Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
December 31, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-237

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.

Comments

@ Richard & Outraged
There’s one before that @ Jan 1 2023 1:07 utc | 73. Not in any way related to Ukraine. Ron Paul Institute in the same league?

Posted by: Laurence | Jan 1 2023 7:06 utc | 101

“The Ukrainian regime refused to vote against a UN General Assembly resolution calling on the International Court of Justice to weigh in on Israel’s illegal occupation of Palestinian territories after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declined to provide them with weapons in return, a new report says.”[Sputnik]tps://sputniknews.com/20230101/kiev-regime-tried-and-failed-to-shake-down-israel-for-weapons-in-exchange-for-un-vote–report-1105961437.html

According to the journalist, the Ukrainian source said Netanyahu refused to capitulate but said he would be “ready to discuss Zelensky’s requests in the future.”

Posted by: Laurence | Jan 1 2023 7:33 utc | 102

Posted by: Harry Hillman Chartr | Dec 31 2022 16:47 utc | 3
So the US has had a hatred of Russia going back 22 years? Many more years than that. Three days ago was the one hundred year anniversary of the foundation of the United Socialist Soviet Republic. The USSR was formed following the end of the Russian Civil War (1918-1922) and accompanying foreign intervention. On December 30, 1922, the Russian, Ukrainian, Belarusian, and Transcaucasian Soviet Socialist Republics united into one state with a single political body in the capital of Moscow. Other Soviet republics which used to be parts of the Russian Empire joined the USSR later years. The USSR was formed after a major defeat of the US military (and British, Japanese and French) in Russia. The US intervened militarily against Russia in September 1918 under General Graves and elements of his Eighth Division. In Siberia. His horses died of the cold. His troops found the Russian winter unbearable. His troop’s machine guns froze up and were useless. The invasion ended in ignoble defeat. The US military also established a Polar Bear Mission (i kid you not) that invaded at the same time at Archangel with 5,000 troops. In the bitter cold a regiment of US troops mutinied. By the middle of 1919 all US troops had been withdrawn. Apparently the US military has learnt nothing of the insanity of fighting Russia in winter. We will see soon the repeat of the Polar Bear Expedition forces. This time in the winter in Ukraine. In another bitter winter the US military and its Ukrainian fascist proxies will be defeated in the snow and cold. Russia since the foundation of the USSR has never been defeated in winter fighting.

Posted by: Paul McGrory | Jan 1 2023 9:05 utc | 103

The USSR was formed after a major defeat of the US military (and British, Japanese and French) in Russia

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jan 1 2023 9:45 utc | 104

In addition to comments #3 & #103:
And, furthermore: Doesn’t even the US’ rigging up of Japan in 20’th centuries first third has to be regarded as kind of a bulwark against the Soviet Union? Misusing other peoples for pursuing one’s own ends does not seem to be an invention of our times.

Posted by: Yogi | Jan 1 2023 9:49 utc | 105

I wish you a happy new year in 2023, with health the most precious commodity.
With love from Greece.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGvwCIfCyjk&ab_channel=LOUKARI-KALAITSIDOYHELEN

Posted by: Athanasios | Jan 1 2023 9:51 utc | 107

Putin’s new year gift to Russian people
Dear Russians a task had been completed. The process had been completed. By the process we mean this process. We all know the fourth reich is upon us. And the fourth reich it will last thousands of years, give or take. The fourth reich will be run by very capable people like you and me. For convenience and as per protocol they are called the cabal. And it should be such. They have long tentacles that is long hands and yet they serve. They serve you and me and all people. And I serve the cabal. Everyone knows digitally enhanced enhancements are coming to the citizens of the world. A few people call it digitally enhanced slavery. We call it digitally enhanced enhancements. Key to this is your trust on your representatives.
Your representatives came up with the good idea of centrally storing your biometric data in central servers. That way it will be good for the government to deliver services to you. It will be good. Your biometric data will be put to good use. It will be good. Your biometric data are in good hands. It will be made available to the cabal. Control over the central servers is given to the private enterprise. That way would be good. They are to collaborate with the cabal privately. If the control over the central servers stays only with the government that also means the same thing. We will hand over that is transmit the data to the cabal. First needs the data collection. Once data is collected it will find it’s way to the cabal any which way.
Think of the benefits, all services by the cabal will be available to you just by your biometric data. We will also make it very helpful to the people who opts in to receiving the cabal services and make it impossible to opt out.
We world leaders are in this together. India’s prime minister Mr Modi has already succeeded biometric data collection mandatory. He serves the people and the cabal with unwavering faith. He rushed it through the parliament to benefit the people and the cabal. You should be like India’s prime minister. Greatness is in you. Russian biometric data is the way forward to that greatness. And all lawmakers are together in this in serving the people and the cabal.
We will take care to not harm any enterprise or branch offices of the cabal, though they are known to us, for they only seek to serve the people. And we are in it together.
https://privacyinternational.org/case-study/4698/id-systems-analysed-aadhaar
https://www.moneylife.in/article/aadhaar-private-ownership-of-uid-data-part-i/32430.html
https://edwardslavsquat.substack.com/p/ungrateful-russians-give-friendly

