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January 21, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-023
Only for news & views directly related to the war in Ukraine. The current open thread for other issues is here. Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.
Comments
Again, explain to me how exactly you are going to reestablish deterrence? Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 19:56 utc | 101 Re piano dick’s insistence on keeping the war going. Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 19:58 utc | 102 https://t.me/pushilindenis/4204
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 20:00 utc | 103 “Why is Ukraine commiting these attacs on civilian population? Posted by: poeshooks | Jan 21 2024 20:03 utc | 104 Re the term Russian speakers. Zelensky was a Russian speaker when becoming president. He could not speak the Galician dialect and had to learn it. Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 20:04 utc | 105 Austin is missing. If he was in an incident i Ukraina somebody must have been with him. The day after the attack a photograph appeared with Zalnutzy and Sursky showing that they at least was alive. So who went down with Austin? Posted by: Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 20:05 utc | 106 2) We can dismiss the local saboteur theory because these weren’t small commercial drones that a single person can sneak in anywhere Posted by: HERMIUS | Jan 21 2024 20:07 utc | 107
I agree Paul, but is the society in EU and/or Sweden ready to participate? Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 20:10 utc | 108 I think there is a kind of internal wish in Europe, a kind of psychological urge to go, destroy and plunder Russia. Like described at the end of the film “White tiger” in the hypothetical monologue by Hitler after the war. Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 20:20 utc | 109 reply to 93 Posted by: Eighthman | Jan 21 2024 20:21 utc | 110 Honzo @ 48
Japan dared break its chains in the 1980s when instead of recycling it surplus through Wall Street and the Fed it decided it could actually invest them in a way profitable to itself (what China is now doing w/ the BRI) it was crushed to never recover in the 1985 Plaza Accord. Sadly, its people never rose up and the country’s leadership became even more docile and obedient, I’d say terrified, exactly as the USA predicted. Germany will be the same, a docile ignorant public, what protest there are will be provincial like the farmer protests, and its political class will have whatever initiative and ambition they had completely scared out of them. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 20:23 utc | 111 Paul from Norway @ 88
Bentley can get caught up in a doom spiral but his instincts are much above average so worth taking note of: Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 20:32 utc | 112 as our respective politicians steer us determinedly towards the lunatic Cold War II that’ll follow on from the Ukrainian defeat, but more than I had known of. Posted by: Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:41 utc | 113 LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 20:32 utc | 112 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 20:43 utc | 114 Lev Davidovich | Jan 21 2024 17:35 utc | 57 Posted by: bevin | Jan 21 2024 20:43 utc | 115 it is actually kind of nasty that states are manipulating DNS but here we are. Posted by: Oliver Krug | Jan 21 2024 20:47 utc | 116 the west is preparing a new and bigger war. Posted by: Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:54 utc | 117 Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 19:56 utc | 101 Posted by: alek_a | Jan 21 2024 20:55 utc | 118 Weird as it sounds the only safe locations in this world for the next 8-10 years will be countries with massive land area and minimal populations. Good choices for those looking to stay well away from built up cities so this will include stark, desolate and remote harsh wilderness. This will be very safe for survival but of course will only be beneficial for outdoorsy folks with some bushcraft skills. Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 21 2024 20:56 utc | 119 Posted by: bevin | Jan 21 2024 20:43 utc | 115 Posted by: Honzo | Jan 21 2024 21:01 utc | 120 @zorge Posted by: Apollyon | Jan 21 2024 21:09 utc | 121 Bevin @ 115 Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 21 2024 21:16 utc | 122 Honzo @ 117
Sound logic but my fear is the idiot effete elites are in wargasm mode, I’ve never once met Great Dane that thought it was a Chihuahua but all the Chihuahuas I’ve met thought they were Great Danes. It’s like a shark, once a Chihuahua tastes blood there no stopping it. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 21:19 utc | 124 Posted by: Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:54 utc | 117 Posted by: unimperator | Jan 21 2024 21:22 utc | 125 Dima says that 90000 NATO soldiers is a kind of plan B. Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 21:25 utc | 126 The NATO dim-wit Bauer who stated the other day that “civilians will have to play a role” in this new era of Russian Aggression and “there will be a need for mobilization of the civilian population is complete fuqueing bollocks! Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 21 2024 21:26 utc | 127 @zorge Posted by: Pierrot | Jan 21 2024 21:41 utc | 128
The ‘international terrorism’ ship sailed with the destruction of Nordstream. All Russia needs is plausible deniability, like the West. A billionaire’s yacht is lost in a storm. Terrible tragedy. Posted by: Mike R | Jan 21 2024 21:44 utc | 129 I saw this on TG too, another bunch of mercs killed Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 21:53 utc | 130
Ouch. In many ways, unfortunately, this sounds about right. It’s a fair reasonable point to draw ‘overall’. The exceptions prove the rule iow.
