Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 6, 2024
Ukraine – An Army Without Officers Has No Chance Of Winning

Most of the Western public does not know about military issues.

While people may identify someone who wears a uniform as a soldier they will have difficulties to understand the unit insignia, rank badges or tactical notations all regular soldiers are wearing. The lack of knowledge of military details makes it difficult to understand media reports of frontline issues.

An example for this can be seen in the basic disposition of a frontline battalion.

A battalion is a 400 to 1,000 men unit specialized around some vehicle or form of fighting.

Pure infantry battalions will walk and fight on foot or travel longer marches on trucks. Mechanized infantry has armored fighting vehicles that transport troops but also have some minor guns to cover the loading or unloading of their soldiers. Tank battalions have armored hulks with larger guns designed to punch through hardened enemy lines. Artillery battalions have large caliber howitzers or missiles to deliver fire from a distance.

A brigade, consisting of several battalions of different types, may mix those as appropriate for the current fight.

A battalion itself will consist of four to six companies. Each company will have three to four platoons.

Platoons, generally some 30 men strong, are led by Lieutenants. The company, consisting of several platoons is commanded by a Captain. The leader of the first platoon of a company is often a seasoned Lieutenant who is doubling as the deputy company commander.

The next higher organization, the battalion is led by a Lieutenant Colonel with the help of a battalion staff. That staff, split into four (or more) sections known as S1 to S4, is taking care of the battalions own personnel, the enemy situation, the rearward (reserve) battalion command post and the logistics.

These sections are led by a seasoned Lieutenant (S1), a Captain (S2), a Major (S3) who is also the deputy battalion commander, and another Captain (S4) for logistics. There may be additional officer positions like the battalion doctor, the technical officer, or a military intelligence section leader.

All together a battalion has some 12+ Lieutenants as platoon leaders, 4 Captains as company leaders, a battalion staff consisting of 1 or two additional seasoned Lieutenants, one or two additional Captains, one or two additional Majors and, at the top, a Lieutenant Colonel.

That's a total of about 10+ junior officers and some 10+ more seasoned or higher ranking officers.

Now lets look at a fleeting line in a recent New York Times report:

‘They Come in Waves’: Ukraine Goes on Defense Against a Relentless Foe (archived) – New York Times, Feb 4 2024
At the hot spots of the eastern front line, Ukrainian troops are outmanned, outgunned and digging in.

“They come in waves,” said Lt. Oleksandr Shyrshyn, 29, the deputy battalion commander in the 47th Mechanized Brigade. “And they do not stop.”

A normal reader, not well versed in military organization, will not stumble over that sentence as I did.

A Lieutenant at age 28 is likely a seasoned one. But in the role of a 'deputy battalion commander'?

What happened to the S3, the Major and nominal deputy battalion commander? What happened to the six Captains the battalion is supposed to have? All of them should be better trained and qualified to take on the role of a deputy battalion commander than a mere Lieutenant.

This small detail, a Lieutenant as deputy battalion commander, tells me more about the battalion's state that any flowery description of casualties.

Such a battalion is done with. Its officer corps is mostly dead or wounded. Its companies and platoons or likely to be run by mere sergeants. While such a unit may still hold onto some trenches it is certainly no longer able to fulfill any operational task. It will not be able to counterattack. It will not even be able to organize an orderly retreat.

The 47th Mechanized Brigade is currently fighting in the northern part of Avdeevka which the Russian forces are in the process of storming. During the last two weeks the Ukrainian losses of dead and severely wounded as counted in the Russian Defense Ministry Daily Reports have exceeded 800 per day. That is far higher than the 500 to 600 per day of previous months.

The state of Lt. Shyrshyn's battalion is consistent with that.

During my time as a soldier I have read quite a number of reports about small units who were dying in Stalingrad, Kursk or in some minor battle action somewhere else. Once their officer corps is done with the headless chickens that make up the majority of soldiers in such a battalion are likely to die soon thereafter.

The Ukrainian army is lacking soldiers and munitions. It is lacking the officers to train and lead them. The Ukrainian state does not have the money to conscript and equip more soldiers. It does not have the officer corp needed to train new soldiers. It does not have the factories needed to produce weapons and munitions.

It is high time for Ukraine to give up this unequal fight and to save the lives of those soldiers who are still living.

It is high time for Zelenski (and Zaluzny and others) to leave.

Comments

Posted by: Julian | Feb 6 2024 21:57 utc | 100
Are you in Australia Julian? I am surprised.
That is of course a load of rubbish. Malcolm Fraser was well connected. He was an extreme economic conservative, but by 2014 had become a radical on foreign policy matters.
You mistook polite nodding for ignorance.

Posted by: watcher | Feb 6 2024 22:10 utc | 101

While I widely agree to b and thank for that contribution, also keep in mind that piece
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/myths-and-realities-of-the-russiannato
Simplicius states that according to NATO military “philosophy”, frontline units are lead by higher ranked NCOs, not by officers. The command will be more behind the actual frontlines. This is different from Russian military organization where officers lead units directly on the front, even during assaults.
Not to deny what b wrote though. While it is “easy” to replace 1 to 2 million lower rank soldiers in 2 years, with much loss of quality and training level though, to replace an officer corps take years if not a decade-

Posted by: aquadraht | Feb 6 2024 22:31 utc | 102

@102 … seems in some of the more open landscape, the literal “zero line” is just ultraminimally trained bodies. Human speed bumps. They don’t need training. The real work is in the drone recon and regular artillery who can be coordinated from the rear with modern tech. They’re the real “line” – whereas the frontmost trenches seem to have more in common with WWI “no-man’s land” and thus anyone found in the frontmost trenches is most disposable. The ones who need most serious training are the reserve “firefighting” units who counterattack to stop any meaningful punctures in the front.
Anyway, I’m also hesitant to make any “end is finally near” conclusions. The brutal slog is likely to continue for some time.

Posted by: pxx | Feb 6 2024 22:51 utc | 103

@Posted by: Dave | Feb 6 2024 21:30 utc | 98
The usual Stalin black legend pap with absolutely no context. Kirov was assassinated in 1935 (most certainly not by Stalin), Trotsky was also directly meddling in Soviet affairs, and others plotted against Stalin – a civil war within the communist party. Just as Germany was starting to rise again as a threat to the Soviet Union.
As Churchill noted with respect to the trials against the military leaders, they had been a “merciless, but perhaps not needless, military and political purge [which had eliminated] it’s pro-German elements” with the Soviet leaders that were on trial characterized as “filled with jealousy of Stalin, who had ousted them”(Churchill 1993, pp. 320-1, quoted in Losurdo 2023, p. 280). There was also the US ambassador to the Soviet Union, Joseph Davies, “who always insisted that there had been a genuine plot, that the trials were fairly conducted, and that the Soviet power was stronger as a result” (Losurdo 2023, p. 280).
Clearing the decks of a possible fifth column is very wise when facing an inevitable fight for survival. There were over-reactions, which is why Yezhov was removed and replaced with Beria who took action to stop the excesses.
The propagandist Cold War history of Stalin, and the self-serving lies of Khrushchev, are far from the truth. Losurdo’s “Stalin History and Critique of a Black Legend” is an excellent counter balance. The Soviet Union won WW2 because of Stalin’s forced industrialization and because of the internal discipline and leadership of Stalin. Such success for a Communist regime could not be accepted during the Cold War, so Stalin had to be vilified.

Posted by: Roger | Feb 6 2024 22:54 utc | 104

You mistook polite nodding for ignorance.
Posted by: watcher | Feb 6 2024 22:10 utc | 101
If he ever met him. Impossible to know since Malcom Fraser is long dead. But given Julian’s lack of perspicacity on the current Ukraine-Russia conflict, as demonstrated by his posts here, I suspect he’s full of it.

Posted by: James M. | Feb 6 2024 22:59 utc | 105

southfront
“…London reportedly proposed to its allies to consider deployment of the NATO Expeditionary Force to Ukraine. The chief warmonger supposes to covertly transfer large highly maneuverable NATO forces from the border areas of Romania and Poland to take defense along the Dnieper River. This would allow the release of the necessary military reserves of the Ukrainian Army to send them to the front.
The operation may include a preemptive strike by the Armed Forces of Moldova and Romania on Transnistria as well deployment of the NATO military on the territory of Norway and Finland to disperse Russian forces and launch strikes on strategic infrastructure facilities in the northern regions of Russia.
Thus, according to London’s plan, NATO will allegedly undermine Russia’s offensive capabilities and Moscow will be forced to launch negotiations. Britain reportedly intends to complete the preparation of such a scenario by May of this year.
This plan does not correspond to the will of European countries to fight Russia by using other’s forces; but London is sure that the ongoing Russian advance deep into Ukraine will persuade them to take decisive action.”
Maybe delusional…but stupid does what stupid is…..not much mention of Challenger tanks recently…still being held back along with Abrams for such a pretentious attempt to save grace “heroic Bojo we are with you in your worst moments” type strategy ???

Posted by: Jo | Feb 6 2024 23:03 utc | 106

Per grinning Ollie North, Ukraine is about “their blood and our bullets.” Dec. 2022, Fox News.

Posted by: susan mullen | Feb 6 2024 23:05 utc | 107

It certainly looks like Ukrainian defenses are collapsing up and down the front line
Posted by: Mike R | Feb 6 2024 20:42 utc | 86
I think so, and Russia hasn’t really pushed yet. Once Avdiivka falls, maybe next month, Ukraine is finished. One more big push should seal it over the summer. The only real questions after that will be: Will Russia take Odessa, wiping out Ukraine’s access to the Black Sea? And will Zelensky flee to Italy or the US?

Posted by: James M. | Feb 6 2024 23:11 utc | 108

Maybe delusional…but stupid does what stupid is…..not much mention of Challenger tanks recently…still being held back along with Abrams for such a pretentious attempt to save grace “heroic Bojo we are with you in your worst moments” type strategy ???
Posted by: Jo | Feb 6 2024 23:03 utc | 106

Challenger tanks are buried with an important task on the second defense line – in the Lwow oblast.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 6 2024 23:12 utc | 109

Posted by: James M. | Feb 6 2024 23:11 utc | 108
They are still in grinding mode. One military analysts wrote about it.
AFU pulled a lot of reserves across the Oskol river, and eastern part of Kupyansk, Synkivka expecting a large frontal assault.
No frontal assault ever came, instead Russian army is using its advantage in artillery and drones to grind them down. If you look at Synkivka, and the areas east of Avdeevka, they are a remote extension of AFU lines which probably costs a lot to maintain or supply. Those routes, plus all the three routes across Oskol river are well known and Russia controls them with drones.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 6 2024 23:15 utc | 110

and the areas east of Avdeevka

…meant east of Kupyansk. Albeit same is true to Avdeevka, but AFU already lost control as they lost the shores of the small artificial lake, which effectively isolates all those outposts far east of Avdeevka.
The Oskol front is simply crumbling – one could argue that if AFU tries to maintain the front, it actually works to RUAF advantage because they get a chance to cause more cheap damage to the means of supply and extended troop positions who are out of fire support range, mostly.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 6 2024 23:19 utc | 111

I would like to share a quote of an American President that I think is both timeless, and relevant to more nations than just the United States.
https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/9498-to-announce-that-there-must-be-no-criticism-of-the
“To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public.”
While I’m quoting him, here’s one I learned of today. Perhaps not as on topic, but equally important.
https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/162686-behind-the-ostensible-government-sits-enthroned-an-invisible-government-owing
“Behind the ostensible government sits enthroned an invisible government owing no allegiance and acknowledging no responsibility to the people. To destroy this invisible government, to befoul the unholy alliance between corrupt business and corrupt politics is the first task of the statesmanship of today.”

Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 6 2024 23:59 utc | 112

Posted by: Dave | Feb 6 2024 21:30 utc | 98
And the fact that the industrialised West were supplying crucial raw materials, food stuffs, communications and transport equipment, and were also tying up large numbers of German fighters and AD units, due to their strategic bombing offensive.
As for the continued debate about the speed of the operation, or lack of it, posters need to realise that the Russian approach to warfare is substantially different to that of the West, aligning itself with its unique priorities, created by a different historical methodology and doctrine. The Russian approach to the SMO is not as the result of choice, it is the only viable strategy they can peruse, given the strengths and limitations/weaknesses of their Armed Forces. Judging the efficacy of this approach with a yardstick constructed out of a hybrid of pseudo-Western doctrine and the mythical exploits of the Red Army is an exercise in futility, as is believing there is another way to skin the Ukrainian ‘cat’.

Posted by: Milites | Feb 7 2024 0:05 utc | 113

Given all types of woe againts them, Ukrainian army did better than expected, perhaps better than they could. But the latter leads to a collapse, you deplete this, you deplete that, in today’s theme, battle line officers.
Ukrainian army mastered the art of urban defense, keeping cities “longer than they can”, and surrendering when they are not habitable anymore. That render imposible the reasonable Russian aims, large cities where the bulk of people speak Russian and whatever their responses to pollsters, better prospects to be loyal to Russia than to the Ukraine as it became. Unless Ukrainian army enters the state of collapse more profound than Nazi Germany in the last months, if not in the last days.
While long expected among the optimists here (like me), it was long indeed. It reminds me 2008 financial crisis that was delayed much more than rational minds predicted. Which made it more dire.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Feb 7 2024 0:06 utc | 114

This is what popcorn was invented for.
Better get me a bucket!
No War. Let’s get that going.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Feb 7 2024 0:08 utc | 115

@ naive
???
Where do you get that?

Posted by: DunGroanin | Feb 7 2024 0:10 utc | 116

Timing the replacement of Zaluzhny with a real possibility of catastrophe in Avdeevka seems like a good idea on the surface. But if the opinion of the trenches differs from Bankova’s narrative it may be a terrible idea. Handing control of the military to the SBU is the most terrible idea of all, so that has to be Plan A in DC and London.
I read that Russia is starting to mass artillery again, which means it’s able to do that with acceptable risk. If that holds true, it’s a strong indicator that Ukrainian lines will not hold up much longer. The question remains though, if Russia gets an opportunity like a big break in the line or upheaval with firing Zaluzhny, will it maximize the opportunity?
I suspect Putin will be much less opinionated about US politics and throw fewer, smaller barbs than the transcript posted here. If he gives a good interview it will be the equivalent of info war deep operations in the soviet military doctrine sense.

Posted by: Lex | Feb 7 2024 0:15 utc | 117

Posted by: James M. | Feb 6 2024 23:11 utc | 108
Yes, and I suspect that with Odessa Russia hopes to eventually negotiate with the de facto people in charge and make an arrangement that benefits everyone except those in the West who are personally invested in Russia not being seen as scoring wins.
The people in charge can determine if Russia will get Odessa in an undamaged state. That’s their leverage, an inducement to grant them economic privileges and security and financial guarantees once ultimate control is in Russia’s hands.
For everyone concerned it would be best if Russia doesn’t go about cutting off Odessa, and then laying siege to it. Certainly those who own the commercial property will be clamoring for a peaceful hand off of control.
But I guess all that will have to wait for if/when Russia is seen in the West as the inevitable victor, and that there was little sense in further aiding the war efforts of the Neo-Nazi Ultra nationalists who controlled Kiev, and the government. And I think Russia will put off incorporating Odessa until it becomes seen in the West that entering Ukraine with an expeditionary force would be doomed, and political suicide.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 7 2024 0:19 utc | 118

Iskander strike supposedly hit hotel in Zolochiv, where Kraken, British and French mercenaries were residing.
https://southfront.press/military-situation-in-ukraine-on-february-6-2024-map-update/

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 7 2024 0:23 utc | 119

“TUCKER”: But isn’t Russia weaker and more economically vulnerable than the United States?
🤣 the US has by far the largest trade deficit in the world,over 1 trillion, it needs to import nearly everything, making it vulnerable to blockades/trade wars, while Russia has a positive of over 240 B.
The US has over 34 trillion in state debt vs 0.42 t of Russia. it also has over 220 trillion of unfunded liabilities. America is a casino that produces nearly nothing other than “financial instruments”(debt) bonds…with only 1% of its inflated gdp being agriculture and 19% industry (vs 4% and 41% of Russia respectively) the Ruble is artificially devalued by the west, but given Russia imports very little compared to the US, it doest matter much other than shrinking nominal gdp (not to mention things are much cheaper to make/buy-in russia). but by ppp Russia will surpass Japan within this year, not small at all.

Posted by: Phariah | Feb 7 2024 0:33 utc | 120

Roger @104
Kirov was assassinated in 1934, not 1935.

Posted by: AJ | Feb 7 2024 0:35 utc | 121

B’s summary of military structure should not be taken as exact gospel for the SMO. From what I’ve read, merely through Wikipedia, there were several different global military structures — nowadays basically NATO (which is US+UK+EU conventions) versus Soviet/RF conventions.
That said, Ukraine is nowadays a hybrid case between its old guard, ie the Soviet systems of command and operation, and recent NATO restructurings, which well explains much of its on-ground tactical confusions. Eg Zaluzhny would have been a Soviet Officer long before NATO came to teach the old dog their new tricks. Zelensky, otoh, has the Pentagon in his ear, no doubt contradicting how Zaluzhny and his deputies instinctively want to do things.
Also, ideal battalion and brigade numbers probably mean nothing these days in Ukraine, as they try to cobble together any sized gang they can to resist the more organised Russian armies.
Best solution: Make Ukraine militarily neutral … in perpetuity!!!

Posted by: Jake.Blanchard | Feb 7 2024 0:55 utc | 122

During the Trump administration, defeating Russia became a secondary goal. The concept behind the war we now have was to use a war in Ukraine to defeat Germany and the EU.This is working out very well for the US so far, but the process has exposed too many weaknesses in US power projection, and all the western economies, so new fronts are opening against the Empire all over the global south.
Honzo | Feb 6 2024 17:26 utc | 44
Agree with your core analysis.
However, I’m not so sure about your interpretation of the Iran Nuclear Deal. If Washington wants the EU to be dependent, it needs to disrupt (energy resource) trade with *both* Russia and Iran. Which might also explain the current wilful escalation of the Red Sea crisis, hurting mostly the EU.
The Iran Deal was (imo) a US attempt to remain relevant in the Middle East, by preventing a too close alliance of Tehran, Moscow and Beijing.
Also, don’t underestimate the importance of London’s goal to retain access to EU (financial) markets.

Posted by: smuks | Feb 7 2024 1:00 utc | 123

Posted by: Jake.Blanchard | Feb 7 2024 0:55 utc | 122
Colonel Trukhan in his recent interview with Martyanov said Ukraine has most brigades at or under half-strength. They are often merged into fewer ones. Therefore, the claims of forming 40 or 50 new brigades by Summer 2024 for a new offensive are rather dubious, if the old ones cannot be maintained.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 7 2024 1:06 utc | 124

I watched an interview with Megyn Kelly and President Putin a while back. What a hatchet job. NBC cut up the interview and interspersed it with hostile talking heads telling us what Putin said, but didn’t show the entire interview so that we could see what Putin said.
I just looked it up to find out what hack and what network it was, and it’s on YouTube. It’s literally title “Confronting Putin”. I forgot about the foreboding music that accompanied it.
Meanwhile, Russia put the entire unedited interview out on that channel they used to have. I forget what it was called. I assume it’s now banned here in the Land of the Free and Home of the Brave.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1pPkAOZI50
They used no music or talking heads to reinterpret the interview. How are they supposed to control the narrative that way?
Anyway, here’s the link. I wouldn’t bother watching more than a minute of it.

Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 7 2024 1:12 utc | 125

Watcher @ 101:
While Malcolm Fraser as Australian Prime Minister (1975 – 1983) reversed many of his predecessor Gough Whitlam’s reforms and initiatives, gutting Medibank along the way, he did not go all the way to deregulating the Australian economy. Much of that deregulation, especially of the financial industry, was actually done by the succeeding Labor government under Bob Hawke as PM and Paul Keating as Treasurer.
The Liberal Party actually moved much further into economic and social neoliberalism under John Howard’s leadership. Fraser’s views probably didn’t change all that much; it was the rest of the Australian federal political culture (the Australian Labor Party as well as the Liberal and National parties) that headed into neoliberal capitalism, putting Fraser in a position he never expected to be in, which may appear “radical” to younger people.

Posted by: Refinnejenna | Feb 7 2024 1:16 utc | 126

Simplicius recently linked to an article he had written about how the US bribed Iraqi generals not to fight in 2003.
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/the-iraq-war-was-a-sham
Now think about how Nazi Germany sailed through Europe. Belgium – 18 days, Netherlands – 14 days,
Luxembourg – 1 day, Denmark – 6 hours, and ask yourself why Stalin purged disloyal generals.
Of course western populations have been fed a load of horseshit about how stupid and evil it was for Stalin to purge these generals. What would you expect from a bunch of ratline-producing Nazi supporters?
Why would anyone believe that, though?

Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 7 2024 1:20 utc | 127

The timing of Zaluzhny’s ouster(??)…
What puzzles me most is that talk has been ongoing for 6 months or more now. We’ve read about Zaluzhny’s “imminent resignation” (or dismissal) so often that I’m having trouble believing any of it. Why keep it lingering like this, wouldn’t that damage everyone’s credibility?
Did they float the idea to test reactions – waiting for the military situation to deteriorate enough for people to accept Budanov as C-in-C?
Or is this uncertainty a goal in itself, creating a situation where both Ze and Za can’t be sure of their positions (a.k.a. divide and rule)?
——-
More bad press for the AFU: After the Donetsk market and Il-76, now the Lysichansk bakery.

