@ Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 7:06 utc | 103 who wrote
”
Let us see how Syrsky’s counterattack on Adveevka plays out. If it works, then the SMO will take significantly more time, if it fails on the other hand, troop shortages will turn critical very soon.
”
I agree and expect Adveevka to fall to Russia in the next few weeks. How much longer Ukraine will survive depends on if NATO’s coming military training escapade becomes boots on the ground in Ukraine….but even then not many more weeks/months till empire escalation plays out in Russia/China axis favor.
I keep thinking we are in the last 6 months or less of this global shit show and damn well hope I am correct….tired of seeing human loss/suffering.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 12 2024 7:36 utc | 104

Posted by: Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 7:06 utc | 103
Julian gets his intel from dead Australian politicians, presumably via seance. That and The Daily Telegraph, who insist that those unfortunates being handcuffed and bundled into the back of vehicles across what used to be known as Ukraine, will form a crack fighting squad that can easily hold off the Russian forces who are comprised entirely of convicts armed with shovels.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Feb 12 2024 9:15 utc | 106

Posted by: Dr. Rob Campbell | Feb 11 2024 15:01 utc | 5
Reading your weekly update I started to wonder why no one has thought of the most obvious reason for the difficulty and delay in getting rid of Zalushny: the severance package. Zalushny asked for more, the Jewish comedian wanted to give less, in the end they met midway as usual.
It still hasn’t come to the understanding of Western analysts that the high command of the Ukrainian army and all Ukrainian politicians are in this war not to win it, but to grab as much Western treasure as possible and then run away. The West knows it but it plays along because they have no other choice and because it’s not their money, it’s taxpayer money (although they imagine is just came into being out of nothing).

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Feb 12 2024 9:26 utc | 108

Противник подтверждает дальнейшее продвижение ВС РФ в северной части Авдеевки.
Также командование противника заявляет о задействовании резервов в районе Авдеевки из состава 3-й и 47-й бригад для стабилизации ситуации.
На текущий момент никаких решений об отводе сил противника из Авдеевки не предпринималось – противник, несмотря на очевидные риски, продолжает делать ставку на удержание города.
The enemy confirms the further advance of the Russian Armed Forces in the northern part of Avdiivka.
The enemy command also announces the use of reserves in the Avdiivka area from the 3rd and 47th brigades to stabilize the situation.
At the moment, no decisions have been made to withdraw enemy forces from Avdiivka – the enemy, despite the obvious risks, continues to rely on holding the city.
t.me/boris_rozhin/112664

Posted by: Avdiivka | Feb 12 2024 9:37 utc | 110

OK
According to Wyatt (DPA) Russia is now just 200m from the major supply route in Avdeevka,and the Railway is also cut.

Posted by: watcher | Feb 12 2024 9:43 utc | 112

Another Ukrainian unit west of Maryinka issued a warning to Zelensky – either get rotations and send government officials kids to the front like everyone else, or risk march on Kiev.
There probably won’t be any march on Kiev, but doubt the motivation for holding positions is too high, either.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 12 2024 10:33 utc | 114

How much longer Ukraine will survive depends on if NATO’s coming military training escapade becomes boots on the ground in Ukraine….
Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 12 2024 7:36 utc | 104
There is absolutely no scenario where “NATO” sends troop to Ukraine. The only country NATO has ever sent actual “troops”, for other than show, was Afghanistan…that didn’t end well.

Posted by: James M. | Feb 12 2024 11:06 utc | 116

I didn’t actually say the SMO was coming to an end I said the only reason you would plan to open a factory in Ukraine to bake bread was if you knew it was.
Posted by: Inki | Feb 12 2024 8:48 utc | 105
Actually it is possible for both the war to drag on for a year and the factories to be established. Most of the Western part of Ukraine is unharmed from the conflict, so the factory can be established there and wait till the war ends to start making real profit. After all very few investments are expected to pay dividends after the first year(s).

Posted by: Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 11:15 utc | 118

Tucker Carlson came to Moscow as a political envoy from the Republicans, and journalistic aspirations are a minor matter. Its task is to obtain clear information about Russia’s requests for Ukraine, including territory and security guarantees in the event that the West refuses assistance to Ukraine and directs its efforts to the Middle East and China.
They are discussing broad exchange schemes, essentially a geopolitical redivision of the world, where Ukraine will simply be exchanged, as the United States has done repeatedly in its history. People’s Deputy Dubinsky writes about these problems for our country, which the US elite is already discussing with the Kremlin.
https://t.me/rezident_ua/21614
Posted by: Down South | Feb 12 2024 9:35 utc | 109
This is interesting. I have heard some rumours that there was some sort of haggling in the background before the SMO started. The West offered settlement in Ukraine and in return the Russians were supposed to withdraw from Syria. Putin supposedly said that Ukraine was his anyway (or sth like that) and started the SMO. This could explain the efforts of the West for the war to drag on at all costs because otherwise the Istanbul agreements would have vindicated Putin and given him a small win while giving nothing back.
Again this is all hypothetical, take everything with a grain (or two) of salt.

