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October 9, 2022
The MoA Week In Review – (Not Ukraine) OT 2022-168

Last week's posts on Moon of Alabama:

sarah @sahouraxo – 16:38 UTC · Oct 8, 2022

NATO media before and after 2022


bigger

Mark Ames @MarkAmesExiled – 13:23 UTC · Oct 8, 2022

Interesting that just a few days ago, US intel leaked to @nytimes that Ukraine responsible for assassination of Dugina & that US opposed it & had no knowledge of it. Almost as if Langley sought to indemnify US from the next operation on Crimean bridge.


Other issues:

Britain:

> Until Liz Truss, no one had ever thought to try Larping as a system of government. But it turns out that we in the UK are living inside a full-scale Thatcher Larp, whether we voted for it or not. (…) This unhappy discovery was something the country, and the financial markets, learned from Kwasi Kwarteng’s ‘mini-budget’ on 23 September, the latest catastrophic fuck-up inflicted on the UK by an over-confident Etonian. <

'Progressive' supremacy:

> “This is beyond the pale,” the California Democrat told CNN in a phone interview on Monday. “They are actively fleecing the American people and destabilizing the economy. That’s just outrageous. Who do they think they are?”

“It’s outrageous. The Saudis need to be dealt with harshly,” said Khanna, a progressive who has been a tough critic of the kingdom’s humanitarian track record. “They are a third-rate power. We are the most powerful country in the world. I don’t know why we kowtow to them.”

“They are not our allies,” Khanna said of Saudi Arabia. “They are hurting the American people. And we need to be tough with them. The president needs to make it clear we will cut off their supply. We could ground their air force in a day.” <

Iran Riots:

Syrian Girl 🇸🇾🎗 @Partisangirl – 0:37 UTC · Sep 25, 2022

Mahsa Amini “died in custody” of a heart attack. Iranian Police released the CCTV footage of her collapse.
She was a 22 year old woman. What a coincidence that she died after Russia started using Iran’s suicide drones in Ukraine and Iran joined the SCO.
Video

China:

Use as open (Not Ukraine) thread …

Comments

Alastair Crooke has just posted his latest article;
https://english.almayadeen.net/articles/analysis/the-curious-silence-surrounding-the-baltic-gas-bubbles

Posted by: Thaisleeze | Oct 9 2022 13:05 utc | 1

Thanks b, for the Weekly Review. I’ve just read that Cradle article by Pepe Escobar, featuring Michael Hudson. It amazes me how even very well-educated and amiable Americans are apparently so deluded about the perspectives of non-Americans. He says:
“If German companies relocate to the US to get gas, this will be perceived as a US raid on German industry, capturing its lead for the US. Even so, this won’t succeed, given America’s post-industrialized economy.”
I feel like I’m reading that White House pronouncement on Leif Erikson day. If the USA uses its ways and means to destroy German industry in Germany, those self-same industrialists will come to the US only to destroy it. Really – and those Nordic-Americans will likely do the same. It’s so stupid, I’m just amazed by it. What are you inviting to your shores, oh great exceptional advisors of the eternal paternal USA?

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Oct 9 2022 13:21 utc | 2

https://www.rt.com/news/564341-germany-ammo-shortage-stocks/
German Army has Ammo for only TWO DAYS of Warfighting
Of Course, their MIC Bank Accts are well stocked. Dankesheim, Frau von der Leyen?

Posted by: IronForge | Oct 9 2022 13:24 utc | 3

Even After $100 Billion, Self Driving Cars Are Going Nowhere – bloomberg but not paywalled
Many amusing anecdotes about self-driving car fails, but the key data point was: 500 million miles between fatalities for school bus drivers.
Meaning the millions of miles driven by self-driving cars are literally insufficient to test just how “safe” they really are.
As I’ve noted before – the point I see as a problem is that forward progress in the form of reduced “interventions” has hit a wall. This sounds to me like the fixes for various edge cases have started to cause new problems, or resurface old ones at which point forward progress is impossible without a major new paradigm.
This is on top of the fundamental issue of whether the business model even makes sense given the enormous costs added on to the base (and rising) cost of vehicles to start with. To be blunt: it would be far easier and profitable to import drone technology and have trained drivers in 3rd world nations (with cheap labor) drive cars remotely than to try and field “self-driving” vehicles that cost hundreds of thousands of dollars more. All you need then is some cameras and bandwidth – and that is something which dense urban centers are eminently able to support.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 13:35 utc | 4

I just read the Michael Hudson/Pepe Escobar piece at the Cradle
While it is encouraging to read some more details about the potential alternative Reserve Currency, it is frustrating to not read of any implementation time frame. I know the devil is in the details but our world is waiting for the financial neutron bomb that neuters the God of Mammon cult of empire……

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 9 2022 13:37 utc | 5

@b
The “Video” link in your quote of Syrian Girl’s tweet is broken.

Posted by: S | Oct 9 2022 13:48 utc | 6

@c1ue | Oct 9 2022 13:35 utc | 4

Many amusing anecdotes about self-driving car fails

Those who don’t want to drive can take bus or a taxi, end of story.

Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 9 2022 13:50 utc | 7

Syrian Girl 🇸🇾🎗 @Partisangirl – 0:37 UTC · Sep 25, 2022
Mahsa Amini “died in custody” of a heart attack. Iranian Police released the CCTV footage of her collapse.
She was a 22 year old woman. What a coincidence that she died after Russia started using Iran’s suicide drones in Ukraine and Iran joined the SCO.

Perhaps she got a repurposed gene therapy jab five months ago and it is just a coincidence?

Posted by: William Haught | Oct 9 2022 13:51 utc | 8

the fundamental issue of whether the business model even makes sense
Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 13:35 utc | 4

The business model is growth for the sake of growth, and of course that doesn’t make sense.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 13:54 utc | 9

Busy week: I exhibited at the Gulf Coast Power Association to understand whether I should focus on serving fracked natural gas or shoot for the 12+ million megawatt hours curtailed by Texas every year.
Some interesting data:
The keynote speaker was Bill Flores: former House of Representatives for Texas District 17, CPA, entrepreneur and now on the ERCOT Board.
One slide he put up was of ERCOT system demand vs. generation data for July 11 and July 13, 2022.
Brief background: Austin has had 100+ days of 100+ temperatures in 2022. Basically it has been 100+ since May until about 2 weeks ago. Unsurprisingly, this has resulted in a succession of record electricity demand figures from Texans.
For 7/11/22
Dispatchable fossil fuel and nuclear: 66.9 GW (87% cap factor)
Intermittent (wind and solar PV with some small other): 12 GW (24% cap factor)
Of the intermittent:
Wind: 0.9 GW (3% cap factor)
Solar PV: 9.5 GW (81% cap factor)
other: 1.6 GW (49% cap factor)
Total Demand: 73.5 GW
Grid excess capacity: 5.4 GW = 7%
For 7/13/22
Dispatchable fossil fuel and nuclear: 67 GW (87% cap factor)
Intermittent (wind and solar PV with some small other): 11.6 GW (23% cap factor)
Of the intermittent:
Wind: 5 GW (3% cap factor)
Solar PV: 6.7 GW (81% cap factor)
other: 0 GW (0% cap factor)
Total Demand: 77.9 GW
Grid excess capacity: 0.75 GW = 1%
System data:
Nuclear: 5.3GW
Natural Gas: 56GW
Coal: 15.5 GW
Wind: 35 GW
Solar: 11.8 GW
So the good news: Texas was able to meet demand despite successive record amount of demand.
The scary news: note the enormous variability in the intermittent side and the thin-ness of production vs. demand margin.
Some other notes: the above “cap factor” numbers are not the normal “cap factor”. Normal cap factor is the percentage of the hours of the entire year in which a given resource is actually producing electricity. For fossil fuels or nuclear, this is typically 60% to 80%; for solar it is typically low 20s%, for wind it is typically low 30s%. So in other words, 1 GW of solar produces 1/3 the actual electricity of fossil fuel/nuclear or less; wind produces 1/2 or less.
The above cap factors are actually percentages of the modeled/estimated/projected production expected by ERCOT (The Texas Grid) from the various resources, and is furthermore instantaneous vs. over the span of a year.
So the solar numbers: 81% does not mean 1GW of solar produced 19.44 Gigawatt-hours on 7/11/22 – it means the 9.5GW of solar produced 81% of whatever amount of modeled electricity, as compared to Texas’ expected solar output – probably at a specific instant in time. If you compare vs. the solar install capacity of 11.8 GW – it becomes clear that the 7/11/22 (81%) is actually 81% of instantaneous production because clearly the sun cannot be shining 81% of any day below the Arctic circle.
The above data is also interesting because of the variation in wind/solar between 2 very hot days, literally 1 day apart. On 7/11/22 – solar produced 9.5GW vs. wind 0.9 GW but 7/13/22 saw solar producing 6.7 GW vs. wind producing 5 GW. In fact, if 7/13/22 had seen the same profile as 7/11/22 – Texas may well have suffered a blackout since the overall lower production on 7/11/22 would have been greater than the 0.75GW system margin on 7/13/22.
This is the issue with dispatchable (fossil or nuclear) vs. non-dispatchable.
Note also the relation of fossil+nuclear capacity vs. solar PV+wind: it is 76.8 GW nuclear + fossil vs. 46.8 GW solar PV + wind.
Even disregarding that some amount of the above dispatchable is peaker – i.e. brought into operation entirely due to the peak demand – the proportion of dispatchable vs. intermittent/non-dispatchable (solar PV + wind) is 62% vs. 38%. In reality, however, Texas’ overall electricity production is 75% dispatchable vs. 25% intermittent.
This is the impact of the low cap factors for wind and solar PV vs. fossil fuel or nuclear.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 14:02 utc | 10

I agree with commenter too scents who asked on the wrong thread that b should have included in his weekly update the latest from wannabe world leader Elon Musk as shown by the ZH posting title
Musk Proposes Taiwan Become Chinese “Special Administrative Zone”
I wonder if Elon is the guy who asks about the cult of global private finance in public enough to cause a “scene”…..lots of hopium contained therein….

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 9 2022 14:02 utc | 11

some other notes from GCPA:
1) Both Vistra and Calpine CEOs gushed over how the IRA (Inflation Reduction Act) has allocated $369 billion for clean energy/saving the planet. Both of them estimate new solar PV installs in Texas in the 35GW to 50GW range. Compare this to the present 46 GW already on the Texas grid to get an idea of what this means…
2) Cryptominers being talked about and having a significant presence. Note that heavy intermittent installs at present already are causing significant negative electricity pricing periods; the new solar PV installs are certainly going to make that worse. Negative price electricity is even better than only “cheap” priced electricity…
One Texas state lawmaker noted the concerns: first, that these are very large systemic loads. One cryptomining facility might be 700 MW – to compare, the entire city of Austin is 1400 MW. The second issue is whether this massive influx of load would require new generation to accommodate. This then brings into question whether the cryptomining is going to stick around for the long term since new electricity generation investment is long term…
3) Major themes at the event were: weatherization and attendant compliance and consumer cost effects, plus rising utility bills due to Texas’ heavy reliance on natural gas to generate electricity. Weatherization is due to Texas legislation after winter storm Yuri (last year’s Texas freeze). A secondary but significant theme was reliability – also due to Yuri – and its impact on utility bills and the possibility of a consumer revolt.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 14:16 utc | 12

@Norwegian #7
Maybe not taxi. Taxi services in major cities in the US have largely been destroyed by the ride share services.
And ride share services are increasingly unreliable and expensive…

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 14:18 utc | 13

psychohistorian @ 5
I am definitely moving my money into a bank with little to no derivatives exposure. I had a tough time finding one. I have to settle for a little less in service and availability but will have no derivatives exposure.
Banks Ranked by Derivatives
Same for investment accounts.

Posted by: circumspect | Oct 9 2022 14:19 utc | 14

IronForge@3:
And they laughed when I said the individual Nato countries couldn’t even cobble together an armoured battalion🤔
Seems to me what we have here is that Germany is all hat and no cattle, or to put it in a more earthy way, they have an elephant sized mouth and a mosquito ass to back it up with.
It sure ain’t great grandpa’s Wehrmacht. Now that was an opponent one could respect.

Posted by: morongobill | Oct 9 2022 14:20 utc | 15

Major themes at the event were
Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 14:16 utc | 12

Did anybody mention induced demand or is that phrase taboo in those circles?

