Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 1, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-77

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

I cannot help but notice that everyone appears to be ignoring the important post made by Roland | Apr 1 2023 19:07 utc | 49 which concerns Grayzone’s article on the ICC warrant for President Putin
This article sets out reasonably forensically just what a crock this warrant is. For a start the warrant is 100% amerikan state department inspired. You remember the same mob who threatened to bomb the ICC in the Hague should the court ever investigate an amerikan for war crimes.
That in itself should be enough to alert all but the unsentient. The article also contains a video made by a reporter who visited one of these children’s camps that features interviews with both teachers & students and should lay to rest any claims of ‘nazi style’ camps.
Some may remember a couple of weeks back when I posted a link to a guardian article which tried to validate the warrant and actually did the opposite.The article said that a parent who went to Moscow whose children were handed back immediately he asked (he had left them in the middle of the Mariupol conflict without any food or shelter), the article made much of the fact he had to sneak into Russia. What it didn’t say was that wasn’t to avoid Russian ire, it was so that the Ukraine security wouldn’t shoot him for treason. This entire thing stinks to high heaven and leaves one in no doubt that the entire ICC construct exists solely to further the interests of the amerikan empire by punishing any person they can grab who resists that empire.

Posted by: Debsisdead | Apr 2 2023 0:11 utc | 101

” Nonsense, all Western and Southern Slavs are already firmly incorporated in EU/NATO framework. Majority of Slavic nations are lined up against Russia. The only one that supports Russia is Belarus, but that is basically Russia too.
So who knows what people are you talking about. I bet you don’t know either.
Posted by: hopehely | Apr 2 2023 0:07 utc | 99 ”
Just because a large segment of my people is under physical and mental occupation doesn’t mean the war is over. Europe is rapidly collapsing which will lead to many opportunities to turn the tide. Woe to any US troops left in Europe at that point.

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 0:14 utc | 102

Posted by: Greg Galloway | Apr 2 2023 0:07 utc | 100
> Belarus towards Jitomir then Vinnitsia to cut off Ukraine forces supplies to the east.
Jitomir. LOL, nice, I like it!

Posted by: hopehely | Apr 2 2023 0:34 utc | 103

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 0:14 utc | 103
“Just because a large segment of my people is under physical and mental occupation doesn’t mean the war is over. Europe is rapidly collapsing which will lead to many opportunities to turn the tide. Woe to any US troops left in Europe at that point.”
Are you sure ‘your people’ want to be ‘liberated’? Maybe they are quite happy being ‘occupied’…
Wouldn’t be easier for you to move to some place where you won’t be a misfit?

Posted by: hopehely | Apr 2 2023 0:45 utc | 104

1. Schwere Panzer-Abteilung 504
2. 504th Infantry Regiment (United States)
Contest time – Challenge 504th
number to beat is 2
Posted by: LGB! | Apr 1 2023 22:49 utc | 88
Romper Room Time – My magic mirror
2 of 4 frames – I see 2 x V + 1 V. Is that in Nuk-ranian or is that in Frussian with an (” Farcasm or Sarcasam) in it? #I ask only out of curiosity. I speak Latin and Anglo. Always awake not awoke.
https://twitter.com/GloOouD/status/1642151326485303296/photo/2

Posted by: Angelo | Apr 2 2023 0:49 utc | 105

One of the reasons why this war flared up was the Zelensky needed it to save his rapidly declining approval ratings. In this interview Olga Baysha explains what has happened in Ukraine in the past year.
“…Zelensky’s war on journalism started one year before the current war. In February 2021, he signed sanctions by the National Security and Defense Council (NSDC) against two parliamentary deputies from the ‘Opposition Platform—For Life’, the main political rival of his own party. As a result of this unconstitutional move, three television channels controlled by the opposition—NewsOne, 112 Ukraine, and ZIK—were shut down. This happened after Zelensky’s approval ratings fell below 30 percent, sinking throughout the course of his unpopular neoliberal reforms for which he blamed oppositional media. Later that year, other oppositional channels were sanctioned and banned as well: Strana.ua, First Independent Channel, UKRLIVE, Sharij.net, and Nash.
“In other words, the prosecution of oppositional journalists presented as “enemies of the people” started not because of the war but because of the falling popularity of Zelensky in the course of his neoliberal experiments. In January 2022, one month before the launch of Russia’s ‘Special Military Operation’ (SMO), sociological data showed that 64.7 percent of Ukrainians believed the country was moving in the wrong direction; Zelensky’s presidential approval rating was as low as 17 percent. In fact, it was Russia’s military offensive beginning in February 2022 that transformed Zelensky from an unpopular ruler selling Ukrainian land against the people’s will into a transnational hero struggling against tyranny.
“The beginning of the current war just marked another level of efforts to crush dissent. As you know, in March 2022, eleven oppositional parties were banned. Along with banning the parties, Zelensky also implemented the NSDC decision to launch a news telethon called ‘United News #UARAZOM’, which all national TV channels were expected to broadcast. Today, they have little choice but to show this telethon reflecting the “only true” version of events–the one approved by the presidential administration…..” Continued at:
https://socialistincanada.ca/interview-with-olga-baysha-author-of-2022-book-democracy-populism-and-neoliberalism-in-ukraine/

Posted by: bevin | Apr 2 2023 0:51 utc | 106

@Angelo – Sorry amigo, I haven’t the foggiest notion what you are trying to say to me.

Posted by: LGB! | Apr 2 2023 0:55 utc | 107

More from Olga Baysha:
“….I am an ethnic Ukrainian; all my relatives still live in Ukraine. We have been arguing about the role of the West in the Ukrainian tragedy since the Maidan events, which were presented by the Western powers and Western media as a fight by “Ukrainians” for democracy and freedom. As it should be clear now, this is an outright lie, as there was no unified Ukraine in the name of which Western powers could speak and act. As I already told you, half of the country did not support the Maidan but was disregarded completely. At the end of the day, this is what has brought about today’s disaster.
“A similar story happened with the “liberalization of the economy” that you mention. This “liberalization” brought nothing but neoliberal experiments that have deprived Ukrainians of their land and caused their living conditions to deteriorate. The overwhelming majority of Ukrainian citizens (up to 70%) opposed the “liberalization” of the land market, but has this stopped the reformers supported by Western powers? No, it hasn’t. Despite the protests of Ukrainians, the adoption of the land reform was celebrated by Western ambassadors, lobbying on behalf of Western corporations, not Ukrainian citizens. Have any anti-corruption efforts of the West stopped corruption in Ukraine? No, it became rampant, and the recent revelations of corruption in the Ukrainian armed forces are very illustrative in this respect. …”
https://socialistincanada.ca/interview-with-olga-baysha-author-of-2022-book-democracy-populism-and-neoliberalism-in-ukraine/

Posted by: bevin | Apr 2 2023 1:02 utc | 108

It all seems so utterly unlikely, but those soldiers, in turn, seem to be so utterly believable.
We desperately need to find, somewhere, unbiased and trustworthy witnesses to each of the various levels that are said to be involved. This has to be resolved, and quickly.
Posted by: AntiSpin | Apr 1 2023 22:44 utc | 87
———————————————————
AntibSpin, you ate the whole worm, try your best to not swallow, it is a bunch of shit.

Posted by: Ed | Apr 2 2023 1:17 utc | 109

ALERT re: Deplorable Commissar
Initially I suspected that he might be a sh1tstirring, mammy-r1ding, sonofaWestend cockneyprossie troll …. but … on reflection … More likely a disruptive motherfu€k1ng sonofab1tch sh1tstirring Troll from the arze-hole of West Texas
Best ignored.
Note: No offence intended for genuine Cockneys and downtrodden Texans.
Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 1 2023 21:16 utc | 75
——————————————–
Non taken by this disruptive motherfu€k1ng sonofab1tch sh1tstirring arze-hole of East Texas. Facts are facts, so let the cards fall where they may.

Posted by: Ed | Apr 2 2023 1:26 utc | 110

” Are you sure ‘your people’ want to be ‘liberated’? Maybe they are quite happy being ‘occupied’…
Wouldn’t be easier for you to move to some place where you won’t be a misfit?
Posted by: hopehely | Apr 2 2023 0:45 utc | 105 ”
Unless one goes to those nations, and talks to the people, once cant understand. Its mainly the quisling governments that are happy to be part of the conflicts and not most of the people. Take Serbia for instance, If it recognizes Kosovo that wont be the Serbian people’s will at all.
” Wouldn’t be easier for you to move to some place where you won’t be a misfit? ”
At this point I would be a misfit in most places as they are occupied, either way, the time for running is over. Now is the time to wait, observe, and prepare.

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 1:32 utc | 111

ZH has a posting up with the title
NATO Holds War Games Miles From Ukraine’s Border
The quote

The US and its NATO partners are conducting military drills in a region of Romania that borders Ukraine. Thousands of soldiers will gather to simulate repelling an invasion on the Black Sea coastline.
Dubbed “Sea Shield 23,” the war games kicked off on March 20 and will run until April 2. The US and 11 other NATO countries are participating in the Romanian-led military exercises. Nearly 3,500 soldiers, 30 naval ships, 14 aircraft and 15 other “fast intervention” boats are participating in the live-fire operations, which will occur in the Black Sea and Romania’s Danube Delta. Troops taking part in the Sea Shield drills will come within 20 miles of the Ukrainian border.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Apr 2 2023 1:40 utc | 112