Posted by: Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 11:31 utc | 120

They are discussing broad exchange schemes, essentially a geopolitical redivision of the world, where Ukraine will simply be exchanged, as the United States has done repeatedly in its history. People’s Deputy Dubinsky writes about these problems for our country, which the US elite is already discussing with the Kremlin.
https://t.me/rezident_ua/21614
Posted by: Down South | Feb 12 2024 9:35 utc | 109

This is interesting. I have heard some rumours that there was some sort of haggling in the background before the SMO started. The West offered settlement in Ukraine and in return the Russians were supposed to withdraw from Syria. Putin supposedly said that Ukraine was his anyway (or sth like that) and started the SMO. This could explain the efforts of the West for the war to drag on at all costs because otherwise the Istanbul agreements would have vindicated Putin and given him a small win while giving nothing back.
Posted by: Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 11:31 utc | 120

Syria is only a little bit less strategically important to Russia than Ukraine is and such an exchange will be a gigantic defeat. And a damning indictment on the Kremlin’s policies over the last 40 years.
What would we have in such a scenario?
1) The Kremlin gradually gives Ukraine away to the West without a fight, in the name of maintaining the status quo, i.e. Russian and Ukrainian oligarchs jointly loot the two territories and hand over much of the real value extracted to the West for a small percentage of the rent and maintain them as resource appendages with very little in terms of proper indigenous development, something that already was a catastrophic situation on its own.
2) The Kremlin then finds itself painted in a corner with no other option but to try to take it back by force, because the noble belief that our oligarchs and their oligarchs will work it all out somehow and we don’t have to burden ourselves with that pesky business of defending the country from strategic threats right on its border turned out to be precisely the bollocks that anyone with two functional neurons to rub together could see it is from the start.
3) However, the Kremlin once again refuses to bother with the pesky unpleasant business of being serious about things and gets the country bogged down into yet another bloody civil war with six-figure deaths due to a combination of not being properly prepared for war and not having the balls to use the means available at its disposal to stop the carnage (because, after all, we have to maintain good relationships with the dear partners, that is oh-so-very-important, because without good relationships with the dear partners the truly important people among us will not be able to hobnob with the truly important people among the dear partners in Davos and Courchevel, and what is the life of a million peasants worth in comparison to the unspeakable horror of the truly important people among us not be able to do that?).
4) Then the Kremlin extirpates itself out of the situation by making huge strategic concessions elsewhere.
What is the net balance and end result? A strategic loss in e.g. Syria, that never had to happen had the Kremlin not been inhabited by cowards and traitors, plus nukes in Finland (take a look at what the position of the person who the Finns just elected as their leader on that issue is), loss of Moldova, and all sorts of other new tight encirclements by NATO all along the perimeter. This despite what the publicly stated goals were in late 2021.
That would be such a grandiose win by the 5D chess masters that historians will fawn over the strategic genius behind it for centuries to come…

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 12 2024 11:55 utc | 122

“Brusilov’s genius was in developing a solution to the WWI problem of not being able to form a large force for a concentrated breakthrough. By pressuring all across the front, the losses from concentration could be mitigated while spreading the enemy thin. Many WWII red army offensives started the same way, with pressure everywhere and then reinforcing where the German lines broke for deep operations. (I don’t think we’ll see the breakthrough deep operations in Ukraine, rather a snowball gathering mass as it moves towards the Dnieper.)”
Posted by: Lex | Feb 11 2024 14:53 utc | 4
Excellent post.
I do have a quibble about the successful Brusilov (1916) offensive.
The standard military practice in WW1 was to fire artillery at your opponent for weeks to ‘soften the up for an attack’, where you were going to attack, eventually, with infantry. This tactic didn’t work very well because () It allowed the opponent time to marshal his counter forces as the ‘tell’ for the point of attack was the barrage and, (b) with so much artillery it ruined the ground putting potholes and ponds in the ground which hampered the attackers .
Brusilov was low on artillery so he did a short fierce artillery attack and then attacked surprising the Germans as they expected a week or longer artillery preparation.
I believe Brusilov’s success was one more of luck than military planning

Posted by: canuck | Feb 12 2024 12:09 utc | 124

The long predicted Disease X may have made its first public appearance on a Lufthansa flight from Thailand to Germany. The victim, a 63 year old German male, died on the flight throwing up blood and bleeding from the nose. The airplane returned to Thailand. The remaining passagers were then booked on a flight to Germany via Hong Kong.
Is round two pandemic some form of hemorrhagic fever?
https://nypost.com/2024/02/09/news/passenger-dies-mid-flight-after-blood-erupts-from-his-mouth-and-nose/
Posted by: Jerr | Feb 11 2024 18:43 utc | 42

Just stop it.
“Disease X” is their code name for an expected future pandemic, because a pandemic is always expected at any moment by default.
It is what you get with drastic global overpopulation, ever increasing encroachment on wildlife and pathogens being able to spread around the whole globe within 48 hours thanks to how connected the world is now.
Still, it would not be any catastrophe the way COVID was if public health was doing its job of containing outbreaks, but in the last four years public health was brutally murdered by corporate interests so we are defenseless now, and the next one will come very soon. Take a look at this, FFS:
https://www.thesun.co.uk/health/25700333/common-winter-illnesses-health-tips/

From measles to colds, seven common winter illnesses

Measles is now a “common winter illness” in the UK. This is how far we have fallen. Because there has been a growing measles epidemic in the UK and now spreading in Europe too thanks to the combination of decreasing vaccination rates in the aftermath of vaccination becoming a toxic subject because of COVID and the immunodeficiency that COVID itself causes, and we are just pretending it is not happening and calling it a “common winter illness”.
If they were going to use another disease to keep you lunatics locked down forever, they had a perfect opportunity to do that in 2022 with the global monkeypox outbreak that started back then (and still hasn’t been contained). Because monkeypox is a BSL4 pathogen and was always taken extremely seriously pre-COVID. But what did they do? Well, the UK just reclassified it out of the list of particularly dangerous pathogens into the one that they are not going to bother doing anything to stop. Fortunately for everyone in the short term, that particular global outbreak turned out to be both with an unusually mild strain and self limiting, but that was deeply unfortunate in the long run because for the last several months there has been a growing outbreak of the most severe known monkeypox strain (the one that kills 4-5% of people) in the DRC, and the reaction is the same as it was in 2022, global health authorities are in denial mode when it comes to real action.
Because the truth is that nobody wants to keep you locked down, they want you out there working and consuming and generating surplus for them, and lockdown is very bad for business, while people dying early (thus not eating up that surplus for two decades post-retirement) and being saddled with chronic health issues at a young age (just think of all that health “care” revenue!) is very good for business, which is why the proper public health response was actively sabotaged back in 2020 and we are stuck with endemic COVID.
P.S. How serious COVID itself is taken by the evil globalists and other elites is evident by the measures they are taking to protect themselves, at e.g. Davos (look it up) and also around someone like Putin (you usually see people in masks around him when the camera makes the mistake of doing a 360 around the room away from him, and when you don’t see people in masks, it is quite likely it is not the real Putin but some of the doubles). I am in fact surprised why the military isn’t taking it more seriously because it is not as if Russian elites didn’t lose a lot of people (Zhirinovsky most famously, but also many, many others e.g. Shoigu’s sister died of it too), and you regularly see the IRGC with masks in the videos that come out of Iran, to this day.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 12 2024 12:18 utc | 126

