Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 13, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-012

Only for news & views directly related to the war in Ukraine.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

Dear Shadowbanned:
I find it very revealing that you are the only one saying GL died of covid. Then you go on to say it is fitting that he died of covid for promoting
covid as being a hoax.
Covid was real, but the creation of covid and the covid mRNA vaccine was indeed a hoax spearheaded by the US Deep State. Rather than call it a hoax, I would rather call it the greatest crime ever coted against humanity in human history.
I would not be surprised if you played a role in helping to carry out this crime against humanity by spreading misinformation about covid and the vaccine.
Just a 2 year lurker’s 2 cents.

Posted by: Blind Bridge Troll | Jan 14 2024 3:55 utc | 101

Shadowshithead is a cooooooftruther too, color me shocked. I bet he’s also a full on globohomo sjw who loves trannies and thinks women can have dicks and men can get pregnant.

Posted by: SWISS | Jan 14 2024 3:56 utc | 102

Instant response from the trollerie, sure touched a nerve!

Posted by: Saul Goode | Jan 14 2024 3:59 utc | 103

Shadowshithead is a coooftruther too, color me shocked. I bet he’s also a full sjw who thinks women can have dicks and men can get pregnant. Also, to be clear, Lira dying of the coof isn’t a rumour, unless you count shadowshithead’s speculation from yesterday’s thread as “rumour”.

Posted by: Swissmiss | Jan 14 2024 4:02 utc | 104

Russian underground trench/bunker complex:
https://t.me/sonar_21/8991
What this indicates to me is that the Russian army is digging in for the long haul and is not planning any “big arrow” offensives like the grifters Macgregor or Martyanov kept predicting. You don’t build underground complexes like this if you expect to be advancing (retreat is obviously no longer even a possibility) from them in a short period of time.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 14 2024 4:13 utc | 105

Video tour of recently completed Russian trench system:
https://pravda-en.com/world/2024/01/14/262304.html
Do you suppose Ukraine has the resources to match this to cover the necessary perimeter of threatened territory?

Posted by: the pessimist | Jan 14 2024 4:17 utc | 106

by Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 14 2024 4:13 utc | 105
Everyone awaits some NATO attack on Russia, in another words.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 14 2024 4:18 utc | 107

Eighthman No 7
Blitzkrieg can probably be relegated to the same place as the line of battle and the cavalry charge. In early 2022 it was still possible, before the FPV drone revolution. Now, no. Wars of grinding attrition are back.
Going to be interesting to see what kind of strategy India adopts vis a vis Pakistan now that the Indian Cold Start Blitzkrieg doctrine, nurtured for 20 years, is a dead duck.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 14 2024 4:19 utc | 108

@Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 14 2024 4:13 utc | 105
Yes, we don’t know where this is though, and in order to make predictions about Russian strategy the location is important. I suspect that the southern line of defenses from Donetsk to the mouth of the Dnipr R. may be fortified in this manner, as any breakthrough towards the coast would be problematic. On the other hand, the construction of such defenses doesn’t preclude the intention to move beyond them at some point.

Posted by: the pessimist | Jan 14 2024 4:23 utc | 109

reply to 108
Yes, absolutely. The whole nature of war has been changed because surprise is gone. Internet, satellites, drones and both sides know what’s going on.
The wonderful news (if any nation bothers to pursue it) is that Non Aggression Pacts should now be more practical than ever. No surprise attacks.

Posted by: Eighthman | Jan 14 2024 4:24 utc | 110

If you live in France, the UK, or Germany it is probably a good idea to think about emigration because it is likely those countries governments will become completely unhinged and start killing their own citizens at scale once Russia’s total victory over their pet becomes too obvious to deny anymore.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Jan 14 2024 4:40 utc | 111

❗️Mosiychuk: “This law on mobilization is anti-people, anti-constitutional, because it was not accepted by the troops, not by civilians, not by draft dodgers, by no one.”
According to former people’s deputy Igor Mosiychuk, sending the mobilization bill for revision is a political blow to Zelensky and Ermak, since “opponents feel that the king is naked and the cardinal is weak.”
“As of yesterday, the President’s Office was frantically collecting votes, they broke Stolar’s ​​group, which agreed to vote, they broke almost the entire Mabakh, “Dovira”, pulled out some deputies from “Batkivshchyna” and “Holos”, but there were no votes, because the faction “Servant of the People” refused to vote in this form… Why? Because this bill contains anti-constitutional norms. And all this nonsense about the fact that the deputies have worked out proposals. Let’s vote with these proposals in the first reading. This does not happen. The parliament’s rules of procedure do not foresee this,” the ex-parliamentarian asserts.
Mosiychuk explained that “in the first reading, they vote for the law in the form in which it was submitted by the initiator – in this case, the Cabinet of Ministers. And before the second reading, whether the proposal will be taken into account or not taken into account is one thing. And second, people had to consciously vote on green button, violating the Constitution of Ukraine. This is obvious. This was the starting point, they understood it.”
“This law could have become for them like the laws of January 16 for the parliament of the 7th convocation, and they categorically resisted, and said that let the one who submitted it take it and modify it, if there is no intelligence.”
Mosiychuk believes that the situation with the withdrawal of the bill has acquired a political overtones, since this is a strong blow not only to Zelensky as a president and politician, but also a strong blow to Ermak. He couldn’t get the votes.
Why then did Bezuglaya criticize the mobilization bill?
“She criticized, but never said that it needed to be sent for revision to the Cabinet of Ministers. She criticized it exclusively in the context of Zaluzhny. Moreover, I am sure that the second part of her speech is, firstly, to show what the guys have stuck a knife in the back with this bill, and the second part is the creation of an anti-Zaluzhny project, which will be headed by Bezuglaya, that is, there will be some group of people (possibly even a political force or public) that we can call anti-Zaluzhny. approaches in the Armed Forces, but in fact it results in practice in anti-Zaluzhny.”
He is convinced that this political force will not have any prospects, but if the political process is on pause as it is now, then it will “multiply” Zaluzhny.
“A political blow is a defeat. If for civil society it is a victory, then the bill has been sent for revision. It is clear that this victory is not final, because we do not know what will be resubmitted,” concluded Mosiychuk.
It is worth adding that the mobilization bill will include amendments on teachers and human rights.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/21184

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2024 4:47 utc | 112

by Ghost of Zanon | Jan 14 2024 4:40 utc | 111
Sunak and his Tory cast and none of those disarrayed countries will not be able to summon any reasonable army. They are at least 5 years too late.
Also I really seriously doubt that ex colonial migrants, refugees, gastarbeiters etc. especially second or the third generation would die for the West.
Currently I think there is no shopping power at all the levels left anymore in the EU.
Tractor is the most powerful revolutionary vehicle.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 14 2024 5:04 utc | 113

My retired US Navy doctor wife thinks that Austin, as former active duty, was not spared in the exhaustive vaccination regime the US military goes through. Not all the vaccines in that regimen are great.
Next, the COVID vaccination and boosters are leaving serious health issues for some. This is a verboten discussion topic in the medical community. Austin’s vaccination record, age and size are working against him.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Jan 14 2024 5:23 utc | 114

You don’t build underground complexes like this if you expect to be advancing (retreat is obviously no longer even a possibility) from them in a short period of time.
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 14 2024 4:13 utc | 105
While I agree that Big Arrow offensives are probably not going to happen anytime soon, this idea about fortifications is simply wrong. The Romans built a fortified camp every time they stopped for the night while campaigning. To advance without a fortified rear area to protect your logistics is, in this day and age, suicidal. Every fortification provides a certain radius of operation that blocks or slows down enemy movement. The better the fortifications, the fewer men are required to defend them. Fortifications liberate troops to conduct mobile warfare and provide reliable logistical support.

