Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
December 23, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-313

Three recent piece of many show demonstrated that the narrative about the war in Ukraine has drastically changed.

Use open Ukraine thread …

Comments

Bernhard, Ich wünsche dir ein frohes Weihnachtsfest

Posted by: dan of steele | Dec 23 2023 10:34 utc | 1

Now that it seems Military Experts believe a handful of F16 are
already in Ukraine, without mentioning where, it’ll be good
to have a discussion here among all the armchairs Generals we all are (Zhukov is a Marshal mind you!) about Russian Red Lines wrt F16.
How many of us believe these new Ukronazis F16 will be destroyed on NATO airbases if they take off for combat missions from there, and how many of us believe this is the newest Russian Red Line , indeed very recently proclaimed, that will go undefended and will be allowed to lapse

Posted by: Zhukov | Dec 23 2023 11:12 utc | 2

the F16s are looking ok, but i think the SU-27 and MiG-29 are looking even better. so i think the points for better looking planes in this war goes to .ru

Posted by: COViDiOT | Dec 23 2023 11:18 utc | 3

Happy holidays and thank you for your work, B.
I have 3 gifts I wish to receive this Christmas:
1) world peace in a Multipolar world;
2) total defeat of warmonger genocidal imperialists (the NeoLib+NeoCon extremist cult) and life in jail for war criminals;
3) total defeat of UkraNazis, naZionists, and NeoNazis in general.
Since Santa Claus comes from a NATO land (Lapland in Norway, Sweden, and Finland), I seriously doubt he will bring me those 3 presents…
Happy holidays to everyone decent, and a specially happy Orthodox Christmas to my dear people of Donbass. That all the Z heroes may go back alive and in one peace to their warm Russian homes.

Posted by: Carlos Marques | Dec 23 2023 11:35 utc | 4

The topic for this thread is that the narrative about the war in Ukraine has drastically changed.
Posted by: Zhukov | Dec 23 2023 11:12 utc | 2
You tried to incite this wanton speculation from “arm chair generals” with a leading question and lazy assumption that Russia has red lines on another thread. You failed. Respectfully desist.
As b says, contribute facts.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Dec 23 2023 11:35 utc | 5

Have a nice Christmas Festival @ b

Lets see if russia sends the west a special gift for Christmas – you know for the naughty kids 😉

Posted by: Macpott | Dec 23 2023 11:38 utc | 6

Yeah, what dan of steele @ | Dec 23 2023 10:34 utc | 1 said!

Posted by: waynorinorway | Dec 23 2023 11:51 utc | 7

NYT’s brand new madlib Christmas gift:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/23/world/europe/putin-russia-ukraine-war-cease-fire.html

Posted by: ZT | Dec 23 2023 12:02 utc | 8

Hello Lev Davidovich
This is an Open thread on Ukraine .
The start up topic is the changing narrative:
And the narrative changes by the minute.
Unless you were sleeping with early festive season booze you
have not failed to notice that since early morning in Europe today
the Empire of Chaos propaganda is in full ecstatic mode about the
alleged success of the Ukronazis in shooting down 3 SU 34 with either recently moved Patriots battery or Romania based Nazi F16
So I reiterate my question for people less narrow minded :
Is the bombing of NATO base where Ukraine F16 will be taking off against Russia the new empty threat , the new vapid Red Line that will go undefended. It is high time that the empty threats about Red Lines morph instead into the resurrection of the Red army because so far the comparison is not very favourable

Posted by: Zhukov | Dec 23 2023 12:04 utc | 9

About time Russia expelled the BBC’s Russian correspondent Steve Rosenberg. The mendacious little twat never ceases with his anti-Russian crap. We can’t get any non-BBC news on Russia here. Why tolerate this unfairness?
I’m not a fan of banning anyone but what’s good for the goose……..

Posted by: Vragtes | Dec 23 2023 12:14 utc | 10

Posted by: Vragtes | Dec 23 2023 12:14 utc | 10
No its good for the mind to see the bizarro version of that paper

Posted by: Macpott | Dec 23 2023 12:40 utc | 11

Over the months I’ve seen a number of folk comparing Zelensky to Hitler in the film Downfall. Since that chap is only a glove puppet it seems to me that the comparison is misplaced. And that the man to compare would be Biden. After all, its Joe Biden’s war.

Posted by: Guy L’Estrange | Dec 23 2023 13:30 utc | 12

Ukraine will receive 18 F16’s from Holland. But Wilders, the winner of the elections, said he opposed sending arms to Ukraine. Is this the outgoing government trying to mess up things before leaving?

Posted by: Passerby | Dec 23 2023 13:51 utc | 13

Posted by: Guy L’Estrange | Dec 23 2023 13:30 utc | 12
Zelensky can theoretically at the point of complete collapse of the state fly off with a private jet to his Miami mansion and never be heard of again. Needless to say, that is the best outcome he could get.
Ukraine’s government and authorities have only very few interests in keeping the war running. As long as the war is running, they get to keep the lucrative job which enables them to direct some of the monetary aid stream into their Swiss bank accounts. The moment when the music stops could be coming soon.
Half of Ukraine’s budget is funded by basically foreign donations. When they stop, the country stops and all public workers simply won’t show up. It’s very hard to see what they could do to avoid that from happening.

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 23 2023 13:54 utc | 14

https://sputnikglobe.com/20231223/us-will-sacrifice-the-dollar-if-it-hands-russian-assets-to-ukraine-1115760833.html
I tend to think this is bluffing but I can see that some might cheer for it because it could make the USA’s proxy war into an outright existential conflict, not just a humiliating loss. I am puzzled by China’s forbearance in dollar use. It’s as if they are expected to gather IOU’s and not buy US businesses or land. I wonder if Russia would be bold enough to seize US ships or other property abroad (as Singer did with Argentina).
The paradox would be that this could greatly strengthen both the ruble and the yuan by forcing transactions in them, once the Euro and Dollar become pirate currencies.

Posted by: Eighthman | Dec 23 2023 13:58 utc | 15

Ukraine will receive 18 F16’s from Holland. But Wilders, the winner of the elections, said he opposed sending arms to Ukraine. Is this the outgoing government trying to mess up things before leaving?
Posted by: Passerby | Dec 23 2023 13:51 utc | 13
And pilots to fly them, support staff to keep them flying? Otherwise they are just shiny metal birds waiting for a big hello from a Russian missile. Last I heard there were a few Ukrainian pilots in Texas learning English so they could learn to fly the F16. This sounds more like a theater piece for the western propaganda mill until the new Dutch president pulls the support plug and orphans the birds.

Posted by: Mike R | Dec 23 2023 14:23 utc | 16

https://twitter.com/angeloinchina/status/1738555334569218174
Angelo Giuliano @angeloinchina
When Ukraine propaganda agents are desperate for good news and use old pictures for alleged downed SU-34 Russian fighters.
Good try.
Try harder.

Posted by: Rulf | Dec 23 2023 14:29 utc | 17

And that the man to compare would be Biden. After all, its Joe Biden’s war.
Posted by: Guy L’Estrange | Dec 23 2023 13:30 utc | 12
An interesting question, given that Biden is clearly a puppet too. So who is the real Hitler this time? Inquiring minds want to know!
Also I was raised to believe that Hitler was the real Hitler back in WWII, but after years of reading posts here I am wondering about that also.

Posted by: TM | Dec 23 2023 14:30 utc | 18

Posted by: Vragtes | Dec 23 2023 12:14 utc | 10
Your analysis of Steve Rosenberg is very accurate. Everyone can see clearly what an imperialist shill he is, so it’s best to ignore his waffle as expelling him would be acknowledging him and raise a chorus of press censorship cries from the usual Atlanticist centrist extremists.
Better to enjoy watching him have his arse handed to him by Lukashenko:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdxBOOnVgnY
The western media, like its politicians is so upside down, that this interview was apparently awarded a ‘Royal Television Award’.
Maybe Prince Andrew though it was a great interview.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Dec 23 2023 14:44 utc | 19

Joe Biden is not a puppet. Joe Biden has spent close to 40 years deeply entrenched in the highest levels of US foreign policy. Joe Biden has an impeccable resume as a premier American imperialist. He was never a particularly smart man, which has made his mental deterioration more pronounced. But that doesn’t make him a puppet; it does make him particularly dangerous because his ideology combined with his lack of serious intelligence, mental deterioration and famous arrogance put us all at the sharp end of his whims.
Joe Biden is president because the war in Ukraine needed to happen. It was supposed to happen between 2016 and 2020 but Clinton’s loss to Trump screwed up the timeline. In the 2020 democratic field Biden was the only one who could reliably be counted on to make the war happen. The others weren’t as ideologically committed to it and so, if any of them won, might be persuaded to not instigate the war either because of domestic or international reasons.
And so the field was cleared for him. He elevated the foreign policy team that had worked under he and Clinton during the Obama years when he managed the Ukraine brief. He goes way back with the Clintons as one of the founders of Bill’s “third way” “New Democrats”. A war in Ukraine was a foregone conclusion when he took office, otherwise all the work he and Clinton had put in to Ukraine would go to waste. It was his only purpose and it is his purpose, not some puppet master.
All this is evidenced by the fact that he’s ignored nearly every other issue a president has on his desk. He’s thrown away every opportunity to extricate himself from Ukraine. The man sees himself as a historical figure who will defeat Russia. He wouldn’t be running again if the plan had worked. But it didn’t and he can’t admit defeat in order to salvage something from it. Now it’s true that his advisors can manipulate him by telling him what he wants to hear, being the last one to talk to him or getting in good with Jill. But he’s not their puppet because he’ll only listen to what he wants to hear. A puppet does what it’s told.
If anyone’s Hitler in the bunker it’s Joe Biden.

