Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 21, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-023

Only for news & views directly related to the war in Ukraine.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

Everything, every time, you post anything, it serves to convince me that you are a NATO troll, and not a smart one at that. What you advocate here under the pretence of supporting Russia, is a recipe for international terrorism, which would alienate the African, Asian and South American countries which are poised to become part of the BRICS axis, and give retroactive justification all previous such murderous illegalities from the US/NATO. Either up your game or get lost.
Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 21 2024 18:21 utc | 65

Again, explain to me how exactly you are going to reestablish deterrence?
Clearly it has been completely lost at this point, because NATO is slaughtering Russian civilians en masse and with impunity, and is now attacking Russia directly too (look up what I posted earlier in the thread about the drone strikes on Leningrad).
So what is the solution? Ukraine isn’t going to be rolled all the way to the Polish border any time soon, and even that may not stop it.
The only way to again instill that healthy deterrent fear in the minds of the people that matter is to go directly after them. Nothing else will do.
I am waiting for other solutions.
P.S. I have noted on numerous occasions here how all this is a game for most people here. They are from the West, and they are mostly enacting various fantasies of their own through the imagined eventual Russian victory. But that means they don’t actually care at all about Russia or the people who are paying the ultimate price for all this. But meanwhile people are dying in large numbers, and if their own government cared about them, it would be looking for ways to stop the massacres.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 19:56 utc | 101

Re piano dick’s insistence on keeping the war going.
We see the noise coming from the Brits and the European elite, especially France and Germany. We now have a major move of UK, US and European assets moving into position for the largest Nato ‘exercise’ since the end of the cold war.
The Brits had obviously worded him up that since Nazi Ukraine had run out of cannon fodder, nato would be stepping in in a much wider war.
Brits are certainly doing their bit with harassment strikes behind the lines. SAS are very good at that sort of thing. Uk will well and truly be missing some tail feathers before this is over. When Russia hits, it will hit hard.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 19:58 utc | 102

https://t.me/pushilindenis/4204

As a result of artillery fire from the VFU in the Donetsk microdistrict Tekstilshchik, 27 civilians were killed, another 25 people were injured of varying degrees of severity, including two teenagers.
Also in the Kuibyshev region, the driver of a repair crew, a man born in 1990, was injured as a result of ammunition being dropped from a UAV. In the same area, as a result of shelling, a man born in 1979 was killed and a man born in 1957 was wounded. In the Nikitovsky and Kalininsky districts of Gorlovka, three local residents were injured.
In total, 28 people were killed today and 30 residents of the region were injured.
11 residential buildings were damaged in the Kirovsky and Kuibyshevsky districts of the capital, the Central City and Kalininsky districts of Gorlovka, the Central City and Kirovsky districts of Makeyevka, as well as nine civil infrastructure facilities in the Petrovsky (school), Kirovsky (market, shopping center, store) districts of Donetsk, Nikitovsky (school, two power lines), Kalininsky (boiler room, gas pipeline) districts of Gorlovka.
The enemy carried out 27 attacks, fired 82 rounds of ammunition, used 152 mm and 155 mm caliber artillery, and an attack UAV. Donetsk, Gorlovka, Makeevka, Yasinovatsky district are under fire from the Air Force.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 20:00 utc | 103

“Why is Ukraine commiting these attacs on civilian population?
The only feasible explanation for this shitshow is that it is all kabuki. Two years back they were all on the same anti covid side now all of a sudden know one gets along. Get real.

Posted by: poeshooks | Jan 21 2024 20:03 utc | 104

Re the term Russian speakers. Zelensky was a Russian speaker when becoming president. He could not speak the Galician dialect and had to learn it.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 20:04 utc | 105

Austin is missing. If he was in an incident i Ukraina somebody must have been with him. The day after the attack a photograph appeared with Zalnutzy and Sursky showing that they at least was alive. So who went down with Austin?
When did anybody see Budenov?
And what about the American General that was appointed to lead the Ukranian forces. (I don’t remember his name.
Anybody?

Posted by: Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 20:05 utc | 106

2) We can dismiss the local saboteur theory because these weren’t small commercial drones that a single person can sneak in anywhere
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 17:16 utc | 46
Wrong! You don’t “sneak” such drones in as whole units. They are brought in in small parts, put together at some location a few miles outside the target area, then used.

Posted by: HERMIUS | Jan 21 2024 20:07 utc | 107

the west is preparing a new and bigger war.
Mobilization in Finland, Poland and preperation in Sweeden. Dutch and German officers are promoting mobilization.
Not a word about security, de-escalation and diplomacy.
Pls. read the important article by Jan Øberg:
https://janoberg.me/2024/01/08/sweden-prepares-for-war-in-the-hands-of-calm-hysterics/
Posted by: Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 19:27 utc | 88

I agree Paul, but is the society in EU and/or Sweden ready to participate?
Would they love this war?
I think yes. This war can be marketed as a kind of escape from boredom or, in case of the poor, a kind of financial opportunity. For this to work, living standard must be reduced in Europe.
The question is, are they able to take part in the war with many KIA?
Why are the northern countries, such as Holland, Denmark, Sweden or Norway the most aggressive?

Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 20:10 utc | 108

I think there is a kind of internal wish in Europe, a kind of psychological urge to go, destroy and plunder Russia. Like described at the end of the film “White tiger” in the hypothetical monologue by Hitler after the war.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-wjMmeNS9wA

Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 20:20 utc | 109

reply to 93
The whole Zelensky thing is profoundly tiresome. It doesn’t matter what coalition wants Zelensky out of office. What matters is that they approach him with guns in hand. He’s a dead man walking with nothing to lose. There is no other way.

Posted by: Eighthman | Jan 21 2024 20:21 utc | 110

Honzo @ 48

The Germans have no revolutionary consciousness, and it’s going to be hard to develop in the thought-control regime that is taking over the west.

Japan dared break its chains in the 1980s when instead of recycling it surplus through Wall Street and the Fed it decided it could actually invest them in a way profitable to itself (what China is now doing w/ the BRI) it was crushed to never recover in the 1985 Plaza Accord. Sadly, its people never rose up and the country’s leadership became even more docile and obedient, I’d say terrified, exactly as the USA predicted. Germany will be the same, a docile ignorant public, what protest there are will be provincial like the farmer protests, and its political class will have whatever initiative and ambition they had completely scared out of them.
The breaking of Germany served an extremely important purpose in the integration of the EU as a anti-democratic superstate, Germany was a prima donna, it had created its own fiefdom in eastern EU to supply its industry with cheap parts and outsourced labor and established political allies in N.EU, it was then taking its euro surplus and instead of recycling into the eurozone according to European Stability Mechanism rules it invested it abroad in non EU countries in the ex-Warsaw pact, plus Russia and China. Germany was beggaring its eurozone neighbors, enriching itself to push its weight around politically, for the last 20ys EU policy was German policy, what was good for Germany was what was good for the EU, and it was interfering with the Brussels Atlanticist WEF Eurolandia project while pissing on the Emperor’s shoes.
With NS2, sanctions on its Russia trade, and being burdened with the major part of UKR war financing all adding up to the destruction of its economy, the USA-UK and their Atlanticist collaborators broke the German prima donna’s legs, its star career is ended, from now on Germany will have to go hat in hand to Brussels for the money it needs to run the country exactly like the periphery and exactly what we are presently witnessing with Hungary which is hogtied by EU demands, it monies confiscated, it voting power to be annulled unless it does as it’s ordered.
Germany has been cowed and broken like the rest of the EU, one among equals now, supposedly that’s a good thing but the EU project is to break national identities, culture, and political will and power (that’s what excess immigration is about). Remember the EU has no Treasury, no fiscal way to tax and recycle monetary discrepancies, no way for bottom up democratic pressure to influence and moderate top down political will, the goal is to create the perfect anti-democratic neoliberal techno-feudal corporate superstate that is bound and subject to the USA. Like Japan it looks like the goal is achieved.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 20:23 utc | 111

Paul from Norway @ 88

the west is preparing a new and bigger war. Mobilization in Finland, Poland and preperation in Sweeden. Dutch and German officers are promoting mobilization.

Bentley can get caught up in a doom spiral but his instincts are much above average so worth taking note of:
https://sputnikglobe.com/20240119/nato-moves-90000-troops-into-position—the-middle-game-begins-1116271025.html
https://t.me/TXDPR/11738

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 20:32 utc | 112

as our respective politicians steer us determinedly towards the lunatic Cold War II that’ll follow on from the Ukrainian defeat, but more than I had known of.
Posted by: English Outsider | Jan 21 2024 18:38 utc | 69
I don’t about you, but I think that Cold War II is the least lunatic thing western leaders are likely to do. I prefer it immensely to immediate escalation to global nuclear war.

