Ukraine SitRep: Battlefield Reports Show Lack Of Armor And Certain Munitions
Certain trends on the Ukrainian battle field can be seen in the daily reports the Russian military puts outs.
When the Ukrainian president Zelensky visited Washington he was criticized for his failing military strategy:
Ukraine will retake the fiercely contested eastern city of Bakhmut from Russia by the end of the year, President Volodymyr Zelensky predicted during his visit to Washington, an assertion that shows the gulf between Kyiv and American war planners who believe that Ukraine should be focusing more on the south.
...
U.S. intelligence and military officials have long questioned why Ukraine has fought so hard in Bakhmut, the scene of one of the bloodiest battles of the war. In March, Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III said the city was “more of a symbolic value than it is strategic and operational value.”But Mr. Zelensky has been intent on trying to retake lost territory, and Ukraine has committed large numbers of troops and weapons to retaking Bakhmut and defending the surrounding Donbas region.
Some American officials say the fight in Bakhmut has become something of an obsession for Mr. Zelensky and his military leaders. The Ukrainians’ relentless focus on the city led them to believe that a possible victory was just around the corner, long after American officials had counseled them to move on to other targets because victory for either side would be pyrrhic.
I somewhat agree with U.S. officials on Bakhmut. It no longer has any strategic value for the Ukraine and its army is losing many soldiers and equipment in its continuing attacks there. In fact it is currently losing many more around Bakhmut than it is losing in its southern attack towards the Sea of Azov.
Today's report by the Russian Ministry of Defense lists 445 Ukrainian casualties in the Donetzk direction, mostly around Bakhmut, and only 100 casualties on the Zaporozhye front in the south. Yesterday's report had 305 versus 35. Last week's summary listed 1,455 Ukrainian troops killed and wounded around Bakhmut and 515 in the southern direction. There was no discernible progress in either direction.
Another trend noticeable in the daily reports is an increasing Ukrainian lack of armored vehicles.
A month ago the reported destruction of armored vehicles (including tanks) and unarmored trucks and pick-ups was still somewhat equal with, depending on the intensity of fighting, some 10-20 of both being destroyed per day. This has been the case since early March. My spreadsheet derived from the daily reports since March 2 sums up a total of 3,663 armored versus 3,600 unarmored vehicles as Ukrainian losses.
Over the last weeks that ratio has changed. Today the report says 12 armored versus 20 unarmored rides. Yesterday the ratio was 7 to 19. Last week's summary lists 84 armored versus 145 unarmored vehicles. Over the last 30 days the numbers are 419 armored versus 632 unarmored.
The ratio has not changed due to tactics. The first counter-offensive movements with high concentrations of tanks have failed. But those were only a few days with high armor losses. Ukraine has since emphasized infantry attacks. But the soldiers must still be transported towards their frontline positions. It is what armored vehicles, also called battle taxis, are used for as the frontline is usually under strong artillery fire. But it now seems that trucks and pick-ups are also used for this. They do not have a chance to survive under fire.
The lack of armor is likely caused by Russian kamikaze drones who are hunting down any single ride they can find. Replenishment from the West, which is running out of reserve vehicles, is no longer enough to replace what the Ukrainian army is losing on the battlefield.
Another trend can be seen in the type of Ukrainian artillery that the daily reports claim as destroyed. The Soviet era 152mm howitzer D-20 and MSTA-B as well as the self propelled 152mm Akatzíya are becoming less mentioned. There are now higher losses of 122mm D-30 and the self propelled 122mm 2S1 Gvodzdika. The bigger guns could reach further. Their diminishing numbers have been replaced by western derived 155 mm guns like the British made M-777 howitzer and various types of western self propelled 155mm howitzers like the Polish Krab systems. The daily reports show increasing losses of those. Losses of Soviet era Multi Launch Rocket Systems like the truck mounted Grad system have become a rarity on the Ukrainian side.
The observable change in destroyed guns likely reflects the availability of ammunition, or rather the lack of it. In February the New York Times reported that the production of 122mm ammunition in Bulgaria has been increased:
The factory stopped making the 122-millimeter shells in 1988 as the Cold War came to a close. But soon the assembly lines will be running again. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has turned Soviet-era arms and ammunition into critically important matériel as Western nations seek to supply Ukraine with the munitions it needs to foil Moscow’s assault.And so in January, 35 years after the last 122-millimeter shells left the Terem plant, the company recommissioned production.
I have seen no such reports for a 152 mm production line. Nor can I find any report about the production of Grad missiles. The systems which use those no longer appear on the battlefield as they have become useless.
While probably not exact in their numbers the daily reports by the Russian Ministry of Defense do show certain trends on the battle field that reflect the economic and logistic realities of the war quite well.
The overall high number of Ukrainian human losses in these reports, especially in the Bakhmut direction, have been confirmed by reports from the Ukrainian side. Videos also show that the Ukrainian side is using fewer armored vehicles and more trucks or even civilian vehicles. The losses of artillery pieces reflect the reported availability of certain types of ammunition.
Following the daily Russian reports is quite useful. I wonder why western media are not doing it.
Posted by b on September 25, 2023 at 16:38 UTC | Permalink
next page »Victoria "Fuck the EU” Nuland & her band of merry Neocons have no reverse gear:
“More M1 Abrams tanks will be sent in the coming months, the officials said, noting that those that were shipped into Ukrgaine on Saturday represented the first of 31 that the Biden administration has promised to send. The officials would not say how many have been delivered so far.”
https://jamesburrillangell.substack.com/p/strange-diplomacy-victoria-fck-the
Come on!!! When Russians captured it u explained by map of it's importance
Posted by: A.z | Sep 25 2023 17:00 utc | 4
Another confirmation of b's assessment:
https://t.me/CyberspecNews/43303
Ukrainian forces use HIMARS/M270 to hit a Russian antenna.📍47.392977,35.793944
🧐 This indicates that Ukrainian forces have serious problem when comes to artillery and depends on HIMARS/M270 for almost every target. The antenna is located only around 4.5 km from the frontlines and cost difference is huge (antennas are cheap).
Posted by: xor | Sep 25 2023 17:01 utc | 5
Following current events is generally a very gloomy and grim affair. The one thing I find cheerful is the US provoked a cowardly proxy war and is going to lose badly.
Posted by: chunga | Sep 25 2023 17:06 utc | 6
@ chunga | Sep 25 2023 17:06 utc | 7
true...............
Posted by: james | Sep 25 2023 17:07 utc | 7
@ post 3
I am sure Russia is eagerly awaiting the Abrams arrival so they can add one or two to the growing collection of western War trophies in Patriot's Park
Posted by: Golddigger | Sep 25 2023 17:12 utc | 8
A month ago the reported destruction of armored vehicles (including tanks) and unarmored trucks and pick-ups was still somewhat equal with, depending on the intensity of fighting, some 10-20 of both being destroyed per day. This has been the case since early March. My spreadsheet derived from the daily reports since March 2 sums up a total of 3,663 armored versus 3,600 unarmored vehicles as Ukrainian losses.
The pro-Russian LostArmour.info records a total of 2,309 visually confirmed losses since the beginning of the invasion (destroyed, disabled without recovery or captured) for Ukrainian armoured vehicles, so I do find it somewhat amusing that b comes up with the figure of 3,663 since March of this year based on Russian MoD reports. It is little wonder that some come to the conclusion that the AFU is on the verge of collapse any day now, Konashenkov has after all claimed to have destroyed the whole Ukrainian air force many times over. Keeping a spreadsheet based on what he says is only useful for later mocking the RuMoD, not using their figures unironically.
Interestingly, Oryx actually shows Ukrainian losses to be higher than the pro-Russian LostArmour resource.
Posted by: Soothsayer | Sep 25 2023 17:15 utc | 9
@az Come on!!! When Russians captured it u explained by map of it's importance
What is important for one side may not be important for the other side.
