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November 29, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-211
Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict. The current open thread for other issues is here. Please stick to the topic. Contribute facts. Do not attack other commentators.
Comments
Oh wow big suprise, a new mass grave in Kherson. All blindfolded, hands tied and shot in the head. Posted by: OohCanada | Nov 29 2022 19:36 utc | 1 @ OohCanada | Nov 29 2022 19:36 utc | 1 Posted by: james | Nov 29 2022 19:37 utc | 2 https://t.me/ZandVchannel/41185
He is trying to say that none of this works, the Ukraine regime supported by NATO is still losing. Posted by: Norwegian | Nov 29 2022 19:45 utc | 3 Ukraine’s 2030 World Cup bid likely dead after country’s FA chief arrested Posted by: Duncan Idaho | Nov 29 2022 19:47 utc | 4 Those supportive of Russia and certainly those involved in free Khersons government or politics left in the Russian baggage train. They’re killing random people that can’t appropriately answer some Ukrainian cultural shibboleth. Posted by: Cesare | Nov 29 2022 19:48 utc | 5 Russia proper attacked….once again.
https://t.me/intelslava/42058
Posted by: Zanon | Nov 29 2022 20:05 utc | 6 Russia makes some actual gains on the central donetsk front. Ukraine discovers mass grave at the same time. Ukrainian moves towards sverdonetsk go no where, guessing they’re moving units from the central front north. Zelensky is complaining about Russians firing on Kherson so they must’ve hit something sensitive. Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Nov 29 2022 20:09 utc | 7 Since I often turn to Consortium News for information on the Ukraine conflict, I figure this isn’t off-topic. Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Nov 29 2022 20:13 utc | 8 Russia warns Uncle Scam that deeper involvement in Ukraine is fraught with risks Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Nov 29 2022 20:24 utc | 9 this post needs to be read by others.. it was at the end of the previous open ukraine thread… thanks poster 600w… Posted by: james | Nov 29 2022 20:27 utc | 10 Posted by: Zanon | Nov 29 2022 20:05 utc | 6 Posted by: Opport Knocks | Nov 29 2022 20:32 utc | 11 Posted by: Zanon | Nov 29 2022 20:05 utc | 6 Posted by: unimperator | Nov 29 2022 20:33 utc | 12 @5 Posted by: Urban Fox | Nov 29 2022 20:39 utc | 13 james | Nov 29 2022 20:27 utc | 10 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 29 2022 20:51 utc | 14 Zanon@6: Posted by: morongobill | Nov 29 2022 21:00 utc | 15 Posted by: OohCanada | Nov 29 2022 19:36 utc | 1 Posted by: Abe | Nov 29 2022 21:08 utc | 16 morongobill💩 Posted by: Zanon | Nov 29 2022 21:14 utc | 17 Anyone know anything about this? I’d never heard of it.
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Nov 29 2022 21:16 utc | 18 reply to 3 Posted by: Eighthman | Nov 29 2022 21:16 utc | 19 Why are Ukrainians so highly motivated? Posted by: margo | Nov 29 2022 21:21 utc | 20 @ Peter AU1 | Nov 29 2022 20:51 utc | 14 Posted by: james | Nov 29 2022 21:29 utc | 21 Russia is finding other customers for it’s resources. They don’t need EU customers anymore. Posted by: Rabbit | Nov 29 2022 21:37 utc | 22 BTW, new inductees from Russ should start arriving in Donbass today or tomorrow. Posted by: Rabbit | Nov 29 2022 21:43 utc | 23 james@21, thank you for re-posting the WOZ. the previous links posted for some arcane reason i couldn’t get to connect yesterday. yours thankfully has been bookmarked. thank you also for the 600w, repost. agreed, very good post deserving full attention. to 600w, i believe, as many have previously said, that russia in 2014 was not yet ready to take on nato, & she knew that’s what it meant. she went into syria, reclaimed Crimea as you said, bt more would’ve overextended her. weapons were on the way, if not yet war tested, she was preparing for the sanctions bt not entirely self sufficient. thank you again, 600 & james, & peterau1 as always stay safe & well, we need you. Posted by: emersonreturn | Nov 29 2022 21:49 utc | 24 EU has some serious economy problems, and soon social problems. Electricity prices have shot back up again in the last couple of days and it isn’t winding enough, so very anemic wind power output. This thing is crashing and is way beyond Ursula VDL’s paygrade or intellectual capacity. Now a few million refugees from Ukraine will speed up things a lot, too. Posted by: unimperator | Nov 29 2022 21:54 utc | 25 Posted by: unimperator | Nov 29 2022 21:54 utc | 25 Posted by: unimperator | Nov 29 2022 21:58 utc | 26 I think there is one thing missing as yet. Russia’s allies. She still has no allies. I feel that’s because all those who cheer her on because full of hostility towards what the USA and the west has and does do to them are as yet not certain of Russia’s eventual victory. Duncan Idaho @ 4