Posted by: RealBeast | Jan 1 2023 10:19 utc | 108

6 civilians killed after himars strike on a hospital in Pervomaisk, Lugansk Republic.

Posted by: rk | Jan 1 2023 10:22 utc | 109

Posted by: RealBeast | Jan 1 2023 10:19 utc | 108
Lately I am getting a bit tired of libertarians and their never ending immature faceless contrarianism, criticizing everything always at any cost. Just let it go and adapt. We have privacy laws, we have taxpayer protection etc. The problem is in the corruption of the security state, not the means through which it is perpetuated.
You’re very reactionary and probably the most far away ideologically from the enemy of your enemy.

Posted by: alek_a | Jan 1 2023 10:28 utc | 110

Ukraine is going to be a useful distraction from the next round of ethnic genocide in Palestine. Obviously nothing to do with jelly baby and dead Ktaia ‘s owner being best friends. Bbc is busy concern trolling about the prospects of Israelis becoming victims of world hate, again.
How would a Russian go about explaining to a Chinese person that a virulent strain of genocidal Nazism has been inculcated by the victims of German Nazism in one of Russia’s neighbours in order to distract from their openly declared intention to colonise Syria , Lebanon, Iraq, Jordan and Egypt on the grounds of being a Chosen People?
If half of the planet had not already happened in front of our eyes over the last 20 years, the Chinese person would think the Russian was out of his tiny mind.
Happy 2023, the year pigs going to be flying. If Ukraine isn’t enough of a distraction, there’s always Taiwan.

Posted by: Giyane | Jan 1 2023 10:35 utc | 111

Solo@39
In the topic of “huge Ukrainian reserves”:
1. 40 m Ukrainians, half of them make, half of them more or less suitable age makes a huge reserve
2. The situation and the reports now sound very much like they did in August, before the September – offensives. Ukrainians being shelled to smithereens, deserting in droves, dying in the battle field, running out of ammo. In September, it turned out the real forces and the experienced solders were assembled elsewhere.
Obviously, the same arguments go the other way around – Russia has a 3x larger population, they are equally motivated. Their weapons factories, electricity grids and transport infrastruchte are intact.
More sources like military summary would indeed be helpful to figure out what is really going on.
For, a little trick: Ukraine and it’s allies seem to make extensive use of what they refer to as pre-nial: denial before the fact.
What they seem to be doing us accuse Russia of things Ukraine is going to do, a few days before they actually do it. Puts Ukraine in a position to just shrug their shoulders and say the word ‘ lame’ when they get accused of using cluster bombs,run out of ammo, attack a nuclear power plant or start their next round of forced recruiting because the current lot have been killed or run away.
Once you have figured out what pre-nial actually means, Wolodomir Selensky and his backers become a very credible source of information…

Posted by: Marvin | Jan 1 2023 10:43 utc | 112

Moon of Alabama is a political university.
Thanks to b who leads it so responsibly! Thanks also to all wise men and women who are leading us on the right track and are exposing all lies and prejudices when we are claiming or believing in different things. By the way, thanks to all who write posts, you are actually all important in the process that brings political consciousness, even the teachers learn as long as they have students. But trolls stop repeating the same thing in absurdum. Anyhow, a very Happy New Year to all of you!

Posted by: Northern Eve | Jan 1 2023 10:56 utc | 113

In the topic of “huge Ukrainian reserves”:
1. 40 m Ukrainians, half of them make, half of them more or less suitable age makes a huge reserve

You are frankly demented. Ukraine has a low fertility rate and deaths > births – it has a dying demographic and an ageing population. It has a decrepit health system and a chronically sick population. It is a failed state.
Simply piling up carcases of wounded will bring Ukraine to its knees. Where are the US medics rushing to treat the wounded and provide prosthetics and pensions ?
Where are the nurses ?
There is no 40 million Ukrainians……….you think Zelensky counts them every night ?