Posted by: Honzo | Jan 14 2024 5:50 utc | 115

Not sure if this has already been posted here
“Our source at the General Staff said that the effectiveness of air defense has dropped significantly due to the destruction of several batteries of NASAMS and IRIS-T air defense systems. At the same time, the United States banned the use of Patriot when the enemy launches Daggers, which causes the destruction of other air defense systems and virtually open skies over Ukraine.”
https://t.me/rezident_ua/21

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:06 utc | 116

Honzo | Jan 14 2024 5:50 utc | 115
I have the thought that Russia will advance when there is little before them, not so much to take ground but to keep pressure on enemy forces. If the enemy brings strong reinforcement to that sector, Russia has no issues in ceding the taken ground.
Impossible to know what Russian intel sees the west planning for the future but I assume the fixed defence positions already built will be maintained so if the west does raise another army in the future, russia can cede ground back to the defence line and again destroy the proxy army offensives from strong defence positions.
An interesting point by Simplicius – both sides if on the offensive quickly outrun the anti drone EW and become open to drone attacks.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:14 utc | 117

Since nobody wants to say it out loud: Gonzalo Lira wasn’t murdered by the Ukraine accomplices he was murdered by the United States. And willfully so. Just look at this paid CIA-tranny Cirillo who gloated about his arrest. This deluded dude wouldn’t take a dump in the morning without his Washington masters telling him to do so.
And the Nazi Followers (NAFO) being so happy about Lira’s death on Twitter/X. Disgusting human vermin. Hey, Elon Musk, why don’t you put a lid on those state department-whores? How many character and real assassinations more do you need on your “social” platform?
Oh, and “Posted by: anonposter | Jan 13 2024 22:57 utc | 49”. Fuck off NAFO!

Posted by: Zed’sDead | Jan 14 2024 6:15 utc | 118

@ Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:06 utc | 116 with the limitation claim on use of US military gear….interesting
I thought the US had a fancy general over there making sure all was working well…..maybe there are conflicting goals and strategies operating here….no nukes so far is good
Death by a thousand cuts can be ugly
We just got power back after an hour outage at 18 degree F….sigh

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 14 2024 6:17 utc | 119

And he got the double pneumonia with the edema from what exactly?
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 14 2024 0:17 utc | 64
Edema is caused by heart and kidney failure. Many of the ‘covid’ deaths in the hospital were caused by kidney failure from Remdesivir which destroys the kidneys – especially when given in strong doses for more than a few days. (The government was incentivizing and pushing Remdesivir instead of other treatments. Some experts wondered why anti-inflammatory drugs weren’t being given.)
When the kidneys fail the body, including the lungs fill up with too much fluid. So people do die from pneumonia caused by kidney failure, as well as pneumonia caused by congestive heart failure. The fluids back up into the lungs if the heart isn’t working right. Lira likely wasn’t given the proper medicines and antibiotics. Most people actually die of a bacterial infection, even if it starts as a viral infection. The bacteria set up when the body and immune system become fatigued from fighting a bad or longer-lasting viral infection. Him being under stress and not given the proper nutrition and warmth, as well as drugs would cause his death over him being given the right drugs and antibiotics, as well as a proper comfortable bed and surroundings to rest.

Posted by: MiniMO | Jan 14 2024 6:17 utc | 120

the United States banned the use of Patriot when the enemy launches Daggers
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:06 utc | 116

The Patriot systems are so uber, that they aren’t allowed to be turned on to shoot down the very thing they are so magically effective against.
The ukraine has become the leading advertising agency for Patriot AD systems as of about two-three months ago. All the praise has been piling up suddenly, including retroactively attributing past events to this wunderwaffe. All in contrast to the silence after its first spectacular, if short-lived, appearance. They have to somehow pay back at least some of the debt for all the systems that’s been getting daggered, I suppose.

Posted by: boneless | Jan 14 2024 6:32 utc | 121

Anothe couple of twitter postings that go well together.
Victor vicktop55
@vicktop55
Military expert Alexander Zimovsky: Here is a new toy for
the public in telegram —
There was a Tsar bell, a Tsar cannon.
And now the Tsar Bomba!
Field Nazi and couch Western experts are in a panic — Russia has begun the systematic use of FAB-1500 with a Universal Planning and Correction Module
(Ukrainian troops are panicking after the first tsar bomb strikes on their bridgehead on the left bank of the Dnieper River in the area of the former Antonovsky Bridge in the Kherson region).
………..
And footage of the surrounding scenery from Ukraine positions at the bridgehead.
https://twitter.com/GeromanAT/status/1746223435120824409

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:41 utc | 122

I first saw Gonzalo Lira on the Duran Channel. He was a funny guy and made some good contributions on geopolitical issues. But as a blogger in Ukraine even as an American one criticizing the Selenskyj regime he was in great danger.. He was a brave man but also very careless. It is a shame and disgusting that the American government did. nothing for him and did. let him rot in this Ukrainian prison hell.
His father even claimed that he was tortured.
Thanks to all those ( Mercouris, Christoferou, Berletic, Tucker Carlson and b ) who try to draw attention to his fate and unnecessary death which could have been easily avoided.

Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | Jan 14 2024 6:41 utc | 123

I thought the US had a fancy general over there making sure all was working well…..maybe there are conflicting goals and strategies operating here….no nukes so far is good
Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 14 2024 6:17 utc | 119
Information damage control I would assume. Can’t have the MIC sales pitch damaged.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:47 utc | 124

boneless | Jan 14 2024 6:32 utc | 121
That first public display in Kiev… intersperse being spat out like me spitting out beer that’s been cracked open for a week or more the a large explosion at the launch area.
Ukraine saying all kinzhals shot down, US saying some units suffered ‘slight’ damage.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:53 utc | 125

P.S. While Dune periodically gets its share of references, I find it a bit puzzling that his The Dosadi Experiment doesn’t get mentioned more when topics like the struggle of the Palestinians in the Gaza strip come up. Herbert proves his work timeless yet again with that. And in The Dosadi Experiment Herbert took the theme of being under pressure to a thrilling extreme.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Dosadi_Experiment
Posted by: Babel-17 | Jan 13 2024 23:00 utc | 50

Yah –
Two different cultures, crushed together in a small space, after secret population hi-jacking, manipulated by the ‘DemoPol’ and exploited by treacherous leaders.

Posted by: Kapyong | Jan 14 2024 6:55 utc | 126

Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:53 utc | 125
Bad typo there interspers – interceptors.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 7:08 utc | 127

https://www.unz.com/article/the-case-for-genocide/
The prosecution side of the case of genocide is discussed..
The Article caused me to understand just how important the case for Genocide is . If the International Criminal Court rules in favor of the prosecution,, and the world helps the court enforce its ruling..if will represent a historic landmark in finding a way to control those who rule the nation states.
The courts rulings could reach into the deep state that owns each of the nations that make up the 256 (16X16 matrix) nation state system. ..a ruling that a nation state conducted a genocide could make liable nation state officials as well as officers and directors of corporations doing business in or with those involved in genocide activities. If the court can enforce a decision that a nation state has conducted genocide it will be the beginning of an enforceable international law. It seems important that nations as well as individuals would have standing in the ICC to enable any victim to bring charges against those involved in unlawful activities during conflicts.
Future International treaties might require all parties to agree to be bound by the findings of the International Criminal Court. so what is this court and what law does it adjudicate?
I recall that Russia convicted some of the Justices of the ICC with crimes for their ruling that Putin and the lady in charge of bringing Ukrainian children to Russia as a violation of International law.. so how does Russia stand on the credit-ability of the ICC? So will the ICC be a useful place to try the war crimes after the war in Ukraine Is over.

Posted by: snake | Jan 14 2024 7:36 utc | 128

@ Babel-17 | Jan 13 2024 23:00 utc | 50
While not a Herbert fan–I find him annoying–I do periodically reread The Dosadi Experiment, which while (yes) annoying is quite hair-raising.
I take the city Chu to be a Vance-style SF mixmastering of Beirut during the Civil War.

Posted by: John Kennard | Jan 14 2024 7:37 utc | 129

Ukraine Weekly Update 12th Jan 2024: May be useful to some: https://robcampbell.substack.com/p/ukraine-weekly-update-cf0

Posted by: Dr. Rob Campbell | Jan 14 2024 8:14 utc | 130

@shаdοwbanned | Jan 14 2024 0:17 utc | 64
You have set a new standard of low the way you smear a just deceased person, exploiting his death to promote the opposite of what he stood for. If you knew shame you would be full of it.
RIP Gonzalo – now we know what is going on.

