Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
September 3, 2022
The Ukrainian ‘Counteroffensive’ Was Destined To Fail – Today It Did So

On August 24 the British prime minister Boris Johnson visited Kiev:

In comments made next to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the Mariyinsky Palace, Johnson said Ukraine “can and will win this war.”

Johnson's visit was the start signal for the long announced Ukrainian 'counteroffensive' towards Kherson.

In early April Johnson had called on and visited Kiev to stop well developed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine:

“Russian and Ukrainian negotiators appeared to have tentatively agreed on the outlines of a negotiated interim settlement,” wrote Fiona Hill and Angela Stent. “Russia would withdraw to its position on February 23, when it controlled part of the Donbas region and all of Crimea, and in exchange, Ukraine would promise not to seek NATO membership and instead receive security guarantees from a number of countries.”

The news highlights the impact of former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s efforts to stop negotiations, as journalist Branko Marcetic noted on Twitter. The decision to scuttle the deal coincided with Johnson’s April visit to Kyiv, during which he reportedly urged Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to break off talks with Russia for two key reasons: Putin cannot be negotiated with, and the West isn’t ready for the war to end.

Over the last months Britain has trained several thousands of Ukrainian troops and their officers. Together with Ukrainian special forces Britain's MI-6 secret service planned a special operation for Ukraine to regain control over the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant on the south side of the Kakhovka Dnieper reservoir. This was designed to coincide with a visit of IAEA inspectors, long held up by Ukraine, to visit the ZNPP.

The Kherson offensive started on August 30 on five axes. It was destined to fail. Three of these attempts to gain ground held by Russian troops failed. One axis was stopped after taking a few small villages of no strategic value. The only 'successful' attack was across the Inhulet river near Andriivka in the direction of the dam and river crossing that closes off the Kakhovka Dnieper reservoir.


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The plan was crazy to begin with. The whole area is flat open steppe. The troops would have had to created a 50 kilometer (30 miles) long corridor through open hostile land. The towns on the way are mostly one or two street agricultural mini-villages with one story homes that offer little protection. The Ukrainian forces have no air defense or air attack capability to cover advancing troops. Its artillery capabilities are a tenth of what the Russian military can provide in the area. It was obvious from the beginning that this was a suicide mission.

Reportedly the Ukrainian military command was against this mission. But the Ukrainian political leadership, the Zelenski regime, ordered it to proceed. It was under political pressure from its foreign supporters to show at least some success.

The attack was launched on August 30. The Ukrainian military created three river crossings over the Inhulet near Andriivka. This already smelled bad. Why didn't the Russian airforce or artillery immediately destroy those crossings?

It was obvious that this was a trap.

In a CNN piece, co-written by the notorious 'intelligence' stenographer Natasha Bertrand, the U.S. military distanced itself from the upcoming catastrophe:

In the buildup to the current Ukrainian counteroffensive, the US urged Kyiv to keep the operation limited in both its objectives and its geography to avoid getting overextended and bogged down on multiple fronts, multiple US and western officials and Ukrainian sources tell CNN.

Those discussions involved engaging in "war-gaming" with Kyiv, the sources said — analytical exercises that were intended to help the Ukrainian forces understand what force levels they would need to muster to be successful in different scenarios.

The Ukrainians were initially considering a broader counteroffensive, but narrowed their mission to the south, in the Kherson region, in recent weeks, US and Ukrainian officials said.

Officials say they believe there is now increased parity between the Ukrainian and Russian militaries. But western officials have been hesitant to label the nascent Ukrainian operation — which appeared to begin on Monday in the southern province of Kherson — a true "counteroffensive."

How successful Ukraine is likely to be in regaining lost territory remains an open question, sources familiar with the latest intelligence tell CNN.

For three days the Ukrainian military sent battalion after battalion into the salient. These were good professional troops trained by Britain. They were equipped with modernized Polish T-72 tanks and up-armored Dutch Infantry Fighting Vehicles (YPR-765 IFV). But while these force were able to create a deeper salient it would soon become their grave.

As I wrote on September 1.

The Ukrainian Kherson offensive continues despite extremely heavy losses. The Rybar map shows one of the axes where the Ukrainian army still tries to press forward after having been rooted from Bruskyns'ke.


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The area is flat open steppe with no coverage for troops to hide. The Russian side is by far superior in artillery and has air supremacy. Whoever ordered the Ukrainians to press this suicidal campaign under these circumstance is guilty of murder and should go to prison for the rest of his life.

