Jdam is a usa weapon development system case study.
early on the contractor could not delivery at cost, corners were cut, reliable kits never a sure thing.
Posted by: paddy | Apr 12 2023 18:56 utc | 36
I was involved with something similar to JDAM years ago. They’re cost effective ways of disposing of Vietnam era munitions which have been sitting in warehouses for half a century. They also work really well against goatherds. But low cost weapons systems tend to not be resilient in a high tech battlefield.
A typical cruise missile has an inertial guidance system and 2 forms of knowing it is acquiring its target (GPS, laser, stellar, visual with stored maps, doppler, etc). Smart bombs cut cost corners and only use one. GPS is the cheapest, but it is also easy to jam by a near peer. Goatherds have no jamming equipment.

Posted by: First Time Poster | Apr 12 2023 22:26 utc | 103

I don’t see an infowar angle for the self-leak hypothesis, and it’s an extremely embarrassing way to build an off ramp when everyone could just start giving “anonymous” source info to the normal news channels.
However, it sounds like now Biden is floating “monitoring chat room” because of not so much the leak but how long it just (say out there). So a self leak to obtain more government/intelligence agency power would make sense and would explain the weirdness of the whole thing. Easy enough to never figure out who did it. The dictatorship of the intelligence agencies requires sacrifices and harsh measures.
I still lean towards Israel, but the above is way more frightening.

Posted by: Lex | Apr 12 2023 22:30 utc | 105

Don Firineach | Apr 12 2023 22:13 utc | 102
Kazakhstan. § Chevron
It was from the Chevron plant in Kazakhstan that the attempted color rev kicked off in 2021.
I noted (to self) at the time… Chevron Nuland Maiden §§ Chevron Kazakhstan (and I scanned for Nuland, I could sense her lurking malevolence)
@James:
Mahalia Barnes Joe Bonamassa
Riding with the Kings: (studio version)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jFDAqwjy8o

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 12 2023 22:37 utc | 107

@Ново З 97
haha!
I rather took him for Z´s stunt double.
(even though he looks more like actor Richard Dean Anderson)

Posted by: AG | Apr 12 2023 22:51 utc | 109

@Melaleuca 107
Mahaliaaaaaaaaa

Posted by: AG | Apr 12 2023 22:55 utc | 111

A titter from my morning trawl of twitter:
1/ The air defense of Ukraine has ceased to cover even the near contour, due to the use by Russia of corrected air bombs, with which they strike at infrastructure and military facilities
2/ During his visit to the United States, Shmyhal [ Prime Minister of Ukraine] met with Pentagon chief Austin, and asked for F-15 and F-16 fighter jets and long-range missiles
Anyone else @bar see what amused me^
https://twitter.com/Spriter99880

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 12 2023 23:00 utc | 113

AG | Apr 12 2023 22:47 utc | 108
The U$ DoD Crimea contracts have been posted here a number of times.
I think by Don Bacon again relatively recently.
Perhaps trawl archives here to start.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 12 2023 23:04 utc | 115

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 12 2023 17:13 utc | 10
“Much more likely is that Germany simply doesn’t notice this site”,
you should not underestimate the MfS, especially when it’s Chomsky who draws their attention to a website 😉
@many here, back to basic :
“There is no greater danger than underestimating your opponent.”― Sun Tzu

Posted by: Tak-Tik | Apr 12 2023 23:11 utc | 117

Jacob Dreizin has another of his important articles on the state of Ukranazistan and its NATO owners:
https://thedreizinreport.com/2023/04/10/dreizins-first-un-retraction/
1. In September a Russian fighter fired a missile in the general direction of a NATOstani spy plane, following which all manned NATO spy flights near Russia over the Black Sea abruptly ceased.
2. Russian FAB glide bombs have been having a devastating effect on the nazis (a nazi post on Telegram says the same thing). And Russia is finally using FABs to hit the bridges (the bridges certain people were claiming couldn’t be destroyed, remember? People who called me and others trolls for dissenting about that?).
3. Dreizin also talks about the nazi attempt to attack the Zaporozhye reactor.
4. Amerikastan is beginning to scale back the money it has been flooding into Ukranazistan.
There’s more in the article about Amerikastani domestic policies but that’s irrelevant.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 12 2023 23:12 utc | 119

AG @108 This could be what you want…
https://en.topwar.ru/44990-zachem-vms-ssha-sobiralis-remontirovat-shkolu-v-sevastopole.html

Posted by: dh | Apr 12 2023 23:23 utc | 121

@AG
worth reading ….
https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2014/december/crimean-question-and-nato-strategy

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 12 2023 23:35 utc | 123

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 12 2023 23:03 utc | 114
For sure the guy is some level of CIA asset. But re: Whelan, that dude is a known identity thief and if you’ve ever had your identity stolen you probably wouldn’t mind seeing him sent to a gulag in Russia. I know I don’t. Good riddance.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 12 2023 23:37 utc | 125

The various riches of Donbass were actual, not theoretical, because of Russian workers with Russian culture. See how far a skin of tats and green hair gets you without a Russian.