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jan 1 2023 11:15 utc | 114

I am also fascinated with the high intellectual level of comments on MoA.
However I doubt sometimes to optimistic comments.
This war is a special event in the history of mankind.

Posted by: solo | Jan 1 2023 12:27 utc | 115

⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (1 January 2023)
📄 Part 1 (read Part 2 (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/5629))
◽️ On 31 December 2022, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation launched a strike by high-precision long-range air-based armament at the defence industrial facilities of Ukraine involved in producing assault unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) designed for committing terrorist attacks against the Russian Federation. The parking ramps and launch sites of the assault UAVs have also been neutralised.
◽️ The goal of the attack has been reached. Kiev regime’s plans to commit terrorist attacks against the Russian Federation in the nearest future have been frustrated.
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
💥 In Kupyansk direction, Russian forces have neutralised the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Kotlyarovka, Ivanovka, Podoly, Pershotravnevoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic).
◻️ Over 40 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, and 1 pickup have been eliminated.
💥 In Krasniy Liman direction, artillery attack has resulted in the neutralisation of 5 company tactical groups from 92nd Mechanised and 95th Airborne Assault brigades of the AFU, as well as from 111th Territorial Defence Brigade near Rozovka, Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Serebryanskoye forestry.
◻️ The enemy has lost over 150 Ukrainian personnel, 1 armoured personnel carrier, and 2 pickups.
💥 In Donetsk direction, Russian troops continue their offensive.
◻️ Fire attacks and intensive action of Russian units have resulted in the elimination of over 110 Ukrainian personnel, 2 infantry fighting vehicles, 5 armoured fighting vehicles, and 7 motor vehicles.
💥 In South Donetsk direction, AFU units made unsuccessful attempts to launch a counterattack near Dorozhnyanka (Zaporozhye region) in order to regain the lost positions.
◻️ Artillery strikes and action of Russian forces have resulted in repelling of all the counterattacks.
◻️ Over 50 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, and 3 motor vehicles have been eliminated.
◻️ Moreover, 6 Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups, that had operated towards Novoandreyevka, Dorozhnyanka (Zaporozhye region), Nikolskoye, Neskuchnoye, and Novomikhaylovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), have been eliminated.
⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (1 January 2023)
📄 Part 2 (read Part 1 (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/5628))
💥 Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian groups of forces have neutralised 68 artillery units at their firing positions, manpower and military equipment at 102 areas.
◻️ 1 mobile airspace observation radar of the AFU has been destroyed near Kamyshevakha (Donetsk People’s Republic).
◻️ 1 U.S.-manufactured AN/TPQ-50 counterbattery warfare radar has been destroyed near Artyomovsk (Donetsk People’s Republic).
◻️ 1 AFU artillery ordnance depot has been destroyed near Mirnoye (Zaporozhye region).
💥 Within the counterbattery warfare, 2 Polish-manufactured Krab self-propelled howitzers, that had been used for shelling residential areas of the Donetsk People’s Republic, have been destroyed at their firing positions near Ivanopolye and Zvanovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).
◻️ In addition, 2 Ukrainian D-20 howitzers have been destroyed near Nevskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic).
✈️💥 Fighter Aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces has shot down 1 Mi-8 of Ukrainian Air Force near Poltavka (Donetsk People’s Republic).
💥 Air defence facilities have destroyed 15 Ukrainian UAVs near Maksimovka, Nikolayevka, Nikolskoye, Metallist, Zelyoniy Gai, Slavnoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), Ploshchanka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Tsapovka (Belgorod region), Ocheretovatoye (Zaporozhye region), Ochakov (Nikolayev region), Liman Vtoroy (Kharkov region), and Dzhankoy (Republic of Crimea).
◻️ Moreover, 7 rocket-propelled projectiles launched by HIMARS multiple-launch rocket system have been intercepted near Popasnaya, Makeyevka, and Popovka (Lugansk People’s Republic).
📊 In total, 355 airplanes and 199 helicopters, 2,779 unmanned aerial vehicles, 399 air defence missile systems, 7,350 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 957 combat vehicles equipped with MRLS, 3,756 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 7,859 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation.
#MoD #Russia #Ukraine #report
@mod_russia_en

Posted by: Summary | Jan 1 2023 12:48 utc | 116

Why has Putin rescinded his policy for ” pay in Rubles ” .?

