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The MoA Week In Review – (Not Ukraine) OT 2022-209
Last week's posts on Moon of Alabama:
> Last summer in the Donbas region, the Ukrainians were firing 6,000 to 7,000 artillery rounds each day, a senior NATO official said. The Russians were firing 40,000 to 50,000 rounds per day.
By comparison, the United States produces only 15,000 rounds each month. … The shortage in 155-mm artillery shells “is probably the big one that has the planners most concerned,” Mr. Cancian said.
“If you want to increase production capability of 155 shells,” he said, “it’s going to be probably four to five years before you start seeing them come out the other end.” <
— Other issues:
Energy as a weapon:
Late:
Russia:
Spies:
Renewables:
China:
Woke:
- French man wins right to not be ‘fun’ at work – Washington Post
The man, referred to in court documents as Mr. T, was fired from Cubik Partners in 2015 after refusing to take part in seminars and weekend social events that his lawyers argued, according to court documents, included “excessive alcoholism” and “promiscuity.”
Use as open (not Ukraine) thread …
@Old canadian 183
I hope you are not inferring I am a Mason, considering I said plainly I find the rituals (in fact all rituals, religious or otherwise) silly. Religions depend on rituals… need I say more?
Trying another version of Kruger-Dunning theory…
For the Nth time, it is called the Dunning-Kruger Effect. Or Theory. People continue to use it and apply it and study it and write papers on despite your opinions of it.
You are welcome to your own unique opinions, but you are not entitled to misrepresent me, in what I think, believe or say and do. Enough of the Straw-manning hey? Please, you look foolish doing that.
in this one everyone is stupid (blind).
That, your opinion of it, actually has nothing whatsoever to do with the Dunning-Kruger Effect. You are misrepresenting the Theory and the Research and what DKE stands for.
Whatever, I’m now convinced you’ll still believe you know better. (shrug)
As if MoA readers need parables to understand this ancient concept…
Maybe they don’t. Is every reader aware of it? I don’t know, I don’t assume they are. Why do you assume this?
Do you have a better alternative explanation of this “ancient concept”?
it is merely the specific framework to properly calculate the statistical details to be worked out.
Huh?
The Dunning-Kruger Effect and the Elephant and the Blind men are actually two quite distinct notions and issues (problems most people encounter in life).
Why you are conflating them like this I have no idea – I don’t know. Don’t want to know. You might as well be from Andromeda imho.
Here’s the antidote to your conundrum…
I have no conundrum. Please stop assuming you are qualified to speak on my behalf. You do not.
The Three Little Words humankind finds so hard to say:
It’s never been a problem of mine. I cannot speak of others though.
And I cannot control Humanity. I don’t even try to control one of them.
Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 28 2022 23:35 utc | 204
The results forced DPP chief Tsai Ing-wen to resign her position, although she’ll remain active in DPP politics. […] We shall see what changes occur now that KMT has the lead.
Posted by: karlof1 | Nov 28 2022 19:13 utc | 165
It’s misinformation to suggest that KMT has the lead The lead in what K?
Certainly not national politics and policies on China and reunification etc. These were local elections fought over local issues .. despite who much the DPP and their subservient media friends tried to swing the “vote” towards being about China and strong military defense and Pelosi and all that crap.
Tsai Ing-wen has stepped down as the head of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
Will remain active in DPP politics? She’s the President of Taiwan – didn’t you know that? She will remain active in Taiwanese politics until at least the next Presidential election in 2 years from now in 2024 – which the DPP might even win.
From RT several days ago – about local government city elections across Taiwan. Little different than when the Tories/Labour might be the Westminster Govt but lose in local elections across the UK – where these kinds of local elections occur at different times to national elections.
Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen has stepped down as the head of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) after a series of election defeats to opposition candidates, who focused their campaigns on local issues and maintaining peace without being overly confrontational with Beijing.
On Saturday, people went to the polls to vote for mayors in nine cities, as well as city council members and other local leaders across the island. In a major defeat to the ruling party, the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) won key mayoral races in Taipei, Taoyuan, and Keelung, in addition to a string of other victories, leaving the DPP in control of only five out of the 21 local government offices, according to preliminary results.
“The results failed our expectations. We humbly accept the results and accept the Taiwanese people’s decision,” Tsai told reporters at party headquarters on Saturday evening, announcing her resignation as the DPP (PARTY) head,/i>, which she also did after a similarly poor showing in 2018.
