Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 10, 2024

Ukraine SitRep: High Losses, Mobilization Problems, Too Few Air Defenses

The Wall Street Journal provides another dark frontline story (archived) from Ukraine. It describes the attempts by a airborne company to take Russian positions near Verbove, a town next to the famous 'Bradley square' where the Ukrainian counteroffensive had failed:

Just after dawn on Aug. 12, drones swept overhead as they approached the target along a line of trees between farm fields. Kharchenko’s men had been told Russian drones would be downed by Ukrainian jamming equipment and assumed they were their own. Then the drones began dropping explosives. The trees exploded with machine-gun fire. Grenades lobbed from automatic launchers burst around them.

The platoon was incapacitated. More than half of its 20 or so men were dead or wounded within minutes, including the medic.

“What shall we do with the injured? F—!” Senior Sgt. Maksym Serheyev, commander of the first platoon, yelled over the radio to his commander. “There are more of them than us.”

The company commander requested smoke grenades to be fired before a rescue mission was sent to recover the wounded without being seen by Russian drones or soldiers.

Why no smoke was used during the first attempt to attack is not explained. Smoke would also have helped during the first phase of the counter attack when dozens of infantry fighting vehicles and tanks ran into minefields and were then destroyed by Russian anti-tank missiles.

When I learned to become a tank platoon leader we regularly requested smoke screens from the artillery or used the smoke grenades mounted on our tanks to hide our movement. The Ukrainian soldiers have done so only rarely:

“This isn’t World War II and Guderian,” said a senior Ukrainian security official, referring to German Gen. Heinz Guderian, a pioneer of Blitzkrieg. “This is World War I and trenches.”
...
By the end of the day, only three of 22 men in the first platoon remained fully fit.
...
Verbove remains in Russian hands. Further infantry assaults by Khorol’s men led to further small gains, but more losses and no significant breakthrough.

The WSJ report includes a picture of an old Ural sidecar motorcycle describe as the only means to evacuate the wounded:


bigger

Such sidecars were widely used during World War II.

The Ukrainian army is said to lose about 30,000 men per month:

The Ukrainian government has not released official figures for the total number of soldiers who have been killed or wounded since Russia launched its full-scale invasion nearly two years ago.

However, anecdotal evidence of mounting Ukrainian casualties in the war was reinforced by claims made on Ukrainian television this weekend by the country's former prosecutor general.

Yuriy Lutsenko claimed that around 30,000 Ukrainian troops are now being killed or badly wounded per month and that the total casualty toll for wounded and killed in the war is around 500,000.

Those are 1,000 per day. That is more than the Russian Ministry of Defense claims in its daily reports. The average therein is about 600 to 700 per day listed as Ukrainian dead or heavily wounded. Left out of the reports are those killed or wounded unobserved due to far range missile strikes.

The high losses are the reason why the Ukrainian government wants to, over the next year, mobilizes another 500,000 men and women. That are about 41,000 per months. But the new mobilization law the government presented to the parliament was full of unconstitutional clauses (in Russian) and will have to be heavily modified. The mobilization efforts are unlikely to be successful.

December and January have seen three large scale Russian missile attacks aimed at Ukrainian weapon production sides. The attacks have exhausted the Ukrainian air defenses (machine translation):

The Ukrainian Air Force confirmed that the Ukrainian Armed Forces do have a shortage of anti-aircraft guided missiles.

This was stated by Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat, commenting on The New York Times article that the United States will soon not be able to supply Ukraine with Patriot missiles.

"It is clear that there is a shortage of anti-aircraft guided missiles, and no one is hiding it. That is why there are such concerns in the Western press. I think that our Western partners are well informed about the state of affairs with our air defense systems," Yuri Ignat said on the telethon.

He said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces spent a lot of missiles to repel the last three massive Russian attacks on December 29, January 2 and January 8.

There will be more large scale missile attacks and there will only be few new anti-air missiles to replace the fired ones.

On the front line the Russian practice what they deem an 'active defense'. Local attacks, while small, are used to take up better positions.

The toll on the Ukrainians is high:

“Morale is all right,” said the deputy battalion commander, who uses the call sign Shira, standing nearby to see the men off. “But physically we are exhausted.”
...
The men of the 117th Brigade, who were deploying to the front line in the Zaporizhzhia region on a recent night, faced a four-mile hike through rain and mud, the intelligence commander said. If they were wounded and captured, Russian troops would execute them, he warned them.

The long, arduous slog to carry in ammunition and food to supply troops and to carry out the wounded was one reason Ukraine could not sustain its counteroffensive, a company commander, Adolf, 23, said.

Ambulances and supply vehicles came under fire from kamikaze drones so often that his unit stopped using them, resorting instead to a four-wheeled buggy that volunteer engineers rigged up to carry a stretcher.
...
The toll is heavy for all units along the front. Almost everyone has been wounded or survived a narrow escape in recent months, soldiers said.

“We are short of people,” said an intelligence commander of the 117th Brigade who uses the call sign Banderas, after the actor. “We have weapons but not enough men.”

A some point such units will break down, likely at the end of the currently harsh winter.

That might become the moment the Russians will change from active defenses to bigger attacks. But big red arrow movements are difficult to prepare for as NATO surveillance via spy planes and satellites is able to detect any concentration of forces.

Expanding multiple local attacks to find a weak position to then lead up rear forces where a breakthrough seems likely is probably the better strategy.

Posted by b on January 10, 2024 at 15:02 UTC | Permalink

Comments
next page »

Bloody meat grinder: Ukrainian doctors announced shocking data on the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

In an attempt to beg the West for new aid packages, the Kiev authorities seem to have decided to lift the veil of secrecy around the real losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. And, judging by indirect data, these figures exceed even the most daring estimates of domestic analysts.

Western journalists were allowed to visit the Mechnikov Design Bureau in Dnepropetrovsk, which has been turned into one of the key centers for providing surgical care to wounded Armed Forces of Ukraine. Between 40 and 100 seriously wounded people are admitted to this hospital every day. And doctors perform 50 to 100 surgeries every day, a significant part of which are amputations.

At the same time, we are talking about Dnepropetrovsk, which, although it is a key logistics hub for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, is still relatively far from the front line. And in the city itself, there are other hospitals allocated for the treatment of the Ukrainian military. Any estimates here will be only approximate - there is no exact list of all medical institutions serving the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as their real "workload", but certain conclusions can be drawn even on the basis of available fragmentary data.

First of all, it must be understood that only the wounded who are seriously but transportable reach the rear. At the same time, a significant part of the "wounded" settles before reaching large cities. In addition, there are dozens of purely military hospitals in Ukraine, and surgical clinics in Kharkiv, Odessa, Kyiv, Lviv and other cities have been repurposed for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Based on this, if we estimate the number of seriously wounded people admitted to hospitals in Ukraine every day as ten times more than in the Mechnikov OKB alone, then such an estimate will be rather conservative.

That is, the Armed Forces of Ukraine lose about 1000 people a day with the seriously wounded alone. At the same time, some of them will die in hospitals, and a significant proportion will remain disabled. Taking into account the extremely approximate ratio of the seriously wounded to the dead (three to one), we get a simply monstrous picture.

The enemy loses more than 300 people killed every day, and about the same number will not be able to return to the ranks after being wounded. Again, this is a fairly conservative estimate and the real losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine may be even higher. Even if we take the more "optimistic" ratio of seriously wounded to dead (five to one), the result will still be terrible.

Given that the enemy is now forced to hold positions that are unfavorable for defense in several sectors of the front at once, such a sharp increase in the number of casualties is quite understandable. Add to this the shortage of ammunition, equipment and the low quality of incoming replenishment. According to Ukrainian doctors, the number of wounded delivered has increased by 30% in recent weeks, so the result of the permanent pressure of the Russian Armed Forces on the enemy defense is obvious.

Now it becomes clear why there is such hysteria around the tightening of "burialization" in Ukraine and why the bounty hunters from the TCC have stepped up their raids. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are suffering terrible losses and will simply collapse without "fresh blood".

Readovka

Posted by: rpst | Jan 10 2024 15:12 utc | 1

>The long, arduous slog to carry in ammunition and food to supply troops and to carry out the wounded was one reason Ukraine could not sustain its counteroffensive, a company commander, Adolf, 23, said.

The NYT should just have just given the guy another call-sign, jeez.

Posted by: radek | Jan 10 2024 15:36 utc | 2

Radek, The NYT probably couldn't find any Ukie who isn't named Adolf.

