Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 31, 2023
NATO Continues Its Disarmament

NATO is continuing its disarmament mission.

France to send an extra 12 powerful Caesar howitzers to Ukraine

French Defence Minister Sebastien Lecornu's announcement that France will send 12 additional Caesar howitzers to Kyiv is "clearly important for the Ukrainians, particularly the Caesar artillery system", said FRANCE 24 Chief Foreign Editor Robert Parsons.

"They've been very successful in Ukraine, so the Ukrainians will be delighted, I am sure, to get another 12. I think that brings that total to over 40 now, closing on 50 Caesars in Ukraine.

France has only 77 Caesar howitzer left. Others though are worse off.

Estonia Sending All Its 155-mm Howitzers to Ukraine

Estonia will donate all its 155-millimeter howitzers to Ukraine as part of its most extensive military assistance yet.

The package, previously reported to be worth 113 million euros ($122 million), is expected to boost Kyiv’s defense capabilities amid continuing Russian aggression.

Estonia currently operates 24 NATO standard FH-70 towed howitzers.

Apart from the howitzers, Tallinn will send thousands of 155-mm artillery shells and hundreds of Karl-Gustaf anti-tank grenade launchers.

We know how all that artillery will end.

Several weeks ago Russia launched a special counter-artillery campaign. There are dedicated counter artillery radars, electronic warfare and airborne  surveillance systems and long range artillery batteries with precision ammunition engaged in this.

So today I did some staff work and summed up the claimed artillery destruction as listed in the daily 'clobber list' provided by the Russian Ministry of Defense.

Here are the results:


bigger

In the last seven days Russia claimed to have destroyed a total of 40 truck pulled howitzers, 32 self propelled howitzers, 8 Multiple Rocked Launcher Systems (MRLS), 15 counter artillery radars and 23 local artillery ammunition depots.

On top of that it engaged Ukrainian artillery positions with normal counter fire on 651 occasions. This will have caused additional damage and losses.

Additionally 55 MLRS rockets and HARM anti-radar missiles were intercepted by Russian air defenses.

If you think that the field reports the ministry receives are exaggerating the numbers, which is likely, simply divide them by half.

In just one week it was still more than Estonia and France promise to deliver.

Yesterday I explained why a NATO or U.S. intervention with ground troops is unlikely. We can add the acute lack of NATO artillery and artillery ammunition to the reasons.

NATO has disarmed its ground forces and is no longer combat capable.

Comments

Blinken’s going to pretend that Russia was actually trying to annihilate Ukraine completely and pass off the loss of Donbass as a larger overall victory
fake name | Jan 31 2023 21:10 utc | 93
that is thanks to Shoigu and Gerasimov. They went close to Kiev then ran back to enable Bucha, then ran from other places like Kherson. Even a child can turn those events into anything else.
But even if Russia takes all Ukr, msm can say that nato has stopped Russia from taking the entire Europe. Whatever happens, nato wins on tv. You can’t fight hollywood

Posted by: rk | Jan 31 2023 21:22 utc | 101

The list b assembled led me to continue my looking at the public financial documents of MIC corps, and my initial look was to see who makes the Paladin, the current type known as the M-109A7, whose mother began production in 1963 and is currently made by Hanwha, although it’s licensed for production in numerous NATO nations, and thus are many variants. Hanwha is a South Korean conglomerate with its fingers in many pies. A quick look showed its equity having decreased three years in a row, which could be due to several causes that I won’t try to speculate on now. Its defense branch has produced SPA and other items along with ammo (the corp began as an ammo producer in the 1950s), and it supplies many NATO members. Unfortunately, it’s not listed on any US exchange so it doesn’t need to publicly display its financials. My impression is armaments are no longer its focus as its defense sector’s been spun-off into a separate entity but still attached to mother through shareholding. I’ve yet to note any direct sales of the M-109 or its variants to Ukraine despite all the monies supposedly allocated for the purpose.
Despite appropriations for a new SPH, none has been produced beyond trial models, so NATO continues to rely mainly on an SPA system that’s 60 years old. How many out-of-service units exist is unknown, but several thousand were produced over the years. SPAs are no substitutes for tanks. That production for the US Army’s been offshored is indicative of the problem of rapidly increasing their production as well as their ammo.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 31 2023 21:23 utc | 102

from the web
Ukrainian troops are calling the US military in the middle of shootouts with Russia for help fixing their artillery
> The US military is leading a team that is helping to repair Ukraine’s military hardware over the phone.
> These virtual exchanges often take place during battle, the Associated Press reported.
> Ukrainian troops, meanwhile, are pushing artillery systems to the limits to keep Russia at bay. . . .here
They’ll need more phone lines now, and more varied howitzer repair techs

Posted by: Don Bacon | Jan 31 2023 21:26 utc | 103

Turn up the volume as panic sets in. USA is desperate for talks with RF. Any talks. First a message via Egypt. It is rejected and there is refusal to understand why ?
Bro, you stole our money and and you think it’s OK.
That nice lady Maria at RF MFA who does not mince words laid it on the line – plain as a 4 year-old saying: a is for apple b is for banana.
In the midst of a war where you are supplying our enemy with weapons, directing every move and in fact you are a co-belligerent and we are going to allow you to inspect our bedroom?
GET this beaut:
US accuses Russia of violating nuclear treaty
RT

US President Joe Biden’s administration has reportedly accused Russia of violating the last remaining nuclear weapons treaty between the two countries by blocking on-site inspections.
The US State Department made the allegation – marking the first US claim that Moscow breached terms of the New START treaty – in a report sent to Congress on Tuesday, the Wall Street Journal reported. The report also claimed that Russian officials had rejected US requests to hold a meeting to address compliance concerns.
Russia’s refusal to facilitate inspection activities prevents the United States from exercising important rights under the treaty and threatens the viability of US-Russian nuclear arms control,” the State Department said in a statement to Reuters.[.]
Russia has a “clear path” for resuming compliance with the treaty, and the US stands ready to collaborate with Moscow on fully implanting the deal, the State Department said.
In November, the Kremlin canceled New START talks that had been scheduled to take place in Cairo. Russia’s Foreign Ministry said there was no possibility of resuming negotiations while the US was continuing to arm Ukraine.

And Ms. Zakharova replied: Really are you serious?

“The US intends to supply even more weapons to the conflict region, in which the Russian Federation is directly involved,” Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said at the time.
“That is, they will supply all these weapons, they will encourage the Kiev regime to cause even more bloodshed, they will allocate money for extremist activities that are carried out under the auspices of these delusional people.
And we will sit with them at the same table and discuss issues of mutual security with them, including those in their interest?”

Posted by: Likklemore | Jan 31 2023 21:35 utc | 104

Posted by: Joe | Jan 31 2023 19:53 utc | 56
Stay away from the brown acid, man.

Posted by: Drinky Crow | Jan 31 2023 21:36 utc | 105

Re. the MSM propaganda narrative. It’s a bit ironic but USA today is doing – actually has been after WW2 – same thing as USSR. Zelensky regime will continue as a paper / MSM entity even if there would be no more Ukrainians left. That is, if all are dead, or have another passport, Zelensky would continue as the “president of Ukraine”. That’s just a banner under which USA can use to consolidate control of its vassals and draw an iron curtain.
Now what are they looking to do in the future? Biden said it himself. They expect the war “to end in a negotiation”. That is, they expect their paper entity, the banner, the “Zelensky administration” to negotiate and they want to spin it off as a “great victory” of the west. Yeah, even if there’s not a single Ukrainian left.
That’s precisely why that won’t happen, imo it will just eventually morph from military to anti-Nato terrorist operation with a very large buffer zone running west of Dneper river. US and Blackrock will be denied all the titanium and other resources wanted. Newsweek already mentioned this objective, one of the more important ones for US in Ukraine.
Russia will gradually train their military reserves and increase pressure, which will crush anyone who put up organized, or sporadic terror resistance. If you look at Nato tank commitments, they are very sporadic, with timelines here and there, and Biden screwing Scholtz over. US only wants to grab EUrope’s tank market for itself. They removed all the “hi-tech” stuff from M1A tanks, that they may or may notsend sometime end of this year.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 31 2023 21:37 utc | 106

talks!
why interrupt your mortal enemy when they are losing!
blinken’s wording was disdainful. as if Russia is drinking usa crack-koolaid

Posted by: paddy | Jan 31 2023 21:40 utc | 107

Crushing Europe can’t be the goal because it would be incredible stupidity. Bringing Europe to heel is a reasonable (if misguided) foreign policy goal the US could have been pursuing; if that’s the case, it’s gotten way out of control and is fast approaching a threat to the US. A dimiltarized, deindustrialized and likely to fracture politically Europe is bad news for the US. Those are the US’s only friends.
Yes, yes, the contracts for replacing all the arms are great. But unless there’s a serious reindustrialization in the US or energy prices make European production and reindustrialization of the MIC feasible the losses in equipment are too great to be made up in any realistic, geostrategic time frame. If Russia is a real threat to Europe, then there isn’t 5-10 years to rearm Europe with US equipment.

