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Nova Kakhova Dam Breach – Updated (12:15 UTC)
Updated throughout (12:15 UTC)
A few hours ago an alleged explosion blew up the Nova Kakhova dam in Ukraine.
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It was either that or structural damage from previous strikes.
Geoff Brumfiel @gbrumfiel – 6:31 UTC · Jun 6, 2023
The dam was already under enormous strain and damaged.
Then things got worse. On 2 June, it looks like a road over the dam failed. That could be indicative of a larger structural failure.
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In consequence the huge reservoir behind the dam is now flooding lower level land south of Kherson (Xepcoh). The pictures show the before and after of potential flooding due to the breach:
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Previously the Russian army had pulled back its troops from the northern part of Kherson oblast because a dam breach would endanger their supply route.
We do not know yet how much of the dam has been damaged. How much water will be flowing out of it depends on the part of the wall that is still standing below the current water level.
Of note is that the Ukraine had previously filled the upstream dams on the Dnieper to the brim to increase the potential damage. Those waters were released in early May. Notice the date of the following tweet.
ZOKA @200_zoka – 14:12 UTC · May 4, 2023
Water level in Kakhovka reservoir in Zaporozhye region risen by 17 m and almost reached critical level. Under threat of destruction of dam in Kamenka Dneprovskaya, dozens of villages may be flooded.
Kyiv opened the floodgates in Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye.
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The Ukrainian propagandists are claiming that the Russian blew up the dam. That is however unlikely.
On October 21 2022 Vasily Nebenzya, the Permanent Representative of Russia to the UN, sent a letter to the UN Secretary General about the plans of the Kiev regime to destroy the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station.
In a report about last years Kherson counteroffensive the Washington Post reported of Ukrainian plans and attempts to blow up the dam:
[Maj. Gen. Andriy] Kovalchuk considered flooding the river. The Ukrainians, he said, even conducted a test strike with a HIMARS launcher on one of the floodgates at the Nova Kakhovka dam, making three holes in the metal to see if the Dnieper’s water could be raised enough to stymie Russian crossings but not flood nearby villages.
The test was a success, Kovalchuk said, but the step remained a last resort. He held off.
Destroying its own infrastructure is nothing new for Ukrainian servicemen. In April 2022 the New York Times already noted this:
What happened in Demydiv was not an outlier. Since the war’s early days, Ukraine has been swift and effective in wreaking havoc on its own territory, often by destroying infrastructure, as a way to foil a Russian army with superior numbers and weaponry.
Demydiv was flooded when troops opened a nearby dam and sent water surging into the countryside. Elsewhere in Ukraine, the military has, without hesitation, blown up bridges, bombed roads and disabled rail lines and airports. The goal has been to slow Russian advances, channel enemy troops into traps and force tank columns onto less favorable terrain.
Quoting the above Washington Post piece Andrew Korybko points to a possible motive for today's demolishing of the dam:
[Kovalchuk's] remark about how “the step remained a last resort” is pertinent to recall at present considering that the first phase of Kiev’s NATO-backed counteroffensive completely failed on Monday according to the Russian Ministry of Defense. Just like Ukraine launched its proxy invasion of Russia in late May to distract from its loss in the Battle of Artyomovsk, so too might does it seem to have gone through with Kovalchuk’s planned war crime to distract from this most recent embarrassment as well.
The most recent embarrassment was the failure of yesterday's attack near Novodarovka and Levadnoye. As the Russian Ministry of Defense noted in a special statement:
As a result of active and self-sacrificing actions of the Vostok Group of Forces, which displayed courage and heroism, the enemy has been stopped, and the set tasks haven’t been achieved. The AFU formations and military units suffered significant losses.
Total AFU losses in South Donetsk direction were over 1,500 Ukrainian servicemen, 28 tanks, including FRG-manufactured 8 Leopard tanks, three French-manufactured AMX-10 wheeled tanks, and 109 armoured fighting vehicles.
(I have seen pictures of the destroyed AMX-10 reconnaissance tanks but not yet of any destroyed Leopard.)
Interestingly the 'western' media, pressed into compliance by the Ukrainian government, were thanked for their pro-Ukrainian reporting on the issue around the time the dam was breached:
Michael Tracey @mtracey – 9:42 UTC · Jun 6, 2023
Top advisor of Zelensky thanks journalists in advance today for helping the Ukraine government win the "diplomatic and informational battle" around the bombing of the Nova Kakhovka dam. Helpful reminder of the state imperatives these journalists are expected to abide by Image
The attached image of the top advisor's Telegram post has a 3:03 timestamp.
The destruction of the dam is certainly not to Russia's favor. As the 'western' aligned Moscow Times noted six months ago (link corrected):
In a catastrophic scenario, destroying the dam could send a highly destructive flood wave down the Dnipro River, causing severe flooding in large areas of southern Ukraine. Backswell would also likely flood the Inhulets River, a tributary of the Dnipro.
However, terrain levels mean the flooding would likely be worse on the Russian-held left bank of the Dnipro, making a detonation of explosives on the dam an unlikely move for Moscow.