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 14:25 utc | 16

@circumspect | Oct 9 2022 14:19 utc | 14
Banks with the most risk will be saved first.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 14:28 utc | 17

Another item of possible interest:
I attended the Hoover Institute talk between Condoleeza Rice and Kevin Rudd – former prime minister of Australia.
The topic was: Can War With China Be Avoided?
First of all – this was the first Hoover event where it was oversubscribed. There was literally a waiting line and the auditorium was so full that a secondary viewing area was set up. This is at least 5x more attendance than I have ever seen at any other event.
The talk itself: Rice was very much in the background, it was the Rudd show. Rudd put himself forward as a diplomat and Chinese scholar, and spent most of his time talking about reading Chinese manifestos and what not.
Net net: Rudd thinks China is agonizing over its economic path forward; that its growth is entirely due to capitalism and that its recent moves to rein what capitalism there is, is going to fail.
For example: Jack Ma was talked about at length. Rudd mentioned that Ma stood in line for 3 (or 4?) days to get a visa in order to attend a 1 month English language school in Australia. And that shows just what a driven and wonderful entrepreneur he is, which is why Ant Financial IPO should not have been kiboshed by the Chinese government.
This same “diplomat” repeatedly made insulting comments about Xi JinPing (thinks in his own mind that is he a top dialectical scholar) and Vladimir Putin (Vlad the Impaler, etc).
The worst part was Rudd’s economic analysis: his stated view is that China is going to fail because of its real estate bubble (no mention of capitalism’s role there) and its turn away from free markets and capitalism.
No analysis on energy and commodities (getting cheaper and more reliable supply due to its relationship with Russia).
His analysis of Taiwan was similarly suspect: his stated view is that China will not take over Taiwan if Taiwan is sufficiently armed to be a “porcupine”.
As irritating as most of this was, the main point is that this serves as a good snapshot of elite viewpoints in the West: Rudd is a JFK School at Harvard professor now as well as being former Australia PM, and a speaker at the Hoover Institute (neocon central) as well as being a “leader” in climate change.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 14:30 utc | 18

@too scents #16
I did not hear any mention of the term “induced demand”, but it wasn’t likely to since Texas’ grid was marketized more than 20 years ago – in contrast to the California grid.
Perhaps you can explain further what you are inquiring about since I am not clear what “induced demand” is supposed to mean in your context.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 14:33 utc | 19

@c1ue | Oct 9 2022 14:33 utc | 19
Induced demand is the concept that increasing supply leads to increased demand, as a network effect. It is usually demonstrated in urban planning when increasing road capacity increases rather than reduces traffic.
Bigger electrical networks will naturally increase base demand for electricity.
For producers induced demand is the gift that keeps on giving, and is much to be desired even if secretly so, until the well runs dry.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 14:47 utc | 20

too scents @ 17
True to a point. What the bigs have done many times in a crisis is to take out some of the other bigs to get bigger and take their branches and markets in areas they want to do business. The smaller community banks are ignored.
Not on the stock market, no derivatives, serves a small area that is economically healthy, good business model. Some credit unions do use derivatives but those are mostly interest rates swaps from what I understand. The law on that was changed a while back.
Diversify and get out of the system as much as humanly possible in this modern age.

Posted by: circumspect | Oct 9 2022 14:47 utc | 21

S @ 6
The link at the top of the Syrian girl segment connects to the video in a Twitter post.

Posted by: Objective Observer | Oct 9 2022 15:09 utc | 22

@10 & 18 c1ue:
First, great reports. Thanks for taking time to update us.
Next:
I’m confused about what cap factors actually are. Your report stated that:

The above cap factors are actually percentages of the modeled/estimated/projected production expected by ERCOT (The Texas Grid) from the various resources, and is furthermore instantaneous vs. over the span of a year.

Here’s the cap factor for dispatchable .vs. intermittent:
For 7/13/22
Dispatchable fossil fuel and nuclear: 67 GW (87% cap factor)
Intermittent (wind and solar PV with some small other): 11.6 GW (23% cap factor)
87% + 23% is 110% of modeled production. I expected those pcts to add up to 100 pct of modeled production. What am I missing?
Next:
What did the conference have to say about addressing the intermittency of the intermittent energy sources (solar and wind)? If they’re going to blow another $500 mil on renewables, how do they justify that expenditure?
And what’s the general conversation re: the economic case for renewables, given that they’re not using the existing cpy to its potential. Or are they? Do the turn off the dispatchable power when the intermittent is waxing?
What’s the business case for more renewables if (I said “if”) they can’t use the power from existing renewables?
And:
Did you pitch my idea about converting renewable elec to a fuel and then back to elec on demand?
🙂
BTW, I noted that Arcelor-Mittal has announced plans to expand steel production in Texas, and part of the rationale is access to cheap renewable energy, and _hydrogen_. That’s a big half-step toward the renewable elec-to-fuel-to-electricity notion. Also note that it’s a high-heat-input industry that’s doing it. Big opportunity for high-efficiency conversions.
Here’s some discussion about it:

The Corpus Christi facility, which covers an area of two square kilometers and employs over 270 people, is located in an optimal coastal position with direct access to a broad and deep shipping channel which enables cost effective transportation to the Americas and Europe. It incorporates best-in-class technology and equipment supplied by MIDREX Technologies Inc., a leading supplier of DRI solutions. It currently uses natural gas to directly reduce iron ore pellets into HBI with an Fe content which exceeds 91%. However, the plant does have the potential to transition to 100% hydrogen, with the Texas coast presenting advantageous weather conditions to produce renewable energy powered green hydrogen. The use of natural gas rather than coal as the current energy input and reductant means that DRI-EAF steelmaking carries a significantly lower carbon footprint than blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace steelmaking. DRI/HBI is therefore expected to play a prominent role in the decarbonisation of the steel industry, a process ArcelorMittal intends to lead.

Last:
Did you catch the Seattle WA container port piece I wrote (last non-Ukraine thread, 2022-166). Got inspired by the one you did for LA. Be interesting to do a follow-up report in about a month, see what’s changed. In my report I noted that there’s a lot of empties stock-piled wharf-side. Wonder why they’re not Asia bound right this minute; round-trip time is 1-2 Months, assuming immediate loading upon arrival on Asia. That’s cutting it close.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 9 2022 15:34 utc | 23

Iran Riots:
Re:
Syrian Girl 🇸🇾🎗 @Partisangirl – 0:37 UTC · Sep 25, 2022
Mahsa Amini “died in custody” of a heart attack. Iranian Police released the CCTV footage of her collapse.
She was a 22 year old KURDISH woman. What a coincidence that she died after Russia started using Iran’s suicide drones in Ukraine and Iran joined the SCO.

And Kurds are friendlier with “Israel” the Yanks and the sleazy Brits, than they are with the Iranian Government.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Oct 9 2022 15:36 utc | 24

Interesting view on the Ukraine army performance
This was on Taki last week

Posted by: BillPlaidman | Oct 9 2022 16:06 utc | 25

Someone brought up immigration, right? … ? I learned a new term today, flag-poling, from this obscure random Tweet I stumbled across.
https://twitter.com/kmkabri/status/1578805985732628480
https://www.immigrationstationcanada.com/post/what-is-flagpoling

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Oct 9 2022 16:16 utc | 26

State elections today in Lower Saxony, Germany. The region covers the North-West of the country, and lies directly south of b’s hometown Hamburg. It has twice the size of New Hampshire and roughly the population of Washington, state. While not being such an economic powerhouse as the country’s southern parts, Lower Saxony harbours a number of important companies, especially Volkswagen and Continental, as well as various industrial centres, dockyards, and a number of universities. The incumbent is from Chancellor Scholz’ labour party (SPD) and had formed a coalition with Merkel’s Christian democrats (CDU) after the last election in 2017. Lower Saxony is a stronghold for both, SPD and CDU. Here’re the results from the exit polls with gains, losses, and party affiliation in brackets.
SPD (Third way labour, neoliberal, pro-NATO, partly woke): 33,5 % [-3,4]
CDU (centre-right, neoliberal, pro-NATO): 27,5 % [-6,1]
Greens (Neoliberal, pro-NATO, epicentre of German wokeness): 14,0 % [+5,3]
AfD (National conservative, neoliberal, pro-NATO): 11,5 % [+5,3]
FDP (Neoliberals, pro-NATO): 5,0 % [-2,5]
LINKE (formerly left-wing turned woke and at least partly pro-NATO): 2,5 % [-2,1] => not in parliament due to the five-percent threshold.
Scholz government in Berlin consists of SPD, Greens, and FDP; the notorious traffic light coalition (“Ampel” in German).
The turnout is probably a bit lower than in 2017 (then about 63 %, low for German standards), but postal ballots were not included in projections.
If someone wonders why the Greens perform this well – there are a number of reasons for. First, the region is also one of their strongholds, with anti-nuclear and other environmental protests having taken place in Lower Saxony for decades. Some may have heard about the demonstrations related to the radioactive waste disposal of Gorleben in the Wendland area of the region, which especially peaked in the 1980s and 1990s. Ursula von der Leyen’s father was the state’s governor from 1976 to 1990 and took a hard stance on the demonstrators. Additionally to the movements, there is this wide-spread “Waldgefühl”, the Germans special fondness for the environment and related issues. I depicted it in one of the open threads last week. Thirdly, German universities and affiliated businesses have turned woke, too, so college towns are likely to lean towards the Greens. Lower Saxony has several of them, such as Göttingen, Osnabrück, and the regional capital Hanover. Fourthly, the media predominantly favors the Greens. In several pre-election polls they had achieved even higher results. Finally, rising energy bills have so far not affected the middle classes (enough). Some alternative media and posters mentioned rallies in Germany during the past weeks; however, they only attended several thousand or tens of thousands of people´. That is not nearly sufficient for any significant impact. For instance, some 10,000 people rallied yesterday in the capital Berlin, protesting against energy prices etc. That’s very small in a city with 3,7 million inhabitants and not even a start.
The election’s aftermath may see SPD and Greens reviving their former coalition (2012 – 2017). In this case, Scholz would gain an additional six votes in Germany’s second legislative chamber, the Bundesrat, bringing his votes to 16. (In the Bundesrat, the states are required to cast the votes en bloc.) However, this will remain far below the 35 needed for own propositions to pass, so he will still be required to bargain with the oppositional CDU to pass certain legislation. Still, as all German parties are Empire-oriented – and therefore overwhelmingly or fully neoliberal and pro-NATO – this development doesn’t carry much weight.

Posted by: Seneschal | Oct 9 2022 16:19 utc | 27

Does Ukraine have this weapons?
Medium range ballistic missiles attacked the Crimean Bridge:
https://vk.com/video568552378_456239157

Posted by: njet | Oct 9 2022 16:25 utc | 28

https://nitter.net/Omid_M/status/1579117517389561856#m
My personal journey of education and raised awareness as a consumer of packaged information began in the 90s.
I distinctly recall the moment that I realized that the Economist that I held in my hand was talking authoritatively out of is ass about a (technical) subject matter that I knew quite deeply. I then reflected on all the other columns and subjects regarding which this weekly journal spoke with such authority, and which I had basically accepted due to an internalized bias that The Economist was a “serious” journal, even given their public political orientation. And it wasn’t just the Economist. When 9/11 happened, one of the shocks was to see the degree of subservience of (global!) journalism and their unquestioning propagation of ridiculous halfbacked stories.
Over the years, we all collectively got to learn how to recognize the signs of propaganda organs and sources masquerading as herlads of truth and facts. Twisted facts, partial quotes, distorted context, outright lies, and silence about matters that could not be spun, among other such markers.