Posted by: Sentient | Jan 10 2024 15:41 utc | 3

"If they were wounded and captured, Russian troops would execute them, he warned them."

This is, of course, not the truth, but I have no doubt that the nazi did tek the men that to prevent them surrendering.

"...a company commander, Adolf, 23, said."

Only in the Nuke York Crimes could such a phrase be used without wondering whether someone choosing to call himself Adolf might be a nazi.

"...big red arrow movements are difficult to prepare for as NATO surveillance via spy planes and satellites is able to detect any concentration of forces."

Not to grifters like Macgregor and Martyanov. Remember the "imminent pincer counterattack" in Kharkov Martyanov was blabbering about in September 2022 [and banned me for saying would never happen]? Remember the huge winter offensive Macgregor forecast would strike south from Belarus to take Odessa, last winter?

And these inflated imbeciles are people who are taken seriously!

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 10 2024 15:47 utc | 4

" a speech by Chabad leader Mendel Schneerson suggests that the Ukraine war might be a part of a larger plan for Slavic Genocide. ... Slavs are unbending as a result of their psychological and intellectual abilities, created by many generations of ancestors.
In other words, the Ukrainians, that have been governed by the Zionist Jews and their oligarchs, might be stupid enough to be MK Ultra'd into killing one another.No shit sherlock, now someone tell the Ukies that they have been played - Again !

Posted by: GMC | Jan 10 2024 15:48 utc | 5

'“What shall we do with the injured? F—!” Senior Sgt. Maksym Serheyev, commander of the first platoon, yelled over the radio to his commander. “There are more of them than us.”'

He sounds like a highly disciplined positive thinker. Mind you, if I were in his shoes I would probably say much worse things.

Posted by: Tom Welsh | Jan 10 2024 15:51 utc | 6

The poor Ukies, dying for the GloboHomo is not worth it, the FAB bombs are "obliterating their underground bunkers". Hopefully soon Russia can use their S-70 Okhotnik heavy strike drones controlled by the SU-57's to really saturate the Ukrainian positions with the FAB bombs. The S-70 drones are stealthy so Western anti-aircraft weaponry can't target them, this will keep the su-24, 25, & 34 bombers safe.

https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/gates-hell-bunker-busting-glide-bombs

But then again maybe the Russians are keeping full scale Okhotnik heavy drone usage for NATO troops proper.

Posted by: gT | Jan 10 2024 15:51 utc | 7

Speculation about western plans to take over Ukrainian agricultural land:

https://pravda-en.com/usa/2024/01/10/253642.html

Posted by: the pessimist | Jan 10 2024 15:56 utc | 8

Excellent post, thanks, b.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 16:10 utc | 9

"Hopefully soon Russia can use their S-70 Okhotnik heavy strike drones controlled by the SU-57's to really saturate the Ukrainian positions with the FAB bombs" sez gT at Jan 10 2024 15:51 utc | 8

mighty brave of you to cheerlead all this death and destruction from a good safe distance.

this bar is full of warmongering loudmouths.

Posted by: Patrick Constantine | Jan 10 2024 16:10 utc | 10

You can easily calculate how big the Loch Ness monster can be if you know the food supply of the lake from which it has to feed. And so the Russians can also calculate how long Ukraine can hold out if they continue to suffer losses of this magnitude. Unfortunately, politicians in the West can't do that, because they now have computers and artificial intelligence - but unfortunately no calculators anymore.

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Jan 10 2024 16:14 utc | 11

"The poor Ukies, dying for the GloboHomo is not worth it, the FAB bombs are "obliterating their underground bunkers". Hopefully soon Russia can use their S-70 Okhotnik heavy strike drones controlled by the SU-57's to really saturate the Ukrainian positions with the FAB bombs. The S-70 drones are stealthy so Western anti-aircraft weaponry can't target them, this will keep the su-24, 25, & 34 bombers safe.

https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/gates-hell-bunker-busting-glide-bombs

But then again maybe the Russians are keeping full scale Okhotnik heavy drone usage for NATO troops proper.:
Posted by: gT | Jan 10 2024 15:51 utc | 8

I do believe that part of NATO's strategy for provoking the SMO was to unmask all of Russia's new weapon systems so they could learn how to defend against the new tech; so Russia is careful what weapon systems they manifest..

I think NATO/US/UK look at the SMO as but Act One of a tragedy; I consider it Act one of a comedy as the West will not prevail.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 16:17 utc | 12

What exactly are the Ukraine soldiers dying for? The whole concept of the nation state is just a made up story. People believe this stuff because of the indoctrination industrial complexes and the genetic flaw inherent in Homo sapiens. The Ukraine is a particularly egrigous example, a corrupt oligarchy where the working classes would be better off in every other European country including Russia. Glad I can think! Seems very few can!

Posted by: Bob | Jan 10 2024 16:20 utc | 13

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-1924-latest-leading-edge-tech

In the second to last video, Scott Ritter addressing the Chechens: of the Chechen commanders on stage, on the right is Magomed Tushayev, whom Ukraganda and Wikipedia killed off in February 2022 before quietly resurrecting him sometime in the past year.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 10 2024 16:29 utc | 14

mighty brave of you to cheerlead all this death and destruction from a good safe distance

Like Maerica and her vassals? Interesting you criticize a random noone while the state policy of 'the exceptional nation' Maerica is to hide behind their proxy while it gets slaughtered.

What is the mainstream Western press doing if not running constant PR for Ukraine to deceive the insipid population? Cheerleading, celebrating deaths of Russians, pretending to care about Palestinians. The West has fully revealed its fascist nature.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jan 10 2024 16:38 utc | 15

thanks b... it is all so depressing..

Posted by: james | Jan 10 2024 16:40 utc | 16

The dnepr and ural is still being produced. Dnepr in the Ukraine and ural in Russia, so this is probably the dnepr, military version.

Posted by: gary | Jan 10 2024 16:40 utc | 17

As recently noted elsewhere, the NATO objective of the war in Ukraine may have changed from 'weakening Russia and hastening regime change" to sealing the US takeover of Europe. Now destined, like other Monroe Doctrine Protectorates to become, a prize of the empire. An ageless jewel in Uncle Sam's harem.

That, after all, was always one of the objectives: Ukraine being destined to become,together with Poland, the Baltic states and Rumania a bloc of US run colonies- Don Rumsfeld's New Europe- from which the west, the old Common Market, could be disciplined and policed.
Now the US is giving up on Ukraine's attempt to break Russia, with the comforting knowledge that it has broken the EU and established that the capital is no longer Brussels-in case anyone thought that it might be- but where NATO's commander receives his orders, on the other side of the Atlantic.

Posted by: bevin | Jan 10 2024 16:40 utc | 18

That’s a lot of injuries and operations to do.
Takes a lot of plasma and BLOOD donations and trained medical staff and equipment.

Where the fuck is all that coming from? Hmmm?

The NHS has been cancelling ops in the U.K. for several years now , also not doing much during Covid lockdown - almost as if that was godsent to accumulate resources and personnel for some …war or something.
There are mysterious shutdowns and strikes when trains don’t move - or they do secretly.
Strange flights…

I’ve seen some ambulance staff , young , foreign who look like they are… militaristic..when attending the old chap I help to look after occasionally. That’s when an ambulance takes less than a day to arrive - in the middle of a city!

Maybe it’s just my imagination.

Natzios have been secretly , covertly engaged in this escapade with boots on ground and massive support from well before 2022.
We have been duped as a population into thinking we have nothing to do with it except as goody two shoes who don’t believe there are Nazis in Ukraine as have always been since the end of the war. We are told Russia is bad and all things Russian has to be cancelled. We have been led to reimagine ww2 and believing that it wasn’t the Red Army that destroyed the Nazis! That ukropnazis ss banderists were fighting on the right side in that war - they’ve been given applause in parliament not just in Canada. We even were told t say HEIL UKRAINE, hero worship their demented but mesmerising GREAT LEADER!

I Still have 80% confidence in my theory that the Gaza escapade was initiated and is still going on, to hide the losses of the IOF forces ‘secret’ participation in the natzionist calamity of the Ukraine and its un-willing to die citizens .

Just look at all these SF killed and the sudden thousands of casualties which require to be stood down as disabled! I really doubt Hamas can do that - they can’t even fire rockets that do any damage to the foe let alone injure that many!

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jan 10 2024 16:42 utc | 19

Has anyone noticed that these Chechens or their special units are no longer taking part in the fight at the front!
But they are waiting in the hinterland to be deployed, but another 30,000 are ready for action in their homeland.
Special units for whatever... House fighting Battle for cities!!