Used to be a time when you’d come across too obvious or crazy stuff and say to yourself, “you can’t make this shit up”! Now, it’s everything you read. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 29 2022 22:03 utc | 28 EU is essentially turning into a failure in many similar aspects as Ukraine. But without a war. Posted by: jpc | Nov 29 2022 22:09 utc | 30 Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Nov 29 2022 21:16 utc | 18 Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Nov 29 2022 22:48 utc | 31 Ukraine used to fire Himars missiles at the Kakhovka dam, upstream of Kherson. After the Russian withdrawal from Kherson, this seems to have stopped. So the plan was breaking the dam and flooding Kherson all along. Right? Posted by: Passerby | Nov 29 2022 23:04 utc | 32 Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Nov 29 2022 22:48 utc | 31 Posted by: unimperator | Nov 29 2022 23:08 utc | 33 As Navy SEAL Richard Marcinko once said, “Always treat the enemy as your enemy because he will invariably treat you that way.” Posted by: Wokechoke | Nov 29 2022 23:18 utc | 34 2030 World Cup for Ukraine? Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 29 2022 23:22 utc | 35 I think Russia made two mistakes – the first in 2014 (as admitted by VP) in not at least helping to take Mariupol and trusting the Europeans to be faithful partners in working out a peaceful solution. The second was in believing in February that there would actually be someone to negotiate with, and so they held back from the full on attack on infrastructure they were capable of. Posted by: the pessimist | Nov 29 2022 23:23 utc | 36 So the plan was breaking the dam and flooding Kherson all along. Right? Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 29 2022 23:25 utc | 37 @ Passerby | Nov 29 2022 23:04 utc | 32 Posted by: Don Bacon | Nov 29 2022 23:39 utc | 38
Seems like it, and that would justify the retreat – if the dam collapsed, it would be a biblical calamity, and would also make the area impassable for years (it would turn into a big muddy swamp). Posted by: Tbx | Nov 29 2022 23:39 utc | 39 the pessimist @ 36
Russia made one mistake, breaking up the USSR the way it did, it’s lucky to have got out alive and in one piece though that’s not determined yet. What it should have done back then is transition slowly, Chinese style, playing the USA for fools gathering up their technology, industry, and money then once strong and secure rubbing it in their face investing their dollar reserves “the USA’s money” in a million man army and in the soft power Belt & Road Initiative. Hindsight is 20/20. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 29 2022 23:41 utc | 40 margo | Nov 29 2022 21:21 utc | 20 “Why are Ukrainians so highly motivated? Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 29 2022 23:42 utc | 41 How comes that European mind in philosophical sense became so degraded, emptied? Posted by: margo | Nov 29 2022 23:46 utc | 42 james @10–
Not taking Mariupol in 2014 has cascading disastrous effects to this day. Posted by: Tbx | Nov 29 2022 23:57 utc | 44 I doubt seriously whether the patriot will be effective in Ukraine; it certainly was not effective in Gulf war I when bush senior bragged that it knocked down some 43 saddam scuds fired into Israeli targets and the Israeli strongly disagreed, indeed they flew for meetings with bush to discuss alternative solutions; saudis also found them to be ineffective against housi scuds. Posted by: Taras 77 | Nov 30 2022 0:03 utc | 45 @Tbx | Nov 29 2022 23:57 utc | 44 Posted by: the pessimist | Nov 30 2022 0:07 utc | 46 But, how could that happened so fast and efficient? Posted by: Nobody | Nov 30 2022 0:09 utc | 47
How do we know it was all that different in the past? Posted by: Tbx | Nov 30 2022 0:09 utc | 48 #27 abrogard Posted by: Orchard1 | Nov 30 2022 0:12 utc | 49 @Peter AU1… Posted by: harryash | Nov 30 2022 0:18 utc | 50 A source quoted by John Helmer seems eminently plausible: “I cannot see Russians risking massive armoured movements or repeating their March manoeuvres. I believe the General Staff will wage the electricity war and put pressure on Kiev and on Europe while continuing a slow, inch-by-inch movement in Donbass. General Patience is more important than General Winter. Those two are on a par with General Iskander taking out electric substations and transport corridors. Putin will only come under pressure if he puts himself under pressure to take territory and takes thousands of casualties in the process. He does not want this. The General Staff does not want this. They have made this explicitly clear. So they have come up with new forms of warfare. Just how new these are hasn’t dawned yet in Kiev or Washington or Brussels.” Posted by: Maracatu | Nov 30 2022 0:19 utc | 51 LightYearsFromHome @40– (known as РЕЙД – ‘reyd’ – in Russian military terminology) Posted by: Nobody | Nov 30 2022 0:34 utc | 53