@ Ken Tucky 2:
1. Bentley has turned from being a Putin cultist to a knee jerk critic of everything the Russian government does, so it isn’t necessarily true that what he says is to be uncritically swallowed. Also, in recent days he’s been showing since distinctly Martyanov-like tendencies to ban people from his Telegram channel for dissent (not me, I’m a long term personal friend, but others who dissented less than I did).
Also, he’s been predicting an imminent all out assault on Donetsk by the nazis for months now; this must be the seventh or eighth time by my reckoning.
2. I agree about Azov: how many times have I heard that Azov has been “destroyed”? Yet anyone who was paying attention to the news knew that the siege of Mariupol was a tremendous stimulus to Azov recruitment in West Ukranazistan. It is only the Martyanov tribe of reeking brainless gasbags that still pretends – as the Faker and others did until the nazi offensive at Kharkov – that Ukranazistan can’t move or gather enough forces for an offensive.
3. I see no reason to believe the idea that 80000 Ukranazistani troops could sweep away the Wagner and Russian troops at Artëmovsk. When one side has massive artillery superiority, the other would have to gather their forces and advance under relentless artillery barrage (not to mention FAB 1500 glider bombs that Russia has been using more and more now and which can be dropped from 40 km away).
4. Officer shortages.
What proof is there of these shortages? All indicators are in any case that the Russian army now gives platoon level officers and noncoms freedom of action and initiative far more than any NATO army – let alone the Red Army, where sergeants were merely conscripts with extra training and whose function was to relay orders to the lower ranks. And if there is a shortage of officers, what prevents the Russian government from mobilising retired officers to conduct the training only?
5. The bridges.
The number of creative copes to try to explain the failure to even damage the bridges is ludicrous. Some I have seen:
“Russia will need those bridges to advance.” (Oh, right, the nazis won’t just blow them up while retreating.)
“Bridges are too difficult to destroy.” (And? Are they difficult to damage to the point of unusability for heavy equipment? The blowhard Martyanov keeps puffing about Russian wonder missiles on his blog and about the stratospheric heights of Russian military planning. Is he saying Russian military abilities and planning never extended to destroying bridges? Even WWII Allies could do that.)
“Bridges can be easily repaired.” (The same argument was being made to explain the Russian failure to knock out the Ukranazi railway network until Surovikin began hitting the railway network.)
“It would take too many missiles to destroy them and keep them wrecked.” (I thought Russia had an inexhaustible supply of missiles?)
“The West is already sending the Ukranazis pontoon and other bridging equipment.” (And that’s because they have had a full year to do that.)
Of course the bridges have been left intact so that Putin’s oligarch cronies who still have massive business interests in Ukranazistan can make money. The whole conduct of this conflict is based on the economic interests of Putin’s oligarch cronies.
6. “Human wave assaults…DNR commanders see the Russian conscripts as cannon fodder.”
Has there been a single video of an actual Russian/LDNR “human wave assault” on anybody? Jihadi Julian Röpcke posted a video of a 3 or 4 man Russian trench clearing party walking up to and neutralising a Ukranazi trench and called it a “human wave attack”. Even blueyellow ragwagging Ukranazi worshippers mocked him for that.
Also, what “conscripts”? The mobilised? And yet this same article says that the mobilised are “painting grass” across the prewar border because there is nobody to train them.
7. “Putin never fires his buddies.”
Tell Medvedev.
Overall, a mix of facts, speculation, and outright rubbish.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 2 2023 1:41 utc | 113

“I cannot help but notice that everyone appears to be ignoring the important post made by Roland | Apr 1 2023 19:07 utc | 49 which concerns Grayzone’s article on the ICC warrant for President Putin
This article sets out reasonably forensically just what a crock this warrant is. For a start the warrant is 100% amerikan state department inspired…”
Posted by: Debsisdead | Apr 2 2023 0:11 utc | 102
———————————————————–
It didn’t go unnoticed by me. I watched the Grayzone program early this morning Texas time. I had a lot of questions about the warrants issued by the ICC and on what the bases these arrest warrants were issued; the Grayzone program answered most of those questions. The US has NOTHING on President Putin and the whole thing was only intended to embarrass Xi and Putin during Xi’s visit to Russia. Can we all agree that his is a sign of Bidens desperation?

Posted by: Ed | Apr 2 2023 1:41 utc | 114

Bakhmut babuska explains why Ukraine voted for Zelensky.
“Poroshenko had already been in power… so we voted for a clown. Well, now we are entertained”
https://twitter.com/Trollstoy88/status/1642319813807620097

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 2 2023 1:43 utc | 115

By Russia’s performance on the ground Mr. Ed. There’s a reason why Berhard and Saker decided to disappear. They either got offers they couldn’t refuse or they know whats coming.
Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 1 2023 18:30 utc | 35
—————————————————————
So, B what is it? Mr. Deplorable says that you have either cut a deal with the US Imperialist or they have got the goods on you and are forcing you to cut and run? Sounds like fighting words to me.

Posted by: Ed | Apr 2 2023 1:48 utc | 116

” Has there been a single video of an actual Russian/LDNR “human wave assault” on anybody? ”
Does this qualify ? At least 30 Russians attacking a trench, through an open field, without artillery, air, or armored support.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TLWqxChQAxY

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 1:59 utc | 117

This is the closest thing I could find for Russians in a ‘human wave’
https://twitter.com/PaulJawin/status/1641843271075758087

Posted by: LGB! | Apr 2 2023 2:12 utc | 118

By Russia’s performance on the ground Mr. Ed. There’s a reason why Berhard and Saker decided to disappear. They either got offers they couldn’t refuse or they know whats coming.
Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 1 2023 18:30 utc | 35
Saker was going strange a few years before the SMO. He was already ordering people not to trash the U.S. because he and his family live there. He also shut down debate on Covid and the vax, as he believed in the government propaganda regarding that, and he was disrespectful of those who thought otherwise.
With the SMO he became very out of touch, claiming that Russia had won the war after just a few days. When it became clear that Russia had severely underestimated Ukraine, had sent far too few troops in and was then stalled, he abused people who pointed that and other problems out as “concern trolls”. He was even dismissive of Russian Telegram even if it was the channels of Donbass reporters-fighters on the ground who were in the middle of the fighting.

Posted by: MiniMo | Apr 2 2023 2:13 utc | 119

@Deplorable Commissar 118:
I wouldn’t call that a human wave attack, just a….deplorable….failure of coordination of the various arms of the military. Something the sack of septic tank contents Martyanov says is impossible in the Russian army.
@Ed 117:
The Faker was definitely intimidated into closing down his Junkyard, just as Patrick Armstrong was frightened into stopping updating his site; he was,as Saker LLC, making good money from it. I doubt that a one time buy off offer would do anything.
As for Bernhard, I have an uncle who’s a naturalised German citizen and lives in Hamburg. He’s a retired chemical engineer. He refuses to talk about the SMO on the phone because he’s afraid all calls are being monitored and his pension might be at stake. We’ll know if Bernhard returns as before or (like the Faker after his months long layoff last year) is a pale shadow of his former self.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 2 2023 2:27 utc | 120

Friendly reminder.
” When Ukraine Was Run by Jews:
Once upon a time, a king decided Judaism was the one true religion. But the Khazar Kingdom didn’t last long. ”
https://www.haaretz.com/jewish/2014-03-19/ty-article/.premium/when-ukraine-was-jewish/0000017f-ea19-d4a6-af7f-fedf24430000

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 2:28 utc | 121

Here is a song by Drudkh. A black metal outfit from 404. I don’t think they’re that bad in terms of black metal, but I far prefer Gorgoroth or Craft.
Ukrainian Insurgent Army (Українська Повстанська Армія)
The intersection of art, life and neo-fascism.

Posted by: lex talionis | Apr 2 2023 2:33 utc | 122

bevin @107 & 109
it is heartbreaking how deft tptb are at manipulating events, and how ruthless and fast and vicious.
was it harari, the davos seer, who said something like we no longer believe in souls, you are all hackable machines.
i thought i was pretty savvy, but since coming here and especially seeing brian berletic’s work at the new atlas, i understand more about modern “revolutions” and it’s so just awful.

Posted by: polarbear4 | Apr 2 2023 2:44 utc | 123

@Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 1:59 utc | 118
You are trying to argue points by anecdote. Give it up. There are what – half a million soldiers involved in this conflict spread out along a 750km front line? Do people sometimes die needlessly in war (moral issues aside) for a variety of reasons including f*ck ups in command and execution? Surely they do. Does one side have a monopoly on this fact? Clearly not. The only way to judge success from a distance is the overall ‘progress’ and then, critically, the end result, and judgements before the final result are apt to be off the mark. I don’t see any good reason to come to an English language blog and angst about anecdotes which, of course, necessarily lack context. No one here can affect what happens on the ground. A fair assumption is that both sides monitor what appears on telegram and other similar platforms and also try to use such media platforms to gain advantage for their side. A lot of chaff and not much wheat.

Posted by: the pessimist | Apr 2 2023 2:45 utc | 124

I want to state appreciation
To all who toil posting critical thoughts, links, opinions
And individual insights.
A stark difference to the plastic, fear driven, pharmaceutical ridden
Thoughts from the western masses and media.
I give thanks everyday.

Posted by: Dingo | Apr 2 2023 2:53 utc | 125

” The only way to judge success from a distance is the overall ‘progress’ and then,
Posted by: the pessimist | Apr 2 2023 2:45 utc | 125 ”
Fair enough, how is the SMO doing after year ?

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 2:57 utc | 126

@ Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 2:57 utc | 127
Too soon to say. Maybe by September it will be clearer.