“I just had a several hours-long conversation with someone who believes Russia is the root of ALL evil taking place in the modern world.
All means ALL. No joke! She was “well-educated,” which in modern terms has come to mean grotesquely, obscenely, hopelessly brainwashed. Her mindset went far, far beyond mere indoctrination.
Reason and logic were wasted. Months of deprogramming may not have worked.”
Posted by: Mom C | Feb 11 2024 16:55 utc | 25
I think you must remember that humans are ‘herd animals’, unfortunately. Logic and reason are no match for latent survival instincts to stay in the herd.
The leaders of the herd are either psychopaths (Biden, Sunak, Netanyahu, Borell, Zelensky, van der Leyen)to exploit the Herd, or protectors like Putin or Orban.
Forty years ago, I had a Israeli professor at school who taught Medieval Studies. One day (he was talking about the pandemonium that occurred when armies sacked cities in the era) when the well dressed, pretty girls (out my league at the time as I was as poor as fucking dirt) were gossiping at the back of the classroom, and not for the first time, the professor at his wits end shouted out at the girls :”If the Russian army came into Toronto tomorrow afternoon; instead of shopping you girls would be prostitutes in the street”
That shut them up-today if he said that in a classroom he’d be fired before the next semester
”

Posted by: canuck | Feb 12 2024 12:43 utc | 128

I hope Trump will not let the Israeli lobby control him this during his second term. He had better not. I would ask whom you would suggest voting for?
Posted by: Áobh Ó’Sheachnasaigh | Feb 12 2024 4:29 utc | 94
____
Kicking the addiction to hopium is tough.

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 12 2024 12:50 utc | 130

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 12 2024 11:55 utc | 122
Word salad from Planet Haw Haw alert.
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 12 2024 12:18 utc | 126
Way to derail a thread. There must be a shortage of bad news for you, but “Putin’s body doubles” still get criticism for taking public health measures while you lament the lack of….public health measures 🤡 😂 wouldn’t one of your nukes get rid of the virus?
And don’t respond by saying that he had a point or that I’m picking on him. Tedious.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Feb 12 2024 13:16 utc | 132

by shаdοwbanned | Feb 12 2024 12:18 utc | 126
I do not understand this post. What is the beef there?
C-19 is just a flu strain. And I do not get the panic out of vaccination.
As the same goes for Yellow Fever, polio, hepatitis, meningitis, dengue etc.
50 years ago it was normal to receive a cocktail of vaccinations against all the diseases that you listed in your post, as per standard normality. Also when joining the military, you will be pumped by a cocktail, when leaving it, revaccinated.
All your vaccines are listed in your yellow passport. Otherwise, one cannot travel to critical areas, subtropical Africa and about.
Some folks in the USA that never moved outside their comfort zone make idiotic claims, putting magnets on their bodies, catching nano-bots and a similar nonsense. That is all BS.
All my children are fully vaccinated, I am, my partner, all being in a fine health. I do not know anyone, that suffered anything from being vaccinated. Of the people that I know and got C-19 some had it hard, some not so hard. Some nothing.
Anti vacc is to me, the same as Q-annon and the UFO…it is also channelled through such outlets.
I would question quality of food and such, not blame unverified claims and “I did my own research” folks.
That is all nonsense.
As the stories on Putin’s double, triple or what not.

Posted by: whirlX | Feb 12 2024 13:31 utc | 134

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Feb 12 2024 13:16 utc | 132
If you don’t like shadows output I have a simple solution for you: don’t read his posts.
To be frank you are the ‘tedious’ one on this issue.
I enjoy both your posts and shadows’.

Posted by: canuck | Feb 12 2024 13:40 utc | 136

Well, here is at least part 1/4 of Stone’s series of interviews with Putin.
https://youtu.be/4wvITVgzMKU?si=Ug2JpLC5Aj6rpIKD

Posted by: jared | Feb 12 2024 13:52 utc | 138

jared @ 133
Putin debunks Tucker Carlson’s warmongering anti-China propaganda, mocks his CIA ties
This is a good take down of Carlson’s job in the Putin interview, as I said he’s sophomoric always has been, the libertarian right in the USA is full of cognitive dissonance a weird combination of feeble and forced logic, if one doesn’t have a problem with that good for them but I stick with people that have a broad scope of history and make sense through and through like Michael Hudson or Richard Wolff.
Carlson’s real value here, and it is praiseworthy, is that he stepped in where the western diplomats stepped out, he knocked a couple bricks off the new wall going up between east and west. Hillary Clinton tagged him a useful idiot, he is but not how she conceives it, by opening up western discourse with Russia to try and rescue the bizarre idea of bringing them onboard to fight China, he threw a wrench in the spokes of neocon plans, Carlson might unwittingly help prevent or at least detour the neocon drive to WW3.
Sophomore, useful idiot, honest journalist, flawed diplomat, I say take what we can get.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 12 2024 14:02 utc | 140

https://t.me/zimovskyAL/29150

Rumored and authoritative.
Well, that is, crests can shoot down Il-76.
But we can’t shoot down An-124?
At least over gender-neutral waters?
(a rhetorical question)

