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December 26, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-235
Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict. The current open thread for other issues is here. Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.
Comments
In the public consciousness, NATO is not a party to the conflict (even though of course it really is). IMO the best thing that Russia could do is to bring this very important fact into the public consciousness. The public consciousness is a very important battlefield! Posted by: Donbass Lives Matter | Dec 26 2022 16:01 utc | 1 I see rumors that Ukraine has pulled ALL of its best units to the Bakmut front. Hopefully that means the Melitopol and Kreminna offensives are canceled. Posted by: catdog | Dec 26 2022 16:04 utc | 2 In the decades, nay, centuries, of Tribal fighting in Europe, especially Eastern Europe,in the fertile ground of hatred, whence WWI and WWII were catalyzed, I have yet to see common ground anywhere. Call them Nazis, Communists, or “cleanly” elected American Democrats, all are thugs. Posted by: kupkee | Dec 26 2022 16:30 utc | 3 Call them Nazis, Communists, or “cleanly” elected American Democrats, all are thugs. Posted by: Ed | Dec 26 2022 16:57 utc | 4 @ Donbass Lives Matter | Dec 26 2022 16:01 utc | 1 Posted by: Figleaf23 | Dec 26 2022 17:09 utc | 6 Posted by: Ed | Dec 26 2022 16:57 utc | Posted by: kupkee | Dec 26 2022 17:11 utc | 7 Interesting development this morning…..100 north korea drones(looks like unarmed) overfly to south korea ..undetected for just testing defense??? @1 DLM Posted by: safe | Dec 26 2022 17:21 utc | 9 Vehicles with humanitarian emblems bring military supplies to Ukrainian army in Artyomovsk
Comment: Rybar reports that Russia is running out of 152mm shells. “Currently, there are reports that 152mm 2022 shells are coming to the unit, the quality of which raises questions due to the large number of defects compared to the old batches.” Yes, “Russia is running out of ammo” has become a meme, but 300 days of shooting 60,000 shells a day is 18 million. The supply is not bottomless and the efficiency of these shellings is apparently very, very low. Posted by: catdog | Dec 26 2022 17:22 utc | 11 Dima at MilitarySummaary yesterday opined that on the Zaphorize front RF has set up 3 lines of defense that would be impregnable. A static front for both. He then opined, hey the RF could go slow even in Donetsk. My ignorant self believes that Chasiv Yar and Avdivka need to be flushed, HIMARS I believe onto a hospital in city of Donetsk. Posted by: paxmark1 | Dec 26 2022 17:26 utc | 12 Possibly BS: Posted by: anon2020 | Dec 26 2022 17:36 utc | 13 Another air base successfully hit. Russia says 3 guys died after the drone was shot down. Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Dec 26 2022 17:51 utc | 14 One M-777 gun, two Himars systems, two Grad MLRS, 2 Grozdivka self propelled guns and five D-30 guns destroyed today per MOD report. Posted by: unimperator | Dec 26 2022 17:56 utc | 15 Outraged@10 Posted by: Marvin | Dec 26 2022 18:09 utc | 16 @ Marvin | Dec 26 2022 18:09 utc | 16
This is only the latest, there’s direct video footage exposing this conduct going back to at least March. Even live-streamed. Am not certain if RF has so specifically called it out before though. Did not name the org, surmise it’s ICRC. @Neofeudalfuture 14 Posted by: Zenith | Dec 26 2022 18:30 utc | 18 The most imporatant article of the conflict?
