Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 11, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-36

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

Kievan forces might get Storm Shadow with ranges of five hundred sixty kilometers.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/ukraine-prepared-to-use-british-missiles-to-strike-crimea-d73rlk23p
I wonder when Kiev will get MGM-140 ATACMS.
Posted by: Morena | Feb 11 2023 22:50 utc | 102

London should be getting nuked for that.
But the way things are going, missiles will be raining on Voronezh and the Kremlin will be pretending it is not happening…

Posted by: shadowbanned | Feb 11 2023 22:57 utc | 101

Posted by: Jörgen Hassler | Feb 11 2023 21:28 utc | 73
‘And btw: even if the pipe was resting on the ocean floor you have place the explosives under it to get a meaningful force (granted you use c4). So you still need to dig.
I don’t know how much diving you have done, I’ve only done a little. But enough to make the educated guess that digging by hand is not your first option.
But hell, if bar flies want to sanctify Hersh, who am I to stop you. Over and out.’
Please stop talking about stuff you do not understand in the least. I’m not going to elaborate further on technical issues as it has been done by others already.
See this: https://sprengtechnik.de/sprengung-nordstream/ – in German

Posted by: Hmpf | Feb 11 2023 22:59 utc | 102

Posted by: Morena | Feb 11 2023 22:50 utc | 102
I really doubt those long range things have any kind of significant military value. They can mostly be used in terror attacks, yes, A-D doesn’t have time to be everywhere. Range is useful, but doesn’t fix the problem of lack of firepower (as in how many explosives can be lobbed to the front or immediate rear per minute).
The thing is Tornado MLRS is very similar to Himars, it doesn’t have that much top range (as in several hundred km’s), but it has plenty enough range and well over twice sized warheads and very good accuracy.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 11 2023 23:04 utc | 103

Ed @ 100
Thanks for your reply.
It sounds like we are on the same level training wise, some times that can be an advantage.
But again simple is best.
It was made clear that Russian investigators would not be allowed near the site after the pipelines were blown, time to clear all evidence.
Your points on detection of signal i think may be wrong i don’t know but it’s a hell of a big sea. Also ther are modern ways of producing signals and the terrorists like m16 would have them of course.
Perhaps lazer?

Posted by: Mark2 | Feb 11 2023 23:09 utc | 104

MoonofAlabama, best regards and appreciation, to all who put this platform on.

Posted by: Dingo | Feb 11 2023 23:09 utc | 105

Russian officials would sure be pretending that’s not happening. Moscow became fucking weak. I wouldn’t be surprised if most of North Caucasus eventually demand for independence, considering Moscow couldn’t even defend Belgrade from Kievan forces and because of sanctions, being parts of the federation might no longer be advantageous.
Vladimir Putin is such a joke.

Posted by: Morena | Feb 11 2023 23:14 utc | 106

An aside on the status of The Saker Web site:
https://thesaker.is/important-news-about-the-blog-archive-please-read/
According to Andrei, the site will be maintained by his IT guy for a full year effective February 28. The international sites will continue to function. Also there will be a downloadable archive available at some point from various locations.
He also mentions that the site is under Creative Commons License and anyone can redistribute, modify, etc. without permission. Should be a rich source of information for future analysts.
– RSH

Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Feb 11 2023 23:14 utc | 107

Posted by: Morena | Feb 11 2023 22:50 utc | 102
If they are used to strike Crimea or Moscow, the gloves will come off and you can start digging your survival shelter or looking for a place to live in remote South America or the Pacific islands.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 11 2023 23:19 utc | 108

The problems confronting Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan are very similar–unequal distribution of wealth and lack of upward mobility for the masses. Those were the issues used against Lukashenko in the Belarus Color Revolution which he promptly addressed by accepting the Union State Treaty to improve Belarus’s economy. At the CSTO Summit convened shortly after its intervention in the attempt in Kazakhstan, it was Lukashenko who pointed out the Kazakhs faced the same issues and needed to take care of them (he used a Russian proverb to describe that task which I can’t recall). The same issues affect all the former USSR now except Russia, which is finally humming economically and quite happy socially. Those same issues were/are used by the Outlaw US Empire to divide and rule everywhere both before and after 1989. An economically just and thus happy society is close to impervious to such manipulation as Russia’s now proving.
When the USSR disintegrated, the Commonwealth of Independent States was envisioned as becoming something like the Union State, but that wasn’t allowed to happen via a variety of factors, greed and power lust being the top two. Within the USSR, the Russian SSR was the main economic driver, and that dynamic hasn’t changed. To make its near abroad stabler, Russia needs to help them do what Russia did, and there’re signs of this happening as the Turkmen and Uzbeks pursue their genuine interests more, while Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan solve the Fergana Valley issue once and for all so they can concentrate on development instead of conflict. China could be a big help in that region.
Development for many seems to move too slow, and like Eastern Europeans during the 1980s they want to become like the West yesterday and are thus easily agitated. The reality is much is happening, but it’s all fundamental (boring) support infrastructure for what comes next, and quite a lot has yet to get started, although planned and agree upon. Jobs to occupy idle hands and minds tends to lead to peace and growing prosperity.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 11 2023 23:20 utc | 109

New cockroach @102 & 108.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 11 2023 23:24 utc | 110

If they are used to strike Crimea or Moscow, the gloves will come off and you can start digging your survival shelter or looking for a place to live in remote South America or the Pacific islands.
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 11 2023 23:19 utc | 110

Problem is we said the same about many things that ended up happening and the gloves did not come off…

Posted by: shadowbanned | Feb 11 2023 23:27 utc | 111

Problem is we said the same about many things that ended up happening and the gloves did not come off…
Posted by: shadowbanned | Feb 11 2023 23:27 utc | 114
Such as what? The mostly failed terror attack on the bridge? The continuing attacks on areas of Donbass that are supposedly under RF control? The sinking of Moskva? You cannot possibly compare those to the implications of long range high kiloton missile/rocket strikes on Russian civilians in Crimea or Moscow. Nothing even remotely similar has happened yet.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 11 2023 23:32 utc | 112

I have no qualification to tell Russia what it needs to do. But I’m not at all sold on this “slower is better” mantra. For instance, “slower is better” failed to establish a sufficient buffer around Kherson, because “you can always take that land later”. But the result was that the Antonovsky bridge and the Kakhovka dam remained in range of Ukie strikes; by the time the problem was acknowledged, Russia was short of troops and mud season was on the way, in the end leading to the loss of that whole bridgehead across the Dniepr. Similarly, Russia is now killing on the battlefield men who have been mobilized from say Kharkov and Sumy, who would have been civilians and alive under Russian rule if those places had been taken right at the start of the SMO. But no, “muh limited operation, we can always take those cities later”. Well even if you can, it won’t be the same now Russia killed scores of their children.

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Feb 11 2023 22:12 utc | 86
Well, thank you for taking the time to reply. We can all get hung up on the nitty-gritty minutiae of the local on the ground tactics, and there have been and will be setbacks on both sides of the immediate line of conflict.
Broadening things out though, we can look at “slower is better” when faced by an accumulation of opponents who are:
– a)deeply indebted, to such a degree that they try to keep it hidden from their own populace
– b)denying themselves access to the cheap energy/raw material supplies via the clumsy mechanism of sanctions, which even their own corporations are quietly working around
– c)claiming support from the rest of the world (that they claim to speak for), when such support is tepid at best
– d)“led” by narcissistic psychopaths who believe that they are not only legends, but gods in their own lifetime
Now, faced with an opponent with the above ‘attributes’, “slower” may well be “better”. The immediate tactics on the ground can be confusing to the outside observer, but if the larger strategy is to wait for the economic gravo-thermal collapse of your opponent, to be replaced by a truly multipolar world order… well, I have no better idea than the current approach of Russia.
Oh, BTW, don’t forget, #BalloonLivesMatter

Posted by: West of England Andy | Feb 11 2023 23:33 utc | 113

Gloves to come off ? Russian officials hadn’t done anything after Engels-2 getting attacked with some drone.

Posted by: Morena | Feb 11 2023 23:36 utc | 114

One more thing — there are a bunch of videos floating around now of masses of Ukrainian soldiers and armor supposedly preparing for an offensive.
E.g. this:
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1624170782719893513
Same thing that we saw in Kharkov and Kherson.
And there is once again no missile strike even though they are neatly lined up. Zero interference.
How is that possible a month into the war?
Posted by: shadowbanned | Feb 11 2023 23:35 utc | 396

Posted by: shadowbanned | Feb 11 2023 23:36 utc | 115

# or perhaps a cricket or a mealworm.

Posted by: Dingo | Feb 11 2023 23:39 utc | 116

Morena @ 108
Your comment is very important as it neatly encapsulates the US mistaken mindset and include all the western puppets nations.
The fundamental mistake you make is…
How you define weak and strong.
Losing track of reality as The west has done is a major weakness.
And remember the majority of the world are not on your side.
I could go on but better you think long and hard, and dont blindly follow. Or you’l end up like the poor fools in those trenches.
But cheers for your input.

