Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 30, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-103

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

Posté par : Apollyon | 30 avril 2023 21:45 UTC | 85
“In Kiev, Major General Volodymyr Oleinik, who commanded the territorial defense units, was shot dead near his home.
Others will be inspired and encouraged. (resistance)
He deserved it. A consolation for many women.
The Russian MOD announces more than 1000 soldiers put out of action 30/04.
They deserved it. And there is no consolation on the contrary.
Sometimes, you shouldn’t be afraid to contradict yourself.

Posted by: la bouteille | Apr 30 2023 23:06 utc | 101

@ malenkov | Apr 30 2023 22:46 utc | 97
One of the good things about Trump is that he’d rather cut deals than conform to ideologies.
Absolutely, and the proof is in the doing. Trump came back from Singapore bearing an agreement with DPRK to start a process to finally end the Korean War and build peace in the Korean peninsula.
Nothing was done on it. Was there a Dealey Plaza type threat involved? Probably.

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 30 2023 23:10 utc | 102

Trump sold weapons to Ukraine. Even Obama didn’t. We all hate Sleepy Joe but let’s not re-write history.

Posted by: Gengar | Apr 30 2023 23:15 utc | 103

Posted by: Gengar | Apr 30 2023 23:15 utc | 104
In a little known or shared recorded quote, Mike Pimpeous said “Obama sent the Ukrainians MREs. We sent them Javelins.” Of course the person doing the interview was with NPR and goading him about not doing more to help the Ukrainian nazis.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 30 2023 23:17 utc | 104

Hey guys, Biden stole the last election so I wouldn’t worry about what Trump may or may not do. Even if he gets allies and keeps the election open he’s going to get killed. They’ve already trashed and rigged the justice system next step is murder.
So vote for Trump if you support him and vote him if you don’t so the Cia/fbi can assassinate him.
TRUMP 2024

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Apr 30 2023 23:19 utc | 105

@ Gengar | Apr 30 2023 23:15 utc | 104
let’s not re-write history.
I’ll rewrite history: Trump would not have given Russia the middle finger like Biden and Blinken did, in December 2001, when they knew it would be war.

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 30 2023 23:20 utc | 106

Trump continued and escalated sanction regimes. Trump closed the Seattle consulate. Millions to modernize Ukraines Navy.
The point is not whether Trump was better or worse than Obama. The point is that American imperialism is a bipartisan consensus. It’s the great unifier. Trump wasn’t an anomaly here.

Posted by: Gengar | Apr 30 2023 23:23 utc | 107

Lev Davidovich | Apr 30 2023 14:44 utc | 2
Eurovision. Yep, Blergh.
Australia has been participating for 2? Decades.
[I’m prepared to be corrected on any statements I make re Eurovision. I could search engine of choice, but IDGAF so…jump in Aussies if you feel the compunction to correct]
Australia started just televising Eurovision. It was so popular (blergh) we sent a delegation to report; then we sent singers who could “showcase”. Then we sent, I think, competitors (not sure). All my information is only what has penetrated through a wall of indifference and active avoidance).
But I should have tried to get odds on Ukraine winning last year…it was a given. UK was awarded second place precisely so they could step in and host the broadcast.
Ukraine was allowed to win in, I think, 2015, because of Crimea. I do remember that Ukrainian winner was a woman with a beard, someName “Wurst”.. which appealed to my sense of irony. Even back then, transgenderism was being promoted. And Ukraine was the vehicle for western “values”.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 30 2023 23:25 utc | 108

Seems many have ignored the info contained in my comment @42 citing Escobar’s evidence of China’s involvement with Ukraine in the early BRI days. So, the 2014 coup did more than just create an Anti-Russia, although Ukie-China trade went onward until SMO began. Given the escalation of animosity toward China that Trump initiated, negating China’s connection with Europe via Ukraine by initiating a war with Russia was likely another plus feature seen by Neocons. China’s trade with Europe has dipped, but it’s hard to pin the reason for that as there’re several variables beginning with Covid. IMO, the Southern route to Europe will be the only open road for China-Europe trade for at least the next 10 years, although that’s very likely to decrease because of Europe’s economic decline.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 30 2023 23:39 utc | 109

Posted by: la bouteille | Apr 30 2023 23:06 utc | 102
A welcome development. Let’s hope it’s contagious.

Posted by: Chris | Apr 30 2023 23:43 utc | 110

Gengar | Apr 30 2023 23:23 utc | 108–
Yes, Trump practiced Outlaw US Empire style Imperialism globally. He just didn’t initiate any aggressive wars unlike all his post-WW2 predecessors.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 30 2023 23:43 utc | 111

More bombers have been launched including TU-160, in addition to the first salvo. Seems like blood in the water now, air defense has evaporated. Now the front lines are getting also hit, which means ukro’s must have committed large concentrations on the front.
TBH it seems like there might be more indefinite “delays” in upcoming days.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 30 2023 23:54 utc | 112

Ken Tucky @ 4
S600 is an Russian automobile (circa 2021?, so IT IS new, but only a threat to Mercedes S Class 🙂 ).
S550 is likely what you’re thinking about. It’s capable of knocking out satellites. Of course, nailing satellites is like pissing in the pool that everyone is swimming in: one’s own satellites are at risk of running into the debris field left behind from targeting and hitting another satellite.
S500 is an advanced S400. I suspect that the only thing it couldn’t stop is Russia’s own hypersonics.

Posted by: Seer | May 1 2023 0:28 utc | 113

unimperator | Apr 30 2023 23:54 utc | 113
I read earlier that Ukraine had started concentrating forces in the south for their offensive so I assume its those concentrations that are being hit.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2023 0:37 utc | 114

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 30 2023 23:39 utc | 110
“…Seems many have ignored the info contained in my comment @42 citing Escobar’s evidence of China’s involvement with Ukraine in the early BRI days. So, the 2014 coup did more than just create an Anti-Russia, although Ukie-China trade went onward until SMO began. ”
I don’t think people are ignoring you at all. You clearly offer a lot in terms of content. But you must keep in mind that not everyone has the luxury of time to dig through the multitude of your previous postings. It would help if you didn’t assume everybody reading MOA has already seen all of your previous posts, and then criticize those people for not paying enough attention to all of your previous posts. I suggest you repeat the posts. Don’t expect everyone to dig through months and months of old posts.

Posted by: Wisco | May 1 2023 0:38 utc | 115

Some videos for today.
Journalist forced out after criticizing Western coverage of Nord Stream blast:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/_question-less:b
RT crew visits civilian areas devastated by Kiev regime attacks:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/donetsk-civilians-under-fire:3
Russian T-72 destroys Kiev regime command post:
https://rutube.ru/video/625391b220c614d6d79c858b2f182a6d/
Russian infantry fighting vehicle works on enemy position:
https://rutube.ru/video/0c88dba016822d41cd545ff36b2308c0/
Russian Lancet drone obliterates Kiev regime self-propelled howitzer:
https://odysee.com/@Overthrown:6/video_2023-04-30_12-01-28:d
Russian Tornado-G MLRS engages enemy positions:
https://odysee.com/@SputnikInternational:c/2023-04-30-15.24.16:a

Posted by: Nate | May 1 2023 0:40 utc | 116

79 or next option .india is left alone as usa still sees some hope to sway them to the fold. india is the last great power on the fence and to be harsh on it and force the side it chooses is game over. once india become BRICS hegemony is onto the wake as burial is complete
it built refineries years ago to deal with every nations oil. and is expanding the Urals blend processing . usa has successfully played them for decades and still hopes to , pakistan china BRI, many others watching in the region, theres lots at stake.

Posted by: hankster | May 1 2023 0:42 utc | 117

“Ukrainian monitoring channels report that 6 Tu-95MS missile carriers carried out missile launches, after which a command was given to restart.”
Assume this means going back to pick up another load.