Posted by: Norwegian | Jan 14 2024 8:24 utc | 131

Pneumonia from cold exposure due to prison neglect is quite likely, especially around winter. No need to attach any more complexity to it. A passive murder of a noisy nuisance to the Kiev Regime, it seems. Sad and expected, RIP Gonzalo Lira.
As for Russia, why blitz when your target, the Ukraine military, is throwing itself at your strongest positions? All you gotta do is occasionally prod the front to make sure the flow into the grinder doesn’t clump and see if there’s anymore meat left to grind. Besides, it also bleeds out materiel and dollars, so why waste time grabbing flatland with no defenses built-in?

Posted by: titmouse | Jan 14 2024 8:44 utc | 132

Posted by: William Gruff | Jan 13 2024 21:32 utc | 25
Agree with your view, WG.
Posted by: Cortes | Jan 13 2024 22:25 utc | 41
Excellent analogy, Cortes.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jan 14 2024 8:55 utc | 133

On January 13, the Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed another massive attack on the Ukrainian military facilities throughout the country. The Russian Air Force launched a group attack on the facilities of the military industry of Ukraine. High-precision naval and air-based weapons were used, including hypersonic Kinzhal missiles.
According to the Russian Defense Ministry, the targets of the strikes included Ukrainian industrial enterprises producing gunpowder, artillery shells and unmanned aerial vehicles. All targets of the strikes were hit.
The strikes began tonight, and continued in the morning. According to the official reports by the Ukrainian military, Ukrainian air defense forces managed to destroy only seven X-101/555 missiles out of more than 30 launched missiles. Unlike during the previous attack, Kiev decided not to lie about the interception of Kinzhal missiles as well.
According to Russian military sources, during the morning attack, the Russian military launched about 35 missiles of various types, including X-22, X-101 and X-555, as well as, most likely, X-55 used as decoys, several Kinzhal missiles, ballistic 9M723 from the Iskander-M missile defense system, S-300 anti-aircraft missiles converted for strikes on the ground targets, as well as X-59 and X-31P anti-radar missiles.
Explosions were reported in the Dnipropetrovks, Kharkiv, Sumy, Kherson, Kiev, Poltava, Chernigiv, Kirovograd, Volyn, Iano-Frankivsk, Khelnitsk, Rivne.
According to the local reports, some infrastructure facilities were damaged in the Poltava region.
Russian strikes were reported at three Ukrainian airfields, including the airfield in Mirgorod (Poltava region), an airfield in the Rivne region as wall as the Starokonstantinov airfield in the Khmelnitsky region, which is coming under Russian attacks on a regular basis and where the Ukrainian military attempts to restore the infrastructure to welcome F-16 from NATO.
A warehouse with military equipment was reportedly destroyed in the area of Dnepropetrovsk airport. Some missile repair shops came under attack in the city of Dnepropetrovsk itself.
Ukrainian sources confirmed explosions in Kiev. The capital was reportedly attacked by Russian hypersonic Kinzhal missiles. In the Ukrainian capital, explosions thundered in the area of the Artyom military production and repair plant.
Overloaded air defense systems of the Ukrainian military failed to cope with numerous air targets even in the skies over the capital, although it is known that most of air defense systems provided by the West are protecting Kiev.
https://southfront.press/dozens-of-russian-missiles-hit-ukrainian-airfields-military-infrastructure-facilities/

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2024 8:57 utc | 134

Posted by: Saul Goode | Jan 14 2024 2:11 utc | 86
“Question everything” within the bounds of reason the way he mostly does it is not trolling, it is what we all should be doing really.
Except he doesn’t question within the “bounds of reason”. Instead he makes ridiculous assertions and claims. Not only that, but he criticizes every single move the Russian MoD makes, and right away too.
“Oh Crimea was hit, where’s the response. There’s no response. Oh, Putin is weak, he’s a traitor.”
A day later, there’s a response. “Oh, why didn’t Russia use nuclear weapons. Why did it take so long, why is Putin so weak.”
He doesn’t understand how war works, or he does and he’s trolling. It’s tiresome and boring.
And even if people don’t agree with the above, public displays of getting pissed off with him is truly childishness.
He spams the board since he either has nothing better to do with his life, or he’s paid as a propogandist, so I understand why people get mad at him. That said, a more appropriate approach would be to ignore him, or mock him if you’re feeling cheeky.

Posted by: James M. | Jan 14 2024 9:14 utc | 135

snake | Jan 14 2024 7:36 utc | 129
It remains to be seen if the ICJ has been corrupted like the OPCW and numerous other UN peripherals. The easiest way out for the ICJ as I see it is to not grant an interim injunction but rather let the case play out of a number of years. Actual guilty or not finding will be years away in anycase.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 9:29 utc | 136

He spams the board since he either has nothing better to do with his life, or he’s paid as a propogandist, so I understand why people get mad at him. That said, a more appropriate approach would be to ignore him, or mock him if you’re feeling cheeky.
Posted by: James M. | Jan 14 2024 9:14 utc | 136
He might have a different problem – attention disorder. Most people around seem no longer able to follow a 2 hour movie without advertisement breaks. The SMO has no fixed deadline. So they defined one – and Putin ignored it. They made up different finales for this performance – and none of them seem to get realized. Bad movie.
But they paid to watch it, and they will not simply leave.

Posted by: Martina | Jan 14 2024 9:30 utc | 137

Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | Jan 14 2024 6:41 utc | 124
Not just his father, Gonzalo talked about this during his attempted break for freedom.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Jan 14 2024 9:44 utc | 138

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 14 2024 3:45 utc | 98
Preferred the Japanese kits myself, but Airfix boxes has such inspiring artwork. Behind the Iron curtain there were very few kits with poor quality plastic, but interestingly nice railway models. I think some of the plastic figure/model kit companies are Ukrainian and are already producing SMO figures. As for my knowledge, I like to see myself as a semi-Demi professional, who spent too much time studying the arcane intricacies of conventional forces. I did get to meet some very interesting people who made me realise that if you solely rely on open sources you are pretending to be moon walking when all your doing is staring at the satellite through a telescope. It’s why any predictions I make are caged in qualificatory phrases and are based on assessing what is being reported and what I know, rather like a coincidence range finder.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 9:54 utc | 139

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 14 2024 2:40 utc | 93
Dying of, or dying with, it’s not just parsing words it’s critical in understanding the whole COVID response.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 10:20 utc | 140

On that NAFO-note, Ian McCollum of “Forgotten Weapons” is proudly wearing a “NAFO OFAN”-patch in one of his latest videos:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m6MkiACM8Mc
As if sucking the dick of the State Department to get to play with the “cool” toys and admiring “resistance fighters” (e.a. mercenaries) from Finland (but same story with ISIS in Syria before) isn’t too obvious.
It’s not about the second amendment it’s about an obvious NAZI supporter loving weapons. Why not pick up a gun yourself and “fight the Soviets” like your “heroes”, Ian?

