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December 8, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-220
Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict. The current open thread for other issues is here. Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.
Comments
Other comments about what Lavrov had to say and what I think is actually important now: Posted by: SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 3:04 utc | 201 @Do Bacon 213 Posted by: Hermit | Dec 9 2022 3:05 utc | 202 from Almaydeen Posted by: Don Bacon | Dec 9 2022 3:15 utc | 203 @Hermit | Dec 9 2022 3:05 utc | 225 Posted by: Don Bacon | Dec 9 2022 3:29 utc | 204
Sorry… mathematical impossibility. The global jewish population after the war was higher than before, according to the World Almanac, then a jewish publication. If you do the math and allow for a “natural” population growth rate of 1% to 1.2% per year, the number of excess deaths were somewhere between 600,000 and 1 million. Obviously not all of those were in forced labor camps or local exterminations. Posted by: Opport Knocks | Dec 9 2022 3:32 utc | 205 @fanto | Dec 9 2022 2:45 utc | 221 Posted by: Metallist | Dec 9 2022 3:35 utc | 206
It is still made from the sand/silt deposited when the flow of the Dnieper River meets the littoral currents of the Black Sea. Posted by: Opport Knocks | Dec 9 2022 3:40 utc | 207
The 340,000 was from a petition by women who say their loved ones are not writing or calling. So it is being said in a context where “somebody noticed”. Posted by: Simon | Dec 9 2022 3:40 utc | 208 @ Bill Smith 167 Posted by: BroncoBilly | Dec 9 2022 3:40 utc | 209
Besides “they didn’t lose that much” another possibility is “they mobilized a lot more than the amount they lost”. Posted by: Simon | Dec 9 2022 3:43 utc | 210 SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 1:28 utc | 190 Posted by: Cyberhorse | Dec 9 2022 3:53 utc | 211 @ Metallist | Dec 9 2022 3:35 utc | 229 Posted by: fanto | Dec 9 2022 3:59 utc | 212 @KLATU 183 Posted by: AG | Dec 9 2022 4:05 utc | 213 Posted by: SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 1:02 utc | 182 Posted by: dust | Dec 9 2022 4:20 utc | 214 @ Uwe | Dec 9 2022 1:32 utc | 191 Posted by: james | Dec 9 2022 4:29 utc | 215 AG | Dec 9 2022 4:05 utc | 238 Posted by: Klaatu | Dec 9 2022 4:42 utc | 216 Several comments talk about Merkel and her deceptive policy vis-a-vis Russia re. Ukraine; It occurs to me that Putin and Russians got again ‘gaslighted’ by the West, for the second time , first time with verbal promises that there will be no East Expansion of NATO – given to Gorbatschov by Bush (the Elder) and in 2014 by Merkel and company – in writing! That must be galling to Russians. And Thousands of people died, many more wounded, millions made homeless – for those false promises, it is mind boggling. Posted by: fanto | Dec 9 2022 4:54 utc | 217
Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 4:57 utc | 218
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/24194 Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 4:59 utc | 219
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/24226 Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 5:03 utc | 220
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/24233 Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 5:04 utc | 221 Posted by: PavewayIV | Dec 8 2022 22:09 utc | 116
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/24189 Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 5:09 utc | 222
