Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.
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October 19, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-177
Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict. Please stick to the topic. The current open thread for other issues is here.
Comments
Dear old bar flies, Posted by: dfg | Oct 19 2022 16:20 utc | 1 Ukraine keep on their offensive. Where is Russia? Gone as usual.
https://t.me/intelslava/39658 Posted by: Zanon | Oct 19 2022 16:23 utc | 2 What did Russia expect? That they could attack electricity sites of Ukraine and Ukraine would not respond at the same type of targets? Posted by: Mo3 | Oct 19 2022 16:35 utc | 3
https://sonar21.com/why-is-the-united-states-bombing-kiev/ Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 16:37 utc | 4
Stop responding to the troll, he loves the attention and lives for the responses from folks here. Posted by: AntiLogic | Oct 19 2022 16:39 utc | 5
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/15417 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 16:41 utc | 6 aristodemos posting Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 16:46 utc | 7 Is the Ukie power grid capable of importing power from neighbors this winter? What is the status of nuke PP still held by the Ukies? Is Ruskie gas still flowing everywhere through Ukie controlled territory? does the loss of NS1+2 make the Ukie pipeline more “strategic”? Would a republican admin pursue the same forge in policy as Joe B? Posted by: KlutchKargo | Oct 19 2022 16:49 utc | 8 Zanzibother@2 Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 16:52 utc | 9 Mo3 Posted by: Zanon | Oct 19 2022 16:52 utc | 10 @ Zanon #6 Posted by: zidar | Oct 19 2022 16:53 utc | 11 This open thread has become, as always, open season for trolls. Good luck fellas! Posted by: Steve | Oct 19 2022 16:56 utc | 12 aristodemos posting Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 16:59 utc | 13 Herr Ringbone@12 Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 17:04 utc | 14 Evacuating Kherson? Building defenses? Looks like Russia got themselves another general McClellan, not a Grant. Posted by: Chazz | Oct 19 2022 17:09 utc | 15 Ukrainian Losses Mount in Failed Assaults Posted by: unimperator | Oct 19 2022 17:09 utc | 16 zidar Posted by: Zanon | Oct 19 2022 17:10 utc | 17 The Russians are lowering the water level. This could allow them to later close the gates and cross the River below the dam or blow the flood gates up north and flood/split Dnipo city and Zapori in half. Posted by: OohCanada | Oct 19 2022 17:11 utc | 18 Aristodemos posting Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 17:14 utc | 19 Hopefully, the NATO-Banderistan troops will concentrate themselves in the attack such that thermobaric munitions can efficiently eliminate them. Posted by: Klaus | Oct 19 2022 17:16 utc | 20 The Russian position around Kherson city is unsustainable without proactive aggression. RU would need to initiate an offensive up from the Melitopol direction to take Zaporizhzhia city, secure a new river crossing, then take Kryvyi Rih and threaten Ukr from the rear. This would secure Kherson city by relieving the pressure on its defenders. Posted by: GoFast | Oct 19 2022 17:17 utc | 21 It is funny (and strange) that the so-called leaders of the EU/NATO didn’t foresee the martial law in the four newly added areas of Russia. They didn’t foresee the attacks on the Ukrainian energy infrastructure too. It’s interesting, if they can fathom why the martial law is on from today. Today, the western MSM has a run of the day shouting about the martial law in these areas, but not why it is announced. They will not foresee anything that the leadership of Russian Federation takes in the near future. When a new action is taken, the so-called leaders of the EU/NATO would not fathom why. Posted by: Paulg | Oct 19 2022 17:25 utc | 22 It seems NovoRossiya and rump Ukraine are destined to become enemies for an extended period of time. Posted by: Opport Knocks | Oct 19 2022 17:31 utc | 23
https://t.me/azmilitary11/25970 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 17:33 utc | 24