There is nothing in the strategic picture that would make Bakhmut, now largely destroyed, useful for the Ukrainian side. It is simply not the best use of its stretched resources.
From the Russian viewpoint Bakhmut was the Ukrainian logistic hub for a large front. Taking it out at that time made sense.
Following current events is generally a very gloomy and grim affair. The one thing I find cheerful is the US provoked a cowardly proxy war and is going to lose badly.Posted by: chunga | Sep 25 2023 17:06 utc | 6
How many US military personnel has the US lost in this war? Russia has lost 2870 officers as of September 25, 2023 (open source, real numbers will be higher). Of these we have
1 Lt. Gen
5 Maj. Gen
74 Col
178 Lt. Col
354 Maj
494 Capt
837 Senior Lt
505 Lt
51 Junior Lt
285 retired officers
86 officers of unknown rank
In addition, we have 31,875 obituaries for enlisted and officers found on Russian social media, according to the Goryushko telegram channel which tracks Russian armed forces losses.
As Lindsey Graham said, this is the best money the US has ever spent, which is why the usual anti-American crowd who want America to fall have suddenly become so concerned about the wellbeing of America's public purse, I'm sure they have the best interest of America and NATO in mind...
Posted by: Soothsayer | Sep 25 2023 17:26 utc | 12
… I have seen no such reports for a 152 mm production line. Nor can I find any report about the production of Grad missiles. …
Perhaps not what you had in mind but Grad rockets and 152mm artillery shells were reportedly supplied to Ukraine by Pakistani defence manufacturers. Not sure if this is ongoing supply or what the total numbers are.
Posted by: anon2020 | Sep 25 2023 17:31 utc | 13
@12 - I'm looking big picture. I believe this is existential for the Empire of Lies. Once Russia wins and Europeans have time to digest who destroyed those gas pipes they are going to kick troublemaking Americans out.
Another thing, without the mighty invincible military one cannot have the magic printing press and without the magic printing press one cannot have the mighty invincible military. Russia has PROVED the US military is neither mighty nor invincible. Much of the bloated military budget was simply stolen. As is the habit of Americans.
The world at large sees this plain as day.
Posted by: chunga | Sep 25 2023 17:35 utc | 14
Bakhmut area has a major rail hub is along a main highway and has hundreds of KM’s of “underground cities”. It absolutely has value. Ukraine and the west screamed over and over about attacking the south but planned a major assault out of Bakhmut, the Russians pointed this about before they launched the assault. It was absolutely devastating for Ukraine to lose.
Cities are great to park on north south roads behind buildings if the enemy is only to the west. It was a major battle of the war and the west did not expect it to happen.
Posted by: OhCanada | Sep 25 2023 17:50 utc | 15
Posted by: Roger | Sep 25 2023 16:43 utc | 1
Some of the stuff that’s going on is so dumb that it’s difficult to credit many of the protagonists with a survival instinct but I seriously doubt that those responsible for this very deliberate strategy of cruise missile attacks had anyone or anything important sitting around in a big fucking shit magnet like the Hotel Odessa complex right after they’d just hit Russia's fleet HQ.
I don’t know what the solution to these attacks is but it certainly isn’t to be found in pretty generic retaliatory strikes dressed up in feel-good damage assessments.
Posted by: anon2020 | Sep 25 2023 17:52 utc | 16
I haven't seen any F-16 fantasy hopium for several days now.
Posted by: Figleaf23 | Sep 25 2023 17:54 utc | 17
Unfortunately, the printed western money would soon be poured into arm production. Bulgaria, Serbia and similar countries are ramping up their shell production for Ukraine.
Kremlin is to to slow while western resources are inexhaustible.
Posted by: simplex | Sep 25 2023 17:54 utc | 18
@Soothsayer
LOL! You and your informations from Ukrainian sources again? Try a lot harder! Geeez, you really are a funny Banderite.
Posted by: hes | Sep 25 2023 17:55 utc | 19
Soothsayer 12
Yes, the Democrats have finally proved to US and European citizens and RoW 87 % that the US government is totally evil. No other way to do it. Even the Atlantacists are shocked to have tied themselves to the mast of a sinking ship. Why would any European of any calibre forgive the US for bringing this war to Europe?
Posted by: Giyane | Sep 25 2023 17:56 utc | 20
@soothayer
I don't believe Ukrainians should die for American benefit any more than I think Americans should. And they are dying while others get rich.
I also don't want to see America fall. I adore Western culture (although not the slavery/colonialism history). Advancing interests by military means will cause America to to lose its values and collapse from within if not externally from fighting losing wars.
Posted by: WG | Sep 25 2023 18:02 utc | 22
Another trend noticeable in the daily reports is an increasing Ukrainian lack of armored vehicles.
The Spring counteroffensive will soon end … during the coming wet season UA will be focused on delivery of long range missiles that could inflict critical damage …
Russia should have enforced a war zone including international airspace to abolish NATO infringement over Black Sea and participating in war through intelligence sharing as we have seen from Iraq-Iran war of the 80s forward.
It’s terrible, a lot of Ukrainians were killed, why do Ukrainians continue to tolerate this and don’t try to overthrow these assholes with Zelensky? Do they really think of fighting to the last Ukrainian for the sake of the USA and NATO? At this rate, there will be no men left in Ukraine, then how are they going to pay off the endless loans and debts of the West? This is madness.
https://t.me/chub_detection/13893
Posted by: Crazy idiot | Sep 25 2023 18:12 utc | 24
It’s probable that scarcity of long range 152 and Nato 155mm systems is an actual game changer in Ukraine. The 122mm systems are in relative terms medium/short range systems and less effective for counter-battery duty. Counter-battery duty is critical, and AFU relies mostly on Himars which is a specialized, much more expensive and rare system.
On the other hand, dealing with long range MLRS like Himars is hard because the searchable are is much larger behind the line. Same applies of course to Tornado-S system (there are claims Tornado-S was used to hit a Mig-29 and ammo train recently).
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2023 18:17 utc | 25
@Soothsayer | Sep 25 2023 17:15 utc | 9
As far that I understand it LostArmour is not some government group collecting data but civilians who are collecting destroyed tank photos (not just from the war in Ukraine but also from different war theater.
They post pictures and count those numbers.
So maybe you can fathom that not from every destroyed Ukrainian tank or ifv/apc there is a picture? Furthermore you may realise that even there is picture that doesn't mean, that LostArmour gets the picture...
Posted by: NoName | Sep 25 2023 18:18 utc | 26
Posted by: NoName | Sep 25 2023 18:18 utc | 27
It's better not to trust the figures coming out of either Ministry of Defence, Ukraine's or Russia's. Both ministries release absurd figures for the losses of the other side.
Posted by: Soothsayer | Sep 25 2023 18:24 utc | 27
Posted by: NoName | Sep 25 2023 18:18 utc | 27
Oryx numbers should be divided by two, because they use pictures taken from various directions on the same tank. It is not random, but a systematic method of operation.
Ukraine’s general staff also plainly lie about most things they claim. On Russian side the lies are more lies by ommissions (some things are untold but what is told is relatively accurate).
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2023 18:30 utc | 28
"I also don't want to see America fall. I adore Western culture (although not the slavery/colonialism history). Advancing interests by military means will cause America to to lose its values and collapse from within if not externally from fighting losing wars."
America is being invaded by the surplus population of the third world. It has been betrayed by its own elites and, if this continues for any length of time, America as it has been will be destroyed. Oh sure, there will be a place on the map called "The United States of America," it will have a government, but the place will be functionally like Brazil or Mexico (if we are lucky) or Pakistan or Bangladesh (if we are not lucky). America is not losing its values; it is being deliberately destroyed from within.
So as interesting at the current Ukrainian/Russian conflict is, for US citizens, there is a much more important invasion in progress.
