Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 16, 2023
Open (Not Ukraine) Thread 2023-62

News & views (not related to the war in Ukraine) …

Comments

“the SVB in particular put 2/3 of their investments in long-term USA bonds to “lock in” that margin. Now that inflation is high their depositors want 4-6% on their deposits, and all that the SVB is getting from their lending is 2-3%”
Posted by: jinn | Mar 17 2023 22:54 utc | 176
«Well your numbers are a bit off and unfortunately accuracy is critically important when it comes to accounting. […] Interest on lending (for banks) is still higher than interest on deposits»
In the case of the SVB that is quite inaccurate, because as I wrote “the SVB in particular put 2/3 of their investments in long-term USA bonds” which are fixed rate.
Some other banks may have lent more on shorter terms or at variable rates rather than long term fixed rate USA bonds, so they might able to maintain a positive spread between rates to depositors and rates to borrowers.
But this simply transfers the solvency problem of much higher nominal rates to those borrowers, and if enough of them default those banks will be bankrupt too, as it happens regularly in recessions.
What very few people are saying is that borrowing rates, especially for banks and property speculators, are still way below inflation, so they are quite negative in real terms, that is credit policy is very expansionist, and still this causes distress to the “Washington Consensus” economies.

Posted by: Blissex | Mar 18 2023 9:00 utc | 201

The downing of the Drone in the Black Sea was a warning to the US– and a sign the the US is losing not just in the Ukraine but globally and at home. What is destroying the US? The US is destroying itself, with a corrupt, delusional system based on exploitation, first of the poor at home, and then of everyone else on the planet. The bottom of the US pyramid is planetary. Each drone costs upwards of $32 million but is of limited value except for bombing wedding parties. Biden’s new defense budget is the largest in history. The Russians and Chinese are spending on education; the US, on over-engineered “defense” weaponry designed to fight WWII redux. an imaginary war.
https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/us-cannot-win-a-war-with-china-or
https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/dont-fear-the-reaper

Posted by: julianmacfarlane | Mar 18 2023 9:09 utc | 202

Jerr @ 191
Classic example of psychological projection from you there, Thanks.
When all else fails blame the other guy for what you just did. Brilliant but so transparent.
The backstop of the US psychopathy.
I enjoy spotting it becouse it shows just how desperate America is right now.
That’s a good thing. That’s sucsses for a peacefull world future.

Posted by: Mark2 | Mar 18 2023 12:18 utc | 203

Imran Kahn has been released due to Turbulent Conditions.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1742856/toshakhana-hearing-judge-permits-imran-to-go-back-after-marking-attendance-outside-judicial-complex

Posted by: too scents | Mar 18 2023 12:35 utc | 204

why did the ICC issue an arrest warrant for Putin?
https://ria.ru/20230317/order-1858733459.html
The issuance of the arrest warrant against Putin may be a legal ploy designed to be a defense capable to keep Russia from using the ICC as a place to indite war and bio lab criminals. The Russians may have facts, sufficient to prove many strong cases in their pockets, who knows? Prosecution must wait for the war to end but the defense might use the indictment against Putin to claim unless Russia presents Putin it will not allow Russia to use the court as a place to prosecute war criminals? Also this probably keeps Russia from joining, or becoming a party to the ICC agreement.
so likely we will see two different courts of universal justice, one in the East (with name not yet known) and the one now sitting in the west (ICC). I wonder if this issue will become one of the conditions of surrender?

Posted by: sally | Mar 18 2023 13:01 utc | 205

@sally | Mar 18 2023 13:01 utc | 204
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Map_of_the_Legal_systems_of_the_world_(en).png

Posted by: too scents | Mar 18 2023 13:14 utc | 206

Not to go all psychological, this outlandish Trump fixation must be the most revealing instance of projection ever in the history of “it wasn’t me.” A spirit rotten to the core externalizes a revealing self-image it draws as a Trump.

Posted by: Elmagnostic | Mar 18 2023 13:27 utc | 207

In Other news from New York City USSA. The home of the new rapid highly infectious SARS COVID-19 2032 sub variant. Now following the same route around the worlds as the 1917 H1N1 USSSA flu pandemic! Has moved to the southern hemisphere autumn/winter. season. This displaces the usual r southern winter USSA sourced flu pandemic. Please thank NYC, for their generous donation of the new very contagious sub variant to the rest of the world. .
It is said the city authorities are drafting in additional State and federal police including the entire contingent of the Cities riot police! This also includes in all probability. The NY state National Guard units and every Swat team in the state. Just to protect one Manhattan Federal Court house. To insure the safety of both the federal judicial officials. Plus one convicted company tax fraud person. From a probable remake of the January 6th,2021 riot rampaging furniture destroying flash mob. Consisting of the same yet to be convicted and or are out on bail pending DC Swamp court cases for bad anti-social behavior that day.
Flash news report. From the Crimea Peninsula. The three point three million natives of the peninsula are celebrating “Reunification Day” with an honored guest. Who traveled from Moscow. The three million plus natives of the peninsula are going wild. In celebrating their good fortune. They chose the right side! For freedom from corruption and paying double taxes plus additional payola on a daily basis to Kyiv’s Diktator Little “z”‘s poll tax. From 1991 to 2014.

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Mar 18 2023 13:39 utc | 208

Blissex
I wrote “the SVB in particular put 2/3 of their investments in long-term USA bonds” which are fixed rate.
___________________________________
Yes that is what you wrote, but anyone can make up numbers and write them.
The most recent balance sheet filings that I had seen didn’t show what you claim.
I would look at evidence for your numbers if you have any.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 18 2023 13:48 utc | 209

Mark2 | Mar 18 2023 12:18 utc | 202
Good Day
Xi Jinpung and George Bush are mirror images. Both reach out with their right hand but to each the other appears to be reaching out with their left.
Rest assured there is no difference. It’s just what side of the mirror you are on that makes you think the other is different. Xi Jinping wants his Vassal State and Putin is the first vassal.
All who preach globalism be, they capitalist or communist, seek to create their vassal states. If you accept globalism be prepared to accept your vassalage.

Posted by: Jerr | Mar 18 2023 15:07 utc | 210

From a ZH posting

Germany’s Minister of Health Karl Lauterbach, who once claimed that COVID-19 vaccination is free of side effects, admitted last week that he was wrong, saying adverse reactions occur at a rate of one in 10,000 doses and can cause “severe disabilities.”

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 18 2023 15:12 utc | 211

Not to go all psychological, this outlandish Trump fixation must be the most revealing instance of projection ever in the history of “it wasn’t me.” A spirit rotten to the core externalizes a revealing self-image it draws as a Trump.
Posted by: Elmagnostic | Mar 18 2023 13:27 utc | 206

Trump, or whatever the local variant in every country is called, is just someone who’s needed for the 2 minutes of hate. Trump had his chance to clean house but he did nothing.