Posted by: Lex | Dec 23 2023 14:53 utc | 20

Ukraine Weekly Update: May be useful to some: https://robcampbell.substack.com/p/ukraine-weekly-update-b5f

Posted by: Dr. Rob Campbell | Dec 23 2023 15:02 utc | 21

Merry Xmas and Happy New year to B. The note of absence thread was closed to comments.

Posted by: Kaiama | Dec 23 2023 15:05 utc | 22

There’s definitely been a turn to reality by the MSM. I think covert realization of the shameful coverage of Bakhmut was part of that (WSJ, NYT, and WP had articles about U winning, there, even up to the literal day before the city was cleared). In addition, the overplaying of the U offensive, and the too-slow reporting of the failure, was something the MSM realizes they messed up on. So, there’s been a slow change from “not reporting stuff that people can take a certain way”, to “report truth”. Same shift occurred in Covid coverage, oever time.
All that said, and while I agree it is right to slag the MSM, that doesn’t excuse the hopium/copium wishcasting from people here, who consume news in an echo chamber (reminds me of The Last Refuge). People here babbling about “Odessa” when they can’t even locate it on a map, and don’t understand that R is not even threating Kherson! How many days in a row (at least two months) have the red arrow on map drawers (MilSum, Wee, DPA, History Legends…all wargamer, Internet voices) been breathlessly reporting “moving towards Stepove” (a minor village less than a km from the front).

Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:15 utc | 23

Posted by: COViDiOT | Dec 23 2023 11:18 utc | 3
Fans of the MiG-29 needn’t worry overmuch at the destruction of classic airframes because (Wikipedia) “… According to a Russian defense industry source, the Mikoyan MiG-35 is essentially an upgraded variant of the MiG-29KR. …”

Posted by: anon2020 | Dec 23 2023 15:30 utc | 24

Furthermore, the “attrition” lovers are just pushing a word, they saw someone write. Nobody has realiable statistics for either side for their losses. Furthermore, if the attrition is so powerful, it should lead to the weakened forces, who can have territory displaced. And there’s been well under 1% of U territory shifted since NOV22 (any month, or overall). All that clickbait daily reporting by the red arrow crew fails to report this and actually gives a false impression, by emphasizing the tiny, tiny shifts that do occur.
Furthermore, in general throughout history of war, attack has been harder than defense. This applies to Russia and Ukraine also. It’s easier for U to defend than to do the counterattack. And the converse for Russia…they have a harder job advancing through U than sitting at the Shirovikin Line. So, y’all make a logical fallacy when extrapolating too much from the U failed counterattack to a coming Russian attack. Add onto this that certain aspects of this modern battlefield (ISR capabilities of the two sides, primarily) make it hard for either R or U to attack.
In addition, I strongly doubt that Russia enjoys taking casualties (especially for 300m treeline advances). Even with a larger population, this is still a real war with noticeable death rates. Maybe similar to Korean War or even worse. If neither side can advance (team stalemate), this will eventually lead the sides to a decision to freeze the conflict at the current front. How long will the Russians want to throw bodies and $$$ to get Stepove or even Avdiivka. Those are really small gains on the scale of things–they don’t even have control over all four oblasts that they annexed.
And sure Russia might “want Odessa”. And Ukraine might “want Crimea”. But neither one has a credible path to getting what they want. Eventually they will decide to stop this insanely expensive WW1 style fight over treelines. Yes, they need to act strong (and make strong statements) to help them negotiate and to not encourage the other side. But all that said…the military reality, the brutal geographic, is that we’ve had over a year of fighting and attempts by each side to advance…and NO SIGNIFICANT change in the map.

Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:32 utc | 25

The BBC has been wholly incorporated into the Mockingbird control for many years now.
It’s full throated DS natzio support of the Iraq invasion was evident in 2000’s – any independent editorial voices and investigative teams have long since disappeared – no Shoot to Kill policies will ever again be revealed.
LauraKeunssberg a , scion of a spooky family linked to Nazi Germans and Gordonstone school where Phil the Greek sent the current King Charles the Turd. It was a link between Germany and England pre WW2. Her whole family has history with spookiness. She learnt her job as journalist not in a U.K. college or local press like any traditional journo – but at the CIA university in Washington – then came back and fast tracked through the BBC to end up as the chief political editor. She soft focussed Bozo the clown’s electioneering; the AS attacks on – Jeremy Corbyn – as he threatened to upset their apple cart plans of decades – this proxy war on Ukraine. She even announced an unlikely postal vote win for Bozo during that brazen election stealing in December 4 years ago! Just in time to get Covid and BrexShit going.
They mass attacked on Salmond as he threatened Sturgeon to get Scottish Independence back on line. Like every other ‘presstitute’ journo in any mainstream media in the U.K. she and the BBC has completely airbrushed Julian Assange out of our sight. In the middle of London!
As she and her coven in the wider print and broadcast media daily poison the viewers minds. It’s like having Mandela imprisoned as a Terrorist and completely ignoring his cause for decades, in London instead of far off land.
It’s propaganda, wholly controlled through their old boys network and PR machinery – it took complete control starting since the late 70’s and British People live in cloud cuckoo land where all things are Putins fault, Xenophobia is the order of the day yet hiding behind a woke rainbow make believe attitudes that most find abhorrent but can’t say anything about except in private ! That’s how they want us suppressed.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Dec 23 2023 16:01 utc | 26

It seems to me that there has been a few western articles forwarded as well as comments from the bar periodically that there is massive losses in Ukroland on the Russian side. I believe that there is so much evidence that the Ru MOD has really taken care to limit casualties on the battlefield. We hear from Shoigu that wounded soldiers are getting the best care and moved to the rear in a timely fashion. The commanders are moving soldiers in and out of harms way with their first-rate intelligence in many sections of the front.
The incessant boasts of dead and dying Russian soldiers strewn all over certain areas of the frontlines are mostly that…One instance this very morning when I had to laugh (and heave a sigh of relief) seeing a twitter post showing the real evidence of Su-34 crash site from over a year ago. The Russian troops feel better when rotated properly, get hot meals and dry socks and a calming blessing from a live priest near the frontlines!! That’s fugging huge!
There should be minimal dead Russian soldiers returning home these last two years and I’m hoping that the numbers read about lately are accurate. 50,000 to 70,000 is still too many but maybe not enough to cause anger and doubt about the SMO back home.

Posted by: bisfugged | Dec 23 2023 16:03 utc | 27

Well, I gotta say. I’d vote for this dame. She’s saying something real about Ukraine, Israel our military industrial complex and our domestic wellbeing that isn’t dressed up as a golden turd in a gift box. Least it sure beats all the crap Biden promotes and nine tenths of the political population adjudicating laws to be made in our government say.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2CN0ZC27YY4&t=183s

Posted by: Rick | Dec 23 2023 16:08 utc | 28

@ DunGroanin | Dec 23 2023 16:01 utc | 26
well said dungroanin…. it is the same here in canada with the cbc following closely in the bbc’s footsteps.. it might be even worse politically as we have the ukrainian oun flag waving crystia freeland ( current deputy prime minister) commanding all she can to make sure her nazi friends in ukraine are well looked after.. i wish she would relocate to the apartment she owns in kiev and take her bullshit with her..

Posted by: james | Dec 23 2023 16:14 utc | 29

@ DunGroanin | Dec 23 2023 16:01 utc | 26
Is there anywhere one could look for a list of those participating in
Integrity Initative ? Perhaps her name appears.