Posted by: oldhippe | Apr 12 2023 23:51 utc | 127

Cool stuff maybe a zip file, scramble the bits a bit.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Apr 12 2023 23:56 utc | 129

I’ve read the various leaked docs, but everytimeI look at them, l feel like I’m reading the Sunday comic section. They have a low information content, and the numbers presented have a high degree of uncertainty.
Everything is hedged in someway, The important pieces of information is missing – eg. transport available and how many days of ammunition and fuel for each group.
I’m left with two general impressions of the leaked documents. First they seemed to have been developed for persons of limited intellectual capability. Second the documents, in my opinion are short on functional intelligence; they seem a summary of opinions about the status of Ukrainian AF. No time table for objectives if there is to be an offensive.
If these leaked docs represent the top intelligence available on Ukraine’s capabilites 4 to 6 weeks prior to a major offensive. It should be a no brainer to state, not estimate, your own forces’ strength, supplies, and the order and plan of battle. I don’t see this level of intelligence provided by these documents, more like watered down Bud Lite.

Posted by: Jerr | Apr 13 2023 0:00 utc | 131

Melaleuca #113
F15 and F16 fighter jets….
Laughing my jet engines off
:))
:))

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Apr 13 2023 0:10 utc | 133

Re the Polish desires on west Ukraine:
Has everyone here seen the “Zhirinovski Ukraine Map”, circa 2015? Google Image it. His prescience was crystal clear. In 2015, on behalf of the RF Duma, Zhirinovsky formally sent it to Poland, Romania, Moldova, Hungary, Slovakia, half seriously, half as a taunt to Ukraine, with a prediction it would eventually come to pass with a message (paraphrased>>>) “Hey guys, how about we carve up and compress Ukraine into a sensible corner of history?”. Lol.
Of course, Ukraine was aghast, and the others all (overtly) said no. Of course, NATO/US didn’t want it, so have since used it as bait for this proxy. Funnily, all the others are currently, somewhat tentatively, agitating for exactly THE SAME OUTCOME. Lol.
Imo, THIS MAP is the eventual territorial holy grail of Eastern Europe that everyone is presently envisaging, excepting that:
1. Zelensky is “dealing” Poland its slice;
2. NATO/US desperately trying not to lose the whole Black Sea Coast to Russia;
3. Russia is gunna set up a Dneiper fence line by hook or by crook.
I loved that radical Zhirinovsky … as did Putin.

Posted by: The Dolphin | Apr 13 2023 0:18 utc | 135

I think you mean direct nuclear attack *by* the USA, young@2?
I don’t think even the Bidet regime is that stupid.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 13 2023 0:37 utc | 137

@AG | Apr 12 2023 22:51 utc | 109
I meant to mention that towards the end of the interview he starts talking freely about what they want from Australia and then unexpectantly line drops out – almost like someone thought he was saying too much..
https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/2018885769/senior-ukrainian-defence-advisor-in-new-zealand

Posted by: Ново З | Apr 13 2023 0:49 utc | 139

FELLOW BOOZERS….The drinks are on me at the bar tonight!

Posted by: HERMIUS | Apr 13 2023 0:52 utc | 141

didn’t read the thread — just came to post this. headliner in asiatimes today: ‘Ukraine’s spring offensive a likely death trap for US, NATO”
https://asiatimes.com/2023/04/ukraines-spring-offensive-a-likely-death-trap-for-us-nato/
bear in mind that nearly all of asiatimes is mockingbird stencilists, so this headline signals that the establishment and its narrative are turning direction.
this turn comes at the heels of the Pentagon document leak, which we can now read as providing an anchor for a slew of upcoming MSM stories pushing to bring an end to the Ukraine conflict, or at the very least to pop the bubble that NATO is winning and can win.
while that push may not be wholly in concert with the neocon agenda, we can nevertheless see the massive machinery slowly turning direction

Posted by: mastameta | Apr 13 2023 0:59 utc | 143

Jerr | Apr 13 2023 0:00 utc | 131
If these leaked docs represent the top intelligence available on Ukraine’s capabilites 4 to 6 weeks prior to a major offensive
Yep.
———
As @outraged and I discussed in previous thread.
Trolls and drolls here and everywhere either wittingly (or not) conflated the crap “intelligence” in the docs with the dubious provenance of the docs.
“They’re fake” got flooded through threads.
No. The docs are authentic. The “content” is … put generously… dubious.
My curiosity went to why “Streisand Effect” the leak/breach?
A decade on, the vast majority still haven’t seen Wikileaks “Collateral Murder” vid, for which Assange is obscenely incarcerated.
Why is this leak in NYT WaPo MSNBC CNN +++?
IMHO the leak/breach embarrasses the ISW /Kofman/ Rob Lee / “osint” intel cabal.
I think this really is the “caliber” of intel they control and are pushing up into the “decision tree” at pentagon and State.
Jake Sullivan, and the demand to the controlled corporate media that the leak be ignored, is not to stop “us” seeing it, (we are irrelevant), but to throttle the info to Milley, Austin, Congress, et al.
IMO guys at that level live in an info bubble… there’s more “intel” here @bar, than makes its way to decision nodes at Congress, Pentagon and State.
I remember watching a Judging Freedom some months back, and Napolitano raised his eyebrows, interjected and clarified, something either Ritter or Mcgreggor (it’s a blur) said …
I was “how the fuck can you not have known that????”.
And I realised, there really is an information void .. which is why Team Nuland has been able to destroy Ukraine without serious confrontation from within the U$.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 13 2023 1:06 utc | 145