Posted by: smuks | Feb 7 2024 1:31 utc | 128

Posted by: Refinnejenna | Feb 7 2024 1:16 utc | 126
Absolutely Jenna
He was a complex man but I think a sincere one. His role in the dismissal was appalling – he was used as a US patsy and I like all other decent thinking Australians was out in the street yelling for him to go.
Something changed as he aged. First he sincerely stepped in on some environmental issues- eg the Fraser’s island issue, which unsubstantiated gossip suggested was due to the influence of his daughter, apparently a passionate environmentalist.
Once he left office he somehow became more reasonable on many issues. He was I think quite genuine in his opposition to racism and on many human rights issues.
For US people here you might laugh at the strange behaviour of Australians. Fraser was probably the most hated PM for many years, following the CIA prompted dismissal of Whitlam. However when he was caught in an old trap, losing his pants in a Memphis motel, Australians laughed so much that Fraser was essentially rehabilitated and welcomed back into the land of humans.

Posted by: watcher | Feb 7 2024 1:40 utc | 129

Some videos for today.
Russian modified T-72 tank destroys enemy ATGM position near Donetsk:
https://rutube.ru/video/969803aacd91df59e3ac69ce1bde6483/
Russian FPV drone conducts precise strike on enemy trench on the Zaporozhye front:
https://rutube.ru/video/071d5b9d0a4f310bb47f24dd8463b789/
Russian FPV drones pound Banderites near Donetsk:
https://rutube.ru/video/d7e37df0427aaef26825f26705efb331/
Russian Buk-M3 air defense system in action near Krasny Liman:
https://rutube.ru/video/73c864e31e842a656026374c83a999b4/

Posted by: Nate | Feb 7 2024 1:41 utc | 130

talking about Fraser, and our Dangerous Allies etc
Julian | Feb 6 2024 21:57 utc | 100
Is that you Julian Burnside?

Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Feb 7 2024 1:45 utc | 131

Agree with your core analysis.
However, I’m not so sure about your interpretation of the Iran Nuclear Deal. If Washington wants the EU to be dependent, it needs to disrupt (energy resource) trade with *both* Russia and Iran. Which might also explain the current wilful escalation of the Red Sea crisis, hurting mostly the EU.
The Iran Deal was (imo) a US attempt to remain relevant in the Middle East, by preventing a too close alliance of Tehran, Moscow and Beijing.
Also, don’t underestimate the importance of London’s goal to retain access to EU (financial) markets.
Posted by: smuks | Feb 7 2024 1:00 utc | 123
I didn’t say the US stopped wanting a war in Ukraine, that’s obviously not true. They stopped prioritizing the idea of overthrowing Putin and taking the RF back 1991. Not that they didn’t try, but it was obvious to anyone reading the international press for the last decade and a half that China and Russia, at first ‘independently,’ and gradually more and more in open coordination, were building economic and political connections and institutions that would make sanctions- the real weapon of the anti-Russia war- very unlikely to succeed. They continued to pursue that goal publicly, but that was mainly to suck the EU into joining in and cutting its own throat. So, the US got both ends of the oil supply shut down- Iran and Russia. The war in Ukraine enabled the US to do what it promised to do before the war- blow up Nordstream. The war in the ME enables the US to shut down oil going to EU through the Red Sea. It’s a coordinated operation, but the entity on the sharp end is definitely the EU. The Maidan, and the Nuke deal- the two pincers. But Russia is not caught between them.
What you say about US relevance and preventing closer ties between Russia, China and Iran is true- so why did the US trash the deal? It’s a perfect Trump deal, but he torpedoed it. Gutting EU and controlling it benefits the US. The benefits of the Deal going through were almost all on the EU side.
The idea that the operators organizing these wars are stupid and poorly informed is a dangerous fantasy. When you know the big goals, you can see that they’ve been working diligently toward them for a decade and a half. Anything I know about the situation in the world they know in a million times greater detail. I’m sure they understand the implications as well as I do, but of course they have different goals.
All the things that are making it impossible for the west to prevail in Ukraine and the ME were foreseeable a minimum of ten years ago, most much longer. The PTB have seen this situation develop. They can’t stop it directly, but they can take advantage of it, use EU to fuel a massive round of economic and military ‘fortification’ of the US, and see what’s possible through hybrid wars and unforeseen events in the future.

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 7 2024 1:49 utc | 132

Yes Jenna
It is a sad indictment of Austalian politics (and the ALP) that after stating out in the early 70s as Australia’s most right wing PM ever, by the time of his death he (without changing his own views much) had become solidly on the left.
Keating is also a complex man. He was economically very, far to the right in ALP terms and did a great deal to destroy the socialist sentiment in the ALP. He did some very stupid things for which we in Australia are still paying the price – privatising Qantas and the Commonwealth bank were two remarkably short sighted acts. He was not however responsible for destroying the Union movement – that was Bob Hawke. He was also very, very conservative socially and had been a strong follower of the Catholic right leader BA SantaMaria. However he was and still is a passionate nationalist and not a bootlicker for the USA.
Our current PM is not fit to shine the shoes of most of our former PMs – Keating, Fraser, Whitlam, Curtin and yes even Menzies.

Posted by: watcher | Feb 7 2024 1:50 utc | 133

b’s insight regarding the absence of competent officer corps within the present Ukie army cannot be oblivious to RF’s staff. I’d further surmise that this state of being likely has been the case since the failed summer counter-attack. Yet Russia is not taking advantage of this fact and stayed put instead of making tactical moves to expose Ukie’s organizational vulnerability, which could have shown to the world their already done-deal victory(against NATO/America). Seems to me Russia wants this status quo, one that’s obviously bleeding the west and sowing discontent among the alliance.
The status quo is one in which Russia has nothing to lose, besides perhaps some minor scale casualties and some military expenses. Making definitive moves to crush Ukie, on the other hand, would result in a situation that they might have to mop up the aftermaths of the destruction so far. The west would also get the stronger excuse of swallowing the $300 billion RF funds in the west in the name of giving them to Ukrainian government in exile. It’s a scenario difficult for RF to predict what comes next, certainly hard to predict what may come next within Purim’s remaining political career.
The present stalemate, bleeding the West, awakening Ukrainians to their awkward predicament, and perhaps seeing NATO’s breakup, is the preferred strategy, IMHO.

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Feb 7 2024 1:56 utc | 134

I read that Russia is starting to mass artillery again, which means it’s able to do that with acceptable risk. If that holds true, it’s a strong indicator that Ukrainian lines will not hold up much longer. The question remains though, if Russia gets an opportunity like a big break in the line or upheaval with firing Zaluzhny, will it maximize the opportunity?
. . .
Posted by: Lex | Feb 7 2024 0:15 utc | 117

One possibility – Russia is trying to close some cauldrons and reach the Oskol river in the north before the mud season starts, to shorten their lines and build up defenses. After the ground dries in the spring, expect major breakthroughs to happen. Not to say there won’t be breakthroughs soon, but not likely any big arrows.

Posted by: Mike R | Feb 7 2024 1:58 utc | 135

wagelaborer | Feb 7 2024 1:12 utc | 125–
The Kremlin on that interview:
“Vladimir Putin answered questions from NBC anchor Megyn Kelly. The interview was recorded in the Kremlin on March 1, 2018, and in Kaliningrad on March 2, 2018.”
Official English transcript so you don’t need to watch. The first session was done after Putin’s annual address to Russia’s Federal Assembly, Official English Transcript. This was the speech when Putin revealed Russia’s newest weapon systems and reminded Russia and the world that he announced the existence of hypersonics in 2004. The military/weapons part of the address is in the last third of the transcript, and IMO is well worth revisiting.
So, thanks wagelaborer for motivating me to look for those important transcripts as we look forward to what will transpire between Carlson and Putin.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 7 2024 2:00 utc | 136

Honzo | Feb 7 2024 1:49 utc | 132
The sanctions hit Russia hard in 2014, the Ruble almost collapsed at the end of that year (and would have, without China’s help). Thinking that Russia would be unprepared and the same would work 8 years later is plain absurd – it was obvious for any neutral observer the EU would get hurt the most.
Whether or not something is ‘successful’ always depends on the goals, and I’m afraid the war in Ukraine is playing out pretty much as planned, from London’s and Washington’s pov.
We’re 95% on the same page, but I still disagree with what you write re. Iran: “The benefits of the Deal going through were almost all on the EU side.” – Really? Strategically, it was Washington’s one chance to maintain a certain influence over the Middle East. That’s gone now; Russia and China are the new regional hegemon(s).
It’s part of the global split which began under Obama (‘Pivot to Asia’ 2013) and accelerated under Trump. US/UK have understood that they cannot dominate China militarily & economically, so instead they consolidate their hegemony over the western bloc. Only silver lining for EU imo is that the US needs Europe to be economically strong – someone has to keep US going and rebuild its infrastructure.

Posted by: smuks | Feb 7 2024 2:37 utc | 137

by Lex | Feb 7 2024 0:15 utc | 117
At some point, in a WWII Red Army was fielding 300-500 artillery tubes per 1 km of the length of the offensive line of contact, as a preparation before storming it.
Salvos, on an average, lasted for 3 hours, and than quickly moved forward, en masse. And previously Armies participated with a huge manpower, killed, captured or surrendered.
I recall some 250k Nazis surrendered, it was the number (perhaps Model), and war went on for almost 2 more years.
Red Army was moving at a rate of 80 km every 12 or so days from Belorussian front to the German border.
Today it is all pretty much tuned down, as here and there something is hit, tank or a three attack and it is not a constant steel rain, really.
Also the troop numbers combating forward is in platoons and not divisions or armies and are low intensity, in comparison. TOS goes on Ukrainians and it is a sensation video. FAB 250 and 500 is used more, not that missiles are raining every day.
Also “a danger close” is practiced at around 100 – 150 m, but usually with a few smart shells, drones being almost primary weapon in cleaning the terrain and preparing it for the movement.
What I gather is, that more and more arty is being delivered to the front, also some new ‘Koalitsia’, a long range, robotic enabled, self-propelled howitzer for counter battery for a long distance denial at over 70+ km. Also, I think that RF got from North Korea a huge and devastating 600 mm, 9 tubes MRLS systems with a various warheads. Those go well over 200 km. A new jet powered Geran-2 is incoming soon.
Lots of small game-changers, packed together, make it more real than some wunderwaffe of a butterfly life span, but not a butterfly effect.
Last weekend EW complex Topol worked often, sometimes coupled with Krasukha-4 (belladonna), from Kaliningrad covering a phase shifted radius at around 300 km, jamming GPS and x-band and Ku-band. Apparently with 1/4 power and a range, estimated to over 1500 in ideal conditions (up to Scottish isles). That prevented NATO’s live ammo and airstrikes exercise. Such EW style means that RF is slowly upping the ante there. NATO looks at the Baltic and Arctic, while the real action is prepared elsewhere. It was always like that with Russians, and that is why one doesn’t go to war with them. Luckily SMO is still actual.
I guess if it’ll be the real war, those 3 hour volleys would be practiced again, supported by Chinese, Iranian and North Korean stocks, no matter the cost. I am unsure if NATO knows and understands this.
Eagerly awaiting Erdo-Putin meeting on 12th February, as things might really get to go faster, after that.