(context — a HIMARS that was damaged by a Russian counterbattery strike was caught being transported to the US for repairs on a Ukrainian An-124)

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 12 2024 14:35 utc | 142

https://t.me/milinfolive/116102

The Pentagon abandoned the future attack reconnaissance helicopter program FARA (Future Attack Reconnaissance Aircraft), which has been running since 2018.
It is characteristic that the change in the modern battlefield in Ukraine was cited as the reason for the closure of the multi-billion-dollar and one of the most significant programs of the US Army in recent years.
Previously, it was assumed that a promising attack and reconnaissance helicopter should act as an armed reconnaissance helicopter on the battlefield. However, Pentagon officials said the U.S. Army can no longer rely on a manned vehicle to perform most armed reconnaissance missions – those tasks are now routinely performed by drones.
In addition to repealing FARA, the US Army also plans to stop purchasing UH-60V Black Hawk helicopters in fiscal year 2025 due to “significant cost increases.”

Posted by: anon2020 | Feb 12 2024 14:53 utc | 144

When I was a kid there was a brand of loaf bread called Colonial. Apparently it’s been revived as Neo-Colonial. Mmmm. . . —
MOSCOW, February 12. /TASS/. The West prepares to establish the office of a “proxy ruler” in Ukraine with constant access to Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky, Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) Director Sergey Naryshkin said in a statement.
“The West continues to strengthen the mechanisms of direct external management of Kiev-controlled territory,” Naryshkin said. “According to the obtained information, the US and the UK try to convince other G7 states to establish the office of a ‘special representative’ for Ukraine.”

Posted by: Elmagnostic | Feb 12 2024 15:11 utc | 146

Posted by: whirlX | Feb 12 2024 14:45 utc | 143
mRNA shots aren’t vaccines by the pre-2019 definition. I also can understand getting pressured by the fearmongering to an extent by why on Earth did you vaccinate your children who had no risk from clownvid19 while having serious myocarditis risk from the shots?
I also happen to know a lot of people harmed by the shots unfortunately.

Posted by: Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 15:34 utc | 148

@Modern Stoic #148
I believe that my lungs were harmed after the second shot of the Pfizer pseudo-vaccine. A ganglion under the arm that got the shot swelled to nearly 3cm diameter. I used to go out for a daily jog but I now just go for a walk. My doctor is clueless but he advised me to take annual shots of that vaccine. Of course I didn’t take the third shot.

Posted by: Richard L | Feb 12 2024 15:55 utc | 150

@ Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 15:34 utc | 148
whirlX said he and his were vaxxed with Sputnik V, which does not employ mRNA technology and has not been traced to cases of myocarditis.

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 12 2024 16:00 utc | 152

. . .Latin America, on the other hand, is not a place that Russia or China can project power effectively. They work there primarily by economic and diplomatic connections, with a small amount of military assistance, but the truth is that they cannot sustain even that if the US gets serious about blocking them, just as the US can’t deal with the Houthi, or win a war in the Taiwan straits. Geography matters.
Africa is rapidly being close to the US. India waffles, but ultimately knows that China and Russia are the ones that can butter their toast. SE Asia will have a period of cooperation with Fortress America, but I don’t see them being stupid enough to become another Ukraine, they just want to balance China a little bit. So what’s left? Latin America. Close, resource rich, relatively poor, with lots of very active fascists who would do anything for help against their revolution-minded peoples. The next phase is to divide the world in two down the middle of the oceans, with Fortress America having some unsinkable aircraft carriers in Japan, ROK, Australia, and similar- the next round of Israels.
I’m not saying they’ll succeed, but they’ll certainly try. They have been for awhile, with mixed results, but more resources are going to be applied going forward. If you want a job with the CIA, learn Spanish or Portugese.
Posted by: Honzo | Feb 11 2024 23:21 utc | 76

Yes, geography does indeed matter. What should be a starkly obvious truism is an insurmountably difficult concept for US neolibs to understand. The US has believed that it alone rules the world, all of it, for several decades. That it is entitled to engage in provocative actions off the coast of China, or dictate behavior in countries on the other side of the world, because it is the Chosen One, a manifest destiny of recent times. A byproduct of this delusional mindset is the Wolfowitz doctrine, the belief that the US must prevent any peer or near peer competitor from emerging anywhere in the world. Even potential regional powers must be kneecapped. It should not be surprising that more and more countries are pushing back on this arrogance.

The choice is obvious of course. Pushing America back into its own sphere of influence is what the Ukraine Russia war is a part of.
The question you have to ask is do Russia and China even care about Latin America? If they do there are proxies they can use to poke at the US. I suspect though that will only last until the US disengages from Eurasia.
Posted by: James M | Feb 12 2024 6:47 utc | 100

Yes the choice is obvious to other countries, but to the US it’s not. The US has a little over 4% of the world’s population. It is in a hemisphere, the Americas, with about a billion people. The rest of the 8 billion people live over there, on the other side of the world, and the largest lot in the Indo-Pacific region, whose aggregate economy is much larger than the US, or the America’s. And yet US leaders still believe that they can ‘manage’ what happens over there. It’s complete madness, yet this country persists in it. It’s realistic and rational for the US to believe that it is the big dog in its own hemisphere, but madness to believe that it is going to continue to tell China, Russia, and Iran what it can and cannot do. US beliefs are odious enough, coupled with delusional beliefs they are downright dangerous. I’d settle for realpolitik.