Posted by: TG | Sep 25 2023 18:34 utc | 30
@Soothsayer | Sep 25 2023 18:24 utc | 28
Well, I see it very similarly, although I trust the Russian MOD figures more than the Ukrainian ones.
The reason is that the Ukrainians give very low casualty figures and in my opinion they are not consistent due to other information.
For example, personnel losses: we know approximately what their strength was in February 2022 (about 250,000). In summer/fall 2022 they reported that they had already recruited 1 million new men and also this year recruiting continued.... but their casualty figures are very low - it just doesn't fit. The same examples can be found in the equipment...
Posted by: NoName | Sep 25 2023 18:37 utc | 31
Ukrainian forces use HIMARS/M270 to hit a Russian antenna.
This indicates that Ukrainian forces have serious problem when comes to artillery
Posted by: xor | Sep 25 2023 17:01 utc | 5
That tg channel draws a very wrong conclusion. It simply means they have so many himars they use them for everything. Their mlrs ammo is almost unlimited. the launchers are limited but Russia's lack of drones and satellites and their static positions, never attacking, means shoot and run mlrs are rarely stopped. They can intercept the missiles, where is really needed.
Posted by: rk | Sep 25 2023 18:39 utc | 32
@unimperator | Sep 25 2023 18:30 utc | 29
I never cared about Oryx... I always thought that they are just a propaganda tool.
Lost Armour I knew already before the SMO. They were always collecting "lost armour". Especially also from the time of the Syrian civil war.
Posted by: NoName | Sep 25 2023 18:46 utc | 33
If the Western media were to follow the loss reports, they'd also have to start accepting that they've been selling an insane lie to the public all along and that the war attempt against Russia is a hopeless pointless mass suicide. And that's something they cannot permit themselves, nor be permitted, to do.
Posted by: Red Outsider | Sep 25 2023 18:46 utc | 34
Surely it has become apparent that Zelinsky and his administration appear to be, to use a Texas saying, “a taco short of a combination plate”. Actually, two tacos short!
Iodine status of children and women of reproductive age in the Western region of Ukraine
December 2019 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENDOCRINOLOGY (Ukraine) 15(7):541-547
DOI:10.22141/2224-0721.15.7.2019.186057
Background. In recent years, the incidence of thyroid gland pathology has increased in Ukraine. The absolute number of cases of thyroid diseases in Ukraine over the past 10 years has increased from 689,000 to 1,486,000, according to the prevalence rates, that is 941.6 and 4,210.4 cases per 100,000 of population, respectively. Thyroid pathology with its total frequency in the population (as of 01.01.2018) is 46 % of the total endocrinological morbidity and takes the first place among endocrinopathies. The main cause is imbalance of trace elements and vitamins in the diet against the environmental degradation and technogenic pollution. The purpose of the work was to evaluate the iodine deficiency degree in the population of the Western region of Ukraine
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Iodine deficiency can have a negative impact on IQ. People living in areas affected by severe iodine deficiency may have an IQ of up to 13.5 points below that of those from comparable communities in areas where there is no iodine deficiency1. Iodine-deficient people may forfeit 15 IQ points, and nearly 50 million people suffer from some degree of iodine deficiency-related brain damage2. Every single study analyzed showed a positive correlation between IQ and iodine3. The population in iodine-deficient areas saw IQs rise by a full standard deviation, which is 15 points, after iodized salt was introduced4.
Posted by: GEORGE CHAMBERLAIN | Sep 25 2023 18:47 utc | 35
thanks b, good stuff.
and
by: Roger | Sep 25 2023 16:43 utc | 1
1. Global Hawk goes up to monitor Crimea
2. Ukies launch drone/missile attack to use up the Russian AA missiles
3. Coordinated attack on Crimea
Yes, MilSu Dima might have some ideas on his own there, but in reality Global Hawk is just an add-on to Poseidon and Aries systems. Those are also flying and are needed for scanning radar, ships, subs and EW coverage.
The issue is that GPS is jammed heavily in the South-western part of the Black Sea and along the Romanian coast, so those NATO ISR assets are flying relatively protected.
I am pretty sure that very often GH is blinded, at least in some spectrums. Also, its satellite uplink is typically broken by EW after an hour or two, and not always. The best action would be to publicly and militarily deny those assets altogether. There is a designated corridor where planes can fly, but NATO is coming way too close.
Boeing RC-135W Rivet Joint is lately typically circling around Kaliningrad at night.
GH is scanning at 16 km height and at 80-120 or so km away from southern Russian coast. They can see a fly on an apple in Yalta. It is just annoying, and lately rather deadly and dangerous.
I doubt that any of Crimean strikes are done by Ukrainians. It was a pure and a direct NATO op.
And Hotel Odesa is just one of many places to hunt for NATO in Southern Ukraine.
At Kilia and Primorske near Romanian border are helipads and a definite NATO presence. They are using Tulcea airport for evac and casavac.
I think RF has that all under control. As GeromanAT on X dewd says, time will tell...
Posted by: whirlX | Sep 25 2023 19:01 utc | 36
Posted by: rk | Sep 25 2023 18:39 utc | 34
Unlimited supply do not exist nor from the NATO side nor from the Russian side.
Using something that cost hundred thousand dollars if not million to clear an antenna is very poor management.
Same thing with the Chinese spy ballon
USA used million usd missile, an expensive flight mission, to clear a Ballon 1/10 or maybe 1/100 of the value.
It's not unlimited availability, it's shooting with a cannon to a mosquito, because they have nothing else.
Posted by: Mario | Sep 25 2023 19:03 utc | 37
Alex Christoforou theduran.com, relayed a report from Russian media that a Leopard tank destroyed yielded a prisoner who spoke only German, no Russian.
Does anyone have corroboration of this statement?
Posted by: Cecil Lena | Sep 25 2023 19:06 utc | 38
Also Oryx once more.
In the beginning Ukraine had roughly 2500 tanks of the various old T-models.
Let's say 1000 were active and 1500 mothballed. The 1000 were immediately in use and they began refurbishing the storaged ones, they also received later in Fall 2022 help from Poland and Czech refurbishing. Poland and Czech also continuously fed probably 500 more active T-72 and T-64 an T-55 tanks Ukraine.
So in December 2022, was the first interview where Zaluzhny said in one of the western rags that he needs "300 tanks, 600 AFVs, 500 artillery" etc. to launch the attack in 2023. Why did he request more tanks if they already have 1500-2000 usable tanks? Because there were only few of them left.
Also the Ukrainian tanks started disappearing from the front in Donbass in late 2022. The speculation was they were either run out or withdrawn for the winter or maintenance.
It's also common in this sort of conflict that you can present your own tanks as the other side's tanks, and this is what happened with Oryx and other western backed sources. So I would not modify Oryx figures not only by 2, but something like 2.3 when you take into account that effect. But each to their own, Ukraine clearly lost most of their 1500-2000 active tanks by December 2022.
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2023 19:07 utc | 39
Posted by: TG | Sep 25 2023 18:34 utc | 31
#############
America is being destroyed by its enlightenment "values" which have led to OnlyFans, obesity, transvestite Generals, and the commercialized murder of the unborn.
Immigrants are convenient scapegoats because they are the "other". Not all of them want to slaughter the next generation, or pimp out their daughters as cam whores, or castrate their sons before puberty. Those mental illnesses are relatively unique to the West, and America in particular.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 25 2023 19:10 utc | 40
Is HOMARS a ballistic weapon? If so, why cant Russian army deduce the positions of launchers?
Posted by: Simplex | Sep 25 2023 19:13 utc | 41
It is telling that the NY Times casually mentions "US war planners" while talking about Ukraine.
What is odd is that NY Times readers will insist that the US is not involved in the war in Ukraine. Graham, Romney, Haley, and other gloaters over Russian deaths, are simply ignored. How is it possible that they can read about "US war planners", as well as the money and weapons supplied to the Kiev regime, and still insist that this is a war only between Russia and Ukraine?
