Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
November 1, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-187

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

Please stick to the topic.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Comments

America has anounced that th B61 nuclear bomb is being fitted with guidance fins, its now a “smart” nuke
I have to say that after leaving the nuclear treaties, I excpected something more substantial than this from USA
2/10 for effort

Posted by: Wazdaka | Nov 1 2022 6:58 utc | 1

“It was easy pickings for the made men of the neoliberal syndicate because the ex-communist leaders were mostly eager to get rich, but mostly didn’t have the connections in the capitalist world to pull it off. The pillaging by the neoliberal elites in partnerships with local oligarchs and criminals was then abruptly blocked by what is now seen by them as the real life Keyser Söze, the devil incarnate. When they saw their plans for the future of the world crumbling with China and Russia creating a new economic order — just like if you take a toy from a child — they got very angry and are now throwing a tantrum.” From Whom the Gods Would Destroy They First Make Mad

Posted by: Kali El | Nov 1 2022 7:05 utc | 2

Putin as Keyser Söze! Love it. However, in reality he is more like a warrior monk.

Posted by: Rhinoskerous | Nov 1 2022 7:11 utc | 3

Anyone want to start a betting pool on the date the ground freezes hard enough for the Russian tanks to start rolling?

Posted by: Rhinoskerous | Nov 1 2022 7:12 utc | 4

Wheat prices surge after Russia pulls out of Ukraine grain deal, fueling fears of ‘catastrophic’ global consequences
https://twitter.com/i/events/1587194266689966081
The war in Ukraine had already caused food inflation in low-income countries to surge to almost 90%, according to @RESCUEorg. Renewed blockade could negatively impact low- and middle-income countries, which relies on Russia and Ukraine for almost half of its wheat imports.
As a result, the East Africa region is now at risk of affordability and availability of grain, said Shashwat Saraf, the IRC’s East Africa emergency director.
That’s why NATO accused Vlatimir Putin of “weaponizing food.”
The Kremlin accused Ukraine of launching the drone attack on Oct. 29 and alleged that British Navy “experts” had also been involved.
Britain denied it, while Ukraine suggested that Moscow itself may have carried out the explosions as a pretext to halt the grain deal.
Despite dire warnings about the consequences of ending the deal, Moscow has said it will not consider a return to the deal until a thorough investigation of Saturday’s alleged drone strike has been carried out.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63458641
Ukraine war: Grain ships leave Ukraine ports despite Russian pull-out
Ukraine says 12 ships loaded with grain left its Black Sea ports on Monday, despite Russia’s withdrawal from a key deal facilitating exports.
A senior Ukraine official said one of the vessels with 40,000 tons of grain was for Ethiopia “who faced the real possibility of mass starvation”.
Ukraine earlier accused Russia of “blackmailing the world with hunger”.
Moscow pulled out from the deal after a drone attack on its Black Sea Fleet in the annexed Crimea peninsula.
The Kremlin blamed Kyiv for Saturday’s attack, saying “the Russian side cannot guarantee the safety of civilian dry cargo ships”.
On Monday, President Vladimir Putin said Russia was suspending, but not ending, its participation in the deal.
Kyiv has not admitted responsibility for the attack, saying Moscow had long planned to abandoned the internationally-brokered deal and used the attack as a pretext to do so.
After Russia invaded Ukraine in February, its navy imposed a blockade on Ukraine’s Black Sea ports, trapping about 20 million tonnes of grain meant for export inside the country, along with other foodstuffs such as maize and sunflower oil.
The Russian withdrawal from the deal has been condemned by the US, who said Moscow was “weaponising food”.
The EU’s foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, has urged Russia to reverse its decision, saying jeopardising the export of grain and fertilisers would impact the global food crisis.
The Russian ambassador to the US has rejected accusations that his country was exacerbating a global food crisis, saying it was unfair to criticise Russia.
The agreement was personally negotiated by the UN secretary general and celebrated as a major diplomatic victory that helped ease a global food crisis.
But Russia has complained that its own exports are still hindered, and that most of the grain had been sent to wealthy nations.
Some food has gone directly to the poorest countries in the world, and some has been shipped to countries where people are at risk of starvation, under UN humanitarian relief programmes.
However, UN figures show that the bulk of Ukrainian food exported in the last three months has been going to Spain, Turkey, Italy, China and Netherlands.
Ukraine and Russia are the world’s major grain exporters, and millions of people in poor countries around the world rely on the two countries’ supply.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 7:12 utc | 5

Syrian Girl
“This is why Liz Truss really resigned, she wrote “It’s done” to Anthony Blinken on imessage after Nordstream was blown up. https://asiamarkets.com/did-liz-truss-text-antony-blinken-after-nord-stream/“
https://twitter.com/Partisangirl/status/1586955743021780993
[I have deeeep reservations about “Syrian Girl” (like wtf was she in Melbourne during lockdown and instigating convid protest marches????)
But I suspect she has some “interesting” connections and sources…]

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 7:16 utc | 6

American general: the US doesn’t have air defense systems for Ukraine
Petr Ernilin 26.10.2022 17:42
Former commander of US forces in Europe, Ben Hodges, said that the United States will not be able to ensure the air security for Ukraine.
“We don’t have enough air defense assets for all of Europe. Over the past eight months, we’ve learned that the demands are much bigger than it had been expected,” Hodges said.
According to him, the United States does not have enough air defense systems for Ukraine to fully protect the country from Russian missiles. The general added that the West will continue to look for weapons for Kyiv.
Earlier, military expert Alexey Leonkov said that two NASAMS anti-aircraft missile systems, which the United States handed over to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, would not close the sky over Ukraine.
https://english.pravda.ru/news/world/154596-airdefense/

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 7:19 utc | 7

@6 Mellencamp
I believe she is doing her doctorate in Chemistry.
Kim dotcom made the initial claim on twitter, with no evidence.

Posted by: bobzibub | Nov 1 2022 7:31 utc | 8

Anyone want to start a betting pool on the date the ground freezes hard enough for the Russian tanks to start rolling?
Posted by: Rhinoskerous | Nov 1 2022 7:12 utc | 4
Mid December.

Posted by: Lucci | Nov 1 2022 7:39 utc | 9

4: ”Anyone want to start a betting pool on the date the ground freezes hard enough for the Russian tanks to start rolling?”
No answers, but some information and questions which might shed a light on the topic.
In more north western countries, like the Netherlands, there is a yearly excess of rain, which washes organic materials and minerals down to the average ground water level. Drilling or digging shows a dark layer, above which the soil acidifies. This soil type is called Podzol, and is usually well permeable. Only in clay the process is different, as the humus and minerals are bound in the soil particles. It can get waterlogged or dry up with cracks.
In mediterrean or steppe soil there is a shortage of rain, and minerals (salt) accumulate in the top layer.
In the Ukrainian soil (chernozem) there is a balance between evaporation and rain: the nutrients stay where they are and excess rain fall will seep into the ground water.
The remaining question (I don’t know the answers to)
1) How permeable is the chernozem soil?
2) How deep is the ground water level in fall?
The answers to this (it will vary per location) will determine how long and how deep the soil remains water logged.
A water logged soil will only freeze a few cm/ inches in November/ December, not enough to support a tank. But the precipitation will mostly stop, snow does not count because it is a solid. Under the frozen top layer however, moisture will slowly drain. No mud anymore under the frozen ground after a while! In winter, evaporation plays hardly a role.

