Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 13, 2023
Ukraine Open Thread 2023-12

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

Peter AU1 @183–
Yes, as I wrote at 148 above:
“And of course, all those tank crews will be NATO troops since there’s zero time to get Ukies anywhere near proficient with their proper use and maintenance. So, NATO will finally begin to reap what it has sown in a more spectacular fashion than the economic impacts to-date. And behind all those future corpses stands the Outlaw US Empire which hopes to lose very few of its troops as it tries and fails to defeat Russia by killing off Europe’s youth.”
Yes, the Big Picture is grim and must be well managed by Russia and China as Crooke noted, but we already had posited and accepted that reality–or at least some of us. Regardless the side one takes, it’s clear certain preparations/precautions must be taken to insulate one’s basic interests from the events that will unfold over the next several years. How to read things is very important. In my case for example, I need to decipher what’s being done politically in Washington to make the correct choices for myself and family. And right now there’s lots of fog and smoke blowing in different directions making a hodge-podge difficult to discern. At least we made some very good choices 20 years ago that provides some insularity.
Perhaps the rout of NATO tankers will spark an EU-wide political revolt as the majority are already against waging war on Russia. The coming days will provide the answer.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 14 2023 4:11 utc | 201

Bronco Billy @162
A well researched and well stated analysis of weapons systems, their strengths and weaknesses. Thanks for the info.

Posted by: aristodemos | Jan 14 2023 4:12 utc | 202

The tanker’s armor branch slogan: Shock Action, Firepower, and Mobility

Posted by: Don Bacon | Jan 14 2023 4:20 utc | 203

aristodemos @191–
Quite correct about urban terrain, which is why I continue to opine Kiev will not be assaulted as there’s really no reason to do so. Terrian also presents a big problem in assaulting Odessa. We’ll know soon enough what Russia decides. I placed my bet already on an overall push all along the FEBA that aims to exploit the openings discovered.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 14 2023 4:21 utc | 204

@ Dr. George W Oprisko | Jan 14 2023 3:29 utc | 181
Two points:
(1) The RF didn’t impose an energy blockade on the EU, the _EU_ did, at the behest of its colonial masters to their colonial comprador Parties.
(2) This conflict is in effect as much if not more an aggression against the EU as the RF, capped by the Nordstream attack, by whoever the investigation showed carried it out, I forget.

Posted by: John Kennard | Jan 14 2023 4:23 utc | 205

Ed | Jan 14 2023 0:20 utc | 142
OohCanada @101 “…can you say, ‘the Maidan Coup?’ I knew you could.”
Mr Roger’s Neighborhood 🙂 Quite appropos for pre-kindergarten.

Posted by: Doug Hillman | Jan 14 2023 4:23 utc | 206

Ed | Jan 14 2023 0:20 utc | 142
OohCanada @101 “…can you say, ‘the Maidan Coup?’ I knew you could.”
Mr Roger’s Neighborhood 🙂 Quite appropos for pre-kindergarten.

Posted by: Doug Hillman | Jan 14 2023 4:23 utc | 207

@ Susan | Jan 13 2023 16:05 utc |
susan.. thanks so much.. that is such a bang up great article from germany, i have to repost it for those who skipped over, or missed it..
ERICH VAD: WAS SIND DIE KRIEGSZIELE?
you’ll have to use a translator, but it is well worth your time to do so..

Posted by: james | Jan 14 2023 4:35 utc | 208

@ Don Bacon | Jan 14 2023 4:20 utc | 200
I always liked the Artillery slogan “Artillery adds dignity to what otherwise would be a vulgar brawl.”

Posted by: John Kennard | Jan 14 2023 4:37 utc | 209

Posted by: Ed | Jan 14 2023 0:20 utc | 142
As a Canadian, I concur with your comment
Wish I could leave, but duty/family calls, so I remain to fight for them…

Posted by: xLemming | Jan 14 2023 4:52 utc | 210

Medvedev is allowed to vent; he provides that much needed pressure release.
Putin is the quintessential master of Politik. Knowing the best way to counter recusancy is to lead it yourself.
Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 14 2023 3:58 utc | 193
very well put, the whole team works very well together. Nothing close to this mix exists in the West. I could even say is allowed to exist in the West.

Posted by: K | Jan 14 2023 4:56 utc | 211

I think I’ve mentioned before that at my work place, they use Bing for their browser so when I go to look something up, there is a running rotation of stories off to the left side. When the “news” stories deal with the war in Ukraine, the pattern never changes; “the Ukies are winning and the Russians are failing”. Its been this way almost from the beginning. Here’s an example today. Wagner used “human wave” attacks to over come the AFU in Soledar. Wow, it must be seriously good coin to risk a 30% or more change of being killed or wounded. But wait, these guys are all ex-cons so they probably have no choice but to do “human wave” attacks. Almost pure projection but the sheeple eat it up, if they even notice it at all by now.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/russian-mercenaries-human-wave-tactics-push-back-ukrainian-troops-in-soledar/ar-AA16jcBC?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=87322baa0f9b4b1095feda6fee4a634b

Posted by: DakotaRog | Jan 14 2023 4:58 utc | 212

@ 206
Artillery is the King of the Battlefield because there has been no defense against it (we’re seeing a change now).
Infantry is the Queen of the Battlefield because they have to take and hold terrain.

Posted by: Don Bacon | Jan 14 2023 5:00 utc | 213

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ War Map and the Situation at the Fronts on the Evening of 13 Jan2023; pub. 0:05⚡️
🏵 The disputes over the control of #Soledar are over – the Ministry of Defence has announced that the town is under our control. Only the involvement of Wagner PMC units appeared outside the department’s daily summary, which provoked a great deal of criticism from experts and the public. But eventually the mistake was corrected and the direct involvement of the “orchestrator” assault groups in the capture of the city was officially acknowledged. In any case, although #Soledar is ours, the main thing is not to stop!
⚔️The Situation on the Fronts over the past Day
♦️#Svatovo – #Kremennaya Direction:
Russian artillery has worked on militant positions in the districts of #Krakhmalnoye and #Berestovoye in #Kharkov region. Also, artillery of Pskov paratroopers covered units of two AFU brigades in the #Grigorovka and #Serebryanka areas of the DPR.
♦️#Soldar Direction:
According to war correspondents, the Russian army began (https://t.me/readovkanews/50643) to liberate #Razdolovka north of #Soledar. Also today, assault action continued near #Sol station (a depot was taken under control), fighting for #Paraskovievka and Krasnaya Gora. Ours attacked the enemy in both directions from Soledar – both towards #Artyomovsk and #Seversk, expanding the bridgehead.
♦️#Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) Direction:
There is still fighting for Kleshchiyevka. There is street fighting in the southeastern quarters and in the industrial zone. Also the capture of #Opytnoye has had a strong impact on the onslaught of our troops. There are battles for #Paraskovievka and Krasnaya Gora. At this point it is too early to talk about operational encirclement of the city.
💥 Two Grad MLRS and Uragan MLRS have been discovered and destroyed in the areas of Krasny #Liman and #Seversk by the DPR.
💡The beginning of the special operation was remembered first and foremost for the daring actions of the Russian army – from the landing in #Gostomel to the “cavalry” dash to #Kherson. But later such desperate raids led to our withdrawal. By 2023, both sides had changed dramatically, so February 2022 was definitely not going to happen. So a revision of tactics is necessary. Which way? In our story.