Posted by: unimperator | May 1 2023 0:44 utc | 118

Seems many have ignored the info contained in my comment @42 citing Escobar’s evidence of China’s involvement with Ukraine in the early BRI days.
Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 30 2023 23:39 utc | 110
I’m reading nearly all your comments. When I don’t have the time to read all of the other comments, I’m searching for your nick and reading just that 🙂 Your input is extremely valuable and I’m very grateful that you’re sharing it – thank you, Karl!

Posted by: Zet | May 1 2023 0:59 utc | 119

Regarding the Prigozhin interview–about a month ago I listened to an interview on Paul Jay’s theanalysis.com website with Boris Kagarlitsky, a Russian who does not support Putin (he’s been arrested by just about every Russian govt since Gorbachev). He said the Russian military and intelligence are against the war, would like it to end, and want to undermine the Wagner Group. Here’s a link to the interview. The discussion of the Russian military starts around 14 minutes in. I have no idea what’s going on, so I try to listen to various, disparate voices and note when opposite voices agree on a point. In short, Prigozhin might be speaking the truth.
https://theanalysis.news/how-will-the-war-in-ukraine-end-boris-kagarlitsky/

Posted by: Maybe | May 1 2023 1:07 utc | 120

This is what happens when Russia runs out of missiles … Not!
Spin that. Empire idiots.

Posted by: Just Observing | May 1 2023 1:23 utc | 121

Just realized it’s May Day. Maybe it’s just fireworks.

Posted by: Just Observing | May 1 2023 1:24 utc | 122

Dferg | Apr 30 2023 20:13 utc | 63
RESPONSE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2FMqXijxbE

Posted by: young | May 1 2023 1:26 utc | 123

Hal Turner reporting that up to two(2) whole divisions of Ukrainian formations have been destroyed in the latest strikes.
It appears as if the shit may be about to hit the proverbial fan. Roger.
Over and out.

Posted by: LtGen_Breedluvv | May 1 2023 1:27 utc | 124

For the NAFO trolls who claimed the Russians have made no progress on Bakhmut here’s a time lapse by a Ukie channel.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/44041

Posted by: Surferket | May 1 2023 1:27 utc | 125

It seems that the US media are now fully controlled by the Government. The Carlson firing removed the last gadfly who might embarrass the emperor by mentioning his lack of clothing.
I’m not near cable news but as I scan the usual rotten spots, CNN, Fox, etc there is literally no mention of these massive air attacks on Ukraine. If it weren’t for MoA and telegram and Twitter you’d never know they’re happening.
I believe this sort of information blackout will get worse. Musk may become a target.
Enjoy the bar while you can. Cheers to all! Happy May Day.

Posted by: Chris | May 1 2023 1:31 utc | 126

@LGB! | May 1 2023 1:07 utc | 125
Looks like Odessa, Zaporizhzhia, and Poltava not working properly – it’s dawn now.

Posted by: the pessimist | May 1 2023 1:36 utc | 127

Kinzhal carriers have taken off, more EW disturbance measure, more bombing runs underway. Missiles heading toward Kiev. Will we here about another Nato bunker busting operation soon?

Posted by: unimperator | May 1 2023 1:41 utc | 128

@LGB! | May 1 2023 1:07 utc | 125
Interesting feed btw. Cloudy dawn and sounds of spring. The air raid alert map went from just the eastern half to the whole country. Haven’t seen any postmortems yet.

Posted by: the pessimist | May 1 2023 1:45 utc | 129

Since Ukraine seems to still have functioning air defense at least in Dnepro and Kiev, maybe it’s a continuation of SEAD campaign.

Posted by: unimperator | May 1 2023 1:53 utc | 130

Dferg @ 63
RESPONSE REGARDING RUSSIA BEING THE DANIEL 7:5 BEAR:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2FMqXijxbE

Posted by: young | May 1 2023 1:57 utc | 131

LGB! | May 1 2023 0:39 utc | 119
Going by the light levels the only live cam seems to be 3 Zaporizhzhia
unlikely to see any action there

Posted by: olaf22 | May 1 2023 2:02 utc | 132

@olaf22 | May 1 2023 2:02 utc | 140
I believe they are all working now – live

Posted by: the pessimist | May 1 2023 2:07 utc | 133

Regarding the Prigozhin interview–about a month ago I listened to an interview on Paul Jay’s theanalysis.com website with Boris Kagarlitsky, a Russian who does not support Putin (he’s been arrested by just about every Russian govt since Gorbachev). He said the Russian military and intelligence are against the war, would like it to end, and want to undermine the Wagner Group. Here’s a link to the interview. The discussion of the Russian military starts around 14 minutes in. I have no idea what’s going on, so I try to listen to various, disparate voices and note when opposite voices agree on a point. In short, Prigozhin might be speaking the truth.
https://theanalysis.news/how-will-the-war-in-ukraine-end-boris-kagarlitsky/
Posted by: Maybe | May 1 2023 1:07 utc | 126

Wagner is a creation of the GRU (the military intelligence). In the FSB (the civilian intelligence) they might be against the war, but there is definitely a very strong patriotic faction in the military. It is far from being in control of everything though, which is why the effort has been sabotaged to such an unimaginable when all this started extent.
This is why knowledgeable observers were commenting even in the weeks immediately before February 24 2022 that Russia needs to first win the war inside itself, and then Ukraine and NATO will be dispatched with ease. That prerequisite hasn’t been accomplished yet though.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 1 2023 2:10 utc | 134

the pessimist | May 1 2023 2:07 utc | 141
yeh cheers
except 5 and 6 they are dead

Posted by: olaf22 | May 1 2023 2:24 utc | 135

from The Guardian
Hello and welcome to the Guardian’s live coverage of the war in Ukraine with me, Helen Livingstone.
Air raid sirens have sounded in Kyiv and throughout Ukraine, with some reports that Russia has launched a wave of missiles. The armed forces have urged Ukrainians to go to shelters and warned that Kyiv was under “threat of a missile strike”. There was also a “threat to the northern, central and eastern regions”, it said on its Telegram channel. “Kyiv region – air defence works,” it added, as explosions were reported in the capital.

Posted by: Don Bacon | May 1 2023 2:26 utc | 136

Young @ 139 – It would be easier to just read up Psalms 83 and realize that the descendants of Assyria are the Germans, and that the nations listed there are all the men who lost their birthright or connection to the 12 tribes. Better if you read Daniel 11:40, which speaks about the upcoming King of the North, (HRE) being pushed by the King of the South.
That will happen after this SMO, when USA is besieged by the ROW. I think the previous poster said it best.

Posted by: Arcticman | May 1 2023 2:27 utc | 137

Posted by: Maybe | May 1 2023 1:07 utc | 126
“Regarding the Prigozhin … “
Go back into the past( Sept, Oct, Nov 2022)
– you can easy do it on this site –
Last September/October, only few knew Prigozhin, but all knew Selenski, the future Nobel Prize winner. (What a great show he gave us)
Then came the “media millennium victories” in Kharkiv and Kherson and later the meeting in Bali. After this moment the old star disappeared from the media stage (People in this world just got tired of his speeches) and a new star was born. And now we know the face of Putins cook and we know every word he has spoken in the last few hours/minutes/seconds.
in the last 6 months from 0% to 100% and the old Star from 100% to ~10-20%

Posted by: theo | May 1 2023 2:29 utc | 138

karlof1 | Apr 30 2023 23:39 utc | 110
Now that you raise it, I now vaguely recall China purchasing some major Ukrainian industry? An aviation manufacturer? Some thing very large. The U$ of course were soon pressuring for the sale to be negated. Can’t recall all the details… it’s a decade ago.
Not inclined to dig, right now.
Ukraine’s size and location make it a Asia-Europe gateway… which is, as we know, why the U$ has worked to have that piece removed from the “jigsaw”…

Posted by: Melaleuca | May 1 2023 2:40 utc | 139

Posted by: Maybe | May 1 2023 1:07 utc | 126
i forgot
someone ordered this show and surely someone will have to pay for this great show.
This is called rules of life

Posted by: theo | May 1 2023 2:47 utc | 140

We may not know the targets until the MoD of Russia issue it’s report. I hope they were military ones near the front. It is possible Russia went for a knockout blow to destroy any remaining counteroffensive hope.

