Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 16, 2022
The MoA Week In Review – (Not Ukraine) OT 2022-175

Last week's posts on Moon of Alabama:


Other issues:

China:

Germany – China:

> [Economy Minister] Habeck promised to continue the dialogue with the business community and another meeting has been arranged for the first quarter next year, the two people said. "He has a steep learning curve, he is very open," one of them said. "The problem is that he is starting right at the bottom." <

Haiti:

Aaron Maté @aaronjmate – 0:24 UTC · Oct 16, 2022
Haiti is the first free country in this hemisphere, borne out of a slave revolt. For two centuries, it's been rewarded for that contribution to humankind with pillage, coups, destabilization, and military occupation from France, US, and their Western junior partners.

Miami Herald @MiamiHerald – Oct 15
Exclusive: U.S. will support sending ‘multinational rapid action force’ to Haiti

“Western” hostility to Haiti’s legacy of liberation is so entrenched that a French ambassador admitted that it factored in their 2004 coup of President Aristide, who dared to ask France to pay reparations for looting Haiti as the “price” of its freedom in 1804:

Keane Bhatt @KeaneBhatt -  May 21
A major revelation buried deep within this excellent historical overview: France’s then-ambassador admits on the record that the U.S. and France orchestrated a coup against Haiti’s elected president in 2004
The Root of Haiti’s Misery: Reparations to Enslavers

Prosecution Futures:

Use as open (NOT Ukraine) thread …

Comments

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 4:31 utc | 96
So why aren’t you asking the one question that matters. Why is my religion dedicated to a fake idol that is based on stolen ideas from nearly a millennia of other cultures’ ideas, and that those cultures are still chugging along just fine without all the bullshit that my religion or variants thereof have wreaked on the Earth?
Christ was not who you think he is.
The Christian religion is phony.
Can you salvage something good from that and still manage to pass it off to others or convince them you’re not out to murder, steal and conquer if they don’t believe in Hitler Christ? (you can safely ignore the stricken text, we know where you stand).

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 17 2022 5:53 utc | 101

Glad I stumbled across this website. The comments are amusing, informative and often terrifying.
I can only pray that this world-spanning concrete behemoth collapses and dies while there are still a few quiet corners of the Wild left.
How many of you here can have even one day without the sound of an engine?
We are all slaves, staring into screens, thinking we are free, while the Algorithm takes another bite out of us. Anyone who bites back, however pathetically, gets stamped on, forever. Julian Assange springs to mind.
Ww are all dream-led masses, dancing down the dark mountain.
Right, off to clear the squash beds, and get some clay under my fingernails. It’s the only thing that feels sane right now.

Posted by: Benn | Oct 17 2022 6:12 utc | 102

I guess if Nemesis Calling has to ask, “What is the point of Buddhism exactly?”, he’ll never understand what Buddhism is or is about, no matter how many times people might explain the religion – or any other religion including Christian denominations different from his denomination – to him.
As Juliania @ 97 says, we all need to be open to other people’s spiritual experiences but NC doesn’t come close.
“… For westerners, is Buddhism and the like just a respite for weary travellers who refuse to pull their load in Christendom? To me it doesn’t matter what you want to do with your life…it is a matter of best living the life you are given or thrown into …”
Christianity is not meant to be a religion where everyone is supposed to be pulling loads of any sort … the whole point of Christianity is that Jesus carries the load for people who believe in him. People are not expected to put up with whatever they’re “thrown into” – that is a fatalistic attitude against the spirit of Christianity.
“… Come unto me, all ye that labour and are heavy laden, and I will give you rest. Take my yoke upon you, and learn of me; for I am meek and lowly in heart: and ye shall find rest unto your souls. For my yoke is easy, and my burden is light …”
Gospel of Matthew 11:28–30 in the Bible (King James version)

Posted by: Jen | Oct 17 2022 6:14 utc | 103

@Juliana. You might like this:
Angels duet
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5_2NJRIdBO8
John Farnham and Lisa Edwards.
The touch of your hand, will let me know
You take me in, and let me go
If not for love, why would we meet
How is it done, two into one, so easily?
We’re lifted up by angels
Higher than the world
Strong enough to leave it
Bound to learn the secrets
Angels never heard
We’re lifted up by angels
You understand, yet never say
How every plan would fade away
If not for love, where would you be?
Ashes to dust, water to rust
Away from me
We’re lifted up by angels
Higher than the world
Strong enough to leave it
Bound to learn the secrets
Angels never heard
Close enough to heaven
Above the rain
Darkness cannot reach us
Let the angels teach us
Only love remains
We’re lifted up by angels
Given wings to fly
Leave the night behind us
Trust the light to find us
Even as we rise
We’re lifted up by angels
We’re close enough to heave
Above the rain
Darkness cannot reach us
Let the angels teach us
Only love remains
We’re lifted up by angels
Higher than the world
Strong enough to leave it
Bound to learn the secrets
Angels never heard
We’re lifted up by angels
1994
Tom Kimmel, Jennifer Kimball
And then there’s…..
Amazing Grace.
You think you’ve heard it before.
And then there’s this version
Venetta Fields John Farnham and Lindsay Field
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_x6N94OEkZQ&list=RD5_2NJRIdBO8&index=2

Posted by: Melaleuca | Oct 17 2022 6:25 utc | 104

I wrote:
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~//
— karlof1 | Oct 17 2022 0:06 utc | 71
— William Gruff | Oct 17 2022 1:05 utc | 78
I think maybe the future of energy lies in ‘burning’ pure water in water reactors. It’s the chemical analog of the nuclear fission reactor, but you only need water (H2O) to get vast amounts of energy.
Posted by: blues | Oct 17 2022 3:38 utc | 92
//~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
I was waiting for some clever poster to lambast me as a troglodyte, but so far, no response. Maybe it peaked some interest at the cost of me sounding foolish for endorsing this classic old ‘flat earth’ genre meme. However, I actually have something very serious in mind. Although electrolysis of water (to produce hydrogen fuel and oxygen) is very inefficient at room temperature because electrical voltage dissociation of the hydrogen from the oxygen produces a lot of heat (is exothermic), that changes if the water is extremely hot, since the heat ‘loosens’ the bond between the H and the O2 — So very little electric energy is needed to separate them. Effectively heat from focused sunlight can almost directly power the production of hydrogen and oxygen from water with no catalizers (e.g. costly, unsustainably produced rare earths). There seeem to be several different projects and approaches being tried for this. Check out this one:
A team of researchers in Spain has succeeded in producing hydrogen with the aid of solar energy – not through electrolysis, but by way of a redox reaction and concentrated sunlight

Posted by: blues | Oct 17 2022 7:25 utc | 105

At a rather old age, I have received a vision of what the real world actually is. The real world is Ubiquity. Ubiquity is everywhere. It is somewhat like the Tao, but perhaps not. Who knows? You must learn about Ubiquity, become a Ubiquitan. Stop worrying about ‘good’, ‘evil’, and all suchlike. The people who live the ‘high and mighty’ narrative are always the most dangerous ones. They are afflicted with surdignifism, have way too much ‘self-esteem’. This automatically entails the existence of people afflicted with subdignifism, who live the ‘low and soiled’ narrative. Once you find the Truth of Ubiquity, you will shed such absurd extremes as much as you can, as although they be inbuilt and instinctive, they are harmful to the true self-narrative. Then, you will strive for andignitism, where peace and equalitarianism become your true self-narrative. The world is a vast Twilight Forest, deep and infinitely dense, ultimately beyond comprehension. Magnificent flowers, rivers flowing with life and infinite mystery, all around, and time is a vast mystery, yet Ubiquitous. May Ubiquity show you the way to great blessings.

Posted by: blues | Oct 17 2022 7:40 utc | 106

Down South #12
and
juliania #36 and #37
Tulsi condemns Schwab and his dystopian BS
https://newspunch.com/former-wef-young-global-leader-tulsi-gabbard-condemns-klaus-schwabs-totalitarian-dream/

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Oct 17 2022 7:56 utc | 107

@Tom_Q_Collins etc.
What is the point of all this new-age religious babbling? The idea of Christ as some sort of mashup character is devoid of any historical or literary evidence. The surviving literature about Mithra is late (that is written during the Christian Era) and all about the Roman cult of Mithra, which is certainly different from the original Eastern cult of Mithra as archeological research proves. Indian poems were costantly revised and expanded through the ages and much of the information about Krisna’s personal life was written after the 2nd or 3rd century AD. Much of the Isis and Osiris stuff is in the same category as Mithra’s: all the literary evidence is late and there is no proof that the original cult, before the 1st century that is, had any real resemblance with Christianity. As a matter of fact, the success of the Christian religion in the Roman Empire inspired a plethora of copycat Eastern-flavoured mystic cults, which saw their best time between the end of the 1st and the 3rd century AD.

Is there any more information about that semiconductor war between China and the U.S.? Some sources say it is not a big deal, some say it is a death blow to China: is there a good analysis, especially with some technical insight?

Posted by: SG | Oct 17 2022 11:42 utc | 108

The state of US companies… with implications for the US economy….
https://wolfstreet.com/2022/10/17/the-1001-imploded-stocks-of-2022-down-80-or-more-so-far/
Not counting delisted stocks, mergers or name-changes, nearly 1 in 6 US surviving stocks from May is now “on sale” at 80% off its high. How much more room is there in the Bargain Basement?
The complete Imploded Stocks list is below. Most are smaller companies you’ve never heard of.
For now, I just want to note that these 1001 companies collectively account for a decent share of the US economy and employment.
For these companies “caught offsides” by the Everything Bust, many workers and investors – and their families – must be deeply anxious about the falling share prices. These companies’ vendors may be worrying about getting paid, and their customers may be worrying about weak links in their supply chains. I expect there’s more pain ahead.
Of these 1001 Imploded Stocks, how many will fail and how many will survive the rest of the Everything Bust? How many survivors will become case studies in stock turnarounds? Time will tell, but I wish everyone the best of luck. With so much mess to clean up, I think we’re going to need all the luck we can find…

This bear market, caused by supply shocks… consequent to sanctions gone amok… is early in it’s life…
INDY

Posted by: Dr. George W Oprisko | Oct 17 2022 13:55 utc | 109

Only 8:44 but chock full of info.
Michael Hudson: China’s Monetary System Challenges US Dollar Imperialism

Posted by: Jun | Oct 17 2022 14:30 utc | 110

blues @105-6–
Wasn’t ignoring you; I’d signed off for the evening. Your ubiquity seems rather similar to Simon Patten’s Economics of Abundance that sought to move away from the negative aspects of Mathus and Ricardo that continue to form the basis of Neoliberalism. The selfish fucks trying to ruin the future for humanity must be pushed aside for humanity to continue to flower. The earth isn’t just Western Europe and part of North America; Eurasia and Africa dwarf both and are nowhere near close to their potential. The Old Slate is in the process of being wiped clean so a New Way can be etched onto it, that forms the basis for the Real Great Turning.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 17 2022 14:55 utc | 111

Alastair Crooke’s al-Mayadeen column, “‘Imperial Desperation’: Insisting on Deference, whilst Radiating Weakness”, focuses almost exclusively on Europe as it breaks apart:
“Europe stands amid schizophrenic tensions. On one hand, ‘the Normal’ (high-end ostentatious consumption) is very present, yet, on the other hand, increasing clusters of the ‘Abnormal’ also exist.”
Crooke explains:
“This Ukraine ‘bubble’, however, is deflating: It was always primarily ‘psy-ops war’ intended, at best, to fracture the Russian peoples’ resolve, and to trigger a backlash against President Putin; and at worst, to evolve into a protracted quagmire. Kiev now has sunk to terrorist-like, one-off military ops, and ‘show’ offensives, amidst implausible calls by Zelensky for NATO to bomb Russia. Dirty war however, exudes the whiff of weakness, rather than strength.
“Yet, this alone does not account for the jittery atmospherics in Europe today. The temper is undercut by palpable, but largely unsaid, fears. For, it is not just the Ukraine bubble that is slowly deflating — there exist two separate other major bubbles which are bursting, too….
“One of these twin bursting bubbles is that of Europe’s ‘business model’: At the EU centre, is Germany. It has been the economic ‘engine’ both keeping the EU financially ‘liquified’, and at the same time, Germany has profited hugely from an Euro structurally uniquely conceived to give German high-value manufactured exports an otherwise unavailable competitive edge….
“This prospect would be bad enough on its own — but then there is the third ‘bubble’ that has begun to burst in tandem.
“And what is that?
“It is the ‘zero inflation – zero interest rate – massive government spending’ bubble that has begun to burst. And it is huge.” [My Emphasis]
A number of writers are noting the similarities in conditions to those prior to either WW1 or WW2, with Crooke endorsing and one making the links to pre-WW1:
“This is a moment that evokes an earlier period of Great Power fragility: namely, the initial escalation leading into World War I (as Malcom Kyeyune has noted (see below)) that saw an array of nations dragged into the conflict — all of them disastrously underestimating the length and severity of the conflict. (Sound familiar?).”
I found the link for Kyeyune’s essay, “Why 2022 Is 1914, Redux”, and when we look at the genuine reasons behind WW1, both Crooke and Kyeyune have grounds for making such links as Kyeyune summarizes in this one sentence:
“World War I was less a story of hubris and more one of imperial desperation.”
And that’s what many of us are seeing right now as Neoliberalism swirls around the toilet bowl.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 17 2022 15:17 utc | 112

