Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
August 17, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-195

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

Kyiv has recently moved more reserves to the front, including Stryker and Challenger units, but has yet to break through Russia’s main line of defense.
US officials said the Pentagon has repeatedly advised Ukraine to concentrate a large mass of forces at one point of breakthrough. But Ukraine has chosen a different strategy, so not only the capture of Melitopol, but also Tokmak is being called into question.
Pentagon officials believe that Ukraine can break historical norms and continue the counteroffensive in the winter, when everything, including providing soldiers with warmth, food and ammunition, becomes much more difficult. But Moscow can also outdo them in winter military operations. “The Russians are known to be able to fight in cold weather,” officials say.
Intelligence forecasts, which were presented to congressmen at closed meetings, have already raised a wave of doubts. Some Republicans say it makes no sense to allocate the $20.6 billion Biden requested to Ukraine now. Other congressmen from both parties criticize the White House for not sending more powerful weapons earlier.”

US military intelligence is on the level of kindergarten. That’s the brains you can get with $800 billion budget?

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2023 7:31 utc | 301

Posted by: Urban Fox | Aug 19 2023 0:31 utc | 290
5. Given that Ukraine have switched to infantry heavy assaults, on this Front, then 122mm also makes sense for three other reasons.
i) UK post-war operational research found that the greatest determinant of artillery effectiveness, v’s infantry, was not calibre, as had been previously thought but rate of fire, ‘’bangs per minute over how big the bang’.
ii) The infantry centric assaults, supported by light APC’s, mitigates the weakness of smaller calibres against heavy armour, IDF research suggested that calibres smaller than 155mm were 50% less effective against armour.
iii) prodigious amounts of ammo for said system, with more shells per tonne able to be delivered by the logistics train.
6. Far easier to conceal than the big systems, making it a good anti-drone system
7. Using rocket assisted projectiles (RAP) the range can be extended close to the 152mm+ guns, although accuracy is affected.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 19 2023 7:31 utc | 302

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66551478
OK so it’s happening, where are the F16s going to be based is the big question. It appears we are on another escalation, just completely be used why the west will not back down. I just hope Putin will save the world now I am ashamed to be part of the military and the west.

Posted by: Scot1and | Aug 19 2023 7:44 utc | 303

Gin Palace,
Just checking in for a musical reccommendation,
Killimg Joke “War Dance”
Strange but true from 1980

Posted by: Orson Cart | Aug 19 2023 7:47 utc | 304

(I’m sure it’s just a coincidence):
Adolf Heusinger, Hitler’s Chief of Staff, became Chairman of the NATO Military Committee, 1961-1964
Hans Speidel, Rommel’s Chief of Staff, became Commander in Chief of NATO Forces Central Europe, 1957-1963
Johannes Steinhoff, Luftwaffe fighter ace, became Chairman of the NATO Military Committee, 1971-1974
Johan von Kielmansegg, General Staff Officer Wehrmacht High Command, became NATO Commander Allied Forces Central Europe, 1966-1968
Ernst Faber, Lt Col Wehrmacht General Staff, became Commander in Chief NATO Forces Central Europe, 1973-1975
Karl Schnell, First General Staff Officer 76th Panzer Corps, became Commander in Chief NATO Forces Central Europe, 1975-1977
Franz-Joseph Schulze, Senior Lieutenant Luftwaffe, became Commander in Chief NATO Forces Central Europe, 1977-1979
Ferdinand von Senger und Etterlin, Adjutant Wehrmacht High Command, became Commander in Chief NATO Forces Central Europe, 1979-1983

Posted by: hankster | Aug 19 2023 7:55 utc | 305

Posted by: Cynic | Aug 18 2023 2:35 utc | 111

karlof1 | Aug 18 2023 0:37 utc | 93
*** What can NATO possibly do once its Ukraine proxy’s defeated? ***
If sea routes around the Russian Arctic become less iced up … NATO piracy in all but name, perhaps from bases in Finland … plus navigation trouble from bases in one or more of the Baltic states?

incredible
a look at a map should help

Posted by: ghiwen | Aug 19 2023 8:07 utc | 306

Something hit in Kiev

🔥 Black smoke rises in Kiev as explosions rock the Ukrainian capital.

https://t.me/IntelRepublic/26067

Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 19 2023 8:35 utc | 307

Posted by: laguerre | Aug 18 2023 15:16 utc | 209

All the armchair generals on here, including this one, have real trouble understanding why the EU exists.