https://t.me/sitreports/3306

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 5:03 utc | 214

🇷🇺⚡️🇺🇦
Chronicle of a special military operation
for January 13, 2023
🔻Northern Ukrainian direction:
▪️In the Belarusian direction, the Ukrainian command is monitoring the situation on the border with the Republic of Belarus with the help of the NATO satellite constellation.
Expecting a possible attack of the Russian Armed Forces on Kyiv, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine pulled significant reserves to the border.
▪️In the Kharkiv region, in the area of Veterinary and Okop, there is a Ukrainian DRG. The group intends to penetrate into Russian territory in the Belgorod region in the near future.
▪️A special forces unit “Charlie” arrived at the border Tolstodubovo in the Sumy region, which conducts reconnaissance of the activities of Russian troops in the Bryansk region.
🔻Starobelsk direction (map):
▪️At the Kupyansko-Svatovsky section near Makeevka, Ukrainian DRGs from 25 airborne brigade are operating, monitoring the activities of the RF Armed Forces near Svatovo.
➖ The Ukrainian army attacked the oil press shop in Svatovo, the object was damaged.
▪️Several artillery crews were transferred to the Limansky section of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the Nevskoye line – west of Krasnopopovka.
➖The enemy command is expecting an offensive by the RF Armed Forces in the area southwest of Dibrova.
▪️Personnel of the 90th battalion of the 81st airmobile brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was transferred to the Lisichansky sector.
🔻Soledar direction (map):
▪️In the Soledar sector, detachments of the Wagner PMC are cleaning up the western quarters of Soledar and underground utilities.
➖”Wagnerites” entered the village of Sol and occupied the depot of the railway station of the same name.
▪️Fights are going on in Bakhmut and its suburbs. The Armed Forces of Ukraine lost control over several strongholds in Kleshcheevka, Krasnaya Gora and Bakhmut itself.
▪️The enemy expects active actions of the RF Armed Forces at the Berestovoe-Disputed line, as well as Ozaryanovka-Mayorsk.
🔻Donetsk direction:
▪️Ukrainian formations once again shelled the cities of the Donetsk agglomeration: the capital of the DPR, Gorlovka, Makeevka and Yasinovataya were hit.
🔻Zaporozhye direction (map):
▪️ Units of the 128th Guards Brigade arrived at the Orekhovsky site in Omelnik, Grigorovka and Tavriyskoye.
➖The RF Armed Forces attacked the location of the 197th battalion of the 124th troop formation in Zarechny, destroying several pieces of equipment and enemy fighters.
▪️Polish mercenaries arrived in the Zaporozhye region, which may indicate preparations for sorties at the Vasilyevka-Kopani line.
🔻 Southern Front. Kherson direction:
▪️Artillery duels continue in the southern sector of the front: the Russian Armed Forces attacked enemy positions in Kherson, Antonovka and the Kutsurub community.

https://t.me/azmilitary11/33490

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 5:10 utc | 215

What’s the status with accessing SCF barflies; still troubles?
Please reply if you do and I’ll post it here on some dead thread while posting its URL for easy access
Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 14 2023 3:04 utc | 175
SCF still being blocked here in northern Norway, for me at least.
Just the URL is OK tho’ as I still use the work-around that S provided some months ago to get the text.
A renewal of my thanks here, too.

Posted by: waynorinorway | Jan 14 2023 5:10 utc | 216

james | Jan 14 2023 4:35 utc | 205
The translation was posted earlier in the thread but it is good to relink it. Relist even though Anglo dominance is much better than those that live in a fantasy world. They are the sort of people who can be negotiated with.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 5:13 utc | 217

A certain fighter of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Petr “Stone” Voloshchenko on the air of the national TV channel said that the Wagner had fallen into a trap in Soledar.
“…they enter the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, take pictures and then die”
There is no mournful limit to the perfection of Ukrainian propaganda. Convulsive and compulsive lies accompany every advance of the Russian troops, which cannot but rejoice: more and more people are gradually realizing that the Kyiv authorities are sending them, and their relatives and friends, into a meat grinder.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/28757

◾In the latest effort of the Ukrainan propaganda to cover up their total defeat in Soledar, a video from two Wagner soldiers was poorly over voiced to make them say that Soledar wasn’t liberated and they had serious casualties.
◾The fake was rapidly exposed and not even the Ukrainian public bought it for a second. Here are the fake and the original videos subtitled.

https://t.me/azmilitary11/33514

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 5:18 utc | 218

Often the issue comes up: Why doesn’t Putin/Russia do this or that? Why does Russia seem to be fighting in a limited manner? And on the other side: why does aid from the West to Ukraine seem so piecemeal, only offering new wunderwaffen AFTER Ukrainian setbacks?
Well, we are in a cold war situation, where game theory is of paramount importance. Every action from one side will be met with an equal and opposite reaction from the other side. This is why both sides are hesitant to push boundaries of action at any given moment. Of course, we will continue to see a gradual escalation until some great crescendo. Hopefully, cooler heads prevail before we reach the point of our destruction. I’m reminded of these words from Nikita Khrushchev, sent in a letter to the Kennedy administration during the Cuban Missile Crisis:
Khrushchev:
We and you ought not pull on the ends of a rope, which you have tied the knots of war.  Because the more the two of us pull, the tighter the knot will be tied, and then it will be necessary to cut that knot.  And what that would mean is not for me to explain to you.  I have participated in two wars and know that war ends when it has rolled through cities and villages, everywhere sowing death and destruction.  For such is the logic of war.  If people do not display wisdom, they will clash like blind moles, and mutual annihilation will commence.
 
Words to keep in mind during this dark period.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/28787

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 5:22 utc | 219

Slavyangrad on the change of the SMO structure

Implications
From my point of view, we need to consider three implications of this change in the structure.
1. General Gerasimov is the overall chief of the Russian Armed Forces. Not only these, committed to Ukraine, but also for the rest of the world. So, logically, he won’t be “physically” able, to command the SMO in detail on his own. He has a nominal job, to consolidate all competences needed, in one person. For example, the competence to command the Belarussian army, but also political, industrial and logistical issues within and outside of the Russian army.
2. Since he will most likely have a more representative (giving competence to the SMO) role, I think we should focus more, going forward, on General Kim. He is his deputy and most likely he will do the “work” behind the SMO staff. Yes, there are three deputies, but he is also the deputy of the General Staff. Thereby the highest-ranking officer of the three. Even if not nominal or publicly, but I can imagine that he will do the most planning work going forward, whereas the other two will be tasked with execution.
3. If General Surovikin is not the main responsible General and not more tasked with the overall coordination of the forces etc. but only has the task of commanding the aerospace forces, then we can assume that we will see far more action of the Russian Air
Force, then before.
Strategic planning
Basics
In the following I will try to point out my predictions, how the Russian strategic planning could potentially look like. Of course, we need to keep in mind that these are ONLY ASSUMPTIONS. It could turn out totally different as well.
Well, as I wrote in most of my analysis, the Russian goal is to trigger a collapse of Ukrainian logistics, manpower supply and thereby of the armed resistance. Keep in mind. The goal is the collapse. Not to conquer every single village throughout Ukraine with frontal assaults.
Due to the gift, that Ukraine is making Russia, to not only fighting to defend every inch in Donbass, but also trying to recapture territories, Russia can fulfill its task on a huge degree solely in the eastern regions.
The Ukrainian manpower reserves are not unlimited and they are slowly but steadily reaching their end. By forcing the enemy to fight in the Donbass, Russia makes sure, that the enemy manpower gets drawn out of all the other important big cities. Like Kharkov, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporozhye, Nikolayev, Kherson, Odessa etc. etc.
In turn, this means, that there is a high probability, that the Russians won’t need to fight in these cities as soon as the Ukrainian army collapses.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/28783

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 5:31 utc | 220

i can access SCF here on vancouver island..
@ Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 5:13 utc | 214
you are correct.. i see it now – @ Bagradian | Jan 13 2023 20:53 utc | 82