Posted by: Chris | May 1 2023 2:47 utc | 141

Ukranazistan is getting pasted right now by missile barrages from TU95MS bombers. Especially something big has been struck in Pavlograd. Allegedly a big S300 missile depot.
I assume that as usual 175% of the missiles soul be success intercepted by Ukranazi air defences and the remaining 35% will be successfully intercepted by infrastructure and militarised buildings.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | May 1 2023 2:58 utc | 142

@147 motor sich. It’s been bombed a few times, supposedly put out of commission after ukraine arrested its president for treason for selling the engines through the middle east to russia.
It’s a good assumption that it’s severely damaged at this point.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | May 1 2023 3:02 utc | 143

I now vaguely recall China purchasing some major Ukrainian industry? An aviation manufacturer?
Posted by: Melaleuca | May 1 2023 2:40 utc | 147
Motor Sich – gas turbine manufacturer. The US blocked the sale to China.

Posted by: Passerby | May 1 2023 3:09 utc | 144

Worst piece of coping I saw on Twitter – some fool claims Patriot missiles were used for AD for first time.
That would be the best piece of news for Russia since the breakthrough in Artemosvk. Just ask the Saudis how great they performed.
Seeing how brainwashed most of the Twitter crowd are is rather depressing. Think I’ll read a good book and call it a night.

Posted by: Chris | May 1 2023 3:10 utc | 145

Looks like a busy day heading into May 1st. Major airstrikes in progress.
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/battlefield-update-2023-04-30-1
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/battlefield-update-2023-04-30-2
Battlefield Update 1
Battlefield Update 2
A daily collection of news from the front.

Posted by: Will | May 1 2023 3:13 utc | 146

Melaleuca | May 1 2023 2:40 utc | 147 & Passerby
Motor Sich had good engine tech and Antonov had good aircraft tech. The Ukraine was the most prosperous part of the Soviet Union, but they have squandered their inheritance due to nazi ideology.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/5083/why-china-wants-to-put-the-gargantuan-antonov-an-225-mriya-back-into-production

Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2023 3:27 utc | 147

i wonder if prigozhin is being prepped, perhaps without his knowledge, to challenge putin. after all, he is an oligarch, or at least that’s what i’ve read. i imagine putin is keeping an eye on him.
he will have a lot of support from wagner, no doubt. our kinda guy.

Posted by: polarbear4 | May 1 2023 4:02 utc | 148

so much trump on here.
rfk, jr. is the only one who’s main platform is to separate the corporations (corpses) from the government and who wants to bring all the troops home and concentrate on us being us. he might not speak pretty yet about the war (we’ll educate him), but damn, closing the bases makes my heart sing. he’s mad that we are basically a killing machine and i love him for it.

Posted by: polarbear4 | May 1 2023 4:14 utc | 149

Pepe Escobar links to this report from Prigozhin. He ain’t happy and assures us that time will tell REAL SOON. I doubt that Prigozhin is a concern troll yet he does harp on a lot about this issue:
https://roloslavskiy.substack.com/p/wagners-prigozhin-issues-most-dire?utm_medium=android

I will share the bullet-points with you here as I listen along:
By the 80s, the Soviet Army was just a social club, ineffective and neutered and not even an organization capable of providing a social lift
Russia didn’t win the Chechen wars, Putin paid Kadyrov’s dad a bribe to end it
There was no such thing as the “Delbaltsevo Cauldron” in Donbass – Poroshenko’s army simply made an orderly retreat intact. It was a patriotic lie told by Russia
Wagner was the main force that saved Assad in Syria and was undermined by the MoD every step of the way
The SMO proved that the Russian army is totally demoralized, unorganized, untrained, undisciplined and unprepared
The MoD routinely lies about realities on the battlefield even about Wagner’s operations
The Russian Army in the north likes to get drunk and the Ukrainians make good money selling them cognac
Wagner launched its operation to stabilize the front when the Russian army was retreating in chaos and disorder following the Ukrainian counterattack
The military command gives bizarre orders to its men
There is no real leadership in the army
Russia has the resources to win, but the leadership keeps the resources away from the people who need it on purpose
Lower level officers are pressured to lie to higher-ups because everyone will get in trouble if they don’t
Bakhmut was a plan created by Wagner and General Surovikin to damage the Ukrainian army
Mentally-ill people in the command believed in saving funds and supplies for a later attack, but this decision was eventually reversed
Prigozhin says he knows where the supplies are being kept, there are enough supplies to fight another half-year
MoD Deputy in charge of supplies Aleksei Krivoruchka has to be fired
Prigozhin outlines some simply military math – one hectare requires X amount of shells to be successfully neutralized before a storm. Wagner needs 80,000 shells a day at the very bare minimum
On paper, the Russian Army has soldiers on Wagner’s flanks, but they are not there in reality
Prigozhin believes this is a political sabotage campaign directed at Wagner
Wagner is facing down 35k Ukrainian soldiers in Bakhmut and up 500 of their soldiers die a day, but are replenished. Every 20 minutes, 10 soldiers are sent in. An unending flood of reinforcements.
Wagner has been cut-off from supplies. Their representatives are sitting 4 days in line to get an appointment from the bureaucracy
The KGB stands for Club of Senile Grandpas (in Russian this acronym works) or the Club of Emotional Midgets
The KGB hates Russia. All their mistresses live good lives in the West so what do they care about the war. They demand that the officers lie to them and only tolerate nice-sounding lies.
The Russian army has been transformed from the world’s second-best army into one of the worst – Russia cannot even deal with Ukraine
Russia’s defenses won’t hold if supplies are not released to the soldiers
Prigozhin reaffirms that political intrigue is what prevents the release of these supplies
Prigozhin wants to launch a federal investigation into the corrupt officials responsible for this and the blood that they have on their hands
Prigozhin keeps a list of the thousands of Russian deaths caused by the MoD
Poor medicine leads to more deaths
Bakhmut could have been taken if Shoigu had given them their supplies
Wagner might have to retreat unless they don’t get supplies
Time to tell the truth and stop lying to the Russian people
Once the rains end and the ground dries, the attack will come, maybe by the 9th of May
The interviewer asks: “maybe you will use these weapons to storm Moscow?”
Prigozhin compares the hated bureaucrats who live on Rublevka to Jews living in Israel
No real answer about whether or not Wagner will march on Moscow, the question is dismissed as being ridiculous [I think its a fun fantasy]
Prigozhin has a helpful list of instructions in his office on how to configure scopes correctly for potential snipers (Kremlin assassins) who want to shoot him at his office in St. Petersburg written on his wall with a helpful hint to adjust for a potential dip in the path of the bullet caused by the long distance of a potential shot taken from across the Neva river
Wagner’s pressure is all that slows down the Ukrainian counterattack by diverting attention
Wagner’s intelligence says that they have spies, satellites, the whole works and according to their information, the Ukrainian threat is very real and can reach the Russia-proper border with the forces that they have
Wagner takes the opinions and analyses of their soldiers seriously, the Russian Military, in contrast, treats its soldiers like trash
They repeat a lot of points about the need for supplies
Ukraine wants to continue the advance further than Donbass and then Poland and NATO
Interviewer: “are you a demoralization agent?”
Prigozhin: the Russian people need to know because they will have to pay in blood for this. The bureaucrats will simply flee to the West. They are the ones afraid of the truth
Prigozhin asks why Russia continues to sell oil to the West through India? Says this is treachery. The elites in Russia are in secret negotiations with the Western elite. [A word-for-word Strelkov talking point].
General Teplinsky is one of the good ones, it’s good news that he is back
More talk about supplies
Wagner won’t march on Moscow (lol)
There is nothing to celebrate this May 9th on Victory Day. Respect for the fallen, but no cause for celebration and pompous ceremonies. Russia hasn’t earned this theatrical display
Conclusions:
The army needs supplies
The bureaucrats need to come to the frontlines
The Ukrainian army will attack and this may very well end in tragedy for Russia
The need for the truth to cut through state propaganda has never been more pressing
I’ll have more to say on this including more speculations about the fate of Wagner. But this article is just straight faithful transcription of the facts. Prigozhin’s words can stand on their own for now.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | May 1 2023 4:23 utc | 150

i wonder if prigozhin is being prepped, perhaps without his knowledge, to challenge putin. after all, he is an oligarch, or at least that’s what i’ve read. i imagine putin is keeping an eye on him.
he will have a lot of support from wagner, no doubt. our kinda guy.
Posted by: polarbear4 | May 1 2023 4:02 utc | 156