Posted by: dan of steele | Dec 23 2023 16:15 utc | 30

“Joe Biden is not a puppet. Joe Biden has spent close to 40 years deeply entrenched in the highest levels of US foreign policy. Joe Biden has an impeccable resume as a premier American imperialist.”
Posted by: Lex | Dec 23 2023 14:53 utc | 20
I disagree.
Joe Biden is a puppet.
Joe Biden has been a puppet of the Dupont family since 1973(1) (2)-they got him elected and he has been, ‘their dog’, ever since.
“In early 1973, as Joe Biden was settling into his new job in Washington, DC, Ralph Nader published a deconstruction of what made the freshman Democratic senator’s state of Delaware, the most anodyne of states, so exceptional. The answer, The Company State explained, had to do with the unique relationship between government and commerce: Delaware was less a democracy than a fiefdom, contorting its laws to meet the demands of its corporate lords.
Preeminent among them was the chemical giant DuPont. Nader took readers to Rodney Square, in the heart of Wilmington. There was the ritzy Hotel du Pont, housed in a building owned by DuPont, next to a theater built by DuPont, connected to a bank controlled by the du Pont family, surrounded by law offices and brokerages—all affiliated in some way with what was known simply as “The Company.” The du Ponts owned the state’s two largest newspapers and employed a tenth of the state legislature. The governor was a former executive. The state’s member of Congress for most of the 1970s was Pierre Samuel du Pont IV..”(3)
1.https://www.delmarvanow.com/story/news/local/delaware/2020/10/20/joe-biden-no-longer-owns-dupont-mansion-eric-trump-twitter/5996386002/
2.https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/09/fbi-biden-golf-club-membership-probe/
3. https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2019/11/biden-bankruptcy-president/

Posted by: canuck | Dec 23 2023 16:16 utc | 31

Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:32 utc | 25
Your diatribes are as useless as Shadowbanned dude, your concern is mostly met with laughter and derision here. Russia has the will, the know-how and the means to literally destroy anything in their way if it is crucial or warranted. The SMO is just that, a limited action that does enough to prevent civilian deaths, Russian losses and bad press with the Global South.
Putin himself just said recently that Ukrainian citizens are family, they are their brothers and sisters and fighting them is so sad, so upsetting and he looked like he really meant it. This completely different from any western genocide or bombing nightmare and the whole world has been watching so do us all a favour and give it up, you embarrass yourself with this lying and misrepresenting disinfo.

Posted by: bisfugged | Dec 23 2023 16:18 utc | 32

Joe Biden is not a puppet. Joe Biden has spent close to 40 years deeply entrenched in the highest levels of US foreign policy…
Posted by: Lex | Dec 23 2023 14:53 utc | 20
And seems to be one of the most corrupt U.S. presidents in a long time. Thank you for the post, I largely agree with what you wrote. I would add, though, that Biden did not reach his presidential position by his own effort, or by lucky accident. I suspect the same is true of the original Hitler. There were powerful groups who supported them, and who worked closely with them. A critical point in Biden’s election was after his purported primary victory in South Carolina, after mediocre earlier results. Suddenly the many opposing candidates dropped out and endorsed Biden. That didn’t happen by accident. Who decided that, and how was it pulled off? Was it really just Obama, as some rumors said?
Further, the support for the Ukraine war was at near 100% levels, like the Israel one, among national politicians. Surely Biden did not pull that off by himself?

Posted by: TM | Dec 23 2023 16:18 utc | 33

Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:32 utc | 25
You bring up WWI. The front lines in that war scarcely moved for years and yet one side still won decisively.

Posted by: OnceWere | Dec 23 2023 16:43 utc | 34

Zhukov | Dec 23 2023 11:12 utc | 2
In my memory, Putin has no history of promising action that he doesn’t eventually take, if the conditions he outlined are met. Additionally, Saker repeated over many years that threats are not consistent with the Russian character.
Some observers cite a lack of reactions to drone attacks on Moscow, but the lack of major escalations following those is a case of not allowing buzzing flies to distract a farmer from plowing a field.
If F-16s based in NATO countries actively engage in the conflict, especially against Russian assets in the four oblasts that are now part of the Russian Federation, the conflict will expand.
Perhaps the US will overcome its history of goading the bear, which is what caused the SMO, and its inability to change course. Whether that occurs is the better question.
Meanwhile, best wishes for a peaceful Christmas to all.

Posted by: Ciaran | Dec 23 2023 16:44 utc | 35

Lex@1453
Biden has NO agency. He is owned, lock, stock and poppycock. He should be obliged to wear a jacket similar to those of Nascar drivers who sport numerous logos on their red jackets. Problem for Sleepy Joe would be that he’s owned by so many financier and corporate entities that the logos would need to be virtually microscopic in order for inclusion on the jacket.
Only resolution I can contemplate for that would be to wear a necktie emblazoned with a blue and white Star of David.

Posted by: aristodemos | Dec 23 2023 16:52 utc | 36

https://t.me/NovichokRossiya/43516

Russia threatens to sever diplomatic ties with US if frozen assets are confiscated
Russia has warned it may sever diplomatic ties with the US if Washington confiscates Russian assets frozen over the Ukrainian conflict.
America “must not act under an illusion… that Russia is clinging with both hands to diplomatic relations with that country,” Sergei Ryabkov, the deputy foreign minister, said.
It has been suggested by some politicians in the West to use income generated from roughly $300bn (£237bn) of Russian central bank reserve funds frozen to pay for the reconstruction of Ukraine.

https://t.me/NovichokRossiya/43517

👉👉👉A few interesting facts have been brought to my attention about Russian intelligence, and the Shahid drones, nothing surprising, because I’ve mentioned both of these issues before. I was aware and witnessed the aftermath of both these incidents.
1: Russian intelligence is very accurate.
– SBU meeting in a building. The exact building was identified and hit bang on target, however the meeting was moved from the top to the bottom floor, end result, 2 cleaners on the top floor plus 2 other SBU operatives killed.
– Ukrainian soldiers moved into a sports complex, within 24 hours they were attacked. However where the Shahid entered, was on the “wrong side” of the wall, and all survived as they were in an adjacent room.
2: Shahid (older versions) just didn’t have enough bang 💥. I’ve not seen any recent strikes myself, so I don’t want to guess what the situation is at the moment.

https://t.me/NovichokRossiya/43509

🇺🇦 The Times: The scale of Ukraine’s losses is classified, but no one is trying to hide the fact that they are huge. “I don’t even give the new guys call signs. Most of them don’t live long,” said a Ukrainian military man in the Kharkov region.

Posted by: anon2020 | Dec 23 2023 16:57 utc | 37

I was reading again confirmation of a little known, but interesting and relevant, piece of WWII history yesterday. Albert Speer and his cohorts managed throughout 1944 to keep production of fighter planes at the highest levels, even though Germany was being relentlessly bombed, and Allied fighter planes dominated the skies. Yes, I guess that had a lot to do with the range of Allied bombers, and where a lot of production had been nestled away, but still, food for thought imo.
Yadda yadda yadda, Russian domination over the line of contact between their forces and those of Ukraine, and their advantages in what can be put in their air, and delivered through it, have, relative to the progress made by Russia and their allies against Germany in WWII seem to have gotten them to at about the “late 1943” stage, with early 1944 approaching at an accelerated pace.
One glaring difference here is that Ukraine has avoided being subjected to a strategic bombing, though Russia’s well placed missile strikes often do a startling amount of damage. A big question in my mind is to how and when will Russia deploy all the new missiles it has been stockpiling. Will these strikes reflect a great improvement having been made in Russian intelligence, by satellite, and other means, and have they improved their counter measures against Ukraine’s air defenses? While Russia doesn’t indulge much in symbolic attacks, if Kiev is laid low, and darkened, just as Russia increases its maneuver combat over newly frozen ground, the morale of both sides would likely be affected by that. Can’t imagine it would help Ukraine hit its recruitment goals.
Hitler dodged the plots meant to remove him, I doubt Zelenskyy will be as lucky, what with the CIA having its reputation to maintain. 😉

Posted by: Babel-17 | Dec 23 2023 16:58 utc | 38

Anon @1452
Speaking of attrition as you do, you should be aware of the screaming and hollering currently leading the “Top 40” in Kiev, calling for refuge states in W. Euro to disgorge their “guests” and returning them to the slaughterhouse. Germany, for one, adamantly refuses. Now a new mobilization with extreme levels of shanghaing of vulture-bait by their still safe pickers and the lowering and upping of conscription. The Ukie military has achieved the status of Swiss cheese…holier than hell.
Both Lavrov and V.V. Putin are not the types to aerate bullshit. When they cite Odessa and Kharkov, it might be the course of wisdom to take them at their words. As for the Red Arrows, they’re certainly in the quiver. Meanwhile, the beating goes on.

Posted by: aristodemos | Dec 23 2023 17:01 utc | 39

@ Posted by: dan of steele | Dec 23 2023 16:15 utc | 30
She is too senior to be part of any lowly country team but you can guarantee they are all part of the same network. Hacked documents and investigators have written much.
Start here -from 2018- and follow the dots , the murderous fake wizards live at the end of the trail
https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2018/12/british-security-service-infiltration-the-integrity-initiative-and-the-institute-for-statecraft/
Ps one of the many reasons why Craig Murray has been hounded by the state , even imprisoning him. Support him.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Dec 23 2023 17:12 utc | 40

DunGroanin@26 has nailed it with regards to the BBC in particular and the British media in general. Unfortunately, my wife is hooked on BBC radio 4 so we have this on all day! I have to wear headphones or sit elsewhere. Can’t abide the incessant shit.