The case of Bernhard and MoA:
The revolution that is currently underway in Iran is being misrepresented by the Western organs as a “feminist movement”, and by Islamic Republic’s organs and foreign clients as a case of “misrepresenting the circumstances of the death of an individual”, and orchestrated by foreign governments and agencies.
Just FYI for MoA readers, and to correct the disservice B is doing by not honestly and completely discussing the matter, demonstrations are on-going in Iran in all corners, even in “religious” cities like Qom. There are as of now numerous video documents of regime personnel shooting to kill unarmed demonstrator; executing in cold blood a young man simply for honking his horn in support; school children chasing out Islamic officials who come over to ‘lecture them’ about “right and wrong” (the “chutzpah” of these animals); spontenuous large gathering of normal people in the street chanting “death to Islamic Republic” fearlessly in front of security goons that look and act just like their counterparts in the “satanic west”; hundreds of peole as of now killed; Zaahidan and Balouch Iranians getting “foreign invasion” treatment (almost as if these animals want Iran to be dismembered and are duly supplying motivation for mass movements); and this list goes on.
The Islamic Republic and their parasitical assets in the West however are adamant that this is “only about this misunderstanding”. You should know that cases like Mahsa Amini have occurred numerous times under the IR regime in Iran. Many years ago, another (beautiful, hm) young Iranian student when to a mosque for Green movement and her friends last saw her being pushed into a van by plainclothes agents. To this day IR denies she even exists!
Her body was found a few days (iirc 10 days) later, in a ditch, burned, and apparently brutally and repeatedly raped and beaten.
That is the Islamic Republic, which is not “of” Iran, but is rather like Plymouth Rock of brother Malcom, “ON” Iran and Iranian nation.
As we all know, B is quite good at digging up mounds of missing information, missing context, full quotes, and brutal taking to task of entities like the New York Times. But unforutnately this talent of B goes awol when MoA and friends are trying to put the lid on the wrongdoings and lets be frank evil conduct of what is perceived as “enemy of my enemy (the empire)”.
The extrajudicial public harrassments, beatings, abductions, detention in “safe houses cum dungeons”, torture both physical and psychological, routine (routine!) device of threatening the abductees with “what we are going to do to your sister/mother/wife in front of you” (all documented), to say nothing of 43 years of wasting Iranian nations resources and wealth on _parasitic_ foreign entities. Foreign entities such as Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Baathist regime of Assad family. The other day, PressTV (which was setup with help from British “experts” btw) shamelessly put two pictures of Palestinian youth killed by IDF with attendant crocodile tears and feigned indignation, but it failed to note that in the very nation, Iran, that is funding their news organization, Iranian young men are being executed in the street.
Not even IDF does that. IR has managed to make Apartheid Israel look good. Bravo.
So it is not acceptable that Bernhard of MoA, who we all know is smart and resourceful and nobody’s fool, merely fishes out this Syrian parasite and repeats the IR propaganda line and ‘absurdly redacted’ story.
It is puzzling, B, that you expect readership to follow along with your take downs of MSM, and then turn around dish out the same regarding a subject that is apparently impolitic to discuss frankly. It is very disappointing. Are we to believe you can not find any other sources to discuss what is happening in Iran besides this Syrian Parasite?

The case of Arab Parasites:
Also a word about “how to recognize packaged lies”. The alt-space appears to be adoptiong a sort of Stalinist approach to perception management. We have __cults of personality in geopolitical space__. Just like the government version, a few personas are used and promoted over and over again. Apparently this is a bug in human brains where such repetition at scale brainwashes people into thinking that the talking head/tweeting parasite/spook asset is actually a person worth listening to.
They are not.
Naturally “Syrian Girl” knows who butters her bread. Hezbollah, et al., all know that IR is their golden goose and wish granting cow. Message to our “Muslim brothers and sisters” in Parasite Land: Our nation, a noble people, has faithfully spoken out (even those who are anti-IR) against the injustices done to Arab nations in ME. For 43 years you have been on the receiving end of a supply of free money and goods from Iran. We even forgave you for supporting Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Iran. It is understandable why Syrian Parasite and fellow travellers are pro-IR. They are parasites who are getting funded by stolen wealth of Iranians. They know full well when IR goes, so goes the freeloading and being parasites.
Or to put it simply: Israel is to West, what these Parasite Arabs are to IRAN. Inexplicably, the wealth, resources, and reputation of a people are directed to a ‘Chosen Project’. And just like the average Israeli probably laughs at and has contempt for the American Joe useful idiot, so too these Arab Parasites have nothing but borderline hate for Iranians and the limits of the ‘kind regards’ of people like Syrian Parasite for a suffering Iranian are strictly defined by how stupidly useful Iranians remain.

The case of the “Sepah Diaspora”:
Dear agents of regime in the West. As you know full wel, but MoA doesn’t since B only can find Syrian Parasite as a source on this topic, Iranian resitance is currently identifying and referring to relevant authorities ALL AGENTS OF IR, including their parasitical hyphenated Iranians that lobby for this occupation regime. May we suggest “Syria” or Lebanon as a final destination? Possibly you can even convince Syrian Parasite to return to her homeland with you. Let’s hope she is not getting used to liberties of the satanic west. Freedom of thought and expression is addictive. (MoA readers: beautiful scenes of “IR Diaspora” getting publicly shamed (minimal) to reported and removed from Satanic west, for the Greater Good.

The case of Theocracy and “end times struggles”:
I assume there must at least a few sincere Christians in this audiance. If you ever wondered “What kind of people were the Pharisees that were lording it over Hebrews in Jerusalem, how did they act, how did they speak, and what did they do?”, well ‘Providence’ has graced you with a good look-see:
The Mullahs of Iran are the Pharisees of Islam.
It is this group, specifically, that the Messiah and Mahdi are supposed to ‘erase from the pages of history’ for the Greater Good of humanity. So if you think you’re making nice with God by taking the side of these PHARISEES against ROME, think again. Your instructions for what to do are in the Gospels. (Don’t say you didn’t know.)

The case of enemies of Iranians and other “satanists” and Iran’s Revolution:
It is true that lacking any independent platform for mass communication, propaganda organs of various competing powers are the ones that are cheering the revolution. We Iranains know this. But just as Bernhard of Moon of Alabama has no recourse but to have a highly charged dissident blog on the 5-Eyes blogging platformss (as as Google infested typepad and Twitter) so too we Iranians must use what is available. Have no doubt that people in Iran are aware of who runs what, and over here, we too are actively shaming anyone — anyone — who dares come forward and claim leadership or try to twist this revolution to fit some narrative such as “feminism”.
But thank you for letting us use your photons.

The case of Young Iranians and Islam:
I am not going to sell faith and religion to you. That is a job for the hypocritical Pharisee Mullahs.
All I want to tell you azizaan is this: Anyone can claim to represent a “household” who are not here to defend themselves. Any charlatan can wrap themselves in faith or democracy or whatever. Just like it would be stupid to mistake a binary song and dance show for “democracy” and “people’s representation”, it is equally stupid to confuse Mullahs and their ilk with Islam, Imam of Shia, or “Justice of Ali”. That’s it.
#مهسا_امینی
#داریوش_علیزاده

Posted by: Iranian Man | Oct 9 2022 16:48 utc | 29

And not a single one of those things can’t be said about any other country and not a single one of those things is reason enough to invade another nation.

Posted by: Greg | Oct 9 2022 17:34 utc | 30

@27 Seneschal: Excellent, thorough report. Thank you.
We are all wondering what it’ll take to get Germans into the street.
I wonder both of these items:
a. If the discomfort in W. Europe will get as bad as some people project, and
b. Even if it does, is the programming of the average person -not just in Europe, but U.S. as well – so effective that even under extreme duress, no political policy-change is possible
If a and b above are correct, then we are all in for a very hard time in the years to come.
Read John Helmer’s piece on the de-electrification of Ukraine to get a sense of how things may develop, even in the more benign scenarios.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 9 2022 17:34 utc | 31

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 9 2022 13:37 utc | 5
When you want to set off a “neutron bomb”, you take care – and the time – to take shelter, yourself and your allies.
Recall that the new currency thought by Sergei Glazyev must be based mainly on the Chinese currency and the other currencies of the BRICS.
China has long been the largest holder of U.S. Treasuries. It has gradually gotten rid of more than $300 billion in bonds, including $100 billion in the last 6 months. But it still has more than 900 billion of these vouchers. The pace of its sales has accelerated, but when will it feel it has reached the right level?
China’s foreign exchange reserves stand at more than $3 trillion, after reaching $4 trillion in 2014. This relief was at the expense of the dollar, but it still represents 56% of China’s reserves. Here too, dedollarization is underway.
China has also worked to reduce its dependence on exports, from 36% of its GDP to 18.5% in 2020. The covid crisis has pushed it up to 20% in 2021. At the same time, it has reoriented its business partnerships towards Asia and Africa to reduce the share of Europe and the USA.
In summary, China’s exposure to collateral damage is the main cause of the “delay” in the explosion of the monetary “neutron bomb”.
A secondary cause was also the weakness of the ruble and its little-needed use in world trade, which also prevented it from being part of the IMF’s SDRs. Western sanctions and the requirement to pay Russian energy in rubles have corrected this.
In other words, we are moving towards “the alignment of the planets” for the “boom”.

Posted by: UncleTom | Oct 9 2022 17:35 utc | 32

How to blow up Nord Stream?
At first I thought the underwater bombs had been placed earlier under the cover of some NATO exercise and remotely detonated.
MonkeyWerx thinks that the explosions were caused by torpedos fired from a US Navy P8 Poseidon airplane circling over the pipeline at the time of the incident.

The Nord Stream 2 Pipeline SabotageMonkeyWerx, October 2022
The Navy P8 Poseidon has 11 external hardpoints for mounting weapons as well as an internal bomb bay, and one weapon, in particular, is a High Altitude Anti-Submarine Warfare Weapon Capability (HAAWC) system. HAAWC is an all-weather add-on glide kit that enables the Mk54 torpedo to be launched near or below the cruising altitude of the P8 Poseidon.

This does not explain how the torpedos would find the pipeline, which I believe is buried in the seabed, and detonate at the right spot. The simple explanation is that NATO underwater exercises placed sonar reflectors or other markers on the pipeline.

BALTOPS 22: A Perfect Opportunity for Research and Resting New TechnologySeapower, June 14, 2022
Experimentation was conducted off the coast of Bornholm, Denmark, with participants from Naval Information Warfare Center Pacific, Naval Undersea Warfare Center Newport, and Mine Warfare Readiness and Effectiveness Measuring all under the direction of U.S. 6th Fleet Task Force 68.
BALTOPS is an ideal location for conducting mine hunting experimentation due to the region’s unique environmental conductions such as low salinity and varying bottom types. It is also critical to evaluate emerging mine hunting UUV technology in the Baltic due to its applicability with allied and partner nations. This year experimentation was focused on UUV navigation, teaming operations, and improvements in acoustic communications all while collecting critical environmental data sets to advance the automatic target recognition algorithms for mine detection.

Mine hunting exercises include placing sonar reflector or other decoys on the seabed. Their presence at the exercise would not raise anyone’s suspicions. Americans would consider placing the decoys on the Russkie pipeline as a good prank.
The UK Ministry of Defence has developed and patented the perfect sonar reflector for this purpose. It is called SonarBell®. According to their marketing material, it can be used both for marking undersea pipelines and as a training device for mine hunting.
There may be weaknesses in this theory. I have not checked if all the explosions happened in the time window of the P8 Poseidon flight. But actually we may not know the exact time of the explosions. I am also not sure if the explosions happened within the range of the flying torpedos.

Posted by: Petri Krohn | Oct 9 2022 18:25 utc | 33

21st Century Wire 🇾🇪
@21stCenturyWire
⭕ Belarus president #Lukashenko’s epic troll of Europe, getting fire wood ready for the winter.

https://twitter.com/21stCenturyWire/status/1570354229872566273

Posted by: Down South | Oct 9 2022 18:26 utc | 34

I am concerned that if President Putin goes to the G20 meeting that he will be assassinated. The Empire has used its Covid bioweapon against China and Iran. It’s blown up NordStream. It will probably use its Ukrainian-made bioweapon on Russia. The stated objective of the Empire is Regime change in Russia and murdering President Putin would accomplish that. The Empire knows no bounds.

Posted by: saint denis | Oct 9 2022 18:31 utc | 35


@31 Tom Pfotzer: Thx for your reply!
Concerning possible protests – well, I’m sure there will be further rallies in Western Europe, possibly even huge ones, but I doubt so far, they will turn the tide. Some reasons for this I found in “The Counterrevolution”, a book written by some Bernard Harcourt in 2018. Harcourt seems to be at least a bit woke to me, but apart from the usual analytical flaws, even a woke Columbia law professor is able to put one and one together. At least once in a while. In his volume, he shows how counterinsurgency technics, field-tested in the West’s periphery in wars like Vietnam, Iraq etc. were reimported after 9/11 and are now used to rule the inhabitants of the Empire and its allies / colonies (take your poison). According to Harcourt, normal people would be increasingly viewed through the lens of counterinsurgency and regarded as potentially dangerous, contagious, or otherwise ominous. That’s why Western governments use a three-pillar-approach to deal with this steady threat to the Empire: 1) mass surveillance to identify the real dangerous individuals and groups as well as gradual militarisation of its police forces. 2) actions to (at least politically) eliminate the “insurgents”, such as smear campaigns, infiltration of protests, raids… and 3) certain social measures to convince some majority of the population that the West’s current order is still legit, preventing them from joining rallies. In the end, one could say: Nothing new on the Western front, only a modernised form of divide et impera.
Harcourt focusses on the situation in the U.S., but there are several examples for his “Counterrevolution” in Western Europe, too. Just think of the “gilets jaunes”, France’s yellow vested movement. France has amplified its mass surveillance, just as the Five Eyes did, and ramped up its police since the 1990s. When confronted with the protests, the Macron government used the full range of the above-mentioned actions – smear campaigns (yellow vests were labelled as pro-Russian, antisemite, violent thugs…), agent provocateurs, and crackdowns. And they spilled goodies for the middle classes while monsieur le president made his personal Tour de France-like dialogue round trip.
Panem et circenses, divide et impera, and smear campains in counterinsurgency-style – that’s presumably the blue print for the upcoming economy and energy crises protests. Especially in Germany. Scholz’ Home Secretary already warned that so-called “radical groups” could use the ongoing price rises as a new mobilization theme for protests (https://twitter.com/MaxBlumenthal/status/1549617101199101953). Additionally, the German police has received further militarised equipment over the past years and Scholz already demonstrated in his time as Hamburg’s mayor how to utilise it (remember his utter mishandling of anti-G20 protests in 2017). It is also not surprising that his government lately announced to spend 200 billion Euro to deal with the crises – goodies to curb potential protests. In the end, I think that they will have no problem to deal with infuriated people, even if their number totals Mitt Romney’s famous 47 % or even more. Because they know how to play their cards and have the technics established to deal with us ordinary folks. Therefore, I’m afraid that we will be in your mentioned “very hard time in the years to come”.