Prigozhin isn’t really an oligarch, or he is a second-class oligarch if you insist on calling him that — the really major Russian oligarchs have one to two orders of magnitude more wealth than he has.
There is a second major distinction there — there are four different groups of interests in Russia:
1) the extractive industries (oil and gas, diamonds, various metals, fertilizers, agriculture)
2) the bankers
3) the military-industrial complex
4) the local civilian industries
#1 and #2 form the pro-Western camp. Of course, in principle the extractive industries could simply reorient to China and make the same profits, but it isn’t the same from the perspective of those oligarchs, because that means losing the connection with the West. And in China they don’t offer the same opportunities for opulent living — the Riviera is in France and Italy, the Caribbean islands are controlled by the US, in their minds London, Paris and NYC are the places for their mistresses to do their weekend shopping, not Beijing, and they have invested three decades into becoming Westerners — they have been sending their kids to private schools there and have been learning English and French, not Mandarin.
#3 and #4 are the patriotic camp.
Prigozhin’s business is catering, so it falls in category #4.
There is still not a winner in that conflict, and #1+#2 are very strong. This is why Ukraine hasn’t been decisively smashed — very powerful people are still hoping to make a deal and go back to their yachts and mansions in Europe and the US.
Putin is the balancing figure between them — Prigozhin does not need to be challenging him, but the pro-Western oligarchs camp.

Posted by: shadowbanned | May 1 2023 4:34 utc | 151

Apologies for my #158 post on Prigozhin, I see it was posted much earlier. Fascinating times we live in 😉
I must say that this is one of the best May Day events in my life – Russian Army and Wagner have combined to smash the nazis: GO FOR IT.
I have draped my sharp shovel with Saint George ribbon to celebrate.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | May 1 2023 4:40 utc | 152

Whether Prigozhin‘s real business is catering or crime remains to be seen. No doubt the Putin Crowd know him from St Petersburg days and whatever rackets require a catering front to launder funds is known to them.
Surovikin is former Spetznaz from Afghanistan and knows how to use Wagner. Prigozhin is the front man who can get publicity in West when he speaks this way but none when he reports on Ukrainian collapse.
They need to keep feeding the guns with Ukrainian flesh and encouraging them to keep coming weakens they front and lets Russian artillery deal with re-supply
The Media-focused West needs new media and video feed for its Pavlov trained public and this site clearly shows the TV News junkies

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | May 1 2023 5:02 utc | 153

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 29-30 Apr 2023⚡️
🔹#Russia’s Border Areas:
▪️ In #Bryansk region, Ukrainian terror formations launched missile strikes on the village of #Suzemka, four people were killed, two more taken to hospital.
▪️ In #Kursk region, the AFU terrorists shelled residential buildings in the village of Krasnooktyabrsky. Civilians were not injured.
▪️ In #Belgorod region, the enemy terrorists hit private households and power lines in Novaya Tavolzhanka. Residents of five villages were left without electricity.
➖ Russian air defence assets intercepted an AFU drone in #Belgorod region, according to preliminary information, no casualties.
🔹#Lugansk People’s Republic:
▪️ In the town of #Bryanka on Saturday, the AFU terrorists fired at least four rockets from HIMARS at civilian targets, residential houses, a petrol station, an employment centre and a power transmission line were damaged.
🔹#Soledar (#Bakhmut) Direction:
▪️ Wagner PMC assault squads have taken control of the Military Unit in the western districts of #Bakhmut.
▪️ Russian units advanced along Pobeda Street and Levanevsky Street.
▪️ The Wagnerians dislodged Ukrainian formations from Polevaya Street and also stormed enemy positions on Chaykovsky Street.
🔹#Donetsk Direction (MAP):
▪️ North of #Avdeyevka, heavy positional fighting continues along the entire line of contact near #Krasnogorovka.
▪️ To the south, assault squads of the AFU 53rd Mechanized Brigade have twice attempted to attack Russian army positions near #Vodyanoye over the past few days.
➖ The Russian forces successfully repulsed the offensive and launched a counterattack, pushing the enemy back to their initial lines.
▪️ The AFU terrorists once again shelled #Donetsk agglomeration with barrel and rocket artillery, several people were injured and more than five civilian buildings have been damaged.
▪️ In the centre of #Maryinka, Russian troops broke through enemy defences near Druzhba Avenue and advanced along Polygraphic and Kashtanova Streets.
➖ On the southern outskirts, Russian Armed Forces units are fighting near Gorgaz and a timber processing plant.
🔹#Zaporozhye Direction (MAP):
▪️ Overnight the enemy shelled Tokmak, damaging a railway depot and a maintenance station, casualties avoided.
▪️ Over Energodar, two drones were shot down by air defence, no civilian casualties or destruction.
▪️ Ukrainian formations have almost completed preparations for the counteroffensive. The enemy has transferred additional fighter aviation to airfields in the region.
🔹#Dnepropetrovsk Region:
▪️ In Pavlograd, Russian troops hit an enemy facility, a precise hit led to a munitions detonation and a major fire.
🔹#Kherson Direction on #SouthFront:
▪️ Mutual shelling continues along the entire contact line. Russian troops inflicted fire damage on the identified enemy positions in #Kherson, #Berislav and #Tyaginka, and also used guided aerial bombs on a cluster of APU in Kizomys.
▪️ Ukrainian formations shelled the left bank of #Kherson region, civilian infrastructure was damaged in Novaya Kakhovka, Golaya Pristan and #Alyoshki.
🔹#Crimea:
▪️ On Saturday, at least ten Ukrainian drones attempted to attack ground facilities on the Crimean peninsula.
➖ In #Sevastopol, a fuel tank was damaged and a large fire broke out at the facility. The remaining drones were successfully shot down.
🔸Political and other Events:
▪️ Czech President Petr Pavel visited #Dnepropetrovsk, where he promised to allocate more shells to the AFU for the counteroffensive.
▪️ AFU Commander-in-Chief Valery Zaluzhny has discussed the prospects of the counteroffensive with the chief of the US Joint Forces in Europe, General Christopher Kavoli.
▪️ Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky held a phone conversation with French President Emmanuel Macron.
▪️ Germany has confirmed the transfer of a second Iris-T air defence system to #Ukraine, as well as ten off-road trucks.

https://t.me/sitreports/7957

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 5:09 utc | 154

🇷🇺🚰 Military builders from the Russian Ministry of Defence today launched a water pipeline in Donbass
Critical infrastructure in Donbass has been destroyed by the constant shelling of Ukrainian forces, making the water supply difficult. The water situation became even more complicated after Ukraine imposed a water blockade, similar to that in Crimea, following its return to Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin personally ordered the construction of the Seversky Donets-Donbass water pipeline.
The initial volume will be 4,000 cubic metres of water per day, gradually increasing to 288,000 cubic metres.
Water will be supplied to Donetsk, Makeyevka, Horlivka, Yenakievo and Yasinovataya.
The launch of the water pipeline will prevent a humanitarian catastrophe in Donbass. Thousands of specialists from the state military construction company Voennstroy worked on the construction site, with equipment supplied by dozens of companies from all over Russia.
Footage of the water pumping complex is published by the Russian media.