No cognitive dissonance involved. It is pure Doublethink.
Posted by: wagelaborer | Sep 25 2023 19:26 utc | 42
"Last week's summary listed 1,455 Ukrainian troops killed and wounded around Bakhmut and 515 in the southern direction. There was no discernible progress in either direction."
These figures are adding in the wounded, so people shouldn't be using the figures for the number of dead, as there may be more wounded then dead in the mix.
I think Ukrainian forces deaths have been exaggerated in people's minds by assuming the figures are dead only.
Posted by: MiniMO | Sep 25 2023 19:27 utc | 43
I have had the notion that the fight in that area was suspicious when the losses were so high for what seemed so little gain. I keep wondering if something is buried there? Señor 404 would not care a whit about Bakmuht but Joe does and has ordered the nazi to protect it at all costs or else. I never recall Wagner doing more than sealing the other connections in the tunnel entrances on 404 occupied territory.
Are the "contractors" hiding the godzilla of the medical laboratories developing bio weapons? Are they hoping 404 will win so they don't have to blow up same laboratories and kill selves to protect the US?
Not sure what else they would hide for the benefit of the west, but I'm not that bright.
Posted by: Tard | Sep 25 2023 19:29 utc | 44
Almost sure western media follow the daily reports of Russian MOD. But they are doing their job: filter out what they don't want to talk about.
Posted by: w | Sep 25 2023 19:39 utc | 45
@37
That iodine deficiency article is a bit hard to find, but here's a link. I find this so shocking as to be hard to believe. Iodized salt is not expensive, and it's hard to fathom how any country in Europe would have difficulty making it generally available.
Posted by: Boris Badenov | Sep 25 2023 19:59 utc | 46
@40 “ Alex Christoforou theduran.com, relayed a report from Russian media that a Leopard tank destroyed yielded a prisoner who spoke only German, no Russian.
Does anyone have corroboration of this statement?”
Gilbert Doctorow reporting same: “ As a further straw in the wind, I point to another deeply troublesome bit of information that you will not find in The New York Times. The Russian news ticker today carries a report from a Russian commander in the field in Ukraine that his unit just destroyed a Leopard tank and found that the entire crew was Germans. Two of them were killed and one injured tank officer was taken prisoner. Those manning a Leopard surely were not soldiers of fortune but genuine Bundeswehr boys. Put in other words, NATO is now directly on the battlefield and not as advisers or instructors. We are headed into very dangerous territory.”
Posted by: ZimInSeattle | Sep 25 2023 20:00 utc | 47
I invite your comments on this fact checking exercise.
Posted by: jpc | Sep 25 2023 17:25 utc | 11
WHAT FACT CHECKING? It's all confirmation bias, where quoting Stoltenberg and the NYT is somehow more factual because, well, you know, they're more trustworthy. I call bullshit.
As for The Journal’s factcheck team, if you want credibility, pack a bag and get a flight to the war zone, put on a war helmet and body armour, and go count bodies, instead of sitting in your mom's basement Googling facts. Honestly B, I don't know how you let this b.s. get in print, and same goes for Soothsayer, that dipshit hasn't printed a fact yet.
Posted by: madmarc | Sep 25 2023 20:03 utc | 48
"Following the daily Russian reports is quite useful. We wonders why western media are not doing it."
perhaps because it creates too much cognitive dissonance with the dominant imperial narrative,
which has gone on for so long and it repeated so often that it's taken as truth in spite of all the objective evidence and facts to the contrary.
Posted by: michaelj72 | Sep 25 2023 20:09 utc | 49
2. According to the Ukraine' Minister of Health the number of disabled people who lost limbs amounted to 25,000 people. In the WWII, the number of disabled people without limbs was about 5% of the total number of wounded. That would around 500,000 wounded people. From this number, a low estimation of 25%, are dead: 125,000. Add 10,000 POW, and 20,000 missing soldiers: 155,000 irretrievable Ukrainians and 500,000 wounded. That's a KIA ratio of 1/5 for the all SMO. Conservative numbers. A tragedy. A real nightmare for all the brothers. A disaster.
.
Posted by: Lalita | Sep 25 2023 18:16 utc | 25
25.000 amputees , france in ww1 had 50.000 with 1.000.000 dead and 1.500.000 wounded (of which 600.000 invalids) and they raised 8.000.000 battling out for almost 40 months.
25.000 at 19 months, do the math 500.000 dead, 750.000 wounded (of which 500.000 unfit to continue and 200.000 will be permanent invalids) and they either raised 4.000.000 or they're thinning their forces to the bone before each new levée ( I think that's the case and they only raised 2.000.000 so far, it's closer to what is possible without drafting heavily from pro.ukraine zones)...
I had 20.000/400.000 before the counterattack and almost 4 months @ 1.250-1.500/25.000-30.000 dead per month looks right
Now the big unkown is how long the recovery takes in the case of those that go back, but even if we say just a month that means an additional 100.000 unavailable at any end of month
Posted by: newbie | Sep 25 2023 20:29 utc | 50
Crooke was on Going Underground, which is an RT production, for a 28 minute conversation, "Alastair Crooke: ENORMOUS Tensions in Ukraine, USA’s Increasing Isolation & Europe Becoming a Vassal". For those who've been watching events everywhere very closely, he doesn't say much of anything that's new. I'll be interested to see how his conversation with Judge Napolitano goes, if it occurs this week, in comparison with his GU appearance.
Crooke's SCF essay, "The ‘Last Man’ Teleology and the Fall of the West" is more about what he called "the greater jihad" on GU, not the "lesser jihad" which is the conflict in Ukraine.
The 30 day forecast for Donetsk predicts unusually dry weather and the same is true for Kharkov region. Lots of sunny skies for drones and their pilots.
Is HIMARS a ballistic weapon? If so, why cant Russian army deduce the positions of launchers?Posted by: Simplex | Sep 25 2023 19:13 utc | 43
They can tell the location. But it takes time. The HIMARS is a truck-mounted weapon. So as soon as it fires it moves to another location. By the time Russia has figured out where it fired from, the truck has moved.
Posted by: Simon | Sep 25 2023 20:46 utc | 52
I am sure Russia is eagerly awaiting the Abrams arrival so they can add one or two to the growing collection of western War trophies in Patriot's Park
Posted by: Golddigger | Sep 25 2023 17:12 utc | 8
In light of the German crewed Leopard allegations.
Who will crew these machines?
Posted by: jpc | Sep 25 2023 20:54 utc | 53
The telegraph radio station is the most pro Ukrainian thing around their guest speaker today said the troops at the front are low in moral and are starting to question leadership and seriously doubt they can achieve any of the goals the west has set out.
It seems like either NATO enters this war soon or it will be over shortly. The Russians have no intentions of letting these guys off the hook. It’s going to be an interesting couple of months.
Posted by: OohCanada | Sep 25 2023 20:56 utc | 54
ZimInSeattle | Sep 25 2023 20:00 utc | 51
The report I read had the Leopard driver dying shortly after talking to the Russians. I don't believe that even got out of the tank. Whether the Russians got his body out is unknown. If the story is true.
b
The M-777, whilst having an element of British design, is made in the US.
Is HOMARS a ballistic weapon? If so, why cant Russian army deduce the positions of launchers?
Posted by: Simplex | Sep 25 2023 19:13 utc | 43
The HIMARS is ballistic which is why the Russians are able to shoot so many down in areas where they have AD sited. The Russians have almost failed to destroy any launcher due to them moving as soon as they have fired the missiles. Whether that will change when more persistent Recon UAV are deployed in larger numbers remains to be see. But with ATACMS probably coming there is an increased need as, like the Iskander, it has final stage maneuvering.
