The issue with Ukraine negotiating remains the same: Zelensky won’t survive without the war. Most likely the Ukrainian state won’t survive without the war. And the US is not going to want the reputational damage of backing down. Biden’s most likely path to get out of Ukraine is to just stop funding it and blame that on republicans.
Meanwhile the developing Brusilov type offensive is starting to slowly snowball. The exponential divergence of attrition warfare is also starting to show. Massive reinforcement to Chasov Yar is being reported, but Avdeevka needs massive reinforcement too.
Brusilov’s genius was in developing a solution to the WWI problem of not being able to form a large force for a concentrated breakthrough. By pressuring all across the front, the losses from concentration could be mitigated while spreading the enemy thin. Many WWII red army offensives started the same way, with pressure everywhere and then reinforcing where the German lines broke for deep operations. (I don’t think we’ll see the breakthrough deep operations in Ukraine, rather a snowball gathering mass as it moves towards the Dnieper.)

Posted by: Lex | Feb 11 2024 14:53 utc | 4

” Meanwhile the developing Brusilov type offensive is starting to slowly snowball. The exponential divergence of attrition warfare is also starting to show. Massive reinforcement to Chasov Yar is being reported, but Avdeevka needs massive reinforcement too. ”
.
.
And the stupidest general or leader should realize why this is happening!
Withdraw forces from those positions that interest me (in this case Putin) more and that I haven’t gotten to yet.
Keyword Odessa, from there almost all the gaps that arise due to the withdrawal of other forces are closed.
For some reason the Ukrainian leadership apparently thinks that Putin will not attack or move forward.
It’s only a few kilometers from the front down there to Odessa.
BUT let’s wait and see!
.
https://liveuamap.com/

Posted by: ossi | Feb 11 2024 15:03 utc | 6

7
frozen bakery will be for the US market and US military bases in Europe.
USAAID guarantees to purchase the products.
furthermore this year mexico took over china since 2002 for the exports to the STATES
This is the US policy, to dump chinese imports or supplies
https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Trade/Mexico-replaces-China-as-top-exporter-to-U.S.-in-2023

Posted by: Falco | Feb 11 2024 15:16 utc | 8

Obviously Ukraine is toast. The slaughter will continue so as to avoid having the demonratic ‘party’ shamed prior to the fraud fest to be unleashed in November. It’s becoming increasingly clear that Poland is likely to be sacrificed next.
Prepare accordingly.

Posted by: Robert Hope | Feb 11 2024 15:42 utc | 10

Posted by: Robert Hope | Feb 11 2024 15:42 utc | 10
Finland also, probably.
What has occurred is they have shut down the border on basis of a hoax ‘illegal immigration’ crisis. Initially the shutdown was from early Dec to early Feb, but has been extended to late April. Not only that, but they have suddenly stopped all communication with Russia or its government for inexplicable reasons (albeit, maybe the reason is obvious to some).
US has signed DCA contracts with both Sweden and Finland which essentially means they have given up territorial claims on certain parts of the land in benefit of the US being able to install or do what it wants. What is ominous is there are no clauses at all, what US can do with that land.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 11 2024 15:50 utc | 12

@Falco
Verpiss dich.

Posted by: Apollyon | Feb 11 2024 15:58 utc | 14

There wont be any kinzhal hits.
Not with this puppies in kremlin.
Posted by: Falco | Feb 11 2024 15:53 utc | 13
.
.
Now you weirdo…
I live and work in Germany!
I’m sorry, I’ve NEVER heard anything about investing in Ukraine. Except of course the speeches from Economics Minister Habeck…who even gives guarantees for compensation if a Kinzal ever arrives!
BUT…only for defense companies, not for bread rolls!
To the Kremlin:
You are from Germany ??
Then you also know the saying: He who laughs last (…)
or ..Time is currently working for whom…Putin or Sylenski?
I hope I have enough IQ to answer that?

Posted by: ossi | Feb 11 2024 16:06 utc | 16

What is ominous is there are no clauses at all, what US can do with that land.
Posted by: unimperator | Feb 11 2024 15:50 utc | 12

my uneducated bet would be some more biolabs among longrange missile sites, and some “abm” installations. for defense, of course.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 11 2024 16:11 utc | 18

my friend tom shared this 7 minute video.. i highly recommend it released the past 24 hours..
basically how the uk was heavily involved in the ukraine ports prior to 2014 which partly explains bojo, or bozo’s wanting to cancel the peace agreement worked on in april 22… it also discusses the impact of the feb 10th 2024 kinzail attacks on these same ports and more..
Russian KINZHAL Hypersonic Missiles Rained Down on UK Military Installations In ODESSA and NIKOLAYEV

Posted by: james | Feb 11 2024 16:13 utc | 20

16
Why it matters where do u live & what u ve heard?
Maybe u should do some research about the new USAAID offer to german companies
Only from sitting in the sofa and waiting to „hear“ something nobody reached anything
My friend has applied with financial support from USAID to produce canned food in Ukraine
Therefore he moves his production from Slovakia to Ukraine only to reive the US funding and purchase guarantees
Actually its nothing new only that since Monday they offer to cover 50% of financing costs PLUS take over of corporate tax!!!

Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 11 2024 16:28 utc | 22

Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 11 2024 16:28 utc | 22
.
.
As far as guarantees from the USA are concerned…well, the world can tell a thing or two about it.
And by the way, I travel internationally, which gives me an advantage over you!
I speak Russian fluently, I spent a year in Ukraine (job) and I know the world’s opinion about the USA.
Oh yes, just about 14% of the world’s population calls themselves THE West…the remaining 86%’s opinions about guarantees from the USA are interesting.
For example, LNG terminal expansion in the USA to supply Europe…OH yes canceled by Biden…guarantees.

Posted by: Ossi | Feb 11 2024 16:40 utc | 24

@ Mom C | Feb 11 2024 16:55 utc | 25
she is probably looking for a gig at some usa/uk think tank and has to show her credentials, lol.. maybe soros or someone will pick her up… this is what desperate people do, lol..

Posted by: james | Feb 11 2024 17:01 utc | 26

24
Duly noted but LNG is another league
As concerned the new USAID it is targeting smaller to middle sized enterprises to move or expand business activities into Ukraine.
But this is really nothing new!
The empire of evil tries every throughout their USD printing machine
Only whats really interesting is now that they want to cover 50% of financing costs & corporate tax.
This is really interesting in combination with the cheap labour costs in Ukraine
Btw similar discussion i ve found on the new Palestinian thread where one commentator wrote:
Even Israel’s Aaa rating can’t stand without the US. Moody’s report: “Israel’s backed senior unsecured rating has been affirmed at Aaa. The related issuances benefit from an irrevocable, on-demand guarantee provided by the Government of the United States of America (Aaa negative) with the government acting through USAID. The notes benefit explicitly from “the full faith and credit of the US” and as per prospectus, USAID is obligated to pay within three business days if the guarantee is called upon.”
Don’t ask me how an Aaa negative can guarantee an Aaa and not the other way around.

Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 11 2024 17:11 utc | 28

As concerned the new USAID it is targeting smaller to middle sized enterprises to move or expand business activities into Ukraine.
Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 11 2024 17:11 utc | 28

i find this interesting. “moving” into ukraine.
does the us pay up-front?
seeing how many say that the primary target is the eu, destroying the middle-sized enterprises by telling them to move into ua, only to be shelled be ru at some point is a good way to destroy more eu businesses.
personally i dont believe this to be the case, but nowadays the us is capable of anything…

Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 11 2024 17:24 utc | 30

* Carlsons interview with Putin (the fanbase, viewer from TC are more opposition)
* and the teaching of the little uneducated Carlsons fanbase in this interview – i mean not so interested in Europe …
Posted by: theo | Feb 11 2024 16:30 utc | 23
Any data to support your claims? I don’t think you can provide that.
Have you, in your limited knowledge, ever considered that with 191,000,000 impressions of Carlson-Putin interview, may be, just may be, “educated” global south people, now are exposed to the need of a multi-polar world?

Posted by: KitaySupporter | Feb 11 2024 17:28 utc | 32

“Only reason why our company has selected this route.
Many Many more companies and investors will follow.
Unbelievable what the US is ready to pay”
If you believe the Americans, go ahead. Ukraine believed them!

Posted by: g wiltek | Feb 11 2024 17:50 utc | 34

Posted by: SlowSoft | Feb 11 2024 17:11 utc | 28
It is a net-zero sum game. Any sort of aid or investment to Ukraine will merely be at the expense of and screw other European countries, especially those who receive net subsidies like Poland, Spain, and pretty every country in Southern Europe.
It merely transfers ‘productive assets’ from one part of the west to another part of the west. The net benefit as such is not clear at all, and rump Ukraine in EU will merely weaken EU and raise taxes, and piss off those who lose subsidies, especially including Poland.
They are just doing it ‘because Russia’. There is little economic growth to distribute.
At least Lwow and Ivano Frankivsk should be burning before all is said and done, to level the playing field with Eastern Ukraine. After that we will see how the west builds up Lwow vs. how the BRICS builds up Donbass, Odessa all the way to the Hungarian border.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 11 2024 18:02 utc | 36