"[Destroying the dam] would mean Russia essentially blowing its own foot off,” military analyst Michael Kofman said on the War on the Rocks podcast last month.
“[It] would flood the Russian-controlled part of Kherson [region]… much more than the western part that Ukrainians are likely to liberate."
And the secondary effects of blowing the dam could be just as severe for Russia.
Lowering the river level behind the dam threatens both water supplies to Moscow-annexed Crimea and risks cutting off access to cooling water for the Russian-controlled nuclear power plant in Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia region.
Water from the dam was also used to irrigate the southern Kherson oblast. The lack of water will disable the power generation at the dam which supplied the south.
The flood is likely to dissipate in a week or two but that does not change the major damages to the parts that Russia claims as its own.
The water will then have destroyed Russian mine fields on the left bank (seen from the spring) of the river. This will open routes for Ukrainian troops to cross the river and to attack into the southern Kherson oblast towards Crimea. There have previously reports that the Ukraine received bridging and ferry equipment for exactly this purpose.
rumod:
Within three days, the Ukrainian regime launched a long-promised offensive on different sectors of the front, concentrating a large amount of equipment and manpower for this purpose.
On June 4, the forces of the 23rd and 31st mechanized brigades of the AFU attempted an offensive in five directions.
The enemy did not achieve success on any of them, suffered significant losses: 300 soldiers, 16 tanks, 26 armored combat vehicles, 14 cars.
On June 5, the Kiev regime attempted an offensive in seven directions by the forces of five brigades. It was stopped and suffered even more tangible losses: more than 1,600 servicemen, 28 tanks, including 8 Leopards and 3 AMX-10 wheeled tanks, 136 units of other military equipment, including 79 foreign ones.
The offensive attempts were thwarted, the enemy was stopped, Russian soldiers and officers showed courage and heroism in the battles.
The enemy did not achieve its goals, suffered significant and incomparable losses.
The units of the 433rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division, the 37th and 60th motorized rifle Brigades distinguished themselves the most in the battles, showing perseverance and fortitude.
Special heroism was shown by the 3rd company of the 37th Motorized Rifle Brigade under the command of Junior Lieutenant Yuri Yuryevich Zhelanov and the commander of the 1st battalion of the same brigade, Major Vladimir Vladimirovich Polozhentsev.
These units, being in the direction of the main strike, steadfastly defended their positions and inflicted significant losses on the superior forces of the 37th Marine Brigade of the enemy. Under the threat of encirclement, Junior Lieutenant Zhelanov, being wounded, took his company to pre-equipped defensive positions, where he successfully stopped the advancing enemy units.
It is especially necessary to note the skillful actions of our operational-tactical, assault and army aviation. They used 50 anti-tank guided missiles. As a result, 5 tanks and 29 other armored fighting vehicles were destroyed.
In just 3 days of fighting in all directions, the losses of the armed forces of Ukraine amounted to 3,715 servicemen, 52 tanks, 207 armored combat vehicles, 134 vehicles, 5 aircraft, 2 helicopters, 48 field artillery guns and 53 unmanned aerial vehicles.
Unfortunately, it was not without our losses. In total, 71 servicemen were killed and 210 were injured during the repulse of the enemy’s offensive in the Combined Group of Troops. Hit: 15 tanks, 9 infantry fighting vehicles, 2 cars and 9 guns.
◽️ Tonight, the Kiev regime committed another terrorist crime: the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power plant was blown up, which led to the flooding of significant territories. The purpose of these actions, according to available data, is as follows.
Having failed to achieve success in offensive actions, in order to strengthen its potential, the enemy intends to transfer units and equipment from the Kherson direction to the area of its offensive actions, thereby significantly weakening its positions in the Kherson direction. By the way, the enemy has begun to build defensive positions on the right bank of the Dnieper, which indicates his intention to go on the defensive here.
In order to prevent the offensive actions of the Russian army on this sector of the front, the Kiev regime carried out a sabotage, in fact, a terrorist act, which led to the flooding of significant territories and will have severe and long-term environmental consequences.
In addition, according to available data, the discharge of water from the Dnepropetrovsk HPP has been significantly increased, which leads to even greater flooding of territories.
This fact indicates a large-scale sabotage planned in advance by the Kiev regime.
Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation, Army General Sergei Shoigu.
Posted by: repost | Jun 6 2023 13:37 utc | 123
The ukronazis always destroy everything. It is their purpose. It is why the Ukraine was systematicaly converged and inverted into a regiment factory. It was Russia’s turn to be destroyed, the inbred bloodline families who control the west’s financial and economic systems decided it was time for Russia as a State be destroyed in order to have total control of Russia’s emmence resources. These same soecial inbred insane family bloodlines actually need to do this as they have stolen most of the wealth out if the West, it is a matter of maintaining the velocity of wealth transfer and strip mining natural deposits and sources of wealth or this cabal of insane bloodlines die, they mist have a flow of filthy lucre in order to maintain their hegemony, it is this basic and simple, the devil is in the details, (literally), details for example taking over such a prime piece if realestate as the Ukraine, it is the perfect platform for a regiment factory which is to be used to destroy Russia, also employ this regiment factory as defacto military machine which wears a skunsuit if legitimacy creating a cover for its expeditionary use in other places targeted for brutal takeover. It appears the Russian special bloodlines have not willingly gone along with this and put in place a bulwark, its military, to stop the ukronazi army from completing its prime objective. That being essentialy systematic genocide of every thing in its path, as destruction of everything it and it’s weapons can get to is pure genocide at its most destructive form, shirt of weapons of mass destruction. Though it is certainly arguable the ukronazi military is a weapon itself of mass destruction.