Posted by: Vragtes | Dec 23 2023 17:21 utc | 41

Canuck@1616
Well done, sir, with your expository info on the $tate of Dupont. A few addendums are called for. As the result of the heavily subsidized by taxpayer dollars in Woody Wilson’s WWI; the Dupont crime clan was provided with massive new buildings to create the latest and greatest in chemical warfare. The chemicalization of agriculture was one of the evil results of that U.$. G. largesse to that bunch
. In 1937, Dupont had just got the gears running on Rottenfeller petroleum based “Nylon” t.m. They got their knickers in a knot over the fact that a hemp decorticater had just been developed and was slated to be used in the production of nylon’s major competitor, Rayon, a purely organic product. As John D. Rottenfeller piously intoned: “Competition
is a sin”.
So the Duponts merrily contacted their fellow corporate barons in Pittsburgh, the Mellon Crime Clan, which introduced fukkin stannous fluoride into most of American’s drinking water supply. They requested the services of one Harry Anslinger, a minion of the Mellons, who had been a major Poobah in the by then sunk costs involved with the Prohibition boys. The Harry one’s new position was to bribe various state legislators for a few thou apiece as well as Congre$$criltters in the Di$trict of Corruption to go along with the new assault. It was a left-handed screwball of an op. Instead of directly attacking the hemp industry, in addition to the buying of pro$tilticians, their scheme involved producing movies such as “Marihuana, the Assassin of Youth” and “Reefer Madness”. A still overload of racism was stimulated in the general public by open threats that their daughters would be raped by Mexicans and Blacks.
Upshot: Both the Feds and the $tates got on the happiness bandwagon and banned hemp along with the sweet stuff. Even Henry Ford’s ’37 Chevy with an all hemp-derived body was consigned to the world of history. Rayon was deplatformed and nylons became the rage, particularly after Japan cut off the Silk Stocking Set.
Matter number Three: If memory serves, the United States of America CORPORATION, owned allegedly by the 65 filthy-richest families across the fruited plain, was duly registered under the corporate laws of the $tate of Dupont, aka Delaware. Those of us who have been in courtrooms, have noticed the yellow-fringed U.S. Maritime flag. Under corporate maritime law, each individual appearing at the bench is regarded as a “Strawman”, lawfared into a vessel coming into the dock. Yes, the very courts of the U$$A do not practice either common law or Constitutional law…it’s all corporate/commercial, thanks to the Dupont Crime Clan and unindicted fellow conspirators.

Posted by: aristodemos | Dec 23 2023 17:26 utc | 42

Today the “good” news for Christmas from n-TV, a private German television station, not a GEZ-Shitshow, for the mentally rather simply structured population: “To date, 352,000 Russian soldiers have been killed in the Ukraine conflict.”
So that means 1:3, 1,056,000 Russians wounded to date, of which 1:1.7, 598,400 seriously. And then, who the hell is fighting for the Russians in Ukraine?

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Dec 23 2023 17:26 utc | 43

T.M.@1618
Prime suspect/culprit in the switchover to Biden was the DNC, an American version of the USSR’s old Central Committee of the C.P. Like their co-conspirators in the RNC, those minions of the hyper-rlch get their marching orders directly through Wall $treet and the Federal Reserve Bank of NYC, where the prime shareholders are the Rottenfeller Crime Clan at a nifty 54% control level…and also from a closely held private bank in City of London, where international finance, insurance, media, metals and much, much more are directed.

Posted by: aristodemos | Dec 23 2023 17:34 utc | 44

https://t.me/milinfolive/113031

A press release from the German company Rheinmetall on the modernization of the Romanian air defense system mentions that in Satu Mare, near the border with Ukraine, the company has been operating a service center for several months, where it services military equipment.
Regarding the modernization of the Romanian air defense system, a contract has been concluded for the modernization of four 35-mm Oerlikon GDF-103 self-propelled guns.

The situation with Ukraine managing to recover and refurbish battle damaged equipment is not ideal.
Once a piece of enemy equipment has been identified and immobilised it should engaged as a stationary target with a Geran or similar and obliterated as is it is plainly uneconomical to allow equipment to repeatedly cycle through enemy inventory, contributing to the death of a few more of your own guys each time.
Remember that the next time you see video of Ukrainians recovering front line equipment that must have been sat in the open for hours or even days.

Posted by: anon2020 | Dec 23 2023 18:10 utc | 45

Furthermore, in general throughout history of war, attack has been harder than defense. This applies to Russia and Ukraine also. It’s easier for U to defend than to do the counterattack. And the converse for Russia…they have a harder job advancing through U than sitting at the Shirovikin Line. So, y’all make a logical fallacy when extrapolating too much from the U failed counterattack to a coming Russian attack. Add onto this that certain aspects of this modern battlefield (ISR capabilities of the two sides, primarily) make it hard for either R or U to attack.
Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:32 utc | 25

That is correct.
Worse, Ukraine is now digging in and creating its own version of the Surovikin line. Unless RU makes a big move soon, the whole front will be heavily fortified eventually. And then what?
Even worse, Stelkov, who was right about so many things from the start, spent more than a year, and especially after the goodwill gestures early in the war, complaining about the fundamental idiocy of sending men and equipment into frontal assaults against the heaviest fortifications. Anyone with a brain sees immediately that the place to advance is Sumy and Chernigov. There are no such fortifications there, and those places are not the Donbass, the industrial nature of which makes it so well suited to defense and so hard to take (already the Germans had hard time in WWII, then in turn the Soviets had hard time recovering it).
Eventually RU will have to take everything adjacent to the pre-war borders as an absolute minimum. Why not go where the fortifications are least developed, which would also stretch the AFU, instead of losing men and equipment in fruitless frontal assaults?
What exactly is the path to real victory here? Because I have not seen anyone formulate the exact military-technical scenario that will lead to it.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Dec 23 2023 18:14 utc | 46

This is an existential war for Nuland’s family.
So, be sure it will go on for a long time and USA is going to send more money.
The west won’t let Russia win.

Posted by: zorge | Dec 23 2023 18:16 utc | 47

Ukraine will receive 18 F16’s from Holland. But Wilders, the winner of the elections, said he opposed sending arms to Ukraine. Is this the outgoing government trying to mess up things before leaving?
Posted by: Passerby | Dec 23 2023 13:51 utc | 13
That is exactly what Obama did before Trump entered office. First, he expelled Russian diplomats in Dec., right before western Christmas AND they were not allowed to wait in the hangar, they were forced to shiver on the tarmac. Could anything be more petty?
Then the US stole Russian property in the US, which were used for R&R.
The topper was when he sent 3,000 troops to Russia’s borders with Poland and the Baltic poodles, leaving Trump in an impossible position. Withdraw the troops and have the Mighty Wurlitzer scream about “treason” for months (or years), or leave them there as a provocation.
On the other subject, propaganda is very important to the US. I can believe that they would sacrifice a Patriot missile battery in order to shoot down a Russian plane, solely for the propaganda value.
That’s how they roll.

Posted by: wagelaborer | Dec 23 2023 18:17 utc | 48

For those who think the front lines sitting almost static for a few months is a sure sign that the war is unwinnable one way or the other, I would suggest watching this animated map showing the forces in WWII.
The Nazis crossed the Dnieper in September ’41
The Nazis were forced back to defensive positions on the Dnieper only in July ’43
A large scale breakthrough across the Dnieper by the Soviet Army did not happen until May of ’44.
https://youtu.be/1CqGeAmVu1I?si=yXvnT24pvZKUThW7

Posted by: Billb | Dec 23 2023 18:22 utc | 49

Posted by: DunGroanin | Dec 23 2023 16:01 utc | 26
It’s propaganda, wholly controlled through their old boys network and PR machinery – it took complete control starting since the late 70’s and British People live in cloud cuckoo land where all things are Putins fault, Xenophobia is the order of the day yet hiding behind a woke rainbow make believe attitudes that most find abhorrent but can’t say anything about except in private ! That’s how they want us suppressed.

The more things change, the more they stay the same.

Posted by: Scorpion | Dec 23 2023 18:28 utc | 50

Posted by: Carlos Marques | Dec 23 2023 11:35 utc | 4
The real “Santa Claus”, St. Nicholas, was from Demre, Türkiye, on the Mediterranean Sea. Türkiye is also a NATO Country, at least for the time being. St. Nick was the patron saint of children, I believe.