Posted by: Mike R | Feb 12 2024 16:09 utc | 154

From a German who has lived in Petersburg for about 17 years and has been to Donbass and other theaters of war. Has a connection to the Foreign Ministry spokeswoman in the Kremlin.
Excerpt on Putin’s conditions.
.
In this article I will list what Russia will demand in peace negotiations. I deliberately use the phrase “will demand” rather than “may demand” because I have learned a lot about this from sources and am therefore pretty sure that these are the demands that the Russian government will make. I’m not disseminating any secret information, because these things are discussed very openly in Moscow. The only reason I’m putting these things together here is because I haven’t seen an article that does this.
First of all, it should be said that the demands clearly show what I have reported again and again: Russia does not see itself at war with Ukraine, but rather it sees itself at war with the collective West. And since the West is dominated by the USA and the USA dictates policy to its satellites, practically all Russian demands are ultimately directed at the USA. There are no demands on Kiev or the EU because Moscow knows that the governments in Kiev and the EU states are not sovereign anyway and are largely just implementing instructions from Washington.
.
Let’s move on to the Russian demands.
Reinstate treaties broken by the US
The USA has terminated or even broken an enormous number of international treaties. The USA has terminated virtually all disarmament treaties with Russia over the last 20 years; you can find a compilation of the treaties here.
But there are also treaties that the US-led West has broken, for example the NATO-Russia Founding Act of 1997. In it, NATO made a binding commitment not to station any troops in the then newly added Eastern European NATO member states. As we know, NATO has long since violated the treaty, which is still in force, for example by the USA deploying its so-called “missile defenses” in Poland and Romania, or by deploying NATO troops in the Baltics.
NATO justifies these deployments with the alleged “Russian threat” that has arisen, but that does not change the fact that this is a blatant breach of a valid international treaty. And this is far from the only international treaty that the US has broken alone or together with its satellites.
During peace negotiations, Russia would demand the reinstatement or renegotiation of the disarmament treaties terminated by the USA (ABM, INF, NEW START Treaty and Open Skies Agreement). Russia would also demand the re-implementation of the NATO-Russia Founding Act. In general, Russia is likely to return to the demands it proposed to the US and NATO in the mutual security guarantees of December 2021. At that time, Russia called, among other things, for a Europe free of nuclear weapons, i.e. the withdrawal of US nuclear weapons in Europe, with Russia then moving its nuclear weapons behind the Urals.
The demand for reinstatement of existing agreements would also apply to the World Trade Organization (WTO), which the USA is currently dismantling, largely unnoticed by the Western media. Since the USA no longer likes the rules of the WTO, they are violating them and because the WTO arbitration tribunal finds them guilty, they ignore its rulings and prevent the appointment of new judges, so that the arbitration tribunal has now de facto become unable to trade. I already reported on a very interesting example of this in 2022.
Lifting of all
The Western economic sanctions are also a violation of international law, because only the UN Security Council can impose legal economic sanctions. And of course sanctions lead to breaches of contract if companies are no longer allowed to fulfill their contractual obligations overnight because of new sanctions.
Russia therefore demands that all illegally imposed sanctions be lifted.
The fact that Russian athletes are excluded from international competitions is also at the instigation of the West, which is abusing its power in international sports federations to politicize sport. The ban on Russian athletes and the curtailment of the rights of the Russian Olympic Committee are not formally sanctions, but they amount to the same thing, which is why Russia is allowing Russian athletes to participate in international competitions under the Russian flag and the full restoration of the rights of the Russian Olympic Committee demands.
Investigation into the shooting down of MH17
The alleged MH17 investigation and trial in the Netherlands was a farce.
.
“Nuremberg Tribunal 2.0”
As seen, none of the previous demands had anything to do with Ukraine. And this also applies to the remaining claims. Even if they concern Ukraine, you will see that these are things that Russia would discuss with the West or the international community. It goes on and on, I repeat, the East-West conflict is not about Ukraine, it is just the theater of the conflict, but the real problems do not lie in Ukraine.
Russia is calling for war crimes trials modeled on the Nuremberg Tribunal against those who promoted the state ideology of “Banderaism” in Ukraine, i.e. the worship of the Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera and his Nazi ideology. In the West it is often kept quiet, but today’s Ukraine, which is supposedly fighting for democracy, reveres a number of people as national heroes who were convicted war criminals, Nazi collaborators and SS men.
This is also the reason why the denazification of Ukraine is an absolutely serious demand from Russia. Russia is demanding, again following the denazification of Germany, the denazification of Ukraine under international control (for example by the UN Security Council) and a constitutional reform that restores the legal status of Ukraine as a neutral and actually democratic state, which Ukraine has achieved in its Independence written into its constitution.
In addition, Russia demands the initiation of criminal proceedings against perpetrators and war crimes committed by the so-called nationalist associations (e.g. Right Sector, Trisub), as well as against the “nationalist battalions” (“Azov”, “Aidar”, “Tornado”, etc.). the Ukrainian armed forces, the Ukrainian secret service SBU (which has maintained and maintains torture prisons in Ukraine, the torture has also been confirmed by the UNHCR) and the intelligence service of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense for the period since 2004, when these things occurred in the course of the so-called “Orange Revolution” have begun.
And last but not least, Russia also calls for the official condemnation of the coups in Ukraine carried out with the help of the USA and the EU, which destroyed Ukrainian statehood and turned Ukraine into an “anti-Russia”. The first coup was the “Orange Revolution” of 2004, in which, under pressure from the US-led West, a third round of presidential elections was held – which was not provided for in the Ukrainian constitution – so that the president wanted by the USA would ultimately win the election . The second coup that Russia has called for condemnation is the infamous Maidan of 2014.