Some videos for today.
Worst mass shooter in New Zealand history trained by Ukrainian Nazi Azov battalion:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/nazi-training-new-zealand:2
Bird’s-eye view of the aftermath of battles in the center of Artemovsk:
https://odysee.com/@SputnikInternational:c/AftermathArtemovsk:e
Russian Mi-28 assault helicopter in action:
https://rutube.ru/video/025ddcc1fa41934483d80a72d8846a72/
Russian artillery pounds enemy positions:
https://rutube.ru/video/6d59a2e69c50a6836f0443a88f9ec3bd/
Russian Lancet drone destroys Polish-supplied self-propelled howitzer:
https://odysee.com/@Overthrown:6/Gpaz1WYaJrw1PsaP:b
Incendiaries rain down on Kiev regime positions in Artemovsk:
https://odysee.com/@Overthrown:6/IMG_3379:0

Posted by: Nate | Apr 13 2023 1:15 utc | 147

@Melaleuca
re: Ritter
He is a puzzling one.
Sometimes he is truly touching when speaking about Assange e.g. (call me sentimental)
And then again he displays his US MC routine which is almost parody.
But there are a few things he sure knows about.

Posted by: AG | Apr 13 2023 1:27 utc | 149

@Don Firineach 118
@dh 121
thank you!
gotta read & research now…

Posted by: AG | Apr 13 2023 1:31 utc | 151

This is a new one from Simplcitus, as usual extremely illuminating:
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-41223-offensiveor-collapse?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
A lot about the extensive problems that the Western equipment is having with Russian EW and the backing off of Western reconnaissance flights after Russian actions, the use of guided 500 and 1500kg Russian bombs (with 3000 and 5000 kg coming!), the Russians dredged up the MQ-9 Reaper drone etc,

Posted by: Roger | Apr 13 2023 2:06 utc | 153

Melaleuca | Apr 13 2023 1:06 utc | 145
What your seeing now in the USA, Europe, and European Asia is organizational psychosis of the political and military structure. Their views of their role in the world don’t relate to reality. I don’t know how far the transference has penetrated throughout the military organizations but it’s has completely captured the political organizations and their electorate.
It is not Ukraine, Capitalism, Colonialism its something very different. It’s the transhumanist great reset like they said. They are really out to dehumanize society, not in the sense of degrade but to get rid of humanity – mRNA, transgenderism, DEI,the Gaia crusade, AI, anti-agriculturism, etc. all part of it.
They are the new Golem, made not created.
In the West it’s becoming a hysteric movement, going beyond comprehension.
I’m most concerned that even they do not know what they will do with the weapons they now control. How Ukraine will be divided is now of little or no consequence. It has served its purpose. The struggle, not war, is for humanity, and will go beyond whatever happens in Ukraine.
It will be a long affair.

Posted by: Jerr | Apr 13 2023 2:26 utc | 155

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 12 2023 22:13 utc | 102
The event where Cookie Monster boasted about the 5 billion spent on Ukraine with the Chevron backdrop was partially sponsored by Catherine Claire Chumachenko, Ukrainian American who happens to be married to, or was married to, or chilled with Viktor Yushchenko (bee-stings Orange Revolution fame-first fall guy) at the ol’ honeypot back in the early 2000s. Interesting. Viktor and Chumachenko met. It must have been fate. True love.
I was looking for some reference, which I can’t find right now, and I ran across this.
Maidan in Mandarin
I bet the Chinese journos have a ball with it. Settle the bill. Check, please.
One cannot make this stuff up.

Posted by: lex talionis | Apr 13 2023 2:32 utc | 157

Ukraine war has given China breathing space and time to put more miles between itself and USA. The longer it takes to confront China the more difficult it becomes to USA and allies.
On the other hand a war in the Pacific will allow Russia to launch SMO Part 2.
The situation around Iran is alarming. Iran does not have the opportunity to attack Saudi and Qatar oil and gas exports in case of war as they have a peace plan. Iran has no other effective means of hurting USA and allies economically. This makes war likely around Iran.