One things for sure the nazi plauge is looose in the world, it has spread thru the old world and it has jumped the ocean into America. See it is a tool, a very effective weapon, it was invented by the Ashkenazi, (ashke-nazi, nazi anyone? Fferris Beukker?), aka the name stealers of intiquity, aka the khazarian mafia, basically the special inbred bloodlines.
They are the ultimate in greed. They intend to rule planet earth, own it in fee simple. And anything in the way has to be destroyed or the means, ie, the flow of filthy lucre, enslavement of humanity, control of all economic activity, see the American civil war and its true purepose, and you see the Donbas Arc and its peoole who are courageous in their secession from tyranny, economic tyranny, and so the special inbred bloodlines had to point its regiment factory at these people, specifically, because they did what is the most agregeous crime of all to the bloodlines and that is seceeding from their power and control. Secession must be stompped out with the most exstreme prejiduce possible, by any and all means, as secession is the primary human right, it is natural law, and secession from tyranny is part of The First Law: Self Preservation. Secession is also a hughly contagious thing, where once it sets in it grows and those who secede grows dramatically as once one does secede in all actuality they are totally free, no longer part of the masses of slaves of the special inbred insane bloodlines. They fear secession like nothing else. They know just how mean good folks get when these most basic of natural codes and laws are violated. It is why there is so much policing in iur society, and shy it behaves and its actions now in our present time are like they are, they too are like the ukronazi military, but its one that permeates and is heavily dressed in a real thick skin-suiy of suppossed and definately taken for granted, expected legitimacy, of a force meant to protect the citizenry. Take too the surveillance all around us, from mass meta data to your neighborhood local gangstalkers reporting to the neo-stazi machine, as example the NSA and FBI, they have always been a surveillance and intelligence system for the special bloodlines, they too just wear the skin suit if State legitimacy, makes pissible the ability to hide and operate in plain sight. All this costs, the overhead is gargantuan, essential to power of the bloodlines, everything we see around us that is government is an illusion of legitimate activity of the state. It is controlled from behind, it is what ooerates along the fringes of the shadows, it is when it comes out if the shadows when things turn to violence, as violence really is all the power the insane inbred bloodlines have, alll anything corrupt power has. It is no mistake the West is been so ling such a civilized civilization. Long as it went along with the status-quo everything goes swimmingly for the bloodlines. Long as the flow of filthy lucre is maintained all is good. The slave classes recieve their tiny pittence of wealth they create. But something has gone very wrong, and this beast the bloodlines created to control the slaves has run into a problem it can not solve, its basically run out of money. No matter what else, something really remarkable is afoot, something not happened since King Soloman broke his contract with the power up above and let the deamons thru. Historical is an understatement of all time. It sure appears like this cabal of special bloodlines are flat out broke and running in its reserves, whatever it is that is the source of money as we know it no longer is allocating new wealth. What is circulating around the system is all thats left. Looks too like it is paramount this be hid from us, apoearences truly matter, right now its total Kubaki Theater operations. Something hapoened few years back, that has dissapeared all the old influence agents and political actors who monopolized the media complex. Where did they all go? Why so many body doubles? What hapoened to everyone we watched for generations telling us what and what not to believe, where did all the old hats who where permanant fixtures and names known all our lives, where did they all go? look at the recent G7 meeting, what a laughing stock of useless clowns. But the facade must go on. The Ukraine and its glorious counter offensive is a fart in a mitten, its become an act, theater, its all optics, bloody optics, but a ruse nonetheless. They pulled the plug on the Dnieper water system is truly the desperation of the bloodline elites efforts to maintain total absolute power. It exemplifies everything. As destruction is the last resort of dying elites and tyrants, if we can not have it nobody will. Its senseless on our end, like WTF dudes! But subversion undermining and destruction are the byword methods of path to power. And all there is, is power.
Everything. Everything we are told to believe is a lie. Yet, something is up something happened something has totally altered the underlying system of power thats ruled for centuries, something that seems good, a thing that has denied thise who rule their power, their blood, their blood money. I think great momentous events and things almost inconcieveble are in motion, things like we have never imagined, stuff that is good and right and beautiful but turmoil will be natural as it is ourselves everything we thought we knew and believed are totally altered, and something great and beautiful replces all the old things which controlled us all, is simply no more. Its where it is all heading. Can you feel it? Are you sensing something different today, like that gut sense that never betrays your conscious mind in its reliability, the subvonscious, even the Amygdala is involved, in trying to tell your conscious mind, telling you something?
Posted by: mtnforge | Jun 6 2023 13:41 utc | 124
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