Posted by: Vikichka | Mar 18 2023 15:35 utc | 212

Elon Musk tweets that if they arrest Trump next week it will be a great kickoff for his Presidential campaign, which could lead to yet another opportunity to vote a big middle finger to the establishment.

Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Mar 18 2023 16:23 utc | 213

SwissArmyMan @ 212

if they arrest Trump next week

Imran Trump

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 18 2023 17:00 utc | 214

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Mar 18 2023 13:39 utc | 208
Unconfirmed is a statement from the Courthouse along the following lines:

It’s not election interference when we do it, it’s only when the Russians do it…

Perhaps Christopher Steele could prepare a dossier somewhere…

Posted by: West of England Andy | Mar 18 2023 20:40 utc | 215

Below is a current posting title at Reuters
Trump says he expects to be arrested on Tuesday, calls for protests
The Hollywood show continues.
The bone spur grifter of American trust fund children has been caught with his pants down by the puppets and zombies of The God Of Mammon cult.
So, between now and Tuesday it will be like watching the OJ car chase on the freeway but longer….what a hoot.
The dog barked and barked and barked but the RoW caravan rolled on…..

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 18 2023 21:47 utc | 216

Blade Runner
Sorry so late to the thread but if any of the Blade Runner fans are still here, you may be fascinated with the story of how it was made:
Dangerous Days: Making Blade Runner (2007)

The definitive three-and-a-half hour documentary about the troubled creation and enduring legacy of the science fiction classic Blade Runner (1982), culled from 80 interviews and hours of never-before-seen outtakes and lost footage.

I’ve been entranced with this documentary for years – it’s not dry, it’s almost its own art form I think. It’s totally absorbing to watch this unique film take appearance in our, previously ordinary, world

Posted by: Grieved | Mar 18 2023 23:04 utc | 217

jinn | Mar 18 2023 13:48 utc | 209
To me, it seems the substantive issue about the Fed’s bonds that banks are holding, is that the interest rates on older bonds are so much lower than the current rate they have to be sold at a steep discount, below par value.
The banks have not sold these bonds because they want to keep them at par value on their books. If they sold them below par most would not be able to maintain liquidity. If banks could hold onto these bonds until they reached maturity there probably would be no major issue. However, this does not seem to be the case for many banks.
This is not just a SVB issue but one with all banks especially where government bonds are a major part of their liquidity.
The Federal Reserve appears to be basing all their decisions on raising rates based on inflation considerations; and seem to ignore bank liquidity issues. The Fed’s recent action in raising rates again may well precipitate a major new banking crisis.

Posted by: Jerr | Mar 18 2023 23:51 utc | 218

starting to be apparent now mexico shows interest in BRICS usa talks up invading it. why human rights isis no, its the cartels. perfect reason as they are every boogeyman rolled into one. even more powerful militarily than the mexican army. why? well usa armed them of course under obama fast and furious. and let them human traffic for cheap labour and dem voters, how else would all the drugs get in without them , everyone gotta get paid.

Posted by: hankster | Mar 19 2023 0:24 utc | 219

Posted by: Jerr | Mar 18 2023 23:51 utc | 218
If banks could hold onto these bonds until they reached maturity there probably would be no major issue.
_______________________________________________________________________
That is exactly the best thing for the people who rely on banks to make payments and deposit their pay checks. And the whole notion that banks should be behaving like wall street hedge funds is exactly the worst thing for the same people.
Here is what the federal statutes say:

(a) The Congress finds that—
(1) regulated financial institutions are required by law to demonstrate that their deposit facilities serve the convenience and needs of the communities in which they are chartered to do business;
(2) the convenience and needs of communities include the need for credit services as well as deposit services; and
(3) regulated financial institutions have continuing and affirmative obligation to help meet the credit needs of the local communities in which they are chartered. USC chap 12 sec 2901

This is not just a SVB issue but one with all banks especially where government bonds are a major part of their liquidity.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 0:27 utc | 220

Russian officials openly admitted they are pussies and will do everything to prevent rising of food prices in EU. This is what countries with weak leadership would do.

Posted by: Random Crash | Mar 19 2023 0:31 utc | 221

Posted by: Grieved | Mar 18 2023 23:04 utc | 217
Thanks very much for that notice. Have a virtual tipple on me, but if we ever meet in a real bar I’ll buy you a real drink!
Your link is to just a 1 minute 35 trailer. I found the full length 3 hours 34 here:
https://archive.org/details/dangerous.days.making.blade.runner.2007.480p.dvdrip.aac.h.265sermov

Posted by: Walt | Mar 19 2023 0:34 utc | 222

Posted by: hankster | Mar 19 2023 0:24 utc | 219

….mexico shows interest in BRICS usa talks up invading it.

They have applied. Load up the popcorn.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8PxzMJQVds0

Posted by: Walt | Mar 19 2023 0:39 utc | 223

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 0:27 utc | 220
I hit the post button accidentally before I finished.
We have seen this before. In the 1980’s under Reagan many small savings and loan were wiped out with the same maneuver. Banks are supposed to be a service to the communities they operate in. If people just roll over and except what the narrative tells you banks are it will be just one more opportunity for the 1% to screw the 99%.
This is just a prelude to wiping out all the small banks because they are all now loaded up with assets that have long maturities and low interest rates. The govt is supposed to be protecting these banks in exchange for the services they provide. But oh no that would be socialism so we can’t have that anymore.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 0:45 utc | 224

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 18 2023 17:00 utc | 214
“Imran Trump”
Same as the ICC is trying to do to Imran Putin.

Posted by: Menz | Mar 19 2023 1:00 utc | 225

@Tom_Q_Collins,
You may recall our conversation re Texas Senate bill 147 which would bar citizens of China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia From Land ownership in Texas.
Well, here is a sister bill to bar those — from the same countries — studying at state universities. H.B. 4736

Legislation designed to exclude certain foreign nationals from American universities is often predicated on security concerns. But those concerns are largely overblown. What’s more, bills like H.B. 4736 would punish foreigners who are, in many cases, deliberately building lives far away from their repressive countries. Ultimately, their civil liberties shouldn’t have to suffer as American politicians take aim at foreign powers.

https://reason.com/2023/03/18/texas-bill-would-bar-citizens-of-china-iran-north-korea-and-russia-from-studying-at-state-universities/
Yo, what’s up Texas?

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Mar 19 2023 2:10 utc | 226

nn | Mar 19 2023 0:45 utc | 224
Very well stated. Good insight on the US banking situation created by the Fed.
However, their is an unspoken cyber war going on in the banking sector; the effects of which can only be surmised at this point. Some hints I’ve heard center on insufficient fund calls on customers savings, atm/checking and credit card charges. It’s related to the bank’s liquidity but something else is also going on.