Posted by: the pessimist | Apr 2 2023 3:08 utc | 127

There would not be total collapse of Russian government unless they loae Crimea. And theyw will not lose Crimea without usimg nukes.
I guess everything is possible. But this scenario described above has very little chance of becoming reality.
The nuclear scenario is much more likely.
Posted by: Comandante | Apr 1 2023 16:48 utc | 6

There is a very realistic scenario in which Russian elites surrender even Crimea.
Remember that these are the same people that surrendered all the other 14 republics three decades ago. Crimea is strategic? Well, guess what, so was every other republic except perhaps the trans-Caucasian ones. Let’s review:
1) The Baltic is a NATO lake now
2) Ukraine is a Russophobic Banderite infested hellhole, and it wasn’t too difficult to imagine it would become one even early on after it was let loose (it took tens of thousands of lives to pacify Western Ukraine in the 1940s and 1950s, and then the Banderites were never exterminated, but amnestied and even allowed back in local government). Nor was anything done to stop it from becoming one in these 30 years. So now NATO is at Kursk without having fired a single shot directly
3) Losing Moldova means losing the Bessarabian gap (even if the PMR is there to block it, it is not much of an actual obstacle)
4) If Belarus had been lost too, that would have essentially meant Operation Barbarosa having been successfully carried out without a single shot. Just straight up surrender. And we start the war again from there, but with long-range stand off weapons.
5) Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia are from a certain perspective more of a nice to have than a must have — there are two mountain chains that provide a defensible border, and the larger one is the northern one. So at least there defense is still somewhat ensured. But if you lose Armenia, Turkey has an open corridor to Central Asia, and that is a big problem.
6) Losing Central Asia was actually the worst hit, but the least discussed. Huge territory, impossible to defend open steppe border, and that is right in the underbelly of the Russian strategic core. Even worse — the Central Asian republic didn’t even want to secede. They voted 95% to stay, and their elites didn’t declare indpendence on their own either. Kazakhstan was actually the last remnant of the USSR for a few days.
The problem is that states are not monolithic entities in which everything acts for the common interest. Exactly the opposite — the interests of the elites usually do not coincide and are often opposite of those of the people and the state. Global Western power is largely based on exploiting that mismatch.
So if a sufficiently strong faction of Russian elites is faced with the choice of:
A) Blow it all up
B) Resume the feudal relationship with the West, even if they now collect an even lower percentage of the rent extraction than before, but everyone stays alive
They may well choose B). There is no question there are a lot of people thinking that way in Russia right now, it is a battle between the more hardcore siloviki plus the MIC plus the local industry leaders one one side, and those people (from the commodity export industries and the banking sector) on the other, and it is not clear who will prevail.
But it may be that they are not satisfied with B). The reason Putin “rebelled” against the existing order a few years into his presidency was that Russian elites were no longer satisfied with the percentage from the looting that was assigned to them, and they also feared that it would soon be reduced to zero. And now there are arrest warrants issued too, which sends a certain message.
On the other hand, however, one should always remember that it wasn’t the model of exporting commodities that these people were unhappy with, it was the size of their cut. That is not a good thing at all in terms of their loyalty to the state and the people.
If it’s option A) that they pick, I have mentioned the part quoted below on multiple occasions, and it’s good to see others thinking that way too:

Old PCR has come up with an interesting explanation for why the Russians seem totally disinterested in their SMO (Slow Motion Operation, as others call it) in Ukraine. Basically Russia can’t be bothered with Ukraine because Russia knows that the WAR is going to be settled with nukes.
https://www.unz.com/proberts/does-america-have-a-future-3/
Posted by: gT | Apr 1 2023 17:25 utc | 14

If they are sure they will eventually have the technical capabilities to destroy the West without taking too much of a hit themselves, then maybe it is indeed for the better (for everyone) if that is what happens.
Unfortunately, current actions are also consistent with option B). More consistent in fact — it very much appears that Russian elites are hoping for another deal.

Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 3:11 utc | 128

Some videos for today.
Zelensky dictatorship has turned Orthodox clergyman into arrested dissident:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/lavra_bn_0104:3
New Kiev regime law allows banning of critical media outlets without court ruling:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/ukraine_media_0104:f
Wall Street Journal “reporter” arrested in Russia for espionage:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/WSJ_3003:4
Russian airborne troops capture enemy positions:
https://rutube.ru/video/d5f213d02675237c87854e65fa5cd2e4/
Russian airborne troops use mortar to pound enemy position:
https://rutube.ru/video/b830289346f8d875cc9b06a92569e897/
Russian incendiaries light up Kiev-occupiers’ positions near the DPR’s Ugledar:
https://odysee.com/@Overthrown:6/video_2023-04-01_13-45-20:2
Russian ATGM destroys enemy infantry fighting vehicle:
https://odysee.com/@Overthrown:6/video_2023-04-01_13-55-44:9
TOS-1A ‘Solntsepyok’ filmed on combat duty:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/Solntsepyok_3103:d
Russian Su-25 attack aircraft on combat duty amid ongoing hostilities:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/Su-25_0104:c

Posted by: Nate | Apr 2 2023 3:19 utc | 129

#128
Maybe by September
nato forces would be compelled
to enter the conflict.
Which would be a catastrophic escalation.

Posted by: Dingo | Apr 2 2023 3:19 utc | 130

Elbereth @94:
Very kind, friend. Thank you.

Posted by: Paul Damascene | Apr 2 2023 3:25 utc | 131

Russia will not lose the tremendous advantage of a first strike. Before the West launches, Russia will launch first to obtain the advantage of the first strike. With better delivery mechanisms than the West, Russia will raze the USA with fire within one hour.
Posted by: young | Apr 1 2023 18:47 utc | 40

First strike has to happen as unexpected as possible, in order to reduce the opponent’s ability to react.
It has been discussed in technical detail previously, and it does appear that Russia might be able to do it if they have built up sufficiently many of the more modern strategic weapons and missile defense systems.
US arsenal consists of the following:
1) ~400 ICBM silos
2) 14 SSBNs with 20 Trident SLBMs each. There are also 4 SSBNs converted into cruise missile platforms with 154 Tomahawks each. Supposedly those are not nuclear, but who knows.
3) Air launched bombs and missiles, some in Europe, some in the US
Airfields in Europe are the easiest to take out — Kinzhals will do that in minutes, and it may well happen before anyone even realizes what is going on (it’s five minutes from Kaliningrad to any of the US nuclear bases in Europe, and even less than that from Krasnodar to Incirlik in Turkey). Especially if it is masked as a massive missile attack on Ukraine.
Presumably ICBM silos in the Midwest can be all taken out by Avangards released by Russian ICBMs. They are hardened to withstand nuclear strikes, but we’ve seen Kinzhals penetrate very deep with their tremendous kinetic energy, and Avangards are even faster. The questions are first, are there that many Avangards out there, and second, and most important, can early warning systems be evaded/silenced so that delivery can happened before the US ICBMs are launched? The second part is hard. Sarmat is supposed to be able do that — maybe there is a way to launch from Central Russia, go towards the Equator, then approach the US from Central America outside the view of the early warning systems. But there are satellites too, not just radars.
Then you need to disable the SSBNs. Some of them are in port at any given time, that’s the easy part.
For the ones at sea, rumors have it that the nuclear tsunami is just a red herring, and Poseidon’s real mission is to silently track the SSBNs and eventually detonate and disable them when the time comes. Is that true, how many Poseidons exist, etc? We don’t know.
Still, it’s unlikely that everything will be successfully disabled before launch, so then the S-500s, A-235s and all the other AD layers will have to do their job. And those likely have not yet been built up fully either.
And then there are the shelters, which are certainly much better prepared in Russia than in the West. The problem is that you can’t tell everyone in Moscow to immediately go into the shelters, even if they have been prepared — that kind of action can’t be hidden from the enemy, and it will signal that a first strike is coming. You can’t even do intensive such drills, that would be a giveaway too…

Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 3:35 utc | 132

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 1 2023 21:14 utc | 73
No problem

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 3:54 utc | 133

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ War Map and the Situation on the Fronts in the Evening of 1 Apr 2023; pub. 00:04⚡️
☦️ The Repression of the Orthodox Church in #Ukraine continues, the official political task of destroying Orthodoxy has long since ceased to be denied by all the collaborators of the Kiev regime. For several days now there has been a siege on Kiev’s Cave Monastery, with local parishioners acting as defenders. So far, the 404 authorities are sending a huge number of provocateurs and dissenters to the #Lavra, but it is possible that they will soon be joined by armed security forces.
⚔️ Situation on the Fronts for the past Day
🔹#Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) Sector:
▪️ In #Artyomovsk, the “orchestrators” are going deeper into the centre, with a few hundred metres to the city administration building. In the southwest, our forces are gradually cracking the enemy defences, but despite heavy losses, the militants continue to resist.
➖ The offensive near #Krasnoye is advancing, the road through the village is under our fire control (since 14 Mar 2023; note).
🔹#Donetsk & #SouthDonetsk Directions:
▪️ The Russian army continues to cover #Avdeyevka. From the north, our offensive is advancing towards #Steponoye (#Petrovskoye) and #Keramik, there is also fighting near #Kamenka. From the south, there is an advance in the area of #Severnoye.
▪️ In addition, the RF Armed Forces continue their assault on #Maryinka, in parallel entrenching themselves in positions taken from the AFU.
💥 The Russian Ministry of Defence claimed the destruction of Ukrainian MiG-29 and Mi-8 by the Russian Aerospace Forces in the #Koptevo and #Novovasilyevka areas of the DPR.
☠️ A Ukrainian Stronghold was destroyed near #Novovasilyevka by mortar masters. Fighters of the Russian army demonstrated practising an 82mm mortar, which was used to hit most of the enemy’s militants.

https://t.me/sitreports/6600

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 3:56 utc | 134

◾A Ukrainian militant explains how rotation works in the frontlines: From a platoon of 30, 5 men will go to the line of contact at the time, then after 5 days they will be replaced by 5 new men.
◾But in his platoon 18 men have been already sent to the line of contact to never return, there is no rotation, you only go and never came back.

https://t.me/sitreports/6601

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 3:57 utc | 135

There clearly was dissatisfaction on the Russian side to operations. A horde of top brass was fired, and Surovikin was given command.
Surovikin rolled up his sleeves and went to raze the country down and kill the enemies.
Surovikin was swiftly tethered.
What is going on?
And there are those bridges…

