Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
December 12, 2023
‘Zelenski’s Demise’ – Gordon Hahn Provides His Political Obit

Gordon Hahn has written a political obituary of Vladimir Zelenski and the Ukrainian state.

It reviews what had happened in Ukraine since the Maidan coup. It shows how the rise of Zelenski, with all the promises he made that went unfulfilled, turned into a catastrophe for the country. How his gain of power increased his narcissistic self and absolutism until he stumbled into losing a war that he could have prevented and finally fell from grace.

Sad Clown with the Circus Closed Down*: Zelenskiy’s Demise

It is a long detailed and highly recommendable piece. It closes with this:

There was always something out of kilter about a former comic, who once simulated playing the piano with his penis, taking over the helm of a geo-strategically pivotal state caught between two antagonistic great powers on the world stage. Now the Maidan regime, quite a circus in its time, and its vessel – the Ukrainian state – are shutting down, and their leader, Volodomyr Zelenskiy, like a sad clown with his circus closed down, has nowhere to go.

I am sure that the U.S. will find Zelenski a place where they can put him away. He will likely be allowed to keep his loot. He may survive for awhile but the fascist powers in Ukraine, which he helped to increase, will come back to haunt and probably kill him.

Comments

Probably best not to overestimate US competence or power. Politically the US has a problem in getting rid of Zelensky because it has propped him up, and it hasn’t done a great job of tearing him down with stories about corruption. Realistically the US has problems because operating in the hyper corrupt world of Ukrainian politics means everyone is always positioning for their defense. Zelensky and Yermak may well have a fair bit of dangerous information.
But the biggest problem is that for the war to continue the replacement has to be seen less and at least as compliant a proxy. It’s going to be hard to manage much less guarantee that. Zelensky on guard. If it happens everyone who wants a piece will move quickly. Who does the US “replace” Zelensky with from the current crop? Whoever it is will need to appeal to westerners, hold everyone else in Kiev at bay or gain their loyalty, and be loyal to the US while having to build their own grift machine.
If the choice is wrong you might end up with someone willing to turn (*cough* Arestovich). If the transition doesn’t go perfectly you might end up with a Maidan or a military coup. That only seems good on the surface because the military might split its allegiance and/or destabilize at the front.
I’m not saying the US/UK can’t or won’t pull it off. I saying that it shouldn’t be discussed as an easy or clearly predictable event. Also, does the US appear competent to anyone these days?

Posted by: Lex | Dec 13 2023 1:02 utc | 101

What Volodymyr Zelenskyy needs now is the services of a Raymond Reddington!
I can only hope the scumbag gets the help he deserves – none at all.

Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Dec 13 2023 1:06 utc | 102

Great article on the End Game in Ukraine by Tarik Cyril Amar
https://natyliesbaldwin.com/

Posted by: bevin | Dec 13 2023 1:15 utc | 103

@101 comrade simba
Your assuming 10000 would break though decisively. I say no, if they bunch up that much a himars will intercept them. It’s happened before. 10000 losses would get them to slaviansk kramatorsk, not in it.
They have to take time to wear down any defences with every weapon in their arsenal before advancing. In this sense Ukraine can set the pace. Watch the war videos and note how few soldiers actually do anything at the same time.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Dec 13 2023 1:41 utc | 104

Some videos for today.
Russian Su-35 in action, near Kupyansk:
https://rutube.ru/video/8f5539716e0e259ceab5ae6670549a67/
Russian drone pounds enemy trench near Berestovoye:
https://rutube.ru/video/da8b2b5f8d6cbc30bb56a58635d3d958/
Russian drones strike enemy trench on the Zaporozhye front:
https://rutube.ru/video/19874620504211786251726a490e2c6c/
Russian Ka-52 assault helicopters in action, near Krasny Liman:
https://rutube.ru/video/ff0bb3c3a6450006560e1259dea54629/
Russian self-propelled howitzer pounds enemy position near the DPR’s Artemovsk:
https://rutube.ru/video/5a4cec6187ed13bc0ccfd6722d23bad5/
Russian mortar team in action near Ugledar:
https://rutube.ru/video/e406f19533592f3a90e52f39c8cdfd6e/

Posted by: Nate | Dec 13 2023 1:51 utc | 105

by comrade simba | Dec 13 2023 1:00 utc | 101
Kamerade Leone, that is not enough.
I agree that it is better to smash Ukraine now and hard, then slug on for the next 2 years along the endless fields, losing people along.
What is missing is demise and a crumbling of NATO as well, as a military, political and economic crunch on the USA and its blackmailed allies.
Some people say that slower it goes, more chance for more cracks appear.
And that might be the truth, but we are now in the phase where the major crush can crack open big rotten egg and create succession of downfalls, from v.d. Leyen and her posse, down to Bibi and the Nazi settlers sect. or so I hope.
Unconditional surrender and nothing else for Ukraine and NATO would be just enough. Naively, I know, but breaking the back of the beast is definitely needed at this point.

Posted by: whirlX | Dec 13 2023 1:55 utc | 106

Ukraine’s electrical system is severely compromised. It’s running near max and the big loads are yet to hit. It’ll only take a few hits on electrical grids to pretty much cause it to all melt down: cause overload trips to string out like falling dominoes. This is what Russia is planning and what, it looks like, it’s going to have to do. Civil unrest will cause the entire military operation to collapse. Russia then pushes as far as it wants.