On September 1, the very day the IAEA delegation was to arrive, the Ukrainian side made a daring attack to seize the ZNPP. But the Russian side had been warned. The two waves of Ukrainian special forces, also trained by Britain, were killed while crossing the reservoir or were running into ambushes as soon as they had landed. They ended up dead. The IAEA inspection proceeded as planned.

Jeffrey Kaye @jeff_kaye – 21:18 UTC · Sep 2, 2022

UN Secretary General's spokesperson Stephane Dujarric said on Thursday:
"We are glad that the Russian Federation did all to keep our inspectors safe"!
I expect mainstream press to not report this.
Link to Interfax report

On the third day of the offensive the bridges across the Inhulet river where still intact. The Russian tactic was obvious. A scheme that it had used previously on the Karkiv front:

Will Schryver @imetatronink – 22:28 UTC · Sep 2, 2022

The truth of the Kherson "offensive" is written on the maps for all to see: AFU attacks; Ru hits 'em hard, then pulls back; AFU advances; Ru hits 'em again, but pulls back more; AFU adds forces to salient; Ru flanks them in force & cuts off their rear; trap closed; turkey shoot.

Late yesterday the Russian air force made its first real showing in this 'counteroffensive' affair. It attacked Ukrainian forces at the front of the salient in the tiny village of Bezimene with some 24 'dumb' 500 kilogram bombs. This ended the existence of the village and of all Ukrainian forces in it.

The Russian airforce then proceeded to destroy all river crossings over the Inhulet.

The Ukrainian forces are trapped:


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They have one choice. Give up, wave white flags or die.

Here is the current Rybar overview of the larger Kherson region. All Ukrainian attempts in this 'counteroffensive' have failed to make any significant progress.


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The number of Ukrainian casualties are huge. Reports from Odessa, Nikolaev and Kryvy Rih speak of thousands of wounded. Many more have died. Hundreds of Ukrainian tanks and infantry fighting vehicles were destroyed or captured by Russian troops.

The 128th mountain assault brigade from the Ukrainian Transcarpatia region was involved in the general attack and got destroyed. (Why use 'mountain assault' specialists in the open steppe?) The governor of the region reportedly ordered a day of mourning.

The Russian side has now launched some attacks of its own to gain areas and towns the Ukrainians had held for some time. The Ukrainians are scrambling to mobilize local reserves in Nikolaev to counter these moves.

In 'western' media, complicit with the Zelenski regime, neither the bloody defeat of the 'counteroffensive' in Kherson nor the attempted raid on the ZNPP ever happened.

The only mention of it I found in the New York Times is this:

In a statement, the [Russian defense] ministry claimed that Russian forces had intercepted two groups of Ukrainian commandos, up to 60 troops combined, who crossed the Dnipro River in boats to sabotage or seize the plant.

In total the 'counterattack' on Kherson was a complete failure that predictably ended up destroying Ukraine's main military reserves and a major part of the stock of heavy vehicles it had received from the 'west'.

The ZNPP, which was the main 'public relation' target of the whole affair, is still in Russian hands and now secured by the presence of a permanent IAEA delegation.

bruno bertez @BrunoBertez – 7:27 UTC · 3 Sep 2022

"The IAEA is there to stay for as long as it is needed. We are not leaving.” [IAEA director] Grossi said. “For those who may have intentions on the plant, knowing that international inspectors are there, witnessing and informing immediately what is happening, has an important stabilising effect.”

Heads in Kiev should and will likely roll over this. But that is not enough. Those in London who came up with this lunatic idea should be removed from their positions.

Meanwhile U.S. President Joe Biden has asked for $13.7 billion in additional money for Ukraine.

He wants to fight Russia down to the very last Ukrainian. A fight Russia does not want but is assured to win.

Can Biden be held to account for this?

Comments

I cannot understand how people fall in these MSM narratives so easily, even if we have supposedly good education here, but seems education does not equal critical thinking…
Posted by: Disgusted European | Sep 3 2022 14:35 utc | 70
Subliminal programming and entrainment technology is brainwashing the masses.

Posted by: osi | Sep 4 2022 12:24 utc | 301

Its “almost” as if they are genociding the whites of ukrain so the jews can take over and build their new jerusalem there, which they are already doing.

Posted by: Stee | Sep 4 2022 12:25 utc | 302

UK is way past its prime and is essentially trying to play off Germany against Russia and Poland with Ukraine as bait
Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Sep 4 2022 11:19 utc | 295
Scathing and very very accurate Paul.
And yellow pack Liz is going to run it over the cliff.

