Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
May 18, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-119

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

James#226
Thank you,
also know of couple incidents, (important)
Ukraine has children
soldiers as young as 12 years old! That picture could end war.
капітулювати

Posted by: Miguel | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 201

Most of the world is angry at the USA and at the millions of deaths they have caused. They just couldnt show it due to the financial monopoly the US has on the planet.

Ok…
But what does that have to do with Russia and how they are conducting themselves lately?
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 18 2023 23:58 utc | 176

Fair enough. What it “has to do with” is how you can identify with the CIA and still sleep at night.

Posted by: malenkov | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 202

@CIA Lurker
> I am against US involvement in Syria, and I am against US wars of aggression and conquest, just like I am against Russian wars of aggression and conquest. I am not against helping a country that was invaded by a larger country defend themselves.
So you support eg. russia giving syria, libya, afghanistan, iraq and similar countries missles, that they can then use to attack USA back and strike targets in washington, NY, etc?

Posted by: fasdasd | May 19 2023 1:09 utc | 203

“Frozen Conflict”. There’s a term I have not heard in a while. Does not sound like a good thing for peace and stability. The US must have searched the entire New Speak Dictionary to dig that one up.
Russia has plenty of TOS 1 Heavy Flamethrowers to bring a thaw to those Orwellian words.

Posted by: Golddiggr | May 19 2023 1:09 utc | 204

@ThusspakeZarathustra (108)
I agree! I just was not sure which way they were gaming the system. They could have over valued as you say, but just as plausibly they could have just revalued (discounted) it in order to get $3 billion more in additional “aid” to Ukraine, as apparently they are supposedly running out of money by mid-Summer.
IMHO, it is amazing that the US can spend nearly a trillion dollars on defense and not have a standing military to completely crush any opponent on the planet. I really wonder what the USA gets for a trillion dollars in military spending? And, assuming they wanted to directly involve themselves militarily in Ukraine, would they require $2,000,000,000,000 usd ? It boggles my mind.

Posted by: Rokossovsky | May 19 2023 1:09 utc | 205

@ Miguel | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 239
zelensky and his initial handler – kolomoisky – are a really cute pair.. the usa now bans the later from entering the usa, while holding up the former as their main puppet in ukraine… how long that lasts for is anyone’s guess… speaking of the cia – i think zelensky has a big target on his back if he steps out of line… his role has been clearly defined.. if he strays, he is toast.. he could just as well work as a paid advertisement for madison avenue… there is no comedy in any of that either… he would have been better to stick with his original occupation.. this one is much more fatalistic..

Posted by: james | May 19 2023 1:12 utc | 206

@196 great I’m sure we’ll see the US attacking the US to give syria sovereignty over its internationally recognized borders as well.
LOL.
Don’t even try to moralize any of this stuff.save it for the comic book movies.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | May 19 2023 1:15 utc | 207

Somewhat sobering to realise that the us will spend nearly as much on debt interest payments as its bloated defence budget next year. And it’s only going to get worse after that. I do hope Europe finally smells the coffee.

Posted by: Oh | May 19 2023 1:17 utc | 208

Voodoo tata – a foul stench has left the bar.

Posted by: Just Observing | May 19 2023 1:23 utc | 209

Not a word about Gonzalo Lira. He is rather provocative, but I did enjoy his ‘understand what’s going on’ vids. Hope he will come out of this ok.

Posted by: Oh | May 19 2023 1:25 utc | 210

“… nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended.” -Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:17 utc | 252
You didn’t though. You just brought your bubble here.

Posted by: Figleaf23 | May 19 2023 1:25 utc | 211

“I sleep just fine, as do most of us in the West knowing that we are helping Ukraine”
LoL 99% of the West does not give a shit about Ukraine.
Wake up

Posted by: Comandante | May 19 2023 1:25 utc | 212

If y’all keep responding to that idiot he won’t go away. The Ghost of Kiev and the Ghost of Langley – you never see them in the same room together.
Posted by: Just Observing | May 19 2023 0:53 utc | 222

YES! Don’t feed the troll! Ignore it and it will go away.

Posted by: Drifter | May 19 2023 1:27 utc | 213

“Anyway, I gotta go, but nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended.”
LoL go get some sleep and feel good about sporting a Ukraine flag on yout social medias and “helping” its people
What a Smaritan LoL

Posted by: Comandante | May 19 2023 1:31 utc | 214

>Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 0:36 utc | 198
Good post on the historical stuff.
The development of the atom bomb represented an enormous scientific, industrial and monetary effort for the most powerful combatant in WW2 and the development of it’s delivery vehicle, the B-29, nearly likewise.
Faced with the likelihood of a land invasion of Japan, Operation Downfall, that would have dwarfed the losses suffered in Okinawa (Operation Iceberg), The US used the weapons to shock the Japanese Empire into unconditional surrender.
In that respect, it was a no brainer.
Curiously, I heard just today on a radio prograrm review of a book on the topic, that Gen. Spaatz as commander of USASTAF, requested a written order to drop the bombs. He put it in his back pocket and lost in the dry washing of his uniform.

Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 1:36 utc | 215

CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 0:33 utc | 197
*** They [Kiev ruled Ukrainians] will fight for their land and their people ***
Well, they don’t seem to be making much attempt to save their land from foreign mutinational predators such as BlackRock and Bayer/Monsanto.
In fact, the land to which you refer has been sold out from under the population.
Who won’t get a penny for it….
Or handed over to Poland (which will lead to some fun later on) by The Kiev cokehead and his gang.
So really, nothing of that “their land” remains to allegedly ‘defend’.
As for “their people” the Kiev regime already boasted of its intention to genocide about ten million the regime didn’t like — and the rest would, if allowed to continue to identifiably exist as an asset-stripped vassal of the US / EU, have to subscribe to the entire NATO wokist / trans agenda.
Plus almost certainly unlimited mass-immigration.
Are you seriously claiming that you, or any sensible person, would knowingly fight for that?

Posted by: Cynic | May 19 2023 1:36 utc | 216

Posted by: james | May 19 2023 0:56 utc | 227
The saying is ‘Never wrestle with pigs. You both get dirty, and the pig likes it.’ It’s George Bernard Shaw, and quite appropriate in this case. You’re wrestling with a dirty pig for sure.

Posted by: Caveman | May 19 2023 1:40 utc | 217

I don’t care, frankly. Like I said, I wish all nations had nukes. Nations wouldn’t be pulling what Russia is pulling know if they did.
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:16 utc | 249

Possibly that would have kept the USA from invading Syria, Iraq and Afghanista, bombing Libya and Yugoslavia, and assasinating via drones. Also may have kept the CIA from going around the world and doing regime change and assassinations.

Posted by: Simon | May 19 2023 1:41 utc | 218

Don’t run away CIA Lurker.
Your honesty about where you stand is refreshing vs the regular trolls who inundate the site,

Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 1:43 utc | 219

“Faced with the likelihood of a land invasion of Japan, Operation Downfall, that would have dwarfed the losses suffered in Okinawa (Operation Iceberg), The US used the weapons to shock the Japanese Empire into unconditional surrender.
In that respect, it was a no brainer.”
Whenever theres most likely hundreds of thousand of civilian deaths. Women, children, grandmas, etc.
Its never a no brainer.
USA should have nuked a MILITARY target. Not civilian.
They picked civilian for trial purposes mostly. And also to punish the Japanese.
Ruthless, evil and unecessary.
Pick a couple miltary targets. And maybe you wont be judged most ruthless empire in history books.

Posted by: Comandante | May 19 2023 1:45 utc | 220

” No country would tolerate what Ukraine had to within its own internationally-recognized boundaries, not mine, for sure, and not Russia either. Not sure why you think Ukrainians are any different than you or I.”
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 238
Are you speaking about the 2014 US sponsored coup? I would have to agree then. The uncorrupted Eastern Ukraine has resisted fiercely but without Russia’s help they are no match for NATO.