Posted by: Seer | Dec 13 2023 2:08 utc | 107

neo and whirl –
I’d guess that a no holds barred balls to the wall CHARGE!!!! would result in less than 10K casualties. The Ukies would run like hell and/or surrender in droves once their “minders” ran away to save their ass. The amount of stockpiled materiel backed up behind the front is like a racehorse in the chute ready to go. The gross underestimation of Russian forces built up in the last 6 months and their present real time increase in production is a story that will stagger the imagination once it is told.
Fully committed Big Arrow blitzkrieg across Sumi crossing the Dnipro south of Kiev gets to spread out over the entire Kiev oblast shooting at shit running from the rest of the eastern and southern lines going ape shit through ammo-less grandpa troops. Blocker troops and mercs in drag hiding under every haystack leaving the volksturm to throw down thier weapons and weep with relief.
I’m getting real tired of this war. Rock and roll and shut off the gas. Ground’s hard… get it on.

Posted by: comrade simba | Dec 13 2023 3:00 utc | 108

And fuck NATO. Have Maria let it be known that NATO disbands or Comrade Kinzahl make guest appearance at SOTU address.

Posted by: comrade simba | Dec 13 2023 3:06 utc | 109

RE: karlof1 | Dec 12 2023 17:04 utc | 31
Thx for blog link (in Palestine post). I read your entire post and Maria’s entire post and interview. I admit it took awhile to thoroughly read through it all, but it was worth it. There was a lot of information I didn’t know about Denmark. But especially Switzerland. I heard here and there about their “bends” in neutrality, but had not realized it had gotten so brazenly bad.
It was all a helpful post, especially when she gave many solid examples throughout the EU citing specific public events, glorifying Nazi atrocities with regards to certain members. Again, had not realized throughout EU various ceremonies here and there have been exercised.
All in all, I still have to ingest the other 75% of the post, but it was helpful indeed for an aerial view, along with Palestine “mindset” — Ethnic cleansing in Ukraine/EU—-Ethnic cleansing in Palestine… 🤔 not really “an accident”….or “coincidence”…
I’m not sure if you know, or other MOA posters know…
I’ve a curiosity regarding Finland:
First I heard about the awful Russian flooding them with immigrants so … by gosh… gonna close all borders!!
(My take in that nonsense is most likely, in better times, Russia and Finland had corporation agreements regarding “border control and such… my guess is Russia all these years has been footing the bill, keeping Russia ad well as Finland secure and when Finland said “FU” to Russia, Russia a continued to uphold their border arrangements, footing the bill and all for a year or more, till finally, they were… we FU too) …
Anyways, then I hear the EU supposedly droned on about immigration “rights”… and heard that some NATO troops were now going to Patrol Border… or put some “Border Base” in, manned by NATO troops… and the next thing is…
Well lo and behold, after closing all 4 borders, they’re re-opening 3.
Does anyone know what the deal is there??
Is there some attempt to start sending nonsense through the Border?
Anyways if you have any information about the Finland plots, if any, I’d like to find out their sudden enthusiasm for throwing open the barn doors since they love Russia so much these days. Thx.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Dec 13 2023 3:28 utc | 110

Russia Has Suffered Staggeringly High Losses, U.S. Report Says
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/12/us/politics/russia-intelligence-assessment.html
At first a lot of people here will write this off as US/deep state propaganda, but this would explain why the war is more or less a stalemate and Ukraine is in no rush to negotiate.

Posted by: bored | Dec 13 2023 4:15 utc | 111

Life on the frontline, in Russian.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IiQGC5btArw&t=437s

Posted by: Suresh | Dec 13 2023 4:19 utc | 112

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Dec 12 2023 22:09 utc | 66

So don’t let anyone get you: what happened to the infrastructure of the largest provider in Ukraine
Today’s problems in the Kyivstar network turned out to be perhaps the most destructive in the history of IT Square. Millions of subscribers are left without mobile communications and the Internet, problems are observed at banks and other critical infrastructure facilities – even emergency alerts do not work in a number of regions. The company’s management has already blamed “hackers” for the accident, who allegedly got into the core of the operator’s information systems.
This version looks somewhat dubious. Typically, the resources of such large organizations are not only maximally protected from hacking, but, in addition, they are also parallelized in order to ensure maximum fault tolerance. Without going into technical details, in the event of some kind of accident or sabotage on one of the critical servers, its “replacement” must take over, often even physically located in another location.
In addition, such information systems always have several levels of backup, from “snapshots” of the system that are ready for almost instant restoration, to tape cassettes with backups that are older, which (with the right approach) should also be located in a place physically inaccessible to an attacker (literally in a safe in another location).
Large companies such as factories, providers or banks take their security very seriously and conduct regular exercises during which they practice emergency recovery mechanisms and check the integrity of backup copies. Yes, there are mistakes and all sorts of excesses, but it’s not easy to believe that the largest telecom provider in Ukraine suddenly found itself defenseless against an attack by hackers and cannot restore what was destroyed. Add to this the fact that no known Russian hacking groups have yet claimed responsibility for this attack.
But everything will become much clearer if you follow the recent history of Kyivstar. Founded within the Friedman Alfa Group, the provider is part of the VEON holding (formerly Russian VimpelCom) registered in Holland. After the start of the SMO, VEON distanced itself from Russia. VimpelCom was bought out by Russian management, after which the Dutch company pretended that it had nothing in common with Moscow.
But all of Friedman’s attempts to maintain his assets in Ukraine through assistance to the Ukrainian Armed Forces and Kyiv were unsuccessful. There was constant talk about the imminent nationalization and confiscation of the company in favor of the state or third parties. Since October, searches literally did not stop at the Kyivstar offices and it seemed that the asset would soon float away into someone’s more tenacious hands. Unconfirmed rumors suggested that the US business elite had already been able to “bend” the presidential office and reach a preliminary agreement on the transfer of a tasty asset to new American owners.
At the same time, VEON did not give up and tried to win American lobbyists over to its side. For example, former US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo joined the company’s board of directors in November. But, apparently, the owners of Kyivstar failed to defend the rights to their property and the company faced a real risk of confiscation.
With this background, the situation becomes much clearer. It seems that the current management has simply decided to blackmail the Ukrainian authorities and American kites with a kind of grenade with the pin pulled: “if you take away our company, then the “hackers” will destroy the very heart of our business and instead of a profitable business, you will get miserable ruins.”
It is simply unrealistic to commit such sabotage without the active assistance of a number of the provider’s IT specialists. So, if the consequences of the “accident” cannot be restored in the coming hours, or at most days, it means “we did not agree.”