Posted by: ossi | Feb 12 2024 16:31 utc | 156

#layout
The Western press writes what we immediately wrote about.
Due to personal selfish reshuffles in the army, the removal of Zaluzhny, Zelensky found himself in a situation where all the responsibility for failures in the military case would hit his image.
Ze also gave the West an excellent excuse in the future to slow down/cancel aid to Kiev.

@Legitimnyi

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 12 2024 16:44 utc | 158

West is preparing to appoint a governor in Ukraine (an insolvency administrator?)
.
The West is preparing to appoint a special envoy to Ukraine who will push for the “right decisions” in Kiev, the press office of the Russian foreign intelligence service quotes director Sergei Naryshkin as saying.
“According to information we have received, the USA and Great Britain are persuading other G7 countries to create the post of ‘special envoy’ for Ukraine. It is assumed that he will have constant access to President Vladimir Zelensky and about all his plans “The ‘special envoy’ will also have the task of blocking steps by the Ukrainian leadership that have not been agreed with Washington and London and instead offering what the Anglo-Saxons see as the right solutions.”
The West is thus further strengthening the mechanisms of its direct external control over the area controlled by the Kiev regime

Posted by: ossi | Feb 12 2024 16:46 utc | 160

Avdiivka may fall in the next “days or maximum of the week”
▪️ The Russian army is advancing in Avdiivka in two directions (marked in yellow): in the southeast and in the city center, writes BILD analyst Julian Ropke.
▪️ “The situation is becoming critical for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The situation is especially dangerous in the center, where the Russian Armed Forces are about 200 meters away from one of the last supply routes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (highlighted in green). There is another road to the south, but even there the Russian positions are hundreds of meters away, on the outskirts of the village of Severnoye. If these roads are cut, the city will be surrounded and fall,” Ropke said.
▪️According to his calculations, the width of the corridor of the Armed Forces of Ukraine between the positions of the Russian army has decreased to 4.85 km.
▪️The Russian army manages to advance due to an advantage of about 5:1 in artillery, air and in the number of troops. Often, only drones operate against advancing groups of Russian infantry.
▪️Earlier it was reported that Kyiv transferred the 3rd Assault Brigade to Avdiivka.
https://t.me/RVvoenkor/61949
…
The Russian army has almost cut Avdiivka into 2 parts, expanding the zone of control in the city and on the flanks
▪️Ukrainian propagandists publish new maps and panicked messages about the “extremely difficult situation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”
▪️Russian troops are storming the neighborhoods in the south and north, continuing to knock out the enemy and develop success, having cut the railway, they approached the “road of life” of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, now the enemy maintains communication with the garrison in the southern part with the help of field roads.
▪️”Incredibly heavy fighting continues, the Russians have successes in many areas”
▪️”In the northern part of Avdiivka, the Russians have advanced, there is heavy fighting in the area of the garden partnership west of the railway and along Stepova, Nezalezhnosti and Sapronova streets.”
“In the north of Avdiivka, Russian troops have entrenched themselves on the territory of dachas west of the railway and advanced along Timiryazev and Selkhoztekhnika streets in an area up to 920 m wide to a depth of 200 m.
▪️”In the south of Avdiivka, the Russian Armed Forces advanced south of Chernyshevsky Street and entered the territory of the Agrokhimik ST. Added a red zone in an area up to 450 m wide to a depth of 300 m.”
▪️The advance of the Russian Armed Forces on the flanks also continues: ours are knocking out the Armed Forces of Ukraine, taking almost half of Pervomaiskoye.
▪️”East of Opytne, the Russian infantry entrenched along the forest belt in the direction of the Zenit missile defense to a depth of 450 meters,” the enemy also said in reports.
▪️The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported in the morning report that the Russian Armed Forces carried out 41 attacks: 23 attacks near Avdiivka and 18 attacks south of Tonenke, near Pervomaiske and Nevelske.
https://t.me/RVvoenkor/61953

Posted by: Avdiivka | Feb 12 2024 16:59 utc | 162

by: whirlX | Feb 12 2024 14:45 utc | 143
If you believe the Moon landings hoax, with tech from the 1960s, but not replicated in 50 years despite the tremendous military value of a lunar base, just because the Soviets kept quiet… you are probably an American patriot.

Posted by: Biochar | Feb 12 2024 17:13 utc | 164

whirlX | Feb 12 2024 17:10 utc | 163
*** Question is which other bastard is going to head NATO? Rutte, v.d. Leyen or Baerbock? Or someone even worse, although that seems to be really hard to find.***
Reasonably sure now that it will be David Cameron.

Posted by: Cynic | Feb 12 2024 17:23 utc | 166

The Tucker – President Putin interview snagged 140 million views just in the first 24 hours, an amazing figure, and many millions afteward.
Putin allowed the interview because he knew it would provide him with a forum that completely by passed the MSM censorship in the UK and US and the EU, and it worked beautifly……
I have no complaints about the questions or the answers, both were erudite……
Putin who spoke at length without any notes (totally unlike the senile Joe Biden) spoke directly to a worldwide audience……
The interview was thus a huge success……….Putin got more US views than a Presidential State of the Union speech……..five thumbs up…

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Feb 12 2024 17:55 utc | 168

{various personnel changes in Ukraine}
Posted by: ossi | Feb 11 2024 14:27 utc | 3
What do we know about the vita of these replacements?
Reason to ask:
About a week ago rumors came up that Selensky was pushed by the US
to replace his governing entourage with US educated (nominally Ukrainian) individuals.

