Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
August 27, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-204

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

Robotnye
How many lives are we up to now?
What a mess.

Posted by: OG Duck | Aug 27 2023 14:04 utc | 1

Salaam,so the 404 is trying to raise a 4th army -why? You have lost three armies at very high cost in human lives- no gains or benefits! Whats the difference this army would make to a lost cause and-how so? DU munitions are now being used,so much for environmental concerns.The leaders of these western nations and NATO are a most evil lot.Lavrov is right- the west is done.So too NATO.

Posted by: 4q8 | Aug 27 2023 14:25 utc | 2

Raising a 4th army. Lets see: why is it that we Americans seem to be ready to kill off thousands if not millions of Ukrainians when the outcome would not seem to justify the means? My personal vision of this is that the love us humans have for humans is personal, not impersonal. Real human paternalism, the kind that is actually supported on an emotional level, arises from common association. Large scale societies push love of humanity as a social expedient. That is why in theatrical productions it is morally acceptable to kill people in mass if they are made anonymous. In the old cowboy movies where the Indians were all anonymous ‘red’ men, any number of them could be killed. The more modern version of this is the gunning down of the storm troopers in the earlier Star Wars productions. That trope perhaps being abandoned in the later productions that I haven’t seen. The method of abandonment would be to have one or more of the storm troopers be identifiable individuals.

Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 15:31 utc | 3

@ OG Duck according to the Russians up to 120 + tank and M777

Posted by: Koba | Aug 27 2023 15:37 utc | 4

Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 15:31 utc | 3
It will take a lot of time to raise a 4th army. Most likely this 4th army won’t be any more powerful than the third army. The Russians, meanwhile, will build on top of their already experienced army and could be expected to be better prepared to deal with Nato’s 4th army..? The Russians are surely not sitting idly, either.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 15:56 utc | 5

Good to see the extra effort being made to render abandoned / immobilised vehicles unrepairable.
https://t.me/milinfolive/105642

Shooting of an abandoned Ukrainian T-80BV with the help of five FPV drones at once.
Most of the kamikaze flew to the tank in the MTO, a couple more were sent to the turret to probe the presence of ammunition, but, apparently, there were no shells in the tank, so it was possible to set fire and finally finish the car only by hitting the engine.

https://t.me/milinfolive/105641

Finishing an abandoned Mastiff armored car of the APU with an FPV drone. Video from @voin_dv

Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 27 2023 16:00 utc | 6

Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 27 2023 16:00 utc | 6
Seems a waste of ordinance.

Posted by: jpc | Aug 27 2023 16:09 utc | 7

The Investigative Committee has confirmed the death of Prigozhin in a plane crash in the Tver Region.
The identities of all 10 people who were killed in the crash have been established and match the flight manifest, according to the Investigative Committee.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/60610

Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 27 2023 16:12 utc | 8

“why is it that we Americans seem to be ready to kill off thousands if not millions of Ukrainians”
Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 15:31 utc | 3
The Ukrainians, from top to bottom, from Zelensky to the lowest soldier, need to turn their guns around and go after NATO and the US.
I can dream. :^>

Posted by: oracle | Aug 27 2023 16:19 utc | 9

Re: https://www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/2023/aug/25/realities-of-war-in-ukraine-are-sinking-in-2608420.html
Recent article by Indian journalist MK Bhadrakumar .
It expresses his disappointment in India’s recent “Jeddah Summit” as well as current Ukraine battlefield analysis.
It opened for me, to glean a little further into why Putin decided to refrain from G20 Summit, beyond the surface obvious of: assassination – 12 of the 20 huddles for condemnation ect..
I’m realizing it also in some way changed to ground tactics, the West has said little about Putins decline, with exception of Ukraines usual ICC “threat” crapola.
I’m seeing more around that G20… what goes around, comes around… Niger “coup” (yes US orchestrated, IMO, get France out— think Nordstream-
(See: https://www.voanews.com/a/niger-china-discuss-uranium-mine-and-other-deals-/7169720.html) & many others since 2020
July 6. …. 20 days later — Coup : Read “history” of supposed Security Leader that took over— served last US prodigy)
however, seriously backfiring— last day of “African Summit” to show other leaders “this is you”… rest is media spin..) & then the 3rd day “Prighozin” … both to disrupt & send “message to Russia & Allies “our reach is everywhere “)
Is the NATO huddle to concentrate all forces in Zaporizhzhia south to break through to Sea if Azov… or are we looking at ZNPP crossfire and “emergency”? Hum…
Will Russia do some G20 paybacks during “Summit”?
Anyways, just tossing Summit Sept 9 out there, think more regarding Putins decision than I had before is all.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 27 2023 16:20 utc | 10

For all interested, I have published The Liturgy of Lies at Arch Bungle’s vk.com here:
https://vk.com/@818593619-the-liturgy-of-lies
I will maintain it with a notification to MoA occasionally.
(Too nervous to publish on a Western media outlet I have elected to use a Russian one after noting that North Korea offers no similar services …)

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 16:22 utc | 11

Why does the US want to kill or maim incredible numbers of Ukrainians? Because they want to give Russia a choice: either let us control Ukraine or deal with the economic costs of the destroyed economy and social fabric of Ukraine. Those costs are extreme and will be a large burden, restricting Russia’s ability in the next decades.
The US will treat Ukrainian veterans worse than its own veterans and is adept at claiming there’s no money while private companies reap record profits.
The US prefers a forever war to losing, so they will insist on financial compensation from the “illegal initiators” of this way to the tune of trillions of dollars. Of course Russia won’t pay. But this ensures a new cold war, pressuring the world to pick sides.

Posted by: Matthew | Aug 27 2023 16:30 utc | 12

Re: Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 16:22 utc | 11
A wise idea. And thanks, been waiting for this.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 27 2023 16:31 utc | 13

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 16:22 utc | 11
Am I missing #179 for some reason?

Posted by: KitaySupporter | Aug 27 2023 16:35 utc | 14

Posted by: KitaySupporter | Aug 27 2023 16:35 utc | 14

Am I missing #179 for some reason?

Ugh. cutnpaste left that one out – updated now, thanks.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 16:44 utc | 15

Posted by: jpc | Aug 27 2023 16:09 utc | 7
On the contrary, recovering and repairing damaged vehicles is a way for Ukraine to conduct a more cost-effective war. Wrecking stationary vehicles, while there is the opportunity, forces Ukraine’s sponsors to provide additional vehicles or for Ukrainian to gradually lose motorised support.
A plausible exception might be the desire to follow recovered vehicles back to the repair shop and then drop a glide bomb on that location but that’s really the same strategy. Making the effort to render equipment unrepairable is good attritional warfare.

Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 27 2023 16:47 utc | 16

Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 27 2023 16:47 utc | 16

On the contrary, recovering and repairing damaged vehicles is a way for Ukraine to conduct a more cost-effective war.