https://t.me/geromanat/15465

Posted by: Down South | Dec 13 2023 4:45 utc | 113

Zelensky’s entire trip to the United States is purely formal. He was invited to warm up the Ukrainian case so that the Democrats would have more trump cards to blame the Reps for the future defeat of Kyiv.
Ze was just a “doll” who was taken around everywhere and promoted, but the effect so far was “zero”, as we immediately insided.
In fact, Biden this time used Ze in an internal American game before the elections.
Biden has said he is willing to compromise on border issues with Republicans. “We need real solutions,” Joe said (but according to our data, there will be no compromises).
It is beneficial for the democrats themselves to drain the Ukrainian crisis now and then blame the republics for strengthening the Russian Federation, which will be a trump card for them before the elections. If you give Kyiv money now, you will become completely dependent on the Ukrainian crisis. Everyone understands that there will not be a good result, the front will actually remain in the same positions. This will be a death sentence for the Democrats.
We are watching… perhaps the Republic will realize the beauty of the game and themselves will drive Joe and the Democrats into the Ukrainian crisis, giving money for the last time.
For Ze there are still chances for a new loan, but this will drive Ze and Ukraine into a very “bad game”. Although there will be a mega victory right away, as often happens, it will ultimately become a mega disaster.

https://t.me/legitimniy/16884

The West openly tells Zelensky through the media that it is time to carry this “load” himself. The balloon money has run out.
Proposing a simple formula: defense in cities, where it is necessary to fight only with infantry, produce/assemble Soviet and partially Western equipment in Ukraine. Cut social services, raise prices, taxes and tariffs.
In general, we’ll do it ourselves, and we’ll clap for you while standing, but we won’t give you any money.
In fact, this is a death sentence for Zelensky. He promised the Ukrainians a completely different “picture,” but it turned out as usual.
It is worth saying that, according to our data, Zelensky already knew about this situation in the summer, but he told Ukrainians “tales of victory” while keeping the masses in a warm bath.
Let us recall that Zelensky was warned back in the summer of 2022 that Ukraine would fight on its own, namely with infantry in cities.
But Ze thought that he was the most cunning and, instead of a long defense, sent everyone on the offensive (the partners first trained the Ukrainian Armed Forces to conduct defense). Situationally, this gave the plus of valuable large losses, which now “comes out sideways.”

https://t.me/legitimniy/16880

Posted by: Down South | Dec 13 2023 4:50 utc | 114

What a coincidence! Two dual citizens, two war ‘heros’, two dead men walking, meaning Z and B…

Posted by: fanto | Dec 13 2023 4:56 utc | 115

What happens to Zelensky as an idividual is unimportant to the geopolitical situation. Mercouris made amazing and important point: The current regime is illegitamate and irrelavent when time comes for negotiation. Might be entertaining to see how Ukraine collapses, but not important.
I am more hopeful that west is badly burned on its cynical “investments” in Ukraine and for its theft of Russian assets. But doesnt really matter.
In a manner, the west has done Russia a favor. Now up to Russia and RoW to make something of it. Its a new world order.
The strong do as they will and the weak suffer as they must.

Posted by: jared | Dec 13 2023 5:06 utc | 116

@ Posted by: bored | Dec 13 2023 4:15 utc | 112
Yes, Russia has suffered losses and progress is difficult. Both sides fight bravely. Russia is winning and will win as is evident and now generally acknowledged. The truth will however reveal itself, whatever we might say.

Posted by: jared | Dec 13 2023 5:15 utc | 117

There are no places left in the cemeteries: the Ukrainian general admitted the colossal losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces during the conflict and supported Zaluzhny
The famous Ukrainian general, former deputy commander of the Special Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Sergei Krivonos, during an interview, stated that “in Ukraine there are no longer just cemeteries.”
According to him, “Cemeteries have turned into entire burial fields,” which Ukrainians understand very well.
“With a huge amount of blood comes an epiphany. The situation is that even at the front, the tension of non-perception of the situation in the country reaches the point that the guys ask questions: “And if we defend Ukraine here in the trenches, then why doesn’t Ukraine protect us?” ? Which representatives of the authorities and public organizations are protecting us here, directly in the rear of Ukraine?” Krivonos emphasized.
If this narrative is voiced by Sergei Krivonos, respected by ordinary Ukrainians and militants of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, then the situation is as bad as possible for Zelensky:
1️⃣ Krivonos is Zaluzhny’s comrade. The above statements were made to discredit the leader of the Kyiv regime in the eyes of the population of Ukraine;
2️⃣ the problem of strong distance between the authorities and ordinary soldiers is becoming more noticeable every day. No matter how the President’s Office tries to hide its indifference to the Ukrainian Armed Forces militants, it fails – discontent is growing.
As a result, Krivonos veiledly said that if the country continues to support the Kiev regime, then there will not be enough places to bury the dead mobilized – the losses will be so colossal.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/78866

Posted by: Down South | Dec 13 2023 5:26 utc | 118

Posted by: bored | Dec 13 2023 4:15 utc | 112
To some extent, the Russians have lost troops. I think the numbers in that report are off though. Russia didn’t start off with that many troops in theater, first of all. I think they had half that number. Additionally, if any military loses 87 percent of its troops, regardless of their disposition (i.e., if they are tooth or tail), then that military would cease to function.
I’d say Russia has lost somewhere between 70,000-150,000 irrevocable loses, but closer to the lower end. Probably between 5-10 percent of its total forces, but more likely between five and six percent. However, Ukraine has lost likely 15-20 percent of its total forces, with a smaller and shrinking manpower pool to draw from.