Posted by: Catilina | Apr 2 2023 3:59 utc | 136

⚡️🇲🇩🇷🇴🔎 What is happening in #Moldova – Situation for March 25 – 31 2023; Part 1⚡️
🇷🇴 “Romanianisation” of the Country
Last week Moldovan authorities celebrated the anniversary of Romania’s annexation of the country in 1918 – the so-called “uniri”.
▪️ Minister of Foreign Affairs and European Integration Nicolae Popescu has called the takeover of Bessarabia by Romania in 1918 “a historic moment of reunification” which allegedly allowed the Moldovan people to escape “war, terror and communist dictatorship”.
▪️ President Maia Sandu took part in the celebration of the annexation of her native country, calling the day “important for all Romanians”. She noted the symbolism of the “celebration” because of the ever-closer rapprochement between #Romania and #Moldova today.
▪️ Against this background, Romanian Prime Minister Nicolae Ciucă actually called for supporting the “European way” of #Moldova and for eliminating the consequences of the Ribbentrop-Molotov Pact, which #Russia “hinders” so far.
In fact, the elimination of the above-mentioned pact means the takeover of #Moldova by #Romania, of which it was a part from 1918 to 1940, before joining the USSR with the status of a Union republic.
▪️ The “National Moldovan Party” has submitted a petition to the parliament to rename the legislative body the Sfatul Tsarii, which recognised the annexation of the country in 1918 and then ceased to exist.
▪️ On 26-27 March, a rally of “unionists” – supporters of the takeover of #Moldova by #Romania – took place in #Chisinau. Supporters of “unionists” brought a map of “Great Romania” and waved the flag of the neo-Nazi “Azov” regiment, shouting pro-Ukrainian slogans.
Nearby, supporters of Moldovan independence from the Haiduk movement gathered and demanded that the Azov flag be removed.
▪️ The Party of Socialists has asked the Constitutional Court to check the constitutionality of the adopted law on renaming the Moldovan language “Romanian”.
Politicians consider it to be unconstitutional and note that a referendum is needed for such a decision. However, the changes in the Fundamental Law have already been enshrined.
Meanwhile, Minister of Culture Sergiu Prodan has already called for Moldovan libraries to hand over all books in Cyrillic to museums.
▪️ A bust of the Romanian monarch Ferdinand the First, under whom #Bessarabia was ceded to #Romania, has been unveiled in Balti.
🔹European Integration Attempts and Relations with the #USA
▪️ On 29 March, Maia Sandu spoke at a summit for democracy organised by the US authorities. She declared that “stability” in #Moldova is in the interest of the west and asked for help in fighting disinformation and #Russia.
▪️ Maia Sandu is scheduled to meet with Romanian President Klaus Johannis and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Bucharest on 3 April to discuss Euro-integration and Moldovan security against the background of a “hybrid war”.
▪️ On March 28, EU Council President Charles Michel arrived in #Chisinau and said the #EU would decide on another “very substantial” cash tranche by summer.
Michel also said that the #EU has allotted #Moldova about 1 billion euros over the last year.
▪️ At the same time, Foreign Minister Nicolae Popescu said in an interview that he tries to convey the message to the German government that without infrastructure projects between #Romania and #Moldova, the latter cannot ensure stability.
The politician pointed to the need to create common power grids that would ensure a “reliable energy supply” for the country.
🔹Domestic Politics
▪️ Moldovan authorities have re-extended the state of emergency regime in the country, explaining this by “internal and external threats” as well as “hybrid warfare”.

⚡️🇲🇩🇷🇴🔎 What is happening in #Moldova – Situation for March 25 – 31 2023; Part 2⚡️
▪️ Parliament has also approved a package of laws to once again extend the powers of the Information and Security Service (ISS), despite opposition protests.
The draft envisages the installation of audio and video surveillance equipment in the homes of citizens without their knowledge. The Venice Commission had earlier criticised the bill.
▪️ The ruling PAS party wants to ban MPs from the Shor faction from making statements in the briefing room following Marina Tauber’s statement on Chisinau and Bucharest’s preparations for a provocation in #Transnistria.
🔹Protests and Socio-Economic Crisis
▪️ Moldovan Prime Minister Dorin Recean called “criminals” who protest against the country being dragged into war and the economic crisis. The politician said the discontent was caused by a sharp rise in prices, but “the government cannot go along with the criminals”.
▪️ The Moldovan police are drawing up protocols against protesters in #Edinet who expressed dissatisfaction with Maia Sandu’s policies. The protesters are accused of blocking roads and “beating up motorists”.
▪️ Minister of Labour and Social Protection Alexei Buzu said that all pensions will be indexed by 15% from 1 April. Opposition MPs, for their part, called the indexation of pensions “a mockery of the authorities over the people”.
The socialists have asked the Constitutional Court to review the lawfulness of the decision to reduce the indexation of pensions to 15% when inflation and price rises exceed 30%, which contradicts the law on the state pension system.
▪️ Commenting on the country’s gas supply problems, Energy Minister Viktor Parlikov said that the gas factor did not have as much impact on the economy as it was portrayed in the media.
The statement angered ex-Prime Minister Ion Kiku, who suggested asking citizens whether their family budgets were being affected by the multiplication of the gas tariff.
He pointed out that a huge number of businesses have closed due to high prices and the country is now “paying the price for the government’s unprofessionalism”.
At the same time it turned out that #Moldova overpays for gas almost three times as much as compared to the European countries. And the head of Moldovagaz company Vadim Cheban refused to answer the question whose gas Moldova bought from Europe this winter. Apparently, it was Russian gas at an inflated price.
▪️ #PMR President Vadim Krasnoselsky has invited the FBI to join the investigation into the terrorist attacks being prepared in Transnistria by the SBU against the OSCE delegation, which included a US citizen and Head of Mission to Moldova Kelly Keiderling.
🔹Gagauz Autonomy
▪️ Member of the People’s Assembly of #Gagauzia Sergei Cimpoes has expressed the opinion that the autonomy is concerned about the prospect of a possible unification of #Moldova with #Romania.
He said a referendum should be held in #Gagauzia and he is sure that the Gagauz voters will vote against the merger with a #NATO country.

https://t.me/sitreports/6606

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 4:00 utc | 137

⚡️🇲🇩🇷🇴🔎 What is happening in #Moldova – Situation for March 25 – 31 2023; Part 3⚡️
🔹#Transnistria and Military Escalation
▪️ Following the #NATO joint naval exercise with the participation of the Moldovan military, the Moldovan Defence Ministry has launched a planned military exercise of Romanian, Moldovan, US and UK special forces “JCET-2023” from 27 March to 7 April.
In addition, another military exercise took place in Balti on 29 March, which included live firing of infantry and artillery weapons.
▪️ #Transnistria noted that the Chisinau authorities do not warn about the exercises: in Tiraspol they learn about them from the media and only when they are already underway, which is of concern to the inhabitants of the region.
▪️ At the same time, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that the Ukrainian authorities support the “bellicose aspirations” of the Moldovan authorities towards #Transnistria. According to him, the Ukrainian side is demonstrating its readiness to intervene in the conflict in every possible way.
▪️ Defence Minister Anatoliy Nosatii, in turn, said that the presence of Russian troops in #Transnistria was a destabilizing factor.
Commenting on the high-profile call-up of citizens for military training, he confirmed that reservists all over the country receive summonses requiring them to attend training exercises.
Military exercises with reservists will be held from April to September this year in #Chisinau, #Causeni, #Straseni and other cities of the country.

https://t.me/sitreports/6607

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 4:01 utc | 138

🇷🇺 Specialists of the Military Construction Complex of the Russian Ministry of Defense, on behalf of the President of Russia, continue to implement a project that is unique in terms of complexity and timing to build a new water conduit to provide water to the residents of Donbass.
The new hydraulic structure will pass through the territory of the Rostov region and the Donetsk People’s Republic to the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal. The capacity of the conduit will be up to 300,000 cubic meters of water per day.
The project provides for the laying of two lines of the main pipeline, 200 km each, the construction of pumping stations, electrical substations and water storage facilities for 10,000 cubic meters. More than 3.5 thousand people and 1.3 thousand pieces of equipment were involved in the round-the-clock work.
Military builders began to draw water from the Don River to fill storage tanks. To do this, dredging was carried out in the area of ​​Rostov-on-Don – the Kalancha River, a special floating water intake station was towed to the installation site and began to work. Next is a complex step-by-step process of filling the water conduit system with water.
“Today, the first of the pumping stations has been launched. The heart of the conduit Rostov-on-Don – the Seversky Donets – Donbass canal began to beat. These are 2 threads (branches) of 200 km each, as well as 7 pumping stations. Ahead is the phased filling of storage tanks with water, the launch of a cleaning system, hydraulic tests, a comprehensive adjustment of all equipment and its testing in operating mode.
To implement the Big Water project, not only military builders worked around the clock and seven days a week, but, in fact, the whole of Russia. The pipes were manufactured by the Zagorsk, Chelyabinsk, Volzhsky and Khartsyzsky pipe-rolling plants. Russian railways delivered 170,000 tons of pipe products to the facility. ROSSETI provided the construction site with electricity.
This is a labor feat of tens of thousands of workers, engineers, installers and builders. Together we are building a new life,” said Alexei Leonov, Project Manager of the Military Construction Complex of the RF Ministry of Defense.
During the construction, the special conditions of the area were taken into account – an impenetrable floodplain with many canals and small rivers. The first 16 kilometers of the conduit are laid along an artificial embankment through flooded areas.
63 artificial crossings have been built across roads, railways and water barriers. In a particularly difficult area, horizontal directional drilling was carried out under the railway bed and the branch of the river. Don with a length of 1.5 km.
In addition, by the start of work, a third of the route of the new conduit was mined by Ukrainian nationalists, which required a complete demining of the area.
Active participation and support in the implementation of the project is provided by the leadership of the regions of the country. 450 organizations, 35 large industrial enterprises and manufacturers of building materials, the power grid holding Rosseti Group were involved in the work. Russian Railways delivered 170,000 tons of pipe products.
Earlier, the Russian Ministry of Defense has already commissioned 7 hydraulic structures to provide water to residents of new regions, including the Chernovsky water conduit near Debaltseve, in Volnovakha, Rovenki, Dokuchaevsk, a line from the Khanzhenkovsky reservoir to the Seversky Donets canal and others.

https://t.me/DonbassDevushka/51973

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 4:07 utc | 139

@ kupkee 4
The more the US loses on the ground…
Some backroom Holly Wood spooks re-working the doomer and butcher Assad/ Russian war crime paint. In the context of the point blank lie to the world that Syria and Maidan, Al Azhar and Libya were spontaneous protests with snipers shooting at both sides , civilians and police, nobody needs to find further evidence .
A judge would see that USUKIS has form and send them to prison .
8 years of advertising / marketing propaganda ruined by usukis criminal record.