Posted by: jr | May 19 2023 1:45 utc | 221

Interesting, how dramatically different the tone is in the ISW sitrep versus the DPA/Weeb/MilSum YT channels.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-18-2023
One strange thing about the ISW report is that they bury the report of Domino getting taken WITHIN a para/bullet with a header that’s pro-Ukraine (see last five sentences).
“Ukrainian officials indicated that Ukrainian forces have seized the battlefield initiative in the Bakhmut area. Cherevaty stated on May 18 that Ukrainian forces regained the battlefield initiative and are forcing Russian forces to respond to Ukrainian actions, including by transferring Russian Airborne (VDV) elements to Bakhmut’s flanks to defend against the Ukrainian advances.[4] Malyar stated that Russian forces have deployed most of their reserves to the Bakhmut area, very likely to the detriment of other areas of the frontline.[5] ISW recently assessed that the Russian military command is reallocating military assets to the Bakhmut area in order to augment Wagner’s offensive capabilities and to gain a tactical victory ahead of a Ukrainian counteroffensive.[6] The limited nature of Wagner’s offensive operations in Bakhmut compared to the localized Ukrainian counterattacks underscores the loss of Russian initiative in the area. Russian milbloggers claimed that Wagner forces began assaulting one of the final Ukrainian fortified areas in western Bakhmut.[7] Zaporizhia Oblast occupation official and prominent Russian information space voice Vladimir Rogov claimed that Wagner forces cut the Bakhmut-Chasiv Yar road in western Bakhmut on May 17, although ISW is unable to confirm this claim.[8] Prigozhin claimed that Wagner forces advanced 260 meters in Bakhmut and that Ukrainian forces only control 1.28 square kilometers of the city.[9] One milblogger optimistically claimed that Wagner forces increased their pace of advance following Russian ammunition deliveries to Wagner, though Prigozhin’s claimed daily rate of advance has remained largely consistent.[10]”
That’s not even clear writing…mixing topics like that. Wonder if that is just bad writing or deliberate slant to not even want to give the Russians a single clear bullet point.
I sort of get the sense that each is “playing to their base”. Any large changes of course will eventually have to be reported. Realistically, we haven’t had one yet.
In addition, I’ve noted a trend with the YT channels of hyping the content a bit. A couple blocks get taken and they say the retreat has started. (DPA said full retreat a couple months ago!) Then you see them having to report the same blocks they already said were taken as taken again a few days later. Like maybe they were really just being contested, not taken when they first reported.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 19 2023 1:50 utc | 222

Anyway, I gotta go, but nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended.
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:17 utc | 252
__________
And you’ve failed to do for yourself what you recommend for others.

Posted by: Deskscape | May 19 2023 1:56 utc | 223

@ Caveman | May 19 2023 1:40 utc | 263
thanks… there are a few variations.. i like the one you’ve shared..

Posted by: james | May 19 2023 1:58 utc | 224

uncle tungsten #51
Is imposter.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | May 19 2023 2:03 utc | 225

CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:07 utc | 238
Not sure why you think Ukrainians are any different than you or I.
Look at a map genuis

Posted by: JC | May 19 2023 2:04 utc | 226

Posted by: Comandante | May 19 2023 1:45 utc | 266
I hear what your saying.
It was definitely punishment, just as Dresden was, and an attempt to break the enemy’s will. I’ve also read there was a real fear the device would fail so if used, best get the best bang for the buck.
It was doctrine back then to break the enemy’s will. Both bombings were considered just that to some extent, terror. Both sites had a least some marginal military value too.
The Mongols couldn’t do it in the blink of eye, back then it was a lot of manual labor to kill 100k. They perservered though to get the same job done with same objective.
War brings out the worst in humans.
1000 years hasn’t changed that yet.

Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 2:07 utc | 227

Lol – I was trying to reply to anonymous but I think even the mention of the ZH blog gets filtered.
Admittedly it is the equivalent of the National enquirer, but there was a good link to an estimate that post 9/11, the neocon US wars have killed 4.5 million.
I would not doubt it …

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | May 19 2023 2:07 utc | 228

jr – The US isn’t threatening Russia’s sovereignty. What happens in Ukraine is Ukraine’s business, not Russia’s.
If Ukraine had invaded Russia in a war of conquest and aggression, then I would be anti-Ukraine, pro-Russia, but that’s not what happened.
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 0:06 utc | 181
What happens in Ukraine is Ukraine’s business, not Russia’s? Dont talk like a friggin dipstick. Russian speakers and ethnic russians have been subject to 8 yrs of genocide in east ukraine by those bastards in kiev. Of course it has everything to do with russia therefore. Just like the brits went to the rescue of their kith n kin in the Falklands which is argentian territory.

Posted by: HERMIUS | May 19 2023 2:07 utc | 229

As it seems some very cool perspective from South Africa in this video. Highly recommended.

Posted by: whirlX | May 19 2023 2:09 utc | 230

CIA lurker
An honest and obvious moniker. Shift must have ended. I’m thinking day shift on the west coast. His job is to get you riled up and tie up the comments thread. Distracting from pertinent analysis. Another troll objective. His knowledge of history starts on February 2022 and only one side. Will not argue specifics. He gets a bonus today for a job well done. Don’t engage the trolls. Who takes over his shift?
On kinzhil: the launch aircraft can be tracked up to the missile launch. After that it disappears. Being somewhat maneuverable you have a large circle of probable targets. Very hard to predict where it’s going to land. Sure the automatic AD system can see at terminal phase but not enough time to launch a few rounds and have a missile lock. Lobbing 32 missiles at it is desperation hoping at least one can stop Mr K. Sounds like they had a good guess at where it was heading and tried to deny the inevitable.
That’s how I see it. Please no more debate on the Patriot take out until actual evidence and statements arise. We are already “experts” now. Goes for depleted uranium too! Thanks.

Posted by: CofCanuckistan | May 19 2023 2:12 utc | 231

Ethnicity does not equal nationality. That is backwards thinking.t
Nation-state definition: A nation – a group of people that share a common ethnicity, religion, language, etc. which binds them together. A state – a government that controls and governs the territory on which a people live. Put those two terms together and you have a nation-state. Do you understand that concept?
Posted by: James | May 19 2023 1:11 utc | 245
——————————————————-
James, there is a little something about the state that you failed to mention, which is different from what constitutes a Nation.
The state is, and I emphasize always is, a product of class antagonisms. That is why the state exists, to resolve those antagonisms. The apparatus of the state includes judges, courts, prisons, all administrative duties and functions, tax collection, the organization of political parties and/or political bosses, elections [if allowed], the police, and the military, and more.
The state, and this is the most important thing about the state, exists to serve the most economically dominant class, i.e., the ruling class. The economically dominant class determines the content of the state.
The form of the state can vary according to the needs and best interests of the ruling class. It can be a democracy, an oligarchy of power interest, a feudal monarchy, a fascist dictatorship, a slave owning state, or whatever, but the content of the state will ALWAYS be controlled by the most economically powerful class to serve its interest.

Posted by: Ed | May 19 2023 2:12 utc | 232

“All in all both sides did well. The Patriot and NASAMs only got killed after running out of ammo, and the Russians killed them.”
Posted by: JackG | May 18 2023 20:34 utc | 105.
The radar was hit 1st. The Patriot was firing blind & hit nothing. They deliberately, frantically ran all the ammo to prevent a huge detonation at ground level by the incoming Khinzal. 2 patriot missiles can be seen to reverse course and land near the launchers. 1 Patriot missile never exploded & was found in a nearby street.
$1.2B destroyed in <2 minutes. Not a Patriot success. 🤦

Posted by: Mary | May 19 2023 2:12 utc | 233

The twin shocks of the atomic bombings and the overwhelming Soviet invasion of Manchuria are what led to Japanese surrender.

Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 2:13 utc | 234

Posted by: james | May 19 2023 1:58 utc | 270
Thanks James! I dig your posts. Always thoughtful and thought provoking!

Posted by: Caveman | May 19 2023 2:14 utc | 235

Hmmm….a high functioning troll, very interesting……..still in the spectrum though.
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | May 19 2023 2:14 utc | 236

“… Your honesty about where you stand is refreshing vs the regular trolls who inundate the site…”
Bubaroonicus@265
He is certainly candid about his affiliation. But he adds nothing to the discussion. Everything he has said has been repeated ad nauseam by the MSM at least since 2004, certainly since 2014 and almost continuously for the past 18 months.
And it is childish nonsense.
We are well past the stage of demonstrating the foolishness of those who appear to be unaware of such basic facts as the fadcist roots of the Bandera thugs (last found to represent 2% of the population) running Kiev, the banning of Russian literature and language in a country where it has always been the national language and the laughable notion that the Dictatorship is fighting for freedom and the liberties of the people (who are banned from political activity and public expression of their opinions) while selling off their property, both private and public, and signing them up to massive debts, half of it incurred to feed the corrupt appetites of the oligarchs and the rest funnelled into the maw of the MIC in the United States.
In a word, if the CIA wants to argue let it respect us enough to employ grown-ups. Times was when, along with its reputation for drug dealing and wholesale assassination the CIA was known for its ability to mobilise intellectual opinion to advance its positions. It set out to understand its opponents and appreciate the power of, for example, Marxist analysis. Behind the thugs and the sadists there were, the far more dangerous, cool calculating intellectuals.
Our lurker shows every sign of having spent far too much time in the company of sadists and butchers like Gina Haspel, Pompeo and Negroponte. He adds nothing to our deliberations.

Posted by: bevin | May 19 2023 2:15 utc | 237

Anyway, I gotta go, but nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended.
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:17 utc | 252
Are you friggin serious? Confirmation bubbles? Where i live its wall to wall anti russian propoganda on friggin stefoids. One cant get away from it. Its forced into our heads. MOA is a small oasis of alternative reality that just helps to balance things out a bit.
I suggest it is you who resides in a bubble of self-perpetuating claptrap and you merely come here to give yourself some brownie points enabling you to CLAIM you listen to both sides when in fact your just another paid NAFO propogandist.

Posted by: HERMIUS | May 19 2023 2:21 utc | 238

Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 0:43 utc | 210
Nuland’s $5B coup
Minsk 1
Minsk 2
14,000 civilians tortured & murdered in ethnic cleansing of 2 (formerly Russian) independent oblasts
For 8 years said oblasts begged Russia for assistance
Go ahead. Try to defend the neocon vultures running the US off a cliff while running around the world sowing chaos & violence.
Ukraine will return to being a hinterland.
The Rus will survive.
The Han will survive.
The Persians will survive.
The Great Satan, not so much.

Posted by: Mary | May 19 2023 2:24 utc | 239

I hear what you are saying too, bevin.
I’m American too and consider myself something of a Russophile. Well, a Peter the Great fanboi to be honest…
I know there have been a lotta great things since then too.
When the SMO started, all I read in western MSM was the exploits of ‘Ghost of Kiev’, ‘Snake Island’ and a story about ‘Drone Boy’ the plucky little lad from Ukraine destroying Russian tank columns. Seriously, ‘Drone Boy’ was an ABC News story!
It sounded like a Scooby Doo episode.
Something was amiss.
Wound up on Saker where I found a link to this site.
Been here ever since just to read MoD clobber list which I will never see in the Western MSM.
There is a lotta trash here, but the good stuff is ‘good stuff. I’d never find it anywhere else. It ain’t that hard to ‘scroll on by’
I might to try that plug in though eveyone is talking about…

Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 2:36 utc | 240

The problem with this line of thinking is that it is presuming that Russia’s needs are more important than those of Ukraine. I mean, if you are going to just say that might makes right, well, at least that is a coherent line of reasoning, I suppose. I don’t agree with it, and I think it is incumbent upon more powerful nations to tread even more lightly than smaller, non-nuclear ones.
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 0:39 utc | 203
————————————————————–
Serbia 1999
China 1949 to early 1960s
Albania 1949-53
East Germany 1950s
Iran 1953 *
Guatemala 1954 *
Costa Rica mid-1950s
Syria 1956-7
Egypt 1957
Indonesia 1957-8
British Guiana 1953-64 *
Iraq 1963 *
North Vietnam 1945-73
Cambodia 1955-70 *
Laos 1958 *, 1959 *, 1960 *
Ecuador 1960-63 *
Congo 1960 *
France 1965
Brazil 1962-64 *
Dominican Republic 1963 *
Cuba 1959 to present
Bolivia 1964 *
Indonesia 1965 *
Ghana 1966 *
Chile 1964-73 *
Greece 1967 *
Costa Rica 1970-71
Bolivia 1971 *
Australia 1973-75 *
Angola 1975, 1980s
Zaire 1975
Portugal 1974-76 *
Jamaica 1976-80 *
Seychelles 1979-81
Chad 1981-82 *
Grenada 1983 *
South Yemen 1982-84
Suriname 1982-84
Fiji 1987 *
Libya 1980s
Nicaragua 1981-90 *
Panama 1989 *
Bulgaria 1990 *
Albania 1991 *
Iraq 1991
Afghanistan 1980s *
Somalia 1993
Yugoslavia 1999-2000 *
Ecuador 2000 *
Afghanistan 2001 *
Venezuela 2002 *
Iraq 2003 and 1953
Haiti 2004 *
Somalia 2007 to present
Honduras 2009 *
Libya 2011 *
Syria 2012
Ukraine 2014 *
Q: Why will there never be a coup d’état in Washington?
A: Because there’s no American embassy there.

Posted by: Ed | May 19 2023 2:40 utc | 241

Because of some barflies we will have to endure for weeks or months the absolutely inane « thoughts » of an invasive person who now feels important because they thought they had to respond to his nonsense. Bravo, a great result.

Posted by: Leuk | May 19 2023 2:45 utc | 242

Leuk | May 19 2023 2:45 utc | 289
That CIA thingy was ChatGPT bot feed.

Posted by: whirlX | May 19 2023 2:49 utc | 243

The state exists because there is anarchy without it. The state of nature wasn’t pleasant for mankind so the social contract came into being. You may not like the state, but it does serve a purpose for the vast, vast majority of the nation, and there is no viable alternative to it.
Posted by: James | May 19 2023 2:30 utc | 286
——————————————————–
James, you haven’t said anything that I didn’t already say. For example: “The state is, and I emphasize always is, a product of class antagonisms. That is why the state exists, to resolve those antagonisms.” I am a bit disappointed that you deny the content of the state: Yes, it resolves conflicts, but for who?
It fulfilled the same function in slave-owning states, i.e. It brought law and order to the masses so that the ruling class could sleep comfortably. And the Feudal state also served this function as well. In all cases the state resolved class antagonisms in the interest of the ruling class.

Posted by: Ed | May 19 2023 2:58 utc | 244

Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 1:36 utc | 261
As I said, I still think that with the gift of hindsight it was probably the wrong decision, or at least unneeded. But given what was known at the time it was an understandable, and probably inevitable, one.
Comandante | May 19 2023 1:45 utc | 266
Both Hiroshima and Nagasaki *were* military targets. Hiroshima in particular was a major rail hub and port, and hosted the command post for the entire southern Kyushu army group, which was something like seventeen divisions with more on the way at the time of the bombing. It was a key target to be neutralized in advance of the projected American invasion operation.
Nagasaki was a lesser military target, but was still a significant industrial hub, a military port with key Mitsubishi factories. More to the point, it was a backup target. The original objective of the second bomb was Kokura, home to a major army arsenal that was a producer of small arms and ammunition. Kokura escaped being bombed because the crew couldn’t find the city either because of heavy natural cloud cover or defensive smoke (it seems to be a topic of historical debate which it was), so the plane made a best-guess drop on the way home on Nagasaki. In the end they missed the intended detonation site and instead the bomb drifted a mile away to about above the Christian cathedral in the city (cruel irony).

Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:07 utc | 245

CIA Lurker Posted: “Without Russian funding and meddling the the Donbass, the astro-turfed separatist movement wouldn’t have even been a thing. Ukraine looks toward Europe and the West and not towards Russia, for obvious reasons.”
These are the obvious reasons, laid out with a timeline, before Putin took office:
FOREIGN AFFAIRS: A Geostrategy for Eurasia By Zbigniew Brzezinski September/October 1997
Accordingly, NATO and EU enlargement should move forward in deliberate stages. Assuming a sustained American and Western European commitment, here is a speculative but realistic timetable for these stages: By 1999, the first three Central European members (Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic) will have been admitted into NATO, although their inclusion in the EU will probably not take place before 2002 or 2003; by 2003, the EU is likely to have initiated accession talks with all three Baltic republics, and NATO will likewise have moved forward on their membership as well as that of Romania and Bulgaria, with their accession likely to be completed before 2005; between 2005 and 2010, Ukraine, provided it has made significant domestic reforms and has become identified as a Central European country, should also be ready for initial negotiations with the EU and NATO.
https://archive.fo/Wzk4b#selection-1953.0-1953.835
There was nothing “organic” or “democratic” (involving the will of the people) about this. And with the Orange Revolution in 2004, Brzezinski’s timeline and tranches of countries entering NATO would have been met. The Maidan Revolution of 2014 was a “do over”… so the only astroturfing (ie manufacturing consent) that was done was done by the United States and the West. If there was any Russian meddling, it was to throw a spanner in Brzezinski’s plan, as they were not copacetic with what Brezezinski had planned for Russia after the aforementioned NATO expansion.

Posted by: Rokossovsky | May 19 2023 3:07 utc | 246

The fact is we have lots of historical detail on the development and use of the first atomic bombs. They emphatically were not aimed at the Soviets. They were developed in the first place out of fear that the Axis, primarily Germany, might get there first (in retrospect Germany was far behind the Allies, and in some ways wasn’t even on the right track. There was probably little need to rush the nuclear program, but that wasn’t known for certain at the time). It was developed as an extension of the strategic bombing program, and was envisioned by the military as a better way to do vast destruction. That’s it. It was viewed as just a really big bomb. That it had unique properties beyond that wasn’t well appreciated, and wouldn’t be fully for at least a decade after the war (just ask the ghost of John Wayne).
[…]
Some people can say ‘but just look at the timing, obviously it was about the USSR’, but that’s not actually remotely what the details of the historical record indicate. But, and I’m going to be a dick here, to know that would require sitting down and actually reading any of that historical record, or even just academic summaries of it.
Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 0:36 utc | 198

It wasn’t developed to fight the Soviets, that is correct. But circumstances change, and they also did so in this case.
The fact is that it was dropped after Germany had surrendered, Japan was effectively defeated, and UK/US elites were already plotting how to fight the USSR.
By March 1945 they were already negotiating an alliance with the Nazis (which later ended up becoming NATO), and in May 1945 Churchill ordered Operation Unthinkable to be planned out.
Hiroshima and Nagasaki come on August 6/9. Much later.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:09 utc | 247

whirlX | May 19 2023 2:49 utc | 290
Honest question:
How can we distinguish? Would really like to have an effective BS ChatGPT meter!

Posted by: Cofcanuckistan | May 19 2023 3:09 utc | 248

Ah, yes, the Russian-speaking separatists who think of themselves as Russian and likely want to join Russia because the borders were drawn incorrectly? Those separatists? Part of the Russian diaspora?
Yes, of course they needed help, which is why they appealed to Russia to help them. Unlike some countries Moscow is willing to protect its diaspora in other states.
Posted by: James | May 19 2023 0:54 utc | 224

It isn’t just the Donbass, Kiev is a Russian city too, and so is everything east of Vinnytsia.
BTW, there was a video of Arestovich the other day openly admitting it — he was talking about how he has a friend who works as a cashier in Kiev, and that friend did the experiment of recording how many people talked to him in Russian and how many in Ukrainian. And this is recent, not twent years ago. It was 86% in Russian.
You also see it in the videos of missiles and drones falling on Kiev — everyone is cursing and screaming in Russian, not Ukrainian.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:14 utc | 249

Also, Bubaroonicus, you have it exactly backwards: the B-29 was the most expensive weapons program of WW2, something like over a billion dollars more expensive than the nuclear bombs. The B-29 wasn’t developed with the intent of dropping nukes. It was developed, along with the Norden bomb sight, to carry large conventional bomb loads and destroy targets with near impunity from extreme altitudes. The B-29 would climb to heights where it likely couldn’t be intercepted and the bomb sight would enable relatively precise aiming. Only the sight turned out to suck, or at least not remotely deliver on its promises. In the end nukes proved powerful enough that the lack of precision largely didn’t matter.

Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:21 utc | 250

The “grain deal” stinks.
I have an extremely negative attitude towards any agreement with the enemy during the period of hostilities, when our soldiers are dying, when there is a direct threat to the existence of the Russian Federation, when the enemy has outlined specific real goals to destroy Russia, to bring it to its knees, to deprive it of its subjectivity and, in general, its identity, the right to existence in this world.
These transactions, which are carried out with Turkish “partners”, with any other “partners”, in my opinion, are from a number of bad ones. It’s my personal opinion. I’m not talking about betrayal, although this is often the point of view now, but it all smells bad.
I understand that there is politeness, there is diplomacy, there is a defense of the interests of the state in the international arena, but when the existence of the Russian people and other ethnic groups that inhabit the Russian Federation is at stake, but above all the state-forming Russian people, when war is actually declared on them, I think extension of various deals with the enemy inappropriate and not meeting our fundamental interests in this struggle.
Posted by: MiniMo | May 19 2023 0:54 utc | 225

It stinks, but maybe there is more to it than just Russian oligarchs and Patrushev’s son lining up their pockets.
First, it keeps Odessa free of naval mines, which means Russia can in principle attack at some point. If the deal is terminated, Ukrainians will just throw an absurd amount of naval mines there again, which will completely block the approaches
Second, if it is indeed really so important for Turkey, that has to be considered. Turkey right now keeps the straights closed, but it could well open them for US ships at some point. Militarily that isn’t a problem on its own — those ships will not make it much further into the Black Sea than Istanbul, but that means open war will erupt immediately, and that is not good. So Turkey enforcing Montreux is very important.
That is also a reason why Russia sends oil and gas though Ukraine — much of it goes to Hungary (and Serbia too), and presumably without that Hungary would be acting differently.
But there is no plausible excuse for why railways and bridges have not been disabled, and if that is, as is rumored, because commodities go West on those, than this is just treason. There is also no excuse for selling oil and gas to the West through new middlemen, and absolutely no excuse for selling things like titanium, that then come back in the form of missiles and jets.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:24 utc | 251

The problem with this line of thinking is that it is presuming that Russia’s needs are more important than those of Ukraine. I mean, if you are going to just say that might makes right, well, at least that is a coherent line of reasoning, I suppose. I don’t agree with it, and I think it is incumbent upon more powerful nations to tread even more lightly than smaller, non-nuclear ones.
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 0:39 utc | 203

Should we have considered the needs of Nazi Germany in the 1940s?
Because that is exactly the argument that you are making.
There is no possible future in which Ukraine is not a literal Nazi state. Ukrainian nationalism and its whole nationalist mythology is joined at the hip with Nazi ideology and imagery.
Is there a place for such a state in the kind of future we want to live in?