Posted by: LEx | Jan 31 2023 21:43 utc | 108

After Russia neutralizes the hostile army on its Western border, that is the AFU, it will launch against the USA. After the USA is neutralized, all hostile NATO countries will be peeing in their pants. Any NATO nation that launches in retaliation to the destruction of the USA will follow in the same destruction served by the Russian bear.
The USA is in a snare. It can not and will not back down. Otherwise, it will quickly lose its world wide hegemony and the value of the United States Dollar. All talk about a negotiated peace is wasted words and time. This conflict is going nuclear. The only realistic question is WHEN? Daniel 7:5 provides the when.
The bear has now risen up on one side. It is in the process of securing 3 ribs in its mouth. That is the Crimea, the Luhansk and the the Donetsk regions. After these 3 ribs are in the mouth of the bear and between its teeth, the bear will fully arise and devour much flesh. This is recorded in the prophecy given by Daniel in Daniel 7:5.
Soon the ground in the Donbas will freeze yet again this winter. Then the Russian forces will mobilize yet again in a significant way. Whenever the bear has taken and secured all of the Donbas, it will be check mate for the USA and its vassal states in NATO. All that will remain is the taking of the USA king, game over.
Whenever it looks like Russia will take and secure all of the Donbas, immediately get out of the USA and all of her territories. Don’t attempt to try to survive in a destroyed nation that is prophesied to be genocided.
The USA is the last day’s Babylon. Jeremiah 50 clearly and repeatedly writes that those within Babylon will be destroyed.
The USA religious crowds are in the weeds. The USA prepper crowd are in the weeds. That is exactly where they will live after the nukes fall, that is in the weeds. And they will not live very long there. The fanners will find them and destroy them (Jeremiah 51:2) soon after the initial launch against the USA.
Get out of the USA and all of her territories. Get away from all NATO military bases especially if they have stored nukes and/or nuke delivery systems.
If you are attuned to the Heavenly Father, go to Him and seek His advice. Don’t trust in any of the religious leaders. They will not dare tell you the truth, even if they knew it. To do so would mean the end of their little kingdoms. They have very little or nothing to do with the true Kingdom of God. They are deceivers and liars. Jesus said many would come in his name recognizing and proclaimin that he (that is Jesus) was the Christ. Yet, they would deceive many.
The prepper crowd leaders will not dare tell you the truth. Otherwise, their followers would stop buying their recommended stuff to survive within the USA.
In a world full of lies, you had better find the truth and find it really fast. There is not too much time left. This is a very good time to get right with God in true repentance. Failure to do so will be certain death for almost all Americans. That death will not only be physical death, it will also be eternal death being separated from God for eternnity in a very bad place.
Keep an eye on the Donbas. When it looks as if Russia is about to take and secure the Donbas, time is over. The game is over. It is check mate for the USA and the West. It’s evil and wicked rule will be over.

Posted by: young | Jan 31 2023 21:46 utc | 109

Russian RT continuously presents news from Western sources to its Russian readers.
https://russian.rt.com/inotv/2023-02-01/Taker-Karlson-Nuland-priznalas-v
Tucker Carlson: Nuland confessed to blowing up Nord Stream 2, but no one noticed
The material is presented in the translation of InoTV
Victoria Nuland last week expressed her joy that Nord Stream 2 had been blown up. And earlier she threatened to prevent its functioning. Fox News host Tucker Carlson believes that the US administration was involved in the explosions on the pipeline – and this sets a dangerous precedent.
And here’s what everyone almost forgot about. Victoria Nuland, who helped start the conflict in Ukraine, threatened to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines in January to prevent Russia from sending gas to Europe. Remember?
VICTORIA NULAND, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State: I want to tell you bluntly today that if Russia attacks Ukraine, one way or another, Nord Stream 2 will not move any further.
And then in September, someone blew up the pipelines. And it was the largest human-made natural disaster in history. If you are worried about climate change, you must be in tears right now, because how many hydrocarbons have entered the atmosphere.
So it was absolutely clear to us that the Biden administration was involved. We said this and immediately condemned it, but all the leftist forces and the media said that they were Putin’s agents. What for? And when we enter this war, what will they do with those who disagree? They will punish them, you’ll see. But with that in mind, we were somewhat surprised when Victoria Nuland admitted last week that she did. Look.
VICTORIA NULAND: Senator Cruz, like you, me, and I think the entire administration is very pleased that Nord Stream 2, as you say, is a pile of metal at the bottom of the sea.
Is she happy about it? When this happened, we were upset, we didn’t know who did it, we saw Putin’s hand here. What do we see here? We will talk about this today with former presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard. She admitted it, but no one noticed. Why?
TULSI GABBARD, Former Presidential Candidate: I think the American people can take two important things from what you’ve just said. Firstly, this statement by Victoria Nuland revealed the truth about her and the administration – they lied to us so much that the US was not involved in this, did not know about it, or at least did not approve of it. So they lied to us that the US had nothing to do with it. They also tried to sell us the absurd lie that Russia somehow, of course, blew up its own energy infrastructure to hurt its own economy.
It shows how stupid they think we are that they think we will believe such absurd arguments. Their lies show again that we cannot believe anything they say. We can’t believe anything the mainstream media says.
The second thing that is important to understand, and this is very dangerous, is that they are setting a precedent with their statements and actions. It is that it is now acceptable to use sabotage against the infrastructure, it is an acceptable strategy. And we need to look at our vulnerabilities in this area: the submarine cables, the communications system, the financial system, our own power supply system. This list can be continued for a long time. The argument is very clear: if bombing and destroying the Russian oil and gas infrastructure is normal, then why can’t someone come and attack ours, exploit our own vulnerabilities.
This is the position in which we, the American people, have been placed by the supporters of the war in Washington. They say they are doing all this to protect you, to protect democracy. But their actions weaken us and undermine our democracy, because we cannot have a working democracy if we cannot trust what our leaders tell us.
The air date is January 31, 2023.

Posted by: Oblomovka daydream | Jan 31 2023 21:47 utc | 110

Calling the Nazis “leftists” is a laughable proposition. Someone needs to re-read pastor Martin Niemöller’s famous treatise that begins: “First they came for the socialists, but I was not a socialist….”
Posted by: rjb1.5 | Jan 31 2023 20:27 utc | 70
The Anglo Saxon colonial settlers in the present day continental US were uniquely brutal and intentional even in comparison to the Spanish when it came to ‘cleansing’ the land of the Native American population. The Nazis aspired to the Jim Crow south’s systematic subjugation and de-humanization of a whole group of people. Hence, I’m with you. Let the new stock replace the old as those of us European Americans and our forebears have proven time and again that we are vicious, violent, non-agreement-capable brutes and most of the people flooding our border are fleeing our own government’s policies in their home countries – often dating back half a century or more; policies that impoverish them and no matter how indirectly, enrich Uncle Scam and his puppeteers.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 31 2023 22:00 utc | 111

“…The Communist governments for many decades through their Internationalist movements financed socialist and other leftist groups in the West…”
Not after 1944. The amount of subsidy that Communist Parties received from the USSR was derisory it wasn’t in the same order of magnitude as the money pumped in to european political parties, the media, military and security services by the US.
In other words this is simply ancient anticommunist “Kremlin Gold” propaganda warmed over.
“….the Globalists picked up the torch and are currently cramming the same leftist dogma in Lui of. KGB defectors spoke of this Asymmetric program and gosh darn it..I think we frogs may have just boiled…”
To call globalist neo-liberalism leftist dogma is great nonsense. It is the very opposite of it.
“..socialist economic policies causing economic ruin…”
For fifty years neoliberalism has rolled back the socialist policies of the post war era. Privatisation, anti-union laws, de-regulation of labour laws, the enormous growth of precarious employment, the commercialisation of education and healthcare all these policies which certainly are leading to economic ruin are anti-socialist
“attack on academia..” Have always come from the right. Ever hear about McCarthy?
“.. Divisive race policies…” Like Jim Crow you mean? The laws against miscegenation? Segregation? Apartheid? Divisive racial laws are among tghe fundamentals of the ruling class attacks on working people.
“destructive immigration policies…” Blame you Chambers of Commerce, it is they who want cheap labour and de-industrialisation. These again are trademark neo-liberal policies.
“…it makes sense now as the Globalists and Communist want the same thing.” I see so the Capitalist ruling class wants the same thing as the Communists. I hope that you don’t leave home without a guide. You are overdosing on old anti-communist myths promoted by the United States. Sadkly, you probably think that these ideas are your own.
Joe@56

Posted by: bevin | Jan 31 2023 22:00 utc | 112

Posted by: bevin | Jan 31 2023 22:00 utc | 111
With rabid anti-communists like Joe, it’s usually a waste of time trying to correct them. Their sense of self is based on their misinformed hatred of commies which has been propaganda-hammered into their consciousness since they were children and now that state communism (or whatever you want to call it) via the USSR is no longer a “threat” they have to move the dial or shift the window when shilling for their fascist capitalist masters. But thanks for correcting the record in case anyone else happens to be reading.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 31 2023 22:04 utc | 113

There is no success yet on ground anyway for RF forces.
May be a tactically “moving” status of today – 2023´01´31 – or being off & spare of strategic power to investing into a “Nirwana” everhow imagined what “That” could mean to be physically ?
Amis go beside! Only watch what will happen – beside Abrams lucky strike towards Easter4n U’KR.
RF should be carefully watching and strike via SAT-Scan against what the “new” (already just now avaulable) Poland Rocket systems will have a task to do. ..
US and now EU in the tail, will always escalate a stich after having gained a further one stick ..
Where are Snipers to focus towards BBoecks & ‘comrades’ and so on , so far.., where are those established – by whome ?