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:41 utc | 113

LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 20:32 utc | 112
You are right about Bently. I very much agree with him on this one.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 20:43 utc | 114

Lev Davidovich | Jan 21 2024 17:35 utc | 57
Your courteous tone (65) is exemplary but the points that you make are of too great importance not to be defended.
You are correct to date the beginning of the reaction as being in 1945 or ’46 with the election of the 80th-thoroughly reactionary Congress.
The tendency, to which I have been as prone as anyone, to date the reaction from the mid-seventies and the neo-liberal cult, is mistaken in that it forgets the totalitarianism of the Truman-Eisenhower years in which the Trade Union movement (starting with the United Electrical Workers) was comprehensively smashed and, through the series of trials, exemplified by the judicial lynching of the Rosenbergs, McCarthyism and the Loyalty Oath movement, not only the people of the United States but, at a moment in which the US was hegemonic, much of the world were purged of “Communists” and dissidents of every kind questioning ” Free Enterprise”.
Which, of course, the New Deal had done-in spades.
There was a massive purge, in terms of numbers far larger than anything Yezhov ever managed.
‘If someone insists that there is discrimination against negroes, in this country, or that there is inequality of wealth, there is every reason to believe that that person is a Communist..” said Spokane’s Albert F Canwell, Chair of the Joint Legislative Unamerican activities committee of the Washington State legislature.
According to Canwell 150 faculty members at the University of Washington were Communists. The purge of the University, one of the first in a wildfire of conformism that spread over the United States, was supported by the Board of Regents. And then emulated in California and elsewhere.
It was an era from which neither the United States nor the rest of the Empire have ever recovered, as we see, threequarters of a century later, by the difficulties American critics of their government have in shedding the anti-communist hysteria which has coloured their (our) lives.
Those who claim that everything was reversed in the ’60s probably weren’t there, because then and ever since all has been coloured by the fundamental acceptance of anti-communism (anti-stalinism?) which has been taken for granted in all reforms.
For example the Civil Rights movement, in so far as it succeeded at all, did so at the cost of losing its militants-most of whom were eliminated by government assassins or maginalised in a Black community that is now the electoral base of the Clinton-Biden Democrats.
The Great Society- LBJ’s return to the New Deal- was part of a polity in which anti-communist wars were the dominant feature. Which was one reason why it was so easily and rapidly demolished by his successors- who had built their careers of anticommunist demagogy.
Hollywood, now an adjunct to the Pentagon’s crudest propaganda, was emptied of a generation or two of talent and intellect as Directors, scriptwriters and even actors were driven into exile. And everyone left had got the message.
History is nothing if not a connoisseur of ironies. And the reality is that much of the reason why the United States is declining quickly, and has been in decline for decades, lies in the licensing of bigotry and folly which began in the wake of the World War, intensified during Korea and has been simmering ever since.
In fact has been worsening: the lost generation of exiled genius orphaned an entire generation-the Baby Boomers- from a crucial part of their intellectual heritage. They went to University in unprecedented numbers but what they got when they arrived there was the milquetoast of Hannah Arendt, and her myriad siblings, the narrow minded anti-populism of Hofstadter, founded on the academic school of Arthur Schlesinger Jr and the voodoo economics of the Chicago Boys recycling the discoveries of the economists who had reached their conclusions when Franz Joseph occupied the throne in Vienna.
And they are with us still, those intellectuals who had learned the narrow bounds within which enquiry was allowed. Worst, their students, who flirt with ‘libertarianism’ because it is allowed and nobody will call it ‘out of date’ (the way that ‘everyone knows’ Socialism is) instead of addressing capitalism, insist on the existence of conspiracies featuring bankers, The City and minor European ethnic groups.
The City was effectively demolished in Mrs Thatcher’s Big Bang. Ever since it has been nothing more than a conveniently located-jurisdictionally and geographically- branch office of Wall St. Or the Hedge Funds that own it.

Posted by: bevin | Jan 21 2024 20:43 utc | 115

it is actually kind of nasty that states are manipulating DNS but here we are.
Posted by: dan of steele | Jan 21 2024 19:37 utc | 94
I guess it’s called democratic, liberal and free ?

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Jan 21 2024 20:47 utc | 116

the west is preparing a new and bigger war.
Mobilization in Finland, Poland and preperation in Sweeden. Dutch and German officers are promoting mobilization.
Not a word about security, de-escalation and diplomacy.
Pls. read the important article by Jan Øberg:
https://janoberg.me/2024/01/08/sweden-prepares-for-war-in-the-hands-of-calm-hysterics/
Posted by: Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 19:27 utc | 88
The west is preparing to suppress opposition to their puppets in the Baltics when the war in Ukraine is lost. There is a simple binary in terms of widening the war directly against Russia- either it leads to more western defeats, or it leads to global nuclear war. As hot headed as some neocons and born-agains are, the real power is the core group of financiers, and global nuclear war is very bad for profits.
The secondary purpose of NATO activity in the Baltics is to create a potential to interfere with a sudden Russian advance in Ukraine. Actually using this potential would be suicidal both for those NATO troops and for the Baltics as independent nation states, but since we all know how much the real powers care about the Baltics or their own troops, it can’t be discounted, so Russia has resources tied down to prevent it.
From a military point of view, forward deployment of NATO forces for a conventional attack on Russia makes no sense whatever, in the Baltics or anywhere else. Any country unwilling to sacrifice their own troops would not even send them to the Baltics to begin with, which should be a wake up call to NATO forces in general.

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:54 utc | 117

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 19:56 utc | 101
I get you. But responding to NATO in the way you suggest will provoke a response from them and trigger an escalation chain in which many more Russians will die.
There comes however a point when the calculus will favor your path but I think it is not now.

Posted by: alek_a | Jan 21 2024 20:55 utc | 118

Weird as it sounds the only safe locations in this world for the next 8-10 years will be countries with massive land area and minimal populations. Good choices for those looking to stay well away from built up cities so this will include stark, desolate and remote harsh wilderness. This will be very safe for survival but of course will only be beneficial for outdoorsy folks with some bushcraft skills.
Best locations will be Russia, Canada, Argentina, Angola, Namibia and Chile (Patagonia).
I myself have 50 acres of land just north of Sudbury where entry involves an ATV or Argo.

Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 21 2024 20:56 utc | 119

Posted by: bevin | Jan 21 2024 20:43 utc | 115
Excellent.

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 21 2024 21:01 utc | 120

@zorge
“I think there is a kind of internal wish in Europe, a kind of psychological urge to go, destroy and plunder Russia.”
Sorry, that’s bullshit.

Posted by: Apollyon | Jan 21 2024 21:09 utc | 121

Bevin @ 115
You know nothing John Stark!
The Baby Boomers got the most Ideological-Free education of the last century, it was ALL downhill from there. Thatcher, like Reagan had their marching orders from the Square Mile and started the real war against the slave earner with the camouflage of “righting the ship” but she was actually turning the financial system upside-down with the use of MMT theory.
The City still purrs along to this day since none of the power and control has been diminished whatsoever.

Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 21 2024 21:16 utc | 122

Honzo @ 120
REALLY??? Wtf!!

Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 21 2024 21:17 utc | 123

Honzo @ 117

From a military point of view, forward deployment of NATO forces for a conventional attack on Russia makes no sense whatever, in the Baltics or anywhere else.

Sound logic but my fear is the idiot effete elites are in wargasm mode, I’ve never once met Great Dane that thought it was a Chihuahua but all the Chihuahuas I’ve met thought they were Great Danes. It’s like a shark, once a Chihuahua tastes blood there no stopping it.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 21:19 utc | 124

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:54 utc | 117
I know some Estonian people. A lot of them are in actuality scared sh#tless – not from Russia itself, but because what could happen as a result of their lunatic politicians.
In northern Europe, generally the nazis are a minority, they are just the most vocal one and other opinions are suppressed through an unwritten regime of fear. Of course, the media is mostly US corporate media proxies so the news is mostly what you’d expect.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 21 2024 21:22 utc | 125

Dima says that 90000 NATO soldiers is a kind of plan B.
If Russia breaks Ukro defense lines, NATO forces would immediately enter Ukraine.

Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 21:25 utc | 126

The NATO dim-wit Bauer who stated the other day that “civilians will have to play a role” in this new era of Russian Aggression and “there will be a need for mobilization of the civilian population is complete fuqueing bollocks!
These turd-brains need to think again. The armies of the western world are lacking new recruits for a reason and it’s NOT just because they’re fat, drug-addled and brain-dead.
The young people of today are sick and tired of being sick and tired of war. They mostly are becoming somewhat anti-establishment these days as can be seen with the overwhelming support for the Palestinian cause and the complete lack of empathy and support for European politicians and their Ukro agendas. No, there will be many, many more youth of today sitting in prison cells if a mandated conscription should happen to appear in their countries. Shaking my head at the delusion of these so-called leaders of the free world!!

Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 21 2024 21:26 utc | 127

@zorge
“I think there is a kind of internal wish in Europe, a kind of psychological urge to go, destroy and plunder Russia.”
Sorry, that’s bullshit.
Posted by: Apollyon | Jan 21 2024 21:09 utc | 121
_____________________________________________________
Agreed. Europe is not suffering from Russia Derangement Syndrome. Europe must not be reduced to its crazy bunch of globalists who hijacked the EU for their sole benefit. Most europeans don’t have anything deeply rooted against Russia or russians. Without the MSM propaganda, they wouldn’t even care about Russia or russians, even if that fact may hurt some egos in here. It is as if some people, seeing that they are not liked or admired like they would, are thinking that they are hated since forever.
No, it’s just that a lot of western europeans just don’t care about Russia.

Posted by: Pierrot | Jan 21 2024 21:41 utc | 128

What you advocate here under the pretence of supporting Russia, is a recipe for international terrorism, which would alienate the African, Asian and South American countries which are poised to become part of the BRICS axis, and give retroactive justification all previous such murderous illegalities from the US/NATO. Either up your game or get lost.
Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 21 2024 18:21 utc | 65

The ‘international terrorism’ ship sailed with the destruction of Nordstream. All Russia needs is plausible deniability, like the West. A billionaire’s yacht is lost in a storm. Terrible tragedy.

Posted by: Mike R | Jan 21 2024 21:44 utc | 129

I saw this on TG too, another bunch of mercs killed
Russia Destroyed The Base Of Foreign Mercenaries In Konstantinovka Ukrainian Army Lost Krokhmalne
Seems a rash of hits on mercenaries lately. You know what I think? I think that these jerks were welcomed by AFU troops early on in the war but after they settled in and Ukrainians got a good look at the entitled psychotic a-holes they invited into their country the soldiers with any sense are angry, angry at themselves, and fed up, a lot of mistakes were made, Artemovsk, the Great Counter Offensive, Krynky all planned and directed by NATO.
I’m getting the sense that more and more common soldiers in Ukraine are sending info to the Russians about mercenary locations, either by special channels or when captured, out of spite, outright hate, a sense betrayal, or looking for redemption, and I’m getting the feeling that at this point the NATO troops are the ones driving this war, and maybe the common soldiers are thinking that if we can get rid of these fucks this war might end and I can go home alive and in one piece.
The bill is coming due.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 21:53 utc | 130

…. how all this is a game for most people here. They are from the West, and they are mostly enacting various fantasies of their own through the imagined eventual Russian victory. But that means they don’t actually care at all about Russia or the people who are paying the ultimate price for all this.
shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 19:56 utc | 101

Ouch. In many ways, unfortunately, this sounds about right. It’s a fair reasonable point to draw ‘overall’. The exceptions prove the rule iow.
and the @ https://t.me/pushilindenis/4204

In total, 28 people were killed today and 30 residents of the region were injured.
11 residential buildings were damaged in the Kirovsky and Kuibyshevsky districts of the capital, the Central City and Kalininsky districts of Gorlovka, the Central City and Kirovsky districts of Makeyevka, as well as nine civil infrastructure facilities in the Petrovsky (school), Kirovsky (market, shopping center, store) districts of Donetsk, Nikitovsky (school, two power lines), Kalininsky (boiler room, gas pipeline) districts of Gorlovka.
The enemy carried out 27 attacks, fired 82 rounds of ammunition, used 152 mm and 155 mm caliber artillery, and an attack UAV. Donetsk, Gorlovka, Makeevka, Yasinovatsky district are under fire from the Air Force.

The same goes for the West Bank (+400 killed) and Gaza (+25000killed). Not only recently today, but for 100 years. Though better late than never, I suppose. I also hear many ‘lectures’ being given daily. Too many.

Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Jan 21 2024 21:54 utc | 131

LightYearsFromHome | Jan 21 2024 20:32 utc | 112
Nato’s 90k, as much as the talking heads of youtube would like to present nato as a great something, it’s nothing. You fell into a trap to spread that junk as absolute truth. It’s imaginary power, even titled “for a near-peer enemy” to mock Russia. It will last longer because it was placed in first warm months, to bring weapons at the border and forget them there, mess with radars, good weather for Australian cardboard drones and so on. And the smo is far away, so small and badly executed, Macaron moved in and no one noticed. Some people imagine a nato power, found in 10 tanks or 5 planes or 5 missiles donated to Zeli, but it’s only the stupidity of the Russian general staff that simulates it.
133 tanks are a big deal only for teens from Finland and Sweden, even Shoigu laughs at that number.

Posted by: rk | Jan 21 2024 21:55 utc | 132

“I myself have 50 acres of land just north of Sudbury where entry involves an ATV or Argo.”
Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 21 2024 20:56 utc | 119
I have property just east of Salton.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 21 2024 21:56 utc | 133

Why are the northern countries, such as Holland, Denmark, Sweden or Norway the most aggressive?
Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 20:10 utc | 108
Well propaganda works. Everyday there is negative reports abbout russian interference, fishing boats that really are spyships, refugees that are trafficked trougth our borders…on and on.
In Norway they even made a televisison series whit new conscripts showing our fantastic youths developing into fine, responsible, strucktured, tought soldiers. I thinks season 3 are starting soon.
Finland are experiencing a tougth working market- “from the doleque to the regiment, a profession in a flash” as Marillion wrote in their classic Forgotten Sons.
No work to be found:
Think Ukraina, the girls became voluntary Comfort Ladies or surrogates and the boys joined the army.
This is all about creating fear – much more money will be sent to the US MIC.

Posted by: Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 21:58 utc | 134

Germany [apropos snake about 16h20 GMT] seem to have been secretly holding the Morgenthau plan dear to their hearts and awaiting the perfect circumstances to put it into effect. Still, if it leads to that outcome of revitalised pragmatic co-operation between the RF and the German one, so much the better for helping the world resist that nasty persistent blight infecting it from the far west.

Posted by: petra | Jan 21 2024 22:01 utc | 135

…. how all this is a game for most people here. They are from the West, and they are mostly enacting various fantasies of their own through the imagined eventual Russian victory. But that means they don’t actually care at all about Russia or the people who are paying the ultimate price for all this.
shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 19:56 utc | 101
Ouch. In many ways, unfortunately, this sounds about right. It’s a fair reasonable point to draw ‘overall’. The exceptions prove the rule iow.

Of course.
These people have to feel the pain. There’s this memorable quote in Stephen King’s Charlie, said by Charlie’s dying father. “Make them know they’ve been in a war”.
The inhabitants in Lvov do not know they are in a war. They haven’t felt it. The inhabitants of Berlin, London, Paris, haven’t felt it in their bones. So it’s easy for them to just shrug or wave their little blue-yellow flag while Russians are getting slaughtered in broad daylight.
When your dog pisses in your living room, do you lecture him ? Are you extolling to him the virtues or cleanliness ? No. You just rub his nose in it.
It’s not a game. Russians are not expendable. Just put yourself in the shoes of a Belgorod or Donetsk inhabitant before pooh-poohing it as just a minor incident, irrelevant in the grand scheme of things. The Empire needs to feel the fear.

Posted by: Micron | Jan 21 2024 22:06 utc | 136

“The Baby Boomers got the most Ideological-Free education of the last century, it was ALL downhill from there…” bisfugged@122
You mean ideology free, like yours was? Meaning believing all the crap that Rotarians in Bancroft believe is not an ideology?
As for your remarks regarding the City- assertion however loud is no substitute for argument. If you look at who runs The City you will soon discover that it isn’t the Rothschilds it’s the same people that run Wall Street and the United States.
They of course prefer to keep it quiet- if there are any peasant revolts in prospect they would like nothing better than the riots to take place in London and the pitchforks to be aimed at straw men named after those who died in the 1840s.