Posted by: Giyane | Apr 2 2023 4:08 utc | 140

While the Ukrainians are threatening a counteroffensive, a heavy snowfall has begun along the entire line of contact…
General Frost struck

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/39999

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 4:10 utc | 141

@127 the smo is a strategic victory by securing the land bridge as it stands now. The quality will be improved if they can use secure the annexed boundaries of course.
But putin is on record saying russia doesn’t need more territory, so they can just use it as spring board for another invasion later, maybe after China gets sorted out.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Apr 2 2023 4:13 utc | 142

@ hopely 105
Move to somewhere where you won’t be a misfit.
The straight path remains straight , however much the majority deviate into ignorance. Much though it would suit your employers if everybody would bend to their deviant lies.
Deplorable Commissar requires an understanding of satire. They didn’t teach you satire at drama school?

Posted by: Giyane | Apr 2 2023 4:17 utc | 143

Paul @ 18
Thanks. It’s easy to get nervous about a nuclear conflict. I would add that if Russia moves too fast they might frighten the west into overreacting. If those are Russian soldiers @ 2 some of their suggestions have been taken up. Commanders changed, corruption investigated.

Posted by: Inki | Apr 2 2023 4:23 utc | 144

121 If you are going to dish out dirt about Patrick Armstrong, the least you could do is buttress your argument with some sources. Yeah, I am sure that (add sarcasm tags here) that the main reason he posted well thought out articles a was that he wanted to make money.
To be blunt, I do not remember a lot of sources with most of your posts. Please feel free to change your moniker to MrAdHominem.

Posted by: paxmark1 | Apr 2 2023 5:06 utc | 145

“by: Nate | Apr 2 2023 3:19 utc | 130”
I haven’t commented before, Nate, but I always appreciate your video links. I especially appreciate that none of your links boost the profits of a certain site run by pro-censorship assholes.

Posted by: Dalit | Apr 2 2023 5:32 utc | 146

Posted by: Giyane | Apr 2 2023 4:17 utc | 143
“The straight path remains straight , however much the majority deviate into ignorance. Much though it would suit your
employers if everybody would bend to their deviant lies.
Deplorable Commissar requires an understanding of satire. They didn’t teach you satire at drama school?”
What are you doing in the whiskey bar? Aren’t you a Muslim?

Posted by: hopehely | Apr 2 2023 5:41 utc | 147

@Paul Damascene | Apr 1 2023 17:57 utc | 18
That was an outstanding post. Thank you for so comprehensively presenting a very compelling and reassuring analysis of Russia’s overall strategy on a global level and with respect to the SMO. Because there is uncertainty over exactly what capabilities, if any, Ukraine might possess, and because of the treachery and deceit of the US, NATO, and the West, Ken Tucky’s link and Russell Bentley’s latest post were unsettling. Rather than just dismissing them as over-the-top doomers, it was immensely helpful that you presented evidence and argumentation showing the implausibility of their claims.

Posted by: MG | Apr 2 2023 5:46 utc | 148

These threads illustrate one thing: that you are all along for the ride.
In Western states you have as little control over the regimes in power as Ukrainians do over Zelensky
Like Germans in 1943 you realise it will not end until someone lets you first experience Dresden or Hamburg or Tokyo firestorms and you wonder which weapons Russia will use to free you

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Apr 2 2023 6:08 utc | 149

@hopehely 147:
Hahahahahaha
Muslim poetry is overflowing with paeans to alcohol. Read The Rubaiyat Of Omar Khayyam Of Naishapur for an example.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 2 2023 6:18 utc | 150

What is going on?

Posted by: Catilina | Apr 2 2023 3:59 utc | 137
This conflict is bigger than just Ukraine. For this reason Orlov calls it the Goldilocks War

Russia has achieved several of its strategic objectives already; the rest can wait. How long should they wait? To answer this question, we need to look outside the limited scope of Russia’s special operation in the Ukraine. Russia has bigger fish to fry, and frying fish takes time because eating undercooked fish can give you nasty parasites such as tapeworm and liver fluke. And so, I would like to invite you to Mother Russia’s secret kitchen, to see what’s on the cutting board and to estimate how much thermal processing will be required to turn it all into a safe and nutritious meal.
Mixing our food metaphors, allow me to introduce Goldilocks with her three bears and her porridge not to hot and not too cold. What Russia seems to be doing is keeping their special military operation moving along at a steady pace—not to fast and not too slow. Going too fast would not allow enough time to cook the various fish; going too fast would also increase the cost of the campaign in casualties and resources. Going too slow would give the Ukrainians and NATO time to regroup and rearm and prevent the proper thermal processing of the various fish.

https://thesaker.is/the-goldilocks-war/

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 6:18 utc | 151

@paxmark1 1945:
Armstrong himself said explicitly that he was intimidated into stopping updates, right here:
https://patrickarmstrong.ca/2022/03/20/hiatus/
You didn’t even bother to check his blog before attacking me, right?
Major self-own, bro.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 2 2023 6:22 utc | 152

https://t.me/DonbassDevushka/51986
…well RoW is still waiting for the collective West to condemn Elensky and gang for religious suppression. Perhaps Joe Biden spoke the truth, that trans crowds are indeed “shaping” the US nation and its vassals into godless pits of depravity.

Posted by: _newbie_ | Apr 2 2023 6:59 utc | 153

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billion_Dollar_Brain
For those posters linking to puerile MI5-MI6 propaganda sites, I suggest that they should refresh their memories of the 1967 invasion of Russia. (Complete with the late and lamented Francoise Dorleac, Catherine Deneuve’s big sister) ;O)

Posted by: Squeeth | Apr 2 2023 7:00 utc | 154

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 2 2023 6:22 utc | 152
If you live in the west, your family’s in the west, your site is irritating the Empire of Lies that the Alphabet trolls literally camp there, your domain name is with a western company, your web host is with a western company, then eventually you’ll be shut down one way or another.
Enjoy MOA while it’s still up.

Posted by: Surferket | Apr 2 2023 7:01 utc | 155

Hast thou never heard about the Kalergi Plan ?????
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan
Wiki explains nothing, makes things sound like some kind of Wakanda, but basically the elites want a population replacement in the West. The too competent Westerners must be replaced by less competent others who are easier to control and subjugate. Eventually when robotics and AI are capable enough even the less competent others will be eradicated. Your average Joe in the West has been sentenced to death, by his own leadership. So while the Westerners are currently being subjected to low intensity extermination, they are getting replaced by outsiders, who will eventually get exterminated as well. Bye bye deplorables, hello Georgia Guidestones.

Posted by: gT | Apr 2 2023 7:03 utc | 156

@127 the smo is a strategic victory by securing the land bridge as it stands now. The quality will be improved if they can use secure the annexed boundaries of course.
But putin is on record saying russia doesn’t need more territory, so they can just use it as spring board for another invasion later, maybe after China gets sorted out.
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Apr 2 2023 4:13 utc | 142

The current situation is a catastrophic strategic loss.
Go back to the December 2021 ultimatums. Which of the demands in those have been met? None. Exactly the opposite has happened in fact.
Finland and Sweden are in NATO, Europe is remilitarizing, and there is no intention whatsoever to withdraw nukes from right at Russia’s borders. Not at all, if anything, the day they will start placing IRBMs with nukes on them in Finland, the Baltics and Ukraine are not far off.
Also, look at the officially stated goals of the SMO? Which of them has been fulfilled? Demilitarization? North Korea pales in comparison to current Ukraine in terms of militarization — Ukraine right now exists for the sole purpose of funneling materiel and bodies towards the front line. Denazification? Even before the SMO, between 2014 and 2022, the Russian areas of Ukraine were being rapidly taken over by Banderites. After the SMO, all of Ukraine will be irretrievably lost in a decade at most if it remains under Banderite control.
Remember that for centuries Russia fought many very bloody wars to recover these lands. They are historically Russian, this isn’t giving up Turkmenistan, which was only conquered in the 1890s and was never really Russian, losing Kharkov forever is not much different from losing Rostov or Voronezh. But those were feudal times, before the 19th century and the invention of nationalism. The aristocracy was happy to collect the rent and didn’t care all that much about the identity of the peasantry, so Poland could rule over Ukraine for a few centuries and not turn the people living there into anti-Russians. In the modern world, that becomes both an objective and something that can be achieved in mere decades.
Then we have the biggest issue, which is that, as Putin himself has openly discussed on numerous occasions, missiles fly from Kharkov to Moscow in minutes.
That means either Russia will have to surrender, or the “Perimetr” dead hand system will have to be on fully automatic 24/7. The latter means it will eventually be triggered by mistake even if there is no actual launch by the US, i.e. the mere act of encircling Russia like that will guarantee the end of the world. It’s either that, or the end of Russia without a fight. Might just as well launch a first strike yourself if you are the Russians.
The world narrowly avoided annihilation by mistake on dozens of occasions over the years, but that was only possible because if it’s only ICBMs that have to be considered, there is time — about half an hour — to assess the situation. There won’t be time with missiles right on the border 500 km from Moscow and St. Petersburg.
Either Ukraine will be fully taken over, or Russia will lose the war. And Ukraine being fully taken over is a necessary, but not a sufficient condition. Those December 2021 demands were for a lot more than that — for the US to move back its bases to behind the Cold War line of separation. Ukraine being annexed was not originally required for that to be achieved, but right now it is an absolute prerequisite. A lot more than that is needed though, but the situation worsened in the other direction — US planes are now flying reconnaissance missions along the Russian border within Finland, B-52 bombers are simulating nuclear attacks on St. Petersburg, etc. unthinkable prior to the SMO things.

Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 7:26 utc | 157

B-52 bombers are simulating nuclear attacks on St. Petersburg, etc. unthinkable prior to the SMO things.
Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 7:26 utc | 157
You’re a bit of a liar. nato simulated nuclear attacks happened before, more than once, after 2014. Putin complained about it publicly. Then he flew his bombers towards UK and US.