Posted by: james | Jan 14 2023 5:32 utc | 221

Theatre 1: Artemovsk-Soledar-Seversk
Hence, Surovikin’s withdrawals, evening-out of the frontlines and the creation of a perfect firebag to destroy the enemy manpower. Artemovsk (Bakhmut). It is the most unfavourable place for Ukraine to fight. And still, Ukraine tries to defend it with everything it has, for political reasons. Otherwise, the Western public support break.
Russia has short supply lines, air superiority, a friendly population and favourable positions for shelling there. One could say that the Ukrainian army is being buried in Artemovsk. There are already tens of thousands of dead and perhaps the double number of wounded. One needs to keep in mind that wounded soldiers are an even larger burden to a nation then the dead, during the time of war.
From my point of view, and as described in former analysis, Russia could have taken Artemovsk before. But there is a certain time, when it needs to be taken, to keep the stone rolling. The Russian reserves are being currently prepared for the offensive. Artemovsk mustn’t fall, before they are ready. Moreover, Artemovsk needs to kill as many Ukrainian soldiers as possible before the offensive starts.
Which means in turn, that it doesn’t make any sense to take it, as long as the enemy is able to feed in troops. When the enemy starts having problems to feed in further troops, by drawing them from other important frontlines, then Ukraine is ready for the other offensive operations.
So, the requirements, that are needed to trigger the storming of Artemovsk are:
1. Waiting for the stream pushed in troops to end.
2. The other offensive formations of the Russian army need to be in place.
I assume this moment could be reached in February. When exactly? I don’t know. We will see.
Theatre 2: Izyum-Slovyansk-Kramatorsk
As soon as these offensive starts, I assume, that the Ukrainian defences will start to collapse, since most Ukrainian troops will be already dead or wounded. At this point the Russian army will most likely move in from Kupiansk to Izyum from the north and occupy favourable positions north and maybe even west of Kramatorsk and Slovyansk.
Depending on the state of resistance of the Ukrainian army there will either be a direct storming from the Artemovsk and Slovyansk grouping of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk or there will be a siege. There is no need to sacrifice troops for quick wins, since there will be more fronts, to trigger the Ukrainian collapse.
Theatre 3
Maybe simultaneously there will be a push to Ugledar and the surrounding villages from the south, to put additional pressure on the Ukrainian supply lines. Both, in material and people.
Theatre 4
As you see in my map, the theater “4” is a pretty long one.
For the time being, as I write this article, I don’t see any physical possibility, to conduct any large-scale offensive from Belarus into Ukraine. There are neither enough equipment nor the needed logistics in place. So, big arrows from Belarus are currently physically impossible.
What I assume indeed, is the following. We will see locally, not everywhere where I put a number 4 on it, but at certain places (I don’t know where) small incursions, to pin and bind the enemy at the close proximity of the border. To engage as many as possible troops, equipment and logistical effort in the north. At the same time, I assume, that we could start experiencing the start of a Russian air campaign on targets across the northern border of Ukraine.
Since most air defences are currently concentrated around the critical infrastructure or already depleted, we will most likely see the new role of General Surovikin. Hammering and degrading Ukrainian resources in the north. And Ukraine will need to replace them constantly, to not open the door to Kiev.
At the same time, we could maybe see the accumulation of troops and equipment in Belarus.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/28784

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 5:34 utc | 222

That video old hippie linked a thread or tow back. I had already seen seen it. When we are brought to war, fools die.
We see the destruction of Ukraine manhood. Why are they taking up arms against Russia rather than their own government that espouses nazism? The video is a credit to the comboned Russian forces but that fighter is too soft. If they where dedicated nazi’s they would have killed him.
As it was they fulfilled their mind dead purpose of cannon fodder.
Debs was half right in a previews comment. Idiots that choose to be proxies die. Everyone was born with a brainb but the majority choose not to use it. Group think is an easier road and perfidious albion preys on this. The anglo world… Anglo saxon mindset. I have no sympathy for those who fight and kill for the anglo empire. no matter Islamic cia extremists or naz cia extremists. Nato special forces know when to pull back. Idiots that enlist as mercenaries are cannon fodder.
I try to talk to family and friends but they live in a shallow world of propaganda.,

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 5:35 utc | 223

This could go on maybe until the start of the summer 2023.
Here we have the same situation as in Artemovsk. As soon as the supply of troops and equipment starts ebbing down in the north, Russia can assume, that the time can be right to secure Kiev.
Requirements for a move on Kiev:
Complete collapse of the Donbass front.
Complete Collapse of the northern front.
Depending on how the political situation will be then, we could see here already a full surrender or only the moving in of Russian troops to a close proximity of Kiev. Maybe even already the start of the surrounding of Kiev.
Theatre 5
Either simultaneously with Theatre 4 or after the moving on Kiev (surrounding or prepositioning north, west and east of Kiev), we could see the opening of a fifth frontline in the south. The target would be to reach Zaporozhye city. Again, with the goal, to overstretch the Ukrainian resources and logistics.
Again, I’m sure, Russia’s goal is to trigger a collapse, to not being forced to fight for every village up to Lvov.
After these five “phases” or theaters, I assume, that we will see the collapse of Ukraine. Which will either result in a surrender, or we could simply see a drive-through of Russian forces to their desired future borders by bypassing last resistance nests. Which will need to surrender anyways after a certain time, when they get encircled far behind NATO borders.
By applying this strategy, Russia can inflict maximum damage to the Ukrainian army while sparing the own soldiers lives and the Ukrainian civilian infrastructure of big Russian cities (Odessa etc.). Which the ultimate Russian goal is.
Depending on the degree of resistance and Western escalation, we could see a surrender of Kiev the earliest in Summer 2023. The latest? This is impossible to say. If Russia needs to drive through Ukraine, encircling big cities and force them without violence to surrender, this could drag on for another two years. How knows?
And of course, there is still the question of manpower. As in my analysis of phase 3 described, Russia would need to mobilise further troops, if being forced to take Ukraine without their surrender. Not for the fighting itself, but simply for occupation and securing rear areas (counter insurgency etc.), of this large country.
Arms deliveries and Scorched Earth
There are ever more reports of deliveries of tanks and infantry fighting vehicles, as well as artillery to Ukraine by NATO. Of course, there are.
Of course, we will go through all escalation steps in terms of arms deliveries, until this war concludes.
The West is following a strategy of scorched earth in Ukraine. It is absolutely clear to everyone, that it is only a question of time, when Ukraine will fall as a whole. All are aware that this will most likely happen this year. So, the task is, to inflict as much comprehensive and sustainable damage to Russia as possible during the process. With a huge success of course. See my article about that here.
Ukraine, or the biggest parts of it, will be part of Russia again. Some parts might go to Poland, Hungary and Romania by agreement with Russia. And some part will maybe be released into pseudo independence after being denazifyed and demilitarised. But in fact, Russia is killing currently “en mass” its future citizens and the base for further development. Of course, the Ukrainian soldiers of today will be Russian soldiers of tomorrow, as well. And as more infrastructure is damaged as more Russia will need to invest to rebuild. At least in parts, that will go to Russia.
Therefore, it needs to be ensured, by NATO, that the whole male able-bodied potential will be used, to fight Russia. In the best case everyone dies. Remember, these are future Russian citizens and soldiers. That’s why the West will never ever negotiate an end. Russia by the way won’t do it as well, since all of Ukraine will be captured, denazifyed and demilitarised. Except maybe the parts, that will go to other states under a mutual agreement.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/28785

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 5:36 utc | 224

Well, as far as I am aware off, Ukraine ran out of heavy weapons. And it won’t be able to further keep up the fight, without heavy weapons. First, physically, second morally. If the Ukrainians could only throw their bodies against Russian tanks, then there would be a mass surrender.
One would think, these western supplied tanks will be needed for offensive operations. But no-one thinks about offensives anymore. It is more, to preposition these tanks etc. on positions, where Russian offensives will be expected. To prepare ambushes and fire traps for the incoming Russian troops. Similar to what happened in phase 1. The West will supply in any phase, as long as human potential exists, to react to the challenges of the given time/phase/theater.
Conclusion
As of now, Ukraine lost the war. I would say, the day the defensive line in Soledar breached and the new command structure was announced, is the day, Ukraine lost the war officially. Now we need to go through the mop up, which will bring, unfortunately for both sides, horrendous losses in human lives and equipment.
Unfortunately, fascist regimes, or their non-fascist backers tend to sacrifice their whole population before the world can back peace.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/28786

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 5:43 utc | 225

karlof1@175,01/14/23/3:04 thank you for linking SC for all those months past. i, as you know, live in victoria bc, & can now & for some months have been able to once again access SC. it seems to me, bt james may recall exactly when, that when the vax restrictions lifted so SC also seemed once again accessible, however, it may just as likely be that chrystia has been so taken with her war effort to have forgotten ehert’s essays on her past & chilling hatred & war lust. again, thank you.

Posted by: emersonreturn | Jan 14 2023 5:44 utc | 226

@ Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 5:35 utc | 220
Everyone was born with a brain but the majority choose not to use it
Actually no such choice is made because it’s mandatory to sit in a chair and shut up, while the teacher tells us what we ought to know and it will be tested.
This is not the way it should be, and so we complained about being “in jail” etc.
That’s not education, it’s training.
The word education comes from educar, to draw out. What is the student interested in, and then provide the opportunity to learn about it or practice it in the case of athletics, music, etc. Every student is unique and different.
And so it goes — as adults we are provided with fake news — Trump got that right (CNN).