Posted by: rockwool99 | Dec 26 2022 18:35 utc | 19 “breaking international law by transporting Soldiers, Weapons and Ammunition in vehicles bearing emblems of international humanitarian organizations may be an indication of Panic.” Posted by: knighthawk | Dec 26 2022 18:38 utc | 20 @18 Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Dec 26 2022 19:00 utc | 21 But let’s be impartial, Russia did catch and kill some saboteurs so it could’ve been worse Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Dec 26 2022 19:02 utc | 22 The USA needs to either have a major regime change in Russia or it will need to destroy Russia. Otherwise, the USA will quickly lose its world reserve currency status of the United States Dollar. Such will bring about the loss of the USA being a major empire. Posted by: young | Dec 26 2022 19:19 utc | 23 k @ 7 opined; ” Posted by: vetinLA | Dec 26 2022 19:33 utc | 24 Anyone believe in coincidences? Posted by: Don Bacon | Dec 26 2022 19:36 utc | 25 Crooke’s thesis in “The EU’s Lost the Plot” is confirmed by Sergei Lavrov’s answer to a media question about what he thought is the main result of the year:
Crooke writing from his European perspective says this:
Today, Putin is hosting the annual year-end informal CIS Summit where I doubt Ukraine will be much of a topic as an agenda of other items need to be discussed. IMO, Crooke’s assessment jibes with Putin’s remark about Galicia and his assessment of the EU and the massive hole it’s dug for itself agrees with Lavrov’s assessment of the overall global situation. The tide has certainly turned in a manner the Outlaw US Empire never considered possible, nor did any of its vassals. Its destruction of the Nord Stream pipes was THE most important action that has destroyed the last remaining threads of Western credibility. No one believes Russia has fired 60,000 artillery shells A DAY since this conflict started that is ludicrous. That is fake news. Posted by: Lou Cypher | Dec 26 2022 19:39 utc | 27 safe @ 9; That’s a great post. Absolutely on target…. Posted by: vetinLA | Dec 26 2022 19:40 utc | 28 Abusing the Geneva convention and breaking international law by transporting Soldiers, Weapons and Ammunition in vehicles bearing emblems of international humanitarian organizations may be an indication of Panic. Posted by: MiniMo | Dec 26 2022 19:40 utc | 29 Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 26 2022 19:37 utc | 26 Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Dec 26 2022 19:47 utc | 30 When it looks like Russia is about to take all of the Donbas, quickly get out of the USA and away from any USA or NATO military base. Posted by: Michigan Dude | Dec 26 2022 19:51 utc | 31 Dmitri Medvedev has penned a long end-of-year article that’s all in Russian, “‘Our people, our land, our truth’: Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev – on the results of 2022, which changed the world order”. This is part of his preamble before listing his main points: Nice zoomable interactive map if you can do Sputnik. …tps://sputniknews.com/20221226/russias-special-military-operation-in-ukraine-and-how-it-is-progressing-1105665248.html
Posted by: Laurence | Dec 26 2022 20:09 utc | 33 @ catdog | 11 Posted by: Dan Farrand | Dec 26 2022 20:12 utc | 34 NFF @ 21: Posted by: Jen | Dec 26 2022 20:19 utc | 35 Kupkee #3 Posted by: MoaMetal | Dec 26 2022 20:29 utc | 36 I have been following MoA for a bit. There is some good content and analysis here, and so I wanted to leave a little Christmas present of my own. A few facts, which on the surface may appear tangential to Ukraine, but taken as a whole present a clearer picture of the actual strategic situation: Posted by: BadSanta | Dec 26 2022 20:30 utc | 37 Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 26 2022 19:37 utc | 26 Posted by: unimperator | Dec 26 2022 20:41 utc | 38 Posted by: kupkee | Dec 26 2022 16:30 utc | 3 Posted by: Milos | Dec 26 2022 20:41 utc | 39 Another day, another Russian airbase attacked. Yawn…. Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Dec 26 2022 20:44 utc | 40 ” It’s pretty improbable a falling drone killed 3 people. How big was it? More likely a successful strike Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Dec 26 2022 20:49 utc | 41 ” “breaking international law by transporting Soldiers, Weapons and Ammunition in vehicles bearing emblems of international humanitarian organizations may be an indication of Panic.” Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Dec 26 2022 20:52 utc | 42 Anyone know why the Russians feel the need to lie about 3 men dying from “falling debris” of a shot-down drone — AGAIN, 3 weeks after the first incident, which was given an identical explanation? Posted by: Mark Mosby | Dec 26 2022 20:56 utc | 43 Posted by: BadSanta | Dec 26 2022 20:30 utc | 38 Posted by: watcher | Dec 26 2022 20:59 utc | 44
Posted by: Lou Cypher | Dec 26 2022 19:39 utc | 27 Posted by: grunzt | Dec 26 2022 21:02 utc | 45 @ 33; More kudos for the article posting, a must read for everyone. Rings very true. Posted by: vetinLA | Dec 26 2022 21:03 utc | 46 @ 33; More kudos for the article posting, a must read for everyone. Rings very true. Posted by: vetinLA | Dec 26 2022 21:03 utc | 47 Mark Mosby | Dec 26 2022 20:56 utc | 44 Posted by: Scotch Bingeington | Dec 26 2022 21:06 utc | 48 I suspect that the Zelensky visit to US was about preparing public for US about to put troops in harms way – maybe will start as “instructors”. Likely there is some urgency to account for those killed so far. Posted by: jared | Dec 26 2022 21:07 utc | 49 Posted by: Ed | Dec 26 2022 16:57 utc | 4 and kupkee to whom you were responding Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Dec 26 2022 21:10 utc | 50 “Having a law, and being able to enforce it are two different things.” Posted by: knighthawk | Dec 26 2022 21:12 utc | 51 Some tidbits on the battle of Verdun. Posted by: unimperator | Dec 26 2022 21:17 utc | 52 Posted by: grunzt | Dec 26 2022 21:02 utc | 46 Posted by: SwissGuy | Dec 26 2022 21:43 utc | 53 According to a report on RT, the Ukrainian preconditions for peace talks are still as absurd as ever:
Posted by: Opport Knocks | Dec 26 2022 21:50 utc | 54 Posted by: Donbass Lives Matter | Dec 26 2022 16:01 utc | 1 Karlof1 #26
Yes, it’s crystal clear that the french perspective was to destroy Russia.