Posted by: bevin | Jan 21 2024 22:08 utc | 137

“As for your remarks regarding the City- assertion however loud is no substitute for argument. If you look at who runs The City you will soon discover that it isn’t the Rothschilds it’s the same people that run Wall Street and the United States.”
Posted by: bevin | Jan 21 2024 22:08 utc | 137
Yes, it is the Rothschilds, the Orsini and a few other Anglo/Zionist ‘families’ through nominees both individual and corporate that from the City indirectly control the West, including Wall Street, and have been ascendant since 1694.
Though now, Times they are a’changing, that’s why the West is now engaging in desperate seemingly reckless moves…

Posted by: canuck | Jan 21 2024 22:18 utc | 138

‘No making friends, no human contact with the Germans, who by the war crimes they have committed place themselves outside of the society of civilized nations’
…from the Allied propaganda booklet, 1945.
(also used by Die Krupps, “Germaniac” song)
So, that was denazification approach in the old times. Now, all that basically, can be used again on Ukrainians and Israelis.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 21 2024 22:27 utc | 139

Posted by: Pierrot | Jan 21 2024 21:41 utc | 128
I am not sure that is true against the British. I have a very good friend – a Brit, who is extremely Russo-phobic and basically thinks they are still the Mongol horde. He is not a fool nor an ignorant red neck, but someone who has absorbed this sense from childhood. It is very deep in his soul. It totally surprised me.
Also do not underestimate the role of the catholic church which has always been at the front of hostility to Russia (aka the USSR). From my experience in Australia, most Russo-phobes are Catholic and absorbed the hostility in their church before the age of 7.

Posted by: watcher | Jan 21 2024 22:35 utc | 140

watcher | Jan 21 2024 22:35 utc | 140
Church of Rome vs Church of Constantinople. It also runs deep in the European elite.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 22:44 utc | 141

Military summary today (don’t watch every day so don’t know what happened in previous days):
-AFU has withdrawn from the fields into Berestove (eastern front of Kupyansk)
-RUAF moving north 0f Kleschevka to the west, to SE of Ivanovske
-a few AFU tanks sent from Ivanovske to reinforce this front were intercepted with drones and hence the front was not stabilized
-RUAF is in through SW corner of Avdeevka – they say the resistance and built fortifications are much less in the city, compared to the SW residential corner of the city
-New trained special forces are continuously coming in from Chechnya, new engineering including bridging equipment and AFVs are pouring into the theater
-preparation to take Urozhaine into half-cauldron from the east, the south-north trenches to the east are under continuous drone harassment
-Rabotyne continuous to be under unilateral Russian fire from MLRS (is AFU still reinforcing Rabotyne, it seems another meat grinder)
-Most likely at some point AFU will simply drop Rabotyne
-Zelensky says he won’t mobilize another 500k people
-The actual reason is western countries don’t give money for salaries, no money, no honey

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 21 2024 22:48 utc | 142

First, because they are psychopaths
Second, because they don’t fear any consequences for themselves.
As long as the people responsible for this do not fear for their lives, it will continue.
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 21 2024 17:08 utc | 41
Shadowbanned has been right about things for a long time now. NATO and the Ukronazis are getting bolder and bolder against Russia and aren’t even pretending that killing civilians is collateral damage.
Russia needs to get smarter and bolder against the Ukronazis and the NATO agents helping them. Bases in Romania, Bulgaria, etc. which are used in the attacks are legitimate military targets, as are U.S. satellites involved.
I think Russia should also close down some of the foreign embassies in Russia and kick out all foreign personnel of particular countries. It also needs to shut down those who are sponsored by George Soros or similar foreign NGOs which are still pushing anti-Russian propaganda. I notice many of these people have youtube channels where they harass Russians and then use the videos to make fun of them.

Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 21 2024 22:54 utc | 143

@ bevin | Jan 21 2024 22:08 utc | 137
Your Rothschild/City of London reference brought to mind that infamous pic of Evelyn and, at the time, the Prince of Wales: image

Posted by: majoab | Jan 21 2024 22:57 utc | 144

Posted by: zorge | Jan 21 2024 21:25 utc | 126
It’s not 90,000 combat troops, it’s barely 11,000 if you take into account the T3R (Tooth to Tail Ratio), of 8:1, ie how many support troops are needed per combat soldier. I doubt that such a small force could achieve anything meaningful, apart from securing a perimeter around some key locations, as such a deployment becomes a ‘self-licking lollipop’.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 21 2024 23:14 utc | 145

Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 19:27 utc | 88
the west is preparing a new and bigger war
Yep.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 21 2024 23:19 utc | 146

If similar attacks continue people in newly reclaimed parts of Russia will lose faith in Russia.
Ukraine must be prevented from attacking them.

Posted by: Jason | Jan 21 2024 23:19 utc | 147

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 21 2024 23:19 utc | 146
Forget the planning, they need to initiate something before November, or the ring-leaders will have their own ‘war’, a little closer to home, to worry about.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 21 2024 23:28 utc | 148

The Australian public couldn’t tolerate a few deaths, so the Taipan helicopters were retired early.
Ukraine got wind that a bit of scrap metal was going spare, and launched a pressure campaign on the Australian govt to “hand ‘em over”.
For once, or, at the moment, the Aussie govt is saying, “nope”, understanding the machines can’t fly, and making them operational is a ridiculous waste of money.
4 years ago:
>…MRH90 Taipan soars with the Australian Defence Force
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0q7U2DlsSA
Expensive vanity PR vid.
>… 2 years ago
“Australia to scrap Taipan army helicopters | 7NEWS”
“Australia’s defence force will scrap its fleet of Taipan defence helicopters, replacing them with Black Hawks and Seahawks from the US.
It means the army and navy will replace 47 European-designed Taipans, and bring in 40 US helicopters, at a cost of $7 billion.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BD7Rc8HAr90
>… 3 months ago
Australia’s MRH-90 Taipan helicopters retired early in wake of Whitsundays crash | ABC News
The Australian Defence Force’s MRH-90 Taipan helicopter fleet — one of which was involved in a fatal military training exercise in the Whitsundays — has been retired early.
The decision comes after the crash which killed four defence personnel in Queensland during a military exercise, and other well-documented concerns about the aircraft’s airworthiness.
Defence Minister Richard Marles confirmed on Friday morning the Taipans will not return to flying operations before their planned withdrawal date of December 2024.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fkx7-lRvVHM
>… 3 weeks ago
Defence dismantles Taipan helicopter fleet
The Defence Force has reportedly begun dismantling its grounded fleet of Army MRH-90 Taipan helicopters.
According to the ‘Asia Pacific Defence Reporter’ (APDR), the decision was signed off in secret to destroy them rather than try to sell them.
The publication suggests some expensive components such as gear boxes are being sold to New Zealand.
The dismantling process is expected to take several months, before parts are buried in what’s been dubbed ‘a large defence landfill site.’
Defence Minister Richard Marles said on Friday: “We are looking at all the options available for maximising the value which sits within the Taipan fleet”.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDS9qDNeO2w
>…This weekend
The Defence Force has reportedly begun dismantling its grounded fleet of Army MRH-90 Taipan helicopters.
According to the ‘Asia Pacific Defence Reporter’ (APDR), the decision was signed off in secret to destroy them rather than try to sell them.
The publication suggests some expensive components such as gear boxes are being sold to New Zealand.
The dismantling process is expected to take several months, before parts are buried in what’s been dubbed ‘a large defence landfill site.’
Defence Minister Richard Marles said on Friday: “We are looking at all the options available for maximising the value which sits within the Taipan fleet”.
Shadow Defence Minister Andrew Hastie has called on Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles to “stand up and explain” to the Australian people why he has chosen not to give Ukraine access to Taipan helicopters.
His comments come as Australia has formally rejected a request from Ukraine to access Australia’s fleet of the now-retired Taipan helicopters.
The government said none of the aircraft were in “flying condition” and are being dismantled.
“Richard Marles, the Deputy Prime Minister, needs to stand up and explain to the Australian people why he has chosen not to give the Taipan helicopter to the Ukrainian people,” Mr Hastie told Sky News Australia.
“Ukrainians are in for the fight of their lives.
“We need to step up, we need to support them, they’ve asked for the helicopters.”
Starts at 6:45m. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lWQXtOuZwI
>…”Help now’: Ukraine calls out for assistance from a silent Australian government”
Ukraine “needs more help now” as requests mount for retired helicopters from the Australian government but no response has been given, Ukrainian World Congress Vice President Stefan Romaniw says.
“We believe that these Taipans, these helicopters would be of great need in Ukraine – for us, very, very important that we get the message across to the Australian government.
“Ukraine needs more help now.”
The U$ was smart to use Ukraine as a giant landfill for old useless gear.
If Australia was smart we’d grant the Ukrainian wish. Let them dispose of them for cheap.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 21 2024 23:33 utc | 149

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 21 2024 18:21 utc | 65
Well said.
There may be logical questions as to why Russia allows civilians to be close to the conflict zone. With the Western backed, supported and armed terror campaign against Russian civilians, no place is safe.
Only the slow-witted thinks Russia is not doing enough.