Posted by: Mark2 | Feb 11 2023 23:43 utc | 117

Such as what? The mostly failed terror attack on the bridge? The continuing attacks on areas of Donbass that are supposedly under RF control? The sinking of Moskva? You cannot possibly compare those to the implications of long range high kiloton missile/rocket strikes on Russian civilians in Crimea or Moscow. Nothing even remotely similar has happened yet.
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 11 2023 23:32 utc | 115

Such as multiple attacks on the nuclear triad that actually took out some of the strategic bombers.
Such an act would have meant immediate global nuclear annihilation during the Cold War, now it’s just a normal day, as the Kremlin pretends it didn’t happen.
Moscow was attacked directly last week, it barely registered, as the drone failed to reach the target. Which again, would have meant war by the mere fact of launching it once upon a time. But there will be more, and they may reach their targets.
Also, you might want to check your units. But that is a minor detail.
As I said, usually past behavior is the best predictor of future behavior, thus I can definitely see missiles hitting the radar tech R&D facilities and factories in Voronezh and the arms factories in Tula and the Kremlin continuing to sit on its hands.
What will make it easier is that air defense will shoot down most of them (air defense in Russia proper has actually done an amazing job so far against missiles; drones are another issue), the rest will do a little bit of damage, and all will be “fine”.
Meanwhile the US is collecting data on Russian air defense and preparing an actual first strike, but hey, who cares, those are the dear partners (to whom we are still selling oil, titanium, nickel and everything else they need to make the missiles they will be bombing us with), they will never do such a thing, right?

Posted by: shadowbanned | Feb 11 2023 23:44 utc | 118

Interesting results of a war game conducted by Poland in 2021.
tl;dr Poland’s military is obliterated in five days by Russian forces.
Most importantly is this fact:

The fulfilment of a new modernization program for the Polish Army was modeled into the wargame. It means that the new F-35 jet fighters, HIMARS artillery system, long-range A2/AD batteries equipped with Patriot system, modernized Leopard 2A4 brigade, and new Badger IFVs, were at the disposal of the defending side.

Wargame Study Shows Polish Armed Forces Obliterated in Just 5 Days
https://www.overtdefense.com/2021/03/31/wargame-study-shows-polish-armed-forces-obliterated-just-5-days/
– RSH

Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Feb 11 2023 23:46 utc | 119

#113 get on the phone, and talk to Putin.

Posted by: Dingo | Feb 11 2023 23:46 utc | 120

Why is anyone engaging with the concern troll Shadowbanned? Haven’t you people learned anything yet? Too much time on your hands?

Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Feb 11 2023 23:48 utc | 121

RT reports Vucic is losing his resolve regarding obeying the illegal sanctions on Russia. The man is a wimp compared to Orban.
What clearly needs to happen is a massive pushback by RoW over illegal sanctions–only the UNSC is authorized to interfere in another country via sanctions; all others are invalid under international law. That reality needs to be sang by a global chorus while announcing its complete non-compliance leaving only the Outlaw US Empire and its vassals as lawbreakers. And that’s precisely the stance Vucic must take: Fuck You! Your sanctions are illegal!!
I guarantee that will get a reaction as no national leader has ever stood up and told them where to go with their illegal shit.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 11 2023 23:50 utc | 122

” Why is anyone engaging with the concern troll Shadowbanned? Haven’t you people learned anything yet? Too much time on your hands?
Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Feb 11 2023 23:48 utc | 124 ”
Why should anyone care about your opinion ?

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Feb 11 2023 23:53 utc | 123

@121 that is all entirely factual. And yes Russia will have to fire some s400’s or even s500’s. Do they exist? This war has said that of all the fancy weapons Russia designed and was going to mass produce are all singly produced boutique items. Only a handful of thermobarics have been deployed. Hypersonics are rare. T90’s even a rare on the ground, and the t14 armata? One test model is driving around firing at nothing.
T0s 1a’s are sometimes around, tos 2s? Nope su57’s? Giving Putin rides around Russia’s airspace. How much would you bet on its nukes functioning well? Does the satan missle work? The nuke powered global cruise missle? The Belograd will it fire torpedos? They’re navy can only fire missles and then hide, assuming they have the foresight to keep it under Fucking Cover and not out anchored in the open. The missle frigates arent really worth a strike actually, missles can shoot from lots of places. They just scrapped one of their old big soviet subs. It doesnt bode well, and if they dont step it up, they will have to try to catch the “Ukrainian” ICBM heading towards something irreplaceable.

Posted by: neofeudalfuture | Feb 11 2023 23:58 utc | 124

@Deplorable Commissar | Feb 11 2023 20:38 utc | 56
@b consider deleting #56. After all, holocaust denial is a crime in our country. This deplorable crook is not worth risking this precious blog. Chances are that he is an institutional provocateur to provide a lever against you. Just like it happened with Jeremy Corbyn, or recently Uwe Steimle. Then delete this post of mine as well.
“…the best way for the Germans to wake up is to learn the truth about the Holohoax…”
This is pure evil. My family lives just 4 houses away from where Victor Klemperer lived. My grandma knew him in person. I recommend you to read his books about that time, from diaries written during the Third Reich. Start with “Language of the Third Reich”.
My take away from his books: The holocaust is no hoax.
For completion, in case this post stays on MoA: No hoax either is the genocide ipso facto against the Palestinian people. Enlightenment about the protection by Germany of the Zionist murderers – THIS is the first necessary wake up call for Germany in the Jewish context. (The Jew Victor Klemperer dedicated a chapter in the recommended book to Zionism; Critical similar to Albert Einstein and Hannah Ahrendt). The second wake up call is that Germany not only has a liability to remember the holocaust but that the (numerically even bigger) sufferings inflicted upon the USSR require an equally sensible treatment of the former Soviet peoples, Russians in the first place.