Vladimir Putin Posted by: Paulg | Oct 19 2022 17:39 utc | 25 I keep saying this, but without the Kherson bridgehead Russian strategic war aims must be limited. This has always been the key piece of real estate. If the Russians cannot hold it I will downgrade my assessment of their military potential. I expect them to defeat the UAF here but war can be a chancey business. But as those in the Uk say, time for c*cks on the block. In a week or so we will know. I can buy the cunning [fire] trap idea, but not the “wily” retreat argument. If the RF pull out it will be the worst defeat so far. Posted by: marcjf | Oct 19 2022 17:47 utc | 26
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/15435 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 17:50 utc | 27 «if these individuals can overcome their personal existential fear, the most intelligent thing they can do would be to talk it over with the rest of their comrades» Posted by: Blissex | Oct 19 2022 17:59 utc | 28 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 17:50 utc | 27 Posted by: alek_a | Oct 19 2022 18:01 utc | 29 A large part of the glee evinced by supposed trolls is a reaction to the stupid boosterism and arrrogant attitude by pro-RF commentators since February. Posted by: Moaobserver | Oct 19 2022 18:05 utc | 30 KlutchKargo @8–
If this is what “fighting” looks like, I’ll sign up. Clean new uniform, well fed, chatting up another soldier by the side of the road. Posted by: Opport Knocks | Oct 19 2022 18:14 utc | 32 reply to 19 Posted by: Eighthman | Oct 19 2022 18:28 utc | 33 @31 Cont’d–
https://t.me/azmilitary11/25998 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 18:45 utc | 35 Posted by: Eighthman | Oct 19 2022 18:28 utc | 33 Posted by: unimperator | Oct 19 2022 18:47 utc | 36
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/15446 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 18:48 utc | 37 I just heard a rumor that the Russian army destroyed the space communications station of the Government Communications Center of Ukraine in the Odessa region. If this is true, there is probably no real time communication with the NATO anymore. Posted by: Shechinah | Oct 19 2022 18:50 utc | 38 Aristodemos posting Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 18:50 utc | 39 @KlutchKargo #8
It isn’t a completely straightforward answer. There are parts of the Ukraine grid connected to the EU grid, but it is mostly for export purposes and that section is supposedly specifically hit.
There are 3 nuclear plants in Ukraine plus the 4th which is now in Russia. They are all operating as far as I understand it.
Answer is no: Ukraine has cut off significant parts of their transit network. But there is still Russian gas transiting – 42 million cubic feet per day which is a tiny fraction of normal flows.
In theory, yes. In reality – depends on the EU ceasing its energy suicide policies. I wouldn’t care to bet either way.
Define “Republican admin”. Even should the Republicans take control of both Senate and House on November 8, 2022 – Biden will still rule the US federal executive branch at least until January 2025.
source – WaPo Posted by: c1ue | Oct 19 2022 18:51 utc | 40
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/15453 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 18:53 utc | 41 Zanon. Hollering “Action This Day”!! Posted by: Philip H Gattey | Oct 19 2022 18:53 utc | 42 RT reports: “Erdogan says he has accepted Putin’s proposal to establish the new infrastructure.” @marcjf #26 Posted by: c1ue | Oct 19 2022 18:58 utc | 44 By destroying infrastructure, Russia could create 5-10 mil refugees that would go to Germany. Posted by: marko | Oct 19 2022 19:00 utc | 45 Posted by: Joe9211 | Oct 19 2022 18:45 utc | 36 Posted by: whoopsie | Oct 19 2022 19:03 utc | 46 Wonder where those trolls are coming from, reminds me of the good old days at RT Posted by: Macpott | Oct 19 2022 19:10 utc | 47 Joe9211
The new commander seems as dumb as the last one, with satelitte, drones Russia is of course able to see the massing troops, vehicles Ukraine have lined up. But the new general do not dare to strike those, instead letting them into Kherson. Posted by: Zanon | Oct 19 2022 19:13 utc | 48