Posted by: James M. | Dec 13 2023 5:51 utc | 119

A rather quick and entertaining read, “Arestovich Goes Off”, Honest!

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 13 2023 6:08 utc | 120

karlof1 | Dec 13 2023 6:08 utc | 121
He is accurate enough that he seems to know which way the wind of change is blowing, but I also allow for the fact that he may be the face of the negotiator US so desperately needs. Time will tell on that. US is I think, again playing for time to attack from a different position. When I say US, that should be the anglo deep state.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 13 2023 6:21 utc | 121

@Immaculate deception | Dec 12 2023 23:41 utc | 88

I often wonder what would happen if the major religions of the world were transported to Antarctica and had to fight the elements and each other. Who would win?

Russian Orthodox Christianity, represented by people from Siberia. Antarctica is cold.

Posted by: Norwegian | Dec 13 2023 6:43 utc | 122

@whirlX | Dec 13 2023 0:31 utc | 97

• 198 155mm Howitzers and more than 2,000,000 155mm artillery rounds;

Why only 2 million 155mm artillery rounds, why not 20 or 200 million?
2 million is already an imaginary number.

Posted by: Norwegian | Dec 13 2023 6:51 utc | 123

Vladimir Rogov reports:
🇷🇺💥🇺🇦☠️The Russian Army has completely liberated Marinka!
Our soldiers drove the Ukrainian Armed Forces militants out of this regional center, located near Donetsk.
Units of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division and the 5th DPR Brigade coordinatedly attacked the enemy positions, knocking out the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the last ruins that the Nazis controlled on the outskirts of the city.
During the battle, some of the militants were destroyed, some were captured, and some fled.
Our fighters wisely used weather conditions; due to bad frosty weather, the enemy was unable to actively use drones and paid the price.
The enemy’s line of defense now runs outside the city.
Thank you that I am no longer Mar’inka!
And Boris “Colonel Cassad” Rozhin reports:
They report further advances of the Russian Armed Forces in Marinka and the loss of some more positions by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the northwestern part of the city. The enemy admits the loss of positions, but claims that he is still clinging to individual positions on the outskirts, although this is no longer particularly important – the main positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are already to the west of Marinka.
Apparently, there is not long left before the official announcement of the liberation of Marinka. But let’s wait for the official announcement from the Russian Ministry of Defense.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/78902

Posted by: Down South | Dec 13 2023 6:55 utc | 124

Posted by: whirlX | Dec 13 2023 0:31 utc | 97
That’s a good list for PR.
But considering things like Ukrainian’s complaining of vehicles being not in working order, falling apart, Lloyd (Raytheon) Austin demanding 10 Abrams tanks back from Zelensky, at least one complete Patriot battery destroyed with Kinzhals and drones (meaning they used up more than the 1 they claimed) it could be more impressive on paper than in reality. And one purpose for releasing that list could also be: “look all this stuff we gave, the Ukrainians just are incompetent”.
Probably a lot of items on that list are correct – quantities, who knows? Maybe they’re correct. Also, a lot of those tanks (T-72) and the Striker, M-113, M-1117, MRAPS, HMMWVs, were used up mostly on the counter-offensive. Which was in reality a clusterf***.
I believe Ukraine got the most contribution re. tanks and aircraft from Poland/Czech. They could have gotten more than 500 tanks and 100 MiG-29 and Su-27 aircraft. They also restored Ukrainian mothballed T type tanks.
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Dec 13 2023 1:41 utc | 105
Correct, Ukraine sets the pace in this war of attrition. They have ability to hold forested, fortified and urban areas with lightly armed infantry and pretty much with no support from artillery. They could probably set up endless amount of subsequent defensive lines (which seems to be what they could be trying next).
It all depends whether they decide to commit AFVs, tanks and artillery near the front or not. If they don’t, RUAF will have an easier time, if they do, then they will be gone faster.
I don’t think the bottleneck in Ukraine is artillery shells anymore, it’s the amount of tubes.

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 13 2023 7:48 utc | 125

Re: Posted by: Lex | Dec 13 2023 1:02 utc | 102

Probably best not to overestimate US competence or power. Politically the US has a problem in getting rid of Zelensky because it has propped him up, and it hasn’t done a great job of tearing him down with stories about corruption.

This is nonsense – it’s easy to get rid of him at any time.
You just get one of his bodyguards to double-tap him and blame the Russians.
Problem solved.
Anyone who thinks doing this would create any blowback whatsoever hasn’t been paying attention.
It won’t.

Posted by: Julian | Dec 13 2023 8:20 utc | 126

Re: Posted by: whirlX | Dec 13 2023 1:55 utc | 107

And that might be the truth, but we are now in the phase where the major crush can crack open big rotten egg and create succession of downfalls, from v.d. Leyen and her posse, down to Bibi and the Nazi settlers sect. or so I hope.
Unconditional surrender and nothing else for Ukraine and NATO would be just enough. Naively, I know, but breaking the back of the beast is definitely needed at this point.