Posted by: Jerr | Mar 19 2023 2:38 utc | 228

Beijing would never see Moscow as its peer and now covet its resources and coastline.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/03/18/putins-choice-vassal-xis-china

Posted by: Mirayl | Mar 19 2023 3:07 utc | 229

@Zorc | Mar 16 2023 21:52 utc | 21
Russia’s budget is mostly funded by oil industry tax revenues. Its budget is based around oil at $70 per barrel. The oil cap set by Europe for oil is $60 per barrel. Meanwhile, India and China are buying Russian oil at $35 or less per barrel.
Yes, Russia is so suffering from Western sanctions, blah blah. But according to Bloomberg

Russia’s oil-export revenues surged to around $20 billion in May despite shipping lower volumes, as a rally in global energy prices buoyed its coffers, according to the International Energy Agency.
That’s a 11% increase from a month earlier, taking Russia’s total revenue for shipping crude and oil products roughly back to levels before the invasion of Ukraine, even as exports fell by about 3%, the IEA estimates in its monthly report published Wednesday.

(Emphasis added.)
In other words, Russia is surviving just fine despite the Western sanctions. This is obvious, so obvious that even Bloomberg — a propagandist organization as pro-Western as they come — is grudgingly saying it. If even frequent liar Bloomberg is admitting that Russia isn’t hurting much, the reality is probably that Putin’s country must be doing well.
And Russia is poised to do even better in the rest of 2023. As the International Energy Authority says,

world oil demand growth is set to accelerate sharply over the course of 2023, from 710 kb/d in 1Q23 to 2.6 mb/d in 4Q23

In other words, oil demand will more than triple this year. Russia will be getting an oil bonanza — almost exactly the reverse of Zorc’s propaganda.

Posted by: Cyril | Mar 19 2023 4:11 utc | 230

Posted by: Mirayl | Mar 19 2023 3:07 utc | 229
Of course you’d see it fit to regurgitate US propaganda designed to create conflict between China and Russia.
China has 1.44 billion problems to settle without any need to covert the lands of other countries.

Posted by: Surferket | Mar 19 2023 4:47 utc | 231

@ jinn | Mar 17 2023 17:15 utc | 139
Official FDIC graph of unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities… Total losses during 2022 amounts to 2T USD plus… Disregard the article, simply note the FDIC graph as it correlates with rise of interest rate.
https://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2023/03/10/fdic-closes-svb-sunday-night-bailout-looms/#sthash.fhBpeKTa.dpbs

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 5:13 utc | 232

Surferket | Mar 19 2023 4:47 utc | 231
Except Tibet. And Arunachal Pradesh. And Aksai Chin. And the Shaksam Valley. And Formosa. And the Penghu islands. And the Spratley isles. And the Paracel islands. And the Kinmen islands. And the Matsu islands.

Posted by: James Smith | Mar 19 2023 5:13 utc | 233

ARTE News did a story on Friday night about Roger Waters, the kernel of truth being the threatened cancellation of Waters’s scheduled concert in Frankfurt. But the purpose of the piece is clearly not to inform viewers, but to format them. They story begins by saying that “[Waters] no longer hides his anti-Semitic positions.” A German rabbi is the key interviewee, and he repeats the accusations of anti-Semitism, condemning Waters’s famous pig prop emblazoned with a Star of David, not mentioning the fact that it also features a Crucifix, Crescent and Star, Hammer and Sickle, Shell Oil Logo, McDonald’s Sign, Dollar Sign and Mercedes sign and not addressing Waters’s clearly formulated defense (https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/roger-waters-addresses-star-of-david-controversy-61250/) in which he directly addresses the issue of accusations of anti-Semitism being used to silence critics of the State of Israel and its policies and states that the Star of David represents the State of Israel. ARTE’s French translation has the rabbi accuse Waters of “Inciting racial hatred” – a crime in France, though the rabbi seems only to use the term “anti-Semitism.”
Having established Waters as an anti-Semite, the story goes on to mention Waters’s video appearance before the UN was “at Putin’s request” and treats his charges that the Ukraine war was provoked, as if the mere idea was proof of his mental incompetence. The only commentary is a derisive comment from the rabbi, maintaining the illusion that the story is about Waters’s views on Israel. There again, nothing is done to present Waters’s point of view, again despite the fact that his intelligently articulated stand on Ukraine can be easily found by any first-year high school student who takes the trouble to look.
The fact that Roger Waters is an intelligent and visible critic of US/NATO policy is the real motivation of a “news” story like this one, and the point of it is not to inform us of the controversy surrounding attempts to cancel Waters’s concerts, but to discredit him and silence his criticism of that policy. The ARTE “news” story is here: https://www.arte.tv/fr/videos/114038-000-A/roger-waters-pas-tres-bienvenu-en-allemagne/
A story in The Guardian about Waters’s challenging the legality of the attempts to cancel his concerts: https://www.theguardian.com/music/2023/mar/16/roger-waters-threatens-legal-action-over-german-concert-cancellations

Posted by: Gene Poole | Mar 19 2023 5:49 utc | 234

Cyril, that article is from June 2022. Now’s March 2023 and the market prices of Russian oil are between 3400₽ and 5100₽.
Also :
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/03/17/russian-aluminium-giants-profit-plummets-almost-45-a80528

Posted by: Krame | Mar 19 2023 6:09 utc | 235

From Xinhuanet about coming Xi trip to Russia…..last section of long posting

FOR EQUITY AND JUSTICE
Back in 2013, Xi chose Russia as the destination of his first overseas trip after becoming president. In his speech at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations during that visit, Xi called for building a new type of international relations with win-win cooperation at the core, stressing the mankind “has increasingly emerged as a community of shared future in which everyone has in himself a little bit of others.”
The vision of building a community with a shared future for mankind not only reflects the common voice of all peoples and gathers the broad consensus of the international community, but also leads the trend of the times and the way forward for mankind. Since it was proposed, the notion has been enshrined repeatedly in important documents of the United Nations, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and other multilateral mechanisms.
“Ten years have passed, and we understand that the notion’s relevance has not decreased but is becoming more and more important,” said Anatoly Torkunov, president of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, who applauded Xi’s speech at the scene in 2013.
The world has now come to another historical crossroads.
To revert to a Cold War mentality, provoke division and antagonism, and stoke confrontation between blocs, or to act out of the common good of humanity to promote equality, mutual respect and win-win cooperation — the tug of war between these two trends is testing the wisdom of statesmen in major countries as well as the reason of the entire humanity. Facts have repeatedly proven that containment and suppression is unpopular, and sanction and interference is doomed to fail.
At the critical moment in human history, Xi has made the important judgment that “the world today is undergoing profound changes unseen in a century,” while Putin has also made similar assessment at the Valdai Discussion Club.
The more turbulent the world is, the more steadily China-Russia relations should forge ahead.
As the founding countries of the SCO, both sides have pushed forward multilateral cooperation, and extended the organization’s focus from security to politics, economy as well as people-to-people and cultural exchanges. They have made joint contributions to a better world order, global and regional development, as well as the security of the SCO members.
Under the BRICS mechanism, Beijing and Moscow, together with other members, have played an active role in advancing the reforms of the global economic governance, and jointly created a stronger voice on major international and regional issues. Those efforts have enabled the emerging economies and developing nations to have more of a say on the world stage. And the developing economies, represented by the BRICS countries, have become the new engine of economic globalization in today’s world afflicted by rising populism and protectionism.
China and Russia, as permanent members of the UN Security Council as well as important parties of the Group of 20, APEC and other key global and regional groups, have also worked closely on issues related to the situation in the Korean Peninsula, Afghanistan, as well as the Iran nuclear issue. They have played a leading role in promoting multipolarity and greater democracy in international relations and safeguarding global strategic balance and stability.
Ten years on, China will continue to work together with Russia to follow the trend of the times, drive global unity and cooperation and contain division and confrontation so as to make new and greater contribution to peace and development of humanity.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 19 2023 6:59 utc | 236