It’s really very simple. The EU exists because the USA wanted it to exist.
The USA had good reasons to do so.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 19 2023 8:35 utc | 308

First of two short replies to comments that caught my attention on. Skimming through the comments again.
@ Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Aug 18 2023 17:51 utc | 232
Wrote :
https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/08/18/fqxf-a18.html
This site’s line on Ukraine is very, very confused, although getting some basic facts correct: it was provoked by imperialism, the Ukies are led by Nazis and are being used as proxies.
But they condemn Putin as much as they do Biden for the war and they have overestimated the power of US imperialism consistently…”
My dear Ahenobarbus, I take your confusion as genuine , let me point you in the right direction for you to seek the truth for yourself as I have had to, by admitting my errors of judgement and separate the realities of life from the fairytales that we are wont to embrace from childhood.
WSWS in the US, has a lot in common with the faux commie publication ‘ Spiked’ in the U.K.
The WSWS is analogous to the RCP/SPIKED. It does the same in the US. Its leader, Ms Fox of Spiked, ended up in the House of Lords, like all grubby servants of the Deep State do.
Because she coordinated and delivered the Anti EU BrexShit by helping to break the Red wall of WW2.
Along with planning the media strategies that led us to integrity initiative, 77th Brigade and the rest.
For these interested in how this understanding came about, ask , I’ll post it on the next open thread.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Aug 19 2023 8:48 utc | 309

Second quick response to :
@ Posted by: Gene Poole | Aug 18 2023 11:54 utc | 167
Asks
“Several people on a previous thread, for some reason, were going after Frank Zappa. Why is that?”
Gene,that appears to be a rhetorical question? Because you seem to give the answer in the same paragraph.
‘ “Politics is the entertainment division of the military industrial complex.”
- Frank Zappa ‘
That was him stating the obvious fact of how he was doing his patriotic duty just as many a son and daughter of many a senior military commanders raised on military bases were encouraged to do.
Want a longer response ? Ask and again I’ll post it on the next open thread.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Aug 19 2023 8:52 utc | 310

It’s really very simple. The EU exists because the USA wanted it to exist.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 19 2023 8:35 utc | 312
I don’t think much of that. Of course the US agreed to its creation, but I doubt it had much agency. They spend their time trying to destroy it now, as become a rival. They’ve succeeded to a fair degree with the Ukraine war, one of whose main objectives is to do the EU down.

Posted by: laguerre | Aug 19 2023 8:56 utc | 311

@hankster | Aug 19 2023 7:55 utc | 309
Clearly it was required by now to replenish the correct recruitment of NATO officials, hence the Ukraine efforts.

Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 19 2023 9:04 utc | 312

@laguerre | Aug 19 2023 8:56 utc | 315
The US spends their time trying to destroy European countries, using the EU as one of their tools.

Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 19 2023 9:07 utc | 313

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66509999
This gem of pro-ukro propaganda appeared on the BBC website this morning.
It is hilarious / nauseating / childish / desperate in equal measure.
Have the sick bucket ready.

Posted by: Engineer-John | Aug 19 2023 9:13 utc | 314

Posted by: bevin | Aug 18 2023 17:03 utc | 224

Such ideas were easy enough to entertain in an era of economic growth, relative prosperity and social stability all of which coincided with the era in which the six were transformed into the EEC and later the EU.
Laguerre clearly recalls those days fondly.

The EU was from the get-go primarily an accesory to the USA, see my reply to laguerre #209

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 19 2023 9:23 utc | 315

Orson Cart | Aug 19 2023 7:47 utc | 308
Re Killing Joke
If you like ‘Wardance’ from 1980, check this out from 2015, the year of Minsk 2:
Killing Joke – New Cold War

