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October 24, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-182
Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict. Please stick to the topic. The current open thread for other issues is here.
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https://twitter.com/AZgeopolitics/status/1584574729129955328 Posted by: Down South | Oct 24 2022 16:11 utc | 101
https://twitter.com/AZgeopolitics/status/1584574729129955328 Posted by: Down South | Oct 24 2022 16:11 utc | 102 Why is a sizable contingent of the 101st Airborne deployed to Romania. I can’t see any actual reason for it. Maybe its just another silly “training” exercise designed to keep the US public “nervous” before the mid-terms. (Those 28 who actually even know about it). What’s the game? Posted by: HOGGY | Oct 24 2022 16:14 utc | 103 Down South | Oct 24 2022 16:11 utc | 101 Posted by: sippy the shot glass | Oct 24 2022 16:16 utc | 104 There is the pesky theory that the 1945 bombs dropped on Japan were also dirty bombs. Posted by: Opport Knocks | Oct 24 2022 16:18 utc | 105 Maybe RF intel picked up on something and wanted to head it off at the pass so to speak. Either way something big is coming up. Another thing that occurred to me is that thousands of Ukrainian soldier are getting trained out of country not because it’s so much better in say England or Poland, but because it has become hazardous to mass troops anywhere in Ukraine! Posted by: Chevrus | Oct 24 2022 16:18 utc | 106 Have people seen Maria Butina’s OP-ED in RT? Posted by: GoFast | Oct 24 2022 16:20 utc | 107 Posted by: sippy the shot glass | Oct 24 2022 16:16 utc | Posted by: Down South | Oct 24 2022 16:21 utc | 108 @Opport-105: There is also a pesky theory that DU munitions that got pulverized in places like Fallujah are responsible for cancer and birth defects….. Posted by: Chevrus | Oct 24 2022 16:22 utc | 109 Assuming a dirty bomb would still need facilities and an industrial electricity supply to manufacture: Posted by: Arch Bungle | Oct 24 2022 16:24 utc | 110 I have to remind you that the airborne trannies were announced for Romania and other East European countries many months ago. A bit later, but still months ago, Macaron announced that some of his troops will go to Romania and other countries in the area. And they did go but wasn’t interesting for youtubers. Go search old news if you don’t believe me. Posted by: rk | Oct 24 2022 16:30 utc | 111 Muthaucker Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 24 2022 16:39 utc | 112 Have look at where the RF forces are between Nikolaev and Kherson today. https://ibb.co/Zgp43wB You’d notice that the RF forces are actually not that far from Nikolaev, ~25-30 from it. You can also notice that the city of Kherson is far away inside the Russian lines. There’s quite chance that RF forces might attack Nikolaev, rather than Ukr army advancing on Kherson. Posted by: Paulg | Oct 24 2022 16:41 utc | 113 Here’s a Tass article from a Russian Defense Ministry spokesman concerning the status of the SMO. It might well overlap with material posted on this thread by Down South, being that it would have taken too long for me to thoroughly compare the two sources. Posted by: David Levin | Oct 24 2022 16:42 utc | 114 UK’s prime minister is an Indian. London mayor is a Pakistani. Both were born in the UK, while their parents were born in the former British colony, undivided at that time, as India and Pakistan. Times are changing for former colonial looters. Posted by: JackG | Oct 24 2022 16:52 utc | 115 marcjf #99 Posted by: Cyclops | Oct 24 2022 16:54 utc | 116 Yes. The country will more and more resemble the countries Sunak and Sadiq Khan sure as heck don’t want to live in. Posted by: Paulg | Oct 24 2022 16:55 utc | 117 @ HOGGY | Oct 24 2022 16:14 utc | 103 Posted by: james | Oct 24 2022 16:55 utc | 118 Living as I do in the USA,the lack of Neo-Nazi ceremonies and festivities here is troubling. Support the troops used to be a patriotic thing her. If you can’t show support for Zelenski and his stalwart butchers and, really, the whole administrative staff, what