As I wrote last week during the spate of conferences and Summits within and centered on Central Asia, all these organizations would serve to increase communication and depth of solidarity amongst their members. In his answer to a question by a Channel One reported at Astana, Lavrov confirmed my notion:
“Question: Will the new Russia-Central Asia format replace the work of the CIS and other organisations?
“Sergey Lavrov: This format has existed for many years. It has already been the format of three meetings at the level of foreign ministers. The discussions have yielded ideas and initiatives that should be organically implemented as part of the Russia-Central Asia interaction. In no way it replaces the CIS, the CSTO or the EAEU, which are all entities in which Russia participates. Insofar as the CIS is concerned, the five Central Asian states are its members. However, there is no single format where we are directly involved only in this group of six. This does not mean that projects underway in other areas will be forgotten or set aside. It will enrich our interaction in creating conditions for economic and social development and ensuring better connectivity in this region in the context of expanding Eurasian cooperation.
“Back in 2016, President of Russia Vladimir Putin spoke in favour of using all formats on our continent to form a Greater Eurasian Partnership. At that time, the EAEU, SCO and ASEAN countries showed an interest in this project. At the same time, it was stressed that the process of forming the Greater Eurasian Partnership remains open to all states without exception that are located on the vast continent we all share.
“Central Asia now provides more and more opportunities for the development of continent-wide cooperation. Both the Americans and the European Union have previously created the Central Asia Plus Partner formats. Our Central Asian friends also have such a mechanism in place with Japan, India, Turkey and Iran. In this context, the Russian Federation is not starting a new chapter here, but is simply using its objective opportunities for development on the basis of the already existing common economic setup to deepen economic integration. This is a natural process that will further harmonise the existing trends on our continent.
“Question: Does Ukraine’s non-participation in the CIS (although it did not formally withdraw from it) deprive the Commonwealth of anything? Is it an omission?
“Sergey Lavrov: It is a problem for Ukraine, as well as for Moldova that they did not attend the events. We have long since come to the conclusion that we need to rely on those who are sincerely and genuinely interested in developing cooperation. Ukraine, on the other hand, is interested in undermining all ties that exist in the CIS space. We proceed from this.
“Question: On September 30, Donbass, Kherson and Zaporozhye were reunified with Russia. Is this somehow discussed here? Do you inform your partners about it and do you get their reactions?
“Sergey Lavrov: All our partners were informed as early as during the preparations for the vote and the referendums. No questions are asked. Everyone understands that this is the objective reality.”
Few have questioned Moldova’s fate in Russia’s SMO, but its behavior shows it’s almost as ugly as the Baltics. IMO, its fate could be similar to that of Western Ukraine, although I suspect Putin will want Moldovans to speak through their own referendum once Transnistria gets reabsorbed into Russia.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 17 2022 15:28 utc | 113

@ Jun | Oct 17 2022 14:30 utc | 110 with the Michael Hudson link
That is the best summary I have heard from Michael. Thanks for sharing. I hope it gets wide circulation.
I SUPPORT PUBLIC BANKING
http://www.publicbankinginstitute.org
The above is on a sign in my front yard

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 17 2022 15:41 utc | 114

Said “blues | Oct 17 2022 7:25 utc | 105” —
“because electrical voltage dissociation of the hydrogen from the oxygen produces a lot of heat (is exothermic), that changes if the water is extremely hot”
While it just might be possible use concentrated sunlight to break the hydrogen-oxygen bonds in water to yield pure hydrogen and pure oxygen (I think that’s at least plausible), it certainly isn’t because of the blatantly false ‘reason’ you give. Breaking those bonds absorbs heat (is endothermic), and that fact can’t possibly be affected by the temperature of the water, as anyone who got at least a C- in high school chemistry class could tell you. You can make up whatever fantasy makes you happy, but the universe will continue obeying the laws of physics without asking your permission.

Posted by: Dalit | Oct 17 2022 16:04 utc | 115

Posted by: Melaleuca | Oct 17 2022 6:25 utc | 104
Thank you for your links, Melaleuca! My canary is named Angel, (even though his ancestors were dinosaurs.) And every time I hear “Amazing Grace” it is like a homecoming, every time. I remember when our priest was ill he loved to listen to Paul Robeson – I don’t remember if he sang ‘Amazing Grace’ but that voice filled the house with a healthful, spiritful joy. Transformative. Uplifting. An American heritage like the Shakers and Quakers and Mennonites and all native tribes… I treasure once listening to old vinyls of folk music in a very small room in the basement of the Library of Congress… it was there, too, once. (Hah! My husbandtobe and I were the first invaders there… little did we or they know!)

Posted by: juliania | Oct 17 2022 16:08 utc | 116

Posted by: blues | Oct 17 2022 7:40 utc | 106
Lovely, blues, thank you! I award you my favorite Charlie Brown stamp – Pigpen.
(It’s the highest honor I’m able to bestow.)
😉

Posted by: juliania | Oct 17 2022 16:23 utc | 117

@112 Karlof1:
Does it seem to you that the phenomenon of clarifying and consolidation of the “story” is rapidly occurring?
It seems to me that the explanations – from many quarters – are getting shorter, more direct, and more convincingly obvious as each day passes.
The velocity of narrative-formation is definitely accelerating.
And that’s partly due to your efforts. Keep it going.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 17 2022 16:27 utc | 118

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 17 2022 15:17 utc | 112
Crooke’s Mayadeen article is good sense and states the obvious. However, I’m sorry to say you misunderstand it from the start, in a typically American way, in which you closely follow Trump’s line: “Europe as it breaks apart”. Europe is not on the point of breaking apart, and Crooke does not suggest it. He merely states the obvious problems in German policy, idiocies launched by Scholz, i.e. the work of the current chancellor, not his predecessors. For some reason Americans on this blog confuse current office holders with the future of the institution itself. It may be that you did warn of the collapse and split up of the US in the days of Trump; some did. But that is as likely as the EU breaking up. There’s too much common interest. But obviously I do not expect North Americans to understand that.

Posted by: laguerre | Oct 17 2022 16:36 utc | 119

The big happening not getting any coverage is China’s 20th CPC National Congress where Xi has presented a volumous report, part of which is covered in today’s Global Times editorial, “Chinese modernization will broaden horizon of civilization”. Almost every paragraph could be excerpted as an example of the whole, yet I settled on this one, although the entire editorial and the first two infographics at page bottom ought to be read too:
‘Among the five major characteristics of Chinese modernization summed up by General Secretary Xi, there is one that China has repeatedly stated, and has been proven time and time again, that is, Chinese modernization is the modernization of peaceful development. The bloody and criminal history of some Western countries’ modernization through war, colonization, plunder and other means has brought huge suffering to the world, especially the people of developing countries. The CPC leads the Chinese people to firmly explore a new path to achieve national development and national rejuvenation in a peaceful way, and at the same time better maintain world peace and development through its own development. This is one of the important connotations of the “new model for human civilization.”‘ [My Emphasis]
It doesn’t take much imagination to see how this new model will be invoked geopolitically. As things now stand, the Outlaw US Empire and its vassals stand outside this model, and tar them with being against peaceful development as they most certainly are. It’s also quite clear how Putin could use this as yet another rhetorical weapon in Russia’s war against NATO.
Here’s another article reporting on the Congress that complements the editorial. I expect more info to become available as we progress into the week.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 17 2022 16:43 utc | 120

@119 LaGuerre: Good point. Maybe “as EU breaks apart from the U.S.” might have been a better fit.
Also, I very much appreciate the mental toughness and determination on display @ your post.
We may not always phrase it just right, but many USians empathize and support EU’s efforts to restore its sovereignty.
Why? Because we have almost exactly the same problem(s) you do.
🙂

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 17 2022 16:52 utc | 121

@ 83
(I have not yet read through the comments so sorry if this is redundant.)
NC, You asked, rhetorically, What is the point of Buddhism? ( for westerners), whilst answering your own question with narrow-minded assertions.
As a long-time student of the buddhadharma, I will make a few points.
First, the dharma teachings are for everybody without exception. No one is turned away from hearing the teachings. You needn’t be this or that, believe this or that, or live here and not there.
Second, although elaborate cultural and religious rituals and customs have developed in the past ~2,600 years in various places around the fundamental teachings, the core of the teaching is not a religion. It is a method for relieving sentient beings’ suffering by teaching the essence of reality nature, a reality nature within which causality (which is very complex; it is easier to comprehend emptiness than the complexity of causality — the two are inseparable) functions. Dharma teaches how to avoid suffering, how to find peace and happiness and how to dispel others’ sufferings.
Fundamentally, the cause of peace & happiness is virtue and the cause of suffering is non virtue — of body speech and mind. Recognizing this, taking up the first and rejecting the second, is the beginning of the path.
Wishing your parents to suffer the loss of their retirement funds as you recently commented, is a mental non-virtue, for example. It seems you desire to prove your point to them re the ill/bad character of the financial system and the culture (sic) it engenders, by wishing them ill. Of what benefit to you is this?

Posted by: suzan | Oct 17 2022 16:55 utc | 122

@james #88
I would note that derivatives are a wide field.
A farmer selling his crop before harvest – that is a derivative.
A call or put option on a stock is also a derivative.
If there isn’t margin involved and/or middlemen jacking up expenses, these aren’t necessarily bad by any means and can/do offer value.
However, the derivatives which are increasingly being used are 2nd, 3rd, 4th order fantasy objects based on bullshit mathematical modeling. The MBS’s and CDS’s of 2008 are such derivatives. So are the British pension scheme “insurance” and LTCM blowup.
As for Buffet: the core of his business empire is a derivative, true: reinsurance. By insuring the insurers, Buffet gets the benefit of float (the money paid in as insurance premiums before it is paid out for insurance claims).
Buffet’s genius is using this float to invest to get far better returns than the ones actual insurance companies get – and that is primarily because he/BRK isn’t an insurance company and isn’t forced by law to invest just in “safe” things like Treasuries and AAA rated corporate bonds. So Berkshire Hathaway’s methods are literally not replicable by insurance companies, and his scale is such that he effectively has monopoly control over reinsurance in many areas.
In a very literal sense – Berkshire Hathaway is no different a 1% scam than the carried interest tax break which banksters enormously benefit from: a systemic loophole.
The main difference is that Buffet has been highly responsible and capable in managing his reinsurance business whereas banksters are much more about boom and bust(out).
BRK basically does the same analysis as their customers do but are sufficiently good at it that they have never been caught out by massive claims overwhelming the float. But let’s not forget that they are a monopoly and are literally able to play by a completely different set of rules than their insurance company customers…

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:02 utc | 123

@103 jen
I see why one might immediately dismiss the question from a westerner asking what the point of Buddhism is.
Believe me I do. I understand much about its philosophy to not wrestle with obscuring notions of good and bad, and to divest oneself from attachment.
But as a Christian if one takes a look at our most important parable told my Christ of the Prodigal Son, I believe that there is a very clear message involved.
Shun the world, do not reconcile yourself to its evils.
The Father is both stern and loving.
Forgiveness should always be what Christians strive in doing. Iow, we love the sinner, hate the sin.
For the Buddhist, I imagine an enlightened one would walk through the world indifferent and resigned to its suffering. Are we not seeing this play out in the modern world today where we are just supposed to accept the great evils being perpetrated against the lowly via excessive costs to live, excessive taxation, the encouraging of addiction, harder and harder drugs that can instantly kill you or cause psychosis.
What I see in the future is the west galvanizing to rid these evils from its land and it will need a unifying religion to accomplish this.
Christianity already ticks all the boxes so I ask again: what is the point of Buddhism for westerners? Eastern religion practiced by westerners to me has always smacked of liberally-educated cosmopolitans that thumb their nose at Christians because sometimes you have to deal with dumb Bible-thumpers. This is really a modern Christian phenomenon thanks to Protestants who interpret literally much of the Word.
I again go back go Hegel.
Christianity is both utilitarian as a cultural entity as well as the means of individual salvation.
The problem in Modern Christianity is that it has shirked the effort needed to gather a nation together under its banner. This does not mean chauvinist nationalism. I am merely pointing to the fact that divided, the Talmudists win.
And do I need to mention the phenomenon of disparate religious leaders gathering together in cosmopolitan cities nationwide to encourage unfettered immigration through advocating for sanctuary cities, for welcoming those who practice anal sex and other deviancies, who advocate for the rights of addicts living on the streets when they need more than ever the stern love of the Father, who come together to fight anti-semitism, who tell whites they are racist forever until they breed with enough blacks to have destroyed their own native genetics.
Do not talk to me about religions getting along together and everything being beautiful thereafter. What a fucking disgusting Jewish lie.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 17:03 utc | 124

@122 Suzan
Thx for the comment.
In the first part, you instruct that Buddhsim seeks to rid one of unrealities, of falsities.
In your concluding paragraph, you rebuke me for my shocking statement which I have said many times before that I can not wait for my parents’ 401K and pensions to evaporate in the coming storm.
If you can not also see that I wish to free my fellow human beings from falsity from this statement, you might too be caught in this ginned-up reality.
I love my parents as a son. I want their liberation as a fellow human being.
Jesus: “I have come to turn husband against wife. To turn son against father. To turn daughter against mother.”