I myself once maintained a fleet of about 12 transport vehicles, mostly using spares from scrapyards. One the greatest miseries was watching the gradual (and sometimes rapid) degradation in performance and reliability of rushed repairs in order to get them back on the road in a hurry.
I wonder what the costs to the AFU are in terms of reliability lost and strain on the maintenance workforce …

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 17:02 utc | 17

Raising a 4th army. Lets see: why is it that we Americans seem to be ready to kill off thousands if not millions of Ukrainians when the outcome would not seem to justify the means? My personal vision of this is that the love us humans have for humans is personal, not impersonal. Real human paternalism, the kind that is actually supported on an emotional level, arises from common association. Large scale societies push love of humanity as a social expedient. That is why in theatrical productions it is morally acceptable to kill people in mass if they are made anonymous. In the old cowboy movies where the Indians were all anonymous ‘red’ men, any number of them could be killed. The more modern version of this is the gunning down of the storm troopers in the earlier Star Wars productions. That trope perhaps being abandoned in the later productions that I haven’t seen. The method of abandonment would be to have one or more of the storm troopers be identifiable individuals.
Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 15:31 utc | 3
As far as Stormtroopers are concerned, it wouldn’t help: They would only show us the evil ones (and of course one who has seen the light, and switch sides, to die later on).
You are definitely on to something in your post. British military instructors have been warned not to develop any sort of personal relationships/friendships with the Ukrainian soldiers they train. This order was handed down when instructors said that they could no longer contact about 80% of the Ukrainian soldiers they trained. If you know their names, family relationships, etc., they become real human. It is much harder to justify using them as cannon fodder.
My idea regarding the Ukrainians: We see them as Russians.
They were part of the Soviet Union, and we nowadays conflate the Soviet Union with Russia. Some countries broke away from the Soviet Union, and got western approval, like the Baltic states: they oppress their Russian minorities. The EU insists to look after minorities everywhere in the world except when Russian minorities are concerned. Those do not exist (especially not in EU countries like Latvia), and therefore have no right to their own language or customs.
The Russian minority in Ukraine is rather a majority – or maybe one could say the Russian speaking citizens are a majority. Most (if not all) Ukrainians understand the Russian language – even the ones most averse to Russia.
Wars are a favorite way of forging a nation. Bismarck did it when forging Germany out of dozens of statelets. That is what we were or are trying to achieve in Ukraine. The problem is that this requires some sort of victory over a common enemy. They repeatedly failed to defeat the enemy they created.
Some people here claim Russia lost Ukraine when Putin invaded. The West will realize it lost Ukraine when the hatred for all things Russian we bred in Ukraine will turn against those who promised Ukraine help and victory, and failed to deliver. This will happen when the war ends. And it is the real reason why we are trying to extend it. We are still looking for a way to avert this loss.
And if that requires to kill every last Ukrainian – so be it.

Posted by: Martina | Aug 27 2023 17:05 utc | 18

Why does the US want to kill or maim incredible numbers of Ukrainians? Because they want to give Russia a choice: either let us control Ukraine or deal with the economic costs of the destroyed economy and social fabric of Ukraine. Those costs are extreme and will be a large burden, restricting Russia’s ability in the next decades.
Posted by: Matthew | Aug 27 2023 16:30 utc | 12
IMHO, the part of Ukraine of interest to Russia is that part that voted for Yanukovich in 2010. I think Russia can handle rebuilding that part very well; just look at Mariupol. There also are Romanian and Hungarian speaking regions of Ukraine which may wish to re-unite with their respective countries; their business.
The rest of Ukraine – rump Ukraine – will be a large burden to the European Union for years to come; maybe a fatal one.
Rump Ukraine is a region that will require massive amounts of subsidies for reconstruction; it has an ideology that is slightly to the right of what is acceptable in good company; Ukraine is seen as victim; and has a large amount of unregistered arms floating around.
Also, the EU has the habit of buying peace with subsidies, but is running out of money.
This could go a number of ways.

Posted by: Passerby | Aug 27 2023 17:07 utc | 19

Never mind whirled peas.
Visualize war crime tribunals putting Nulands on the first docket. with many more in line for necessary Neurenberg justice.

Posted by: Not Ewe | Aug 27 2023 17:14 utc | 20

Military summary suggested yesterday that the UAF lacks reserves to attack in more than one place after last 3 months of attrition. He compared the Ukrainian summer offensive to the Russian capture of Soledar and Bakhmut using Wagner PMC, saying that at the last phase Wagner had insufficient forces to do more than finish off Bakhmut while Russian regular forces defended the flanks.
Russia has been launching missile strikes almost nightly for several weeks now and Ukraine lacks reserves and armor to continue attacking, so I see a window of opportunity for Russia to try something before Ukraine has a chance to recover and rearm. It would be nice to know how successful the missile strikes have been and what has been targeted, but of course this information is not available to us.
I think the US is counting on Russia not making any big moves and hunkering down for at least several months. We will see.

Posted by: the pessimist | Aug 27 2023 17:18 utc | 21

Eurodollars are Fiat Currency like US dollars, no?
Though Brussels based EU leaders are entirely lead by the nose by the US.
Point being, there will be unlimited funds for the West to rebuild Rump Ukraine. If that option exists.
(They’ll build a Kamp Bondsteel Part Deux, if they can. If not, ISIS will become a problem there.)

Posted by: Chaka Khagan | Aug 27 2023 17:25 utc | 22

Posted by: jpc | Aug 27 2023 16:09 utc | 7
#############
It would be a waste if the Russians were running low on ammunition.
Most accounts indicate that is not the case.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 27 2023 17:26 utc | 23

Ugh. cutnpaste left that one out – updated now, thanks.
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 16:44 utc | 15
Great list and useful information. I am sure once this round of SAG-AFTRA strike is over, there will be more entries in your “Liturgy of Lies.
Thanks again.

Posted by: KitaySupporter | Aug 27 2023 17:26 utc | 24

Yeah, the EU will have a yooge problem with rebuilding Ukraine after the war, especially given the fanatical nationalism that their fascist government has been fostering. The EU and the United States is going to want to own Ukraine in order to justify the costs of subsidizing its survival and paying to rebuild it, and the ultra nationalists in Ukraine might take up arms against any attempts to surrender home rule, and home ownership of resources.
Zelenskyy was elected as a moderate, but had to govern while at the gunpoint of the ultra-nationalists who’d kill him if he got out of line. This will still be the situation after Russia eventually agrees that its objectives have been completed, and the rebuilding of what’s left of Ukraine can commence.
The Western media will give up on popular reporting about Ukraine, and it will return to the position it had before the war, where the only reporting done was by the more scholarly journalists, to be published in high brow magazines. Like we now get about Iraq, and Libya, two other nations we blew apart in order to “save” them.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Aug 27 2023 17:30 utc | 25

Point being, there will be unlimited funds for the West to rebuild Rump Ukraine. If that option exists.
Posted by: Chaka Khagan | Aug 27 2023 17:25 utc | 22
###############
The ability of the West to harvest resources from its colonies, and to purchase materiel with fiat currency has begun its end phase. It could last another two decades, but the ending has begun, and as we have seen in the past when a financial regime collapses, it can happen quickly.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 27 2023 17:42 utc | 26

Posted by: Not Ewe | Aug 27 2023 17:14 utc | 20
#############
Anyone truly dangerous and useful was brought to the West. They didn’t face Nuremberg “justice”. Nuremberg was the distraction, while Nazis went to work for the US government.
Always assume that what you’ve been told was really serving someone’s agenda, somewhere.
Nuland will face justice on the same day that Obama is tried as a war criminal.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 27 2023 17:48 utc | 27

@Matthew | Aug 27 2023 16:30 utc | 12
What costs? Let Borel and Ursula pay for Zeli. Biden surely won’t. The costs to repair Donbass and all other areas will be high but worse will be the years needed to clear mines, without other “gifts” like du or dirty bombs. Zeli has no mines to clear, no dams to rebuild. But what else to expect if the front line never moves out of Donbass? Soon mud will be back, pause 6 months, then elections, pause 2 months. You can check news next summer, until then probably no changes

Posted by: rk | Aug 27 2023 17:48 utc | 28

@Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 16:22 utc | 11
Thanks for that, did not yet read it all, but had a good laugh. Highly recommended.