Posted by: Jpc | Sep 4 2022 12:32 utc | 303

Posted by: Oui | Sep 4 2022 7:55 utc | 280
This. By encountering multiple times of the same weapon systems SAM systems are built to compile profile from these systems through radar returns, speed, etc. They will eventually be able to recognize what was it flying in their radars.
This is the fear that were addressed to Turkey when they acquired S400 systems, these systems would learn and compile profiles of their hyped F35 whi will then passed over to Russia.

Posted by: Lucci | Sep 4 2022 12:39 utc | 304

The next USA kit rolled in the MaxxPro armoured truck, built for IED mine protection mainly. so i guess we can sit back and watch it be evaluated against ATGM now.

Posted by: hankster | Sep 4 2022 12:50 utc | 305

What is beyond me is why any sane Ukrainian accepts fighting Russia. For Zelensky’s corrupt regime? They all know about his cocaine addiction – even we in the West know – and his multi-million foreign estate, his “government” staffed with his former television production buddies (who imagines that can be serious?), and his submission to the US/NATO. Some “proud patriot” indeed. Ukraine has gone down the drain economically since the Maidan coup, to top it all, so what do they think they are fighting for, some more plundering by the IMF?
Do they hate Russia so much they accept dying by the score for the privilege of losing? If somebody can give a coherent explanation, I’d love to hear it.

Posted by: Corinne | Sep 4 2022 12:56 utc | 306

Hi Corinne @307. I think, at least as far as I understand it, that the Ukrainians now fighting in the East and South are forced conscripts many of whom have laid down their arms and refused to fight only to be massacred by the UAF Nazi Battalions i.e. Kraken and Azov. God rest the souls of these innocent civilians who did not want to fight in the first place and who never joined the Army. From everything I have read, it seems to me that the UAF is now heavily dependent on these ‘civilian’ forced conscription battalions due to the considerable decimation of the regular army troops. That is my view any way. I think there are other barflies here who might be able to provide a different analysis.
It should be remembered that the Ukraine is in the grips of an evil, deep Nazi Dictatorship. All opposition parties have been abolished. There is only one broadcast channel now which is the State one so that information about chronic losses is covered up, not reported or dismissed. I think the Ukrainian peoples at least in the West of the country are living in fear for their lives. The SBU is arresting people who speak Russian, who they believe to be sympathetic to Russia or who have expressed dissent against the Govt. God only knows what happens to those that are arrested.
I cannot express the profound distress i feel at the thought of those young and old Ukr citizens who do not want to fight but are being forced into the meat grinder in the East and South. God Bless them and their families.

Posted by: Jo Dominich | Sep 4 2022 13:08 utc | 307

Posted by: alberto | Sep 4 2022 12:01 utc | 298
You are right about the actual MBT. But before I eat the crow I have prepared on the table, note that Germany is “missing” 350 tanks. (Last paragraph) Which the article below says some might have been used as spare parts supplies.
I will try to relocate the mention of the Tanks coming from Italy (via Italy?), but with the overflow of information we have, don’t be surprised to hear crunchy sounds, if I can no longer find it.
“Poland will not receive the Leopard 2A4 tanks promised by Germany. Berlin offers Warsaw the Leopard 1A5 and the Marder BMP. This is the official opinion and proposal of Berlin to Warsaw [not only does Poland expects Leopard 2A4, Slovakia and Slovenia too – ed.].
Poland provided Ukraine with 200 T-72 main battle tanks. Ukrainians needed them because of the invasion of Russian troops into the country on February 24. After negotiations, Germany was one of the first countries to offer an exchange to Poland. Berlin proposed the Leopard 2A4, or Leopard 2 for short.
Today it is clear that there are none. According to documents, however, Germany has 350 units of Leopard 2. Then where did the tanks disappear?”

Source of quote https://bulgarianmilitary.com/2022/09/02/berlin-continues-to-give-leopard-2a4-tanks-15-go-to-prague/
***
For your interest;
Coming to an Urban warfare unit near to you.
https://twitter.com/timand2037/status/1566379268086669312?cxt=HHwWgIC9nabp8rwrAAAA

Posted by: Stonebird | Sep 4 2022 13:11 utc | 308

Koui,
Udo Ulfkotte’s book “Gekaufte Journalisten” provides your answer.

Posted by: Lysias | Sep 4 2022 13:20 utc | 309

Are Jews planning to take over in Ukraine because they realize that their colony in Palestine has become untenable?