Posted by: Seneschal | Oct 9 2022 18:48 utc | 36

The Twitterverse is a scary place sometimes, geez. fwiw, I found that Tweet about flag-poling in the long list of linked ones beneath this Tweet:
https://twitter.com/CanadianArmy/status/1577715239281369093
And spinning off that one I also arrived at this one which I also think is worth posting
https://twitter.com/pptsapper/status/1578817252488450048
Oh those Ukrainians…

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Oct 9 2022 18:53 utc | 37

Posted by: Iranian Man | Oct 9 2022 16:48 utc | 29
Thank you for this wonderful reminder of how ugly US propaganda looks like. Spoken like a true Mojahedin-e-Khalq.

Posted by: Lemming | Oct 9 2022 19:01 utc | 38

Maybe we (Canada) should just buy handguns for our military from Oman…

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Oct 9 2022 19:03 utc | 39

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 14:02 utc | 10
No real comment on your post; just curious whether the restaurant at the AT&T center by UT campus is still called Carillon and whether you ate there or anywhere else worth mentioning in Austin.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 19:03 utc | 40

@too scents #20
Thank you for the explanation. It sounds similar to the Jevons effect: where reduced cost and/or increased efficiency doesn’t reduce consumption – it actually usually leads to more consumption.
But to answer your question: not really. The tension in the ERCOT system now – as I understand it to be clear – is intermittent vs. dispatchable.
In particular:
1) The Vistra CEO noted that the dispatchable generation capability which served the majority of the 7/11/22 and 7/13/22 generation demand was well over 30+ years old. This covers not just “commercial” natural gas, nuclear and coal generation but also the peaker generation. The issue is that this generation capacity will not last forever – ongoing focus via subsidies and policies on intermittent removes any incentive for anyone to build new dispatchable generation much less maintain existing dispatchable generation.
And to be 100% clear: it is IMPOSSIBLE for intermittents to provide a 100% reliable electrical power supply – not until cheap and mass battery storage is installed.
2) On the above note: the Calpine CEO noted that even what little battery storage exists on the ERCOT grid at the moment – 70% is 1 hour duration or less. Or in other words, not even that effective in terms of shifting supply from peak solar production (i.e. 10 am to 2 pm, middle of day, right during the lowest demand portion of the day) to peak afternoon demand starting around 5 pm.
3) The Calpine CEO also showed a projection that the 35GW to 50GW additional solar install due to IRA would turn “spark spreads” negative by 2030. Spark spread is the difference between the cost of natural gas to generate electricity and the price received for said electricity – meaning a natural gas generator would literally lose money with every mcf burned. And this in turn happens because the solar PV, possibly with 4 hour battery storage (for demand shifting as noted above) would monopolize the peak electricity price period in the pm thus depressing a majority of the income available for a natural gas generator.
4) The above is also referenced as “bump out”: making certain forms of generation (i.e. all dispatchable) uneconomic would force those types out of the market, at which point the grid becomes structurally erratic.
So “induced demand” isn’t a thing per se. While cryptominers are individually large, a study by the “Large Flexible Load” task force concluded that cryptominers were unlikely to exceed the 2-3GW load threshold – compared with the 22 to 29 GW that is deferred, in study and planned for Large Load Interconnects for 2023 and 2024.
In other words, the cryptoload is large but a small fraction of the overall large loads that are already in progress in the next 2 years.
Hope that answers your question.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 19:07 utc | 41

Bruised Northerner | Oct 9 2022 18:53 utc | 37
More Twitter discovery. Russians going to the US, land of …….
(enjoy)
https://twitter.com/VeraVanHorne/status/1578955745181446144?cxt=HHwWgMDRuc74yekrAAAA

Posted by: Stonebird | Oct 9 2022 19:09 utc | 42

@c1ue | Oct 9 2022 19:07 utc | 41
What about pricing? Pricing works wonders for smoothing demand.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 19:12 utc | 43

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 14:47 utc | 20
I don’t have the ability to have your post up in front of me so I’m going from memory and hope this helps answer your question.
Storing electrical energy is difficult and expensive. c1ue has made several comments on current battery technology in the past. Hence, most of the electricity that we use is generated ‘on demand’ – in the case of Texas from nat gas generator stations, solar panels, wind and coal. So there would be 1) no real cost-effective or safe way to generate and then store a bunch of electrical energy and 2) therefore really no way to induce demand by generating more electricity than is needed or projected to be needed over a given period of time.
That said, I’m unaware of any studies or analysis that says if they build more LNG plants, burn more coal, install more ‘renewables’ and install the necessary transmission infrastructure, that people will demand more electricity. Really all of that is done in response to projected or anticipated demand.
But again, I may have mis-remembered exactly what you were asking. Difficult to do this from a phone.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 19:20 utc | 44

@Tom Pfotzer #21
You said

I’m confused about what cap factors actually are. Your report stated that:

87% + 23% is 110% of modeled production. I expected those pcts to add up to 100 pct of modeled production. What am I missing?

The cap factors in each line are for that category in question. As such, they would never add up to 100%.
You said

What did the conference have to say about addressing the intermittency of the intermittent energy sources (solar and wind)? If they’re going to blow another $500 mil on renewables, how do they justify that expenditure?

Texas’ grid is market based. They don’t justify or unjustify – the market will determine it. This market isn’t completely unregulated – there is a Market Monitor that presumably looks for anything that is clearly fuckery but I don’t know the details. So the answer for your question is: the market will provide.

And what’s the general conversation re: the economic case for renewables, given that they’re not using the existing cpy to its potential. Or are they? Do the turn off the dispatchable power when the intermittent is waxing?

These are the big questions. Texas has all sorts of programs aimed at ensuring sufficient extra capacity as well as dispatchable capacity. For example, ERCOT has tiered provider types: 5-10 seconds for top tier; 5 minutes for ERS (Emergency Response) with higher prices, but ERS is only supposed to happen 2 or 3 times a year and at 60 hours/year max along with price caps. Etc etc.
But ultimately, the idea is that the market will serve to levelize intermittent and dispatchable capacity with ERCOT tweaks.
If you’re scared, so am I.

What’s the business case for more renewables if (I said “if”) they can’t use the power from existing renewables?

Since ERCOT doesn’t mandate, buildout of solar PV and wind isn’t their problems one way or the other. The incentives lie entirely with the massive federal subsidies flowing towards these.

Did you pitch my idea about converting renewable elec to a fuel and then back to elec on demand?

I’m not pitching other people’s ideas when I have my own to work on.
However, if an economic way of storing energy can be found – there is a market for it. The problem is the economic part. Any conversion of excess power to fuel – say hydrogen – still requires the overall process to be competitive – and it is not. There were green hydrogen companies pitching but at least the ones that presented, were nowhere remotely competitive. In particular, the green hydrogen require 24/7/365 electricity supply in order to be efficient. In other words – if they aren’t operating full time, the capital costs are such that it isn’t worthwhile even with massive subsidies in place – and that ignore the physics issues of storage.
So get cracking on your idea but keep in mind the economics.
Lastly: Arcelor Mittal
Greenwashing, plain and simple. Natural gas prices are under severe supply pressure even before 2/24/2022 – it is only worse now that LNG is a thing.
Green hydrogen – as noted above in the actual companies doing it – is 100% exposed to both rising electricity prices due to rising natural gas prices, and rising prices due to demand/supply imbalances. On top of which they have physics based issues with storage and transport – i.e. hydrogen atoms literally fit between the atoms of any storage container you can think of and thus leak.
Ironically, there was even a Freeport (as in the LNG facility) rep who talked about their need for reliable and affordable electricity because the gasification process is highly electricity intensive…

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 19:22 utc | 45

Stonebird @ 42, Ah thank you for that post, that is too perfect!! Great link.

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Oct 9 2022 19:22 utc | 46

@Tom_Q_Collins #40
There is a restaurant called Carill** – Carillo’s or Carillon, I don’t actually remember. I didn’t stay at the fancy hotel there nor did I eat there outside of the breakfast/lunch that was part of the convention.
I did eat at Stubb’s and Black’s barbecue and visited the Alamo Draught house – the non-movie one – for beer which I found tasty despite my general antipathy for strongly flavored beers. So all good.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 19:25 utc | 47

@Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 19:20 utc | 44
Is the customer billed differently when electricity comes from storage rather than base load?
Does the customer have the ability to flexibly choose his electricity source?
How does the customer participate in the electricity market?
Are there price caps or delivery grantees? Are price controls elective?

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 19:27 utc | 48

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 19:27 utc | 48
The short answers to most of your yes/no questions are “yes.”
However, I am unclear what is meant by “storage” in this context. With electricity, as c1ue noted, there is very little storage which, in part, is a problem inherent to the nature of electrical energy itself. Battery banks are large, expensive, potentially dangerous and as he said, not really very effective at the moment in Texas.
There are more complex answers to the other questions. I’m at a restaurant and will try to answer the ones about customer participation a little later. c1ue may be a better source in this case since he just attended an industry conference where I’m sure all of those things were discussed. My knowledge of electricity generation and transmission comes from an internship I did at El Paso Electric (a non ERCOT grid) in the late 90s and my own personal experience with signing up for electricity services in several Texas cities, then paying the bill, and later installing a few PV arrays on the roof of the garage. Depending on where you are, there are choices in terms of whether you want to pay more for “green” (wind, solar) electricity and what not, as a household or business. More later, I hope…

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 19:35 utc | 49

@Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 19:35 utc | 49
China is doing compress air storage.
https://asiatimes.com/2022/10/china-blowing-hot-on-compressed-air-energy-storage/
I suppose Texas also has big holes they can pressurize.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 19:39 utc | 50

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 19:25 utc | 47
I’ve never eaten there either. When it first opened I knew the executive chef, but that was more than a decade ago. Stubbs was pretty terrible for a while, but when Texas barbeque got popular they hired a new staff and upped their game. Blacks has always been above average, depending on which location (at several of them they have to smoke the meat in a small town about 50 miles away and then drive it to the restaurant – others smoke on-site).
Glad you enjoyed Austin. Any comment on relative numbers of homeless folks compared to the Bay Area?
I’ll be back later on this evening.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 19:41 utc | 51

[Dear B. Please forgive use of new handles. Given that you post on a 5-Eyes platform, I feel the need to flush my cookies after every post. I am sure you understand.]
Now.
Many thanks to Sepah Cyber army members contributing in “thoughtful” discussion of matters on MoA.
Your participation is welcomed and expected. (Do you have any idea what awaits you? … )

And not a single one of those things can’t be said about any other country and not a single one of those things is reason enough to invade another nation.
Posted by: Greg | Oct 9 2022 17:34 utc | 30
According to “Greg”, there isn’t “any other country” on this planet of ours that doesn’t act like the ignorant, superstitious, beguiled, and violent regime of the Pharisees of Islam, the Mullahs of Iran.
@Norwegian: is this actually true about Norway? Is it true that people are snatched in the street by plainclothes security services in Norway? Norway can’t be that awful, is it? (Or is it possibly that this is “the best that a brown people can hope for?”) Do speak up!
@B: is this true about occupied Germany? How come the US Army has spared you? No secret renditions for you? “Any other country”.
Dear MoA friends: what I know (and do feel free to educate me here) but this sort of behavior (only in parts) has been seen in:
– Occupied Northern Ireland by the colonial military of British government.
– Occupied Palestine by the Zionist colonial regime of Israel
– (historic) Pinochet’s regime and the like.
– (not so historic) “Mother Russia” and USSR.
?
Any other country? Any other _civilized_ country?
Any country that claims their “leader” is God’s very own deputy?
Give it a break.

