Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 13, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-172

Only for news & views directly related to the Ukraine conflict.

Please stick to the topic.

The current open thread for other issues is here.

Comments

By the nineteenth centuary Ruthenians came to mean Ukrainians who lived in the Austrio Hungerian empire. In the thirties young Rusyns unlike the older generation came to regard themselves as Ukrainians and have done ever since.

Posted by: Arwyn Thomas | Oct 13 2022 20:31 utc | 101

Posted by: Rob | Oct 13 2022 19:38 utc | 74
«Stoltenberg is deranged, and I mean that in all seriousness. Of course, talking tough could be an act»
What these politicians say in public seems to me almost purely “home front morale” propaganda. The purpose of the talk about “nuclear annihilation” is to scare the western populace, and especially the germans, in “tightening the belt” a lot and enduring this winter, especially after the attack on NS1 a NS2 which likely cannot be repaired before spring, even if the western european governments were allowed to use them by the USA.
Probably the short term goal is to keep supplies of weapons, other materials, and “volunteers” to reduce the chances that the ukrainian state will entirely collapse this winter, because once winter is over the ukrainian military can continue to perform attrition of the RF forces (regardless of the cost to them).
«for a NATO official to talk so casually about nuclear annihilation is deranged»
And what is anybody going to do about it? 🙁
My guess that his like are simply totally cynical about it.

Posted by: Blissex | Oct 13 2022 20:33 utc | 102

reply to Hermit 62.
Re Korea.
The US continued the bioweapon programs set up by the Japanese with horrific effect in addition to the slaughter you described. The bioweapon program was horrible.
https://medium.com/insurge-intelligence/the-long-suppressed-korean-war-report-on-u-s-use-of-biological-weapons-released-at-last-20d83f5cee54

Posted by: Bonami | Oct 13 2022 20:35 utc | 103

Bosphorus blocked by cargo ship
https://twitter.com/dailyaz1/status/1580647679121829888

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Oct 13 2022 20:35 utc | 104

@Blissex 80
The Skripal Affair was beyond ridiculous (See my contemporaneous image https://drive.google.com/file/d/1tCqUsDYIL6P98PMTEYD9H0MhHDtxiJrx and read the back label), but I would suggest that the turning-point came earlier, with the muzzling and threatened reprisals against staff and owners of the Guardian over the publication of a smattering of the trove of information provided by Snowden.

Posted by: Hermit | Oct 13 2022 20:36 utc | 105

Republic of Scotland@59
It is half past obvious that the common people in the island of Britain will need to gather up their torches, pruning hooks, pitchforks, spades, clubs and suchlike armaments and seek out those elites who give full support to the current regime. City of London, if not already hypersonically removed as a blight on the entire planet, will need to be sacked and burned by the Cockneys.
British elites have been toxic for many generations/degenerations into the past. Once the Talmudists began interbreeding with that lot, the metastatization has gone ballistic. One simple example: WLS Churchill’s mother was one Jennie Jerome (aka Jacobsohn), so by Rabbinical “law”, he was among the “Chosen”. The inveterate drunken warmonger was the archetype of bad breeding on steroids.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 20:37 utc | 106

@ Blissex | Oct 13 2022 19:38 utc | 75
One of the most incredible demographic developments in the world is happening in South Korea. … Their birthrate has dropped to a suicidal 0.81 children per woman (perhaps the lowest in the world). At this rate, within 30 years the country will become an inverted pyramid on the verge of historical collapse.
Therefore, regardless of Japan or the US, Korea will be forced to reunite. … The Koreans certainly do not care what Japan thinks, and correspondingly would like to stick it in their eye with a unified Korea. … Korean people are very aware of the US’s role in keeping them divided. They know that this is at the behest of Japan. Japan fears the competition from a reunited Korea.
The Hermit Kingdom has stayed very isolated for millennia. It’s gene pool is one of the most pure in the world. … As a Caucasian, I can easily pick out Koreans as opposed to other Asians. They are distinct. … They even devised their own ‘digital’ alphabet under King Sejeong. That was so different from other Asian alphabets. … One can see that only Koreans can truly understand Koreans.

Posted by: Mummer | Oct 13 2022 20:38 utc | 107

Marko@94
Apparently, Dima is off his meds once again. Why should the reinforced Russian units in the Kherson region possibly retreat any further while facing yet another lugubrious assault by the Ukies? Haven’t yet today checked in on his Military Summary site, but may do so later.
Dima is at the source of information. He knows.
Russia cannot stop Ukarinian fanatics.
They are eager to die for Zelensky.

Posted by: marko | Oct 13 2022 20:39 utc | 108

@karlof1 40
I hope I do not misunderstand your point. M*A*S*H the US television program had as a central theme an abhorrence of war. Killing of any kind was never celebrated in the show. If it was propaganda, it was anti-war propaganda.

Posted by: catbonez | Oct 13 2022 20:40 utc | 109

Dima meant the Russians were sure not to abandon Kherson, considering they would just as well kiss Odessa good-bye.

Posted by: Jonathan W | Oct 13 2022 20:41 utc | 110

William Gruff@68
Following the KISS (keep it simple, stupid) formula; we must ever bear in mind the simple reality that SK is an occupied country in the same light as are Germany and Japan.
How to dissolve this problem? Collapse of the U$$A economy and perhaps dissolution of the feral regime will ensure that occupation forces will one way or another be obliged to evacuate those premises one way or another.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 20:45 utc | 111

Rob@74
That Quisling, Stoltenberg, needs to be exiled to Trollheimen in January, clad only in a bikini.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 20:49 utc | 112

Hermit | Oct 13 2022 20:36 utc | 105
When they raided the Guardian offices and took away their computers – after they were returned the Guardian changed. I assume they found enough compromat to keep them in line going forward.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Oct 13 2022 20:49 utc | 113

@Norwegian (90) Stoltenberg can be both deranged and evil and, hence, responsible. It depends upon how one interprets “deranged.” He is not completely out of touch with reality, he just doesn’t care about consequences. One might call him a sociopath or psychopath, which qualify as derangements.

Posted by: Rob | Oct 13 2022 20:51 utc | 114

@rk #87,

Hey shitoda, only Ukr shelled hospitals and ambulances. Now get lost , you’re too drunk today/BLOCKQUOTE>
Adding an insult to a lie doesn’t turn the lie true:
https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/interactive/ap-russia-war-crimes-ukraine/?facets=%7CMedical+Facility%7C
But back to my question. Why are you advocating that Russia commit war crimes? Attacking military hospitals is explicitly prohibited by the Geneva Convention, for very obvious reasons. Any sane person with a functional moral compass recognizes that as a sick and evil act. So what exactly is wrong with you? If it’s mental illness I’m happy to let it rest, everyone has their struggles. But if it’s a “win at all costs” attitude and you think Russia just needs some “wunderwarcrime” to turn the tide, well then you are just a depraved and vile person.

Posted by: Yenwoda | Oct 13 2022 20:56 utc | 115

Marko@ 108
Dream on.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 20:58 utc | 116

Closing the block quote tag…

Posted by: Yenwoda | Oct 13 2022 20:58 utc | 117

The Guardian is reporting that Russia has announced it is evacuating Kherson.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/oct/13/russia-announces-kherson-evacuation-raising-fears-city-will-become-frontline

Posted by: Chas | Oct 13 2022 21:05 utc | 118

@Rob | Oct 13 2022 20:51 utc | 114
I accept sociopath or psychopath. He is such an incredibly false opportunist, he will say anything. He actually marketed himself as anti NATO in the 80’s, to the degree that he publicly said Norway should leave NATO. It is clear he meant none of it, it was just opportune to say it at the time. After that he has sold the false climate scare, he was as close as you can get to the 2011 killings of 60 of his young party members etc. Today he is serving foreign evils just like Vidkun Quisling. May he rot in hell.

Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 13 2022 21:07 utc | 119

@William Gruff 68
M*A*S*H generally represented gung ho officers as idiots. This TV show did not at all depict the American military as benevolent. Well, here I am defending an old TV show. It may be within the realm of possibility that Putin would appreciate a Russian version of the show. He did after all do his best to avoid the present situation; this war. M*A*S*H’s core theme was anti-war.

Posted by: catbonez | Oct 13 2022 21:11 utc | 120

The purpose of the talk about “nuclear annihilation” is to scare the western populace, and especially the germans,
Posted by: Blissex | Oct 13 2022 20:33 utc | 102

It does feel like every Western government has ruled by fear since the start of this decade.