Posted by: Blue Dotterel | Dec 23 2023 18:33 utc | 51

Joe Biden is not a puppet. […] If anyone’s Hitler in the bunker it’s Joe Biden.
Posted by: Lex | Dec 23 2023 14:53 utc | 20
You’re a lying dog-faced pony soldier (and if you deny it, it just confirms that you are). Biden is a puppet. Clearly, we was selected, rather than winning a normal primary, so his predispositions and biases were taken into account. However, he did not betray ANY capacity of finding things on his own, e.g. compare to Trump who at least followed Twitter etc., not ANY capacity for critical thinking in recent years, so he is easy to control by the clique that surrounds him.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Dec 23 2023 18:47 utc | 52

For the anonymous who doesn’t understand attrition, there are various mathematical models on the internet. Sorry I don’t have links. A simple model is start with 100 vs 80 and subtract 1 each day. By day 80, team B has zero men left and remaining 20 men of team A do whatever they want. This is oversimplified, but it illustrates that you never want to be in the losing side of attrition.
USA Civil War was attritional, especially in Virginia where lines didn’t move much, where attrition was worst, where final surrender occurred. Huge territorial gains in the west by the Union accomplished much less than simply staying in one place (northern Virginia) and exterminating large quantities of Confederate soldiers. Only mistake Union made was trying to speed victory up for political reasons, instead of allowing slow and less expensive attrition to work its magic.
Attrition is boring but it always works. It’s the military counterpart to compound interest in the money universe. Great businesses can give great wealth quickly, but compound interest gives great wealth even with mediocre businesses. It just takes longer.

Posted by: anonposter | Dec 23 2023 18:48 utc | 53

Posted by: Lex | Dec 23 2023 14:53 utc | 20
Obama is the puppet master, as he is in his third term. He continues the destruction of the USA from within. He is the one who foisted this change in America, especially his work in the early childhood sexual grooming and LBGTQ+ religion. Just watched another show that clearly outlines Michael’s original voting records of being a male from 1994 until 2008 when his husband Obama was selected.
Joan Rivers also spoke about the first homosexual President and that Michelle was a tranny, and lo, less than 3 months later, she was dead.
Obama is the comptroller behind the curtain.

Posted by: Arcticman | Dec 23 2023 19:04 utc | 54

Posted by: aristodemos | Dec 23 2023 17:26 utc | 42
You really know your Duponts-I knew most of it I didn’t know about the ‘nylon’, thanks.
However, I can up you on earlier Dupont Noblesse oblige as they were government contractors for munitions since the War of 1812:
“Before coming to America, the du Pont family lived in a chaotic France. The French Revolution began in 1789 as a rebellion against monarchy and abuses of power. Many commoners and educated middle-class people joined the uprising, hoping to dethrone King Louis XVI and gain equal representation within a democratic society. E.I. du Pont was a young man during the revolution, working in his father’s print shop, although his passion and training was in manufacturing black powder and explosives. His father, Pierre Samuel du Pont de Nemours, was a nobleman who both worked for the monarchy and inspired liberal economic reforms, eventually becoming president of the National Constituent Assembly.
Print shows a large bull labeled “Tiers Etat – Orleans” referring to Louis Philippe Joseph, duc d’Orleans, tossing Marie Antoinette into the air as Louis XVI kneels in prayer on the left; standing behind the bull, in formation, are the “Corps de Garde” wearing beer tankards, labeled “Libertas”, with foaming head, on their heads as they sing, “O de Roast Beef of Old England and O de old English Roast Beef.”
Revolution, or Johnny Bull in France. July 25, 1789. Image: W. Dent, publisher. British Cartoon Prints Collection. Library of Congress Prints and Photographs Division.
After he and E.I. defended Louis XVI and Marie Antoinette from an angry mob, Pierre was sentenced to be guillotined, but escaped punishment due to the Thermidorian Reaction. In 1800, Pierre, E.I., and his other son, Victor, immigrated on the American Eagle with their wives, children, and various other relations, to the United States, where they quickly became important players in the Industrial Revolution.
Arriving on January 1, 1800, the du Pont family made their way to New Jersey, Pierre and Victor’s minds spinning with all the potential this new home brought. They established Du Pont de Nemours Father & Sons & Company of New York, immediately brainstorming ideas for economic success. Pierre even received support from both Thomas Jefferson and Alexander Hamilton, leaders of the opposing Democratic-Republican and Federalist parties respectively. Meanwhile, E.I. du Pont explored the new country. On a hunting trip, he noticed that American gunpowder was poor quality yet expensive because it was the only option in the sparsely populated wilderness. E.I., with his chemistry and powder-making background, pitched an idea for a powder mill along the Brandywine River to his father and brother. Quality gunpowder was produced mainly by Great Britain, but the du Ponts, Jefferson, and French financial backers supported E.I., hoping to increase French influence on the United States and strengthen the Franco-American alliance. For $36,000, E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company was founded in 1802.
The Brandywine River appealed to E.I. du Pont because it was short and steep. Often known just as DuPont, the company built dams and a mill race to harness the river’s potential water energy, which was controlled with water wheels, turbines, and gear shifts. Everything at the powder mill, from the roll mills to the millwright shops, was water-powered, which let DuPont function independently.
Two story stone building near a quiet river.
DuPont Powder Mill, Hagley Museum, on Brandywine River, Greenville, New Castle County, DE. c. 1933. Photo: Historic American Buildings Survey. Library of Congress Prints and Photographs Division.
Another benefit of the river was the safety it provided the workers. Making gunpowder was a dangerous job, because when the ingredients were mixed together, they became explosive. The roll mills were pairs of stone buildings, closed on three sides and open on the side facing the river. The mill workers filled wooden vats with sulphur, charcoal, and saltpeter; they added bit water to reduce the chance of explosions. Turbines powered the mixing process, during which workers stood behind the stone walls because an explosion was most likely to be triggered when the ingredients were blended. The stone walls protected the workers while the explosion shot out across the river where no one could be injured. Even with these precautions, in over 119 years of making black powder, DuPont had 288 explosions and 228 deaths.” (1)
1. https://blogs.loc.gov/inside_adams/2021/07/du-pont/

Posted by: canuck | Dec 23 2023 19:12 utc | 55

According to Gonzalo Lira sr., Gonzalo Lira is suffering from pneumonia: https://youtu.be/4c4274_77E8?feature=shared&t=66

Posted by: Apollyon | Dec 23 2023 19:13 utc | 56

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Dec 23 2023 18:14 utc | 46
Posted by: zorge | Dec 23 2023 18:16 utc | 47
It looks like the doom-spamming™️ shift started at 6pm today. The old one
/ two, within two minutes.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Dec 23 2023 19:16 utc | 57

I think it’s pretty clear that few if any of the notables in politics and commerce are the actual policy makers of the Neoliberal deep state. Biden, even if he was an active agent of the ruling class in the beginning, doesn’t have enough neurons to rub together to be one now, he is absolutely a puppet- and Obama is a creation of an elite to which he can never belong. A Janissary, who may or may not being trying to seize power in his own right, but who certainly has not achieved that and continues to direct operations for the hidden sultans who own everything. Now, even though that narrow class is largely invisible, it’s clear from the behavior of their minions and puppets that they are themselves running out of options and are stocking up the Fuhrer bunker for imminent use.

Posted by: Honzo | Dec 23 2023 19:40 utc | 58

I just came across a YT video about Vidkun Quisling, the WW2 Norwegian Nazi Collaborator.
While the times are not the same, there were some eerie resonances with Zelensky: Quisling was a Nazi suckup, an egotist, a fascist, not very competent, delusional and someone who sent lots of his countrymen to their deaths (as Nazi volunteers).
He thought history would redeem his actions as a patriot: instead his name is synonymous with being a traitor.
short doco on Quisling

Posted by: JulianJ | Dec 23 2023 19:45 utc | 59

Usually I can see shadowbanned’s points. He doesn’t like to see Slavs die, while the puppetmasters sit back and laugh, unscathed.
Point taken.
But this??
“Anyone with a brain sees immediately that the place to advance is Sumy and Chernigov.’
Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Dec 23 2023 18:14 utc
Maybe anyone with a brain, but anyone with a heart has been waiting for the nazi punishers who have been embedded in Avdeevka bombing civilians for the last 9 years, to be rooted out and destroyed.
Now, all of a sudden, there is no point to liberating Avdeevka? I think there is. And I wonder why a champion of the Russian people would blow off the deaths of so many in Donetsk. The terrorism needs to stop.

Posted by: wagelaborer | Dec 23 2023 19:52 utc | 60

I am getting really tired of those people who cannot control their emotions and who are doing exactly what the ukronazis want while pretending to support Russia.
Girkin had his time in 2014. Now he is a pain in the arse. He should thank the authorities to be under arrest and not boarding a plane.

Posted by: Naive | Dec 23 2023 19:52 utc | 61

One of the photos of a Russian Su-34 allegedly shot down yesterday has been exposed as a fake over at LordOfWar (don’t have the exact link but scroll up a few stories) NAFO was too stupid to forget to change the time stamp; it was from June 2022.
https://t.me/s/llordofwar
This doesn’t mean the whole story is fake, but puts it into doubt.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Dec 23 2023 19:53 utc | 62

Putin’s folly in not sinking English ships and killing English mercenaries in black sea and in Ukraine will come to haunt Russia. Putin has given free hand to English plotters to wage war on Russia through proxi with no consequence to enish pirate race. Russia should have heavily bombed england by now.