Posted by: ossi | Jan 10 2024 16:42 utc | 20

Oliver Krug @12:

Well, a nonexistent creature like the Loch Ness Monster can be any size, really; just like the nonexistent freedom loving democratic non nazi state of Ukraine can hold off Russia forever as long as it has Ghosts of Kiev and pickle jars.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 10 2024 16:48 utc | 21

The Ukraine strategy is a continued gaslighting PR campaign for the Western masses and a stall, defensive military strategy to attempt to prevent Ukraine collapse and surrender to Russia before the 2022 USA elections.

Posted by: JustTruth | Jan 10 2024 16:49 utc | 22

@ bevin | Jan 10 2024 16:40 utc | 18

yes, however they have left nato in a very fragile position as i see it.. i think the german or french people see all their support for this madness, as reflected in their leaders scholz/macron, and know a change is sorely needed... it will come eventually..

Posted by: james | Jan 10 2024 16:50 utc | 23

Currently there're several potential cauldrons in play along the FEBA and several weakened lines along which Russians are advancing. Yes, progress is slow. This Rybar Sitmap South of Maryinka shows how in areas there can be the potential for multiple cauldrons. Ukies simply lack the forces to resist the advances which they can delay but not stop, while Russia continues to bash the rear area from Lvov to the FEBA. Snipers were once the bane, but they've been replaced as the #1 bane by FPV drones that act the same way by sniping as all too many videos attest. And that will worsen once swarms get employed more often.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 10 2024 17:07 utc | 24

"A company commander called Adolf", eh?

Posted by: Zébulon Xyrdal | Jan 10 2024 17:10 utc | 25

As recently noted elsewhere, the NATO objective of the war in Ukraine may have changed from 'weakening Russia and hastening regime change" to sealing the US takeover of Europe. Now destined, like other Monroe Doctrine Protectorates to become, a prize of the empire. An ageless jewel in Uncle Sam's harem.

That, after all, was always one of the objectives: Ukraine being destined to become,together with Poland, the Baltic states and Rumania a bloc of US run colonies- Don Rumsfeld's New Europe- from which the west, the old Common Market, could be disciplined and policed.
Now the US is giving up on Ukraine's attempt to break Russia, with the comforting knowledge that it has broken the EU and established that the capital is no longer Brussels-in case anyone thought that it might be- but where NATO's commander receives his orders, on the other side of the Atlantic.

Posted by: bevin | Jan 10 2024 16:40 utc | 18

I agree that the US is going to attempt to take over Europe , however, in the medium to long term it is a futile endeavour.

When the Romans took over Gaul when they were expanding with Julius Caesar they invested in Gaul [remember Canuk the Romans took a lot of slaves from Gaul as well, editor]: they taught them viticulture (though the Gauls had to pay for a license to sell to Rome) , generally improved agricultural practices not to mention Roman roads, bridges and aqueducts inter alia.

Post WW2 when the US Empire was expanding they invested with the Marshall plan among other things.

In the 5th century AD Rome couldn't invest anymore , or even keep up on the maintenance of aforementioned roads, bridges, walls, aqueducts-they withdrew from Britain in 408 as the Western Empire began to crumble.

Same thing now; we don't see barbarians at the gates as occurred in the Roman experience but huge disinvestment -the wealth the US wants to harvest from Europe also depended on Europe having cheap energy from Russia so they could become prosperous.

Instead the US blew up NS2 impoverishing Europe for a generation. In the short term the greedy US pricks can sell them LNG and think they are brilliant, where in reality in the medium and long term-as the populace wakes up to the music- Gaul will inevitably separate from the Empire.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 17:11 utc | 26

" ... who uses the call sign Banderas", eh? But there are no nazis in Ukraine, for sure.

Posted by: Zébulon Xyrdal | Jan 10 2024 17:12 utc | 27

At what point will those who command Ukrainia, those in DC, those in London, those in Kiev be seen for what they are, staff at the largest Death Camp ever built?

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.dailymail.co.uk%2Fi%2Fpix%2F2007%2F09_03%2F3AuschwitzUSHMM_468x297.jpg&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=cf186c41ef959fefed255607338637a7314cee8aa521f1b57adf76be957e00d5&ipo=images

Posted by: S Brennan | Jan 10 2024 17:15 utc | 28

I doubt the Russians will accept the heavy casualties connected with a "big arrow" offensive. As long as the Ukrainians have a lot of drones and the NATO technology, such a feat will be very difficult to accomplish without substantial casualties.

I think Putin wants to:

1) cause maximum pain to Biden, allowing the conflict to drag until November if needs be.

2) Wait for the Ukrainian defences to simply collapse, like the German army did in 1918. At that point, they will simply roll their tanks inside Karkhov & Co., getting at the boundaries they have previously established as desirable without too much bloodshed.

It makes sense both politically and militarily.

Putin is fuming at the way the West lied to him and he will now exact his revenge; which is, as everybody knows, a dish best served cold.

Posted by: Augusto Pi | Jan 10 2024 17:19 utc | 29

Abbreviations and Acronyms

I have updated the list of 3 and 4 letter abbreviations/acronyms seen on MoA that I posted a couple of weeks ago. I keep thinking I must have captured them all, however, every day brings one or two new ones that I had not seen before. Click the link below to access the current list; and please feel free to send me any omissions that I may need to add.

http://www.jugglerpress.com/acronyms.pdf

Posted by: Alchemist | Jan 10 2024 17:19 utc | 30

Truth and Intrigue Origin Story, Or the controversial Ukraine 30K/mo mobilization bill propelling a ELECTION 2024 dead letter

PRM Direct TV, Yury Lutsenko, 3 Jan "live" broadcast

[@ 04:53]:...I hope I have the right to say this, because I know exactly what is happening in the trenches. Guys who have been serving there for almost two years are ready to serve. Only they need to understand that someone will come to them to help. So from my point of view, now there are very simple five steps needed. First, the law must be introduced by the president [Zelensk*] and presented by him together with the minister of defense [Umerov] and the commander-in-chief [Zaluzhny]. Of these three officials who are waging a war should come together in front of the Ukrainians and say this law. We need it. I personally believe that they should also state the amount of the number of dead Ukrainians. I know how they don't want this. I know how difficult it will be to accept, but otherwise withdraw from the zone of comfort, millions of those who hide behind various fables about the fact that anyone but me can serve. It is impossible to say the 500,000 that are being talked about now, if we divide it into months, it is 30,000 per month, and then we will roughly understand. what is happening at the front with the killed and wounded, and people need to be told the truth. I am sure that the Ukrainians deserve the truth. They must find out how many have died, and then all discussions will stop. Is mobilization necessary? This is the first step. Yes, it will ba shock, but in the end it was that shock that led half a million to the military commissars on February 24....
subsequent MSM propagation
Guardian, 7 Jan
Eurasian Times, 8 Jan

Posted by: sln2002 | Jan 10 2024 17:20 utc | 31

james | Jan 10 2024 16:50 utc | 23--
bevin | Jan 10 2024 16:40 utc | 18--

IMO, the key will be if the Russians can convince Europe that they aren't at all interested in moving Westward beyond Ukraine, which is why Sergey Karaganov's recent interview is so important, "Russia's European Journey's Over", which was backed by Gazprom's Miller saying Russia doesn't intend to cease sending gas West if Europeans still want to buy it, while Ukraine has said it won't negotiate a new transfer contract for the period beyond 2024, which of course won't harm Russia at all and instead harms Europe and Ukraine since it won't get transfer fees anymore. That's a political issue that's flying below the radar but is very real nonetheless.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 10 2024 17:20 utc | 32

Our source in the OP said that the General Staff requires increased mobilization from February in order to have time to prepare the first reserves by April.

At the moment, a plan has been drawn up - 50 thousand people in the first three months, and then a decrease to 35 thousand per month.


https://t.me/rezident_ua/21132
The situation at the front is very difficult, the enemy is firing 4-5 times more shells, which means the losses are very high. The General Staff is forced to constantly use reserves, which means that mobilization processes in Ukraine will greatly increase.

We are already seeing the innovations of Odessa military commissars, who have begun to organize regular raids on city transport in order to snatch up the next volunteers to be sent to the front, just as previously there were “forays” of representatives of the TCC into establishments and places of leisure of Ukrainians throughout the country (bars, restaurants, gyms etc.).