Posted by: Rootman | Nov 1 2022 8:01 utc | 10

Pasting from https://braveneweurope.com newsletter
Good source for economic debate and views.
Paying for an undeclared war
It is rather amazing how we got here – and so quickly. In the meantime there is consensus among Western governments that interests rates have to be raised, that we need austerity, and that we are all going to have to pay extremely high utility bills. Furthermore, the more governments and central banks try, the higher inflation surges. In other words, most of us are going to be poorer. What started as unexpected high inflation has morphed into a war economy – and a very poorly managed one at that.
With regard to inflation, originally much of it had been caused by corporations increasing their profits massively post-covid. Some had been the result of supply chain interrruptions as a result of pandemic. Add to this that people had simply saved money during the Covid crisis and there was pent up demand. It was certainly not coming from wages, which had hardly increased.
Banks and financial markets had to be protected from inflation by an artificial recession being introduced via higher interest rates. This is already happening and will result in the loss of jobs and depressed wages, not to mention provoking a long chain across the world. As would be expected, up to now it has had little effect upon inflation, which heterodox economists have been predicting as the solution to inflation profferred by central banks is a response to spiralling labour costs. But these do not exist, so no wonder.
Inflation is in the meantime being driven by the war – our undeclared war. “Most European states are not directly involved in the military conflict, but they are fully engaged in political and economic warfare against Russia which is as important as anything happening on the battlefield,” as Patrick so patl points out.
The increasing costs of energy and many raw materials from Russia and Ukraine have fed into the European economy driving inflation, but has also been exasperated as corporations introduce a new round of excessive profit margins.
It was all supposed to be so easy, this war of ours, which isn’t our war. We would impose economic sanctions against Russia. The Russians would fall into schock and awe, then topple their government. That was the goal of the US all along: regime change in Russia as a stepping stone to regime change in China. Those were the heady days of the liberal-democrats’ euphoria. A half year on, our war, which isn’t, keeps growing more costly. At least for most of us.
The direct and indirect costs of our non-war are rapidly mounting, especially for the EU. There are the direct costs such as arming Ukraine; financing its economy that even before the war was a basket case and is collapsing under the war effort; supporting the millions of refugees; and what are being termed “reconstruction” costs. Indirectly we are seeing the deterioration of the European economy that was based upon cheap energy and raw materials from Russia and Ukraine. With energy costs exploding and feeding through to the rest of the economy, inflation in the EU is on average over 10% (four EU nations already over 20%). I repeat: wages are relatively stagnant.
The truly most urgent problem facing us, climate breakdown, has been pushed from the agenda, replaced by a frantic search for new fossil fuels. Our political class is working against our own future.
Higher interest rates and high inflation are depressing the economy, which requires a massive intervention by the EU and national governments. Instead governments are doing what the Germans have been calling for since before the war: introducing austerity, nations instead mobilising their financial resources to redistribute wealth to corporations and the 1% who own them. Capitalism always comes down to this. For us that means further reductions in the services and support governments provide to their own citizens, less investment, and no stimulus to create jobs. These same citizens will have to compensate these cuts by paying for them privately or simply doing without. We have been here before and we know how destructive austerity is for most of society and how it destroys democracy.
This should actually be the moment of building back better. We should have learnt the dangers of dependency on fossil fuels, not only with regard to the environment, but geo-politically as well. We have learnt nothing. There is an urgent need to invest in reducing energy consumption, especially of fossil fuels. So much has been written, so many excellent strategies developed. We are seeing little of it realised. Instead the European political class is set on maintaining the current capitalist structures and intensifying our war that isn’t. Many are slapping each other on the shoulder, congratulating themselves on not stopping climate change. Due to the unusually high temperatures this autumn, Europe has been able to keep its energy consume at low levels. One sees how short sighted they are, as their glorious sanctions offensive against Russia has proven.

Posted by: Diagonal | Nov 1 2022 8:02 utc | 11

I found Ganesh Prasad’s Tweet useful for providing two informative links:
Educate yourself about the belligerence that has brought us closer to a nuclear conflict – @prasadgc 6:43 PM · Oct 30, 2022
1) The Ukraine Tragedy: Made in America
2) Understanding The Great Game in Ukraine
Here is another good article that I recommend: Daniel Kovalik: Why Russia’s intervention in Ukraine is legal under international law
VIDEO: Putin is Correct about NATO & Ukraine. U.S. Double Standard Explained
After reading that information it is difficult to argue that Russia’s intervention wasn’t legal and just.

Posted by: Tom | Nov 1 2022 8:13 utc | 12

Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 7:16 utc | 6
Here is the part of the weird resignation letter of Home Sec of UKGOV which caused mystification at the time; what could she possibly be referring to in this letter addressed to Truss? At face value it does not make much sense. Note the switch from ‘we made them’ (we, as in us, you and I, made mistakes) to ‘ I made a mistake; I resign’
The business of government relies upon people accepting responsibility for their mistakes. Pretending we haven’t made mistakes, carrying on as if everyone can’t see that we have made them, and hoping that things will magically come right is not serious politics. I have made a mistake; I accept responsibility: I resign.
If indeed the compromised Truss did send the text then Russia will have it as ‘irrefutable proof’ and the words above then make complete sense.
I know, not proof at all; need Dotcom to say more, but do not hold your breath.

Posted by: Lapin | Nov 1 2022 8:22 utc | 13

> Posted by: Wazdaka | Nov 1 2022 6:58 utc | 1
“America has announced that the B61 nuclear bomb is being fitted with guidance fins, its now a “smart” nuke. I have to say that after leaving the nuclear treaties, I expected something more substantial than this from USA. 2/10 for effort”
It seems like you’re mixing up a few things. The B61 would be placed in many host countries like in Europe. To place in close proximity to Russia or China some smart nuclear cruise missile would simply not be acceptable. The reaction to Aegis Ashor systems in Poland and Romania which in theory could host nuclear capable missiles with some adaptations triggered already a crisis. The reason “dumb” bombs are currently allowed to store close to Russia had to do with the effort to get them out of storage, mount them on planes and fly them over to drop. A smarter version would shorten that time only a little.
In any case there are many treaties involving nuclear weapons. https://www.atomicarchive.com/resources/treaties/index.html
The INF treaty from 1987 was about “missiles with short and medium ranges, except sea-launched weapons” and does not involve the category including B60 or B61. The Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty banned weapons designed to counter ballistic nuclear missiles, yet another category but does involved the Aegis Ashor and various Russian systems.

Posted by: John Dowser | Nov 1 2022 8:26 utc | 14

From Telegram Slavyangrad:
Maria Zakharova is waiting for a response from London regarding information in the media that former British Prime Minister Liz Truss sent a message “it’s done” (“it’s done” – TASS note) to US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken after the sabotage at Nord Stream.
Zakharova stressed that millions of people around the world are waiting for an official answer to this question, who have the right to know what happened to world energy security and what is the role of the Anglo-Saxons in the terrorist attack.
-TASS

Hope Maria is not holding her breath.

Posted by: Lapin | Nov 1 2022 8:55 utc | 15

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63458641
Ukraine war: Grain ships leave Ukraine ports despite Russian pull-out
Russia is so weak. It cannot stop these merchant ships.
On the other hand. USA is eager to start nuclear war. I do not understand why when Russia is so weak.

Posted by: marko | Nov 1 2022 9:05 utc | 16

Big Serge @witte_sergei
Elon has implemented a “Ukraine state-affiliated media” tag. Outstanding.
United24 Media:
(Ukraine state-affiliated media)
“Another Monday morning starts with air alerts almost all over Ukraine and explosions in Kyiv and other cities. It is reported about 40 missiles are over the country now.”
https://twitter.com/witte_sergei/status/1587101363212648449?cxt=HHwWgoCgjf6RwoYsAAAA

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 10:18 utc | 17

does anyone have any information on what is true about the success reports from Kyiv regarding the German IRIS AD system?

Posted by: njet | Nov 1 2022 10:29 utc | 18

Lapin | Nov 1 2022 8:22 utc | 13
Re Truss OPSEC
+………The curious Ben Wallace dash to Washington……
It’s said Truss phone was accessible to the Russians from when she was Foreign Minister…..
Did she do something stupid re OPSEC when she visited Moscow??
(Conjecture on my part).
But. If (If) the Russians have been privy to her comms for a year…….
That means they have been monitoring almost everyone in UK government…..
Which is why they were so DAMN SURE the Britz were planning a dirty bomb false flag…….
Like with Bletchley Park and the Enigma Code…. the Britz allowed German bombing and operations to continue rather then reveal they had the codes…..
Similar for the Russians? But a dirty bomb was …a Bridge (Crimea) (!!!) Too Far….
with Elon at twitter, the boot has come off the throat of free speech (somewhat, and probably temporarily), but there’s a chance (slim) that more might make it to the sunlight of public domain…..
We’ll all just keep collecting jigsaw pieces and try to guess how they fit..