Posted by: JohninMK | Sep 25 2023 20:56 utc | 55
get a flight to the war zone, put on a war helmet and body armour, and go count bodies
Posted by: madmarc | Sep 25 2023 20:03 utc | 54
The US government regularly provided body count figures during the Vietnam war. Any body would, real or fudged, do so long as the numbers looked positive. Clearly official policy to keep the home front thinking the right way.
Lot's of comments passed among the grunts about that back in the day.
Then came Watergate, and it was all for naught. All the bodies, all the horror, all the PTSD, the legless, the broken minds and the forever broken hearts.
That term btw evolved from WW1 shell shock, to WW2 battle fatigue..you know, folks just got fatigued, then came the ever more professional PTSD. Took me a while to grasp that one.
For My Country. And now the Battle lines are being drawn again it seems.
I do wish some many who post here could be more aware. No offense intended madmarc. I like your choice of handle btw..In a time of universal deceit.
Deceit isn't exactly new though, nor exclusive to any particular region.
Posted by: bubbles | Sep 25 2023 20:57 utc | 56
Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 25 2023 20:39 utc | 57
Salud barflies,just came to tell you that I’m gone, like Gaisnbourg’s song. The tragedy is so great that its easy to loose voice and reasoning. I keep an eye though, but I cannot let it consume my time and myself, it is destructive like the times in general. So that was it, I just dropped by to say hi, just read in Dzen an article by Dugin -Darya’s father as he signs- absolute rupture with the degenerate and decaying west, that’s the only option for Russia’s survival, that’s his thesis, after the Canadian horror show that statement makes a lot of sense. Cheers.
Posted by: Paco | Sep 25 2023 20:57 utc | 57
As for The Journal’s factcheck team, if you want credibility, pack a bag and get a flight to the war zone, put on a war helmet and body armour, and go count bodies, instead of sitting in your mom's basement Googling facts. Honestly B, I don't know how you let this b.s. get in print, and same goes for Soothsayer, that dipshit hasn't printed a fact yet.
Posted by: madmarc | Sep 25 2023 20:03 utc | 54
Well said.
This is the trusted information people are fed in approved narrative channels.
All the lies fit to print.
Oh and discredit Claire Daly before the euro elections.
Shoddy hacks masquerading as journalists.
Posted by: jpc | Sep 25 2023 21:01 utc | 58
Cecil Lena @ 40, Zim in Seattle @ 51:
I saw mention of the news about the Russian capture of the Leopard tank and its apparent all-German crew a few days ago on Sputnik News website. There was mention of it on a past MoA comments forum. Unfortunately we will have to wait for more information from both Russian and non-Russian sources to verify if the news is correct. One would have thought by now that the Russian govt would have ordered the German ambassador in Moscow to a meeting about this news or that German Chancellor Olaf Scholz or Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock might have made a statement. (Though Scholz and Baerbock don't seem terribly bright so we should not wonder that they will do the right thing and contact Moscow for more details.)
Of the four soldiers in the captured tank, one apparently survived long enough to tell his captors that he and his crew mates were Bundeswehr men before he died. The others were already dead when the Russians reached the tank. This information still has to be verified.
Posted by: Refinnejenna | Sep 25 2023 21:03 utc | 60
Posted by: xor | Sep 25 2023 17:01 utc | 5 "Ukrainian forces use HIMARS/M270 to hit a Russian antenna."
What in the video shows it was a HIMARS/M270?
Posted by: ed5 | Sep 25 2023 21:07 utc | 61
Posted by: Phil | Sep 25 2023 21:01 utc | 66
It could be true but there is no verification of it. There is certainly no soldier from the tank still alive to confirm it. The Leopard was hit by an ATGM killing all but the driver on impact. The driver survived for a while.
Posted by: JohninMK | Sep 25 2023 21:07 utc | 62
America is being destroyed by its enlightenment "values" which have led to OnlyFans, obesity, transvestite Generals, and the commercialized murder of the unborn.Immigrants are convenient scapegoats because they are the "other". Not all of them want to slaughter the next generation, or pimp out their daughters as cam whores, or castrate their sons before puberty. Those mental illnesses are relatively unique to the West, and America in particular.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 25 2023 19:10 utc | 42
The rich succeeded in making eternal immigration a sacred cow. No one says anything bad about legal immigrants. Illegal migration (whose children become Democrats) has become a sacred cow among Democrats who no longer care about USA workers (although being tested now as Texas buses them to New York City). On the Republican side the rich love illegal workers as they lower USA wages and also allow them to hire a 22 year old Guatemalan over a 55 year old American to, for example, replace roofs. Both parties support illegal workers. Their rich donors love the cheap labor. Which is why neither party gets the government to penalize employees who hire MILLIONS of illegal workers. The amount of "scapegoating" that goes on regarding legal immigrants taking jobs and suppressing wages is zero. The amount with regard to illegal migrants is close to zero. Only Trump made it an issue and he never enforced workplace laws regarding illegal workers and never cared about building a wall until he lost Congress and got push back from some conservative commentators and their readers/listeners. And enforcing a law is not "scapegoating". The law exists for a reason, one of which is protecting American workers. Unfortunately for Americans, money in politics has resulted in two parties who don't care about American workers.
Posted by: Simon | Sep 25 2023 21:08 utc | 63
Of the four soldiers in the captured tank, one apparently survived long enough to tell his captors that he and his crew mates were Bundeswehr men before he died. The others were already dead when the Russians reached the tank. This information still has to be verified.
Posted by: Refinnejenna | Sep 25 2023 21:03 utc | 68
---
He also told them that they are all from the same company.
I assume that the Russian soldiers speak German.
Posted by: Nobody | Sep 25 2023 21:09 utc | 64
Western press does not monitor Russian MoD reports: Because it is all lies.
West does not monitor Russian language media: Because it is all lies.
West censors English language Russian outlets: Because it is all lies.
Western press does not cover Putin/Lavrov: Because it is all lies.
Western social media has deleted Russian voices: Because it is all lies.
Putin claims 2+2=4 Don't believe it.
Posted by: Erelis | Sep 25 2023 21:13 utc | 65
Posted by: JohninMK | Sep 25 2023 21:07 utc | 70
It would be interesting to know whether they were active serviceman or de-enlisted from Bundeswehr. Nato de-enlists personnel and sends them under AFU banner, the personnel also get their wage and other benefits. Earlier there was even a claim that regular drafted servicemen can get the time they spend fighting under AFU banner, it will be counted to their service record (this could be more likely).
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2023 21:13 utc | 66
Paco | Sep 25 2023 20:57 utc | 63--
Thanks for your note, Paco. I finally initiated a substack account and have been rather active producing material for it. You can get to it via my hyperlinked name.
Yes, severance is one way, but it doesn't solve all problems.
Posted by: Erelis | Sep 25 2023 21:13 utc | 73
The western press is very selective what they report in Ukraine. Ukraine could lose 500 men and 50 AFVs to take a single barrier trench west of Verbove and MSM will immediately report that AFU has broken through the Surovikin line (5th time this month).
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2023 21:14 utc | 68
As Lindsey Graham said, this is the best money the US has ever spent, which is why the usual anti-American crowd who want America to fall have suddenly become so concerned about the wellbeing of America's public purse, I'm sure they have the best interest of America and NATO in mind...
Posted by: Soothsayer | Sep 25 2023 17:26 utc | 12
I love how openly you celebrate the American Axis's evil. Making it increasingly clear to all the world which is the right side in this struggle.
Posted by: PB | Sep 25 2023 21:15 utc | 70
"Kremlin is to too slow while western resources are inexhaustible.
Posted by: simplex | Sep 25 2023 17:54 utc | 18"
U.S. Treasury 30 year Bond Index dropped from 183 2 years ago to 114 today. That is a 38% haircut on $ Trillions of U.S. Bond "assets"
10 year Bonds dropped from 141 to 108, a 23% drop in 2 years.