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 17:15 utc | 125

@karlof1 #71
You said

I have three candidates for sustainable power for humanity’s future: Orbital Solar; Rosatom’s 100% fuel cycle nuclear, and all forms of hydro, wind and geothermal, which I term Geopower.

Orbital solar power transmission is literally a megawatt to gigawatt powered laser with hemispheric reach.
Wind: fantasy. We have had turbines for 110 years – why does anyone think the base technology is going to get significantly better? And that doesn’t address the fundamental intermittency issue. Battery storage would address that except I have already noted that existing lithium batteries are 1/2 to 1/3 the energy density of gunpowder. We would need 10x or more energy density to have sufficiently low cost – at which point every single storage site is a sub-nuclear explosion waiting to happen.
Hydro: limited and largely already built out in the 1st world. Total world hydro today is 1360 GW = ~10 Terawatt-hours @ 80% cap factor – but that assumes no pumped storage, etc etc.
Geothermal: sounds nice – works in a few locations but the total Earth crustal energy emission is 42 million megawatts = 42 terawatts.
Sounds like a lot until you consider that the world consumes 23000 terawatt hours a year.
Actual geothermal electricity production potential is around 80 GW = 700 terawatt-hours = 3% of world electricity consumption as of 2019.
So no, can’t say that I see hydro or geothermal expanding significantly beyond existing or irrelevant amount capacity.
Wind: intermittency a structural problem.
Orbital solar: never gonna happen without NWO.
Nuclear: that’s why China is building 164 nuclear power plants even as the West is shutting them down.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:18 utc | 126

@Lex #77
Geothermal power sounds nice – but it only really works if you have the population density of Iceland, and are in Iceland.
Geothermal power areas also tend to be volcanically active…

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:20 utc | 127

@Arch Bungle #81
I’m sure morons in the US and EU governments think so, but I stress again: there have been literally 10s of billions of lagging edge semiconductors manufactured worldwide for the last 20 years.
Forget washing machines now – if you really needed to, you can pull them out of junked cars, junk washing machines, junked industrial machinery, toys, whatever.
Leading edge semiconductors are not used militarily outside of theoretical AI farms; it is the lagging edge which is built into US, Russian, Chinese and other weapons systems, industrial machinery, etc etc.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:23 utc | 128

@One Too Many #85
When you have announced building 164 new nuclear reactors by 2035 as China has, I don’t think you are picky as to who can supply them.
From my view, the AP-1000 reactors are probably one small facet of the overall China reactor plan – of which Russia tech is present as well.
It wouldn’t surprise me at all if China is buying everyone’s plants to see how they work out in terms of construction cost, meeting timetables, operations regimes, etc – and when the best are identified, they are either repeated or maybe China builds it own from what it has learned.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:27 utc | 129

@blues #105
What a research team does in a lab, is vastly different from production at scale.
Let’s look at this project you stipulate: it is a 100 KW reactor with a “target” of up to 50% conversion into hydrogen. What is the capacity factor for this plant? I doubt it is higher than the ~20% cap factor of solar PV right now. It is probably a lot less since temperatures required are in the 1200C range.
What is the cost of the plant? not mentioned.
What kind of water is needed? Pure? Tapwater? Salt ok?
What does the output look like? Grandma can drink it?
What do the catalysts cost – I’m sure there are platinum group catalysts involved. And this matters because platinum group catalysts don’t hold up well if contaminants are involved – hence the type of water required question.
How is the hydrogen going to be stored and transported? Hydrogen storage is EXTREMELY problematic because the H2 molecule is so small that is literally slides between the interstices of almost anything. You can address this by liquifying it, but then that requires enormous energy losses as well as presents a challenge when using it.
So 100KW solar with a 50KW output of hydrogen that only works 20% or less of the time = 87.6 MWh per year. Market price for this as electricity would be say, 150 euro per MWh = 13,140 euro. Let’s say 5% ROIC – the plant better not cost more than 263K euro – when in fact I’ll bet money it cost in the tens of millions.
Fail.
This shit is like the algae producing oil crap that was marketed so heavily. Sounds great until you consider how many thousands of gallons of water, tons of biomass and refinement costs.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:40 utc | 130

Mark Blyth talk (from 2019) on why we are where we are today (economically) – youtube
I would personally recommend ignoring the first 10 or so minutes where he talks a nicely simplified but utterly wrong view of the previous monetary orders (hardware = institutions + software = economics). In particular, he completely ignores major things like World War 2 and the subsequent concentration of economic power in the US, the Cold War, and the present day change back to multipolarity a la Zoltan Pozsar BWIII. And of course, as a liberal, the end is all about climate change and what not.
But the middle is (10 minutes to about 50 minutes) is useful.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:46 utc | 131

More economics stuff
Geopolitics of Stuff
Mostly of interest because it reflects Liberal mainstream economic thought: it is corporate profiteering and supply chain shocks that is causing inflation. Never mind that the backup in LA port is largely resolved but inflation is still here. Never mind that it is Western sanctions on energy and more causing the real disruption. Never mind the literal 37 trillion dumped out by central banks around the world (20% of world GDP according to Mark Blyth) in COVID response.
But there are tidbits of interest

The US has grown as an oil producer; it now produces more oil than Saudi Arabia. That has been a function of the fracking revolution in the 2010s. But we had three big oil price crashes in a matter of seven years: we had the big 2014 to 2016 decline in prices that went from triple digit oil prices to $25. We had a mini crash in 2018–19 related to the trade war with China. And then we had negative oil prices in April 2020.
That cyclicality shakes out producers. It forces them to restructure and be bought out. It has led to a more consolidated industry in the US, but also an industry which is more reluctant to invest. Shareholders are really mad about the amount of lost returns, and they are demanding that management admit that their risk mitigation technique should really be one of under investment. Better to under-produce and settle for high prices. So the volatility has over time led to less investment and higher hurdle rates.

No mention of ESG or government policies or even COVID induced disruptions – it is all about the shareholders.

KM: We have a question for Skanda from the audience: The SPR is a good example of attempting to manage largely private investment cycles. What other tools do governments have to manage the investment cycles underpinning a managed transition?
SA: I’ll be optimistic here. I think there is room to do this for many transition mineral inputs that have the same properties of cyclicality—a long time lag between the investment decision and production, and inelasticity in supply and demand as Thea pointed out.
Oil is hard to store, so it’s not trivial to be able to store oil over long periods of time. It’s actually a lot more straightforward to store copper, aluminum, or lithium carbonate. The easier it is to store things, the easier it is to think about developing stability. There’s a lot of people that are interested in stockpiling. Maybe we should stockpile everything else! Prices have surged on not just oil, but also on lithium, and a host of other commodities. What do you do about that? It’s really about creating downside certainty. That usually involves the state underwriting some of that risk. If states do that, they can create conditions where hurdle rates can be reduced.

SPR draining by Biden being put forward as “managing cycles” when it is transparently a political ploy to offset fallout from bad Ukraine/Russia policy choices. But note the shoutout to Pozsarian “stockpiling of commodities” as he noted in his BWIII writeup…

As for the question on fiscal capacity: there’s a reason why Isabella is unable to join us today. It’s because she’s designing a €200 billion program for the German government to subsidize and cap the prices of what people and companies are paying for the energy bills. That €200 billion number is 5 percent of Germany’s GDP. Did Germany spend that during the 2008 financial crisis? No. Were Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal allowed to spend 5 percent in fiscal stimulus to get through their massive unemployment and homelessness crises? No.

As I have said before: austerity for you (PIIGS) but not for me (Deutschland Uber Alles).

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:56 utc | 132

I’ve noted before that I see the semiconductor ban as effectively looking to do to South Korea what the Russian energy (self) ban did to German industry.
Industry experts see decline on horizon for S. Korean semiconductor sector, survey finds

Between January and July 2022, semiconductor exports totaled US$80.2 billion, or 19.5% of all exports (US$411.1 billion). In second and third place were petrochemicals (US$37.3 billion) and automobiles (US$29.5 billion), which respectively represented 9.1% and 7.2% of all exports.

Semiconductors – i.e. Samsung, Hynix, etc outputs – are more than the next 2 largest export categories for the South Korea economy.
Note this survey was BEFORE the ban…
Will SK self harm? We will see.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:59 utc | 133

@124 NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 17:03 utc – “For the Buddhist, I imagine …”
And this is the core of the misapprehension here.
Some things in this world can be known “remotely”, as it were, by knowing a little of them and deducing or supposing the rest, and having a pretty accurate take on what they are.
In contrast, quite honestly I have to assert that such a thing as Buddhism cannot be known the same way. It should at least be looked into before thinking one knows what it is. Even for the student, knowing it requires some willingness and diligence. From the casual and alien glance, there is little chance of knowing it accurately.
~~
There is a concept within the teachings called “self-secret”. This says that advanced concepts shouldn’t be given to students who are not trained enough to receive them, but that fortunately, if students do learn of the concepts, they won’t understand them anyway.
And this is a comfort in some ways. But the worry arises if those who don’t understand a concept then promulgate a false report of that concept, and demean a thing that does not deserve to be demeaned – spoiling it for others, as it were.
And this is the only reason I wrote before and write now: I don’t want Buddhism to be tainted by any repeated misunderstanding of it. It has been offered by the Buddha from his kindness, and as suzan notes above, it is for anyone and everyone.
And so, rather than try to explain it (and it truly teaches the ultimate nature of reality), I simply want to be a voice for others to take assurance from, that Buddhism is a supremely worthy teaching, that no mind need ever feel cheated or compelled by studying.
I encourage any and all to look into what the Buddha actually taught, coming to this in one’s own way, and to one’s own taste. But it is worthy of respect. It is as worthy of respect as the respect one feels for one’s own capacity to understand.
That’s the fairness I would ask readers to grant to Buddhism in their own minds.

Posted by: Grieved | Oct 17 2022 18:12 utc | 134

@ Grieved | Oct 17 2022 18:12 utc | 134 with the comment about Buddhism…thanks.
I am glad to read the clarity, sick as it is, coming fromNemesisCalling. He is putting the mono back into monotheism….my way or the highway of death to the non-believers.
At least Juliana has the multipolar religious concept accepted so there is hope for some monotheists.
Along with China having full control over finance, they also intelligently have the same control over religions in their country by not allowing them anywhere near the control of government….totally secular which is what the American dream was in the beginning…..E Pluribus Unum, not the In God We Trust motto foisted on the US in the early 1950’s

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 17 2022 18:33 utc | 135

@134 grieved
It was only because I am not a Buddhist did I begin my argument in such a way.
Let me put it this way: Christianity is perfectly fine as a unifying thread that runs through westernism.
Most of eastern thought that has come into the western mind has been in an age of Talmudist-supremacy or when the western empire was stupid enough to go on military adventurism abroad.
In each age of globalism, when cultures touch they infect each other mutually. China epitomizes this understanding by exporting goods and lifting its mercantilist empire meanwhile levying a harsh hand on Christendom that has tried to establish itself there.
Conversely, our military adventurism in the west has exhibited a very stupid understanding of this phenomenon by thinking cultural imports can go on ad infinitum without ushering in reactionism in the form of the, “No more!”
China has been better suited to the phenomenon of globalism, though IMO it is readying itself for a great decoupling with the west, led by Xi who has written volumes on China’s natural religions to the chagrin of the CPC, I imagine.
In the end, this isn’t a comparative religious course or a course on the philosophy of religion. This is spirit continually advancing through history and dialectics.
Christianity ticks the boxes for a sustainable west. It will reemerge as we are plunged for our benefit back into another dark age.
As a thinking individual in the west, I am sure you will do just fine by not identifying as a Christian.
In my view, I would obviously fight for the rights of individuals to be free from persecution for heresy such as Buddhism. It is a rather harmless way to be.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 18:40 utc | 136

Since this open thread is showing conversation about religion and Jews I thought I would add some quotes from my favorite Jew, Isaac Asimov in an interview with Bill Moyers