It is a meaningless, face-saving “Clayton’s” kind of resignation. She is still the President.
There is next to nothing to see here or read into it. None of those elected have direct say in policy on China.
Except that the KMT has had an uptick of support at the local government elections level —
handy refs include –
The KMT traditionally favors close ties with China but strongly denies being pro-Beijing. It had been on the back foot since 2020′s presidential election loss, and also suffered a blow last December after four referendums it had championed as a show of no confidence in the government failed. […]
But Tsai’s strategy failed to mobilize voters, who disassociated geopolitics from the local elections which traditionally focus more on issues from crime to pollution.
Turnout on Saturday was at record low, just 59% for Taiwan’s six most important cities, compared to an overall figure of around 75% in 2020.
China has been distracted with its own internal problems, including unrest linked to its zero-COVID policy. […]
The KMT had focused its campaign on issues like the COVID-19 pandemic, especially after a surge in cases this year and whether the government favored a local vaccine over imported ones.
In a Sunday editorial, Taiwan’s pro-DPP Liberty Times newspaper said it was tougher to motivate voters at local elections using “abstract political ideas”, and warned the DPP could face distracting splits in deciding its 2024 presidential candidate.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/27/attention-turns-to-presidential-poll-after-taiwan-ruling-party-thrashing.html
That being said, take it with a grain of salt, because the media jockeys never know what the voters truly think or why they vote like they do.
Support for the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) has for the first time overtaken the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT), making it the nation’s second-largest political force, the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation said yesterday, as it released the results of its latest public opinion survey.
The foundation’s survey on political support and the referendums in December found that 17.6 percent support the TPP, compared with 16.2 percent for the KMT, a lead of 1.4 percentage points and the highest ever recorded for the party.
The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) held firm at the top at 27.1 percent, although a close 26.6 percent of respondents declined to choose any party.
https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2021/10/27/2003766845
I suspect they know much more than CNBC journos would. Reality is never as simple as the media and others try to make it sound. It’s actually quite nuanced and complex.
Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 29 2022 0:16 utc | 209
karlof1 | Nov 29 2022 23:21 utc | 271
“They are Peter Pans, afraid to mature, grow up and behave in a civilized manner, wanting to remain in their Rules Based Never-Never Land.”
That’s a great turn of phrase, lol.
and thanks for sharing the info/links and history about Zhang Weiwei – a far better quality and more reliable source on these issues than others given, that is for certain.
A curious coincidence …
“The world ‘Map’ is accelerating its shift away from the paralysed Washington ‘hub’ – but to what?”
Alastair Crooke November 28, 2022
https://strategic-culture.org/news/2022/11/28/the-crux-of-putin-xi-revolution-for-new-world-order-arresting-slide-to-nihilism/
and Escobar’s title: US paralyzed by Islamic Republic of Iran’s strategic swing “
Great minds think alike, though fools seldom differ. (smile)
I had some thoughts on that very thing myself:
Crooke – “…in the continuing western fantasy of pulling China away from Russia.”
The belief that is what the US is trying to do is itself a ‘fantasy’ imv. They’re merely game playing, laying down markers and lines and hurdles then demanding China jumps over them – when they don’t then the US uses such “breaches/refusals” as justifiable reason to sell to the gullible public/other western nations to crank up the pain pressure/imposts further on China trying to slow it down, curtail its options. eg the recent Chips bs.
The very same thing it did to the countries of the ME, in South/Central America, in SE asia, in Africa, no matter who they were aligned to, or supported by and before China arrived on the scene as ‘the’ bigger problem …
They’re not that dumb and stupid in the US that they “really” expect China to pull away from Russia or vice-versa.
China will end up being as sanctioned by the US/EU as Russia currently is today. It won’t stop. That is what the US wants – it doesn’t want it free of Russia, and cowtowing to US dictates – it wants China under non-stop pressure and bleeding, and being kept off balance. Jeez, seriously. The things some “experts” think and say – shaking my head.
Once Turkey, the Saudis, or India get really serious with Russia/China and the SCO/BRICS then they will be on the receiving end of similar draconian sanctions and trade embargoes and financial restrictions by the US/West aligned nations.
Crooke is getting way ahead of himself and so are others. There is no “paralysed Washington ‘hub” yet, and won’t be for a very long time … and until it happens, it hasn’t!