VDL is out of a job in six months – she is yesterday’s news.
You should be worried about who the new person taking her job will be – will they be better or worse?
I have no idea – do you?
Judging by what you say – you have no idea

Posted by: Julian | Dec 13 2023 8:23 utc | 127

Re: Posted by: Seer | Dec 13 2023 2:08 utc | 108

Ukraine’s electrical system is severely compromised. It’s running near max and the big loads are yet to hit. It’ll only take a few hits on electrical grids to pretty much cause it to all melt down: cause overload trips to string out like falling dominoes. This is what Russia is planning and what, it looks like, it’s going to have to do. Civil unrest will cause the entire military operation to collapse. Russia then pushes as far as it wants.

Russia is planning to do this are they?!?
I’ll believe it when I see it – people have been saying for over 18 months Russia is about to do this – and so far – a whole lot of not much at all in that respect.

Posted by: Julian | Dec 13 2023 8:26 utc | 128

Re: Re: Posted by: fanto | Dec 13 2023 4:56 utc | 116

What a coincidence! Two dual citizens, two war ‘heros’, two dead men walking, meaning Z and B…

Why do you claim B is a dual citizen? Dual citizen of where apart from Germany?
Do elaborate on your point.

Posted by: Julian | Dec 13 2023 8:41 utc | 129

Time, not funding from Washington is what they are playing for.
If It is true they have 600k personal left as comedian stated yesterday. Which sounds about right, if it was also true, they had a million man army when they took back Kherson and Lyman. So 400k dead or wounded also sounds about right.
Then Time is what they are looking for. Drones can be produced quickly as you can just 3D print them. Which negates the problems with shells.
Then, This isn’t over by a long shot and I don’t understand why some are declaring a quick victory. 600k is a lot of men to create a strong defensive line in better positions.
Russia doesn’t seem that bothered at preventing them from building large defenses. As they have been building them in the North for a year now. Near Belarus without any threat of bombing of the construction of these sites.
They would struggle to freeze the conflict where they stand. However, given the time they could freeze the conflict elsewhere.
Time would also give the West time to ramp up production and Ukraine to mobilise more troops.
Time is the key here not funding. Russia hasn’t enough manpower at the moment to rush a 600k defence.
So taking territory suddenly becomes important as the clock ticks. When in the last couple of years Russia wasn’t really that bothered about it. Hence, why now we see moves across the whole front. Again in a slow grinding fashion which is increasing Russian losses.
It is a conundrum. Anything but a quick easy victory. Russia has to stop sitting idle when they build these new lines and defences and bomb them as they are getting built. Should have been doing this in the North instead of admiring their work.
Time is the key here and Russia shouldn’t give them any.

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 13 2023 8:54 utc | 130

Significant change in the official US discourse:
Joe Biden says US will back Ukraine ‘as long as we can’
https://www.ft.com/content/c5b8a94f-4bf9-422f-b4de-db5dcfc7ca0a
If I remember correctly, the former official statement was ‘as long as necessary’.

Posted by: neutrino | Dec 13 2023 9:00 utc | 131

Posted by: Drifter | Dec 12 2023 18:41 utc | 47
Thank you! This is exactly my feeling

Posted by: Tim | Dec 13 2023 9:01 utc | 132

Spanish PM warns EU does not have financial resources to support Ukraine. Yes, maybe they can always print money but in context of EU de-industrializing and losing export base, it might not be a very good idea.
https://www.rt.com/business/588825-spain-warning-eu-aid-ukraine/

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 13 2023 9:03 utc | 133

Spanish PM warns EU does not have financial resources to support Ukraine. Yes, maybe they can always print money but in context of EU de-industrializing and losing export base, it might not be a very good idea.
Posted by: unimperator | Dec 13 2023 9:03 utc
Spain can’t – they use the Euro and gave up their sovereignty. So it is TRUE in Spain that Taxes and borrowing in a foreign currency the Euro does fund Spain. As they can no longer ISSUE their own currency.
So Spain is telling the truth.
https://m.youtube.com/results?sp=mAEA&search_query=stephanie+kelton+euro

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 13 2023 9:11 utc | 134

Re: Posted by: Lex | Dec 13 2023 1:02 utc | 102
Probably best not to overestimate US competence or power. Politically the US has a problem in getting rid of Zelensky because it has propped him up, and it hasn’t done a great job of tearing him down with stories about corruption.

This is nonsense – it’s easy to get rid of him at any time.
You just get one of his bodyguards to double-tap him and blame the Russians.
Problem solved.
Anyone who thinks doing this would create any blowback whatsoever hasn’t been paying attention.
It won’t.
Posted by: Julian | Dec 13 2023 8:20 utc | 127

Agreed it is a trivial matter to arrange an accident for Zelensky.
But the blowback will be when _elensky’s deadman-switch delivers all the Biden-dirt he’s been hording.
(Blowback (definition #2): a refund on one’s cocaine habit.)