Posted by: sam | Dec 23 2023 19:56 utc | 63

Hitler dodged the plots meant to remove him, I doubt Zelenskyy will be as lucky, what with the CIA having its reputation to maintain. 😉
Posted by: Babel-17 | Dec 23 2023 16:58 utc | 38
Zelensky is a ‘Heinz Rühmann’ placed on the throne.
The ‘leader’ is currently Joe Biden, or at least he is lending his face.
Zelensky is a new nobody, as if ‘the Wendler’ were Chancellor in Ger.
You don’t believe that Baerbock would have to be taken out of the game to harm Germany, do you?

Posted by: 600w | Dec 23 2023 20:00 utc | 64

Due to Russian timidness, england forced Ukraine to allow British pirate navy to be stationed in black sea port of Odessa. This is what happens when Putin has been pretending not to fight nato even though england has been sponsoring and inciting Ukraine for war against Russia. What a loser Russia is! Putin should have sunk English ships for sinking of Moscowa of black sea fleet.

Posted by: sam | Dec 23 2023 20:01 utc | 65

Posted by: sam | Dec 23 2023 20:01 utc | 65
One of the easiest ways to spot a Western troll is to look for how often he/she/x uses the word “Putin”. It is in the epicentre of Western propaganda to replace the Russian state with “Putin” so as not to become enemies of the Russian people but of this autocrat. So they go with it thinking we are somehow Putin fanboys.
Putin this, Putin that is immediately a red flag. Not even a concern troll would do that.

Posted by: alek_a | Dec 23 2023 20:07 utc | 66

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Front #Summary for 23 Dec 2023 by 17:08⚡️
🔹In #Kherson Direction, our forces are attacking the AFU in #Krynki and hitting boats on the #Dnieper. There are still AFU springboards near the Cossack Camps, in #Krynki and near the #Antonovsky Bridge. To support their garrisons and to counter Russian aviation, artillery and drones, the AFU has sent several Bukovel EW crews and additional air defence units to #Kherson. They are using them at full capacity.
🔹In #Zaporozhye Direction, localised battles are taking place with the initiative by our army. Ours attacked west of #Rabotino and from the direction of #Verbovoye. The AFU, apparently, are busy building defensive structures. The breakthrough of our army on this line in one place will nullify all enemy efforts on this front, which became the main target of the AFU.
🔹In #SouthDonetsk Direction, our forces are trying to advance towards #Staromayorskoye, so far without success. Northwest of #Maryinka, the AFU are also holding their positions for now. And on the southern outskirts of #Novomikhaylovka and near #Pobeda, ours are slowly advancing.
🔹In #Donetsk Direction, the frontline around #Avdeyevka has not changed so far. Although there is serious fighting in all areas. Our army is targeting the approaches to the city from the southeast of the industrial zone and from the northeast, to the Coke Plant. A bit further northwest, heavy fighting continues in #Stepovoye and to the north of it. Most of the village is grey zone, but the AFU are still fighting. Further northwards, our forces pushed the AFU back from some positions near #Novokalinovo and advanced along the railway towards #Ocheretino. On the southern flank, our fighters are attacking at #Pervomayskoye, #Nevelskoye, moving slightly from #Vodyanoye and #Opytnoye to the limits of #Avdeyevka.
🔹In #Bakhmuth Direction, our forces have gained a foothold in the north of #Bogdanovka, in fact, the approaches to Chasov Yar, one of the most important defence nodes of the AFU. In the south and southwest there is still no change, although fighting is ongoing.
🔹In #Svatovo Direction, our troops are advancing in the landings near #Sinkovka. And at #Kremennaya, the control zone is being expanded a little north of the #Torskoye ledge.

https://t.me/sitreports/19903

Posted by: Down South | Dec 23 2023 20:44 utc | 67

Furthermore, the “attrition” lovers are just pushing a word, they saw someone write. Nobody has realiable statistics for either side for their losses … But all that said…the military reality, the brutal geographic, is that we’ve had over a year of fighting and attempts by each side to advance…and NO SIGNIFICANT change in the map.
Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:32 utc | 25
You’re right … there is no “reliable statistics” for either sides losses and just like WW2 in the east there won’t be until all the archives are opened and all those whose reputations are at stake are dead … in the case of WW2 between the Soviets and Germany was 60 years later in 1995.
There is however a reliable indicator in that one side is being re-armed and rebuilt from the ground up for the fourth time, is on their 11th mobilization (this time for 500,000 men or 20,000/mo) and whose payroll for the entire army and civil service is paid for by their benefactors. Now if that isn’t evidence of attrition then I don’t know what is.
As far as taking ground is concerned study WW2. Taking ground fast is VERY expensive in men and equipment and even the mighty Whermacht lost 750,000 soldiers out of 3 million and half their armour in their first 6 months in Russia. Now you could argue that the Germans took LOTS of ground from the Russian early in the war but where did it get them? By May 1943 the Germans lost the experienced soldiers they started the war with and most of that equipment … so if taking territory is an indicator of success in warfare why did the Germans lose despite being so successful at taking ground? Could it really be that the real winner of WW2 won by attrition … the Germans were outproduced by the Americans and Russians??
The Russians aren’t taking ground in Ukraine because they don’t have to … they know time is on their side. Unlike 1943-45 the Russians aren’t rushing to get to Berlin before the Americans. The Russians also don’t have to get to Crimea before the next US election either like the Ukrainians do … they don’t have to take villages at the cost of 150,000 men just to prove to the US congress they are successful and deserve more money.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Dec 23 2023 20:48 utc | 68

sam 65: Sam, Putin represents Russia’s interests. As long as the West’s agenda is to harm Russia, its goal is to push back the West in the long term and irreversibly until they stop this nonsense and try their imperialist luck elsewhere. But spectacular actions that are in the media today and forgotten tomorrow don’t help, but rather consistent determination, tenacious perseverance and indifference to provocations.

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Dec 23 2023 20:48 utc | 69

Posted by: 600w | Dec 23 2023 20:00 utc | 64
If Zelenskyy gets yanked off stage it could be for a variety of primary reasons, or a combination of them, same as if President Biden was told by his handlers the equivalent of “It’s not your night”, and it was announced he was dropping out due to a mild stroke, or maybe COVID 19.
If the MIC was on the verge of wrangling together enough support to go big on arming and financing Ukraine yet again, it could be the case that they’d need someone to pin all the woes of the AFU on. So blaming Zelenskyy for “not listening to his best Generals and NATO advisors” would dovetail perfectly with that.
He’d get labeled as being a great guy, and instrumental in rallying Ukraine to oppose Russia’s SMO, but not a good war time leader, same as Tom Hagen was labeled not a war time consiglierie in The Godfather.
Ukraine would get a new leader, one who coincidentally the MIC approved of. IIRC, Zelenskyy loses his authority under the Constitution next year unless there’s an election or some extraordinary legislation gets approved to legitimize his continued governance. Perfect opportunity at that time to tell him he has to step aside. He might regret not having allowed elections.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Dec 23 2023 21:05 utc | 70

Posted by: alek_a | Dec 23 2023 20:07 utc | 66
Spot on!

Posted by: Naive | Dec 23 2023 22:25 utc | 71

Thank you b for your tremendious effort to keep this bar i top shape.
Hope everyone buys you a drink for christmas.
All the best too you and the one’s that you love- you really are something special

Posted by: Paul from Norway | Dec 23 2023 22:25 utc | 72

Posted by: Oliver Krug | Dec 23 2023 20:48 utc | 69
Reading all latest economic data coming out of core EU economies one can deduce that Europe is irrecoverably in a dead zombie state. I don’t believe EU can assume the role of propping Ukraine up much further. Of course, it won’t stop them from trying.
It’s probable that the fate of EU is now tied to the fate of Ukraine. If Ukraine disintegrates and gets divided by surrounding states, and some sort of more-or-less neutral / Russian aligned state is left in central Ukraine, will lead to the collapse of EU and Nato through BRICS direct land connection to Serbia and the Balkans, effectively into central Europe, eventually.
The prediction is based on economic discrepancies becoming very wide between states in the EU and states participating in OBOR, building up wealth. EU is inherently hostile to wealth preservation and building, and those economic discrepancies will diffuse through the gradual break-up of EU.
Even if Poland forms the mini Lwow Ukraine won’t change the outcome.