Posted by: OttoE | Feb 11 2023 23:59 utc | 125

Karlofi1 @ 111
Long before that…. Ndongo Samba Sylla describes it best.
” For those who have studied the history of colonial Africa through its fiscal and monetary dimensions, the similarities between colonial macroeconomics and neoliberal macroeconomics are striking. One might be tempted to see the neoliberal era as an avatar of colonialism. Actually, the main principles underlying the fiscal and monetary paradigm of the neoliberal era (1980 – 2021) which are – sound finance, regressive taxation systems, central bank independence, and the direction of the credit system by oligopolistic banks—were already applied in the European colonies, particularly in Africa.
In the neoliberal era, sound finance, as a principle of macroeconomic management, is based on the idea that governments should avoid fiscal deficits and should even aspire to fiscal surpluses. This view is based on the misleading analogy between a household and a governing currency-issuer. Indeed, while it may be desirable for households to build up net savings, a government that issues its own currency may not always have an interest in running a balanced budget or even budget surpluses. For its fiscal deficit has as its exact counterpart the financial surplus of the non-government sector. If the government sector wishes to have a balanced budget, this means that the domestic private sector (households and businesses) will only be able to achieve a financial surplus if the rest of the world is in a deficit position vis-à-vis the domestic economy.
During colonial times, sound finance had much more basic and transparent justifications than it does today. As an imperial doctrine by essence, it amounted to saying that the metropolis did not intend to participate financially in the colonial enterprise, which was supposed to be self-financing. The “colonial self-sufficiency policy,” as historians call it, implied that the colonized territories had to pay for the costs of military conquest, the current expenditures of the colonial administrations as well as their investment expenditures, which were often oriented towards infrastructure projects that favored the profitability of private metropolitan capital. The metropolis was just supposed to intervene sporadically, by granting subsidies or loans, when the financial situation of the colonies required it.
In spite of the metropolitan rhetoric on the expensive or unprofitable character of the colonial enterprise, the fact is that the latter had been financed essentially by the colonies, through taxes to move skills and real resources around and forced labor. Public transfers from the metropolis had been relatively minor, both for France and England, the two former and most important metropolitan powers on the African continent.
Since metropolitan governments ruled the monetary operations of their colonies, they managed through the colonial administrations to gradually impose a unit of account in which taxes would be collected. This meant, that they had no intrinsic financial constraint. In principle they did not depend on taxes to finance their local expenditures. The possibility to expand their fiscal space was not used, however, owing to the extractive orientation of colonial economic policy.
The choice to run balanced budgets implied that the colonial government did not usually create net financial wealth for the private sector (and in particular for the indigenous private sector). The accumulation of financial wealth by the private sector—and thus growth of domestic income was made dependent on the external financial balance.
This extractive orientation was accentuated by colonial monetary arrangements and by the behavior of the banking sector, dominated from the outset by oligopolistic banks. In parallel with fiscal austerity, the fixed parity between the colonial and metropolitan currencies in a context of free capital mobility between the colonies and the metropolis and the obligation to cover the money supply entirely with foreign exchange reserves (as with the currency boards in the British Empire) gave a highly restrictive character to monetary policy. The idea that private banks should organize the credit system with some freedom—the freedom not to finance productive activities as opposed to extractive activities—while colonial governments should maintain balanced budgets was part of the imperial credo.
In the major British colonies in West Africa, the Bank of British West Africa and Barclays DCO ruled almost unchallenged for the first six decades of the 20th century. The role of metropolitan banks had generally been to protect the interests of metropolitan businesses at the expense of local entrepreneurs through discrimination in access to credit. It had also consisted in facilitating the short-term financing of the exports of primary products as well as the transfer of local economic surpluses (financial savings) to the metropolis.
As captive markets and cheap sources of supply of raw materials, colonial empires also played the role of financial valve for the metropolises. In the case of England, the over-accumulation of foreign exchange reserves by its most resource-rich colonies had contributed significantly to its financial stability and to the alleviation of recurrent liquidity crises on the London money market.
During the last decades of the 19th century, England had lost its industrial and commercial edge over Germany and the United States. In this context, England was able to maintain both the international gold standard and its financial leadership only thanks to its control over India’s external surpluses. In the aftermath of the Second World War, Nigeria and Ghana played a similar role in the sterling area. Capital exports from England to these two territories were lower than the sterling balances they had accumulated in London. These external surpluses were built up through a drastic reduction in their imports, a reality described by the concept of unrequited exports.
Nowadays, under neoliberalism, for many countries of the Global South, the priority given to balanced budgets and exports, the over-accumulation of foreign exchange reserves in a context where their local resources are under-utilized, the dominant role of foreign banks and financial institutions, the under-financing of the “real” economy, etc., all represent elements of continuity with the colonial period.
Neoliberal economics, it could be argued, is an iteration of the logic of colonial economics in a context where trade and financial flows are less and less hampered by the barriers once created by the coexistence of formal colonial empires. With neoliberalism, the latter are replaced with the networks and agencies of globalized capital. In the Global North, this pursuit of colonial economic logic entails an undermining of the previous socioeconomic and political achievements of working classes and hence a widening of within-country inequalities. In most of the Global South, next to the weakening of working classes power, neoliberalism has consisted in suppressing nations and peoples right to self-determination through the imposition of deflationary policies, forced “free trade,” privatization and financial liberalization.
To break with such an orientation, MMT is valuable in at least two aspects. On the one hand, it provides the elements for a critique of the constitutive principles of colonial macroeconomics (rigid separation between fiscal authority and monetary authority, sound finance, priority to exports, over-accumulation of external reserves, dependence on foreign finance, etc.). On the other hand, MMT allows us to reorient economic policy around the mobilization of domestic resources by emphasizing that, even in an unfavorable external environment, the countries of the Global South can create a fiscal space that is larger than usually admitted.
Achieving shared and sustainable prosperity will necessitate a strong epistemic challenge to neoliberalism’s colonial economics. It will also require concerted efforts on several other fronts: addressing global structures of domination that reproduce the economic logic of colonialism; submitting to popular control the orientation of public policies as well as the management of economic resources and instruments. ”
Ndongo Samba Sylla body of work on the French CAC a colonial currency is excellent if you get a chance you should read it.
Does China get it ? Of course China allows to reorient economic policy around the mobilization of domestic resources by emphasizing that, even in an unfavorable external environment, the countries of the Global South can create a fiscal space that is larger than usually admitted.
Does Russia get it ? I doubt it Putin prays at the alter of sound finance and deficit and debt reduction as if Russia is a business profit and loss sheet rather than what it is, A balance sheet with assets and liabilities.
If Russia had done what you claim they are now doing in an economic sense. Nobody would have wanted to leave them. Maybe they have learned the hard way and are now ready to take a more Chinese approach along with Belarus. The jury is still out.

Posted by: Derek Henry | Feb 12 2023 0:01 utc | 126

” I wouldn’t be surprised if most of North Caucasus eventually demand for independence,
Posted by: Morena | Feb 11 2023 23:14 utc | 108 ”
Additionally, based on the example set in Crimea, if those territories held a referendum and voted to become independent Russia couldn’t say a damn thing. Precedents and all that jazz.

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Feb 12 2023 0:01 utc | 127

Posted by: Norwegian | Feb 11 2023 19:51 utc | 34
Have you ever considered that you are the target of a psyop or do you just swallow the BS whole?

Posted by: Longhorn | Feb 12 2023 0:02 utc | 128

” @b consider deleting #56. After all, holocaust denial is a crime in our country. .
“…the best way for the Germans to wake up is to learn the truth about the Holohoax…”
Posted by: OttoE | Feb 11 2023 23:59 utc | 128 ”
How pathetic has the German man become, literally scare of their own shadows. Besides what I mentioned , what else cant be denied publicly in your beaten down nation ?

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Feb 12 2023 0:06 utc | 129

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 11 2023 23:19 utc | 110
I advise to visit Patagonia soon and find a spot.
I will.
Otherwise, New Zealand south island was a long time soft spot in my heart, but since this country went full Covid-nazi, I got some doubts.
Same thing about Tasmania.
French Polynesia would be nice, especially southern archipelago, the “Australes”, where you can swim with whales all year long.
Easter island also …
Galapagos,
Valdivia,
Puerto Montt,
I wont go to Punta Arenas or Ushuaia, Falklands too southernly cold and additionally strategic passages that would call for trouble…

Posted by: Greg Galloway | Feb 12 2023 0:07 utc | 130

I note most commenters here assume that China is on Russia’s side, yet never reference any support China may be giving to Russia. Here is the reality, China is on China’s side, while Putin leaves Russia’s Eastern Flank exposed. China has the same historical claims on Russian territory that Russia has on Ukrainian territory…whats good for the goose will be good for the gander.

Posted by: Longhorn | Feb 12 2023 0:09 utc | 131

@600w | Feb 11 2023 19:33 utc | 32
We have had reports that Russia rotates its soldiers out after four months. That would keep the ones in combat in better condition and would build a large base of experienced soldiers to fight against the West in WW3.
Putin said recently that 90% of the foreign weapons going to Ukraine came in through Poland. (We are told that the tanks are there.) He said the same day that there’s going to be a huge party after his speech on February 21st.
Is Putin going to hit Poland with hypersonic missiles? They’ve said that they are outfitting their super-quiet diesel submarines to launch them through their torpedo tubes. Hitting Poland with several launched from submerged submarines in the Atlantic would prove to the West that no ship, shipyard, or other facility was safe from attack. Ukraine would be forgotten.
If the West tried to respond with nukes, China and many other countries would respond quickly. Putin might risk that war. How else is he going to defeat NATO++?

Posted by: barstool | Feb 12 2023 0:11 utc | 132

” Hitting Poland with several launched from submerged submarines in the Atlantic would prove to the West that no ship, shipyard, or other facility was safe from attack. Ukraine would be forgotten.
If the West tried to respond with nukes, China and many other countries would respond quickly. Putin might risk that war. How else is he going to defeat NATO++?
Posted by: barstool | Feb 12 2023 0:11 utc | 135 ”
You should write a book as you’re good with fiction.

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Feb 12 2023 0:14 utc | 133

Karlofi1 @ 111
The sick part is 99.9% of people who post on this site understand what I posted above as a reply to your 111 post. Most would nod their heads in agreement of how neoliberalism and globalism works. It’s not rocket science after all. As everything written above is embedded in the EU and NATO treaties and charter and runs through both like Blackpool rock.
Yet, over 50% of the 99.9% vote for the exact same policies when they Q up to vote in their own elections in the US and UK and most of Western and Eastern Europe. No common sense, can’t connect the dots and driven by ideology. That’s what those who want peace are up against.