MOYERS: In 1980 you were afraid that the fundamentalists who were coming into power with President Reagan were going to turn this country even further against science, especially with their demands that biblical creationism be given an equal footing in the classroom with science. Have they made those inroads that you feared?
ASIMOV: Fortunately, the currents have been against them. But they still put pressure on school boards and parents, and it’s become a little more difficult in many parts of the nation to teach evolution.
MOYERS: The fundamentalists see you as the very incarnation of the enemy, the epitome of the secular humanist who opposes God’s plan for the universe. In 1984, the American Humanist Society gave you their Humanist of the Year Award, and you’re now president of that organization. Are you an enemy of religion?
ASIMOV: No, I’m not. What I’m against is the attempt to place a person’s belief system onto the nation or the world generally. We object to the Soviet Union trying to dominate the world, to communize the world. The United States, I hope, is trying to democratize the world. But I certainly would be very much against trying to Christianize the world or to Islamize it or to Judaize it or anything of the sort. My objection to fundamentalism is not that they are fundamentalists but that essentially they want me to be a fundamentalist, too. Now, they may say that I believe evolution is true and I want everyone to believe that evolution is true. But I don’t want everyone to believe that evolution is true, I want them to study what we say about evolution and to decide for themselves. Fundamentalists say they want to treat creationism on an equal basis. But they can’t. It’s not a science. You can teach creationism in churches and in courses on religion. They would be horrified if I were to suggest that in the churches they teach secular humanism as an alternate way of looking at the universe or evolution as an alternate way of considering how life may have started. In the church they teach only what they believe, and rightly so, I suppose. But on the other hand, in schools, in science courses, we’ve got to teach what scientists think is the way the universe works.
MOYERS: But this is what frightens many believers. They see science as uncertain, always tentative, always subject to revisionism. They see science as presenting a complex, chilling, and enormous universe ruled by chance and impersonal laws. They see science as dangerous.
ASIMOV: That is really the glory of science – that science is tentative, that it is not certain, that it is subject to change. What is really disgraceful is to have a set of beliefs that you think is absolute and has been so from the start and can’t change, where you simply won’t listen to evidence. You say, “If the evidence agrees with me, it’s not necessary, and if it doesn’t agree with me, it’s false.” This is the legendary remark of Omar when they captured Alexandria and asked him what to do with the library. He said, “If the books agree with the Koran, they are not necessary and may be burned. If they disagree with the Koran, they are pernicious and must be burned.” Well, there are still these Omar-like thinkers who think all of knowledge will fit into one book called the Bible, and who refuse to allow it is possible ever to conceive of an error there. To my way of thinking, that is much more dangerous than a system of knowledge that is tentative and uncertain.
MOYERS: Do you see any room for reconciling the religious view in which the universe is God’s drama, constantly interrupted and rewritten by divine intervention, and the view of the universe as scientists hold it?
ASIMOV: There is if people are reasonable. There are many scientists who are honestly religious. Millikan was a truly religious man. Morley of the Michelson-Morley experiment was truly religious. There were hundreds of others who did great scientific work, good scientific work, and at the same time were religious. But they did not mix their religion and science. In other words, if something they understand took place in science, they didn’t dismiss it by saying, “Well, that’s what God wants,” or “At this point a miracle took place.” No, they knew that science is strictly a construct of the human mind working according to the laws of nature, and that religion is something that lies outside and may embrace science. You know, if there were suddenly to arise scientific, confirmable evidence that God exists, then scientists would have no choice but to accept that fact. On the other hand, the fundamentalists don’t admit the possibility of evidence that would show, for example, that evolution exists. Any evidence you present they will deny if it conflicts with the word of God as they think it to be. So the chances of compromise are only on one side, and, therefore, I doubt that it will take place.
MOYERS: What frightens them is something that Dostoevski once said – if God is dead, everything is permitted.
ASIMOV: That assumes that human beings have no feeling about what is right and wrong. Is the only reason you are virtuous because virtue is your ticket to heaven? Is the only reason you don’t beat your children to death because you don’t want to go to hell? It’s insulting to imply that only a system of rewards and punishments can keep you a decent human being. Isn’t it conceivable a person wants to be a decent human being because that way he feels better?
I don’t believe that I’m ever going to heaven or hell. I think that when I die, there will be nothingness. That’s what I firmly believe. That’s not to mean that I have the impulse to go out and rob and steal and rape and everything else because I don’t fear punishment. For one thing, I fear worldly punishment. And for a second thing, I fear the punishment of my own conscience. I have a conscience. It doesn’t depend on religion. And I think that’s so with other people, too.
Even in societies in which religion is very powerful, there’s no shortage of crime and sin and misery and terrible things happening, despite heaven and hell. I imagine if you go down death row, and ask a bunch of murderers who are waiting for execution if they believe in God, they’ll tell you yes. I wouldn’t be surprised if the number of people in jail for fraud, for violent crimes, for everything, includes a smaller percentage of acknowledged atheists than we have in the general population. So I don’t know why one should think that just because you don’t want a ticket to heaven, and you don’t fear a ticket to hell, you should be a villain.
MOYERS: Is there a morality in science?
ASIMOV: Oh, absolutely. In fact, there is a morality in science that is further advanced than anywhere else. If you find a person in science who has faked his results, who has lied as far as his findings are concerned, who has tried to steal the work of another, who has done something other scientists consider unethical – well, his scientific reputation is ruined, his scientific life is over. There is no forgiveness. The morality of science is that you report the truth, you do your best to disprove your own findings, and you do not utilize someone else’s findings and report them as your own. In any other branch of human endeavor – in politics, in economics, in law, in almost anything – people can commit crimes and still be heroes. For instance, Colonel North has done terrible things, yet he’s a hero and a patriot to some people. This goes in almost every field. Only science is excepted. You make a misstep in science, and you’re through. Really through.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 17 2022 19:02 utc | 137

@ psycho 137
So we just got done (???) living through 2.5-years of “trust the science” totalitarianism and you fail to make the connection and post some Jewish-dude extolling the virtue of the power of democratizing-science.
smh, psycho.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 20:20 utc | 138

The choices are truly interesting?
In other news. at Boston U., a USSA government-funded level 4 bioresearch lab has created a new lethal variant of the SARS-COVID-19 VIRUS. The mortality rate is unprecedented mortality rate approaching 80%. The non-peer-reviewed paper has just been released.
In stark contrast, the “Black Death” mortality rate was estimated to be between 30% to 50%.

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Oct 17 2022 20:35 utc | 139

@138 NemesisCalling:
Isaac Asimov is, indeed, “some Jewish dude”. He’s also one of the best, most emotionally advanced, interesting and useful people to walk the planet last century.
If you’re going to belittle Jewish people, for Pete’s sake, pick another target. Asimov is one of humanity’s exemplars.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 17 2022 20:57 utc | 140

Interesting thread. Great Asimov quotes – I have taught religion and science in high schools and always went with “there is only a conflict between religion and science if you want there to be”.
Wrt fusion etc, you are missing the point if your solution is a way for us to just continue getting away with murder. The Overton window is narrowed in on more.

Posted by: Rae | Oct 17 2022 21:08 utc | 141

psychohistorian @137–
Thanks for posting that as I’d never read it despite being a huge Asimov fan.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 17 2022 21:27 utc | 142

@140 tom
Looking at the past couple years, it seems as though his theory of science as fair and democratizing has been proven a bad one.
So just another Jewish-dude seems an apt-descriptor.
How many divisions does Azimov have?

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 22:06 utc | 143

— Posted by: Dalit | Oct 17 2022 16:04 utc | 115
Your repose to my comment at — blues | Oct 17 2022 7:25 utc | 105 — was:
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~//
[….]
While it just might be possible use concentrated sunlight to break the hydrogen-oxygen bonds in water to yield pure hydrogen and pure oxygen (I think that’s at least plausible), it certainly isn’t because of the blatantly false ‘reason’ you give. Breaking those bonds absorbs heat (is endothermic), and that fact can’t possibly be affected by the temperature of the water, as anyone who got at least a C- in high school chemistry class could tell you. You can make up whatever fantasy makes you happy, but the universe will continue obeying the laws of physics without asking your permission.
//~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Well, the molecular breaking of those bonds would be, by itself, ‘endothermic’. Nonetheless, the ‘system’ AS A WHOLE happens to be ‘exothermic’ due to the energy contributed by the work of an electrolytic process (causing said process to be inefficient). However, if the water is very hot, this ‘endothermic’ effect diminishes dramatically because the heat is doing most of the work of dissociating the water, thus producing the hydrogen and oxygen.
So, yes, I “can make up whatever fantasy makes you happy, but the universe will continue obeying the laws of physics without asking your permission” — but I do also understand a thing or two about thermodynamics. Thank you very much.

Posted by: blues | Oct 17 2022 22:13 utc | 144

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 16 2022 21:02 utc | 49
Following our interchange I ended up taking a look at climate stuff again and stumbled across Heaven and Earth: Global Warming the missing Science. The author has a forthright no-nonsense style I’m enjoying – with dashes of salt of course. Written a while ago (10+ years). Author: Ian Plimer.

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 17 2022 22:23 utc | 145

Well, the system as a whole remains endothermic, but I have read that if the process from the molecular perspective can be driven to the point of being exothermic, perhaps even explosive. But that’s just what they told me. I didn’t do the math personally.

Posted by: blues | Oct 17 2022 22:27 utc | 146

Psychohistorian @ 137:
Thanks for posting an important part of Bill Moyers’s interview with the (Russian-born) “Jewish dude” Isaac Asimov.
Unsurprisingly that whole interview was completely beyond NemesisCalling’s ability to comprehend.
NC cannot imagine that an enlightened Buddhist, knowing the suffering of the world, would do other than ignore that suffering. Ironically, NC’s own statement about the supposed message of Christianity “Shun the world, do not reconcile yourself to its evils” is just another variation on ignoring suffering and resigning oneself to the “fact” of evil’s existence and doing nothing about it.
Anyway, the more NC posts about Buddhism and Christianity, the more we can see what a strange and odd sort of Christianity he espouses.

Posted by: Jen | Oct 17 2022 22:38 utc | 147

psychohistorian | Oct 17 2022 19:02 utc | 137
I had to choke and laugh and despair at this:

MOYERS: Is there a morality in science?
ASIMOV: Oh, absolutely.
[Lol. I wonder what Asimov would make of Fauci and Bill Gates and the mRNA “experiment gene technology” pharmaceutical corporates.]
In fact, there is a morality in science that is further advanced than anywhere else. If you find a person in science who has faked his results, who has lied as far as his findings are concerned, who has tried to steal the work of another, who has done something other scientists consider unethical – well, his scientific reputation is ruined, his scientific life is over.
[No]
There is no forgiveness.
[lol]
The morality of science is that you report the truth, you do your best to disprove your own findings, and you do not utilize someone else’s findings and report them as your own.
[the sheer mind-spinning naivety]
In any other branch of human endeavor – in politics, in economics, in law, in almost anything – people can commit crimes and still be heroes.
[yep]
For instance, Colonel North has done terrible things, yet he’s a hero and a patriot to some people.
[Sad. But true.]
This goes in almost every field.
Only science is excepted.
[lol]
You make a misstep in science, and you’re through. Really through.
[lol lol lol,. It’s certainly not true now. And I very much doubt it was true at the time Asimov stated this^]

