Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.
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May 18, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-119
Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict. The current open thread for other issues is here. Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.
Comments
James#226 Posted by: Miguel | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 201
Fair enough. What it “has to do with” is how you can identify with the CIA and still sleep at night. Posted by: malenkov | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 202 @CIA Lurker Posted by: fasdasd | May 19 2023 1:09 utc | 203 “Frozen Conflict”. There’s a term I have not heard in a while. Does not sound like a good thing for peace and stability. The US must have searched the entire New Speak Dictionary to dig that one up. Posted by: Golddiggr | May 19 2023 1:09 utc | 204 @ThusspakeZarathustra (108) Posted by: Rokossovsky | May 19 2023 1:09 utc | 205 @ Miguel | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 239 Posted by: james | May 19 2023 1:12 utc | 206 @196 great I’m sure we’ll see the US attacking the US to give syria sovereignty over its internationally recognized borders as well. Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | May 19 2023 1:15 utc | 207 Somewhat sobering to realise that the us will spend nearly as much on debt interest payments as its bloated defence budget next year. And it’s only going to get worse after that. I do hope Europe finally smells the coffee. Posted by: Oh | May 19 2023 1:17 utc | 208 Voodoo tata – a foul stench has left the bar. Posted by: Just Observing | May 19 2023 1:23 utc | 209 Not a word about Gonzalo Lira. He is rather provocative, but I did enjoy his ‘understand what’s going on’ vids. Hope he will come out of this ok. Posted by: Oh | May 19 2023 1:25 utc | 210 “… nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended.” -Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:17 utc | 252 Posted by: Figleaf23 | May 19 2023 1:25 utc | 211 “I sleep just fine, as do most of us in the West knowing that we are helping Ukraine” Posted by: Comandante | May 19 2023 1:25 utc | 212
YES! Don’t feed the troll! Ignore it and it will go away. Posted by: Drifter | May 19 2023 1:27 utc | 213 “Anyway, I gotta go, but nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended.” Posted by: Comandante | May 19 2023 1:31 utc | 214 >Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 0:36 utc | 198 Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 1:36 utc | 215 CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 0:33 utc | 197 Posted by: Cynic | May 19 2023 1:36 utc | 216 Posted by: james | May 19 2023 0:56 utc | 227 Posted by: Caveman | May 19 2023 1:40 utc | 217
Possibly that would have kept the USA from invading Syria, Iraq and Afghanista, bombing Libya and Yugoslavia, and assasinating via drones. Also may have kept the CIA from going around the world and doing regime change and assassinations. Posted by: Simon | May 19 2023 1:41 utc | 218 Don’t run away CIA Lurker. Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 1:43 utc | 219 “Faced with the likelihood of a land invasion of Japan, Operation Downfall, that would have dwarfed the losses suffered in Okinawa (Operation Iceberg), The US used the weapons to shock the Japanese Empire into unconditional surrender. Posted by: Comandante | May 19 2023 1:45 utc | 220 ” No country would tolerate what Ukraine had to within its own internationally-recognized boundaries, not mine, for sure, and not Russia either. Not sure why you think Ukrainians are any different than you or I.” Posted by: jr | May 19 2023 1:45 utc | 221 Interesting, how dramatically different the tone is in the ISW sitrep versus the DPA/Weeb/MilSum YT channels. Posted by: Anonymous | May 19 2023 1:50 utc | 222 Anyway, I gotta go, but nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended. Posted by: Deskscape | May 19 2023 1:56 utc | 223 @ Caveman | May 19 2023 1:40 utc | 263 Posted by: james | May 19 2023 1:58 utc | 224 CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 238 Posted by: JC | May 19 2023 2:04 utc | 226 Posted by: Comandante | May 19 2023 1:45 utc | 266 Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 2:07 utc | 227 Lol – I was trying to reply to anonymous but I think even the mention of the ZH blog gets filtered. Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | May 19 2023 2:07 utc | 228 jr – The US isn’t threatening Russia’s sovereignty. What happens in Ukraine is Ukraine’s business, not Russia’s. Posted by: HERMIUS | May 19 2023 2:07 utc | 229 As it seems some very cool perspective from South Africa in this video. Highly recommended. Posted by: whirlX | May 19 2023 2:09 utc | 230 CIA lurker Posted by: CofCanuckistan | May 19 2023 2:12 utc | 231 Ethnicity does not equal nationality. That is backwards thinking.t Posted by: Ed | May 19 2023 2:12 utc | 232 “All in all both sides did well. The Patriot and NASAMs only got killed after running out of ammo, and the Russians killed them.” Posted by: Mary | May 19 2023 2:12 utc | 233 The twin shocks of the atomic bombings and the overwhelming Soviet invasion of Manchuria are what led to Japanese surrender. Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 2:13 utc | 234 Posted by: james | May 19 2023 1:58 utc | 270 Posted by: Caveman | May 19 2023 2:14 utc | 235 Hmmm….a high functioning troll, very interesting……..still in the spectrum though. Posted by: sean the leprechaun | May 19 2023 2:14 utc | 236 “… Your honesty about where you stand is refreshing vs the regular trolls who inundate the site…” Posted by: bevin | May 19 2023 2:15 utc | 237 Anyway, I gotta go, but nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended. Posted by: HERMIUS | May 19 2023 2:21 utc | 238 Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 0:43 utc | 210 Posted by: Mary | May 19 2023 2:24 utc | 239 I hear what you are saying too, bevin. Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 2:36 utc | 240 The problem with this line of thinking is that it is presuming that Russia’s needs are more important than those of Ukraine. I mean, if you are going to just say that might makes right, well, at least that is a coherent line of reasoning, I suppose. I don’t agree with it, and I think it is incumbent upon more powerful nations to tread even more lightly than smaller, non-nuclear ones. Posted by: Ed | May 19 2023 2:40 utc | 241 Because of some barflies we will have to endure for weeks or months the absolutely inane « thoughts » of an invasive person who now feels important because they thought they had to respond to his nonsense. Bravo, a great result. Posted by: Leuk | May 19 2023 2:45 utc | 242 Leuk | May 19 2023 2:45 utc | 289 Posted by: whirlX | May 19 2023 2:49 utc | 243 The state exists because there is anarchy without it. The state of nature wasn’t pleasant for mankind so the social contract came into being. You may not like the state, but it does serve a purpose for the vast, vast majority of the nation, and there is no viable alternative to it. Posted by: Ed | May 19 2023 2:58 utc | 244 Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 1:36 utc | 261 Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:07 utc | 245 CIA Lurker Posted: “Without Russian funding and meddling the the Donbass, the astro-turfed separatist movement wouldn’t have even been a thing. Ukraine looks toward Europe and the West and not towards Russia, for obvious reasons.” Posted by: Rokossovsky | May 19 2023 3:07 utc | 246
It wasn’t developed to fight the Soviets, that is correct. But circumstances change, and they also did so in this case. Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:09 utc | 247 whirlX | May 19 2023 2:49 utc | 290 Posted by: Cofcanuckistan | May 19 2023 3:09 utc | 248
It isn’t just the Donbass, Kiev is a Russian city too, and so is everything east of Vinnytsia. Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:14 utc | 249 Also, Bubaroonicus, you have it exactly backwards: the B-29 was the most expensive weapons program of WW2, something like over a billion dollars more expensive than the nuclear bombs. The B-29 wasn’t developed with the intent of dropping nukes. It was developed, along with the Norden bomb sight, to carry large conventional bomb loads and destroy targets with near impunity from extreme altitudes. The B-29 would climb to heights where it likely couldn’t be intercepted and the bomb sight would enable relatively precise aiming. Only the sight turned out to suck, or at least not remotely deliver on its promises. In the end nukes proved powerful enough that the lack of precision largely didn’t matter. Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:21 utc | 250
It stinks, but maybe there is more to it than just Russian oligarchs and Patrushev’s son lining up their pockets. Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:24 utc | 251
Should we have considered the needs of Nazi Germany in the 1940s? Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:26 utc | 252
There was another solution — just let the Red Army do it and let them suffer the casualties. But that would have meant Japan becoming communist, and we can’t have that, can we? Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:26 utc | 253