Posted by: aquadraht | Aug 27 2023 17:52 utc | 29

If this 4th army for the Ukraine ever materializes, it will be composed of men who successfully evaded the first 3 armies…the poorest possible resource for battle..I will bet there will be mass surrenders when they face the Russians…

Posted by: pyrrhus | Aug 27 2023 18:15 utc | 30

Eurodollars are Fiat Currency like US dollars, no?
Point being, there will be unlimited funds for the West to rebuild Rump Ukraine. If that option exists.
Posted by: Chaka Khagan | Aug 27 2023 17:25 utc | 22
Ukrainian hryvnia is fiat currency, like euro, no?
Point being, there will be unlimited hryvnia to rebuild Ukraine.
There, fixed it for you.

Posted by: Passerby | Aug 27 2023 18:22 utc | 31

Eurodollars are Fiat Currency like US dollars, no?
Posted by: Chaka Khagan | Aug 27 2023 17:25 utc | 22
Ukrainian hryvnia is fiat currency, like euro, no?
Posted by: Passerby | Aug 27 2023 18:22 utc | 31
All currencies are fiat currencies. The ability to print up more does not expand the amount of available resources, thus the fiat character does not expand the amount of resources that are available for any rebuilding project. Print up enough of the stuff and the value falls to zero. That is, unless there is an infinite supply of whatever it is that claims to back it.

Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 18:42 utc | 32

First Ursula von der Leyen said that Russia was taking chips out of dishwashers and fridges to fix its military hardware.
Now German FM Baerbock is saying the same thing about using chips from German washing machines for drones and missiles.
If two senior German politicians say that, it must be true – they can’t be that stupid, can they???

Posted by: Brendan | Aug 27 2023 18:43 utc | 33

@ Brendan | Aug 27 2023 18:43 utc | 33
they are that stupid.. alternatively, they are pushing propaganda knowingly.. take yer pick..

Posted by: james | Aug 27 2023 18:47 utc | 34

Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 18:42 utc | 32
All currencies are fiat currencies.
——————————————————-
Agreed. But as long as people are willing to trade those resources for your fiat currency, the party can continue. Eventually a day of reckoning will come and those who rule know it. I shudder to think what they are preparing for that day when it happens. The US is so in debt now it can never ever begin to pay off it’s debts, but through inflation they can damn sure postpone that day for years.

Posted by: JustAMaverick | Aug 27 2023 18:52 utc | 35

The number of troops that the Ukrainian army attracted in three months to capture half of the village of Rabotino:
🇺🇦33rd Separate Mechanized Brigade (OMBR)
🇺🇦47th Motorized Brigade
🇺🇦65th Motorized Brigade
🇺🇦78th Separate Logistics Battalion
🇺🇦73rd Marine Special Operations Center
10th Army Corps:
🇺🇦116th Motorized Brigade
🇺🇦117th Motorized Brigade
🇺🇦118th Motorized Brigade
Tactical group “Maroon”:
🇺🇦46th separate airmobile brigade
🇺🇦71st separate Jaeger brigade
🇺🇦82nd Separate Air Assault Brigade
🇺🇦132nd separate reconnaissance battalion
🇺🇦14th brigade
🇺🇦15th brigade
🇺🇦3rd Operational Brigade of the National Guard
🇺🇦Foreign mercenaries
Thus, 60 thousand personnel were involved in the capture of one village, of which half was lost, along with hundreds of pieces of equipment.
@Slavyangrad

Also, they report that in Robotyne, it’s a positional battle i.e. AFU has been unable to secure the entire village, and unable to build up their force inside the village to project more force to continue.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 19:04 utc | 36

If two senior German politicians say that, it must be true – they can’t be that stupid, can they???
Posted by: Brendan | Aug 27 2023 18:43 utc | 33

Freudian slip. Two grannies with an reactionary understanding of gender roles believe their kitchen paraphernalia are crucial in war. Scholzomat is probably convinced it is his brand new drill.

Posted by: Nobody | Aug 27 2023 19:20 utc | 37

Posted by: pyrrhus | Aug 27 2023 18:15 utc | 30
That’s a good point, and food for thought.
Virtually all the best possible officers and NCO could be expected to have already enlisted or been recruited. Ukraine can still train excellent soldiers out of newly eligible 17 and 18 year olds, but they aren’t a source for getting leaders any time soon. The attrition in Captains, Lieutenants, Sergeants, and Corporals, will have meaningful negative consequence for Ukraine even if it manages to force into service a couple of hundred thousand new troops.
And the same logic applies to skilled soldiers like tankers, APC drivers, artillery men, technicians, medics, and mechanics. You can train up an 18 year old to fill those jobs, but it’s much harder to do without an existing cadre to lend their experience to a one on one training of the newcomers.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Aug 27 2023 19:25 utc | 38

What if Ukraine really attacks without tanks in the form of million man human wave?
By not counting their losses, as the best expert for this war says (Dima), I think they can easily break Russian lines with the sole human power.

Posted by: simplex | Aug 27 2023 19:25 utc | 39

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 17:02 utc | 17
They have to recover them first. Dragging them away using non-specialist AFV’s just means your risking the towing vehicle burning out a clutch, or at least significantly increasing the chance of the vehicle failing in the future. Once recovered they have to repair them, but they operate 6 different tanks and 7 different tracked APC’s, so good luck with that. One of the designed effects of the grid attacks was that Ukraine had difficulty repairing damaged vehicles from the two offensives due to repeated power cuts, causing a backlog and delaying their return to frontline service.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 27 2023 19:31 utc | 40

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 19:04 utc | 36
If they’re not careful they’ll find themselves in the same situation Popov found himself in ‘43.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 27 2023 19:33 utc | 41

Posted by: simplex | Aug 27 2023 19:25 utc | 39
My father operated a water cooled machine gun in the South Pacific during World War II, and faced some human wave “banzai” attacks. He made it home, along with the sword and pistol of an officer who was part of one such attack. He spoke highly of the quality of the enemy he faced, but he survived while most of them didn’t.
He operated from a trench with sandbags, nothing like the reinforced lines the Russian army would be defending from against all or nothing attacks by the AFU. Though to be fair, the AFU will be better armed than were the Imperial Forces defending against the liberation of the Americans. They were operating on islands that were hard to supply, and hard to reinforce.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Aug 27 2023 19:36 utc | 42

@ Babel-17, are there that many 17-18 year olds in Ukraine? Wouldn’t their parents have ensured that those boys had left Ukraine a year back before they were of draft age and subject to emigration restrictions? Or is/was the border closed to the boys of 16/17 last year till now?

Posted by: Neal | Aug 27 2023 19:37 utc | 43

Posted by: simplex | Aug 27 2023 19:25 utc | 39
Read a book about the initial Somme offensive in 1916 and increase the rate of casualties inflicted by a factor of 10, then realise they’d have two more defence lines to breach and no infantry left to hold open the bridgehead created. At least it would be a quick, albeit bloody, way to end the conflict.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 27 2023 19:38 utc | 44

… I wonder what the costs to the AFU are in terms of reliability lost and strain on the maintenance workforce …
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 17:02 utc | 17

It’s got to be hard work and a nightmare of mixed equipment. Then there’s the question of how much behind-the-lines work real Ukrainians are still doing. It’s official news that tanks are being shipped to Poland for repair and there was a recent TG post of polish contractors somewhere close’ish to the front at an inspection / repair point. Quite possibly it’s mostly foreign vultures hoovering up the funding and anyone who gets in the way can always be conscripted to the front.

Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 27 2023 19:42 utc | 45

The isw is showing lots of incremental russian advances from donetsk to kharkiv.
https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/169523675956137
While it looks like robotyne is going to fall back to better lines so more Ukrainian gains there.
Basically all gains are balancing out during this counteroffensive but ukraine will have poor defences in their salient, might be uncomfortable to hold in winter.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Aug 27 2023 19:47 utc | 46

Posted by: Neal | Aug 27 2023 19:37 utc | 43
Boy oh boy, I sure hope they got out. But I suspect that it was far easier for Western Ukrainians who were nearer the border, and had plenty of cash to make a move, to get out than it was for Ukrainians in the east, who’d have needed more money to travel, and faced more checkpoints. Afaik, for a while it’s been illegal for those of draft age to leave the country, hence the massive corruption of those enforcing that law.
I strongly suspect that university students will be the next targets of recruiters. Almost by definition they will be more fit than average, and more suitable for the jobs that require technical training.
In my mind the big question is whether or not Poland will simply hand over Ukrainian men back over the border to AFU recruiters, regardless of what EU laws about refugees might dictate. The publicity over such a move would open a big can of worms, and force the media to reference the fact that lots of Ukrainians don’t want to fight the Russian army. The implications to that are obvious imo, but ones that the West avoids like Vampires avoid holy water. It burns.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Aug 27 2023 19:49 utc | 47

Noticed this earlier but it’s Empire rumour so beware: Italian media is carrying the speculation that Viktor Bout is to be the new head of Wagner.
Not even that bad an idea if there’s a desire to preserve something of the successful operation.

Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 27 2023 19:51 utc | 48

The US is so in debt now it can never ever begin to pay off it’s debts, but through inflation they can damn sure postpone that day for years.
Posted by: JustAMaverick | Aug 27 2023 18:52 utc | 35
Given the reckless way we are running our country right now, we could well see a catastrophic decline. A large amount of our debt is funded short term and has to be recycled. That is, somebody has to reborrow the money to us by buying some form of treasury issued debt. If the debt becomes of suspect safety, we will get acceptance by paying a higher interest rate, either directly or indirectly through a bigger discount when the debt sold. That in turn will increase government spending to cover the higher interest rate. That then increases unfunded borrowing by the government, and thus makes our debt look less safe, producing a higher interest followed by greater risk, and so on and so on down the decline in value.
I followed the collapse of the Argentine Peso. Out of money and unable to borrow, they forced some of their bond holders to retain the debt when it had expired by not paying up. It took maybe six months or so for the value of their peso to fall to zero. The government finally got real and dealt with the problem when the rioting got so bad that they ended up shooting some of the rioters.
As for us, the thing to watch is the willingness of foreign buyers to pick up our treasury debt. If you think we may be near the end of our higher borrowing cycle, then a higher interest rate will be needed to attract foreign borrowers. As for right now, they claim the increased rate is to deal with internal inflation. Well, probably. It would be a real gift to the Russians if our dollar goes to hell before the Ukraine war settles out.

Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 19:55 utc | 49

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 19:04 utc | 36
Thank you for that reminder of the makeup of the Ukrainian forces.
This is not a battle. It is a slaughter.
Others have said this. But still there is a lot of “projecting what happens next”, and “military theorizing” going on.
Some watch Dima and Weeb and look at their confusing array of arrows and opinions. Everyone starts to chime in. Russia should do this, Ukraine might do that.
Reality is right in front of everyone.
As far as I can tell, the Ukrainian strategy is to make Russia stack so many Ukrainian bodies on the field, that they just stop because they are so sick of killing their brethren (Azov and Banderistas excepted).
Ukraine is fighting a war of political opinion on the ethernet and on TV, by using once warm (now cooling) bodies laying in the fields as some sort of statement.
This is a barbaric war. And the US (Nuland and the sociopath war dwarf, Lt. Colonel Vindmann, the incoherent president) keeps fueling the fire. With money and guns.
I am sick of reading about the war. Physically sick. Not because I am bored or inattentive. But because the killing has now become so blase, so common. We are inured. And post daily clobber lists. Like noting the latest number of sandbags washed away in a storm, needing to be replaced.
[I am no pacifist. Not in the least. But] this war was over the day it started, if not years before. Russia prepared for years for this time, and has had a foot on the military economic pedal ever since the [most recent] shooting started in 2022. And Russia appears to be well on the way to anailiating the Ukrainian male population aged 16-60.
Despair fills me.
So, now, let me project:
There will be no nukes or poseidans or strikes on European or US cities. Moscow will not be Dresden. There will just be this grind we see before us. Grinding and grinding and grinding on. Until the Ukrainians run out of bodies. No wonderwaffen to save the day. The corrupt US government will keep putting in money and guns until it is no longer politic to do so. Then, when there are no more bodies, no more US funded guns and money. It will stop.
Then, a tired Russia, (with a 180 million vs. 30 million advantage in personal) will walk over what is left of Ukraine. To the new border of their choice.
And nobody in the world will be able to do a single thing to stop them.
I hope they stop when they get to Poland. But once Russia crosses the Dnieper – they make their own choices.
OGDuck
Sorry for the rant. Having a bad day.

Posted by: OGDuck | Aug 27 2023 19:56 utc | 50

james | Aug 27 2023 18:47 utc | 34
Nobody | Aug 27 2023 19:20 utc | 37
Von der Leyen and Baerbock know that the western media will not question anything they say, so they can say whatever they want. All the same, they seem a bit dim if they don’t seem to be aware how ridiculous they sound.

Posted by: Brendan | Aug 27 2023 19:57 utc | 51

Military summary:
-AFU changed their plan (or it was plan all along) their main thrust between Verbove and Robotyne, to trying to reach Novopokrovka (south of Robotyne) from the east
-AFU abandoned attempts to storm Robotyne, and instead tries to maintain it as the flank of their main axis of attack
-AFU abandoned attempts to take fields north of Verbove
-Apparently AFU gambles that RU won’t attempt a cauldron/counter-attack, since currently they are very deep inside a “pocket”
-No change in Urozhaine, positional and some drone attacks
-RU continues heavy focus on Krasnogorovka (north of Maryinka)
-AFU on the immediate western edge of Kleschevka (though they have been there for a long time)
-No attack attempts in Dubovo-Vasylyivka

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 20:03 utc | 52

>>they can’t be that stupid, can they???
Posted by: Nobody | Aug 27 2023 19:20 utc | 37
Now that they know the Russians have no special problem coming up with electronics, even stupider. Amazing in its own way.

Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 20:03 utc | 53

I myself once maintained a fleet of about 12 transport vehicles, mostly using spares from scrapyards. …
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Aug 27 2023 17:02 utc | 17
Good thinking !!
That’s how many of us have kept our vehicles on the road for much of our working lives.

Posted by: Engineer-John | Aug 27 2023 20:18 utc | 54

Allowing an eventual victory, which looks increasingly likely, I think the Russians should annex however much of the country they can easily adsorb into their empire. At the least that would be Kharkov along with Odessa along with the territory in-between. The rebuilding expense would not be an expense but an investment because it would be their territory. Best to leave however much of Ukraine is left landlocked because a favorable outcome for Russia is less likely no matter how they handle the situation.
Not that I am predicting what Putin is going to do. The history of predicting his next move has so far proved to be a loser for those who attempt it.

Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 27 2023 20:24 utc | 55

If two senior German politicians say that, it must be true – they can’t be that stupid, can they???
Posted by: Brendan | Aug 27 2023 18:43 utc | 33
Truth always refers to the content, not to the owner of the tongue.
In this case, the Smithers syndrome, which is widespread in Western democracies, can be observed, i.e. pleasing Mr. Burns (Biden).
Ursel is unscrupulous in this and follows the “we regret nothing” survivors of the Second World War in terms of attitude.
Annalena is clueless and is probably “led” like a member of a cult.
From her point of view she tells the truth, which she “knows” and does not check.
A homage to the Peter Principle.
https://www.freitag.de/autoren/lutz-herden/hommage-an-das-peter-prinzip

Posted by: 600w | Aug 27 2023 20:25 utc | 56

If two senior German politicians say that, it must be true – they can’t be that stupid, can they???
Posted by: Brendan | Aug 27 2023 18:43 utc | 33

Yes, they are that stupid. The washing machines contains jellybean microprocessors to run the cycle and drive the display, like many, many other household devices these days. They would be easily repurposed for any general purpose computing task, including guided rockets/drones.
But why bother salvaging from a washing machine when you can buy wholesale quantities of said chips from a warehouse in China for a few dollars each (where they are most likely made anyway)?
None of our so-called leaders have any technical knowledge and can be fed this kind of bs by their “intelligence” agencies and have no intellectual tools or technical experience to detect it. So they simply parrot the story, hoping it will make them look smart but with the opposite effect.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Aug 27 2023 20:27 utc | 57

Von der Leyen and Baerbock know that the western media will not question anything they say, so they can say whatever they want. All the same, they seem a bit dim if they don’t seem to be aware how ridiculous they sound.
Posted by: Brendan | Aug 27 2023 19:57 utc | 51
If you watch Baerbock’s face there are what could be guilty half smiles flitting across it. Almost as if she expected someone stage left to shout “don’t be stupid!”.

Posted by: JohninMK | Aug 27 2023 20:31 utc | 58

Sorry for the rant. Having a bad day.
Posted by: OGDuck | Aug 27 2023 19:56 utc | 50
It’s not a rant. The killing is senseless and sickening, while the Western leaders continue to force feed their audience hopium. War criminals, all of them.

Posted by: Mike R | Aug 27 2023 20:51 utc | 59

We all been reading the completely insane tweets by Gunther Fehlinger??. calls to dismantle BRICS , calls to dismantle India, Brazil , Russia, China, into statelets . Rails against Switzerland demanding they join NATO or face consequences wanting to be neutral. The guy makes Satan seem like a cute puppy.
https://twitter.com/GunterFehlinger?t=YTorCjYHypBQcKlC9zRTRw&s=09

Posted by: hankster | Aug 27 2023 21:07 utc | 60

It looks like the big russian push will come in the spring. Hundreds of thousand of different type drones and replenished artillery, hundreds of thousands of troops and many tanks. Ukraine’s new 4th army will be 2nd rate at best. Ukraine will be a rump state before the US elections and Biden blames Z and lack of US spending, as though $200B wasnt wasted by money laundering. False flags galore by the US. Lots of drama to come and all of it deadly. Just to save Biden and family criminal butt.

Posted by: Cyclingnut | Aug 27 2023 21:11 utc | 61

Posted by: JohninMK | Aug 27 2023 20:31 utc | 58
i don’t know how much to believe in microexpressions, but 99.9% sure she knows she is lying, for whatever difference that makes.

Posted by: pretzelattacks | Aug 27 2023 21:20 utc | 62

When talking about purely Russian problems. Not saying any of these are fatal problems, just that they are problems that should be acknowledged.
It seems that the main one is that AFU continues bombarding cross-border settlements, Donbass, and to some extent drone attacks. On the battle field AFU has ability to fly drones in many areas and RU can’t nearly defend against all of them. Ukraine small drones are quite effective.
Also, Russia has no intention or incentive to terror attack against Ukrainian villages or cities, whereas Ukraine STRIVES to attack Russian cities or villages. Russia must therefore balance their air defense to defend non-military targets (not relevant for battlefield performance), whereas Ukraine does not have to concentrate on defending their cities or towns, except their military assets. Regardless how many A/D systems Russia has, they will never have enough, under this circumstance.
Along the long beach of Dnepr, the risk of landings stretch defense and deployable artillery, and drone operations.
Ukraine has made some raids on Crimea shore, however without achieving other than propaganda purpose. This is helped by NATO recon aircraft in the Black Sea. Which also guide Himars attacks. Also satellites, to which there is no solution.
Relentless meat push by AFU will take a toll, however favorable ratio. There will be times when they manage to land near the trench they are trying to take and close combat will somewhat even out AFU’s disadvantage.
M-777 still might maintain a slight range advantage versus the old Soviet howitzers, which are still used in plenty quantities.
Ukraine has its entire population at its disposal. Ukraine does not need to worry about its future or economy (well, it should worry about it, but Poland will take functionalities over anyway). Russia simply cannot commit to mobilize significant number of population.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 21:25 utc | 63

Posted by: OGDuck | Aug 27 2023 19:56 utc | 50
Thank you OGDuck, i am a pacifist and fully agree with you. This is disgusting.
Yesterday I was talking to an educated Norwegian man who is married to an ukranian woman from Poltava. She is also highly educated and they have been living in Norway for 12-15 years. They have of cource been visiting her parents in UA many times.
He could not understand why Russia was attacking UA.
It is allmost impossible to believe the ignorance of people that actually are close to the UA. (I have been living and working in Kiev for a year and the turn of the millenium).
But this shows how well the propaganda machine works, both in telling us stories and concealing facts from us.
I am reading the zn.ua newspaper every day to see what the UA citizens are being told about the war. It is really scary to see what stories they are told on a daily basis. We (UA) are downing cruise missiles, our forces are advancing, russians are dying, the west are supplying more weapons, messi scores.
It is discusting and sickening.
But your/our bad day is nothing compared to the days for the soldiers at the front.

Posted by: Paul from Norway | Aug 27 2023 21:26 utc | 64

Regarding post #38.
This is a link to a population pyramid of Ukraine:
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ukraine_2023_population_pyramid.svg
Given the losses in battle plus wounded and crippled combined with people that are fleeing the country, I don’t have extreme confidence in the accuracy. However; the odd shape of this population pyramid with the small number of 20 to 25 year old males as well as females suggests that the war has exasperated the decline in birth rates.
The bottom line is that after two years of war, the cohort of 18 year old males that can be drafted each year is limited to about a hundred thousand people. This is barely two-thirds the number of soldiers that have been deployed for the most recent, great offensive. Many of them will not be physically or mentally fit. A very large percentage are probably escaping the country as I type this.
Ukraine might be able to field a much larger army if they start drafting women. However; the decreased physical strength and stamina will result in them being significantly less combat effective than an equivalent number of males. Also, females more than males are the limiting factor on procreation. One man can theoretically keep a large number of women pregnant. Offering their reproductive age women as human sacrifices on the alter of nationalist and NATO delusions will only hasten Ukraine’s decline to demographic oblivion.

Posted by: Elmer Fudd | Aug 27 2023 21:29 utc | 65

Robotyne, a hamlet of under 500 people during peacetime. All this Ukrainian death for half of a hamlet, a hamlet that is half the size of an average suburban high school population. Division after division ground away for half a high school for mere days of a temporary photo op.
The West’s leaders obviously hate you, Ukraine, and you are the last fools to recognize it. It’s time to emigrate towards Russia for survival. But you do you.