Posted by: Melaleuca | Oct 17 2022 22:49 utc | 148

Do countries need a unifying religion to be happy? I think culture is greatly enriched when there is homogeneity.
Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 3:16 utc | 92
There’s a lot flying around on this thread viz the Christian vs Buddhadharma theme. I think part of the problem with both is that even though we can use simple words like ‘Buddhism’ and ‘Christianity’ which you have done many times in a perfectly reasonable way, they seem to convey a much more precise meaning than they actually do.
Buddhism has evolved over 2600 years in many different times and cultures. It is generally decentralized and although there is a canon (in Pali) widely accepted by all schools, from there have spread out no end (like thousands) of different branches encompassing a wide variety of approaches. Even within the same school different teachers leading their own communities may end up with very different seeming communities, favored teachings and techniques which over time often become new schools. (I am part of a new school, come to think of it, indeed a ‘lineage holder therein,’ but since haven’t put any time into developing it maybe not!)
Christianity of course is very similar with hundreds of different denominations and parishes. Once you no longer have only One Church for any given polity then you have Many. Once you have Many then the State becomes the One principle and the various different factions of Christianity become part of the Many and therefore not representative nor capable of being joined with the State.
That said, both institutinalized elements of the traditions have enjoyed periods during which they were an official State religion with key roles to play in State politics, albeit mainly long ago in the days when monarchies were still in fashion for blending Church and State is much easier, indeed natural, with monarchies.
So in terms of ‘countries needing a unifying religion to be happy’ I suspect you are right but we have no unifying religions any more with the possible exception of Russian Orthodox in Russia despite their also recognizing Islam and Buddhadharma as official religions. In the West the various schisms and offshoots mean that the very word ‘Christianity’ lacks homogeneity in both meaning and praxis. It’s one word referring to all manifestations but it is not one thing – sort of like the word ‘food.’ Personally I think one large school with many different chapters would be best but the problem (I suspect) with the strong, vast, deeply established Roman Catholic Church, for example, which is still primus inter pares, is that the emphasis on institutional religion in the context of national and international power politics and property ownership has corrupted the spiritual essence, or at least the Church’s ability to be a consistent and pure vessel for that essence.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
As to what Buddhism might have to offer, I think that’s a tough question. First off, I agree with the Dalai Lama (somewhat) that by and large Westerners should stick with Christianity. In an ideal world with homogeneous Christianity I would agree with him. But again, there is no such thing any more which he probably doesn’t appreciate well being a Tibetan. And even where there is (for example with the RC Church in Mexico which enjoys little or no competition), they don’t seem to enjoy widespread, concerted dedication and devotion, ie deep connection. I can see it in the culture but rarely do I feel it. Even when sitting in a church witnessing Mass. There isn’t much ‘there’ there any more (though the litle exorcism church I lived next to for a while definitely had strong vibes!).
Here’s my little story in brief: I went to Church every day from the age of 5 to 17 when I was at school growing up in England. At home the subject of church or spirituality never came up once nor did I ever even think to raise it. But I enjoyed the 15 minute morning services every morning at school. Was even a choir boy wearing a cassock. And liked once a week Scripture classes (Bible reading). Very much. But I never once thought about being a Christian. Nobody once discussed it. The thought literally never once crossed my mind. Going to church was something we did and I enjoyed but I never experienced it as a religion of any personal importance or impact. I don’t believe anyone else I was a schoolboy with did either but we never ever discussed it so have no way of knowing.
One day when I was sixteen I was at home for the Easter holidays and on the telly was an ordinary looking man called Richard Hittleman doing strange yoga postures. I had no exposure to this sort of thing in the popular culture although the Beatles had been publicly into that stuff with Maharishi Mahesh yogi. I didn’t follow such things prefering to read academic tomes in our large school library. I totally missed the sixties that way! In any case, at the end of his brief show, which I found myself watching with rapt attention, he mentioned his book was available all over London so I went to the corner store a hundred yards away where I bought my Spiderman magazines (!) and there it was on a revolving rack. I bought it and that same day on returning home with it starting doing yoga every day for the next two years. It wasn’t a secret but I never spoke to anyone about it nor did anyone ever see me doing the postures. A few years later at Cambridge I noticed a Maharishi poster, went to the talk, learned the meditation technique from an instructor soon thereafter and again did that every day for a year or two but never joined a group or talked to anyone about it after the initial instruction. Both yoga and meditation were something very personal and simple. I didn’t think about them, I just did them. I cannot tell you why. There was zero intellect involved, just instinct. Nor did I have any strong experiences with either. I just did them.
A few years later I stumbled into a serious Buddhist community in Boulder Colorada where I was at university and soon became a hard-core practitioner practicing every day for years and sometimes doing solitary mountain retreats for 1-12 weeks and later a trained, authorized teacher.
So the question in relation to yours is: why did I instantly take to Richard Hittleman’s yoga for housewives and without any prompting or question immediately start doing it?
The answer to that I suspect is in a related question: ‘and why did I not ever even once consider exploring Christianity in any sort of in-depth way even though I went to church eight months a year for over ten years and very much enjoyed being a choirboy from the age of eight to twelve singing in various splendid cathedrals in the once seriously Christian country of England? I don’t know the answer to the latter question. I do know that I have no feeling for Christianity at all. The story of Jesus – let alone Old Testament stories – though very enjoyable I cannot relate to the way I can connect to sitting meditation practice and Buddhadharma teachings. I also did very complex and arcane tantric visualization and other practices, including years later ‘the six yogas’ (albeit not strenuously enough for them to take), but simple sitting practice is the best and now the only one I do, without any technique whatsover, using a meditation text to lead into the practice which I composed myself which takes only a minute to recite – short and sweet. KISS.
Could I have had a similar spiritual journey with Christianity? Certainly I never had anything against it. But it didn’t resonate in the slightest with me as any sort of spiritual to connect with personally. I suspect I am not alone in this. And I suspect it’s because the church services were lip service and I didn’t actually grow up in a Christian culture. It was something else already, which is no doubt why so many lovely Churches in England, even back then, were closed because congregants weren’t coming any more except for weddings and funerals.
Finally, there are very important issues viz the relation of spirituality on a personal journey and institutionalized religion in the national culture/polity context. They are different facets of the same jewel but each requires considerable thought to be discussed and as with all such matters a level of detail and depth that this sort of medium is not suited for.
All best..

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 17 2022 23:31 utc | 149

Vlog: Opening Day at 20th CPC National Congress
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zfg8NkKtcQ
Abby, attractive Chinese lady, speaks perfect Eng… watch her report opening day CPC 20th Congress in Beijing via CGTN…. BTW former President Jiang Zemin not seen… Future China direction depending on 2,296 elected delegates represents 96.7 million communist members. China population Est 2019 1,44billions and India set to surpass China as the world’s most populous country in 2023 as projected by….
I’m almost in tears as I watch my motherland… all my ancestors were wiped out but my Ozzie niece married a mainlander and move to HK she will be next generations… I will encourage my children to move…
CPC National Congress FYI Ep.2: Who are the delegates?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Xui7166rPE

Posted by: JC | Oct 17 2022 23:34 utc | 150

@blue: I saw a video about 10 years ago of a chap in Ontario (I think) who had figured out a way to electrolyse ordinary water at room temperature. The video showed a laboratory-looking room with about 20 five gallon glass cylinders about 18″ wide and 4″ high, in each of which was water seemingly boiling with huge bubbles albeit not at high temperature. The bubbles were hydrogen that was piped somewhere to be used as fuel.
A man called Garrett (?) in the 1930’s filed a patent for a car carburetor which he claimed could extract hydrogen as a gas from a small container of water with which to run his standard combustion engine. And of course in WW II millions did similar conversions to run their engine using wood gas from boilers placed in the back of the truck for that purpose. So this sort of thing is possible.
However, the last thing the PTB want is for every Tom Dick and Harry with access to water to be able to power their houses and vehicles themselves without centralized, taxed and controllable distribution using a complex fuel which individuals do not have the ability to make themselves. Yes, any farm could grow vegetable oil and power his diesel thereby, but very few do because, let’s face it, up until now at least corporate-govt supplied gasoline is extremely convenient.
There is more water in the world than we can possibly ever go through (deep under the mantle is pure water which could refill the California dams etc. in no time would they just tap into it). And Garret drove around one of Texas’ big lakes for an hour or two on only a jam jar’s worth of water which wasn’t even used when he had finished.
But no way we’ll ever be using water as fuel. No way…

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 17 2022 23:38 utc | 151

18″ wide and 4′ high..

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 17 2022 23:41 utc | 152

@Scorpion #145
Reading Ian Plimer automatically gets you sent to the Denier Gulag.
He is one of a legion of geologists – in particular, people who study the past via the fingerprints left in the earth. For some reason, there are A LOT of them who are deniers. The faithful say it is because a lot of them also work in various mining/fossil fuel industries – which is precisely why they study the earth – but of course it is always lineage and ideological rectitude that matters in science… /sarc

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 23:59 utc | 153

Good article in Saker about UK:
https://thesaker.is/on-trussification-from-decolonisation-to-desperation-to-hopelessness-to-farce/
Neat section therein:

Since 1947 the UK has been kicked out of almost everywhere, infamously from the Indian Subcontinent in 1947, from Palestine in 1948 and humiliatingly, by their Americans ‘allies’, from Suez in 1956. All that remains is, for the moment, a small group of tiny enclaves and islands like Bermuda, the Caymans, Gibraltar, St Helena, the Falklands etc, about 18,000 square kilometres and fewer than 300,000 people in all, plus a lot of ice in the ‘British Antarctic Territory’.
As for France, after its humiliation in South-East Asia in 1954, it has gradually been kicked out of Africa (1946-2022) (Suez in 1956, Algeria in 1962 etc) and soon, even after its decades of assassinating independentist African politicians and military interventions, it will have nothing left there, though it still has a few islands in various oceans here and there.
As for the short-lived US Empire, over the last fifty years it has largely been kicked out of several Asian countries (Vietnam (1975), Iran (1979), Iraq (2011-2021) Afghanistan (2021), now out of Russia (2022), and soon out of China, India and Saudi Arabia. True, it still hangs on in Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Israel, but not for much longer. Eurasia is to be US-free.
As regards the Western withdrawal from Europe, the UK left Europe in 2020. It still hangs on to Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales and above all to England, but it will not last. Now it is the turn of the US to be kicked out of Europe. It is happening in the Ukraine at this very moment, but this rejection will later spread to Western Europe. Then it will be the turn of the EU to be kicked out of Europe and ultimately the US will be kicked out of the Americas, especially out of the US.
Do not be surprised by the words ‘the Western withdrawal from Europe’ or ‘the UK being kicked out of the UK, the EU out of the EU and the US out of the US’. This is not gibberish. I am talking about the removal of the three parasitic Establishment elites in all those three manmade unions. Once those elites have gone, those purely manmade unions will fall and the newly sovereign peoples of England, Ireland, Scotland, Wales, the peoples of Continental Western Europe and all those in Northern America can be liberated from their zombification and so will be able to retrieve their roots, their identity, their sovereignty and their selves again.

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 18 2022 0:00 utc | 154

@Scorpion #151
Your post about the big conspiracy to hide the water fueled carburater – read as comedy, works.
If you’re actually serious though, geez.
There is a long, long history of scammers and con-artists making these claims.
All I can say is proof is in the pudding – and I ain’t seen no pudding.
And no: wood-gas is NOT splitting hydrogen from water. Wood-gas is breaking down wood into combustible gases: carbon monoxide included.
Hydrogen from water isn’t a panacea – I have clearly outlined, many times, the fundamental challenge of storing hydrogen. It is this problem which is why the water scam sounds so good, but even that doesn’t work if you look at the math.
While 2.2 pounds of hydrogen gas is equivalent energy to one gallon of gasoline – the problem is that water is 88.9% oxygen. Oxygen = atomic weight of 16, hydrogen is atomic weight of 1, H20 = total weight 18 of which 16 is the oxygen.
So you would need 19.8 pounds of water (1/(2/18) times 2.2) to get the 2.2 pounds of hydrogen = 2.37 gallons of water (19.8/8.34 lbs per gallon of water.
And that assumes 100% of the hydrogen is extracted leaving just pure oxygen.
Pure oxygen is a damned dangerous thing in concentration, so you’d need some way of capturing or dispersing it. You can’t store the oxygen with the hydrogen – that is an explosion waiting to happen.
This simple physics is why the water carburator is a scam and always will be.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 0:17 utc | 155

@143 NemesisCalling:
Ya, science is done by humans, it’s gonna fail and stumble from time to time. Humans are kinda jerks; weak, selfish, short-sighted, etc. What I like about science is that it’s introspective, it asks questions, and gradually filters out the BS. It evolves us, in spite of our weaknesses.
Galileo was prosecuted. You know why, so I don’t have to repeat it. But after a while, the ebb and flow of human curiosity and courage delivered out a mainly accurate rendition of who the planets work. Took a while, but it got done.
Now, that’s a metaphor, and it’s held up pretty well over lots and lots of instances, subject matter, and screwy human personalities. Remember, for ex. that one of the all-time great scientists, Isaac Newton, was wholly consumed by the possibility of the occult. So was Tesla. But give ’em a break; they had just discovered electro-magnetics, which by any account of the contemporary observer, seemed just like magic. Forgive the greats their foibles.
Asimov is cool, to me, mainly because the transcended his socialization – and if you look at his history, he was subjected to plenty of it – and thought and said stuff that directly countermanded lots of that socialization.
He moved the needle from within his culture, and did it with panache. Told great stories, inspired the imagination of lots of people. Me included. He did great thinking, and he knew so much that he could explain complicated stuff in simple language. That’s high-class magic.
So he had a great effect on his time. A positive, uplifting, transcendent effect. In my book, that’s going some.
Now, let’s turn the magnifying glass upon ourselves. Look at Asimov’s record: the range, depth, insight and clarity of exposition he produced. I have a long, long way to go to match up to that. I’m maybe at … 1.7, on a scale of 1-10.
How are you doing, using Asimov the index?

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 18 2022 0:36 utc | 156

“And no: wood-gas is NOT splitting hydrogen from water. Wood-gas is breaking down wood into combustible gases: carbon monoxide included.”
I didn’t say they were the same, just that they were two different fuels using adjusted carburetors to drive combustion engines.
You may be right about the hydrogen carburetor. Maybe the video was phony.
I note that one famous person who used the Gannett method in the 80’s was murdered. Coincidence of course…
PS. It’s never a good sign when disagreeng with someone to lace it with scorn. Not only is it dismissively impolite, it indicates insecurity on your part. For my part, it tends to make me discount any point you might be making – and indeed most people will react that way. Indeed, I didn’t read the rest of your post even though I usually enjoy them. Life’s too short to deal with silly rudeness!
Of course, maybe you have decided I’m persona non grata, beneath contempt. In which case, just don’t bother replying.

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 18 2022 0:38 utc | 157

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 17 2022 17:03 utc | 124
I am not seeing where Christ is present in your cultural advocacy. I do see some hard sayings in the Gospels, admittedly so, but not in most places. Such as the parable he tells about servants whose master gives to one ten talents to another five and the third one. The one who has one, unlike the other two, buries it because he knows his master is a harsh overseer who will punish if he sees a loss of that one talent. But this isn’t the correct answer.
The way of Christ is indeed a very different recognition of what natural reality is from the Buddhist explanation of darma. My example would be this: that of a woman who experiences pain in order to give birth, then forgets her pain from joy that a child is born. That’s a biggie, naturally speaking, humanly speaking. Not that we have pain because we have a harsh master in heaven, but that there is a miracle of life present in that process even as pain is involved.
There was during times of my own children being born, the Lamaze method. I have known a member of my family who did this technique so well that she abstracted herself from her labor pains so completely she could not have a natural birth. That is too much mind over matter. A little bit is very good – too much is not. I can see where the techniques work when one is overwhelmed, but perhaps nature isn’t to be found therein. Not completely. So I would caution, just caution, against going full hog on such practices – without however labelling anyone a heretic. Nasty word that. Some of my children are Buddhists; they are not heretics. I have a fond belief they are as the entire family of Zaccheus, present to the feast because he climbed a tree.