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Front #Summary for 11 Feb 2024 by 18:35⚡️
🔹In #Kherson Direction, our forces are holding defence on the islands and narrowing the ” springboard” in #Krynki, unfortunately with losses.
🔹In #Zaporozhye Direction, near #Rabotino, our units attempted to attack with armoured vehicles. The attack was thwarted, again by drones. Northwest of #Verbovoye ours advanced by about 1km.
🔹In #SouthDonetsk Direction, our successes in #Georgiyevka are confirmed. There is an assault on the centre along Zhovtneva Street. Our troops are advancing at a rapid pace in #Novomikhaylovka, already controlling about 30% of the village from the east, with fighting ongoing in the centre. Another breakthrough in the AFU defence is recorded west of #Sladkoye. Our Forces are moving along the motorway to encircle #Ugledar. Western experts assess the situation around #Ugledar as critical for the AFU.
🔹In #Donetsk Direction, the Ukrainian #Avdeyevka garrison is actually in an operational encirclement, our army controls about a quarter of the city. The AFU still has a choice, to go out on foot along the dirt roads, trying to strike towards #Vodyanoye and #Opytnoye to somehow secure the withdrawal of the main forces. Or keep the defence in Coke Plant and the Khimik microdistrict. Syrsky is sending reserves to #Avdeyevka in an attempt to stabilise the front. He seems to have chosen defence to the last. The main supply route is under heavy fire of our army, we are about 300m away from it. The AFU are setting up a supply line on the dirt road from #Lastochkino. Ours with fighting entered the motor depot, clean Timiryazevskaya street, the AFU are retreating. Half of the southern bank of the quarry and the streets nearby are also for our forces. The AFU missed the opportunity to turn the situation around.
🔹In #Bakhmut Direction, The AFU were knocked out behind the railway at the alabaster ponds east of #Kleshcheyevka. At #Khromovo the movement of our forces has stalled, but ours are holding the recently taken positions west of the cemetery. Against the background of our advance at #Bogdanovka, reinforcements and equipment are also being moved there. At Chasov Yar along the Seversky Donets canal, the AFU positions are reinforced with tanks and Bradley buried in caponiers. A forced evacuation of residents has been announced.
🔹In #Svatovo Direction, the AFU, having thrown its main forces into eliminating the breakthrough of our forces near #Tabayevka, denuded the northern flank of #Kupyansk and now we are seeing a maneuver of our army towards #Petropavlovka. At #Ivanovka, our army advanced by 1km, breaking through the first line of AFU defence. Fighting for #Sinkivka has intensified, having bypassed the village, ours are developing success, half of the village is behind us.
💥The #Donetsk shelling has significantly decreased. Only 5 over the day and not a single wounded person, whereas earlier there could have been more than 100. This is an excellent trend.
🎯At Night, there was a mass launching of Geraniums. In #Dnepropetrovsk region a military workshop and a warehouse with parts have been hit. There were explosions in #Odessa and #Nikolayev regions, as well as in #Kiev. It is known about warehouses and hangars damaged in the capital.

https://t.me/sitreports/22772

Posted by: Down South | Feb 11 2024 18:23 utc | 38

🔥🔥Syrsky’s offensive
In addition to the danger of a coup d’etat, Zaluzhny was also cautious and refused to take risks and carry out powerful offensive operations, which certainly at least somehow equalized the ratio of losses.
But this categorically does not suit the Office, which urgently needs Western help, and with the constant losses of one village after another, it is difficult to knock it out. It is important to demonstrate possibilities, not dead ends. Plus, Syrsky clearly needs a different press and increased authority.
In this light, a sudden offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces after creating an advantage on a specific section of the front seems logical. The most logical section of the front for this seems to be the northern face of the Avdeevsky half-cauldron.
In addition, it is no longer news that not just reserves, but the best reserves have been deployed near Avdievka.
Discussed with colleagues:
In favor of this decision.
✅ Cheese is called “butcher”. those. it is ideal for such an operation.
✅ Ze urgently needs a victory to interrupt the negative trend.
✅ The Armed Forces of Ukraine have reserves for one operational-tactical level operation.
✅ The best reserves have been deployed near Avdeevka.
Against.
❌ Obviousness of the plan. The Russians clearly hold reserves for a flank attack (B).
❌ Cautious tactics of the Russians, who are constantly expanding their “wings”. Even for a small breakthrough (B) the Ukrainian Armed Forces will have to travel almost 6 km, and for a large one – 9, and this is almost as long as the half of Rabotino was covered in the summer.
❌ Russian “distributed pressure” tactics. If the Ukrainian Armed Forces concentrate their best forces in one area, the Russians will go after the rest, and this is a huge risk, given their superiority and initiative.
❌ The Avdeevsk garrison has almost lost its offensive potential, which means there will be no need to count on a strike from inside the boiler.
Overall, this scenario has both pros and cons. Let’s see what Ermak chooses🧩