Closing in on the Eastern border
It’s a unicentric one world order
With Sino-Russian capitulation
Will come an orchestrated end of nations
Food prices soaring
As the sanctions kicked in
And all the hawks cried more
Oil prices falling
And the propaganda talks war
Minerva has decreed a state of attrition, hostilities
New Cold War!
In the Arctic wastes under sheets of ice
Mineral resources corporate forces eye
Occupation ensures supply
Colour-coded revolutions sustain the lie
Food prices soaring
As the sanctions kicked in
And all the hawks cried more
Oil prices falling
And the propaganda talks war
Minerva has decreed a state of attrition, hostilities
New Cold War!
Breaking in a cold sweat just like the good old days
The drum beat of hostilities has started to play
A perverted thrill reminiscent of the big chill
Hair trigger giving everyone a shiver
Food prices soaring
As the sanctions kicked in
And all the hawks cried more
Oil prices falling
And the propaganda talks war
Minerva has decreed a state of attrition, hostilities
New Cold War!

Posted by: S.P. Korolev | Aug 19 2023 9:23 utc | 316

309 – Heusinger was actually standing next to Hitler when Stauffenburg’s bomb went off on July 20, 1944. Heusinger was slightly wounded. He supposedly knew some kind of plot was going down but did not know Stauffenburg would plant the bomb there and then.

Posted by: Waldorf | Aug 19 2023 9:26 utc | 317

A hillarious, but accurate summary of the Ukrainian counter offensive
https://t.me/slavaded1337/27412

Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 19 2023 9:29 utc | 318

305 – Perhaps I am just arrogant but I feel even amateurish old me could make better assessments, and at a fraction of the cost.

Posted by: Waldorf | Aug 19 2023 9:29 utc | 319

DunGroanin | Aug 19 2023 8:52 utc | 314
That was him stating the obvious fact of how he was doing his patriotic duty just as many a son and daughter of many a senior military commanders raised on military bases were encouraged to do
I guess I can pretty much imagine what you’re insinuating here. How gratuitous of you.
Frank saw the rot in American society way before anyone around here, and he didn’t just express it in clever little soundbites. For a period he encouraged and provided for voter registration at his concerts. He was also the protagonist in the now infamous senate hearings(starring Tipper Gore) regarding explicit lyrics in the music world. Yeah, he was already on the anti-censorship bandwagon 35 years ago. He did his part politically.
But, of course, Frank was a composer and a musician, a workaholic, and very prolific.
Talk of his music is accessible on many music forums, but requires some interest by the seeker. As far as the longevity of his music goes, well, it’s endured very well thus far, and to my mind and ears this will only grow, notwithstanding the ignorance of some jaded fuckwits around here.

Posted by: john | Aug 19 2023 9:36 utc | 320

Posted by: Jörgen Hassler | Aug 18 2023 17:43 utc | 229

As for the EU I see it’s future as more problematic.

EU’s fate is inextricably linked to the USA. The EU will disintegrate into completely separate nations once again a few years after the USA enters into their coming economic debacle due to de-dollarization reaching a critical threshold, leading to USD devaluation, leading to inability to pay for military outposts and essential products imports, leading to USA isolationism for a few decades, while it recovers the strength it has been losing since the 90s.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 19 2023 9:43 utc | 321

@Johan Kaspar | Aug 19 2023 9:43 utc | 325

The EU will disintegrate into completely separate nations once again

People say Ukraine is an artificial construct. In comparison, the EU is an artificial construct to the power of 2, its disintegration cannot come soon enough.

Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 19 2023 9:49 utc | 322

Posted by: laguerre | Aug 19 2023 8:56 utc | 315

I don’t think much of that.

So, on one side we have official declassified American government documents demonstrating that USA agencies started the process of European integration in the 50s and 60s and on the other side we have you not thinking much about it.

They [USA] spend their time trying to destroy it [the EU] now, as become a rival.

From what planet are you posting? Here on Earth the USA and the EU are not rivals, quite the opposite, the EU is USA’s bitch. It was as evident during the Great Recession as it is now.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 19 2023 10:12 utc | 323

Some bullshit from the NY Times regarding casualities: https://abload.de/img/ny_semit_epcwx.png

Posted by: Apollyon | Aug 19 2023 10:22 utc | 324

For the record, it took 1 more year to Laguerre than to b to see the real face of the EU.