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 10:34 utc | 19

America has anounced that th B61 nuclear bomb is being fitted with guidance fins, its now a “smart” nuke
I have to say that after leaving the nuclear treaties, I excpected something more substantial than this from USA
2/10 for effort

Posted by: Wazdaka | Nov 1 2022 6:58 utc | 1
***
The reaction to Aegis Ashor systems in Poland and Romania which in theory could host nuclear capable missiles with some adaptations triggered already a crisis. The reason “dumb” bombs are currently allowed to store close to Russia had to do with the effort to get them out of storage, mount them on planes and fly them over to drop. A smarter version would shorten that time only a little.
Posted by: John Dowser | Nov 1 2022 8:26 utc | 14
***
The point of the recently updated US nuclear ROE and expedited deployment of B61-12s to Europe is simple — the US, UK and EU know they cannot, through their use of available conventional arms and troops, stop the Russian Army if Putin chooses to invade Europe… They see the handwriting on the wall in Ukraine. The B61-12s are intended to stiffen EU leadership resolve by providing them with low-yield (hence the need for better guidance) battlefield weapons which can be deployed from any NATO aircraft…
This is a message to Russia… some call it nuclear blackmail.

Posted by: Spanky | Nov 1 2022 10:34 utc | 20

marko | Nov 1 2022 9:05 utc | 16
So the grain ships leave Odessa with grain…..but can they return?????

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 10:35 utc | 21

Posted by: marko | Nov 1 2022 9:05 utc | 16
Outgoing ships are not relevant, only ingoing ships.

Posted by: unimperator | Nov 1 2022 10:39 utc | 22

Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 10:18 utc | 17

Big Serge @witte_sergei
Elon has implemented a “Ukraine state-affiliated media” tag. Outstanding.
United24 Media:
(Ukraine state-affiliated media)
“Another Monday morning starts with air alerts almost all over Ukraine and explosions in Kyiv and other cities. It is reported about 40 missiles are over the country now.”

That’s good, but has he also gotten rid of the fraudulent use of “Russian state-affiliated media” for any journalist not parroting the imperial party line, and similar fraudulent “misinformation”-type labels?

Posted by: Flying Dutchman | Nov 1 2022 10:39 utc | 23

Posted by: njet | Nov 1 2022 10:29 utc | 18

does anyone have any information on what is true about the success reports from Kyiv regarding the German IRIS AD system?

Yes. All lies.

Posted by: Jax | Nov 1 2022 10:41 utc | 24

Diagonal #11
Good post

Posted by: Tim | Nov 1 2022 10:43 utc | 25

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 10:35 utc | 21
During the first weeks of the war, several freighters were hit with UAF mines, which broke of their moorings and floated around, some even to the Marmara sea. This was the basis of the grain deal in the first place.
However at this point controlling “grain smuggling” is irrelevant, the only objective is to control that no war contraband gets in Odessa. Historically, this was called the so-called “prize rules”, in case war contraband found on any ship, it is free to sink (after crew put on life boats).

Posted by: unimperator | Nov 1 2022 10:44 utc | 26

Posted by: marko | Nov 1 2022 9:05 utc | 16
Russia never blockaded Ukrainian ports. The grain deal was about protection for the ships, and demining the area. That is what Russia will no loonger be doing. And it was about a second deal that was to give Russia the opportunity to export its own grain and fertilizer unimpeded by the West.
A deal that the West never honored unless Russia shipped it to the West (which I guess then resold it to counties in need for much higher prices).
Doing that is a sign of weakness that Russia will no longer display.
The West is not thinking about nuclear war because Russia is so weak. It considers going nuclear because its own weakness. The stronger Russia is, the higher that danger.
If you want nuclear war wait until Germany gets its own nuclear bombs – and asserts its place in the world. German politicians are stupid enough to do that.

Posted by: Martina | Nov 1 2022 10:53 utc | 27

Ukraine says 12 ships loaded with grain left its Black Sea ports on Monday, despite Russia’s withdrawal from a key deal facilitating exports.
A senior Ukraine official said one of the vessels with 40,000 tons of grain was for Ethiopia “who faced the real possibility of mass starvation”.
I think the UN announced 16 ships at the last minute. One out of twelve 8.3% , one out of sixteen 6.25%, goes to a third world nation. How impressive. While ukies crow at, see one ship its more proof of the sham it is. If they could of padded the numbers they would have

Posted by: Hankster | Nov 1 2022 11:15 utc | 28

Posted by: Hankster | Nov 1 2022 11:15 utc | 28
Well, Russians just need to keep hammering this message to the Global South and in the UNGA. Zelensky regime or the west certainly isn’t making any friends in the Global South.

Posted by: unimperator | Nov 1 2022 11:26 utc | 29

“This should actually be the moment of building back better…”
Thank you for the paid political announcement from the Democrat Party.
I am actually quite surprised that Circe has not returned, along with her tendency to emphasize the urgency and sincerity of her appeals for the Democrats with ALL CAPS; but then Circe was never a literal professional (meaning: paid). She was always a true believer in the obvious sanctitude of the Democrats and didn’t proselytize for pay. Perhaps she woke up for real and realized how the Democrat wing of the imperial political kayfabe was playing her for a fool? Such awakenings are always painful but necessary to achieve adulthood.
Hang in there, folks! One more week folks and these DNC trolls will fade out. The Military Information Support Operations (MISO) trolls will be with us for a while yet, unfortunately. They are persistent and Special Operations Command (SOCOM) has a huge budget.
By the way, here is a job posting for those interested in being a MISO troll master. Admit it, barflies, you’ve always wanted to have your own stable full of Internet trolls to do your bidding in cyberspace! Here’s your chance.

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 11:29 utc | 30

Summarizing several other sources Russia ending support for the grain deal might not have any effect in the short term, but three significant differences medium term:
1. Ukraine and the West were very upset when, immediately after signing the deal, Russia blew up a Ukrainian military ship in the port of Odessa. Apparently, the deal was meant to outlaw such attacks ( Russia argued the deal also outlawed military operations in areas protected by the deal). Russia is now free to bomb and attack the infrastructure. Which could be a massive problem for Ukraine if Russia sets it’s eyes on conquering Odessa. Also, Ukraine can no longer has protected zones for clandestine attacks.
2. Russia is now free to stop any vessel suspected of supporting military goals. They can or redirect ( to Russian ports) any vessel where such involvement is confirmed.
3. 1.& 2. will lead to higher insurance premiums and shipping companies no longer operating in the war zone.

Posted by: Marvin | Nov 1 2022 11:44 utc | 31

The West is not thinking about nuclear war because Russia is so weak. It considers going nuclear because its own weakness. The stronger Russia is, the higher that danger.
It seems to be a strange logic.

Posted by: marko | Nov 1 2022 11:55 utc | 32

@William Gruff #30
What on earth are you talking about? Was it the reference to global warming that upset you?

Posted by: Tim | Nov 1 2022 12:06 utc | 33

4 Anyone want to start a betting pool on the date the ground freezes hard enough for the Russian tanks to start rolling?
Interesting idea. “Wisdom of Crowds”
How would this be measured? How many tanks does it take to count for this? Or is it a measure of how far they get?