Posted by: juliania | Oct 18 2022 0:49 utc | 158

— c1ue | Oct 17 2022 17:40 utc | 130
Everything I have been proposing I propose to be in place when we find ourselves on the down-side of the Big Blip, the other side of the Great Simplification. No more rare earth materials and such fancy stuff will be available when that time arrives. Let me try to list your points.
RE: The capacity and efficiency of solar hydrogen production?
A: This won’t matter all that much on the down-side of the Big Blip.
RE: What is the cost of the plant?
A: Won’t matter, all the economists will have been eaten. I would suggest using linear parabolic reflectors (parabolic troughs) that concentrate light upon blackened fused silica rods within fused silica tubes to heat the water. The hydrogen and oxygen could be drawn to graphite electrodes, where they could be ‘harvested’.
RE: What kind of water is needed? Pure? Tapwater? Salt ok?
A: The water will ultimately need to be pure. Not to save rare earth electrodes, just to keep the equipment clean. Railroad trains will have simple diesel engines that burn carried hydrogen and oxygen, and they will cool down and save the resulting pure water for recycling. Burning pure oxygen will preclude nitrogen oxide emission without the need for rare earth scrubbers. Efficiency will not be the enemy of having at least a little of something.
RE: How is the hydrogen going to be stored and transported? Hydrogen storage is EXTREMELY problematic because the H2 molecule is so small that is literally slides between the interstices of almost anything.
A: The gasses could be, at least in the short run, in medium-pressure ultra-high-molecular-weight polyethylene tanks, which are fairly impermeable to these gasses. It has been found that such gasses can be stored almost permanently if electrified ‘jackets’ are bonded to the interior and exterior of such tanks.
Of course, even if the fuel and oxygen are stored in carbon fiber with Dyneema® core tanks, the whole apparatus will be fiendishly dangerous. But we should expect that life will be hard.

Posted by: blues | Oct 18 2022 0:58 utc | 159

@ Posted by: censored | Oct 16 2022 8:54 utc | 153
Interesting after running a background check on your listed referees.
One is a career politician. No education in virology. Zero careers in biomedicine/vaccines/management of medicine production. Basically an expert in nothing related to science. (Wisconsin Federal Senator Ron Johnson Chair “Homeland (IN)Security”) It is common knowledge all career politicians tell big and little lies on a daily basis depending on which way the posterior wind is blowing.
Next one! A critical care doctor expert in Sonography. Is not an expert in either vaccines or virology. Noted for the false claim. Ivermectin(Parasite medicine) is an effective treatment for SARS-COVID-19. This specific medicine is totally ineffective against the SARS-COVID-19 VIRUS. (Dr. Pierre Kory)
Onto the next referee! Did partial contributary early work only. In the field of “mRNA” for use in vaccines. Known for the fallacious claim “Father of mRNA anti Viral vaccines”. The reality the additional work in this new innovative field is a collaboration of several hundred additional researchers. End result. He is not the actual father of mRNA vaccines? (Dr Robert Malone)
Onto the final referee. A cardiologist and a former Vice Chief of internal medecine at the ” Baylor Scott & White Medical Center”. Five-minute claim to fame or is it medical quackery? Claimed “Hydroxychloroquine an Anti-Malarial parasite treatment drug. Is an effective treatment for the SARS-COVID-19 virus!
A truly impressive mix of four different people operating with four different hidden agendas. Essentially one of the faulty loopy logic involving “Garbage In Equals Garbage Out!
A truly interesting group of individuals indeed. The best politest description of this information is supplied by this quartet of questionable experts. Is one of constant loopy logic “Garbage in, equals Garbage Out.
The late TS Giesel would have graded this with a “Z” fail mark.
Denial is not a river in Egypt

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Oct 18 2022 1:16 utc | 160

So in terms of ‘countries needing a unifying religion to be happy’ I suspect you are right but we have no unifying religions any more with the possible exception of Russian Orthodox in Russia despite their also recognizing Islam and Buddhadharma as official religions.
Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 17 2022 23:31 utc | 149

I think that a country might be ‘happy’ if when people disagreed, they amicably recognized the basis for the disagreement and refrained from insults, patronizing remarks, and insistence that they’re right and you’re wrong. I suppose that a unifying religion helps reduce the set of subjects where there might have been disagreement. But if this is accomplished through dogma, I’m not sure this is much of an improvement.

Posted by: David Levin | Oct 18 2022 1:56 utc | 161

@156 tom
Thx for the comment and kudos for you not getting your knickers in a bunch for my comment regarding Asimov. I don’t write what I write to denigrate a person’s heroes or feelings on different matters.
Scientists are important fo culture and humanity, provided they understand that there is the specialization of the sciences where advances and discoveries are made in particular fields and then there is the science of logic which Hegel wrote about which is the science of knowledge.
Every thing I have learned from fhe specialized fields of science can not, in any way, shape, or form, provide an answer or map as to why I am here, what is my purpose, and why are there beings at all instead of nothing?
Some gas mixing a million light years away is just as interesting as the hydrologic cycle here on this planet. The difference is that one is novel and the other familiar. But novelty still does not answer any fundamental questions of Being; actually, they merely lead to more. And I would hazard a guess and say that there are infinte novelties in the infinity of space, but none more interesting than the one happening right here and right now.
That we hoist all our hopes and fears upon scientists to solve the riddle of existence is not only the most stupid proposition in history, it is also the most arrogant.
But I similarly do not venerate Hegel as some God who has far surpassed myself and to which I have no hope in catching. On the contrary, i wrestle with thought day in and day out ceaselessly, aware of its mighty task.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 18 2022 3:02 utc | 162

michaelj@29
One factor in the devastation of the snow crabs you may have overlooked is the radiation from Fuk u shima nuclear meltdown.
Whether or not the horrendous event was actually a natural phenomenon or was agencied by human intervention is still a matter for research and speculation. Shortly after that event I purchased a significant number of canned pink salmon, which species had yet to be significantly affected by the disaster.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 18 2022 3:03 utc | 163

aristodemos | Oct 18 2022 3:03 utc | 163
Like many Canadians I often look south to determine trends, so I too made a bulk purchase after Fukushima. But condoms rather than pink salmon. And unlike the Alaskan situation I actually had a 500% increase in the incidence of crabs. A 200% increase in scabies as well.

Posted by: Moabserver | Oct 18 2022 3:17 utc | 164

@ NemesisCalling | Oct 18 2022 3:02 utc | 162 who wrote

That we hoist all our hopes and fears upon scientists to solve the riddle of existence is not only the most stupid proposition in history, it is also the most arrogant.

I posit that all religions that profess to solve the riddle of existence manifest both stupidity and arrogance as you exemplify by yours that has not even been around as long as China.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 18 2022 3:29 utc | 165

The Western mainstream media, along with anti-China alternative media are all in praise of the Biden anti-China IC chip war. Reading the b-featured articles above, the statements of “war with Taiwan”, “USA can bomb IC factories”, “China is helpless”, and all the rest. It’s great colorful reading. Some of which are very long articles.
Yet, in all these articles, repeating all the same boiler-plate statements, not one is addressing any of the the recent developments in China and Taiwan. It is as if they are unaware of them.
Yes.
Like, for instance, China is already peer-capable in IC chip fab with Taiwanese based factories.
Like, for instance, that Taiwan has agreed not to fight China and to reunify with it.
Like, for instance, that China has hop-leaped two generations in IC-chip manufacture.
Like, for instance, that the vast bulk of these “banned” chips are used inside of China.
Knowing what I know about China, we can expect the following…
[1] China has anticipated this move.
[2] The impact that it will have will be much smaller than anything expects.
[3] This event clarifies the hostility of the USA, and has strengthened Chinese resolve.
[4] Any Chinese setback will be short lived, and China will emerge much stronger, and far more formidable than it ever was before.

Posted by: Rufus Arrr | Oct 18 2022 3:32 utc | 166

Rufus Arrr | Oct 18 2022 3:32 utc | 166
I agree with your conclusions

Posted by: Melaleuca | Oct 18 2022 3:49 utc | 167

But if this is accomplished through dogma, I’m not sure this is much of an improvement.
Posted by: David Levin | Oct 18 2022 1:56 utc | 161
The bottom line is that there has to be a strong sense of ‘we’ that is also a virtuous we and when that we shares the same culture and vocabulary and religious expressions then the we can be homogenous, unified, uplifted. Otherwise the only thing that brings the collective together as one is a disaster, shared suffering.
One of the ironies about ordinary goodness is that it is extremely ordinary, almost featureless. Sitting on a park bench with a loved one appreciating birdsong, passing clouds and simple conversation. Or nationally when a country is at peace with a good economy and mores there is no breaking news, it’s like nothing happens. Virtuous people tend not to trumpet such virtues nor need others to it for them either. Confusion on the other hand is messy, pointed, dramatic, chaotic, demands response, is pushy, loud, noticeable, distracting, entertaining – ie what we have come to expect of late in our latter-day ‘democratic’ countries.
Obviously I am talking in an idealist fashion. Western polities don’t have shared religious or spiritual sensibilities. Even patriotism isn’t universal by any means: in America decades of narrative control have persuaded most Americans that they are an evil people who should be ashamed of themselves and their evil ancestors. So for half the country saluting the flag is akin to proclaiming oneself a mass murderer. How can there be any sense of solidarity with views like that? With the sexes mutually antagonistic, also thanks to decades of such narrative shaping, how can there be societal togetherness? There can’t.
In the absence of a shared religion, populations are much easier to divide and thus rule.
Of course there are no easy answers. Any system or institution that becomes established immediately becomes the target of parasitical elements that exist in any society, a type of mentality that likes to end up on top, skim the cream, enjoy higher status and wealth and so forth. If you have a fantastically good and virtuous Church tradition dominant in a very good society, for example, there will be concerted efforts to infiltrate and corrupt it, the corruption being because people want to exploit the solidarity and power in that collective and subvert it to their own benefit, which can only accrue by the use of deception, pretending to be part of that group but in fact having a separate agenda which does not benefit that group although is presented as doing so. Such parasites become adept at the art of persuasion and deception. At which point the oneness within that collective is now many, is now broken into factions, and once there are two sides very quickly there are dozens – the originals, the decepticons, a group who backs the originals and is against the decepticons, a group who backs the decepticons as the new way forward, a group who wants radical reform, a group which wants to return to the way it was before and so forth.
When we discuss monarchy people focus on the egos of the monarchs but do not consider the benefit to society that experiencing the perceptual radiance of Royalty affords – indeed such notions are typically mocked and ridiculed.
When we discuss religion we focus on the dogmas or the relative worthiness of the leaders or styles of worship or practice but the potential benefit to society of having shared rituals, beliefs and values is generally discounted entirely.
It’s as if we have absorbed programming that ensures that no matter what happens our societies will continue to weaken and fracture.
Hmm….

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 18 2022 4:37 utc | 168

@Melaleuca | Oct 17 2022 22:49 utc | 148

MOYERS: Is there a morality in science?
ASIMOV: Oh, absolutely.
[Lol. I wonder what Asimov would make of Fauci and Bill Gates and the mRNA “experiment gene technology” pharmaceutical corporates.]

I think he would say that these criminals do not practice science, because the don’t. There is no scientific method in what they do, just immoral criminality causing great harm to people.

Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 18 2022 5:06 utc | 169

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 18 2022 4:37 utc | 168
PS
There will always be a One or We in any given group, from small family to large nation or international cyber group in that we always have both a sense of being individual and also a sense of being part of a family or larger collective.
We are considering nations whose prime container usually is a shared language, not small families or sports groups etc.
So even if a society is fractured into shards, classes, races, sexes, faiths, politics, regions, all at odds in ways we see now in nearly all latter-day developed countries, nevertheless there is still a universally shared sense of We. If you are in America you do – even today – have a general sense of being part of of the same thing, the same overall We, no matter how dysfunctional that wider family feels these days. Mexicans all feel they are Mexicans and so on.
So the One principle – again we are talking national cultural context – is always going to be there. No religion or political movement creates it though they may, deliberately or not, be working with it.
So the issue is whether or not we can make ourselves into a good we, a happy we, a virtuous we, a wise we, an adaptive, flexible, dynamic, inventive, noble and fun We, not clumsy, deceptive, depressing, cruel, backward, problematic and wicked We. No matter what, what we do collectively each and every day fashions whatever We (or One) we mutually create and share together.
It comes down to artfulness in some sense. A culture is a living, dynamic collective art form. Royalty is an art form involving the leadership principle for example. Any leadership system is similarly artful but higher forms of art are aware that they are art forms and perform as such artfully. In our current systems most of the leaders feel its their job to be something like charismatic managers or Head Coaches, they don’t appreciate the artfulness both of the role and how they need to play their part and how to view the society within which the role plays. It also requires artfulness on the part of the citizenry.
For that to happen all have to be more or less on the same page otherwise there aren’t shared subtleties, values, jokes, outrages, red flags.
So religion ideally is a way of bringing people into a virtuous state of being, of progressing through the journey of life and in so doing also providing a social context in which this journey takes place one which all members of the society share. It is an artful way for a nation to cultivate virtue in other words. Whether or not there is an official religious quotient in any given society, there is a collective journey of virtue or vice cultivation. The question again is how artfully is the journey being experienced, developed, fine-tuned within the society.
These are societal art forms, basically, but nowadays everyone focuses on mid-level detail like what is the dogma, what is the difference between political blue and political yellow and so forth without considering the overall context. It is hard to consider that overall context when the society doesn’t have many shared rituals in which they all experience the same thing at the same time.
England just went through that with Elizabeth’s death. It was something everyone in the country experienced. Everyone has a particular relationship with her, be it distant or impassioned makes no difference. She was not a system or an ever-changing role like the 25 Prime Ministers she consulted with over the decades. She was an individual whom all could see on occasion on a balcony, cutting a ribbon, most often on television. But more simply she was an individual figure who each individual in the country could witness and relate to as such. Not an abstract philosophy or movement, a living breathing individual who at the same time is a symbol of the One principle in that society because there is only one King or Queen (or one of each as is now the case). It’s not about the particular character of the monarch but the role and context of that role in any given society as an embodiment of One, and that One is We. We the people collectively create the One because we are all part of one We.
So monarchy is an artful way of working with that One/ We principle in a manner that binds and ideally uplifts that We.
So are various art forms like the movies, the ballet, architecture and so forth, though they are not explicity about leadership.
Religion is an artful way of providing people an avenue to harmonize our binary nature in that sense that we are part of absolutes and relatives at the same time. The nature of the reality we are born into and later leave through death is always there without birth or death. Similarly the nature of mind – or experience if you prefer – is both deeply personal and individual whilst at the same time universal, constant. Virtues like courage and kindness are timeless and yet are expressed in time and space through specific, mortal agents.
We are sandwiched between mortality and eternity all the time. Religion is a society’s way of addressing this in an artful fashion so that we can lead meaningful, artful lives. Whether or not a society throws up a religion to deal with this, nevertheless it is being dealt with, just like there is always some sort of collective We whether or not it is artfully tended to with collective mindfulness, awareness, reverence, discipline and delight. And just like there is always leadership whether or not we fashion how it functions artfully with custom, procedure, ritual, costume, retinue, honorifics and so forth.
In other words, these things are all choiceless. The question is whether or not we deal with them artfully not whether or not they exist. Creating great nations or civilizations is the ultimate challenge, the ultimate collective art form, the ultimate way to help make our individual and collective journeys meaningful, deep, spiritually and otherwise fulfilling. It’s about whether or not there are beautiful flowers in our garden of life and happy families enjoying feasting together therein.
It appears that right now Russia is playing a lead role in charting a new course for these times in this very old journey, with China also very much involved in the same thing, though not overtly so much at least in Western perception, also her contribution to high culture, to the philosophy and artfulness of statecraft, is less obvious since she seems more involved with infrastructure, growth, logistics, expansion, but nevertheless offering a new way forward in the modern era.
Multipolarity seems to be suggesting that we can have many different, but mutually supportive, We’s rather than trying to make on universal global We with one universal global government.
Sounds good. But each We will need to be virtuous and uplifted for there to be harmony. So each collective will have its own ways of doing that hopefully whilst also learning from other collectives, some of which in this multipolar world will clearly be doing a better job than others, and some of whom will be outright hot messes (like the West it seems for the next generation or two). I am suggesting, I guess, that those collectives/societies/nations that are artful in how they craft and maintain homegenous vibrant polities will fare better than those who are merely utilitarian or managerial, who are not artful. Without artfulness things will tend to trend downwards rapidly since only with artfulness will there be flexibility, creativity, upliftedness, nobility, compassion and wisdom.
Also there is a universal rule in such matters: you are either going forward, improving, developing more virtue or you are backsliding, degrading, developing less virtue and more vice. There is no neutral resting place or status, no comfortable stasis.
Our current western polities lack all semblance of artfulness. It has been systematically stripped away from our leadership classes, our arts, our religions, even our family lives. This is a Dark Age indeed….

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 18 2022 5:30 utc | 170

@Scorpion #157
It appears you cannot take even a gentle ribbing that your apparent belief in a water carburator is nonsense.
Furthermore, I did not attack you personally; I then specifically laid out why room temperature hydrolysis is not the panacea it pretends to be even were it real (which it is most definitely not).
I can go further: let’s consider the simple act of acceleration. Acceleration means “putting on the gas” – hydrogen in this case. Chemical processes generally are not easily increased or decreased at beck and call – how exactly does a direct hydrolysis of water, even if possible, provide MORE hydrogen when acceleration is desired vs. LESS hydrogen when cruising?
Actual fuel cells don’t push hydrogen into combustion chambers – they’re recharging electrical batteries; the batteries serve as storage and thus are able to provide more or less power. Unfortunately, as far as I can see, one of the consequences of continuous charging/discharging of batteries is decreased lifespan. That’s the main reason why EV battery packs are so enormous – it isn’t just for range but also to enable “smoother” charge/discharge cycles to preserve battery lifespan.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 6:05 utc | 171

Below is a link to the latest from Wall Street on Parade with a take away quote following
Atlanta Fed President Bought Low and Sold High in 2020 as the Fed Bailed Out Wall Street; Then He Failed to Report those Trades

It was one year ago that Wall Street On Parade raised a multitude of red flags about Raphael Bostic, the President of the Atlanta Fed. We have published the entirety of that article below so that our readers can see just how long it took both Bostic and the Atlanta Fed to come clean with the American people about his trading on Wall Street.
On Friday, Bostic released a seven-page statement in which he owned up to the following: failing to list a multitude of trades that were conducted on his behalf by trading firms on Wall Street over a period of five years; failing to properly report income on his assets on his financial disclosure forms; trading during blackout periods when trading was barred by the Federal Reserve; providing inaccurate values on his financial disclosure forms. The upshot was that Bostic had to restate his financial disclosure forms for the entire five-year period he has filed them at the Atlanta Fed , i.e., 2017 through 2021.
If a publicly-traded company had to restate its earnings and admit that it had lied to the American people for five straight years, you can bet that the CEO and CFO would be fired in short order by the Board of Directors. But the Board of the Atlanta Fed is sticking with Bostic – at least for now.

Just a few bad apples here…..nothing to see…..move along…no structural problem, that’s nonsense!…./s

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 18 2022 6:06 utc | 172

#blues #159
Perhaps you can describe in more detail what this “other side of the Big Blip” is.
If you are referencing some sort of civilizational dieoff with the few remaining humans grubbing for survival in a post-Apocalyptic world – I’d say that advanced technologies are not going to be possible.
Or maybe you’re talking about some sort of Kurzweil-ian Singularity nonsense.
But please do expand.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 6:08 utc | 173

@Tom Pfotzer
@NemesisCalling
I have stayed out of this conversation up until now, but I will interject to say this: Asimov was a science fiction writer.
Science fiction is entertainment, and he was a great entertainer.
To ascribe anything more is ridiculous, and to ascribe it to Asimov is more ridiculous than most.
For one thing, while there is science fiction that attempts to predict the future based on the direction science and research is going – Asimov’s writing was pure fantasy.
Asimov was a biochem professor – not even a social sciences type. Not that social sciences would be better given their dismal and unbroken record of garbage output, but the point is that he wasn’t even in the business of trying to study human behavior.
And unsurprisingly, nothing whatsoever that he slapped together in his novels bears any resemblence whatsoever to reality.
In point of fact, Asimovian nonsense has done far more damage in the form of PMCs and protoPMC geeks thinking “they” are the ones who will execute on the Asimovian fantasy of prognostication about human social direction or steering humanity via some non-Deity equivalent of omniscience. It is arrogance and delusion of the highest degree.
Contrast this with Lafayette Ron Hubbard: he created a real, enduring religion on a bet – which is social science in action in reality.
I neither condone nor agree with that religion, but I do accept that it is real and has a following that has outlasted its founder.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 6:25 utc | 174

@174 c1ue
Thx. I had no idea of what Asimov could call his accomplishments. I knew nothing about him. I thought he was some accomplished scientist like Tesla or someone. Lol.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 18 2022 6:49 utc | 175

c1ue | Oct 18 2022 6:08 utc | 173
try this site, it might help.
The Great Simplification and Energy Blind and Paradigm Shifts with Nate Hagens
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/frankly-original/frankly-1-what-war-in-the-ukraine-means-for-energy-and-money
(iow there is no off ramp and the wick is short)

Posted by: SeanAU | Oct 18 2022 7:00 utc | 176

Interesting things are going on in the failed empire where the sun has already set long ago, in 1953!
Who knew with the recent unelected PM “Ditzy Liz” is now under house arrest already in a palace coup? Poor King Charles 3, the uncrowned King. Now has a new master to whip his sorry posterior and pull all his strings. lol
His head was bent in sorrow, green scales fell like rain
Puff no longer went to play along the cherry lane
Without his life-long friend, puff could not be brave
So Puff that mighty dragon sadly slipped into his cave oh

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Oct 18 2022 11:19 utc | 177

@174 c1ue:
Asimov was way more than just a science fiction writer. Here’s a list of the hundreds of books he wrote. You’ll note that of the 506 (or more) books he wrote, nearly half are non-fiction. Take a look at the list, and tell me again he’s “only a science-fiction writer”.
And look at the range of topics he wrote upon in that list. I’ve read some of those non-fiction books, and they’re pretty accurate. They’re also relatively simple, with clear explanations. One of the valuable aspects of Carl Sagan, and Neil DeGasse Tyson is that they’re able to make complex subjects simple enough to understand by the layman, and yet accurate enough to be … accurate. It’s a valuable talent.
The value of Asimov, Le Guin, Heinlein and the other great sci-fi writers is to expand and fuel people’s imagination. Imagination guides exploration, research, and then the engineering. Einstein: “Imagination is more important than knowledge”. SciFi is what got me interested in science and engineering in the first place. That’s what made me want to understand chemistry; sure wasn’t my high school chemistry teacher.
That’s a valuable service, c1ue. I posit that one big service we old farts have not sufficiently done on behalf of the next generations is to fuel their imaginations.
@162 NemesisCalling: re: this quote:
“That we hoist all our hopes and fears upon scientists to solve the riddle of existence is not only the most stupid proposition in history, it is also the most arrogant.”
Tom: My expectation from science is to explain “how things work”. Right now, I’m working on the assumption that I have volition, and I can pick outcomes that are desirable, and use my knowledge of “how things work” to navigate toward the outcomes I value. And … while I’m not doing my duty as helpful-Tom-Turtle…to bask in the glory of being alive on this fabulous planet, among all these cool, interesting, smart well-intentioned people.
That’s how I relate to science at the moment.
As to the riddle of existence…science is doing a great job of sorting out the physics (and therefore the chemistry) of how matter and energy comes into and out of existence, and how all the elements work together to become biology, geology, and machines, and all those things we deal with every day.
And we can trace the story back pretty far in time (due to science, mind you). We can explain the existence of stars, describe how all the elements on the periodic chart came into being, etc. and even theorize fairly convincingly about how elementary life comes into being, and postulate the conditions under which it does. The Mars explorations may shed more light on that subject. We can even trace the evolution from just-barely-alive organisms to the higher order, more complex biological forms that comprise today’s biosphere.
But, to my knowledge, we don’t know what happened before the Big Bang. Where’d the Big Bang inputs come from?
Dunno. Is there a God that brought it into being? If so, where’d that God come from? Dunno.
Hopefully, the foregoing won’t come across as arrogant, and if it does, I ask you (or any other barfly) to point it out.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 18 2022 12:58 utc | 178

When we discuss monarchy people focus on the egos of the monarchs but do not consider the benefit to society that experiencing the perceptual radiance of Royalty affords – indeed such notions are typically mocked and ridiculed.
When we discuss religion we focus on the dogmas or the relative worthiness of the leaders or styles of worship or practice but the potential benefit to society of having shared rituals, beliefs and values is generally discounted entirely.
It’s as if we have absorbed programming that ensures that no matter what happens our societies will continue to weaken and fracture.
Hmm….
Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 18 2022 4:37 utc | 168
I am intrigued by your phrasing “…the perceptual radiance of royalty…”, Scorpion.
I won’t be able to post how this strikes me here as must needs shop, but I shall return. The other phrase that you deliver here “…the potential benefit to society..” is extremely helpful. We may be discussing apples and oranges – have to think about that! I shall return.

Posted by: juliania | Oct 18 2022 15:06 utc | 180

@ 125
“Rebuke” is your word. This usage imo reflects a fragility that your ego feels as it projects onto me the source of the perceived harshness.
My suggestion was that non-virtues of mind, such as wishing hardship on others, is something to be abandoned. This reflects my understanding of causality. Perhaps my example was too personal. It was intended to convey instructive advice.
Just as corn does not grow from thistle seeds, so happiness does not grow from non-virtue.
How can societies function harmoniously if individual people do not know how to practice virtue? regardless of their religious or cultural belief dispositions?
This exchange demonstrates to me how subjectively-lived relationships are often objectified into impractical pronouncements and diktats of ideals far removed from everyday life. This is a subversion of the relevance & vitality of relational reality by the usually touchy proud defensive ego, a falsity if you will.