Below is a Xinhuanet posting showing that China is stepping into the global leadership position

BEIJING, March 17 (Xinhua) — The Global Civilization Initiative, proposed by Chinese President Xi Jinping, will inject fresh and strong energy into the common development and progress of human society in a world fraught with multiple challenges and crises.
Elaborating on the new initiative at the CPC in Dialogue with World Political Parties High-Level Meeting on Wednesday, Xi, also general secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee, called for respecting the diversity of civilizations, advocating the common values of humanity, valuing the inheritance and innovation of civilizations, and strengthening international people-to-people exchanges and cooperation.
The initiative is another major public product provided to the world by China after the Global Development Initiative and the Global Security Initiative, both put forward by Xi, in 2021 and 2022, respectively.
In the history of humanity, over thousands of years, various civilizations have come into being, developed, and have in return promoted the overall development of human society. Diversity has been a prominent feature of civilizations.
In spite of differences in histories, cultures, political systems and development phases, countries around the world share the common aspiration for peace, development, equity, justice, democracy and freedom — the common values of humanity.
People need to keep an open mind in appreciating how different civilizations perceive values, and refrain from imposing their own values or models on others, and from stoking ideological confrontation.
As the world is facing old and new challenges, there are more reasons for us to promote dialogue and consultation when addressing international issues, and to let cultural exchanges transcend estrangement, mutual learning transcend clashes, and coexistence transcend feelings of superiority.
Spanning thousands of miles, the ancient Silk Road has embodied the spirit of cooperation, mutual learning and mutual benefit. The year 2023 marks the 10th anniversary of China’s proposal of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), another public good which has brought tangible benefits to people of participating countries and promoted people-to-people exchanges.
The diversity of civilizations is in nature a source of vitality and momentum in human development. Promoting people-to-people exchanges and mutual learning is of great value in summoning the enormous wisdom and energy needed to advance the progress and development of human civilizations.
The BRI has delivered fruitful outcomes and won widespread support and participation. It has created jobs, improved infrastructure and promoted common development, especially in developing countries.
Security is the precondition for development. The Global Security Initiative calls for peacefully resolving differences and disputes between countries through dialogue and consultation, and supporting all efforts conducive to the peaceful settlement of crises.
The recent Saudi Arabia-Iran dialogue in Beijing is a successful case of the practice of the Global Security Initiative, leading to the resumption of diplomatic ties between the two countries.
The future of all countries are closely and increasingly connected. And tolerance, coexistence, exchanges and mutual learning among different civilizations play an irreplaceable role in advancing humanity’s modernization process.
To realize a world with lasting peace and ever-improving welfare, we should embrace the Global Civilization Initiative and draw on it to jointly create a better, shared future for humanity.
A single flower does not make spring, while one hundred flowers in full blossom bring spring to the garden. Together, we can make the garden of world civilizations full of colors and life.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 19 2023 7:02 utc | 237

@ jinn | Mar 17 2023 17:45 utc | 143
What happened on March 06 2022.
…”Today’s $48 billion auction stood out in yet another way: the stop-out yield of 4.97% was the highest for a six-month offering since January 2007.
“Generally, intermediate bills have struggled to generate investor demand due to risks associated with the prospects of a more hawkish Fed, and uncertainty about the debt ceiling,” Jefferies economists Thomas Simons and Aneta Markowska say in a note. “However, with the small cut in supply for 3s, and the high outright yield levels offered, the auctions did a bit better today”
As a reminder, the yield on six-month bills initially rose above 5% on Feb. 14, making it the first US government obligation to reach that threshold in 16 years. That yield is slightly higher than those on 4-month and one-year bills, which according to BBG reflect reflecting concerns over the trajectory of Fed rate hikes and the risk that Congress will fail to raise the debt ceiling before Treasury exhausts its cash reserves.”
Quote from an article

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 7:07 utc | 238

@ @ jinn | Mar 17 2023 17:45 utc | 143
My mistake – March 06 2023

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 7:16 utc | 239

@ jinn | Mar 18 2023 0:22 utc | 179
Note the date of this article Jinn
https://mises.org/wire/odds-are-rising-fed-will-trigger-next-bust

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 8:19 utc | 240

@Krame | Mar 19 2023 6:09 utc | 235
Cyril, that article is from June 2022.
Yes, my mistake. But my conclusion still stands.
Now’s March 2023 and the market prices of Russian oil are between 3400₽ and 5100₽.
According to this article, just ten days ago the WTI price for crude was $80 per barrel. Now it’s $67. As I will show, the drop will actually be more harmful to the West than to the Russians.
The article’s explanation for the sudden “selloff” is that a new “global crisis” may be happening. My interpretation is that perhaps the recent banking failures are just the start of the crisis. If a Depression-like financial crash should occur, this would seriously damage NATO. Russia would be scarcely affected — as the West has done its best already to remove and isolate the Russians from the global financial system.
If a banking crash should happen, Russia would do better than NATO. If there is no crash, and the IEA’s prediction of a tripling of global oil demand should happen instead, then Russia would also do better than NATO. Thus what Zorc said was pure propaganda.