Posted by: Derek Henry | Feb 12 2023 0:19 utc | 134

Posted by: Longhorn | Feb 12 2023 0:09 utc | 134
China and Russia have had some conflicts over the centuries. It’s probable that some conflict will erupt again in the future, but only after the USA is long gone in the annals of history as a meaningful world power. The global threat to not only China or Russia, but the whole humanity threat is far too great.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 12 2023 0:19 utc | 135

The newest concern trolls started off talking about very specific, very deadly weaponry being supplied to Ukraine. I pointed out that if such weapons were to be used against Moscow or Crimea, the gloves would come off. I’m sorry, but talking about drone attacks (successful or otherwise) is not refuting anything that I said.
Also: Posted by: Longhorn | Feb 12 2023 0:09 utc | 134
Come on dude. Pull your head out. You’re spewing pure fiction re: Chinese designs on Russian territory.
https://scheerpost.com/2023/01/04/patrick-lawrence-the-sino-russian-summit-you-didnt-read-about/

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 12 2023 0:24 utc | 136

Hudson posted this three-way interview at his site last week, “The Hypocrisy Just makes Me Cry”, with Dasai and host Danny Haiphong. About 1/3 through, Danny asks Hudson this question: “[W]hat made Europe and the United States so confident about this form [sanctions and theft] of economic Warfare against Russia?” Many will not be prepared for Michael’s answer:

How on earth can we explain how Americans or anyone else make a mistake about viewing the future? We can’t explain the logic behind their mistake. There is no particular logic behind it. The fact is, they didn’t care about Russia. This isn’t about Russia. They didn’t care whether Russia would recover.
I think they sat down in Washington, they [realized] that there’s no way that they can prevent what is happening now — [that is, prevent] the Russia-China-Iran-India axis from developing — and they’ve decided, What we’re going to do is a holding operation. [That is:] What can we hold? We can hold on to Europe.
The one economic effect of the war in Ukraine is to completely disarm Europe. Europe has no more tanks, no more rifles, no more ammunition. It’s a huge market now for American arms, if the United States can continue to keep the current European political leaders in power. The United States has solidified its hold on Europe, and it had hoped that the sanctions would put such an economic squeeze on debtor countries — on Latin America, Africa, and South Asia — that they would be forced into higher reliance on the dollar
It’s sort of a myth to think they say we’ll break up Russia. That’s simply political talk to sell it in the United States. They keep talking about dividing Russia into five or six countries, but that’s so unrealistic that you have to look at that as distracting patter talk. They’re looking at what they can absolutely hold on to, and they’re trying to hold on to the world outside of Russia, not to defeat Russia itself.
It’s a fight over how America can control and essentially dominate its allies, not it’s non-allies.

That of course is Michael’s thesis from the start. Yet, that’s only the opening of the discussion, which eventually informs us of why there must be some form of Ukraine remaining at the end–because the “aid” must be repaid just as in WWs 1&2 before. That’s why no Ukraine will be allowed to exist when this is over forcing the Empire and EU to eat their aid. And as you read further into it, you’ll discover why Neoliberalism and Imperialism and its practitioners are Anti-Human as I’ve invoked for several years now.
So, let the trolls play with themselves. And yes, there’s a video of it all if that’s preferred to reading.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 12 2023 0:25 utc | 137

I will just remind those posting with reference to the history of Ukraibe (and some as newcomers can be excused for returning to the subject) that Putin has always stressed that as the segments of what has now been called Ukraine passed from one national body to another, the people themselves were not consulted. Whatever its future holds, Russia will be changing that situation, and has already changed it for the portions that have now joined the Russian Federation. Which is why there will be no returning to the previous status for any of them; their people have chosen where they wish to be.

Posted by: juliania | Feb 12 2023 0:31 utc | 138

Sorry, fingers went the wrong way on ‘Ukraine’.

Posted by: juliania | Feb 12 2023 0:32 utc | 139

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1624170782719893513
Same thing that we saw in Kharkov and Kherson.
And there is once again no missile strike even though they are neatly lined up. Zero interference.
How is that possible a month into the war?
Posted by: shadowbanned | Feb 11 2023 23:35 utc | 39

I have seen that video and some others recently, and they have been debunked as training from last winter before the SMO. Pretty sure if the Ukes bunched up like that these days, they wouldn’t be doing it anywhere near the front lines. Maybe Pooland?

Posted by: LGB! | Feb 12 2023 0:33 utc | 140

“RT reports Vucic is losing his resolve regarding obeying the illegal sanctions on Russia. The man is a wimp compared to Orban.”
Agreed, Karlof1. Who knows what kind of incriminating things they have found on this guy. Serbia needs to wake the hell up. Plus there was that stuff he said recently (not going to repeat it here) about what belongs to who. Compromised, no doubt.

Posted by: LGB! | Feb 12 2023 0:36 utc | 141

The difference between Russia with Ukraine and China with Russia is Russian minority is about 29% in Ukraine’s eastern region while Chinese minority is less than 1% in Russia’s far eastern region and is actually decreasing over years.

Posted by: Malade | Feb 12 2023 0:45 utc | 142

Shelling in Artëmovsk, a gaggle of naziganda spouting Bild “journalists” scrambles for cover:
https://t.me/NovichokRossiya/24676
Jihadi Julian Röpcke is the one in the brown jacket if I’m not mistaken.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Feb 12 2023 0:53 utc | 143

@shadowbanned 98:
Let them ethnically cleanse themselves by leaving en masse for their preferred homelands of Europistan and Canazida.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Feb 12 2023 0:55 utc | 144

” …Moscow became fucking weak. I wouldn’t be surprised if most of North Caucasus eventually demand independence, considering Moscow couldn’t even defend Belgrade from Kievan forces and because of sanctions, being parts of the federation might no longer be advantageous.
Vladimir Putin is such a joke.
Posted by: Morena | Feb 11 2023 23:14 utc | 108
——————————————-
Before I insult you, may I ask if you are a troll? Please confirm? Members of the bar, may I ask: Does Morena quack like a troll?
I do agree with Mr. Morena about one thing, in 1999 Russia was NOT able to defend Serbia from the US/NATO cowards who bombed civilians for 78 days straight. And today, Serbia has announced that it may be forces to place sanctions on Russia in order to get into the EU. Make of that what you will. You sound as though that was Putin’s fault. If so, you don’t know what the fuck you are talking about, you moron. Have a nice day.

Posted by: Ed | Feb 12 2023 0:55 utc | 145

Re: Blowing up NS
No divers needed.
Look up Limpet mines. Computer detonated Shaped charges easily carried by divers or drones. Magnet attach. Can penetrate 36mm – 1 1/2″ Steel. They have been around since WW2
Lots of Anti Mine Drones used during NATO exercises before the explosions. Maybe some of the drones were Pro Mine. 😉

Posted by: Golddiggr | Feb 12 2023 0:57 utc | 146

Western officials would want Russia’s resources for themselves. Washington would want Russia to be one of its neutered vassals like Germany and Japan are. I doubt Washington would let Beijing to take Russia’s far eastern part without reacting.

Posted by: Malade | Feb 12 2023 1:00 utc | 147

Karlofi1 @ 111
I’m pretty sure the “economic team Russia” now understand that foreign exchange reserves are a fixed FX phenomenon instead of a floating FX one. They must do because of August 17th 1998. Even though billions of voters still get mixed up between the two because of the wall street propaganda that flows out of their TV’s and computer screens.
Pre August 17, 1998 – The marginal holder of ANY rouble bank deposit, at any Russian bank, had a choice of 4 options before the close of business each day.
The 4 choices were:
Hold rubles in a clearing account at the Central Bank
Exchange ruble clearing balances for something else at the central bank.
Buy a Russian GKO (tsy sec), which is an interest bearing account at the central bank.
Exchange roubles for $’s at the official rate at the central bank.
For all practical purposes, 3 and 4 competed with each other. Russia had to offer high enough rates on its GKOs to compete with option 4. In that sense interest rates were endogenous. Any attempt by the Russian Central Bank to lower rates, such as open market operations, would result in an outflow of $US reserves. The conditions for a stable rouble could not coexist. The net desire to save roubles by households and businesses was probably negative, the failure to enforce tax liabilities resulted in deficit spending even as the government tried to reduce spending, and the higher interest rate on GKO’s increased government spending even more.
At the time GKO rates were around 150% annually, and the interest payments themselves constituted at least the entire rouble budget deficit. The higher rates of interest were the driving factor behind the excess rouble spending which led to the loss of $US reserves.
With the $ in high demand due to a variety of factors, such as domestic taxed advantaged $US savings plans, insurance reserves, pension funds, and the like, and, exacerbating the situation, what could be called overly tight US fiscal policy, there was, for all practical purposes, no GKO interest rate that could stem the outflow of $US reserves.
The main source of $ reserves was, of course, $ loans from both the international private sector and international agencies such as the IMF. The rouble was overvalued as evidenced by the fact that $ reserves went out nearly as fast as they became available. The Russian Treasury responded by offering higher and higher rates on its GKO securities to compete with option 4, without success. This inability to compete with option 4 is what finally leads to devaluation under a fixed exchange rate regime.
Floating the rouble – On August 17th it was announced that option 4, for all practical purposes, was no longer available. This meant the rouble was now a floating currency. Option 3 now competed only with option 1, so the interest rate was suddenly exogenous. It would be and could only be whatever the government determined to pay when it offered its GKO’s for sale. It could, for an extreme example, decide to pay 0%, and the excess clearing balances would have no choice but to remain as excess balances and earn no interest. That would make the interbank rate 0 bid between credit worthy counterparties.
Previously, with option 4 open, the penalty for excess government spending was higher rates on GKO’s and loss of $US reserves. With a floating exchange rate the penalty for excess spending is the exchange rate of the rouble.
And I quite sure that ” economics team Russia ” now understands that it can now automatically issue GKO securities at any rate it chooses and no longer needs to defend the outflow of foreign reserves like it had to under a fixed FX regime. Even though a large % of the commentary around such matters says otherwise.