Thank you for this wonderful reminder of how ugly US propaganda looks like. Spoken like a true Mojahedin-e-Khalq.
Posted by: Lemming | Oct 9 2022 19:01 utc | 38
I personally find the Mojahedin-e-Khalq, which we Iranians know as Mozahemin-e-Khalq (means bothersome busybodies of “the People”) a very distasteful outfit. That Maryam Rajavi, like her “husband” Masoud Rajavi, is a professional political whore and traitor to Iranian nation.
Now “Lemming” may remember the “good old days” when Mojahedin-e-Khalq were singing about “Khomeini the Rahbar”! What fun, right Lemming?
(Leguerre or whatever f is your handle: you are late with “pro-shah diaspora” sound bite. Earn your pay!)
As to Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, the previous Shah of Iran, well, the man is dead. He’s been dead for more than 4 decades. The old regime is history. That line about “pro-shah diaspora” worked in the first 10 years, at best. Now? Who cares about the Shah?
What we are discussing is the evil, sordid, bloody, irresponsible, and tyrannical reign of Mullahs and fellow travelers for the past 43 years. That’s almost half a century, longer than the reign of the previous king, and almost as long as the entire history of the previous dynasty.
You have a record. It is a shameful, evil, record. Let’s discuss that.
#مهسا_امینی
#داریوش_علیزاده
https://nitter.net/babakazar/status/1578843726968868864#m

Posted by: Same Iranian Man | Oct 9 2022 19:41 utc | 52

@too scents #50
Compressed air sounds nice, but the issue is scale.
Texas would need in the order of tens to hundreds, even thousands of gigawatt-hours of storage if it were to go fully intermittent.
The article you reference notes

During peak hours of energy consumption, the plant burns natural gas to heat up the compressed air, which then expands and pushes the turbines of power generators. The plant has an annual capacity of 290 MW with around 29% efficiency.

29% efficiency? Ugh.
290 MW – that’s an instantaneous unit. What actually matters in storage is MWh – how many MWh does this plant actually store?
Texas consumes 35.6 MILLION MWh a year.
China consumes 7.6 BILLION MWh a year.
290 MW – even if it is MWh, even if it stored 2900 MWh – is literally a BB in a boxcar: Irrelevant.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 19:48 utc | 53

29% efficiency? Ugh.
@c1ue | Oct 9 2022 19:48 utc | 52
Compressed air is one of the biggest energy sinks in industry. The most expensive power source.
Yet Texas sits on top of so many huge salt domes.
An maybe intermittent energy isn’t priced correctly?

Posted by: too scents | Oct 9 2022 19:57 utc | 54

@too scents #43
Pricing and demand are related, but pricing response is neither instantaneous, nor is the pricing consistent, nor is the ability to respond to pricing, 100%.
At the consumer level: can a consumer really go with zero electricity based upon 5 to 10 second pricing data? The answer is clearly no. Nor are consumers typically interested in having their air conditioners and refrigerators, much less lights, go on or off depending on price.
Similarly, is pricing going to fix large scale imbalances of demand vs. supply? The answer is: eventually. But in the meantime, utility customers will react when their utility bills double or triple as they are in Texas now. Companies in Europe are responding now to 5x to 10x or more increases in their utility bills.
Is this response acceptable to society?
That’s a very different question…

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 19:58 utc | 55

@Tom_Q_Collins #51
Re: homeless
I was downtown – I stayed in a hotel about 6 blocks from the convention center (and 4 blocks from Stubb’s). I walked it a couple of times – the 6 blocks between the 2 venues is literally nothing but 4-6 story parking lots. No homeless there.
On the way in, my Uber driver did tell me that a fenced in lot near the southern edge of downtown, on the other side of 35 and in “East Austin”, used to be an enormous homeless encampment but that it was shut down.
I did see a few homeless tents in between the airport and where I was going, but I can absolutely say that I did not see enough of Austin to know how significant the homeless issue is.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 20:21 utc | 56

What about pumped hydro? Here in the beadiest of the Five Eyes we get most of our power from conventional hydro and are looking into using excess energy from wind/solar/(hopefully)tidal to pump water into a reservoir for later hydro generation. Sounds like there would be plenty of losses in the system, how does it stack up against using salt/compressed air/hydrogen etc to even out the intermittent nature of most renewables?

Posted by: S.P. Korolev | Oct 9 2022 20:23 utc | 57

@too scents #53
I think the problem is that pricing is highly time and season dependent.
Peak demand for electricity is summer in Texas due to air conditioning; peak demand for heat is in winter (i.e. natural gas).
But even demand during the day is highly dynamic. Peaks of the daily duck curve are 50% delta vs. the low points – and the absolute levels on the duck curve vary from summer to winter as well as day to day.
I don’t know what the right answer is – all I can see is an enormous disconnect between intermittent electricity generation that is “clean” vs. dispatchable fossil fuel or nuclear generation which is “not clean” but is still absolutely necessary for a 1st world electrical grid.
Texas has basically gone full “market” in contrast with California’s basically fully controlled electrical grid; both have had enormous failures: Texas with the Yuri winter freeze, but California both with wildfires and with soaring electricity prices.
What I can say, is that Texas is incredibly responsive. Texas has installed more solar PV+wind than any other state in the US in any period you care to name – and this is going to include the near future due to the IRA.
Texas completely revamped their weatherization requirements, created and passed laws to make this into reality and is executing this as we speak – all in roughly a year and a bit.
I’m also working with an ex-ERCOT guy to see if his understanding of the Texas electricity data and its enormous futures system is tradeable.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 20:33 utc | 58

While the US is spreading poison and destruction everywhere they can…
The other day in Russia there was an event that no one noticed in the fog of propaganda.
The BN-800 reactor was brought to the nominal power level with a full load of innovative MOX fuel. Thus, it was almost possible to close the nuclear cycle.
This means that perpetual nuclear reactors have actually appeared. The fuel is recycled and reused. An example of the atom for the benefit of mankind, which today is in particular contrast with calls for preventive nuclear strikes in the middle of Europe and the joy of blown up bridges with civilians.
In short, as people in the know said, the successful testing of such a reactor means almost waste-free nuclear power with access to uranium 238 (as opposed to classical uranium 235), which will last for millions of years.
If everything is really so, then humanity has solved the energy issues of foreseeable future. And it happened here in the Urals.
Without exaggeration, this is a breakthrough, which, oddly enough, for some reason was not noticed.
FB Philip Nikolsky

https://t.me/russianhead/7391

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 9 2022 21:21 utc | 59

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 19:41 utc | 51 in response to c1ue
Now that I think about it you probably ate at Terry Black’s BBQ on Barton Springs, in which case that’s one of the best in town and my favorite back in 2017 when we still lived there. It’s kind of up against a rocky hill with no access from the back. There’s a different ‘chain’ of Black’s with a home base in Lockhart, which is where I mentioned they drive in the smoked meats from to some of the smaller locations in Austin.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 21:31 utc | 60

Posted by: bevin | Oct 8 2022 20:07 utc | 279
I wrote:
“…Did you know the British government signed away the birthright of the Palestinians, in the notorious Balfour Declaration, BEFORE they occupied all of Palestine?…” Paul GV@268
Bevin wrote:
“This is not actually true. The Balfour Declaration contains a guarantee that the Palestinians will not be badly treated. This was the minimal necessity for gaining public support.
It is true, however, that it is very likely that those in power in the UK, including Lloyd George, Churchill and Balfour, regarded the Zionist project with great favour. It is dubious however whether anyone at the time-even among the deepest dyed imperialists- understood how ruthless, amoral and utterly evil were the Zionists”.
Bevin, I misjudged you. I thought you were against imperialism and colonialism. Your assertions about the British are utterly wrong. The British Public were totally unaware of the Balfour Declaration until years after WW one. It took acclaimed British journalist, JMN Jeffries to go to Damascus to interview Emir Faisal to discover and publish the scandal. As for your PREPOSTEROUS claim about “a guarantee” for the Palestinians. This is bull shit. The Palestinians were not even mentioned. The declaration refers to the overwhelming majority of Palestinians as “the existing non Jewish communities” or some such rubbish.
It is a simple matter of fact that the declaration came BEFORE the British takeover of Palestine. You are wrong. I suggest two books;
https://www.palestinebookawards.com/reviews/item/balfour-in-the-dock-2
https://balfourproject.org/j-m-n-jeffries-palestine-deception-modern-resonances/
I am away from my library and living on my boat now or I could inform the bar in chapter and verse from those two scholarly books on the very subject.
You seem to have a problem with the nexus between the Declaration and US entry into WW One.
Could our old mate Nemesis be right after all about you? Are you Jewish?
Ps why don’t you refer to the poster by name and number before you do drive by’s, rather than tuck the posters name in the text of your reply.

Posted by: Paul GV | Oct 9 2022 22:01 utc | 61

Serbia reveals US, UK intentions to push for invasion by Hungary (Al Mayadeen English, October 9, 2022)

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic disclosed on Saturday that American and British leaders, including but not limited to Bill Clinton, had pushed Hungary to invade Serbia territories in 1999. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who had repeatedly declined, has informed Vucic of the request.
Vucic stated in a televised address that the US and UK requested to advance on Serbian territory and sought to divide the Yugoslav army on two fronts, Kosovo and Hungary.
“Clinton and the British asked [Orban] to attack Serbia from the north so that they could extend our forces from Kosovo and Metohija to Vojvodina,” he explained.
Orban, who was one year into his first term at the time, rejected and, with the aid of then-German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, resisted “pressure from the White House.”
During a recent meeting, Orban informed Vucic about the Western request and the former gave the latter permission to make this information public, said the Serbian leader.
In 1999, NATO undertook a military operation against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, which at the time consisted of just Serbia and Montenegro. NATO allied with ethnic Albanian separatists fighting with Serbs for the control of Kosovo, a Serbian territory.
Hungary had joined NATO that year, but not for the purpose of joining this campaign.
After revealing the US’ approach, Orban then proceeded to talk about the UK, according to Vucic. He counts that back in the days when Orban arrived in the UK for discussions with Prime Minister Tony Blair and former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, the latter saw him in Downing Street and told him, “It bothers me a lot that you refused to attack Serbia, that’s why more British soldiers will die,” Vucic recounted.
In the end, no British troops were killed throughout the war. With the signing of the Kumanovo Agreement in June 1999, hostilities ceased, and NATO troops proceeded into Kosovo, where they remain to this day. The bombing campaign was the first time the US-led alliance employed military action without the consent of the UN Security Council, and it is still widely viewed as illegal by much of the world.

Posted by: S | Oct 9 2022 22:02 utc | 62

@too cents (9) No, the business model is growth for the sake of profit. The great imperative of capitalism is to always be maximizing profit.

Posted by: Rob | Oct 9 2022 22:08 utc | 63

@too cents (9) No, the business model is growth for the sake of profit. The great imperative of capitalism is to always be maximizing profit.

Posted by: Rob | Oct 9 2022 22:08 utc | 64

I am with those who think going to Odessa and linking up with Transniestra should be the primary objective of the Russian winter offensive, but I also think it’s time to cut Ukraine off from NATO by sending down a further force from Belorussia to join up with the Odessa/Transniestria force. It’s task would be to fortify the north-south axis sufficiently to cut Ukraine in two somewhere between Lvov and Kiev, thereby ending once and for all the inflow of weapons, fuel, and all the other Western resources that are required to sustain Ukrainian military efforts along and behind the contact line. After that, the Russian army could focus on defeating the Ukrainians with minimal interference from the West. It would set the stage for taking all of the Donbass and Zaparozhye, cutting off Kharkov from Kiev, and eventually encircling Kiev, pressuring the regime either to flee westward, surrender, or fall to a coup.

Posted by: Wayne | Oct 9 2022 22:23 utc | 65

i love moa… thanks b and thanks to all the thoughtful and insightful posters who frequent this place….
i have been busy today, so reading it bits and pieces…i dug the michael hudson article and the indian punchline one too.. thank you…
@ c1ue – thanks for your posts..
@ Seneschal | Oct 9 2022 16:19 utc | 27 – thanks! very informative and your other post too @ 36… i appreciate your saying all that..
@ Lemming | Oct 9 2022 19:01 utc | 38… thanks… that was my take too..
how about some first class canuck bullshit from cbc? about sending raw logs turned into pellets to the uk – all under the environmentally friendly biomass category.. what a load of steaming bullshit…
Wood from B.C. forests is being burned for electricity billed as green — but critics say that’s deceptive
subtitle to that article is this : Pellets from virgin forests fuel the U.K.’s Drax Power Station, backed by politicians and subsidies………………….