Posted by: ZX | Oct 13 2022 21:13 utc | 121

“French President Emmanuel Macron has said Paris would not respond with nuclear weapons if Russia deployed nukes against Ukraine.”
It’s the same as when in the 80’s we were freighting out about the nuclear bombs falling out over us. Indeed, the are movies about it.
Has been a threat by the RF about nuclear weapons? The answer is no. Nilch, nada, nothing.
The chance, the odd of a use of an atomic weapon is near zero. Why? Because those weapons are not for a use. That’s why the nuclear weapons has not been used. There are some protols from the 70’s that forbide the use of strategic weapons.
The RF is able to launch nuclear artillery with zero radioactivity in the ground, but the West knows that several of them will destroy all Europe.
The Usa knows that the 1 and 2 salvo of 1000 tactical missiles, each one with 5 kT, would silenced the mess. Of course, the satellites would be done in 1- 2 hours. A mess. No need to blow up the Pentagon. You need someone to negotiate.
So. Live up.

Posted by: Peio | Oct 13 2022 21:13 utc | 122

It is very difficult to understand the gigantic mess of cultures and ethnicities in Central and Southern Europe without fully getting that hundreds of thousands of people could move around for thousands of km almost unopposed.
Posted by: Blissex | Oct 13 2022 19:16 utc | 65
Thank you for your post. Interesting. Do you know of a good book which lays out the tribal history of Europe?

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 13 2022 21:20 utc | 123

Interesting.
You have been 2K25 Krasnopol’d/KUB-BLA mix video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YTllEgdOr8U

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Oct 13 2022 21:22 utc | 124

Gen Betrayus failed to ignite a sectarian war in Iraq after the two sides learnt self- control over their emotional reaction to US – planted sectarian bombs.
He’s still there trying to incite emotions by lying about Russia threatening to use nukes. Mr Putin reminded his audience that the positioning of nuclear missiles around his country was a continuous nuclear threat to Russia and that this was completely intolerable.
Thecwonks in Washington and London immediately accused President Putin of threatening to use nukes in Ukraine.
Cluster B Betrayus cannot resist the chance to rake up the flames of war through divide and rule and lies. He is probably the snake who devised the plan to set Ukrainian nazis against Russia in the first place.
Good to see you, cluster B, your mission Iraq completely failed.

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 13 2022 21:23 utc | 125

Did people not see FSB captured some dude trying to bomb the pipeline to Turkey yesterday? It’s a rogue terror state. Jesus
Posted by: GoFast | Oct 13 2022 19:52 utc | 79
As long as the US is still standing and with it the Credit Cartel system which also rules in Europe, this will not end. Russia can capture all of Ukraine and will still be attacked with sabotage, demonic media, sanctions and so on. It will not stop.
So the only way Eurasia gets to move forward unencumbered is with the West’s political and financial collapse. They have known this for some time and launched this SMO campaign with that larger goal in mind. Thus far it seems to be going well for them on that front, though clearly these things take time. I suspect they are hoping to get a friendly administration after the 2024 election so they will have to exert serious pressure between now and early 2024.
Luckily, there are many within the Western elites who are working hard to effect a collapse making it all that much more probable if not inevitable. (Who is working to prevent it? If there are any with influence, they are keeping a very low profile…)
But the ghastly mess in Ukraine will not be solved in Ukraine. The best RF can do now is push the Ukies far enough back and the civilian population into enough immediate hardship demanding attention from their government such that they stop killing Russians in Eastern Ukraine which is now Western Russia. RF should be able to get that part sorted once the new troops from mobilization are ready and the ground has frozen. About a month. They will eliminate and/or push back all troops remaining in Donbass and quite possibly get them to retreat all the way to Kiev from which it will become increasingly difficult to leave – unless perhaps heading into Poland….

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 13 2022 21:34 utc | 126

Is it so complicated to understand?
The RF has no intention to use nuclear bombs. Why? Because the RF has artillery nuclear weapons, in the order of 30,000,000 shells, each 3-4 kT: 120 cm x 20 cm. The effect is 40 times a Kaliber in Joules, but
no more people around in 3-4 km^2 , and in 3-4 months. 98 % clean. In 6 months you can check the ground and it is clean.
That’s what the RF is not using at all. And the RF never will use these weapons, because to do this the RF has reached to a conclusion that neither of you can imagine. It’s not the case..
A salute

Posted by: Peio | Oct 13 2022 21:38 utc | 127

@ Peio
They wont use them first, but if you think they wont use them if they are attacked, you don’t understand the RF Nuclear Doctrine at all.
These people who say things like ‘there will never be a Nuclear war’ are as delusional as the ones who actively advocate for it.
While the chances of it happening are extremely low (even now), as long as stupid people (most western governments are full of them) and Nuclear weapons exist, there is always the possibility of an accident, limited use or a full blown exchange.

Posted by: Bob Jenkins | Oct 13 2022 21:45 utc | 128

I believe that Russia should publicly acknowledge that it is in a state of war with the United States – that the United States has enacted and undeclared war against Russia and that Russia will respond appropriately as it determines necessary and at the moment of it choice to do so. It may not wait for further provocation. Avoidance of open and unlimited warfare becomes increasingly unlikely. It did not wish for war with the Ukraine nor with the US but it will act decisively in manner of self protection. It remain receptive to genuine initiatives to resolve the issues but will not hesitate to proceed in response to circumstances as they are and as are developing.
By being more frank in representing position they may interrupt was has become an incremental slide toward unavoidable larger conflict.

Posted by: jared | Oct 13 2022 21:45 utc | 129

@(128) Jared
I absolutely agree with this, that Lloyd Austin moron at the Pentagon can say that the US isn’t involved until the cows come home, but everyone knows they are.
It’s time that quiet part was said out loud, the US/NATO should not be allowed to continue this little charade of theirs without being called on their very obvious involvement.

Posted by: Bob Jenkins | Oct 13 2022 21:49 utc | 130

catbonez @109
The American war on Korea was genocide. The TV comedy “M*A*S*H” whitewashed over America’s leading role in that genocide. The only way that show could be called anti-war is in depicting how some middle class Americans were all butthurt over having to be there. The show never even took a dishonest look at why America was there in the first place, much less an honest one.
Some Korean war “trivia”: There was a resistance movement in Korea fighting the Japanese occupation. When the Japanese were defeated this movement was the strongest domestic political organization in Korea, and the natural organization to create the new government. There was only one problem: In addition to being Korean patriots they were socialists.
There was no way that the US would allow them to form Korea’s new government, but there was nothing else to work with. Guess what America then decided to do? They kept the criminal fascist Japanese occupation government in place oppressing the local population while the US recruited its own fascist death squads from among those who collaborated with the Japanese and built a fascist dictatorship with them. At the head of this dictatorship was installed a Korean figurehead who had been groomed in the US for many years to take over (don’t tell me you never noticed how the colonial viceroys the US always installs around the world have been kept in storage at Harvard or George Washington University awaiting their chances to be America’s pet dictators in their homelands).
The US then unleashed their death squads who, with generous help from the US military, went on rampages slaughtering the very Korean patriots who had resisted the Japanese! This was years before 1950, and North Koreans (who have the most accurate accounting of the war today) include that systematic mass murder as part of the war. The narrative that you have heard that America’s war on Korea started in 1950 is a lie. As with the conflict in the Ukraine, the killing goes back years before the arbitrary demarcation line that American hagiographers draw in the history books to cast the Americans as innocent.
“M*A*S*H” dealt with none of this. Indeed, you rarely even ever saw any Koreans at all in that show. It might as well have been filmed in California.
Oh, wait…
The story would have changed little if the setting was a sheriff’s summer camp for reprobate frat boys serving a couple month terms for being assholes. It was a pro-war show for whitewashing the war and romanticizing it; sterilizing it.