https://t.me/ZeRada1/18114

Colleagues, last year Zaluzhny asked Zelensky to withdraw troops from Bakhmut and not waste his best reserves, but headquarters decided to hold the city. When Bakhmut fell, Syrsky decided to encircle him and again spent his best reserves, and now the enemy is fighting for Chaosv Yar.
In Avdiivka, the situation is very complicated and our garrison is in an operational environment, but instead of saving units, Zelensky demands to hold the city and spend reserves.
In fact, Syrsky will repeat the fate of Bakhmut in Avdeevka, but with the difference that he is already the Commander-in-Chief.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/21610

Posted by: Down South | Feb 11 2024 18:30 utc | 40

All the Ukraine battle-rattle here may soon be a thing of the past.
The long predicted Disease X may have made its first public appearance on a Lufthansa flight from Thailand to Germany. The victim, a 63 year old German male, died on the flight throwing up blood and bleeding from the nose. The airplane returned to Thailand. The remaining passagers were then booked on a flight to Germany via Hong Kong.
Is round two pandemic some form of hemorrhagic fever?
https://nypost.com/2024/02/09/news/passenger-dies-mid-flight-after-blood-erupts-from-his-mouth-and-nose/

Posted by: Jerr | Feb 11 2024 18:43 utc | 42

Regarding the 50% investment support of USAID:
This is nothing new, it was called Global Development Alliances until last year but they changed its name to something like Private Partnership Pathway (or something like that, can’t remember). Here’s an info page for Germans which outlines the conditions:
https://wirtschaft-entwicklung.de/foerderdatenbank-entwicklungslaender/global-development-alliance/
USAID obviously uses this to attract European businesses to Ukraine. The EU has similar programs. It’s basically “globalization” on a smaller, EU-internal scale and comes with the same disadvantages for the countries of the businesses using such programs. Their citizens will pay for it by loosing their jobs etc.

Posted by: Zet | Feb 11 2024 18:48 utc | 44

I think TC played the not so educated one … ask your self why he be or played this not so prepared
Posted by: theo | Feb 11 2024 17:58 utc | 35
Tucker Carlson has been threatened by the Empire. There is a very real threat that he will be Assange’d or Seth Rich’d.
There was no way he was going to show what he knows about the SMO, because they would use that against him.
So he played ignorant.
Will that protect him? We’ll see.
He did try to get Putin to explain denazification. I think that Putin blew his chance to explain how the US support4ed and pushed Nazi ideology into Ukrainian society and schools. Tucker asked him 3 times to be specific, but he never talked about the schoolbooks, or the summer camps, or the statues, or the persecution allowed by the authorities. Divide and conquer, indeed.
He actually said something about destroying the people who believe in it, or something like that.
It’s just as well there is a media blackout on the interview, because the Mighty Wurlitzer could make hay with that one.

Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 11 2024 18:53 utc | 46

The most astonishing fact about Western culture is the broad and deep acceptance of lying. It sometimes feels like I’m the main character in “They Live” with a magic pair of sunglasses.
Posted by: Eighthman | Feb 11 2024 18:44 utc | 43
There’s no need to be surprised about this, lies are an elementary part of culture in the West, you can find them thousands of times in every discount store…

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Feb 11 2024 18:58 utc | 48

wagelaborer | Feb 11 2024 18:53 utc | 46
Yes he sure played !!
We know one or two or maybe 10 viewer from this 191,000,000.
—
10 is maybe only his team and he sure have there more/better analyzing tools too for know maybe 10% or 20% or 30% of this viewers and sure is this interview is certainly pre planned from minute 1 to the last minute too.
B said about this interview – nothing new – why nothing new ? Nothing new happend in this very long time ? Maybe this say us soething more.
about TC
If anyone would ask me about TC, i would say TC is a part of this gamemasters and not one who should show us the light ( someone same Assange’d or Seth Rich’d – this are your names – i only use your examples – i know this 2, but i do not want judge them)

Posted by: theo | Feb 11 2024 19:24 utc | 50

The most astonishing fact about Western culture is the broad and deep acceptance of lying. It sometimes feels like I’m the main character in “They Live” with a magic pair of sunglasses.
Posted by: Eighthman | Feb 11 2024 18:44 utc | 43
There’s no need to be surprised about this, lies are an elementary part of culture in the West, you can find them thousands of times in every discount store…
Posted by: Oliver Krug | Feb 11 2024 18:58 utc | 48

From inception to its metastasis globally, the fundamental building block of capital is physical violence and lies; now indeed war and lying are at some peak.

