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The MoA Week In Review – (Not Ukraine) OT 2023-128
Last week's post on Moon of Alabama:
> Over the 36 hours he spent in brutal house-to-house combat in the eastern Ukrainian city, 11 of the 16 men from Malkovskiy’s group of draftees were either killed or captured, according to surviving soldiers and relatives of the missing. <
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Other issues:
Anglo meddling:
U.S. labs in east Europe:
Of interest:
Use as open (not Ukraine related) thread …
@ bevin | May 29 2023 17:07 utc | 114
The situation in Palestine could be quite explosive, precisely because of the radical settlers, and also many other Israelis as well, to expel all or most of the more than seven million Palestinians who are still in Palestine. This has been a desire of Israelis since the first expulsions of 1948-1949, the Nakbah. They have always been hoping for the cover of a war to do it, but it has become much more difficult to imagine implementing. Hence the frenzied hysteria of the settlers and their supporters.
It might be useful to try to imagine just what such an expulsion effort would look like and do, how it would unfold, and what reactions and results it would cause.
First of all, expelling the Palestinians would not be easy. It wasn’t even that easy in 1948-1949, and now it would be much harder. Then, the world’s media hardly cared about the Palestinians anywhere, whereas now there would be intense coverage of such an effort. Then, the Palestinian populations, accustomed to centuries of relative peace and overall safety in their homes, were extremely vulnerable and unaware of quite how to resist; today, the Palestinians have been inured to decades of Israeli oppression, so that they are much more hardened than their ancestors. Also, they are fully aware that the Israelis want to drive them out and seize their property, so they are ready to resist being driven out and determined to stay in their places. The mere physical effort to remove the Palestinians from a single village will be quite exhausting.
Another question is where they are to be driven out to. In 1948-1949, the population density of the entire area was much less than it is now, so finding space is problematic. The countries of Egypt and Jordan both have peace treaties with Israel that make them unavailable as grounds to dump the Palestinians in. Were Israel to violate those treaties, it would pay a very high price. That leaves the much shorter frontiers of Syria and Lebanon, and neither of those countries would be receptive to more Palestinians being foisted upon them. Trying to force more Palestinians on Syria would invite Russian intervention, which Israel would like to avoid. In the case of Lebanon, the local opposition would be strong and would certainly include a new war with Hizbullah, which humiliated Israel in 2006. And the Palestinians in question, the Palestinians still in Palestine, are huge in number, over seven million, something on the order of ten times the number initially displaced in 1948-1949.
Furthermore, the outer world today is much, much less sympathetic to Israel than was the case in 1948-1949. Opposition to any new ethnic cleansing would be nearly universal, and the threat of alienating US support for Israel is very serious. While the situation seems to show the US continuously kowtowing to Israel, there are limits to it, such as when the Israeli trial balloon to establish settlements in occupied Lebanon in 1982 was quashed by the US. There also would be some opposition in Israel itself, even from some Israeli Jews. The size of this opposition should not be exaggerated, but nonetheless it is something that was hardly present in 1948-1949.
The different Palestinian populations also would vary in how difficult they would be to drive out. The most vulnerable are the inhabitants of the West Bank, because they have no rights, so it is presumably them, or more likely just some of them, who would be targeted first. However, Zionist rage against the Palestinian citizens of Israel is also very serious. But those Palestinians are somewhat protected by their Israeli citizenship as well as their integration into Israeli society, so that their expulsion would be even less popular. The Zionists fear they are facing defeat, as there is a Palestinian majority in the Northern District, which is Galilee, and Palestinians moving into Jewish towns have rendered more of those towns mixed now, which seems to the Zionists like a slide backwards in their project. As for the Palestinians of Gaza, their backs are to the wall, as they can be driven neither into the sea nor into Egypt, and furthermore they are armed at least for guerilla war and would fight back furiously.
So no wonder the Zionist ethnostate is in trouble and is freaking out. This does make it very dangerous, however, and it is likely that it will still cause a lot more misery before some kind of peaceful synthesis eventually emerges.
Posted by: Cabe | May 30 2023 2:34 utc | 132
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