Posted by: james | Oct 9 2022 22:40 utc | 66

here’s the missing link to go with it..

Posted by: james | Oct 9 2022 22:41 utc | 67

Posted by: Paul GV | Oct 9 2022 22:01 utc | 60
I had to Google it b/c it’s been a while since I’ve tangled with any Hasbara(ts) online and don’t really interact with open Zionists in my personal life.
You are correct, the Palestinians were not mentioned directly.
“The declaration specifically stipulated that “nothing shall be done which may prejudice the civil and religious rights of existing non-Jewish communities in Palestine.” The document, however, said nothing of the political or national rights of these communities and did not refer to them by name.”
Needless to say, regardless that they weren’t actually named, it’s accurate to point out that the Israelis aren’t abiding by even that loose “promise.”
p.s. I don’t follow this ongoing thing with whether bevin is Jewish. Could you please explain to me why that would matter given the context of his usual commentary? I don’t see anything other than a basic misunderstanding or mis-remembrance of the actual text in the comment you cited.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 23:14 utc | 68

Musk Proposes Taiwan Become Chinese “Special Administrative Zone”
I wonder if Elon is the guy who asks about the cult of global private finance in public enough to cause a “scene”…..lots of hopium contained therein….
Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 9 2022 14:02 utc | 11
Taiwan is already an Autonomous Prtovince, but I guess Musk knows that dumb Amerikans aren’t aware. They will think he gave the idea to China when they find out.

Posted by: K | Oct 9 2022 23:18 utc | 69

@S.P. Korolev #67
Pumped hydro works very well, but the problem is still of scale.
Most 1st world countries simply don’t have the hydro potential anymore – if anything, they are going backwards.
China has said they will build 150 MW pumped hydro with each nuclear plant, but it is far from clear that they have the water volume to do so.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 23:19 utc | 70

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 9 2022 23:19 utc | 69
I actually didn’t mention it earlier because Texas definitely doesn’t have much geography or water volume to favor easily implemented pumped hydro. I do think there’s a ~600MW pumped hydro facility in Llano county in some stage of development, though.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 23:24 utc | 71

@45 c1ue:
Context:
The cap factors you cited were “instantaneous”. For one day, not the year. So, it’s tough to draw too many inferences about the viability of wind/solar from one day’s performance (cloudy? Windless?) other than to show clearly that sometimes renewables can’t deliver as currently configured.
So-called “dispatchables” can. Big difference at the moment.
The advantage of wind and solar is that the fuel is free, and the capital costs per KWH of electricity tend to be significantly lower than that provided by fossil fuels, and even nukes.
Now to the discussion:
In ERCOT’s market-driven energy procurement scheme, I’m assuming that:
a. They use the cheapest source, until it can’t deliver, then they run up the cost-reliability curve to select the cheapest power source that’s actually available
b. That means they use renewables first, then opt for the “dispatchables”. There are undoubted some modifiers to this strategy because the dispatchables aren’t going to be available (invest what’s necessary to operate) only to be used on an intermittent basis which may not provide the revenue to offset the costs plus some decent profit. So ERCOT has to guarantee them enough revenue to induce them to be available when needed.
c. As more renewables come on-stream, those new facilities will exacerbate the tension between the cheaper-to-operate renewables and the more-expensive-to-be-available dispatchables
d. As a consequence of ERCOT’s need to keep the dispatchables in the game, some – maybe a lot – of the renewables’ contribution to electricity supply has to be junked – disposed-of somehow. Not used.
Therefore, it’s possible, maybe likely, that an electricity-to-fuel facility would, at times – be able to use a resource that’s currently being thrown away: the “extra” electricity that the renewables are creating, but ERCOT isn’t buying.
If indeed that’s the case, then the questions turn to:
a. Can the elec-2-fuel system operate with intermittent inputs of electricity. You said “no”, and I’m not yet on-board with that assertion. I believe they can operate on a batch / intermittent basis. That’s research topic 1.
b. Can the elec-2-fuel system provide on-demand electricity? If the e-2-f facility is storing the fuel, and the fuel can be routed through fuel cells (almost instant turn-on), then the answer to this question is “yes”.
c. Then comes the question of “economics”. This requires more research, but here are the outlines of my current conception of the situation:
1. The capital costs of elec-fuel-elec (e-f-e) seem pretty manageable. The components aren’t that complex, they may have been in use for years. Synthesis of H2, methane and ammonia – using electricity and or heat to provide the energy to build the chem bonds (endothermic reactions, all) seems pretty mature, but I am hand-waving here. This needs to be explored (research topic 2). The fuel cells for H2, methane and ammonia are all in-service now, seem simple, use commonly-avail and cheap inputs.
2. The efficiency losses of fuel synthesis and fuel-cell ops take the form of heat. If – this is a significant if, but a manageable if – if the e-f-e plant is co-located with an industrial process that needs a lot of heat, then the heat can be used to displace energy from other sources, like natGas.
3. If the e-f-e plant produces methane, then that provides immediate-displacement for heat-input natGas purchases. If the industrial process can use H2, then the methane can be reformed down to H2. Arcelor-Mittal comes to mind. Note that H2 use in steel is for removing the oxygen from the ore (carbon is used generally now, produces CO2). Arcelor’s strategy isn’t greenwash; they’re investing too much too many places for that to be just window-dressing.
4. If the e-f-e plant produces ammonia, there’s your fertilizer feedstock
Another question is “can the e-f-e plant offer an industrial concern another revenue source”. If the e-f-e plant is stock-piling fuel, then the answer is “yes” if the e-f-e plant has a battery of fuel cells. This provides some revenue-stream flexibility, and possibly another revenue source to offset cap costs of system setup.
So those are the rough outlines of the scheme, c1ue. It is a hand-waver, as I don’t yet know the answers to these questions:
a. Can the e-f-e plant operate intermittently
b. Can the waste heat be used
c. Can methane and/or ammonia be economically synthesized using electricity / heat as main energy feedstock
d. What can the e-f-e plant charge for dispatchable electricity and finally
e. Can the adjacent/integrated industrial process be jiggered / managed to synchronize with the heat and fuel generated/available from the e-f- e plant
Also, let’s agree that H2 has storage and transmission issues because of the small-molecule problem. However, based on what I’m seeing the form of developed, paid-for facilities (like the one Arcelor bought in TX) that problem is at least sufficiently solved, or the hundreds of $mil being invested in plants in U.S., India and EU wouldn’t have gotten spent.
Lastly, I was pulling your leg when I asked if you’d pitched this idea. At the moment, you’re not convinced of its utility, and you’ve got your own ideas to prosecute, both of which I was aware of when I asked.
🙂

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Oct 10 2022 0:05 utc | 72

whut, no breathless link to a naked capitalism article?
you’re slipping!
try harder

Posted by: sumbody | Oct 10 2022 1:18 utc | 73

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 9 2022 23:14 utc | 67
Who commented:
” I don’t follow this ongoing thing with whether bevin is Jewish. Could you please explain to me why that would matter given the context of his usual commentary? I don’t see anything other than a basic misunderstanding or mis-remembrance of the actual text in the comment you cited.”
bevin was replying to my earlier comment:
“You seem to have a problem with the nexus between the Declaration and US entry into WW One.
Could our old mate Nemesis be right after all about you? Are you Jewish?”
Tom,
bevin has a blind spot identifying the World Zionist Movement’s role in the origins of both WW1 & WW2 AND its role in INVEIGLING US involvement, despite the historical evidence.
I often find myself in agreement with bevin. Could he be a PEP [progressive except for Palestine] ?
Nemesis Calling has made the same valid observation, which leads one to wonder…
Thanks for the reply and feedback Tom.

Posted by: Paul GV | Oct 10 2022 1:21 utc | 74

I am definitely moving my money into a bank with little to no derivatives exposure. I had a tough time finding one. I have to settle for a little less in service and availability but will have no derivatives exposure.
Banks Ranked by Derivatives
Same for investment accounts.
Posted by: circumspect | Oct 9 2022 14:19 utc | 14

Credit Unions are a great alternative in Canada, not sure about elsewhere.
There are lots of options for self-administered brokerage accounts where you can opt out of short selling. Most credit unions will have a brokerage affiliate if the do not do it themselves.

Posted by: Opport Knocks | Oct 10 2022 2:06 utc | 75

We had a recent megapack battery fire in our area. Hydrofluoric acid is some really nasty stuff. It attacks the calcium in your bones and can do some sever damage.
Tesla Megapack battery caught fire at PG&E substation in California
lithium ion battery fires can emit toxic constituents, including hydrochloric and hydrofluoric acid
There have been a number of EV fires in Florida post Hurricane. They expect more. All energy use comes with a cost to the environment.

Posted by: circumspect | Oct 10 2022 2:39 utc | 76

Unimperator: I saw Sputniknews (or maybe RT) reporting it and they have also done so for previous developments (if I remember correctly it’s part of a big multi-year or decadal program and/or series of programs).
Good news! 🙂

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Oct 10 2022 2:42 utc | 77

Thaisleeze @1
Thank you for the link. God, I love Alastair Crooke, but normally read him on Tuesdays.
That was an exciting, clarifying article, and it put all the ducks in a row. I’ve been waiting for this elegant explanation and Crooke, bless him, delivers.
Highly recommended.

Posted by: Australian lady | Oct 10 2022 2:52 utc | 78

Posted by: Paul GV | Oct 10 2022 1:21 utc | 73
PEP is something I hadn’t thought of. Generally I avoid litmus tests like that, but it would be nice for bevin – someone whose comments I also enjoy – to clarify whether he stands with Palestine and to what degree against the Zionist occupiers/colonists/settlers.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 10 2022 4:26 utc | 79

Posted by: circumspect | Oct 10 2022 2:39 utc | 75
HF was the one thing we were constantly warned about in my semiconductor device physics track in university EE. It LEECHES THE CALCIUM RIGHT FROM YOUR BONES WHICH THEN TURN TO MUSH! Can’t say I ever encountered any in person, though because I never got involved in any fabs other than occasional visits to clean rooms. A good friend’s wife is the plant/fab directing nurse at AMD in Austin and I might ask her if there have been any horror stories with people turning into Stretch Armstrong.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Oct 10 2022 4:31 utc | 80

Over 1800 fuel stations in France suffered from the lack of fuel due to oil shortages in French refineries. Three of six refineries are halted, equivalent to 740k bpd of gasoline. EU-ropean economies will be seriously grinding to a halt as it becomes a new norm, status quo or gets even worse.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 10 2022 4:44 utc | 81

in for a penny in for a pound(ing)
The Bank of England has doubled down on intervention.

In a statement this morning, Threadneedle Street said the rate at which it is buying long-term government bonds will be ramped up from £5bn per day to £10bn per day.
Its decision comes after eight auctions so far in which the Bank offered to buy £40bn worth of bonds but only succeeded in buying £5bn worth.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/10/10/ftse-100-markets-live-newsoil-house-prices-bonds/

Posted by: too scents | Oct 10 2022 8:19 utc | 82

Smuggling weapons is wrong – when Oman does it. And it may leave borders open to assaults by madmen, so opines Catherine Perez-Shakdam on Oct. 8th:
“A key ally of the Islamic Republic, Oman has long opened its territories to Tehran’s agents, facilitating their smuggling of weapons and men to the Houthis in Yemen, but playing middleman to Tehran’s sanction circumvention exercise by selling its crude oil to Asia.”