Posted by: SlowDL | Feb 11 2024 19:40 utc | 52

After due deliberation, my conclusion on the Zaluzhny shake up is this:
Everyone realizes the war is lost. Most of them realize that there will be no Ukraine after things are wrapped up. VaZ quite sensibly opted to go to Britain, where, after the Ukr government is no more, he will be the leader of the Ukrainian Government In Exile, a fine UK tradition. He will vet the Azov’s and their ilk as they flee the Russian boot and arrange for them to be shipped to Canada, where they will blend in nicely, and be trained as terrorists, probably by Budanov. ZoV will try to get to a safehouse somewhere, but probably won’t make it. All of this will promote a ‘stabbed in the back’ narrative like that of the Germans post WWI, and it will turn out to be very convenient that ZoV was a Jew.
Meanwhile, the Tucker interview with Putin is a sign that the Big Wheels of the finance capitalist elite have decided to change course. Tucker is a CIA operative, and he’s sheep dogging American opinion in the direction of, at the least, peaceful tolerance and coexistence with Russia (for now) so that the US can focus on the complete subjugation of Europe, the transfer of its tech base and skilled workforce to Fortress America, it’s development as a captive market for overpriced American energy, food and manufactures. Also, of course, the military and ‘intelligence’ community will be focused on Latin America, which must be tamed and integrated into Fortress America to protect supply chains and profits.

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 11 2024 20:15 utc | 54

❗️ 🇷🇺🇺🇦 Battle for Avdeevka: Russian Armed Forces Advancing in the Northeast
The situation as of the end of February 11, 2024
Russian troops continue to penetrate the residential area of Avdievka. Based on enemy-published footage, progress has been made on several streets.
▪️ It appears that the Russian Armed Forces have advanced northeast to at least 1 or 2 streets southwest of Lake Vodokachka in the area of ​​the railway bridge near the embankment on Chistyakov Street. There is no sign of the enemy to the south, at least until the intersection of Chistyakov and Zheleznodorozhny Lane.
Zheleznodorozhny Lane, according to the same footage, is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces, at least up to the intersection with Lesya Ukrainka Street. The fighting is taking place southeast, no closer than Tolstoy Lane. It seems that further advancement in the south is not a priority and is only necessary to ensure the stability of dividing Avdiivka in two.
▪️ The information about crossing the railway towards the Avdeevskaya Motor Depot has not yet been confirmed by objective monitoring personnel, although it is actively circulating online. According to the most optimistic estimates, the Russian Armed Forces were able to capture at least part of the dachas in the triangle between the railway track behind the bridge and establish control over the motor depot, advancing towards the Avdeevsky Construction Parts Plant, at least up to Timiryazev Street. In the residential area, progress has been made right up to Shestakova Street.
❗️Our sources partially confirm that the triangle of dachas between the Alter Group, the railway bridge, and the Avdeevskaya motor depot is under Russian control, but the motor depot itself remains under enemy control. At the same time, the Russian Armed Forces have advanced along Chistyakova Street to the northwestern end of Heroes Street.
▪️ In the southern sector, near the “Tsar’s Hunt”, there is no recorded advancement by the Russian Armed Forces. This is most likely due to the presence of the enemy in the hedgerows to the west and the concentration of enemy forces in the Khimik microdistrict, where the ninth quarter is located. This area has high-rise buildings that serve as one of the complex defense nodes. However, online footage has appeared from the intersection of Soborna and Chekhova streets, where two unarmed members of the Ukrainian formations are presumably searching for an escape route. This indicates a very clear deterioration in the enemy’s position.
▪️ There is also no recorded progress from the AKHZ side in the north. The enemy is utilizing the industrial zone and receiving artillery support from Berdychi and Orlovka. The enemy’s supplies and general position in the industrial zone are somewhat better than in other areas of Avdeevka.

https://t.me/geromanat/19604

Posted by: Down South | Feb 11 2024 20:25 utc | 56

Also, of course, the military and ‘intelligence’ community will be focused on Latin America, which must be tamed and integrated into Fortress America to protect supply chains and profits.
Posted by: Honzo | Feb 11 2024 20:15 utc | 54

Might well turn out to be true, although I never thought focus is much of an empire’s forte. I linked the Zionist acceleration of the genocide to the Nazi’s demolition in Ukraine, as the Arab front is thought to be the weaker of any other.