Posted by: Ravi Uppal | Jan 1 2023 12:59 utc | 117

If the lesser countries enter Ukraine en mass they will shift the balance of the conflict to some degree but will then have to deal with casualties. If they concentrate in some area, they will become prime target.
If they were to bring nato weapons and air defense it would further shift balance, but I dont think they can bring in an imposing force – more like attractive targets.
Russians are not going to occupy Ukraine, will be enforced neutrality – let them stew in own mess. Any incursion would be for short term objective.
US might try to do as they have in Syria, but I suspect Russians would not be reluctant and would welcome target. US would as well have to deal with casualties.
Perhaps some might enter on humanitarian mission, but if they bring heavy equipment or setup logistics will become target although increases risk of civilian casualties.
Maybe there is another means.
Nato is not planning to win the war for Ukraine, only to impose cost on Russia – military, economic, social. That which doesnt destroy them, makes them stronger.

Posted by: jared | Jan 1 2023 13:37 utc | 118

Why has Putin rescinded his policy for ” pay in Rubles ” .?
Posted by: Ravi Uppal | Jan 1 2023 12:59 utc | 117
Only for debts. If a company/country still doesn’t want to pay in the original contract currency, they will get their gas turned off.
The good question is why LNG isn’t sold for rubles. Or other exports.

Posted by: rk | Jan 1 2023 14:02 utc | 119

Happier New Year, b! And Everyone!

Posted by: beq | Jan 1 2023 15:20 utc | 120

«wishes for the speedy defeat of their Fatherland in the war, and often unpretentious dreams of destroying today’s Russia.»
Vladimir Putin should remember his political theory lessons: those people are loyal to their wealth and thus to their class, not to something they have difficulty relating to as their neighbours. They expect that vassalage to and “protection” from the USA will make them personally more money (probably at the expense of their neighbours), and that’s what matters to them.
Exiling them is one thing, and many auto-exiled themselves, but a more advantageous question would be how to show them that their interests could be more aligned with those of the RF/PRC than those of USA/NATO. Not an easy question.

Posted by: Blissex | Jan 1 2023 16:50 utc | 121

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Jan 1 2023 5:04 utc | 93
«“Tactical minutia” is not important once you grasp what the Russians are doing in general and what the Ukrainians are doing in general.»
And even that is difficult because it is all hearsay.
But I have the impression that a lot of people here think of the situation as a football match between “their” team and another side, and of themselves as football coaches, and discuss in minute detail each moment. Typical of a “sports bar” I guess. Not sure that’s the type of bar that “b” wants to run, perhaps he would like more to run this site as a wine bar or a cafè.

Posted by: Blissex | Jan 1 2023 16:55 utc | 122

Posted by: Blissex | Jan 1 2023 16:55 utc | 122
> Not sure that’s the type of bar that “b” wants to run, perhaps he would like more to run this site as a wine bar or a cafè.
You are not sure? Well, then read this, you will get a hint.

Posted by: hopehely | Jan 1 2023 17:28 utc | 123

@solo 26
Because without logistical support an army quickly becomes a starving rabble.

Posted by: Hermit | Jan 1 2023 18:04 utc | 124

@Opport Knocks
Perhaps Russia is “concave, and convex” , in parts?
*There was once a man of Racine
who invented a fucking machine
With parts concave and convex
It could suit either sex
But it was quite the devil to clean!

Posted by: Hermit | Jan 1 2023 18:10 utc | 125

from slavyangard telegram.. what is interesting is the projection on the part of the west onto russia here..
“Russia does not intend to give up its main goal—establishing control over Ukraine,”Stoltenberg said in an interview with the BBC.”
meaning – usa-nato does not intend to give up its main goal-establishing control over ukraine… that is how projection works…
“The war will be protracted; Russia is preparing an offensive; its goal is to take control of all of Ukraine.” —NATO Secretary General
“We must be prepared for a long journey because, as you noticed, Russia does not intend to give up its main goal—establishing control over Ukraine,”Stoltenberg said in an interview with the BBC.
According to him, the mobilization carried out in Russia indicates that the Russian Federation will go on the offensive again.

Posted by: james | Jan 1 2023 19:13 utc | 126

@alek_a 110
For perspective:
“A libertarian is a person who knows the cost of everything, the value of nothing and the age of consent in every state.” [©Hermit 1997]
Also
“There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old’s life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs.” [Kung Fu Monkey — Ephemera, blog post, March 19, 2009]
And, by way of contrast: Evaluism.