Those were conquered by Russia twice already — first by the Tsars, then the Soviets had to do it again. And in fact various areas of what is now Moldova have changed hands even more times than that. Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:29 utc | 254 @shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:09 utc | 294 Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:40 utc | 255 Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:21 utc | 297 Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 3:45 utc | 256 >Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:21 utc | 297 Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 3:52 utc | 257 Sad thing about CIA Lurker is that is what passes for thoughtful engagement from most of the people I know. Guys who opposed our involvement in Viet Nam, knew Iraq was a scam, somehow lost the ability to consider that Russia might have legitimate interests. Posted by: je | May 19 2023 4:05 utc | 258 @158 Posted by: Wilhelm | May 19 2023 4:12 utc | 259 @ Richard Steven Hack | May 18 2023 20:41 utc | 109 about the attempt to freeze the conflict Posted by: psychohistorian | May 19 2023 4:18 utc | 260 OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:07 utc | 292 Posted by: Jerr | May 19 2023 4:25 utc | 261 The technical aspects of the Kinzhals vs Patriots– and hypersonics in general – are interesting but not really the point of this missile strike. Estimates of damage are now $700,000,000 to $800,000,000. That’s bad news for the Ukraine. Good news for the US MIC. Catastrophic news for the US economy, now in the biggest, baddest bubble ever — overextended in every area – except those that actually benefit people, like education and healthcare. The US no longer has industrial infrastructure to keep up. It also no longer has the brainpower. It has a very small fraction of the engineers that drive technological progess compared to Russia-China-Iran. That means that the US will not have hypersonics technology for another 5 years– by which time the Russians and Chinese will have advanced theirs. The US is on its way to becoming a banana republic without bananas. Posted by: julianmacfarlane | May 19 2023 4:27 utc | 262 Posted by: Featherless | May 18 2023 16:10 utc | 4 Posted by: Featherless | May 19 2023 4:47 utc | 263 >…”Zelensky will fly to Saudi Arabia for the Arab League summit, and then to Japan for the G7 summit – Bloomberg, citing sources” Posted by: Melaleuca | May 19 2023 5:08 utc | 264 Brian Berletic had some good information regarding the Patriot air defence system on a recent Youtube video. Posted by: ZimZum | May 19 2023 5:12 utc | 265 Anyway, I gotta go, but nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended. Posted by: pretzelattack | May 19 2023 5:12 utc | 266 Wow this CIA lurker clown comes across as a child. Scratch that, my teenage children have way more understanding of the real world than this troll. Posted by: Merandor | May 19 2023 5:17 utc | 267 It always bothers me when I see people attempting to justify Hiroshima and Nagasaki by virtue of their utilitarian efficacy in terms of overall lives lost, or other tenuous grasping for ethical justification. This is one of those cases where the answer is so simple that only by attempting to obfuscate the core issue with irrelevant ephemera does discussion go beyond a moments consideration. Posted by: Brannagyn | May 19 2023 5:21 utc | 268 I am against US involvement in Syria, and I am against US wars of aggression and conquest, just like I am against Russian wars of aggression and conquest. I am not against helping a country that was invaded by a larger country defend themselves. Posted by: MG | May 19 2023 5:24 utc | 269 Jerr | May 19 2023 4:25 utc | 308 Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 5:40 utc | 270 So, apparently Zelenski has popped up in Hiroshima for the G7. I guess he took Kishida san’s invitation a little too seriously. Posted by: section321 | May 19 2023 5:42 utc | 271 If the Patriot system is as shit as many seem to believe here, then why bother targeting it at all? Posted by: Mushroom | May 19 2023 5:43 utc | 272 Before you ask, this was according to local television news in Japan. They have all day coverage so we don’t miss a minute. 🤮 Posted by: section321 | May 19 2023 5:46 utc | 273 The US no longer has industrial infrastructure to keep up. It also no longer has the brainpower. It has a very small fraction of the engineers that drive technological progess compared to Russia-China-Iran. That means that the US will not have hypersonics technology for another 5 years– by which time the Russians and Chinese will have advanced theirs. The US is on its way to becoming a banana republic without bananas. Posted by: Marvin | May 19 2023 5:52 utc | 274 THE U.S. GOVERNMENT IS THE ENEMY OF NOT JUST AMERICANS BUT HUMANITY ITSELF. Posted by: Dulles_Did_Dallas | May 19 2023 5:54 utc | 275 He also made the point that the problem for the whole conflict on the NATO side was that there is very little industrial capacity to ramp up as the factories, technical support and skilled workforce are no longer there. Posted by: rk | May 19 2023 6:06 utc | 276 NabrezhnyeIntel: Posted by: unimperator | May 19 2023 6:15 utc | 277 Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 5:40 utc | 