Posted by: retroflecks | Dec 13 2023 9:11 utc | 135

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 13 2023 9:03 utc | 134
The ECB on the other hand can create as many Euro’s as it wants. The issue is they have to share that total amoung the member states.
What Spain is trying to say and what Orban is saying is fuck that. Because whatever the cost will be to each member state, they have to either collect it in taxes or borrow Euros in order to pay it back.
Unlike, the UK, the US, Japan, Canada etc, etc, who are fully sovereign and issue their own currency. Where borrowing is just a reserve drain and taxes fund nothing.
This is well worth your time below unimperator
https://www.levyinstitute.org/publications/can-taxes-and-bonds-finance-government-spending

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 13 2023 9:22 utc | 136

I am convinced that behind Russia’s strategy of minimizing civilian casualties in their SMO lies also a plan of future enlistment of Ukrainians against the West.
Posted by: Rubiconned | Dec 12 2023 16:54 utc | 27

Minimizing this possibility has been central to the west’s strategy of “To the last Ukrainian.” US Cold-Warriors consider all peoples of the former Soviet Union as “Russians”. This was why Lindsay Graham is so giddy to see “Russians (Russkies AND Ukrainians) dying — best money he ever spent.” Recall that over the last month, as things look more hopeless for the Kiev Regime, the West has become adamant that Kiev needs to scoop up 18-25 year-old young-men and (pregnant) women for the meat grinder. Now that the war is more pointless than ever, the west is demanding that Kiev exterminate the Ukraine’s future.
Evil.

Posted by: retroflecks | Dec 13 2023 9:26 utc | 137

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 13 2023 9:03 utc | 134
Many now see, well more than used to, that borrowing in a foreign currency is the problem.
Yet, still don’t understand that the Euro is a foreign currency to member states.
It was set up that way on purpose. Took the IMF playbook to a whole different level. To control Europe by a bunch of gangsters and psychopaths.

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 13 2023 9:28 utc | 138

Saw Kuleba (Ukraine’s FM) holding a press conference in EU parliament the other day. He seemed to be very anxious, and nervous, complaining about that every time they supposedly achieved some EU set reform goal, they are given another goal.

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 12 2023 17:01 utc | 30

It’s a pity that Ukraine didn’t ask Turkey about what it takes to get into the EU: the nature of shifting goal-posts.
But then we’re back to Banderist Nazi mindsets: “of course EU would do that to Turkey — but WE (ukraine) are aryan ubermensch! Our western handlers told us that we’re special!”

Posted by: retroflecks | Dec 13 2023 9:34 utc | 139

The US military just approved more money/supplies for Ukraine, bypassing Congress. Exact amount is unknown yet, but you can bet they’ll push through the maximum they can get away with.
Posted by: bored | Dec 12 2023 14:50 utc | 1

That’s not how that works. That money has already been allocated by Congress. It is almost the last amount of money the US can send, and it was a paltry amount – 100 million dollars.
No more aid can be sent without Congressional approval, which isn’t happening until at least late January or February. By then, it will be too late.
Posted by: James M. | Dec 12 2023 22:21 utc | 71

I seem to recall back in May, that the Pentagon discovered “accounting irregularities” so that they could send an additional $3-6 Billion dollars.
This being the same Pentagon which has never passed a financial audit.
Magic 8-Ball says: “Expect Accounting Errors in Ukraine’s favor in the near future.”
In practice, this means money will be pulled from other black-budget projects. Secret-Squirrels will have to tighten their belts for a while.

Posted by: retroflecks | Dec 13 2023 9:46 utc | 140

As Ukraine slouches towards destruction, all Western strategy and guidance to Ukraine may fairly be summarized as:
“Drive it like you stole it.”

Posted by: retroflecks | Dec 13 2023 10:11 utc | 141

bored @112:

“Russia Has Suffered Staggeringly High Losses, U.S. Report Says

this would explain why the war is more or less a stalemate and Ukraine is in no rush to negotiate.

Translation from retard: “This aligns with the baseless false narrative that’s been planted in my shallow, flaccid mind by western mass media for the last couple years.”
The war is not a stalemate. It is going as Russia wants. You only think it is a stalemate because you are a mouth-breathing moron who has no idea what Russia wants, despite Russia having repeatedly and very carefully spelling out what they want.
The Ukraine is in no rush to negotiate because

  1. Zelenskyyyiii gets head-chopped by Nazis as soon as he mentions ending the conflict.
  2. The Ukraine isn’t calling the shots anyway. From the perspective of the West (which IS calling the shots) the Ukraine isn’t used up yet. There are still some Ukrainians left to shove into the meat grinder, so no negotiations.

Posted by: William Gruff | Dec 13 2023 10:37 utc | 142

retroflecks @141: “In practice, this means money will be pulled from other black-budget projects. Secret-Squirrels will have to tighten their belts for a while.”
Sure, but scores of $billions? That sure is a lot of heroin, cocaine, Filipino and Ukrainian child sex slaves, and freshly harvested organs for aged oligarch ghouls like Soros. That is money raised by “intelligence community” gangsters the old-fashioned way, which involves work. It’s not easy like just printing the cash and getting your imperial vassals to back it by buying t-bills. I’d imagine if the CIA were to use any of their hard-earned operation capital to float the Ukraine’s war and economy they would become a great deal more concerned about the ludicrous levels of corruption there. Using properly printed dollars from Congress is no big deal because that represents someone else’s work, but supplying their own black budget money by the shipping container load for Ukrainian dirtbags to pilfer? I cannot see the Harvard frat boys going along with that.

Posted by: William Gruff | Dec 13 2023 10:54 utc | 143

The main thing keeping the AFU front afloat at this point is the increasingly brutal mobilization methods.
Even 0-trained conscripts can to some extent hold a line especially in urban, forested or fortified areas. That is what they are doing.
The US plan seems to be “pull back, delay, and build-up”. Martyanov noted this strategy in his recent video, but said it only comes after the de-facto defeat.
So what we are seeing in Ukraine now is a 100 % military dictatorship where anyone can be picked off from the street at will. Military commissars are roaming through streets, restaurants, sanitoriums, gyms, you name it. Of course, they will be able to get a lot of people this way to still hold a stationary position. It’s the cornerstone of the strategy, while they “build-up and delay”. They were also using the same strategy in the summer of 2022 while building their second army to take on Kherson, and Kharkov-Balakleya-Lyman area.
Meanwhile, Biden changed the rhetoric from “supportin Ukraine for as long as it takes” to “supporting Ukraine as long as is possible”. They may be able to build-up some mass by delaying, but at this rate, the next “counter-offensive” may be beginning from around Pavlograd-Dnepropetrovsk area.