Posted by: Cyril | Mar 19 2023 8:42 utc | 241

@ jinn | Mar 17 2023 17:15 utc | 139
What happened on March 10 2023.
Way before, 42B USD were withdrawn from SVB in 24 hours by deposit holders…
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-09/svb-plunges-most-since-1998-on-stock-offering-securities-sales

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 9:36 utc | 242

@ jinn | Mar 17 2023 17:15 utc | 139
Here is a statement in regards to SVB misfortunes, Jinn
https://dfpi.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/sites/337/2023/03/DFPI-Orders-Silicon-Valley-Bank-03102023.pdf?emrc=bedc09
Here is an article in regards to some of your questions to me
https://dailyreckoning.com/is-mmt-now-official-policy/
I guess You have got a lots to cover. Use your time Jinn

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 11:10 utc | 243

James Smith | Mar 19 2023 5:13 utc | 233
You disingenuously cite these territories as if China is the only claimant. This plays into the narrative of China as the aggressive bully hellbent on land grabbing. The border conflict with India is ongoing and Taiwan has similar claims. The islands in the South China Sea are also claimed by Taiwan, in addition Vietnam, Japan and Philippines are active participants in the dispute.

Posted by: Jun | Mar 19 2023 11:32 utc | 244

@ jinn | Mar 18 2023 0:22 utc | 179
In relation to premiums to international bond holders and how it effects FED’s cash flow…
https://economicprism.com/what-comes-after-the-great-liquidation/

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 11:49 utc | 245

UBS shareholders are setup to hold CS’s bags.

The government is preparing emergency measures to allow the takeover to proceed at pace and plans to introduce legislation that will bypass the normal six-week consultation period required for UBS shareholders, the newspaper reported.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-19/ubs-offers-to-buy-credit-suisse-at-chf0-25-shr-in-ubs-stock-ft

Posted by: too scents | Mar 19 2023 12:36 utc | 246

Silicon valley Bank was buying Treasuries because there was no productive place to make a loan. Parking in Treasuries has always been the no brainer no effort place to park money. A good return is not expected.
SVB was doing VC/startup loans. Which are productive. More basically they are gambling.
SVB had major exposure to mortgage backed securities. Which are the same jerry-rigged house of cards they were in 2007-2008. Few homes are selling and those that do sell go to those who pay cash. Very few original mortgages to be made. BlackRock stopped acquiring residential realty late last year removing the backstop from the market.
The program in view is to eliminate all banks but Chase, Citi, Goldman, BoA, and Wells Fargo. Those will be nationalized in all but name. Bank Mellon, Morgan Stanley, a few others may have some continuing role on a lower level or different level.
I don’t have numbers at hand – maybe someone else does? Chinese acquisitions of real estate in US once made sense as a safe refuge. With yellow peril being trumpeted and war alarms that market should be dead.

Posted by: oldhippie | Mar 19 2023 12:58 utc | 247

I don’t have numbers at hand – maybe someone else does?
Posted by: oldhippie | Mar 19 2023 12:58 utc | 247

My feeling is that we are well past the point that financial numbers have any meaning.
Everything now leans on the Social Contract.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 19 2023 13:23 utc | 248

Posted by: jinn | Mar 18 2023 0:22 utc | 179
I already explained that I extract that parts that are coherent statements and respond. The parts I don’t understand – I don’t know what I can do with them…
– Fare enough. I have dug out more info for you, Jinn.
I make a detailed statement and you respond with
“Financing taxation shortfall in treasury for government spending / budget, eats it all up. Propping up pyramid to repay premiums to bond holders all over the world, consumes even more.”
– I have posted some useful links to knowledgebase, Jinn.
Eats what up? What is getting consumed? What pyramid? What premiums? Where did any of that come from? Those sentences don’t even begin to make any sense in response to anything I said, but you seem to think they do. And those weren’t the only sentences I can’t comprehend.
– Those were highly condensed reply to your assumptions on cash flow distribution inside FED/TREASURY/BANKS
I could very easily just assume you are jerking my chain by replying with gobbledygook and just give you the finger, but I gave you the benefit of doubt that you are actually trying to say something meaningful.
– I do appreciate the benefit of doubt from you Jinn. I have pointed out on how knowledgebase is crucial. Yet most of your interactions mentioning “pundits” in a negative way…
Now. Are you prepared to talk Derivatives ?
Derivatives are the reasons behind recent collapse of SVB. Derivatives is a legalised financial betting/scheming on much broader field of economic values. Here is a excerpt from early March…
In the end, those shorting Silvergate – which recall emerged as the most shorted stock in early February – ended up being right, and the bank’s last ditch discussions with the FDIC for a hail mary rescue didn’t go quite as expected. Silvergate Capital said it intends to wind down operations and voluntarily liquidate the bank in an orderly manner and in accordance with applicable regulatory processes. The firm opened for business in 1988 to make loans to industrial clients, and filings show that it dealt in conventional services such as commercial and residential real estate lending. But in 2013, the La Jolla, California-based company started to pursue crypto clients.
With its crypto business growing, Silvergate went public in 2019, telling investors in its prospectus to expect an even bigger shift toward crypto. Eventually the company’s Silvergate Exchange Network helped attract $11.9 billion in digital assets held as deposits as of Sept. 30.
As Bloomberg reports, Silvergate collapsed amid scrutiny from regulators and a criminal investigation by the Justice Department’s fraud unit into dealings with fallen crypto giants FTX and Alameda Research. Though no wrongdoing was asserted, Silvergate’s woes deepened as the bank sold off assets at a loss and shut its flagship payments network, which it called “the heart” of its group of services for crypto clients.
SI shares are down 50% after hours…
One day after the biggest crypto-focused bank, Silvergate Capital, announced plans to unwind and liquidate after a deposit run effectively killed its core business model, this morning its far larger peer – the parent company of the venerable Silicon Valley Bank, SVB Financial Group – saw its shares plunge the most in more than two decades after the company took “steps to bolster its financial position” that included not only a highly dilutive stock offering but also a panicked asset sale that sparked fears of a liquidity crisis at one of the biggest and original providers of funding to the Venture Capital industry.
…When somebody wants to gain on derivatives – suddenly most unexpected and unimaginable things happen…