Posted by: Don Bacon | Jan 14 2023 6:00 utc | 227

I try to talk to family and friends but they live in a shallow world of propaganda.,
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 5:35 utc | 220
It’s hard to catergorize or separate things in interactions with friends and family as politics is
a component of every topic. It’s a constant battle but you just have to accept that others choose
not to do much in the way of analysis and go to the Moon (of Alabama) for R&R.
I know you know that and I’m glad you come here with your views and info. G’day, mate.
@ Susan | Jan 13 2023 16:05 utc | & james | Jan 14 2023 4:35 utc | 205
Thanks for the ERICH VAD piece. Good with the morning coffee.

Posted by: waynorinorway | Jan 14 2023 6:02 utc | 228

@ waynorinorway | Jan 14 2023 6:02 utc | 225
glad you saw it! i am off to bed!! not all of it i agreed with, but it is good to know some folks in germany are awake to what is happening here.. cheers..

Posted by: james | Jan 14 2023 6:06 utc | 229

Posted by: Bill Smith | Jan 14 2023 2:09 utc | 165
The price cap won’t work because the US and vassals do not have monopsony power. It will only cause a self-imposed restriction in supply, which of course will lead to higher prices. Economics 101.

Posted by: One Too Many | Jan 14 2023 6:48 utc | 230

There’s gotta be some New York agency being paid some of those billions pumping this out….
>……”Western countries are so worried about sending tanks to Ukraine, they’re arguing about what is and isn’t a “tank.” We offer our humble suggestion.:”
https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1613599573955444751
Tweeter suggested Australia send its 59 Abrams as
-not using them
-not NATO
– circumvents

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 14 2023 6:58 utc | 231

How do Sean Penn and his like visit Kiev without breaching Logan Act ?

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jan 14 2023 6:59 utc | 232

When you house a dangerous angry dog, are unconcerned with its attacks across the neighbourhood, but are dumbfounded when the animal inevitably turns on you:
Also known as “nazis gonna nazi”…..
Julian Ropcke:
Verified pro-Ukrainian NAFO activists are calling for my execution(!!!) because I geolocate footage the Ukrainian army and Ukrainian soldiers published via social media.
This is going too far guys, I don’t care if you disagree with me, but demanding me to get “shot” is … wow.
https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1613844122070032384

Replies:
>…Peter W. Kruger: It’s time #NAFO starts seriously cleaning some shit in its ranks. If it doesn’t, it’s going to back fire badly, which would be very bad as NAFO is badly needed.
>…Dmitry Polyanskiy Russia government official
What are you complaining about? That’s normal working conditions for those who dare publish truth and not what Ukrainian propaganda wants!
But I don’t think you need to worry much – as soon as you continue to uphold Kiev regime’s narrative these trolls and bots will spare you.
>… Danny Armstrong. I tweeted a poll on ‘should the UK still fund Ukraine or spend the money at home’, a huge talking point in Britain right now, and these death cult dogs hijacked it, jumped on me as a pro-Kremlin shill, and called for my death.
Never met a more rabid bunch of lunatics on Twitter.
>…What you are doing by publishing coordinates of Ukrainian units is not journalism. It’s providing aid and comfort to Russia. Knock it off or at least remove the Ukrainian flag from your profile.
>>… Sweetie. The Russians already know….
>…Make the Russians have to do the work. He doesn’t have to pin it down to an exact location for them.
>…Just stop geolocating Ukrainian forces
>>…You think Russian forces aren’t already doing this with social media posts, but quicker and more efficiently? You people have the mind of a child.
>…He’s a reporter. It’s his job. Now log off Twitter and cry about it.
>…A reporter taking sides by violating opsec?
>>…He’s not violating anything. Once the data is public, all bets are off. And any reporter that takes sides is not a reporter. You’re just bitter that he’s not taking yours.
> He’s taking sides by aiding the other party
>>…Have you ever read Röpcke’s tweets and articles from the last few years? He never sided with Russia, that’s bullshit.
>…Unintentionally, he’s siding with Russia.
>>…he is also tweeting about Russian positions and their troop movements inside Russia. He’s siding with Ukraine since 2014

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 14 2023 7:00 utc | 233

Apology for all bold.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 14 2023 7:00 utc | 234

karlof1 | Jan 14 2023 4:11 utc | 198

So, NATO will finally begin to reap what it has sown in a more spectacular fashion than the economic impacts to-date. And behind all those future corpses stands the Outlaw US Empire which hopes to lose very few of its troops as it tries and fails to defeat Russia by killing off Europe’s youth.”

Like the Titanic orchestra playing a famous tune from the previous century “Nearer, My God, to Thee”…
We still have the Panic Orchester Stollenberg on drums, Duda on bass, VdL and Analena on vocals, and little brilliance on guitar, Macron and Scholz, poor performers, poorly keeping up with the Tempo….
<>Come on baby,
don’t fear The Reaper

Posted by: Weimar | Jan 14 2023 7:22 utc | 235

This war will end when we run out of money.

Posted by: Passerby | Jan 14 2023 7:24 utc | 236

Melalueca no. 152
This article from 2015 shows the corruption and the state of the health care system at that time:
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2015/feb/04/welcome-to-the-most-corrupt-nation-in-europe-ukraine

Posted by: ThusspakeZarathustra | Jan 14 2023 7:51 utc | 237

Barflies,
NATO has a very long view here. It’s prepared to keep the War hot for years. My guess, we’ll see escalation and more escalation until at least 2025.
Also realize the Ukrainian civil war is really just a sideshow in the Global War we are now in.
The various color revolutions and coups happening now in South America, Iran, Africa, and the Stan’s , and elsewhere all seem to be NATO sculpting-the-battlefield. NATO needs to flip as many neutrals as possible as soon as possible. That’s a big NATO effort to watch over the next 9 months.
Finally – Eurasia only prevails if De-Dollarization accelerates dramatically. The pace of De-Dollarization is the single critical variable of the Global War. It’s difficult to get solid data on the pace of De-Dollarization, but that’s what barflies should focus their efforts on.
This Global War will go on far longer than we can imagine. We are barely in the first inning.

Posted by: Exile | Jan 14 2023 8:46 utc | 238

@waynorinorway | Jan 14 2023 5:10 utc | 213

What’s the status with accessing SCF barflies; still troubles?
Please reply if you do and I’ll post it here on some dead thread while posting its URL for easy access
Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 14 2023 3:04 utc | 175
SCF still being blocked here in northern Norway, for me at least.
Just the URL is OK tho’ as I still use the work-around that S provided some months ago to get the text.

I guess it is a question of ISP (I am on Altibox), I have no problems accessing https://strategic-culture.org/ . Likewise, RT and Sputnik are also accessible (Sputnik was blocked the first few months of the SMO, but came back).
Altibox still retains their cute & tiny heart icon in Ukrainian colours on their web site, but that is all. I guess it is their share of the required virtue signalling.

Posted by: Norwegian | Jan 14 2023 8:51 utc | 239

Posted by: Susan | Jan 13 2023 16:05 utc | 19
In an interview with CNN US Chief of Staff General Mark Milley says Ukraine won’t win the war, that negotiations are the only way out.
And a few days later, in an interview with a German feminist magazine, retired German General Erich Vad says exactly the same thing. What a coincidence.

Posted by: Passerby | Jan 14 2023 9:01 utc | 240

Ukraine has turned into a private military company owned by NATO, which is paid money, given weapons and told where to shoot. This was stated by the Permanent Representative of Russia to the UN Vasily Nebenzia at a meeting of the Security Council of the world organization.
According to him, “the Kiev regime, contrary to facts and common sense, has formed the illusion that with increasing direct military assistance from NATO, it will be able to defeat Russia on the battlefield.” “As a result, Ukraine, in fact, turned into a NATO PMCs. They pay her money, supply her with weapons and intelligence, tell her where to shoot and where to attack. The Ukrainian people suffer from this, who are forced to fight for the sake of other people’s tasks,” the diplomat said.
The special military operation in Ukraine will end only when its goals are achieved, whether through negotiations or military means, Vasily Nebenzia said.
“It will be possible to finish its work only when there will no longer be a threat to Russia from the territory of Ukraine and there will be no discrimination for the Russian-speaking population of this country. If this result can be achieved through negotiations, then we are ready for such a scenario. If not, then all the tasks set will be achieved by military means. So far, neither the Kiev regime nor its Western sponsors have drawn the necessary conclusions from the Ukrainian events,” the Permanent Representative of the Russian Federation to the World Organization said at a meeting of the UN Security Council on Ukraine.
https://t.me/azmilitary11/33516