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:26 utc | 252

I don’t have to think hard about the decision to bomb Japan. My father landed in Japan after the war on the assault ship that was scheduled to put him ashore in the invasion. The fleet was at sea when the war ended. His unit was to be one of the break in waves. The Japanese although out gunned in every way, resisted stubbornly. The casualty estimates for the Japan invasion were in the 500,000’s . We had just seen almost 50,000 casualties in Okinawa.
Posted by: Dan Farrand | May 18 2023 23:30 utc | 166

There was another solution — just let the Red Army do it and let them suffer the casualties. But that would have meant Japan becoming communist, and we can’t have that, can we?
P.S. Same thing with D-Day — the US could have saved the lives of its soldiers and just not bothered. The Germans were thoroughly defeated by that point, the Red Army was doing a mop up operation. But of course D-Day wasn’t really targeted against Nazi Germany, it was an operation against the USSR, to prevent it from reaching the Atlantic.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:26 utc | 253

Unravelling the Polish/Baltic ‘states’ python will be paramount as will be the Moldova/Romania situation.
Not sure exactly what you mean by this, but Russia will not be conquering any of these countries.
If you feel otherwise, I would love to take that bet.

Those were conquered by Russia twice already — first by the Tsars, then the Soviets had to do it again. And in fact various areas of what is now Moldova have changed hands even more times than that.
Have the geostrategic reasons that drove the Tsars and then the Soviets to do that changed or not?
They haven’t.
P.S. If this war does not end with Russia conceding defeat, Finland has likely signed its own death sentence too; it isn’t just the Baltics.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:29 utc | 254

@shadowbanned | May 19 2023 3:09 utc | 294
The bombs weren’t ready before Germany surrendered.
Japan wasn’t defeated. It refused to agree to unconditional surrender. It wanted to see if it could get away with salvaging at least some of its Empire, something that was unacceptable to any of the Allies (particularly, by the way, the Chinese. Completely understandably on their part). The most the Japanese were doing was putting out feelers via Moscow to see if they could get a limited surrender, which the Soviets humored them on while putting together plans to invade Manchuria.
The Japanese government weren’t under any illusions; they knew they’d lost the war. The debate within the government was between a peace party that wanted to give up immediately, and a war party that wanted to repeat Iwo Jima and Okinawa on a much larger scale. Operation Downfall is well known as the American plan to invade the home islands, but less well known is the Japanese counter: Operation Ketsu-go, which was intended to bleed the Americans so dry that they’d agree to let Japan crawl away with certain key demands met. This was a land version of the kind of Kessen, decisive battle obsession the Japanese navy had been built around for decades.
Do I really have to point out the glaring flaw with your entire thesis? The USSR would go four years before having its first nuclear weapon. The West had a crushing advantage on that front. Yet no invasion ever happened.

Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:40 utc | 255

Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:21 utc | 297
Dang it, OC Anonymous, you are right.

Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 3:45 utc | 256

>Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:21 utc | 297
fyi, I don’t mind learning.

Posted by: Bubaroonicus | May 19 2023 3:52 utc | 257

Sad thing about CIA Lurker is that is what passes for thoughtful engagement from most of the people I know. Guys who opposed our involvement in Viet Nam, knew Iraq was a scam, somehow lost the ability to consider that Russia might have legitimate interests.
They have made personal judgements (at least Lurker went with “Russia is a bully” rather than “Putin is a thug”) and, while they acknowledge the western expansion of NATO was a “bad idea”, they don’t make the obvious leap to think how the US would react if someone installed an anti-US government in Mexico through a coup and started shelling near the border when El Norte didn’t accept the central government was legit.
Somehow, Ukraine’s borders are set in stone. They think Kiev should have the right to control the Donbass against the wishes of the people who live there.
If I had to point one point where I feel like I swallowed a red pill it was when Z started talking about acquiring nukes at a European Defense Conference.
A guy engaged in cultural war much worse than anything I’ve seen in 40 years of living in Texas wants the bomb. Yeah… that would end well.
I don’t think Russia actions in Ukraine are noble but they sure has hell seem necessary. Given what they went through during WWII, and then Stalin/Soviets, and then all the looting by the oligarchs, I am surprised at their restraint. Someone blows up a couple of towers in NYC and the Empire goes revenge crazy but it took years of shelling civilians, two broken treaties, a legit threat of an offensive, a bunch of baiting by the US, and referendums to get a slow-mo SMO going.
That said — a nice reasonable troll is still a troll and you guys should know better than engaging. I guess it was nice to see the various lines of response maybe but it gets old really quick. Don’t kid yourself that this is any more of an “enlightened exchange of ideas” than talking to that Christian missionary knocking on your door about why evolution explains how we got here a hell of a lot better than Genesis. They ain’t gonna to listen and will just walk away feeling smug about being open-minded.
—————–
Let’s hope we get through this without nukes being use and without too many more people getting killed. Russia is actually doing the ordinary citizens of the US (and the world) a big favor if it reveal that the US military can’t win before our political class starts a real fight with China.

Posted by: je | May 19 2023 4:05 utc | 258

@158
Everyone should visit the link at 158. Dr. Busby in 5 minutes settles the so-called debate here by everyone trying to sound so knowledgeable about the DU ammunition and the effects of the explosion! The poles and Germans best be paying attention, and too late for the folks in northwestern Ukraine.

Posted by: Wilhelm | May 19 2023 4:12 utc | 259

@ Richard Steven Hack | May 18 2023 20:41 utc | 109 about the attempt to freeze the conflict
I agree that it will be attempted but not happen but then that refusal will be used for bio-warfare escalation if not nukes
The forcing the conflict into freeze mode is a ploy to get public backing for the next step because those mean Russians would not go for a conflict freeze because we are losing…..sigh

Posted by: psychohistorian | May 19 2023 4:18 utc | 260

OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 3:07 utc | 292
You seem to be informed quite a bit about the atomic bomb attacks on Japan.
Was there a specific Committee established to identify primary and secondary targets? If so is there a list of the individuals who were on the Committee and made the decisions on these targets?

Posted by: Jerr | May 19 2023 4:25 utc | 261

The technical aspects of the Kinzhals vs Patriots– and hypersonics in general – are interesting but not really the point of this missile strike. Estimates of damage are now $700,000,000 to $800,000,000. That’s bad news for the Ukraine. Good news for the US MIC. Catastrophic news for the US economy, now in the biggest, baddest bubble ever — overextended in every area – except those that actually benefit people, like education and healthcare. The US no longer has industrial infrastructure to keep up. It also no longer has the brainpower. It has a very small fraction of the engineers that drive technological progess compared to Russia-China-Iran. That means that the US will not have hypersonics technology for another 5 years– by which time the Russians and Chinese will have advanced theirs. The US is on its way to becoming a banana republic without bananas.
So the strike on the Patriots is Grand Theater — in the Russian tradition.
https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/prigozhin-and-war-theater

Posted by: julianmacfarlane | May 19 2023 4:27 utc | 262

Posted by: Featherless | May 18 2023 16:10 utc | 4
Posted by: Featherless | May 18 2023 16:29 utc | 10
Not me. I guess I don’t need to post anymore, as someone else is doing it for me !

Posted by: Featherless | May 19 2023 4:47 utc | 263

>…”Zelensky will fly to Saudi Arabia for the Arab League summit, and then to Japan for the G7 summit – Bloomberg, citing sources”
https://twitter.com/Spriter99880/status/1659419926791176193
Poor Hiroshima. So much suffering. And now to endure Zelensky.

Posted by: Melaleuca | May 19 2023 5:08 utc | 264

Brian Berletic had some good information regarding the Patriot air defence system on a recent Youtube video.
He stated that the production rate of the missiles was roughly 300 a year and that was being ramped up to somewhere around 500 a year. That seems very leisurely. The outburst over Kiev a few nights back chewed through around 10% of the annual production capacity in 2 minutes. This looks far from sustainable.
The Patriot system looks worse than useless and actually quite dangerous for its users as it gives a totally false sense of security. I can’t see sales coming in anymore and those who have purchased it will be looking at ways to wriggle out of this scam.
He also made the point that the problem for the whole conflict on the NATO side was that there is very little industrial capacity to ramp up as the factories, technical support and skilled workforce are no longer there. Money was the least of the problems but there was nothing to spend it on.