Posted by: Zed’s Dead | Jan 14 2024 10:23 utc | 141

Milites | Jan 14 2024 9:54 utc | 140
Patrick Armstrong’s professional career was in the Canadian military. He spent time as a military attache in the Canadian Embassy in Moscow. He stopped posting at his blog after a visit from the Canadian spooks at the start of the SMO. I believe he is posting again now. Haven’t been back to his site for awhile but b referenced/quoted a recent posting a few days back.
In one of his posts he wrote something about reaching the point when you realise everything you have been told is a lie. For me, and that did happen to me over a period of months or a year or two, that meant I had to dump everything I still believed and start again from scratch, trying to sort propaganda from fact.
With the start of the SMO, there was a great influx of new commentates here and coupled to my health, too many names coming and going to keep up with. With that influx were a great many that had done little or now research, a great majority not having come to that point where everything they had been told was a lie and starting again from scratch.
And so with your version of Kursk where you place western “experts” above current Russian knowlage who have access to all soviet records of the time and have digitized and placed them on the net, which your western experts did not have access to at the time.
Trying to reason with my sister -0 she has a fanatical or religious belief that the Chinese and Russian leaderships are the ultimate evil, dictators brutally ruling over their people. I ask if she has ever read transcripts of what they say and she says no because it is all propaganda.
Ray Macgovern and Larry Johnson are interesting. Both cold war CIA analysts. They have spoken about idiot analysts reading soviet leaderships body language and basically pulling Soviet intentions out of their arse when all you had to do was listen to what the soviet leadership said. For Scott ritter, the process has been gradual, beginning when he worked as a weapoons inspecter in the soviet union and gaing a respect for his counterparts there, then as a UN investigator in Iraq and gaining a respect for his counterparts there and trying to prevent the destruction of Iraq which resulted in the complete destruction of his career. And finally his turn on Israel with the Gaza genocide.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 10:28 utc | 142

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 9:54 utc | 140
”It’s why any predictions I make are caged in qualificatory phrases and are based on assessing what is being reported and what I know, rather like a coincidence range finder.“
Which is of course why you get so much shit from some propagandists on the site.
Propaganda can’t have any qualifications. Three day operation will still be a three day operation even after 2 and a half years of bloody war!

Posted by: Membrum Virile | Jan 14 2024 10:32 utc | 143

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2024 8:57 utc | 135
Not only will this destroy the manufacturing infrastructure and the stockpiles but will also force the Ukrainians to disperse these facilities, increasing costs and introducing friction and inefficiency into the production cycle.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 10:39 utc | 144

Very sad news about Gonzalo Lira. Murdered by fascists in Kiev, part of a wave of fascist murders of journalists in a desperate attempt by the imperialists to suppress truth tellers and hide their crimes in Donbas and Gaza. It’s tragic and sad for the bereaved families, but they can be very proud of those who have fallen whilst documenting events. Their legacy will live forever.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Jan 14 2024 10:56 utc | 145

Some points from Colonel Trukhan’s interview at BMA.
-Rail network being restored on the Azov sea coast
-No logistical issues of RUAF
-Big arrow offensive – in 2023 there was no task for carrying out large offensives
-Task is to attract AFU manpower and equipment close to the line and destroy them
-‘Capturing’ cities is the most complex type of warfare – two approaches: either like Israel, destroy the city completely, or blockade and starve it out (could take up to 9 months)
-‘Capturing Kiev in 3 days’ was never the goal, the goal was to pin AFU in place north of Kiev to allow time to take SE Ukraine area including Mariupol and land bridge
-This messed up transfer of AFU reserves to the direction of main operations
-Nato military planners believing Russia isn’t capable of anything is beneficial to Russia, as Nato plans operations based on those assumptions
-RUAF never lost operational initiative despite some tactical drawbacks
-After taking Azov Sea coast, the presence of RUAF around Kiev and Chernigov lost its purpose
-Nato planned the AFU offensive of 2023 based on wrong conclusions in 2022
-This erronous planning led to several hundred thousand AFU losses (KIA+WIA) and destruction of all western trained AFU formations
-Ukraine made even no tactical gains during their offensive
-Ukraine was reformed to use Nato air-land battle doctrine, according to which ground troops are merely auxiliary place holders, and the real attack is done with missiles from the air (but for obvious reasons this never happened)
-US doctrine is to look for weak spots in the line to exploit, in Zaporozhye they were unlucky, because there were no weak spots, but multiple overlapping defensive lines
-AFU didn’t pass first tactical defense line, but got stuck in it
-In the area of breakthrough, initial losses should be ignored in order to continue the breakthrough and follow-up expansion of the attack – this was not done which led to subsequent large losses on the initial line and the attack stalling
-Nato air-land battle doctrine would require at least 500 aircraft launching 1500 missiles in the breakthrough area or line
-Such forces are unavailable for Nato now
-Additionally, the offensive should have been followed by a mass landing of marines and paratroopers, which were not available in terms of delivery vehicles or special forces themselves
-Coup de’tat was the only chance for Nato, which failed
-Breaking through 1km of line requires 100 tanks to be effective
-In order to break through 3 lines, 300 tanks are required
-Massive artillery strikes are needed both on the front and back of the lines in preparation of the attack and the range to enable it
-Russia can send new tanks on the ground within days, in contrast to Nato taking several weeks
-Nato tanks must be sent back to Poland to repair anything other than trivial damage
-Capable tank repair plants in Ukraine are often air striked
-AFU cannot perform simple repairs on equipment near the front line, which is also a result of cultural change and philosophy from USSR
-Most radars of AFU air defense were destroyed in Spring 2022, after that the air defense system became sporadic
-Anti-air missiles in Ukraine weren’t maintained in post-1991 Ukraine
-S-300 missiles should be maintained or rebuilt every 10 years
-AFU mistake is to place air defense systems inside cities – the old rockets can be unpredictable, when accelerating, if they hit a building, the building will be destroyed
-The main successes of AFU air defense systems are strikes against first echelon recon and dummy missiles
-After which the AD system is struck by anti-air missiles
-Ukraine was forced to use very old S-125 systems, whose missiles are old and can’t handle maneuvers
-S-125 may work on some slow cruise missiles and drones which they were designed, but RUAF is now utilizing supersonic missiles nearly as a standard
-S-125 second stage is based on gunpowder acceleration, uneven combustion inevitably leading to them flying unpredictably into buildings
-Not a single Kinzhal has been shot down with Patriot PAC systems
-Kinzhals have successfully destroyed underground bunkers including with Nato officers in them
-Kinzhal uses an extremely inconvenient trajectory for any air defense system, theoretically only a second covering battery could have a chance but even then technical characteristics make the chance slim
-The guided FAB bombs guidance kits were first used in Syria, then perfected and now used in Ukraine
-Russia develops new types of gliding bombs

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2024 11:01 utc | 146

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 14 2024 4:19 utc | 109
The new truth until someone proves it wrong sooner or later.

Posted by: Greg Galloway | Jan 14 2024 11:04 utc | 147

Pneumonia from cold exposure due to prison neglect is quite likely, especially around winter. No need to attach any more complexity to it. A passive murder of a noisy nuisance to the Kiev Regime, it seems. Sad and expected, RIP Gonzalo Lira.
As for Russia, why blitz when your target, the Ukraine military, is throwing itself at your strongest positions? All you gotta do is occasionally prod the front to make sure the flow into the grinder doesn’t clump and see if there’s anymore meat left to grind. Besides, it also bleeds out materiel and dollars, so why waste time grabbing flatland with no defenses built-in?
Posted by: titmouse | Jan 14 2024 8:44 utc | 133

Err excuse me but it’s not really the Ukraine military throwing itself at Russia’s strongest positions, but the reverse. I mean at least according to the prevailing opinion here regarding Avdeevka, which supposedly is “the most fortified place on earth”. No Z-patriot so far has attempted to reconcile the seducing theory of Russia letting Ukraine itself impale its soldies on its defenses, with the bare fact that Russia has been attempting for three months now to conquer Avdeevka.
Which makes totally sense actually, I mean not in the fantasy world of Z-patriots where Russia is this invincible juggernaut who is not rolling up to the Polish frontier only out of a chivalrous generosity and urge to let those fine Ukrainian fellows prove themselves in the battlefile.
In reality, Russia absolutely needs to conquer territory, but not just any territory. As has been the case for all wars throughout history, they needs to conquer strategic strongholds to force their will onto Ukraine and the US and bring them to the negotiating table. That’s the actual goal and that’s how they will win.

Posted by: Micron | Jan 14 2024 11:09 utc | 148

unimperator | Jan 14 2024 11:01 utc | 147
Thanks for that.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 11:13 utc | 149

Posted by: Milites | Jan 13 2024 23:31 utc | 58

Posted by: William Gruff | Jan 13 2024 21:32 utc | 25
Active defence is the doctrine that being on the defence does not mean adopting a static posture, but actively defending. To put the Russian experience into historical context the STAVKA realised by 1943 that static lines of defence did not work against the highly mobile warfare the Germans conducted. Counter-attacks were only launched to retake lost positions and little initiative from Russian senior commanders was shown or expected.. In gaming terms the Russians had a pre-programmed response to attacks that the Germans expected, countered and exploited.
…..

the war starts at 1941 — that are 1,5-2 years till 1943
Then what did the Russians use to survive when “…static lines of defence did not work against the highly mobile warfare the Germans…”
wasn’t there the motto “NO STEP BACK”? ?