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/15473 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 19:18 utc | 49 And vote in November. Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 19 2022 19:29 utc | 50 Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 19 2022 19:29 utc | 51 Posted by: pretzelattack | Oct 19 2022 19:33 utc | 51 Posted by: Shechinah | Oct 19 2022 18:50 utc | 39 Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 19 2022 19:35 utc | 52 Herr Ringtone@50 Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 19:37 utc | 53 If the incoming Ukrainian troops are “Territorials” with little or no training, being sent in small numbers for “reconaissance” with a couple of tanks and a few jeeps, – then the Russians probably know who they are as well as how many. Posted by: Stonebird | Oct 19 2022 19:52 utc | 54 @40 aristodemos Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 19 2022 19:55 utc | 55
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/15481 Posted by: Down South | Oct 19 2022 20:00 utc | 56 I haven’t encountered a lot of commentary recently on what the supply situation is like for the Russians on the right bank of the Dnieper. The pro-Ukrainian commentary I was seeing a few weeks ago was convinced Russian withdrawal from the right bank was inevitable, eventually, due to Russian resupply being reduced to depending on ferry crossings. Posted by: Mike314159 | Oct 19 2022 20:03 utc | 57 marcjf has it right. We’ll see the outcome in Kherson soon enough and if RU forces are defeated/withdraw it will tell us a lot about the range of possible trajectories for the war. Posted by: GoFast | Oct 19 2022 20:06 utc | 58 The heat is again rising over the Biolabs/Bioweapons issue, “US May Be Compelled to Answer Questions on Biolabs in Ukraine, This Time at UNSC”, which this well detailed article explains:
IMO, we all know the answer to the bolded question. The “front line” states are standing up and confronting the Outlaw and the RoW needs to find the fortitude to back their demands. Down South | Oct 19 2022 17:33 utc | 24 Posted by: sippy the shot glass | Oct 19 2022 20:12 utc | 60 Herr Ringbone | Oct 19 2022 21:50 utc | 62 Posted by: sippy the shot glass | Oct 19 2022 20:18 utc | 61 Any word on the Kherson Dam Memorial Stamp? nyuk nyuk nyuk. Posted by: comrade simba | Oct 19 2022 20:18 utc | 62 Down South @57– Well, what do you know. Kazakhstan president Tokayev added to mirotvorets, the ukro kill list. Posted by: unimperator | Oct 19 2022 20:20 utc | 64 FT reports:
Posted by: too scents | Oct 19 2022 20:21 utc | 65 sippy the shot glass @61– Due to transfers and losses the Ukes are now falling back from the “Northern” Kharkiv front. So how many troops does Ukraine still have and is Washington aware that time and people are running out? Posted by: Stonebird | Oct 19 2022 20:33 utc | 67 Posted by: too scents | Oct 19 2022 20:21 utc | 66 Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 19 2022 20:41 utc | 68 I wouldn’t place much hope in the Republicans they’ve always been the party of first class assholes who never showed the least interest in the common good, but I will note this, there is actually discourse about the war and neo-liberalism in the GOP and conservative media as opposed to the Democrats where there isn’t even a single lone voice getting slapped down, Bernie, Squad, it’s just a neocon chorus of war, war, wokism and more war. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Oct 19 2022 20:53 utc | 69 🇷🇺🇺🇦💥A battalion of the 59th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is surrounded by the Spetsnaz of the Russian Airborne Forces near Dudchany. Posted by: unimperator | Oct 19 2022 20:54 utc | 70 Bitching about people who bitch about people bitching at trolls is too good to pass up. Best to visualize myself at a bar instead of being at home listening to the wife bitch about the electric bill. Posted by: comrade simba | Oct 19 2022 20:55 utc | 71 Re: karlof1 | Oct 19 2022 20:19 utc | 64 Posted by: Steven Starr | Oct 19 2022 20:58 utc | 72 karlof1 @ 64 Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 19 2022 21:02 utc | 73 I highly doubt that the Russians make any moves directed at US elections. Posted by: wagelaborer | Oct 19 2022 21:02 utc | 74 karlof1 | Oct 19 2022 20:29 utc | 67