Posted by: ZimZum | May 19 2023 5:12 utc | 265

Anyway, I gotta go, but nice chatting with you folks. Good to get outside of your confirmation bubbles once in a while. Highly recommended.
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 1:17 utc | 252
translation–shifts over.

Posted by: pretzelattack | May 19 2023 5:12 utc | 266

Wow this CIA lurker clown comes across as a child. Scratch that, my teenage children have way more understanding of the real world than this troll.

Posted by: Merandor | May 19 2023 5:17 utc | 267

It always bothers me when I see people attempting to justify Hiroshima and Nagasaki by virtue of their utilitarian efficacy in terms of overall lives lost, or other tenuous grasping for ethical justification. This is one of those cases where the answer is so simple that only by attempting to obfuscate the core issue with irrelevant ephemera does discussion go beyond a moments consideration.
The US government effectively lined up a row of cute, smiling, six year old Japanese girls and said “Tell us when you’re ready to surrender” and then began shooting them one by one in the back of the head. The threat of the genocide of your entire civilian population (and carrying out the initial steps to show its not a bluff) is such a blatant war crime that anyone even attempting to argue against it becomes immediately questionable in terms of their ability to see beyond national bias or to factor ethical issues into any analysis (plenty of zero-empathy people cannot but they have no place in any policy-making or analysis the rest of us might aspire to live by).
American history tends to skip over the mass rapes in Okinawa, and those on the mainland, their use of the RAA, while condemning Japan for its comforts stations (a practice the US continued informally, and thus in a far less regulated way, in Korea and Vietnam), its failure to look back regularly on the anniversaries of No Gun Ri, My Lai, and its countless other atrocities. Seriously, how has My Lai especially, never received its Schindler’s List, it would be guaranteed Oscar bait (rhetorical question, the answer is obvious). And yes, before anyone mentions it, papers like the NYT will occasionally write a hand-wringing “Oh, wasn’t it terrible” apologia on events of the very far past, while failing to turn against a foreign policy system that sees those involved (like Colin Powell) rise to the very top and continue to perpetrate similar crimes at Haditha, Nissour Square and so many others, all the while failing to support the rare actors like Assange who do call out the national hypocrisy.
Its a country that suffers from a deep psychosis due to the cognitive dissonance of being unable to balance its perfectly ruthless embrace of Realpolitik above all morality, with its Hollywood and Madison Avenue polished image of itself as a white-hatted cowboy. Pardon the rant but the theatrics surrounding Hiroshima and its modern exploitation as a tool of US foreign policy is becoming a semi-regular occurrence. Hopefully, this year, Biden won’t repeat Obama’s ghoulish embrace of Hibakusha for a photo op, but either way, what is one of the world’s most unique and priceless testaments to the importance of peace is due to by tarnished once again by a coterie of war-mongers.

Posted by: Brannagyn | May 19 2023 5:21 utc | 268

I am against US involvement in Syria, and I am against US wars of aggression and conquest, just like I am against Russian wars of aggression and conquest. I am not against helping a country that was invaded by a larger country defend themselves.
Posted by: CIA Lurker | May 19 2023 0:43 utc | 210
—————
Ukraine was effectively invaded by the US in 2014 when the US engineered a coup, installed a proxy regime, turned Ukraine into a US colony. The US and NATO then militarized Ukraine, with the aim of using it as a launchpad for future attacks against Russia. Russia was compelled by US and NATO aggression–using Ukraine—to initiate the SMO. Russia is in an existential battle against the US war machine, which publicly admits its goal is to weaken, destabilize, disintegrate Russia. The US wants global domination, unfettered access to other nations’ resources, a world subjugated to US interests.
Suggest you read this article, for starters. Perhaps you don’t realize that, if the “shoe were on the other foot”–if Russia or China had militarized Mexico or Canada with the aim of attacking and subjugating the US–the US would respond as Russia is. Did you study the Cuban Missile Crisis in high school?
https://harpers.org/archive/2023/06/why-are-we-in-ukraine/

Posted by: MG | May 19 2023 5:24 utc | 269

Jerr | May 19 2023 4:25 utc | 308
I’ll be honest, I don’t know that kind of super granular detail. Seems like an interesting subject for some sort of graduate paper though.
My guess is that there was no central committee, not in the sense of here’s a dozen or whatever authoritative figures. Target lists would emerge from various intelligence agencies and probably be redacted from hundreds or thousands of contributors. It probably started from simple things like ‘where, prewar, were the major factories and transportation infrastructure’ and then further enhanced by the latest reconnaissance reports and decrypted Japanese communications (Japanese cryptography was filled with holes and regularly decoded).

Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 5:40 utc | 270

So, apparently Zelenski has popped up in Hiroshima for the G7. I guess he took Kishida san’s invitation a little too seriously.
Time to open up our wallets.

Posted by: section321 | May 19 2023 5:42 utc | 271

If the Patriot system is as shit as many seem to believe here, then why bother targeting it at all?
Is it capable of taking down Kinzhals? Maybe, there is no really hard evidence either way. The fact Russia resorted to an overwhelming attack to take one down may suggest it did. It suggests even more strongly that this system was doing a pretty good job at protecting Kiev, otherwise, again, why bother targeting it?

Posted by: Mushroom | May 19 2023 5:43 utc | 272

Before you ask, this was according to local television news in Japan. They have all day coverage so we don’t miss a minute. 🤮
Doesn’t seem to have hit the interweb yet.

Posted by: section321 | May 19 2023 5:46 utc | 273

The US no longer has industrial infrastructure to keep up. It also no longer has the brainpower. It has a very small fraction of the engineers that drive technological progess compared to Russia-China-Iran. That means that the US will not have hypersonics technology for another 5 years– by which time the Russians and Chinese will have advanced theirs. The US is on its way to becoming a banana republic without bananas.
https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/prigozhin-and-war-theater
Posted by: julianmacfarlane | May 19 2023 4:27 utc | 309
In one of his books, NYT-columnist postulated that Russia, not the US was winning in the long term. He was looking at people, young people.
In the US,they aspired to be the next Britney Spears (that was a few years back) and get rich quick.
In Russia, you had to become an aerospace engineer to earn a good living – Boing & Co were outsourcing their airplane design to Russia, which already had an army of world class experts. An army that was growing in size and expertise. Whereas young Americans took dancing classes.
Russia designed planes and rockets, China built them. Same in other sectors.
Sure, in the short term, America made big money using cheap labour overseas.
Now, Russia and China have hypersonic missiles. And NATO doesn’t.

Posted by: Marvin | May 19 2023 5:52 utc | 274

THE U.S. GOVERNMENT IS THE ENEMY OF NOT JUST AMERICANS BUT HUMANITY ITSELF.
BEST CASE SCENARIO IS THE U.S. GOVERNMENT DEFAULTS AND SHUTS DOWN PERMANENTLY.
Assassinations, constant wars, CIA Overthrows (both internal and external), DoD environmental destruction, CIA/DoD/NSA spying on Americans (even members of Congress), economic warfare, Biowarfare, industrial sabotage, false flags (9/11, the Anthrax attacks, Plandemic), open corruption with investigations that go nowhere, inability to store nuclear waste safely (yet they want Fun Size nuclear bombs)…etc.