https://t.me/sitreports/7966

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 5:11 utc | 155

🇷🇺 ⚔️🇺🇦 PMC “Wagner” took the main heights of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the west of Bakhmut and from advantageous positions they are knocking out the enemy from quarters
Ukrainian military analysts report this in reports.
▪️ Wagner has new successes, the situation for the Armed Forces of Ukraine is close to critical due to the reduction of the usable area for defensive operations.
▪️ PMCs took a priority height for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the west of Bakhmut – the area of the Medical College, from where the Ukrainian forces conducted the main adjustment of the fire of tanks and artillery.
▪️ In the western part of the city, the “Wagnerites” are actively storming Tchaikovsky Street, they have success.
▪️ A little higher up Tchaikovsky Street, after the capture of the medical college, the “Wagnerites” from the heights storm the left side of Tchaikovsky Street.
▪️ In the north of Bakhmut, the promotion of “Wagner” in the private sector in several quarters.
▪️ In the area of Ivanovsky, the Russians have again stepped up and are striving to break through the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
▪️ In the direction of Minkovka, PMCs also carried out offensive operations.
▪️ There are very heavy battles in the area of the tank base, as well as near Khromovo in the area of the highway 0-0506.
▪️ PMC continues active assaults on the highway and other areas of defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/44027

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 5:14 utc | 156

Yes, Trump practiced Outlaw US Empire style Imperialism globally. He just didn’t initiate any aggressive wars unlike all his post-WW2 predecessors.
Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 30 2023 23:43 utc | 112
Even $ says he would of in a 2nd term. Besides he didn’t have to start any wars, there were enough going on to get his ya yas out by bombing the bejesus out all those shithole countries full of dark skinned people he loaths so much.
And no trump wasn’t about to make peace break out on the Korean peninsula. That loser doesn’t have enough functioning brain cells to even come close to pulling that off. He was simply, inanly, unknowningly channeling his jealousy of the black guy who copped one before him.
trump is a monster and the damage done during his term to womens rights, the judiciary, environment, post office you name it, will fuck ‘mericans over for decades to come.

Posted by: Drinky Crow | May 1 2023 5:29 utc | 157

I forgot to ad that I hope he chokes to death on a Big Mac soon.

Posted by: Drinky Crow | May 1 2023 5:45 utc | 158

@Apollyon | Apr 30 2023 21:45 utc | 85

“In Kiev, Major General Volodymyr Oleinik, who commanded the territorial defense units, was shot dead near his home.”

Looks like desinformation

From @RVvoenkor
About the importance of verifying information: A non-existent General, commander of the Territorial Defense Forces of Ukraine was ostensibly killed in Kiev.
Ukrainians laugh at this fake, which, apparently, they themselves started. It seems that it was sent in feedback to channels that do not check the information at all and the fake is flying throughout the internet.
The TDF are commanded by General Igor Tantsyura. Who is General Vladimir Oleinik? No one knows.
❗️ Everything that is sent to the feedback bots requires verification. The Ukrainian psychological warfare ‘forces’ are intensifying their work on sowing fakes, so that they can expose these fakes themselves later.
DD Channel note: And say that the Russians are spreading fake news.

https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/59120

Posted by: Norwegian | May 1 2023 5:50 utc | 159

I wonder if there were British depleted uranium shells at the Pavlograd railway station.
If so, congratulations to the people of Dnipropetrovsk oblast.
Don’t be surprised by the consequences the Serbs and Iraqis are aware of.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/44015

Posted by: Norwegian | May 1 2023 6:05 utc | 160

Black stripe for the air defense of Ukraine – the Russian army delivered a productive blow to Pavlograd
Photographs and video from the scene suggest that we are dealing with the secondary detonation of a large number of surface-to-air missiles. This can be seen from the characteristic “fireworks”, which was observed more than once during the defeat of “nomadic” complexes in the area of the line of contact with the Lancets.
This time, we can talk about the destruction of the Pavlograd air defense facility, which consisted of a regimental set of the S-300P system consisting of two divisions. As a rule, such positions are located on limited sites with a compact placement of launchers (up to 16 pieces), illumination and guidance radars, and control and communication systems. And the most important thing is that at the same positions nearby there are warehouses with missiles stored immediately in open-air launch containers.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/44019

Posted by: Norwegian | May 1 2023 6:08 utc | 161

From Reuters

May 1 (Reuters) – Ukrainian air defence crews destroyed 15 out of 18 missiles launched by Russian forces in the early hours of Monday morning, the military said, as Moscow intensified attacks on its neighbour in recent days.
“Around 2:30 am (1130 GMT), the Russian invaders attacked Ukraine from strategic aviation planes,” a post on the Telegram channel of Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, the commander-in chief of Ukraine’s armed forces, read.
It added that 15 out of the 18 missiles launched had been destroyed.
Kyiv’s city officials wrote on the Telegram messaging app that all missiles directed at the capital were destroyed in what they said was the second attack on the city in three days.
“According to (preliminary information), no casualties among the civilian population and no destruction of residential facilities or infrastructure have been recorded,” the city administration said.
Air defence systems were also called into action to shield the Kyiv region, which is a separate administrative entity from the city, from Russian missiles, officials said.
Russia has also launched missiles at other Ukrainian regions overnight, including on Dnipropetrovsk, Mykola Lukashuk, the head of the Dnipro region council, said. Air defence crews shot down seven missiles, but 25 people sought medical help.
The eastern Ukrainian city of Pavlohrad was struck twice overnight, and an industrial enterprise, 19 apartment buildings and 25 private buildings, among others, were damaged or destroyed, he added.
“There were also fires, emergency services are at work,” Lukashuk said.
Vladimir Rogov, an official in the Russian-backed administration of the Zaporizhzhia region, posted late on Sunday what he said were pictures and videos of fires in Pavlohrad and said that Russian forces struck at military targets there.
Russia says some recent strikes are designed to hamper Kyiv’s plans for a long-planned counteroffensive in the east.

Posted by: psychohistorian | May 1 2023 6:17 utc | 162

@psychohistorian | May 1 2023 6:17 utc | 170

It added that 15 out of the 18 missiles launched had been destroyed.

That is a very modest claim. I suspect all the missiles were destroyed by their targets.

Posted by: Norwegian | May 1 2023 6:28 utc | 163

People say trump didn’t start a war !
That’s not what I remember the streets of America looked like a war zone, no deals cut there.
And abroad what about Venezuela just becouse he failed in starting wars dosent meen he’s a good man,
Was’nt he a close freand of Epstein and Maxwell.
Was’nt trumps major funder Soros ?
he was a Israel yes man.
What about Assange?
Are people here so so desperate that they see a fuckwit like trump as their saviour.
This is a measure of how low into the bowels of hell the Americans have sunk.
Face it ther is no savour for America.
End of.
Trump supporters are the same as Azov supporters, just nazi scum.
If the cap fits.

Posted by: Mark2 | May 1 2023 6:36 utc | 164

The psychology of the Ukraine war.
Why do even highly educated people get carried away with the propaganda about the war in Ukraine? Accusations such as “Putin boyfriend” and “complicity in Putin’s murders” are apparently the fate of a minority view. But why aren’t these claims substantiated? I address these issues in:
https://geopolitiekincontext.wordpress.com/2023/05/01/de-psychologie-van-de-oekraine-oorlog/
Psychologists say that people need something to hold on to. As long as they follow the rules, they don’t have to think about their beliefs. Into contact with other cultures, their foundations are shaken. It questions their faith in Western democracy, in their culture, in their Christian faith. It puts them in front of a difficult thinking exercise.
Another explanation for the denial of reality is that the generation in the West that has experienced the phenomenon of “war” has virtually died out. The current generations have thrived there since 1945. They do get upset about Russian military action, but only exceptionally raise questions if the West violates the rules of international law.
The result is that the masses willingly allow themselves to be moulded into the usual, into what one ought to think. Many Westerners are still guided by a colonial mentality and by the associated latent racism, not only towards everything that is ‘black’, but also towards ‘foreign’ China. People do not realise that the West has benefited for centuries from unequal geopolitical and geoeconomic power relations.
Authors who step outside the boundaries of the consensus on the Ukraine war often have to deal with gratuitous criticism. They have no choice but to go ahead and look for allies who can inspire us to criticize established opinion.