Posted by: William Gruff | Oct 13 2022 21:52 utc | 131

“Deliberately targeting military hospitals is a major war crime. Deliberately targeting *civilian* hospitals is as vile as it gets. What is wrong with you two?”
Posted by: Yenwoda | Oct 13 2022 20:00 utc | 83
Relax. They are probably just ruminating about US strikes on “Kanduz Hospital”, or on “Falluja Hospitals”. I understand US AC130s can really rip a place apart. Again the UN inquiry just faded away, as it always does…

Posted by: AParadiseLost | Oct 13 2022 21:52 utc | 132

@ jared | Oct 13 2022 21:45 utc | 128 and Bob Jenkins | Oct 13 2022 21:49 utc | 129 calling for more “public exposure” to the NATO behind Ukraine
The brainwashed will never believe and the skeptical already know. Besides that, what more than Putin and Lavrov speeches does one need?
Empire needs to be hoisted on its own petard and that is slowly occurring for all to see in spite of the propaganda to the contrary.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 13 2022 21:57 utc | 133

In my opinion the Colonel should (and would) become reinstated to the U.S. military as Chief of Staff, should it come to pass that WE THE PEOPLE recover control over the feral government.
Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 17:01 utc | 26
McGregor is a “light” colonel…LTCOL…0-5, retired. The brilliant American strategists never make full colonel or flag rank. Only the toadys get ahead in todays US Armed Forces.
If you believe in the cyclical theory of history, then you will note that the “4th Turning” is due. After that, WE THE PEOPLE will be back in charge.

Posted by: Muthaucker | Oct 13 2022 21:58 utc | 134

president of the German state of Thuringia , Bodo Ramelow states anti-sanction protests are the begining of a new facist movement. lolz. i will just double check with the unelected EU leaders first

Posted by: hankster | Oct 13 2022 21:59 utc | 135

@132 (psychohistorian)
You are correct, sir.
I advocate for it purely for the sake of posterity, because I am sick to my back teeth of hearing the usual cretins absolve themselves of any involvement on an almost hourly basis (in most cases after directly implicating themselves).

Posted by: Bob Jenkins | Oct 13 2022 22:07 utc | 136

Posted by: ZX | Oct 13 2022 21:13 utc | 121
It does feel like every Western government has ruled by fear since the start of this decade.
Pretty much, I mostly agree as to the timing and the tactic, with some qualifications, the main one is that it is less “governments have ruled” than “neoliberal parties have campaigned” using fear-based arguments.
The starting point was I think indeed around 10 years ago with the 2011 UK AV referendum, which was won by David Cameron with the so-called “Project Fear”: he campaigned against it, arguing it was too risky, too complex, and too expensive resulting in higher taxes.
The “Project Fear” approach became much stronger in the 2014 UK Scottish Independence referendum, where David Cameron again campaigned on the fear factor, with arguments like risky, house price crash, Scotland becoming a satellite of Putin or Xi.
The 2016 UK EU membership referendum campaign was run on almost purely “Project Fear” stories by *both* sides: “Leave” as “Fear the EUSSR tyranny, fear surrender to the ECJ”, and David Cameron for “Remain” as “Fear the economic collapse”, “Fear the house price crash”.
These UK examples were widely imitated by mostly neoliberal and conservative parties around “the west”.
There is a compelling logic about that “Project Fear” electoral campaigns: there has a growing block of older, affluent voters who have a high turn-out, and for many of them, who got theirs, life no longer has opportunities, only threats to their comfortable enjoyment of their affluence, and therefore their votes are hugely influenced by feelings of fear. Their basic principles are “fear everything” and consequently “I can never be too safe”, “safety at any cost to someone else”.

Posted by: Blissex | Oct 13 2022 22:13 utc | 137

@ aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 20:45 utc | 111
How to solve the Korea problem?
This is where China and Russia step in. … Ultimately, South Korea will face insurmountable economic pressures from BRICS, BRI, etc. They are already facing the growing pains now.
I suspect that in the future (perhaps after current SK President Yoon is gone), Russia will offer a Unification Plan. It will be based on cheap Energy Supplies through NK to SK. It will also be in compliment to China’s BRI. And, it will insist that the US military leave the peninsula. … The real carrot however, will be that Japan can be isolated out of the Asian growth partnership. Big advantage for Korea against Japan. … Therefore, a Unified Korea will have the PERMANENT upper-hand over its historic rival.
The US can complain, coerce, and stammer all they want, but it is a changed game. … Asia will no longer be dictated that way.

Posted by: Mummer | Oct 13 2022 22:24 utc | 138

We are talking about a forty years expired TV series? M*AS*H was about the Vietnam war and everyone knew that at the time. “Anti-war” was about the waste of American lives. Not one person in the production company and not one person at the network would have had a clue of the history recounted by Gruff @ 130. That there were larger issues than American lives was never a thought.
Once the Vietnam war had ended the show was only about the stock company of actors.

Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 13 2022 22:24 utc | 139

@Posted by: marko | Oct 13 2022 20:39 utc | 108
Stop it Marko, get some help…
Dima explicitly stated that “Russia cannot afford to lose Kherson”, as that is their position on the Dniepr West Bank with which to go for Nikolayev and Odessa. They are asking civilians to leave in a justified move given what the Ukies are doing to “collaborators”. Also, a lack of civilians helps them turn Kherson and its surroundings into a massive fortress.
The Ukies are desperate and don’t seem to mind about massive losses of personnel, they know they have a short window after which the Russians will be able to overwhelm them. Also, possibly a massive waterborne assault on the nuclear power station. The Russians need to be able to defend a heavily fortified area and turn back the human wave type attacks that may be coming.
Also, if the Ukies carry out the equivalent of the WW2 piercing of the Dniepr dam a massive wall of water will pass through Kherson and the surrounding regions. No way they could blame that on the Russians though given the impact on the Russian positions, and it would be an international scandal with the Rest (7/8ths) agreeing that the Ukie state is a terrorist one and even the West (1/8th) having trouble bullshitting their citizens on that.
In other news, the Russians continue with the painfully slow taking of Bakhmut and the general area, and the moves to encircle Avdeevka. Excellent preparatory work of moving beyond the eight years worth of fortifications line so that the start line for a winter attack is to the west of them – over flat frozen land between them and the Dniepr.

Posted by: Roger | Oct 13 2022 22:24 utc | 140

@aristodemos 26
The people of the USA have never had any say over the government. See my article on this topic at https://www.greanvillepost.com/2021/01/25/the-usa-is-an-oligarchy/.

Posted by: Hermit | Oct 13 2022 22:25 utc | 141

@ Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 13 2022 21:57 utc | 132
I agree with you, there is no point in further pronouncements to the public, those who are curious already know the situation.
It would rather be of formal notice to the US that Russia recognizes the existing undeclare state of war and is making known that it is prepared to respond – safeties are off, the situation is no longer in the political sphere but has moved to the tactical and decisions will be made by miltary command. Twenty four hours of notice are given after which military action will proceed as deemed strategically appropriate.
I think is last best chance to avoid worst case, because if Russia allows itself to be further put in a corner the needed response will become more extreme/real. Of course the hope remains that the threatened action can somehow be avoided.

Posted by: jared | Oct 13 2022 22:32 utc | 142

@Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 13 2022 22:24 utc | 138
MASH, Deer Hunter, Apocalypse Now, Full Metal Jacket etc. all represented the window for US state criticism that opened up with the Vietnam failure, fully slammed shut during the 1980s (Reagan’s “morning in America”) and locked with the “unipolar moment”. Nothing so questioning of the US military would be allowed anywhere near funding and distribution these days, outside the small and shrinking space left for truths (like this site).
It was interesting that in the 2000’s we got “24 hours” glorifying the torture of individuals that had been shown to be happening at Abu Ghraib, the mass media was into justifying torture rather than criticizing it. Same with Homeland (very well produced show that I watched, I just have to put up with the jarring US propaganda repeatedly) which was very “woke” with a female “damaged” heroine. An attempt to get US women on board with illegal foreign drone murders and torture etc.? Anyone can easily add many more such US shows to the US military triumphalism (e.g. the woke Top Gun 2) and justification list.
Soap was also excellent in the 1980s, especially with one of the female leads having an affair with a “cool” left-wing guerrilla – can’t have that nowadays!

Posted by: Roger | Oct 13 2022 22:37 utc | 143

@Membrum Virile #61
GDP per capita numbers are not really useful – since poor as shit nations like Ireland have wonderful GDP per capita, but visiting there makes it clear just how great the economies are.
Furthermore, looking at historical figures: Slovenia income was pretty flat for a long time from 2008 to 2018 but jumped enormously in the 3 years since. I would guess they have benefited mightily from something since then, but it isn’t clear what it is. Sanctions busting trade? EU subsidies? Both?
In any case, even if Slovenia is a model of post Yugoslavia success – it is by no means representative of what has happened to all the rest of the ex-Yugoslavia nations.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 13 2022 22:39 utc | 144

GoFast @ 79
Totally agree. Ukraine is a suicidal terrorist state Russia is trying to save from itself more or less unsuccessfully.
There is no reasoning with these people. (Ukrainian guy at work “we destroyed the Kerch bridge”. Me: “Actually it’s mostly operational again”. Him “Well, we will just keep hitting it then” etc.)
They are high on a neo-Nazi death cult and will bring down all of the West if they have to.