Posted by: Jason | Apr 13 2023 2:42 utc | 159

@Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 12 2023 23:12 utc | 119
Yeah, the use of these FABulous 250, 500, 1500, whatever glide bombs brings the level of respectability of Russia’s SloMO campaign up considerably. Best part is that since the Ukies are detonating buildings after the Russians have captured them, Russia now simply just blows up the buildings with these FABulous bombs while the Ukies are still inside them. So slowing but surely Russia is being forced to conduct war in a manner that even Stalin would approve of.

Posted by: gT | Apr 13 2023 2:49 utc | 161

Ново З @139 re NZ assistance to UKR
A few weeks ago there was a discussion of a video showing a Western mercenary officer yelling at his poorly trained Ukrainian squad. No one could quite place his accent, eventually identifying him as Maori (indigenous NZer). If anyone was wondering what became of him, he’s being buried this afternoon in my local cemetery. Killed in Ugledar apparently, so his remains were probably repatriated on a plastic tray in the manner of ground beef. Working with an “intelligence unit” according to the linked article, does this mean SBU death squad?
Maori make fierce warriors and comprise the backbone of our SAS etc but it’s still seriously bizarre so see someone fighting and dying for Ukraine’s divine mission to “lead the White Races of the world in a final crusade … against the Semite-led Untermenschen.” Likewise with the queer Maori Labour MP who collaborated with Adrian Zenz’s Uyghur propaganda. Working with people who have genocidal intent toward you and yours must take some serious compartmentalization and cognitive dissonance.

Posted by: S.P. Korolev | Apr 13 2023 3:08 utc | 163

Re: Leaks only matter is they have to capacity to change the outcome, otherwise they are purely to misdirect or just white noise.
does anyone with a working brain seriously think these leaks will make any difference to how the russian mod finishes off ukraine?
does anyone with a working brain think nato or the pentagon can do squat to alter ukraines ultimate obliteration?
the leaks are at best for momentary entertainment who time has already past.
Posted by: oak | Apr 12 2023 17:36 utc | 18
Bravo. You nailed it in a short summary. The leaks are meaningless for this conflict. Russia will benefit from them LT in developing its strategy and tactics, but it won’t affect the Ukraine conflict a lick.

Posted by: JustTruth | Apr 13 2023 3:28 utc | 165

That the American political class has reacted in such a furious way shows, ironically, just how abjectly subordinate the Europeans really are. Macron speaks out in a rare moment of clarity and the American backlash is knee-jerk and nasty… because how dare those European vassals get out of line!
bevin | Apr 13 2023 1:14 utc | 146
_____
Hilariously pathetic, n’est pas? Ray McGovern, referring to American “Intelligence”, would call this “invincible ignorance.” Le Petit Prince has an epiphany of
the blindingly obvious, then somehow musters the herculean courage to say out loud what the peasants in Parisian streets have been screaming for years: that European vassals must reclaim sovereignty and restore true democracy. De Gaulle of the man!

Posted by: Doug Hillman | Apr 13 2023 3:32 utc | 167

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 11-12 Apr 2023⚡️
🔹#Belgorod Region:
▪️ In #Belgorod, a Ukrainian drone equipped with an explosive device collided with the fence of the international airport. The fence structure and the alarm cable were damaged.
▪️ As a result of the shelling of the Novostroyevka-Vtoraya village, a residential house and an outbuildings were damaged and one civilian was injured. Four residential houses have been damaged in Stary farmstead.
🔹 #Starobelsk (#Svatovo) Direction:
▪️ Position fighting near #Makeyevka and Balka Zhuravka, as well as artillery duels along the entire front line continue in the #Liman sector.
▪️ In preparation for a counterattack, the Ukrainian command is moving additional forces to the #Terny – #Torskoye section.
🔹#Soledar (#Bakhmut) Direction:
▪️ The RF Armed Forces continue to conduct an operation to encircle the enemy grouping in #Bakhmut. The assault squads of the Wagner PMC are supported from the flanks by units of the Russian Airborne Troops, inflicting a fire damage on the Ukrainian formations.
▪️ In the northern part of #Bakhmut, the “Wagnerians” continue their offensive towards the Bakhmut-2 Railway Station.
▪️ In the south of the city the frontline has not changed. There is active fighting for School No. 2. The enemy is transferring additional reserves to hold its positions in the areas of Chaykovsky Street.
🔹#Donetsk Direction:
▪️ South of @Avdeyevka, Russian troops are advancing towards #Severnoye, methodically knocking out the AFU from their strongholds on their way to the settlement.
▪️ In #Maryinka, fierce fighting continues on Druzhba Avenue. Russian artillery and tanks are targeting enemy positions.
▪️ The AFU terrorists fired barrel and rocket artillery at populated areas of the #Donetsk agglomeration. Residential buildings and infrastructure have been hit in the capital of the DPR, and at least two people were wounded.
🔹#Zaporozhye Direction:
▪️ Artillery duels along the entire line of contact continue. The Russian Aerospace Forces carried out airstrikes on AFU military and infrastructure facilities in #Orekhov and #Gulyaypole.
🔹#Kherson Direction on #SouthFront:
▪️ Russian units hit enemy ammunition and equipment concentrations in #Dneprovskoye, #Nikolskoye and #Kherson, and used guided aerial bombs on an enemy ammunition and equipment depot in #Berislav.
➖ For their part, the Ukrainian terrorist formations shelled civilian facilities on the left bank of #Kherson region. Residential buildings in #Alyoshki also came under fire, killing two civilians.
🔸Political Events:
▪️ Mass seizure of UOC MP churches continues in #Ukraine. Supporters of the schismatic PCU have seized St George’s Church in #Khmelnitsky.
▪️ #Volyn region has banned activities of the UOC MP – earlier a similar decision was taken in #Rovno and #Khmelnitsky regions.
▪️ Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal has paid a working visit to #Canada and #Washington. Following the meeting, the parties signed a declaration on a free trade zone between the two countries. The Canadian leadership will allocate weapons and ammunition to the AFU as part of military assistance, as well as expand sanctions against #Russia.
▪️ In a meeting with US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin, Shmygal asked for long-range missiles and heavy armoured vehicles in preparation for a counterattack.
▪️ Zelensky has held a meeting with a delegation from the US Senate to ask for additional financial and military aid for #Ukraine.
▪️ Ukrainian politician Viktor Medvedchuk’s wife Oksana Marchenko has been put on a wanted list in #Ukraine. The SBU had earlier accused her of “financing actions to overthrow the constitutional order”.
▪️ Zelensky has submitted a bill to the Verkhovna Rada to denounce the Agreement on Mutual Protection of State Secrets between #Ukraine and the Republic of #Belarus.