Posted by: Lysias | Sep 4 2022 13:26 utc | 310

@Corinne | Sep 4 2022 12:56 utc | 307
Everyone is asking the same question. Probably there are multiple things happening at the same time and some are strange. First one is the brainwashing. The one since 2014 and even before (with all those children books and rewriting history and so on) and also the new one from the MSM and censorship. I bet a large part of idiot population does not have any idea about their losses because the censorship is complete. With regular soldiers is the same, all they see is Western leaders saying they’re winning and Russia losing. The brainwashing is so strong there are shops selling food in shape of dead soldiers or using names of attacks on Donbass.
There was a video a few days ago shown on French TV and in the background (I don’t know if it was a mistake, probably not) you can see two kids raising their hand nazi style to the Ukr soldiers passing.
Many soldiers are shot by azov or other groups if they surrender, there are probably at least a thousand from what I’ve seen in reports.
In cities with no war like Kiev or Lvov they party all day long, stealing money they get for free. There isn’t any fear, which is a mistake of the operation.
The same parallel world happens in the West where many people think of themselves as superior and are actually very pro-war. Combine haters with MSM lies and you get complete retards. Only this week some started to cry in UK, when electricity bills jumped at least 10x, they post them on twitter with idiotic messages like ” it was 900 now is 9000 Why??? Why???”
About 100k people were protesting yesterday in Prague. What was the brainwashing message today?
Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala said: the demonstration was organized by pro-Russian citizens close to extremist positions, whose interests contradict the interests of the Czech Republic

Posted by: rk | Sep 4 2022 13:31 utc | 311

Where are we heading now? In the Book of Daniel, we read, “And both these kings [Great Britain and Russia. In 1882 British troops occupied Egypt. Great Britain then took the role of “the king of the south”. Around the same time, Russia expanded its influence in the region, which previously belonged to Seleucus I Nicator, and took the role of “the king of the north”], their hearts (will be) to do mischief, and at one table (they) will speak a lie; but it will not succeed. Indeed yet (the) completion to (the) appointed time [then a nuclear war happen]. And [the king of the north] will go back (to) his land with great wealth [1945. This detail indicated that after the previous victories Hitler will attack the Soviet Union and will fight to the bitter end]; and his heart (will be) against the holy covenant [Soviet Union introduced state atheism and believers were repressed]; and will act; and go back to his own land [1991-1993. The collapse of the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact. The troops from the Soviet military bases returned to their country]. At the appointed time [he] will return back [Russian troops will return to where they were previously stationed. It also means military actions, a major crisis. Not only the eurozone will break up, but also the European Union and NATO], and will enter into the south [this will be the beginning of the nuclear war], but won’t be as before or as afterwards [these military actions will not lead to a global nuclear war. This war will only begin after the return of the king of the north and the detonator will be an ethnic conflict. (Matthew 24:7)], then the dwellers of coastlands of Kittim [the distant West] will come against him, and (he) will break down [mentally], and will go back.” (11:27-30a) This will be a mutual slaughter and the sword of great power will be used. (Revelation 6:4) Jesus characterized it in this way: “A frightening things both and extraordinary (related to unusual phenomena) from sky powerful will be.” Because of the use of these terrible weapons there will be significant tremors along the length and breadth of the regions [of strategic importance] and famines, and pestilences. Some ancient manuscripts contain the words “and frosts”. The Aramaic Peshitta: “and will be great frosts”. (Luke 21:11) We call this today “nuclear winter”. In Mark 13:8 there are also words of Jesus: “and disorders”. The Aramaic Peshitta: “and confusion” (on the state of public order). It won’t be Armageddon. “But all these things are a beginning of birth-pains.” (Matthew 24:8, DLNT)

Posted by: Ewiak Ryszard | Sep 4 2022 13:39 utc | 312

@ rk | Sep 4 2022 13:31 utc | 312
>> Only this week some started to cry in UK, when
>> electricity bills jumped at least 10x,
>> they post them on twitter with
>> idiotic messages like “It was 900 now is 9000. Why??? Why???”
As Caitoz pointed out, that barkeep had a tiny Ukrainian flag in her Twitter handle.