Posted by: Dulles_Did_Dallas | May 19 2023 5:54 utc | 275

He also made the point that the problem for the whole conflict on the NATO side was that there is very little industrial capacity to ramp up as the factories, technical support and skilled workforce are no longer there.
Posted by: ZimZum | May 19 2023 5:12 utc | 312
Dumb conclusion from one dumb talking head of yt. They have thousands of old weapons they can give, including hundreds of old f16s. Finding a few hundred kamikaze pilots will be a bit difficult but not impossible over 10+ years. Everything with zero costs, just expired weapons. Keeping the same smo style, after only first 4 or 6 months had a reason, is still very idiotic and will do nothing other than destroy the new and border regions, force evacuation then create enough internal problems for a little regime change. 99% of war still happens in what is now Russia. Why would the Ukr puppets stop if there’s no war in Kiev, billions keep flowing and they get a missile once every 3-6 months that never targets the military commmand or the nato proxy local “leaders”? There’s no danger for nato either, won’t be even if they invade Ukr like Syria or Afghanistan.
BTW, Buffett just sold all his TSMC shares a few days ago. Xi’s face when TSMC is blown up will be priceless. As priceless as his piss plan for Ukr

Posted by: rk | May 19 2023 6:06 utc | 276

NabrezhnyeIntel:
⚡️Wagner Group advances within Artyomovsk City may undo AFU counteroffensive efforts nearby to Klishchiivka; fortunately, Russian motorized riflemen have been able to maintain the heights of Klishchiivka, which are allowing them to inflict losses on the incoming Ukrainian forces. It is with no doubt that after Artyomovsk, then Krasnoye, then Chasovoy Yar.
Elsewhere in Soledar and Chasovoy Yar Direction, the AFU attempted to go on the offensive in the Soledar direction, only capturing one hill and loosing 400 personnel and near to a dozen special military vehicles. In the Bogdanivka-Khromove-Hryhorivka Region, Wagner and Russian army units have been able to stabilise the area, however, the AFU still tries with their offensive.
https://twitter.com/djuric_zlatko/status/1659439286834417668
Good news if true.

Posted by: unimperator | May 19 2023 6:15 utc | 277

Posted by: OC Anonymous | May 19 2023 5:40 utc | 317
OC regurgitates some historians arguments to justify Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Japan wanted to preserve some colonies? BS. They wanted to preserve their Emperor and they eventually got it. The US wanted to see the real life effects of two new technologies. This is American way of war. Kill as many civilians as possible. Tokyo fire 200k plus Hiroshima and Nagasaki makes it 400k. The numbers quoted as needed to invade the main islands are way too high and in most probability wouldn’t be needed. Some American generals were against dropping the bombs.

Posted by: RB | May 19 2023 6:22 utc | 278

rk yeah TSMC you be another person holding onto obsolete concepts parroting off old talky points . TSMC lithography is finished its obsolete . sure the trillions invested can still produce for years. but 2 nm cant get smaller . but photonolgy can. it can go infinitely smaller from completely different process. so blow up the old factories all you want china did years of R@D and created photonolgy when everyone said it was impossible. i even meet funny guys today that argue its just a concept. welll china opens new factories this year . they started at 5nm and will progress the tech. not hard to find the info if you want . but you know why its not trumpeted loudly on the pages of WAPO for all to know

Posted by: hankster | May 19 2023 6:24 utc | 279

Posted by: Cindy Martin | May 18 2023 18:33 utc | 39
Interesting. So the hypersonic missile Kinzhal is normally cloaked in plasma, and invisible to radar. Only when the air has slowed down Kinzhal to supersonic speeds is the missile visible to radar, for about five seconds before impact.
This makes me wonder – has anyone built apparatus to detect meteorites?

Posted by: Passerby | May 19 2023 6:28 utc | 280

New Maidan Ukraine renamed 50k streets. Through popular vote in Kiev the chose to name a street after the founder of SS Galicia division. Only an intervention of Israeli embassy prevented it from happening. How does is square with 80% of people in Kiev speaking Russian I don’t know.

Posted by: RB | May 19 2023 6:28 utc | 281

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ War Map and the Situation on the Fronts in the Evening of 18 May 2023; pub. 00:05⚡️
🧨 Today, five wagons derailed as a result of an undermining of the railway track in #Crimea. The derailment of the goods train took place near the village of #Chistenkoye in the #Simferopol district. The explosion was heard several kilometres away, and the diameter of the crater under the rails was reported to be about 15 metres. Governor Aksenov said that there were no casualties from the incident. An investigation into the sabotage is also underway.
⚔️ The Situation on the Fronts over the past Day:
🔹#Svatovo – #Kremennaya Direction:
▪️ Russian forces resumed their offensive on militant positions in the areas of #Belogorovka and #Stelmakhovka. In addition, our forces attacked the militants’ positions in #Novoselovskoye.
🔹#Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) Sector:
▪️ “Musicians” have fully 👉 captured the Domino entrenchment and continue to knock out the militants from the “Aeroplane” area. In the private sector, our forces are advancing along Chaykovsky Street. According to Evgeny Prigozhin, the “Bandwagon” has overcome up to 400 meters in 24 hours, at the moment the AFU controls less than one square kilometre of the territory of #Artyomovsk.
🔹#Donetsk Direction:
▪️ No serious changes occurred during the day. With the exception of $Maryinka, where the Russian army continues to advance in the western part of the city.
🫡 The Russian Aerospace Forces destroyed an Ukrainian Su-24 near #Slavyansk in the DPR. An Mi-8 of the Ukrainian air force was also shot down by air defence near #Novopavlovka, #Zaporozhye region.

https://t.me/sitreports/8873

Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:35 utc | 282

When you read the news that our partners will train our military, you should immediately understand that the Ukrainian budget pays colossal money (credit) for this.
Every country in the West has realized that sometimes training our soldiers for show is a smart business. According to closed data, the training of one soldier costs our budget from 10.000 to 30.000€
Ukraine will have to return this money, and even the interest for their maintenance (from 4 to 6% per annum).
It may turn out that in the end, Ukraine, at best, will win some kind of victory, receive hundreds of billions of dollars in reparations from the Russian Federation, but the Ukrainians will not get them, but will go to their partners.
As a result, Ukraine will receive from this a destroyed country, a crippled nation, poverty, transnational corporations will buy everything from us for a penny and we will find ourselves in economic slavery for many years, etc., which will eventually turn out to be a “Pyrrhic victory”. And that’s even better.
At worst, Ukraine will still lose some of its territories and then become mired for decades in crime, political crisis, and so on.
The elites will sell the interests of the people, as it has always been, and even more so after the Maidan of 2014!
We have always said that the Ukrainian people lost at the moment when Zelensky abandoned the Minsk agreements and this war began…

https://t.me/legitimniy/15381

Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:37 utc | 283

hankster | May 19 2023 6:24 utc | 328
I didn’t say that what tsmc does can’t be made in another factory, I said that blowing it up and a war in Taiwan isn’t what Xi wants. But what he wants isn’t what he’ll get. And his piss plan for Ukr is pure junk.

Posted by: rk | May 19 2023 6:38 utc | 284

Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:37 utc | 332

Let’s add to yesterday’s layout that in this war, Ukraine, partners do not give anything for free.
When you hear that the Americans are giving Ukraine free intelligence information or some satellite images, or advisers have arrived for training, and so on. Know right away that you are being lied to.
All this is paid for with the allocated credit money for Ukraine. They just don’t tell you about it for a number of reasons.
Approximately such items of expenditure usually go in the sections “consultations / training” or something similar. The amounts are not small.

https://t.me/legitimniy/15383

Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:38 utc | 285

Our source in the OP said that Syrsky reported to Zelensky about the loss of control over the main fortified area in Bakhmut, the enemy had to clear several blocks of the private sector and the aircraft area.
The commander of the ground forces insists on continuing the implementation of his plan with the coverage of the city on the flanks, despite the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/17857

Posted by: Down South | May 19 2023 6:40 utc | 286

Why has Russia stopped destruction of Ukro energy facilities?
Without electricity most of the people would leave Ukraine and war would be over.