Posted by: Paul-Robert | May 1 2023 6:42 utc | 165

The situation in Bakhmut as of May 1, we continue to retreat to the west of the city, while maintaining the most protected fortified area in high-rise buildings. The main battles will begin this week, the enemy will try to take Bakhmut until May 9, our task is to hold positions despite the losses and psychological state.
Artillery and aviation continue to work on high-rise buildings, turning our positions into a pile of stones. Syrsky is personally at the forefront and controls the sending of reserves to Bakhmut so that there is no attempt to sabotage the decision of the General Staff.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/17539

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 6:57 utc | 166

(Suvrokin is husbanding ammo …) Astute comment.
Posted by: osi | Apr 30 2023 20:48 utc | 71

Not even slightly. Prigozhin has specifically stated that ammo supplied were good under Surovikin so Surovikin has absolutely nothing to do with whatever supply problems Wagner now has.
At least pretend to follow the subject, rather than endorsing obvious errors.

Posted by: anon2020 | May 1 2023 6:58 utc | 167

“Prigozhin has specifically stated …”
I think is is all theatrics.. very much in the spirit of his previous responses to inquires by western journos.

Posted by: Nomad | May 1 2023 7:14 utc | 168

Pepe Escobar provides a different interpretation of the Xi/Zelensky phone call, “What China Is Really Playing at in Ukraine”.
Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 30 2023 18:07 utc | 42
It would be interesting to see a follow up, combining Escobar’s analysis of Chinas economic interests in Ukraine with that of Oberst Reisners analysis of economic geography in Ukraine, in his youTube video on Lissychansk last summer.
Reisner stated that around 80% of the value created in Ukraine comes from the 20 % currently occupied by Russia. 90% if Russia were to capture the entire coast including Odessa.
If that were correct, than China, Blackrock, Monsanto, Cargill should be talking to Moscow rather than Kiew.
And fast, before the fields have all been mined, and mines and industrial infrastructure destroyed by bombs and artillery shells. Anybody interested in making money in Ukraine should be more interested in ending the shooting than in who to deal with for setting up their business…

Posted by: Marvin | May 1 2023 7:18 utc | 169

Posted by: uncle tungsten | May 1 2023 4:23 utc | 158
It looks like Marty from Amerika will launch an attack on Prigo and Wagner soon, he will express joy about their deaths like his joy when that guy was killed by an exploding doll in Russia, far from Ukr.
Other than that, not as much action as people were reporting on telegram last night, using info from Ukr (!) about many many many strategic bombers in flight. Another Ukr fake to make it look like they repelled a great attack but only a few missiles arrived, just to keep Russians thinking there was a revenge for the recent attacks and civilian deaths.
And the Pope is on a special secret mission to return children stolen by Russians to Ukr! He lost his supply

Posted by: rk | May 1 2023 7:33 utc | 170

Chronicle of strikes and mutual shelling in the SMO zone during the night from April 30 to May 1, 2023
▪️At night hours, the RF Armed Forces attacked targets on the territory of Ukraine: local residents reported the sounds of explosions in Kyiv, Dnepropetrovsk, Khmelnitsky and Kharkov regions.
▪️Russian troops hit the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Nikolaevka, Galaganovka and Leonovka, Chernihiv region, as well as in Progress, Druzhba and Bachevsk, Sumy region.
▪️In the Kharkiv region, the Russian Armed Forces attacked enemy targets in Krasnaya Zara, Veterinary and Strelechya.
▪️In the Starobelsk direction, the Russian troops worked on the clusters of personnel and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Novomlynsk, Dvurechnaya and Torskoy.
▪️In the Bakhmut (Artyomovsk) direction, Russian missile forces and artillery hit the concentration sites of Ukrainian units in Bakhmut, Krasny and Konstantinovka.
▪️In the Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces attacked enemy positions in Avdiivka, Tonenkoe and Severny.
In turn, Ukrainian formations from cannon artillery fired at residential buildings and civilian facilities in Mikhailovka, Donetsk, Gorlovka and Makeyevka.
▪️In the Yuzhnodonetsk direction, Russian troops worked on targets in Ugledar, Vremyevka and Zolotaya Niva.
▪️In the Zaporozhye region, the Russian Armed Forces attacked enemy positions in Novoandreevka, Gulyaipole and Malaya Tokmachka.
▪️In the Dnepropetrovsk region, Russian troops delivered precise strikes on the AFU warehouse in Pavlograd: ammunition detonated and a large fire occurred at the facility.
▪️On the southern sector of the front, the RF Armed Forces hit enemy concentrations in Kherson, Belozerka and Kizomys.
At night, Ukrainian formations attacked residential buildings in Nova Kakhovka.
https://twitter.com/djuric_zlatko/status/1652923538192453633

Posted by: unimperator | May 1 2023 7:37 utc | 171

uncle tungsten | May 1 2023 4:23 utc | 158
The death and destruction of the Ukroid forces in Bakhmut is something to behold in history. When the west mutters about pulling out of Bakhmut, the louder the cries from the cook of woe is me. If things were at a stalemate there, it would be easier to believe the Matryoshka.
I watched drone video of a Ukroid trench the other day. Bodies everywhere. not one of them was alive. All killed by artillery.
The cooks job is to suck in all reserves for the upcoming anglo offensive and destroy them in Bakhmut.
As with he American president, Putin is CIC for the Russian military. If there was a problem it would be corrected.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2023 7:39 utc | 172

Hi folks, have you noticed an increase in troll concerns re Prigozhin’s alleged attacks on the RF forces? Interestingly, none of these allegations have been picked up by the usual Russian commentators that haven’t held back previously, so I’m inclined to be it’s typical NAFO bullshit.
Or that Russia still trades with Western nations, and shock/horror even pays Ukraine for gas transit!!!
Since war hasn’t been declared, Russia is not acting as a war economy. Yet, the Western economies have been devastated by self-inflicted wounds. Russia has proved that it can completely decimate the West economically if it chooses to turn the screw as well as prove to the rest of the Global South that Russia is a dependable trading partner.
What I do know for sure is, there’s less Ukrainian/mercenaries on the ground today than there was yesterday and there will be even less tomorrow. Yay!

Posted by: Suresh | May 1 2023 7:43 utc | 173

guardian runs a article today showing a funeral from the ukraine s300 air defence that hit the apartment complex the other day. has a whole story of the human grief as it claims it was a russian missile that targeted civilians. all the while crickets on the real donbass civilians targeted daily. these western liars deserve everything coming to them and i will be cheering the monoliths demise

Posted by: hankster | May 1 2023 7:52 utc | 174

Paul Greenwood | May 1 2023 5:02 utc | 161
“Whether Prigozhin‘s real business is catering or crime remains to be seen.”….
Consider what we are witnessing. Read Patrick Armstrong’s “Putin once dreamed the American Dream”.
The Americans and Brits are too full of themselves to study their opponents. Like in MMA, the trash talking loudmouths. The cook cranks them up and draws them in. Like Dier Ezzor, Bakhmut has been set up as a kill zone.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 1 2023 7:59 utc | 175

If that were correct, than China, Blackrock, Monsanto, Cargill should be talking to Moscow rather than Kiev. Anybody interested in making money in Ukraine should be more interested in ending the shooting than in who to deal with for setting up their business
Posted by: Marvin | May 1 2023 7:18 utc | 177
China is talking to the actual owner of Ukr. Russia will rebuild their 20% of former Ukr alone, the big money is on the other 80%, the US part of Ukr. Rebuild and continue war in Donbass, the fee to keep Taiwan for a few years more. What else could Xi and Lula want with their impossible piss plan that returns Donbass to Zely? Not even Iranian friends recognize Donbass as Russian, only Syria does.