317 Posted by: RB | May 19 2023 6:22 utc | 278 rk yeah TSMC you be another person holding onto obsolete concepts parroting off old talky points . TSMC lithography is finished its obsolete . sure the trillions invested can still produce for years. but 2 nm cant get smaller . but photonolgy can. it can go infinitely smaller from completely different process. so blow up the old factories all you want china did years of R@D and created photonolgy when everyone said it was impossible. i even meet funny guys today that argue its just a concept. welll china opens new factories this year . they started at 5nm and will progress the tech. not hard to find the info if you want . but you know why its not trumpeted loudly on the pages of WAPO for all to know Posted by: hankster | May 19 2023 6:24 utc | 279 Posted by: Cindy Martin | May 18 2023 18:33 utc | 39 Posted by: Passerby | May 19 2023 6:28 utc | 280 New Maidan Ukraine renamed 50k streets. Through popular vote in Kiev the chose to name a street after the founder of SS Galicia division. Only an intervention of Israeli embassy prevented it from happening. How does is square with 80% of people in Kiev speaking Russian I don’t know. Posted by: RB | May 19 2023 6:28 utc | 281
Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:35 utc | 282
Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:37 utc | 283 hankster | May 19 2023 6:24 utc | 328 Posted by: rk | May 19 2023 6:38 utc | 284 Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:37 utc | 332
Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:38 utc | 285
https://t.me/rezident_ua/17857 Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:40 utc | 286 Why has Russia stopped destruction of Ukro energy facilities? Posted by: srbin | May 19 2023 6:48 utc | 287 The depleted Uranium explosion of the ammunition dump in Khmelnytsyi- RT video with expect (previous [post cited it) has to be repeated , this is a disaster for Poland, the plume went of Western Ukraine and detected in Poland. Of course the MSM covers this up. The UK PM and his Defense Minister SHOULD BE UP ON WAR CRIMES due to the now coming civil deaths in Poland and Western Ukraine….. Posted by: Col from OZ | May 19 2023 6:54 utc | 288
Correct. And they don’t even have to properly train pilots for those — they are flying mostly suicide missions, and even if they do get shot down, it will be beyond visual range, so they might have time to eject and then fly again. And there are in fact not merely hundreds, but thousands of old F-16s that can be sent. If they can each last 3-4 missions launching cruise missiles and doing some damage while soaking up R-37Ms and 40N6E (which are not at all cheap and not at all in infinite quantities for the Russian side), that’s still a win for a near-zero cost. Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 6:57 utc | 289
Medvedev has repeatedly talked about “our Kiev” and “our Odessa”. Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 6:57 utc | 290
The whole episode is very scary in its implications. Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 6:58 utc | 291 If they can each last 3-4 missions Posted by: too scents | May 19 2023 7:04 utc | 292 @srbin #336 Posted by: OohCanada | May 19 2023 7:04 utc | 293 rk yeah no big deal. many gleefully think blowing up TSMC like usa has said would be a huge win. reality is 2-5nm is for specific items today, 25nm to 75nm etc 1990 stuff is all missiles and such need . cars microwaves tvs all use the older larger ,cheapest chips, thats where the washing machine meme comes from. TSMC and the korean micron etc all gettn huge $ grants to build new factories in usa . they dont have a life expectancy , skill sets etc to validate the investment but are as its highly political. Posted by: hankster | May 19 2023 7:04 utc | 294
In retrospect, there was never any real intention to collapse the grid. Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 7:07 utc | 295 @ CIA Lurker | May 18 2023 22:26 utc | 145 Posted by: MAKK | May 19 2023 7:16 utc | 296 How many countries had stopped using USD as the currency for international transactions? And, how many will be in the next few months? Posted by: ostro | May 19 2023 7:28 utc | 297 The Arms industry never cared their products actually work as advertised. It’s all PR and Hollywood Iron Man fictional exceptional Yankee superhero with superpower self delusion. Posted by: DunGroanin | May 19 2023 7:30 utc | 298 Why are you handing over the Ukraine thread to this new troll? Everybody has the right to present their view, but being endlessly provocative about nothing related to Ukraine is trolling. Give this guy time to sit in the corner and read. Posted by: Norwegian | May 19 2023 7:31 utc | 299 Posted by: grunzt | May 18 2023 19:57 utc | 84 Posted by: Gorn | May 19 2023 7:36 utc | 300 |
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