Posted by: Hermit | Jan 1 2023 19:26 utc | 127

Posted by: abrogard | Jan 1 2023 4:40 utc | 92
I knew it would take five minutes for a Covid related link to arrive… The guy linked spends all his time ranting about covid and spends a paragraph on hearing Russian missiles. Fucking bullshit.
Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Jan 1 2023 5:07 utc | 94
Those who refer back and read my post at 92 will see it opens with the words
“Lots of people looking for good sites for information (including myself).” and that it goes on to point out that the subject, one Graham Seibert’ actually lives in Ukraine. And therefore is presumably a better source of facts than many others. Especially, shall we say, the noxiously abusive in these columns.
The venom and filth and misdirection of this post made it necessary for me to post this in an effort to right the boat though of course I would rather not have any connection to the poster, not at second, third, fourth or one hundredth hand.
But this is, after all, nominally a bar and in bars one meets all kinds of people, sober and drunk, happy and sad, pleasant and unpleasant.
I am compiling an informal list for myself, as one does in a bar in the quiet of your own mind as your eyes flicker around the room and your ears intake the babble, of who the better characters are and who the worse and who the totally rubbish are.
I have just added one more name to the latter list and I suggest you all do. prodidit se

Posted by: abrogard | Jan 2 2023 5:19 utc | 128

@ abrogard | Jan 2 2023 5:19 utc | 128
Your recommended Ukraine resident is a Nazi, exclusively using Nazi sources, propagating official OUN-Nazism. Extraordinarily disingenuous, yes ? More ad-hominem 🙁
Making your list & checking it twice. Perhaps to add to a huge block list script running on malware ? Was so weird & also very sad how you abruptly ceased posting, when legitimately queried re persistent OT, thence all your fellow conversing ‘Fellas’ … promptly evaporated too … 🙁

Posted by: Outraged | Jan 2 2023 5:58 utc | 129

Russia’s economy has performed better than the West expected, according to The Economist
▪️Anti-Russian sanctions have proved really tough, but Russia has achieved a record current account surplus of $220 billion this year – double what it was a year earlier,” The Economist has reported.
▪️The inflow of foreign currency has helped Russia finance imports.
Many Western firms have stopped selling goods and services to Russia.
But companies in other parts of the world are happy to help: the Chinese, for example, have already stepped up.
And Turkey appears to have become an intermediary for Western companies to circumvent sanctions.
After the sharp spring slump, Russian imports have largely recovered.
▪️Real economic data show a worrying picture for the West: the Russian economy is in better shape than the West expected when it imposed its sanctions, while Europe, stifled by sky-high energy prices, is sliding into recession, concludes The Economist.
https://t.me/geromanat/4025

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jan 2 2023 6:31 utc | 130

Posted by: Alex Vadim | Jan 1 2023 5:43 utc | 97
I didn’t know that about absorbing debt.
Thank you for that. I did quick google and you’re quite right. I’ll add it to my list of pluses for Russia and ammunition against its enemies.
I found this and others, put it here perhaps useful to some:
https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/26-years-on-russia-set-to-repay-all-soviet-unions-foreign-debt

Posted by: abrogard | Jan 2 2023 6:32 utc | 131

@ abrogard | Jan 2 2023 5:19 utc | 128
Your recommended Ukraine resident is a Nazi, exclusively using Nazi sources, propagating official OUN-Nazism. Extraordinarily disingenuous, yes ? More ad-hominem 🙁
Making your list & checking it twice. Perhaps to add to a huge block list script running on malware ? Was so weird & also very sad how you abruptly ceased posting, when legitimately queried re persistent OT, thence all your fellow conversing ‘Fellas’ … promptly evaporated too … 🙁
Posted by: Outraged | Jan 2 2023 5:58 utc | 129
I make very little sense of this beyond the obvious: it is crudely and sarcastically abusive and lacking in adhesion to the truth.
Overall nothing but a personal attack. Nothing. So another name on my ‘banned’ list of those I will not respond to. I do not do ad hominem.
But I generally address some parts of their rants if there’s anything it seems appropriate to address.
Here we have a first sentence stipulating things about Graham Siebert that I do not know to be true and very, very much doubt are true and am totally convinced this abusive chap couldn’t know – even if they were true.
For instance, just to stay on the side of sensible rationality – how could a man claim someone was using ‘exclusively’ these or those sources without knowing everything the man had published or even WILL publish? A simple impossibility hence rational speakers/thinkers do not say such things.
And then: ‘ abruptly ceased posting’. What on earth could that mean? I have posted today, more than once. More often than I would with. I don’t like to post much but most especially I don’t like to waste my time posting with respect to derogatory abuse from that kind of person.
How many posts a day must a person make before this creature considers they have not ‘suddenly stopped’ posting?
It is ludicrous.
These people so often are simply that: ludicrous.
Wiser men than I never say anything to them or about them at all. I know that. And I am trying to school myself to be that way.
To return to Ukraine and truth and Graham. As I said – for the sake of viewer if there are any – that Graham is I think a Kiev Ukrainian patriot and dislikes intensely what Russia has done. And maybe even dislikes Russia and Russians, I don’t know.
But he is, in my estimation a good man. That’s the point. A real man. And living now in Ukraine. And as such he is an authentic window, whatever his feelings, thoughts, attitudes into the common men/women of Ukraine.
And therefore possibly (certainly to my mind) of value to enquiring frequenters of this ‘bar’.
In just the same way that running into the unpleasant, nonsensical, irrational, abusive and personal attacks from these creatures give the observer (from the RoW perhaps?) a window into the thoughts, attitudes, manners and behaviour of the common men of the west.
The juxtaposition of the two parallels the current conflict doesn’t it, a rather apt comparison, makes it clear why one would wish for the success of the Allies.