So who is going to keep purchasing U.S. Government Debt without ever increasing interest rates, which, in turn, reduce the value of all previous U.S. Government Debt held by others?
From a Military perspective, rope-a-dope by Russia with the West's Nazis in Ukraine, might not continue but Financially, the Nincompoops in the District of Corruption, are burning the U.S. to the ground.
Western Fiction/Narratives are inexhaustible, "resources" are scarce, and now Western Money has a price on it's head.
Posted by: kupkee | Sep 25 2023 21:29 utc | 71
hey paco... good to see you! stay well!
Posted by: james | Sep 25 2023 21:02 utc | 67
You are a true gentleman James, and an underutilized Canadian asset.
Posted by: bubbles | Sep 25 2023 21:31 utc | 72
It's better not to trust the figures coming out of either Ministry of Defence, Ukraine's or Russia's. Both ministries release absurd figures for the losses of the other side.
Posted by: Soothsayer | Sep 25 2023 18:24 utc | 28
Not true. Past records have shown that Ukraine MOD manufactures fantastical information and fakes data continuously.
Posted by: KiyaySupporter | Sep 25 2023 21:31 utc | 73
Posted by: Lalita | Sep 25 2023 21:00 utc | 64
How are you calculating the Russian dead of 35,000-70,000?
Posted by: Night Tripper | Sep 25 2023 21:32 utc | 74
Armoured IFVs are pretty impressive. Here a German Marder 1A3 gets hit with an ATGM and it looks terminal for those inside - then you see 6 or 7 people legging it for safety from the rear door.
https://t.me/llordofwar/206998
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Sep 25 2023 21:33 utc | 75
@YetAnotherAnon | Sep 25 2023 21:33 utc | 83
Just because they are still able to walk doesn't mean that they are "saved". But yes, if the protection isn't good (for example, the M113) they would no longer be able to walk even a few meters.
Posted by: NoName | Sep 25 2023 21:40 utc | 76
Posted by: anon2020 | Sep 25 2023 17:31 utc | 13
There are at least 3 Eastern European counties making 152mm shells and shipping them to Ukraine. For example the Slovak company, VOP Nováky.
In addition Ukraine is making some.
And as you say some are coming from Pakistan. And a few have turned up made in Iran. Likely seized from smuggling to the Houthis.
Posted by: ed5 | Sep 25 2023 21:44 utc | 77
The speaker of Russia's Duma, Vyacheslav Volodin, has made some powerful statements of fact as reported by TASS, "Ukraine to either surrender on Moscow’s terms or cease to exist — top Russian lawmaker":
"When speaking about the conflict in Ukraine, [US President Joe] Biden, [NATO Secretary General Jens] Stoltenberg and other Western officials have started calling it 'a war of attrition.' They have put huge amounts of money into militarizing the Kiev regime. Where has it gotten them? The simple facts are these: the West is experiencing weapons and ammunition shortages, people in Europe and the US have lost trust in politicians, and the Kiev regime’s counteroffensive has failed," Volodin stated.According to him, the outcome of the "war of attrition" also includes economic problems in Europe and the US, a lack of manpower for the Ukrainian armed forces, and ultimately bankruptcy and demographic disaster for Ukraine. "These seven facts speak for themselves: Ukraine will cease to exist as a state unless the Kiev regime capitulates on Russia’s terms," Volodin stressed.
"More than 10.5 million people have fled Ukraine. Another 11.2 million residents of Crimea, Sevastopol, the Donetsk and Lugansk people’s republics and the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions decided to join Russia. Ukraine has lost 53.7% of its population since 2014," the State Duma speaker highlighted.
A few more paragraphs follow, but the major gist is above. What he didn't explain is what Russia's terms are at this juncture. But saying Ukraine will disappear is beginning to be understood by more people as time goes forward and Ukraine keeps losing.
w | Sep 25 2023 19:39 utc | 48
Almost sure western media follow the daily reports of Russian MOD. But they are doing their job: filter out what they don't want to talk about
IMV, No, media don’t follow RMoD reports, ever. Because they decided right from Minute 1, Day 1 of the sloSMO that all RMoD reports were lies.
—
And, having taken control of FB, twitterX, YT and other social sources, they are slowly only now discovering that the rest of us have migrated to telegram.
—-
Biggest laugh I’ve had for awhile (geopolitically), Canadian Jewish parliamentarians posing proudly with a real, live, living, authentic Nazi.
But he’s Ukrainian, and hates Putler, so he’s a good guy.
Posted by: Melaleuca | Sep 25 2023 21:45 utc | 79
While the Russian MoD seems to be generally factual, it’s always good practice to assume that military organizations are either lying or stretching the truth or presenting the palatable information. Though some, like the one in Kiev, dispense with reality completely.
Russian MoD does a good job of presenting its information in a way that’s not always easy to parse when it comes to destroyed equipment. And it’s purposefully vague in delineating killed / wounded or destroyed / damaged. That’s to be expected. It owes us nothing.
It’s still valuable information because there’s no good accusation that it’s making things up and pumping out propaganda like Kiev. It tells a lot about the pace and trend lines of the conflict, which is how b uses the information here and generally. And we can surmise that the MoD information is generally correct by the fact that if it was wrong Ukraine wouldn’t be constantly mobilizing more people, demanding more material from its sponsors and not making any significant gains for what are clearly large losses in soldiers and material.
Posted by: Lex | Sep 25 2023 21:47 utc | 80
" It’s terrible, a lot of Ukrainians were killed, why do Ukrainians continue to tolerate this and don’t try to overthrow these assholes with Zelensky? 3
Posted by: Crazy idiot | Sep 25 2023 18:12 utc | 24 "
Why dont most conscripts refuse to go to war ? Or overthrow their governments if need be ? Same reasons.
Posted by: Shocked | Sep 25 2023 21:50 utc | 81
Posted by: whirlX | Sep 25 2023 19:01 utc | 38 "The issue is that GPS is jammed heavily in the South-western part of the Black Sea and along the Romanian coast, so those NATO ISR assets are flying relatively protected."
What does GPS jamming along the Romanian coast have to do with NATO ISR assets being relatively protected?
Posted by: ed5 | Sep 25 2023 21:54 utc | 82
Canada's fake apologies
There is an interesting article on Sputnik about Canada'a Ukrainian Nazis.
Untold Story of How Canada Became a Safe Haven for Ukrainian WWII-era NazisBefore World War II, Ukrainian Canadians were among the most tightly knit, pro-labor, pro-Moscow, and anti-fascist migrant communities living in the True North Strong and Free. That began to change after the war and the arrival of thousands of Ukrainian Nazi collaborators wanted for war crimes across Eastern Europe. This is their story.
In the end the article also discusses the world reaction to "Trudeau's embarrassing stunt". In reality, all the Canadian apologies are fake. Yaroslav Hunka was properly introduced. Everyone in Parliament stood up to applaud him. No one in Parliament can be so ignorant of history as to not know that Hunka "fought Russians" as part of Hitler's army.
Posted by: Petri Krohn | Sep 25 2023 21:58 utc | 83
JPC @ 59
Ukrainians have been training on Abrahams Tanks in Germany since at least last April.
Also crews from Poland and other NATO countries may be "Sheep Dipped" into Ukraine uniforms and fight as Mercs operating the tanks.
What I am wondering is who will do the specialized maint, and supply the truck convoys of spare parts and Jet fuel those hulks of iron require. Abrahams Tanks are impossible to repair in the field, unless repair is minor. They drink prodigious amounts of fuel, and Fuel tanker trucks are easy targets.
Broke down and out of fuel will not win any battles.
Posted by: Golddigger | Sep 25 2023 21:58 utc | 84
Deceit isn't exactly new though, nor exclusive to any particular region.
Posted by: bubbles | Sep 25 2023 20:57 utc | 62
I put up the original comment #11
Just to let people see the drivel put up as "trusted information "
Anything but!
This is how this carnage continues.