First, whether the whole of the LDNR was secured or not would have made absolutely no difference with respect to the international fallout. The big item there was the annexation of Crimea. Mariupol is a place the vast majority of the rest of the world has never heard of (also, it was called Zhdanov for half a century too, during the time most people in positions of power today were growing up, and that doesn’t help with awareness of it either), and Slavyansk, Kramatorsk, Severodonetsk and Lysychansk are on the scale of Russia itself tiny places that even many in Russia aren’t aware of. Posted by: Tbx | Nov 30 2022 0:35 utc | 54 [12] PAC-3 has a very poor track record Posted by: Bill Smith | Nov 30 2022 0:38 utc | 55 [31] See, this is why Russia screwed up by not completely eliminating every single Ukrainian S-300 and Buk AD on day one. Ukraine had 250 S-300’s and 72 Buks. It should have been easy to take every one of them out on day one, their positions identified by Russian ISR before the war. Posted by: Bill Smith | Nov 30 2022 0:45 utc | 56 [31] See, this is why Russia screwed up by not completely eliminating every single Ukrainian S-300 and Buk AD on day one. Ukraine had 250 S-300’s and 72 Buks. It should have been easy to take every one of them out on day one, their positions identified by Russian ISR before the war. Posted by: Bill Smith | Nov 30 2022 0:45 utc | 57 Orchard1 @49– “See, this is why Russia screwed up by not completely eliminating every single Ukrainian S-300 and Buk AD on day one. Ukraine had 250 S-300’s and 72 Buks. It should have been easy to take every one of them out on day one, their positions identified by Russian ISR before the war.” Posted by: Haassaan | Nov 30 2022 0:55 utc | 59 @Tbx 45 Posted by: Hermit | Nov 30 2022 1:12 utc | 60 karlof1@52, thank you for your links & VK space. i too was aware of the 90s rape, & corruption prior & during. my deceased husband was a mathematician working on many papers with russian mathematicians, they met @ conferences, mostly in europe/middle east, sharing papers, ideas, as well he was invited to important russian conferences. in the 90s b/c things were so incredibly difficult & o/c the work was the most important thing for all involved, we worked hard & long to bring several out for tenured track jobs in new zealand, canada & italy. all were heartbroken to leave bt couldn’t see how they could continue to stay. when last attending a conference in moscow & novosibrisk, we encountered physicists who b/c they hadn’t been paid for over a year were being courted by various parties to sell precious materials & information. desperation was palpable in many discussions. i have never lost my love & respect for the russian mind or heart. when we arrived in novosibrisk there was one computer, the elevator could hold 2people & one bag. the conference was for 2000 mathematicians from everywhere. i looked @ my husband & asked how did they make it into space…he replied on the basis of duct tape & their minds. it’s why our library holds 40 shelves of russian math books. Posted by: emersonreturn | Nov 30 2022 1:16 utc | 61 a little bit from Gilbert Doctorow’s most recent, as he and his wife are back in their apartment in St. Petersburg (from Brussels where they live) and he reports some strong initial impressions, among them the climate and freezing temperatures now that winter has set in: Posted by: michaelj72 | Nov 30 2022 1:22 utc | 62 Hat tip to Johnny Rotten at Martyanov’s blog for this info from Maria Zakharova’s Telegram:
You’d think Outlaw US Empire pukes would have learned something about how to treat Russia by now, but no way Jose, er Blinken. emersonreturn @61– @James post #10 Posted by: ReinhardvonSiegfried | Nov 30 2022 1:37 utc | 65 @ emersonreturn | Nov 29 2022 21:49 utc | 24 Posted by: james | Nov 30 2022 1:45 utc | 66 Further to the point made by PeterAu and others… that the quick-slow-quick-slow-slow-s-l-o-w-SMO is bleeding Europe (and the US). Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 30 2022 1:46 utc | 67 reply to: emersonreturn | Nov 30 2022 1:16 utc | 61 Posted by: jr | Nov 30 2022 1:47 utc | 68 Destroying air defense systems is difficult and dangerous. When the US reneged on its disarmament agreement with Kaddaffi and sponsored a revolution against him, it was deemed necessary to impose a no fly zone. The politicians were then informed that we could not just deploy fighters in Libyan airspace to enforce the no fly zone because they would get shot down. The politicians were then informed that the US needed to have not just one aircraft carrier battle group but two carrier aircraft carrier groups backed up by strike aircraft from Italy plus heavy bombers from the US. We still lost aircraft. The fact that Russia has failed to completely destroy Ukraine’s air defenses is not surprising. Posted by: Elmer Fudd | Nov 30 2022 1:48 utc | 69 Bill Smith | Nov 30 2022 0:38 utc | 55 Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 30 2022 2:11 utc | 70 Wondering what a timeline linking video and damage of say Yugoslavia/Iraq vs the SMO? Posted by: Stonedthing1 | Nov 30 2022 2:14 utc | 71 Melaleuca | Nov 30 2022 1:46 utc | 67 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2022 2:25 utc | 72 James no. 10 (via 600w) Posted by: ThusspakeZarathustra | Nov 30 2022 2:26 utc | 73 RSH31. No matter how its slices Russia is humanist. 