Posted by: ghiwen | Jan 14 2024 11:15 utc | 150

Posted by: English Outsider | Jan 13 2024 20:44 utc | 22
Well said.
I always had some doubt he could be a con artist seeking to make a quick buck as influencer of sort.
I now have to publicly aknowledge Gonzalo Lira was a courageous man with a strong will.
May he be in Peace.

Posted by: Greg Galloway | Jan 14 2024 11:20 utc | 151

And footage of the surrounding scenery from Ukraine positions at the bridgehead.
https://twitter.com/GeromanAT/status/1746223435120824409
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 6:41 utc | 123
We just need to re-title this video:
This is how your territory looks after the United States government and NATO pledge support for ‘as long as it takes’* and ‘by all means necessary’** to support you as a vassal of ‘freedom and democracy™️”
* as long as it takes might not be that long.
** all means necessary involves out of date junk weapons and doesn’t include a sacrifice of significant numbers of US troops.
这就是在美国政府和北约承诺’只要需要’* 和’采取一切必要手段’**支持你们成为’自由和民主™️’的附庸之后,你们的领土是什么样子的。
*”只要 “可能并不是那么长。
** 必要的一切手段涉及过时的垃圾武器,不包括大量美军的牺牲
So sieht Ihr Territorium aus, nachdem die Regierung der Vereinigten Staaten und die NATO zugesagt haben, Sie “so lange wie nötig “* und “mit allen erforderlichen Mitteln “** als Vasall der “Freiheit und democracy™️” zu unterstützen.
* Solange es dauert, ist vielleicht gar nicht so lang.
** alle notwendigen Mittel beinhalten veraltete Schrottwaffen und beinhalten nicht die Opferung einer signifikanten Anzahl von US-Truppen
Tältä alueenne näyttää sen jälkeen, kun Yhdysvaltojen hallitus ja Nato ovat luvanneet tukea teitä “niin kauan kuin se kestää “* ja “kaikin tarvittavin keinoin “** tukeakseen teitä “vapauden ja democracy™️” vasallina.”
* niin kauan kuin se kestää ei ehkä olekaan niin kauan.
** kaikkiin tarvittaviin keinoihin sisältyy vanhentuneita romuaseita, eikä niihin sisälly merkittävän määrän Yhdysvaltain joukkojen uhraamista.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Jan 14 2024 11:23 utc | 152

Posted by: Norwegian | Jan 14 2024 8:24 utc | 132
Calling for nuclear war and smearing the dead, what a guy. Totally not a troll.

Posted by: SWISS | Jan 14 2024 11:29 utc | 153

It is becoming funny:
https://www.rt.com/news/590602-france-more-aid-kiev/
“Ukraine is and will remain France’s priority.” Of course the French people are not the priority of that government.
Let’s summarise:
1) President: homosexual
2)Prime minister: homosexual
3) Foreign minister: homosexual
As they have no children, they do not give a fuck about the future of the country.
And 2 and 3 are former sexual partner. They divorced in 2022.
Posted by: Naive | Jan 14 2024 1:36 utc | 80
Is Macron a fag? That explains a lot if true

Posted by: Flash | Jan 14 2024 11:30 utc | 154

Lev Davidovich | Jan 14 2024 11:23 utc | 153
Early on, doomers where screaming about the mighty ukroid river crossing. All I could see was a fire bag. I like those Russian terms ‘fire bag’ and ‘cauldron’.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 11:33 utc | 155

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 10:28 utc | 143
I’d love to know your ‘version of Kursk’. Anyone interested in any attempt at historical veracity looks at all sources. Ignoring or dismissing one group, because of a perceived revelation that led to a personal damascene moment, could be seen as counter-productive in what you are trying to achieve with any newfound wisdom. Believing Russian sources uncritically, is just repeating your previous error in judgement, just from the other side. It’s not a solution to the problem of working out what the hell is going on in the world, I’ve found, just a method of compounding it.
Posted by: Membrum Virile | Jan 14 2024 10:32 utc | 144
Loved your three day comment, put the issue into perspective. Bottom line, the Russian Army, like all armies in history, are finding out that their real world capabilities rarely ever match their theoretical capabilities, the Achilles heel of experimental archeology, but that’s another story. The irony of ironies is that the posters that over-exaggerate the capabilities of the Russian military are denying it it’s real victory in the SMO, the ability to adapt and transform effectively, whilst engaged in a peer-to-peer conflict fought in the 21st century.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 11:37 utc | 156

Milites | Jan 14 2024 11:37 utc | 157
Milites, have been trying to be polite but American Viagra giving you the thumbs up and you thinking that troll is the bees knees really nails the lid on your coffin.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 11:41 utc | 157

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 11:33 utc | 156
Not just early on. Every day since early on shadowspam and his pathetic crew of Angry Patriots Clubbers have posted frequently and enthusiastically any little negativity they could find about Russian MoD and Putin.
As if being paid to do so. Which is most likely. See 👆 thread “coup d’etat” was the only hope for US / NATO. Thankfully the US NATO plan has been an utter disaster that has destroyed the country formerly known as Ukraine, cost 400,000 Ukrainian troops, battered the credibility of NATO, exposed the utter cynicism of the U.S. ruling uniparties and ushered in a multi polar geopolitical era.
Not that shadowspammer and the doomers would post one sentence about all the mistakes you could easily pick from this hubristic DC shit show.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Jan 14 2024 11:48 utc | 158

As much as shadowbanned gets annoying by constantly singing to a different tune, his pov is a useful counterweight to the mainstream conversation on this blog and I think that’s a very good thing even though I seldom find common ground with him.
“Question everything” within the bounds of reason the way he mostly does it is not trolling, it is what we all should be doing really.
And even if people don’t agree with the above, public displays of getting pissed off with him is truly childishness.
Posted by: Saul Goode | Jan 14 2024 2:11 utc | 87
You are 100% correct.
For the shadow critics let me help you with your problem: instead of bitching about shadow and upsetting yourselves just do not read his posts.
Problem solved.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:02 utc | 159

canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:02 utc | 160
A widespread view/common theme amongst SMO blow ins. I want the diversity of reading crap I can go to any MSM or tin foil hat comment section.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 12:06 utc | 160

Neoliberal troll: “You MoA people need a diversity of opinion!”
Gullible fool: “Aw, gee! What a swell idea!”
Utter nonsense. You only need turn on your TV or direct your browser to any major corporate news aggregator site to get the imperial narrative being presented in perfect choral harmony by billions of dollars worth of mass media. What readers here are not already exposed to this “opinion” daily and are fully aware of the entire imperial spiel? Who needs that “opinion” here?
Note: That last question was not rhetorical. Answer it. Who is it that wants and needs the uniform toxic pablum being force-fed to the general public by corporate mass media to be represented here too?
In fact, readers come to MoA to get something other than that useless, mind-rotting crap. Posts offering a watered down version are intending it to be a bridge back to the fold… a narrative “gateway drug” to entice readers back to vegetatively consuming mass quantities of mass media. Once one has embraced that “alternate opinion”, which can be found everywhere you turn in all western societies, then what need have they for places like MoA?
No, you do not need “all opinions represented”. That is garbage neoliberal ideology on display. If all opinions are to be represented, then let’s have a “Flat Earth” thread every week. Let’s have a thread on self-identifying as mountain pandas every week. Let’s have a thread for sharing tips on the care and feeding of European gimps as pets (doubtless would be very popular among our European trolls… they’re always in need of a better owner).
Or maybe not. We don’t need the imperial mass media opinions here except as examples of what is wrong with the world.