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2023 9:15 utc | 241

Ukraine has turned into a private military company owned by NATO, which is paid money, given weapons and told where to shoot. This was stated by the Permanent Representative of Russia to the UN Vasily Nebenzia at a meeting of the Security Council of the world organization.
According to him, “the Kiev regime, contrary to facts and common sense, has formed the illusion that with increasing direct military assistance from NATO, it will be able to defeat Russia on the battlefield.” “As a result, Ukraine, in fact, turned into a NATO PMCs. They pay her money, supply her with weapons and intelligence, tell her where to shoot and where to attack. The Ukrainian people suffer from this, who are forced to fight for the sake of other people’s tasks,” the diplomat said.
The special military operation in Ukraine will end only when its goals are achieved, whether through negotiations or military means, Vasily Nebenzia said.
“It will be possible to finish its work only when there will no longer be a threat to Russia from the territory of Ukraine and there will be no discrimination for the Russian-speaking population of this country. If this result can be achieved through negotiations, then we are ready for such a scenario. If not, then all the tasks set will be achieved by military means. So far, neither the Kiev regime nor its Western sponsors have drawn the necessary conclusions from the Ukrainian events,” the Permanent Representative of the Russian Federation to the World Organization said at a meeting of the UN Security Council on Ukraine.
https://t.me/azmilitary11/33516

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2023 9:15 utc | 242

A great moment in human history occurred at Moscow’s Tushino Air Field in Sept. 1991 when Metallica played ‘Enter Sandman.’ Crowd estimates range from hundreds of thousands to a million+…https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_W7wqQwa-TU.

Posted by: susan mullen | Jan 14 2023 9:18 utc | 243

Ramzan Akhmatovich believes that no more than 15 percent of the Western arms supplied to Ukraine will reach the air defense zone.
The head of Chechnya called Western aid to Ukraine a money-laundering scheme. Kadyrov stressed that he is convinced that he is right and believes that all the huge Western military supplies to Ukraine are only the result of a trivial money-laundering fraud scheme.
“I see that some people are watching because of foreign aid in Ukraine. Don’t worry! This is a working money laundering scheme. Ukraine’s Western officials and no more than 15% of the total support reaches the trenches.”
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/28467

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2023 9:20 utc | 244

Ukraine admitting Nato is incapable of shooting down ballistic Iskander missiles.
Kiev was likely hit by missiles that flew along a ballistic trajectory (!) from the northern direction. Ballistics is not possible for us to detect and shoot down, —🇺🇦 Air Force Spokesman Yuri Ignat
https://t.me/CyberspecNews/16169

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2023 9:43 utc | 245

Passerby @ 233

This war will end when we run out of money

By the magic conjuring of the banking priesthood there is always money for war. Look at WW2 all the participants started out bankrupt, but somehow from somewhere from a place mystical and secret and obscured from the unwashed, the money appeared, oceans of it. After the war, of course the doom of debilitating debt? No, actually a boom ensued with an even vaster ocean of money available.
Money is created to fill a need, simple as that, the needs of aristocrats, criminals, murders, pillagers, plunders and warmongers take precedence – whether in peace time or in war.
Give every school kid in Africa a tablet, free satellite access, and thousands of generators? Where would the money possibly come from? Give every Ukrainian a Starlink tablet, free access, and portable generators? We can start delivery tomorrow.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 14 2023 9:45 utc | 246

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 13 2023 15:09 utc | 4
The entire conference of Emmanuel Todd on Ukraine / Russia situation can be found here (in French):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCVsoYjihdE
It’s a must see for those who understand French spoken.

Posted by: w | Jan 14 2023 9:48 utc | 247

Posted by: Norwegian | Jan 14 2023 8:51 utc | 236
Yeah thanks, I just get a warning from Telenor and no option other than to go back to previous page. I get Sputnik & RT jes fine.
I’m a bit tech challenged and could probably figure out how to do things but like Edward Abbey once said:
“As a confirmed melancholic I can attest that the only cure for it is action. Unfortunately I am also aflicted with sloth(laziness)”.
However, my laptop crashed and in searching for help I found a computer nerd/expert and will be getting a replacement
this coming week that will include a VPN. Also expecting to get some good tips on other new fangled techie stuff.
God helg.

Posted by: waynorinorway | Jan 14 2023 10:00 utc | 248

Posted by: BroncoBilly | Jan 14 2023 2:00 utc | 162
Thanks for the info on the LMUR. I did some further research on it, which might come in handy for my next Substack if I discuss Russian weapons systems vs Western weapons systems.
– RSH

Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Jan 14 2023 10:08 utc | 249

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 14 2023 4:21 utc | 201
Terrain is only important if there is someone left alive to defend that terrain… Also, Russia can operate over any terrain effectively, in particular because they have the stand-off weapons that can attack from a distance beyond where the Ukrainians can defend. So it becomes another form of attrition warfare, at which the Russians will always have the advantage.
– RSH

Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Jan 14 2023 10:15 utc | 250

Listening to Mercouris who quoted this article from Tass…
LPR analyst says Ukrainian forces will suffer huge losses if they try to retake Soledar
https://tass.com/politics/1561789

According to the analyst, Ukrainian forces will need to muster a huge number of people to storm Soledar.
“They can certainly deploy unprepared mobilized conscripts from the Kharkov Region -10,000; 20,000; 30,000 of them. And what will they get? A field of buried soldiers,” he said.

– RSH

Posted by: CharlesLutherThanos | Jan 14 2023 10:38 utc | 251

Ukrainian sources report that Kramatorsk receives a huge number of dead from the Artyomovsk and Soledar directions every day, the bulk of the dead are from 18 to 23 years old. They are brought side by side by army trucks.
https://t.me/loordofwar/72868

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2023 10:49 utc | 252

Posted by: HERMIUS | Jan 13 2023 21:31 utc | 99
«The west loses if it fails to dislodge Putin and that is NOT going to happen. The whole military and financial investment the west has made in this proxy war has been to dislodge Putin, break Russia apart, divide its peoples»
I guess that the USA oligarchs are willing to wait 10-20 years for that, or even more. They waited 70 years for the collapse of the USSR, financing the afghan “freedom fighters” for 10, and are still sanctioning and undermining Cuba after 60 years and Iran after 20. They are patient on strategic issues, and prepared to use many different means, none of which by itself may achieve the goal, but each contributes to the pressure.
«and then move in to steal its resources.»
Actually the big prize is getting DOD/CIA bases on the long and very prorous PRC borders from which to fund, train and arm large numbers of “freedom fighters”. The RF state and oligarchs have always been willing to sell those resources for good prices, and the USA oligarchs could deal with that. Instead they really don’t want to deal with PRC oligarchs who were more powerful than them from a bigger economy and sphere of influence than theirs.

Posted by: Blissex | Jan 14 2023 11:11 utc | 253

ERICH VAD: WAS SIND DIE KRIEGSZIELE?
you’ll have to use a translator, but it is well worth your time to do so..
Posted by: james | Jan 14 2023 4:35 utc | 205
I couldn’t make it to the end of the interview. I’ve seen my fair share of pseudo-critics and controlled opposition. Even more so in Germany, where it’s the status quo for the pseudo-critics to play stupid and claim the elite has no plan. It doesn’t matter whether those “critics” criticize the response to the financial crisis, the climate crisis, the migration crisis or the Ukrainian crisis. The claim basically goes that the elite has no plan and does stupid things because they don’t know any better. And no one dares to say they the elite knows exactly what they are doing and are acting not out of cluelessness but out of plain human evil and everything is going according to plan.
Even more so a general knows battle plans must stay secret so everyone should believe you have no plan.

Posted by: Vikichka | Jan 14 2023 11:14 utc | 254

With reference to all the talk about nuclear war: the West has much more to lose and a leadership and population much less willing and able to sacrifice and endure hardships than Russia.
The West also has military bases in foreign lands all over the place and especially on the territory of “allies”.
Therefore Russia has many targets for nuclear weapons, whereas the West has few. The West can only attack Russia on its own territory and suffer retaliatory strikes in its own heartland.
Russia can attack bases on the territory of allies thus showing them that there is a price to pay for harboring these.
The US ain’t going to sacrifice Chicago for Warszaw.
Contemplate a nuclear strike on all major US overseas bases.
What would be the most rational US response?