https://t.me/sitreports/7093

Posted by: Down South | Apr 13 2023 3:45 utc | 169

Posted by: Elmer Fudd | Apr 13 2023 1:32 utc | 152
Looked a great deal like hard copies of a Power Point (or some such) presentation to me.

Posted by: Duke | Apr 13 2023 3:54 utc | 171

@ Melaleuca | Apr 12 2023 23:00 utc | 113
Way to go dementia Joe.
@ Melaleuca | Apr 13 2023 1:06 utc | 145
Quite so. And yet again, for the very slow learners or not paying attention, all Intel product is ~85% open source, only when assessed &/or corroborated by ‘other means’, graded for credibility & reliability re source (per data point/paragraph) does it become, classified. ‘Tis not something magical written on stone tablets presented from upon high on the Mount. Childish. Hello ?
Further, the rot re professional non politicized ‘product’ started to go belly up post ’91, but even from late ’70’s re Iran, Iran-Contra/Ollie North run out of WH (Iran-Iraq War ’80-’88 & Contras, especially so since lead-up to Iraq War ’03 WMDs/Al Qaeda onwards(Including WH/neocon generated false imagery re imaginary Iraqi imminent invasion of KSA). That rot has become embedded due Cheney/Powell/Wolfwowitz/etc, lead-up to Iraq War’03 WMD, aluminum tubes, outing covert agents(NOC) via attacks on diplomat husband, not singing in tune, politicized feedlot Intel Silos, and if the professional analysis & product does not align with the desired end-product from up on high, individuals are sidelined & eventually purged. The intel product to be used by the Neocons is forced ‘pre-shaped’ to justify their delusions, magical thinking & aims/objectives. The same winnowing that occurred throughout USA armed forces over the same period, last 30 years plus. See: ISW, Oryx, BellingCrap, Syrian Human Rights Observatory, Curveball, etc …
PS One of the reasons for enabling widespread ‘Enhanced Interrogation Techniques'(Petraeus(Betray-US)(Iraq/ME, thence Head CIA)) was so as to be able to fabricate pre-determined false Intel via, torture. Hyper-political Brennan re the farce of the ‘Steele Dossier’, Comey, the very creation of the politically controlled overlord of politicized Intel in the form of Clapper(EX Director CIA) re Director of ‘National Intelligence’. To support & enable policy, internally, NOT the other guy (ie Belligerents, Russia, etc). Hello ?
@ Surferket | Apr 13 2023 2:30 utc | 156
@ Surferket | Apr 13 2023 2:35 utc | 158
Quite so, routinely. Selective amnesia & corrupted/faulty recall ?
@ S.P. Korolev | Apr 13 2023 3:08 utc | 163
Regardless, likely misled, indoctrinated, pointless. Sad …
@ oracle | Apr 13 2023 2:59 utc | 162
For an oracle, you missed all the statements in Dec’22 & Jan’23, and again from late Mar’23, re Ukraine cannot win, Ukraine cannot take Crimea, a Ukraine offensive cannot change the course nor outcome of the conflict. An oracle ?
@ JustTruth | Apr 13 2023 3:28 utc | 165
The leaks are to aid the internal factional conflicts/fights re Ukraine & the wider geo policy course & consequences even blind freddy can see & foresee, accelerate disunity re Neocon agenda within US ‘leadership’, secondarily drop a grenade within US/NATO/EU/5-Eyes re maintaining the ‘dictated’ course. They are ‘obviously’ not meant to influence the Russkies in anyway, & certainly will not & never would.
@ Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 12 2023 23:03 utc | 114
Is there any prominent public anti-imeperialist you have not personally repeatedly slandered misusing this forum, yet ? Asking for a friend.
@ Jerr | Apr 13 2023 0:00 utc | 131 & Jerr | Apr 13 2023 2:26 utc | 155
Perhaps change your nic to FUD ? And you have handled tens of thousands of highly classified Docu over decades, inclusive SCI & Codeword ? Drafted, produced & compiled them ? Utilized them ? Served in an Intel capacity to be able to make such FUD declarations based on your extensive personal knowledge & first hand experience. Perhaps your cartoonish colleague FUDD may deign to share some cake with you. FUD & FUDD ?.
@ Elmer Fudd | Apr 13 2023 1:32 utc | 152
As per your usual. Simplified cartoon, Elmer Fudd. And no, classified briefings for the Prez are another, tightly restricted, higher grade of SCI, specifically prepared individually for the Prez. The leaked Classified were prepped for ‘point in time’ daily rolling summaries & briefings for the JCS. All this jibber-jabber yet ignorant of even basic issues & facts ? Hm …
@ Sunny Runny Burger | Apr 12 2023 20:12 utc | 57
Multiple threads … repetitious much ?
As per your previous, previous request, no need to travel to Cuba, please enjoy your, FOAD cake.