Posted by: spare_truth | Jan 31 2023 22:07 utc | 114

Posted by: spare_truth | Jan 31 2023 22:07 utc | 113
Nato are only escalating in statements and media. Every Nato escalation so far has ended burnt up, rusting in a field. In reality, the volume of weapon shipments from Nato has significantly decreased and reached its peak a long time ago. Warsaw pact equipment was the house money allocated for this adventure. No one wants to play a losing game with their own money.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 31 2023 22:14 utc | 115

But even if Russia takes all Ukr, msm can say that nato has stopped Russia from taking the entire Europe. Whatever happens, nato wins on tv. You can’t fight hollywood
Posted by: rk | Jan 31 2023 21:22 utc | 100
######
Imagine valuing “winning on TV”. Childish.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 31 2023 22:16 utc | 116

Posted by: Dan Farrand | Jan 31 2023 21:14 utc | 95
Well thought-out and expressed. Truly a self -actualised individual who has gained wisdom and become one with the Universe. If only more people could be like you ,we would have less war as we would “Chop “ the troublesome leaders early -on. Think if we had chopped those Straussians/Neo-cons twenty years ago . For that to happen though we need some more “class -solidarity” transcending ethnic groups and nations. It doesn’t have to be Socialism or Communism, just the ninety -nine percent keeping the one percent in check would do us fine.

Posted by: Brother Ma | Jan 31 2023 22:19 utc | 117

“THE UNITED STATES said today that Russia was not complying with New START, the last remaining arms control treaty between the world’s two main nuclear powers, as tensions soar over the Ukraine war”
I like to share this gem with you all!

Posted by: jpc | Jan 31 2023 22:24 utc | 118

@ rk | Jan 31 2023 21:22 utc | 100
lol – funny but true indeed..
@ Oblomovka daydream | Jan 31 2023 21:47 utc | 109
thanks! you don’t post much, but i look for your posts when you do as it is always worth reading.. cheers..

Posted by: james | Jan 31 2023 22:25 utc | 119

@Janet | Jan 31 2023 19:46 utc | 50
Apparently retired Lt. Col. Davis spent too long being told how wonderful the US military are, and not enough time examining why he thinks what he does.
From the 1960s until the 1990s, and again from 2018 no serious military war college has considered it possible to stop Russia from taking over Europe of it wanted to, except with nuclear weapons. Which is why the USA’s battle plans include nuking Europe I’m the event of a Russian incursion to prevent Russia from acquiring it’s resources, technology, skills or personnel.
Unfortunately, as Russia and China know, using nuclear weapons will result in an extinction event that humanity will not survive.
Which is why I think we should be collecting the cultural treasures of the world and storing them as a monument for humanity when we destroy ourselves on the 9ffchancevthat somebody who cares ever visits our 0lanet after it stops glowing.

Posted by: Hermit | Jan 31 2023 22:25 utc | 120

Bakmuth Symphony?
Shostakovich’s 8th , no doubt – what else? Giergev should be available too.
But the 3rd movement should be played until the audience is totally quiet.
The 4th movement later on will fill the ruins, cover the dead and comfort the winners with its exhausted but eternal soundscape.
I

Posted by: El Lissitzky | Jan 31 2023 22:28 utc | 121

Posted by: jpc | Jan 31 2023 22:24 utc | 117
Most likely USA just wants to get a closer look at those Avangard vehicles and Sarmat missiles. Why would anyone make any deal with the US after what they pulled off with the ABM treaty and thereafter INF treaty?
If they want to proliferate nukes to Eurovassals, two can play that game, even on the US home turf.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 31 2023 22:28 utc | 122

I don’t recall anyone citing Lavrov’s statement at today’s presser regarding Blinken’s bologna:

Question (translated from Arabic): How does Moscow assess Cairo’s position on the Ukrainian crisis against the background of Western sanctions?
Sergey Lavrov: We have a positive assessment of the Arab Republic of Egypt’s position on the events taking place around Ukraine and which have a long history in terms of the causes of the current situation. This is a balanced, responsible position. It manifests itself, among other things, when considering the Ukrainian topic and everything related to it at the UN.
Answering the previous question, Egyptian Foreign Minister Saulco Shoukry said that he had conveyed a certain message from Secretary of State E. Blinken, who was recently on a visit to Cairo. I confirm that.
We have always said that Russia is ready to listen to any serious (I would like to emphasise this word) proposal aimed at resolving the entire current situation in its comprehensive context. In this regard, we once again heard the message transmitted through S. Shukri that Russia “must stop and leave”, then “everything will be fine”.
Blinken did not convey the second part of the appeal. But the true interest of the United States and the West was outlined yesterday by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg while on a visit to the Republic of Korea. In one of his speeches, he said that Russia “must lose” and “be defeated.” And he added that the West cannot allow Ukraine to lose, because then the West and “the whole world” will lose. He took the liberty of speaking not only on behalf of the three dozen members of the North Atlantic Alliance, but also on behalf of all the rest of the world, including Egypt and other states in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Jens Stoltenberg said that therefore (due to the fact that it is impossible to allow the defeat of Ukraine, because it will mean the defeat of the whole world) NATO will realize its global responsibility. Everything is quite clear here. It’s not about Ukraine at all. The Kiev regime, which has no independence, fulfills the will of the sovereign. I am referring to the United States and the rest of the West, which was “crushed” under Washington and its policy aimed at achieving the main goal – to prevent any events in the international arena that would somehow call into question the claims of the United States to hegemony in the modern world.
I am grateful to my friend for conveying a message from the US Secretary of State. If I was asked about it, I will say that it was incomplete. I have just tried to add to E. Blinken what the United States truly seeks when it calls on Russia to stop and leave Ukraine. [My Emphasis]

So, where’re the headlines: NATO Seeks World Domination? I wonder if the South Koreans understood what they were told. Lavrov went on to say the following at the end of his answer about the attack on Iran:
“The West’s actions mean only one thing – they prefer (as they did with regard to the Minsk agreements on the Ukrainian settlement) to [not] give a damn about the UN Security Council resolutions and move to aggressive actions, including the use of military force. Instead of implementing the decisions of the highest UN body.” [My Emphasis]
As most barflies know, waging aggressive war is THE War Crime, something the Outlaw US Empire’s been doing since 1945 and getting away with. As it ought to be clear by now, Russia has vowed to force a halt to that behavior and together with China, India, and the RoW to ensure such gross misuse of power will never again occur. Yes Mr. Stoltenberg, a global war is forming but it’s aimed at NATO by the RoW as there’s no longer any denying NATO’s aims.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 31 2023 22:35 utc | 123

@Republicofscotland | Jan 31 2023 20:50 utc | 84
NATO has no weapons that can earn them a victory.
Some of them have WMDs, but all they can achieve is the extinction of most life on earth, which is hardly a victory.

Posted by: Hermit | Jan 31 2023 22:36 utc | 124

@10 drsmith
Solidly good post sir.
French factories?! In 2045?!
I love the laughable idea if the EU doesn’t break up and disassociate from the US. At this rate I doubt the French or their neighbor will be manufacturing anything. Maybe their factory can run on solar power or green energy, staffed joyfully by 70 year old citizens who are unable to retire yet. Not 100% sure if this is factually correct but I was told in a college history class that the word sabotage’s English meaning stemmed from the word for wooden shoes disenchanted French workers would hurl into machinery at their factories. Maybe the industrial insect packing factories will have better morale, as they’ll get free meals? Gotta keep the workers who’ll own nothing happy somehow.

Posted by: NJH | Jan 31 2023 22:38 utc | 125

Greece using the threat of Turkiye as a useful excuse to bail, like the Koran burning in Sweden? Erdogan two steps ahead of NATO, Greece and Turkiye secretly working together to feign threats between each other to move themselves away from Ukraine conflict?
Sweden has balked on NATO and now if I got it right Finland is claiming it is out for now too as it will only join NATO as a package deal with Sweden, which is utter nonsense. Remember how desperately rushed this all was? As the war drags out opposition in the business and power elites of EU countries seems to finally be asserting themselves? Maybe just taking a breather, maybe soon to be slapped down?
Or, just same old kabuki kayfabe of western democracy, one step back today, two forward tomorrow, two back, three forward… long and winding road to escalation but eventually you get there just the same.
Greece will not provide Ukraine with Leopard 2 tanks: Premier
Kyriakos Mitsotakis says he is not worried about conflict with Türkiye. Greece has one of the largest tank fleets in NATO, so this is a rather major development. Given historically close ties with Russia this shouldn’t be a surprise but there’s also the hidden factor that poor relations with Turkey is also a consideration for Athens.
Given the decline in relations between Washington and Istanbul as of late, it’s likely Greece has avoided the same pressure placed on Germany as a means of increasing the pressure on the Turks.
https://t.me/intelslava/43964
Here’s an other one today. The Greece one may be real but I’m 99% certain F-16 fiesta is just the trite sequel to tank fiesta:
Poland rules out sending F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine. It is reported by Sky News. The report says that previously published information about the discussion by Poland of sending F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine was false. Deputy Defense Minister Wojciech Skurkiewicz said there were no such discussions in Poland. https://t.me/intelslava/43965

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 31 2023 22:39 utc | 126

The West has the same problem the 3rd Reich had: if you operate a propaganda machine, you’ll never know when you’re really losing the war! America is losing, but all propaganda institutions continue saying they’re wining, so it cannot stop.
Posted by: JamesHandall | Jan 31 2023 21:16 utc | 98

Not only that. They’re in “RUSSIA’S LYING” overdrive mode.
Even the initially stated (and to date unchanged) rationale of Operation ZRussia’s unprovoked and illegal attack on Ukraine” is denied of having any base in reality:

  • Western breach of agreements
  • Genocide in Donbass
  • Denazification of Ukraine
  • Preventing a NATO-backed assault on Russia

…all just “Putin’s propaganda show”. Accusing Russia of breaching the Minsk agreements it wasn’t even a signatory. Accusing the Kremlin of constantly changing its rationale and excuses. And repeating “Putin is lying”, up to the point the west wouldn’t have anybody to talk to in the first place for negotiations.
Outright projection? Yes, but also outright desperation.