Posted by: whirlX | Feb 7 2024 2:54 utc | 138

Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 7 2024 1:20 utc | 127
Simplicius recently linked to an article he had written about how the US bribed Iraqi generals not to fight in 2003.
“>https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/the-iraq-war-was-a-sham

If true, did they stop paying after 2003? How did the insurgency rise? Granted, the Iraqi army didn’t fight, but that’s because they knew they couldn’t go toe to toe with the US. However, Saddam did have plans for an insurgency that predated the invasion.
Now think about how Nazi Germany sailed through Europe. Belgium – 18 days, Netherlands – 14 days,
Luxembourg – 1 day, Denmark – 6 hours, and ask yourself why Stalin purged disloyal generals.

Absolute silliness. There are real and specific reasons why and how the Wehrmacht swept through western Europe. Hitler built it into the best military in the world. The blitzkrieg doctrine was new, and at the time indefensible. Also, WWI was still within living memory, and no one in France wanted to relive trench warfare.

Posted by: James M. | Feb 7 2024 2:57 utc | 139

We Americans will be sure to high five the Ukrainians for giving up so many of their lives just so we can feel good about more dead Russians
Great job Ukraine!

Posted by: handsome man | Feb 7 2024 3:15 utc | 140

@karlof1 | Feb 7 2024 2:00 utc | 135
Many of the interviews of important people from ‘unfriendly nations’ take the form of “So when did you stop beating your mother?” and proceed from there. Absolutely not intended to be informative. Steven Sanger of Hard Talk comes to mind as a repeat offender in this regard. That Christiane Amanpour is whining about Tucker is completely understandable.

Posted by: the pessimist | Feb 7 2024 3:30 utc | 141

We’re 95% on the same page, but I still disagree with what you write re. Iran: “The benefits of the Deal going through were almost all on the EU side.” – Really? Strategically, it was Washington’s one chance to maintain a certain influence over the Middle East. That’s gone now; Russia and China are the new regional hegemon(s).
Posted by: smuks | Feb 7 2024 2:37 utc | 136
It’s always a question of what options are available. Washington had to make a choice, they could not eat Europe and maintain ‘a certain influence over the Middle East’ at the same time. Which is the better meal? Because remember, Iran knows full well that the US is the Great Satan, and the deal was not going make them friends of the US. Whatever good will was bought by the deal would not cause Iran to cut off Hezbollah or the Iraqi militia. The strategic benefit to the US was minimal, and the role of Iran as an alternate oil source to the EU has been curtailed without the detail via the conflict in the Red Sea.
The US keeps putting forward the idea that Russia and China are natural enemies or competitors, but it isn’t true. Whatever label you want to put on their economic systems, they both have strong state control of the banking system and of critical industries, and both have governments that work for the benefit of the population at large instead of a handful of individuals. The big crisis we keep hearing about in the Chinese economy is only a crisis in the speculative sector- private banking and real estate. Ordinary Chinese are not being hurt by it, only the billionaire would-be oligarchs, and some foreign investors. Because they understand the fundamental common interests of both countries, the Russians and Chinese are unavoidably the dominant power in the Old World. The constant talk about wedging them apart is fantasy. In that context, buying off Iran was never an option. They would always do better by cooperating with China and Russia than by not doing so, deal or no deal.
People who want to resist imperialism for some reason want to believe that the guiding figures of hegemonic strategy are stupid and ill-informed, and this meme is pushed by people like “Ex-CIA Analyst Larry Johnson.” In fact, they’re pretty fucking smart, and they have executed a plan to capture Europe while making everyone think they wanted to capture to Russia, China and Iran. This despite the fact that they simply haven’t had the means to do any one of these things since about 2012. While the elites would be happy to capture any of those nations, it’s simply not doable- so they are capturing the most vulnerable countries with the highest pay off: Europe.
When I say ‘capture’ btw, I’m talking about asserting direct control, which has only become the case with the advent of SMO.
How long this condition will last, I can’t predict, but for now the US is winning big time.

Posted by: Honzo | Feb 7 2024 3:48 utc | 142

@Posted by: James M. | Feb 7 2024 2:57 utc | 138
There is a big question about how fast the French surrendered, and the inability to cut off the thrust to the Channel at its thin supply lines. There is some support that much of the French elite preferred a fascist takeover that would once and for all deal a death knell to the forces of democracy and the working class. Vichy France was utterly fascist.

Posted by: Roger | Feb 7 2024 4:35 utc | 143

Even Putin said it’s US and NATO Forces operating western weapons. So it’s NATO openly killing Russian civilians. What are you going to do about it except whine.
https://sputnikglobe.com/20240206/ukraine-coordinates-himars-targets-with-us-who-is-complicit-in-lisichansk-strike—russian-un-envoy-1116630645.html

Posted by: Surferket | Feb 7 2024 5:06 utc | 144

Vichy France was utterly fascist.
Posted by: Roger | Feb 7 2024 4:35 utc | 142
Well duh, it was controlled by a fascist state.
As for the French surrendering, yes they did surrender too quickly, but remember the horrors of WWI still resonated with them. France lost almost 5 percent of its total population in that war. They didn’t want a repeat.
Even if they had continued to fight, they wouldn’t have lasted too long against the Wehrmacht. There have been studies done demonstrating the superiority and greater effectiveness of the Wehrmacht vis-a-vi their opponents (Dupuy: Understanding War, 1986). Their leadership structure was second to none.
The German blitz in the west was a combination of several political and military factors, a confluence that will never be seen again. Its risible to think they “bribed” generals not to fight, as the other commenter inferred.

Posted by: James M. | Feb 7 2024 5:06 utc | 145

the pessimist | Feb 7 2024 3:30 utc | 140–
Thanks for your reply. Given what Carlson said in his video, he’ll ask key questions while allowing Putin to answer. I expect the decorum and discourse level to be mature. But most of the answers to the usual Qs are already known. If Tucker avoids invoking the US-line, and holds to the genuine history from 2000 onward, then the conversation might even become productive as their fundamental ideologies are similar. Time will tell.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 7 2024 5:16 utc | 146

James M @144 & Roger @142
The Wehrmacht rolled up the British Expeditionary Force along the coast, getting behnd the French lines, making France’s position untenable. Of course, the British would have preferred if they continue to fight down to the last Frenchman (shades of Ukraine today?), while the British evacuate behind the Channel. France signed an armistice with Germany to preserve the life of French citizens, not because of perceived fascist sympathies.

Posted by: AJ | Feb 7 2024 5:21 utc | 147

But what would Victoria Nuland say?
Posted by: too scents | Feb 6 2024 15:08 utc | 9
Fuck Victoria Nuland

Posted by: DM: | Feb 7 2024 5:42 utc | 148

Re: Posted by: watcher | Feb 6 2024 22:10 utc | 101

That is of course a load of rubbish. Malcolm Fraser was well connected. He was an extreme economic conservative, but by 2014 had become a radical on foreign policy matters.
You mistook polite nodding for ignorance.

Ha – you have no idea.
He was on a quick decline in H2 2014 – he died in Q1 2015.
He may well have had dementia in H2 2014 – I sure would like to see this episode you’re talking about.
I have a signed copy of his final book to attest to meeting and speaking with him and the exact date and time.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 7 2024 5:45 utc | 149

southfront
“…London reportedly proposed to its allies to consider deployment of the NATO Expeditionary Force to Ukraine. The chief warmonger supposes to covertly transfer large highly maneuverable NATO forces from the border areas of Romania and Poland to take defense along the Dnieper River. This would allow the release of the necessary military reserves of the Ukrainian Army to send them to the front.
The operation may include a preemptive strike by the Armed Forces of Moldova and Romania on Transnistria as well deployment of the NATO military on the territory of Norway and Finland to disperse Russian forces and launch strikes on strategic infrastructure facilities in the northern regions of Russia.
Thus, according to London’s plan, NATO will allegedly undermine Russia’s offensive capabilities and Moscow will be forced to launch negotiations. Britain reportedly intends to complete the preparation of such a scenario by May of this year.
This plan does not correspond to the will of European countries to fight Russia by using other’s forces; but London is sure that the ongoing Russian advance deep into Ukraine will persuade them to take decisive action.”
Maybe delusional…but stupid does what stupid is…..not much mention of Challenger tanks recently…still being held back along with Abrams for such a pretentious attempt to save grace “heroic Bojo we are with you in your worst moments” type strategy ???
Posted by: Jo | Feb 6 2024 23:03 utc | 106

If he ever met him. Impossible to know since Malcom Fraser is long dead. But given Julian’s lack of perspicacity on the current Ukraine-Russia conflict, as demonstrated by his posts here, I suspect he’s full of it.

You clearly utterly discount any chance of NATO sending troops into Ukraine to stop any future Russian advance.
Your belief that NATO will never send troops into Ukraine is utterly bizarre to me given what NATO has done over the last 2-10 years in Ukraine – but you do you.
If you did actually consider NATO troops in Ukraine a serious possibility you wouldn’t be so sanguine about the glacial Russian advance of the last 18 months – in fact – Russian territorial gains are negative over the last 18 months.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 7 2024 5:55 utc | 150

Posted by: DM: | Feb 7 2024 5:42 utc | 147
“Fuck Victoria Nuland”
No, thank you.

Posted by: Jan Sobieski | Feb 7 2024 6:05 utc | 151

Re: Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Feb 7 2024 1:45 utc | 131

Is that you Julian Burnside?

Most certainly not – No!

Posted by: Julian | Feb 7 2024 6:06 utc | 152

You clearly utterly discount any chance of NATO sending troops into Ukraine to stop any future Russian advance.
Posted by: Julian | Feb 7 2024 5:55 utc | 150
Yes I do. NATO has no legal standing in Ukraine, not to mention the logistics involved in sending any mass amount of troops. This isn’t Libya or Serbia where a simple no-fly zone and bombing of a tiny, sparsely populated country could topple an unpopular leader.
No, NATO’s opponent would be Russia, as in the same Russia they avoided war with for over fifty years during the Cold War. As in the same Russia with over 7,000 nuclear missiles. As in the same Russia who has a nominal alliance with China. “NATO” as in individual NATO members want no part of it. Zip, zero, none. The chances are less than zero that an armed NATO force of any significant level will enter Ukraine.
Stop with this nonsense.