Posted by: rk | May 1 2023 8:04 utc | 176

Noam Chomsky: Russia is fighting more humanely than the US did in Iraq
(…) According to Chomsky, Russia is acting with restraint and moderation. He compares Russia’s way of fighting with the US’s during the 2003 invasion of Iraq, arguing that large-scale destruction of infrastructure seen in that conflict “hasn’t happened in Ukraine”. He adds: “Undoubtedly Russia could do it, presumably with conventional weapons. [Russia] could make Kyiv as unliveable as Baghdad was, could move in to attacking supply lines in western Ukraine.” (…)
Delegations of UN inspectors had to be withdrawn once the invasion of Iraq began, he says, “because the attack was so severe and extreme… That’s the US and British style of war.” Chomsky adds: “Take a look at casualties. All I know is the official numbers… the official UN numbers are about 8,000 civilian casualties [in Ukraine]. How many civilian casualties were there when the US and Britain attacked Iraq?” (…)
“When the US and Britain were smashing Baghdad to pieces, did any foreign leaders go to visit Baghdad? No, because when the US and Britain go to war, they go for the jugular. They destroy everything: communications, transportation, energy, shock and awe – anything that makes society function.” (…)
“>https://archive.ph/2MTQN#selection-1945.160-1953.56

Posted by: Apollyon | May 1 2023 8:31 utc | 177

171 – Yes, like blocking a kick by using your rib cage.

Posted by: Waldorf | May 1 2023 8:50 utc | 178

Interesting point Noam, namely that the USA were unjustified in invading Iraq.
Does that mean that Russia gets a Mulligan on invading Ukraine? (sorry, not an invasion, a “liberation” from the Zionist-Capitalist Nazis regime running it)
Like the Nazis and Soviets arguing over who was responsible for the Katyn Massacre.
Like a couple of crackheads who break into a house and murder a whole family later arguing about which one of them strangled grandma.
There was no justification for the US in Iraq just as there is no justification for what Russia is doing in Ukraine.

Posted by: Noam A. Larkey | May 1 2023 8:51 utc | 179

“There was no justification for the US in Iraq just as there is no justification for what Russia is doing in Ukraine.”
The Ukros killed Russians in Eastern Ukraine.

Posted by: Apollyon | May 1 2023 9:01 utc | 180

Posted by: Mark2 | May 1 2023 6:36 utc | 172
I agree. Well said.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | May 1 2023 9:18 utc | 181

Probably beating a dead horse, but Military summary channel said that Ukraine was probably trying to transfer the new Nato brigades from the vicinity of Poltava on rails through Pavlograd and Sinkovka to the front line. They have already transferred 1 of 15 or whatever mech brigades there. So Russia hit Pavlograd.
Pavlograd is also a central hub for supplying Slavyansk, Kramatorsk and Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk in the east (which support Avdeevka, Maryinka etc.), and Orekhov/Gulyapole in the south. There’s supposedly an 80000 army in the vicinity of Bakhmut and if there is no rail, trucks would be the only way to transfer supplies which is very inefficient and means all those end points and sectors may be suffering chronical supply shortages.

Posted by: unimperator | May 1 2023 9:20 utc | 182

Russia being one step behind as usual, have not even take measures to secure the railroad carrying cargo to the front after 14 months of war! Or matter of fact of 9 years of war! What did I tell you…
Explosive device causes train derailment in Russian border region
A cargo train has veered off track in Russia’s Bryansk Region, according to local governor

https://swentr.site/russia/575603-bryansk-ukraine-train-derailment/
There is an obvious regime change coming to Russia, perhaps even Ukraine will be involved in it considering Russia is left unprepared for anything to happen obviously.

Posted by: Zeron | May 1 2023 9:42 utc | 183

All Syrsky’s statements about successful counterattacks in Bakhmut are not true, in two days we lost control over the military unit / medical college and the private sector in the west of the city.
The General Staff expects tonight the main battles for the main fortified area of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Bakhmut, part of the high-rise buildings are already mined and should stop the advance of the Russian army.
Syrsky personally commands the defense of the city, his task is to keep Bakhmut at any cost until May 9th.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/17541

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 9:43 utc | 184

@Noam A. Larkey
Ukraine and the West wanted war and that’s what they got. I don’t understand the whining.

Posted by: Apollyon | May 1 2023 9:45 utc | 185

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky began to delay the counteroffensive in order to achieve the supply of fighter jets and long-range missiles. At headquarters, it was decided in May not to launch a counteroffensive in the south, but to try to organize a strike near Bakhmut.
The Biden administration opposes any operations on the eastern front and forbids the use of the supplied heavy equipment, but Syrsky assured Zelensky that he could return Bakhmut with a strike from Seversk near Soledar/Lysichansk.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/17544

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 9:45 utc | 186

Our source in the OP said that the GUR, together with British intelligence, prepared operations to destroy military airports in the Crimea and the Rostov region.
During the active phase of the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, UAVs and missile strikes on enemy military depots / airfields will be carried out in order to limit the use of aircraft.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/17543

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 9:47 utc | 187

https://strategic-culture.org/news/2023/04/30/last-offensive-of-kiev-regime/
This is an important article about the upcoming Ukranazi offensive. Salient points it claims:
1. The offensive is going to happen, and soon.
2. It will happen because it has been ordered by NATO and what the Elensky regime thinks is immaterial.
3. The offensive will be conducted by very large and well trained forces, both nazis and NATO regular troops in Ukranazistani uniform.
4. The offensive will be accompanied by massive attacks on Russian ships, airfields, and bases by drones and missiles.
5. The Ukranazis will try to cross the Dneiper at multiple points, if only to tie down Russian forces so that they cannot be diverted to fighting the main threat which will be
6. To try and cut off Crimea from Russia, both by destroying the Kerch bridge and by amphibious/airborne invasion of Crimea itself.
7. All Western media claims of the dire state of the Ukranazi conditions are disinformation to camouflage the coming offensive.
8. Russian intelligence is not deceived by any of the disinformation and Russian military is more than prepared to defeat the offensive.
9. If the offensive does achieve any success the result will be general mobilisation and declaration of war by Russia.
10. Either way this offensive will end in the devastation of Ukranazi military abilities.
I find the author’s claims of the Ukranazistani abilities to airlift and amphibious land forces totally unpersuasive, not only because they neither have the helicopters and landing ships available to conduct this operation but because any such airlift would provide a magnificent target for Russian air defences. The author claims that the first step would be to saturate Russian defences with drones to exhaust the missiles, but Russian electronic jamming has already significantly affected Ukranazi drones in Donetsk without using up missiles. To say nothing of SU 35s and 57s targeting slow flying helicopters with missiles from 150 kilometres away, which will happen.
To gather forces for this offensive itself will require significant transport, which by this stage cannot escape the notice of Russian satellites, and grouped troops and equipment would be great targets for air strikes. That might be part of what we saw today.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | May 1 2023 9:53 utc | 188

@165 Drinky Crow
Trump is a hustler, a con man, and not very bright.
If he gets a second term, it won’t be any better than his first. Probably a lot worse.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | May 1 2023 9:59 utc | 189

Shadowbanned @159 is of course correct: the Russian conduct in this conflict is explicable only in terms of protecting the oligarchs’ business interests in Ukranazistan. From 2014 to the time Surovikin began hitting the infrastructure, it was all primarily oriented towards protecting the oligarchs’ profits. Even now the Ukranazi electric infrastructure hasn’t been totally eliminated and Lukoil’s refinery in Bulgaria feeds Ukranazistan with its fuel, which is used to fight Russia. What can you make out of that?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | May 1 2023 10:07 utc | 190

Thanks RSH @ 189
That’s praise indeed, much valued.
That comment of mine though harsh was needed. The start of my spring counter offensive, regarding the presidential election.
Just to be clear their is no ligitamate candidate, as of course you know.
———————
Trump and Biden are as bad to the bone as one another. Devide and rule distraction, 4 more years closer to pergortory and nuclear conflagration.
If you support America (and why wouldn’t you, (if you were born their)
Support Vladimir Putin and Russia in this coming election.
To do otherwise is to distroy your own country as a traitor.
Purely for the advantage of the greedy psychopathic elite.
Like grunts in a meat grinder trench.
We are all better than that yes. Zelensky’s Uqraine will be the template for the US,wake up. Depopulation in progress.