Posted by: titmouse | Aug 27 2023 21:34 utc | 66

Abandoned vehicles could be boobytrapped, best to destroy.
The constant push for more bodies to raise another army is symptomatic of the possible collapse of resistance by Ukraine.
Loads of talks about forcibly extraditing Ukrainian “refugees” that are of military age. How does this impact EU rules?
So the question is will this remnant army break or revolt?

Posted by: Suresh | Aug 27 2023 21:38 utc | 67

Posted by: Paul from Norway | Aug 27 2023 21:26 utc | 64
Educated doesn’t necessarily mean you know how to think, often what to think. I had the same experience as yourself, complete faith in the narrative that Ukraine was winning, coming from two Oxbridge doctors of science. In most previous take overs the intellectuals used to be the first to be targeted, as they were seen as group in society who could challenge the illegitimacy of the new regime and be a focus for dissent. Now, in the 21 Century they actively support the tyranny, or worse, are part of it, such is the pitiful state of Western education.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 27 2023 21:47 utc | 68

Legitimacy, sorry cat on lap whilst typing, never a good idea!

Posted by: Milites | Aug 27 2023 21:48 utc | 69

I don’t think it’s likely that Putin and Zelensky or any other US puppet in Ukraine will talk about anything related to this conflict, ever again.
Ukraine is losing population to immigration (also immigration to Russia) at such a rate that the conflict will wean itself out over the years, and at that point it’s even irrelevant to talk about anything.
The western return-on-investment goes down, as AFU inevitably shifts to defense mode (they already started in Staramayorsk, per reports). It’s questionable whether they will ever again launch an attack with the force in the magnitude, seen since early June.
It’s very likely that the combat intensity will decline significantly over coming months, lasting to next Spring at least.
Regarding media attention, it’s possible that Ukraine will shift into the memory hole over next year, there will be little written about it. This is also what Biden wants and needs, he wants people to forget Ukraine.
Russia will slowly push to take Zaporozhye, and eventually Dnipro, but in a much smarter way than Ukraine’s offensive, as Russia does not anyone breathing behind its back to make mad suicidal rush.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 21:51 utc | 70

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 21:25 utc | 63
You have correctly identified the challenges of RF in the SMO. These are how things turned out after the initial unsuccessful plan. They are fundamental in nature and can now only be overcome by changes external to Russia. This is because, due to a myriad reasons, Russia is playing with one hand tied behind its back.
China and India can end this war in the blink of an eye by recognizing the new regions as part of RF. But this will create a bad precedent for others to simply invade territory that is disputed. And the world will descend in chaos. There are no viable mechanisms to settle these type of conflicts anymore since the West lost military premacy. We are still in some sort of order, on inertia, and noone wants to be the first to test it after the SMO.
As things stand now, this can drag on for years until some sort of new balance is established, an equilibrium where peace is the most beneficial option.
In the meantime however, we are descending deeper in the abyss – millions of angry people that have lost so much in Ukraine – ready for revenge for decades to come. Bad blood that no post-conflict resolution can help overcome. Just because Boris Johnson intervened to brake the peace agreement.
It is difficult to predict how it will be in lets say a year from now. It really depends whether Russia can inflict more damage – within the current restraints of the SMO – than can be replenished on time. But even then, the West has ways to escalate again and again until there are no options left. On either side.

Posted by: alek_a | Aug 27 2023 22:12 utc | 71


🇺🇲⚡US military helicopter carrying 22 Marines crashes off Australian coast
A V-22 Osprey helicopter with 22 US Marines on board has crashed off the coast of Australia, according to local 9News TV channel. According to media reports, a search and rescue operation is currently underway.
It is also reported that local hospitals are brought to the highest degree of readiness. So far, none of those on board the ship have been found alive.

From Intel Slava z
Helicopter crash all dead, big drama. A terrific way to coverup military losses without a lot of questions.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Aug 27 2023 22:22 utc | 72

Brendan | Aug 27 2023 19:57 utc | 51
*** Von der Leyen and Baerbock know that the western media will not question anything they say, so they can say whatever they want. All the same, they seem a bit dim if they don’t seem to be aware how ridiculous they sound.***
Hardline liberals seldom have such awareness or perception.
their own self-righteousness precludes it

Posted by: Cynic | Aug 27 2023 22:23 utc | 73

@Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 27 2023 17:42 utc | 26
“The ability of the West to harvest resources from its colonies, and to purchase materiel with fiat currency has begun its end phase. It could last another two decades, but the ending has begun, and as we have seen in the past when a financial regime collapses, it can happen quickly.”
It would be better if they went away slowly, but I agree the financial house of cards has been extended and grown for three decades now. Desperate nations threatened with internal rebellion look for internal and external enemies to redirect the anger of their people. The Great Depression was the handmaiden to fascism in Germany. The “two minutes hate” sessions may be ramped up massively if things start falling apart. Hence the carefulness with which Russia, China and Iran are playing things.

Posted by: Roger | Aug 27 2023 22:23 utc | 74

JohninMK | Aug 27 2023 20:31 utc | 58
*** If you watch Baerbock’s face there are what could be guilty half smiles flitting across it. Almost as if she expected someone stage left to shout “don’t be stupid!”.***
More likely irrepressible smirks of smugness at (1) being so sublimely right … and (2) in front of cameras that will distribute the ‘fact’.

Posted by: Cynic | Aug 27 2023 22:31 utc | 75

German FM Baerbock is saying the same thing about using chips from German washing machines for drones and missiles.
Posted by: Brendan | Aug 27 2023 18:43 utc | 33
Then FM Baerbock must have pleaded with her colleagues for an export ban of German washing machines?

Posted by: Passerby | Aug 27 2023 22:33 utc | 76

germany’s end is near. hypocrites with two faces.

Posted by: innuendo | Aug 27 2023 22:35 utc | 78

Found this in comments @ Larry’s SONAR blog.
As cartoonists have known for centuries, much can be said in “silly”pics.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/0B1Gc34RtVPY/

Posted by: Melaleuca | Aug 27 2023 22:36 utc | 79

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 19:04 utc | 36
Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 20:03 utc | 52
Ukraine has its entire population at its disposal. Ukraine does not need to worry about its future or economy. Russia simply cannot commit to mobilize significant number of population.
Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 21:25 utc | 63
Regarding media attention, it’s possible that Ukraine will shift into the memory hole over next year, there will be little written about it. This is also what Biden wants and needs, he wants people to forget Ukraine.
Russia will slowly push to take Zaporozhye, and eventually Dnipro, but in a much smarter way than Ukraine’s offensive, as Russia does not anyone breathing behind its back to make mad suicidal rush.
Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 21:51 utc | 70
———————————————————-
Thank you, kein Kaiser. You are keeping me up to date with enough detail to provide a modicum of grasp, likely of benefit to many MoA barflies.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Aug 27 2023 22:37 utc | 80