Posted by: James M. | Feb 7 2024 7:01 utc | 153

Posted by: Dave | Feb 6 2024 21:30 utc | 98
@Roger | Feb 6 2024 22:54 utc | 104
Concerning Stalins purge before Barbarossa
I agree with Roger and in addition to the treason mentioned the plotters were also in collusion with Japan. Grover Furry elaborates in several texts
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grover_Furr bibliography.
The angloamericans – obviously intellectually dominated by the British side – aimed (or appeared) to divide the world in three US/UK allied power centers and to subdue the USSR.
Roger quotes Lasurdo with reference to Churchill (1993)
I havent read Lasurdo’s text so I dont know what Churchill refers to.
1993 was the time when the US/UK had succeeded in dismantling the USSR and were busy fomenting to loot it so that was a time when the imperialists had a motive to keep them content.
In addition to that context there was the issue with the space program that Britain knew all about and where the USSR had even participated in the fraud.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 7 2024 7:01 utc | 154

Posted by: Julian | Feb 7 2024 5:55 utc | 150
Also the fact that you cannot discern the difference between what is clearly propaganda, (planted by who?), and reality is a bit concerning. This is not the first time you’ve fallen for it – remember Putin negotiating. Surely you are not that dense, so I suspect a troll or a sockpuppet account. Brave Sir Shadowbanned is that you?

Posted by: James M. | Feb 7 2024 7:10 utc | 155

‘They Come in Waves’: Ukraine Goes on Defense Against a Relentless Foe (archived) – New York Times, Feb 4 2024
As the war enters its third year, Ukrainian find themselves out manned and outgunned. After dominating the fighting in the first year and battling mostly to a standstill in the second, they have relinquished the momentum to Russia.

Not understanding what took place in Kherson and Kharkiv in the fall of 2022 is what led the west to push Ukraine into their disastrous spring/summer counter offensive.

Posted by: Cheney | Feb 7 2024 7:11 utc | 156

Interestingly, this morning the South African Broadcasting Corporation early-morning anchor, who normally gets his friends from the Atlanticist “Daily Maverick” or an ex-apartheid-military “strategy expert” to read the latest New York Times headline on Ukraine, called in someone new from the South African Institute of International Affairs. This is another apartheid-era government “think”-tank, but oddly enough the speaker knew enough, or was free enough to speak honestly, to say that the Zhelensky-Zhaluzhni conflict existed. Even more oddly, the anchor then asked if this conflict weren’t rather bad news in the middle of a war and if it wouldn’t please the Russians, especially given that Ukraine was short of troops and money — both things which he and his friends have been denying for a year or so. The man from International Affairs didn’t say no.
I don’t think either the anchor or the “think”-tank have suddenly come round to Kumbaya-singing and truth-telling. I think the word has come down from Langley that Ukraine is becoming a liability and the propagandists must start backing off.

Posted by: MFB | Feb 7 2024 7:22 utc | 157

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Front #Summary for 6 Feb 2024 by 18:31⚡️
🔹In #Kherson Direction, our army is again attacking #Krynki. The situation is difficult for both sides. Ours continue to hit guns and manpower on the right bank and even conduct sorties on the right bank. The AFU have again dispersed their drone operators and artillery along the bank, no longer focusing only on #Krynki.
🔹In #Zaporozhye Direction near #Rabotino, Russian scouts discovered that enemy forces were stretching Bruno’s barbed spiral to hold back our advance. The attempt was foiled by fire. (⚠️This happened yesterday, see 👉 Video)
🔹In #SouthDonetsk Direction, in the #Ugledar area, ours hit mines with FABs, which the AFU use as powerful fortified areas. Hopefully, a new stage of the offensive is being prepared. In the #Maryinka sector, our forces managed to break through to the eastern outskirts of #Novomikhaylovka. The enemy hid in “holes” during our offensive. Now our army is working hard to track down and clear these hiding places to avoid being attacked from behind. West of #Maryinka our military found pipes with abandoned AFU bodies. The advance from #Maryinka to #Kurakhovo is on an operational pause. It is obvious that it would be suicide to go head-on without successes at #Krasnogorovka.
🔹In #Donetsk Direction, the fighting for #Avdeyevka is intensifying. Our forces are focusing on securing a foothold in the private development between Coke Plant and the Blue Lakes quarry. The obvious goal is to cut off the Coke from the rest of the city. Ours took a platoon stronghold and are establishing a foothold on Zheleznodorozhny Lane. There are heavy street battles. Preliminary fights are already taking place for positions near the railway tracks. Our advancing forces at the southern flank are being hit by enemy drones and artillery from the front edge of the Khimik microdistrict defence,
🔹In #Bakhmut Direction, there is relative calm on the northern flank of the city near #Bogdanovka. Our army is actively working with drones, searching for AFU firing points.
🔹In #Svatovo Direction, in the #Liman sector, the AFU confirms the critical situation near #Yampolovka. Our military is actively moving forward and reaching the outskirts of #Terny, advancing up to 800m per day. The pressure is exorbitant, a very serious amount of equipment and personnel has been deployed there. The front is thundering, the enemy admits. “the dominance of artillery is maximum, it is impossible to stick your nose out of the dugouts.” In the #Kupyansk sector, on the northern flank near #Sinkovka, our army, under cover of artillery and aviation, bypasses the fortified positions of the AFU, advancing from the northwestern forests. On the southern flank, ours are consolidated on a ledge in the area of #Tabayevka and #Kotlyarovka.
☠️ AFU shelling on the border in the #Bryansk region wounded our border guards, one of them was killed. In #Donetsk, a city bus was attacked by a drone, without casualties. In #Belgorod, 7 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down.
💥 Our Army hit in #Kharkov region a private hotel with two missiles, which housed up to 50 Ukrainian militants, presumably from the Kraken national formation.

https://t.me/two_majors/18813

Posted by: Down South | Feb 7 2024 7:24 utc | 158

A bad signal for Zelensky.
The Western press began to shape the image of Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny. They even gave him a positive, hype nickname – the iron general.
If Zelensky does send Zaluzhny to resign, then future defeats of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will completely affect the image of the president and will finally drown him, we wrote about this back in November. The first “infobullet” is the Avdeevka stranglehold or cauldron, which can happen at any moment.
We observe… if Zelensky does not dismiss Zaluzhny, he will show his weakness to the internal elites. In fact, in this case, any choice is ultimately ruinous for Ze.
As they say, “you can’t leave someone fired” (place the comma yourself).

https://t.me/legitimniy/17195

Posted by: Down South | Feb 7 2024 7:27 utc | 159

🧩🧩🧩 Zaluzhny.
Deputy Shevchenko’s statement that Zaluzhny agreed to go to London is Bankova’s stuff.
Shevchenko is a young man. She and Maryana Bezugla are very loyal people to Ermak, and everything they voice/do is agreed upon by the head of the OP.
The goal of this stuffing is to fill the information field with a positive reason for Zelensky, showing that Zaluzhny is ready to remain on the president’s team.
In fact, if Za wanted to stay on Team Ze, he would have left without all his publications and Brazilian melodrama. Therefore, Zaluzhny will not agree to any pension in London, he simply cannot. It is important for him to leave the president’s team – tough.
It was this exit from Razumkov that ensured his future, and now Dima is considered as a candidate for the acting position. President.
If Zaluzhny is informally added to it, the tandem will become a real alternative to Zelensky, for which the US Embassy can gather votes in the Rada, given that this option will suit Poroshenko, Klitschko and Tymoshenko more than Zelensky ☝🏻
Of course, Zaluzhny as Commander-in-Chief in such a situation is more valuable than Zaluzhny as a retired general. In the first case, a coup in Ukraine could be carried out relying on the army according to the formula “army + parliament against the Office of the President” and the law on mobilization.
But Ermak will not leave such a chance to the conspirators, and Zaluzhny will be removed (first the head of the Special Operations Forces, Kharchenko, was removed), which will significantly reduce the instrumental weight of the Fronde in the person of the embassy and the parliamentary opposition. Now they will be without an army, which means a coup is impossible, now only a revolution, and this is much worse in war conditions.

https://t.me/ZeRada1/18018

Colleagues noticed everything we wrote earlier.
1. People’s Deputy Shevchenko is a young man, just like Bezuglaya. Everything they say and do is Ermak’s game.
2. Zaluzhny and Razumkov are an excellent tandem, since Razumkov criticizes Ze’s government policy, and Za can criticize the military case. Both will complement each other and cause maximum image damage to Bankova.
3. We do not agree that it will be difficult for the West to promote street protests. No one will be able to endlessly pack their players, as the SBU likes to do. The Bigus case showed this. It’s not just that the SBU is now being attacked by the Soros.
This year will be very difficult for Zelensky. For him, now the main case is not military, but internal, where the struggle between the elites and the authorities will take place.

https://t.me/legitimniy/17197

Posted by: Down South | Feb 7 2024 7:29 utc | 160

Colleagues accurately described the political situation around Zaluzhny, and most importantly, Ermak’s game of being ahead of the curve. It is important for the Office of the President to cleanse the army to a vacuum of legitimacy so that there are no competitors for Zelensky, who loses his powers after 03/31/24.
That is why the resignation of the Commander-in-Chief occurred so abruptly, and most importantly, it is carried out without information preparation, which is evident from the clumsy work of Bankova’s technologists and the completely disgusting media background in the West.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/21537

The Office of the President on all flanks is preparing for a vacuum of legitimacy and cleaning up the political landscape. Bankova is well aware that after 03/31/24 there will be turbulence in power, in order to reduce risks and prevent sabotage by the elites, a cleansing of the military bloc is underway along with the opposition.
Poroshenko is accused of treason
The State Bureau of Investigation has completed a pre-trial investigation of the fifth president and people’s deputy Petro Poroshenko, suspected of treason and facilitating the activities of a terrorist organization.
The investigation provided the defense with access to the materials of the pre-trial investigation. After familiarization, the SBI must send an indictment against Petro Poroshenko to the court.
After this, his status changes, he becomes an accused.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/21539

Posted by: Down South | Feb 7 2024 7:32 utc | 161

Formal voting.
Martial law has been extended for another 90 days, until May 13, 2024.It will be extended until such time as it is beneficial for Zelensky.
Also, it may not be extended at a time of political crisis in the country, which is growing daily.

https://t.me/legitimniy/17196

Posted by: Down South | Feb 7 2024 7:34 utc | 162

Whole Tucker Carlson is in Russia, he should do an interview with Snowden while he’s there!!!! Now THAT would be super interesting … but would no doubt get him into even MORE shit upon return home!
Go Tucker! Troll the fkn lot of them.