Posted by: MAKK | Feb 12 2024 18:13 utc | 170

The price of Avdeevka
The Ukrainian armed forces plan to deploy one of their best brigades to hold the front line in Avdeyevka, reports Forbes magazine. The Ukrainian military commanders decided to take this step because “Ukrainian troops are taking a big risk with their decision to stay and fight.”
Forbes believes that the replacement of Valery Saluzhny by Alexander Syrsky as commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces may have signaled Zelensky’s intention to fight for Avdeyevka “even at a high price.” Syrsky, unlike Saluzhny, has a reputation as a commander willing to accept heavy losses in battles.
A stadtholder of the West in Kyiv
The West is preparing to establish the position of a “special envoy” to Ukraine who will have constant access to Zelensky, SVR director Sergei Naryshkin said in a statement. “The West continues to strengthen the mechanisms of direct foreign control of the territory controlled by the Kiev regime,” Naryshkin said.
He pointed out that the “special envoy” must also block steps by the Ukrainian leadership that “are not agreed with Washington and London, and instead offer correct solutions from an Anglo-Saxon perspective.” It is possible that NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg could become such a governor in Kiev at the end of his term in office.
According to Naryshkin, “Washington and London fear betrayal on the part of many representatives of the Kiev elite, who might try to play a proactive game by switching in advance to the side of the future winners (Russia, note TASS).” “And these fears are quite justified, the first ones are already gone,” he emphasized, while noting that “the implementation of the idea of appointing a ‘city holder’ in Ukraine is highly unlikely to lead to the results desired by the USA and Great Britain.” .
Grenades from Germany
The German arms company Rheinmetall wants to increase its production capacity for artillery shells to 700,000 units per year by 2025, said CEO Armin Papperger. Until then, Ukraine will continue to be dependent on US stocks. “We are doubling or tripling the capacity in some plants to produce gunpowder, which is particularly needed for the production of artillery shells,” he said.
Ukrainian grain in Poland
The Ukrainian embassy in Poland has asked local police to open an investigation after an incident at the border in which Polish farmers spilled grain from Ukrainian trucks, Ukrainian Ambassador to Warsaw Vasili Zvarych said. He added that Ukraine insists on bringing the perpetrators to justice and expects the Polish authorities not to repeat such incidents. More than 1,000 Ukrainian trucks are waiting for an opportunity to enter Ukraine at two checkpoints blocked by Polish farmers, Ukraine Border Guard spokesman Andrei Demchenko said. About 1,000 more trucks are queuing at the Krakivets-Korcheva checkpoint.
Representatives of the Polish authorities stated that they intended to check all grain that enters other EU countries from Ukraine via Polish territory for compliance with Community quality standards. According to Polish Deputy Agriculture Minister Michal Kolodziejczak, the grain that Germany imports from Ukraine, for example, can be resold to Poland as “European” after German control bodies have determined its “poor quality”.
.
Because Ukrainian wheat is subject to quality controls in Germany, but it often contains pesticides or is genetically modified… because it was never intended for the European market by its owners, the US corporations.

Posted by: Ossi | Feb 12 2024 18:42 utc | 172

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 12 2024 11:55 utc | 122
——————————
So basically you are creating possible scenarios that allow you to accuse Putin of being a treator. “He could do that, hence he is a traitor”.
But perhaps those scenarios are precisely the reason for Putin to NOT negotiate with the West, NATO, EU because he knows that no amount of signatures on a paper will guarantee the observance of its content?

Posted by: scc | Feb 12 2024 18:46 utc | 174

Their commander Kukharchuk, after the last defeat of the brigade, said: I do not believe that we will win. I do not believe that we are fighting degenerates. We are all heirs of the Soviet Army. But the Russian one is bigger today.
Posted by: anon2020 | Feb 12 2024 18:48 utc | 175
Nothing like a bit of artillery to pound some sense into a thick skull.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 12 2024 18:54 utc | 176

Honzo @ 169

Sorry, Tucker is none of those things: He’s a CIA asset. Read his father’s Bio- Dick Carlson. Then look at how Tucker rose to fame and fortune, how he was ‘fired’ by Fox to give him street cred, how he ‘landed on his feet’ with wealthy backers, and how he is now under the wing of Elon Musk, MIC billionaire with DoD contracts up the ass.

I’ll buy that, best explanation yet. I knew of his CIA background, once CIA always CIA, at least if you’re a dork.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 12 2024 19:25 utc | 178

[ Album ]
🪖 The Russian Air Force has destroyed an underground command post of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Avdeevka with FABs (high-explosive aerial bombs)
The first results of the massive FAB-1500 strikes on the AFU’s most serious fortification became known today. It is reported that about 10 officers of the AFU and Special Operations Forces were killed, more than 20 wounded.
💥 The strike was carried out by the Russian Armed Forces on 11 February by several gliding bombs at once.
🇷🇺 Heavy fighting is also reported near Industrialnaya Street in the Avdeevka direction. It is assumed that Russian army will manage to reach it by night. This will mean that the enemy grouping in the southern part of Avdeevka may be completely encircled.
https://t.me/druschbaFm_en/33744

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 12 2024 19:48 utc | 180

Some Ukrainians have understood …
https://t.me/MilitaryNewsEN/14312
Too bad Baerbock wasn’t there.
“It’s for a good cause.”
I would have been really interested in the reaction.

Posted by: 600w | Feb 12 2024 19:58 utc | 182

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 12 2024 19:55 utc | 181
Not sure about that. But one might assume those train cars could form a structure for underground shelters. I.e. dig a trench and sink them in.
Whatever defensive lines they are building are most likely not for Ukraine per se, they are, in case, Nato decides to attempt sending a force into Ukraine. At this point the they are so high on their own propaganda that they might actually try to send troops into eastern Ukraine.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 12 2024 20:03 utc | 184

@malenkov | Feb 12 2024 19:38 utc | 179
My bad. I missed that detail.