Posted by: rk | Apr 2 2023 7:51 utc | 158

Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 7:26 utc | 157
It is somewhat wrong to conclude Baltic a Nato lake. Russian can exert control from St. Petersburg or Kaliningrad with ground launcher Zircon missiles. Finland and Baltic states would be really easy to cut off from the rest of the Baltic. They can sink whatever fleet Nato has in the bay of Finland and anywhere in the Baltic, provided they have the location data.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 2 2023 7:57 utc | 159

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 2 2023 7:57 utc | 159
That said, I believe EU is now looking to build some rail network between Finland and Norway to connect it to the Atlantic. Nevertheless, such a rail network will always be low-capacity, and problematic if not impossible to build. The only way is to connect to Swedish railway that has a connection to Narvik or build a separate rail line to Kirkenes, which is easy for Russia to target.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 2 2023 8:04 utc | 160

shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 7:26 utc | 157
…”US planes are now flying reconnaissance missions along the Russian border within Finland, B-52 bombers are simulating nuclear attacks on St. Petersburg, etc.
…> unthinkable prior to the SMO things.

I mostly ignore your posts, but that last claim is an absolute doozy of bullshit .
Surveillance ond provocation of Russia has been happening for decades.
And in the past 10 years each summer has seen larger and more elaborate “training” and “war games” across Europe.
I was lurking a plane-watching thread in Dec 21 and we watched as 2 B52s took off from UK, crossed low over Sweden and performed a convincing “practice” run at StPete.
U$ and UK “provocations” toward Russia have been conducted for decades and were getting significantly more brazen in 2021.
U$ and UK surveillance planes ran a 24-7 lap across Ukraine, a toenail off the Donbass Line of Control from 2014.
The loss of a drone has seen the U$ withdraw its surveillance runs back out of the declared restricted airspace near Sevastopol.
While Finland is now officially NATO it’s been affiliated / partnering with NATO for the past decade and longer.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 2 2023 8:04 utc | 161

@2 Ken Tucky
Don’t worry. At the very end of the day Russia has nukes and can simply fry the Ukronaszi troop concentrations (and Kiev and Lvov and the filthy little beggar-led regime with them) if the situation becomes existential. And then will come the question: are the west’s elites prepared to immolate themselves for the sake of their nazi project in Ukraine? And the answer is….
…..nah.

Posted by: Cornelius Pipe | Apr 2 2023 8:11 utc | 162

Cornelius Pipe @ 162
Thers a major flaw in your comment.
As the perpetrator, America, England and Israel have already committed the crime.
The punishment they will receave is not within their choice.
The western perpetrators of this conflict will be delt with as and when the ‘New free world order’ sees fit.
The days of America writing the rule book are gone.

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 2 2023 8:33 utc | 163

Posted by: Skiffer | Apr 1 2023 22:57 utc | 89
the brightest minds in East European race science

Cramming so many oxymorons into a single sentence is quite a feat. Did you have to work at it, or does it just come naturally to you?

Posted by: Lengai | Apr 2 2023 8:43 utc | 164

@ Down South | Apr 2 2023 6:18 utc | 151
Lol at the wonderful extended fish-frying simile.
Thanks for the Moldovan sitreps as well.
The American regime seems to be pushing its colonial project to the utmost, regardless of consequences.
A final desperate fury?

Posted by: John Kennard | Apr 2 2023 9:03 utc | 165

@unimperator | Apr 2 2023 8:04 utc | 160
Most of the Finnish industry is in the south close to the Gulf of Finland. Any railway up north would be nothing
but a boondoggle, which of course may make some pols work it for the kickbacks. So it’s not all that surprising if
the EU is entertaining the idea, however impractical. The only things worth exporting in the north of Finland are
reindeer and the Sami are quite capable of moving them without rail.
The railway in Sweden that connects to Narvik is maxed out. Many hundreds/thousands of cars go to and fro daily
from the ore mines in Sweden. It would be next to impossible to put in another line alongside it.
Every now and then there is talk around the north of a railway extending north from Narvik to here in Tromsø.
It’ll never happen. The sea is too big a factor, favoring ships over road/rail. Same for Finland imo.
Eventually Finland will have to change direction anyway and look to the East, as in Russia/China.
So will we, hopefully sooner rather than later.
And the Swedes? Not my problem.

Posted by: waynorinorway | Apr 2 2023 9:18 utc | 166

@ bevin 109
Thank you for this description of modern Western “”” modernising of economies “”””.
With views like this, no wonder Z was instructed to get rid of as many Ukies as possible. The cat being out of the bag is not the end of the war. They spun out Syria for 10 more years after the cat was out of the bag there. But it is the end of the argument. The whole world can take benefit from this personal witness exposure.

Posted by: Giyane | Apr 2 2023 9:22 utc | 167

Deplorable Comandant @ all his above.
This guys a facist parasite’ his only reason for being here is to distroy this blog.
For about 4 weekends this guy was posting a list of names of polaticians and connecting them to bogus Jewish origins each time that appeared here it was left to fester.
——
And we’ll I’m about it
Followed by a group of Trump supporting trolls.
I recognise this guys name going back years.
He should be banned from this site.
Just dirty facist scum.
———
Ditto hopehely for his racist comment @ 147. Their both out of the same stable.

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 2 2023 9:27 utc | 168

…”US planes are now flying reconnaissance missions along the Russian border within Finland, B-52 bombers are simulating nuclear attacks on St. Petersburg, etc.
…> unthinkable prior to the SMO things.
I mostly ignore your posts, but that last claim is an absolute doozy of bullshit .
Surveillance ond provocation of Russia has been happening for decades.
And in the past 10 years each summer has seen larger and more elaborate “training” and “war games” across Europe.
I was lurking a plane-watching thread in Dec 21 and we watched as 2 B52s took off from UK, crossed low over Sweden and performed a convincing “practice” run at StPete.
U$ and UK “provocations” toward Russia have been conducted for decades and were getting significantly more brazen in 2021.
U$ and UK surveillance planes ran a 24-7 lap across Ukraine, a toenail off the Donbass Line of Control from 2014.
The loss of a drone has seen the U$ withdraw its surveillance runs back out of the declared restricted airspace near Sevastopol.
While Finland is now officially NATO it’s been affiliated / partnering with NATO for the past decade and longer.
Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 2 2023 8:04 utc | 161

When did US strategic bombers fly over Estonia prior to NATO expanding to the Baltics?

Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 9:30 utc | 169

Outraged #16
Excellent post and timely. Once again I am saved from needing to drink a litre of Tequila.
I was waiting until others had bravely waded into that swamp and survived to tell the tale.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Apr 2 2023 9:44 utc | 170

unimperator @ 26 / Mary @ 95

there were also claims that Kraken guys had welded Ukrainian tank crews inside their tanks / I saw 2 separate videos of this at intel slava z.

I saw this way back too, I filed it also under “babies dumped out of incubators,” and have to call it out here. The Russians aren’t immune to BS and poor propaganda.
A tank is a multi-million dollar machine, needs a well trained expert crew to operate, it needs to be fueled and munitioned frequently, it must be used in coordination with other tanks, and mechanized infantry, and communications from command. If it gets hit you want to the crew to escape or be rescued as fast as possible seeing how valuable they are, maybe second to fighter pilots.
Seeing how valuable tanks are in this infantry war and to the AFU’s dwindling supplies at worse the Kraken guys would have hopped in themselves and driven off to fight as best they could.
They very suggestion that you could toss 3-4 unwilling stooges inside, weld it shut, and off they go to support the battle is idiotic.
Maybe too many drinks, but I expect better reasoning from bar crowd.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Apr 2 2023 9:45 utc | 171

Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Danilov indirectly confirmed our old layout, that all cities founded in the era of the Russian Empire will be renamed to remove historical links, it will be necessary to clean up and rewrite the entire history. Now he blurted out that Sevastopol will be renamed with the advent of Ukraine.
We previously assumed that there is some kind of phased plan in the Office of the President, when they start with the demolition of minor monuments, change the name of old and irrelevant streets, and then increase rates. The demolition of the monument to Catherine, and now the “squeezing” of the Lavra fully confirms our insider that Odessa, like other cities founded in the era of the Russian Empire, will be renamed.

https://t.me/legitimniy/15074

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 9:52 utc | 172

A note that you were at “zero” and after a piece of paper about writing you off to the reserve for health reasons costs $ 50,000 – source.
The more the government shuts the mouths of the soldiers using them as expendables, the more it causes a riot.
Our next insider was confirmed again. Military rear officials, “ratting money” on soldiers, inscribing dead souls, earning from $30 to $50,000.
Soldiers pay with their lives and blood for corruption in the OP and MOU. Ukraine of the future will consist entirely of the “monaco battalion” in power.

https://t.me/legitimniy/15075

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 9:54 utc | 173

@ hopehely 147
In whisky wisdom? Nah.
I assumed the whiskey fumes were the consequence of many years of hard-fought war experience, not the cause of the fine analysis here. Unlike other blogs with cake crumbs and pound coins down the cracks of the back of the armchair upholstery.
I am not here for the beer.
People get more high on politics than cochineal or booze. The Muslims seem.intoxicated on some kind of hoping that Syria and Libya’s destruction is a badge of Muslim power. A badge of total shame that after 500 years of being duped by the West, this generation is still playing the Western political games.
I see no sign that my fellow Muslims intend to wean themselves from this addictive self-deception. It makes me sick to see the same people collecting for Syria as supported this Usukis political scam.
One assumes that they are collecting for sufferers of political delirium tremens.
In this case the cause of the intoxication is consuming the West’s lies and temptations of power. Even Saudi Arabia has left the Clint Eastwood Saloon bar and joined the other side. Good luck to them with Putin.