Alexander Mercouris provided some more detail of the meeting between Zaluzhny and general Cavioli and Radakin of UK.
Apparently these Nato people are tunnel visioning that Ukraine must deploy all forces to Robotyne to reach the sea of Azov, and they ignore everything else, including Kupyansk. They think Kupyansk is just a diversion which Russia uses to try to draw AFU away from their offensive in Zaporozhye. Syrsky argues that they need to deploy more to defend Kupyansk and not allow it to fall.
However, Mercouris argues with help of insider info that the Kupyansk offensive is far from diversionary, it’s actually a precursor to a larger offensive somewhere in the north.
Additionally Nato has categorically refused to allow use of the elite 82nd brigade with Stryker vehicles in Kupyansk, or anywhere else than Orekhov. Recently it was revealed that 82nd brigade already had large losses in Orekhov direction, so guess that is not even an issue anymore.
Anyway, it seems a zugzwang situation. Most MSM “experts” have called Kupyansk another insignificant nuisance as it removes attention from Melitopol and sea of Azov.
This is how tunnel visioning can be fatal.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 22:41 utc | 81


Ukraine claims more gains on southern front as Russia intensifies attacks in the northeast

Another cnn signal, that confirms the isw map of russian advances canceling out Ukrainian advances. It even further down mentions russian counter attacks and air strikes around bahkmut although it’s a pains to say ukraine is holding out..against russian attacks which shows ukraine is on the defensive there.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Aug 27 2023 22:44 utc | 82

Neofeudalfuture | Aug 27 2023 22:22 utc | 72
Interesting. Not a pixel about this on abc.net.au
In fact nothing Ukraine on the just in / news section.
Something something about Putin and the Prigozhin demise in analysis, but no new Ukraine news …

Posted by: Melaleuca | Aug 27 2023 22:46 utc | 83

Then FM Baerbock must have pleaded with her colleagues for an export ban of German washing machines?
Posted by: Passerby | Aug 27 2023 22:33 utc | 76
An export ban on German kitchen appliances would be better. We waited 6 months for the new stove. I suspect German car manufacturers used the chips for their car production.

Posted by: Martina | Aug 27 2023 22:50 utc | 84

I am sick of reading about the war. Physically sick. Not because I am bored or inattentive. But because the killing has now become so blase, so common. We are inured. And post daily clobber lists. Like noting the latest number of sandbags washed away in a storm, needing to be replaced.
[I am no pacifist. Not in the least. But] this war was over the day it started, if not years before. Russia prepared for years for this time and has had a foot on the military economic pedal ever since the [most recent] shooting started in 2022. And Russia appears to be well on the way to annihilating the Ukrainian male population aged 16-60.
Despair fills me!
———————
I assume that you have never been in the military, just as well. Consider this statement by Chris Heges about the average American view of war: “The enduring attraction of war is this: even with its destruction and carnage it can give us what we long for in life. It can give us purpose, meaning, a reason for living. Only when we are in the midst of conflict does the shallowness and vapidness of much of our lives become apparent … War is an enticing elixir. It gives us resolve, a cause. It allows us to be noble.”
The point being expressed is in the middle of the statement: “Only when we are in the midst of conflict does the shallowness and vapidness of much of our lives become apparent …”
Yet often, war is necessary (my addition to Chris’s statement (and book).

Posted by: Ed | Aug 27 2023 22:58 utc | 85

US is going to reduce support to Ukraine next year compared to this year. That is not due to choice, it’s due to lack of industrial capacity. That is also a death blow.
Nato is also starting to blame Ukraine for various different things and that Ukraine hasn’t followed their brilliant military advice, which has led to not-very-good results.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 27 2023 22:59 utc | 86

e what a timeline depicting their expectations this year. The object is to fight in a contested sector and wear down the enemy and only to pursue the enemy to keep him fighting and this has worked marvelously well so far. If giving some ground makes even greater loss rate, then some ground will be given. So far there has not been a great enough attrition of the highly trained enemy, as they attack using rather untrained units and heavily embed the untrained in with the super proficient, using them as cannon fodder and booby trap/mine trippers. This is highlighted by the very specialized bombing raids and missile strikes that Russia has conducted and their pursuit of specific units.. many that are ‘bona fide’ war criminals due to their barrier troop employment. At the end of the year, probably early March, Russian MoD’s declared objectives are to be in control of the territories of Donetsk and Luhansk, still with a front where they have been.. ready to make a greatest impact during the Summer USA political season.
As for the Isrlkrainians, it is best to get rid of the possible opposition, those that would cause political strife and act as partisans and saboteurs, as after the age of 16 they have been far to brainwashed, will not be able to conform to Russian educational standards, to be retrievable with further educational efforts in the public sector and imprisonment in concentration camps is economically and socially nonviable.
The Ukraine borders are closed, immigration is virtually at a stand-still. Perhaps those with children and sponsors can get out but anyone that has children over 12 and no children are trapped. This is a very similar situation that existed in Germany during WW2. After the Russian take-over there will be a steady exodus. Few will stay. There will be no Rump State, but many detention centers run by the former POW Ukraine soldiers that will encourage the dissidents to leave on their own volition… There will be no mistakes that where made that lead to OUAN rising and causing chaos. Poland will be encouraged to leave NATO as their losses are high and chaos will be on their ground. The Elites West will be into the results of their ‘second’ ongoing undeclared war, the war on their people.. and the total disaster of a rapid population collapse.

Posted by: T S | Aug 27 2023 23:06 utc | 87

Martina @ 84

An export ban on German kitchen appliances would be better. We waited 6 months for the new stove.

But is it hypersonic?

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 27 2023 23:32 utc | 89

Posted by: Cynic | Aug 27 2023 22:31 utc | 75
It’s a well known sign or tell that liars exhibit when they self-congratulate, after thinking they’ve fooled people, called ‘duper’s delight’.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 27 2023 23:35 utc | 90

China and India can end this war in the blink of an eye by recognizing the new regions as part of RF. But this will create a bad precedent for others to simply invade territory that is disputed.
Posted by: alek_a | Aug 27 2023 22:12 utc | 71
——————————————————-
“But this will create a bad precedent for others to simply invade territory that is disputed.”
Do you mean like when the US and Germany (and other NATO Bloc countries) Invaded Yugoslavia and broke it into itty bitsy pieces, then removed Kosovo from Serbia and built a large US military and NATO base in Kosovo. China and India know this, the whole world knows this, but the still the world tremble before the US hegemon. It will take time; but they will come around.
Russia is doing everything they can to avoid an international conflict (WW3) with the EU and the US. In time, history will record that Russia tried to follow the rules that the United Nations put in writing and the member nations voted on. China and India, and the world knows this, but have yet to muster the courage to take a firm stand against the Hegemon and its Minoans in the West (and the EU).
Most smaller nations of the world are tethered to the US dollar and the US military in so many ways, but BRICK’s is evidence that many nations are coming around, and others are fence sitting waiting to see what happens next. But right now, they do not feel strong enough to resist, or the heads of state and /or the heads of the military are bought and paid for. This is a dangerous time for life on planet earth because the US is wounded, and it knows that its days as the exceptional nation are coming to an end: A wounded Eagle is not only dangerous to its prey, but to anyone, or anything, that threatens it.

Posted by: Ed | Aug 27 2023 23:36 utc | 91

Despite my better judgment, I clicked on
Fears of a post-Putin Russia haunt the US as it delays helping Ukraine with F-16s
To my surprise, I learnt something new.
John Lyons, abc.net.au global affairs editor informs me that:

There is a growing view in the US and Europe that Washington has deliberately gone slow to ensure the war does not escalate — to “calibrate” military assistance.
This view suggests that the US is juggling two considerations: a desire to help Ukraine but also a desire not to see a definitive victory by Ukraine that could precipitate the fall of Putin.
In my assessment, this is the only explanation for why the US has been so slow to provide Abrams tanks and F-16s.