Posted by: Derek Henry | Feb 12 2023 1:00 utc | 148

” Western officials would want Russia’s resources for themselves. Washington would want Russia to be one of its neutered vassals like Germany and Japan are. I doubt Washington would let Beijing to take Russia’s far eastern part without reacting.
Posted by: Malade | Feb 12 2023 1:00 utc | 151 ”
If China were to move on Eastern Russia that would also have to mean that Western Russia was already conquered or extremely weakened.

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Feb 12 2023 1:08 utc | 149

An accurate history lesson of the prelude to the Ukraine incident that led to the impoverishment of Europe from Jeffrey Sachs rendered in 5 minutes.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 12 2023 1:26 utc | 150

http://johnhelmer.net/whats-wrong-with-the-hersh-report-on-the-nord-stream-attacks/print/
helmer has some issues with the nord stream “scoop”. he makes some good points about the report and the reporting of it.

Posted by: the pair | Feb 12 2023 1:26 utc | 151

The Ukraine event is a Hollywood production wargame. No actual fighting is happening and nobody is being killed in a battle. Every photo and video has actors and cgi editing.
They robbed the USA treasury for billions of dollars including metal commodities.
You have been lied to once again.

Posted by: Greg | Feb 12 2023 1:29 utc | 152

Re. karlof1 @ 140
Hudson – “It’s a fight over how America can control and essentially dominate its allies, not it’s non-allies.” karlof1 – That of course is Michael’s thesis from the start.
Nearly one year ago I was very concerned about the seizure of Russian assets and the likelihood of a serious recession in the US when the rest of the world realized western banks and politicians can’t be trusted. The end of the petrodollar, etc. Michael Hudson quickly opined that the recession would hit Europe and the US would be cushioned by falling on the corpse of a dying Europe. Events seem to have proved him right. Europe is toast. When I was young many thought learning Japanese would be a good skill to have. Now I advise my grandchildren to learn German as there will be many corporations moving to the US for cheaper materials and energy.

Posted by: Quid Me Vexare | Feb 12 2023 1:32 utc | 153

” The Ukraine event is a Hollywood production wargame. No actual fighting is happening and nobody is being killed in a battle. Every photo and video has actors and cgi editing.
They robbed the USA treasury for billions of dollars including metal commodities.
You have been lied to once again.
Posted by: Greg | Feb 12 2023 1:29 utc | 157 ”
I dont know about that. I can show you some videos in which the horror of war is beyond any human’s imagination. Hollywood doesn’t even come Close.

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Feb 12 2023 1:32 utc | 154

I note most commenters here assume that China is on Russia’s side, yet never reference any support China may be giving to Russia. Here is the reality, China is on China’s side, while Putin leaves Russia’s Eastern Flank exposed. China has the same historical claims on Russian territory that Russia has on Ukrainian territory…whats good for the goose will be good for the gander.
@ Longhorn 134
May I suggest your read the full articles at link, get up to speed and taste the flavour
because
Cookie Nuland and hubby Kagan; Blinken, Fink CEO of Blackrock, et al, will read and weep”

[.]IndianPunchline
Evidently, the Biden Administration realised that one main objective of Blinken’s trip to Beijing — ie., to weaken the Sino-Russian axis — was going to be a non-starter. The US’ sustained efforts to turn the Ukraine conflict as a tool to sabotage China-Russia relations have failed spectacularly. The economic and military ties between Beijing and Moscow are only  growing stronger. President Xi Jinping’s expected visit to Russia in spring heralds the steady upward trajectory of in the “no limits” partnership.[.]
LINK

 
Steady, stronger.
BRICS NEWS:
Russian Mining Company Partners with China to Develop Massive Titanium Deposit in Arctic
http://infobrics.org/post/37706/

Chinese investment and interest in Russia’s Arctic natural resources continues unabated. In addition to receiving regular shipments of LNG and crude oil, one of China’s major engineering and construction companies is partnering with Russian Titanium Resources to develop a massive mineral deposit in the Russian Arctic.
Russian Titanium Resources (Rustitan) and China Communications and Construction Company signed an agreement for the development of the Pizhemskoye mining project in the Komi Republic.
The cooperation extends beyond the mining of titanium and includes a host of related infrastructure development including expansion of the Arctic deep water port of Indiga and construction of the Sosnogorsk-Indiga railway connection. The region’s mining cluster extends beyond titanium into other minerals, including zircon, iron ore, and gold.
A key aspect of the project is the transport component allowing for the export of materials through Urals and Siberia and funneling cargo onto the Northern Sea Route (NSR).
Rustitan was founded in 2007 focusing primarily on the mining of titanium and quartz raw materials. The company discovered the Pizhemskoye deposit, located in the Ust-Tsilemsky district of the Komi Republic, in 2021. The field is home to Russia’s and the world’s largest titanium ore reserves. Pizhemskoye contains more than 80 percent of the country’s titanium ore reserves[.]

AND
‘We Want to Diversify Ties with India,’ Says Russian Ambassador Alipov

Russian Ambassador to India Denis Alipov said that Russia wants to diversify its overall cooperation with India and the ties between the two countries are not directed against anyone at a conference on ‘Next Steps in India-Russia Strategic Partnership; Old Friends New Horizons’ in New Delhi.
[.]
“We are working very closely on major topics such as supply chains, resilience, infrastructure financing, digital transformation, promotion of startups architecture, etc, which are supposed to significantly contribute to restoring the global economy. Together we also realized that in order to succeed, there should not be any place for artificial alienation rights which create mistrust and undermine stability,” he stated. [.]
According to the Russian Ambassador to India, there is growing interest in other dynamic developing nations to join the BRICS which needs to be duly accommodated. [.]
There is an immense prospect in sectors such as airport infrastructure, sea and rail infrastructure, steel production, petro-chemistry, startups, aircraft and shipbuilding, agriculture, advanced technology, development, and digitalization, he said.[.]
http://infobrics.org/

The economic flights have taken off and the collective west ain’t on board…left at the off-ramp looking on.

Posted by: Likklemore | Feb 12 2023 1:35 utc | 155

the pair #156
“scoop” is right. Meanwhile USA is destroying weather balloons, exhibiting its criminal meanness and ignorance toward Syria and sustaining the dumbest political class since Jean Bedel Bokassa was a President.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 12 2023 1:38 utc | 156

Posted by: Quid Me Vexare | Feb 12 2023 1:32 utc | 159
Do you have any examples of German Corporate moves to the US? The only ones I have seen have been moves to China!

Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Feb 12 2023 1:38 utc | 157

Posted by: Morena | Feb 11 2023 23:14 utc | 108
Take it easy Ukraine people are part of the embrace of motherland and here is something special for you to cheer you up,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EkT4w-X9VHA

Posted by: Grishka | Feb 12 2023 1:43 utc | 158

The latest object over Alaska was not identified by US pilots. They could not recognize it, it had no identifiable propulsion system and it interfered with their sensors.
Shit getting weird
https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/11/politics/unidentified-object-alaska-military-latest/index.html

Posted by: jgalt | Feb 12 2023 1:45 utc | 159

I have a 1911 Encyclopedia Britannica. In it one finds no mention whatever of Ukraine. On maps one sees only New Russia and South Russia where present day Ukraine sits. Just an FYI

Posted by: A.Pols | Feb 12 2023 1:45 utc | 160

What do you mean by “high kiloton”?
Posted by: Bill Smith | Feb 12 2023 0:54 utc | 147
Should have said high kiloton TNT equivalent. I.e., BIG BOOM and lots of civilian (or even military) deaths.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 12 2023 1:54 utc | 161

Longhorn you should consider the global picture beyond your paddock. Russia is a vast multi ethnic nation with many religions including a large islamic community. Mostly they abide in peaceful relationship with each other and Russia undoubtedly assure that multi ethnic tolerance is a solid practice. Especially so after the USA triggered a jihadi destabilisation through Chechnya not so long ago.
For the Russia and China relationship to endure and enrich each other the last thing China would do is to antagonise Russia in the east.
Stick to the grass and be mindful to avoid those little mushrooms growing in the sh!t.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 12 2023 1:54 utc | 162

” it had no identifiable propulsion system….”
Neither does a Ballon. Wouldn’t shoe up on IR depending on the balloon material. Those IR cameras capture limited bands and the entire IR spectrum is quite large, larger than visible.