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 13 2023 11:18 utc | 144

I’m afraid I posted this in the wrong section. Might I resubmit here? It’s to do with Russian/European relations after the completion of the SMO.
…………………..
Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 13 2023 0:17 utc | 177
“We will determine how we will continue to build relations with our European neighbours after the implementation of the goals and objectives of the special military operation.”
https://karlof1.substack.com/p/maria-zakharovas-weekly-briefing-368
I read this in conjunction with Putin’s remarks at the start of the SMO. In connection with supply arrangements for Europe he stated that existing contracts would be honoured but the renewal of these contracts would be decided on at a later time.
Europe is currently gearing up for the hoped Cold War II after the Ukrainian conflict is over. The Russian European security demands conflict with that European aim. If the Russian European security demands are not met, I believe it’s correct to read that brief remark by Zakharova as confirmation that renewal of those supply contracts is at risk.

Posted by: English Outsider | Dec 13 2023 12:40 utc | 145

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 13 2023 11:18 utc | 145
0-trained recruits are not likely to be good for much other than meat shields.
You need at least 6-8 weeks of basic training to create a raw recruit capable of basic soldiering.
If there are 0-days being sent straight to the front, that might explain some of the stories of front collapses around Marinka and the video of UAF fleeing trenches from a single drone strike.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Dec 13 2023 13:08 utc | 146

“Time is the key here and Russia shouldn’t give them any.”
Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 13 2023 8:54 utc | 131
I disagree, time is on Russia’s side.
RF forces are playing on a home field where all the machines and infantry have to come to them. Why would Russia have a big offensive when they are minimizing casualties on their side and maximizing casualties on the Ukrainian as the Ukes attack?
Russia doesn’t have large debts like the Empire (see below) so Russia by taking its time puts more pressure of the US as we see even 5% interest rates will crush the heavily indebted US economy.
Public debt in Russia averaged 15.4% of GDP in the decade to 2022, below the average of 32.5% of GDP for Eastern Europe. Public debt in Russia was 18.9% of GDP in 2022. For more public debt information, visit our dedicated page.
United States Government debt accounted for 123.0 % of the country’s Nominal GDP in Sep 2023, compared with the ratio of 121.6 % in the previous quarter.

Posted by: canuck | Dec 13 2023 13:48 utc | 147

May i hypothezize (lord knows if thats the correct spelling) how the west may see this currently:
The conflict for them is now existential, but also personal, as they hate everything russian. Not the individual klaus or giuliano on the streets, but top down. And they will dictate to the masses how to think, thanks to propaganda 24/7.
The prize are russian commodities. So for them, printing is not the issue, as they want those russian assets, and that is their goal.
Shells and human resourcess may be difficult to arrange, but they will move mountains to get them from anywhere they can. Pakistan. South korea. Anyone thats bribable/mafiable will comply.
After the ukrainian people are done, poles and romanians are next. Germans, brits, amerikans dont care, as long (for the time beeing, and except mercenaries) as its the “untermenschen“ of slavic descent first.
The calculus here is to inflict enough human blood and destroyed russian military assets so that nato proper can finish them off, as the us did so wonderfully in ww2 with the narrative.
So in order to achieve this, sanctions on everything russian will be implemented. A full siege in all but name. And then secondary sanctions on everyone else, slowly more and more. Its the old german “kauft nicht beim juden!“, just with a slavic twist.
Their calculus is that over time and with enough pressure, aka mafia, that goal will be achieved.
Thats probably in general how they want this. Some eu governments openly stated that they have to prepare for war with russia, like the germans did recently.
So thats why they now will not and cannot let the humiliation on them from russia be achieved.
In their mind, all these expenses so far will be recouperated once they get the russian resourcess.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Dec 13 2023 15:05 utc | 148

@ Julian 130
You are correct – I had my facts wrong – B was not born in USA, as I erroneously thought. Therefore my assertion was wrong and I am sorry for that. However, I say, with my tongue firmly in cheek, B deserves to be at least honorary US citizen, after receiving 30 or so standing ovations in the US Congress.