Posted by: bottle | Jan 14 2023 11:19 utc | 255

klutch kargo 44 – no idea about Covid ‘vaccines’ sorry
Thanks to Mary 58 and Peter 65

Posted by: Rob Campbell | Jan 14 2023 11:20 utc | 256

Though being none of the currently well-known trumpeters of (world-) war (aka MSM) in itself anyway, the following article under https://www.telepolis.de/features/Plaedoyer-fuer-Friedensverhandlungen-im-Ukraine-Krieg-7458632.html may nonetheless be another interesting piece worth reading, regarding to changing / developing professionals’ opinions about the current matter and with some resemblance to Erich Vad’s thoughts already referred to.
Due to regrettably being unable to provide a translation at present (& in combination with a warning of quite many collateral, partly abysmal comments against it, regularly from people with their horizon of thinking apparently reaching from only their nose-tips to 15 cm below their navles – must be trolls and »fellas«) it’s only the article’s adress that can be provided. Possibly sb. else can help concerning the article’s translation.
Nonetheless – appearing quite deterrent at first sight, due to the author’s clamorous condemning of Mr. Putins »stupidity«, Mr. Putins »wickedness« and whatnot, together with the other failures of the Russians while simultaniously applauding the Ukranians, further reading of this piece leads to imho quite remarkable statements partly going considerably further than Mr. Vad did, considering the fact of the author being a (former) professor of the University of the German Armed Forces.

Posted by: Yogi | Jan 14 2023 11:31 utc | 257

Posted by: bottle | Jan 14 2023 11:19 utc | 251
i don’t think Russia wants to nuke Germany and Japan. those are just poodles anyway.i don’t know what the US would do, the neocons already seem eager and confident of victory in a nuclear war.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Jan 14 2023 11:33 utc | 258

Don Bacon | Jan 14 2023 6:00 utc | 224
We all have a choice Don. Most simply choose group think. I see that all about me.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 11:37 utc | 259

i don’t think Russia wants to nuke Germany and Japan. those are just poodles anyway.
Posted by: pretzelattack | Jan 14 2023 11:33 utc | 254
Why in the world would Russia even want to nuke the biggest US base in Europe and all the US nukes hosted in that country, right?

Posted by: Vikichka | Jan 14 2023 11:42 utc | 260

Posted by: aristodemos | Jan 14 2023 4:07 utc | 197 “stand-off Russian aircraft, hovering over Belarus, rocketing moving targets such as Ukraine’s fast fading aircraft”
That is not the same as striking the weapons being pushed across the border on the ground. That is what is difficult.
Posted by: BroncoBilly | Jan 14 2023 3:09 utc | 176 “but a game extender”
Posted by: aristodemos | Jan 14 2023 3:59 utc | 195 “delay of game”
In the end those terms may be correct, but the way I look at it, this would have been long over if the West had not been pushing weapons over the border and in that sense it changed the game from being a short war, measured in days to a week or two, to one that is still underway after 11 months and will likely go on for more months. This certainly changed the cost to Russia which is clearly what the West is trying to do, make it as expensive as possible. Ideally in their view, too expensive. And yes, Ukraine is paying the highest cost, by far.

Posted by: Bill Smith | Jan 14 2023 11:48 utc | 261

Bill Smith | Jan 14 2023 2:09 utc | 165
Brent is running at nearly 85$ 84.3 WTI 78.8. USA has just limited selling from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to China so they will probably buy more Russian. Russia is discount selling at about 70$ last time i looked.

Posted by: olaf22 | Jan 14 2023 11:49 utc | 262

Posted by: bottle | Jan 14 2023 11:19 utc | 251 “The US ain’t going to sacrifice Chicago for Warszaw.”
That was the question for NATO since it was founded. More complicating is that both France and the UK, having nuclear weapons of their own can also decide that on their own. And it would be tough for Russia to know who’s SSBN launched the missiles.
But I doubt that Russia will attack Warsaw, unless Warsaw officially entered the SMO as a combatant.

Posted by: Bill Smith | Jan 14 2023 11:54 utc | 263

Melaleuca | Jan 14 2023 1:12 utc | 152
‘appalling health stats of Ukraine.’
I did note in feb 2022 that the deaths in Ukraine due to covid were about 300 per day, plus the ‘normal’ death rate from smoking alcohol etc. I was surprised at how few ‘mass’ burials were being found!
So i tallied up and there were 500,000 reported covid deaths in the eastern bloc countries up to feb 2022. Many were due to lack of vaccines (misinformation?) and lack of healthcare. The NATO 2021 exercises (which Russia protested about at the time for reasons of pandemic) would have made matters worse.
500,000 deaths that the outside world did not think worth talking about. probably double that by now.

Posted by: olaf22 | Jan 14 2023 11:54 utc | 264

Posted by: olaf22 | Jan 14 2023 11:49 utc | 258
https://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil-urals-spot-futures-historical-data
shows the last time Urals oil was at $70 was back on 11/22/22. The last time it was at 60 or higher was 12/05/22.

Posted by: Bill Smith | Jan 14 2023 11:59 utc | 265

RSH / CharlesLutherThanos | Jan 14 2023 10:38 utc | 247
unimperator | Jan 14 2023 10:49 utc | 248
The telegrams are showing a high number of cadavers from a seemingly wide battlefront.
Surely if these images make there way to Ukraine families… there’ll be resistance to further futility.
Starting to see young women in uniform deceased. Seems they weren’t there for tictoc likes, but were actually fighting.
Slave Ukraina to the absolute very last Ukrainian.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 14 2023 12:02 utc | 266

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2023 9:20 utc | 240 “Ramzan Akhmatovich believes that no more than 15 percent of the Western arms supplied to Ukraine will reach the air defense zone.”
Then Ukraine is doing an amazing job with only 15% of the stuff on the lists that we see get published of what gets shipped. What would happen if Ukraine could move that percentage up from 15% to 20%?

Posted by: Bill Smith | Jan 14 2023 12:03 utc | 267

Ukroid mice to the slaughter. https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1614020010053193755
Dying defending their right to kill Russians on behalf of the anglo world.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 12:08 utc | 268

Contemplate a nuclear strike on all major US overseas bases.
What would be the most rational US response?
Posted by: bottle | Jan 14 2023 11:19 utc | 251
The notion that any of this babble about using nukes is “rational” is irrational. Crazy as an outhouse rat, is what it is. War is anything at all but rational.

Posted by: Bemildred | Jan 14 2023 12:11 utc | 269

Don Bacon | Jan 14 2023 4:20 utc | 200
I always liked the Artillery slogan “Artillery adds Carnage to what otherwise would be a vulgar brawl.”
Posted by: John Kennard | Jan 14 2023 4:37 utc | 206
I think my modification may be more appropriate given the reality of artillery.

Posted by: jpc | Jan 14 2023 12:33 utc | 270

Posted by: Vikichka | Jan 14 2023 11:42 utc | 256
it doesn’t want to kill tens of millions of Germans, French and other europeans in the process. have you heard of the special military operation? right? and still set of a nuclear war anyway.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Jan 14 2023 12:36 utc | 271

Posted by: olaf22 | Jan 14 2023 11:54 utc | 261
MacGregor says TB is apparently rampant in Ukraine.
Soldiers being treated in Germany.
https://www.aerzteblatt.de/nachrichten/136464/Mediziner-Behandlung-ukrainischer-Soldaten-ist-Herausforderung
https://www.diakonie.de/pressemeldungen/kostenfreie-medizinische-behandlungsplaetze-fuer-ukrainische-kriegsverletzte
appear to suffer from drug-resistant infections (maybe acquired from US Biolabs ?)
https://www.aachener-zeitung.de/nrw-region/warum-die-verletzten-soldaten-schnell-zurueck-an-die-front-wollen_aid-72588825
https://www.aachener-zeitung.de/politik/ukrainische-soldaten-werden-auch-in-aachen-geschult_aid-69468233
https://www.br.de/nachrichten/bayern/ukrainische-verwundete-in-deutschland-der-krieg-im-op,TR6lPbw
Über 500 Verwundete in deutschen Kliniken
Der ukrainische Soldat in der Uniklinik Regensburg ist kein Einzelfall. Über 500 ukrainische Patienten sollen seit dem Sommer nach Deutschland verlegt worden sein. Wie viele davon Verwundete sind, ließe sich nicht beziffern, so das Bundesgesundheitsministerium auf eine erste BR-Anfrage.
Für Krankenhäuser wie die Universitätsklinik Regensburg war zudem lange unklar, wer die Kosten für die Behandlung der Verwundeten übernimmt.