Posted by: Bill Smith | Nov 1 2022 12:18 utc | 34

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 31 Oct 2022⚡️
In the morning, the Russian Armed Forces launched massive missile strikes on critical infrastructure facilities in Ukraine. Russian forces hit substations and switchgear of the #Kanevskaya, #Kremenchug, #Prydniprovskaya, #Dneprovskaya and #Kievskaya HPPs, as well as the #Zalyutino substation in #Kharkov.
The attack caused large-scale power outages across the country and further reduced the stability of the Ukraine’s unified energy system.
#Belgorod Region:
▪️ AFU militants shelled the border village of #Krasnoye in #Belgorod Region, with no civilian casualties. In the evening, air defence intercepted several aerial targets over #Belgorod.
#Starobelsk Direction (MAP):
▪️ In the #Kupyansk area, the enemy, supported by foreign mercenaries, made another offensive attempt towards #Kuzemovka and #Orlyanka, but failed and retreated.
▪️ In the #Tavolzhanka sector near #Dvurechnaya the 14th AFU Mechanized Brigade formed assault detachments for a diversionary attack.
▪️ In the #Svatovo sector, the enemy command is moving forces into the #Borovaya area for another offensive against #Raygorodka.
▪️ In the #Lyman sector, units of the 66th Mechanized Brigade and 25th Airborne Brigade of the AFU undertook an assault on Russian positions near #Chervonopopovka, but were unsuccessful and withdrew.
▪️ In the #Lysychansk sector, Reconnaissance groupsof the Ukrainian 81st Airborne Brigade are operating on the front line, looking for weak points in the Russian defences.
#Lugansk People’s Republic:
▪️ During the day, Ukrainian militants shelled #Alchevsk, #Svatovo, #Kremennaya and #Pervomaysk with HIMARS MLRS.
In #Alchevsk, residential buildings and the Metallurg Hotel were shelled.
Donetsk Direction (MAP):
▪️ Fighters of the DPR’s People’s Militia and 150th Motorized Rifle Division have advanced on the northern outskirts of #Maryinka and took control of boarding school No. 3.
Russian forces have also occupied several streets near Druzhba Avenue in the centre of the settlement and are clearing the outskirts of #Maryinka city council.
▪️ Ukrainian militants have shelled the #Donetsk agglomeration once again. #Donetsk, #Makeevka, #Yasynuvata, #Gorlovka and #Yelenovka came under fire.
#Ugledar Direction (MAP):
▪️ Russian forces liberated more than half of the village of #Pavlovka and took control of the crossing at #Kashgalach River. The AFU retain control of the state farm on the opposite river bank.
▪️ In the northeast, Russian forces are advancing south of #Novomikhailovka, success in this area will allow them to take control of the #Ugledar – #Konstantinovka road and launch an offensive on #Ugledar from the northeast.
▪️ An Ukrainian Mi-8 transport helicopter was shot down by Russian units in #Konstantinovka.
#Zaporozhye Direction:
▪️ In #Zaporozhye region, Russian forces engaged targets in #Olginskoye, #Gulyaypole and #Zaliznichnoye, as well as in #Nikopol district and #Marganets on the north bank of the #Dnipro River.
#Nikolaev – #Berislav Direction on Southern Front:
▪️ Russian troops struck #Bereznegovatoye during the night and destroyed the site of an AFU artillery unit.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/17889

Posted by: Down South | Nov 1 2022 12:21 utc | 35

⚡️🇵🇱🇺🇦✈️ @Rybar on Ukrainian planes, 300km cruise missiles and Poland⚡️
An Su-24M bomber will move to Poland in the coming days from the airfield of the 7th Tactical Aviation Brigade of the Ukrainian Air Force in Starokonstantinov (Khmelnitsky region).
Western experts intend to determine the feasibility of integrating the Storm Shadow (British version) or SCALP (French) cruise missile into the Su-24M weapon system.
🩸 It is not known for certain which Polish company will evaluate and analyse the aircraft’s onboard equipment.
There are two major aircraft repair companies in Poland that could, in theory, retrofit the Ukrainian equipment:
▪️ Wojskowe Zaklady Lotnicze (WZL-2 and WZL-4)
▪️ Państwowe Zakłady Lotnicze (PZL)
PZL assembles components and parts for the F-16, Typhoon and JAS-39 Gripen fighters at its Melec plant.
🩸 Upgrading the old Soviet Su-24Ms and fitting them with modern missiles in service with several countries is a matter of time.
The integration of AGM-88 HARM anti-radar missiles onto Ukrainian MiG-29s proved that it is quite feasible to combine NATO weaponry with Soviet-type equipment using a “home-made” method.
If the outcome is positive, the Ukrainian air force will receive a high-precision weapon with an infrared homing head and a range of 250-300km (export version). If it decides to install non-exported missiles, the Shadow has a “native” range of over 500 km.
In theory, this type of missile could easily be used to hit important military and infrastructure targets at long range, such as Russian military airfields deep in the rear.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/17650

Posted by: Down South | Nov 1 2022 12:29 utc | 36

Agree that Russia now starts to hit Odessa as before the grain deal and show that without their say so nothing happens in the Black Sea.
We are in a war zone and the Ukros can’t decide that they own the place.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Nov 1 2022 12:39 utc | 37

Posted by: Down South | Nov 1 2022 12:21 utc | 35
The Big Picture:
– The AFUs persistent counter attacks are growing more frequent and failing more frequently.
– The Russian army continues steady, incremental progress

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Nov 1 2022 12:45 utc | 38

Marvin | Nov 1 2022 11:44 utc | 31
“………will lead to higher insurance premiums and shipping companies no longer operating in the war zone.”
Insurance has *already*/ immediately been withdrawn for shipping….(I’ll look for the link)……

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 12:58 utc | 39

Wheat prices surge after Russia pulls out of Ukraine grain deal, fueling fears of ‘catastrophic’ global consequences
https://twitter.com/i/events/1587194266689966081
“The war in Ukraine had already caused food inflation in low-income countries to surge to almost 90%, according to @RESCUEorg. Renewed blockade could negatively impact low- and middle-income countries, which relies on Russia and Ukraine for almost half of its wheat imports.
As a result, the East Africa region is now at risk of affordability and availability of grain, said Shashwat Saraf, the IRC’s East Africa emergency director.
That’s why NATO accused Vlatimir Putin of “weaponizing food.”
“The Kremlin accused Ukraine of launching the drone attack on Oct. 29 and alleged that British Navy “experts” had also been involved.
Britain denied it, while Ukraine suggested that Moscow itself may have carried out the explosions as a pretext to halt the grain deal.
“Despite dire warnings about the consequences of ending the deal, Moscow has said it will not consider a return to the deal until a thorough investigation of Saturday’s alleged drone strike has been carried out.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63458641
Ukraine war: Grain ships leave Ukraine ports despite Russian pull-out
“Ukraine says 12 ships loaded with grain left its Black Sea ports on Monday, despite Russia’s withdrawal from a key deal facilitating exports.
A senior Ukraine official said one of the vessels with 40,000 tons of grain was for Ethiopia “who faced the real possibility of mass starvation”.
Ukraine earlier accused Russia of “blackmailing the world with hunger”.
Moscow pulled out from the deal after a drone attack on its Black Sea Fleet in the annexed Crimea peninsula.
“The Kremlin blamed Kyiv for Saturday’s attack, saying “the Russian side cannot guarantee the safety of civilian dry cargo ships”.
On Monday, President Vladimir Putin said Russia was suspending, but not ending, its participation in the deal.
“Kyiv has not admitted responsibility for the attack, saying Moscow had long planned to abandoned the internationally-brokered deal and used the attack as a pretext to do so.
After Russia invaded Ukraine in February, its navy imposed a blockade on Ukraine’s Black Sea ports, trapping about 20 million tonnes of grain meant for export inside the country, along with other foodstuffs such as maize and sunflower oil.
“The Russian withdrawal from the deal has been condemned by the US, who said Moscow was “weaponising food”.
“The EU’s foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, has urged Russia to reverse its decision, saying jeopardising the export of grain and fertilisers would impact the global food crisis.
The Russian ambassador to the US has rejected accusations that his country was exacerbating a global food crisis, saying it was unfair to criticise Russia.
The agreement was personally negotiated by the UN secretary general and celebrated as a major diplomatic victory that helped ease a global food crisis.
But Russia has complained that its own exports are still hindered, and that most of the grain had been sent to wealthy nations.
Some food has gone directly to the poorest countries in the world, and some has been shipped to countries where people are at risk of starvation, under UN humanitarian relief programmes.
However, UN figures show that the bulk of Ukrainian food exported in the last three months has been going to Spain, Turkey, Italy, China and Netherlands.
“Ukraine and Russia are the world’s major grain exporters, and millions of people in poor countries around the world rely on the two countries’ supply.”