The same goes for the West Bank (+400 killed) and Gaza (+25000killed). Not only recently today, but for 100 years. Though better late than never, I suppose. I also hear many ‘lectures’ being given daily. Too many. Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Jan 21 2024 21:54 utc | 131 LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 20:32 utc | 112 Posted by: rk | Jan 21 2024 21:55 utc | 132 “I myself have 50 acres of land just north of Sudbury where entry involves an ATV or Argo.” Why are the northern countries, such as Holland, Denmark, Sweden or Norway the most aggressive? Posted by: Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 21:58 utc | 134 Germany [apropos snake about 16h20 GMT] seem to have been secretly holding the Morgenthau plan dear to their hearts and awaiting the perfect circumstances to put it into effect. Still, if it leads to that outcome of revitalised pragmatic co-operation between the RF and the German one, so much the better for helping the world resist that nasty persistent blight infecting it from the far west. Posted by: petra | Jan 21 2024 22:01 utc | 135 …. how all this is a game for most people here. They are from the West, and they are mostly enacting various fantasies of their own through the imagined eventual Russian victory. But that means they don’t actually care at all about Russia or the people who are paying the ultimate price for all this. Posted by: Micron | Jan 21 2024 22:06 utc | 136 “The Baby Boomers got the most Ideological-Free education of the last century, it was ALL downhill from there…” bisfugged@122 Posted by: bevin | Jan 21 2024 22:08 utc | 137 “As for your remarks regarding the City- assertion however loud is no substitute for argument. If you look at who runs The City you will soon discover that it isn’t the Rothschilds it’s the same people that run Wall Street and the United States.” ‘No making friends, no human contact with the Germans, who by the war crimes they have committed place themselves outside of the society of civilized nations’ Posted by: whirlX | Jan 21 2024 22:27 utc | 139 Posted by: Pierrot | Jan 21 2024 21:41 utc | 128 Posted by: watcher | Jan 21 2024 22:35 utc | 140 watcher | Jan 21 2024 22:35 utc | 140 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 22:44 utc | 141 Military summary today (don’t watch every day so don’t know what happened in previous days): Posted by: unimperator | Jan 21 2024 22:48 utc | 142 First, because they are psychopaths Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 21 2024 22:54 utc | 143 @ bevin | Jan 21 2024 22:08 utc | 137 Posted by: majoab | Jan 21 2024 22:57 utc | 144 Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 21:25 utc | 126 Posted by: Milites | Jan 21 2024 23:14 utc | 145 Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 19:27 utc | 88 Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 21 2024 23:19 utc | 146 If similar attacks continue people in newly reclaimed parts of Russia will lose faith in Russia. Posted by: Jason | Jan 21 2024 23:19 utc | 147 Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 21 2024 23:19 utc | 146 Posted by: Milites | Jan 21 2024 23:28 utc | 148 The Australian public couldn’t tolerate a few deaths, so the Taipan helicopters were retired early. Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 21 2024 23:33 utc | 149 Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 21 2024 18:21 utc | 65 Posted by: Suresh | Jan 21 2024 23:34 utc | 150 by unimperator | Jan 21 2024 22:48 utc | 142 Posted by: whirlX | Jan 21 2024 23:35 utc | 151 re: ossi | Jan 21 2024 17:19 utc | 49 Posted by: Perimetr | Jan 21 2024 23:41 utc | 152 bevin | Jan 21 2024 20:43 utc | 115– ZH has a posting up with the title
What would the Blue team have for something to hide behind if not Trump? Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 21 2024 23:58 utc | 154 Russia can resort to some psychological measures. Posted by: zorge | Jan 22 2024 0:20 utc | 155 Folks here at MoA need to wake up and know that in a previous troll life, Shadowbanned worked as a paid troll for big Pharma/MIC sowing disinformation about covid and the covid vaccines. Posted by: Organic | Jan 22 2024 0:37 utc | 156