There is a gap between “former wounded civilisations are reasserting themselves” and actually breaking free and being truly independent. Like Putin himself, like China’s leaders, every nation had already tied itself to the US/Western ways for decades to centuries. China literally loves Walmart, Apple, Ebay, Amazon and Tesla.
Russia has been selling oil and coal to Europe since Soviets days – the cold war made no difference then either. Germany and Europe are already pushing back – people need to slow down and stop assuming the worst is going to happen in record time without any notice or long lead times.
Crooke et al are not the gods! He’s worse than a Tarot card reader imo.
You do not unpick these institutional, economic, and cultural ties overnight nor simply. What Russia has done has cost it and it is far from finished paying the price required. Nor has it “won” yet. It’s only round 2 of a 15 round heavy weight championship boxing match. The result is not foregone.
IMO people need to really slow down a lot here. There will be no joy being led by the nose relying upon prolific “town criers” repeating the same slogans and myths every day. It’s what the MSM do btw.
And this by Crooke says so much – “So to where are we headed?”
I say: Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the Future. What’s lacking here is some basic humility and honesty.
Handy quick Ref: In Praise of Skepticism: Trust but Verify
by Pippa Norris
Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 0:16 utc | 275
Background info, Misc news reports go like this:
BuzzFeed News has fired a senior reporter it says plagiarized or misattributed information in at least 11 of his articles.
The reporter, Ryan Broderick, was the author of 11 articles linked in a Friday evening note to readers from BuzzFeed News’ editor in chief, Mark Schoofs, who said the articles in question contained information and phrases that were not properly attributed to their original sources.
On Friday, CNN announced that it had fired one of its news editors for “multiple instances of plagiarism” in at least 50 articles on the news
A Daily News Editor Is Fired After Plagiarism Accusations … Shaun King, a senior justice writer at The Daily News
BuzzFeed has dismissed a journalist after a social media outcry sparked a review of his work, and editors discovered at least 41 of his articles contained instances of plagiarism.
In a statement posted Friday, BuzzFeed Editor-in-Chief Ben Smith said dozens of articles penned by reporter Benny Johnson contained “instances of sentences or phrases copied word for word from other sites.”
Two journalists affiliated with Vice have accused former New York Times executive editor Jill Abramson of plagiarizing sections of …
New York Times Reporter Fired for Plagiarism – Although the Times doesn’t drop the P-word, that’s essentially what reporter Zachery Kouwe is accused of doing. His thieving was brought to ….
2 May 2022 … NBC News said today 11 articles written by a now-dismissed reporter during the past eight months “did not meet our standards for original …
Plagiarists include academics, professionals, students, journalists, authors, and others. Consequences of plagiarism include: Destroyed Professional Reputation – A professional business person, politician, or public figure may find that the damage from plagiarism follows them for their entire career.
The legal repercussions of plagiarism can be quite serious. Copyright laws are absolute. One cannot use another person’s material without citation and reference. An author has the right to sue a plagiarist.
https://www.ithenticate.com/resources/6-consequences-of-plagiarism
Daily Mail ‘spits dummy’ after Paul Barry calls out plagiarism – 6 Nov 2018 … The Daily Mail has turned the tables on Media Watch, questioning the ethics of host Paul Barry and story editor Jason Whittaker after the …
There’s also many academic papers that researched the extensive amount of news reporting and opinion pieces plagiarism across the world. For example from 2015.
– ‘Reporter fired for plagiarism’: a forensic linguistic analysis of news plagiarism…
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/281032163_'Reporter_fired_for_plagiarism'_a_forensic_linguistic_analysis_of_news_plagiarism
extracts – News plagiarism has been perhaps one of the most challenging areas of research into plagiarism. Unlike student plagiarism, text reuse by journalists with little or no attribution at all does not seem to be usually regarded as plagiarism, not even when substantial amounts of text are reused. […]
On the other hand, they often reuse text from other (secondary) sources to write their articles, while not always citing them. This is the case of reusing text from other media organisations, or even from newswire services. Notwithstanding these underlying assumptions, journalists have been punished for plagiarising.
In February 2015, Jared Keller, the news director of the news site Mic, was fired after he was found to have lifted passages of text from other news sources. Keller reproduced the text literally or with minor changes, with little or no reference to the source. Where he provided a reference, this was made in passing.