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 13:01 utc | 40

“What on earth are you talking about?”
The DNC has deep pockets too. Be sure to get your share of the loot before it dries up next Tuesday.
“Hey, don’t pay any attention to this war that Democrats are all rabid for! Pay attention instead to this other issue that we are not doing anything about!”
Trollin’ trollin’ trollin’
Keep those troll posts rollin’
Raw snide!

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 13:19 utc | 41

…. If (If) the Russians have been privy to her comms for a year…….
Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 1 2022 10:34 utc | 19

The whole story of RF successfully hacking Truss’s phone and then monitoring her communications for a potentially extended period of time is utterly ludicrous. If there is any truth at all to the hacking of her phone it would be a false flag conducted by one of the UK’s many “allies”, otherwise the whole story is bullshit.
Are we honestly to believe that the scenario is even vaguely plausible from a technical and security standpoint? More likely Ukrainians, dressed as Russians, assisted by Israelis, on behalf of Americans.

Posted by: anon2020 | Nov 1 2022 13:19 utc | 42

Are we honestly to believe that the scenario is even vaguely plausible from a technical and security standpoint?

Cookie Nuland joined the ranks of universal celebrities with her infamous F*ck the EU, painful intercourse that was successfully accomplished as of today, and ongoing. So if Nuland with top connections with the deeper swamp was hacked, so much so illiterate Truss whose greatest qualification consists of riding on battle tanks, or less voluminous beings.

Posted by: Paco | Nov 1 2022 13:35 utc | 43

Diagonal@11
Welcome to the debate.

Posted by: bevin | Nov 1 2022 13:51 utc | 44

The whole story of RF successfully hacking Truss’s phone and then monitoring her communications for a potentially extended period of time is utterly ludicrous.

Posted by: anon2020 | Nov 1 2022 13:19 utc | 42
Not her phone per se but her iCloud backup

Kim Dotcom@KimDotcom
·
Oct 30
How do the Russians know that the UK blew up the North Stream pipelines in partnership with the US?
Because
@trussliz
used her iPhone to send a message to
@SecBlinken
saying “It’s done” a minute after the pipeline blew up and before anybody else knew?
iCloud admin access rocks!

https://twitter.com/KimDotcom/status/1586737543974121472

Kim Dotcom@KimDotcom
All big tech databases are backdoored by every major spy agency. Every smartphone is an open mic to them. Every computer that is connected to the net is wide open. All major chips and most hardware is trojanized. All the data that one spy agency collects is stolen by the others.

https://twitter.com/KimDotcom/status/1587434323669835776

Posted by: Down South | Nov 1 2022 14:09 utc | 45

Posted by: anon2020 | Nov 1 2022 13:19 utc | 42
Not utterly ludicrous at all. Merkel’s phone was hacked for years by various US intel agencies; that is well-known. And those agencies would have really wanted to know what Merkel had to say to ‘colleagues’ in Russia.
I’m sure an astute and aware politician could take the necessary steps to ensure the security of personal communications.
But here we are talking about Liz Truss.
One cannot know for sure if the reported story is true, at least at this juncture.
But why dismiss it as ludicrous?
The problem from the Russian perspective is that if they had indeed made these ‘interceptions’, they wouldn’t be awfully keen to admit it.
If the story is true and fully publically aired, it is dynamite….
Intercepts of military communications are somewhat different, perhaps being considered ‘fair game’.
So if Russia gained intel regarding the Sebastopol attacks (before, during, or after), they might be less reticent to fully air those matters.

Posted by: kfq215 | Nov 1 2022 14:17 utc | 46

Sweden’s Supreme Commander of Armed Forces Micael Byden recommends Swedish government does NOT set red lines in plans to join NATO, meaning NATO would be allowed to deploy NUCLEAR WEAPONS on Swedish soil if Sweden were to join military alliance.

https://t.me/IntelRepublic/7903

Posted by: Down South | Nov 1 2022 14:30 utc | 47

Posted by: anon2020 | Nov 1 2022 13:19 utc | 42
According to Kim Dotcom the hack was done via the ICloud.

Posted by: Down South | Nov 1 2022 14:37 utc | 48

@Diagonal | Nov 1 2022 8:02 utc | 11

The truly most urgent problem facing us, climate breakdown, has been pushed from the agenda, replaced by a frantic search for new fossil fuels. Our political class is working against our own future.

Another poster with an agenda to sell. Yeah… the “most urgent” off-topic “problem” comes late in a long post. Sure.

Posted by: Norwegian | Nov 1 2022 14:49 utc | 49

@Diagnol11
Sorry, the linked post is in egregious error. The US inflation is not the result of people wanting higher wages, or businesses wanting higher profits – it the result of the US raising its money supply by almost 20% in less than 2 years. Just look at a chart of US M2 – the spike is glaring and obvious.
We cannot quickly increase the amount of stuff we make – any kind of stuff, apparently. We’ve seen that as shortages have percolated throughout the country. So, in a simple example, you have an economy of caretakers and food providers with $100 of total money, which eventually reaches some price equilibrium. Now, add $20 overnight to that economy. Some of the caretakers will want to spend their money on more food; however, food makers take a year or more to respond to increased demand. To expand, the food makers will need more capital. At the same time, the demand for the food has increased, creating a shortage. So the food makers raise their prices, according to the market signals they receive.
If the Fed hadn’t intervened and increased the money supply by 20%, then that extra demand would not be there, there would be no shortages, and companies would not respond to false signals.
Milton Friedman wasn’t right about everything, but he was sure right when he said “Inflation is everywhere and anywhere a monetary problem.”

Posted by: FrankDrakman | Nov 1 2022 14:55 utc | 50

@Diagonal 11
I waded through all your gibberish then was not surprised to see your “building back better” B.S. Why not just say “I’m a commie and although it’s never worked, I’m convinced that if we try it one more time it will actually work, so let’s give it another go?”
There is a documented small increase in global temperature over the past 100 years, but there have been times prior to industrialization where the earth’s CO2 content was higher yet temperatures were lower.
If you’re so concerned about CO2, why arent’ you planting trees?
Are you actually so uninformed that you believe that the world can survive using solar panels and windmills? Try reading something other than the propaganda you’ve been consuming in such massive amounts.

Posted by: OdessaConnected | Nov 1 2022 14:55 utc | 51

reply to 48
It remains astonishing to me to witness the climate change narrative as supposedly most important or urgent. It isn’t. It can’t be.
The threat of nuclear war is most important. Flooding Florida or Manhattan in 20 years does not compare to the threat of ending civilization in 2 hours. Just another example of how unthinking the public can be.

Posted by: Eighthman | Nov 1 2022 15:02 utc | 52

Anyone want to start a betting pool on the date the ground freezes hard enough
for the Russian tanks to start rolling?
Posted by: Rhinoskerous | Nov 1 2022 7:12 utc | 4

I doubt that the Russian offensive will come quickly.
We must not forget that the war is taking place on three levels. The lowest and least important level is the war in Ukraine. The Ukraine war is important only for simple minded people and has the advantage of consuming NATO weapons and personnel.
At the middle level, we have an economic war. Right now between Russia and EU (1st front), between EU and America (2nd front) between US and China (3rd front). The economic war is far more important than the Russia war. To win the Ukraine war (lowest level), one have to win the economic war.
At the top level, we have a political war. And the political war between the unipolar and multipolar world order will last ten years (Putin) or even 20 years (Joe Biden) and will decide the world order for the next x-hundred years.
To the lowest level: the Russians could just keep doing what they have been doing for the last six months and succeed in the long run. The West uses up its weapons and thus loses its ability to act in other theaters. The risks, however, are escalation, such as extending the war to Belarus, using nuclear weapons, or Poland invading Ukraine. Russia must therefore exert _some_ more pressure to show dominance. But not too much pressure, otherwise the West will panic and might start desperate actions.
From the Russian point of view: an attack on Greater Odessa would be a nice move.
To the middle level: the EU needs at least another half a year to realize that Russia is a much stronger opponent than thought. And probably the EU needs first a bankruptcy of big states like France or Germany to realize that the Americans are the enemy and the Russians are the friends.