Admiring his pair of clown shoes, I wondered where he’d acquired them:
>… John Lyons has previously been the Editor of The Sydney Morning Herald, Executive Producer of the Nine Network’s Sunday program and Head of Current Affairs and Investigations at the ABC.
He has been a foreign correspondent in Washington, New York, the Philippines and the Middle East.
His latest books are Balcony Over Jerusalem and Dateline Jerusalem.
He’s won three [3🤡] Walkley Awards and has been the Graham Perkin Australian Journalist of the Year.
What a resume! What eminence! What a moron.
With “journalists” of this calibre, it is obvious why Lloyd Austin and Snake Sullivan and Nuland and her nepotistic nest at the Institute for the Study of War are not held to account.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-08-28/ukraine-war-post-putin-russia/102778338

The reference to “the longest wind-up for a punch” is from Angus King, an independent senator from Maine, expressing frustration at Ukraine’s inability to dislodge Russian soldiers from Ukraine.
He was supported by Republican Tom Cotton, from Arkansas.
The Washington Post reported: “Senators Tom Cotton and Angus King directed their frustration at General Christopher Cavoli, who as the head of the US European Command oversees much of the Pentagon’s effort to train and equip Ukraine’s army.
King told the general he is worried that Ukraine will not have enough firepower to counter Russian troops this summer and that the American tanks should be staged in Poland now so Ukrainian forces can use them as soon as they complete a training course expected to begin next month under the supervision of US soldiers in Germany.”
That was in April, but the issue has become more pressing.
Why has it taken so long for the one thing that Ukraine most needs – fighter jets, particularly F-16s – to be given a date for arrival?
As Politico reported, the Biden administration is now feeling “a new sense of urgency” to deliver F-16s.
A new sense of urgency after months?

Lyon also quotes another genius expert (who has a book to sell)

Professor Mark Edele — Hansen Professor in History at the University of Melbourne and author of a new book, Russia’s War Against Ukraine — says there are five possible outcomes to the war.
1= A Russian victory. “This seems unlikely but it is not totally impossible if support for Ukraine crumbles,” Edele says.
“If Donald Trump wins next year’s election, if there are squabbles within the European Union and NATO, if there’s a fracturing of support for Ukraine while at the same time there’s a re-focusing by Russia then it’s a possibility that Russia may win.
In sheer number terms Russia has more resources, including on things like air superiority, but a definitive Russian victory still seems unlikely.”

I won’t waste b’s pixels with the nutty professor’s “reasons”, 2-5.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Aug 27 2023 23:53 utc | 92

When opportunity knocks at your door………let it in……..the AFU is now at the end of their rope. All their NATO trained brigades have been committed to the latest iteration of the failed Summer offensive which started on June 4th.
All of the NATO trained brigades have been heavily depleted both in terms of available manpower and armored vehicles, and they have now stumbled into yet another RF cauldron in Robotyne. The AFU has lost over 40 aircraft(from a very limited inventory), thousands of MBT’s, IVF’s, APC’s, and MRAP’s, and dozens of helos. It has virtually no air cover, and only limited ability to deliver air launched ordinance.
This huge dysfunction creates a real opportunity for a big arrow offensive by the Russians somewhere along the six hundred mile front. This is a necessity now for the RF forces, for they must exploit the manpower and material shortcomings of the AFU and quickly too, before the fall rains turn the roads and fields into mush.
Dont give NATO any time to send material and mercenary and special ops reinforcements to the AFU, strike before the next great resupply wave attempt, and before more AFU territorial reserves can be mobilized.
An RF Winter offensive will allow the now disorganized and dis-spirited AFU at least a window to refresh….dont give them one.
The reality is that if the RF does not pull off a successful big arrow offensive soon and reach the Polish border they will be left to deal with a Ukrainian rump state with a huge NATO base somewhere in the west, just like the Serbs are now dealing with at the NATO Camp Bonesteel in Kosovo (a now festering sore in side of the Serbian state).
Dont let that happen….the SMO has worked very well, now take the offensive and drive hard….time is of the essence……..get to the Polish border or face a 20 year war, your choice……good luck!!

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 27 2023 23:55 utc | 93

Some videos for today.
Six civilians wounded after Kiev regime shells Donetsk residential area:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/romanshelling-yt:2
Russian mortar team fires on enemy position near Kupyansk:
https://rutube.ru/video/0b3506105a9bbbefc2b0b07e4d7d3c07/
Russian drone strikes US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier:
https://rutube.ru/video/32191faa9d129524ef8862c12f38a40e/
Russian drone strikes enemy squad:
https://odysee.com/@Overthrown:6/video_2023-08-27_12-30-22:9
Russian mortar fire and artillery destroys enemy position:
https://rutube.ru/video/b5dd1fbb211d3f1af292962cd5ad123d/
‘No NATO, no war’: Protesters rally in Germany against weapon deliveries to Kiev regime:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/DUSSELDORF-PROTEST:2

Posted by: Nate | Aug 27 2023 23:57 utc | 94

RT, just now.
Carlsen Tucker has been “persistently lobbying the Kremlin” for an interview with Putin.
Wow. Given Tucker’s endless slagging off of Ukraine and Zelensky and Club Biden and Congress, and respect for analysts like McGregor, such an interview might be enough to seriously sway US and global understanding closer to the truths about the SMO.
I’m excited … if VVP agrees.

Posted by: SCCC | Aug 28 2023 0:12 utc | 95

US military helicopter carrying 22 Marines crashes off Australian coast
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Aug 27 2023 22:22 utc | 72
Yes! Only a dead American is a good American! And yes, I’m talking about Americans in general, not soldiers. You are all responsible, dirty US scum.

Posted by: Zet | Aug 28 2023 0:19 utc | 96

Posted by: Melaleuca | Aug 27 2023 23:53 utc | 92
Funny. I just read the same thing (vomit vomit) and was going to post it, but decided not to pollute MoA with such nonsense!
However, I think there’s credence in what he says about the US going slow in arms supplies, in playing it safe … just as RF does. The article acknowledges, for the first time, that deep down the US **is** afraid of what Russia might do if the West oversteps too far. Imo, it is a change from the braggadocio of the previous 18 months.

Posted by: SCCC | Aug 28 2023 0:21 utc | 97

We have a confession!!
https://revolver.news/2023/08/top-us-general-caught-on-hot-mic-claiming-usa-likely-bombed-nord-stream-pipeline/
Posted by: Elmer Fudd | Aug 27 2023 22:33 utc | 77
####
Fucking rubbish. No confession at all. Just clickbait by YOU and that stupid Revolver site. Stfu.

Posted by: SCCC | Aug 28 2023 0:30 utc | 98

By my personal idea of good and evil, the only truly evil people in this struggle are the American neocons. A curse on their house and may they all suffer a painful death.

Posted by: Jmaas | Aug 28 2023 0:51 utc | 99

Posted by: Ed | Aug 27 2023 22:58 utc | 85
You took literary license with your citation from my post. I did not use an exclamation point.
And you forgot to cite my post by byline, so peeps could see for themselves my comments in context.(#50).
And nothing in my post defines me as American. Or a veteran or not a veteran. Yet you cite some American warmongering (conflict-loving) succubus named Chris Heges as evidence of something reflective of my writing. Not sure what.
I do not know who Chris Heges is. And I don’t give a fuck what he thinks. Or what you think. Lying by omission POS.
OGDuck

Posted by: OGDuck | Aug 28 2023 0:57 utc | 100