Posted by: Tom | Oct 13 2022 22:41 utc | 145

I’m sorry. I’ apologize. I am drunk and I trying to understand that you too understand that there are 2 Archetypes moving in two great structures by the time and by the propaganda.
One is timeless and has the mighty power to get our cause. One is human, that is, it thinks that the human has free will. The other acts like I would be a piece of… piece.
From my birthday, I thought, I was feeling. Now all the life is a mess. Why? Because we don’t think and we don’t feel.
I’m free
I am living cause I am want to be. I do not have mess in my heart
What do the people need? Comprehension.
Discrimination:
This woman is dead, but I love her:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jz2DA7O3PRE

Posted by: peio | Oct 13 2022 22:42 utc | 146

Roger @ 142
Very well said. Full agreement.

Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 13 2022 22:45 utc | 147

@SW (also Berlin) #76
The UNHCR numbers are for Europe.
Even if it includes Ukrainians in Russia, it certainly does not include Ukrainians in the US, South and Central America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa etc.
And while the UNHCR is no doubt an excellent bureaucratic data collector – its data specifically records only those people who have officially registered as refugees. I can believe that every single Ukrainian in Europe has done so because it means concrete benefits, but I have a very hard time believing the same holds true for the Rest Of World where they don’t.
In any case, I am still unclear what your point is. Is it that my estimate is 1 or 2 million too high? Very possible.
But it is just as possible that my estimate is also too low – Ukraine is having trouble recruiting troops, and that makes no sense if in fact they still have 25 million population. Rough rule of thumb is prime soldier material are 1% to 2% of the population = 250K to 500K. Expanding the age ranges – which Ukraine has done – increases this to 5% to 10% = 1.25M to 2.5M
Even Russian estimates of Ukrainian losses are trivially covered by the 1%/2% number much less the 5%/10% number – hence my strong suspicion that a lot more Ukrainians have left the country than even what I estimated originally.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 13 2022 22:47 utc | 148

@Posted by: William Gruff | Oct 13 2022 21:52 utc | 130
More than correct on all points, just like the “Vietnam memorial” that doesn’t count any Vietnamese dead. The South Korean dictatorship killed over 200,000 activists prior to the war to put down the insurrection in the south. Then the US carpet bombed the north (literally ran out of targets, including the civilian dams) and spread biological warfare agents (e.g. anthrax) across it. The US state acts like a narcissist, only the impacts upon the US are important, everything else is irrelevant.
I think that China is helping North Korea develop and sustain itself, something that will pick up steam. The US will only let South Korea go over the dead bodies of millions of South Koreans – it is their armed camp next to China and a buttress between Japan and China. The Chinese and Russians are patient, slowly strangling/integrating the SK economy (the Chinese are already taking over the battery industry from SK) while its population shrinks and North Korea becomes more prosperous. The SK economy has never been the same after the IMF intervention during the Asia crisis, important firms purchased by the West, support for industrial development reduced, and overall economic growth never regaining its previous rate.
SK is a next two decades project for China and Russia, as Taiwan would be if the US was not poisoning relations in a very active manner. In two decades the West will be a still declining shit-hole that the Rest need to keep in a medicated status to avoid any crazy behaviour.

Posted by: Roger | Oct 13 2022 22:51 utc | 149

@catbonez 109
I’ve seen every damn M*A*S*H epiode several times because my wife is a big fan. You profoundly do not understand the propaganda function of this TV program in its time frame. You wrote If it was propaganda, it was anti-war propaganda. But it’s not anti-war, it’s a whitewash of what really happened. There is absolutely no mention of the 2 million Koreans firebombed to death, as SAC General Curtis LeMay was proud to say. SAC had to do photo-reconnaissance on each of the burned-out towns, to see if they needed a second bombing, so certainly SAC knew the death toll. You can object that no one in the US main stream breathes a word about the 2 million people SAC burned to death, and you would be correct. But you would be missing the picture. Fred Silverman is the missing element. He was extremely influential in altering the American view of itself, and created over a dozen influential TV series. Google his name. Even Wikipedia shows the big lump under the rug. Back to M*A*S*H… None of the criticisms of the US military were very deep. Really, that was a veneer of anti-war, not the real thing. Alan Alda, a Jew playing a Jewish character, was the real star throughout all 11 years of production. The bottom line of M*A*S*H was, “Hey, us Muricans are all mostly just good guys, just trying to get through a bad situation that was imposed upon us, by who knows whom?” In the 1970’s, the American people needed some clear and hard analysis of the war in Vietnam and what brought us there. We didn’t get any of that, just 11 years of laugh tracks against the backdrop of an earlier and then-forgotten war. Go google Fred Silverman and see for yourself how M*A*S*H was part of a large propaganda effort.

Posted by: JessDTruth | Oct 13 2022 22:55 utc | 150

Jared@128
Wouldn’t it be more strategic for Russia NOT to directly declare they are at war with the U$$A? One alternative would be to so arm the Syrians and the Iranian-backed militias with enough rocketry that they could wipe out, or at least utterly demoralize the ones illegally occupying Syrian lands and stealing their oil and wheat.
Somewhat similarly to the U$$A and its various minions and satellites to arm Ukraine to the deaths of the last of their soldiers, but different in one important sense; would be to enable the duly elected government of Syria to liberate their own territories from the “usual suspect” invaders.
Should the U$$A spokespersons demur at their strategic setback and threaten to massively attack Syria, perhaps by way of the I$raeli tail which wags the Murrikkkan dog; it would then be the mission of Lavrov and other Russian (and perhaps Chinese) diplomats to quietly warn the potential perps that such incursions would invite a powerful hug by Mama Bear.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 22:55 utc | 151

William Gruff@130
Thanks for some valuable insights and observations regarding the reality of the policy of the U$$A towards Korea.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 22:59 utc | 152

GREEN SKRIN ELENSKY.
Neologism.
I’m drunk.
sorry.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 13 2022 23:08 utc | 153

@Posted by: c1ue | Oct 13 2022 22:47 utc | 147
Even before the war started the Ukrainian population had shrunk to about 35 million from the official bullshit number of 44 million, due to migration and a continuing fall in the birth rate from 1990 onwards. Then remove the population of the four now Russian oblasts (10 million officially, but about 3 million were already in Russia working), so probably about 28 million in what is left of Ukraine at the start of the war. Official reporting puts Ukrainian refugees in Europe at about 8 million, so that means that Ukraine would have about 20 million people in what is left of Ukraine, so probably the reality is millions lower than that.
This less than 20 million population will be heavily skewed toward the elderly and infirm that could not leave as easily as the young and healthy. So the active pool for recruitment into the military would have to be significantly adjusted for the change in population mix, probably into an inverted pyramid (more old than young). So assumptions about percentage eligible would have to be reduced downwards. Also, there have to be some reserved occupations to allow the basic functioning of the state and economy. Such a picture better matches the realities seen on the ground with the desperate measures of army recruitment agents, limitations on population movement, and expansion of eligible groupings.
One reason that the number of mercenaries has been increasing, at least 5,000 from Poland it seems – with many Polish serving soldiers who officially “left” the military to serve in Ukraine.
If Russia manages to turn off the electricity and heating in major areas of Ukraine that would create another wave of refugees, reducing the eligible pool even more. Also, untrained and ill-equipped cannon fodder is just that – leading to a further reduction in the 18(14?)-64(70?) population of Ukraine.