Moreover, the bill on total mobilization has not yet been adopted (and skeptics argue that the concessions that are planned to be given during the adoption and discussion of the law will not change its nature), but people in military uniform are already stopping Ukrainians at the border. Thus, videos are spreading on the Internet where people tell how it has become more difficult for men who have grounds to leave the country - border guards simply turn them away, declaring that they need to have a “deferment from the military registration and enlistment office.” Naturally, such actions of military commissars and authorities increasingly provoke a deep split and rejection in Ukrainian society, which in the future is fraught with popular rebellion.

Apparently, this is why the Office of the President is trying to shift all responsibility for mobilization to Zaluzhny. However, the majority of Ukrainians understand the current situation very well, and therefore support for Zelensky has sharply decreased, as well as the morale in society, which expects total mobilization from the authorities, which only “insiders” and people with big money will be able to buy off.


https://t.me/rezident_ua/21143

Posted by: Down South | Jan 10 2024 17:23 utc | 33

one or two new ones that I had not seen before.
Posted by: Alchemist | Jan 10 2024 17:19 utc | 30

OTAN

"alternative name" LOL!

Posted by: sln2002 | Jan 10 2024 17:29 utc | 34

From TG channel Rezident

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President will push through the mobilization bill despite the reaction in society. Bankova is considering an alternative bill, but they believe such a step will weaken the position of the OP and delay the process.

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President is convincing people’s deputies to vote for the bill on mobilization from the Cabinet of Ministers in the first reading and make changes in the second reading.

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President is determined to push through the mobilization bill in the first reading this week. On Bankova they are actively working with the deputy corps, and they began to scare the Servants of the People with criminal cases and personal enmity with Andrei Ermak.

Tomorrow the Verkhovna Rada will vote for the bill on mobilization in the first reading, said the head of the Servant of the People faction David Arakhamia.

Posted by: Down South | Jan 10 2024 17:29 utc | 35

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Front #Summary for 10 Jan 2024 by 18:58⚡️

🔹In #Kherson Direction, the AFU continue to hold the defence of their small foothold in #Krynki. our forces prevent the replenishment of reserves and supplies. According to a number of analysts, Kiev aimed to expand the zone of control on the left bank to threaten the land corridor to #Crimea. However, the AFU can neither occupy new settlements nor transfer equipment and air defence systems. Apart from manpower, they have nothing. And the fact that the AFU is holding on for so long in such conditions shows that our army also has enough problems.

🔹In #Zaporozhye Direction, our units continue to retake systematically the positions lost in the summer. At #Rabotino, combat work is a little easier than at #Verbovoye, where are oncoming battles. However, over the past few days, the advance of our military to the west is obvious. Our successes are confirmed by the enemy.

🔹In #SouthDonetsk Direction, our army, having been forced to retreat from its positions in the south of #Novomikhaylovka, has changed its tactics. Now our units are advancing along the village to the west. Most of the plantings are under our control, but it is premature to talk about full control of the southern outskirts. From the north and south of #Novomikhaylovka, near #Sladkoye and #Pobeda, our military also advanced. We have occupied another stronghold in #Georgiyevka.

🔹In #Donetsk Direction, on the southern #Avdeyevka flank, our forces have still advanced at #Pervomayskoye. On the northern flank, there is heavy fighting at #Stepovoye and the Coke Plant, with no changes in the frontline yet.

🔹In #Bakhmut Direction, our army is trying very hard to collapse the AFU defence on the northern flank. In #Bogdanovka the fighting is already taking place in the southern part of the village. Ours are also advancing west of #Khromovo. The AFU are retreating. On the southern flank the AFU have so far managed to hold back our attacks at #Kleshcheyevka and #Andreyevka.

🔹In #Svatovo Direction, our forces have advanced towards #Yampolovka and are fighting at the #Torskoye ledge. In #Kupyansk yesterday, the AFU commanders led by Umerov and Zaluzhny held a working meeting and visited Ukrainian positions. Apparently, such attention is due to the preparation for the "large scale offensive" of the Russian army in this direction, predicted by the West and expected by the AFU.

💥At night, our Aerospace Forces struck at the location of the AFU in #Kharkov. A similar object was hit in #Kherson. Explosions were heard in #Konstantinovka and #Sumy region, as well as in #Volchansk, #Kharkov region. Apparently, ours are hunting for guns, from which the AFU are shelling #Belgorod and the region.


https://t.me/sitreports/20869

Posted by: Down South | Jan 10 2024 17:32 utc | 36

Politico: Trump said the US would not help the EU in the event of an attack
from Anti-Spiegel
.
According to EU Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton, the former US President made this statement in a conversation with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at WEF 2020

Former US President Donald Trump has privately warned that the US will not help the European Union if it is attacked by armed force. This was explained by EU Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton.

“You must understand that if there is an attack on Europe, we will never help you and support you,” Politico newspaper quoted Trump as saying. According to Breton, this statement was made by the former US president in a conversation with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, in 2020. Breton himself attended this meeting.

According to the EU commissioner, Trump also said that NATO was dead and the US would withdraw from the alliance. “That was a worrying signal and he [Trump] could come back,” said Breton, concerned.

Posted by: ossi | Jan 10 2024 17:42 utc | 37

It's election year and the zionists con't to feed their biggest money launderer ... in the travesty of a budget passed yesterday (or Monday) ... is line item for Israel of $14.3 bn and $64.4 bn to support Ukraine. The Congress nor the zionists care nothing about dead Slavs in Ukraine or dead Palestinians.

Posted by: crone | Jan 10 2024 17:43 utc | 38

New allegations against Hunter Biden, including because of his contacts in Ukraine
In the USA, new allegations have become known against Hunter Biden, the son of the US President. The German media has so far kept quiet about the topic.
.
The new allegations made against Hunter Biden cover several topics. It's about his work as a painter, his contacts in Ukraine and violations of the US Foreign Agents Act. The history of the Biden clan's corruption and its connections to Ukraine are the subject of my book "The Ukraine Cartel", which is why the allegations that have now become known are not surprising, but are just another piece of the mosaic in a very big picture.

Hunter Biden as an artist
In 2021, after making his drug career public in his autobiography, Hunter Biden decided to become an artist at the age of 51 and started painting. A gallery in New York sells his paintings for up to $500,000 each. It was therefore suspected from the start that the “art lovers” wanted to buy access to the White House in this way.

The White House, of course, denied this, claiming that Hunter wouldn't know who was buying his paintings. This is guaranteed, which is why it is impossible and an infamous accusation that Hunter Biden is using his pictures to sell influence on US politics or the US President.

Business Insider reported in 2023 that an unknown buyer alone spent $875,000 on Biden's artwork, which was the majority of the then total $1,379,000 Biden earned from his artwork. In addition, Business Insider also found that another buyer of Biden's pictures is influential Democratic donor Elizabeth Hirsh Naftali, who was given a position by President Joe Biden on the federal Commission for the Preservation of America's Heritage Abroad. However, the time of purchase by this donor was unknown at the time.

What was particularly explosive was that it also emerged that Hunter Biden knew the identity of Hirsh Naftali and that of another buyer, Kevin Morris, which belied the promises he had originally made that Hunter Biden would not find out who was buying his pictures The suspicion could arise that people can buy influence on US President Biden's policies by purchasing pictures. Hunter Biden's legal counsel told Business Insider at the time that he only learned the buyers' identities after their purchases because they were his friends.

Now the New York Post, the newspaper that broke the story about Hunter Biden's "Laptop from Hell" in October 2020, which subsequently proved to be true, reports that Hunter Biden's art dealer Georges Bergès said on Tuesday that he was with the white man Haus never worked on an ethics pact to ensure buyers remained anonymous, and he added that Hunter Biden knew the top buyers of his paintings, contradicting previous claims by President Biden's advisers.

Bergès also revealed that in addition to the lack of anti-corruption protections, he even met and spoke on the phone with the president while trading the president's son's images. This was stated by the Oversight Committee of the US Parliament in a report on a closed-door interview of Bergès.

The art dealer testified that Hunter Biden was known to about 70 percent of the buyers of his paintings, including Elizabeth Hirsh Naftali, who purchased his paintings both before and after his appointment to the prestigious government office. In total, the influential Democratic donor paid almost $100,000 for Hunter Biden's pictures.

Bergès also said he personally interacted with Joe Biden on several occasions, including at the closed-to-press 2022 White House wedding of Hunter's daughter Naomi.
.
Source
https://www.anti-spiegel.ru/2024/neue-vorwuerfe-gegen-hunter-biden-unter-anderem-wegen-seiner-kontakte-in-die-ukraine/

Posted by: ossi | Jan 10 2024 17:47 utc | 39

one or two new ones that I had not seen before.