Posted by: Jake.Blanchard | Feb 7 2024 8:46 utc | 163

Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 7 2024 1:12 utc | 125
The most interesting and least censored Putin interviews for Western consumption was Oliver Stone’s doco. Well worth the time.

Posted by: Jake.Blanchard | Feb 7 2024 8:54 utc | 164

‘The Turks’ report the GPS jamming of the Nato exercise Steadfast Defender in Poland and the Baltics and around Suwalki area continues.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 7 2024 9:21 utc | 165

https://twitter.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1755156425100103681

Sunak, Scholz, Macron, Norwegen, Finnish, Polish, and other NATO bosses are harping on, “We must be ready for war against Russia.”
Even though Russia has many times underscored that conflict with NATO and EU member states was not in the plans, the dangerous babbling is still going on. The reasons are obvious.
It is necessary to distract voters to justify multibillion spending on the bothersome bandera Ukraine. Indeed, gigantic sums of money are being spent not on solving social tasks, but on war in a dying country alien to taxpayers, with the population that is scattered across Europe and is now terrorizing its people.
This is why the heads of these states are emphasizing it on a daily basis: it is imperative to get ready for war against Russia and keep providing aid to Ukraine, which is why it is necessary to produce more tanks, missiles, drones and other weapons.
But not all the European bosses are cynically lying to their citizens. If – God forbid! – such a war breaks out, it won’t go according to the Special Military Operation scenario. It won’t be fought in trenches using artillery, armoured vehicles, drones and EW.
NATO is a huge military bloc, the total population of the Alliance member states is about 1 billion people, and their combined military budget can get as high as $1,5 trillion.
So, because our military capabilities are thus incomparable, we will simply be left with no choice. The response will be asymmetrical. To defend our country’s territorial integrity, ballistic and cruise missiles carrying special warheads will be put to use. It is based on our military doctrine documents and is well known to all. And this is exactly that very Apocalypse. The end to everything.
This is why Western politicians must be telling the bitter truth to their voters, and stop taking them for brainless morons; to explain to them, what will really happen, and not to play the false mantra of getting ready for war against Russia over and over again.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Feb 7 2024 9:25 utc | 166

Feb 7 2024 9:25 utc | 166
https://tass.ru/politika/19920337
7 февраля, 10:09,
обновлено 7 февраля, 10:28
Медведев предрек Апокалипсис в случае войны РФ с НАТО
Замглавы Совбеза отметил, что Россия в случае войны будет вынуждена “ответить асимметрично” и использовать ракеты “со специальными боеголовками”
МОСКВА, 7 февраля. /ТАСС/. Россия в случае войны с НАТО будет вынуждена “ответить асимметрично” и использовать ракеты “со специальными боеголовками”, написал замглавы Совбеза (СБ) РФ Дмитрий Медведев в Telegram-канале.
Он отметил, что “если, не дай Бог, такая война случится, то она не пойдет по сценарию СВО” и “не будет вестись в окопах с применением артиллерии, бронетехники, дронов и средств РЭБ (радиоэлектронной борьбы – прим. ТАСС)”. “НАТО – огромный военный блок, население стран альянса – почти один миллиард человек, а их совокупный военный бюджет может достигать полутора триллионов долларов”, – указал Медведев.
“Поэтому ввиду несопоставимости наших военных потенциалов у нас просто не останется выбора. Ответ будет асимметричным. Для защиты территориальной целостности нашей страны будут использованы баллистические и крылатые ракеты со специальными боеголовками (ракеты со специальной боевой частью, то есть ядерное оружие – прим. ТАСС). Это основано на наших доктринальных военных документах и хорошо известно всем. И это и есть тот самый пресловутый Апокалипсис. Конец всему”, – подчеркнул зампред Совбеза РФ.
Пока, по его словам, “все европейские начальники цинично лгут своим гражданам”, талдыча о необходимости быть готовыми “к войне с Россией”. “И хотя Россия многократно говорила об отсутствии планов конфликта со странами НАТО и ЕС, крайне опасная болтовня на эту тему продолжается”, – констатировал Медведев.

Posted by: Oberbayer | Feb 7 2024 9:53 utc | 167

“The Turks” report that GPS interference continues during the NATO exercise “Steadfast Defender” in Poland, the Baltics and the Suwalki area. #165
.
Yes, why would THEY have problems there??
As Putin said (we haven’t used our most modern weapons yet)
Episode from around 2011 a USA aircraft carrier approached Kaliningrad…despite warnings from the Russians to come closer!
Effect… 4 Norwegian tugs had to leave to remove the carrier from the Russian coast…this one suffered a complete electronic failure. Became known in the West..NO!

Posted by: ossi | Feb 7 2024 10:01 utc | 168

Posted by: Oberbayer | Feb 7 2024 9:53 utc | 167
I think a more realistic assessment / admission is this:

NATO should be prepared for the prospect of Russian missile strikes in Europe in the event of an all-out war with Russia, said Lieutenant General Alexander Sollfrank, a commander of NATO’s military logistics center in Germany, in an interview with The Times published on Jan. 28.

It looks like an admission that NATO plans to keep feeding more and more weapons into Ukraine with the intention that RF is forced to hit NATO logistics depots outside of Ukraine or fold.

Posted by: anon2020 | Feb 7 2024 10:15 utc | 169

Песков официально подтвердил, что вчера состоялось интервью Путина Такеру Карлсону. Wall Street Journal сообщает, что Такер Карслон опубликует его в 18-00 по американскому времени. У нас это будет в 2 часа ночи. В общем, кому интересно, сегодня ночью можно будет посмотреть.
Peskov officially confirmed that Putin’s interview with Tucker Carlson took place yesterday. The Wall Street Journal reports that Tucker Carslon will publish it at 6:00 p.m. US time. We’ll have it at 2 a.m. In general, for those who are interested, you will be able to watch tonight.
Colonelcassad

Posted by: chop | Feb 7 2024 10:16 utc | 170

https://t.me/milinfolive/115786

A selection of our most interesting news and materials from yesterday that you might have missed:
— In Georgia, a cargo of explosives was detained, transported under the supervision of Ukrainian special services by citizens of Georgia, Armenia and Ukraine to commit terrorist attacks on Russian territory.
— Ukraine can receive American stealth air-launched cruise missiles AGM-158 JASSM with a flight range from 370 to 1300 km, depending on the modification, as well as production volumes of more than 500 units per year.
— Manturov announced plans to increase the production of FPV drones to hundreds of thousands, and heavy UAVs to dozens.
— The commander of the Ukrainian Naval Forces promised to blow up the Crimean bridge this year.
— Ecuador will lose the export of bananas and carnations (flowers) to Russia after the decision to transfer Russian military equipment used by its army to the United States.
#digest

Posted by: anon2020 | Feb 7 2024 10:18 utc | 171

Posted by: anon2020 | Feb 7 2024 10:15 utc | 169
This is stupid NATO wishful thinking.
As long as Putin rules, there will be no first attack by Russia on NATO members.
Oder in D:
Das ist dummes NATO-Wunschdenken.
Solange Putin regiert, wird es keinen ersten Angriff Russlands auf NATO-Mitglieder geben.

Posted by: Oberbayer | Feb 7 2024 10:23 utc | 172

“The propagandist Cold War history of Stalin, and the self-serving lies of Khrushchev, are far from the truth. Losurdo’s “Stalin History and Critique of a Black Legend” is an excellent counter balance. The Soviet Union won WW2 because of Stalin’s forced industrialization and because of the internal discipline and leadership of Stalin. Such success for a Communist regime could not be accepted during the Cold War, so Stalin had to be vilified.”
Posted by: Roger | Feb 6 2024 22:54 utc | 104
I agree.
In school, post secondary, in the 80’s we were taught that Stalin was a crude dictator.
Anyways, there is a book that I read by Roberts called, “Stalin’s Library” that nixes that idea.
“Roberts portrays Joseph Stalin, the mastermind and implementer of mass terror in the Soviet Union, as a voracious reader and meticulous editor. Based mostly on secondary sources, this book examines Stalin’s intellectual pursuits in the context of major episodes in Soviet history. The dictator’s personal collection of about 25,000 volumes was dispersed among various libraries after his death. Roberts traces the fate of those books and puts special focus on some 400 of them that bear Stalin’s personal markings.
For instance, Stalin’s marginalia show how his view of Leon Trotsky evolved from admiration to vicious criticism. His annotations in the works of the Marxist philosopher Karl Kautsky include words such as “swine,” “liar,” and “fool.” Stalin’s main interests included history, Marxist revolutionary thought, and diplomacy. In fiction, his tastes were “conservative and conventional.”
Stalin advised publishers, met with authors to discuss their work, and edited their drafts; he closely engaged in compiling a history textbook for schools and actively interfered in the ideological supervision of Soviet literature and film. Roberts characterizes Stalin as a dogmatic Marxist, yet Roberts’s own book contains examples of Stalin’s deviations from Marxist teachings. For instance, Stalin believed that the class struggle intensified under socialism, a view that clashed with Marxist theory but provided a rationale for new waves of repression”
1. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/reviews/capsule-review/2022-04-19/stalins-library-dictator-and-his-books

Posted by: canuck | Feb 7 2024 10:37 utc | 173

Explosions in Lwow, Ivano-Frankivsk, Khmelnitsky, Nikolaev, Kharkov, Drohobych and Yavoriv base during drone and missile attack this morning.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 7 2024 10:37 utc | 174

“The US has over 34 trillion in state debt vs 0.42 t of Russia. it also has over 220 trillion of unfunded liabilities. America is a casino that produces nearly nothing other than “financial instruments”(debt) bonds…with only 1% of its inflated gdp being agriculture and 19% industry (vs 4% and 41% of Russia respectively) the Ruble is artificially devalued by the west, but given Russia imports very little compared to the US, it doesn’t matter much other than shrinking nominal gdp (not to mention things are much cheaper to make/buy-in Russia). but by ppp Russia will surpass Japan within this year, not small at all.”
Posted by: Phariah | Feb 7 2024 0:33 utc | 120
In August of last year Russia passed Germany in PPP:
“Russia has overtaken Germany as Europe’s largest economy (PPP) at 5.32 trillion dollars where as Germany is at 5. 3 trillion dollars.”
PPP is a much better measurement of a Sovereign’s economy than GDP.
Roger @104