Posted by: William Gruff | Jan 14 2024 12:06 utc | 161

Posted by: William Gruff | Jan 14 2024 12:06 utc | 162
Never enough Gruff.
How about a thread of shaggy dog stories regarding sand in the lunch box and knocking other kids unconscious way back in those black and white school days? Perhaps not: I’m quite happy to ignore a lot of the bullshit posts but calling out the most cynical, systematic spammers is a duty to keep the threads from being de-railed which is always the intention of the spammers.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Jan 14 2024 12:23 utc | 162

For the shadow critics let me help you with your problem: instead of bitching about shadow and upsetting yourselves just do not read his posts.
Problem solved.
Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:02 utc | 160
It’s a little hard when he spams the forum. I don’t read his posts, but I can do a search on the site, and his posts are far more than anyone else’s, (aside from Down South but he just reposts Telegram messages without comment.) Of course him not spamming the forum is about as likely as him getting a job with the Russian MoD.

Posted by: James M. | Jan 14 2024 12:26 utc | 163

You don’t build underground complexes like this if you expect to be advancing (retreat is obviously no longer even a possibility) from them in a short period of time.
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Jan 14 2024 4:13 utc | 105
While I agree that Big Arrow offensives are probably not going to happen anytime soon, this idea about fortifications is simply wrong. The Romans built a fortified camp every time they stopped for the night while campaigning. To advance without a fortified rear area to protect your logistics is, in this day and age, suicidal. Every fortification provides a certain radius of operation that blocks or slows down enemy movement. The better the fortifications, the fewer men are required to defend them. Fortifications liberate troops to conduct mobile warfare and provide reliable logistical support.
Posted by: Honzo | Jan 14 2024 5:50 utc | 116
Honzo you are correct that the Romans built forts, castrums after a day’s march. It obviously slowed the marches down carrying that weight of the fortifications while marching then constructing and deconstructing the castrums..
Yet Alexander the Great’s armies bivouacked (slept in the open) no fortifications marched 20 miles a day and they neve, ever got beat.
In the early 18th century (1704) the Duke of Marlborough (1)(2) marched 8 miles a day along the Danube fortifying every evening and this ‘speed’ was considered extraordinary in its day.
Napoleon’s armies a century later they bivouacked and marched 20 miles a day; on a forced march they could do 40 miles a day.
The moral of the story is that there is no certain way to march, attack, protect your troops. It depends on the terrain, the enemy’s capabilities, your own armies’ capability, the weather, the current technology, how much disease is involved as bivouacked armies had, understandably , more disease liabilities. The list goes on…
1.Marlborough marched a mixed force of 40,000 British, Dutch and German troops 250 miles (400km) in five weeks. This extraordinary feat of strategy and logistics left his opponents in disarray.
2. https://www.warhistoryonline.com/history/marlboroughs-march-danube.html

Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:31 utc | 164

Posted by: Membrum Virile | Jan 14 2024 10:32 utc | 144
Always remember that it was that fat milley general that put that 3day propaganda out there, and every idiot latches on it pretending it was the russian army that said it.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Jan 14 2024 12:48 utc | 165

“Bottom line, the Russian Army, like all armies in history, are finding out that their real world capabilities rarely ever match their theoretical capabilities, the Achilles heel of experimental archeology, but that’s another story. The irony of ironies is that the posters that over-exaggerate the capabilities of the Russian military are denying it it’s real victory in the SMO, the ability to adapt and transform effectively, whilst engaged in a peer-to-peer conflict fought in the 21st century.”
Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 11:37 utc | 157
Profound idea.
The Empire, paradoxically, in my opinion, did Russia a monstrous service by instigating a small scale war (the SMO) granting the Russian military the time and experience to “adapt and transform’ and experiment before the big party starts-WW3.
Dumb Empire

Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:51 utc | 166

The trench system is not just for men, it also transports weapons including shoulder fired missiles. These will have the enemy guessing.

Posted by: Jason | Jan 14 2024 12:54 utc | 167

canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:02 utc | 160
A widespread view/common theme amongst SMO blow ins. I want the diversity of reading crap I can go to any MSM or tin foil hat comment section.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 12:06 utc | 161
So you prefer censorship and further, you desire conservation of only your ideas and fellow posters who agree with your views ; kinda like the Spanish Inquisition without the torture tools.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:56 utc | 168

The Empire, paradoxically, in my opinion, did Russia a monstrous service by instigating a small scale war (the SMO) granting the Russian military the time and experience to “adapt and transform’ and experiment before the big party starts-WW3.
Dumb Empire
Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:51 utc | 167

That is the one charitable interpretation of what is happening that we can grant the Kremlin.
But that still does not excuse the lack of preparation of the army and, most importantly, society in the preceding decade.
Just compare the 1930s with the 2010s…
It also does not excuse things like not isolating the battlefield and not taking out NATO ISR when there are abundant technical means to do so.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 14 2024 13:03 utc | 169

Yet Alexander the Great’s armies bivouacked (slept in the open) no fortifications marched 20 miles a day and they neve, ever got beat.
Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:31 utc | 165

What were the state-of-the-art MLRS systems in the fourth century B.C.?

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 14 2024 13:05 utc | 170

“No, you do not need “all opinions represented”. That is garbage neoliberal ideology on display. If all opinions are to be represented, then let’s have a “Flat Earth” thread every week. Let’s have a thread on self-identifying as mountain pandas every week. Let’s have a thread for sharing tips on the care and feeding of European gimps as pets (doubtless would be very popular among our European trolls… they’re always in need of a better owner).
Or maybe not. We don’t need the imperial mass media opinions here except as examples of what is wrong with the world.”
Posted by: William Gruff | Jan 14 2024 12:06 utc | 162
Well that is b’s prerogative, not yours to decide- and from what I can tell b believes diversity opinion on his blog is a welcome tonic for discussion.
Ever heard of the Hegelian dialectic? Of course you have, try to think on those terms, you might change your weeping tone.
Or, on the other hand, perhaps you can start your own blog where only Gruff and neo Gruffites ideas are allowed to express their views; everyone chanting the same mantra like the North Koreans do for their leader.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 13:06 utc | 171

”So you prefer censorship…”
As you NAFO freaks are quick to point out on other fora, this isn’t a public park. This is a bar owned by a guy in Germany. It isn’t censorship if some newcomer saunters in wearing drag and pretending to be something he’s not and the regulars slap him around a bit.
Don’t like it? Go somewhere your imperial opinions are welcome, like Twitter or Farcebook or the New York Langley Times discussion threads. It’s not like you cannot find a forum for your crap.

Posted by: William Gruff | Jan 14 2024 13:10 utc | 172

snake | Jan 14 2024 7:36 utc | 129
It remains to be seen if the ICJ has been corrupted like the OPCW and numerous other UN peripherals. The easiest way out for the ICJ as I see it is to not grant an interim injunction but rather let the case play out of a number of years. Actual guilty or not finding will be years away in anycase.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 9:29 utc | 137
<=Clearly, if the ICC is not already corrupted it soon will be because those in charge of the nation state system will always corrupt any competition or restraint on their activities. That is the reason I keep saying humanity needs a 2nd government, the audit government I call it with its own court system. Such a government would be independent of the nation state system, have authority only over those who serve in the nation state system and be elected by the people of the world, Independence is needed to empower the people governed by the nation state system.to be able to enforce the courts ruling by resisting nation state governments who fail to comply with the orders of the independent court. The only way to stop the corrupt use of the nation state is to have an independent of the nation state system, watch dog capable to investigate, monitor and punish the corruptions of those inside of the nation state system such a system must also be capable of punishing the corrupt use of the nation state system by outsiders. The nation state system was designed to accommodate oligarch and corporate corruption.

Posted by: snake | Jan 14 2024 13:21 utc | 173

It also does not excuse things like not isolating the battlefield and not taking out NATO ISR when there are abundant technical means to do so.
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 14 2024 13:03 utc | 170
For two years you have proposed way beyond escalation (on average twice each day you criticise Russian MoD for not using a nuclear strike against Ukrainian territory). If your strategy was followed the whole of western Ukraine, Ukraine held Donbas, Polish Rumanian airbases, London, New York City, Washington DC would be resembling Gaza right now.
And tell us, what would the ICJ make of this?
What would world public opinion make of shadowbanned nuke em all strategy?
In terms of catastrophic life ending escalatory response, what might that look like?
Clearly your proposals are so deranged as to not be taken seriously. Like comparing modern warfare with Roman military tactics.
As it is the resistance to US hegemony is winning. They don’t need your faux concern and suggestions.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Jan 14 2024 13:22 utc | 174

@shаdοwbanned
I think it’s not just the Russians’ goal to win militarily, UKR should lose because of lack of Western help. The Russian leadership is prepared to make sacrifices to achieve this.