100% reading what they r throwing down. Posted by: Stonedthing2 | Nov 30 2022 2:29 utc | 74 Tbx | Nov 30 2022 0:35 utc | 54 Posted by: Klaatu | Nov 30 2022 2:30 utc | 75 Is Putin satisfied now? I doubt it. He just mentioned some of his hindsight misgivings publicly. How many leaders are willing to be that open? Very few. Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 2:32 utc | 76 I still believe MH17 was shot down by Ukraine thinking it was Putins plane returning from Brazil. The colours and markings were almost the same and there was, i think, just a couple of hours difference in crossing the airspace? Posted by: Ted from Liverpool | Nov 30 2022 2:38 utc | 77 ThusspakeZarathustra | Nov 30 2022 2:26 utc | 73 Posted by: Klaatu | Nov 30 2022 2:44 utc | 78 emersonreturn @61 Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 2:49 utc | 79 SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 2:32 utc | 76 Posted by: Klaatu | Nov 30 2022 2:51 utc | 80 michaelj72 | Nov 30 2022 1:22 utc | 62
Gas for roubles good doctor. Euros get paid into a special Gazprom bank account who then sell the Euros for roubles and the roubles can then used to pay the customers Gazprom gas account. Somebody has to by all those Euros. Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2022 3:04 utc | 81 Russia like China are Civilizational Nations … Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 3:19 utc | 82 But, how could that happened so fast and efficient? Always a redeeming feature is the up-to-date latest refs to translated Maria Zakharova, Dmitry Peskov & Lavrov et al. Easy to find when and what Putin’s been saying. Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 3:29 utc | 84 karlof1, james, sean & jr, thank you. dear karl, i’m certain you will both adore russia & china. & once there forbidden to leave, either russia & china, to return home i can well imagine you both dancing in the streets, airport, & pausing only long enough to thank the gods for the great gift. say hi to edward snowdon. my god, russian concerts (matsuev!! live, he does jazz as well, & composes), the ballet, how many? the museums, the conversations, for the rest of your life—sorry sorry punishment indeed. truly i look forward to hearing your new life in russia via VK, or, china, china countryside or city will be dazzling, mountain swathed bamboo forests or heaven on earth cities. what a way to celebrate 70! Posted by: emersonreturn | Nov 30 2022 3:31 utc | 85 t.me/The_Wrong_Side Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 30 2022 3:40 utc | 86 emersonreturn | Nov 30 2022 3:31 utc | 85 Posted by: Klaatu | Nov 30 2022 3:45 utc | 87 Maria Zakharova
A small historical point about the USA’s and their cohorts about this “thingy” called the International Rules Based Order : Rules are only rules when you willingly submit to them. Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 3:45 utc | 88 @ ThusspakeZarathustra | Nov 30 2022 2:26 utc | 73 Posted by: james | Nov 30 2022 3:50 utc | 89 [re civilization state] IT was a phrase made up by a chinese academic in a talk to help frame a bit of history to highlight something to the CPC politburo into a perspective, a FRAME they could understand and get his contextual point – it was a Metaphorical Concept not a reality, not a fact … this idea, notion, this phraseology is not the second coming of christ. Klaatu | Nov 30 2022 2:30 utc | 75 Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 30 2022 3:55 utc | 91 Klaatu | Nov 30 2022 3:45 utc | 87 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2022 3:55 utc | 92 Thanks Scorpion, you many points are well taken and I believe overall correct and on the money. I wish everyone her ewpuld read it and comprehend it’s real meaning and stop being led down the garden path so easily. Alas, not so easy. Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 4:05 utc | 93 @ margo 42 Posted by: Giyane | Nov 30 2022 4:08 utc | 94 @ Karlof1 – All. @ Klaatu | Nov 30 2022 2:51 utc | 80 Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 4:12 utc | 96 It’s an April 9, 2022 tweet. But I suspect some here will still find it of “interest”. Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 30 2022 4:14 utc | 97 Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 30 2022 3:55 utc | 91 Posted by: wind | Nov 30 2022 4:17 utc | 98 Outraged | Nov 30 2022 4:09 utc | 94 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2022 4:20 utc | 99 Scorpion | Nov 30 2022 3:51 utc | 90 Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 4:22 utc | 100 |
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