CNO: Computer Network Operations
GDPR: General Data Protection Regulation
GCHQ: Government Communications Headquarters
PLC: Programmable logic controller
ROC: Remote Operations Center
TAO: Tailored Access Operation
Unit 8200: Israeli Intelligence Corps SIGINT

etc

Posted by: sln2002 | Jan 10 2024 17:47 utc | 40

Europe is being taken over, even though right-wing parties are gaining more and more.
The power of NGOs
The new French Prime Minister comes from Klaus Schwab's WEF
The new French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal went through Klaus Schwab's World Economic Forum's elite Young Global Leaders school and was a classmate of Annalena Baerbock. It is therefore obvious which political course the new French government stands for.
.
On January 8, French President Macron fired his prime minister and a day later Gabriel Attal was named the new French prime minister. Gabriel Attal is only 34 years old, a graduate of elite French universities, of Jewish descent on his father's side and lives in a registered partnership with the French MEP Stéphane Séjourné. He was also a participant in Klaus Schwab's World Economic Forum's Class of 2020 Young Global Leaders Program. In this class he sat, among others, with Sanna Marin (former Finnish prime minister who swore Finland to the anti-Russian course), Annalena Baerbock and Alicia Garza, one of the founders of Black Lives Matter (BLM).

Posted by: ossi | Jan 10 2024 17:51 utc | 41

please feel free to send me any omissions that I may need to add.
http://www.jugglerpress.com/acronyms.pdf

Posted by: Alchemist | Jan 10 2024 17:19 utc | 30


Thanks again for that handy list. I see you have added LTT but not its meaning.

LTT is 'long and tedious twadlle', a characterization used here
@ MoA by denk last week. (e.g. see most any Scorpion post)

Posted by: waynorinorway | Jan 10 2024 17:51 utc | 42

France just donated an additional 85 Scalp missiles to the Kiev regime, presumably to incentivize Germany to donate its some 600 Taurus missiles. Yes, those missiles will be loaded with cluster munitions and used on civilians. Nobody in France or Germany, much less Kiev or Washington, cares.

Russia needs to stop dithering and Russia needs stop drawing red lines if it is not going to enforce them.

Posted by: Feral Finster | Jan 10 2024 17:54 utc | 43


France just donated an additional 85 Scalp missiles to the Kiev regime, presumably to incentivize Germany to donate its some 600 Taurus missiles. Yes, those missiles will be loaded with cluster munitions and used on civilians. Nobody in France or Germany, much less Kiev or Washington, cares.
Russia needs to stop dithering and Russia needs stop drawing red lines if it is not going to enforce them.
Posted by: Feral Finster | Jan 10 2024 17:54 utc | 43

As i said, The west is not afraid to escalate, Russia is.
EU elites are eager for great war. They just love wars.

Posted by: zorge | Jan 10 2024 18:01 utc | 44

When your 23 yr old company commander is called Adolf, i don't think the guy with callsign 'Banderas' was named after the actor... just sayin.

NYT... the T must be for Trash

Posted by: Rubiconned | Jan 10 2024 18:04 utc | 45

Worse is the situation for the ukronazis, more people with an anti-Russian agenda are appearing here. And more often.

Posted by: Naive | Jan 10 2024 18:04 utc | 46

@Feral Finster - agree, and asymmetrical responses should be used, if NATO is going to send long-range missiles to Ukraine, Iran should be supplied as well as the Houthis ("oops, those rascals in Tehran sold our missiles without permission, wink, wink.")

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Jan 10 2024 18:05 utc | 47

@Posted by: DunGroanin | Jan 10 2024 16:42 utc | 19

It's true that we see identical propaganda and identical attacks from Israel and Ukr. But your scenario forgets that Israel isn't the only author, most of the planet is behind them. They're also getting unlimited resources from US, Russia, China or Turkey. India loves them too. Actually China wants to shoot something at Yemen now (tass.com/economy/1730077). Gaza seems like the first step of a bigger plan. They probably want all land and all resources. We will see soon

Posted by: rk | Jan 10 2024 18:07 utc | 48

by karlof1 | Jan 10 2024 17:07 utc | 24

Thank you for those ideas on a slow vs fast SMO progress by RF in Ukraine.

It leaves me a bit puzzled that Russian slow grind vs. big red arrow offensive, if the Ukrainian troops are now mostly mobiks and a territorial defense with an average age of 40+ and no good training, a lack of ammo and supplies.
It all should be happening lot faster and with a lot more surrenders from Ukrainian side, but it somehow doesn't. From X, TG and TikTok videos I can mostly see about 5-6 RF counter-trench forces cleaning 3-4 Ukrainian "defenders" mainly just sitting in or occupying a shelter or a trench. The same with FPV drones.
Or a one tank or APC in action on some distant treeline positions. To me it looks a lot like a low level combat op.
However, I have been waiting for the multiple lines of MRLS, Mstas and Koalitsya artillery firing salvos as it was a pretty uplifting picture towards the end of the WWII. When that comes up, I know the end of Ukraine is near.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 10 2024 18:11 utc | 49

No, no, sorry; I have to put a stop to this nonsense right now. I have it on the very best authority, straight from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense - via Business Insider - that Ukrainian Air Defense is doing just fine. Only a few days ago, they shot down all 10 of an incoming raid of 10 Kinzhals, the missile 'Putin bragged was unbeatable'.

https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-says-it-beat-all-of-russias-unbeatable-kinzhal-missiles-2024-1

So everybody who was worried that Ukraine was losing its edge and starting to crumble can rest easy. They're only getting better and better. That's probably why the 'secret peace talks' held in December in Riyadh, and to which Russia was not invited, did not go anywhere: why should Ukraine make any accommodations when it has nothing to fear from Russian missile attacks? Pretty soon it will be able to defeat Kinzhals with mind control, at least that's what I've heard.

https://news.yahoo.com/bloomberg-secret-peace-talks-involving-162200769.html

Posted by: Mark | Jan 10 2024 18:12 utc | 50

It has been more than six monthes now that we are being told that the UAF are being bled dry. That they are reduced to a Volksturm type militia, with untrained kids, pregnant women and pensioneers manning their trenches...

It is now clearly as credible than the russians running out of missiles or attacking with shovels.

A Volksturm type militia or a demoralized rag tag army of forced conscripts cannot hold two thousand kilometers long of frontlines for six monthes. You don't need any special military credentials to know this. They would bareley be able to act separately as small guerilla units, ambushing some armor there, sniping a few soliders here, before disappearing in the wild... The advancing russians soldiers would suddenly find several hundreds of kilometers of empty trenches and deserted blockhauses, their defenders being all dead or gone home by foot at nigth... Every day, desperate and starving ukrainians would come by small groups to the russian positions to surrender... Every serious probing assault by the RF would result in huge advances in undefended territory, week after week… And we would not read in the daily report from tu RF MoD that « fierce figthings » and « intense battles » are still happening all along the front...

Since these facts are not happening, it means that there are still enough soldiers to fight on the UAF side, still a credible supply chain in place to provide soldiers with ammunition and food and that there are still an efficient enough chain of command and effective intel in place for the frontlines not to collapse all at once in a few days.

We are being lied to big time. And by both sides. And these kind of macabre articles about the "insufferable losses" by the UAF, which still manages to suffer them month after month, weirdly, won't change this.

Posted by: Pierrot | Jan 10 2024 18:20 utc | 51

@ 43
The cost of replacing those 85 SCALP Missiles is about 2.5 million USD apiece. it also takes a long time to build one. Russia is shooting down or blowing up the vast majority of these missiles. Mostly using weapons that cost far less. Why should Russia care about it? Every missile used and shot down empties and weakens NATO's armories.
Russia's plan is not overwhelming Victory in the short term. It is slow Death by 1000 cuts to NATO/USA

Posted by: golddigger | Jan 10 2024 18:20 utc | 52

Only a few days ago, they shot down all 10 of an incoming raid of 10 Kinzhals, the missile 'Putin bragged was unbeatable'.

Posted by: Mark | Jan 10 2024 18:12 utc | 50

Of course you are dead wrong. They intercepted 20 kinzhals out of 10. Even it looks like Austin participated in one of the interception.

The ukronazis alway used to intercepted the Russian missiles with their targets, and used their anti-missiles to target their own civilian buildings.

Posted by: Naive | Jan 10 2024 18:23 utc | 53

Re: Young Huhter.
Of course his "art" career is thinly disguised bribery ans money laundering.

Duh.

Since nobody of influence and authority will do anything about it, it doesn't matter.