Posted by: Suresh | Jan 21 2024 23:34 utc | 150

by unimperator | Jan 21 2024 22:48 utc | 142
Yes. To run Ukrainian state per month, Zelensky needs $ 4.6 bil. Every month, just for the state to function.
Not military, not weapons.
So, if left alone, Ukraine (“at the end” – literary is that what it means U-kraine in a brutal translation) is dead and done within 2-3 month, if it stays as is. If EU prints money and gives a truck or two of Euros aside, Ukrainian state can survive on a planned EU budget for about a year, some speculating the grain exports and some electricity could make it just as an interest rate. But, I doubt that happens.
Fico from Slovakia and Orban leading the blocking EU wave, assuming some more eastern Europeans in EU to step-up and EU is blocked, probably for some time to come. They have no mechanism to combat this.
Finally one can await the period where actually MSM is going to be right and straight on reporting from the ever retreating Westwards frontlines. This is the only language they recognize – a merciless might. I expect nothing less, really.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 21 2024 23:35 utc | 151

re: ossi | Jan 21 2024 17:19 utc | 49
you wrote: “If Russia is determined to be under attack, the counterattack will occur automatically…
Russia has no completely automated response to a nuclear attack.
Russian generals in the Central Command Post have the ability to use the Signal system to launch their ICBMs without the interaction of any lower levels of command.
Should a surprise attack decapitate the National Command Authority, Russia has the Perimetr (nicknamed “the Dead Hand”) system, which uses Emergency Communication Rockets that will broadcast launch orders to all surviving nuclear forces, which will launch without any human participation.
But Perimetr is not a fully automated system, rather it includes a launch crew located in a bunker some distance from Moscow and the National Command Post. There is strict protocol that the crew uses to determine whether the Perimetr system should be used to launch the Emergency Communication rockets. But in the end, it is a human decision that makes the final decision to launch.
for those interested, there is a detailed description of Perimetr in the book by Colonel Valery Yarynich (deceased), which can be downloaded for free at this link

Posted by: Perimetr | Jan 21 2024 23:41 utc | 152

bevin | Jan 21 2024 20:43 utc | 115–
Yes, total denial of reality and manufacturing of the Major False Narrative that’s been the major feature of the West ever since. Objective historians attempting to correct the record are smeared as “revisionist” when that’s the nature of all history. It’s very discouraging to discover you’re living within a Big Lie while trying to discover the Truth. It’s becoming easier to spot those who appear on these threads to mount a defense of the Lies of the Past and the falsity of the current Narrative.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 21 2024 23:44 utc | 153

ZH has a posting up with the title
Zelensky Lashes Out At Trump Over ‘Very Dangerous’ Plan To End War
the quote

Donald Trump – after his victory in Iowa:
▪️We want peace through strength. Russia would never have attacked Ukraine, would never have done that. Putin and I get along great.
▪️The situation with Ukraine is so terrible. And we’re going to solve it, we’re going to solve it very quickly. I know President Putin very well, I know Zelensky very well, I can get them, we are going to solve this very quickly.
▪️People are killed and culture is destroyed. You will never be able to replace thousand-year-old buildings with the most beautiful golden domes and churches – now it’s all just collapsed.

What would the Blue team have for something to hide behind if not Trump?
I call Trump the Liberace grifter and he is the Hollywood Red foil to the Blue side…….the best government money can buy

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 21 2024 23:58 utc | 154

Russia can resort to some psychological measures.
For example, test detonation of a nuclear weapon.
That could maybe make the west afraid.
But I doubt. The West has no fear. Specially the EU citizens.
They are ready to march on Moscow.

Posted by: zorge | Jan 22 2024 0:20 utc | 155

Folks here at MoA need to wake up and know that in a previous troll life, Shadowbanned worked as a paid troll for big Pharma/MIC sowing disinformation about covid and the covid vaccines.
Shadowbanned outed himself by saying LG died of covid (no one else said that not even the Ukrainians) and by his glee in saying LG deserved to die because he exposed the covid vaccines as a hoax.
We all know Covid and the covid vaccines were indeed the greatest genocide that has ever been committed against humanity.
Shadowbanned aren’t you so proud of your leading roll in implementing this mass genecide?
Posted by: Blind Bridge Troll | Jan 21 2024 19:34 utc | 92
Hmm, perhaps you weren’t here during covid, but this site was screaming the end of the world was coming and was pro every draconian, and useless, measure government took. Any suggesting otherwise were attacked by most of the long term posters. I left as fed up. I assume it was also pro-vaccine here as well, but didn’t return until the war in Ukraine started as recognize that is a topic this blog actually covers well. We all have our strengths and weaknesses.

Posted by: Organic | Jan 22 2024 0:37 utc | 156

Paul from Norway | Jan 21 2024 19:27 utc | 88
the west is preparing a new and bigger war
Yep.
Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 21 2024 23:19 utc | 146

But they are reluctantly dragging their feet. Do they have a stockpile? I am convinced, they do. Do they have ‘the meat’ to man those? Not yet, but it is planned. Do they have amazing R&D and secret, already built stuff? None.
To plan for the war in a long run, one has to nationalize big factories, create bonds and awash the whole layers of society with money. To do that one needs at least 10 years of stable economy and government that knows what it is doing. None such found. They are too late. Next time.
However, apparently there is a big struggle between EU and the USA in the NATO HQ.
I think that the USA is now trying to make all kind of promises on weaponry, energy and products, as long as it takes, one more time, this one addressing EU.
Also, if NATO intervenes, who is going to strike first, how, where? One can imagine, that many generals would love to try. There are geniuses over there thinking:”What Model, Klug, Horst, Guderian? We can do it!”
It is, as I wrote yesterday, a very dangerous game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a pre-premptive Russian kinetic security measure action to prevent that from happening and send the message. I mean if Zakharova from MFA, is particularly tough on Germans today – witty? Yes, but almost losing it to a vulgar. I think everyday Russia is getting very annoyed a bit more, and it shows. It’ll be not easy to stop Russians, once they start rolling and shooting their general’s plans about. It also could be messy, at least in the beginning.
The only way to quickly take the NATO down is to granulate it by nations and have it in dismay and maintain the internal conflict, as fighting the united, motivated and committed NATO would be a hard job.
Does anyone think that Russia will just passively observe the West Nazifying and arming themselves to rinse and repeat the history? China doesn’t want that, that is clear, Arabs are not happy there, certainly Africa has gotten rid of Stockholm syndrome towards ex colonizers, so anything hypersonic, in the general Western direction is welcome, sure. What else?

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 22 2024 0:40 utc | 157

Deep State now will arrange that butcher Biden will lose to trump,can blame setbacks in Ukraine to Republicans in house, try to pin Palestine on genocide Joe, and sell idea that, look, at least we prevented Putin from conquering Europe, and move on to china. Muricans will eat it up. Then we can use the next big Cyber attack or pandemic to destroy Trump. It’s a wrap.

Posted by: Peter b | Jan 22 2024 0:43 utc | 158

Posted by: zorge | Jan 22 2024 0:20 utc | 155
What a load of codswallop.
Which Europeans? The spoiled children of Boomers – no way too old. The even more spoiled grandchildren of boomers. It might mean getting out of bed before midday. The naturalized/born children of immigrants from Africa and the Middle east. Not sure how their patriotism will stack up against an ancient European enemy, but not one an enemy for them. Indian and Pakistani immigrants /descendants. I wonder?
Yes Baltic nations and Poland will fight but I would not count on too many from Germany, France or the UK or Italy. The Greeks could be a big problem – might find NATO officers being fragged. They are after all an Orthodox nation.