https://sonar21.com/untrustworthy-by-helmholtz-smith/ Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 5:13 utc | 223 Posted by: Patroklos | Dec 8 2022 20:12 utc | 74 Posted by: Arch Bungle | Dec 9 2022 5:18 utc | 224 Brian Berletic and The New Atlas: @Klaatu 104 Posted by: Hermit | Dec 9 2022 5:40 utc | 226 Posted by: SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 5:29 utc | 250 Posted by: dust | Dec 9 2022 5:41 utc | 227 I have been reading MoA for years, but lately I have been getting bored with it because it’s worth has gone down with the flood of trolls and people fighting with them. Trolls won’t change their minds no matter what anyone says to them because they aren’t here to learn anything because their goal is just to disrupt the conversation so why bother responding to them? Posted by: Sam | Dec 9 2022 5:49 utc | 228 My main pov is not about who is winning the Ukraine war or the propaganda, but that Russia got itself into this spot to begin with …. by playing their silly games with the USA all along. They have allowed the USA and NATO, and Merkle et al to walk all over them since Putin came to power (and before.) Posted by: waynorinorway | Dec 9 2022 5:50 utc | 229 @at u know who Posted by: dust | Dec 9 2022 6:08 utc | 230 Shopping mall on fire outside Moscow. Started in the home improvement store. Explosions possibly from paint department. Posted by: HelenB | Dec 9 2022 6:22 utc | 231 I notice now that there was also one on November 30. Posted by: HelenB | Dec 9 2022 6:28 utc | 232 @Jack Gordon | Dec 9 2022 1:21 utc | 189
Indeed, that is probably close to the real strategy. Posted by: Norwegian | Dec 9 2022 7:03 utc | 233 NY Times video replay of the prisoner swap between Griner and Bout skipped over the moment they walked past each other. That’s significant. Anyone see the actual moment itself? What happened? Posted by: Norogene | Dec 9 2022 7:10 utc | 234 Speech and answers to the questions of the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Sergey Lavrov at the international forum “Primakov Readings”, Moscow, December 7, 2022
My understanding of that is this:
Posted by: SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 7:14 utc | 235 @PavewayIV | Dec 9 2022 1:42 utc | 196
You may want to check that again, there is a new feature now, below is from December 6 Posted by: Norwegian | Dec 9 2022 7:16 utc | 236 Germany announced the provision of a new package of military assistance to Ukraine. The help package includes: Posted by: Passerby | Dec 9 2022 7:27 utc | 237 SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 5:29 utc | 250 Posted by: Klaatu | Dec 9 2022 8:05 utc | 238 «the SPIEGEL-interview with Merkel was not published word-for-word, only summarized. Online issue 48/22 translated with Google: “Angela Merkel […] believes that she bought the time, then and later in the Minsk negotiations, that Ukraine could use to better resist a Russian attack. It is a stronger, more resilient country now. Back then, she is sure, she would have been overrun by Putin’s troops.”» Posted by: Blissex | Dec 9 2022 8:10 utc | 239 Hermit | Dec 9 2022 5:40 utc | 252 Posted by: Klaatu | Dec 9 2022 8:12 utc | 240 SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 7:14 utc | 262 Posted by: Klaatu | Dec 9 2022 8:21 utc | 241 That was one helluva an explosion. The videos show a store (OBI supermarket) consumed in flames. And then, looking at the one side of the building directly, there was a huge explosion at the left end and then an immediate similar explosion at the right end, maybe 100 feet away. Don’t know what could cause those kinds of explosions in a grocery store, unless they stored plastic explosives on that one side of the building. The distance between the two explosions, yet their simultaneous detonation, looks really suspicious. Posted by: Kellen Cramer | Dec 9 2022 8:25 utc | 242 It seems to me that there are two competing narratives about the state and current posture of the respective Russian and Ukrainian militaries. Posted by: marcjf | Dec 9 2022 8:37 utc | 243 marcjf | Dec 9 2022 8:37 utc | 271 Posted by: Klaatu | Dec 9 2022 8:54 utc | 244 Wow! Until I came to this site I had know idea that there were so many experts on all things Geopolitical. Posted by: Ken Tucky | Dec 9 2022 8:55 utc | 245 These four oblasts that are now Russian territory. Where