Posted by: Outraged | Apr 13 2023 4:02 utc | 173

@ Outraged | Apr 13 2023 4:02 utc | 173
Correction: … Contras, especially so since lead-up to Persian Gulf War ’90/’91 WMDs/Al Qaeda onwards …

Posted by: Outraged | Apr 13 2023 4:15 utc | 175

@S.P. Korolev | Apr 13 2023 3:08 utc | 163
For more than 150 years, there has been a Maori word that has applies to these people
– kupapa https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K%C5%ABpapa
A news item said that Kane Te Tai was planning on soon leaving the Ukraine with his Ukraine fiancee. Instead, I hope this guy
https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/saturday/audio/2018867728/jordan-o-brien-kherson-on-the-moving-ukrainian-front-line
is now saying hello to Kane.

Posted by: Ново З | Apr 13 2023 4:41 utc | 177

@ Outraged | Apr 13 2023 4:02 utc | 173
DogDamn! Old age. Correction: … all Intel product is ~85% open source, should be: … all non-Codeword, non-Compartmented SCI, Intel product is ~85% open source …
@ Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 13 2023 4:42 utc | 178
No denial ? Zero valid response re serial ongoing conduct ? Merely yet more ad-hominem … a compelling case. My friend will be so disappointed. 🙂

Posted by: Outraged | Apr 13 2023 4:50 utc | 179

Posted by: lex talionis | Apr 13 2023 2:32 utc | 157
Cookie Monster, LOL. I’ll be stealing that, thanks.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 13 2023 5:08 utc | 181

zt | Apr 13 2023 4:30 utc | 176
I’ve been watching that stuff for a while. Regardless of his past reputation he is a limited hangout. He’s batting for the team.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 13 2023 5:18 utc | 183

@shadowbanned | Apr 12 2023 21:41 utc | 86
Essential, good summary. Thanks. The US is a kind of island, now devolving into a state of psychological inbreeding.
“The Americans are a very lucky people. They’re bordered to the north and south by weak neighbors, and to the east and west by fish.”

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 13 2023 5:52 utc | 185

shadowbanned #142

The big bridges on the Dnieper are the contentious issue, and Russia always had the means to take them out — Kinzhals, small nukes, etc. It is very clearly a political decision not to do it. One in a long series that drive so many in Russia crazy about the way the war is (not) being fought and that raise strong suspicions the country will once again be sold out, possibly terminally this time.

The big bridges on the Dnieper are handy as they deliver the nazi military and their press ganged forces to the eastern killing fields. The Ukrainians have the long supply problem NOT the Russians. Russia has the means to choke the rail services to a few diesel locomotives so there is a constant trickle from west to east and should there ever be a big Uke “offensive” then I guess they might throttle even that to a drip feed with a well placed shot or two.
The Uke capitulation is the outcome of this battle front but you must remember that Russia is playing for a much tougher outcome: the restoration of NATO boundaries as per 1990 or somewhere like that. ie the absolute removal of all NATO bases and nukes from their new locations .
Russia wont use nukes and they have made that clear that depleted uranium munitions are nukes too in their world view. Now the braindead Poland is blathering about manufacturing some – just to help out their UK cousins.
As the thousands of Ukrainian military foot soldiers are eliminated along with their artillery, Russia can increment westward and simultaneously deprive Ukraine of its daily war crime of shelling civilian centres. A good thing. This will take some time and obviously Russia has no intention of throwing away its soldier’s lives. Another good thing.
This war is not a rerun of the Vietnam war only for Russia. The entire world watched the USA storm across Vietnam with stretched supply lines and a very unfriendly populace crushed underfoot. The consequences were thousands of bodybags and even more thousands of crammed hospitals with wounded US soldiers. The very unfriendly populace was more than willing to supply the Vietnamese heros with info to wipe out the invader. Russia is not that silly.
Take a peek at the venomous religious war being cranked up against Eastern Orthodox Christians suddenly being aggravated to extreme by Zelensky – he wants to make the place ungovernable for an occupier and untenable for a government for years to come. Zelensky is the neo-con dream warrior puppet. Certainly Russia can read this loud and clear so it is not about to stampeding west for some time unless there is capitulation and a policing mechanism and social design process in place that could reverse the decade plus level of race hatred fomented in the young.
This war will last a long time and there is little advantage in accelerating it westward until the entire eastern boundary region is fully secured and access to the sea is closed.
I doubt that the voices of homeland discontent are anything like your assumption. What is your data? I see reports of Putin’s approval as being an extraordinary feat of leadership and confidence in his management of the liberation of Ukraine and the homeland economy.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Apr 13 2023 6:06 utc | 187