Posted by: watcher | Jan 22 2024 0:45 utc | 159

Some videos for today.
Russian Giatsint-B howitzer pounds enemy positions in Kherson oblast:
https://rutube.ru/video/cfd9456fdc82617b0b0ad3a5b6619ac4/
Russian T-90 tank broke through enemy defensive line near Marinka, despite taking hit:
https://rutube.ru/video/d14a60687ee72db43fdfbec753c363a2/
Russian artillery pounds enemy positions near Spornoye:
https://rutube.ru/video/1eeea2e3f6a860a026e554d64b900cfb/
Russian Grad launcher fires on enemy position near the DPR’s Artemovsk:
https://rutube.ru/video/76cb23a078dd596e62ea77a5ff9a85c2/

Posted by: Nate | Jan 22 2024 1:06 utc | 160

@zorge 2:
Apart from the fact that they are vicious nazis, it has a perverted logic:
1. To force Russia to commit troops to the Donetsk front instead of say Kupyansk.
2. To enrage Russian soldiers so that they begin killing surrendering Ukrainians. Remember Volga 149.200 has been extremely effective at persuading Ukrainians to give up. Stopping Ukrainian surrenders is very important for the nazis.
3. To enrage Russian civilians so that they attack Ukrainian refugees, hopefully prompting an exodus back to places where they can be cannon fodderised by Elensky.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 22 2024 1:21 utc | 161

I do not agree with shadowbanned, but it is a remarkably stupid thing to accuse him of being a NATO troll for having a different opinion.
Face it, Russia is not playing 5555555D chess any more than it is going to run out of everything and collapse in ten days. And it is not trolling to point that out.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 22 2024 1:24 utc | 162

One list of French soldiers form Kharkov:
https://t.me/rocknrollgeopolitics/9728
And another one:
Partial list of French “mercenaries” in Ukraine. More important information (dead or alive, military rank etc.) will be disseminated later as well as other identities.
Albert Aymeric (22.12.1999)
Alexis Drion (13.06.1986)
Berenger Guillaume Alain Minaud (30.12.1978)
Charles Bertin Roussel (01.09.1996)
Emmanuel Tanguy Kenneth Delange Grandal (26.09.1998)
Gilles Bernard Sylvain (27.10.1980)
Jacques-Pierre Gabriel Evrard Philippe (29.09.1987)
Jean-Pierre Bonnot Chris Heraid (17.07.1999)
Marcellin Demon (23.05.2002)
Maris Andre Dubois Clement (28.09.1995)
Sabastienne Claude Remy Benard (04.04.1974)
Thomas Jeremy Nathan Gourier (24.02.1996)
Valentin Dupoy Mel (02.01.1994)

Posted by: Naive | Jan 22 2024 1:44 utc | 163

but it is a remarkably stupid thing to accuse him of being a NATO troll for having a different opinion.
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 22 2024 1:24 utc | 162

He is not a troll, he is an agent provocateur, enemy of Russia. And it is far more stupid to not understand it. If he would be in Russia he would be under arrest like Girkin or in prison like Navalny.

Posted by: Naive | Jan 22 2024 1:49 utc | 164

“…Actually using this potential would be suicidal both for those NATO troops and for the Baltics as independent nation states,..” Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:54 utc | 117
That is pretty well the history of the Baltic outpost/states during the past four centuries.

Posted by: bevin | Jan 22 2024 1:55 utc | 165

Make no mistake about it. Attacks “deep inside of Russia” are conducted from INSIDE Russia by sabeuteurs who infiltrate through the border. They speak Russian too, so its rather easy to “appear” Russian. Cells exist as well.
So dont be fooled by crap that the Kiev gang have hit these places inside Russia with drones that can fly 1200k. Its complete bollox. Its for the hollywood version of the conflict.

Posted by: HERMIUS | Jan 22 2024 2:01 utc | 166

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 22 2024 1:24 utc | 162
Shadow is obviously a paid disruptor, and probably many of his very long posts are in fact AI – not all- you can tell the ones when he is real.
He has a clear plan and motive – undermine support for the Russian Government and spread disillusion and despair. He also deliberately tries to provoke over reaction and Russian response that will trigger WWIII or a nuclear response from NATO. You see he/it knows that NATO does not wish to be the first to use nukes but they desparately want to. So they are trying everything to goad Russia into using them first. it is so bloody obvious that his repetition is very annoying.
Every single post is the same. indeed I am thinking that I might try to post early on in every new post spot and summarize what Shadow is about to say, before he says it. Then nobody needs to bother reading his posts.
He is boringly bad – occasionally makes sense but increasingly it is repetitious rubbish

Posted by: watcher | Jan 22 2024 2:03 utc | 167

Postado por: Begin | 21 de janeiro de 2024. 20:43 UFC | 115.
Na mosca.

Posted by: Soviético | Jan 22 2024 2:05 utc | 168

by Naive | Jan 22 2024 1:49 utc | 164
It is a bit harsh to say that. It is just that projecting doom and gloom is not very productive business. I just do not like lack of understanding on nuclear use and a reasons why not.
Cheering for that can be interpreted this or that way, but in general he does express impatience, and a haste, and even the things move fast on all of the fronts, so much has to happen to be even close to the ‘Ruzzia, must nukes them’.
Some issues he has on the point, never the less.
If he is Navaly’s stooge, than he must be a racist, and shaddow x.x.x. is not of such a timber.
I think he is a very Westernized dewd, but from the Balkans.
Impulsive is all right to say.
I just think it is stupid to frame someone as an agent …yes, of its own conciseness perhaps.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 22 2024 2:05 utc | 169

“…Actually using this potential would be suicidal both for those NATO troops and for the Baltics as independent nation states,..” Honzo | Jan 21 2024 20:54 utc | 117
That is pretty well the history of the Baltic outpost/states during the past four centuries.
Posted by: bevin | Jan 22 2024 1:55 utc | 165
True, but there are easier ways to move back into mommy’s basement.

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 22 2024 2:07 utc | 170

Desculpe Bevin.
Maldito corretor de texto…

Posted by: Soviético | Jan 22 2024 2:07 utc | 171

organic@156
Well said.
Thank you.

Posted by: simon crow | Jan 22 2024 3:17 utc | 172

re:%20Posted%20by%3A%20HERMIUS%20%7C%20Jan%2021%202024%2015%3A32%20utc%20%7C%2012

I’ll give 7 days before Avdeevka falls completely.

Well, you will 100% be wrong then – I’ll even give you until the end of the month – and you’ll still be wrong!

Posted by: Julian | Jan 22 2024 3:27 utc | 173

RE 156
“but this site was screaming the end of the world was coming ”
For millions , it was the world!!!!

Posted by: Green Hammer | Jan 22 2024 3:32 utc | 174

Sorry – for millions it was the end of the world

Posted by: Green Hammer | Jan 22 2024 3:35 utc | 175

90K for NATO war games. ‘This will make Putin think twice before advancing on Kiev,’ they think, because the West is bigly into sending Putin a message. It’s empty theatrics. No, NATO will not send those troops into Ukraine if Russia marches too far west. NATO is more and more divided, and most NATO countries aren’t willing to put their money where their mouths are. Germany doesn’t want to send the Nazis their Taurus missiles because it might broaden the war, and Germany will have less missiles afterward as a party favor. It’s a hard slog, but Europe is waking up. Now if only the wise people of the US could only ponder what business the US has in Ukraine.

Posted by: Mike R | Jan 22 2024 3:46 utc | 176

by unimperator | Jan 21 2024 16:46 utc | 35
Luckily when Russians plan something like this they know all the options and variations based on a memory of previous conflicts, and that is the reason for going smart, instead brave and stupid. Also on RF military academies, many veterans from Cold over Afghanistan to Chechnya to the SMO, are teaching and it is a massive pool of people and experiences.
So basically hard-liners are not needed anymore.
Red-lines are thick enough, for everyone to see, but also trip over. People who think the there is no answer to provocations are wrong. It is whack-a-mole game from Russian side, and stab from the NATO’s side. Plus a benefactor – the desired country where lots of money went, rent-a-Ukraine project is devastated.
I only know that this war will not end until, Ukraine is de-coasted and RF has a full dominance over the Northern half of the Black Sea and Danube Delta. Failing that, Russian security guarantees, with which they can live, will not be fulfilled.
RF will try everything to achieve that. Silk glove or a gauntlet applied, nobody should doubt that.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 22 2024 4:09 utc | 177

Posted by: Julian | Jan 22 2024 3:27 utc | 173
According to Defence politics Asia, Russia has just captured the high ground across a valley. A week is probably too short but it would seem a Bakmut situation emerging within a fortnight. How long it takes after that depends on the willingness of Ukraine to see a city destroyed

Posted by: watcher | Jan 22 2024 4:12 utc | 178

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 22 2024 0:40 utc | 157
I’m not making a case U$Nato can or should start a bigger confrontation with Russia. I’m just reading the tea-leaves. One tea-leaf is Ben Hodges.
If you tell me he’s an idiot, I’d agree with you.
But he’s an idiot very determined to escalate and “defeat” Russia.
A while back I linked an interview Hodges gave, and IMVHO it was a blueprint for “next”.
You ask …if NATO intervenes, who is going to strike first, how, where?
Hodges tells us.
Crimea.
“They” are *determined* to prise Crimea from Russia.
I’m not saying this is a good, or wise, or reality-based plan. But that’s the plan.
Who is the next patsy after Ukraine?
Romania(Moldova)? Poland? or Ukraine 2.0 with “coalition partners” occupying the western sector?
Britain is signing “agreements” with countries… why are these needed when U$NATO exists?
Just because the intention for an escalated conflict with Russia is dumb dumb dumb and doomed. Doesn’t mean that’s not their plan.
Old Hodges interview that convinced me Brit-NATO is escalating in 2024….