Posted by: Nervous German | Jan 31 2023 22:40 utc | 127

unimperator | Jan 31 2023 22:14 utc | 114

… No one wants to play a losing game with their own money.

Ok, that’s a US tactics are well known ..
But “when anytime” a knife will turn 180 degrees towaqrs yourself (US). What the US have a new & old strategy nowadays to overcome their former business partners? So, it’s amazing what last Blinken statements have tolde on public ggl-videos.
RF has NOT to wait to react on to or waitingt what ever’s coming new.rocket threats–
Dear RF soldiers, pls. be thinking on your land careful anyway as possible, you have to live there after war has ended.
.. a more decive ways .. for RF to proceed .. that will be successfully done .. even without Ms. BBoeck’s etc. ..

Posted by: spare_truth | Jan 31 2023 22:41 utc | 128

@4 Flying Dutchman
Putin sed that most current governments in Europe will no longer exist when this is over.
If that is so, then I think Europe has a bright future. B/c it means a Europe without the stranglehold of the US. That alone would mean a few additional % annual GDP.

Posted by: xeen | Jan 31 2023 22:43 utc | 129

Posted by: Chris N | Jan 31 2023 19:53 utc | 55
Retired Colonel Davis saying Russia can’t win? Really? All the past gaming by the US showed Russia would win ,and these studies were done in the last thirty years as well. So one can’t say Russia will lose because it is so much smaller than the USSR. I’d love to know what makes this Davis ,and other commenters here ,say that Russia will necessarily lose even in a conventional war. Maybe they should tell us what the secret info is?
Greece and Europe in general? Yes, indeed. Dark times ahead and will bite within only a few years.
Posted by: ian | Jan 31 2023 21:02 utc | 87
Agreed. Russia will still be around , but in my opinion is not a threat at present to Europe. Maybe in fifty years ,but not now. So yes, this is how the US markets itself, ie as the white knight, but in fact it is the actual enemy itself as
Posted by: pretzelattack | Jan 31 2023 21:04 utc | 88 Said.

Posted by: Brother Ma | Jan 31 2023 22:45 utc | 130

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 31 2023 22:28 utc | 121
Yep the USA walked away from the ABM treaty Because it didn’t suit or more likely because it though it could as it dismissed Russia as a inferior.
Once again a demonstration of “agreement incapability ”
Karma huh!

Posted by: jpc | Jan 31 2023 22:52 utc | 131

A relatively topical appeal to the bar:
I’ve recently caught wind of a conspiracy theory wherein Russia and China have a secret plan (I’ve seen variations including each having their own or them having a shared one) to invade and depopulate the USA. I can’t find any good links or references other than in far right chatter and YouTube videos. One of the common underlying themes is the use of EMP weapons to destroy the US electricity grid and wipe out our military.
One of the proponents of this theory is David T. Pyne who is apparently an EMP expert.
https://emptaskforce.us/index.php/1-pyne/
So he’s got an official position with the US government. At his Substack he engages in extreme anti-communist revisionist history and makes comments like this:

When the US has been destroyed, what could be more prestigious than Russia and China taking over our coastal military bases and ports? China, of course, has had a plan since 2005 at least revealed by a former Chinese Defense Minister to depopulate the US by 50-65% and then to import over 200 million Chinese immigrants to colonize the US and Canada and establish a “New China” ruled by the CCP with ethnic Chinese as the ruling class. Yes the Fascists and the Marxists are almost indistinguishable these days are both are on the far left of the authoritarian political spectrum. Biden is a Marxist with fascist tendencies and Trudeau is the same. Both appear to be controlled assets of the PRC elected with the aid of Chinese electoral interference.

But again, I find no actual links to articles or anything about this alleged plan. Under normal circumstances I’d be amazed that a crackpot like this could occupy such an important seeming role. Does anyone know whether there is even a grain of truth to this theory?

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 31 2023 22:52 utc | 132

@109 Oblomovka daydream
The thing is that Russia will eventually drive the US out of Europe. And then it will be natural for Germany and Russia to both repair relations and the pipelines. Nuland can then eat more cookies.

Posted by: xeen | Jan 31 2023 22:52 utc | 133

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 31 2023 22:52 utc | 131
OK, so I did a little further digging and “emptaskforce.us” is not actually a US government run website and the so-called “task force” doesn’t appear to hold any official designation. Still, I’m interested if anyone has information about the alleged Chines plan dating to 2005 to invade, depopulate and then repopulate the US.
Is this just pure loony tunes?

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 31 2023 22:54 utc | 134

Posted by: spare_truth | Jan 31 2023 22:07 utc | 113
That’s correct what you said ..
But I repreat my question, you didn’t have answered yet:
Who could finally stop those NAZI gang guys/squaws rather killing them finally incl. ISIS/Israel natinalists ..

Posted by: spare_truth | Jan 31 2023 23:04 utc | 135

I found this piece helpful in terms of explaining why it is that the USA and its vassals continue to be “all in”
https://www.thepostil.com/conflict-in-ukraine-genesis/

Posted by: Chevrus | Jan 31 2023 23:05 utc | 136

Is this just pure loony tunes?
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 31 2023 22:54 utc | 133
Yea man, tripe.

Posted by: irish al | Jan 31 2023 23:07 utc | 137

B/c it means a Europe without the stranglehold of the US. That alone would mean a few additional % annual GDP.
Posted by: xeen | Jan 31 2023 22:43 utc | 128

Not necessarily more % GDP on the old terms. As Michael Hudson and other “conspiracy theorists” regularly point out, the value of our current USD/GBP/EUR fiat money asset-and-everything bubble eventually will return to its means. Dedollarization (or rather: De-SWIFT-ization) is the ultimate catalyst for this.
We’ll need to learn to reassess value. In Glaziev’s outline for a new financial and monetary structure, value will be assessed primarily by commodities, manufactured goods and labor output.
I do hope this will bring down costs of living for the middle class and impose actual limits on “the super rich”.
And this is the sad part, especially considering Russia: Too many Russians work fulltime, yet live borderline poor, because labor just don’t yield much more than to survive.
…leading to that, even with the broad popular support for Putin, too many brains are still leaving the country for “the west.” 🙁

Posted by: Nervous German | Jan 31 2023 23:10 utc | 138

Is there any chance the War will end because of political changes in Ukraine, bearing in mind that a lot of the Ukrainian elite must be seriously miffed by the recent sackings? I am guessing that the elite are not as patriotic as their American sponsors think – they are putting themselves first, and they want to be correctly positioned for the postbellum situation. In otherwords, might the war end because of a “Dolchstoß”, as the Nazis would put it?

Posted by: Technophobe | Jan 31 2023 23:10 utc | 139

The German press is taking an 180 degree turn, and preparing readers for disappointing news from Ukraine.

Why it is almost impossible that Ukraine will still win.
As bitter as it is, a Ukrainian victory is becoming less likely by the day. Kiev’s army is running out of men and material, the enemy is becoming better and has huge supplies at its disposal. No wonder Western diplomats are now increasingly talking about a ceasefire. (“Die Welt”)

Posted by: Passerby | Jan 31 2023 23:11 utc | 140

Good that Europe does not have colonies in Africa, South America, and Asia. The western world wants to prove its supremacy than let it prove. It can do this alone as 80% of the world is not going to be part of this adventure. They will be more than happy to let western world devastated so that global south can rise.

Posted by: Ankit Khandelwal | Jan 31 2023 23:19 utc | 141

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 31 2023 22:54 utc | 133
yes

Posted by: jonku | Jan 31 2023 23:19 utc | 142

Anarchists victory in Ukraine 😉
From Weeb Union. 2 minute update.
This is a day of celebration.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 31 2023 23:21 utc | 143

@unimperator | Jan 31 2023 22:14 utc | 114
If the dead could speak they might mention the incessant HIMARS and artillery attacks on the cities and civilians of the Donetsk River Basin. While the guns and launchers are being diminished, and some missiles intercepted, thanks to NATO the supplies are constantly replenished and people continue to be murdered by the war criminals NATO is supporting. As accessories, that makes them war criminals too, and there is no statute of limitations for that. There is also universal jurisdiction for war crimes if the home country, like the US, refuses to charge alleged perpetrators living within its jurisdiction.