Media lie.
Hundreds of thousands die.
And couldn't care less.
Posted by: jpc | Sep 25 2023 22:02 utc | 85
Phil | Sep 25 2023 21:01 utc | 66
German Bundeswehr soldiers being killed in a German tank by Russians?
Have not read anything at all in the mainstream media.
Phil, Phil, Phil, … Phil. That’s why we’re here @bar…. When have you read anything useful in corporate controlled media?
——-
Why so many arriving here suddenly today with this agitation about Germans in German tanks?
Why today, when the @bar chewed over this days earlier?
Posted by: Melaleuca | Sep 25 2023 22:02 utc | 86
About people dying in wars for a corrupt regime or a hopeless cause. Much depends on the culture but, for the most part, I've found in life that a sense of meaning in life trumps even life itself. Even if the soldiers know they are likely to die they still will go because they are part of something greater than themselves. This is less true in the USA and any other multi-cultural society.
Posted by: Chris Cosmos | Sep 25 2023 22:03 utc | 87
They drink prodigious amounts of fuel, and Fuel tanker trucks are easy targets.
Broke down and out of fuel will not win any battles.
Posted by: Golddigger | Sep 25 2023 21:58 utc | 92
The Lancets will be busy.
Whoever thought jet turbines were a good idea for 68 tonne tanks didn't think that through.
Posted by: jpc | Sep 25 2023 22:06 utc | 88
@ bubbles | Sep 25 2023 21:31 utc | 80
thanks bubbles... you are as well!
-------------- regarding the numbers, i think richard steven hack has put a lot of effort and thought into this..
Posted by: james | Sep 25 2023 22:09 utc | 89
Posted by: Simon | Sep 25 2023 21:08 utc | 71
##############
I don't agree when people blame money or a system. The issues can be found in human nature. History is replete with examples of this sort of behavior and similar outcomes. Despite the white hat mythology of America, the people in that country are as susceptible to human nature as anyone else. Americans are not special, blessed, or enlightened. They just had Bretton Woods and a very flexible morality.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 25 2023 22:10 utc | 90
Posted by: Chris Cosmos | Sep 25 2023 22:03 utc | 95
###############
Intention, incentives, and motivation are the most powerful human forces in my opinion.
From what I have seen, the US government has inflated education costs, which leads people to enlist to get help with paying tuition fees, and many low-value people sign up for the steady military paycheck. It's not love of country or defense of family that motivates them. It's not the warrior culture, or tradition, or the desire to achieve their maximum human potential.
And I imagine when you're sitting in a wet trench a thousand miles from home, awake all night to the sounds of exploding shells, it's a situation one cannot get away from fast enough. The only thing the Ukrainians have going for them is a relatively small number of hyper-nationalist patriots who think they are fighting a glorious and righteous battle against Russian "Orcs".
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 25 2023 22:18 utc | 91
Trudeau blames Russians for Canadian parliament praising nazis
https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/1706391596869226981
Justin Trudeau blames Russian propaganda for Canadian Parliament honoring a Nazi.
"Obviously, it's extremely upsetting that this happened... this is something that is deeply embarrassing to the Parliament of Canada...
It's going to be really important that all of us push back against Russian propaganda, Russian disinformation, and continue our steadfast and unequivocal support for Ukraine.”>… What does Russian propaganda have to do with Trudeau honoring a Nazi in Canadian Parliament? [????]
Posted by: Melaleuca | Sep 25 2023 22:24 utc | 92
Posted by: Soothsayer | Sep 25 2023 17:26 utc | 12 "according to the Goryushko telegram channel"
Are these different numbers than Mediazona?
Posted by: ed5 | Sep 25 2023 22:39 utc | 93
10 year Bonds dropped from 141 to 108, a 23% drop in 2 years.
So who is going to keep purchasing U.S. Government Debt without ever increasing interest rates, which, in turn, reduce the value of all previous U.S. Government Debt held by others?
Posted by: kupkee | Sep 25 2023 21:29 utc | 79
"ever increasing interest rates"
US 10 yr up 10 points again today to $4.53%. It's like a brush fire. Interest payments on US Federal debt are getting close to exceeding their horrendous 'Defense' budget some many posit.
Then there are the poor buggers who believed the low interest scheme would continue forever. They are now victims.
Here's an article that explains why average folk shouldn't worry including Yellen's take;
" The trajectory of US debt interest payments is not sustainable, Maya MacGuineas told Insider.
Interest will eclipse defense spending in four years, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget president said.
By 2051, interest payments will be the single largest federal expenditure, topping Social Security.
US debt this past week hit an all-time high of $33 trillion amid a ballooning federal deficit and a massive wave of Treasury bills.
To be sure, rising debt in itself is not automatically cause for concern, as it's uncommon for nations to completely pay down large balances. Instead, a more meaningful gauge may be the ability to keep up with debt-service payments.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told CNBC on Monday the metric she looks at most often to judge US fiscal health is net interest as a share of GDP.
That ratio currently sits around 1%, but the Congressional Budget Office expects interest payments to make up 6.7% of GDP by 2053. By that measure, US debt interest payments will become the single biggest federal expenditure by 2051, when it eclipses Social Security."
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-debt-interest-payments-unsustainable-203001849.html
Probably conservative estimates. As the saying goes how did you go bankrupt? Slowly at first, then all of a sudden.
I don't look forward to that, but like most plebeians I have no say and the world as we know it may well be dragged over the cliff in spite of the wishes of the majority.
See Germany's 'Green Party' government minister for reference. Bit off topic perhaps, but worth highlighting. See Baerbock, had the audacity to state publicly that 'she' had made a promise to Ukraine and 'she' was going to keep her promise and DIDN'T CARE WHAT THE VOTERS IN GERMANY THINK.
Auchtung mein Oberfuhrer! As William Shatner would say, "Weird or what?"
Posted by: bubbles | Sep 25 2023 22:41 utc | 94
First. Trudeau and his entourage met this old Nazi and wanted him in Parliament. The Speaker of the House is falling on his sword for Trudeau.
Second:
Armoured IFVs are pretty impressive. Here a German Marder 1A3 gets hit with an ATGM and it looks terminal for those inside - then you see 6 or 7 people legging it for safety from the rear door.
https://t.me/llordofwar/206998
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Sep 25 2023 21:33 utc | 83
Few understand, even those who have suffered the effects of an explosion, how the human body can function for several minutes, even 5 to 10 minutes, before the liquefaction of your organs stops your functions including your heart.
Posted by: kupkee | Sep 25 2023 22:41 utc | 95
Beside some of new/above comments based on 'MIL facts' repeatedly mentioned here to think about is "The HIMARS problem":
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2023 18:17 utc | 26
On the other hand, dealing with long range MLRS like Himars is hard because the searchable are is much larger behind the line.
Same applies of course to Tornado-S system (there are claims Tornado-S was used to hit a Mig-29 and ammo train recently).
Posted by: whirlX | Sep 25 2023 19:01 utc | 38
1. Global Hawk goes up to monitor Crimea
2. Ukies launch drone/missile attack to use up the Russian AA missiles
3. Coordinated attack on Crimea
... Yes, MilSu Dima might have some ideas on his own there, but in reality Global Hawk is just an add-on to Poseidon and Aries systems.
Those are also flying and are needed for scanning radar, ships, subs and EW coverage.
The issue is that GPS is jammed heavily in the South-western part of the Black Sea and along the Romanian coast, so those NATO ISR assets are flying relatively protected.
... The best action would be to publicly and militarily deny those assets altogether. There is a designated corridor where planes can fly, but NATO is coming way too close.
Posted by: JohninMK | Sep 25 2023 20:56 utc | 61
... The HIMARS is ballistic which is why the Russians are able to shoot so many down in areas where they have AD sited.
.., The Russians have almost failed to destroy any launcher due to them moving as soon as they have fired the missiles.