Posted by: srbin | May 19 2023 6:48 utc | 287

The depleted Uranium explosion of the ammunition dump in Khmelnytsyi- RT video with expect (previous [post cited it) has to be repeated , this is a disaster for Poland, the plume went of Western Ukraine and detected in Poland. Of course the MSM covers this up. The UK PM and his Defense Minister SHOULD BE UP ON WAR CRIMES due to the now coming civil deaths in Poland and Western Ukraine…..
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1AWTt86Ja6Z6lgWb4o4xMTipSUOWcLA82/view
Pic of Explosion.
https://www.easternherald.com/2023/05/16/whether-british-uranium-shells-were-really-destroyed-at-khmelnytsky/

Posted by: Col from OZ | May 19 2023 6:54 utc | 288

Dumb conclusion from one dumb talking head of yt. They have thousands of old weapons they can give, including hundreds of old f16s. Finding a few hundred kamikaze pilots will be a bit difficult but not impossible over 10+ years. Everything with zero costs, just expired weapons. Keeping the same smo style, after only first 4 or 6 months had a reason, is still very idiotic and will do nothing other than destroy the new and border regions, force evacuation then create enough internal problems for a little regime change.
Posted by: rk | May 19 2023 6:06 utc | 324

Correct. And they don’t even have to properly train pilots for those — they are flying mostly suicide missions, and even if they do get shot down, it will be beyond visual range, so they might have time to eject and then fly again. And there are in fact not merely hundreds, but thousands of old F-16s that can be sent. If they can each last 3-4 missions launching cruise missiles and doing some damage while soaking up R-37Ms and 40N6E (which are not at all cheap and not at all in infinite quantities for the Russian side), that’s still a win for a near-zero cost.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 6:57 utc | 289

Fair enough. That’s quite a big chunk of Ukraine. Russia has some work to do still in this SMO then.
Posted by: James | May 19 2023 6:13 utc | 325

Medvedev has repeatedly talked about “our Kiev” and “our Odessa”.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 6:57 utc | 290

If the Patriot system is as shit as many seem to believe here, then why bother targeting it at all?
Is it capable of taking down Kinzhals? Maybe, there is no really hard evidence either way. The fact Russia resorted to an overwhelming attack to take one down may suggest it did. It suggests even more strongly that this system was doing a pretty good job at protecting Kiev, otherwise, again, why bother targeting it?
Posted by: Mushroom | May 19 2023 5:43 utc | 319

The whole episode is very scary in its implications.
There was absolutely no surprise in Patriots being completely inadequate when faced with Kinzhals. And no, it wasn’t that the Kinzhals overwhelmed it — a single one took it out. Also, it didn’t even need to be a Kinzhal, they could have taken it out with Geraniums as long as they managed to overwhelm whatever SHORAD systems were protecting the Patriot. No need for hypersonics really.
But they sent one to send a message.
And the Patriot presumably would have shot down some Iskanders, Kalibrs and X-101s if it had not been taken out, so it had to go. It’s just part of the overall SEAD/DEAD campaign, but with a particular symbolic importance.
The significant aspect of the story is that it appears that genuinely a lot of people, including in NATO, are surprised that the Patriots were destroyed. Why would they be surprised though? It was entirely expected — everyone knew Patriots are powerless against hypersonics years ago. It was simply demonstrated in practice now, but it is not news at all. But if there really are people in positions that matter for whom this is real news, then we are in very serious trouble, because it means the disconnect from reality is very profound and those clowns will lead us to an all-out war thinking they can win. Having no idea what they are up against…

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 6:58 utc | 291

If they can each last 3-4 missions
@ shadowbanned | May 19 2023 6:57 utc | 338

An F16 meat drone’s purpose would be to survive more than 1.0001 mission. But whatever.
Escalate. Accelerate. Consume.

Posted by: too scents | May 19 2023 7:04 utc | 292

@srbin #336
With Russia it’s anyones guess, but they do have to be carefull with Nuclear power and they might have worked out a deal where they all leave each others power plants alone.

Posted by: OohCanada | May 19 2023 7:04 utc | 293

rk yeah no big deal. many gleefully think blowing up TSMC like usa has said would be a huge win. reality is 2-5nm is for specific items today, 25nm to 75nm etc 1990 stuff is all missiles and such need . cars microwaves tvs all use the older larger ,cheapest chips, thats where the washing machine meme comes from. TSMC and the korean micron etc all gettn huge $ grants to build new factories in usa . they dont have a life expectancy , skill sets etc to validate the investment but are as its highly political.

Posted by: hankster | May 19 2023 7:04 utc | 294

Why has Russia stopped destruction of Ukro energy facilities?
Without electricity most of the people would leave Ukraine and war would be over.
Posted by: srbin | May 19 2023 6:48 utc | 336

In retrospect, there was never any real intention to collapse the grid.
That was all an effort to deplete Ukrainian air defense, and also to placate the public inside Russia with a demonstration that Kiev is being punished.
Russia can leave all of Ukraine permanently without power in a single missile strike. For that to happen they had to hit the generators and the 750-kV transformers. They only hit a handful of generators and maybe one or two 750-kV transformers, the rest was all hits at lower-voltage transformers, which can be and were quickly repaired.
Now there is the practical problem that you can’t take out all generators — the nuclear power plants are untouchable for obvious reasons, and so are the hydro plants on the Dnieper (because those are also the dams, and if you collapse them, that will be a biblical disaster). And Ukraine’s grid was built for a country of 50M+ with huge industry, while even before the war it was 35M with much of that industry gone, and now it is 20-25M with all of the industry shut down. So demand is something like 20% of the capacity, and nuclear plus hydro alone is comfortably above that. But still, if you hit the 750-kV grid, the NPPs will be effectively taken out and you can collapse it all. Clearly they never wanted to do that though.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 19 2023 7:07 utc | 295

@ CIA Lurker | May 18 2023 22:26 utc | 145
What you see is the longtime established spiel to present Russia ( or the Soviets earlier ) as mad unpredictable and thus absolutely dangerous bear:
Provocate to no end, see to it that those provocations don’t get media exposure
as such and wrap media responses in “fake news, disinformation”.
Present any counter to those provocations as unprovoked irrationalities….
rinse, repeat.

Posted by: MAKK | May 19 2023 7:16 utc | 296

How many countries had stopped using USD as the currency for international transactions? And, how many will be in the next few months?
That’s one of the unwritten objective of the SMO.

Posted by: ostro | May 19 2023 7:28 utc | 297

The Arms industry never cared their products actually work as advertised. It’s all PR and Hollywood Iron Man fictional exceptional Yankee superhero with superpower self delusion.
Assange said so and is suffering for it.
As are WE ordinary deluded majority in the Community old five Waste by allowing that injustice in our name, again.
As we did to Gandhi and Mandela and Allende and hundreds like them. All prisoned, tortured and murdered.
It’s never stopped for a millennia with dungeons and torture machines and terrorist head chopping mercenaries.
The MIC’s true owners want more orders for imaginary super weapons with epic names, to collect their regular annual billions.
All these multi trillion in arms supplies have always required western highly trained operatives. The whole Saudi AF is run like that. As are most of the various other oil monarchies, strung out across the planet, all are prisoner of their guards and bankers. Hostages of the Western Civilisations finest luxuries and educational facilities.
In the meantime let’s look forward to the next great Russian song in the vein of Katuysha.
incandescent maiden kinzallerya.
😉

Posted by: DunGroanin | May 19 2023 7:30 utc | 298

Why are you handing over the Ukraine thread to this new troll? Everybody has the right to present their view, but being endlessly provocative about nothing related to Ukraine is trolling. Give this guy time to sit in the corner and read.

Posted by: Norwegian | May 19 2023 7:31 utc | 299

Posted by: grunzt | May 18 2023 19:57 utc | 84
What information tells us that the Kinzhals can´t accelerate in the termal stage?
Accelerate >speed up, cruise > Enter “breake” (move or not in that stage -also for now, visible from radar) > Last seconds, Accelerate and BOOM
Regards

Posted by: Gorn | May 19 2023 7:36 utc | 300