Posted by: Paranaense | Feb 12 2024 20:10 utc | 186

Have you ever seen the camouflage of this train (of which there are 3) against satellite images?
A kind of tarpaulin is stretched over the entire train, with rails and sleepers shown in 3D on the top, including the surrounding conditions.
The train can mine its surroundings within a radius of approx. 2 miles…after modernization, it carries Russia’s largest intercontinental hypersonic missile with up to 16 hypersonic warheads…is therefore the ONLY mobile carrier of this missile!
And, in its basic features, it is No development under Putin…we saw the old version in Novosibirsk in 1986…without initially even understanding that this is a fortress on wheels, let alone the dimensions…5 Diesellock + 12 self-propelled wagons ..NO your imagination your imagination is not enough for that…Russia is a big, very big country…4 times you can hide the entire USA in it…and Russians are masters at hiding

Posted by: Ossi | Feb 12 2024 20:19 utc | 188

@ Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 20:22 utc | 189
Nice shifting of goalposts.
Anyway the entirely risk-free vaccine — for anything — has yet to be invented.

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 12 2024 20:25 utc | 190

@ LightYearsFromHome | Feb 12 2024 20:11 utc | 187
True enough, although the differences in composition between Sputnik V and the other viral vector products are well known — to say nothing of the difference in manufacturing quality (which plagued Janssen/J&J in particular).

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 12 2024 20:28 utc | 192

@malenkov | Feb 12 2024 20:25 utc | 190
What we do know about COVID-19 is that it presents the greatest risk to the elderly and those with seriously compromised health. There appears to be little to no benefit for the average person, and none for the young. Any vaccine, mRNA or otherwise, is a risk without tangible benefit.

Posted by: Paranaense | Feb 12 2024 20:36 utc | 194

You might want to do some more research.
Posted by: Paranaense | Feb 12 2024 18:55 utc | 177
____
…and YOU might want to read the part where he said he was vaxxed with Sputnik V, not one of those dodgy mRNA “vaccines.”
Posted by: malenkov | Feb 12 2024 19:38 utc | 179

Correct. At the time I didn’t know anything about xRNA, yDNA or what not. It is a vaccine, apparently helps and it is Russian made and they take it – just like vodka.
I do not believe for a moment, when infectious disease spreads about and there is a prevention possible, that one goes to “internet virologists and scientists” and researches on the subject forever. I still do not know the difference, nor do I care.
Me and my wife took 2 shots in 3 weeks, children were not vaccinated for this, but they have their obligatory cocktails at 1 y.o. and 4 y.o. that make them healthier and safer, than non-vaccinated pale kids of my local vegan bio-mamas doing research on the net.
What I caught was that amount of sugars that keep the Pfizer vaccine active was too high in some cases in a fist few batches, and that purifying water was rushed by Modena, so that the vaccine volume can be reached on time.
As for Pfizer and the others, I am sure they rushed it in a drang-nach-profit, but I seriously doubt in claims that it was a plot planned and that such thing also works with HAARP and a new brain wave control system based in Morocco.
It is a solar plant in a desert, and HAARP is ionosphere research station open to all University students.
That sums it for me so, as that Gran Telescopio Canarias is anti-alien weapon.
As the same as the UFO, as for everything else that was trumpeted last 25 years though loonies, exercising 1st Amendment on the air and through TV waves.
That is all psy-op BS. Silly enough, to not to believe it.
In 2009, I was at the Frankfurt Airport coming from abroad, being deprived of the recent news and there was a panic on some bird-flu strain, SARS thing. A German policeman came to me and gave me the mask to put it on, explaining the situation. I had no problem with it.
10 years later, masks were symbol of a resistance and a quick profit. That is how weird all that sounds, now.
What I have the problem is why Ukrainian bio-labs are not shoved up the USA rear, by the recent Tucker’s chance to present non-filtered info from a very reliable source – Putin?
Only for that, the Soviets would flatten the half of Europe and 1/3 of cities in the USA, if those were the thing.
Apparently bio-labs were not that much of the value to make a bigger fuss.
But we want to know, what those were. Sure.

Posted by: whirlX | Feb 12 2024 20:50 utc | 196

If someone had a really smart idea that train is a quick way to deploy a drone/EW/AD screen to protect a staging area. You can’t protect from satellites but you can sure have some protection from Himars strikes.
Take down the trenches, then stage all the mineclearing equipment you can muster and try to break a 30km front. Trenches only are stable due to FPV but the “total visibility” of the battlefield with FPV has less than 10km range. Going far and fast is protection as well. Amass a ton of Lancets and recon drones to strike all armor. With local air superiority how would UAF stop this?
At this point there is a good likelihood of a rout, there is no way reserves in significant numbers could be brought in to stop an assault. Without the trenches and dugouts iin open fields will be a turkey shoot, stopping in villages attracts FABs. Running troops can’t be supplied so that ends on day three with mass surrender.

Posted by: SOS | Feb 12 2024 20:59 utc | 198

@Posted by: Modern Stoic | Feb 12 2024 20:54 utc | 197
Syrskyi is doing exactly what the Russians want him to do, pull troops away from other areas of the front and his best remaining troops from the reserves and waste them needlessly against the entrenched Russian positions just as the weather starts to turn bad for offence (unless you are already inside a city, as the Russians are in Avdiivka). The transport and massing of those troops also make it much easier for them to be attrited by missiles, bombs, shells and drones.
Meantime, the Ukrainian lines in front of Chasiv Yar and Terny are also giving way. With the Ukrainians bled white at Avdiivka, and stretched at Chasiv Yar, Terny and near Kupyansk the opening of another front by the Russians in the spring (April) could really break things open. At the same time, Ukrainian society is breaking down as the elites try to kidnap yet more of the population to act as cannon fodder at the front. Feels a lot like late 1918 with the addition of the US troops, and the collapse of the German home front, creating a rapid collapse of the Germans after four years of war. It doesn’t help that the new Ukrainian military commander has absolutely no respect from his troops and is seen as a needless butcher.

Posted by: Roger | Feb 12 2024 21:03 utc | 200