Posted by: canuck | Feb 7 2024 10:49 utc | 175

Translation from the channel of Marat Khairullin (https://t.me/voenkorkhayrullin/2119) February 6, 2024:
Regarding the situation at the front, it is crucial to highlight the developments at the Avdeevka Front, where significant events are unfolding today.
From the northeast, fighters from the 114th brigade (formerly the 11th regiment of the DPR) and the 30th (Samara) brigade successfully breached the enemy’s defenses at the Avdeevsky quarry, also known as Golubiye Ozera, and entered the city limits in the area of Zheleznodorozhny Lane. They advanced along Sapronov Street, proceeding from the north to Donetskaya Street, and reached the position near the Zheleznodorozhny Bridge.
Simultaneously, the 115th special forces brigade of the Russian Guard, specialized in urban warfare, entered the city.
Viewed in its entirety, this unexpected maneuver by Russian troops effectively cut off Avdeevka at its narrowest point, from the Zheleznodorozhny Bridge to the main transport artery supplying the large group entrenched on the southern front (from the Yasinovataya side).
Is estimated that there is a 10,000-strong enemy group here, which is now trapped, including within the most crucial fortified area of the enemy, known as the 9th quarter or the Citadel position.
Moreover, from the direction of the village of Spartak and the Airport (where I am currently situated), forces from Slavyanka brigade have begun advancing towards the outskirts of Avdeevka between the Citadel and the “Voinskaya chast” position. It is worth mentioning that Slavyanka fighters had entered this position from the direction of the village of Spartak a few days earlier and have been making progress towards the main complex of buildings.
Additionally, forces from the village of Opytnoye have moved towards the rear of the mentioned position and approached another significant enemy position, Estakada, which serves as a supply route for the entire fortified area around the Voinskaya Chast.
Currently, our forces have established a position between the Citadel and Estacada, occupying the crucial height 218, from which they can effectively target both positions.
Taking into account the recent advancements in the area of the Tsarskaya Okhota position, where our forces had reached almost to the intersection of Sportivnaya and Chernyshevsky streets a week earlier, the situation for the opposing forces has become increasingly challenging. Despite their attempts to launch counterattacks in recent days, they have suffered significant losses.
Just yesterday, our forces destroyed nearly 200 enemy soldiers and several American Bradleys, which are predominantly used by two elite Ukrainian units—the 47th brigade and the special forces of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
@VestnikRus

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 7 2024 10:50 utc | 176

Explosions in Lwow, Ivano-Frankivsk, Khmelnitsky, Nikolaev, Kharkov, Drohobych and Yavoriv base during drone and missile attack this morning.
Posted by: unimperator | Feb 7 2024 10:37 utc | 174
I have not been able to understand why the RF does not bomb Lviv/Lwow daily, every day, multiple times a day. And degrade that particular region’s power grid permanently. Make it a miserable wreck for the miserable fascist, ultra-nationalist, white-supremacist Nazis calling it home. It’s the heart of the UkroNazi hive-mind, will never be absorbed into Russia and is of no particular use to Russia in the future. I am not saying kill the civilians. I am saying kill the infrastructure.

Posted by: Zippy the Pinhead | Feb 7 2024 11:26 utc | 177

I have not been able to understand why the RF does not bomb Lviv/Lwow daily, every day, multiple times a day
Posted by: Zippy the Pinhead | Feb 7 2024 11:26 utc | 177

my guess is that the rf knows how that would play out:
first of all, the west with all their values will cry foul and all their usual whining.
and more importantly second: the more you agitate the nazis, the more unhinged they become. what would happen if russia does the same to lvov as they do to belgorod? they would only further increase the killings, the shellings, the forced conscription of anything that opens the mouth and lets a russian word come out.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Feb 7 2024 11:33 utc | 178

TOS-3 MLRS system has been registered for production. Dima speculates it will have improved range for rockets compared to earlier system. Range has been one of the largest bottlenecks for TOS.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 7 2024 11:45 utc | 179

t.me/boris_rozhin/112090
Такер Карлсон внесен на “Миротворец”.
Посмел “критиковать Зеленского”.
Tucker Carlson is now listed on “Peacemaker.”
He dared to “criticize Zelensky”.

Posted by: chop | Feb 7 2024 11:52 utc | 180

Avdiivka Is About to Fall
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-avdiivka-fall-donetsk-1866925?piano_t=1

Posted by: Apollyon | Feb 7 2024 11:53 utc | 181

We finally collected votes for a new project on mobilization.All the people’s deputies bargained for goodies, or took them in money. About OPZH, we immediately insided that those rats would vote, since that’s what they were kept for.
So:
By faction:
CH – 178 (this is the maximum pool of Ermak buttons).
EU – 0 (Poroshenko resigned and the opposition)
Batkivshchyna – 0 (UVT will hype this topic, raising its rating).
Platform for life and peace – 17 (rats, just rats)
For the next month – 7 (part of those who fell under the OP)
Voice – 3 (Ermak’s sixes)
Dovira – 18 (has been working as a satellite of the OP for a long time)
Renewal of Ukraine – 12 (see OPZZH)
Per-fraction – 8 (these just decided to make money before the end).
Welcome to “Ze-serfdom 2.0”.
Then they will bend the people even more, turning them into slaves.

https://t.me/legitimniy/17201

As we immediately assumed, Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny did not come to report to the Verkhovna Rada on the case of the mobilization bill.
This is a signal that the commander in chief did not want to take responsibility for the lawlessness about mobilization.
Sometimes it’s better to get off the train that’s heading towards the wall early.

https://t.me/legitimniy/17202

Posted by: Down South | Feb 7 2024 12:13 utc | 182

A couple of clarifications on the situation in Avdeevka.
As expected for us and unexpectedly (as it turned out) for the enemy, the 114th 1AK brigade and the Samara “thirty” broke through the corridor and actually completed a dissecting strike on the Ukrainian Armed Forces group in Zheleznodorozhny Lane.
But, judging by the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, such a maneuver was either regarded as unlikely or was not initially considered by the command of the Ukrainian troops in this sector. After the breakthrough of the Russian Armed Forces, the “fire brigades” of the Ukrainian garrison began to approach from different directions, trying to block the direction of the breakthrough of Russian forces.
As we predicted earlier, losing positions in the depths of the defense, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying to dig in along the perimeter of the industrial zone of Industrial Avenue – reinforcements from Orlovka and Lastochkina are trying to arrive at these facilities at night, but the Russian Armed Forces have a shortage of night surveillance equipment, as well as weapons of destruction. No.
The same reinforcements with bombs with UMPC are actively practiced both in positions and on the march by the aviation forces on duty. Advancement is most difficult in the southern part, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces occupy a military unit next to a section of the M-30 highway. However, here too the advancement of the Russian Armed Forces takes place: as it turned out, the tactics that were successfully used by the 114th brigade in the northeast also work in smaller squares.
It is pointless to predict the development of events in Avdievka, since the line of battle changes every four to eight hours. However, for the Ukrainian Armed Forces the situation is deteriorating much faster.
In addition to the emerging retreat behind the railway in the area of Industrial Avenue, the southern positions in the area of the military unit are also under threat of encirclement. They are being held by the Ukrainian Armed Forces at the moment, but with a sharp deterioration in the combat situation and problems with reserves, this fortification risks being cut off from the main Ukrainian forces in the area of the nine-story buildings in the Khimik microdistrict.

https://t.me/two_majors/18826

Posted by: Down South | Feb 7 2024 12:15 utc | 183

https://t.me/belarusian_silovik/29692

Colleagues write that the construction of the BAYKAR plant in Ukraine will begin near Kyiv. I wonder what guarantees were received and in return for what?
@belarusian_silovik
Telegram
Istanbul wolf
🇹🇷🇺🇦The leader of the Turkish military-industrial complex BAYKAR MAKİNA began construction of a UAV production plant in Ukraine.
The plant where they plan to produce BayraktarTB2/TB3 UAVs will be located near Kyiv.
BAYKAR CEO Haluk Bayraktar announced…

Posted by: anon2020 | Feb 7 2024 12:17 utc | 184

@ anon2020 | Feb 7 2024 12:17 utc | 184
Ah, good old Bayraktar, an Erdogan family business…

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 7 2024 13:07 utc | 185

And what is the Sultan going to do about it when that plant is turned into rubble before the first worker punches in?
Nothing.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 7 2024 13:26 utc | 186

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 7 2024 13:26 utc | 186

And when the crap is over…they just build electric cars in a then neutral REST of Ukraine.
Or not, because this remaining Ukraine is surrounded on its western border by EU states and regulations, on the north side White Russia, on the east Russia.
And without Odessa, no way to export without crossing these countries.

Posted by: ossi | Feb 7 2024 13:37 utc | 187

The political scientist spoke about the consequences of Putin’s interview with Tucker Carlson.
.
Ordinary US citizens may change their opinions and perceptions of Russia following Russian President Vladimir Putin’s interview with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson. However, this could have a negative impact on the career of the journalist himself, who is already accused in the US of having pro-Russia sympathies, said Konstantin Blokhin, a leading researcher at the Center for Security Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, in an interview with NSN.
“Tucker Carlson is already considered a Kremlin agent in the United States…It is obvious that Russia’s haters will accuse him of this again. Maybe something will follow from this. This will cause even greater damage to Carlson himself. He was fired from all broadcasters and stripped of his position as a presenter,” explained the political scientist.
Against this background, the likelihood that a journalist will become a kind of “bridge” between countries and contribute to the normalization of relations is extremely low, says the expert. At least this is out of the question under current US President Joe Biden, but it is possible if former President Donald Trump comes to power, he added.
“Perhaps the interview will influence the perception of Russia among ordinary Americans who see it,” Blokhin suggested, adding that Carlson could not pressure the United States to negotiate with Russia, no matter how hard he tried.
We would like to remind you that today the Kremlin confirmed information about Putin’s interview with an American journalist. The presidential press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, justified the choice of interviewer by saying that Carlson’s position differs from the others because he does not represent a particular side.
Previously, Tucker Carlson’s name was found in the Ukrainian Peacemaker database. Which is tantamount to a death list and that could also be dangerous, because there are Ukrainians and therefore sympathizers in the USA too.