Posted by: Tuk | Nov 1 2022 15:03 utc | 53

@Diagonal #11
When quoting, please put the contents of the quote inside <blockquote> </blockquote> HTML tags.

Posted by: S | Nov 1 2022 15:12 utc | 54

11: “The truly most urgent problem facing us, climate breakdown, has been pushed from the agenda”
Nonsense.
Climate change has always occurred on the earth. Man made climate change has never occurred.
Toronto, where I live, was a tropical climate 500 million years ago, with 500% more CO2 in the air than today.
45,000 years ago , where Toronto stands today, there was 1 mile of ice over the city.
In 1000 AD Eric the Red and his Vikings colonized Greenland where they grew barley. In the early 14th century the Vikings had to abandon Greenland because of a ‘mini ice age’ so that they could no longer grow barley.
These events happened before the advent of fossil fuels.
Man made climate change is but a cynical maneuver by the Elites to have us peasants decrease our life style, tax us to death while they run around in planes telling us to stop using motor vehicles et cetera.
Don’t be gullible.
Don’t believe me, do your own research.

Posted by: canuck | Nov 1 2022 15:15 utc | 55

Nuclear bombs these days are all post apocalypse used to finish off anything left standing. Most of the old cold war bombers have been converted to missile platforms like the RF TU160 and TU95 as a way to launch missiles from a safe (enough) distance to shorten arrival time and avoid the ballistic arc needed to plot anti-missile defense. So, the USA is just puffing its chest for its public or they are prepping for the post apocalypse they’re convinced they have already won. Crazy mad adults with the minds of children.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 1 2022 15:25 utc | 56

@Wazdaka 1
There is nothing “smart” about nuclear weapons, and the only smart thing to do with them is to eliminate them as fast as possible.
Especially as the rest of the third world overtakes the USA, leaving it too poor to afford such useless luxuries.

Posted by: Hermit | Nov 1 2022 15:43 utc | 57

@Kali El 2
Or, a better translation of “Quos Deus vult perdere prius dementat”, might be (shades of Dune), “Those whom the gods would destroy, they first destroy their Mentats”.

Posted by: Hermit | Nov 1 2022 15:49 utc | 58

Diagonal @ 11:
Good effort. Try not to take offense at some of the subsequent responses. MOA is a diverse group, and most posters make many important points, but fail utterly on some issues – in this case anthropogenic climate change.

Posted by: Paul Spencer | Nov 1 2022 15:54 utc | 59

#56
Or another Dune theme” the spice must flow” -just like the spice isn’t flowing through Nordstream anymore…

Posted by: canuck | Nov 1 2022 15:59 utc | 60

Hmm, mostly as a wild guess I would think that the Russians will wait even longer/go slower now and much longer than they likely would have before they decided to counterattack with missiles against the energy infrastructure.
So… maybe next winter or the one after that?
That might be way too fast compared to what they’ll do! 😀
I still think the only sensible end-state is the complete eradication of the state structure of ex-Ukraine as it now exists and either inclusion into Russia (most sensible imo) or as a new CIS or Union State. Doesn’t matter if it takes half a century.
The refugees can all go to Canada and the US (same solution as for Israel; so simple and obvious?).
Of course I could be wildly wrong.

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Nov 1 2022 16:02 utc | 61

Or maybe I’m bluffing 🙂 (double, triple, quadruple, five-fold (?) …).

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Nov 1 2022 16:11 utc | 62

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Nov 1 2022 16:02 utc | 60

The refugees can all go to Canada and the US …

So they can infiltrate the power structure and come back ten times more lethal in 50 years?
I can’t see a scenario here where Justice doesn’t include mass executions (yes, I know where that leads).

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Nov 1 2022 16:14 utc | 63

OdessaConnected | Nov 1 2022 14:55 utc | 50
Keep your Calvinist mental illnesses to yourself. Your housemaster ideology is exactly what Russia is out to eliminate, and rightly so.

Posted by: sippy the shot glass | Nov 1 2022 16:16 utc | 64

In attempting to post on the link above for the ‘other issues’ thread, I find the page beginning with ‘200’ numbered comments is closed. There is no submission form at the bottom of the page, so I did go to the previous page, which had one. I submitted my comment, and got ‘your comment has been received’ on it, but when I checked the final page, and rechecked later, it is not there, and the thread remains closed.
With apologies, I may resubmit here temporarily as I don’t know how else to retain my comment.

Posted by: juliania | Nov 1 2022 16:17 utc | 65

To Canuck , #54
After the Revolutionary War, Roger, of Roger’s Rangers, British, was at loose ends, so he paddled all the way to the Western Great Lakes, with Native accompaniment. He was astonished at the richness of the now Toronto area. A paradise. But zero inhabitants.
Why? He asked his guides
Because the snow will bury you in the winter, you wont go 50 feet, you cant hunt
, and you will DIE.
😃 Climate realists.

Posted by: Philip H Gattey | Nov 1 2022 16:19 utc | 66

France or Germany to realize that the Americans are the enemy and the Russians are the friends.
Posted by: Tuk | Nov 1 2022 15:03 utc | 52

Re: 3 levels – nice post
Now, let’s take it to the next level. One, how do we measure the change(s)? And two, how do we position ourselves to benefit ie play to win?
With regard one, I’d say it could be as simple as monitoring the respective ruble, yuan and rupee exchange rates vis a vis dollar, pound and euro.
One could drill further into respective classic socio economic metrics like inflation, unemployment, crime, etc to monitor who’s is improving and who is degrading.
As to point two, this is where I’d like to see MoA or some other site begin to address the “post war” realities in terms of property values, investment opportunities and other facets that mark the ‘smart money’ crowd.
It’s not often the world is witness to the passing – and emergence – of empires.

Posted by: B9k9 | Nov 1 2022 16:23 utc | 67

Soon, US nuclear missiles shall be placed in Finland, 5 min flight to Moscow.
That is an endgame, Russia is helpless.

Posted by: marko | Nov 1 2022 16:24 utc | 68

The mystic warriors of the Plains, the Lakota, thrown out from the Great Lakes by tribes fed up with their behavior. for cause , good cause, were expected to freeze starve and die on the heretofore uninhabited High Plains. Maybe they should have been offered Toronto. 😄But they didn’t.
Say what you will, they were double tough. And women were treasured cuz you died without one.
Then came the horse, and life for men got much much easier. Women , however, didnt see as much benefit, since wealth ( horses) allowed many wives( none for you young Indian go steal horses and kill we’ ll let you know when you can have a woman) and the society became hyper violent and women, chattel.
Perverse incentives.
The reason for today’s unpleasantness.

Posted by: Philip H Gattey | Nov 1 2022 16:29 utc | 69

@ William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 11:29 utc | 30
lol… thanks for that.. i kind of miss circe…
@ anon2020 | Nov 1 2022 13:19 utc | 42
i give it at least a 50/50 chance, but unless russia can come up with the literal goods, it is a good propaganda win on russias part either way! as @ Paco | Nov 1 2022 13:35 utc | 43 notes – it is definitely not out of the realm of possibility.. the fact bbc has made a big thing about it – win win for russia either way…

Posted by: james | Nov 1 2022 16:40 utc | 70

OdessaConnected #50 and others
What on earth is so upsetting about Diagonals post at 11? Your comments are completely irrational. Diagonal was highlighting issues with the economic war,and suggesting that we reduce our energy consumption. No rational person can have any argument with that.