Posted by: Roger | Oct 13 2022 23:11 utc | 154

Aristodemos posting
Gee, I no more than responded to Muthauker’s posting about McGregor being only a light colonel and compared his situation with that of one D.D. Eisenhower who held a similar rank on MacArthur’s staff and got promoted to full general by the machinations of a man descended from a major Charleston, S.C.figure in the Confederacy, but whose name I must not mention because that might lead to my session expiring.
On Orwell’s “Animal Farm”, those who are themselves the pigs, even though they abnegate their flesh, are always more equal than others.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 23:12 utc | 155

Mummer@137
Fascinating hypothesis as a solution to the Korean dilemma. Once Russia finishes its duties in Ukraine, they will become the sole occupants of the catbird seat militarily. China, as the portentous economic hegemon will wear an inscrutable smile and tacitly agree to mutually beneficent proposals.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 23:18 utc | 156

Comandante: Txe Guevara:
Do you have a doubt?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-mOjijV4jA0
Love or not love

Posted by: Peio | Oct 13 2022 23:23 utc | 157

Hermit @62–
Your comment includes a very important fact and reference point regarding the Outlaw US Empire’s refusal to follow the agreed upon steps for post-war Korean–it provides the first example of being incapable of agreement, a decision it would make again in regard to the 1956 elections to unify Vietnam, violating yet another treaty it had signed.
The overall post-war context of being believable and reliable–in other words, trustworthy–has proven beyond all doubt the Outlaw US Empire cannot be believed, isn’t reliable, isn’t trustworthy, and disobeys its own and international law on a daily basis. Russia, China, Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, Syria, Occupied Palestine, North Korea, and a host of other nations that account for the global majority now understand all that and dislike all the possible conclusions that can be drawn from that appraisal.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 13 2022 23:25 utc | 158

@JessDTruth 149
Alan Alda was raised more Catholic than the current Pope. Some characters in M*A*S*H may have been something like, “Hey, us Muricans are all mostly just good guys” but a lot of ‘Muricans were depicted as the shitheads they were. The story is about a medical unit. Doctors and nurses and staff. Not about Marines storming the hill, killing the evil bad guys and saving kittens and babies. There was not any military glorification. It was more “We Love Up With People!” than “Yay!!! The American Military is Here! – Now We Are Safe!”. Watched every show as well, often on primetime TV. BTW, I don’t trust this Silverman guy. I will look into that.

Posted by: catbonez | Oct 13 2022 23:36 utc | 159

Once again, may I remind anyone advocating Russian escalation vs Zato that $usd = mic = energy.
In other words Russia can win either through affirmative victory (outright defeat of ukraine) *OR* simply maintaining the existing status quo as it exists today.
Yes, even with the ongoing geographic divisions, social disruptions, terrorist attacks, international tensions, etc, Russia still wins because of the *energy* component of the above equation.
The only way Russia can lose is from abandoning its primary advantages of time and position, by reducing itself to engagements that don’t actually attack the source of us/zato power.
In case anyone needs a refresher, vpp’s 9/30 speech presents a complete analysis of the existentional struggle, and outlines how a patient and steadfast Russia will prevail by merely allowing the west to implode.
As he said, printed dollars don’t magically conjure up resources. You need to either have/defend them, acquire via conquest, or offer payment/trade.
The current us/zato hyperbole is a reflection that they too know very well the fundamental truth of $usd = mic = energy.

Posted by: B9k9 | Oct 13 2022 23:39 utc | 160

Thanks for those who followed up on my M*A*S*H comment. The responder shows why I try to educate via this site–it’s so very much needed by most of the masses. Despite being recent, the post-1945 Imperial Era is the least understood part of the USA’s history, excepting perhaps the years of initial plantation, 1600-1700 and the events shaping that Era–especially the English Civil War.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 13 2022 23:39 utc | 161

Belarus introduced a counter-terrorism status. Belarus KGB expected earlier some kind of nazi insurgents to attempt crossing the border from either Ukraine, Poland or Belarus or all of them.
“⚡️The regime of the counter-terrorist operation (CTO) was introduced in Belarus after reports of planned provocations from a number of neighboring states – the head of the Belarusian Foreign Ministry.
“We must protect our people and make sure that not a single meter of our land is set foot by the occupier. The head of our country held a number of meetings with law enforcement agencies, a counter-terrorist operation regime was introduced,” Vladimir Makei emphasized.”

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 13 2022 23:47 utc | 162

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 13 2022 23:47 utc | 161
“from either Ukraine, Poland or Belarus or all of them.”
meant Ukraine, Poland or Lithuania.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 13 2022 23:49 utc | 163

@ Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 22:55 utc | 150
Yes, I think that has been the approach – dont recognize the defactor state of war. But unless they recognize, they allow even encourage US to continue provocations. And as I state I think the next will be allong the line of substantial destruction of symbolic structure or service such as bridge to Crimea. This would be demoralizing. Already Russia has failed to respond to destruction of pipeline – they are acting tactically but the political effect is great.

Posted by: jared | Oct 13 2022 23:52 utc | 164

Hermit@140
Thanks for sharing your Greanville Post sharing regarding the reality of America’s Oligarchy. A few additions, if I may. George Washington was one of the primary land-speculators in the colonies and latterly in the U.$. He was known by the Lenape people (known as the Delawares) as the “destroyer of villages”, as he sent federal troops up the Delaware valley to clean out the “savages” so that he and his cronies could reap in the profits via sales of the stolen lands.
You cited Shay’s Rebellion as a dying gasp of Revolutionary veterans who wanted to get their promised rewards for their services. Not long afterwards, the Feds also put down the Whiskey Rebellion of 1792. A powerful insight into that imposition of monopoly mercantile rule was written and sung by Bob Dylan in his memorable “Copper Kettle”. Please do check it out on U-Tube or some other site of your preference. Key line: “We ain’t paid no whiskey tax since Seventeen-Ninety-Two”.
It was my good fortune to meet the man whose photo was featured on two separate volumes by a pair of different authors, both of whom titled their books “The Cornbread Mafia”. John Boone (a lineal descendant) and a resident of Lebanon County, Kentucky, headed up a group of men who followed in the footsteps of their moonshining ancestors, but in a slightly altered manner. They all grew cannabis, with many of them being jailed and imprisoned by the “Revenuers” of the latter-day persuasion.
There was one brief exception to the total rule by the Oligarchs. Andy Jackson was a Scots-Irish rebel from the get-go. He was in many respects a true representative of the “demos” (We The People). He took down the Second Bank of the U.$. He fought off an attempted assassin (likely a hireling of a Rottenchild or perhaps Biddle minion). Jackson was politically discombobulated by the Panic of 1837, an event almost certainly engineered from City of London. To restore their position later that same year, the Rottenchild’s dispatched their open agent, August Belmont, (nee Schoenberg) to the U.S.
Somebody evidently whispered into the ears of Jackson’s hometown (Nashville) successor, James K. Polk, to make a name for himself while potentially adding to the Slave States; by making war on Mexico and invading Mexico City proper in 1846. That war of aggression (unnecessary in the sense that the U.$. could readily have taken control over the heritage colonies of Texas, New Mexico, Arizona and California which had been very lightly settled by Spanish colonists, but precious few Mexicans) without actually invading Mexico proper and imposing a peace from their very capitol city.
An early attempt to impose imperial conquest of Canada was fended off by a combination of British soldiers, Tory refugees and various Indian tribes (many of them from America’s Northwest Territories) in the War of 1812. That failed incursion was supplanted by the conquest of Mexico as this ruptured republic’s first major imperialist adventure.
Even as recently as 1941, the majority of the American people were resolutely anti-war until FDR engineered the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. Again, the Oligarchy thesis you have proffered was once again substantiated.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 23:53 utc | 165

By the nineteenth centuary Ruthenians came to mean Ukrainians who lived in the Austrio Hungerian empire. In the thirties young Rusyns unlike the older generation came to regard themselves as Ukrainians and have done ever since.
Oh… yeah????
Says who???? YOU????
We Ruthenians don’t agree….
INDY

Posted by: Dr. George W Oprisko | Oct 13 2022 23:54 utc | 166

The EU and NATO SG “mirrored” gibberish is identical to the previous recent POTUS and Pentagon gibberish which I believe I’ve already commented upon. It doesn’t matter how many fools they make repeat it.
As said as long as “the west” continues/maintains their escalations it can only be understood as gibberish, and only if “the west” deescalates (by actions as well as words) can it be interpreted as potentially being anything else —and again only potentially, it’s worth repeating that— …but they’re not doing anything remotely like deescalation.
· · ·
“Normalcy bias” is unlikely to survive the year.
· · ·
OT stuff about Korea: plenty of Koreans know full well what happened in South Korea, it is the theme or background or even the central plot in many good South Korean movies from the last decade.
Nobody in SK watches “good cop alibi” shit like Mash. “Anti-war” my ass.
· · ·
OT stuff about trolls: I see plenty but maybe I’m too harsh (nah) and they’re “simply” idiots (sure (sarcasm)).
· · ·
Sort of OT: Sputniknews has had some very good articles and some very important news lately, including arms from South Korea. Not going to link it, too much, just go read through the last week if interested.
France is looking increasingly volatile. There are strikes and then there are strikes, not all strikes are equal.