Posted by: Feral Finster | Jan 10 2024 18:23 utc | 54

Degradation of command and control would be one of the major breakdowns within the Ukie military. That would account for many of the rather stupid moves made by their units. The process has taken months, but at this time most of the mid-rank (front-line) officers and veteran NCOs are either dead or incapacitated. So now the situation is poorly trained and low motivation leadership...an outcome which predictably adds to the many accumulating woes of Kiev's military.

Morale in the mud and cold, with few if any experienced reserve reinforcements, has to be taking huge hits. The misery and the fear of imminent death or serious wounds has to have had a cumulative effect on nearly all front-line forces. One will know that massive breakdown of the Ukies is occurring when company sized units and possibly even battalions surrender en masse. Many now realize that such an outcome may be their only chance at survival. The tip-off may occur when fragging and attacks on the enforcer units immediately behind the lines become widespread.

Posted by: aristodemos | Jan 10 2024 18:25 utc | 55

“You must understand that if there is an attack on Europe, we will never help you and support you,” Politico newspaper quoted Trump as saying. According to Breton, this statement was made by the former US president in a conversation with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, in 2020. Breton himself attended this meeting.

According to the EU commissioner, Trump also said that NATO was dead and the US would withdraw from the alliance. “That was a worrying signal and he [Trump] could come back,” said Breton, concerned.

Posted by: ossi | Jan 10 2024 17:42 utc | 37

Congress recently passes a bill(1) that the President of the US could not unilaterally withdraw from NATO. The Senate would need 2/3 of the legislature to leave NATO, I'm not sure of the percentage of Congress, it could be a simple majority.

Anyways, the MIC have blocked Trump on this issue, if he prevails.

1. https://thehill.com/homenews/4360407-congress-approves-bill-barring-president-withdrawing-nato/

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 18:36 utc | 56

“You must understand that if there is an attack on Europe, we will never help you and support you,” Politico newspaper quoted Trump as saying. According to Breton, this statement was made by the former US president in a conversation with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, in 2020. Breton himself attended this meeting.

According to the EU commissioner, Trump also said that NATO was dead and the US would withdraw from the alliance. “That was a worrying signal and he [Trump] could come back,” said Breton, concerned.

Posted by: ossi | Jan 10 2024 17:42 utc | 37

Keep in mind, Trump says a lot of things. Whether he follows through is another question. As others have noted, even if Trump wanted seriously to withdraw from NATO (he's too easily distracted), he can't do so without a congressional supermajority.

Ain't gon' happen.

Posted by: Feral Finster | Jan 10 2024 18:39 utc | 57

Posted by: Pierrot | Jan 10 2024 18:20 utc | 51

We are being lied to big time. And by both sides.

Nope. Another lie. The Russians are saying that all is going according to the objectives and no time limit as been given.

And these kind of macabre articles about the "insufferable losses" by the UAF, which still manages to suffer them month after month, weirdly, won't change this.

Why macabre? Is it because you don't like the truth? Or because you don't like what is happening? What don't you like in a war of attrition? Is it that it takes too much time? Do you understant the likely end result of a war of attrition? Where is the problem?

Posted by: Naive | Jan 10 2024 18:42 utc | 58

Ukrainian soldiers say they're having to abandon vehicles and hike for miles to the front lines thanks to exploding Russian drones
uk.news.yahoo.com | January 9, 2024
Original source NYT,behind paywall

Posted by: Marvin | Jan 10 2024 18:52 utc | 59

@43 Feral Finster

I care, but the scum masquerading as a government in Berlin don't. So sadly those Taurus missiles will be sent crossing a red line like all of Scholz's red lines .

Posted by: Judge Barbier | Jan 10 2024 18:52 utc | 60

Posted by: ossi | Jan 10 2024 17:42 utc | 37

Yes. "By the way, NATO is dead, and we will leave, we will quit NATO". Trump says out loud what others know to be the inevitable end game.

As Syrian President Bashar Assad said about Trump: He's the best American president.

Posted by: Passerby | Jan 10 2024 18:53 utc | 61

After russia is sufficiently weakened USA will come to finish it off…

Posted by: Captain America | Jan 10 2024 18:54 utc | 62

whirlX | Jan 10 2024 18:11 utc | 49--

Thanks for your reply. Of course, it's difficult to tell without being there, but what I see is a very longstanding--8+ years--FEBA that's rather built-up in many locations. Russia's strategy seems to have been aimed at attritting troops and especially their artillery and AD support while slowly battling through the layered defenses that were built up along the FEBA over the past 8+ years. NATO's ISR support and the new complication caused by drones of all types have also slowed progress to a degree. But what's happening IMO is the battlefield hasn't yet been shaped to the degree wanted by Russia's command before it strikes out. Currently, the Kherson region is displaying itself as the weakest area, but is that really true? You'd think there'd be a political push to do something to abate the attacks on Belgorod et al that aligns with the rumors of a large troop concentration in the Kursk region and potential offensive toward Kharkov. Then there're the statements made regarding Odessa and its region being part of Great Russia and thus requiring liberation. All of which makes it very hard to make any real educated guess as to what's to come in 3 weeks when January ends and Winter has tightened its grip to the point where rivers are frozen hard enough to support light vehicle and human crossings. Another aspect is what new weapons does Russia have to employ; for example, we've yet to see the use of drone swarms as part of an offensive push. And it must be presumed that Ukraine lacks the troops to man every tree line from the current FEBA to the Dnieper and to man the fortifications of every village and small city as most have been attritted already.

And so we wait and watch and watch and wait from afar while other components of the Big Picture are being composed.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 10 2024 18:54 utc | 63

During a conference with the command of the armed forces this January 9, the Russian Minister of Defense declared that the Ukrainian army had lost more than 215,000 men during the year 2023, castigating the "western sponsors" of Kiev who send them "to the slaughterhouse".

"Russian military units are methodically reducing the combat potential of the Ukrainian army," the Russian defense minister said this January 9 at a conference with the command of the armed forces.

"Over the past year, the enemy's losses have exceeded 215,000 people and 28,000 pieces of weapons," Sergei Shoigu continued, assuring that the Russian troops retained the initiative "on the entire front line". Washington wants to maintain its dominance "at the expense of the life of Ukrainians"

"With the assistance of its Western sponsors, the Kiev regime continues to send its soldiers to slaughter and is looking for all possible ways to replenish the ranks of the Ukrainian army," he added. Before concluding: "This will not change the situation on the front, but will only prolong the conflict".

Posted by: Naive | Jan 10 2024 19:02 utc | 64

Ossi @1751

It seems rather mordantly amusing that all these "new leaders" are grads of $chwabbi's little school for malleable port-minions for the control nexus. $chwab made his chops sitting on the lap of the fortunately last Heinrich Kissinger, the Kissingen Dwarf who just happens to have been the primary minion for the Rottenfeller Crime Clan.

The filthiest rich carefully groom their acolytes...who are mere managers with pretty faces, et al, to become the faces of their globe-spanning world-control systems. From the Demotic Greek, we learn that revelation signifies that all that has been carefully cosseted and diligently hidden is now coming out into the open, clear as a bell to all who have eyes that see and ears that hear.

At long last, searching and aware individuals are now coming to Real-Eye-Zations as to how the Collective Waste is being managed and controlled. It is indeed the current iteration of the Matrix.

Posted by: aristodemos | Jan 10 2024 19:10 utc | 65

In France 2022 saw a record low of births for the last eleven years.

Posted by: Naive | Jan 10 2024 19:11 utc | 66

Ossi 37: That's exactely the problem the east coast Medias have with Trump: Too often he just tells the truth.

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Jan 10 2024 19:17 utc | 67

Still trying to get over DunGroanin's disjointed rant @19

He is obviously in England which is having so many problems with govt. these days that people there don't know if they're coming or going so I can kind of see why he's having trouble articulating his views.

Thank god I live in a tiny rural town in Central Ontario where I'm the only one who actually sees/cares how bad the western world is spiralling out of control. The Suck will continue unabated until it doesn't. In the meantime, life will go on and as long as my Leafs and Chiefs are winning and I can still buy all my goodies at the LCBO and the Reserve I'm still happy as a pig in shit.

Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 10 2024 19:22 utc | 68

Posted by: Naive | Jan 10 2024 18:42 utc | 58

Nope. Another lie.
----

Everybody lies.