Posted by: Minaa | Aug 19 2023 10:29 utc | 325

Units of the “Dnepr” grouping defeated a detachment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine numbering 150 people, who were trying to gain a foothold on the left bank of the Dnieper, the Russian Defense Ministry reported.
https://twitter.com/Cyberspec1/status/1692847705591255340
——————–
⚡️ (https://t.me/sitreports/13502)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the SMO #Highlights on the Territory of the Former #Ukraine by 09:01 Moscow Time on 19 August 2023⚡️
🔹1. #Zaporozhye Direction:
▪️ The enemy continued intensive attacks in the area of #Rabotino, trying to get a grip on the northeastern and northern outskirts, as well as trying to push through the Russian stronghold line to the east of the settlement.
▪️ There is no question of a significant breakthrough there. The enemy is trying to break through the defence in the hope that there will be enough resources to either occupy part of #Rabotino or bypass the village from the east to try to establish fire control over the communications leading to the village.
▪️ The remaining reserves, which were previously held for the development of success, were introduced into action.
🔹2. #Vremyevka Ledge:
▪️ The enemy confidently controls the northern parts of #Staromayorskoye and #Urozhaynoye, continuing attempts to establish full control over them after the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces.
Our troops continue counterattacks and prevent the enemy from accumulating forces for an attack on #Staromlynovka.
▪️ The enemy is probing our line of defence near Zavitne Bazhannya.
▪️ In the area of #Priyutnoye and #Novodonetskoye, our troops hold the line of defence.
🔹3. #Artyomovsk:
▪️ Our troops are successfully holding the defences to the northwest and south of #Artemovsk.
▪️ The enemy failed to break through the defence line #Kleshcheyevka – #Andreyevka – #Kurdyumovka.
📌 #Kleshcheyevka is under our full control.
▪️ The enemy is preparing new attacks near #Andreyevka and #Kleshcheyevka.
▪️ The AFU’s activity near #Berkhovka was suppressed.
🔹4. #Svatovo – #Kupyansk:
▪️ The RF Armed Forces continue their offensive towards #Oskol, maintaining an average advance rate of 1-1.5 kilometres per day.
▪️The enemy loses a significant number of personnel and several strongpoints there every day.
▪️ The RF Armed Forces are pressing on #Kupyansk from the northeast, but it is still far from the start of fighting on the outskirts. Preliminarily, it is necessary to occupy #Sinkovka in order to ensure the possibility of access to the city from the northeast. So far, the village is mostly held by the AFU. The enemy is strengthening the defence of the city, as well as strongholds near #Petropavlovka.
▪️There is no progress in the area of #Dvurechnaya yet.
📜 Boris Rozhin specially for Voenkor Kotenok Z (https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/49949) Channel
t.me/sitreports /@voenkorKotenok/@boris_rozhin/#smo/

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2023 10:42 utc | 326

Re Killing Joke,
Yes, Jaz always seems to have a prophetic eye… I don’t know how to tag/respond to a specific post as yet, watching for years, and now posting.

Posted by: Orson Cart | Aug 19 2023 10:47 utc | 327

Brilliant conversation with Ray McGovern and Robert Scheer.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FD7I4IDR1Qc&t=108s

Posted by: whitebeach | Aug 19 2023 10:57 utc | 328

,,

Posted by: Orson Cart | Aug 19 2023 11:00 utc | 329

qq – do any of you guys ever have real time discussions? Like on say a discord server with voice? Would be very interesting to hear the live debate 🙂

Posted by: Teal | Aug 19 2023 11:10 utc | 330

@Johan Kaspar
Get your facts straight.

we have official declassified American government documents demonstrating that USA agencies started the process of European integration in the 50s and 60s

Bollocks. The USA saw the European integration as a potential threat to their primacy and so they tried hard to hijack the process, something they were not really able to do until after the ’90s and the disgraceful EU expansion to Eastern Europe (sponsored by USA&UK). The USA, according to your “secret” documents, pushed for the inclusion of the UK into the EEC, because the UK was and is the main American outpost in Western Europe. However everyone knew that, even back then, no need for declassified documents, and that is why general De Gaulle, president of France during the ’60s, succesfully opposed the push to get the UK into the EEC.
So the USA did not start the process of European integration, but tried to steer and hijack it.
The hijacking of the EU by the USA was not effective until the expansion into Eastern Europe (~2000).
The Euro was a major threat to the primacy of the dollar and that is why the USA tried in every conceivable way to wreck it (e.g. the Strauss-Kahn affair).
Brexit was better for the EU than for the UK, because it freed Europe from an American foreign agent, the UK. Now the EU should get rid of Poland &c. to get back on track.
The American plan to destroy the European integration process stands on two legs: a neoliberal push for a greater integration of Europe based on “civil rights”, “diversity” and “inclusion”, a neocon push for a greater disintegration through petty nationalism. Neoliberals and neocons are two sides of the same coin.