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Oct 13 2022 23:56 utc | 167

I suspect US will continue escalation in absense of strong response. This may lead public to decide the situation is hopeless and result in loss of conviction. The public responds favorable to firm action.

Posted by: jared | Oct 13 2022 23:57 utc | 168

From Pepe Escobar:
https://www.unz.com/pescobar/the-thin-red-line-nato-cant-afford-to-lose-kabul-and-kiev/

“…the usual suspects continue to relentlessly spin their new nuclear “narrative”…the aim of the D.C. psycho killers…is to provoke Moscow into using tactical nuclear weapons in the battlefield.”

No, that is not the aim. The aim is to create an expectation that “Russia will use nuclear weapons” so that when – not if, when – NATO uses false flag nuclear weapons on its own Ukrainian puppets the blame can immediately be put on Russia. I have myself been warning that this will happen for months. People who swallowed the idea that Russia bombed its own pipelines will have no problem believing this too.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Oct 14 2022 0:09 utc | 169

New New Atlas./ Brian Berletic.
In my timezone. It’s been up 9hours. 65k views. Brian doing work controlled media abhor. (178k subscribers)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwwKYiUcg4U
Russian Missile & Drone Strikes Continue Across Ukraine
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for October 13, 2022
– UN General Assembly vote demonstrates continued support for Russia by India and China as well as many other nations across the developing and newly industrialized world;
– Russia continues missile and drone strikes across Ukraine;
– Ukraine’s plea for air defense systems is impractical and reflect desperation in Kiev;
– West is attempting to mix and match air defense systems to create an ad hoc integrated network;
– Many air defense components will take a year or longer to arrive in Ukraine;
– Many air defense components will be damaged or destroyed before the imagined integrated network is complete;
– A turning point is coming where the West will have to decide between escalating or abandoning its proxy war in Ukraine;
References:
US Department of Defense – Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark A. Milley Hold a Press Conference Following the Ukraine Defense Contact Group Meeting Oct. 12, 2022 Brussels, Belgium:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcri
Reuters – First German IRIS-T air defence system in Ukraine, three more to come – minister:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/
Politico – France, UK pledge new air defense tools for Ukraine:
https://www.politico.eu/article/franc
Reuters – France could deliver up to 12 more Caesar howitzers to Ukraine, Le Monde reports:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/
FT – Military briefing: Ukraine frets about a new Belarus front:
https://www.ft.com/content/4b85b384-a
Washington Post – Ukraine wants more air defense. Here’s how it works.:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation

Posted by: Melaleuca | Oct 14 2022 0:16 utc | 170

“…. even more likely, millions of Ukrainians escaping their towns once they figure out that the fuel supply has been more than halved as the RF was supplying it, and the electricity supply has mostly been taken out.
The situation is so dire that the Ukrainian government has been even asking NATO to supply winter clothing for the soldiers, as if hard winters had never happened before in Ukraine so they did not need to stock winter clothing.
Posted by: Blissex | Oct 13 2022 19:25 utc | 70
I think you make a good point Blissex (and by the way, I enjoyed your comment at #57), I have wondered about the situation for the “Ukrainians who live in the Nazi controlled areas of Ukraine.” If they wanted to stand up to Zelensky and demand an end to the NATO war, what would become of them? I am almost sure that they would be shot or arrested and never seen again should they organize demonstrations of any magnitude in the streets of Kiev, for example. The western MSM is quick to point out demonstrations in Russia or Iran, but nothing about demonstrations in western Ukraine. That could be because “everyone is happy with their present situation, but I doubt it. More likely, they are too afraid to even speak openly about their discontent. A very similar situation existed in Nazi Germany by the time WW2 started.
Since the people Ukrainian people under Ukraine Nazi control can’t speak with their voice, they will have no choice but to speak with their feet or die trying.

Posted by: Ed Nelson | Oct 14 2022 0:21 utc | 171

following on from Lapin & William Gruff #275 previous thread about the bridge attack.
“Yep, I noticed, but I also noticed that second span didn’t look like it was damaged at all. Even the guardrails looked OK. It was just sitting with one end in the water.”
Yes, I noticed that immediately as well. The thing is people miss things all the time eg the unreliability of witness statements present at a crime scene. Then they bring them to forums (and arguments arise, unfortunately).
eg I had not seen any comments/references in the news on forums or here about the hundreds of “flaming incendiary” pieces flying in the air being blown by the strong wind onto the fuel/oil tankers of the train to the left. But I noticed those immediately as well.
Eventually I found this: The renowned explosive ordnance disposal expert, retired Major Myka Tyry of the Finnish Defence Forces now estimates that the explosives used “may have weighed between one and two thousand kilograms” (2,200-4,400 lb) but was “not a conventional mixture of fuel oil and ammonium nitrate, but something of much higher quality as it wasn’t just a big fireball, but was followed by ‘flaming torches in the air’. Which suggests the use of combustible metals such as aluminium, magnesium or thermite to amplify the explosion.”
and
“In such an explosion, the burning metals spread over a much wider area than just the usual large fireball. That would explain how a train dozens of metres away caught fire from the explosion.”
Tyry suggests that the explosive payload may have included Russian-made thermite incendiaries. (The Russians have used these extensively in Ukraine, and the Ukrainians have captured unfired Russian thermite rockets;

via reddit search for – y0igzp/финская_национальная_телерадиокомпания_yle –
for a rudimentary example of thermite burning … https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xjT1EDU1rrw
the perps certainly knew what they were doing. I still wonder though, if the fuel train being there was coincidence pure luck, or actually intentional, part of the plan? I hope the Russian investigation finds out.

Posted by: SeanAU | Oct 14 2022 0:21 utc | 172

NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg: NATO condemns the “terrible and indiscriminate attacks” on civilian infrastructure in Ukraine.
Let’s remind Stoltenberg what and how NATO behaved in Yugoslavia 1999
see good ref video via telegram /azmilitary11/24279
Regarding the “Klitschko Bridge” in Kiev (western news complained about this walk bridge/site as targeting civilians) , it is reported that the probable target was not the “Klitschko Bridge” itself, but the building of the European Union advisory assistance located nearby (underneath that visual camera shiot).
ref see via telegram intelslava/38759
and recently this is very well said, a keeper, I agree entirely.
Scorpion says:
I do not regard one side only as being all in the wrong and the other other side being all in the right. I think reading things that way is cognitively challenged, although emotionally appealing. We prefer certainty to doubt.
My interest is in trying to understand what is going on, both factually and otherwise – mental, spiritual, cultural etc.
Scorpion | Oct 10 2022 23:36 utc | 369

Posted by: SeanAU | Oct 14 2022 0:29 utc | 173

Biswapriya Purkayast | Oct 14 2022 0:09 utc | 168
Russia car bombs its own Daughters
Russia bombs its own pipelines
Russia bombs its own bridges (looking at you here, John Drowsy)
Russia for sure nuke bombs its neighbourhood (because fallout is good)
Yep. People with believe anything.
——-
Having just watched the Brian Berletic latest. NATO|U$ is at desperation point.
It is either go home (to cold, hungry angry populace) or go hard.
I share your concern now, that there’s a greater chance they’ll go hard….
I didn’t have this view in February..

Posted by: Melaleuca | Oct 14 2022 0:30 utc | 174

@128 Jared: re: Russia should objectively state that it is at war with the U.S.
a. Who that matters doesn’t know that a state of war exists?
b. It’s not at war with the U.S., anyway. It’s at war with intn’l capital that does, has, and will want to dismember Russia, China, Iran etc. in order to control resources and markets and extract max rents from those assets
c. Expressing an objective state of war increases the chances that hot-heads can push red buttons. And that is _not_ in anyone’s interest, and it’s surely not in Russia and China’s interest
The war will be prosecuted, by both sides, to the maximum of their ability and resources. So far, Russia and China are winning handily on the economic, political and even military aspects of the confrontation.
Why stir the pot, and provide further talking points for the deluded loud-mouths of U.S., UK and EU (current) leadership?
Read Sun Tzu again. He advises against direct confrontation, against humiliating the adversary, or in any way fanning the emotional flames. Same for Judo. Emotions and rage are verboten.
So why declare open warfare? All the key players at the intn’l level are absolutely, keenly aware of what’s afoot, and you can bet the back-channel comms among national leaders are positively melting the phone wires, they’re so intense.
They’re activated to level 9.96 on a scale of 0 to 10.
If anything, any “declaration of war” should be, as it already has by Russia and China, be framed as predator .vs. the weak. The declaration of that fact is yielding great benefits to the East/South.
Karlof1 and many others have provided legion examples and documents and position papers and speeches to affirm this strategy. And it is working, handsomely. The U.S. and UK and EU, as oligarch cats-paws, are almost boxed-in.
Russia just needs to do what it’s doing: consolidate Ukraine, concentrate on econ devel within Asia, cast the West as desperate bandits, and feed its people.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 14 2022 0:31 utc | 175

Posted by: Muthaucker | Oct 13 2022 21:58 utc | 133
The eagles on Col. MacGregor’s shoulders in his official U.S. Army photo would seem to indicate otherwise.