No question this is the hybrid part of the war, recruiting for a fair, more righteous world order, which is a slow process and means that in the present the RF military is fighting with one hand tied behind its back. Whether the modern “just in time” contract RF military is up to and able to sustain the hybrid part we will shortly find out. Russia does not have all the time in the world, nobody in war does, so neither does the West. The West has no scruples and is revealing it’s ugly face to anyone that still has any doubts, but it’s exactly that lack of scruples that maintains empires, and they know it. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Oct 19 2022 21:13 utc | 75 Neocon globalist straussian anglozionist hegemonic MIC scum live in a world composed entirely of lies. Posted by: Figleaf23 | Oct 19 2022 21:19 utc | 76 Let’s see tomorrow and the day after what brings. Time to go to sleep. Posted by: Paulg | Oct 19 2022 21:27 utc | 77 karlof1 | Oct 19 2022 18:09 utc | 31 Posted by: John Kennard | Oct 19 2022 21:34 utc | 78 wagelaborer @ 75
Yes, of course. Half of the USA electorate consistently, generation after generation, doesn’t believe voting makes a difference so it’s absurd that Putin and Russian intelligence would waste time and energy on this. I’m fully on board with George Carlin that voting only makes you a fool, maybe someone hipped Putin to Carlin: Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Oct 19 2022 21:45 utc | 79 Don’t you morons who complain about trolls realize that you’re spamming up the threads just as much as any putative “trolls”? We’re just a few comments in amd the posts complainting about trolls outnumber any posts by so-called trolls. FFS. Posted by: Herr Ringbone | Oct 19 2022 21:50 utc | 80 Methinks we spoke about the “Moscow Times” before, yet news from it appeared on various German and Swiss newspapers et al, about Russian mobilized soldiers being flung into battle straight away, having had to buy their equipment on their own and dying the next day. Posted by: CM of Berlin | Oct 19 2022 21:53 utc | 81 @80 Posted by: Anthony | Oct 19 2022 21:55 utc | 82 Note that the “Moscow Times” despite the name is a western journal published from Amsterdam. It is a tool for anti-Russian propaganda catering to the privileged classes in Russia (unfortunately still a huge parasitic layer in Russian society). Posted by: Ronald Portier | Oct 19 2022 22:01 utc | 83 Anthony | Oct 19 2022 21:55 utc | 83 Posted by: sippy the shot glass | Oct 19 2022 22:07 utc | 84 Biolabs in Central Asia: Posted by: bevin | Oct 19 2022 22:09 utc | 85 Thanks for the replies. It appears the answer is the type of reaction performed depends on if an accident is preferred. I agree with oldhippie that the Ukies and their Master are nuts to flirt with a nuclear accident. As for the electrical situation, IMO if the exterior grid no longer allows transmission, then the amount not needed to keep the NPP safe could be sent to ground since there’s no way to store it. karlof1@60 Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 22:34 utc | 87 simba@63 Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 22:39 utc | 88 @Anthony 83 Posted by: Hermit | Oct 19 2022 22:52 utc | 89 @20 Posted by: Sam | Oct 19 2022 22:52 utc | 90 stonebird@68 Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 22:53 utc | 91 Something is gonna have to go boom to keep people’s minds off the derivatives markets Posted by: Jacq | Oct 19 2022 23:01 utc | 92 CM@82 Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 23:06 utc | 93 ” I found the martial law decree educational for it proves the impossibility for Putin to be a “classic” dictator as his decrees must be approved by the Council of the Federation of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This proves that POTUS is closer to being a “classic” dictator since its executive orders need no approval from any legislative body and are classic Diktats. Posted by: Deplorable Commissar | Oct 19 2022 23:09 utc | 94 @unimperator 71 Posted by: Hermit | Oct 19 2022 23:10 utc | 95 aristodemos @88– To the R vs. D ‘dilemma’ even if the Repugs or Trump Repubs take control of the House/Senate, any “aid” that is being debated for Ukraine will simply be diverted to Taiwan. Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 19 2022 23:19 utc | 97 Posted by aristodemos Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 23:22 utc | 98 Portier@84 Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 19 2022 23:29 utc | 99 @97 Cont’d– |
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