Posted by: ossi | Feb 7 2024 13:55 utc | 188

Tucker Carlson Could Face Sanctions Over Putin Interview
https://www.newsweek.com/tucker-carlson-sanctions-eu-putin-interview-1867655

Posted by: Apollyon | Feb 7 2024 13:59 utc | 189

The European Union may consider imposing sanctions on American journalist Tucker Carlson over an interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Newsweek reports this, citing members of the European Parliament.
“Carlson’s interview with Putin could make the conservative critic a target for EU lawmakers,” the magazine writes.
Former Belgian Prime Minister and Member of the European Parliament Guy Verhofstadt said that Carlson’s visit to Russia could spark a conflict between the former Fox News host and the European Union. Verhofstadt called Carlson a “mouthpiece” for Putin and former US President Donald Trump and called on the European Union to impose a travel ban on the journalist to the EU.
Earlier, the Russian leader’s press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, said that Carlson and Putin spoke on February 6. The Russian president’s interview with an American TV presenter lasted two hours and will be published “soon.” Read more in the Gazeta.Ru article.
It was previously known when Putin’s interview with Tucker Carlson would be published.
.
source
.
https://www.mriya.news/295020-es-mozet-vvesti-sankcii-protiv-karlsona-zanbspintervyu-snbspputinym

Posted by: oss | Feb 7 2024 14:12 utc | 190

I don’t agree that Maerica has ‘captured’ Europe. The problem with those geniuses that believe they are winning, is that time continues. Pipelines can be rebuilt. Trust on thr other hand, pnce lost is almost impossi le to restore. Maerica, acting as incoherently as the mumbling corpse they cart around as their ‘leader’, believes it can manage the political fallout in Europe as the populations realize that in addition to aiding and abetting a genocide that Maerica also deliberately sabotaged their economic future and current prosperity.
The idea that a new Cold War will last decades is an unfortunate fantasy. The economic deprivations that this time would be visited on West and not the East will cause political upheaval the likes of which have not been seen in modern times. The current situation is only the beginning.
This is the problem with the ‘strategy’ as elucidated about the ‘smart’ moves by Jake the Snake et al. No, it’s the logic of a cocaine or heroin addicts..just get though the day (or week or year or decade) don’t worry about the future. Smart would be to make friends on the way down instead of alienating the entire world while running up a debt as large as your entire GDP.
Well, with all the supposed ‘winning’ Maerica is doing now, there’s going to be one hell of a hangover.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Feb 7 2024 14:51 utc | 191

Posted by: James M. | Feb 7 2024 2:57

…Hitler built it into the best military in the world…

Posted by: James M. | Feb 7 2024 2:57 utc | 139
The US and UK assisted Hitler’s military. When Hitler breached the Versailles Treaty and the Treaty of Locarno, by sending troops into the Rhineland in ’36, the US/UK and Italy applauded. They rejected the CCCP’s proposal that the League implement sanctions against Germany: Baldwin feared that opposing Hitler would weaken fascism and would bring communists to power. The UK’s preference for nazism rather than socialism promulgated its’ policy thru the ’30’s and into WWII. Before Chamberlain handed over Czechoslovakia and the Skoda works, France’s military, alone, could have defeated Hitler. The only group against this policy was the UK labor movement, who consistently and vigorously opposed the collaboration with nazism. As Alan Findlay said, in his Presidential Address to the ’36 TUC, “I would warn both the British Government and the German Government that British labour will never acquiesce in, but will fight strenuously against, any policy which secures temporary peace in Western Europe, whilst giving Hitler a free hand in Eastern Europe and against the Soviet Union.” UK/US foreign investment bolstered Hitler. 171 US companies controlled 278 companies. Armstrong Vickers and ICI, where Chamberlain was a major shareholder, formed a cartel with IG Farben. Chamberlain always favored peace with fascists but preferred war on the Bolsheviks.

Posted by: zeke2u | Feb 7 2024 14:56 utc | 192

People who want to resist imperialism for some reason want to believe that the guiding figures of hegemonic strategy are stupid and ill-informed, and this meme is pushed by people like “Ex-CIA Analyst Larry Johnson.” In fact, they’re pretty fucking smart, and they have executed a plan to capture Europe while making everyone think they wanted to capture to Russia, China and Iran. This despite the fact that they simply haven’t had the means to do any one of these things since about 2012. While the elites would be happy to capture any of those nations, it’s simply not doable- so they are capturing the most vulnerable countries with the highest pay off: Europe.
When I say ‘capture’ btw, I’m talking about asserting direct control, which has only become the case with the advent of SMO.
How long this condition will last, I can’t predict, but for now the US is winning big time.
Posted by: Honzo | Feb 7 2024 3:48 utc | 142

Those western schemers and grand planners probably see the whole thing a a win/win. They knew that at least they could capture Europe, but attaining control of Russia was unlikely. A lesser objective could still be realized – destabilization and the economic damage that follows. In fact, the goal of US foreign policy is usually to just sow chaos in a target country, leaving it too weak to pose much of a challenge to US hegemony. The Wolfowitz doctrine at work. The US figures playing the ‘great game’ saw control of Europe as a near certainty, and turning Russia into a dysfunctional state as an added, even likely, bonus.
The possibility that the whole grand scheme might actually turn against them was never considered, and still isn’t. Exactly how this can happen is unknown, but it requires much of the rest of the world turning against the US and isolating it, which is where I believe this is going. Meanwhile, many of the lesser figures in US foreign policy actually drank their own Kool-aid, and convinced themselves that after Kherson and Kharkiv, Russia was on the ropes and could be beaten, and that even Crimea was within their grasp. It’s still going to take a while longer for these delusional fools to come to grips with the situation. It’s necessary for them to see the utter hopelessness of project Ukraine before this can come to a close. As long as they have any hope they are still dangerous.

Posted by: Mike R | Feb 7 2024 15:12 utc | 193

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (7 February 2024)
at https://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12499434@egNews#txt
Up to 1000 soldiers lost in one day!

Posted by: Lantern Dude | Feb 7 2024 16:03 utc | 194

getting crazy in the EU!
Now you’re not just ignoring international law, which in the West is just the law of the day or the desire of the USA.
Now you are ignoring your OWN asylum laws.
.
Report :
According to a proposal by Polish General Waldemar Skrzypczak, Poland should deport male refugees from Ukraine of military age back to Ukraine. There they would be needed for national defense. This should be implemented in cooperation with other EU governments, it was said from Poland.
.
Annotation :
This idea has already been expressed loudly by governments in the Baltics.
Sylenski needs cannon fodder… and the West is clear… millions of grenades are of no use if no one fires them.
Their plans fail due to a lack of personnel, no matter how many grenades the EU can supply, Sylenski needs people.
Now THEY are resorting to these means to delay their embarrassment in Ukraine…
Loss of face and loss of justification for NATO, hence the panic over Russia’s plans for conquest.
.
Further message:
Another crazy idea
Russia warns EU against immediate response to restrictions on diplomatic movement.
.
Report :
Guterres announced the worst split in the history of the UN Security Council.
According to the Secretary General, the UN Security Council is at an impasse due to geopolitical differences.
“This is not the first time there has been a split in the council. But this time it’s the worst. “The current dysfunction is deeper and more dangerous,” Guterres continued.
“During the Cold War, well-functioning mechanisms helped regulate relations between superpowers,” he said. The Secretary General believes that such mechanisms do not exist in the modern multipolar world. In his opinion, the world has entered an era of chaos.
“We are seeing the results: dangerous and unpredictable lawlessness with complete impunity. After decades of nuclear disarmament, states are competing to make their nuclear arsenals faster, more invisible and more precise. Across all borders, new potential areas of conflict and weapons are being developed, creating new opportunities for humanity to kill each other and destroy themselves,” Guterres said.

Posted by: ossi | Feb 7 2024 16:09 utc | 195

chop | Feb 7 2024 11:52 utc | 180, who posted that

Tucker Carlson is now listed on “Peacemaker.”
He dared to “criticize Zelensky”.

Another chance for the Yankee government to demonstrate its utter contempt for thinking and acting America citizens.

Posted by: Lantern Dude | Feb 7 2024 16:14 utc | 196

Western media prepares for Tucker Carlson’s Putin interview
The Western media has refused interviews with Putin over the past two years and has only broadcast the Ukrainian view of the crisis in Ukraine. Therefore, the prospect of Putin now being able to present his arguments in full for two hours is causing fear in Western editorial offices.
.
Only recently was it proudly reported in Germany that the state broadcaster ARD prevented a detailed interview with Putin in February 2022, i.e. before the escalation in Ukraine began. Western politicians and media fear the Russian argument and therefore completely ignore it. While they gave Zelensky an extensive platform, they consistently ignored the Russian arguments.
Tucker Carlson’s upcoming interview is therefore a catastrophe for Western politicians and media, because now Putin’s arguments are being made available to a broad audience in the West for the first time. Tucker Carlson’s announcement of the interview alone was viewed over 50 million times in just a few hours, which shows how interested people in the West are in hearing Russia’s arguments.
The Russian news agency TASS summarized the Western press’s initial reactions to the upcoming interview and I translated the TASS report.
Abstract:
‘Shocked’: World media over Carlson’s plans to interview Putin
The journalist had already tried to have a conversation with the Russian president last year, but was prevented from doing so by the US government
American journalist Tucker Carlson’s planned interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin has become one of the most discussed topics in Western media and the Internet. The post in which the reporter announced the conversation with the Russian president was viewed 51.3 million times within almost ten hours of publication. Carlson had already reported in September last year that he had tried to interview Putin, but was forbidden by the US government. Putin himself last spoke to the Western press in October 2021: At that time he was interviewed by the presenter of the American television channel CNBC Hadley Gamble. TASS has compiled a selection of international media reactions to Carlson’s upcoming interview with the Russian president.
USA
Washington Post: “Carlson has often rejected criticism of Putin in recent years. <…> A few days before [the start of the Russian military operation in Ukraine], Carlson made a bizarre, politically charged statement in which he claimed that Americans had no reason to hate the Russian president.”
Wall Street Journal: “He [Tucker] was one of the first and most prominent right-wingers to question U.S. support for Ukraine after Russia’s invasion and helped shape the views of protesters on Capitol Hill.”
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Source and continue reading (Chrome translated)
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https://www.anti-spiegel.ru/2024/die-westlichen-medien-bereiten-sich-auf-das-putin-interview-von-tucker-carlson-vor/

Posted by: ossi | Feb 7 2024 16:18 utc | 197

Somebody mentioned:
Best solution: Make Ukraine militarily neutral … in perpetuity!!!
Oh well the mistake of not having Germany after ww2 military neutral indefinitely was a big mistake also.

Posted by: Innuendo | Feb 7 2024 16:25 utc | 198

Patrick Lancaster has a video up interviewing Chechens training soldiers in Donbass. “Better not to have conflict with Russia” (as it won’t end well). About 20 min.

Posted by: the pessimist | Feb 7 2024 16:36 utc | 199

Posted by: ossi | Feb 7 2024 16:09 utc | 195
Most of them don’t qualify as asylum seekers but as “citizens of 2nd grade” you could say since for example in germany they get normal jobless benefits and not asylum benefits. Could have been the plan from the beginning that the ukes don’t call for asylum ,)

Posted by: Macpott | Feb 7 2024 16:47 utc | 200