“A cancer which has spread beyond any hope of containment, our strategy of appeasement has done nothing but weakened our standing, leaving our borders and our future open to the assaults of madmen – much like our exposure to Russia’s energy markets, and thus control.”
(She’s French, so I guess she means France’s borders there. Or the EU’s? Lots of interesting news out of Oman for those who are interested.)
Back to Montréal (and a very hearty good morning from this time zone to the bar).
Troubles at a synagogue
https://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/justice-et-faits-divers/2022-10-10/synagogue-interdite-a-mont-tremblant/la-liberte-de-religion-ne-cree-pas-un-droit-d-acces-a-la-villegiature.php
La Presse is also in Chile documenting the troubles with farmed salmon (an issue of concern to both locales)
https://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/enquetes/2022-10-10/la-presse-au-chili-saumon-d-elevage/les-derives-d-une-industrie-milliardaire.php

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Oct 10 2022 9:12 utc | 83

Forgot a link, sorry —
https://intpolicydigest.org/oman-and-iran-are-facing-internal-headaches/

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Oct 10 2022 9:16 utc | 84

Our host b not only suggests but recommends reading Michael Tracey’s essays:
“A fairytale version of WW 11 is being used to sell the next world war” and
“The U.S. And The Holocaust documentary by Ken Burns is “revisionist history” designed to forment support for nuclear war”.
I agree.
Both essays by M. Tracey address the accepted history of the holocaust, and are crucial to understanding the cunning practices that promote a partisan war agenda masquerading as sacred and self-evident truth.
I have never liked Ken Burns or his documentaries, and don’t mind confessing that I’ve never viewed any of them. His “rostrum camera” photograph panning technique, accompanied by a “haunting” instrumental soundtrack simply reeks “cliche!”. Like listening to NPR with photographic images that are designed to “steep you in history and the American tradition”. Spare me, please.
Ken Burns is a Democratic Party elite, nurtured during the Obama reign when Jewish power established permanency and soft power propaganda took control of U.S. foreign policy. It wouldn’t surprise me if Burns’ films were commissioned, but does it matter? He’s been groomed and rewarded with many honorary degrees and doctorates.
The holocaust (and the prosecution of any form of denial) has become the all consuming fire. Deborah Lipstadt, whose whole career is predicated on what can cynically be called “the holocaust industry”, narrates Burns documentary. The release is timed for the midterm elections. So creative! And so…..sinister.

Posted by: Australian lady | Oct 10 2022 12:09 utc | 85

@Tom Pfotzer #72
I strongly recommend looking at the economics first.
For example: let’s say there are 5% losses in some magical fuel creation process, along with 5% losses going backwards. Then let’s say that intermittency periods are 10% of the year = 900 hours.
So we have 9.75% round trip energy losses with a ROIC “cap factor” of 10%.
Now it is very simple to estimate the economic viability of your system given “price” and “capital cost”.
Of course, in reality the losses are going to be far greater. Any electrical system is going to lose 10% or more just from the transmission bits – power into your machine that converts to heat or work or whatever instead of output fuel.
Going back – any thermal system is going to lose a minimum of 30%. Batteries are going to lose a minimum of 12%.
So we’re now looking at 20.8% to 37% losses, minimum.
The intermittency period noted above is also highly optimistic. In reality, my estimates from ERCOT system data for the annual duration of curtailment is more like 100 hours = 1.1% “cap factor” for the electricity curtailment.
Now let’s look at capital cost. A 1 MW electrical transformer costs ~$12K on Alibaba for a unit of one. A minimum assumption is at least double that to have an absolute minimum capital cost – let’s say $25K. But that’s only on the conversion to fuel side – you also have the conversion from fuel back to electricity side. A 1 MW diesel generator is going to cost you at least $50K – that’s a very reasonable proxy for the return path.
So 100 hours @ 1 MW which costs $75K capital and has a minimum of 20.8% losses = 79.2 MWh per year in electricity stored then returned.
The $75K capital cost – what’s the cost of capital you want to use? 5% means $3750. Divided into the output = $47/MWh
Texas average wholesale electricity price was $38/MWh in 2019. I chose 2019 because 2020 was distorted by COVID and 2021 was distorted by Winter Storm Yuri.
Does this look like a good business? Not to me because it barely repays ROIC.
In reality, the cost of say, a green hydrolysis plant is $1000 to $2000 per KW = $1M to $2M for MW. Plug these new numbers into the above – and it is abundantly clear that this scheme will never work in a million years without massive subsidies, 24/7/365 operation and some physics bending technology for storage.
Plug in battery costs – the numbers look better than green hydrogen, but don’t look great either.
Let’s use Tesla’s $132/KWh number – it means the equivalent capital cost for the above 1 MW plant @ 100 hours is at ~$105K (132*1000*.792) for 1 hour of storage. Calpine noted that they think at least 4 hours of storage is needed to provide value – so $420K but this also means the system replacement capacity is only 250KW (1 MWh/4 hours), so really a 1MW equivalent would be more like $1.6M.
Or put another way: for truly “intermittent” operations, costs for green hydrogen and/or battery would have to fall at least 95% in order to approach being able to repay the cost of capital.
Ugly.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 10 2022 15:32 utc | 86

A very definite rant, but a very nice summary of the massive printing/helicoptering that was done just for COVID:
You Weren’t Supposed To See That

We carried out stimulus in several ways but the most notable thing we’d done was brand new: Direct payments to regular people whose employers had permanently or temporarily asked them not to show up for work. This happened in three rounds of payments. These numbers are taken directly from the government’s pandemic oversight agency:
Round 1, March 2020: $1,200 per income tax filer, $500 per child (CARES Act)
Round 2, December 2020: $600 per income tax filer, $600 per child (Consolidated Appropriations Act)
Round 3, March 2021: $1,400 per income tax filer, $1,400 per child (American Rescue Plan Act)
To prevent companies from conducting mass layoffs of their employees, the Paycheck Protection Program or PPP was created. Beginning in late March of 2020, and continuing over the course of two rounds, a total of $792.6 billion went out to 11.5 million small and midsized businesses. Over 10 million of those loans ended up being forgiven (not repaid) or $742 billion worth. My firm borrowed money under the Paycheck Protection Program during the unprecedented uncertainty of early April 2020 and then repaid the loan in its entirety two months later in June. Almost none of the program’s borrowers saw fit to do the same. It’s possible that the 90% or so of firms who kept the money genuinely needed to. I don’t sit in judgment of people and situations I have no knowledge of so I will leave that debate for others. But the money was almost entirely kept, so we’re talking about another three quarters of a trillion dollars of stimulus remaining in the economy and never coming out.
The Coronavirus Relief Fund was created to get money to states and cities. A total of $150 billion was sent to almost 1,000 entities, from the Governor of Texas to the Treasurer of California, the Commonwealth of Kentucky to the Executive Office of the State of Wyoming.
Then there was the State and Local Fiscal Recovery Fund (or SLFRF if that’s easier to pronounce, and it isn’t). $350 billion distributed to 1,756 states, territories, cities, and counties with populations over 250,000. Bergen, New Jersey. Albuquerque, New Mexico. Tampa, Florida. Green Bay, Wisconsin. The money went everywhere and to everyone for everything.
Throw in another $186 billion through the Provider Relief Fund to support hospitals and healthcare organizations of which $134 billion was actually sent out. Then there was another $16 billion in the form of the Shuttered Venue Operators Grants – cash handouts for movie theaters, Broadway, museums, etc. The Restaurant Revitalization Fund (or RRF) was another $28.5 billion with an average grant amount of $283,000 to over 100,000 recipient restaurants. This is above and beyond whatever they got in paycheck protection, tax and rent relief, etc. They needed money to convert their dining rooms for additional spacing and plexiglass enclosures for ordering counters and hand sanitizer and masks and all sorts of other stuff that didn’t end up working at all.
In total, the Federal government created $4.3 trillion in direct economic stimulus of which $3.95 trillion was dropped onto the economy, as if by helicopter, in a period of under 18 months.

Now that it seems most people are agreeing with what Zoltan Pozsar stated 3 months ago (Fed will fix supply/demand imbalance by destroying demand), the only question remains is how bad will it get?
The Fed is saying 4.5%-ish max rates, but nobody credible believes that will be enough even if a recession is extremely likely to result.
Historical EFF rates minus inflation are plus minus 2%; August CPI year on year was 8.3%. 8.3 minus 4.5 equals 3.8 – or basically double what the maximum positive side delta vs. historical EFF-inflation numbers.
Clearly the Fed is hoping/believing that inflation falls to 5% or 6% or else is flat out lying about 4.5% being the max.
I don’t believe this is going to happen in the face of massive food, utility bill price increases and furthermore I firmly believe we’re are at the end of this SPR induced gas price decline, but YMMV.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 10 2022 15:43 utc | 87

Paypal, friend of the US government, made a spirited but unsuccessful attempt to mulct its victims/customers of $2500 for every time it detects them in “misinformation”. The pretty instant response sent them backtracking, but there it is – a private company is on track to punish thought crime/political challenge.
“A new policy in PayPal’s fine print triggered a storm of outrage over apparent plans to impose, starting on Nov. 3, a hefty fine of $2,500 any time one of its 429 million consumers and merchants expressed what the corporate brass deems to be misinformation.”
https://fortune.com/2022/10/10/paypal-users-fine-misinformation-aup-error-confusion/
I hope they crash.

Posted by: Hope | Oct 10 2022 16:10 utc | 88

Gazprom recalls how it discovered a NATO mine disposal system at the Nord Stream (EurAsia Daily, October 10, 2022 — in Russian)

In 2015, Gazprom discovered NATO’s underwater mine disposal system near one of the Nord Stream pipelines. It was destroyed then by the Swedish Navy. This has been explained to Rossiya 24 TV channel by Gazprom’s official representative Sergey Kupriyanov.
“Today it is necessary to recall the events on the Nord Stream gas pipeline that have already been recorded earlier. This case is well known. On November 6, 2015, during a scheduled visual inspection of the Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline, NATO’s SeaFox underwater mine disposal system was discovered. It lay exactly in the space between the gas pipelines near one of them,” Sergey Kupriyanov said.
It was the 651st kilometer of the gas pipeline, the depth in that place is 40 meters, he explained.
“Then the explosive device was removed and neutralized by the Swedish Armed Forces. NATO said the underwater mine disposal system was lost during an exercise. The kind of exercise when a combat explosive device ends up right under our gas pipeline,” the representative of Gazprom concluded.

Russian Telegram channel Zvezdanews has published two close-up photos of the SeaFox mine disposal system that has been found in 2015 near the Nord Stream pipeline: photos.

Posted by: S | Oct 10 2022 22:47 utc | 89

@ S | Oct 10 2022 22:47 utc | 89
what a friggin’ coincidence…. thanks for your posts s…

Posted by: james | Oct 11 2022 0:39 utc | 90

Interesting.
I just watched a clearly disrespectful very fake apology from two reporters for the well-known Yankee fake news/propaganda machine CNN.
Anna Coren(Oz wanker) and Daniel Hodge(Pommy retard) illegally entered a Thai childcare center where 24 kids were killed!
Clearly, these two clueless inept/incompetent employees of CNN have no shame in regard to the correct way to apologize. In accordance with the correct way to apologize in accordance to local customs period. Such crass ignorance and stupidity. Merely adds fire to the fake apology.
The only way for CNN to partially regain face in the East is to terminate these two idiot retards. Nothing else will work. lol

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Oct 11 2022 3:29 utc | 91

Today I read about American diplomatic efforts to stop OPEC+ production cut from being enacted.
Carefully selected people conveyed important messages to the governments of KSA and UAE. Namely, Amos Hochstein and Janet Yellen. With Blinken at the help of State, is there not a single non-Jew to talk with Arabs? Nay, this would be compromising with anti-Semitism. Now, the message: “There is great political risk to your reputation and relations with the United States and the west if you move forward.”
Today I discovered that several staples increased in price in my supermarket. Should I pretend to be a Jew (in actuality, a “wrong type” of mixed origin) and contact the managers that they created a great risk to their reputation and to relations with me? As much as I would wish that Goya sardines did not go from 0.79 to 0.99 etc., somehow I lack hubris (plus time and energy) to try.
Legislative branch has more ideas. “some congressional Democrats have already called for a sharp reduction of arms deliveries to the Kingdom in response to the OPEC+ output reduction decision. Yet such a move would make the military-industrial complex quite unhappy with the White House”. OMG! Are purchases of overpriced weapons a bribe from Gulfies, or a favor from Americans? In any case, military-industrial complex has better guns than the customers at gas stations (not weaponless, mind you).
A little quiz: is using an insult “a mere gas station” just because oil is the largest position in you export conducive to friendly and altruistic attitudes? Answer: ask your local supermarket to be more altruistic. Or ask Dollar Tree store than one gloomy morning marked up all goods from 1 dollar to 1.25. The very brand is built on procuring packages or items that are sold for a flat dollar. That there is a puzzle that is flabbergasting Democrats: why KSA and UAE do not care about the outcome of midterm elections in USA? Naturally, some Democrats are loosing temper: Sen. Dick Durbin, tweeted sharp criticism of the Saudi royal family, saying they have “never been a trustworthy ally” and “it’s time for our foreign policy to imagine a world without their alliance.”