Posted by: Giyane | Apr 2 2023 9:54 utc | 174

⚡️ American fighter pilots complain about Russian air defense systems
Pilots patrolling the airspace near the borders of the Russian Federation said that the equipment installed on their F-35 is not always able to recognize objects located nearby.
“We saw the SA-20 (the designation of the S-300 in NATO countries), we knew that it was the SA-20, but my fighter could not identify it,” US Air Force pilot Craig Andrle was indignant.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/40042

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 9:56 utc | 175

Danilov proposed an indicative plan for the de-occupation of Crimea.🐷🐷
The plan of the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council consists of 12 points, here are the main points:
• Russian citizens who “illegally came to live” on the Crimean peninsula after February 2014 must immediately leave the territory of Ukraine;
• Russia or another formation must ensure the unconditional and complete extradition of all people suspected of treason and other criminal offenses;
• The Crimean bridge is being dismantled;
• The “Detoxification” program, designed to neutralize the consequences of the long-term effect of Russian propaganda on the minds of a part of Crimeans.
• Sevastopol: Danilov proposes to rename it to “Object No. 6”;
• put up a monument in the Crimea: “Russian warship fuck off.”🤡
And brainless biomass people believe in this slag, they all, together with Zelensky in prison, come up with their nonsense.
The maximum that can be expected from such a freak as Danilov is another nonsense about virtual victories, his record has not stuck yet, such a shit flow is not only observed by Daniloid

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/40044

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 9:58 utc | 176

Cochineal ? Where did spellchecker get that from? Cocaine

Posted by: Giyane | Apr 2 2023 9:59 utc | 177

Poland decided to return to Russia the railway cars seized from it after the start of the NWO
“A letter stating that Russian freight cars are returning to their homeland was sent from the Polish company PKP Broad Gauge Metallurgical Line, which operates the longest section of broad gauge tracks in Poland from Khrubieszow to Slavkov. The cars are to be delivered to Russia via Belarus by road. The cars belong to the Russian company New Forwarding Company .
“She is one of the leaders in rail transport in Russia and is controlled by the capital group Globaltrans.”
In total, 16 wagons have been officially handed over since January 2023 and have been returned in this way. According to unofficial data, “several times more” were returned.
This fact was found out in Ukraine and asked for comments. However, the Poles apparently got tired of the “square”. The Polish government is washing its hands as the Ministry of Infrastructure puts the responsibility on the PKP group, and the Ministry of the Interior on private entities. At the same time, the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Poland refuses to answer the questions of its own journalists.
“This is shocking information. It seems unbelievable that a year after the detention, these cars were returned to Russia,” said Yakub Karnovsky, a member of the supervisory board of the Ukrainian railroad Ukrzaliznytsia. “And at the same time, the Polish government keeps saying that it is on the side of Ukraine,” Karnovsky summed up.
The Ukrainians, as we see, began to gradually guess about the meanness of the [polish].

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/40054

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 10:00 utc | 178

🔴 Crowds gathered near the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra after the arrest of Metropolitan Pavel
Parishioners gathered near the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra after the conclusion of Metropolitan Pavel under house arrest. The fact is that many people did not fit in the church where the service is being held.
❗️ The footage shows how people who did not get into the service stand near the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra, listening to a sermon coming from the temple. At the same time, citizens continue to listen, despite the rain.
🔹 Earlier, Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the head of the Office of the Ukrainian leader, announced Kyiv’s desire to “destroy” the Orthodox Church in Ukraine. Metropolitan Pavel himself was sent under house arrest by the decision of the Shevchenkovsky District Court of Kyiv.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/40055

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 10:02 utc | 179

🇷🇺 🇺🇦 About the use of the AGM-114 Hellfire against the positions of the Russian Armed Forces on the Kinburn Peninsula
The Gray Zone channel published footage of the wreckage of an AGM-114C Hellfire anti-tank guided missile found somewhere on the Kinburn Peninsula . The rocket was launched from a Swedish-made Robotsystem 17 (RBS-17) ground launcher.
RBS-17 is an anti-ship system for combating surface targets. It is based on the AGM-114C Hellfire ATGM, adapted for use from a ground installation. The radius of effective action in this case is no more than ten kilometers .
🔻Given the rather short distance, the launch was made somewhere in the vicinity of Ochakovo and the nearby coast of the Dnieper-Bug Estuary . And the Hellfires themselves were delivered in one of the military aid packages from Norway.
Hellfires are equipped with a semi-active laser homing head and without additional illumination of the object with special devices, the missile will not reach the target.
🔻 What is the illumination in this area?
Back in August last year, the White House announced the transfer of ScanEagle drones for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Small and compact UAVs are equipped with a laser designator and are able to stay in the air for more than 20 hours .
Just a few weeks ago, ScanEagle complexes were put into service with the South Special Operations Special Forces Center (formerly 73 Marine Special Operations Centers) , which conduct aerial reconnaissance in the area of the Kinburn Peninsula almost daily.
Bayraktars with similar capabilities periodically fly near Ochakov. The command of the MTR center in Ochakovo also uses DRGs on small boats along the estuary and in the Yegorlytsky Bay. Therefore, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have no problems with target designation.
🔻Given the active preparation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for a counteroffensive , in the near future we should expect an increase in the number of attempts on the Kinburn Peninsula, including with the use of American ATGMs.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/40057

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 10:03 utc | 180

..
1. Bentley has turned from being a Putin cultist to a knee jerk critic of everything the Russian government does, so it isn’t necessarily true that what he says is to be uncritically swallowed. Also, in recent days he’s been showing since distinctly Martyanov-like tendencies to ban people from his Telegram channel for dissent (not me, I’m a long term personal friend, but others who dissented less than I did).
..
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 2 2023 1:41 utc | 114
.
Bentley’s appraisal of you, BP, would be interesting.

Posted by: Ново З | Apr 2 2023 10:03 utc | 181

..
1. Bentley has turned from being a Putin cultist to a knee jerk critic of everything the Russian government does, so it isn’t necessarily true that what he says is to be uncritically swallowed. Also, in recent days he’s been showing since distinctly Martyanov-like tendencies to ban people from his Telegram channel for dissent (not me, I’m a long term personal friend, but others who dissented less than I did).
..
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 2 2023 1:41 utc | 114
.
Bentley’s appraisal of you, BP, would be interesting.

Posted by: Ново З | Apr 2 2023 10:03 utc | 182

Posted by: John Kennard | Apr 2 2023 9:03 utc | 165
No problem

Posted by: Down South | Apr 2 2023 10:04 utc | 183

[ Album ]
🇷🇺 Russian fighters began to attempt to liberate Ivanovsky near Artyomovsk
Control over the settlement risks closing the encirclement of the Ukrainian group of troops in Artyomovsk.
According to a number of sources, artillery preparation was carried out in advance on the accumulation of forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Ivanovskoye.
🪖 A decisive assault could frustrate all Kyiv’s plans in this direction, where numerous echelons of military equipment and personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been concentrated over the past few months.
https://t.me/Zornkrieger/32927
—-
Russian attack aircraft started to liberate Ivanovsky near Bakhmut.
Control over the settlement risks closing the encirclement of Ukrainian forces in Bakhmut.
https://twitter.com/Spriter99880/status/1642280164892524545
—-
Comment: seems Russian army pushing back whatever Ukraine managed to gain south of Ivanosvke. South of the town are mostly open fields (now covered in snow, I assume) so close support aircraft can cause a lot of damage.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 2 2023 10:06 utc | 184

https://vk.com/wall701885602_66976

Conducting a second wave of mobilization is not in the plans of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, since there are enough volunteers and already called-up citizens to carry out the tasks of the NWO. This was stated by the head of the Main Organizational and Mobilization Directorate (GOMU) of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, Rear Admiral Vladimir Tsimlyansky.
“I want to assure you all that the plans of the General Staff do not include a second wave of mobilization. Those who have already been called up for military service, as well as citizens who have voluntarily expressed a desire to participate in the operation, are quite enough to fulfill the assigned tasks,” he said during a briefing. dedicated to the spring call.
https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/17413401
To bitter regret, judging by our General Staff, no conclusions have been drawn from the defeats, tragedies and disgrace of the year of the special operation in Ukraine. And this means that this year we will have to experience it all again.
How many last year all more or less versed in the situation people shouted about the significant superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in manpower, which led to our defeats and serious losses. And finally, by the fall, the leadership of the country recognized this and carried out a partial mobilization, which made it possible to increase the size of our group, stabilize the defense, and at least move on to positional warfare.
There was even no talk of a strategic offensive, since for this it is necessary to ensure numerical superiority over the enemy.
But even after the partial mobilization, the numerical superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine remained. And given the technological superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that is increasing every month due to the supply of weapons and military equipment from the West, the situation as a whole is deteriorating for us, the strategic initiative has passed to the Armed Forces of Ukraine and we are in for very serious tests during the spring-summer campaign.
And let’s estimate on the fingers the number of groupings of the parties.
Ukraine claims that, as a result of total mobilization, it managed to ensure the size of its grouping in ONE MILLION TWO Hundred THOUSAND PEOPLE.
The size of the Russian group is a state secret, but with large assumptions, without taking into account the losses incurred during the year, it can be assumed that today it is about SIX HUNDRED THOUSAND PEOPLE. Where did this number come from? It is well known that on the day the NWO began, the number of our group was about TWO HUNDRED THOUSAND PEOPLE. Three hundred thousand people were mobilized in autumn. Suppose that in addition to this, about 100,000 volunteers and PMC fighters arrived at the front. I repeat in this calculation on the fingers, the losses incurred by us during the year are not taken into account. In total, we have at the front a grouping of approximately SIX HUNDRED THOUSAND PEOPLE. But rather because of losses, it is less.
In total, 600,000 of our servicemen are opposed by 1,200,000 Ukrainians. Those. the ratio in manpower is TWO to ONE in favor of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Although for a successful offensive, the theory of military art requires a ratio of at least three to one, and preferably more, but even such a ratio gives the Armed Forces hope for the success of their spring-summer campaign. Especially given their superiority in intelligence, command and control, communications and precision weapons. For us, this ratio means that there is no talk of any counteroffensive.
And in such a situation, the General Staff declares that everything is going well and there is no need to increase the size of our group. Are there really no people who can adequately assess the situation?
Or there everyone serves according to the principle: “I have my own opinion, but I categorically disagree with it!”.

Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 10:31 utc | 185

Military summary reports Russians have managed to accumulate a large “attack fist” around Vekrhnotoretske (NE of Avdeevka). There are several possible attack scenarios:
-towards Keramik, develop offensive further west (can lead to complete encirclement of Avdeevka)
-towards Keramik, develop offensive further nort5h along N-20 highway and take flank Nieu York from the west (can lead to complete encirclement of Avdeevbka)
-cut N-20 highway and completely encircle Avdeevka
If this is the case, it also compromises the ability of Ukraine to attack towards Gorlivka, suggested in Russel Bentley’s article. Or they could still attack towards Gorlivka, but certainly they would need to reinforce Nieu York from their forces in Ivanovske and Konstantinovka. So the front could be once again moved forth of Avdeevka, running east-west in the Nieu York vicinity and north of Gorlivka. Also an advance along N-20 highway could move the front immediately south of Konstantinovka itself, undermining any Ukraine attack plan suggested by Russel Bentley.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 2 2023 10:41 utc | 186

The authorities of Ukraine and the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine collect “reproductive material” from soldiers in case of death or injury. The corresponding decree has already been issued and is being distributed among commanders at various levels. Due to high losses, the Zelensky regime is going to avoid a demographic catastrophe in Ukraine in this way. The cynicism of the Kyiv authorities knows no bounds.
https://t.me/DonbassDevushka/52025
It may be cynical, but it’s about the only sensible thing the post-2014 Ukrainian regime has ever done. But it’s a sad old thing to do. As the song about Gallipoli goes
“Then a big Turkish shell knocked me arse over head,
And when I awoke in my hospital bed
And war what it had done, why, I wished I was dead,
Never knew there were worse things than dying”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/And_the_Band_Played_Waltzing_Matilda

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 2 2023 10:43 utc | 187

By reading comments I can tell that the 2nd Foundation is alive and well.
Keep on the good work

Posted by: Greg Galloway | Apr 2 2023 11:38 utc | 188

reply to 187
Was Zelensky thinking of keeping Ukr. females captive in pens for breeding? What’s the point of storing sperm if women run away also?

Posted by: Eighthman | Apr 2 2023 11:39 utc | 189

189:
Organ harvesting I’m afraid.

Posted by: Catilina | Apr 2 2023 11:46 utc | 190

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 2 2023 10:41 utc | 186
Capturing Avdeevka would also pose a huge headache for the planners of any offensive toward Crimea, who would have to devote significant resources on protecting its exposed left flank, from attacks aimed at severing supply lines.

Posted by: Milites | Apr 2 2023 11:48 utc | 191

The US/UK warmongers won’t like this one little bit, its probably true as this newsrag often releases UK security service info.
“Germany’s Defence Minister has ruled out sending any further weapons or equipment to Ukraine, admitting that the Bundeswehr will already not be able to replenish its stocks by 2030.”
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/germany-rules-out-any-further-weapons-deliveries-to-ukraine/ar-AA19mda8?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=291c19afb7be4997a8af9da1b8304b76&ei=44

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 2 2023 11:49 utc | 192

@shadowbanned 185:
A full mobilisation, which is necessary if the idea is to advance and take over all of Ukranazistan or even most of it, will mean Putin’s oligarch cronies’ profits being adversely affected. From the start he’s been fighting a neoliberal war on the cheap.
@Light Years From Home 171:
It was absurd propaganda for the simple reason that any crew welded into a tank would have immediate motive to turn their gun on the people doing the welding. Ridiculous.
@HOBO 3 182
He regularly reposts my comics and before the start of the SMO I had a standing invitation to visit him and have his father in law’s moonshine. Does that count?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Apr 2 2023 11:51 utc | 193

Posted by: gT | Apr 1 2023 17:25 utc | 14
Ugh geigerheads.
No Russia isn’t planning to nuke anyone. Nobody is planning to nuke anyone.
The real war is taking place on the only battlefield where America can be crippled and destroyed without risking world war three – the economic one. And this is where the main efforts of Russian and China are being exercised.
You see, Putin understands America far better than America understands Putin. He saw what happened after 9-11 and the comfort blanket of American exceptionalism was ripped away, never to return. He knows that the last remaining leg Americans and their bastarding chinless “way of life” have to stand on is economic, the idea that, if all else fails, at least they’re richer than everyone else.
Take that away and it all comes tumbling down. Civil wars, secessions, who knows where the dice will stop rolling. They already have one foot across the line, it won’t take much to push them the rest of the way.
Nuclear war isn’t happening, I don’t care how many blister packs of fish antibiotics you have squirrelled away in your debris shelter in the local park. If you want to get laid that badly, shave, work out, get a job, shower from time to time, and try actually talking to girls. You may only get slapped but at least it’s sort of body contact.

Posted by: Due West | Apr 2 2023 12:05 utc | 194

Minimum, incomplete, low-ball KIA(only)(FEBA only) 395+ … Translated:

Summary of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation on the progress of a special military operation (02.04.2023)
◽️ In the Kupyansk direction, army air strikes and artillery fire of the Western Group of Forces defeated Ukrainian armed forces units in the areas of Sinkovka, Olshany and Krakhmalnoye in Kharkiv Oblast.
💥 Up to 30 Ukrainian servicemen, three armored fighting vehicles, two vehicles, as well as a D-30 howitzer were destroyed during the day. In addition, the actions of six Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups were suppressed in the areas of Stelmakhivka of the Luhansk People’s Republic, Dvurechnaya, Pershotravneve, and Sinkovka of the Kharkiv region.
◽️ In the Krasno-Limansky direction, strikes by assault and army aviation, artillery fire, heavy flamethrower systems and active actions of units of the Center troop group struck enemy units in the areas of Yampolovka, Hryhorovka of the Donetsk People’s Republic, Makiivka and Chervona Dibrova of the Luhansk People’s Republic.
💥 The enemy’s losses amounted to up to 100 Ukrainian servicemen, two armored combat vehicles, four pickup trucks, an Acacia self-propelled howitzer, and one D-30 howitzer.
◽️ In the Donetsk direction as a result of active actions of units of the “Southern” group of troops, strikes of operational-tactical aviation and artillery fire, over 210 Ukrainian servicemen and mercenaries, three Turkish-made Kirpi armored personnel carriers, three armored combat vehicles, four vehicles, three pickups, as well as one Msta-B howitzer were destroyed during the day.
◽️ On the South Donetsk and Zaporizhzhya directions, air strikes and artillery fire of the Vostok Group of Forces hit AFU units near the settlements of Shevchenko in the Donetsk People’s Republic, Levadnoye and Orekhov in the Zaporizhzhya region.
💥 In addition, two sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Ukrainian armed forces were destroyed near Nikolskoye, Donetsk People’s Republic, and Vyshneve, Zaporizhzhia region.
💥 More than 40 Ukrainian servicemen, two armored vehicles, three pickup trucks, a D-30 howitzer and a D-20 howitzer were destroyed in these areas over the past 24 hours.
💥 Also, a US-made AN/TPQ-36 counter-battery radar station was destroyed near the village of Uspenovka, Zaporozhye region.
◽️ In the Kherson direction, up to 15 Ukrainian servicemen, seven vehicles and one Akatsiya self-propelled howitzer were destroyed in the course of firing.
💥 Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery of groups of troops (forces) of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation during the day struck 92 artillery units of the AFU at firing positions, manpower and equipment in 103 areas.
💥 A warehouse of artillery ammunition of the AFU was destroyed near the settlement of Stelmakhovka in the Luhansk People’s Republic.
💥 The command post and communications center of the 58th AFU motorized infantry brigade were hit near Krasny Liman in Donetsk People’s Republic.
💥 The command and observation posts of battalions of the 109th Territorial Defense Brigade and the 25th Airborne Brigade of the AFU were hit near Petrovske and Terny settlements of the Donetsk People’s Republic.
◽️ The anti-aircraft defense forces destroyed 11 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles in the areas of Vladimirovka, Kirillovka, Verhnetoretske of the Donetsk People’s Republic, Novokrasnyanka, Varvarovka, Kreminna of the Luhansk People’s Republic and Novaya Kakhovka of the Kherson Region, Velyki Vyselki of the Kharkiv Region.
📊 In total, since the beginning of the special military operation destroyed (losses over previous 24hrs(+?)):
405 aircraft, (Daily avg 1.1)
228 helicopters, (Daily avg 0.6)
3,641(+11) unmanned aerial vehicles, (Daily avg 8.9)
415 surface-to-air missile systems, (Daily avg 1.1)
8,510(+13) tanks and other armored combat vehicles, (Daily avg 21.8)
1,077 multiple rocket launchers, (Daily avg 2.8)
4,485(+7) field artillery and mortars, (Daily avg 11.4) and
9,270(+23) special military vehicles. (Daily avg 23.3)

Posted by: Outraged | Apr 2 2023 12:09 utc | 195

@Ken Tucky
Reviewed the attached. I am surprised you cannot recognize classic propaganda tricks. There are always same elements. Some “real” people speaking. So bravely critical, so knowledgeable of the situation, so assured of Russia’s incompetence,
so privileged in insights. But that is war. First task: demoralize.

Posted by: Bianca | Apr 2 2023 12:13 utc | 196

Apr 2 2023 9:56 utc | 175
that f-35 needs a new engine, the more they fly the more engines go back to pratt and ahitney for long expensive rebuild.
and their computer is 1990’s version!
$90000 bucks per each hour the bat flies! not incuding the tankers to gas the low mileage hog or the support aircraft to tell it where to go.
wonder what the s-300 operators thought!

Posted by: paddy | Apr 2 2023 12:32 utc | 197

Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 10:31 utc | 185
‘To bitter regret, judging by our General Staff, no conclusions have been drawn from the defeats, tragedies and disgrace of the year of the special operation in Ukraine. And this means that this year we will have to experience it all again.’
Destroying two armies that out-numbered you 1-4, with full NATO ISR and logistic support, using a force primarily designed for sovereignty protection, is no mean feat. Focusing on every tactical engagement as a predictor of operational or strategic dominance is the realm of the amateur’s amateur.
Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Apr 2 2023 1:59 utc | 118
There is more photographic evidence of human wave attacks in WW1 than in the SMO, which might suggest gross misrepresentation or the rarity of the occurrence.

Posted by: Milites | Apr 2 2023 12:35 utc | 198

Biswapriya Purkayast @ 114
And the lights are still on all over Ukraine.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Apr 2 2023 12:38 utc | 199

Posted by: shadowbanned | Apr 2 2023 9:30 utc | 169
Turned back 60 miles from the Russian border, in 2019.
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/reboot/why-did-b-52-bombers-practice-nuclear-attacks-russia-164786

Posted by: Milites | Apr 2 2023 12:54 utc | 200