That same month, the columnist Tanveer Ahmed was dismissed by the Australian after a blogger accused him of plagiarising an American political website.
Two years earlier, the New Yorker writer Jonah Lehrer was fired for recycling New Yorker blog posts, among other misdeeds.
One of the most paradigmatic cases, however, is that of Jayson Blair, who in 2003 resigned from The New York Times after facing accusations of journalistic fraud, including plagiarism. In
particular, he was accused of lifting material from newswire services and other newspapers, such as the Washington Post and The San Antonio Express-News.
In 2007, a reader of the Portuguese quality newspaper Público found that the journalist Clara Barata plagiarised from other sources, including Wikipedia. This case is even more complex than the others, as the texts were not lifted from an original in the same language, but instead from an original in another language.
A similar case is that of a reporter of the Telegraph-Journal in Canada, who was fired in
2009 for lifting a news piece from L’Acadie Nouvelle.
This paper investigates how a forensic linguistic analysis can assist the detec-
tion and/or provision of evidence of news plagiarism. It builds on the assumption
that it is crucial to devise a method for identifying the textual elements that can
be used to flag a text as a potential instance of plagiarism, not only to raise sus-
picion about its originality, but also to develop translingual plagiarism detection
techniques (Sousa-Silva 2014). A method of this type is presented below. […]
The Reuters Style Guide states in addition that, in accordance with the Reuters Code of Conduct, the company’s journalists are required to always “search for and report the truth, fairly, honestly and unfailingly” (Reuters 2008, pg. 1). […]
Their journalists are, therefore, required to do a “proper attribution to the source of
material that is not” theirs, and and concludes that “failure to do so may open us to charges of plagiarism” (Reuters 2008, pg. 5).
Likewise, the International Federation of Journalists1(IFJ) and the Portuguese journalists’ union (Sindicato dos Jornalistas2) consider plagiarism a ‘serious professional offense’.
Similarly, the style guide of the main Portuguese quality newspaper, Público3, establishes that plagiarism is forbidden by the newspaper, and adds that all relevant information collected from other media organisations or news agencies must be attributed.
[…] In addition, the style guide explicitly states that texts translated from other languages should be clearly marked as translations and include the translator’s name.
It is then unsurprising that, in accordance with its policy, Público published an apology, in 2006, for one of their journalists, Clara Barata, who published an article that was mainly translated from the New Scientist and Wikipedia. The suspicion was raised by a reader, who noticed that the text looked familiar to him when he first read it, and later identified the original sources. The newspaper initiated an investigation and later realised that the journalist plagiarised 13 significant extracts using translation.
The case was compared to that of the famous New York Times journalist, Jayson Blair, who in 2003 was dismissed after the newspaper was challenged by other news organisations for accusations of
plagiarism.
Cases of news plagiarism have however long been reported. In 1996, another news organisation, the Portuguese news agency Lusa, had submitted a complaint to the journalist’s union, Sindicato dos Jornalistas, claiming that several Portuguese media organisations were plagiarising texts authored and signed by their own journalists, and which were not included in newswire services.
[…] It is thus evident that, despite reporting facts, news are subject to principles of originality as much as other text genres, including student assignments. News plagiarism therefore is not treated much differently from academic plagiarism. Like academic plagiarism, it is not only subject to internal rules and regulations, but also tends to be resolved internally by the respective organisations.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/281032163_'Reporter_fired_for_plagiarism'_a_forensic_linguistic_analysis_of_news_plagiarism
Plagiarism is not a crime. It is a matter of Professional Ethics, Morals and Credibility.
Posted by: SeanAU | Nov 30 2022 2:18 utc | 286
TL&DR Given the current Ukraine Sitzkreig. History & context re Empires modern Genesis … re Phillipines, China & the South China Sea.
Re aquery from our resident inquisitive Alien, Klaatu, & discussions re Empires latest attempts to once again assume control of the Philippines sovereignty for its own hegemonic purposes, prompted by the WSWS article post from Jun in the Open (Not Ukraine) Thread 2022-205 triggered in my mind perhaps the benefit of a historical frame of reference.
Where did Empire start ?
You may recall the horrors of torture Empire inflicted in Iraq, in Abu Ghraib prison, it’s secret internal CIA Black Site, still open even now Guantanamo Bay facility, other secret ‘Black Sites’ around the globe, in particular certain Junior NATO members, & separate ‘Black Site’ Brigs on secure sovereign US territory, US CVA’s sailing upon the waves.