Posted by: Hermit | Jan 31 2023 23:22 utc | 144

Given what I provided @122, we can now reassess the SMO in the light of what’s clearly an overt change in scenario thanks to NATO’s very overconfident quisling.
Russia will continue its ongoing push along the entire FEBA and continue to invite Ukie forces to kill themselves and ruin their equipment in trying to stop them. Politically, the need to break the defenses surrounding Donetsk remain a priority. Russian forces however must be prudent not to advance too far and expose themselves to flanking attacks. IMO, the goal is to surge the entire FEBA westward. Once the initial political goal is attained, then the next political goal IMO is Odessa’s liberation, which means the cantonment of several cities along the Dnieper.
I don’t know why people think an offensive is going to be launched from Belarus as Russia’s MFA announced several weeks ago that won’t occur because the Union State Treaty doesn’t allow for that sort of attack–defense yes, offense no. Of course, NATO expects Russia to behave like it and not honor the treaty, so it keeps far more forces in Kiev than needed, although ironically that preserves the reserves.
Many want to see greater interdiction of supplies before they reach the rear of the FEBA, but it’s easier to destroy weapons and material when they’re closer. That Russia’s MIC has gone into production overdrive that’s resulted in the search for labor tells us Russia is mindful of its own expenditures and need to maintain inventories. Furthermore, Russia must be mindful of the condition of its people in the broadest, yet both general and specific, sense. This consideration ‘s been lurking in the background since the SMO began and was made clear to me via Putin’s meeting today with Prosecutor General Igor Krasnov.
Lastly, we need to admit that NATO’s desperate and needs to create a very significant diversion. The situation in Kosovo seems to be calmer, but it drove Serbian resolve to not become an EU member. Sticks are being shaken at Iran and further provocations of China over Taiwan will occur. What I’m leery of is the Empire’s Terrorist Foreign Legion hasn’t been heard from for some time, although some acts have occurred in Afghanistan. I would expect it to make a concerted effort in the other Stans. And the Armenian/Azerbaijan trouble will be exploited to the utmost. In Syria, the Empire lacks the forces to do anything drastic.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 31 2023 23:22 utc | 145

Jan 31 2023 23:11 utc | 139
if i were putin the first condition for talks is monitored termite grenades breaking up all the heavy weapons and infantry missiles donated to ukrastan.
natostan is not trustable.
crimea is to kiev as taiwan is to beijing.
no talking without withdrawal of all weapons from ukrastan!

Posted by: paddy | Jan 31 2023 23:23 utc | 146

Posted by: Technophobe | Jan 31 2023 23:10 utc | 138
Very interesting question. If I recall correctly, US congress sometime last decade started funding all the extremist organizations like Azov and Kraken in Ukraine. They are also supported by the Ukrainian oligarchs, who use them as a mean of power. That is, the extremists are directly controlled by oligarchs. The oligarchs also control the government through the extremists. Last decade there were “incidents”, even if the president was ” out of line” they could easily get a visit from some stern looking tough guys with pistols and body armor.
That said, I think Zelensky has no authority beyond making decisions pre-approved by the US state department, which also happen to coincide with those of the oligarchs. As long as the oligarchs see themselves get rich, they can get nice Real estate and Porsches in Geneva and Switzerland, they sell their country and resources like Russian oligarchs did in early 90s etc. things probably won’t change. The question one then has to ask, what if everything has already been sold to Blackrock, etc. But they can’t utilize the stuff, if Ukraine can’t win?
Recently there were a bunch of resignations in Zelensky’s administration. There were speculation that US is now shunning the control through oligarchs, and replacing cabinet members with people they can directly control. That could also mean that they no longer need oligarchs, which could be a cause of internal strife. US is in direct control of the government and military. If that’s the case, the oligarchs will either disappear from the picture, some will cooperate with the Russians (in a bid to maintain some of their assets) or scheme against Zelensky, etc. Everything is possible, just uneducated guess.
The things in terms of military conscription in Ukraine look really, really bad. They are toughening penalties for evading or disobedience, and Azov/Kraken etc. are directly blocking supply routes, intimidating or shooting anyone seen attempting to leave their positions. I suspect US is still directly in control of the extremists, making sure they can squeeze every last cent of their investment in Ukraine, in blood.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 31 2023 23:25 utc | 147

@139 Passerby | Jan 31 2023 23:11 utc | 139
Welt, Yuck. Springer Verlag. Springer obtained a publishing licence from the allies immediately after the war. Should tell you everything about that outlet. Pure US propaganda.
Welt/Bild and Spiegel anything BUT reflect traditional German values. They represent the occupation of Germany. Pure garbage. So all this means is that the US is getting cold feet in Ukraine.

Posted by: xeen | Jan 31 2023 23:27 utc | 148

@Nervous German | Jan 31 2023 23:10 utc | 137
Once we were all equally wealthy hunter gatherers. Most of us lived in North Africa and the Middle East in a very productive temperate environment. We were, at the time, likely quite happy.
Unfortunately, due to orbital eccentricities and solar variance, the climate changed and the earth warmed. As it warmed, the area where we lived began to dry, and hunting became worse. So we had to become squirrels, collecting stuff, some of it useful. We couldn’t figure out what might be useful, and what wouldn’t, and feared that if we get rid of things, that we might not be able to replace them. So then some of us started keeping pretty much everything we could find. That loaded many of us down, and stopped us from following the seasons. Which necessitated taking up the hard life of farming. We farmed, and sometimes managed to grow things. Even when we did, birds, rodents and insects ate our grain. Dust contaminated it. Ergot and other fungi grew on it, reducing the yield and quality of grain and hay and causing disease in humans and our domesticated animals.
So we invented politics in order to do things on a scale larger than the family, tribe and clan dictated by our neuron density (see Dunbar’s number), and religion, to tell who was “Us”, to be cherished, and “Them” to be killed to stop them from eating our hard earned grain, and then we invented and built granaries, the biggest thing humankind had done to then.
Granaries greatly increased the value of our crops, due to the grain being better preserved from competitors and degradation. However, once we began storing it in granaries, our grain was no longer available for barter. That meant we needed to invent money to represent the value of grain. In time, this led to the greatest explosion of wealth in history, due to the elimination of the challenge of coincident simultaneous need, always inherent to barter. Unfortunately, sometime in the next 2,000 years we confused value and scarcity, and wealth became a measure of inequality rather than of value.
Let me try to illustrate. If everyone has all the food they need, money is not needed to buy food, which means it would not be valuable. If all houses are equally desirable, and everyone has one, then money is not needed to buy houses, which would mean that houses would not be valuable. If original artwork is kept in storage, and anyone may enjoy it digitally, in a public gallery, or, perhaps, through making a temporary (indistinguishable) copy of it to enjoy at home, then art is no longer valuable. If everyone receives a first class education for as long as they like, then an education is no longer valuable. It is intuitively evident that despite the collapse in scarcity that this implies, society as a whole would become immeasurably wealthier if we were to do these things.
From this it follows that money represents only relative scarcity, not value. While other entities and wise humans lay enough aside to avoid the impacts of scarcity, and many animals have finely tuned sense of fairness, no other animals have such a crazy system. While it is reasonable to conclude that humans are not only the only animals to hoard wealth (think ants, bees, beavers and squirrels), we are the only animals to make the mistake of conflating “scarcity” for “wealth”. It is only when there is scarcity that money is significant. The wealthy know this, and promote inequality and scarcity. Unfortunately, as the HANDY model has shown, inequality is one of the drivers to civilizational collapse.
Smith, Ricardo and Marx all recognized that value is the product of labor. That the fundamental economic identity underlying capitalism and socialism is:
Surplus = Sales Income – (Labor costs + Other Costs).
Only Marx realized that the surplus was created by failing to pay the labor what the job was worth.
Marx went further and in “The Fragment on Machines” in Grundrisse, recognised that when “self-motivating machines” replace labor, that the labor costs and the surplus vanish, replaced by a sales value that people cannot pay because they have no income and correctly predicted that this is why capitalism and socialism are both doomed.
In addition, capitalism depends completely on the theft of the commons, that share of the world that was the birthright of every person until the 1500-1850 period and the “enclosure of the commons”. That is because if a person has access to the resources to live, and live well, benefitting from all the fruits of their labor, why on earth would they want to work for somebody else for less than the value of the labor they provide? In the enclosure of the commons, people were thrown out of agricultural communities and denied access to the resources which had previously been shared, creating hordes of starving homeless wherever it occurred, the greatest impoverishment of the many to benefit the few, in recorded history. Those who survived the combination of natural hazards and the legal constraints which subsequent “vagrancy acts” imposed, often with involuntary servitude or “transportation” as a consequence, were forced to labor in the nascent capitalist economy to earn money, the measure of scarcity, to survive.
.
What none of these brilliant early economists realized, as they developed models and analytic techniques to investigate the past and try to predict the future behavior of people, was that there are three enormous missing pieces at the very bottom of the pile.
Firstly, all economics is constrained by the fact that it occurs on a finite planet, where the only external input is solar energy and occasional meteorites and comets, and the only external flow is the loss of light atmospheric gases and energy radiated into space. We can borrow from the future, or compete with everything else on the planet, but ultimately if what we do is not sustainable our civilization and our species will become extinct, probably sooner rather than later.
Kate Raworth explores this brilliantly in her 2017-03-22 book, “Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist”.

Posted by: Hermit | Jan 31 2023 23:36 utc | 149

Hermit #123

NATO has no weapons that can earn them a victory.
Some of them have WMDs, but all they can achieve is the extinction of most life on earth, which is hardly a victory.

Perhaps the englanders can apply their stash of novichok to Ukrainian doorknobs as their special forces withdraw from Bakhmut. It sort of worked in Salisbury.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 31 2023 23:37 utc | 150

UK:
USNATO needs to “put boots on the ground to confront Russia in Ukraine “
says a former UK defence minister.
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1620340243898540032
Also UK:
Recent analysis of UK military says it’d take 10 years to field a top tier division
https://news.sky.com/story/amp/us-general-warns-british-army-no-longer-top-level-fighting-force-defence-sources-reveal-12798365
A senior US general has privately told Defence Secretary Ben Wallace the British Army is no longer regarded as a top-level fighting force, defence sources have revealed. 
They said this decline in war-fighting capability – following decades of cuts to save money – needed to be reversed faster than planned in the wake of Russia’s war in Ukraine.
“Bottom line… it’s an entire service unable to protect the UK and our allies for a decade,” one of the defence sources said.
[{Sky is blaming Sunak, who’s been PM 11minutes. Just wondering the demise of the UK fighting capability is actually the consequence of the stewardship of the former defence minister who now wants “boots” in Ukraine????}]

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 31 2023 23:42 utc | 151

Passerby | Jan 31 2023 23:11 utc | 139
>…Germans are being prepped for failure in Ukraine.
Wait 2 years when they fully comprehend their EU masters and their home govt traded away their cheap gas and consequent industrial capacity on the false promise of “winning” in Ukraine against Russia.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 31 2023 23:49 utc | 152

“Thank you for calling 1800-MLRSHELP. My name is Apu, how can I help you?”
“Your self proppelled Howitzer is not working? Im sorry to hear that..one second please”
“Sir have you tried rebooting it?
“Sir can you turn down your tv please? Its not your tv? The Russians are shooting at you? Im sorry to hear that. One minute please…”
“Sir Im going to transfer you to one of our engineers to help you further troubleshoot the problem. Is it ok to put you on hold while I transfer you?”