Posted by: Verdant | Jan 10 2024 19:27 utc | 69

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 18:36 utc | 56

H.R.2670 - National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024 (Public Law No: 118-31, 22.12.2023)

SEC. 1250A. LIMITATION ON WITHDRAWAL FROM THE NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION.
(a) Opposition of Congress to Suspension, Termination, Denunciation, or Withdrawal From North Atlantic Treaty.--The President shall not suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty, done at Washington, DC, April 4, 1949, except by and with the advice and consent of the Senate [alias The City of London Group plc LOL! d/b/a Governors General of The Whole World], provided that two-thirds [US Eng. "super-majority"] of the Senators present concur, or pursuant to an Act of Congress.

(b) Limitation on the Use of Funds.--No funds authorized or appropriated by any Act may be used to support, directly or indirectly, any decision on the part of any United States Government official to suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty, done at Washington, DC, April 4, 1949, except by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, provided that two-thirds of the Senators present concur, or pursuant to an Act of Congress.

(c) Notification of Treaty Action.--
(1) Consultation.--Prior to the notification described in paragraph (2), the President shall consult with the Committee on Foreign Relations of the Senate and the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the House of Representatives in relation to any initiative to suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty.

(2) Notification.--The President shall notify the Committee on Foreign Relations of the Senate and the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the House of Representatives in writing of any deliberation or decision to suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty, as soon as possible but in no event later than 180 days prior to taking such action.

(d) Rule of Construction.--Nothing in this section shall be construed to authorize, imply, or otherwise indicate that the President may suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw from any treaty to which the Senate has provided its advice and consent without the advice and consent of the Senate to such act or pursuant to an Act of Congress.

(e) Severability.--If any provision of this section or the application of such provision is held by a Federal court to be unconstitutional, the remainder of this subtitle and the application of such provisions to any other person or circumstance shall not be affected thereby.

(f) Definitions.--In this subtitle, the terms "withdrawal", "denunciation", "suspension", ans "termination" have the meaning given the terms in the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties, concluded at Vienna May 23, 1969.

Posted by: sln2002 | Jan 10 2024 19:29 utc | 70

To repeat my point of view:

The Ukrainian Civil War is a mere sideshow to the Global struggle underway. This Wae ends only when the War Party in Washington no longer can sell cheap debt to fund it - aka De-Dollarization.

The first negative impacts of De-Dollarization should be felt in 2025. These signs will be higher than expected interest demanded on Treasury debt.

My guess is by 2027, we’ll start seeing some real negative effects of de-dollarization - surprisingly high interest rates on Treasury Debt like 7% on the 10 year.

Net, Net Barflies this will take years do unfold.

Posted by: Exile | Jan 10 2024 19:32 utc | 71

Re: Art Market

The U.S. art Market is a notorious cash business. Perfect for money laundering. It’s full of shysters and hustlers.

Posted by: Exile | Jan 10 2024 19:36 utc | 72

Laugh with me.

All together now! HEIL House of Lords!
(Withdrawal)(No. 2) Act 2019!

Guardian LETWIN AMENDMENT

What happens now the Letwin amendment has passed?

The former Tory minister Oliver Letwin’s amendment passed 322 to 306. This means Boris Johnson did not get the clean yes or no vote on his LOL! Brexit deal that he had hoped for in Saturday’s “super sitting” and must by law request an extension. In short, it pushes the focus of Brexit decision-making into next week.

What was the Letwin amendment again?

The amendment says parliament will withhold approval of the prime minister’s deal until the withdrawal bill implementing Brexit has been passed.
[...]

Posted by: sln2022 | Jan 10 2024 19:38 utc | 73

Everybody lies.

Posted by: Verdant | Jan 10 2024 19:27 utc | 69

Nope. Another lie.

Posted by: Naive | Jan 10 2024 19:40 utc | 74

Speaker Mike Johnson called... ORDERRRRRRR

Posted by: sln2002 | Jan 10 2024 19:41 utc | 75

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 17:11 utc | 26

Impoverishing Europe is part of the US plan. Blowing up Nordstream, draining their already feeble military capacity, de-industrializing the entire continent and pissing off Europe's neighbors makes the Euro-peons completely dependent on and subservient to the US. The US gains: 1) the destruction of a significant economic competitor. 2) As a corollary, the onshoring of currently German industry to the US, AT A PROFIT. The acquisition of a captive market, first for energy and food, and next for the manufactures that Europe used to make, but which will be produced in the US in future.

If you go back to the period before Trump killed the Iran nuke deal, it's clear that Europe already recognized the trap of US-style infinite money schemes and was resistant to adopting those policies for the bailouts of failing EU countries, counting instead on cheap Iranian oil and massive Iranian infrastructure policies to make them whole. Trump ended that dream with the stroke of a pen, EU bank went to quantatative easing at max levels, and everything was set up for the conquest of Europe via the war in Ukraine, which was, I believe, intended to cripple both the EU and Russian economies. Oh, well. One out of two ain't bad.

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 10 2024 19:48 utc | 76

Going by these numbers, if the AFU isn't "graduating" 30,000 fully trained recruits a month, then its forces facing the Russians are becoming on average less capable.

Conscripts who were dragged off the street and received minimal training, but who've managed to survive several months at the front, and had the "gung-ho" to actively participate in frontal assaults, are an order of magnitude more valuable, imo, then the average newly dragooned recruit, so these losses Ukraine are enduring are dire indeed.

And it seems that for a while now the AFU has had to spend its "seed corn" on Zelenskyy's mad-cap, ill thought out, adventures into Russian held territory.

"Fresh meat" recruits need to be met by, and taken under the wing of, these highly experienced "unkillables", but Zelenskyy insists on sending the unkillables on certain death missions, and now the new recruits are left with less guidance.

Elite units aside, it must be a bitter joke when new recruits are welcomed into platoons with hardly any old hands, and the turnover due to deaths and wounds means that few in the unit have more than a couple of months experience.

Dante passes through the gate of Hell, which bears an inscription ending with the phrase "Lasciate ogne speranza, voi ch'intrate", most frequently translated as "Abandon all hope, ye who enter here."

Posted by: Babel-17 | Jan 10 2024 19:49 utc | 77

reply to 70

I think that bill brings up Constitutional issues because the President is Commander in Chief. He might be able to strip resources away from NATO, rendering it irrelevant ( uh....more than it already is)

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Oil-Drilling-Is-Booming-in-Russia-Despite-Western-Sanctions.html

Another big defeat in the sanctions war. Despite hopes that Russia couldn't maintain drilling, the opposite is true and they got business resources for almost nothing.

Posted by: Eighthman | Jan 10 2024 19:55 utc | 78

@43 Feral Finster

I care, but the scum masquerading as a government in Berlin don't. So sadly those Taurus missiles will be sent crossing a red line like all of Scholz's red lines .

Posted by: Judge Barbier | Jan 10 2024 18:52 utc | 60

The problem is not Scholz's red lines. Everyone knows that Scholz is a puppet with less authority in his own house than the Biden's pet hamster.

The problem is Russia refusing to enforce its own red lines. Unless and until Russia stops dithering, this will only continue.

Posted by: Feral Finster | Jan 10 2024 19:58 utc | 79

Congress recently passes a bill(1) that the President of the US could not unilaterally withdraw from NATO. The Senate would need 2/3 of the legislature to leave NATO, I'm not sure of the percentage of Congress, it could be a simple majority.

Anyways, the MIC have blocked Trump on this issue, if he prevails.

1. https://thehill.com/homenews/4360407-congress-approves-bill-barring-president-withdrawing-nato/

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 18:36 utc | 56

Not really. Article 5 of the NATO treaty leaves it to each nation to decide what kind of help, if any, it gives to the nation attacked. They are only required to think about it. In the US, the President is Commander in Chief of the armed forces, and Congress has no authority to direct their movements. Declare war, yes, move troops, no. The president can, if he wishes, bring all troops home from all foreign lands. Trump made a few attempts at this in Syria, but the Pentagon just ignored him, so what I'm saying is only the de jure situation. The reality is the Deep State does what it wants, so Congress's recent bill is irrelevant (and probably unconstitutional).

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 10 2024 20:00 utc | 80

@ karlof1 | Jan 10 2024 17:20 utc | 32

thanks karl... if any of the euro politicians are capable of showing some independence of mind - it is possible, but generally i don't see a lot of this sort of thing in euro politicians... robert fico and victor orban are 2 exceptions.. hopefully they start a trend, but again it is a long shot..

Posted by: james | Jan 10 2024 20:09 utc | 81

Building on what Honzo just wrote: Congress can tie the President’s hands in all kinds of ways, but one thing it cannot do is force the President to declare war in response to an Article 5 request.

Sure, the Pentagram and the CIA can play dirty tricks behind the President’s back, but they (still?) can’t wage full-scale war without his approval.