leading to USA isolationism for a few decades, while it recovers the strength it has been losing since the 90s

Again this wishful thinking. The USA cannot recover without their military and political influence, that is why they push for it so hard. American industry (well, what is left of it) is finished without the influence of the American politics, without the bullying of the American military, without the spying and sabotaging of the American intelligence. American economy is born out of the military and political primacy they got at the end of WWII, and to that military-political-intelligence complex is bound for life.

Posted by: SG | Aug 19 2023 11:45 utc | 331

Significant parts of the US establishment were worried, in the 20th century at least, that the EC/EU might develop legs of its own and challenge US power.
A rather crackpotted version of this came from the evangelist and Christian Zionist Hal Lindsey, who thought the establishment of the EC foretold the “last times”, especially when it numbered 10 members. Of course, it picked up more later. I suspect people like Lindsey of being prompted or acting as mouthpieces in some way, and linking European bodies with the Antichrist, while sounding ludicrous, would certainly influence some Americans.

Posted by: Waldorf | Aug 19 2023 12:09 utc | 332

Posted by: DunGroanin | Aug 19 2023 8:48 utc | 313
Love wsws

Posted by: Adamski | Aug 19 2023 12:35 utc | 333

Very unusual video from attack Chernigov
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/59473
More on the attack

A drone exhibition took place in Chernigov at the local drama theatre
The Russian military received the information through agent-technical channels and decided to participate in the exhibition as well.
It turned out to be a highly successful performance.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/59463

Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 19 2023 13:23 utc | 334

john | Aug 19 2023 9:36 utc | 324, who posted a defence of Frank Zappa and finished with the words …notwithstanding the ignorance of some jaded fuckwits around here.
I’m usually impresssed by DunGroaning, but like everyone else he can be correct most of the time but not all of the time. We all bring some baggage to the conversation here.

Posted by: Lantern Dude | Aug 19 2023 13:33 utc | 335

Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 19 2023 13:23 utc | 339
So it’s possible this drone exhibition in Chernigov was held by clients (AFU and air force) and suppliers (representatives of companies). Potentially, even western suppliers.
There was a similar incident sometime last year, somewhere in central Ukraine, where there were supposedly Nato officers, Nato aircraft supply company representatives, and AFU officers present, discussing rebuilding of AFU air force in some hotel. That meeting too was hit by a missile.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2023 13:40 utc | 336

Again this wishful thinking. The USA cannot recover without their military and political influence, that is why they push for it so hard. American industry (well, what is left of it) is finished without the influence of the American politics, without the bullying of the American military, without the spying and sabotaging of the American intelligence. American economy is born out of the military and political primacy they got at the end of WWII, and to that military-political-intelligence complex is bound for life.
Posted by: SG | Aug 19 2023 11:45 utc | 336
The USA created its own industrial working class in the late 19th & early 20th century, and the state regulatory apparatus to go with it, but then it sold it all off for salvage, to use cheap foreign labor instead, and pocket the difference. So that is what they have now, lots of cash, and no industrial working class and a decaying consumer culture.
It will have to grow a new working class and create the associated state structures and economic infrastructure (trains) all over again, if that is what it wants, and that will take a decade or two, at best.
Short term thinkers rule the roost here.

Posted by: Bemildred | Aug 19 2023 14:29 utc | 337

Posted by: Bemildred | Aug 19 2023 14:29 utc | 342
agreed. we face a long road.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Aug 19 2023 14:38 utc | 338

Thank you, Zeke2u, (291) for the compelling summary of US actions in Afghanistan. I have not had any success in explaining it to people, even those who are in possession of Ph.D.’s. They simply don’t accept that it was Carter agreeing to Brezinki’s plan to “Ignite an arc of Islami fire on the Soviet’s southern border” that was responsible for that conflict and its terrible aftermath. When you understand US actions in Afghanistan, you can also understand that what we are seeing in Ukraine is the US operating out of the same evil playbook. The citizenry was as effectively indoctrinated then as it is today. Even when the truth is revealed, it just doesn’t matter. It is incredibly exasperating.