Posted by: schkid | Jan 14 2024 13:23 utc | 175

“It also does not excuse things like not isolating the battlefield and not taking out NATO ISR when there are abundant technical means to do so.”
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 14 2024 13:03 utc | 170
Taking out the NATO ISR involves taking out the Empires’ satellites and that could be escalatory enough to instigate a nuclear response.
Why would the Kremlin take that drastic approach and the ensuing liability when they are currently prevailing on the battlefield?

Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 13:23 utc | 176

101
“aping the mannerisms and behaviors of their parents.”
erase parents and I would add.. “society as a whole.”
The Human newborn along with plants and animals have a “pure white aura”.. just about all humans lose that purity somewhere in their life.
How does one lose it..practicing and/or absorbing the “evils”

Posted by: heavymetai101 | Jan 14 2024 13:25 utc | 177

Ukrainian casualties were already reported by sources on both sides to be extreme even before the depletion of its defences left its frontline personnel more vulnerable, with life expectancies at some frontline positions in 2023 being as low as four hours while conscript units, sent into high intensity combat with little training, were known to have casualty rates as high as 80-90 percent.
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/gates-hell-bunker-busting-glide-bombs

Posted by: Apollyon | Jan 14 2024 13:35 utc | 178

Posted by: snake | Jan 14 2024 7:36 utc | 129
The case is in ICJ, different than ICC. ICJ adjudicates state disputes, in this case SA and Israel being both signatories of Genocide Convention, SA accused Israel of committing genocide. Putin was indicted in ICC, which deals with individuals.

Posted by: RB | Jan 14 2024 13:44 utc | 179

@65
Shadow:
People with covid do die from lung edema. It’s a typical point of mortality. It is the result of what’s called a cytokine storm. For accurate covid trt info see FLCCC.

Posted by: Tusky | Jan 14 2024 13:54 utc | 180

canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:56 utc | 169
Prior to the SMO and the skyrocketing comment numbers, b would periodically clean house which is why we use the timestamp along with comment number. Trolls deleted and banned and the comment numbers would change. b is a one man show and is no longer able to perform the regular house cleaning.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 14:07 utc | 181

the obnoxious canuck troll has parked its ass here and is not interested in anything but incessant stupid cut and paste bloviations.
Whole comments of its cohorts reposted to repeat its nonsense then pass judgement.
You are correct
You and not correct
These trolls have invaded and reduced the qulality as is their intent.
It was bound to happen as MOA became too valuable.
This site will continue to slide as more useful tools bring their shovels of shit to dump here..

Posted by: ld | Jan 14 2024 14:12 utc | 182

“It also does not excuse things like not taking out NATO ISR”
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 14 2024 13:03 utc | 170
Again suggesting Russia escalate to the point of very probably starting ww3, this is only slightly less insane than your insistence that they use nukes. Thank God Russia is run by sane, measured leaders and not some nutter.

Posted by: SWISS | Jan 14 2024 14:12 utc | 183

Ghost of Zanon | Jan 14 2024 4:40 utc | 112
*** If you live in France, the UK, or Germany it is probably a good idea to think about emigration because it is likely those countries governments will become completely unhinged and start killing their own citizens at scale once Russia’s total victory over their pet becomes too obvious to deny anymore.***
The UK regime is already preparing. Some might argue they’ve already started. But in the early stages, via a compendium of more subtle and infrastructural means. The overt disposal comes later.
Seems there is allegedly little or no money available for pensions, NHS (other than a proliferation of useless bureaucrats and potentially lethal ‘experimental’ jabs from Pfizer/Moderna) adequate welfare and general repairs. But billions of pounds get magically produced to give to the zio-nazi in Ukraine, or top spend on NATO wars.
And to heavily subsidise the foreign multinationals and financial spivs that with political establishment collusion effectively stole British public utilities.
BlackRock just acquired Gatwick airport. Next the regime (including its fake “opposition”) intends to impose so-called “freeports”. And all over the country, councils years ago signed up to the “fifteen minute city” scheme (even those with no cities) — though nowadays not one of them will admit to exactly what that means, or just why such a thing was agreed to at all and by what authorisation.

Posted by: Cynic | Jan 14 2024 14:25 utc | 184

Posted by: Cynic | Jan 14 2024 14:25 utc | 185
UK government has been reducing the life expectancy and quality of like of UK ‘subjects’ for over two decades. This is a scientific fact, peer reviewed and published.
https://www.bmj.com/company/newsroom/uk-austerity-since-2010-linked-to-tens-of-thousands-more-deaths-than-expected/
https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/10/16/xvjc-o16.html

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Jan 14 2024 14:32 utc | 185

Posted by: Justpassinby | Jan 14 2024 12:48 utc | 166
There is plenty of documentary evidence that the Russian’s initial plan was a coup-de-main, once that failed they had a contingency plan, NATO did not, big difference. Trying to suggest that every set back is really the result of anti-Russian propaganda is Soviet-grade dissembling.
Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 12:51 utc | 167
Very stupid, possibly as idiotic, with as many long-term ramifications as the restrictions imposed on the Germany, post-WW1. Then again, par for the course for the Darwinian dregs, kept on life-support by their neo-feudalists puppeteers, who are ostensibly our leaders.
Posted by: William Gruff | Jan 14 2024 12:06 utc | 162
I can think of a couple of apposite Nietzsche quotes about monsters and the abyss, as a response, but I’d only be accused of being a fascist sympathiser. Maybe I’ll settle for the trite ‘those who cannot remember the past……’ instead, or is that still too empire-centric for you?
Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 13:06 utc | 172
Self-appointed mind-guards ironically destroy that which they claim to value and protect. If you want to know why armies are routed, just imagine the attitude of some posters multiplied throughout its entire command structure.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 11:41 utc | 158
It’s a good job I don’t use this blog, or poster’s comments, as a source of personal validation then.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 14:35 utc | 186

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 14:35 utc | 187
the habit of reposting several comments in whole to pass judgement
is becoming very tedious …..are you canuck?

Posted by: ld | Jan 14 2024 14:45 utc | 187

“the obnoxious canuck troll has parked its ass here and is not interested in anything but incessant stupid cut and paste bloviations.”
Posted by: ld | Jan 14 2024 14:12 utc | 183
In my opinion, you are the obnoxious one with your vague ad hominens: you negatively judge my process yet you have not yet posted one iota of rebutting or refuting any of my ideas.
An intellectual bridge too far for you?
I’m interested in ideas not anthropormising individuals with their ideas. When I was a hockey coach I continually instructed my players, “play the man not the puck”; in blog discussions it would be the complete opposite: “play the puck [the idea] not the man [the authour]”
If you dislike my posts I have an idea for you; simply stop reading them to lessen your pain [Canuk is stealing that quote from Star Trek IV, editor]
Have a good Sunday.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 14:46 utc | 188

Lol the Ukrops have pledged their fealty to the Bozo kings heir, the little turd Sunak and shappshifter war minister and Lord mighty ‘just call me Dave’ aristo in charge.
They will rush to plucky likkle wikkle England’s defence when the Russians dare to invade the island Camelot. They promise to die to the last Ukranian for that honour.
If there are any left.
I really hope the SMO carries on for another year – it’s great watching the dumb moths flying into the flame that burns their wings off and they go spinning down like ww1 planes.
Aye. The whiff of Justice is in the Wind. Russia is mighty again. It’s kids sing it! They mean it. They rush to join up. It’s cool to be a defender of ‘the faith’ and destroyer of fascism!
Uraaaaa.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jan 14 2024 15:00 utc | 189

Flash | Jan 14 2024 11:30 utc | 155
*** Is Macron a fag? That explains a lot if true ***
Odd reports in UK newspapers years ago about him and his (at that time) bodyguard.