Posted by: abrogard | Jan 2 2023 6:46 utc | 132

I’m feeling no pain down here at the end of the bar, in that sweet spot half- lit but lucid. Been noticing a subtle change in tone of the sharper tacks in the toolbox of the disinfo set… crist, even rt made a post that didn’t excoriate “baldy.”
Word from the office to the boiler room must be we’re losing badly… best suck up and be chummy till we get our sails tacked to the new winds blowing. So when the usual vipers play nice it’s one more “tell” they let slide. Or maybe everybody just wants to be on the winning side.
Outta beer again. Anyone flush with the price of a cold one?

Posted by: comrade simba | Jan 2 2023 6:55 utc | 133

Posted by: Blissex | Jan 1 2023 16:50 utc | 121
I’ve been thinking that. I find it an interesting line of thought. Requires knowledge and understanding I don’t have. I’d welcome input from any who have it and care to share it.
Seems to me the mega wealthy have their wealth spread all around the world usually and that is in corporations, enterprises, more than in real estate and or money.
So our superficial estimates of their wealth are based on their holdings on the stock markets and prices going up and down supposedly changes their wealth dramatically overnight. We say.
Actually I’d suppose it really changes nothing. They are owning a large chunk of some means of production and get an income stream from that. Stocks up and down damage their resale value and therefore the holder’s ‘sell up’ or even borrowing capacity but they don’t alter his real wealth: that proportion of the production. Even if the income stream suffers if the overall suffers they still have their proportion of it so their proportionate wealth remains the same.
And that’s about all I can ‘see’. That’s how ignorant I am.
Yes. So where/what really IS their wealth and how can they be got at and manipulated?
Overall I feel association with a growing enterprise would trump association with a business ‘going down’. And I don’t see how the West can be seen as other than a business ‘going down’ in comparison with BRICS etc.
Specifically ‘in comparison’. I mean the two are in a conflict. And the RoW holds all the cards it seems to me. All of them. What does the rest of the world want that only the West has to give?
This is entirely the fundamental of the Ukraine conflict to my mind.
The war on the ground is merely theatre. Sad tragic theatre. But these machinations for power and money they are what will decide when where and how the war ends. We will better understand the Ukraine conflict the more we understand about this aspect I think
It is what we should be looking at rather than whether or not a T-umpty whatnot can cross a Ukrainian bridge.
The question is can Bill Gates, for instance, increase his power and wealth if he gave support to Russia, India, China, etc.. in this, that or the other way? And the other side of that: just how much in jeopardy is his wealth if the USA loses its hegemony and the petrodollar does stop being the US dollar?
It ought to be, I’d think, by now, well measured, quantified, estimated, described, defined, discussed, the effect upon the USA if the dollar stops being the currency for oil and that revenue stream falls, leading to less demand, leading to a measure of global impoverishment of dollar holders on one side but possibly increased sales of cheaper US goods (if it makes anything) on the other.
All of that is what the world is about right now, isn’t it?
The writing is on the wall and there should be some fine print somewhere delineating the details…

Posted by: abrogard | Jan 2 2023 7:09 utc | 134

Posted by: Paul McGrory | Jan 1 2023 9:05 utc | 103
thanks for that. I had no idea. good one.

Posted by: abrogard | Jan 2 2023 7:13 utc | 135