Who can believe that Bruno Lemaire, rallied from the first days to Macron and his Minister of Economy, Finance and Recovery since day one is not just “the voice of his master”? Posted by: La Bastille | Dec 26 2022 21:56 utc | 56 Sorry, the link to french vid. & text Posted by: La Bastille | Dec 26 2022 21:59 utc | 57 FAKE UKRAINE Posted by: HERMIUS | Dec 26 2022 22:00 utc | 58 Posted by: kupkee | Dec 26 2022 16:30 utc | 3 Not sure why Deplorable Commisary and his fellow trolls have so much difficulty believing Russian claims of successfully shooting down the drone in light of the fact that Pentagon officials have repeatedly acknowledged that the Russians possess the worlds best networked anti-aircraft defences. But troll gonna troll, I guess. Posted by: nwwoods | Dec 26 2022 22:01 utc | 60 @MoaMetal | Dec 26 2022 20:29 utc | 37 Posted by: OdessaConnected | Dec 26 2022 22:06 utc | 61 More about my #57
Posted by: La Bastille | Dec 26 2022 22:11 utc | 62 Thanks for the replies. Medvedev’s 2022 recap article is now translated and posted here. I highly suggest it be read. Déplorable & neofeodal Posted by: La Bastille | Dec 26 2022 22:25 utc | 64 Posted by: OdessaConnected | Dec 26 2022 22:06 utc | 62 Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Dec 26 2022 22:29 utc | 65 @Karlof1 Post 31
In plain proper English for all to read. And this is not a bluff or puffery. Posted by: Likklemore | Dec 26 2022 22:33 utc | 66 Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 26 2022 20:05 utc | 33 Posted by: Gt Stroller | Dec 26 2022 22:33 utc | 67 Posted by: Dan Farrand | Dec 26 2022 20:12 utc | 35 “I’ve read articles attempting to estimate what Russian artillery ammunition production is” Posted by: Bill Smith | Dec 26 2022 22:40 utc | 68 Thanks Karlof1 for Medvedev translation
Posted by: La Bastille | Dec 26 2022 22:43 utc | 69 Bucha revisited: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/video/russia-ukraine-bucha-massacre-takeaways.html published last Friday. I was convinced by the analyses of the likes of Ritter, Lira and comment here on MOA that the staged bodies in Bucha were a Ukrainian false flag and war crime. The NYT use of video and phone tracking makes me doubt that conclusion but I lack the ability to critically examine the NYT conclusion the bodies were the work of a particular Russian unit. Hope someone here can provide that critique. Otherwise the need for objectivity on this incident may force a revision of original conclusions. I have returned to the ‘undecided’ column .’ So far I have seen no comment on this NYT report. Objectivity means holding out the possibility that even the MSM sometimes gets it right. Posted by: Mjh | Dec 26 2022 22:44 utc | 70 Posted by: Mjh | Dec 26 2022 22:44 utc | 71 Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Dec 26 2022 22:51 utc | 71 More on the NYT new Bucha story. Some of the video ‘evidence’ in the story is new, but some, such as the person on a bike turning a corner and being blown away by a tank was analyzed before by the likes of Ritter as being operationally necessary, which I am willing to accept. But some of the video evidence is heretofore unseen and seems to depict the rounding up and execution of 8 civilians. Can anyone analyze this video for signs of fakery? Beyond my abilities…. Posted by: mjh | Dec 26 2022 22:53 utc | 72 Israel helps Ukraine whitewash its Nazis (The Electronic Intifada, Asa Winstanley and Ali Abunimah, December 23, 2022) Posted by: S | Dec 26 2022 22:56 utc | 73 @ Mjh | Dec 26 2022 22:44 utc | 71 Posted by: Laurence | Dec 26 2022 22:57 utc | 74 Nice zoomable interactive map if you can do Sputnik. …tps://sputniknews.com/20221226/russias-special-military-operation-in-ukraine-and-how-it-is-progressing-1105665248.html Posted by: Mark Mosby | Dec 26 2022 20:56 utc | 44 Posted by: Snowleopard | Dec 26 2022 23:14 utc | 76 Sorry it took me so long to get this posted as it ranks with Medvedev’s words, “Opening remarks by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov during a working meeting with Russian media leaders”:
One year ago, Lavrov was rather close to saying these same words. Many of them did appear in the report he submitted to Russia’s Security Council as it made its choice to recognize, admit and defend the Donbass Republics from the Genocide being waged on them. Above, Lavrov IMO is too polite to call what was done to Iraq and Libya Genocidal assaults, although that’s exactly what they were. Nor does Lavrov attempt to make the connection between Outlaw US Empire policy toward Russia and Hitler’s Plan Ost, although I’m sure the Russian media people present were well aware of that. From an article I shall not link to. Posted by: Julian | Dec 26 2022 23:23 utc | 78 After one year of being constantly ostracized and humiliated, and the west openly saying they wanted regime change in Russia, the Russian politicians seem to have realized the west is not interested in speaking to them. They see the war as a way to send more money to the MIC (which comes back to the political class) and get Ukrainians and Russians killed. Posted by: nothing but the trut | Dec 26 2022 23:24 utc | 79 Posted by: MoaMetal | Dec 26 2022 20:29 utc | 37 Gt Stroller @68–