Posted by: Cynic | Jan 14 2024 15:03 utc | 190

Posted by: canuck | Jan 14 2024 14:46 utc | 189
The suggestion that people should stop reading the threads because the readers object to off topic content, repetition, or systematic spamming is absurd. It is the generators of the spam who should cease and desist.
Allow me one repetition, to illustrate how annoying it is. Vile Membrum is an idiotic troll, who can’t comprehend basic English text. Shadowbanned has a deep academic knowledge of Russian history but uses this knowledge here to relentlessly pursue a reasonably sophisticated anti Putin, anti Kremlin agenda. That’s fine, but the biases of this agenda see him often deploy half truths and revisions of historical fact in an attempt to strengthen his argument. Nice try, but we can see through it. You Canuck lack that in depth knowledge, but that fact doesn’t stop you from posting your unfounded opinions and predictions here everyday, several times per day, day after day with a patronising and condescending tone as if you’re an authority on everything, full of your own importance. Frequently you are factually wrong. Repeatedly you’re off topic. Consistently you’re boring and clearly don’t have the insight of other contributors here. Who gives a fuck what you have to say. Who cares if you are embarrassed, only you and your sense of self importance.
Canuck, Vile Membrum, Longhorn, Genocidal, Shadowbanned, Inkan1969 or Inkan54 whatever he identifies as, Augusto Pi, Zorge, Captain America. Let’s add josip golani and his semi literate genocide justification on the Palestine thread. One common feature for all of these ‘contributors’; disrupting threads with off topic, self important nonsense.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Jan 14 2024 15:07 utc | 191

404 – a waste land of Nazi’s merged with zionism coupled to or coupling with Biden diversity.
In one of the early Rus Mod briefings they stated they had struck a barracks and the survivors had run out naked, with the comment that it was plain what they had been up to. In a rus mod video reposted on twitter with a cryptic comment. Not much was clear so due to the cryptic comment I blew it up full screen. Two ukroids in a trench, the video from a grenade drone as it positioned over them. Even full screen I had to look closely then I realized one was busy sucking his mate off in the bloody tench. I guess a bit absorbed in what they were doing to see the drone over head. If it was a good drop, they would have gone out with a bang. As it was the grenade was a little off target and the pair only received a few unexpected penetrations.
A bit over a week back I did a bit of gardening but has taken about a week to recover. As I started to recover I began looking at the comments here again to see if there was any info I had missed. The first day I went to the last page of the ukraine thread as I start from the end so I can see usernames before wasting time reading idiotic comments. On that day, virtually the entire last page was taken up by shadow spammer so I gave up. Next day tried again and again the same. Now we have diversity enthusiasts running cover the the spammer and crew. All SMO blowins.
Its like the whole debauched garbage bag of 404 has been dumped on this blog.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2024 15:09 utc | 192

@ 57
There is no proven connection between stress and prostate cancer that I know of. OTOH, there is a strong connection between testosterone levels (high in blacks) and Vitamin D deficiency, which can be extreme in blacks who live at high latitudes. This, of course, is due to inability of dark skinned people to convert sun’s rays into Vitamin D. Austin, of course, is very dark skinned
Then you take advanced age (70 for Austin), poor dietary choices (Austin is obese) and you have a Prostate Cancer case that is just waiting to happen. So, PC is highly plausible here. It should not be ruled out
BTW, I was treated for this ailment 15 years ago with surgery, so I know a thing or two about it.

Posted by: Callmelennie | Jan 14 2024 15:36 utc | 193

Posted by: ld | Jan 14 2024 14:45 utc | 188
In preference to what? A generalised comment that subsumes the individuality of posters, in favour of commentary supporting the tribal orthodoxy, or relating more evidence that Oceania has always been at war with Eastasia. Sorry, I’ll stick to responding to each poster personally, as others have said you are not compelled to read everything posted here, I certainly don’t have the time or inclination.
On a more interesting tack, the recent footage of the Bradleys versus the lone T-90 was a microcosm of so many elements of the SMO from: exposing the more prolific YouTube commentators lack of expertise or blatant agendas, to the ISR imposed micro-scale of the conflict to the strengths and weaknesses of both sides on display, quite illuminating.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 16:27 utc | 194

Jan 14 2024 2:40 utc | 93
Thanks a lot for your comment. You are showing more and more who you are.
And the lies go on and on and on. No evidence nothing. Pure propaganda and exactly the same western governement propaganda to scare people and submit them. So that they will accept the injections which began to kill people. In France there were more deaths in 2022 with the injections than in 2020 without them.
In 2020 in France and in Switzerland there was no excess mortality under the age of 70 yo. Those who died had already serious health problems. Moreover the excess mortality in 2020 was only partly due to covid. You don’t work in a hospital, and you pretend to know what happened there. The covid deaths were exagerated, for every death with covid was computed as a death from covid.
Are you really that retarded to think that everyone who died of COVID was recorded officially when governments all around the world were desperate to make it look like a non-problem
Ad personam fallacy. You are lying again. The western governements did everything to scare people to the point to order strict containment measures, which were the cause of other health problems when diagnoses and operations were postponed.
In Tanzania then president Magufuli took the same approach, only to then die of COVID
Bullshit, you have no evidence, only your lies and your propaganda.
You do not contribute facts, but lies and propaganda. You are working for the ukronazis and the fascist western govermnents.

Posted by: Naive | Jan 14 2024 18:39 utc | 195

Posted by: Flash | Jan 14 2024 11:30 utc | 155
For instance:
https://www.tiktok.com/@leducdeparis1/video/7264253406053780769?is_from_webapp=1&sender_device=pc
At 1 minute.
And:
https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ftsa&q=macron+avec+des+noirs&iax=images&ia=images

Posted by: Naive | Jan 14 2024 18:52 utc | 196

Lev @192
Wow, that was a seriously noteworthy in-your-face kinda comment! And that rebuttal from a guy with a Russian-Jewish name to boot. The reality of it is, this site more often than not has devolved from serious and insightful discussion with intelligent comments and fantastic links into a attacking free-for-all with many idiotic scroll-worthy rants…
Scrolling, scrolling…scrolling.

Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 14 2024 19:38 utc | 197

Peter Gold @193
This is exactly the kind of commentary that is very hard to deal with. SMO blow-ins my ass! My involvement here for the last 3 years is mostly reading (98%) but it’s getting harder to enjoy this once fantastic site because of the attitude of some of the holier-than-thou “regulars”. I have been associated with many comments sections in my time since they were called message boards and I connected online with a USR modem. Most of them have soured me on them cuz of this shit that ends up occurring with increased frequency.
Say your piece and ignore those that have goofy agendas, oh and pls can we try and keep the comments to around 100-150 words instead of 1200??? Please??

Posted by: bisfugged | Jan 14 2024 19:49 utc | 198

Posted by: Naive | Jan 14 2024 18:39 utc | 196
You also need to examine the US political dimension and the speed in which the Democrats in key battleground states pushed through postal and online printed ballots to replace voting by person. The same State authorities that allowed BLM street protests, but insisted voting posed a significant health risk. There also is the money trail to follow that leads straight to Bill Gates and friends and the companies who benefited from one of the largest transfers of private wealth, from small business’ to corporations. It’s cui bono, when it comes to unravelling the COVID saga.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 21:19 utc | 199

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2024 21:19 utc | 200
I agree.
I don’t know how it was done exactly in the yankeeland, but what is sure is that it was a huge operation started by Events201 on 18.10.2019. Gates was in it of course. In Europe it was lead by Ursula the Hyena with a secret contract. Switzerland ordered 32 millions injections for a population of 8 millions, babies included.
The covid and the injections are bioweapons, that is the spike protein. My guess is that it worked much less than expected as a bioweapon. And the quick mutations made the circulating virus inoffensive, but not the injections (= spike protein). The questions are: who was corrupted? At which level?

Posted by: Naive | Jan 14 2024 22:50 utc | 200