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 23 2023 22:30 utc | 73

1. Posted by: Lex | Dec 23 2023 14:53 utc | 20
Lex – if your argument is correct that adds weight to the assertion that the Russian invasion was “provoked” instead of “unprovoked.”
Further weight to that assertion is provided by this speech, made in 2019. At that time the UK was ostensibly involved in a bitter dispute with the EU. But the speech shows quite the reverse:-
https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/the-munich-security-conference
Tony Blair was also at that conferences, stating in a side meeting that integration of the UK in European defence was essential, though as he stated that was not the time to stress that to the UK public: tempers were running high in the UK over the reluctance of the UK politicians to push through Brexit.
Our UK politicians were even at that early date more interested in confronting Russia that they were with leaving the EU. The deployment of HMS Defender in the Black Sea also showed that. Documents forwarded to the BBC showed that the deployment was ordered with deliberately provocative intent.
As for the European politicians, it was asserted that the remilitarisation of Germany was agreed during the coalition talks for the new government. If that assertion is correct – I must make it clear that I never saw it confirmed later, nor saw any minutes of those coalition talks – then that remilitarisation was decided before and not as a consequence of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
So it’s possible that the deliberate provocation of Russia had been decided on in advance by the various Western powers.
However, we do not need these assertions or speculations to show that the Russian invasion of Ukraine was deliberately “provoked”. The weight of fire across the border in February 2022 and the massing of large Ukrainian forces along the Line of Contact left Putin in any case with no alternative but to order pre-emptive military action.
……………………..
2. Then the consequences of that forced pre-emptive move. At present it looks as if the phase of defensive attrition is coming to an end. The Ukrainian forces can no longer be relied upon to continue throwing themselves against the Russian line. Shoigu terms what is happening now as “active defence”, that is, moving forward in order to force the Ukrainian fighters to mount attacks to prevent further Russian advances. So it’s possible that attrition, by whatever means, is getting to the stage where it’s done with. We shall then see faster Russian advances if we don’t see the collapse of Ukraine first.
I don’t see the military experts discussing the current action in those terms so I may be wrong. Doesn’t matter. The absorption of parts of the old Ukraine, and the neutralising of the rest so it can no longer serve as a means of annoyance, was the inevitable result of this war from Istanbul on and we in the West are now watching more or less passively or powerlessly as the Russians carry through that aim.
……………………….
3. It’s what happens after the resolution of the Ukrainian dispute that is now in question. A question, amazingly, that I still see no European or American politicians discussing.
All the talk coming out of the US is of a renewed Cold War in Europe. The talk from such as Scholz and Stoltenberg has been the same for some time.
The consequent remilitarisation of Europe has the advantage that we in the European public will continue to focus on conflict with Russia rather than on the increasingly severe domestic problems our various European countries face. It will also allow further expansion of our defence industries: as in the States those defence industries are powerful lobby groups and will be eager to expand. As is seen from the Williamson speech linked to above the UK is hoping to share in that expansion.
But the new cold war will entail deployment of troops on the Russian border and exercises to match. It will probably entail the siting of more missiles near the Russian border. Such deployments as these are in direct contradiction to the Russian security demands of late 2021. It’s scarcely necessary to point out that Russian security demands have no only not been met. The security problems posed by NATO have intensified.
The fear being raised now on both sides of the Atlantic by the politicians and the press is that after Ukraine the Russians will attack Europe. But unless they are further provoked – say by ill treatment of the Baltic Russian minorities or by attempts to cut off Kaliningrad – there is no incentive for them to attack Europe.
We Europeans think there is. We still hold to the beliefs powerfully expressed by an English conservative philosopher and thinker some time back:- “Events in Ukraine and the expansionist policies of President Putin naturally raise questions about the defense of Europe. Whatever Russian aims might be, there is no doubt that a heavily armed country with dwindling economic assets poses a threat, however theoretical, to an affluent neighbor with only tenuous means of defense.”
Sir Roger Scruton is there saying that we are rich and the Russians are poor so we must fear them. But this is nonsense! We are a continent plagued by a variety of social ills – one need only look at the increasing income gap to see that – and we are poor in resources. Our economy is not what it was and is becoming ever weaker. This is no rich land waiting to be plundered. It is no great prize and in fact is becoming a backwater in the world economy. The Russians would have to expend a great deal of effort to take even a part of it and would find themselves paying out hand over fist to keep what they had taken fed and fuelled.
So “The Russians are coming!” is foolish talk and that talk engaged in only to coax us Europeans into Cold War II. What else might the Russians do were their European Security demands not met?
They could walk away. Just that. Statements made by President Putin at the start of the SMO and by Zakharova recently indicate that is a possibility. And there is no need for the Russians to continue supplying us with the fuel and raw materials we need.
Since the European economy is still dependent on Russian fuel and raw materials it is that walking away we should fear, rather than some invented threat of Russian invasion. The European politicians really should be getting those late 2021 European Security demands out of the drawer and considering how best to meet them.

Posted by: English Outsider | Dec 23 2023 22:42 utc | 74

Cargo train carrying Nato military equipment derailed/blown up in Odessa region, according to workers of Ukraine railways.
https://twitter.com/MyLordBebo/status/1738683228821565597

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 23 2023 22:42 utc | 75

Lev Davidovichv, alek_a, Naive
BND? GRU?
i think MI6 have little smarter bots

Posted by: theo | Dec 23 2023 22:50 utc | 76

It’s the end!
Look at the sky.
There is no more way out for the Kiev Nazis, for the US/England/German government clowns.
They will have to pay a very high price for not accepting the documents presented by the Russian government in 2021.
When the Russians finish taking the last cities in Dombas, there will be nothing stopping them from reaching Kiev.

Posted by: Iza | Dec 23 2023 23:14 utc | 77

Posted by: theo | Dec 23 2023 22:50 utc | 76
mi6 is one of the most stupid services. Cf. Skripal, Litvinenko, Berezovsky, Navalny, etc.

Posted by: Naive | Dec 23 2023 23:18 utc | 78

Sky News is extremely butt-hurt Australia is not sending a warship to Operation Guardian Prosperity. Extremely. Several times a day they post yt segments, crying that we are “letting the Americans down”.
Just like NAFO last year, they cannot comprehend Australia lacks military muscle.

Bondi Partners [who?what?] Senior Advisor Peter McGauran says Australia “should be supporting allies” as he slammed the Albanese government’s “terrible” decision to not send a warship requested by the US for assistance against Houthi rebels in the Red Sea.
“Surely we can supply a warship in the Northern Hemisphere as well as maintain our commitments in the Indo-Pacific,” Mr McGauran told Sky News Australia.
“I think the bigger problem here is the government doesn’t have a warship with sufficient capability to be put in harm’s way.
“The Houthis from Yemen, which is an Iranian state, are inveterate users of drones – they have destroyed targets in Saudi Arabia for instance.
“I don’t believe we have a warship that has a counter-drone capacity which is a terrible indictment on our naval capacity.”

Plot-twist: The U$ + UK ALSO don’t really have vessels that are “safe” either….

Posted by: Melaleuca | Dec 23 2023 23:51 utc | 79

Breaking Down Thinktank-land’s Latest: Estonian MoD & ISW Analysis
Excellent SIMPLICIUS THE THINKER analysis of the dire conclusions being drawn by these outfits.
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/breaking-down-thinktank-lands-latest

Posted by: daffyDuct | Dec 23 2023 23:52 utc | 80

Bondi Partners [who?what?]
Bondi is aka Little Tel Aviv in Sydney.

Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Dec 24 2023 0:02 utc | 81

Posted by: HB_Norica | Dec 23 2023 20:48 utc | 68
Right on, but it goes much farther than that. Every day that the kinetic war in Ukraine continues, the shakier the EU economy gets, the strong the axis of resistance gets, and less stable the US political elites get. The war that Russia is fighting is not about Ukraine, that’s just a battlefield. The war Russia is fighting, and winning, is the war against US global hegemony. Anything that Russia does in Ukraine has to be understood in this context.
While I hate to see people die by violence, slavs or not, this battle of attrition in Ukraine is minimizing not just Russian casualties, but global casualties. The genocide in Gaza is part of this picture as well. It’s not up to Russia to stop it, to initiate a direct Great Power kinetic war to attempt to, that’s just a way to get a lot more people killed- maybe even everyone. The fact is that Gaza is another tar baby, like Ukraine, that sucks in western arms and treasure and blood, and if the west starts another such, say in Niger, it will be the same, it will simply accelerate their decline. The Russian/Chinese strategy is very deep, and very global. It’s working. The deaths of the innocents are on the hands of those that kill them, not everyone who doesn’t save them. People who think Russia or China should intervene military in Gaza are completely out of touch with the realities of war, and have no understanding of the consequences of widening the war in terms of human suffering.

Posted by: Honzo | Dec 24 2023 0:07 utc | 83

In case it was not posted before:
https://sputnikglobe.com/20231222/hersh-biden-made-decision-to-destroy-nord-stream-2-few-weeks-before-ukraine-operation-began-1115756868.html
EWmpire of lies as always.

Posted by: Naive | Dec 24 2023 0:08 utc | 84

Posted by: Honzo | Dec 24 2023 0:07 utc | 83
Quite right. It is what people without patience cannot or do not want to understand. Sometimes on purpose, of course.
The empire of lies and of massacres is revealing its true “values”, that is its absence of values or to follow Nietzsche: the inversion of all values.
Will of power: use your power fully, without any hindrance. It works as long as one is the only power.