can I say? Posted by: Elmagnostic | Oct 24 2022 17:00 utc | 119 My wife is dying of hyperparathyroidism. It was caused by medical radiation. You really are one dumb motherfucker. Posted by: Muthaucker | Oct 24 2022 17:01 utc | 120 All of this loose talk about a “dirty bomb” attack ignores the physics of nuclear fission and radioactive decay. Soon after detonation, the radioactivity of the fission products from even a moderate yield nuclear bomb is thousands if not millions of times greater than the radioactivity of any reasonable quantity of radioactive material that some imbecile might disperse with chemical explosives. Even so, the mass of shielding required to enable transportation and handling will result in a “bomb” about the size and weight of a main battle tank. The prolonged decay curve of a “dirty” bomb will be extremely easy to distinguish from the very rapid decay curve of fallout from a nuclear weapon. More importantly, measuring the decay curve in conjunction with analyzing the isotope ratios if individual elements will enable determination of how recently the fission or neutron capture events that creates the radioactive material occurred. Posted by: Elmer Fudd | Oct 24 2022 17:04 utc | 121 A dirty bomb could be anything, depending on the isotopes and quantities disbursed. I don’t remember many people dying from Fukashima pollution, although in a nuclear plant emergency, workers at the site are exposed to large doses of radiation. Posted by: PP | Oct 24 2022 17:04 utc | 122 Re: PP (POST #122) Posted by: Elmer Fudd | Oct 24 2022 17:11 utc | 123 @rk Posted by: Sam | Oct 24 2022 17:11 utc | 124 “Only the defeated commit [war] crimes”, the British novelist John Mortimer wrote not long ago. Posted by: james | Oct 24 2022 17:13 utc | 125 Posted by: PP | Oct 24 2022 17:04 utc | 122 Posted by: WJ | Oct 24 2022 17:13 utc | 126 Chevrus | Oct 24 2022 16:22 utc | 109
It is not a theory. Hundreds of Italian NATO peacekeepers and Serbs have died/are dying from cancers caused by the radioactive dust which now poisons the ground and the water in areas of Serbia. Here is an extract of the press conference held by Zhao Lijian, the foreign Ministry spokesperson, on 10 June 2022
Posted by: cirsium | Oct 24 2022 17:14 utc | 127 Not sure the neo-Nazis in Kiev will appreciate a brown leader of the UK government popping over for a visit a la Boris. Posted by: Night Tripper | Oct 24 2022 17:16 utc | 128 Re: Opport Knocks | Oct 24 2022 16:18 utc | 105 Posted by: Steven Starr | Oct 24 2022 17:18 utc | 129 So much ignorance about toxicity of radioactive materials… looking at you, MFer. Posted by: averros | Oct 24 2022 17:24 utc | 130 oldhippie | Oct 24 2022 15:07 utc | 76 Posted by: rjb1.5 | Oct 24 2022 17:24 utc | 131 The US military arrived in Haiti to suppress anti-government riots on the island. Posted by: Paulg | Oct 24 2022 17:29 utc | 132 Evidently only billionaires and bankers are worthy to save humanity from billionaires and bankers. Good times! Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 24 2022 17:30 utc | 133 Night Tripper @ 128 Posted by: Paulg | Oct 24 2022 17:32 utc | 134 “If the Europeans stop allocating money to Kyiv, then Ukraine will be left without salaries and pensions.” – Prime Minister of Ukraine Denys Shmygal. Posted by: Paulg | Oct 24 2022 17:36 utc | 135 Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 24 2022 17:30 utc | 133 Posted by: Arch Bungle | Oct 24 2022 17:37 utc | 136 The transcript of Lavrov’s presser after his Valdai Club appearance is now available. In it he’s asked about the dirty bomb issue and had this to say:
The Nazi pukes likely have control over this action, not Zelensky, which IMO means it’s more likely to happen. Which Western government is most likely in cahoots? My money’s on the UK. Reuters – Russia could plan ‘dirty bomb’ pretext, Western countries say Posted by: rk | Oct 24 2022 17:43 utc | 138 @ karlof1 | Oct 24 2022 17:39 utc | 137 with the Lavrov quotes about dirty bomb Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 24 2022 17:46 utc | 139 On the deployment of parts of the 101st Airborne to Romanis, they are replacing their counterparts in the 82nd Airborne who were previously stationed there. They are there as an “ornament”. @127: I used the word ‘theory’ in a somewhat sarcastic manner. I am well aware that women in Fallujah have been told to simply not bother to try to have a child due to so many horrible deformities Posted by: Chevrus | Oct 24 2022 17:47 utc | 141 UK can’t pollute fertile land in Eurasia with impunity. If they pollute 4000km^2 in Nikolaev, then it would be fair to pollute 4000km^2 somewhere in the UK. Posted by: AParadiseLost | Oct 24 2022 17:49 utc | 142 I forgot who, but someone from high up in the Russian Federation made an excellent remark today: Posted by: whirlX | Oct 24 2022 17:53 utc | 143 Most of the problems of the modern world would have been avoided if Woodrow Wilson agreed to the Brest Litovsk treaty to recognize the territories Germany had won in 1917. Posted by: kulmthestatusquo | Oct 24 2022 17:58 utc | 144 karlof1 | Oct 24 2022 17:39 utc | 137
I have been reading this and the legitimate telegram channel for some time now and they have proved reasonably accurate. They would have to have the OK from MI6 for this bomb and I think is what was behind Ben Wallace’s sudden unscheduled trip to Washington a few days back. Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 24 2022 17:58 utc | 145 karlof1 @ 140 Posted by: circumspect | Oct 24 2022 18:02 utc | 146 ‘UK’s prime minister is an Indian’. NO. He is British but of East African Asian heritage. Mrs Sunak is Indian. Both have a joint fortune of £730m. Her father is worth £3.9. (net) Posted by: Geraint ap Iorwerth | Oct 24 2022 18:02 utc | 147 In response to Paulg @ 56 Posted by: StirThePot | Oct 24 2022 18:03 utc | 148 Obviously, Russia cannot expect Ukraine, Europe or US to deal rationally wish prospect of dirty bomb – they are busilly looking other way. Posted by: jared | Oct 24 2022 18:05 utc | 149 I think it’s most likely a matter of communication intercepts. Could be a prank, which is conceivable when you know someone is listening in on your communications, or it could be serious. Not something that needs to be taken into consideration in formulating an appropriate response. Western leaders have been informed of what that response is going to be and have characterized it as an escalation of the conflict in their collective statement. Posted by: Skiffer | Oct 24 2022 18:07 utc | 150 4 seismic events of unknown origin were recorded on October 20 and 21 near the Russian Primorsk and Vyborg, approximately in the area where the Nord Stream passes, reports the Finnish Seismological Institute. Posted by: rk | Oct 24 2022 18:09 utc | 151 psychohistorian @139–
As you read, Russia will have grounds to retaliate against any NATO nation it suspects of helping with such a provocation. That most recent provocations in Ukraine and Syria were backed by UK assets is why I primarily suspect MI6 but cannot rule out CIA as Larry suggests. As I wrote elsewhere on this topic, I agree with Maria that this provocation is designed as a message to RoW to persuade it to abandon Russia which until now its been very reluctant to do. The external help is needed to ensure the “disguise” of the bomb functions–that it has the fingerprint of Russian atomics, not one from another nation. It’s been suggested that the Outlaw US Empire possesses nukes recovered from a sunken Soviet sub and would employ material from them to provide such a signature. However, Russia will know what sort of signature those lost nukes had and if the signature is from them, then Russia will know who provided the aide and from where the material came from and that would likely prompt a hypersonic response. They could launch dirty bomb into old Russia or into new Russia or set several off in area of Odessa during attack, for example. Posted by: jared | Oct 24 2022 18:11 utc | 153 averros & rjb, 130 & 131 Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 24 2022 18:11 utc | 154 To understand the Ukraine-Russia war you have to understand the second world war. Posted by: un censored | Oct 24 2022 18:12 utc | 155 Posted by: averros | Oct 24 2022 17:24 utc | 130 Posted by: Muthaucker | Oct 24 2022 18:13 utc | 156 karlof1 | Oct 24 2022 18:10 utc | 152 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 24 2022 18:21 utc | 157 With a dirty Cobalt bomb the real fun starts when it gets into the groundwater system … Posted by: Arch Bungle | Oct 24 2022 18:27 utc | 158 @Orgel 22 Posted by: Hermit | Oct 24 2022 18:36 utc | 159 @155 un censored Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 24 2022 18:42 utc | 160 … then we must be clear which entities merit her attention. Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 24 2022 18:44 utc | 161 @Greg Galloway 7 Posted by: Hermit | Oct 24 2022 18:44 utc | 162 @ gottlieb | Oct 24 2022 14:32 utc | 61 Posted by: John Kennard | Oct 24 2022 18:45 utc | 163 Lots of discussion about the dirty bomb issue and righty so. Posted by: Jax | Oct 24 2022 18:45 utc | 164 All the talk of a dirty bomb is just more evidence that time is not on Russia’s side. Posted by: Dan Farrand | Oct 24 2022 19:01 utc | 165 Peter AU1 @157– @ karlof1 | Oct 24 2022 17:46 utc | 140 Posted by: John Kennard | Oct 24 2022 19:15 utc | 167 Perhaps, just perhaps, the dirty bomb Intel was either: Posted by: Opport Knocks | Oct 24 2022 19:16 utc | 168 Apparently, Ukrainians and the collective West would rather destroy Ukraine and themselves then be defeated by Russians. Posted by: marko | Oct 24 2022 19:18 utc | 170 Can We Avoid World War 3? Posted by: Babel-17 | Oct 24 2022 19:19 utc | 171 Liz Truss not handing over to Sunak immediately also makes me suspicious that something is up. They may be plotting to make the dastardly deed a fait accompli before he takes over. The question is will Sunak REALLY be PM or kept out of the loop in defence matters. I am not sure they are happy having him there, especially right now. Posted by: DaVinci | Oct 24 2022 19:20 utc | 172 Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 24 2022 18:10 utc | 152 Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Oct 24 2022 19:24 utc | 173 I am in South Europe, Croatian seacoast. Posted by: ranger | Oct 24 2022 19:24 utc | 174 John Kennard @167– Don’t expect much form Russia. Posted by: marko | Oct 24 2022 19:26 utc | 176 @160 To really understand WW2 you have to realize that Stalin and Hitler were secretly married. It’s in a deleted passage from Churchill’s book. Posted by: dh | Oct 24 2022 19:37 utc | 177 RSH @173– re: Chevrus | Oct 24 2022 16:22 utc | 109 and cirsium | Oct 24 2022 17:14 utc | 127 Posted by: Steven Starr | Oct 24 2022 19:41 utc | 179 I would draw the attention with this issue of a potential dirty bomb false flag and Nato entrance to the war – is all resulting out of the desperation of keeping the war running. The old Soviet stockpiles of tanks and fighters are nearly used up, and at this point in time it will get really expensive for Nato. There’s really no reason to assume they would perform any better, against Russian long range AD and AWACS and effective antitank weapons like Kornets. UAF also may have up to 400k casualties. Over 100 % of their GDP is funded by the EU and US. Posted by: unimperator | Oct 24 2022 19:45 utc | 180 The Big Question: Do Imperial planners see/understand any of that or are they blinded by their hubris? Posted by: B9k9 | Oct 24 2022 19:48 utc | 181 Slavyangrad 18:12 Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Oct 24 2022 20:01 utc | 182 Biggest dirty bomb in the Ukraine is the stinking pile of shit they have for a President. Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Oct 24 2022 20:02 utc | 183 Posted by: Elmer Fudd | Oct 24 2022 17:04 utc | 121 Posted by: Ed Nelson | Oct 24 2022 20:02 utc | 184 I dont get why anybody would take marx still seriously. Nothing happened the way he predicted it. Nothing. Posted by: Jusses | Oct 24 2022 20:11 utc | 185 An new example of the unrelented hysteria that is frogging inside the heads of western governments. Today an anti-vaxxer + pro-Putin activist Jakub Netik was acquitted from trial by a Czech judge. He was brought to trial by the Czech government, who accuses him of ‘genocide’, because he openly doubted (on his FB page) the UA & MSM narrative