What happened to warnews247? No updates in almost a fortnight…

Posted by: Boris Badenov | Apr 13 2023 6:45 utc | 189

❗ Bakhmut night: As mentioned before, the front line is now almost completely pushed to the railway line. Fierce battles along this line. North of the Avanhard stadium, Wagner forces try to finally push UA behind the railway line, it seems as if they are having increasing success. In the center, however, the train station remains the hottest topic here. Brutal and bloody battles. The simple question now is who is willing to take control at any cost.
To the north, Wagner is advancing a little south, and has captured a few houses just west of the railway line.
In the NW, fierce fighting continues around Rose Alley. There is now a large area in the gray area here. Wagner pushes here but powerful.
In the SW, fierce fighting continued on Tchaikovsky Street. Here, too, Wagner + VDV units are slowly but surely increasing the pressure. There are minor successes of a tactical nature in this area. This is also due to the fact that additional forces have now arrived.
On the flanks: The fighting here is almost as fierce. The pressure from RU here between Ivanivske and Bakhmut is also enormous. So far, however, UA has succeeded in preventing Wagner stormtroopers + VDV units from breaking through the supply route. There is also fighting north of Chromovo. There are no changes to report here. The same goes for Bohdanivka. Position battles here.
In general, the RU Artillery and Aviation works very hard today troughout the day. This will also make it easier fir Wagner + VDV units to be able to celebrate success. Time will tell, but i’m very optimistic that soon the areas UA controls are getting smaller and smaller.

https://t.me/geromanat/5847

Posted by: Down South | Apr 13 2023 6:57 utc | 191

🇵🇱🇷🇺🇺🇦 Military pilot recruitment in Poland
The other day it was reported that recruitment of military pilots from different countries has started in Poland. They are allegedly planned to be used for direct participation in hostilities within the ranks of the AFU.
🔻How true is this information?
At the end of March, we wrote that the words of former US reserve lieutenant colonel Dan Hampton about his readiness to fight in the conflict in Ukraine were not said by accident. They were part of a planned information campaign aimed at agitating pilots to go to Ukraine.
Similarly, Western countries had previously recruited foreign mercenaries by publishing various videos with dozens of people from different countries as part of the “Foreign Legion”. As then, it is Poland that acts as the main transit hub before being sent to Ukraine.
Characteristically, the “faces” of these media campaigns were usually not involved in the fighting themselves. This is not surprising: their only task was purely publicity. Thus, the African-American Malcolm Nance sat in Lviv the whole time, and the Afghan refugee Jalal Noori after several “motivational” interviews with CNN and other Western media simply disappeared from view.
🔻 What can this tell us?
The search for pilots that has begun is a direct confirmation of the shortage of qualified personnel in the Ukrainian Air Force. During combat operations the enemy aviation has lost the lion’s share of the most experienced flying personnel.
That is why very “green” lieutenants have been flying tactical aircraft for the last few months, and in some cases they graduated prematurely because of personnel shortage. Replacing losses with foreign pilots capable of flying Soviet aircraft should, in theory, at least rectify the situation.
However, in the long term, the recruitment of pilots is in fact preparation for the handover of Western-made fighters to the AFU. The current denial of the very possibility of aircraft deliveries may be part of an information campaign in which the West’s position on this issue will be consistently softened.
The information about the recruitment of foreign pilots does not mean that the conditional F-16s will necessarily be transferred to Ukraine soon. But it does demonstrate a long game and the West’s willingness to drag out the armed conflict for at least another year.
But the capabilities of foreign pilots should not be overestimated either. For all their skills in Ukraine, they will have to face a language barrier, an echelon of Russian air defences, a lack of constant escort by E-11A-type control planes and other realities they have not encountered in bombing the IS or Taliban.

https://t.me/sitreports/7108

Posted by: Down South | Apr 13 2023 7:00 utc | 193

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/12/discord-leaked-documents/?utm_campaign=wp_main&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
Leaker of U.S. secret documents worked on military base, friend says
Story describes provenance of leaked documents.