Posted by: malenkov | Jan 10 2024 20:11 utc | 82

Oops! Egg on my face. Congress declares war and can override any Presidential reluctance.

Posted by: malenkov | Jan 10 2024 20:21 utc | 83

Russia's future plans in Ukraine.
Demilitarization is going along well. Western weapon supplies are drying up along with reserves of cannon fodder.
Denazification? I believe Russia is taking Ukraine to the point where they will denazify themselves. Current frontline tactics/strategy may well remain the sam,e until that point is reached and the SMO will end. Permanent denazification can only occur if the Ukrainians are taken to the point they string the nazis from lamp posts themselves.
Russia has never targeted the Ukraine government and I believe the above theory to be the reason.
At the start of this second phase after Ukraine reneged on the peace deal, both Putin and Lavrov stated they don't know how long this will take.

Overall it is likely Russia will continue to minimize its own casualties while maximizing Ukraine casualties into the forseeable future. Ukraine opinion does appear to be starting to turn so perhaps the revolution/anti maidan will occur during the next 12 months. Otherwise it's just a matter of waiting for that to occur howerver long it takes.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 10 2024 20:30 utc | 84

Oops! Egg on my face. Congress declares war and can override any Presidential reluctance.

Posted by: malenkov | Jan 10 2024 20:21 utc | 83

Congress can declare war (the president can veto, and the congress can then over-ride by 2/3 majority), but only the President can order troops into combat. The president tells them where to go and what to do when they get there, not Congress.

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 10 2024 20:42 utc | 85

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 10 2024 20:30 utc | 84

It was in a post above somewhere how a Russian general sums it up via the phrase “reducing the combat potential of the Ukraine Army”. What we call attrition has a more systematic name in this.

They have to of course reduce this potential in a situation where the opponents military is continuously supplied and operationally supported externally with intelligence plus the leadership is supported to stay in power via money and informational resources. This is of course a tough task that can take unpredictable turns and much time.

Posted by: alek_a | Jan 10 2024 20:43 utc | 86

Honzo: All true. But if the President refused to wage war according to the wishes of a veto-proof majority in Congress, he could well be impeached and convicted, the definition of “high crimes and misdemeanors” being eminently flexible and all.

Posted by: malenkov | Jan 10 2024 20:48 utc | 87

Congress recently passes a bill(1) that the President of the US could not unilaterally withdraw from NATO. The Senate would need 2/3 of the legislature to leave NATO, I'm not sure of the percentage of Congress, it could be a simple majority.

Anyways, the MIC have blocked Trump on this issue, if he prevails.

1. https://thehill.com/homenews/4360407-congress-approves-bill-barring-president-withdrawing-nato/

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 18:36 utc | 56

Not really. Article 5 of the NATO treaty leaves it to each nation to decide what kind of help, if any, it gives to the nation attacked. They are only required to think about it. In the US, the President is Commander in Chief of the armed forces, and Congress has no authority to direct their movements. Declare war, yes, move troops, no. The president can, if he wishes, bring all troops home from all foreign lands. Trump made a few attempts at this in Syria, but the Pentagon just ignored him, so what I'm saying is only the de jure situation. The reality is the Deep State does what it wants, so Congress's recent bill is irrelevant (and probably unconstitutional).

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 10 2024 20:00 utc | 80

That is true Trump could decide not to 'help' so to speak if an attack occurred but the NATO policies for financing and producing armaments (let's face oit that's the real business of NATO)would be left intact.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 20:51 utc | 88

Posted by: Mark | Jan 10 2024 18:12 utc | 50

##################

I can't tell if this comment is satire or sarcasm, either way, thanks for the lowbrow entertainment.

Sometimes I need to dumb things down until my brain has been almost completely stopped and that comment did the trick today.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 10 2024 20:57 utc | 89

Still trying to get over DunGroanin's disjointed rant @19

He is obviously in England which is having so many problems with govt. these days that people there don't know if they're coming or going so I can kind of see why he's having trouble articulating his views.

Thank god I live in a tiny rural town in Central Ontario where I'm the only one who actually sees/cares how bad the western world is spiralling out of control. The Suck will continue unabated until it doesn't. In the meantime, life will go on and as long as my Leafs and Chiefs are winning and I can still buy all my goodies at the LCBO and the Reserve I'm still happy as a pig in shit.

Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 10 2024 19:22 utc | 68

Dunn is obviously drunk, a condition we bar flies all get into from time to time.

bisfugged, I'm guessing Sudbury is where you live-I have mining claims around there-I'm not a big fan of the LCBO (why can't I buy booze at the corner store?) but I am a fan of the reserves as I get cheap cigs for my uncle when I'm up.

A frustrated Leaf fan as well

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 20:57 utc | 90

Not sure how effective this would be against a cluttered background but good results under the circumstances.

https://t.me/remylind21/11759

🇺🇦 Small arms fire from our fighters help in the fight against enemy FPV drones.

Posted by: anon2020 | Jan 10 2024 20:58 utc | 91

Born in 2000, and named Adolph. Nothing to see here.

Also, call sign Banderas "after the actor".

LOL, tell us another one, WSJ.

Posted by: wagelaborer | Jan 10 2024 20:59 utc | 92

Posted by: Captain America | Jan 10 2024 18:54 utc | 62

##############

All of the comedians are out today.

The only certain thing is that America's best days are behind it. Now we have to watch the slow-motion collapse managed by emotional babies and genocidal race supremacists.

Would it be too much to ask for America to collapse a bit faster and quieter?

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 10 2024 21:00 utc | 93

Lover Donbas 93: "Would it be too much to ask for America to collapse a bit faster and quieter?" - Soviet Union collapsed with a whimper, USA can only collapse with a bang.

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Jan 10 2024 21:07 utc | 94

ARTE TV news mentioned the "very heavy Russian losses," by also showed footage of a Ukrainian man being dragged off by a press gang.

Posted by: Gene Poole | Jan 10 2024 21:09 utc | 95

by malenkov | Jan 10 2024 20:21 utc | 83

NATO is not of a long term strategic interest to the USA. It is just an opportunistic temporary solution, a laying policeman, if you will. A portable speed bump.
That if one sees as a long term, approximately 10 generations. But we know that a long term in Western political and business mind in reality is, 5-15 years of a fluffy RoI and "you only live once" style.
Yuppies still run the show.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 10 2024 21:10 utc | 96

Posted by: Mark | Jan 10 2024 18:12 utc | 50

##################

I can't tell if this comment is satire or sarcasm, either way, thanks for the lowbrow entertainment.

Sometimes I need to dumb things down until my brain has been almost completely stopped and that comment did the trick today.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 10 2024 20:57 utc | 89

It's called satire.

We could use come comic relief in this serious thread.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 21:13 utc | 97

"If they were wounded and captured, Russian troops would execute them, he warned them."

Of course both sides will claim the other side is evil. I doubt that the Russians are executing captured Ukrainians as a matter of policy. However, I have heard rumors that, in the heat of battle, recently captured enemy soldiers are at high risk of being killed whatever the side. I mean, those guys just killed some of your buddies, your adrenaline is up... I'm not excusing it, and one would hope that disciplined troops would mostly not do this, but surely this is only human nature. Don't blame the soldiers, blame the politicians and bankers that put them in this situation.

Posted by: TG | Jan 10 2024 21:14 utc | 98

Posted by: sln2002 | Jan 10 2024 19:29 utc | 70

Thank you, cheers!

Posted by: canuck | Jan 10 2024 21:28 utc | 99

TG | Jan 10 2024 21:14 utc | 98

A lot of drone footage now of Russian trench raids. Those that surrender a generally treated well. For the donbass fighters, some may well have killed Ukrainians that had surrendered, especially if they had lost family to the nazis but I have seen no hint of this anywhere. Even if it was somewhat common amongst the donbass fighters, there would have been some hint in the donbass social media but there is no hint anywhere, the a newly taken prisoner seemed to receive if he was a Nazi was a slap on the face.
The Ukraine nazis on the other hand did, like ISIS, post their torture and killing of prisoners to social media. On top of that, Ukraine officials others were encouraging war crimes on Ukraine national television, such as the head military surgeon recommending all doctors treating wounded Russian prisoners to castrate them. I assume this would have occurred in many cases.

As Russia does not have the death penalty, I would assume nazi units are not encouraged to surrender as occurs for regular army units of conscripts, instead preferring to kill them on the battlefield.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 10 2024 21:28 utc | 100

next page »

The comments to this entry are closed.