Posted by: Naive | Dec 24 2023 0:18 utc | 85

Cargo train carrying Nato military equipment derailed/blown up in Odessa region, according to workers of Ukraine railways.
https://twitter.com/MyLordBebo/status/1738683228821565597
Posted by: unimperator | Dec 23 2023 22:42 utc | 75
Not to worry. Rhein-Metall will have that stuff up and running in no time.

Posted by: dh | Dec 24 2023 0:22 utc | 86

Re: Posted by: OnceWere | Dec 23 2023 16:43 utc | 34

You bring up WWI. The front lines in that war scarcely moved for years and yet one side still won decisively.

Which side Won World War I decisively?
If the win in World War I was so decisive – why was there a World War II only 20 years later?

Posted by: Julian | Dec 24 2023 0:28 utc | 87

If the win in World War I was so decisive – why was there a World War II only 20 years later?
Posted by: Julian | Dec 24 2023 0:28 utc | 87
It was so decisive as to prepare for WW2 21 years later. Very simple to understand.

Posted by: Naive | Dec 24 2023 0:42 utc | 88

Breaking Down Thinktank-land’s Latest: Estonian MoD & ISW Analysis
Excellent SIMPLICIUS THE THINKER analysis
Posted by: daffyDuct | Dec 23 2023 23:52 utc | 80
Yes that was good …
SEE https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/high-price-losing-ukraine
As many know, ISW (Institute for the Study of War) is a DC-based neocon cutout run by Kimberly Kagan, sister-in-law to PNAC neocon Robert Kagan, husband to Victoria Nuland. In fact you can see the report itself is undersigned by Robert’s brother, Frederick W. Kagan as well.
Yes the Crazed Neocons are now openly warning about the potential of Russia taking all of Ukraine up to NATOs borders of Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania and deploying Russian Missiles there to match what is now in Belarus! And simultaneously Russia’s defense along the Finland border is being strengthened substantially.
The US has bitten off more than it can chew this time.

Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Dec 24 2023 1:16 utc | 89

Canuck@1912
Thanks for the research and presentation. My knowledge base vs the DuPonts was a bit vague about the particulars of the Brandywine plant and the relative entrepreneurial usefulness of the original members of that family.
Time and money did their things, though, to the point where later generations devolved into de-generations, as they had almost alchemically transmuted themselves from a step or two down the scrotumpole of French Royalty, with something akin to baronial status into an enhanced iteration in the springtime years of the American Republic.
With a foundation firmly rooted in governmental contracts, it is logical to assume that becoming purveyors of “blood money” supplies also inevitably served its role in generational devolution into spoiled rich kids whose family still totally dominates the state of Delaware; while their overall status nationally and corporate internationally renders these coupon-clippers into fully platformed members of the Uber-elite.
Who still claims that the ruptured republic does not sport a moneyed elite, which though aristocratic in a materialistic sense; as grande bourgeois they can be considered as well-embedded arrivistes but sans Nobility’? “Sine Noblis” signifies to be without nobility. There is a certain level of polarity between mere aristocrats and genuine nobles.
Aristos tend to ride the general populace like gelded horses trotting along beneath their saddles and spurred on to higher levels of productivity to benefit the corporate shareholders, particularly the primary star actors. Nobles, in the original sense of the word, may or may not be bloodlines types. Their actions are “pro bono publica”…for the good of the people and of the nation…and on a cultural basis of measurement, perhaps for the whole of humanity and for all life.

Posted by: aristodemos | Dec 24 2023 1:23 utc | 90

Again Simplicius:
So now we get to the real truth about why the earlier-mentioned stealth fleets are so necessary. You see, they admit that NATO have no real ground forces to speak of, nor any artillery left, after giving it all to Ukraine—not that they had much to begin with. In fact, NATO is nothing more than a fragile glass jetfighter masquerading as a military alliance.
But the problem is, they admit that Russian air defense networks are so dense their airforce will not be able to penetrate it without the help of stealth fighters, which are not only fairly limited, but are also critically needed for the Chinese-Taiwan front.

“Paper tiger” is a calque of the Chinese phrase zhǐlǎohǔ . The term refers to something or someone that claims or appears to be powerful or threatening but is actually ineffectual and unable to withstand challenge.

Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Dec 24 2023 1:28 utc | 91

Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Dec 24 2023 1:16 utc | 89
Given that they claim Russia has lost 350+k soldiers and over 90% of its initially deployed equipment, whilst Ukraine has lost far less, two obviously problematic questions are raised by this inconsistent analysis. How, and with what?

Posted by: Milites | Dec 24 2023 1:33 utc | 92

Bondi is aka Little Tel Aviv in Sydney.
Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Dec 24 2023 0:02 utc | 81
Well. All of Waverley Local Government Area. Dover Heights, Double Pay/Bay, Rose/Nose Bay. Waverley… that exquisite sweet spot in Sydney real estate, with both Harbour and Beach views, / access… just kms from the CBD.
Was briefly acquainted (some decades past) with a guy starting out in property development speculation, who became fascinated with the eruv wire in that locality.
Serendipity. He noticed a development application with Waverley Council to extend the wire, and I’m lead to believe, did quite well by loading up on some properties from unaware goy. Did a quick flip to ride the exponential value rise once those properties were fortuitously “inside” the wire. He did well, though not as well, I imagine, as those cashed up, and in the know, *before* the DA was lodged….
As to why “Bondi Partners” are agitating for an Australian warship [sitting duck] be assigned to protect U$/Isreal’s “interests” in the Red Sea….. just join the dots, or, follow me wire…..

Posted by: Melaleuca | Dec 24 2023 1:35 utc | 93

“The future of NATO is bound up with the future of Ukraine much more tightly than most people understand.”
Part Two https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/high-price-losing-ukraine-part-2-%E2%80%94-military-threat-and-beyond

Posted by: Lavrov’s Dog | Dec 24 2023 1:45 utc | 94

Furthermore, in general throughout history of war, attack has been harder than defense.
Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:32 utc | 25
The rue of thumb is attackers should have a 3 to 1 numerical advantage in order to overcome a defense. However, this hasn’t borne out in the historical data. Attackers “win” about 62 percent of the time.
https://i0.wp.com/www.dupuyinstitute.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/CAA-Battle-Outcome-vs.-Force-Ratio.png

Posted by: James M. | Dec 24 2023 2:18 utc | 95

Herr B – Fröhliche Weinacht und Silverstersabend! Und glüchlichers Neujahr!

Posted by: Adriatic Hillbilly | Dec 24 2023 2:40 utc | 96

Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:32 utc | 25
>Furthermore, in general throughout history of war, attack has been harder than defense.
Any such “generalizations” are based on cherry-picked data, meaning inherently non-generalized. Technology changes things. If one side has rifles and the other is using spears and bows and arrows, attacking not so difficult. This was how the Europeans conquered much of the world despite being outnumbered, often 100:1 outnumbered. USA successfully attacked mainland Japan without putting any infantry at risk, much less needing 3:1 advantage. Just needed saturation bombing of Tokyo followed by nuking Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
Russia already has air advantage over Ukraine and the advantage will soon be overwhelming, meaning the ability to saturation bomb those trenches Ukraine is digging in Sumy and Chernigiv oblasts that shadowbanned is so anxious about. I’d hate to be Ukraine infantry in those trenches when a fuel-air bomb explodes overhead.

Posted by: anonposter | Dec 24 2023 2:44 utc | 97

Yes, ZH blows smoke out its ass a bit as the title and content of this posting show
Putin Now Serious About Negotiating End To War: Diplomats
Don’t even think the piece is worth the effort to find and smell

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 24 2023 3:28 utc | 98

All the sanctimonious bs! Yukie is dead! Get over it for God’s sake! Bury the Nazis and musician dong suckers in hell. Who cares!!!

Posted by: nook | Dec 24 2023 3:30 utc | 99

Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 23 2023 15:32 utc | 25
>Furthermore, in general throughout history of war, attack has been harder than defense.
Any such “generalizations” are based on cherry-picked data, meaning inherently non-generalized.
Posted by: anonposter | Dec 24 2023 2:44 utc | 97
Even the generalization only applies to fixed positions with some level of protection. In a war of maneuver much smaller forces can prevail against large forces by seizing the initiative and forcing the enemy to react to their moves. The ability of the ‘active’ force to choose where and when to fight is a tremendous force multiplier. In addition, logistics are critical, and heavily fortified forces isolated from supply will have to surrender sooner or later. Fortifications are only as strong as the ability to supply them, and this is an area where the Russian advantage is huge. Their ability to interdict supply and reinforcements deep in the Ukrainian rear has no counterpart for Ukrainian forces. The only balancing element is that the west provides a safe rear area for training and assembling forces, but once they enter Ukraine itself they are at constant risk of destruction, wherever they are in Ukraine.

Posted by: Honzo | Dec 24 2023 4:05 utc | 100