Posted by: Sushi | Apr 13 2023 7:09 utc | 195

you literally almost made me spit up my drink with that posted snippet I wont reprint. Close call.
where do I send the invoice for the poster buying drinks?
i will put my money on the exact opposite being the truth that bellingcat ever says
Posted by: hankster | Apr 13 2023 7:00 utc | 192

Posted by: Not Ewe | Apr 13 2023 7:35 utc | 197

In reality, everything looks something like this:
A brigade or division has about a hundred “locations” in which the minimum number of people lives – up to 30-40 in the “largest” and from 2 to 20 in standard ones.
Standard places of residence are basements, private houses, apartments, dugouts on 2-3 lines of defense, basements on 1 line.
Almost no one, except for the commanders, knows each other.
Privates (except for those who have survived since 2014) are not familiar with the remaining 99% of the unit’s personnel.
Products are delivered to the main locations. The food is monotonous, but there are no problems with it.
It is not difficult to guess that everyone is scattered because of the threat of shelling by Khimari (HIMARs). If you bring together even 200 people, they will definitely fly by them.
Until now, the morons officers who, at a distance of 5-10 km from the front line, put next to several Urals with people and equipment, columns, have not been translated. Because it’s so “convenient” for them and they don’t understand how it can be otherwise – to arrange transport with personals and equipment at least 20-40 meters away. Until now, there are morons officers who, for the sake of convenience, are trying to crowd a company or an entire battalion in one place. You can’t do that. But in the completely discredited “MOD academies” – they did not teach modern warfare. Here they can’t.
What is the complexity of the location of personals ?
The rear officers (and there are no others) are used to the fact that there is a barracks where everyone sleeps in piles. They gave him this barracks – that’s where it’s supposed to live. These guys have not seen any other options in their lives.
Here you have a bunch of people, let’s say 300 people. You arrived – where to put them? Who knows.
Those who are smarter turn to the officers of the LDNR, that is, to the local warriors, for help. Donbass is extremely saturated with bomb shelters and dual-use buildings – therefore, the best and easiest way to distribute personals is to negotiate with the owners of these premises (the majority go forward). Communicate with local residents in villages and towns – they can suggest broken-down empty buildings with good basements. Further, it is necessary to independently conduct electricity or buy a generator, gasoline and equip the economy in every possible way.
All transport must be kept under sheds, carefully camouflaged, all equipment must stand far from each other – it is wasteful to work on single targets – the enemy fires only clusters.
After arriving at the location, especially stupid rear chiefs have an idea in their heads that mobile phones, the Internet, etc. are to blame for everything – no.
Individual local residents (sympathizers with uprops) instantly report (for money) to the SBU all the latest news – including who drove in, who arrived in what quantity and where they are.
A local resident will easily come up, smoke with gullible soldiers who want to look in the best light – find out who has arrived, provide moral support and then go to write a report to the SBU. The same is done by individual servicemen who were greatly offended, or mobs, who were originally on the side of the dill.
The most important thing to understand is that the enemy knows everything. Where are all the command posts, equipment, where and when does it travel. And it’s not about phones.
Therefore, the best way to protect personnel and equipment is decentralization.
Yes, management is very difficult, there is an increased need for means of communication, but it would be better for everyone to be troublesome and uncomfortable than everyone to be dead.

This passage from a “Russian channel” quoted by Simplicius is literature on this war for me. The lodging of rest and sleep is so important. I was wondering how they organize it all. Perhaps this picture will also endow “couch generals” among us with a little humility of any kind, who like to pretend what Russia should have already achieved in order to send psychological signals against the West or whatever.
Regarding the beheading video: Regardless of whether what is supposed to be shown happens, the urgent motive of effect and authorship seems to speak for a party that is under a lot of pressure. Who cannot allow their own army to surrender to the enemy in a constantly desperate situation in order to prevent a snowball effect, but at the same time wants to advance against the enemy in a last stand charged with ruthless anger. There are previous tales:
The UN was supposed to visit a prison housing Ukrainian POWs long ago at the start of the conflict, which was under fire, killing inmates. The UN was never granted access. The explanation why an investigation failed should never reach the public in detail as well. I suspect it was because Kiev was outmaneuvering it with the usual “sovereign state” tactics, as IAEA experts learned, arriving from the west through the front line rather than following the safer route from the east. And suddenly Kiev cannot guarantee security for an investigative group. What a suprise.
Ukrainian units are said to have recently surrendered and were then shot at by their own comrades. It bears the signature of this charm of the downfall of extremists, as experienced by the Germans in the last century.
Of course, the experts in the western media are aware of this motive, especially after all the leaks. These “liberals” are also desperate and a small snowball develops into a blizzard of unreality that reproduces itself almost independently. Well, German media are already digging up Navalny again – I call this acts of desperation in their purest form.

Posted by: Konrad | Apr 13 2023 7:43 utc | 199