Posted by: David | Aug 19 2023 14:41 utc | 339

Posted by: David | Aug 19 2023 14:41 utc | 344
it was standard us policy to overthrow governments and encircle the USSR long before Carter, since the end of ww2 and probably earlier it was planned out
. people who claim it was all down to Carter also think JFK was a peacemaker.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Aug 19 2023 14:45 utc | 340

Once again, the clobber list is suspicious. A 1000 Ukr. troops killed but no tanks destroyed.
The clock is ticking and they are running out of time if they want a breakthrough. I have to wonder if they just aren’t capable.
On a related topic, there is an experiment in which you take a number of metronomes and run them randomly. If the slightest vibration exists between them, they can end up synchronized, ticking away in unison
And that’s what I wonder about autumn. US consumers could fall off an economic cliff while Ukraine collapses and Dementia Joe slides into impeachment while Trump self destructs. It’s gonna be a bumpy night, I think.

Posted by: Eighthman | Aug 19 2023 14:51 utc | 341

Posted by: SG | Aug 19 2023 11:45 utc | 336
Odd that Obama was, and Biden is anti-Brexit. It seems that the rest of your ‘facts’ are simply based on the EU’s vastly exaggerated opinion of itself and its importance. You missed out the EU Army threatening the US hegemony and their MIC! The EU is on its last legs, the subsidising of the inefficient South, by the more prosperous North and the artificial construct of Europe as a single entity is buckling now under the increasingly authoritarian edicts being issued by Brussels and their pet politicians, the latest being the possible banning of the anti-EU AfD in Germany and the interference in the recent Italian elections.
Posted by: Bemildred | Aug 19 2023 14:29 utc | 342
Another reason they fear MAGA, and are attempting to crush the Middle-Class.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 19 2023 14:54 utc | 342

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2023 13:40 utc | 341
I doubt anyone of importance was there, given the risks involved, probably expendable nerdy intel types who have no choice, or volunteer to go to a ‘war zone’ as a checkbox exercise.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 19 2023 15:02 utc | 343

Posted by: Bemildred | Aug 19 2023 14:29 utc | 342
Another reason they fear MAGA, and are attempting to crush the Middle-Class.
Posted by: Milites | Aug 19 2023 14:54 utc | 348
It is certainly true the the current crop of big-shots will be nobody much in any industrial economy, as opposed to the current FIRE sector dominance. They should add health care to the FIRE sector, it is the same kind of scam these days, and anything to do with “Defense” too.

Posted by: Bemildred | Aug 19 2023 15:07 utc | 344

Posted by: Eighthman | Aug 19 2023 14:51 utc | 347
Why is the clobber list suspicious once again?
Surely if Trump were self-destructing then the DOJ would not be having to be ‘highly inventive’ in their arraignments and prepared to destroy the principle of the First Amendment.

Posted by: Milites | Aug 19 2023 15:09 utc | 345

Posted by: Eighthman | Aug 19 2023 14:51 utc | 347
I watched Alex Christoforou’s video today (don’t watch often, sometimes Duran). It’s probably known already to many followers, but he said that the Jeddah conference was originally planned in conjunction with this counter-offensive. It was supposed to bring 40 countries to the meeting, while AFU would inflict a crushing blow all the way to the Azov Sea coast, and then at the conference everyone would agree with Blinken that RU is defeated and they would create a declaration of surrender for RU.
Well, that was what was supposed to happen anyway. My guess is US has no backup plan to that, and they can’t keep up arms to AFU. In the initial phase of SMO, AFU lived mostly through old Soviet equipment obtained from eastern Europe. The old Nato countries offered some western AFVs, artillery and tanks.
But the Soviet stuff ran out, and old Nato countries don’t really have enough stuff to replace them.
This will most likely manifest itself in rising and worse casualty ratios for Ukraine. They would have to pull back to urban areas at some point to mitigate this, that means they have to go back into Zaporozhye and/or Dnepro and start abandoning current lines or get crushed. This could be the theme starting soon.

Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2023 15:11 utc | 346

(I’m sure it’s just a coincidence):
Adolf Heusinger, Hitler’s Chief of Staff, became Chairman of the NATO Military Committee, 1961-1964
Hans Speidel, Rommel’s Chief of Staff, became Commander in Chief of NATO Forces Central Europe, 1957-1963
Johannes Steinhoff, Luftwaffe fighter ace, became Chairman of the NATO Military Committee, 1971-1974
Johan von Kielmansegg, General Staff Officer Wehrmacht High Command, became NATO Commander Allied Forces Central Europe, 1966-1968
Ernst Faber, Lt Col Wehrmacht General Staff, became Commander in Chief NATO Forces Central Europe, 1973-1975
Karl Schnell, First General Staff Officer 76th Panzer Corps, became Commander in Chief NATO Forces Central Europe, 1975-1977
Franz-Joseph Schulze, Senior Lieutenant Luftwaffe, became Commander in Chief NATO Forces Central Europe, 1977-1979
Ferdinand von Senger und Etterlin, Adjutant Wehrmacht High Command, became Commander in Chief NATO Forces Central Europe, 1979-1983
Posted by: hankster | Aug 19 2023 7:55 utc | 310

All of whom swore an oath to Adolph Hitler personally.

Posted by: Dogtired | Aug 19 2023 15:27 utc | 347

@Bemildred | Aug 19 2023 14:29 utc | 343
That is possible, but I think that it will take more than just a decade or two to rework their economy and, most importantly, their society, and, in any case, it will not be enough to bring back the USA to the position they enjoyed at the end of WWII.
@Milites | Aug 19 2023 14:54 utc | 348

Odd that Obama was, and Biden is anti-Brexit

Why is it odd? As I explained quite clearly, with Brexit the USA lost their main foreign agent inside the EU: it is obvious that they were all against it! The UK should never had entered the EEC, same for Poland, the Baltics etc.

The EU is on its last legs, the subsidising of the inefficient South, by the more prosperous North and the artificial construct of Europe as a single entity is buckling now under the increasingly authoritarian edicts being issued by Brussels and their pet politicians

That is a completely distorted view. The most industrialized country in Europe (from the Atlantic Ocean to the Urals) is Germany, but the second most industrialized is fucking Italy, in Southern Europe, a manufacturing power greater than either France, the UK or Russia for that matter. Southern Europe is weak on the side of so called bullshit economy: they have very little financial power, that is true. But if we talk about real economy, that is a different story.
USA trade balance vs. selected countries and entities, January to June, millions of USD:
country… | ’23………. | ’22………. | ’21………. | ’19
————————————————————-
EU……… | -100,142.9 | -96,400.3 | -105,071.0 | -83,935.5
Germany | -41,266.0 | -32,379.3 | -33,236.2 | -31,965.1
Italy…….. | -22,074.5 | -18,948.7 | -18,256.1 | -16,295.5
UK……… | +6,500.7 .| +4,921.1 .| +3,212.6 .| + 3,087.2

Posted by: SG | Aug 19 2023 15:42 utc | 348

Surely if Trump were self-destructing then the DOJ would not be having to be ‘highly inventive’ in their arraignments and prepared to destroy the principle of the First Amendment.
Posted by: Milites | Aug 19 2023 15:09 utc | 351

Agreed. For someone who is “controlled” or “one of them,” they sure are going to extraordinary lengths to shut him down.
And it’s not going to work.

Posted by: Dogtired | Aug 19 2023 15:43 utc | 349

Pretzleattack, 341
I wasn’t suggesting that it all began with Carter. Of course, Kennedy was a cold warrior who ran to the right of Nixon by making bogus claims of a “missile gap.” (there was one but it was overwhelmingly in favor of the US) It’s useful to point to Carter’s actions in Afghanistan because it was an event that occurred in the lifetime of many adults today. If people can be made to understand what the real history of that period was, they would have a model for understanding what is taking place today in Ukraine. Instead, they cling to a narrative with respect to Afghanistan that even the perpetrators like Gates and Brezinski have admitted in writing is false. Even when the truth is acknowledged, it doesn’t make any difference. That is what I find so disheartening.