Posted by: Comandante | Jan 31 2023 23:53 utc | 153

karlof1 #144

I don’t know why people think an offensive is going to be launched from Belarus as Russia’s MFA announced several weeks ago that won’t occur because the Union State Treaty doesn’t allow for that sort of attack–defense yes, offense no. Of course, NATO expects Russia to behave like it and not honor the treaty, so it keeps far more forces in Kiev than needed, although ironically that preserves the reserves.

I too think the war is going to drag on until complete capitulation from the Ukrainian government or army whichever is left kneeling. But recognising that every day equipment to attack eastern Ukraine (now part of Russia) is crossing the Polish/Ukraine border then one could craft an argument to put a stop to this and then the Russian force in Belarus could exit south in defence of Russia. The Belarus forces could remain in the homeland for defence from Polish idiocy or simply put on Russian uniform and lend a hand to close the Polish border with Ukraine.
In war it seems easy to craft credible excuses for almost anything.
Either way the massed Ukrainian army around Kiev will remain around Kiev. I assume these Kiev forces and those at Lvov are the nazi ideologues that intend to survive and send all the others to die. It would be good to see their surrender but I expect there will be many skirmishes.
I wont be surprised if this is still a bar topic in a few years and no amount of remedial therapy will cure the natostans. They will be driven mad each day when they wake to hear news of the incessant advance and bad news. I like that.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jan 31 2023 23:53 utc | 154

Don Bacon | Jan 31 2023 21:26 utc | 102
from the businessinsider article you linked…overuse of weapons by Ukraine might be expected, but…
“…the support team is learning the limits of these systems and where they might have a breaking point.”
trillions of dollars and a constant state of war…but what are the limits and breaking points of Howitzers? who knows? get your money’s worth Amerikkka!

Posted by: rjb1.5 | Jan 31 2023 23:59 utc | 155

karlof1 | Jan 31 2023 22:35 utc | 122
Stoltenberg is just another consumable. Europe is a consumable. I think what we are looking at now in Ukraine is another battle of Debeltseve. With the volunteer third corp and mobilized forces entering the frontline we see a massive increase in Ukraine/merc/nato attrition. Press ganged cannon fodder thrown into the front. But the west is building up a force for a spring offensive. There will be some surprises. Much talk about the target being Crimea. Surprises may be in the way of western weapons systems. Never under estimate the enemy. Russia had to twice make changes to Pantsir software to make them efficient against HYMARS systems.
The spring offensive. Possibly it will be much degraded due to western forces having to throw reserves in the ongoing gaps but the outcome of that will set the strengths and weaknesses for each side in the negotiations that will occur. Russia is holding 150,000 of its Ukraine force in reserve. I expect Russia will be negotiating from a position of strength.
Russia has not put a time limit on denazification but many in Ukraine are now actively resisting conscription and press gangs. They should not be killed on the frontlines. I know there would be howls of anguish if Russia were to agree to end the kinetic war with a LOC on the borders of the four regions and I guess we would disagree on this, but I see it very much to Russia’s advantage.
The larger hybrid war that Escobar and yourself document so well will continue. In the nuclear age, that is were the US empire will be beaten. US can’t afford to be seen departing Ukraine from the roofs of embassies. Plus the critical mineral resources that will remain in rump Ukraine. Titanium, rare earth metals.
Russia will likely take some hits in this spring offensive aka “last throw of the dice” but I expect they will destroy it. To me, keeping in mind the larger hybrid war, Russia will be able to negotiate an agreement with the US that it can use in exactly the same way as US used Minsk II. Time is on Russia’s side.
Russia playing a longer game on the grand chessboard than I would like because I want to be around to see the ending, but that is the great game in the nuclear age. Hudson’s decades of war. Crash test dummy and blinky are optics. Board members and CEO of the likes of Black Rock et al are what the ROW are up against. Cold hard pragmatists.
I cannot remember if it was the Russian head of the security council or the head of Russian foreign intel/SVR spoke of how US corporations ruled the western world. Business is business and Sleepy Joe and Blinky are, like Stoltenberg, optics. Ocean going tadpoles in a world of sharks. Xi, Putin I think fully understand this.
Keep up the good work Karl.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 1 2023 0:06 utc | 156

@uncle tungsten | Jan 31 2023 23:37 utc | 149
I don’t think the Skripal attack was “Novichok”, although the later fatalities may have been. As I noted previously
Re Alleged link between Novichok and Skripals
What seemed obvious to me was the coordination between the British, American, Swiss and Dutch intelligence, the involvement of Portland Down and the American capture of the OPCW. What appeared obvious to me was that whatever the Skripals were exposed to was not Novichok, if only because they lived. Which may be why my eye was caught by the acknowledgement, in a private report never expected to be seen by the public, but released by Lavrov, produced by the Spiez Laboratory (controlled by the Swiss Federal Office for Civil Protection) that they found BZ aka QNB (Quinuclidinyl benzilate), a NATO developed muscarinic acetylcholine receptor antagonist developed as an incapacitating agent for use in chemical warfare, in the samples sent to them for analysis by the OPCW which, in breach of its own protocols, excluded Russia from the investigation. In my opinion, BZ would far better account for the described symptoms and the survival of some of those allegedly exposed to “Novichok”.
It is also worth noting that the official report claimed that no precursors or residuals were detected in the provided samples, making it impossible to identify the source.

Posted by: Hermit | Feb 1 2023 0:14 utc | 157

Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 31 2023 23:22 utc | 144
“I don’t know why people think an offensive is going to be launched from Belarus as Russia’s MFA announced several weeks ago that won’t occur because the Union State Treaty doesn’t allow for that sort of attack–defense yes, offense no.”
I’m confused. Where did the original attack on Kiev launch from? I thought that was from Belarus. How is that different from the proposed offensive from Belarus?
I think you’re overestimating Putin’s “legalism” concerns. They said the Russian troops in Belarus were only there “for training” prior to February 24, 2022, but then one of the three-prongs of the invasion was down from Belarus and the tripoint border, as well Belarus allowed Russia to fire missiles from Belarus and hosted the helicopters and aircraft which took part in the attack on Kiev.
I don’t particularly think a Belarus offensive is in the cards in the near term. But they ongoing integration of Belarus’ military with the Russian military clearly shows an intent to establish a new “Iron Curtain” stretching from Belarus opposite Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania down through Ukraine to the Black Sea.
So if Belarus’ forces were to take part in an offensive in Ukraine, it would be difficult to distinguish them from Russian troops. Russia and Lukashenko could easily claim no Belarus forces are involved even if they are.
So I wouldn’t count on there not being an offensive, especially if Poland were to attempt an intervention in Western Ukraine. But again, I don’t expect an offensive from Belarus currently because even adding in the Belarus forces themselves, there really isn’t that big a Russian force in Belarus – so far. But that could change.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Feb 1 2023 0:15 utc | 158

karlof1 | Jan 31 2023 23:22 utc | 144
The hybrid war will continue until the death of the US or other emerging previous great powers.. Ukraine just one square on the chessboard. Refer to my previous comment…
Karl, cross post your comments here to your VK account. Not replies but your quotes and views. We live in very interesting times. A complex chessboard.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 1 2023 0:21 utc | 159

Posted by: bevin | Jan 31 2023 22:00 utc | 111
Thanks for this. The original comment cried out for a point by point dope-slap but I didn’t have the energy…

Posted by: MillerJ | Feb 1 2023 0:23 utc | 160

Hermit #156
Agreed, and it certainly was not novichok. The Skripals picked up something nasty at the pub, shared it on the way to collapsing on the bench a short distance away only to be discovered by the most senior CBW nurse (and daughter) in the British ‘army’. Only in england can one find such puerile farce.
I use the term ‘novichok’ as the identifier for the entire contrived fiasco.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 1 2023 0:23 utc | 161

Posted by: Don Bacon | Jan 31 2023 21:26 utc | 102
from the web
Ukrainian troops are calling the US military in the middle of shootouts with Russia for help fixing their artillery
> The US military is leading a team that is helping to repair Ukraine’s military hardware over the phone.
> These virtual exchanges often take place during battle, the Associated Press reported.
> Ukrainian troops, meanwhile, are pushing artillery systems to the limits to keep Russia at bay. . . .here
They’ll need more phone lines now, and more varied howitzer repair techs
That’s a true fact. Western AWACS are also watching 24/7 days-
So what to counter? Belarus spawned Russian AWACS also observe “The Region”.
If anyone has made a military “mistake” (like ZIlensky as a puppet wuth his organ on piano) not cleared by the “good” Cosulars, there will – possicly – Florida plus Golden-Gate “The Bridge” will fall down.
Nuland: What’s going now?

