 84

The main course, if missile ships, is being feasted on. I was going to suggest an aircraft carrier would be desert with a cherry on top, but well, we won’t talk about that lone Russian aircraft carrier that’s apparently still “safely” tucked away in dry dock.

Someone doesn’t get it. Why did the Soviet Union and Russia today need aircraft carriers? Their only purpose after WW2 is gunboat diplomacy, which, to their credit, to the USSR didn’t and the RF doesn’t do. Their aircraft carrier was built by the Soviets to parade their snazz as a super power. Putin’s RF saw no point in building “floating coffins” as Larry Wilkerson tagged them and moth balled their old one. What the RF is building is a whole ton of light fast expendable missile frigates, ships that put the “coffin” in “floating coffin”.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 21:42 utc | 91

“64 hypersonic Zircon missiles with a nuclear warhead could permanently close the UK project”
Russian response to UK fantasies of nuking Moscow.
https://en.topwar.ru/235883-64-giperzvukovye-rakety-cirkon-s-jadernoj-boevoj-chastju-mogut-navsegda-zakryt-proekt-velikobritanija.html
Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 21:32 utc | 87

Funny how ever since the doomsday clock scientists back in January were convinced (purely for propaganda reasons, avoiding panic, etc.) not to nudge the doomsday clock from the 90 seconds level where it’s been for two years, the nuclear war rhetoric has ramped right up with new US nuclear missiles being deployed to the UK, etc.
The claim for not nudging was “…because we are making progress and the situation is beginning to improve…”
The propaganda machine is almighty and will not be denied until we are incinerated.

Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 21:50 utc | 92

They may be targeting “old” ships as a way to hone tactics but as far as I know Russia is not building new transport ships so I’m not sure why some think this is fine because they are “old”.

Because the sinking of this ship..the exact type of which Russia has already captured 4 identical ships from Ukraine..is completely irrelevant? It will have no impact on the outcome of the war, whatsoever.
It’s some Maerican and British frat boys high fiving because they managed to sink a ship, despite it costing in relative terms thousands of Ukrainian lives and having no actual impact. It’s aggrandizing nonsense to state otherwise.
Maerica and her foaming at the mouth vassals have lost this war comprehensively. I expect wisdom will blossom in the long years of decline and political turmoil.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Feb 14 2024 21:52 utc | 93

An interesting point on above article is that – given 2 submarines carrying 64 Kinzhal missiles could destroy the UK nuclear assets, intelligence and government and other critical locations without any US or UK early recon assets even seeing the strike occurs. Clyde naval base and all UK bombers and airfields would be destroyed. And it is not at all given that US would react to this sort of strike.
Arguably, there might be a window of attack on UK, when the crews of all 4 UK SSBNs happen to be on an LGBTQ strike, while US is having its own internal problems with an effectively half-brain dead president.
UK will never see it coming and there is a decent chance US might not even respond.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2024 21:52 utc | 94

@ Posted by: p3t3r | Feb 14 2024 16:30 utc | 2
Thanks p3t3r for the reference to the very interesting book
1961. Fritz Fischer, Germany’s aims in the first world war. p.132 and following: available on archive.org.
It is facinating to see the simllarities or the continuity from the German foreign policy in 1914 to the current Washington foreibn policy at the frontiers of Russia.

Posted by: Richard L | Feb 14 2024 21:55 utc | 95

Someone doesn’t get it. Why did the Soviet Union and Russia today need aircraft carriers? Their only purpose after WW2 is gunboat diplomacy, which, to their credit, to the USSR didn’t and the RF doesn’t do. Their aircraft carrier was built by the Soviets to parade their snazz as a super power. Putin’s RF saw no point in building “floating coffins” as Larry Wilkerson tagged them and moth balled their old one. What the RF is building is a whole ton of light fast expendable missile frigates, ships that put the “coffin” in “floating coffin”.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 14 2024 21:42 utc | 90>/blockquote>
If that’s the case I’m not sure why Russia is bothering to hang on to even the one. Dismantle it already.
Russian floating coffins are sinking in the Black Sea right now! Maybe scrap the whole lot.

Posted by: Bye-bye Russia | Feb 14 2024 21:59 utc | 96

kupkee | Feb 14 2024 20:46 utc | 70
“Around harbored ships, put “log booms” which are floating logs chained end to end, including cable fencing dropping beneath the surface of the water. …Or go with chained floating buoys and cable fences.”
Just as they did in the Baltic to protect lagoons in the Napoleonic Wars!

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 14 2024 21:59 utc | 97

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 14 2024 21:09 utc | 79
Yep… and the Catholic Church is no saint in this battle. (Polish/ Catholic connection in Northwest Ukraine.) You also have a class struggle that’s been going on for years. The hobnobbing uppies “Ukies” from the north (Galicia) still living their Austria/Hungary empire dream, covered in “bling bling” looking pretty for the cameras. The Donbass Ukrainian to them, the “working class..the “scum” always looked down upon by the north.

Posted by: heavymetal101 | Feb 14 2024 22:01 utc | 98

Russia has already fought drones in the Black Sea without the consequence of WW3.
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/14/politics/us-drone-russian-jet-black-sea/index.html
The Russian pilot even received a recording.
Drone casualties are hard to play up as a reason for war as no human lives are involved.
In my view, the Russians should be much more consistent.
Always an aircraft nearby and, if necessary, “the drone has interfered with shipping and maritime signals, therefore …”.
Or the drones are not important. The Russians themselves must know that.
The landing ship was attacked but not sunk (telegram).
The Russian navy is learning the most in this conflict.
Perhaps they will prove with the ‘SS Richard Montgomery’ that they can also boil water?

Posted by: 600w | Feb 14 2024 22:13 utc | 99

This is really worth the 40USd a year-an excellent daily summary:
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/war-reports-2024-02-14
Remember to support Moon, Larry, Andrei, Brian, Caitlin, Simp, Sheerpost, Consortium, Grayzone, Intercept, Alaister Crooke, Mintpress and all the rest.

Posted by: Paul from Norway | Feb 14 2024 22:15 utc | 100