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jan 14 2023 12:42 utc | 272

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jan 14 2023 12:42 utc | 270
MDRS of TB have been an issue for a very long time there.
Same in Russia I believe.

Posted by: jpc | Jan 14 2023 12:47 utc | 273

https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/GesundAZ/F/Flucht/Merkblatt_Screening_MRE.html
https://www.bundeswehr.de/de/aktuelles/meldungen/ukrainischer-patient-5090438. [2021]
https://www.tagesspiegel.de/berlin/kampf-gegen-multiresistente-keime-4094575.html [2019]
Already in 2019 Ukrainian soldiers were being treated in German Military Clinics in Berlin

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jan 14 2023 12:48 utc | 274

I think you have to remember that many posters on sites like this have only a surface level understanding of the operational drivers and friction generators of a conflict, such as the SMO in Ukraine, and a bias toward the tactical minutiae, without realising the symbiotic relationship between the two. There is also the elephant in the room, that few seem to want to address, Russia is a more militaristic society, both it it’s approach and attitude to it’s armed force; as such it takes the Roman view that the the synchronisation of economic policy, foreign policy and military matters are essential for victory. The West, having ‘won’ the Cold War forgot this lesson of WW2 and gradually treated each as separate entities, only temporarily meeting when an opportunity presented itself.
The end result is what is being witnessed now, an ever changing, ever modernising army, both in terms of kit and doctrine versus an army based on similar original principles but now supported by the Western way of war. The end result is an entity that is becoming more, resilient, self-reliant, and self-confidant versus one that is increasingly schizophrenic, dependent and dis-functional. A mirror of the two societies, I’d argue, and the reason for the inevitable outcome.

Posted by: Milites | Jan 14 2023 12:51 utc | 275

@Peter AU1 #154–155:

Two goups or are they part of the same group?

Oh, I see. The group in your link is Presidential Council for Civil Society and Human Rights, commonly known as the Council for Human Rights. Aleksandr Kots is indeed a member of that council. Here’s the list of its members: Board and Members of the Council. The council was established in 2004 and concerns itself with typical human rights advocacy. As a member of that council, Kots is supposed to raise issues such as unfair or unfairly harsh punishment of soldiers, various abuses (such as nonpayment of salaries, which he did mention), and the like.
The working group established on December 20, 2022 and which includes A. Medvedev, Pegov, Poddubnyy, Sladkov and Zvinchuk is dedicated specifically to the issues of mobilization, proper training of the mobilized, protection of their rights during the conduct of the SMO, which necessarily involves issues of proper supply of various resources, proper command, etc. So, yeah, it’s the job of these people to find problems and be vocal about them. (And there are lots of problems, even though we’re already in the 11th month of the SMO; many people here are looking at the Russian military through rose-tinted glasses.)

Posted by: S | Jan 14 2023 13:07 utc | 276

The logic with Ukraine can storm and get back Soledar is backwards, no matter how many numbers they
throw at it.
If it was so favorable to defend inside a relatively big city, the same advantage is now with the Russians/Musicians. And they know the place inside out already.

Posted by: C | Jan 14 2023 13:18 utc | 277

MacGregor says TB is apparently rampant in Ukraine.
Soldiers being treated in Germany. appear to suffer from drug-resistant infections (maybe acquired from US Biolabs ?

I watched footage of an attempt by a Russian soldier to talk Ukie soldiers in a fire pit into surrendering. The Russian enfiladed them from their rear. Obviously confused, they refuse to surrender, though nearly comatose from hypothermia.
He has to kill them.
Russian interdiction of Ukie electric grid… basically brought Ukie transport to near stoppage… definitely reduced flow of ammo, fuel & food to below minimums…
In consequence, Ukie troops… sitting in trenches in the cold… have insufficient calorie intake to stave off hypothermia… which degrades their combat abilities…
While….
Say what you may… Progozhin takes care of his men… rotates them… ensures they have what they need… so their combat proficiency is tops…
Which is why the offensive in Soledar… and elsewhere… are finally cracking the Ukie nut..
INDY

Posted by: Dr. George W Oprisko | Jan 14 2023 13:22 utc | 278

S | Jan 14 2023 13:07 utc | 274
Thanks S. As for my earlier comment, I stopped reading a number of Russian and Donbas channels awhile back. Kots and military commander channel I read. They note the issues that need fixing but in a different less strident tone to the others. Many seem to live in a very small world of just Russia and Ukraine wheras the Russian political and military leadership live in/must ensure russian federation survives in the big bad world of geo-politics. Putin in the past has often commented on the problems of incompetence in some of the regional bureaucracies. I assume military mid and lower level bureaucracy is similar.
Russia is very open about that sort of thing but for me that is something for Russians to sort out. Me as an Australian just look at what they have achieved. Every country will have similar issues or worse as is easily seen when looking beneath the propaganda. I guess it was the Russian channels around the time of Kharkov accusing the top levels of military leadership of corruption and so forth that put me off them. Very much Strelkov type stuff.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 13:30 utc | 279

@ Passerby | Jan 14 2023 9:01 utc | 237:
As such the way of thinking highly critical of the western role in Ukraine (here espec. referring to the interview with E. Vad & his considerations therein) is all but new, since together with him (also including the former leading officer H. Kujat) there had been quite a few high (former) officers to oppose the western strategy of escalating in Ukraine from the very start. Therefore the found coincidence between the named events IMHO is not so striking. Far more striking for me is, that so many / the most of reasonable high-ranked guys have been standing back, keeping their traps shut & only watching the lunacy to approach further.
But hopefully now the time has come that reasonable factions of military brass’ opinions and their bearers with knowledge of the matter at stake – instead of silly ideas – will gain momentum. At #253 you may find a link to a further critical voice by a professor of the German Forces University, naming things some MSM presumably would reintroduce pyres for – if they could.

Posted by: Yogi | Jan 14 2023 13:41 utc | 280

275
I only hope the meat understands that the situation is hopeless and the parasite (kiev regime) has no love for them and has no plans and has no human nation development plans; understanding this they promptly surrender at the front line. This message should be made reachable to the poor sods.

Posted by: RealBeast | Jan 14 2023 13:46 utc | 281

Currently happening

⚡️🇺🇦 More than 80 missiles reported over several Ukrainian regions
Adviser to Ukrainian Presidential Office Arestovich says Russian missile raids are MASSIVE.

https://t.me/IntelRepublic/12030

Posted by: Down South | Jan 14 2023 13:49 utc | 282

Maybe these new missile strikes will help hasten the end of this slaughter but not optimistic as the west really does want to fight to the last Ukrainian…

Posted by: ctiger | Jan 14 2023 13:52 utc | 283

jr:
🔥Explosions in Nikolayev Oblast
💥 Explosion reported in Odessa
💥 Explosions in Odessa (Suburbs)
⚡️Two explosions near Ilyichevsk (Odessa
region)
⚡️Rockets are flying over the Odessa region, explosions are heard between the Ovidiopol district and Ilyichevsk
⚡️Report about missiles flying towards Kyiv and Vinnitsa
Kiev now
💥More explosions Odessa
🇷🇺🚀🇺🇦”Kalibr” over the Kherson region , minutes ago
A lot of missile flight reports coming in from different directions and regions
💥Explosions in the Vinnitsa region.
💥Ammunition depots caught the missiles in the suburbs of Odessa
💥Kramatorsk missile strikes
💥Nikolaev region, series of explosions
🇷🇺🚀🇺🇦”At least 10 missiles towards Kiev.
💥Repeated explosions Vinnitsa
🇷🇺🚀💥🇺🇦 Rockets on the way to West Ukraine – Ukraine media
💥Khmelnitsky region
💥Explosion in Kryvyi Rih
💥Explosions, Dnepropetrovsk region
💥Krivoy Rog powerful explosion
❗️More than 80 rockets in the sky over Ukraine
The launches were from aviation, land and sea. Now the missiles are mainly flying over Western Ukraine.
💥 Chernovtsi region explosions
💥 Arrival, Kiev Central Station
💥 Explosions in Kharkiv
💥 Kiev region explosions
💥 Finally Lviv region explosions
And
💥Explosions in Ivano-Frankivsk and Ternopil region
Everyone is here, now I can go 🤗

Posted by: missile strikes | Jan 14 2023 13:57 utc | 284

Paul Greenwood | Jan 14 2023 12:42 utc | 270
Cheers for the info –had to use g translate (i don’t speak german)