Posted by: me | Feb 12 2023 1:58 utc | 163

Posted by: Bill Smith | Feb 12 2023 1:31 utc | 158
Re: The wargames, I didn’t re-read the articles, just pulled the URLs from Google based on the search terms that I knew would return the ones I remembered reading in the past, so I could be slightly off on this, but IIRC – in particular the Iranian wargames – the US side basically had to cripple the Iranian side’s capabilities (i.e., pretend they didn’t have weapons systems that they do actually have, that they couldn’t wage any offensive campaigns of their own, etc.) in order to even come close to winning.
Certainly one of the main goals is to assess one’s own weaknesses and learn from them, no disagreement there. But the next step – if a country is intent on addressing them – is implementing the lessons learned in real life and that’s not always very easy.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 12 2023 1:58 utc | 164

Re. Posted by: SwissArmyMan on Feb 12 1:38 utc @ 163
I have retired to Florida and it is a popular spot for those from northern Europe. There is a company down here which has hired many Germans but they are extremely cheap in wages. I don’t know what they pay the Germans who have come here. I’ve heard several German chemical companies moved to the Carolinas after WWII. My grandson lives in N. Carolina and he is who I advised. In the 1970’s no one suspected Chinese would be the language instead of Japanese so my forecasting is not great. I think Yogi Berra said “The future ain’t what it used to be.”

Posted by: Quid Me Vexare | Feb 12 2023 2:00 utc | 165

Do you have any examples of German Corporate moves to the US? The only ones I have seen have been moves to China!
Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Feb 12 2023 1:38 utc | 163
I can’t spend much time researching this, but I thought I’d put in my own two cents. Several large German automakers already have plants in the US that build cars for the North American and other markets. One thing they may be considering in light of the dramatically increased energy costs in Germany is shifting production of European market models to the US. But that’s just a guess for the sake of keeping the conversational ball rolling.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 12 2023 2:01 utc | 166

Re: Blowing up NS
No divers needed.
Look up Limpet mines. Computer detonated Shaped charges easily carried by divers or drones. Magnet attach. Can penetrate 36mm – 1 1/2″ Steel. They have been around since WW2
Lots of Anti Mine Drones used during NATO exercises before the explosions. Maybe some of the drones were Pro Mine. 😉
Posted by: Golddiggr | Feb 12 2023 0:57 utc | 150
———————————–
Let’s all sing together now, ready: ♬ There must be fifty ways to bomb a pipeline…. ♬
The point is WHO did it? If Biden and the special forces want to use divers, who are you to question their methods, it’s the motive that counts. After all, they just finished a training exercise, and they had divers all over the fucking place.
Just imagine a subordinate telling the Capitan and the explosive engineers: Gee Cap, we don’t need to use these hundred or so divers who are sitting around doing nothing. We can do this this “special” mission operation with a thing called Limpet Mines, they been around since WW2, got our name embossed right on it; see it says USA and it has a serial number to boot. Who needs a frogman when you got all these Limpet’s just laying around? Did I tell you that they were magnetic?
Sorry about the sarcasm Golddiger, I’m really just joking. I do understand your point. But aren’t you just second guessing about things we don’t know anything about? Perhaps, it was decided that C4 charges were needed to ensure the job was done correctly and completely, with out leaving any kind of trace. Now I am second guessing. I think it is a little too much to ask Cy to determine why this or that explosive 💣 was used, don’t you?

Posted by: Ed | Feb 12 2023 2:03 utc | 167

jgalt #165

The latest object over Alaska was not identified by US pilots. They could not recognize it, it had no identifiable propulsion system and it interfered with their sensors.

Perhaps with the mesosphere being saturated with H2O and metallic oxides and ions from the Tonga volcanic eruption a year ago, the high altitude amanita are flourishing and coagulating in the higher vortices causing radar images and resembling ‘targets’ as only USAians would think of such things.
I see that some pilot assured us one was ‘shot down’ and landed on an ice flow. That might account for the large number of stoned polar bears and sea lions found singing and hugging in the locality.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 12 2023 2:06 utc | 168

Longhorn | Feb 12 2023 0:09 utc | 134
China has the same historical claims on Russian territory that Russia has on Ukrainian territory
Except. Russia isn’t killing citizens of Chinese ethnicity. Or building up a military and posturing to invade.
Russia and China are viewing the region with the intent of mutual economic and society development.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 12 2023 2:13 utc | 169

I have seen many people say German Industry will move to the US but so far see zero evidence of that happening.

Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Feb 12 2023 2:14 utc | 170

Martin Jay makes an interesting contribution to the discussion. He argues that the Us provoked russia to war in order to get an excuse to blow up the pipelines
“…It’s as though Biden knew, through years of experience as Obama’s Vice President that covert operations which the U.S. carries out seldom remain secret for too many years and so prepared the ground. The invasion by Putin would satisfy his NATO partners and the U.S. people that it was a correct response aimed at a double whammy of reducing Putin’s oil and gas revenues and breaking Germany’s dependency of cheap gas which was fuelling its formidable economy. Add to that, American LPG producers could clean up with new contracts to supply many European countries while Europe is pushed to its knees and looks to the U.S. as the dominant leaders once again since the end of the second world war.
“There are so many questions now which arise from the epic Hersh piece and we should not be surprised by the character assassination by the U.S. establishment which will follow in the coming weeks. But the sheer level of greed and Machiavellian thinking behind the navy operation will not resonate well with Global South countries, in particular Africa, whose leaders will be disgusted by the rank desperation of America to hold on to its superpower status as its hegemony is failing and its elite in Washington struggle to accept a new multipolar world is emerging.
“Was the long-term plan by Biden and his chief advisers to push Putin towards the trap of invading Ukraine? Was the invasion itself really all about destroying the pipelines and cleaning up on the profits? Biden’s naked lust to boost the U.S. economy at the expense of Europe’s sacrifice and suffering is clear. But even Biden couldn’t have planned or expected that the EU sanctions against Russia would so sensationally backfire on EU governments. Presently, there is a certain air of desperation by the Europeans who want an end to the war in Ukraine as they have woken up to the idea that the war of attrition plan only works in America’s favour and not Europe’s?…”
https://strategic-culture.org/news/2023/02/11/biden-blew-up-nord-stream-pipelines-but-did-he-allow-the-ukraine-war-go-ahead-justify-covert-operation/

Posted by: bevin | Feb 12 2023 2:15 utc | 171

Thanks for returning to this, karlof1 @ Feb 12 2023 0:25 utc | 140 – in the back of my mind has been a comment Michael Hudson made on nakedcapitalism.com when I first read the transcript – Yves had objected (she usually doesn’t) that the target was Russia – (I had a ‘to and fro’ with one of our regulars on the apparent conflict, saying in general that he had commented tactfully allowing her objection.) So, reading your post, I went back to archives, and here now is Michael’s comment below the NC posting:

Michael Hudson
February 6, 2023 at 9:17 am
Well, Yves is of course right that the INTENT was to squeeze Russia’s economy and export earnings. But I think that as soon as U.S. officials caught on to the effect on Germany, they smiled and rubbed their hands together.
Think for a minute of what it implies if the US did NOT make a scenario of what would happen when the sanctions were imposed on oil, gas and crops. What does this tell you about the inability of U.S. officials to take “blowback” into account?
I always did that when I worked for the Hudson Institute in the 1970s (before it changed ownership and moved to Washington). Can it really be that US officials are so irresponsibly tunnel-visioned?

I think this comment answers any questions about what came first, the chicken or the egg; it answered mine, anyway! And I love letting the trolls play – my thought was it’s winter and it’s cold under them thar bridges. So, we’ll let ’em have a little sunshine against the covid.

Posted by: juliania | Feb 12 2023 2:18 utc | 172

How Europe turns into America: impose a single currency Create a pseudo central control( Belgium). Make nations give up individual sovereignty, essentially becoming states. Support mass immigration,: dilution of individual culture. Sell the idea that together we become stronger more prosperous. Under the lie that this is a virtuous endeavor. 24 years later you have the results.

Posted by: Dingo | Feb 12 2023 2:33 utc | 173

SwissArmyMan | Feb 12 2023 1:38 utc | 163
Search engine of choice
Search term: “german companies move to US”….

Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 12 2023 2:35 utc | 174

“…Meanwhile USA is destroying weather balloons, exhibiting its criminal meanness and ignorance toward Syria and sustaining the dumbest political class since Jean Bedel Bokassa was a President.”
Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 12 2023 1:38 utc | 162
I suggest you read karlof1’s post @ 140 above, and my comment @ 178, uncle. We may have a dumb political class, or we just might have a fiendishly duplicitous one (not quite the same thing.) What the balloon incidents might signify is the desperate need to distract and to leave the impression of ignorance. (Which I find a very scary thought.)

Posted by: juliania | Feb 12 2023 2:40 utc | 175

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Feb 11 2023 22:12 utc | 86
—————————————————
Ma Laoshi, i am sur it is just a coincidence, but you, the US/NATO. and Zelensky all seem to want the same thing: You all want Russia to charge full steam ahead and expend themselves in one glorious battle.
The Russian MoD is not stupid, they know what they are doing, and so far, the slow and methodical meat grinder is working quite well. If you think so highly of the balls to the wall’s military tactics, why don’t you write Zelensky and advise him about it. I am sure that he and his Generals will become excited to receive such wonderful advise.