The Kerch Bridge must be destroyed in 2024 | Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QYZBcNuChRM
Crimea is still the prize. And Hodges believes Ukraine can still take it back.

“I think that bridge, at some point in 2024 will be gone… and if you can disrupt the other side’s logistics, prevent the flow of ammunition and fuel… then you’re going to win.”
The destruction of the Kerch Bridge is crucial to the liberation of Crimea and success of Ukraine in winning the war, explains Lieutenant General Ben Hodges.

Hodges reveals “Ukraine’s” winter strategy
§| Ukraine is probably going to do the following: number one, they’re going to keep pressure on Russian logistics, they’re going to keep pressure on Crimea.
I think we’re going to see continued sabotage efforts inside Russia as well as occupied Russian occupied parts of Ukraine.

Look at when Hodges was bloviating …. Look what’s happened since.
As of now we have attacks on Russian logistics *inside* Russia [SPB]… so Hodges was telling us back then the next moves…

§|~ Ukraine has enough people men and women military age to fight this war
but they do not have a good system for maximizing their available Manpower there are too many Ukrainian men and women military age fit and able that are walking the streets in Ukraine and frankly there are thousands of Ukrainian military aged males in Germany, Poland and Romania right now.. they need they need to fix the system and get those people back home where they can serve just on the cyber warfare point of view …
Reporter: General, if if you could have a word in the ear of General Zalhuzny, Ukraine’s military commander-in-chief, and away from the politics of it, just focusing on the military side of things for the next few months, what would you be advising him to focus on ….
Hodges: I would tell him that we are learning from him. I am sick and tired of people in the Pentagon 5,000 miles away criticizing what he’s doing he knows better than any American or Brit what what is needed, he knows the Russians, he knows the terrain, he knows the people, he knows how to fight them, and I really think it’s embarrassing when when you’ve got Americans or British officers saying, well, you know, they didn’t do it the way we taught them … that’s …. we would never send an American or British soldier into combat … that’s bullshit.
we would never send an American or British soldier into combat without having achieved total air superiority, provided them with endless amounts of breaching equipment and ammunition fire support we’d never do that, and yet to criticize ukrainians
“well, you know, they should have focused on just one place” … this is not the desert where you can make choices of one two three or four axes … they’re defending their country and they have to of course think about how do they protect their people ……

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 22 2024 4:17 utc | 179

101
There is no other solution!
U re right!
Unfortunately

Posted by: SlowSoft | Jan 22 2024 4:19 utc | 180

According to Defence politics Asia, Russia has just captured the high ground across a valley. A week is probably too short but it would seem a Bakmut situation emerging within a fortnight. How long it takes after that depends on the willingness of Ukraine to see a city destroyed
Posted by: watcher | Jan 22 2024 4:12 utc | 178
Avdeevka is already destroyed, and there’s no doubt that the Banderites would be fine with it happening again. How long it takes to fully capture Avdeevka depends on how much artillery and air defense Ukraine can commit to its defense and how many conscripts it can manage to get in there. When they stop reinforcing it, the Russians will just attrit the defenders until they surrender, as always. What’s the hurry?

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 22 2024 4:20 utc | 181

The transition from SMO to ATO is coming. Then, 404 becomes ___, a void where once something existed.

Posted by: Matthew | Jan 22 2024 4:22 utc | 182

167
Peskov is it you?
Watcher is obviously a paid Kremlin relativizer & spin doctor. Always whitewashing every failure & painting everything in rainbow colors

Posted by: SlowSoft | Jan 22 2024 4:34 utc | 183

Posted by: Organic | Jan 22 2024 0:37 utc | 156 and the other self-styled troll to whom you are replying:
The problem with the “vaccine” (really COVID shot) “debate” (really ideologically poisoned hyperbolic screaming match) is that there was no middle ground at the time.
On the one hand, every young athlete that passed out or had a heart condition emerge during a sporting event was automatically having a reaction to the “jab” no question about it. Every minor “restriction” or attempt at monitoring who was jabbed automatically constituted a massive infringement on liberty, even though in the vast majority of places, especially in the US, no such restrictions existed outside of the social/sociological/relationship variety. No masks worked, ever, and even businesses asking people to wear masks while in their premises was the coming of the New World Order. (never mind that we’ve always abided by “no shoes, no shirt, no service” and masks are simply an item of clothing – has anyone ever seriously equated a shirt requirement to a major attempt at forcing “conformity” or the like?)
On the other hand, the “vaccine” was completely safe and harmless on its own. Anyone who didn’t accede to the veritable requirement to get one, was a bad person. Only a full scale lockdown system and/or hyper-restrictive “vaccination” policy would work. All business must shut down until TPTB, governments and the major corporations that owned them say so. All masks work, so wear your mask even if that means it’s only a crummy piece of cloth and you’re not even covering your nose.
Here at MoA there was a middle ground on most aspects of the “debate” – and IMO, it was the first camp that loudly shouted over the latter, even though most of us here didn’t agree with either. But the worst part to me was the masks. Anyone who got banned here during that time was sure to say that NO MASKS WORK, EVER, UNDER ANY SCENARIO (among other things), and to loudly and assuredly claim that the shots were killing scores of people and that we’d see unexpected deaths skyrocket because of them over the coming years. All of which is to say, it was trying times, for most of us. I would never accept another COVID shot and nobody in my family will either, but I also don’t know of anyone in a very large cohort of friends, colleagues, former coworkers, extended family, the friends of extended family, etc. who ever had a serious negative reaction from the “gene therapy” mRNA crap; I also never caught COVID and still haven’t (unless I did and I didn’t know it).
/end off-topic screed

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 22 2024 4:39 utc | 184

I wake up middle of the night as stormy weather beats my window. Fell asleep as usual to one of the Duran Alex’s. It’s like a bedtime story. I used to read a book until nodding off .. these days have gone. Books are piling up. There’s so much news to pay attention to. So many Indy reporters. Being killed for recording the slaughter.
So much crap mainstream to ignore. And hate. Them slippery people. The self declared elite.
Before I return to sleep I have checked for some good news.
I see Lavrov has once again ventured into the lions den and is going to be attending the quarterly meeting on the ME at the UN !
It’s good to see such a ..mature.. fellow working so hard.
That’s a balm, something to focus on and fall asleep to.
The recent push on Avdeeka and other fronts is the arm wrestler showing their power.
The murder and bombing of innocents in a market is the usual natzio play – going back to Sebrenica and the Ulttras in Italy.
Natzios are fucked , their surviving rat mercenaries not returning in big enough numbers to pass on the new methods to their 90k collected , babel horde gathered in the artic circle regions. Methods they are copycating from the RF !!! Because they didn’t win with their video games.
Captured mercs begging for forgiveness and being allowed to return home.
Killers in many illegal escapades around the world. Trainers. The fucks.
This will time they should get no quarter. Like they did after azovstal.
I dont want cold blooded , xenophobic, trained and experienced killers back in my hood. Where they will terrorise the neighbours, that give them nightmares.
They have forfeited any rights to a peaceful life. Which they will never be able to live.
3 days in NY. He is waiting for the Losers to do what they must , surrender, unless they are so frothing demented that they will sacrifice the to the last natzios. Idiots who hate Russia and Xi and never think twice about unconditional support for the child killers. The slinky tv ads have started. A life as a submariner, from the industrial northern wasteland to some glamorous life. Playing footbal oh ice with the sub parked next to it. Swimming in tropical seas from their sub. Hush hush bit so happy to have escaped their neighbours, new friends! But never will be an officer or admiral. Thats beyond your class, peasant!
Yup it looks like no reverse gear is the only option.
Well so be it. Die.
You Zionazis and the natzios.
Die of a thousand cuts far from any eyes.
Like you killed.
Lavrovs there for 3 days. This can be over. But it requires a surrender. H may even give soma face saving terms on behalf of the multipolar.
Ah the storm has abated I will check back in the morning.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jan 22 2024 5:05 utc | 185

The whole Covid debate was absurd from start to finish. It was about one group trying to force others. Go have your vaccines if you wish, but then you should be protected, case closed.
It was, and still is, defying any logic.