Posted by: olaf22 | Jan 14 2023 14:01 utc | 285

From the Ukraine telegram channel ‘Legitimate’
Legitimate
#Rumors
So, according to our data, the arrivals of Dnepropetrovsk, Odessa, Vinnytsia, Kiev, Mykolaiv, Lviv regions.
There are no downed missiles yet due to the fact that the Russian Armed Forces launched false targets, followed immediately by combat air defense installations. After the first arrivals, the APU saw through the chip and began to wind down the air defense system, removing it to other positions.
Situationally finding yourself without “eyes”.
…………..
That old term about making ones own bed comes to mind. As per the video oldhippy linked in a previous thread, the Ukroids are now sleeping in it. The joys of being a tool of empire.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 14:18 utc | 286

@ Down South | Jan 14 2023 13:49 utc | 280
Russian missile raids are MASSIVE.
I believe this is the start of a major escalation move towards creating a situation where it will be very clear that no amount of any weapons will help Ukraine not to keep avoiding a stand-down and concede to RF.
I think that looking from RF’s points of view, all the possible crossings of red lines have been done now by the forcefully Combined West and harsh reality is going to come hard upon NATO.
Likewise, I also think that RF just had enough of NATO supplying weapons while playing innocent observer. Not that tanks and Patriots are bothering RF, but the manner of how NATO is trying to avoid responsibility for this conflict.
What might happen is that NATO will simply be grabbed by the neck while trying to sneak out of the mess it did, and be dragged back in to face the consequences of its dirty deeds.
Can RF do that? Sure they can. I mean, the whole world is watching.

Posted by: whirlX | Jan 14 2023 14:19 utc | 287

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jan 14 2023 14:18 utc | 284
I am curious what a “false target” is. Somebody in a previous thread claimed that they are missiles without warheads- but what is the point of that? Surely the warhead is the cheapest part of the missile, and it would be more effective to just launch more missiles instead of fake ones that cost almost as much.

Posted by: catdog | Jan 14 2023 14:25 utc | 288

Posted by: missile strikes | Jan 14 2023 13:57 utc | 282
If it is true that the missiles are mostly heading to western hoholstan, then I don’t think that a big new offensive is likely to follow. I think the signal for a big new offensive will be the destruction of the Dniper bridges.
If Russia is really hitting air defense, that might be something though. Clearing the way for bombers.

Posted by: catdog | Jan 14 2023 14:27 utc | 289

One way Russia may have an advantage is in IT software, with a long history of being khalyava (free -as it is in many places- depending on whom you know).
Russia is now legalising patent theft from anyone affiliated with countries ‘unfriendly’ to it. Removal of intellectual property protections during wartime is not without precedent. The German company Bayer lost its American patent on aspirin as the US government seized property from firms associated with its enemies.
USA is hampered by its patent trolling problem ($30 bn a year lost), and general patent hoarding which slows development eg in medicine, and prohibits small businesses. Presumably this affects other industries.
Massive State owned industries have their problems of cumbersome logistics but possibly are more flexible in other ways and can develop rapidly. Back in 2016 Russia made small business a priority- ‘Small businesses can and should be an important factor in diversifying the economy. We have established the Corporation for Supporting Small- and Medium-sized Businesses’ (Dmitry Medvedev).
makes me wonder-how did usa get the name ‘leader of the free world?!

Posted by: olaf22 | Jan 14 2023 14:30 utc | 290

Bill Smith | Jan 14 2023 11:59 utc | 263
Cheers –i’ll take your word for it about oil prices
Call me old fashioned but i try not to use websites with no way of switching vendor cookies off
So i signed up last year for oilprice insider. Haven’t had any spam as yet.

Posted by: olaf22 | Jan 14 2023 14:35 utc | 291

How do Sean Penn and his like visit Kiev without breaching Logan Act ?
Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jan 14 2023 6:59 utc | 229

The Logan Act only applies if the US is in dispute with the country in question.

Any citizen of the United States, wherever he may be, who, without authority of the United States, directly or indirectly commences or carries on any correspondence or intercourse with any foreign government or any officer or agent thereof, in relation to any disputes or controversies with the United States, or to defeat the measures of the United States, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than three years, or both.

…like Dennis Rodman visiting the leader of North Korea 😉
No one has ever been prosecuted under the Logan Act. Because as we know, Americans always respect the rule of law 😉

Posted by: Opport Knocks | Jan 14 2023 14:44 utc | 292

@Ed #142
Open discussion is not hate.
2014 Russia stole 50% of the azov sea, 70%of Ukraine’s coastline and the majority of it’s most valuable real estae.
A treaty was signed to stop the Russians from taking all of Ukraine. Pretending poor Russia is some sort of innocent baby in this cluster##@@ is not accurate.

Posted by: OohCanada | Jan 14 2023 14:49 utc | 293

@Ed #142
Open discussion is not hate.
2014 Russia stole 50% of the azov sea, 70%of Ukraine’s coastline and the majority of it’s most valuable real estae.
A treaty was signed to stop the Russians from taking all of Ukraine. Pretending poor Russia is some sort of innocent baby in this cluster##@@ is not accurate.

Posted by: OohCanada | Jan 14 2023 14:49 utc | 294

The Bolsheviks around Zelinsky are true to traditions dating their birth @start of Twentiest Century, disregard for Ukrainian [any] life. True Bolshevik …and [as then] a true Jewish spirit of the international, stateless, cured and cultured diaspora Jews [the Jew shirt closer to the skin instead of denouncing excesses that can only lead to more “anti-semitism”]. Not St. Petersburg, but pogroms initiated in Kiiv to follow suit.
What now, Solzhenitsyn is no longer there to point a pertinent finger. History repeats itself. Next generations of actors, same game. Proxy is sexy! Israel is bursting out of it’s borders. Let’s get back at Mother Russia!
I think the viewpoint of many commenters here is botched in that rules and rational, respect for life is not Bolshevik at all, Hitler was a boy-scout compared to them. When asserting and anticipating the Bolsheviki moves that misconception about their lead motivation can be a game-looser.
Russia is hitting at the wrong enemy! A concise operation to take out the head of the snake is the only efficient [and morally appropriate] move if can-do.

Posted by: PetrOldSack | Jan 14 2023 14:54 utc | 295

@150 “the Germans during the Second World War, with the help of HCN, made the Zyklon-B poison, which was used to kill the prisoners of concentration camps …” stop lying! Holohoax denial is a crime in Russia as well as other eurotrash nations- but not in the USA (yet). Zyklon -B was used to de-louse the filthy and often sick jews sent to the camps. The lie of the gas chambers continues to live on with brainwashed (by jews controlling our Western nations)goys who are doing their work for them.
Russia is NOT our friend- yet I am glad to see them protecting their nation from the aggression of the satanic cult of jews ruling the West. But they must have some large contingent of jews to deal with as well to hang onto the lie of the holyhoax.
Perhaps they will gift the “Pale” back to isra-hell?

Posted by: old coyote | Jan 14 2023 15:07 utc | 296

@BroncoBilly #162:

But what did Russia bring after the start? Two items in my mind that will accelerate their efforts.
First is the Lancet attack drone.

Unfortunately, Lantset is underpowered. When it hits fragile targets like M777, it takes them out of service. When it hits well-armored targets, sometimes it’s only causing minor damage. The troops are asking for a more powerful version to be developed.

Next is the mystery. Project 305. Also known as LMUR Izdeliye 305.

This one looks good. Hopefully it works as well as we both expect.

Posted by: S | Jan 14 2023 15:09 utc | 297

Bagradian | Jan 13 2023 20:53 utc | 82
If, after all that has happened, the West expects Putin to trust their agreements, they are naive; if Putin really trusts their agreements, he is naive.

Posted by: Old Brown Fool | Jan 14 2023 15:10 utc | 298

Olaf’s nuts are being squeezed by a very powerful vice grip.
I bet the poor guy has no clue which way to go.
https://twitter.com/berlin_bridge/status/1613946941649424421
I doubt many here will be surprised by what is said in this interview, but for some this may be a time well spent.
https://video.icic-net.com/w/anbQMw7WCqKpcVikedsEvM

Posted by: Tom_12 | Jan 14 2023 15:11 utc | 299

* It’s now #165.

Posted by: S | Jan 14 2023 15:11 utc | 300