But they are reluctantly dragging their feet. Do they have a stockpile? I am convinced, they do. Do they have ‘the meat’ to man those? Not yet, but it is planned. Do they have amazing R&D and secret, already built stuff? None. Posted by: whirlX | Jan 22 2024 0:40 utc | 157 Deep State now will arrange that butcher Biden will lose to trump,can blame setbacks in Ukraine to Republicans in house, try to pin Palestine on genocide Joe, and sell idea that, look, at least we prevented Putin from conquering Europe, and move on to china. Muricans will eat it up. Then we can use the next big Cyber attack or pandemic to destroy Trump. It’s a wrap. Posted by: Peter b | Jan 22 2024 0:43 utc | 158 Posted by: zorge | Jan 22 2024 0:20 utc | 155 Posted by: watcher | Jan 22 2024 0:45 utc | 159 Some videos for today. Posted by: Nate | Jan 22 2024 1:06 utc | 160 @zorge 2: Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 22 2024 1:21 utc | 161 I do not agree with shadowbanned, but it is a remarkably stupid thing to accuse him of being a NATO troll for having a different opinion. Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 22 2024 1:24 utc | 162 One list of French soldiers form Kharkov: Posted by: Naive | Jan 22 2024 1:44 utc | 163 but it is a remarkably stupid thing to accuse him of being a NATO troll for having a different opinion. Posted by: Naive | Jan 22 2024 1:49 utc | 164 “…Actually using this potential would be suicidal both for those NATO troops and for the Baltics as independent nation states,..” Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:54 utc | 117 Posted by: bevin | Jan 22 2024 1:55 utc | 165 Make no mistake about it. Attacks “deep inside of Russia” are conducted from INSIDE Russia by sabeuteurs who infiltrate through the border. They speak Russian too, so its rather easy to “appear” Russian. Cells exist as well. Posted by: HERMIUS | Jan 22 2024 2:01 utc | 166 Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 22 2024 1:24 utc | 162 Posted by: watcher | Jan 22 2024 2:03 utc | 167 Postado por: Begin | 21 de janeiro de 2024. 20:43 UFC | 115. Posted by: Soviético | Jan 22 2024 2:05 utc | 168 by Naive | Jan 22 2024 1:49 utc | 164 Posted by: whirlX | Jan 22 2024 2:05 utc | 169 “…Actually using this potential would be suicidal both for those NATO troops and for the Baltics as independent nation states,..” Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:54 utc | 117 Posted by: Honzo | Jan 22 2024 2:07 utc | 170 re:%20Posted%20by%3A%20HERMIUS%20%7C%20Jan%2021%202024%2015%3A32%20utc%20%7C%2012
Well, you will 100% be wrong then – I’ll even give you until the end of the month – and you’ll still be wrong! Posted by: Julian | Jan 22 2024 3:27 utc | 173 RE 156 Posted by: Green Hammer | Jan 22 2024 3:32 utc | 174 Sorry – for millions it was the end of the world Posted by: Green Hammer | Jan 22 2024 3:35 utc | 175 90K for NATO war games. ‘This will make Putin think twice before advancing on Kiev,’ they think, because the West is bigly into sending Putin a message. It’s empty theatrics. No, NATO will not send those troops into Ukraine if Russia marches too far west. NATO is more and more divided, and most NATO countries aren’t willing to put their money where their mouths are. Germany doesn’t want to send the Nazis their Taurus missiles because it might broaden the war, and Germany will have less missiles afterward as a party favor. It’s a hard slog, but Europe is waking up. Now if only the wise people of the US could only ponder what business the US has in Ukraine. Posted by: Mike R | Jan 22 2024 3:46 utc | 176 by unimperator | Jan 21 2024 16:46 utc | 35 Posted by: whirlX | Jan 22 2024 4:09 utc | 177 Posted by: Julian | Jan 22 2024 3:27 utc | 173 Posted by: watcher | Jan 22 2024 4:12 utc | 178 Posted by: whirlX | Jan 22 2024 0:40 utc | 157