@Tom_Q_Collins | Dec 26 2022 22:29 utc | 66 Posted by: OdessaConnected | Dec 26 2022 23:31 utc | 82 More good news for Europe/EU/Germany. Posted by: Julian | Dec 26 2022 23:37 utc | 83 @ Julian | Dec 26 2022 23:37 utc | 84 Posted by: La Bastille | Dec 26 2022 23:47 utc | 84 the barfing cat types are here today… i want to comment on one thing only… Posted by: james | Dec 26 2022 23:53 utc | 85 From Medvedev’s article cited by Karl…
Also this part in the next paragraph:
And this part further down…
It’s these facts that everyone forgets when they say Russia will stop at the Dnieper. That ain’t gonna happen. Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Dec 27 2022 0:04 utc | 86 You know, I’m beginning to think that uneducated dullards should really think twice before they expose their ignorance. You really should think about this. Posted by: Haassaan | Dec 27 2022 0:08 utc | 87 Likklemore @67–
IMO, Russia has already adopted that exact position–“a just peace means no compromises”–particularly given the nature of Russia’s opponents–Nazis. Unconditional Surrender means no compromises. That’s the situation the world faces as 2022 turns to 2023. Compared to what was happening one year ago when the future was very uncertain, IMO the future now is very certain–The Outlaw US Empire and its vassals are locked in an existential struggle with the entire world led by Russia, China, India, Iran, and a host of other nations that want an end to the Age of Empire and its Age of Plunder and the return to the already agreed upon Rules of Law that were established back when this ordeal was first waged and thought extinguished. Those nations that will suffer political upheaval are currently run by those trying to deny justice to the world AND their own people. And those internal fires are already lit. There’s another posting of the Medvedev article (machine translation still) at Amarynth’s site. Thanks always to the Martyanov commenter, Johnny Rotten, who posts invaluable content every day over there. This posting may make for an easier read:
The author AHH in a comment makes these points about Medvedev:
The voice of Medvedev has surprised us all, I think, in recent times. By his position he has some authority but also some license to send up trial balloons. And increasingly, it seems, the balloons don’t come down, but rather all of Russia (and China, I assume) rise up to the heights of those balloons. Posted by: Grieved | Dec 27 2022 0:11 utc | 89 @odessaConnected [83 Posted by: Cocochanel | Dec 27 2022 0:12 utc | 90 Here’s an explanation for the drone strikes on Engels. They’re using civilian air corridors. It was also mentioned during the 1st attack Posted by: JohninMK | Dec 27 2022 0:13 utc | 91 Posted by: Snowleopard | Dec 26 2022 23:14 utc | 77 Posted by: Haassaan | Dec 27 2022 0:14 utc | 92 Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 26 2022 23:27 utc | 82 Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Dec 27 2022 0:16 utc | 93 They’re using civilian air corridors Posted by: nothing but the trut | Dec 27 2022 0:27 utc | 94 RSH @87– ” 4. The fourth result. The West has put itself in a cage. Let him sit in isolation Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Dec 27 2022 0:31 utc | 96 By the way, for those who think they have to wait to read these Russian articles Karl and others post until they’ve been translated, I suggest installing the Mate Translator in your browser. It’s available for iPhone.iPad, Mac Safari, Google Chrome, Mozilla Firefox, Opera, and Microsoft Edge. It’s not available as an app for Android or Windows desktop. Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Dec 27 2022 0:31 utc | 97
The USA has led western sanctions against Cuba for 6 decades. Posted by: Simon | Dec 27 2022 0:37 utc | 98 What is suspicious about the Russians claiming that theynhabe twice shot down drones over airfields, is the claim that pieces of the falling drones resulted in casualties each time (2 and 3 – 5 total). Posted by: Simon | Dec 27 2022 0:39 utc | 99 ” Therefore, in order for air defense to work effectively, it is necessary to limit civil aviation flights not only in the border regions, but also further. Moreover, a Ukrainian drone could hit a civilian aircraft in the air. Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Dec 27 2022 0:39 utc | 100 |
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