Posted by: spare_truth | Feb 1 2023 0:27 utc | 162

Russia has already demilitarized Ukraine and is now demilitarizing NATO. NATO’s entire strategy seems to be that Russia will run out of weapons and ammunition. They never considered that the Russian war effort might be sustainable. Maybe they judge by their own outrageously inflated budgets. Maybe they take Russia’s restraint for weakness. For example, Russia still hasn’t targeted Ukraine’s administration centers. For NATO, this could be a massive intelligence failure.

Posted by: paperlesstiger | Feb 1 2023 0:28 utc | 163

I’ve recently caught wind of a conspiracy theory wherein Russia and China have a secret plan (I’ve seen variations including each having their own or them having a shared one) to invade and depopulate the USA….
Does anyone know whether there is even a grain of truth to this theory?
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jan 31 2023 22:52 utc | 131

Thanks for the giggle.

Posted by: Opport Knocks | Feb 1 2023 0:29 utc | 164

Nervous German | Jan 31 2023 23:10 utc | 137
Just 14 years for Putin to turn things around. The trash is leaving. STEM is staying. US is backing out of Ukraine because STEM has remained within Russia. Culture has remained within Russia. It will take a little while but the trash will die out due to geo political AIDS. Ignore the optics and watch the substance.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 1 2023 0:34 utc | 165

unimperator @146–
Ukie extremists began getting OSS/USA support in 1945 and it never stopped. OUN was the animal then as now, along with other formations. Here’s the link to Cynthia Chung’s Second Part of her Trilogy on the subject that contains the original–from the Devil’s mouth–sources.
uncle tungsten @153 and Peter AU1 @155–
Thanks for your replies. Yes, I expect Russia to liberate and absorb most of what remains of Ukraine however long that takes while demilitarizing NATO as much as it allows itself. The question as I’ve posed several times then becomes what of the NATO neighbors, particularly Poland and Romania? The Balics IMO have committed collective suicide but aren’t completely dead yet. As for the Big Dog, I expect it to be assaulted financially in a manner quite different from that tried against Russia, China, Iran, and others. The key is insulating the RoW against the shock that will result as the Empire’s Ponzis implode. Yes, it’s possible the West’s political winds could shift, but IMO the medicine will still be applied then trust can be rebuilt between the RoW and the EU’s new political forces–I don’t anticipate a drastic change within the Outlaw US Empire because it will take several years for it to meltdown to the point where mass revolt will occur.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 1 2023 0:36 utc | 166

@163 Almost certainly true. The Chinese have a fleet of armed fishing boats ready to invade Malibu. The Russians will be coming in through Alaska bypassing Vancouver headed for Seattle.

Posted by: dh | Feb 1 2023 0:38 utc | 167

Russia stilPosted by: paperlesstiger | Feb 1 2023 0:28 utc | 162
Posted by: paperlesstiger | Feb 1 2023 0:28 utc | 162… l hasn’t targeted Ukraine’s administration centers. For NATO, this could be a massive intelligence failure.
May have being a failure of CI’s on the western side, but this is about what “they” have planned since 8 years ago – that’s not a new geo-strategy. The “New” will certainly come, as we can see even in MSM studios.

Posted by: spare_truth | Feb 1 2023 0:39 utc | 168

Don Bacon #102

They’ll need more phone lines now, and more varied howitzer repair techs

Easy solution: contract all repairs and operation to the private sector. Install a mike and vidcam, hook them up to the internet of things via Alexa, Google or Siri and beam it all up to Starlink and off to the genius bar reservation system for ‘prompt’ attention. Nothing to worry about. I suggest the crew stand well clear.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 1 2023 0:39 utc | 169

This is war without air superiority. A lot of lessons for non US nations to learn. And the obvious is that while drones and precision munitions are great, the iron mountain of artillery and its supply chain are still vital to winning

Posted by: Cresty | Feb 1 2023 0:54 utc | 170

@168 Very good suggestion but the Russians would hack it for sure and give false instructions to the repair crew.

Posted by: dh | Feb 1 2023 0:55 utc | 171

karlof1 #165
Poland can simply spin on its pin like a dying moth stuck to a board. With natostan beside itself with acrimony, blame, poverty and infested with nazi race hating refugees, they will be preoccupied.
Not one Uke refugee will want to remain in Poland or re-enter Ukraine in a hurry and face the tribunal. It will take time to free the minds of the Ukraine remainers and there are a few precedents in the past century in europe. The antiwar vote in Ukraine was enormous and likely the sentiment still is. It was betrayed by Zelensky and the USA designed nazi team.
I guess the USA military/political pshychopathy is in for a thorough flogging and could soon find itself constrained by its allies to a large extent. Blinken’s latest ‘offer’ was absurd and pathetic and, if it was any indicator, there will be no talks for some time.
The solution lies in the December 2021 yankee go home proposal by Russia to USA/NATO.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 1 2023 0:58 utc | 172

Thanks for the replies, both snarky and curt. I figured as much, but that stupid narrative is in fact gaining traction among right-leaning individuals I know personally and in the alternative online/social media ecosystem. Unfortunately.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 1 2023 0:58 utc | 173

dh | Feb 1 2023 0:38 utc | 166
The fine line between rational and irrational. I cross it at times, much to my disgust, when reading comments here.
What will the future bring us? Your spartan and sparse comments always give food for thought.
This war of the worlds. US optics covering a ruthless private deep state. Western public optics covering the Russian culture that destroys all attackers.
Whats your thoughts?

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 1 2023 0:59 utc | 174

dh #170
That is why I included the product warning to stand clear 😉
But I wouldn’t let all that negative stuff get in the way of innovation. Maybe that Theranos gal could work on it if she has some spare time.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Feb 1 2023 1:00 utc | 175

@162

.. Russia has already demilitarized Ukraine and is now demilitarizing NATO. NATO’s entire strategy seems to be that Russia will run out of weapons and ammunition. ..

The hope in your respectful ears isn’t at the reality on-gtound.
NATO have already stationed in EU – and will produce on its own business – like Russia has pushed from
now on and earlier than US – ad hoc – that will prolong the war, and beside-effects having registered (IRAN/Israel, ..).

Posted by: spare_truth | Feb 1 2023 1:01 utc | 176

@172 Spartan? Never had that before. I’m usually called sardonic and cynical.
Anyway I have some interesting news. Blinken is going to China.
“”I know he’s looking forward to being able to addressing all of those issues and of course the war in Ukraine will be among those issues that we can expect the secretary to bring up while he’s there,” Kirby said.”
https://ca.yahoo.com/news/blinken-discuss-russias-war-ukraine-205552102.html

Posted by: dh | Feb 1 2023 1:04 utc | 177

«NATO is continuing its disarmament mission»
That is largely irrelevant, at least for the european vassals of the USA in NATO, they are what the roman generals called “auxiliaries” at best, operetta/PR militaries at worst.
As to the USA, it entered WW2 with a vestigial army and air force (and a significant navy, tellingly) and little military industry, but in a couple of year of mobilization was outproducing everybody else and (expensively) bailed out England and the USSR with enormous Lend-Lease supplies.
A lot of people here think that the current set of parade generals and expensive, fragile USA modern weapons would be used in a real war, but the “peacetime”/expeditionary USA military is just a skeleton/experimental force.
If the USA were involved in any real war then good fighting generals would be put in charge, and it would start mass producing effective, relatively cheap weapons, as they did in the Civil War and in WW1 and WW2 and to some extent in Korea.
But that is pointless talk because the parameters are fairly fixed:
* The USA home area is untouchable as it is defended by a huge array of nuclear weapons. Whether the USA would also defend their european or asian vassals the same way is not guaranteed though, but cannot be excluded. I doubt that the french and english elites would die for Warsaw or Berlin or Lvov either.
* The “peacetime”/expeditionary USA military is plenty enough to sustain two minor wars 10,000 miles from the USA, and that’s all they need to do.
* The USA economy is not collapsing: simply the parts where the workers that the USA oligarch want to replace with asian offshore or central/south americans are being abandoned. There are plenty of ghost towns and regions in the USA, abandoned over the past couple of centuries because they no longer generated profit.
* The way to defeat a nuclear power is to get it involved in a proxy war with a non-nuclear power plus to put it into a lot a pressure from many directions for regime change.
* There is a zero risk for the next several decades of that happening against the USA or of the USA collapsing spontaneously.
* There is a slightly higher but still pretty small risk of that happening to the PRC, at least as long as the RF and Kazakhstan are huge buffer states on their turbulent north and west borders.
* There is a rather higher but probably not that large risk of that happening to the RF (even if it already worked against the USSR, but now the RF is self-sufficient in both fuels and cereals).
* Talk about war between RF and USA is fantastic, but it is unlikely but possible that a relatively small USA expeditionary corps could end up fighting RF troops in Ukraine. In Syria RF and USA troops were usually careful to avoid trouble with each other, Ukraine may be a different matter.
The most interesting detail that emerged from recent Putin speeches is that he wants (I guess to minimize regime change risk) to avoid full mobilization and wants a “guns *and* butter” economy, which signifies that the RF government see the fight in the Ukraine as important but not existential, roughly the level the USA government saw the fights in Korea and Vietnam.

Posted by: Blissex | Feb 1 2023 1:05 utc | 178

dh, OpportKnocks, etc.
haha, thanks for humoring me anyway. Yes, I obviously thought it was a load of bullshit, but the frequency I’m hearing about it lately from right-leaning acquaintances and online, creeping into semi-respectable alterative media is a little concerning.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 1 2023 1:05 utc | 179

@177 When the US starts interning Chinese residents you’ll know it’s serious.