Look at when Hodges was bloviating …. Look what’s happened since. §|~ Ukraine has enough people men and women military age to fight this war Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 22 2024 4:17 utc | 179 101 Posted by: SlowSoft | Jan 22 2024 4:19 utc | 180 According to Defence politics Asia, Russia has just captured the high ground across a valley. A week is probably too short but it would seem a Bakmut situation emerging within a fortnight. How long it takes after that depends on the willingness of Ukraine to see a city destroyed Posted by: Honzo | Jan 22 2024 4:20 utc | 181 The transition from SMO to ATO is coming. Then, 404 becomes ___, a void where once something existed. Posted by: Matthew | Jan 22 2024 4:22 utc | 182 167 Posted by: SlowSoft | Jan 22 2024 4:34 utc | 183 Posted by: Organic | Jan 22 2024 0:37 utc | 156 and the other self-styled troll to whom you are replying: Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 22 2024 4:39 utc | 184 I wake up middle of the night as stormy weather beats my window. Fell asleep as usual to one of the Duran Alex’s. It’s like a bedtime story. I used to read a book until nodding off .. these days have gone. Books are piling up. There’s so much news to pay attention to. So many Indy reporters. Being killed for recording the slaughter. Posted by: DunGroanin | Jan 22 2024 5:05 utc | 185 The whole Covid debate was absurd from start to finish. It was about one group trying to force others. Go have your vaccines if you wish, but then you should be protected, case closed. Posted by: g wiltek | Jan 22 2024 5:08 utc | 186 Russia has just captured the high ground across a valley. Posted by: too scents | Jan 22 2024 5:15 utc | 187 Does anyone know if the majority of the Russian forces fighting in the Donbass are native Donbassians? Does anyone have a breakdown of the numbers of Donbassians there vs. those from Russia? Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 22 2024 5:21 utc | 188 Posted by: g wiltek | Jan 22 2024 5:08 utc | 186 Posted by: ryanggg | Jan 22 2024 5:22 utc | 189 Thank you, snake I could not access the piece in its previous format. I don’t really believe you can blame the protestants for this. Posted by: juliania | Jan 22 2024 5:30 utc | 190 Another question: Does anyone know what area Northern Military District fighters are in? I assume, because of its name, that it is in the part of Ukraine north of the Donbass, and I guess that would be the part along the border with Russia where the Ukrainians shell Belgorod from? Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 22 2024 5:30 utc | 191 Sorry, my juliania at Jan 22 2024 5:30 utc | 190 was in reply to snake at Jan 21 2024 16:20 utc | 26 Posted by: juliania | Jan 22 2024 5:36 utc | 192
I will ask you a simple question: Assume you are in command of artillery. Would you waste a 1.000.000$ missile that you can produce only 10-20 per month just to hit civilians on the other side of Ukraine? Posted by: Modern Stoic | Jan 22 2024 5:54 utc | 193
I am afraid that the chemical plant has the possibility of turning into another Azovstal situation. I agree that the city will probably fall within a month though. The plant might last two weeks of siege. Posted by: Modern Stoic | Jan 22 2024 5:57 utc | 194 SlowSoft | Jan 22 2024 4:34 utc | 183 Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 22 2024 6:34 utc | 195
Thanks for that. I have been suspecting foreign troops manning such systems for a long time now. There is no way they can convince me that Ukrainians have been taught to operate HIMARS in two or three months. It takes over a year of training and exercises with live fire to become capable in using those systems.
IIRC Google Earth has such a function. Maybe you misremembered. Anyway conventional artillery has a range of up to 45km. Now consider that they can’t be deployed near the conflict zone but at least 10 km away from the front, then the russians need to create an additional buffer zone at least 10km inside the territory of Ukraine. Very long range missile systems can still be used but they are rare and in short supply so they won’t be used for propaganda reasons. For example they could still use GMLRS rockets with ~ 80km range but they cost 100.000$ per missile and they are in short supply. Posted by: Modern Stoic | Jan 22 2024 6:42 utc | 196 Posted by: ryanggg | Jan 22 2024 5:22 utc | 189 Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 22 2024 7:12 utc | 198 In no particular order Posted by: yarpos | Jan 22 2024 8:38 utc | 199 The personal data of 13 French mercenaries who were at a facility in Kharkov during a missile strike by the Russian Armed Forces has surfaced. Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 22 2024 9:00 utc | 200 |
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