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Oct 11 2022 3:35 utc | 92

In other news. The poor hapless citizens living in the GOP-controlled Texas. Is still on the fast track to repeating the same grid failure of the winter of 2021 in 2022.
The changing people demographics in Texas mean these white color blind redneck GOP institutionalized racist bigots have very little time left to survive at the top in this rapidly changing color state.
It is a shame very few people run background checks on all the “Political Science Graduates” trash propaganda output. Which is usually 2% of the facts. That is buried under 98% feel-good nonsensical fact-free “horse hockey”. Being a graduate of political science means one gets paid to lie on a daily basis as per your paymaster’s direct orders. Just like the 76-year-old living on borrowed time “DJT”! The median age AmeriKan male is 76.2 years. lol
Truth is stranger than fiction – Mark Twain

Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Oct 11 2022 3:55 utc | 93

EU foreign policy “boss” Josep Borrell said yesterday EU wealth was based, built on cheap Russian resources and energy. Nothing gets past these guys. Well, yeah, and most of the wealth is being reverted and lost.
The leftovers of the EU will be auctioned off by the US in fire sales within a couple of years to Chinese, SE Asians, Russians and Indians and anyone who has real wealth.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 11 2022 7:21 utc | 94

Posted by: Rob | Oct 9 2022 22:08 utc | 63
@too cents (9) No, the business model is growth for the sake of profit. The great imperative of capitalism is to always be maximizing profit.
You have confused monopolism with capitalism. “The great imperative of capitalism is <= never to allow a profit making venture last in a single place for very long (<=competition for profit is capitalism, not using rule of law to promote and to protect exclusive profits from a line of business to a specific entity), as the great imperative of capitalism is to promote destruction of yesterday's profit making venture by creating a newer, bigger and better profit making replacement.. Your statement should read "the great imperative of privatized monopolism is for the owner of the private monopoly to find ways to use the rule of law and the power of the politics of the state which host his venture to always maximize his profits. Posted by: Paul GV | Oct 9 2022 22:01 utc | 61 "...Did you know the British government signed away the birthright of the Palestinians, in the notorious Balfour Declaration, BEFORE they occupied all of Palestine?..." Paul GV@268 Bevin wrote: "This is not actually true. The Balfour Declaration contains a guarantee that the Palestinians will not be badly treated. This was the minimal necessity for gaining public support. It is true, however, that it is very likely that those in power in the UK, including Lloyd George, Churchill and Balfour, regarded the Zionist project with great favour. It is dubious however whether anyone at the time-even among the deepest dyed imperialists- understood how ruthless, amoral and utterly evil were the Zionists". the declaration came BEFORE the British takeover of Palestine. <=There is another dimension to this Palestinians w/n/b badly treated guarantee.. careful review of the Gen Palin Commission reports dealing with documenting and assigning blame for Balfour beneficiary atrocities in pushing native Palestinians from their homeland during Pre Israel days is instructive. Few people have made those reports public, and fewer still have studied and analyzed the fabrications, truths and mis-statements.

Posted by: snake | Oct 11 2022 8:05 utc | 95

Bank of England urges don’t sell.

Reminder: The Bank of England warned this morning that the UK still risks a “self-reinforcing ‘fire sale’”, if pension funds are forced to sell bonds due to tumbling prices.
It explained: The purpose of these operations is to enable LDI [pension] funds to address risks to their resilience from volatility in the long-dated gilt market. LDI funds have made substantial progress in doing so over the past week.
However, the beginning of this week has seen a further significant repricing of UK government debt, particularly index-linked gilts. Dysfunction in this market, and the prospect of self-reinforcing ‘fire sale’ dynamics pose a material risk to UK financial stability.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2022/oct/11/bank-of-england–bond-markets-gilts-uk-unemployment-ifs-spending-cuts-imf-outlook-business-live?page=with:block-63453ffa8f08253e9d658d6e#block-63453ffa8f08253e9d658d6e

Posted by: too scents | Oct 11 2022 10:20 utc | 96

Nissan takes $687M loss as sells Russian business for 1 euro
Nissan is selling its Russian assets to the state, with an option to buy back the business within six years.
https://europe.autonews.com/automakers/nissan-takes-687m-loss-sells-russian-business-1-euro

Posted by: too scents | Oct 11 2022 11:06 utc | 97

@Bad Deal Motors On #93
As usual – you compound your stupid with idiocy.
Texas DID NOT have rolling blackouts in 2022 thus far – unlike California.
They actually met an electricity demand that was higher than New York state and California state, combined for the days in question.
Texas has furthermore installed more solar PV and wind than any other state by a large margin, and produces a larger % of overall electricity from solar PV and wind than any other state.
But then again, it is well established that you literally cannot understand anything except under the lens of your RDS clownishness…

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 11 2022 15:37 utc | 98

What Poverty Looks Like In A Rich Country

Although Germany is one of the richest countries in the world, signs of increasing poverty are becoming increasingly visible across the country. Homeless people sleeping rough, mothers forgoing meals in order to feed their children, and pensioners looking for discarded bottles to trade for the deposit.
According to the Paritätische Wohlfahrtsverband, Germany’s umbrella organization for welfare organizations, 13.8 million Germans either live in poverty or are at risk of slipping below the poverty line. The German government also voices its concerns about the growing gap between rich and poor.

In the EU, a person is considered to be at risk of poverty or poor if their income is less than 60% of the median in their respective country. If it is less than 50%, it is considered extreme poverty.
For Germany, this means that single people who make less than €1,148 in net income a month are considered below the poverty line. For single parents with one child, that figure is €1,492, and for a household of two parents and two children, €2,410.

Germany
Germany: What poverty looks like in a rich country
Amid soaring inflation, particularly for food and energy, the gap between rich and poor in Germany is widening. Incremental increases to social safety nets will do little to alleviate the problem, experts warn.
A man sleeping on a piece of cardboard in front of a large glass shop window. He is in the German capital – Berlin – in suburb of Charlottenburg.
The number of people sleeping rough and using food banks has been on the rise across the country
Although Germany is one of the richest countries in the world, signs of increasing poverty are becoming increasingly visible across the country. Homeless people sleeping rough, mothers forgoing meals in order to feed their children, and pensioners looking for discarded bottles to trade for the deposit.
According to the Paritätische Wohlfahrtsverband, Germany’s umbrella organization for welfare organizations, 13.8 million Germans either live in poverty or are at risk of slipping below the poverty line. The German government also voices its concerns about the growing gap between rich and poor.
The term poverty in this context does not mean that millions of people in Germany are at risk of starving or freezing to death. Instead, it refers to relative poverty, which is measured by the average living conditions of the society in question.
In 2021, Germany was ranked the 20th richest country in the world, measured by GDP per capita. This means that if you add up the value of all the goods and commodities produced in a country and divide the figure by the number of inhabitants, you get $50,700 (€52,200) per person per year in Germany on average. By comparison, that number is $136,700 in Luxembourg, the world’s richest country, and $270 in the poorest, Burundi.
2:27 min
Germany: Inflation is hitting the poor
Poverty – a question of definition
In Europe, although relatively few people live in absolute poverty, millions are affected by poverty relative to the national average. This means they live with severe material restrictions, and can only make ends meet by restricting their lifestyles in a way that the majority of the population takes for granted.
In the EU, a person is considered to be at risk of poverty or poor if their income is less than 60% of the median in their respective country. If it is less than 50%, it is considered extreme poverty.
For Germany, this means that single people who make less than €1,148 in net income a month are considered below the poverty line. For single parents with one child, that figure is €1,492, and for a household of two parents and two children, €2,410.
Social safety net does little for economic uplift
Germany considers itself to have a robust social safety net. Anyone who cannot find a job, or is unable to work, receives basic social security — a system still known colloquially as Hartz IV. This money is meant to cover basic living expenses such as rent, heating, and water, and well as health insurance.
Under this system, individuals and single parents have only €449 a month for food, clothing, household goods, personal hygiene products, and bills such as the internet, telephone, and electricity. For each child, a parent or a couple receives between €285 and €376, depending on age.

Under the current system, only €5 per person per day is earmarked for food, leaving poorer households to either buy less food or food of lesser quality.

Germany
Germany: What poverty looks like in a rich country
Amid soaring inflation, particularly for food and energy, the gap between rich and poor in Germany is widening. Incremental increases to social safety nets will do little to alleviate the problem, experts warn.
A man sleeping on a piece of cardboard in front of a large glass shop window. He is in the German capital – Berlin – in suburb of Charlottenburg.
The number of people sleeping rough and using food banks has been on the rise across the country
Although Germany is one of the richest countries in the world, signs of increasing poverty are becoming increasingly visible across the country. Homeless people sleeping rough, mothers forgoing meals in order to feed their children, and pensioners looking for discarded bottles to trade for the deposit.
According to the Paritätische Wohlfahrtsverband, Germany’s umbrella organization for welfare organizations, 13.8 million Germans either live in poverty or are at risk of slipping below the poverty line. The German government also voices its concerns about the growing gap between rich and poor.
The term poverty in this context does not mean that millions of people in Germany are at risk of starving or freezing to death. Instead, it refers to relative poverty, which is measured by the average living conditions of the society in question.
In 2021, Germany was ranked the 20th richest country in the world, measured by GDP per capita. This means that if you add up the value of all the goods and commodities produced in a country and divide the figure by the number of inhabitants, you get $50,700 (€52,200) per person per year in Germany on average. By comparison, that number is $136,700 in Luxembourg, the world’s richest country, and $270 in the poorest, Burundi.
2:27 min
Germany: Inflation is hitting the poor
Poverty – a question of definition
In Europe, although relatively few people live in absolute poverty, millions are affected by poverty relative to the national average. This means they live with severe material restrictions, and can only make ends meet by restricting their lifestyles in a way that the majority of the population takes for granted.
In the EU, a person is considered to be at risk of poverty or poor if their income is less than 60% of the median in their respective country. If it is less than 50%, it is considered extreme poverty.
For Germany, this means that single people who make less than €1,148 in net income a month are considered below the poverty line. For single parents with one child, that figure is €1,492, and for a household of two parents and two children, €2,410.
Social safety net does little for economic uplift
Germany considers itself to have a robust social safety net. Anyone who cannot find a job, or is unable to work, receives basic social security — a system still known colloquially as Hartz IV. This money is meant to cover basic living expenses such as rent, heating, and water, and well as health insurance.
Under this system, individuals and single parents have only €449 a month for food, clothing, household goods, personal hygiene products, and bills such as the internet, telephone, and electricity. For each child, a parent or a couple receives between €285 and €376, depending on age.
Hartz IV and other public welfare programs have been repeatedly criticized in Germany for covering only the barest of necessities. In response to this, the federal government has proposed raising the standard rate to €503 per month, beginning in 2023, and changing the name to Bürgergeld, or “citizens’ money.”
However, according to social scientist and poverty researcher Christoph Butterwege, even that will be far from enough. Butterwege told DW that at least €650 is necessary for people to live “with dignity” and, for example, to eat healthy food for every meal.
Under the current system, only €5 per person per day is earmarked for food, leaving poorer households to either buy less food or food of lesser quality.
As inflation skyrockets in Germany, more and more people will find themselves unable to make ends meet without assistance. It is becoming increasingly difficult for many to afford bread, milk, fruit, and vegetables, which are over 12% more expensive than they were a year ago. In 2020, around 1.1 million people made use of food banks. That number is now closer to 2 million.

In Germany, the number of people who cannot live on their income despite having a full-time job is also rising — even with a recent increase in the minimum wage. At €12 per hour, a single person with no children who works 40 hours a week would receive a net income of around €1,480 per month. Although this is nominally above the poverty line, the excess has been eaten up by inflation.
Students are also greatly affected by the situation, especially recipients of federal funding. These students receive a maximum of €934 a month, which includes money for housing and health insurance. This amount puts students well below the poverty line.

Germany has a population of 83 million according to wiki, so 13.8 million at or below poverty is 16.6% or 1 in 6. And that’s before this coming several years of de-industrialization.
So much winning…

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 11 2022 15:45 utc | 99

Specialists in international law of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Security Council of the Russian Federation have prepared a certificate, according to which John Bolton’s statement that Putin is a “legitimate target” for assassination qualifies as a call for a terrorist attack against the head of the founding state and a permanent member of the UN Security Council. In accordance with the norms of world and national anti-terrorism legislation, such actions are a legal basis for the application of sanctions, up to and including the preventive elimination of Bolton.
I’m wondering, those Western politicians who openly support the terrorist activities of the Kyiv regime understand that they are becoming accomplices in terrorism? Unlikely.
The terrorist must be destroyed. No other option. No negotiations. No mercy.

Posted by: alaff | Oct 11 2022 15:46 utc | 100