Posted by: dh | Feb 1 2023 1:08 utc | 180

RE: Regime change in Russia –
Last I checked the next presidential election in which Putin is up for reelection is next year, 2024. I don’t think the US or its proxies can muster the needed astroturf movement(s) inside Russia to influence its outcome. I do think that the truce will come well before the elections and that major fighting will be over by that time with a DMZ or something like that put in place in Eastern Ukraine. This should all help Putin maintain or raise his public approval numbers.
All of that said, has he in any of his speeches or commentary declared that he would be seeking reelection in the first place? He’s by no means as old and decrepit as Biden or obese and unhealthy as Trump, but he’s not a spring chicken and he may be ready to relax and spend time with his family?

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Feb 1 2023 1:12 utc | 181

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohTrUEzEjHY&t=3212s
Mercouris latest. I found it amusing that, in the comments, a person named ‘disndat 1000’ provides convenient time stamp links in blue to jump through his commentary. One stamp is marked as Dog comments on Rogow. It is indeed Mercouris dog (poodle?) barking in the background, as often happens.

Posted by: Eighthman | Feb 1 2023 1:21 utc | 182

If most of the donations come from the EU-NATO group, it will help the U.S. trade balance. U.S. Defense contractors will make a fortune selling more stuff to NATO.
The war in Ukraine will not stop until the U.S. bleeds out its own inventory.
So, regarding all the MSM theatre over giving Ukraine U.S. made Abrams tanks, Patriot air defense, missiles, artillery and F16’s I say, do it and throw in our entire inventory of F35’s on top of that.

Posted by: Christian Chuba | Feb 1 2023 1:24 utc | 183

This is most likely how it will play out
Posted by: Thomas Lipscomb | Jan 31 2023 20:44 utc | 82
A big welcome Mr. Lipscomb. I read your article last evening and it is today featured at The Ron Paul Institute for Peace & Prosperity. Well pleased.
The graph on Z is indeed the likely outcome:

[.] And just possibly, as the leaves fall later this year, and Zelensky suns himself at one of his mansions in Florida, there will be the damndest traffic jam ever at the railyards in Eastern Poland.
Most of Ukraine itself will be under a temporary Russian military occupation as the endgame gets sorted out. And the general staffs of several Western countries, including the United States, will be delighted to hear that the tanks their governments had paid to update without affecting their departmental appropriations, somehow never got shipped
Unfortunately there were unintended consequences. After enduring 30 years of perfidious post Cold War behavior by the United States and the fraud admitted by Angela Merkel in the Minsk Agreement as well as the Istanbul Agreement, the Russians now totally distrust the West.
[.].

Posted by: Likklemore | Feb 1 2023 1:30 utc | 184

Col. Douglas Macgregor and Scott Ritter say NATO is in no shape (in terms of both personnel and weaponry) to engage in full war with Russia.
Posted by: Chris N | Jan 31 2023 19:53 utc | 55

They both also said Russia would win quickly when things began last year.

Posted by: Simon | Feb 1 2023 1:36 utc | 185

I don’t think the Skripal attack was “Novichok”, although the later fatalities may have been. As I noted previously.
Re Alleged link between Novichok and Skripals
It is also worth noting that the official report claimed that no precursors or residuals were detected in the provided samples, making it impossible to identify the source.
Posted by: Hermit | Feb 1 2023 0:14 utc | 156

There was only one reported UK Novichok fatality, the perfume bottle found by the drug addicts in the park. As I understand it, Novichok requires 2 separate stable chemical compounds to be mixed shortly before application and it does not remain chemically active for a long time after, definitely not 4 months. Hence the perfume bottle was not Novichok either, unless the crew from Porton Down planted it there.
As for the Skriptals, as some here have theorized, they may have been allowed to either return back home or some neutral location, in exchange for keeping quiet about the whole fiasco.
Helmer’s site has lots intrigue about the Skriptal affair.

Posted by: Opport Knocks | Feb 1 2023 1:38 utc | 186

Blissex | Feb 1 2023 1:05 utc | 176

Talk about war between RF and USA is fantastic, but it is unlikely but possible that a relatively small USA expeditionary corps could end up fighting RF troops in Ukraine.Blissex | Feb 1 2023 1:05 utc | 176
“Talk about war between RF and USA is fantastic, but it is unlikely but possible that a relatively small USA expeditionary corps could end up fighting RF troops in Ukraine.”

So it is .. all speculation that time.
But the truth is the every daily shelled Donetzk-City, what the MoAs here on the bar have any some new ideas to stop that ever on-going shells on ciciliants in Donetz ..?
if no reply for that, I give an answer in-advance:
All know, since 2014, UKR Gov has made new “laws”. That’s it.
Same way since 2014 others have made other laws: That’s it, for tosay too.
Yes understood, but what it meana for me personnally ..
..sorry I’d like to be hungry and/or or test some cold cookies this nigth ..
Ket’s the US cicis feel after Ziron, what a “Freeze Referatour” a la KFC has been worth wile ..
Let’s hope .. all together.

Posted by: spare_truth | Feb 1 2023 1:40 utc | 187

Simon @183
do sent links from ritter and macg

Posted by: paddy | Feb 1 2023 1:43 utc | 188

. . .from Ukrinform
Z-sky gets tough today and talks sports with Justin. . .

Today I spoke with Prime Minister of Canada Justin Trudeau. I briefed him on the situation on the battlefield – on the constant assaults in the Donetsk region, on the situation in the south and the existing threats. We discussed how our defense cooperation could be supplemented. We separately touched upon the issue of sanctions and Russia’s international isolation.
In particular, I am grateful to Justin for understanding our call to the international Olympic bodies that any concessions to a terrorist state are unacceptable. The Olympic movement and international sport in general must be protected from Russia’s usual attempts to politicize sports – we have seen this repeatedly at different times. Now, Russian politicization of sports will inevitably mean justification of terror. This must not be allowed. It is only together that the free world can protect sport from those sports bureaucrats who are willing to turn a blind eye to reality for some reason. . . .here

Posted by: Don Bacon | Feb 1 2023 1:45 utc | 189

Posted by: bevin | Jan 31 2023 22:00 utc | 111
I’m anti Communist? Hahaha freaking rights I am.I said the communist party of the Soviet Union held Marxist based political views which ultimately made it a totalitarian State…the Central government controls all aspects of the populations life….there are no other political parties…. there is no private property rights and the State has total monopoly on violence. …and the leading globalists steering public policy through WEF pretty much believe in the same things…
So again my point is the current destructive progressive socialist policies wrecking havoc on the Western so called democracies where historically pushed by the Soviet Union into the Capitalist West…to do what is happening now. These same movements are being financed by the Capitalists who want the same thing.. a totalitarian state where private enterprise dictates policy as opposed to politicians

Posted by: Joe | Feb 1 2023 1:50 utc | 190

blissex @176
Gish gallop too long to waste time bursting your bobble

Posted by: paddy | Feb 1 2023 1:51 utc | 191

Latest McGregor video with Judge Napolitano.
https://www.youtube.com/live/cmIKBEiaRyA?feature=share

Posted by: morongobill | Feb 1 2023 1:53 utc | 192

It is interesting to observe this dynamic where many of the western states appear to be competing to be seen was well within the pack serving whoever is driving this agenda to new hieghts of delusion. There is apparently something major on the line, I cannot see that Ukraine is the prize. I am coming to think that it is funding for the great reset agenda that is at stake – likely it will also be a fiasco, but will make some very rich and leave so others adrift.

Posted by: jared | Feb 1 2023 1:56 utc | 193

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 31 2023 22:14 utc | 114 “Warsaw pact equipment was the house money allocated for this adventure. No one wants to play a losing game with their own money.”
Maybe, maybe not, depends if this chart is accurate.
https://twitter.com/PascalHeyman/status/1606006529462833162
Posted by: Bill Smith | February 01, 2023 at 01:56

Posted by: Bill Smith | Feb 1 2023 1:57 utc | 194

It seems the more that Russia is cautious and unhurried, the more Blinkens eyes bulge.

Posted by: jared | Feb 1 2023 1:59 utc | 195

@ paddy | Feb 1 2023 1:43 utc | 186
Did you catch MacGregor with the judge today?. . .here

Posted by: Don Bacon | Feb 1 2023 2:02 utc | 196

Meanwhile in beacon of freedom that is the USA:
“Man with both legs amputated shot dead by police…. the man had stabbed someone and was escaping police by running on his stumps when he was shot in the back by officers”

Posted by: Comandante | Feb 1 2023 2:02 utc | 197

” the man had stabbed someone and was escaping police by running on his stumps when he was shot in the back by officers”
Posted by: Comandante | Feb 1 2023 2:02 utc | 195 ”
The “stump” stabbed someone. Are you a woke dougboy or PantiFa ?

Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Feb 1 2023 2:07 utc | 198

In the news this evening on RT —
US to arm Ukraine with ‘longer-range’ missiles – Reuters
Washington is reportedly preparing a new $2 billion aid package, including munitions that can strike deep in Russian territory.”
A slow, grinding war is the answer.

Posted by: Elmagnostic | Feb 1 2023 2:17 utc | 199

@Opport Knocks | Feb 1 2023 1:38 utc | 184
I misremembered that both Amesbury victims bad died. I agree with your analysis. If they were victims of Novichok then Portland was involved.
Here’s a meme I made at the time you might appreciate (read the back). Novichok Bottle

Posted by: Hermit | Feb 1 2023 2:17 utc | 200