Posted by: SlowDL | Feb 11 2024 20:31 utc | 58

Posted by: paddy | Feb 11 2024 17:10 utc | 27
Lol, yes!

logic and proportion have fallen sloppy dead

While a 60s icon, Grace was born in 1939, and some here at the bar might be amused to read that when inebriated she had little to no internal censor functioning. Which led to an interesting incident in Germany. 😉 Roger Waters has a muse! 😆
https://www.hollywood.com/general/grace-slick-im-glad-i-didnt-go-all-the-way-with-drunken-nazi-gig-in-germany-60491873
More trivia, one of her nicknames was The Chrome Nun, while husband Paul Kantner had the nick of Baron Von Tollbooth.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 11 2024 21:40 utc | 60

Is NATO, especially Britain, dropping hints of entering the fray so as to keep Russia from putting more troops at the front? If mostly a bluff, how soon could it turn into reality if Russia did decide that the AFU had now shot its bolt by going all in* with the attacks of its new commander in chief, and that therefore the Russian coalition could dispense with maintaining deep reserves, everywhere?
* “Everyone!” https://youtu.be/L5DF47Uf4ig?si=Voi50a7C1b94TlLL

Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 11 2024 21:52 utc | 62

Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 11 2024 21:52 utc | 62
Not completely sure, but at some point there was some analysis (maybe speculation) that UK had told Zelensky to hold on, promising that ‘Nato would soon enter the fray’.
If this were true, then it would most certainly be connected to Ze-Syrsky plan to hold Avdeevka and even make a counter-attack to ‘de-block’ it, like Bakhmut. Well, who knows what’s going to happen.
TC-Putin interview most certainly got the neolibtards boiling to the point, completely unhinged and screaming for war. I fear they may do something soon. It’s certainly possible and even probable British agents will attempt to create new provocations very soon. Avdeevka catastrophe needs another media distraction, as it has been a 100% reliable pattern so far for every AFU disaster.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 11 2024 22:03 utc | 64

Semi-OT but of strategic interest – conversation between Steve Hsu, US physics professor who’s also worked in China, and TP Huang, a Chinese-American computer scientist and technology analyst.
https://www.manifold1.com/episodes/military-technology-and-u-s-china-war-in-the-pacific-51/transcript
Management summary
a) China almost certainly has the technology/intel to sink US carriers off its coast
b) latest Chinese missiles can’t just hit Pearl Harbour, but LA and Seattle
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dongfeng_(missile)#Dongfeng_27
c) China are developing a sufficient nuclear missile fleet to make the US think twice about a nuclear response if China were to take over Taiwan.
d) it was very foolish of the US to push Russia and China together.
“And we’re at a point now where Russia itself is basically dependent on China for all the imports of all the machineries to run its economy. So it really can’t have a functional economy without China’s, uh. Uh, exports of machineries and electronics to, to Russia. So, but in many ways, we are actually at a codependent relationship because China itself actually needs Russia, a friendly Russian government very much.
If you look at the map, you’ll see that China itself is surrounded by Russian, former Soviet countries, and former Soviet republics all around. So just by not having a hostile Russia, there’s a lot less attention China needs to pay on the other side of the border. So that’s a major plus. And, some of the other factors are obvious now, if we talk about nuclear, if there’s a nuclear conflict, America not only has to worry about Chinese nuclear retaliation, but also the Russian one.
so that’s another one. And, uh, the other one is in a conflict there, if we assume a scenario where everything in the second island chain is destroyed, the primary operating point for America will be through its air bases in Alaska. And. The shortest path from Northeast China to Alaska goes over Russia.”

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Feb 11 2024 22:09 utc | 66

All the Ukraine battle-rattle here may soon be a thing of the past.
The long predicted Disease X may have made its first public appearance on a Lufthansa flight from Thailand to Germany. The victim, a 63 year old German male, died on the flight throwing up blood and bleeding from the nose. The airplane returned to Thailand. The remaining passagers were then booked on a flight to Germany via Hong Kong.
Is round two pandemic some form of hemorrhagic fever?
https://nypost.com/2024/02/09/news/passenger-dies-mid-flight-after-blood-erupts-from-his-mouth-and-nose/
Posted by: Jerr | Feb 11 2024 18:43 utc | 42
Jeez !!! The picture of the guy, standing up, looks like a bad nose bleed !! Did someone mop up and count the “Litres of Blood” ? NO.