Posted by: Duke | Oct 14 2022 0:31 utc | 176

@ aristodemos | Oct 13 2022 23:18 utc | 155
Know that ultimately, Korea will do what is best for Korea. … At some point that means jettisoning the US’s hegemony.
Russia and China will partner with them quite nicely.

Posted by: Mummer | Oct 14 2022 0:36 utc | 177

Its smart to evacuate Kherson. Probably can run a better defense this way and it will most likely be a hot spot for a while. Not to mention Ukros dont give a damn aboit civilian collateral damage.
Finally a good move.

Posted by: Comandante | Oct 14 2022 0:49 utc | 178

Posted by: Yenwoda | Oct 13 2022 20:00 utc | 83
Relax. They are probably just ruminating about US strikes on “Kanduz Hospital”, or on “Falluja Hospitals”. I understand US AC130s can really rip a place apart. Again the UN inquiry just faded away, as it always does…
Posted by: AParadiseLost | Oct 13 2022 21:52 utc | 131
This is especially true when the victims (patients and medical staff) have no aircover or protection as in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Posted by: Ed Nelson | Oct 14 2022 0:54 utc | 179

@AParadiseLost #131,
A real nonsequitor of a reply there. The airstrike on that hospital in Kunduz was a horrible tragedy with an infuriating lack of accountability. Anyone who urges deliberate attacks like that to try and eke out an advantage on the battlefield, as @rk did, is a scumbag. Do you agree or disagree?

Posted by: Yenwoda | Oct 14 2022 1:14 utc | 180

It is smart to evacuate Kherson city of civilians because then when Russia flees across the river the Ukrainians can’t torture and murder the civilians of the area. Although, of course the Russians will never flee an area they can’t easily re-supply and from which the have stopped multiple counter-offensives dead in their tracks and are just slaughtering Ukrainians so badly that they almost stopped Ukraine from being able to shell Kherson city.

Posted by: Simon | Oct 14 2022 1:16 utc | 181

Posted by: Yenwoda | Oct 14 2022 1:14 utc | 179
I happen to agree with you on this BUT the problem your side has is that they never, ever admit to actually even tragic mistakes, and never when they are not in fact accidental. In every war there will be rogue or semi rogue actors who do things not officially approved.
It is the job of the media to call out these errors but in the current cowed and uni-voice media in the West, that does not happen. In Iraq and Afghanistan the US/NATO forces often bombed wedding parties etc killing civilians with little care. even if not intended the results show a reckless disregard for human life. that is why it so often seems one sided. i am not going to scream about Russian/Chinese/Syrian/NK/Iranian atrocities, if they occur, because no one ever screams about Ukrainian/US/UK/Saudi/Israeli atrocities and that makes the who thing unfair.
Moreover the evil deliberate murder of Gadaffi’s grandchildren, is so sickening I could never, ever support Hillary or any of those involved, and that basically spreads to the entire US military.

Posted by: watcher | Oct 14 2022 1:26 utc | 182

>>And while the UNHCR is no doubt an excellent bureaucratic data collector – its data specifically records only those people who have officially registered as refugees.
Not at all, their 7.6 million data is based on border crossings. The official ukr refugees are way less than the border crossings.
The numbers of ukrainians accepted by the US are low. Moreover, you made some other mistakes too – the regions Russia took are severely depopulated due to people fleeing the conflict, whether into Central and Western Ukraine or towards Europe. In Ukraine alone, there are 8 million *internally displaced people*, mostly from eastern regions. Most of Zaporozhie region population and part of Donetsk and Kherson regions population too is in Ukr hands. Etc.

Posted by: Passer by | Oct 14 2022 1:32 utc | 183

Interesting off-topic is flying higher than the deadly MIG-15bis. Oh well never mind.
Interestingly, all sub-titled Chinese Korean war movies rarely showed the Yankees as decent worthy enemies of note. The Yankee officers were virtual clones of one Lt-Colonel Custer.
The South Korean versions showed the true horrors quite openly.
In the west, the media follows their master’s propaganda directives faithfully to the bitter end. Quite literally.
Propaganda war fatigue is now prevalent in AmeriKa. Due to the Mid-Terms Daily TV BS. All missing the key point in this erection. MAGA is dead long live the next DJT BS slogan!
In other news on the Russian Federation’s western front. Thousands of fresh replacement troops are streaming in on a daily basis. Belorussia inclusive. Poland is demanding/screaming at AmeriKa! Supply them with Nukes now!
To no one’s surprise, the combined Russian and local allies are fully using the terrain/air superiority/rivers to their full advantage. The “Krasnopol smart control glide shells and the ” KUB-BLA” drones. Are very effective indeed.
Sadly, the last resort manpower to use in the final counter-offensive is only untrained women and school children.

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Oct 14 2022 2:00 utc | 184

“Yes, and all too few understand the fact that the TV show M*A*S*H was propaganda like almost all TV shows related to the Empire’s wars”
Um, what? MASH was a socialist propaganda show that spit at Americans, and especially conservative Americans. The main character openly supported the North Koreans in later episodes, applauding news of them attacking the South.
The worst character was Frank Burns, who was a patriotic American who supported the war – and therefore was mean-spirited and racist. He was so evil that eventually they had to replace him with another character that took the same position, but who wasn’t quite as evil, as they had gone so far with the Burns character that they had no wiggle room left with him.
The Frank Burns character was a way to demonize those who supported the fight against the communist invasion, and demonize conservative Whites in general. Hilarious to claim that MASH was in favor of the war – that could only be said by someone who hasn’t even watched the show.
“The empire’s wars” Good one. Only dumb libertarians will lump in the wars against the communists with WWII and today’s wars. The wars against the communist invasions of South Korea and South Vietnam were done for conservative reasons. Speaking of WWII it was done by the Marxist Roosevelt and his … shall we say, not-white advisors, who wanted the Soviet Union to invade Europe. Roosevelt alone insisted the army go west into southern France from Italy, a heavily fortified area with no strategic value for the U.S. after Normandy, instead of going east to stop the Soviet invasion of the Balkans. It was deliberately done for the U.S. and Western Europe to lose the East to the Soviet commissars. Imperialist wars, sure.
Today’s wars are also done for the sake of the Tribe. Iran is targeted for being pro-Palestinian. Iraq, which was always a strongly loyal U.S. ally, was destroyed because Hussein gave money to the families of Palestinians who lost sons who fought the Israelis. The families have their homes bulldozered. Syria is targeted for being pro-Palestinian. Russia is targeted for being conservative, anti-homo, but above all for aiding Syria and Iran. There is no gain at all in this for Americans, who suffer economically. If U.S. leadership was “imperialist” they would actually, you know, take territory for an American empire. Instead they GIVE AWAY American territory to a flood of millions of immigrants.
“But the capitalist empire!”

Posted by: Tenet | Oct 14 2022 2:00 utc | 185

i see some delving into korean war stats and civilian death numbers by uncle deaths head . lets not forget the Philippines, usa army there wiped out locals. i recal a certain usa general issued a command to kill every local male over 12 yrs old as a combatant . how easily this info is memory holed as liberators

Posted by: hankster | Oct 14 2022 2:04 utc | 186

Interesting off-topic is flying higher than the deadly MIG-15bis. Oh well never mind.
Interestingly, all sub-titled Chinese Korean war movies rarely showed the Yankees as decent worthy enemies of note. The Yankee officers were virtual clones of one Lt-Colonel Custer.
The South Korean versions showed the true horrors quite openly.
In the west, the media follows their master’s propaganda directives faithfully to the bitter end. Quite literally.
Propaganda war fatigue is now prevalent in AmeriKa. Due to the Mid-Terms Daily TV BS. DJT is claiming all erections are rigged. All political aspirants keep missing the key point in this erection. MAGA is dead and buried! Long live the next DJT BS slogan!
In other news on the Russian Federation’s western front. Thousands of fresh replacement troops are streaming in on a daily basis. Belorussia inclusive. Poland is demanding/screaming at AmeriKa! Supply them with Nukes now!
To no one’s surprise, the combined Russian and local allies are fully using the terrain/air superiority/rivers to their full advantage. The “Krasnopol smart control glide shells and the ” KUB-BLA” drones. Are very effective indeed.
Sadly, the last resort manpower to use in the final country 404 counter-offensives. Are only untrained women and schoolchildren.