Posted by: g wiltek | Jan 22 2024 5:08 utc | 186

Russia has just captured the high ground across a valley.
Posted by: watcher | Jan 22 2024 4:12 utc | 178

High ground is not just for artillery placement anymore.
It also gives antennas the best reach.

Posted by: too scents | Jan 22 2024 5:15 utc | 187

Does anyone know if the majority of the Russian forces fighting in the Donbass are native Donbassians? Does anyone have a breakdown of the numbers of Donbassians there vs. those from Russia?

Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 22 2024 5:21 utc | 188

Posted by: g wiltek | Jan 22 2024 5:08 utc | 186
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 22 2024 4:39 utc | 184
This was my simple take on covid and the vaccine

Crazy person: “My seatbelt doesn’t work unless you wear your seatbelt”
Me: “Never talk to me or my family ever again. This is your one warning”

Posted by: ryanggg | Jan 22 2024 5:22 utc | 189

Thank you, snake I could not access the piece in its previous format. I don’t really believe you can blame the protestants for this.
You are correct, I think in focussing on the globalists. Once the power went to them it didn’t matter what the “brainwashed collective West masses” thought or didn’t think. (Nor do I believe they are brainwashed, just powerless.)
Even Putin got sucked in on the covid TINA bandwagon, although his TINA was certainly a better alternative for his people, based as it was on traditional medicine. And no doubt his scientists were onto the dangers of the military labratories in Ukraine;the world has escaped massive problems with that speedy action. Many in the western public now realize what has been happening to them, protestant or not, even if unable to enforce any reform of health systems, education, or help for the jobless (who are jobless because disenfranchised).
The problem was not religion; it was trust. We trusted our governments while hidden oligarchs took over their democratic institutions and took away power from the people. Those weren’t protestants, those oligarchs. They were greed merchants with no national pride. As you say, snake: globalists.

Posted by: juliania | Jan 22 2024 5:30 utc | 190

Another question: Does anyone know what area Northern Military District fighters are in? I assume, because of its name, that it is in the part of Ukraine north of the Donbass, and I guess that would be the part along the border with Russia where the Ukrainians shell Belgorod from?
Perhaps Shadowbanned knows. People complain about him here, but he knows many specifics others don’t seem to know or share.

Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 22 2024 5:30 utc | 191

Sorry, my juliania at Jan 22 2024 5:30 utc | 190 was in reply to snake at Jan 21 2024 16:20 utc | 26

Posted by: juliania | Jan 22 2024 5:36 utc | 192

Hey guys, propaganda runs both ways, you have no idea what the Ukies are firing at in Donetsk, both sides play the same game…..that civilians get killed……chosing to live in a conflict zone has risks.
That said, looking at some Russian strikes on the 404 rear, regular Joe’s Jane’s in the Ukraine are also dying…..lost to the fog of war.
Pray for an end to this carnage…..the human toll alone is sickening.
Cheers M
Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Jan 21 2024 15:31 utc | 11

I will ask you a simple question: Assume you are in command of artillery. Would you waste a 1.000.000$ missile that you can produce only 10-20 per month just to hit civilians on the other side of Ukraine?

Posted by: Modern Stoic | Jan 22 2024 5:54 utc | 193

It’ll stop soon as the kiev nazis begin to hi-tail it out of Avdeevka, the very location from where theyre launching the attacks on donetsk from.
I’ll give 7 days before Avdeevka falls completely.
Posted by: HERMIUS | Jan 21 2024 15:32 utc | 12

I am afraid that the chemical plant has the possibility of turning into another Azovstal situation. I agree that the city will probably fall within a month though. The plant might last two weeks of siege.

Posted by: Modern Stoic | Jan 22 2024 5:57 utc | 194

SlowSoft | Jan 22 2024 4:34 utc | 183
Watcher is obviously …
Plz go fuck yourself. Watcher is a known poster from Saker Vineyard days.
@bar.
Futile plea, … but can we collectively cease with the schoolyard “nah-nah, you’re a smelly troll” ad homs.
Yes. Paid saboteurs post. Unpaid zealots post. Retards post.
And more than a few well read, deeply thinking and intelligent posters contribute.
Plz engage discretion and activate scroll bar. It’ll reduce your reading time and blood pressure.
Find the value posts and plz skip over the troll droppings.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 22 2024 6:34 utc | 195

Military Watch Magazine has an article about foreign mercenaries in Ukraine.
To put the long story short, they are now (contrary from the beginning of SMO) foreign Nato de-listed specialists, who are brought in with the pure intention of operating Nato weapon systems. It’s assumed the French were French troops brought to operate CAESAR artillery.
So yeah, I guess you could say with clarity that Nato armies equipment is already there with Nato personnel operating them, albeit this has been true for a while now.
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/strike-ukraine-french-contractors-africa
Posted by: unimperator | Jan 21 2024 18:18 utc | 64

Thanks for that. I have been suspecting foreign troops manning such systems for a long time now. There is no way they can convince me that Ukrainians have been taught to operate HIMARS in two or three months. It takes over a year of training and exercises with live fire to become capable in using those systems.

unimperator | Jan 21 2024 17:57 utc | 66
I’m sure google maps used to have a ruler thingo for mesuring strait line distances but cannot find it now. Just looking at the scale, the distance looks to be around 20k the edge of donetsk and 25k to the center.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 21 2024 18:16 utc | 63

IIRC Google Earth has such a function. Maybe you misremembered. Anyway conventional artillery has a range of up to 45km. Now consider that they can’t be deployed near the conflict zone but at least 10 km away from the front, then the russians need to create an additional buffer zone at least 10km inside the territory of Ukraine. Very long range missile systems can still be used but they are rare and in short supply so they won’t be used for propaganda reasons. For example they could still use GMLRS rockets with ~ 80km range but they cost 100.000$ per missile and they are in short supply.

Posted by: Modern Stoic | Jan 22 2024 6:42 utc | 196

#39 Honzo- Jak se mas? Jsi dobrej ve vojenskej analyze….

Posted by: sejmon | Jan 22 2024 6:52 utc | 197

Posted by: ryanggg | Jan 22 2024 5:22 utc | 189
Funny thing is that was my takeaway on COVID and “the mask.”

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 22 2024 7:12 utc | 198

In no particular order
– a bit bemused by countries in Africa being described as safe havens. Angola FFS
– all this safe haven stuff sort of assumes you are able to even enter
– given what NATO has done to its military it would be interesting to see the actual composition of this 90,000 force exercise
– has there been a sighting of Austin yet? I see blah, blah about being released from hospital, being called to testify to Congress but zero recent visibility of the man in question.

Posted by: yarpos | Jan 22 2024 8:38 utc | 199

The personal data of 13 French mercenaries who were at a facility in Kharkov during a missile strike by the Russian Armed Forces has surfaced.
Albert Aymeric, date of birth – 12/22/1999;
Alexis Drion (06/13/1986);
Berenger Guillaume Alain Minaud, 12/30/1978;
Charles Bertin Roussel (09/01/1996);
Emmanuel Tanguy Kenneth Delange Grandal (09/26/1998);
Gilles Bernard Sylvain (10/27/1980);
Jacques-Pierre Gabriel Evrard Philippe (09/29/1987);
Jean-Pierre Bonnot Chris Heraid, 07/17/1999;
Marcellin Demon (05/23/2002);
Maris Andre Dubois Clement (born September 28, 1995);
Sabastienne Claude Remy Benard (04/04/1974);
Thomas Jeremy Nathan Gourier, 02/24/1996;
Valentin Dupoy Mel (01/02/1994).
In total, more than 60+ mercenaries were declared killed, mostly from France. Kharkov sources confirmed the arrival of wounded Frenchmen in hospitals. The enemy recognized only 17.
– Boris Rozhin

Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 22 2024 9:00 utc | 200