Posted by: David | Aug 19 2023 15:58 utc | 350

reply to 355
Trump got himself into this mess, over and above what the Deep State tried to do. Ramaswamy is coming up fast and is a better choice – especially if Trump is fighting for his life in court while running for President. I will keep saying that the US currently is like coming home and finding Bigfoot relaxing in your easy chair – while your family sees nothing out of the ordinary. It’s all gotten weird and degenerate and Dementia Joe is the other half of it. Have people become infected with some dopey New Age idea that wishes come true if you meditate on them enough?
As for the clobber list being strange, we are told about Ukraine still having hope and reserves, etc. but the reported destruction doesn’t show it. How is this not obvious? And if anyone doesn’t believe Russian figures, that doesn’t matter. In relative terms, the offensive ain’t All That and I wonder why?

Posted by: Eighthman | Aug 19 2023 17:04 utc | 351

Scott Ritter & his July 2023 expose: “Agent Zelensky parts 1 & 2” have been removed/banned from youtube,
but are
available free on Rumble. He demolishes the Big Lies told by the western warmongers
https://rumble.com/v2zkv06-a-scott-ritter-investigation-agent-zelensky-part-1.html
https://rumble.com/v30nd8w-a-scott-ritter-investigation-agent-zelensky-part-2.html

Posted by: Toby C | Aug 19 2023 18:59 utc | 352

Alastair Crooke fmr Brit ambassador called Ukraine the Biggest Criminal Event of the Century.
“Ukraine is probably the biggest criminal event that we have seen in this Century of money laundering of corruption going right up to the top of diversion of weapons and of simple stealing of money and transferring it over abroad…” 16 August 23
https://www.youtube.com/live/EYjte2drRnU?feature=share

Posted by: Toby C | Aug 19 2023 19:16 utc | 353

qq – do any of you guys ever have real time discussions? Like on say a discord server with voice? Would be very interesting to hear the live debate 🙂
Posted by: Teal | Aug 19 2023 11:10 utc | 336
On Discord?
Maybe we should all just cut out the middleman and send all of our info directly to the FBI?
Piss off

Posted by: Archetypex | Aug 19 2023 22:14 utc | 354

Posted by: SG | Aug 19 2023 11:45 utc | 337

So the USA did not start the process of European integration, but tried to steer and hijack it.

So that’s your opinion. Declassified documents show that the USA both started the process and has been controlling it since its beginning, including providing funding (i.e. payments) to individual Europeans at the very origin of the process of European integration.

The Euro was a major threat to the primacy of the dollar and that is why the USA tried in every conceivable way to wreck it (e.g. the Strauss-Kahn affair).

Lol! The Strauss-Kahn affair. Scraping the bottom of the barrel, clutching at straws.
In fact, the euro as a currency is a buffer for the USD. Once the USD starts to seriously lose value, the process will be slowed down and delayed by using the euro to support the USD. You need to pay attention to the degree of coordination between the Fed and the ECB.

The American plan to destroy the European integration process stands on two legs: a neoliberal push for a greater integration of Europe based on “civil rights”, “diversity” and “inclusion”, a neocon push for a greater disintegration through petty nationalism.

Meanwhile in the real world, European nationalism is anathema to the USA and to European parties siding most openly with the USA.

The USA cannot recover without their military and political influence, that is why they push for it so hard. American industry (well, what is left of it) is finished without the influence of the American politics, without the bullying of the American military, without the spying and sabotaging of the American intelligence. American economy is born out of the military and political primacy they got at the end of WWII, and to that military-political-intelligence complex is bound for life.

It seems you hate America, thinking of the great nation as a purely militaristic empire, i.e. a cartoon view of America.
America has everyting to be a great and responsible power and to provide for a very large population and middle-class. It has the human and natural resources, very much like Russia.
At the end of the 80s the USA was the largest creditor nation of the world. Unfortunately since the 90s America has been led poorly by a neocon-neolib mix (you’re right when blaming these two factions) and 30 years later America turned into the largest debtor nation of the world, but the potential for recovery, a process that will take decades and possibly some large-scale disturbances, is there in the fundamentals.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 20 2023 7:52 utc | 355