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Oct 14 2022 2:17 utc | 187

M.A.S.H.? It sucked. Maybe we can discuss McHale’s Navy next? How about Gomer Pyle? I thought this was a Ukraine thread.

Posted by: Immaculate deception | Oct 14 2022 2:20 utc | 188

This is embarrassment for Russia
https://www.rt.com/russia/564632-belgorod-ammo-depot-fire/

Posted by: Andrew | Oct 14 2022 2:23 utc | 189

EdNelson@170
The battened-down and bewildered denizens of Ukraine must engage one single blessing…patience. Once the Winter War II commences, the fall of the puppet regime in Kiev will be sudden and devastating. Low profiles will ensure, but not necessarily assure survival. Perhaps some of those folks will engage their innate spirituality and spiritual consciousness, realizing that we are spirits living a short while in a material dimension where evil has managed to run amuck.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 14 2022 2:26 utc | 190

SeanAU | Oct 14 2022 0:21 utc | 171
+barflies intrigued at dissecting the Kerch Bridge bombing.
Is it the once ubiquitous crime scene CSI tv entertainment shows that now has everyone an obsessive internet sleuth?
I liken events such as Kerch as thinking 10 pieces from a 1000 piece jigsaw (and no illustration on the box) means you can solve the picture.
By holding views that have some understanding of why Russia embarked on the SMO (something I was sure would not happen) (pussyPutin won’t do shit/~8 years of inaction) I am denounced (family)(although I pretty much don’t engage in any discussion of convids, SMO, or anything 2degrees past banal).
By holding views that Russia was provoked…. Makes me a Putinpuppet, evidently.
When it comes to internet sleuthing of the Kerch bridge bombing, I see that as an entirely futile time waster.
Because I am actually not a Putinpuppet, I hold deeeep reservations about the rebranded KGB|FSB.
What’s on the telegrams and twitter is what has been made available…. which I consider about 10 pieces from a 1000 piece jigsaw.
What’s out there is what the FSB wants out there. It is what has not made it to the internet is what is needed to “solve” this “case”.
I think internet sleuths should avail themselves of the myriad internet sleuthing blogs and indulge themselves there.
And leave this humble blog to geopolitics…at which it excels.
——-
What we know about the bombing:
When…Putin’s birthday
Who: Ukraine (with probably intel assistance /Brits++)
Why: Remove (military) transport link to Crimea + Kherson
How: big boomdadeeboom
Result: Bridge damaged, but not destroyed. Limited curtailment of military and civilian use.
Response: Strategic bombing and disabling of transport and electrical systems across Ukraine. Removal of Ukraine as a supplier of electricity to EU.
Exactly *how* the Ukrainians made the boomdadeeboom on the bridge is intriguing for engineers, explosive experts and autists. Others, not so much.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Oct 14 2022 2:29 utc | 191

Tom Pfotzer@174
Yet another astute set of observations, insights and conclusions. Congratulations.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 14 2022 2:30 utc | 192

@Biswapriya Purkayast 168
Once nuclear devices are detonated, it will be irrelevant what people believe. Russia will know that it did not do it, that they are under nuclear attack and that they have to respond, even though they know that there response will end most life on earth.
The reality is that adults know there will not be survivors after detonation of around 100 medium sized devices over cities, and on a planet with tens of thousands of thermonuclear devices and the ability to produce many times that, many only a button push away from detonation, that this probably cannot be avoided.
Which makes faking responsibility for their detonation an utterly meaningless waste of effort.

Posted by: Hermit | Oct 14 2022 2:34 utc | 193

Blissex @ 57
A most interesting aspect to this regional history is the immensely lucrative slave trade, so extensive that the “merchandise” of this trade has morphed to become the word denoting the ethnicity of the region’s inhabitants. Slaves became Slav.
I am currently reading a fascinating book by Leslie Pierce called “Empress of the East”,(How a Slave Girl Became Queen of the Ottoman Empire).
To quote the back page blurb:
“This is the incredible story of the Russian slave who rose from concubine to become the only queen of the Ottoman Empire. In 1536, Sultan Suleyman the Magnificent shocked his court by marrying his adored slave, Roxelana. As Empress alongside one of the world’s most powerful men, she became a shrewd diplomat and philanthropist, helping Suleyman keep pace with a changing world in which women increasingly held the reigns of power”.
Popularly alledged to be her birthplace is a small town called Rohatyn, some 45 miles S.E. of Lviv, Ukraine. An imposing brass monument has been erected there in her honour.
In the late 15th century, the Tatars of the Crimean Khanate were the principal raiders and Ruthenia (“old Russia”, then governed by a Polish king) was among the Black Sea regions ravaged for human merchandise. The titular name Roxelana means “maiden from Ruthenia”, and she was Christian, which was the preferred religious denomination of the slaves acquired by the Ottomans, especially those selected for concubinage.
The main slave market was in the Ottoman sultanate capital of Istanbul. The trade was hugely profitable. (The Ottomans weren’t the first to profit from the slave trade. Rome, and then their Byzantine heirs and also the Abbasid caliphate in Baghdad found trade in humans very lucrative). The slave dealers were usually non-Muslim: Jews, Greeks, Armenians and Italians.
Between 2010 and 2014 Turkiye broadcast an extremely popular high production TV series on Roxelana and the Sultanate court. I was living in Turkiye at the time and remember it very well. Curiously enough, this history goes some way to explaining the powerful public presence of women in Turkish society when compared to their Arab sisters.

Posted by: Australian lady | Oct 14 2022 2:54 utc | 194

As bad as things in Ukraine are, I doubt NATO/Elensky can make it go full-Paraguay in terms of national suicide. Total state-breakdown would occur first.
What is the situation in Kherson? It looks like the AFU is stalled-out. So are is the RF clearing out civvies like Donetsk city, because the Ukrs are doing their good-ole ”lob shells & kill random people” routine?

Posted by: Urban Fox | Oct 14 2022 2:54 utc | 195

Urban Fox | Oct 14 2022 2:54 utc | 194
The Ukraine that US/UK have raised since 2014 is full on OUN. No different to the anlgo terrorist proxies AQ and ISIS. The fools in Ukraine that have been brainwashed into the OUN stuff will be destroyed in the same way Russia destroys the anglo muslim extremist proxies. Russia has given them plenty of time to know that Russia means business and plenty of time to reconsider. Now they are all dead meat.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 14 2022 3:25 utc | 196

@hankster 185
Mark Twain wrote extensively on the US genocide of the Moro (for something short, but pithy, see https://www.historyisaweapon.com/defcon1/clemensmoromassacre.html. As we can see, the USA’s Imperium’s goals and methods have not changed.

Posted by: Hermit | Oct 14 2022 3:37 utc | 197

The Russians clear out civilians from Kherson city and the trolls screech “It’s a sign of weakness!”.
The way I see it, the Ruskies are getting ready to flatten the place, but first they’ll invite the AFU in.
So it’s going to go like this:
1. Evacuate everyone
2. AFU can’t resist invading Kherson city and claiming a propaganda victory
3. Russian air and missile forces pancake the place into the ground, including any AFU forces.
4. Since there’s no civilians, there’s no war crimes.
5. Reconstruction begins
6. Rinse, wash repeat if necessary

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Oct 14 2022 4:10 utc | 198

Posted by: Andrew | Oct 14 2022 2:23 utc | 188

This is embarrassment for Russia

Nobody cares when you’ve lived through this:
Best of drunk Boris Yeltsin!

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Oct 14 2022 4:14 utc | 199

By calling him [a certain former Norwegian politicians who excel at making bloodcurdling statements in the most bland style imaginable, with possible exception of Biden] deranged you are relieving him of responsibility. He deserves to be a seen as the fully responsible Quisling he is.
Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 13 2022 20:08 utc | 90
Quisling perhaps got a good deal for his people under the circumstances. And Norway should enjoy a splendid deal, being on the earning side of LNG/NG prices that ruin a major part of Europe — but not Norway. Hence, [a certain former Norwegian….] is another Norwegian patriot.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Oct 14 2022 4:21 utc | 200