Posted by: suzan | Oct 18 2022 15:34 utc | 181

@Tom Pfotzer #178
So you’re now saying that Asimov was a great science explainer?
I will look into that, but even were that the case – what you repeatedly reference are not those books but Asimov’s series of fantasy pseudo-science fiction books where a heroic geek figure is able to change history through his not-Deity understanding of humanity via computers.
From my view – there is a direct lineage from the Foundation Asimovian garbage to the ongoing naive faith in computer models. The same computer models underlying garbage financial instruments, shit economic models, etc etc (I very much include climate change GCM models).
It is because of this that I posit a different view of Asimov: Bill Nye of the 1930s.
No TV show, but is a very good writer.
Stupid in every other way outside of simplifying what other’s have already done. Yes, popularizing has its place but popularizers who then go on to think they know jack shit – that’s ridiculous.
So inspiration is great, but inspiration to bad ends via bad means in the form of bad methodology (outright fantasy) – I don’t see anything to admire there.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 15:36 utc | 182

“China’s first photonic chip production line to be ready in 2023”:

China’s first production line for “multi-material and cross-size” photonic chips, or integrated optical circuits, will be completed in Beijing in 2023, a development that’s expected to fill a gap in the nation’s top-level manufacturing, the Beijing Daily reported on Tuesday.
Compared with electronic chips, photonic chips offer higher speeds and lower power consumption. The calculation speed and transmission rate are 1,000 times those of electronic chips, according to the newspaper.
If all goes as planned with the facility, it will show that the preliminary experimental research and development process is in place, with production technology that leads the world, analysts said.
According to the Beijing Daily, the production line will be built by Sintone, a Beijing-based high-tech enterprise.
The facility can meet market demand in multiple fields including communications, data centers, medical testing and other sectors, said the report, citing Sui Jun, the president of Sintone. [My Emphasis]

It would appear that Biden’s Chip War aimed at denying China the ability to produce top-of-the-line chips is failing. More from the article:

Such chips aren’t yet being produced on a large scale anywhere in the world, so the new facility will show that China is leading in this technology in the world, said Xiang.
China has become the world’s largest optical communication market, and the size of the domestic photonic chip market has expanded remarkably. From 2015 to 2021, the domestic photonic chip market expanded from $800 million to $2.08 billion, with an average annual compound growth rate of more than 15 percent, according to Insight and Info….
The company will use its scientific achievements to provide practical and reliable support for core sectors such as quantum computing.

The West’s own actions have eroded its competitiveness and it shows no signs of changing its policies.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 18 2022 15:42 utc | 183

@Scorpion #179
The arrest was for leaking of election worker data, not election data.
And given the present anti-China hysteria – gotta wonder how much of this is Yellow Peril vs. genuine prosecution. I’d wait to see the details of the case before ascribing geopolitical bits to it.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 15:44 utc | 184

2 old timers saying the Big One is coming
Jim Rogers on Youtube

The Next Bear Market will be the “Worst of my Lifetime”

Rogers is 79 years old and was trading during 1987, during the 1973 bear market, 2008 GFC etc etc. To say what is coming is worse than any of them is saying something.
Jim Rickards on youtube

We’re Going to wake up this winter to a severe recession

I expect disinflation followed by hyperinflation in 2025

Powell is a lawyer and obsessed with being Volcker, not Arthur Burns.

I can’t say I substantively disagree with anything, either of these gentlemen said but YMMV.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 15:51 utc | 185

karlof1 | Oct 18 2022 15:42 utc | 183
The Idiocy of what we are doing. Every technology we cut China off from they will become world leader of within two to three years. Numbers of stem graduates goes a long way.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 18 2022 15:56 utc | 186

@c1ue | Oct 18 2022 15:51 utc | 185
How much heat does free money make when it burns?

Posted by: too scents | Oct 18 2022 16:00 utc | 187

@SeanAU #176
I read the transcript of what you posted.
The author has the basic facts right, but the extrapolations are much less nuanced and detailed.
For example: what does the Great Simplification really mean for an American vs. a German vs. a Russian, Chinese, Iranian or African?
He notes 4 things: energy, credit, supply chain and trust.
Energy is very different for Americans vs. Europeans. America has the full capability of continuing to subsidize energy; the Europeans, not so much.
Credit: Credit is always going to be available. What is going on now is simply a pullback – it isn’t going to disappear and all fiat be replaced by a gold standard no matter what the gold bugs wet dream about.
Supply chain: yes, it is complex. Yes, it is breaking down. No, it isn’t unfixable especially in decadal time frames. What was outsourced to China can be resourced if a sufficient domestic priority.
Trust: Trust seems to be running plenty high between the Global South. The only Trust failing is with the West – the minority of the world in population, area and now even GDP.
So still not clear to me what this “Great Simplification” really means in concrete terms.
Is it a massive recession with spiking unemployment – as the Fed is attempting to do?
Is it a ginormous stock market crash a la Y2K – only much more across the board? The Dow going to 15K or even 10K, the Nasdaq dropping to a 4 digit 5 handle and the S & P 500 going to 2500 or lower?
Is it gas prices permanently over $5/gallon nationwide in the US? Food prices permanently higher?
Is it hyperinflation in the US to fix the burgeoning US debt?
Is it a crash of the US dollar?
Is it a combination of the above?
Concrete outcomes are actionable – yakety about “4 pillars” is not.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 16:01 utc | 188

@too scents #187
I believe the heat value of a paper bill is 12.44 BTU, but I think the EROEI is negative…
But I also don’t see why this is relevant. China has almost as big a debt problem as the US does – it is just provincial level vs. federal.
Europe, Japan, Emerging Markets – all also have enormous debt.
The general solution to debt is greater inflation…and we have that now.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 16:04 utc | 189

@ c1ue | Oct 18 2022 16:04 utc | 189
China has currency controls, a command economy, and a huge current account surplus.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 18 2022 16:22 utc | 190

@181 suzan
Rebuke was the right word.
Can I ask why you would come to an anti-empire blog in the first place?
Are you not here to cheer on Russia like the rest of us to reveal a more harmonious future?
Are you not aware that there is necessary bloodshed and that everytime an artillery piece is fired, the desire is to extinguish life?
The same is at play in my desire for the fake economic system to crash.
That you think the ends of what I see transpiring merely involve inflicting pain takes what I am saying in a very incorrect manner.
Juliania said it best that childbirth is pain but the child is worth it.
So I desire the birth pangs so this new harmony can emerge.
Good day to you.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Oct 18 2022 16:30 utc | 191

Peter AU1 @186–
Yes, most certainly, and the nature of the competition is being changed as I reported in my article, “Xi Jinping, 20th Party Congress, and The Developmental World Order”, which has another component attached to development and that’s modernization. In its third installment providing contextual background to the Party Congress and Xi’s speech, Global Times tells us where modernization fits:
“In his two-hour opening speech on Sunday, Xi Jinping, for the first time, expounded on the connotation of Chinese modernization, a unique path that will guide China’s policymaking in its march toward the second centennial goal of building the country into a great modern socialist country by 2049.”
The CPC isn’t naive that its march won’t be challenged. Global Times today published this article that deals with that issue, “How will CPC withstand ‘dangerous storms’ in the future?” The article may appear to be merely a self-congratulatory paean to the CPC, but it has truth at its core and accepts the fact that its development and modernization will be severely challenged:

Jin Canrong, associate dean of the School of International Studies at the Renmin University of China, told the Global Times on Monday that although China, with the leadership of the CPC, has overcome many challenges in the past decade, the profound changes - unseen in the past century - that the world is experiencing are unfinished. The world is getting more and more uncertain and turbulent, there will be more risks and challenges for all members of the international arena, including China, to face.
The old system dominated by the US and the West is not functioning and it’s unable to provide certainty and stability to the world, but it will continue to increase dangers, conflicts and chaos worldwide, analysts said.
The fundamental reason why China needs to be prepared for the worst-case scenario and even “dangerous storms” is that Chinese modernization, which is very different from Western modernization, will bring challenges to the hegemony which is now dominating the current world order. This hegemon and its followers do not accept that China will succeed, because that could bring about the end of the system they built to unfairly serve their interests, experts noted.

I’d say that’s realism in Spades. But China won’t face this challenge alone as its partners in the RoW are all in the same boat and face the same storms. Politically, China’s Rejuvenation is tied to Reunification with Taiwan that results in China’s becoming whole again. Xi emphasized this is to be accomplished peacefully provided the process isn’t interfered with but added it will occur regardless for nothing will be allowed to deter China’s Rejuvenation.

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 18 2022 16:46 utc | 192

He is one of a legion of geologists – in particular, people who study the past via the fingerprints left in the earth. For some reason, there are A LOT of them who are deniers. The faithful say it is because a lot of them also work in various mining/fossil fuel industries – which is precisely why they study the earth – but of course it is always lineage and ideological rectitude that matters in science… /sarc
Posted by: c1ue | Oct 17 2022 23:59 utc | 153
Anyone who uses the term ‘deniar’ is off the reservation. Was rereading the thread. Glad I caught it. Ciao Bello.

Posted by: Scorpion | Oct 18 2022 16:51 utc | 193

@too scents #190
Not clear how any of those 3 things help with too much debt.
Currency controls don’t matter when repayment is the issue regardless of capital flight.
Command economy – debt has a counterparty. Who is the counterparty? If it is the provincial governments owing each other and/or the central government/bank, that might be fine but that isn’t the case.
Huge currency account surplus: yes, it is big. But it is a bug bite compared to the debt. China currency account surplus was a tad over 2 trillion RMB in 2021, but China’s government debt is 46 trillion RMB. 2/46 = 4.3% – and the official interest rate in China is … 4.3%
If 100% of China’s currency account surplus is paying interest on existing debt – that’s not a recipe for future prosperity. More importantly: growth forgives all.
Will China be able to grow at 6% or greater rates with this enormous debt overhang?
That’s the real question.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 18:35 utc | 194

More negative US economic news: Bloomberg projecting 100% chance of recession in the next 12 months
Bloomberg forecasting recession for sure in next year

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 18:36 utc | 195

Another techno-utopian fantasy bites the dust
FedEx abandons robot last mile delivery – ars technica

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 18:37 utc | 196

@c1ue | Oct 18 2022 18:35 utc | 194
Currency controls partitions internal from external debt, the huge current account surplus discharges the external debt by the cleanest dirty shirt principle, and the command economy sets pricing regardless of creditors claims.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 18 2022 18:44 utc | 197

Some numbers on the amount of capital NOT being reinvested by the fossil fuel industry – oil sector
Global Oil and Gas Exploration Dives Nearly 60% in 2022 – oilprice.com

According to Rystad, proven oil and gas reserves by the so-called Big Oil companies namely ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), BP Plc. (NYSE: BP), Shell Plc (NYSE: SHEL), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), TotalEnergies ( NYSE: TTE), and Eni S.p.A (NYSE: E) are rapidly falling, as produced volumes are not being fully replaced with new discoveries.
The main culprit: Rapidly shrinking exploration investments.
Global oil and gas companies cut their capex by a staggering 34% in 2020, in response to shrinking demand and investors growing wary of persistently poor returns by the sector. Capex is only set to rise ~12% in the current year.
ExxonMobil, whose proven reserves shrank by 7 billion boe in 2020, or 30%, from 2019 levels, was the worst hit after major reductions in Canadian oil sands and US shale gas properties. Shell, meanwhile, saw its proven reserves fall by 20% to 9 billion boe last year; Chevron lost 2 billion boe of proven reserves due to impairment charges while BP lost 1 boe. Only Total and Eni have avoided reductions in proven reserves over the past decade.

Note that in the past – capex spending went up in tandem with oil prices. 50% jump in price of oil, 50% jump in capex spending.
Oil price averaged $70.68/barrel in 2021 – +12% would be $79 but Brent price now is $90 – and that is after 300 million barrels of US SPR outflow…

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 18:55 utc | 198

@too scents #197
That’s the CCP theory.
The reality is that the people in China expect ongoing improvements in standards of living – forcing prices doesn’t help with that.
Nor are external suppliers of the massive inflow of commodities into China, going to accept forced pricing.
I don’t agree with the Western economist notion that China is going to collapse because of this debt, but it is equally fallacious to think there will be no major negative effects from it.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 18 2022 18:58 utc | 199

It could be that the petrodollar is dying in the place of its birth. If Doctorow is even close this is very big news.
“In today’s brief live interview on Press TV, I was given the opportunity to evaluate the newly announced decision of the Saudis to exclude representatives of the U.S. Government from their annual investment conference planned for the 25th of this month. I place this decision in the broader context of Saudi and the Gulf States’ realignment these past several months away from the global hegemon that has been their traditional security guarantor and towards partnership with Russia in creation of a multi-polar world.
“The counterpart of this new Saudi policy is de-dollarization. Given the historic role of the Petrodollar going back to the 1970s in securing the dollar’s position as global reserve currency, the implications of a shift to bilateral petroleum trading in local currencies by the Saudis holds great importance for compelling the world’s biggest debtor to start paying for its wars and other extravagances from its own pocket and not from the pockets of the Rest of the World. This process may now move much more quickly than American financial analysts have assumed….”
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/

Posted by: bevin | Oct 18 2022 20:46 utc | 200