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 13:31 utc | 249

Being Sunday and in light of numerous comments on the subject , I am going to make a short sermon. Be seated barflies. There is much some smoke without fire being generated about the Old Bankers intentions.
It is simple – they are doing what they have ALWAYS done.
A scalping .
A rinse and repeat every generation or two.
Because we are doomed like the proverbial goldfish to forget and repeat the same actions and reactions over and over.
A piracy of REAL wealth from the actual creators of such real things – the poorest. The many. Who are thereby kept poor forever and indenture their children to the Slave Owners again and again and again.
Traditionally interest rates for centuries have averaged 7% over the long term.
Funny that isn’t it? As if there is some Great Attractor!
It’s Man Made.
It is an old old pantomime – a Punch and Judy Act.
They don’t do ‘new’ they stick to their routines.
How?
Inflation was artificially induced through cartel price rises.
So they could bring out the stick of interest rate rise to ‘beat down’ the bad ‘inflation’.
This is aligned with creating industrial ‘actions’ that demand ‘pay rises’ to mitigate the rise in cost of living. Which gets parlayed into ‘public finances’ not being able to afford it without ‘borrowing’ , which is undertaken to appease the poorer public servants , with the fakery of having to increase their taxes to be able to afford that extra spending.
The reality has always been that Taxes never Paid for Public Spending.
It has always been the actual opposite.
It’s another Big Lie to cover the True Crime.
A ‘borrowing’ from the ‘bankers’ with higher interest rates that will payout to these bankers for decades to come.
A ‘borrowing’ of magic money that the bankers have the ‘right to create’ from the government they will lend it to!
Whilst these bankers watch mortgagees and variable rate loan owners fail to make their payments – having had their disposable income reduced through the machinations of inflation/interest rates – hence banking the real wealth, through bankruptcies, negative equity etc. The magick money created by bankers to ‘lend’ to the borrowers – gets cancelled as ‘bad debt’ the interest earned and any surplus from the disposal of real assets gets banker as ‘real wealth by the Bankers.
See … Rinse and repeat every 20- 25 years and stay at the top of the pyramid of the wealth ownership. Simples as they say unless … until … some national governments and their Peoples refuse to play the game. At which point the Bankers hire mercenaries and unleash death and destruction upon these ‘Spartacus’s’ to destroy them and their ideas of freedom from the Bankers. And do it horribly so that it is an example to everyone else, other nations and their elites to never ever ever think of revolution.
They will carry on doing that and shape shifting from one invented nation to another, from one Reserve Currency to the next one – until they are EXTERMINATED – it finally looks like enough Leaders are able to stand together and not watch each other get annihilated as previous rebels have been through history.
That is why it is all over. That is why there is retreat to walled world behind which they hope to keep many of us wedded to the idea of a Garden and a savage jungle on the other side. Whereas the real heaven on earth will be outside of that wall and as the children there are shown it – when they ask ‘what is that Wall encircling that small patch there?’ The answer will be – oh that’s the foolish old Bankers and Slave Owners and some of their deluded Slaves – they believe they are the only ones in this heavenly Earth!! We let them think that and make sure they don’t starve to death in their deluzion.
Amen, go forth and imbibe merrily and burn the Old Banks.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Mar 19 2023 13:33 utc | 250

@ DunGroanin | Mar 19 2023 13:33 utc | 250
Absolutely brilliant ! Delightful sermon before bedtime here in OZ land…

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 13:57 utc | 251

@ DunGroanin | Mar 19 2023 13:33 utc | 250
Some confirmation to your post…
https://www.dlacalle.com/en/silicon-valley-bank-followed-exactly-what-regulation-recommended/

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 14:26 utc | 252

Alex wrote: “Here is an article in regards to some of your questions to me”
Rickards is just another chronic liar. He claims:

The main tenets of MMT are that debt and deficits don’t matter because the Fed can monetize the debt by printing money.

Rickards is wrong. MMT claims the federal govt does not need to borrow money to spend. But whether or not MMT is right is beside the point because the govt does in fact borrow and tax to raise all the money that the govt spends. Rickards is arguing against a strawman that he created.
The accounting fact that the govt borrows (borrows mostly from the oligarchs bank accounts) and does not just spend money directly into peoples bank accounts (govt spending without any borrowing as MMT wants it to be) means that the banks and the Fed create all the money that the peasants use.
From the money peasant’s use the oligarchs extract surplus. The govt creates the money that the oligarchs use by exchanging the oligarchs surplus peasant money for oligarch money which then is spent back into the peasants bank accounts by the govt. and round and round the money goes.
Creating alternate fictional accounting facts as Rickards does, means the story he is telling is just a fairy tale.
We all know the story of SVB. Its the oldest story in banking. The bank is forced to liquidate its long term assets to pay the demand for redemption of its short term liabilities.
90 years ago the entire US banking system was forced to liquidate much of its long term assets to pay off the demand from depositors to convert their deposits to currency. The money supply collapsed and took a lot of the economic production down with it. Prior to the 1930’s collapse, periodic bank crises were just an opportunity for vulture capitalist to swoop in and extract huge profits, but this time it brought down the whole house. As a consequence of having killed a goose that laid golden eggs, the oligarchs in 1933 agreed to a great number of accounting changes and regulatory reforms that apply to banks to prevent it from happening again. But here we are watching it happen again and pretending nothing was learned.
In a stable banking system bank runs do not happen, but stability and vulture capitalism are always at odds.
______________________________________________________________________________
Alex also wrote : “As a reminder, the yield on six-month bills initially rose above 5% on Feb. 14, making it the first US government obligation to reach that threshold in 16 years.”
I believe the peak on short term Treasuries was early March, but since then the demand for such must of increased dramatically because short term interest rates have collapsed starting on March 10 (I believe that’s the day the SVB story broke). Last I looked, 6-month Treasuries were below the Fed Fund Rate and heading south fast. If that trend continues then once again we will witness the fact that the Fed has no clothes on and the Fed will soon reverse course and start lowering interest rates. But don’t worry people will soon forget and go back to believing the Fed is fully clothed. It never fails.
______________________________________________________________________
Alex wrote:
“Financing taxation shortfall in treasury for government spending / budget, eats it all up. Propping up pyramid to repay premiums to bond holders all over the world, consumes even more.”
Those were highly condensed reply to your assumptions on cash flow distribution inside FED/TREASURY/BANKS
___________________________________________________________________________
Your second attempt is even worse than the first. Where in the process is anything getting eaten up? or consumed? or propped up? Where I can find this pyramid?
You claim to be responding to something I said but I have said more than one thing…
My assumptions are that the money system works the way the accountants and the statutes say it works. You can’t just pretend the money system works in some other way than what the law specifies and the accounting rules that flows from that law.
People who should know have said that had the rules that are now in place been put in place before SVB got in trouble then SVB would now be a thriving solvent bank. If that is true then this is purely a case of regulatory failure and all of your statements about SVB business decisions are just bullshit that no longer applies.
But the new rules apparently only apply to the big banks and I predict that won’t sit very well with the citizenry when they watch as the new laws facilitate the takeover by the big banks of all the little banks.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 15:22 utc | 253

Alex wrote: “…When somebody wants to gain on derivatives – suddenly most unexpected and unimaginable things happen…”
What pray tell does that have to do with SVB bank?
Are you claiming that if SVB had participated in derivative contracts that protected against interest rate risk, they would not have failed?

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 15:35 utc | 254

@ jinn | Mar 19 2023 15:22 utc | 253
Jinn, you are one hell of an angry fellow… Did you loose some money through SVB ?
It is a night time in Melbourne AUS, I mist go to work in the morning.
If nothing I say makes sense to you, and you are rejecting that shadow banking practices are part of reality, then I will stop further communications. Thank You Jinn for all your efforts.