Posted by: Tim | Nov 1 2022 16:50 utc | 71

⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (1 November 2022)⚡️
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
◽️ Massive attack launched by high-precision long-range air- and sea-based armament on 31 October at the facilities of the control, communication and energy systems of Ukraine have resulted in considerable disruption of guiding the groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) and their logistic support.
◽️ Railroad deliveries of reserve forces and material means to the operations areas have been considerably disrupted. Production works at military industrial facilities of Ukraine have also been disrupted.
💥 In Kupyansk direction, a hostile battalion tactical group reinforced by foreign mercenaries made unsuccessful attempts to launch attacks towards Nikolayevka, Kuzemovka (Lugansk People’s Republic) and Orlyanka (Kharkov region). All the attacks have been repelled.
◽️ The enemy has lost over 150 Ukrainian personnel and mercenaries, 3 tanks, 4 armoured fighting vehicles, and 6 pickups.
💥 In Krasny Liman direction, pre-emptive artillery fire attacks and operations conducted by Russian units against the AFU company tactical groups have resulted in frustrating enemy’s attempts to commence an attack towards Chervonopopovka and Makeyevka (Lugansk People’s Republic).
◽️ Over 30 Ukrainian personnel, 4 infantry fighting vehicles, and three pickups have been eliminated.
💥 In Nikolayev–Krivoy Rog direction, intensive action of Russian forces have resulted in preventing AFU units’ attempts to launch an offensive towards Mylovoye, Sukhanovo, Bruskinskoye, Kostromka and Zelyony Gai (Kherson region). The enemy has been driven back to initial lines.
◽️ Over 110 Ukrainian personnel, 1 tank, 8 armoured fighting vehicles, and 8 pickups have been eliminated.
💥 Operational-Tactical and Army Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery have neutralised eight AFU command posts near Nikolayev, Bereznegovatoye (Nikolayev region), Andreyevka (Kherson region), Vodyanoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), Kupyansk, Stepovaya Novosyolovka, Ivanovka and Golubovka (Kharkov region), as well as 63 artillery units at their firing positions, manpower and military hardware in 154 areas.
◽️ 3 ammunition depots have been destroyed near Kolodezi, Nevskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), and Novaya Kamenka (Kherson region). 2 U.S.-manufactured AN/TPQ-50 electronic warfare radars have been destroyed near Belogorovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Soledar (Donetsk People’s Republic).
💥 Fighter Aviation has shot down 1 Su-24 airplane of Ukrainian Air Force near Apostolovo (Dnepropetrovsk region).
💥 Air defence facilities have destroyed nine unmanned aerial vehicles near Yevgenovka, Krasny Liman (Donetsk People’s Republic), Voyevodovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Energodar (Zaporozhye region), Vasilyevka, Kalininskaya, Doslidnoye and Chervonoye Podolye (Kherson region).
💥 Moreover, 1 Tochka-U ballistic missile has been shot down near Antonovka (Kherson region), and six projectiles launched by Olkha multiple-launch rocket system near Donetsk.
⚠️ Kiev regime continues its provocations aimed at creating a possible technological disaster at Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
◽️ Over the past 24 hours, AFU artillery has launched over 20 projectiles at the north-western suburbs of Energodar and the territory adjacent to the nuclear power plant. The attacks were launched from AFU-controlled Marganets (Dnepropetrovsk region).
💥 The hostile firepower has been neutralised by Russian artillery’s counter-attack.
☢️ The radiation environment near the nuclear power plant remains normal.

Posted by: Summary | Nov 1 2022 16:50 utc | 72

Climate change has always occurred on the earth. Man made climate change has never occurred.
Posted by: canuck | Nov 1 2022 15:15 utc | 54

The first part is most certainly correct, the second part only partially. I think a fair statement would be: Climate change is partly natural and partly man-made. The amount of the human contribution can be debated.
To put climate change in perspective. Supposedly we currently have a temperature increase of 1.5 degrees over a period of 170 years. So per decade the temperature rises by 0.10 degrees. During the conscious human life span (between the 20th and 80th birthday) the temperature has risen by 0.6 degrees.
0.6 degrees spread over 60 years, 60 times summer, 60 times winter and countless hot and cold days. The long-term temperature difference between the two German cities Hamburg and Berlin is bigger and both cities are less than 200 kilometers (100 miles) apart. The long-term temperature variation in both cities without climate change are twice as large. Conclusion: This 0.6 degree difference is not consciously perceivable by humans. Without spending billions on climate research we would not even know that the temperature has changed!
To bring the whole thing back on-topic: If the last generation would really believe in climate change, they would not clue them self on pictures or streets, but demonstrate against war. Military and American fracking gas for Europe are currently the biggest CO2 polluters in Europe.

Posted by: Tuk | Nov 1 2022 16:58 utc | 73

He was suggesting that we reduce our energy consumption. No rational person can have any argument with that.
Posted by: Tim | Nov 1 2022 16:50 utc | 71

The problem is sub optimal IQ, which is verboten on this site.
With respect to resource depletion and scarcity, that’s what this entire war is all about.
Who has it, who needs it, who can defend and who can conquer, dismember and plunder.
There will certainly be less consumption. The issue is whether it is to be top down dictates from WEF political satellites (formerly known as nations), or consensus and/or market driven.
Under no case will the losers in the west be able to promote fantasy solutions to be imposed by our dear leaders.
That ship has sailed; those who can’t figure out that simple fact will be attacked as clueless dupes or clumsy trolls.
Both extremely bad form.

Posted by: B9k9 | Nov 1 2022 17:09 utc | 74

As MoA was down for at least two days for me,South EU, maybe I have posted at the old thread where no one reads anymore.
Please read this fantastic article about the way the RF forces are organized, and why they have had to retreat till now in this war,why the slow advance, it explains it all.RF military doctrine etc. No one has ever posted this about this war so clearly.
The man is the big serge, and I appreciate his military and history knowledge, very interesting, btw a nice addition about the very old battle between Ramses and Hettites, first ever recorded military tactics in a battle few thousand years old, very educating…
Link: https://bigserge.substack.com/p/sound-and-fury

Posted by: stranger | Nov 1 2022 17:13 utc | 75

RT headline today –
“US troops on the ground in Ukraine – American media
The military personnel are reportedly inspecting Western weapons deliveries.”
Perhaps RT might inform Russia.

Posted by: Elmagnostic | Nov 1 2022 17:13 utc | 76

So if Russia gained intel regarding the Sebastopol attacks (before, during, or after), they might be less reticent to fully air those matters.
Posted by: kfq215 | Nov 1 2022 14:17 utc | 46
Think it’s more likely that banksters wanted their own operative to replace Bojo but Liz got in against their wishes thxs to voting conservative Party membership, so they discredited her in many ways one of which is this leak.
Everyone’s phone ‘hacked’ though not carefully monitored and/or gets stories about what was said published in the press. In any case, even if the Russians did hack into her phone, Western press wouldn’t publish that unless instructed to by their own. And who owns the Press???
And so it goes…

Posted by: Scorpion | Nov 1 2022 17:31 utc | 77

Drone video from Orlyanka in Kupyansk direction… direct hit on BMP (?) and accompanying infantry group. Now multiply this by 30x per day.
https://t.me/loordofwar/57382

Posted by: unimperator | Nov 1 2022 17:36 utc | 78

Tim @71: “…suggesting that we reduce our energy consumption. No rational person can have any argument with that.”
Sez the guy with the carbon footprint of an entire village in the Congo.
Your notion of what is rational is irrational. Humanity needs to grow the amount of energy available for driving the global economy by an order of magnitude at least, and that is just in the near term. Arguing that humanity needs to reduce energy generation/capture is like those infantile woketards on campus (non-STEM studies) who’ve never worked a day in their lives and think the commodities they consume magically appear on the Walmart shelves arguing that we have to reduce agriculture since that is “bad for the environment”.
You go first. Show us how it is done. Show us how you survive with no input from modern industrial economy. Presumably it can be done as I heard of this guy who claimed to live for twenty years on nothing but air, but I suspect that was hot air… industrially heated, no doubt.

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 18:09 utc | 79

@William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 18:09 utc | 79
Thank you

Posted by: Norwegian | Nov 1 2022 18:23 utc | 80

William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 18:09 utc | 79
Humanity needs to grow the amount of energy available for driving the global economy by an order of magnitude at least, and that is just in the near term

Why? Is energy consumption a sacred rite of industrialism? Shouldn’t we be ruthlessly criticizing traditions and imaginary friends with real feelings like “the global economy” rather than simply declaring them values and chasing after them like obsessive-compulsives?
Imaginary friends are not rational. Period.