does Russia see its borders as being, then? The borders of those oblasts as were or as are now? Posted by: abrogard | Dec 9 2022 9:09 utc | 246 marcjf | Dec 9 2022 8:37 utc | 271 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 9 2022 9:10 utc | 247 I see where Willie Walsh – the head of IATA – has come out and said that European airlines need access to Russian airspace. He of course realises that that won’t happen unless the EU lifts their ban on the Russians using the EU airspace’s. Russias ban was, after all, just a tit for tat measure. So it seems we now have a 3rd sensible Irish person. It’s a pity there are so few but it’s still a 50% increase so there is hope Posted by: Guy L’Estrange | Dec 9 2022 9:16 utc | 248 [276] Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Dec 9 2022 9:21 utc | 249 Posted by: SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 7:14 utc | 262 Posted by: StirThePot | Dec 9 2022 9:27 utc | 250 Was not the argument here that US did not have any aid left for Ukraine LOL Posted by: Za_n_on | Dec 9 2022 9:30 utc | 251 People here rabbit on about 2008 and 2014 as if Russia was all-powerful at those times and able to take on the world. Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Dec 9 2022 9:31 utc | 252 Highlights of Russian Military Operation in Ukraine on December 8, 2022 Posted by: unimperator | Dec 9 2022 9:31 utc | 253 Posted by: SeanAU | Dec 9 2022 7:14 utc | 262 Posted by: K | Dec 9 2022 9:35 utc | 254 Pope believes the Chechen’s and Buryat’s are barbarians committing war crimes. It is something he should discuss with Tuvan Shoigu. Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 9 2022 9:39 utc | 255 So Germany wants to be guarantor of security in Europe! Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Dec 9 2022 9:47 utc | 256 Za_n_on | Dec 9 2022 9:30 utc | 279 Posted by: Flying Dutchman | Dec 9 2022 9:50 utc | 257 @ Posted by: Don Bacon | Dec 9 2022 3:29 utc | 227 Posted by: DunGroanin | Dec 9 2022 10:13 utc | 258 DunGroanin | Dec 9 2022 10:13 utc | 286 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 9 2022 10:19 utc | 259 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 9 2022 10:19 utc | 287 Posted by: waynorinorway | Dec 9 2022 10:27 utc | 260 @fanto | Dec 9 2022 3:59 utc | 237 Posted by: Metallist | Dec 9 2022 10:30 utc | 261 The BIG PROBLEM is how to bring about the demise of the Outlaw US Empire without events escalating to nuclear war…. I seem to be the only one at MoA who sees this issue and how it impacts policy making. Posted by: Vintage Red | Dec 9 2022 10:32 utc | 262 Posted by: marcjf | Dec 9 2022 8:37 utc | 271 Posted by: Tim | Dec 9 2022 10:39 utc | 263 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 8 2022 21:55 utc | 111 Posted by: Patroklos | Dec 9 2022 10:50 utc | 264 karlof @ 38 Posted by: oldhippie | Dec 9 2022 10:55 utc | 265 @b Posted by: Patroklos | Dec 9 2022 10:58 utc | 266 oldhippie | Dec 9 2022 10:55 utc | 293 Posted by: Flying Dutchman | Dec 9 2022 11:04 utc | 267 Posted by: Uwe | Dec 9 2022 1:36 utc | 193 Posted by: JB | Dec 9 2022 11:15 utc | 268 The West has become completely irrational and is behaving badly, likely to continue behaving badly. In terms of your post @ 38, NATo has zero possibility of re-arming. For quite a long time all advanced and some simple weapons systems rely on Chinese and Russian materials and components. Russia and China are both still playing stability and letting the Empire go down slow. Posted by: Bemildred | Dec 9 2022 11:23 utc | 269 This may have been posted before but does anyone know what designs these Korean armor units are based on? Maybe a combo of a couple designs? I doubt the Koreans started from scratch. Posted by: DakotaRog | Dec 9 2022 11:29 utc | 270 First impressions from Viktor But after liberation, he talks to another victim of the US hunt for Russian nationals Maria Butina. Viktor But says that there was no rusophobia in