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 15:49 utc | 255

@ Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 15:35 utc | 254
…no I am talking about sorting Silvergate

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 15:54 utc | 256

We all know the story of SVB. Its the oldest story in banking. The bank is forced to liquidate its long term assets to pay the demand for redemption of its short term liabilities
– Here you are conceding the fact…
People who should know have said that had the rules that are now in place been put in place before SVB got in trouble then SVB would now be a thriving solvent bank. If that is true then this is purely a case of regulatory failure and all of your statements about SVB business decisions are just bullshit that no longer applies.
– And here you are contradicting yourself… Making aggressive remarks
Rickards is just another chronic liar. He claims:
– I do believe he is making observation…

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 16:27 utc | 257

Alex wrote:
Jinn, you are one hell of an angry fellow… Did you loose some money through SVB ?
Not yet and and maybe never. I was expecting this dog and pony show was concocted to relieve me others like me of some of our hard-earned funds. But now its beginning to look like it backfired. We’ll soon see.
_____________
Alex wrote: “you are rejecting that shadow banking practices are part of reality”
Shadow banks are definitely part of reality. Depository institutions, where us common folk have a little money stashed, are not shadow banks.
In the US the Federal statutes make that distinction between depository institutions and shadow banks very clear . You won’t change that by waving your arms around.
______________________
Alex wrote: “…no I am talking about sorting Silvergate”
So your comment had nothing at all to with SVB or anything else previously discussed. You were just bullshitting when you injected that comment in support of your claim that ” Derivatives are the reasons behind recent collapse of SVB.”
The statutes that allows the regulators to rescue SVB and prevent a run have been in place for years. The regulators decided not to use them. Now they have decided to implement them for other banks. That looks like regulator error to me, but we don’t yet have all the facts.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 17:18 utc | 258

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 17:18 utc | 258
Why would I BS ? Give me reason/ purpose, please
I have pointed out in the beginning a group of predatory shareholders deconstructed SVB, didn’t I ?
https://wallstreetonparade.com/2023/03/silicon-valley-bank-was-a-wall-street-ipo-pipeline-in-drag-as-a-federally-insured-bank-fhlb-of-san-francisco-was-quietly-bailing-it-out/

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 17:29 utc | 259

Alex wrote: ” Why would I BS ? Give me reason/ purpose, please”
How the heck would I know why you BS
You made the claim that “Derivatives are the reasons behind recent collapse of SVB. Derivatives is a legalised financial betting/scheming on much broader field of economic values. ”
Then in what looked like a long paragraph intended to support those statement you rambled on about stuff that had nothing to do with either how derivatives affect SVB or anything at all about SVB. It annoys me when I waste my time trying to understand what your claims mean and find nothing but irrelevant BS.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 17:49 utc | 260

@ jinn | Mar 19 2023 17:49 utc | 260
Jinn it sounds like you coming from the point of view that everything is bullshit except what you write…
Give me some hard evidence of your claim : “…90 years ago the entire US banking system was forced to liquidate much of its long term assets to pay off the demand from depositors to convert their deposits to currency. ” …and we will trade

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 18:50 utc | 261

@ jinn | Mar 17 2023 17:15 utc | 139
I’m well aware of the bull that the financial pundits are telling everyone.
By this definition of “insolvent” all banks are insolvent. The depositors in any bank can figure out that if they all moved their deposits elsewhere the bank would be insolvent. But why would they do that?
This is your statement to I realized losses/gains ? This what I call BS

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 19:06 utc | 262

@ jinn | Mar 17 2023 17:15 utc | 139
Unrealized losses/gains

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 19:08 utc | 263

Give me some hard evidence of your claim : “…90 years ago the entire US banking system was forced to liquidate much of its long term assets to pay off the demand from depositors to convert their deposits to currency. ”
Seriously? You never heard of the Depression
According to this source: https://www.fdic.gov/about/history/timeline/1930s.html

” On March 6, 1933, President Franklin D. Roosevelt declares a banking holiday and temporarily closes all U.S. banks.
Money supply is 40 percent lower than 1929.”

The 40% drop in money supply was almost entirely due to the massive destruction of bank deposits in 1931 and 1932.
The drop in bank deposits was the result of either people converting there deposits to currency when the banks could manage to fund that demand or just being wiped out when the banks failed because they could not meet the demand for deposits. Considerably more deposit institutions were wiped out in these few years than even exist today.
In order to satisfy customer demands for withdrawals banks were forced to call in loans and liquidate assets, but borrowers without income and deflated assets couldn’t cover the demand for withdrawals. Foreclosures were rampant and banks could only raise some of the money that depositors demanded. Foreclosures were already high starting in 1926 due to housing bubble in the early 1920’s
https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Foreclosures-during-the-Great-Depression-in-the-US_fig2_287997112
So first enormous amounts of cash was withdrawn destroying billions in deposits and then the banks failed in the thousands wiping out the rest of their deposits. The exact level of the national carnage can’t be calculated exactly since there wasn’t any good national accounting and public reporting in banking back then.
Anyway, the laws that we are now focused on in the current banking frufaw all originated from the banking legislation that was passed just about exactly 90 years ago in the aftermath of that bank fiasco.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 20:40 utc | 264

Alex wrote: ” Unrealized losses”
Unrealized losses are not losses. They are just theoretical losses that might become real if the banks become unstable.
We learned 90 years ago to institute measures that prevent banks from becoming unstable precisely for the reason of avoiding those losses.
Banking to the average Joe would be completely unaffordable (as banking was in the 19th century) if the banks were expected to never have unrealized losses. The enormous cost of doing that would only be passed on to the consumers of bank services.
In 2020 the deposit institutions would have all been heading for bankruptcy (due to being forced to realize previously unrealized losses) if the govt had not kept the banks stable by a plethora of different legislative and regulatory actions.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 21:04 utc | 265

@ jinn | Mar 19 2023 21:04 utc | 265
Jinn, you are living in unicorn bullshit land of government banking rules and regulations, where banks a transparent community serving businesses, with devoted deposit holders and shareholders that eager for dividends and not takeovers. No wonder you an angry fellow… You are dreamer, Jinn

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 21:38 utc | 266

@ jinn | Mar 19 2023 20:40 utc | 264
…from one of your links Jinn
“The interest rate on U.S. Treasury bills goes negative because investors are willing to take a loss if they know that their money is safe.”
It does not support your claim
“90 years ago the entire US banking system was forced to liquidate much of its long term assets to pay off the demand from depositors to convert their deposits to currency. ”

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 22:49 utc | 267

Alex wrote: ” where bank is a transparent community serving businesses, with devoted deposit holders and shareholders that eager for dividends and not takeovers”
Well, considering the community being served in this case is one of the wealthiest and most privileged in the nation its easy to say fuck ’em let the banks screw over that community. Why should we care?
But that’s not the way it works. The law as it stands applies to everyone and once it becomes generally accepted that there is a different set of laws for the wealthy and privileged I guarantee you that is not going to work to the advantage of anyone besides the wealthy and privileged.
That is the way it works in my country which is the USA. Your mileage may vary.
The law in the US does say that deposit institutions are supposed to be ” transparent community serving businesses” (12 U.S. Code § 2901) and yes I expect the law to be followed. If some of my fellow Americans don’t expect the law to be followed its probably because they are idiots. But I’m not angry about this state of affairs. My life is pretty good. I can only imagine how horrible it would be to be Ukrainian or Syrian and count my blessings.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 22:49 utc | 268