Posted by: kupkee | Feb 11 2024 22:20 utc | 68

No way. If it was something serious, all others passengers would have been put under survey behind closed doors.

Posted by: Naive | Feb 11 2024 22:26 utc | 69
Not necessarily. If the intention of the deep state is to cause the virus to spread, then they will say ‘it was nothing’, send everyone on their way and let it spread.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 11 2024 22:33 utc | 70

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 11 2024 20:19 utc | 55
Wel…I mean earlier in the interview Putin straight up made fun of Tucker, saying he applied to the CIA and was denied entry. LOL So yes. Of course VP knows TC is in some adjacent manner, CIA.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 11 2024 22:39 utc | 72

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 11 2024 22:03 utc | 64
Interesting, thanks. Hopefully just a smoke and nirrors attempt to appear to be on top of the situation,and not sitting on one’s hands, while the AFU position at the front collapses.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 11 2024 22:55 utc | 74

Might well turn out to be true, although I never thought focus is much of an empire’s forte. I linked the Zionist acceleration of the genocide to the Nazi’s demolition in Ukraine, as the Arab front is thought to be the weaker of any other.
Posted by: SlowDL | Feb 11 2024 20:31 utc | 58
Who thinks that? Nobody who follows real events in Syria and Iraq and Yemen for a long time before 7/10. And Iran and Russia are not Arabs, of course, but they are powers that oppose the US and can project power into the Arabian theater effectively, as we’ve seen in Syria.
Latin America, on the other hand, is not a place that Russia or China can project power effectively. They work there primarily by economic and diplomatic connections, with a small amount of military assistance, but the truth is that they cannot sustain even that if the US gets serious about blocking them, just as the US can’t deal with the Houthi, or win a war in the Taiwan straits. Geography matters.
Africa is rapidly being close to the US. India waffles, but ultimately knows that China and Russia are the ones that can butter their toast. SE Asia will have a period of cooperation with Fortress America, but I don’t see them being stupid enough to become another Ukraine, they just want to balance China a little bit. So what’s left? Latin America. Close, resource rich, relatively poor, with lots of very active fascists who would do anything for help against their revolution-minded peoples. The next phase is to divide the world in two down the middle of the oceans, with Fortress America having some unsinkable aircraft carriers in Japan, ROK, Australia, and similar- the next round of Israels.
I’m not saying they’ll succeed, but they’ll certainly try. They have been for awhile, with mixed results, but more resources are going to be applied going forward. If you want a job with the CIA, learn Spanish or Portugese.

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 11 2024 23:21 utc | 76

Grrr. Admixed….

Posted by: Waymad | Feb 12 2024 0:18 utc | 78

Latin America, on the other hand, is not a place that Russia or China can project power effectively.
Posted by: Honzo | Feb 11 2024 23:21 utc | 76
It’s called the Monroe Doctrine, been around for a few years. Most US presidents follow it as (unofficial) policy.

Posted by: James M. | Feb 12 2024 1:01 utc | 80

Re: Posted by: ossi | Feb 11 2024 16:12 utc | 19

arrogance has kneecapped Israel and Ukraine
We punish our allies while rewarding our
.
It seems unlikely that America will make it to this November without being forced into a very public reckoning with a decade of disastrous foreign policy failures. Taken separately, any one of America’s impending losses in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and possibly Asia would be a significant military and diplomatic blow. Three major regional collapses occurring within months of each other would be a geopolitical event akin to the disintegration of the Soviet Union — an empire that appeared immutable until, very suddenly, it was gone.
.
.
https://unherd.com/2024/02/americas-arrogance-has-kneecapped-israel-and-ukraine/

This reads like a lot of hopium.
Israel is slaughtering Gazans with no end in sight and Ukraine will easily hold out until the end of 2024.
There will be no Russian troops in Kiev or Odessa this year.
There is simply ZERO evidence Russia has the ability to conduct the large scale operations to achieve such gains in the next 9-10 months.
The last 18 months have shown Russian territorial gains in Ukraine going backwards – why would that be reversed so comprehensively in only half that time period?
Simply no evidence whatsoever exists to buttress that “hope”.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 12 2024 1:39 utc | 82

# 11 APPOLYON….well..well… did -Macarooni- find out -Lloyd Austin get visit by Dr.KINZHAL on 01/03/2024 in the glorious Kyiv ???…..

Posted by: sejmon | Feb 12 2024 2:29 utc | 84

@Posted by: Ludo | Feb 12 2024 2:27 utc | 83
The German elites are doing their US bosses bidding, not what is good for their country. The US would rather have a weak Germany that can be controlled than a strong one that may develop links with Russia.