Posted by: Mark2 | May 1 2023 10:18 utc | 191

The Western press woke up and began to write that the number of poor people in Ukraine has grown, the economy has “died”, and the future of people living in Ukraine seems tragic, since it will be even more difficult to survive.
We often write about this, warning Ukrainians to open their eyes and realize that it will only get worse.
This is indicated by:
1. All industrial heritage of the “bad” Soviet Union was completely destroyed. What else exists will be sold to multinational corporations for a penny.
2. The agricultural sector will die out. It will also be bankrupt and bought out by TNK
3. The country is in complete ruin
4. The economy and budget are supported by loans. Now Ukraine depends on 80% of Western money. As soon as they stop giving them, there will immediately be a default, the collapse of the hryvnia to the bottom and all the worst for the people.
5. The risk of a “hybrid famine” in the country due to the actions of the Office of the President remains.
6. The future of Ukraine is a fuel, energy and gas crisis – all the time.
7. Increasing prices and tariffs on an ongoing basis
8. Lawlessness of power. Criminalization and radicalism.
9. The extinction of the nation due to the fact that the proteges of TNCs destroyed the medical industry.
10. Degradation of the nation. Proteges of TNCs have been destroying education for a long time. The task is to make a stupid herd out of the Ukrainian nation.
11. Transformation of Ukrainians into a “crippled” nation. Already, hundreds of thousands of soldiers have become disabled, either physically or psychologically.
This is just the tip of the iceberg of problems that are growing daily.
We repeat: after all, Zelensky could simply fulfill the Minsk agreements and this “terrible dream” would not have happened.

https://t.me/legitimniy/15248

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 10:37 utc | 192

🇺🇸🇺🇦⚛️ About the construction of nuclear power units with SMR-160 reactors in Ukraine
Last week there was news about the signing of an agreement between the Ukrainian company Energoatom and the American Holtec Int. for the construction in Ukraine of 20 small-sized modular nuclear reactors of the SMR-160 type with a capacity of 160 MW
This should give the people of Ukraine confidence in the bright future of their own energy. But is it really so? Everything, lies in the details
🔻What is Holtec International?
▪️American Holtec produces equipment for handling spent nuclear fuel and services for decommissioning nuclear plants. They began to deal with small-sized nuclear reactors in 2010: now have only one project and no built prototypes
▪️In February 2018, it entered into a cooperation agreement with the GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy and in November 2021 with Hyundai Engineering & Construction for cooperation in the construction of the first SMR-160 modular reactor in 2029 at the closed Oyster Creek nuclear power plant in the US
▪️Holtec Int has no facilities for the construction of reactors or licenses from the US government for such activities, nor a complete list of necessary competencies , especially in the field of managing large projects. The company is trying to compensate for the latter with international cooperation
🔻About the SMR-160 reactor
▪️SMR-160 is a fully factory-made pressurized water reactor. All equipment and security systems are located in a rugged housing buried underground. During the operation of the station, it is completely sealed
▪️The design of the SMR-160 is devoid of pumps and is significantly simplified , and so does not require maintenance. Thus, it is expected to significantly reduce the cost of a nuclear reactor, as well as the time to put it into operation
❗️ Currently, Ukraine is an ideal testing ground for technology development and commercial operation. If the SMR-160 is built and works, then the image of “helping the people of Ukraine” will be good advertising. Failure or an accident carries a minimum of risks, but will allow them to gain invaluable experience
🔻 Why is Ukraine doing this?
▪️Most operating reactors NPPs of Ukraine are approaching end of life, and maintaining their performance requires increasing costs and with growing risk of accidents. The creation of new ones is too expensive and requires a large number of qualified specialists, which they lack
▪️The construction of power plants requires a developed and constantly operating industry capable of consuming the electricity generated by large power units
NPPs are base stations: they must operate at a constant power and cannot drastically increase and decrease generation. It seems the leadership of Ukraine doesn´t have illusions on this score – the revival of industry in the country is not planned
▪️The refusal to develop thermal energy indirectly indicates that the Ukrainian authorities have no hope for the appearance of cheap gas and coal in the future
▪️The operation of a nuclear plant requires many highly skilled engineers whose training for a poor country is becoming more costly and difficult
🔻Against this background, the possible construction of unattended modular small-sized nuclear power plants, along with the reconstruction of hydroelectric power plants and plans for the construction of stations from renewable energy sources, is a completely logical decision based on the current realities – deindustrialization and further degradation of the country . Directed not at development, but exclusively at maintaining the life of the remaining sectors of the economy

https://t.me/sitreports/7983

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 10:41 utc | 193

Georgia was not granted the status of a candidate for EU membership due to the fact that the leadership of the republic refused to join the sanctions against the Russian Federation, Secretary General of the ruling Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia party, Mayor of Tbilisi Kakha Kaladze said.
“The refusal to grant candidate status was a political decision, and society understood very well why this happened. The Georgian government is a problem for them because it does not join the sanctions, does not start a war, does not open a “second front” in the country,” he said.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/44102

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 10:45 utc | 194

Posted by: Down South | May 1 2023 10:37 utc | 200
You might have added the dire state of healthcare long before 2022, the prevalence of HIV and other infections across the population, the inability to care for crippled human casualties of war, the prevalence of drugs and production of synth opioids –
That is to ignore the human-organ harvesting and missing children from orphanages

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | May 1 2023 10:45 utc | 195

polarbear4 @ 156

i wonder if prigozhin is being prepped, perhaps without his knowledge, to challenge putin… he will have a lot of support from wagner…

This is historically what happens when you build a special elite corps not as part of the military but within it but apart. However, Wagner is still far from a Praetorian Guard and I really doubt this scenario will be at play here. If Russia falters at the coming western offensive then who knows, Russia does have a history of turbulent rule in crises.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | May 1 2023 10:50 utc | 196

Biswapriya Purkayast | May 1 2023 9:53 utc | 196:

I find the author’s claims of the Ukranazistani abilities to airlift and amphibious land forces totally unpersuasive, not only because they neither have the helicopters and landing ships available to conduct this operation but because any such airlift would provide a magnificent target…

Ah, but you’re wrong! I’ver heard from a “reliable source” (DW! lol) that Germany is supplying the Ukraine with “stealth kayaks”! Just visualize it if you can: a hundred thousand angry ter-bots furiously paddling across the Dnieper, seemingly levitating above the water due to the invisibility of their kayaks! Oh, the horror! Those Russians will surely flee in terror!
Or kill themselves from laughing too hard… whichever! It all adds up to a stunning Ukro upset victory.

Posted by: William Gruff | May 1 2023 10:59 utc | 197

Down South @ 201

The design of the SMR-160 is devoid of pumps and is significantly simplified , and so does not require maintenance. Thus, it is expected to significantly reduce the cost of a nuclear reactor, as well as the time to put it into operation

The neoliberal, digital economy wet dream: all the engineering, design, and construction, can be contracted out by a private equity, zero liability, shell corporation.
“You mean it doesn’t need a work force! What few people it needs I can out-source to a temp firm? A no mess, no bother NPP? Where do I sign!”
What could possibly go wrong?

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | May 1 2023 11:03 utc | 198

“In light of information released since he was arrested, it appears he was used, unwittingly, by CIA or the U.S. Defense Attache officers to collect information that he intended to publish in the Wall Street Journal. “

Source: https://sonar21.com/some-follow-up-analysis-on-jack-teixeira-and-evan-gershkovich/
Hahahahahaha, as I predicted repeatedly, Larry Johnson is being compelled to walk back his Gershkovich stand too. He had got all huffy when I asked him to wait and find our what evidence the Russians had before nailing his colours to the Gershkovich Cannot Possibly Be A Spy boat.
Sad for Johnson’s hyperventilating defenders here.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | May 1 2023 11:04 utc | 199

@William Gruff 205
I know. That’s going to be in my comic strip.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | May 1 2023 11:08 utc | 200