Alex wrote:

“The interest rate on U.S. Treasury bills goes negative because investors are willing to take a loss if they know that their money is safe.”
It does not support your claim
“90 years ago the entire US banking system was forced to liquidate much of its long term assets to pay off the demand from depositors to convert their deposits to currency. ”

Alex you should go to bed like you said you would hours ago. You are becoming delirious.
You seem to think that the only long term asset on a banks balance sheet is a 10-year Treasury security.
Almost all the assets on any deposit institutions balance sheet are illiquid long term assets. At least that is the way it is in the US.
In most US banks those illiquid assets are loans to homeowners and small businesses. Some of them may be long-term Treasury securities. 90 years ago almost none of those assets were Treasury securities, but what form those long term assets take is not the issue. The issue is that almost all the assets of banks are unrealized losses whenever the banks are forced to liquidate them. In a stable banking system with banks acting responsibly there is no reason to ever liquidate unrealized losses.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 23:11 utc | 269

Sometimes it seems there should be a limit on the number of posts any one person can post to any one thread, doesn’t it?

Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Mar 19 2023 23:30 utc | 270

SwissArmyMan@270
If they’re Swiss then yeah. Wasn’t banking supposed to be your thing?

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Mar 19 2023 23:35 utc | 271

@ jinn | Mar 19 2023 22:49 utc | 268
Sure. I see. You have got morals and principals… Then my question to you is… Are morals and principals affordable when there is generous counter offer or say, on empty stomach, let’s say in case of two extremes ? My next question to you, Jinn is… If Great Depression represents bare essential surviving conditions – how come people were agree to afford and were paying “fee” (negative rate on T-bonds) for money keeping facilities, when today crumbs are bigger and living conditions are way luxurious and yet people can not afford to pay for banking services, according to your multiple statements ?

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 19 2023 23:42 utc | 272

alex wrote: “and yet people can not afford to pay for banking services, according to your multiple statements”
Wrong. People around here can easily afford banking services and all my statements have ever been intended to say was I would like to see it stay like that.
This is a Link to a very corny movie and I never dreamed i would ever recommend it to anyone, but I have never met a person more in need of watching it.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 20 2023 0:12 utc | 273

@ jinn | Mar 20 2023 0:12 utc | 273
Yeah, I have watched it several times approx 20 years ago, when cable TV was in trend and packages of channels were on offer. I had two black and white channels with all the classics running in repeats once a month every six hours.
I can understand better where you are coming from. All the best, mate. I am at work. You can check the world clock for Melbourne – it id midday here. Thanx for G.D. links, Jinn. The bar is closing. Visitors are sick of two mad guys, keep on talking.

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 20 2023 1:23 utc | 274

The meeting is expected to showcase unity but a view of cities along the border would reveal divisions that challenge the partnership : https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-xi-russia-china-ukraine-5c588831

Posted by: Krastoris | Mar 20 2023 7:36 utc | 275

Interesting video, talking about US trying to force LGBTQ legislation and propaganda in Uganda. Uganda president and citizens pushing back hard and telling US go scr#w themselves. US is also after the gold deposits in Uganda.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPeLaMMDz5g

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 20 2023 8:26 utc | 276

@ Posted by: jinn | Mar 19 2023 23:11 utc | 269
You seem to think that the only long term asset on a banks balance sheet is a 10-year Treasury security.
Almost all the assets on any deposit institutions balance sheet are illiquid long term assets. At least that is the way it is in the US.
In most US banks those illiquid assets are loans to homeowners and small businesses. Some of them may be long-term Treasury securities. 90 years ago almost none of those assets were Treasury securities, but what form those long term assets take is not the issue. The issue is that almost all the assets of banks are unrealized losses whenever the banks are forced to liquidate them. In a stable banking system with banks acting responsibly there is no reason to ever liquidate unrealized losses.
Jinn, I am glad that you could break free from typical American way of leading an argument… Deniability…
When FED’s offer is 10% annual return on 6 months treasuries and transparent community serving banks quietly moving entire deposits portfolio into those those short term bonds, without sharing any of the profits with deposit holders – this is when public certainly fights back, because it is a simple highway robbery going on and none other than that. If banks would offer 12 mints long term deposits prior, people would stay… It is simple…

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Mar 21 2023 14:31 utc | 277

Alex wrote:
When FED’s offer is 10% annual return on 6 months treasuries and transparent community serving banks quietly moving entire deposits portfolio into those those short term bonds, without sharing any of the profits with deposit holders
_____________________________________________________________
Feel free to provide evidence for any of your claims.
You won’t because you never do support your assertions. You just lie and when called on a lie you move to another lie.
Yesterday 6-month Treasury yields in percent per annum was 4.51 %
https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/
And it is true that there are some fly-by-night internet banks that are advertising deposit interest rates of 4.4% in order to attract new depositors and they may well be dumping those new deposits into 6-month Treasuries and getting a tiny profit. But the laws of supply and demand dictate that if a huge amount of money tries to buy 6-month Treasuries the yields will drop to zero.
The average community bank has only a small amount of liquid assets that are intended to be used to cover the ebb and flow of deposits in and out of the bank. The majority of their assets are tied up in long term assets (mostly long-term loans). If 25 million US workers suddenly become unemployed those long term assets become unrealized losses. That is what happened in 2020.
Fortunately, the US Treasury sent 1000’s of dollars to US households and increased unemployment benefits and gave businesses a ton of free loans which gave banks a ton of free deposits. All of that saved the banking system from their “unrealized losses”. It also saved the economy from another Great Depression because Great Depression is what happens when you tell the entire banking system to eat their unrealized losses.
The current problem is that the US banks have $9.3 trillion in uninsured deposits out of a total of $23 trillion in deposits. This total includes MMMF which are not strictly defined as deposits by law but whenever they fail and cause instability they get bailed out just as if they were defined as deposits. What this means is that whenever the big banks that hold most of these uninsured deposits get into trouble (they always do) then the small insured depositors have to cough up the money to bail out the big uninsured deposits. The large uninsured depositors continue to get paid higher interest rates because they have no insurance fees attached to their deposits and after the bailout the small depositors get even lower rates because the insurance fees charged to their deposits go up. This is nothing but a systemic transfer of wealth from the small depositors to the big depositors. There is no other way to describe it.

Posted by: jinn | Mar 21 2023 17:02 utc | 278