with regard to what happened in Bucha near Kiev. The Czech government tried to get him for two years to prison (four years if he repeated his crime). They appealed immediately to the judge’s decision. Posted by: Oblomovka daydream | Oct 24 2022 20:14 utc | 186 karlof1 | Oct 24 2022 19:14 utc | 166 “I must admit I don’t see any party gaining anything from such a provocation” Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 24 2022 20:18 utc | 187 The West and Ukraine dare to do anything, even unthinkable. Posted by: Jusses | Oct 24 2022 20:20 utc | 188 Nato detonates dirty or low yield bomb in ukraine such as Nikolev, killing ethnic Russians. It will be used a pretext for Nato to capture odessa and enter the war. Nato believes thats Russia will not cross Nuclear threshold on NATO territories in respons and will sacrifice ukraine. Posted by: Jason Jackson | Oct 24 2022 20:22 utc | 189 I can’t see Ukraine dirty bombing itself in a false flag. U.S. intelligence will probably find out about it, and U.S. intelligence has thrown Ukraine intelligence under the bus recently, leaking that the Darya Dugina bombing was against their wishes to NYT. We’ll know and we’ll eventually kill the people involved, even if they don’t see a trial. Ukraine is doing well right now on the battlefield and received plenty of weapons, they don’t need a desperate ploy like a fake terrorism attack. Finally, the dirty bomb will contaminate soil and land for decades, people fear that stuff, and ultra-nationalists won’t contaminate their own land. Posted by: GoFast | Oct 24 2022 20:29 utc | 190 The sad fact is that Western media consumers are trained via multiple repeated messages to accept whatever they’re told. Posted by: Sideshow Bob | Oct 24 2022 20:34 utc | 191 Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 24 2022 12:51 utc | 18 Posted by: Blissex | Oct 24 2022 20:35 utc | 192 Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 24 2022 14:14 utc | 53 Posted by: Blissex | Oct 24 2022 20:38 utc | 193 The deployment of the 101st to Romania is an exercise in bluster, as evidenced by the report by the CBS journalist who has been embedded with the group. Hyping the proximity to Ukraine’s battleground with the commanding officer’s refrain that the outfit is “ready to fight tonight”, while wargaming based on observation of Russian tactics, the main “message” is clearly stated: Posted by: jayc | Oct 24 2022 20:39 utc | 194 Posted by: chunga | Oct 24 2022 14:06 utc | 47 Posted by: Blissex | Oct 24 2022 20:40 utc | 195 We are often told that the so-called A-10 Warthog ‘tank buster’ jets and M1 Abrams tanks use depleted uranium shells to penetrate and ‘burn up’ enemy tanks. But they are in fact used as explosives to demolish all sorts of targets. This narrative about ‘depleted uranium’ is just a big lie. If they were using actual depleted uranium we would not be receiving reports of people dyeing in large numbers from radiation poisoning. They are not using depleted uranium at all. They are actually using highly enriched uranium in the shells, which cause small nuclear detonations when they are compressed upon impacting hard targets. They really are ‘mini’-tactical nuclear bombs. Thus they produce enormous amounts of deadly radioactive dust which contaminates target areas for quite a while. Posted by: blues | Oct 24 2022 20:44 utc | 196 ultra-nationalists won’t contaminate their own land. Posted by: Jusses | Oct 24 2022 20:46 utc | 197 «Transporting a dirty bomb in Moscow is already impossible! Probably the same in Belarus? At least in the west (Germany) no one transports a ratioactive load through cities unnoticed! At every intersection on busy roads, arterial roads are sensors that register any radiation» Posted by: Blissex | Oct 24 2022 20:52 utc | 198 Jason Jackson 190
Why bother with Florida if I can hit Washington DC instead. The rest of US citizens might even be grateful that somebody finally did it. Posted by: grunzt | Oct 24 2022 20:54 utc | 199 Posted by: Blissex | Oct 24 2022 20:38 utc | 194 Posted by: Macpott | Oct 24 2022 20:57 utc | 200 |
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