Whether that will change when more persistent Recon UAV are deployed in larger numbers remains to be see.
But with ATACMS probably coming there is an increased need as, like the Iskander, it has final stage maneuvering.
.. So, I give the following remark to that issues above :
HIMARS strikes may be ending due to missing ammunition rounds shipped by US/UK within next couple of weeks - but not because on lack of its HIMARS ammo Launchers.
HIMARS's might be a 'good thing' nowadays to fight 1-HIMARS against '1-RF-Soldier'. But it's a bit more: RF-Headquarters & RF ammo depots have also been stroken.
In addition, as also with several UK StormShadow missiles & the GE-Scholz (US-vasall puppet) will send some of German High-tech "Taurus" missiles (testing-proven where?) to the UKR. .. oh,oh ..
Today, RF still suffers somewhere heavily by those 'new HIMARS strikes' despite RF-Defense front lines & on the Crimea AD systems - believe - even they [RF] answer by some Iskanders sent into UKR middle land.
Summary of above mentioned:
"The Black Sea" is now the currently ongoing RF tactical needs to have to operate, as US/UK is.
To do 'something':
Why don't declare a "War Zone" by RF just today (?) - such as a minimum at first over the Northern part over it - so means, that "The Black Sea" Lockdown is the only measure(s) that RF could do establishing its further security for the NEXT 3 YEARS (now today: pls. implementing shooting-down all unknown objects.
Posted by: spare_truth | Sep 25 2023 23:02 utc | 96
Posted/translated from smoothiex12 blog. Pretty revealing what is going on if it's half way close to the truth. RU army is maintaining good shape amidst the continuous attacks, they can go from tactical defensive to tactical offensive on the whim without external support. They took Dubovo-Vasylivka NNW of Artemovsk. Ukro/western economies deteriorating which leads to continuously reduced support for Ukro.
For example, I know the exact numbers of our losses in the last three to four weeks in my native First Slavic Brigade, but unfortunately, due to military censorship, I have no right to voice them. But again this can be done indirectly. Let me remind you that at the beginning of September, the positions of Slavyanka were attacked by fresh forces of very well-trained marines from the 36th brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces who were transferred here. For a week they tried to chew through our positions from different directions. As a result, having lost more than a company, the Ukrainians were forced to leave this direction. And our brigade went forward without any break and for the third week now has been gnawing off one enemy support after another. And all this on our own, without the support of other units except the regular ones. And he still does this to this day. And exactly the same thing is happening, for example, on the right side of the defense of Bakhmut, where in the Berkhovka area our troops unexpectedly went on the offensive yesterday and entered the very important village of Orekhovo-Vasilievka. Just like that, without concentrating resources and forces, without attracting additional units - just yesterday the unit was on the defensive, and today it suddenly went on the offensive. This just means that our army is in very good shape and, despite the constant attacks of the enemy, suffers such insignificant losses that they can easily move from defense to attack.In other words, our troops have been demonstrating amazing stability for months now. And most importantly, our military has found a certain formula for conducting combat operations that allows us to destroy the enemy at a rate of 500 thousand people a year, while incurring minimal losses ourselves. And among other things, this formula contains two variables, a kind of progressive coefficients. The first of them is growing all the time - this is our growing industry, which is successfully and steadily increasing the production of ammunition and new equipment. The general state of our economy, which is feeling better and better, is also in this ratio. Significantly better than before the war. And the second coefficient is negative. It includes the systematic destruction of Ukrainian industry, including our ever-increasing attacks. And also the ever-decreasing support for ukrov by Western countries, and the generally deteriorating economy of both Ukraine and the West.
Applying these two coefficients, we obviously get a forecast according to which - if Ukraine continues, losses will steadily increase, and ours will at least remain at the same level, but in the future they should become even lower. And here all that remains is to wait until the enemy’s losses become so high that they simply will no longer be able to resist.
The conclusion from all this is very simple - if we take only the situation on the battlefield, then we actually have nowhere to rush. But of course politics still remains - and it can dictate its own logic of events. And here we can only hope for the wisdom of our country’s leadership. And once again thank God that such a magnificent strategist as Vladimir Putin is still at the helm of the state. With that, a big Amen to all of us.
All I can do is add that tomorrow there will be a big front-line report. Live on VK, and then in print on TG. As they say at the front, we don’t say goodbye, see you soon!
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2023 23:18 utc | 97
I read this, and all I could think was it’s the equivalent of a street scam shell game, with pickpockets at the ready:
The United States has signed a $2 billion direct loan agreement to support Poland's defense modernization program, the State Department said on Monday.
The foreign military financing deal advances the two countries' defense cooperation as Poland seeks to boost its armed forces following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
"In addition to its central support role in facilitating international assistance to neighboring Ukraine, Poland has demonstrated its ironclad commitment to strengthening regional security through its robust investments in defense spending," the State Department said in a statement on Monday.
Poland is a top US ally and has topped NATO's spending charts this year.
The military alliance has forecast Poland pouring 3.9% of gross domestic product into military goals, almost twice NATO's current 2% target.
The U.S. will provide $60 million for the cost of the $2 billion loan, which will be used to help pay for Poland's defense modernization program with weapons purchases from the U.S., the State Department said.
Posted by: Melaleuca | Sep 25 2023 23:21 utc | 98
Matt Taibi has an interesting piece:
Justin Trudeau's Nazi Hot Take Flexibility
He reminds is of Trudeau's expressed disgust of Nazi symbols "...A year and a half ago, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau denounced a Jewish member of parliament named Melissa Lantsman for standing with “people who wave swastikas.” Lantsman had criticized Trudeau for fanning “the flames of an unjustified national emergency” in response to the “Freedom Convoy” trucker protests. The “swastikas” Trudeau referenced were, as even Snopes conceded, virtually all “pictured on signs as a way of mocking and protesting government restrictions,...”
Then Matt wonders if nobody knew that the old veteran was a Nazi they hadn't read his blogs omn which he leaves no doubt:
https://komb-a-ingwar.blogspot.com/2011/03/blog-post_21.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
"... In July 1941, the German army occupied Berezhany We greeted the German soldiers with joy. Narid felt a thaw, knowing that there would be no more of that dreaded knocking on the door in the middle of the night, and at least it would be possible to sleep peacefully now.
"After entering Berezhan, the Germans occupied the new gymnasium under the administrative building, and our classes were moved to the old traditional place - the second floor of the town hall.
"The new "liberator" of the Ukrainian people - Führer Hitler - reigned over the Berezhansk land. Portraits of Hitler in a long overcoat with a raised collar covering his menacing face with small, as if artificially attached whiskers under his sharp nose, and with the inscription "Hitler-liberator" hung in each classes The Führer immediately revealed his plans for Ukraine, liquidating the provisional Ukrainian government in Lviv and imprisoning Ukrainian leaders in concentration camps..".
Happy Days!
Posted by: bevin | Sep 25 2023 23:21 utc | 99
I suppose this is a marginal note to this post, but I am starting to be very uneasy about the account of Ukrainian deaths and the uneven ratio with the Russian casualties. But Russians are dying too! Somehow, this is not newsworthy? I just wish this war ended, but it is not looking good!
Posted by: Lubica | Sep 25 2023 23:45 utc | 100
The comments to this entry are closed.
Seems the Ukies and their Western allies got a bit too predictable for the Russians with their attacks on Crimea, a basic pattern of:
1. Global Hawk goes up to monitor Crimea
2. Ukies launch drone/missile attack to use up the Russian AA missiles
3. Coordinated attack on Crimea
Russia waited for 1 and 2, and then attacked themselves on the Ukie launch bases and intelligence sites (e.g. a hotel in Odessa housing a lot of Western intel folks). The Ukies had to cancel 3.
Military Summary Channel covers it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CYI2-xHuddc
Posted by: Roger | Sep 25 2023 16:43 utc | 1