Posted by: Ed | Feb 12 2023 2:41 utc | 176

Jörgen Hassler
You attempted hit job on Hersh’s article on the US war crime against the Russian Federation was all at sea like the crime itself. A damp squib.
Three questions:
1. What investigative journalism have you done? Links to articles please champ.
2. You obviously are a reader of Charles Dickens and his memorably named characters such as Dick Swiveller and Master Bates. Your choice of Hassler is a cute touch.
3. How is the weather in D.C.? I believe it is cloudy and overcast. Perfect weather for you Mr. Hassler?

Posted by: Paul McGrory | Feb 12 2023 2:42 utc | 177

Re: Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Feb 11 2023 17:45 utc | 6

Same deal in Zaporozhie: one of the resident trolls was gloating here a couple weeks ago about Russia getting stalled on the “southern front”. Troll or not, seems in retrospect he was mostly right?

Your logic is incomprehensible.
How is someone who tells you accurately what is going to happen a so-called “troll”?!? They sound more like a logical and dispassionate observer.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 12 2023 2:43 utc | 178

Posted by: bevin | Feb 12 2023 2:15 utc | 177
Thanks, bevin – important piece!

Posted by: juliania | Feb 12 2023 2:54 utc | 179

# 178 the chicken or the egg: is a tautology, you can have a chicken without an egg. But you can’t have an egg without a chicken. Therefore which came first?

Posted by: Dingo | Feb 12 2023 2:57 utc | 180

Well, well, the tag-team trolls are back & busy today. Normally the shifts thin out over the weekend. Must be concerned, overwhelmed with concern …
Let us welcome our newest arrivals/socks, Morena & Longhorn. Derek Henry, deliberate double spaced single sentences to pad out the thread spam ? Tsk, tsk, tsk. 🙁
The US committed the Ultimate crime of the Act of Aggressive War, a War Crime, by destroying 3 out of 4 of the Nordstream pipelines(Incompetent execution). The War crimes are not only against Russia but also it’s treaty ally Germany, etc. The US must be held to account.
SCI Ops, potential risk of instigating WW3 with Nuclear armed Russia, simply do NOT get outsourced to minor vassal allies. 5-Eyes (9-eyes, 14-eyes & Ghost members) is Sauron with the One Ring ruling over the utterly suborned lesser degrees of enslaved Nazgul.
We do it ourselves for very obvious reasons. Reality ? Nordstream, & all similar Ops are exclusively highly compartmented & tightly controlled, directly US run & executed.
US Naval assets & resources were used to do it, the specialist divers & equipment were US, the planning, layered command, co-ordination & execution were done by the US. The concept, the proposal & decision to execute were carried out by the US. Everything else is secondary, peripheral. Rational proof otherwise ?
And we totally f*cked it up ! Way to go the US of A ! Hoo-rah !
Oppenheimer, Dag Hammarskjold, Ellsberg … Ritter, Snowden, Assange, others, such paid/are paying the price up to the ultimate for truly Speaking Truth to Power. You want a pseudo-religious idol to adore ? You can’t go wrong there folks.
The US said they would destroy Nordstream, US did destroy Nordstream, & US gloated over destroying Nordstream. Indisputable, incontestable.
The person of Hersh is NOT the issue. It’s the ‘content’, is it not ? May we please, please, now move on from the internecine topic for/against the ‘person’ of Hersh ? In continuing to do so who’s interests are being served ? Hm ?
@ Paul McGrory | Feb 12 2023 2:42 utc | 183
Jeebus wept. That is civil discussion/debate of the CONTENT of the product of your ‘idol’ ?
@ Johnycomelately | Feb 11 2023 22:44 utc | 97
LOL. You clearly have NOT been paying attention.
@ Shadowbanned – all
So your OUN-B Nazi’s are Evil for serial doctrinal use of civilian human shields, yes, Yes, YES ?! Agreed ?
Rf should skip/glide bomb ’em regardless, you say ?
Yet the RF is incompetent & inept for honorably, humanely, responsibly going slow, deliberate & careful & accepting unnecessary casualties to protect innocents lives ? Just KILL ’em regardless you say ? Justified by asserted military necessity heh ?
UK should be nuked ! Out of hand, utterly disproportionate. A War Crime. Cool by you ?
RF is weak & indecisive, unlike the shock & awe, kill ’em all when in doubt, or even when not, psychopaths running Empire ? Therefore RF will reap the consequences of not committing wanton mass amoral rampant reckless slaughter, with exceptional glee ? Always such concern, concern heaped upon concern for the RF, yet human lives, clearly not.
A relentless Psyops Troll, with a cold wet nose, ’cause you are clearly expressive of being one very sick f*cking puppy! Designation: Psyops feral puppy Troll, perhaps ?
@ Bull Smith
Something to keep in mind when reading those things is that they are supposed to bring up the unexpected so the people participating learn something – often by losing. For example, the initial results of the famous Millennium Challenge lead to a project a year or two later of which I have first hand knowledge of, the modeling of and then validation of the improvements to the capabilities of the Phalanx CIWS capability to engage small boats.
Really ? Oh, please do enlighten us ignorant barflies… re Millenium Challenge, in detail, via first hand knowledge perspective, hm ?

Posted by: Outraged | Feb 12 2023 3:06 utc | 181

Paul McGrory | Feb 12 2023 2:42 utc | 183
Thanks Paul.
The attempt to discredit Hersh by diverting to minutiae on the “how” while ignoring the *who* and *why*, is a well known tactic.
Someone upthread mentioned the distraction of 9/11.
I personally spent about a decade down that rabbit hole, from 2004 when I saw mention of Building 7. I’d seen it collapse at 3am my time, and had been confounded that it had barely been mentioned in all the blanket coverage.
Years later, I realised I’d been played with like a kitten chasing a laser pointer.
*How* is for engineering – architect and demolition specialists.
Who and why and cui bono are the questions to pursue.
I don’t have a fucking clue *how* the U$ and fiends blew up the pipeline.
Our newly arrived and self described “investigative” journalist doesn’t know *how* either.
Barflies will focus on whatever they choose. But I’m not wasting my latterly significantly reduced and thus valuable (to me) screen time Indulging speculation.
The pipeline was blown. The US did it. What is Germany going to do about it?

Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 12 2023 3:06 utc | 182

Re: Posted by: Macpott | Feb 11 2023 17:48 utc | 7

Now it is more a game of patience – something we in the west are not that good in

The West are not good at patience?!?
Can you hear yourself?!?
Have you ever heard of something called the Cold War – which lasted about 45 years (1945-1989).
The West won this war because of an extremely patient disposition – it was prepared to wage this war over decades in the economic space – with no really direct kinetic operations.
The long game paid off. The West won – and this certainly involved a lot of “patience”.
If you want to go back even further – the West wanted to destroy the Soviet Union from its inception in 1922. Eventually it did – even if it took 7 decades.
Now that is the best example in modern times of an adversary displaying incredible patience in the pursuit of the destruction of its rival.
What counter examples do you have to show other powers showing such patience so successfully?!?

Posted by: Julian | Feb 12 2023 3:07 utc | 183

juliania @178–
Thanks for your reply. Yes, there’s some excellent material in that interview and I eagerly await their next podcast. I’ve been musing over the international non-dollar trade issue since Brazil/Argentina made their announcement to initiate what’s essentially a bancor for their use and could also be expanded to include other nations. I don’t have time to write on it now, but perhaps Monday will be the day I do after some further thinking and research.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 12 2023 3:16 utc | 184

Comments 159, 163 etc
Germany companies relocating…
Gas is cheap in us now, but fracking first happens in sweetest spots, and fracked wells play out quickly, usually under 2 years.
Imo cheap us gas not durable, decline hastened by exports to eu. And us has high wages vs many options.
China is attractive, Russian gas plus moderate wages, but so is turkey, its hub fed by both Russia and likely Iran.
Turkey has major links with Germany, many Turkish workers there. Turkey is my bet for a substantial share of German energy intensive industry.

Posted by: John k | Feb 12 2023 3:23 utc | 185

Feb. 07 2023
a sober, frank interview with Col. Douglas Macgregor,
more on the geopolitics —-
the D.C. neocons, badly miscalculated on Ukraine the true state of affairs… no one is telling the truth about the bond market. Forget the balloon, Americans need to wake-up.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rnut-E_eEM0&t=2s

Posted by: Likklemore | Feb 12 2023 3:23 utc | 186

I used to be an investigative journalist, so I recognize poor craftsmanship when I see it. I’m sorry but the story is very weak, regardless of what the ramifications of the headline might be.
Posted by: Jörgen Hassler | Feb 11 2023 19:55 utc | 37
———————————-
“I used to be an investigative journalist,”
Was that before you became employed by the CIA.
By the way, Cy received these awards: The Polk Award (1969, 1973, 1974, 1981, 2004), Pulitzer Prize (1970), George Orwell Award (2004). Of course, these awards are always given out to writers of “poor craftsmanship.” So, what awards do you have Mr. Hassler?