Posted by: fanto | Dec 13 2023 15:14 utc | 149

Posted by: canuck | Dec 13 2023 13:48 utc | 147
But you are only using the liability side of the balance sheet again Canuck. Let’s use the asset side as well.
Russia doesn’t have large national savings like the Empire (see below) so Russia by taking its time puts more pressure of the US as we see even 5% interest rates will crush the savings of Americans.
National savings in Russia averaged 15.4% of GDP in the decade to 2022, below the average of 32.5% of GDP for Eastern Europe. National savings in Russia was 18.9% of GDP in 2022. For more National savings information, visit our dedicated page.
United States National savings accounted for 123.0 % of the country’s Nominal GDP in Sep 2023, compared with the ratio of 121.6 % in the previous quarter.
So when you use the asset side of the balance sheet what you are saying doesn’t make any sense. Why the propaganda you are using always uses the liability side of the balance sheet to instill fear.
The budget deficit is the surplus of the non government sector. The national debt is just that surplus that has been moved into US treasuries.
The Bank of England is owned and directed by HM Treasury. How can you bail out yourself?
Government borrowing happens entirely automatically as a function of the way double entry bookkeeping works, entirely without cost.Then for some reason every day we refinance that borrowing at a higher interest rate.
Cui Bono?
In reality there is no government borrowing, just National Savings. Consolidate everything to National savings and investments ( NS&I( and suddenly we’ll find that there is no debt, just Banks, Pension Funds and individuals with sizeable ‘in credit’ deposits.
It’s determined entirely by how much people decide to save rather than spend – since those are the only two choices everybody has. Outside major crises, it will always be about 90% of whatever government spends because that’s the saving propensity of the UK population.
The UK has no national debt, only National Savings, because the ‘debt’ is denominated in our currency – Sterling. Government borrowing isn’t begging, it’s a balancing item in the government accounts.
There is no national debt, only national savings. That is, after all, what a Gilt is. A gilt edged saving certificate.
And like all savings it disappears when the person owing it stops saving and starts spending. Servicing such spending is, of course, how other people throughout the UK economy earn an income.
Stop and think. Ask if you are being lied to by your TV and politicians.
Paying out interest is therefore a political choice – in this case the adoption of the “full funding rule”. That can be scrapped, at which point the other mechanism will kick in – as described every year in the Debt Management Office Annual Review (2021-22, p32).
Monetarist policies are funded by an increase in mortgage rates. They intend to swap the Inflation Tax for the Monetarist Mortgage Tax – poor people pay over more interest that is then given to rich people for safe keeping, as interest on their deposits. That is supposed to reduce aggregate demand.
Eliminating further government debt interest payments by simply stopping issuing Gilts will remove the oversupply of Gilts in the market at present (which is what is causing prices to fall and yields to go up) and reduce the income ‘people with money’ get from them. That then reduces the size of the Mortgage Tax required to stop inflation.
A lot of people think de- dollarisation will hurt America because they have been fooled to believe other countries fund it.
Actually a lot of Americans are overjoyed because it will get rid of the $ zombies. Because a lot of US treasuries held are by foreigners. Other countries who don’t know what to do with their surplus $’s So just park them in Treasuries.
Watch this …. Using both sides of the balance sheet the assets and the liabilities.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=WS9nP-BKa3M&pp=ygUlc3RlcGhhbmllIGtlbHRvbiBwcmVzaWRlbnRpYWwgbGVjdHVyZQ%3D%3D
Of course this is what they are worried about in BRICS. Who is going to hold the Surpluses of currencies due to trade and how are they going to organise it.

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 15 2023 9:37 utc | 150

Fear mongering Propaganda:
“UK debt is over £2 Trillion, unsustainable & rising fast”
The Truth:
It’s balanced by £2 trillion of Gilt savings assets, entirely sustainable as it is Sterling and obviously rising fast because we have an ageing population requiring savings.
Fear mongering and Propaganda:
“UK Government and The Bank of England continues to ‘print money’ to pay for the debt – this makes everything continually more expensive (inflation)”
The Truth:
There is no printing going on. There is no difference between a bank owning a Bank of England liability or a bank owning an HM Treasury liability – other than the term and the coupon.
All entirely voluntarily. If we stopped selling Gilts and paying interest on reserves tomorrow everything would continue as before – except that banks would quickly stop getting free money from government.Why would you want to pay welfare to banks rather than people?
If anything owning the instrument with the coupon is more inflationary as that gives the holder more interest income.
And as soon as somebody decides not to save, but to spend that generates *additional* taxation, causes somebody else to earn an income – more taxation – and then spend – more taxation – and so on. Sum up that geometric series and you’ll find that it matches the ‘debt’ precisely, for any positive tax rate.
Government debt, and the Gilt savings it consists of, are a store of taxation that will precisely pay off the debt. Each time, every time.
Time to stop fretting about savings and start concentrating on the real problems – energy and food security and the lack of productivity due to poor investment and cheap foreign labour.

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 15 2023 9:49 utc | 151

And as soon as somebody decides not to save, but to spend that generates *additional* taxation, causes somebody else to earn an income – more taxation – and then spend – more taxation – and so on. Sum up that geometric series and you’ll find that it matches the ‘debt’ precisely, for any positive tax rate.
If you give somebody £100, they spend it which is taxed at 20%, leaving the next person with £80 as income. They then spend that £80 which is taxed at 20%, leaving the next person with £64 as income. And so on until the entire £100 disappears and creates £100 of extra tax. All without changing the tax rate one single percent.
Why taxes always each and every time match the spending injection ” eventually “.
The result is lots of extra sales and income for people down the spending chain they wouldn’t otherwise have received.
It’s a straightforward geometric progression. The spending created the currency the taxes shredded the currency.
There are very few reason to raise taxes if there is significant unemployment. In fact if there is unemployment then by definition we are overtaxed for the size of government we have and we should be looking at cutting taxes, not raising them.
You raise taxes on sectors of the economy that are hoarding both skills and real resources that the government needs to provision itself.
You raise taxes if the economy is running red hot at full employment and there are inflationary pressures. Putin will have to do that soon.
You raise taxes on the rich to stop them interfering in politics and buying elections.
You raise or cut taxes to stop bads and promote goods. Like taxing polluters and giving tax cuts to benefit the environment.
It’s NEVER about funding the government unless you are in the EU.

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 15 2023 10:06 utc | 152

Is £2 Trillion ” excessive ” saving for a population of roughly 60 million people in the UK ?
Remembering that quite a bit of that are foreigners who export to the UK and then horde their excess £’s they received for their goods and services in gilts ?
With a budget deficit of 5% of GDP is that “excessive ” saving in cash for a population of roughly 60 million people?
If you want these savers to spend. Then create some sustainable growth and invest in the right things.
https://new-wayland.com/blog/running-a-modern-money-economy/
Simples
🙂

Posted by: Echo Chamber | Dec 15 2023 12:44 utc | 153