Water-boarding, & water-torture were & are US torture methods easy to conceal/deny re survivors testimony. The Imperial Japanese Army/Navy is the most well known prior practitioner.
Yet Empire, in it’s initial modern form of the USA, used such methods routinely over 120 years ago, freely, even openly in public, upon summary apprehension/arrest against the civilian population of the Philippines during the Philippine-American War & subsequent Occupation.
The first use of wartime water torture by Americans occurred during the Philippine-American War of 1899 to 1902, when American soldiers and their indigenous minions used the “water cure” to extract information from Filipinos who resisted the occupation of their land, and to punish them.
“The First Wartime Water Torture by Americans”
Maine Law Review, Volume 69 Number 1 Article 2, January 2017, Allan W. Vestal,(65 pages, refs) full PDF download link
US citizens & most westerners know none of the true history, other than some vague recollection of ‘Remember the Maine’, jingoistic empire patriotism & the phrase ‘Yellow Journalism’.
Hence a brief Primer on the ‘formal’ beginning of the ‘Modern’ form of US Empire re the Monroe Doctrine, starting with a snapshot of the Phillipine-American War.
This war triggered the formation of the The American Anti-Imperialist League at Faneuil Hall, Boston, Massachusetts, which at the time prepared briefs/letters/lectures against the war & subsequently Imperialism.
During the late 19th and early 20th centuries, the Anti-Imperialist League used Faneuil Hall to protest America’s growing imperialism. The league argued against militarization and the creation of an overseas American Empire and asserted that the principles the United States had been founded upon needed to extend to foreign policy as well.
National Parks Service.
Manila, or the Monroe Doctrine? Courtesy of Library of Congress via HathiTrust. Digital Public Library of America (DPLA).
The annexation of the Philippines and other overseas territories called into question just how far America’s jurisdiction stretched. Author John Chetwood challenged American imperialistic practice with this 1898 pamphlet. In it he argues: “In the scales with the Monroe Doctrine lie our national honor and our national credit. Will the people of the United States exchange this for Manila?“
The true scale, scope & horror of the war for Empire was hidden from the general public using narratives, reports & illustrations deliberately concealing the reality …
The Philippine-American War was hardly a “skirmish,” as illustrations of American soldiers suggests. By the war’s end, 4,200 Americans and 20,000 Filipino soldiers lay dead, in addition to 100,000(Other, more credible estimates are ~200,000-1,000,000) Filipino civilians.
Please carefully consider the figures, long before ‘modern’ warfare, ie mass artillery barrages, bomber fleets, or ‘Shock & Awe’.
The Philippines waged a fiery, but ultimately unsuccessful, war against American imperialists.
Revolution had been brewing in the Philippines long before the Spanish-American War. In 1896, Filipino nationalists, largely organized by the militant Katipunan group, waged an armed rebellion against Spain. Emilio Aguinaldo, leader of a Katipunan faction, emerged as prominent military and political leader. The resistance even established the First Republic of the Philippines with Aguinaldo at its head. Neither Spain nor the US recognized its legitimacy. Nonetheless, during the Spanish-American War, Filipinos fought alongside the US hoping that an American alliance and victory would mean independence. Allies, however, soon became enemies.
In the Treaty of Paris, the US agreed to annex the Philippines at the cost of $20 million. Angered by the betrayal, Filipinos declared war. The Philippine-American War was a bloodier and more brutal affair than its predecessor. Where the US won in manpower and technology, Filipino rebels made up for their military deficit with tenacious guerrilla tactics. Philippine General Elwell S. Otis promised to “drive the Americans into the sea.” By 1902 the US had captured Aguinaldo and devastated a majority of Filipino cities and communities. The war came to an end, and President Theodore Roosevelt pardoned the insurgents. The Philippines was now officially a US territory.
Fighting the Spanish alongside the US, to achieve Independence … betrayed proxies … Phillipino’s, ‘We’ve got your back !'(USA)
Empire, exceptionalism, expansionist jingoism became entrenched post the war, & the nascent American Anti-Imperialist League promptly lost relevance, support & influence until ultimately disbanding in 1920 …
Peace
Posted by: Outraged | Nov 30 2022 5:51 utc | 300
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