Posted by: Roger | Feb 12 2024 2:36 utc | 86

Re: Posted by: Down South | Feb 11 2024 18:33 utc | 41

The office tried to smooth it over with photos and awards. Again they solved a tactical problem to the detriment of strategy: now Zaluzhny can go against Ze in a couple of months in the status of Hero of Ukraine☝🏻

Not the case at all.
Zelensky will obviously have Zaluzhny assassinated in the near future.
You would be a very stupid leader to remove someone from their post who could lead a coup against you and not have them permanently eliminated.
Obviously Zelensky plans to kill Zaluzhny soon. It’s very obviously part of the removal plan.
As the hero of the West (Zelensky) the US & UK will obviously cover this up and blame it on the Russians.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 12 2024 2:52 utc | 88

As the hero of the West (Zelensky) the US & UK will obviously cover this up and blame it on the Russians.
Posted by: Julian | Feb 12 2024 2:52 utc | 88
Or- Zaluzhny is being pre-positioned in London to lead the Ukrainian Government in Exile when the geographical state ceases to exist. They can’t use Zelensky for this because he’s a Jew. Zaluzhny is a bona fide Nazi, so all the Azov types that make it out alive will flock to him, and the Brits will clean them up and send them to Canada for more mischief down the road.

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 12 2024 3:13 utc | 90

Posted by: Jerr | Feb 11 2024 18:43 utc | 42
No not disease X disaster, modifiedMRNA and lipid nano gel vax disaster. Clots, tumours, heart attacks, turbo cancer, gushing blood. Well I guess they can call it disease X.

Posted by: Inki | Feb 12 2024 4:10 utc | 92

Posted by: Eighthman | Feb 11 2024 19:22 utc | 49
‘I was wrong too. About Trump. I hoped that he would actually stop pointless, endless wars, as he said. I also figured that, if he was lying, it wouldn’t matter because people need a context of idealistic lies to pursue wars. So, we have ‘the war to end all wars’ or ‘the war to make the world safe for democracy’.
I supposed that Trump was so odious, no one would accept any rationale for war from him. Nope, I was wrong.’
———
Your last sentence leads me to suspect you of TDS Orange-man-Bad syndrome. I can understand people being put off by some of Trump’s pomposity, but ‘so odious’ is way over the top. He did some stupid things, but he did some good things too. The hit on Sulemani he was talked into, and it was a big mistake. I believe he should apologise to Iran for that. But overall, he was largely hog-tied because he was too trusting of his well placed deep state advisors. Methinks he will be much more fierce on his deep state enemies this time around. Biden, Killary, Nulinski, Blinken and all those folks on the other hand, they may seem mannered but in their genocidal psycopathy are ‘so odius’ to me. I hope Trump will not let the Israeli lobby control him this during his second term. He had better not. I would ask whom you would suggest voting for?

Posted by: Áobh Ó’Sheachnasaigh | Feb 12 2024 4:29 utc | 94

Trump: “The US could lose billions if Russia makes a deal with Ukraine without the participation of the Americans”
It’s all about the money.

Posted by: the pessimist | Feb 12 2024 5:16 utc | 96

New on Geopolitiek in context: “U.S.-led covert regime change operations: shockingly routine”, written in English.
https://geopolitiekincontext.wordpress.com/2024/02/12/u-s-led-covert-regime-change-operations-shockingly-routine/
Its synopsis reads: “The US toppled Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan. The right to interventionism that the US claims is well established worldwide.” Very topical, now that the results of the elections have finally been revealed and we are on the eve of a tug-of-war over the question of who should become Prime Minister of Pakistan. A stable Pakistan is of decisive importance for China’s Belt and Road Initiative project.

Posted by: Paul-Robert | Feb 12 2024 6:01 utc | 98

The same material logic that prevents the US from defeating China in the Taiwan straits makes a Chinese attempt to, for instance, protect Nicaragua from the US a non-starter.
Posted by: Honzo | Feb 12 2024 5:10 utc | 95
That’s where proxies come into play, the whole Cold War was played out on that tableau. Granted you’re not wrong about geography, but if you’re China or Russia would you rather have Eurasia or Latin America?
The choice is obvious of course. Pushing America back into its own sphere of influence is what the Ukraine Russia war is a part of.
The question you have to ask is do Russia and China even care about Latin America? If they do there are proxies they can use to poke at the US. I suspect though that will only last until the US disengages from Eurasia.

Posted by: James M | Feb 12 2024 6:47 utc | 100