Posted by: sippy the shot glass | Nov 1 2022 18:26 utc | 81

sippy the shot glass @81: “Is energy consumption a sacred rite of industrialism?”
Yes, it is called thermodynamics, and it is the law.

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 18:50 utc | 82

William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 18:50 utc | 82
Thermodynamics does not prescribe intent. That ball-gargling imaginary friend “the global economy” is a religious construct, a free-floating intent that excuses whatever its user feels like excusing. Would you like to try again without religion?

Posted by: sippy the shot glass | Nov 1 2022 19:03 utc | 83

Quote left out to protect the innocent 😛
“Careful with that axe Eugene” —early Pink Floyd
The internet is a strange place but I don’t think I’ve seen figurative accidental self-immolation being performed three times over within one sentence before.
Impressive.
A lesson in our unavoidable human flaws.

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Nov 1 2022 19:14 utc | 84

sippy the shot glass @83
Stop writing like an idiot. The global economy is real. That is why you have oranges and bananas at your local supermarket. That device you are posting messages from is a product of the global economy. Your underwear is a product of the global economy.
Grow up and learn to differentiate between the real world where everything you have is a product of globally integrated manufacturing and your fairy tale world where you can live off rainbow-colored unicorn poop.

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 19:23 utc | 85

@ Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 18:50 utc | 82
Nicolae Georgescu-Roegen used thermodynamics to come to the exact opposite conclusion as you do. Ditto the late (as of last month) Herman Daly. These are not “establishment” figures by any means. Indeed, establishment institutions like the World Economic Forum are just as positive about economic growth as you are, although they suffer from different delusions.

Posted by: fnord | Nov 1 2022 19:37 utc | 86

I don’t seem to be able to post my full reply on Truss, so thanks to everyone for their feedback, agreed that a cloud hack is very plausible but I do wonder “why now?”

Posted by: anon2020 | Nov 1 2022 19:46 utc | 87

fnord @86
You and the World Economic Forum are on the same page where the fates of those outside the “Golden Billion” are concerned. They are all about fairy tale, unicorn poop economics too.
Anyway, enough talk. Time for action! Demonstrate for us the wonderful life you can lead free of the products of industry. All you have to do is not consume, right? What could be easier!

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 20:00 utc | 88

William Gruff @79 This discussion belongs on the general thread. My reply to you is there.
Philip H Gattey@66
And yet the population of various iroqouian nations, including the Petun and the Wendat, practising intensive horticultural husbandry as well as hunting and gathering, exceeded 100,000 in the region of Simcoe county, north of Toronto (and nowadays referred to as the snowbelt.) In the Niagara and ‘Golden Horseshoe’ regions there were very large and settled communities.
That was, of course, before the genocides of the C17th, inspired and implemented under the direction of the colonial powers.

Posted by: bevin | Nov 1 2022 20:03 utc | 89

Philip H Gattey@66
And yet the population of various iroqouian nations, including the Petun and the Wendat, practising intensive horticultural husbandry as well as hunting and gathering, exceeded 100,000 in the region of Simcoe county, north of Toronto (and nowadays referred to as the snowbelt.) In the Niagara and ‘Golden Horseshoe’ regions there were very large and settled communities.
That was, of course, before the genocides of the C17th, inspired and implemented under the direction of the colonial powers.
William Gruff @79 This discussion belongs on the general thread. My reply to you is there.(except that I can’t get onto that page. See below.)

Posted by: bevin | Nov 1 2022 20:08 utc | 90

Ukraine’s military has suffered a serious degradation of capabilities due to the recent strikes by Moscow’s forces, the Russian Defense Ministry stated on Tuesday.
“Transportation of manpower and material towards the frontlines via railroads has been hampered to a large degree. Production at Ukrainian military industrial facilities has also been disrupted,” the statement said, describing the results of the long-range missile barrage launched on Monday.
Meanwhile, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu reported that precision strikes were continuing on key targets, which was affecting Ukraine’s military potential. Speaking during a working meeting on Tuesday, the minister also said that over the last two weeks Russian forces had destroyed 74 tanks, 235 other armored vehicles, two HIMARS multiple rocket launchers and 268 armed cars.
https://www.rt.com/russia/565735-ukraine-military-capability-degraded/
The term “toast” needs a new definition in the dictionary.

Posted by: unimperator | Nov 1 2022 20:40 utc | 91

Elmagnostic @ 76

RT headline today – “US troops on the ground in Ukraine – American media The military personnel are reportedly inspecting Western weapons deliveries.” Perhaps RT might inform Russia.

“Don’t cross our red lines”
“Don’t test the width of our red lines”
“Hey, put that interferometer down!”
It’s a “special” military operation and a hybrid war, maybe “special” as in “special olympics”. Maybe RF knows what they are doing, but USA is absolutely convinced Russia has a breaking point. Get yourself a big bottle of tranquilizers, USA will go right up to that final red line.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 1 2022 20:46 utc | 92

bevin @90
Yeah, the Petun and the Wendat really were something. The bananas they grew were delicious, and the smartphones they manufactured with all of the labor they had left over after their hunting and gathering were second to none. A real model society that we seven billion on Earth should definitely emulate today. I always wanted to live along with the rest of the community in a longhouse made of woven branches too. That would be so delightfully communal.
By the way, my grandma told me why her people had tassels on their clothes in the olden days. The rawhide strips brushing against their skin as they moved helped keep mosquitoes away. What environmentally friendly mosquito repellent! Grandma said DEET worked better, but what would she know?

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 1 2022 20:51 utc | 93

Kumar is mistaken. The US is not punishing Russia. Russia is punishing the US.

Posted by: Giyane | Nov 1 2022 21:27 utc | 94

Test

Posted by: t | Nov 1 2022 21:35 utc | 95

Posted by: Paul Spencer | Nov 1 2022 15:54 utc | 59

Good effort. Try not to take offense at some of the subsequent responses. MOA is a diverse group, and most posters make many important points, but fail utterly on some issues – in this case anthropogenic climate change being BS.

Ftfy

Posted by: t | Nov 1 2022 21:40 utc | 96

Dima says, there is a strong Ukrainian offensive in Kherson.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMbo_oFvQfE
Russian soldiers cannot stop Ukrainian fanatics.
Behind Ukrainians are Poles, then Germans and Italians.
Any peace with Russia is unthinkable in The West.

Posted by: marko | Nov 1 2022 21:43 utc | 97

Too bad there isn’t a general thread at the moment and comments can only be a few sentences long. Control of energy flows is one of the primary reasons for the current conflict but is seldom discussed despite the efforts of myself and others. Basic question: Is the EU energy crisis due to sanctions or Russia’s SMO?

Posted by: karlof1 | Nov 1 2022 22:14 utc | 98

Some alarmist weirdness now happening on TG that Iran will any minute strike KSA oilfields in reprisal for the mosque killing. I try not to cross post and cut and paste TG stuff that people here likely already know, that and that TG is mostly insular social media BS if not some sort of distraction/confusion psyops, but this if true is worrying, and if fake still interesting.
IMO Iran wouldn’t act alone in these tense times and I don’t think Russia and China would consent. More likely USA/KSA/Israel false flag readying their attack, very angry over drones and soon missiles being sent to Russia, that is not improbable and very worrying. Bibi’s inauguration special event? The TG channel Gloabl Resistance News/Cultures of Resistance seems the source and then reiterated round and round. Check and decide veracity for yourselves, or just wait a few days for the headlines and bullshit tsunami – if true. If not… never mind…

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 1 2022 22:20 utc | 99

Will everyone please note that the Truss “It’s done” message to Blinken if real would’ve been sent long after her allegedly hacked iPhone was supposedly in custody?
What’d she do, switch to her other iPhone?

Posted by: John Kennard | Nov 1 2022 22:27 utc | 100