the detention center he spent 14 years in, he figures this is due to the fact that the prison was located in red fly over US, I would add that plain US citizens and plain Russians have a lot in common and if not for imperial politics they would get along really well, I’ve been witness to that. He also says the following, machine translated: Posted by: Paco | Dec 9 2022 11:33 utc | 271 Flying Dutchman @ 295 Posted by: oldhippie | Dec 9 2022 11:34 utc | 272 A final post for this morning. Posted by: DunGroanin | Dec 9 2022 11:38 utc | 273 @ DakotaRog | Dec 9 2022 11:29 utc | 298 Posted by: Blissex | Dec 9 2022 8:10 utc | 267
BUT in an interview in the magazine “ZEIT” from 07.12.2022 there IS a part witch has the same meaning
in the end we don’t need merkel or poroshenko ( these two only underscores the “west” is not trustworthy )
Posted by: ghiwen | Dec 9 2022 11:42 utc | 275 @Hermit, #252 Posted by: DakotaRog | Dec 9 2022 11:42 utc | 276 Sorry, finger must have hit the post button Posted by: DakotaRog | Dec 9 2022 11:52 utc | 277 In reply to Fnord73 | Dec 8 2022 Posted by: Hamilcar Barca | Dec 9 2022 12:12 utc | 278 Meta
oldhippie | Dec 9 2022 10:55 utc | 293 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Dec 9 2022 12:29 utc | 280 https://tlgrm.ru/channels/@rybar/41870 Posted by: Eighthman | Dec 9 2022 12:44 utc | 281 @ YetAnotherAnon | Dec 9 2022 12:29 utc | 308 Imagine you are Zelensky Posted by: jared | Dec 9 2022 12:54 utc | 283 Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Dec 9 2022 2:27 utc | 215 Posted by: Arch Bungle | Dec 9 2022 12:55 utc | 284
https://t.me/azmilitary11/30427 Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 13:06 utc | 285
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/24266 Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 13:07 utc | 286
Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 13:08 utc | 287 Posted by: Arch Bungle | Dec 9 2022 12:55 utc | 312 [After countless attempts to take it the AFU has yet to see success.] Posted by: Bill Smith | Dec 9 2022 13:09 utc | 288
Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 13:10 utc | 289 Down South | Dec 9 2022 13:07 utc | 314 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 9 2022 13:17 utc | 290 Paco – “I would add that plain US citizens and plain Russians have a lot in common” Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 9 2022 13:28 utc | 291 Over the course of this war, we’ve noticed in particular the failure of Ukrainian conscript soldiers. We know that they’re given smile-and-a-handshake training, are deployed in the wild without the necessary equipment or support of any kind, and tend to die in batches. The only thing impressive about their performance is that they’re so many of them; every time I picture such a thing I think of the Iraq-Iran war and human wave attacks. (As the Daleks would say, “You are good at dying.”) Posted by: Ursula Zandt | Dec 9 2022 13:33 utc | 292 Aside: Hysterical predictions by the MoA troll contingent that Russia would yield Zaporizhye without a fight have failed to come true. Posted by: rk | Dec 9 2022 13:43 utc | 293 waynorinorway | Dec 9 2022 10:27 utc | 288 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 9 2022 13:49 utc | 294
https://t.me/azmilitary11/30432 Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 13:51 utc | 295 Patroklos 74 Posted by: Zed | Dec 9 2022 13:52 utc | 296 @ Ursula Zandt | Dec 9 2022 13:33 utc | 320 Outraged @ 310 Posted by: oldhippie | Dec 9 2022 13:53 utc | 298
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/24275 Posted by: Down South | Dec 9 2022 13:53 utc | 299 catdog @3: “I hope that RU’s small successes on the Donbass front are not only happening because Ukraine is pooling its best troops and weapons for a major offensive elsewhere, like it did a few months ago.” Posted by: William Gruff | Dec 9 2022 13:58 utc | 300 |
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