Posted by: Ed | Feb 12 2023 3:29 utc | 187

@ bevin | Feb 12 2023 2:15 utc | 177
…the quote from SC:
“But even Biden couldn’t have planned or expected that the EU sanctions against Russia would so sensationally backfire on EU governments. Presently, there is a certain air of desperation by the Europeans who want an end to the war in Ukraine
“EU governments” — that’s a good one. The Europe national governments gave up their sovereignty to a bogus illegal “European Union” which has sold Europeans down the river. We can’t blame Biden for that. The European Union is a one-of-a-kind in the world governing bloc with autocratic leadership, including four presidents, and members of a “parliament” serving five-year terms. The EU is not a nation and therefore it need not recognize the UN Charter nor be subjected to any scrutiny by UN bodies including the Security Council. The EU is a needless renegade largely unaccountable government which is also a key driver of the ongoing war in Europe.

Posted by: Don Bacon | Feb 12 2023 3:33 utc | 188

I posted an article from a SubStack on the previous page (#22) that covers why Moscow is pursuing the pace it is. It is a long article, but I believe, an excellent read.
Shorter version, Russia is managing escalation because if they did what many of the armchair (and bloodthirsty) Generals at the bar want, it’s game over. Hundreds of millions will die. It’s easy for laymen (and trolls) to talk about decapitation strikes and striking America but the reality is that if the Western World becomes incensed at Russia (right or wrong, they do have the more effective propaganda) then we will see death and destruction (even without nukes) on a scale most of us cannot imagine.
Prospects for World War 3 – Dedicated to Andrei Raevsky, the Vineyard Saker
That’s how I know if someone is a serious commentator or not. If they are constantly agitating for or criticizing a lack of escalation, then they are not really thinking things through, IMO.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 12 2023 3:35 utc | 189

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 12 2023 0:24 utc | 139
Thanks for the link. Teleconferencing and providing military support are two different things. China always present its “Panda Face” for public consumption. In “Unrestricted Warfare” China makes clear it intends to dominate the World. Russia has the two commodities China needs the most…food and energy. China and the US are co-dependent economically, and that trade dwarfs China-Russia trade.
So if you were China would you could you nose off to spite your face i.e. destroy your trade relationship with the US? Or would you look West at a weakened Russia (from fighting a stupid war) and solve your your strategic problems. Russia has teamed-up once before with an authoritarian dictator (Ribbentrop agreement), how did that turn out?
I am not saying it will happen, but the risk is increasing every day that Putin takes his country down the total war path.
Cheers

Posted by: Longhorn | Feb 12 2023 3:36 utc | 190

Posted by: jgalt | Feb 12 2023 1:45 utc | 165
Re the “no visible propulsion system”:
UFOs are the next big psyops to be activated.

Posted by: Ciaran | Feb 12 2023 3:43 utc | 191

bevin #177
on Martin Jay report:

“Was the long-term plan by Biden and his chief advisers to push Putin towards the trap of invading Ukraine? Was the invasion itself really all about destroying the pipelines and cleaning up on the profits? Biden’s naked lust to boost the U.S. economy at the expense of Europe’s sacrifice and suffering is clear. But even Biden couldn’t have planned or expected that the EU sanctions against Russia would so sensationally backfire on EU governments. Presently, there is a certain air of desperation by the Europeans who want an end to the war in Ukraine as they have woken up to the idea that the war of attrition plan only works in America’s favour and not Europe’s?…”
https://strategic-culture.org/news/2023/02/11/biden-blew-up-nord-stream-pipelines-but-did-he-allow-the-ukraine-war-go-ahead-justify-covert-operation/

There is sense in what Martin Jay says when you consider that Biden was the main USA plenipotentiary in Ukraine through the Obama years. He is so arrogant that he would by now be full of himself as the know-it-all of Ukraine and ably egged on by Nuland Blinken et al.
After all the strong arm coercion Biden performed in Ukraine for a decade and more to get the USA way done, he would be incapable of considering failure or erroneous adventures. Just threaten and ignore consequences has been the NATO way since its inception. No room for diplomatic subtleties in rigid mindsets.
“F#ck the EU” as Nuland said and no doubt the entire US team shared the view.
Now that the EU is (perhaps) beginning to view each other as plucked chooks there will be some depth to the EU/UK shoe shuffling of the past fortnight.
Clearly the USA has won its battle to subjugate and plunder the EU economy. Credit Suisse being loaded up with debt and then asset stripped is just one small example of the Washington piracy of the past decades.
Blowing up the pipelines is one metric of their supreme arrogance and it sure won’t be the last time we experience that arrogance. I am sure Russia and China expect more and that Syria and Iraq and Iran can attest to it.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 12 2023 3:45 utc | 192

re: sanctions
The US and its European puppets have been fruitlessly placing sanctions on other nations for forty years, and calling it diplomacy. The best example of sanctions not working is Iran. But Washington, Brussels etc are too stupid to admit the obvious, which has now come to bite them thanks to Moscow.

Posted by: Don Bacon | Feb 12 2023 3:48 utc | 193

@ LoveDonbass | Feb 12 2023 3:35 utc | 195
Quite so. Inculcated. Ignorance is bliss. Knowledge or insight irrelevant. Addiction to seeking instant gratification. Hurry the war up, it’s too slow! Casual extreme or mass violence/casualties is normative because the best form of negotiation/compromise/resolution is with a weapon, the more powerful or numerous the better, ideally with mass body counts. Collateral, so what. Oh, & all over in under two hours, tops.
Peace

Posted by: Outraged | Feb 12 2023 3:52 utc | 194

186. chicken or the egg, answer is the rooster. the rooster came first. im the hen to make a fertile egg . thats how i was taught

Posted by: hankster | Feb 12 2023 3:53 utc | 195

malamatias @74
thanks much for the link to the emmanuel todd interview in english.
and to all.

Posted by: polarbear4 | Feb 12 2023 4:01 utc | 196

Look up, way up…..some major panty peeing going on Stateside. Here a UFO, there a UFO, everywhere a Hersh, Hersh who? Who? Cried the Cat in the Funky Hat.
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Feb 12 2023 4:05 utc | 197

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 12 2023 3:35 utc | 195
Agreed. Thanks for the link to Black Mountain – I’ll read their stuff later.
– RSH

Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Feb 12 2023 4:15 utc | 198

A prepper I follow occasionally who lives in Austria just got her new gas/electricity bill and decided to share it with the class. It’s close to a 100% increase. She’s hoping things will get better – unfortunately for her we know “that ain’t gonna happen.”
My Electricity Bill this Year in Europe!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QlshBesz8Lc
– RSH

Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Feb 12 2023 4:27 utc | 199

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ War Map and the Situation on the Fronts in the Evening of 11 Feb 2023, pub. 00:04⚡️
⚔️ Situation on the Fronts for the past Day
🔹#Svatovo – #Kremennaya Direction:
➖ There is no change near #Kremennaya. Local battles and counter-battery fighting.
➖ In #Makeyevka LPR our artillery has worked off a cluster of militants.
➖ The Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) reported strikes on the enemy near #Novosyolovskoye LPR, #Gryanikovka, #Krakhmalnoye and #Novomlynsk in the #Kharkov region. Russian artillery, aviation and heavy flamethrower systems also hit militants near #Stelmakhovka, #Nevskoye LPR and #Yampolovka DPR.
🔹#Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) Sector:
➖ The “orchestrators” have squeezed the militants out of their positions at Krasnaya Gora, and ours are also advancing in #Paraskoviyevka.
➖ At the moment the AFU defence north of #Artyomovsk is disorganised. The enemy is sending reserves, but this is not helping.
➖ To the south of the city our forces are advancing near #Krasnoye and #Stupochki.
➖ Militants even blew up a road bridge over the Seversky Donets-Donbass channel on the #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) – #Konstantinovka highway, which hints at the imminent retreat of the enemy, and the morale of the militants speaks directly about it.
🔹#Zaporozhye Direction:
➖ According to MoD, artillery and aviation strikes were launched against AFU militants near #Ugledar, #Pavlovka and #Novosyolka in the DPR. Enemy losses amounted to more than 95 militants, two BMPs, two vehicles, an M109 Paladin artillery system, as well as three D-20 howitzers and a Hyacinth-B howitzer.
➖ The Nazis also distinguished themselves, but not by their ability to fight, but by shelling an Orthodox monastery.

https://t.me/sitreports/4421

Posted by: Down South | Feb 12 2023 4:28 utc | 200