Posted by: dfg | Sep 4 2022 14:17 utc | 313

Paul Greenwood @266
“You need to learn Double-Entry Bookkeeping. You fail to understand every Debit needs a Credit and than every Loan creates an Account.”
Thank you for your reply. Your sentence above has nothing to do with the subject that I was discussing with others on my previous posts. Do you care to extrapolate what basics of accounting has to do with France and Germany controlling ECB decisions on the expense of other less powerful EU countries, or their tax-payers, and orchestrating the monetary policy that is optimal to Germany? Or Germany and France creating he Maastrich Treaty that forces EU members to join into Euro?
The rest two chapters of your post have even less relevancy in regards to the matter I was posting about. Those details do not add any credibility to your statement either.

Posted by: Tigger | Sep 4 2022 14:35 utc | 314

I’d like to point something out in response to a number of posts that question why Russia has stopped at Kherson and not taken Nikolayev, or on the north Kharkov. The line they have chosen is what they deem a good defensive line which they can defend easily. When the objective of the SMO goes beyond Donbass, it is the legal status of this “not quite a war but a special military operation” that can be questioned at the level of the UN. I expect that as soon as all of DNR is taken similar to LNR, or at a time very close to that, Putin will hold another speech.
In that speech, he will either expand the SMO or, more likely, point out that the West/NATO has effectively declared war on Russia and that from here on, unless the West and Ukraine completely surrender to the terms that Russia sets, he will now turn the pain dial up high and consider it a war as well. That means that there would be no longer ‘a hand tied behind the back’ for the Russian army as they move forward to the Dnepr and to western Ukraine. It means that bombardments may be much bigger, this may very well look like a typical NATO bombardment of what remains of Oekraine.

Posted by: Josh V | Sep 4 2022 16:00 utc | 315

Russia is doxing Satan.
Posted by: Grieved | Sep 4 2022 3:05 utc | 253
Brilliant. Spot on.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 4 2022 16:35 utc | 316

Posted by: Organic | Sep 4 2022 3:13 utc | 255
“Assuming the Buddhists correct, what sort of life would Boris Johnson expect next with all the blood and suffering of these Ukrainian soldiers directly on his hands, he is essentially a war criminal.”
Someone asked this question viz Churchill to a Tibetan Buddhist high lama whose particular lineage composed the Tib. Book of the Dead. As it happens he loved Churchill and Mountbatten perhaps because the British Empire resonated with his feudal Tibetan culture on top of which he got a good dose of it in ex British Raj India after escaping on foot over the Himalayas from the Chinese who were pursuing him.
Anyway: even though he greatly admired him, he replied WSC would get reborn as an animal for all the deaths he caused, but a powerful animal because of the leadership and spirit he also manifested in so doing. He didn’t specify but I always think something like lion, tiger, bear, Amazonian ant-heater (ferocious beasts). Something powerful and dangerous that encounters as well as dishes out violence. A hands-on mass murderer type would end up as a hell realm beyond our ken, like ghosts but even lower.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 4 2022 16:46 utc | 317

Which is why when government does deeds far worse than peddling dope, like waging war, and waging war on it’s own people, most simply salute the flag. Normalcy bias and daddy always win.
Posted by: oldhippie | Sep 4 2022 7:13 utc | 274
I have been assuming that the same sort of branches in Intelligence which manage cartel ops were also behind the funding and development of the Nazi groups in Ukraine (with help from Big Oligarch now in Tel Aviv). Does that sound about right?
Also, have also been assuming that the reason they run drug cartels is to have off-the-books funds without congressional oversight – paltry as it it – with which to do things like train Nazi brigades in foreign countries to wage proxy wars. Does that sound right too?
Al Quaida means ‘The Base’ as in ‘the database.’ They were the names on a CIA list of assets in the ME. No doubt lots of the drug monies ended up in those guys pockets too, not to mention weapons as well. Wonder where all those weapons ostensibly for Ukraine are ending up… wonder if some of them are staying Stateside for upcoming domestic terrorism suppression….

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 4 2022 17:00 utc | 318

Posted by: susan mullen | Sep 4 2022 7:27 utc | 276
The Queen is a constitutional monarch without executive powers. As far as I know she would have almost nothing to do with any military operations at all and hasn’t done so since accepting the burden of the Crown since 1952. If you know otherwise would love to learn.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 4 2022 17:04 utc | 319

Some people on telegram kept saying that these idiotic attacks are caused by the Sep 8 meeting of weapon donors in Germany. It seems they were correct.
Posted by: rk | Sep 4 2022 11:28 utc | 296
Indeed, have been assuming that by far the main reason for the counteroffensives was to get RF to oblige them by destroying a significant amount of excess inventory so that they can then demand fresh orders from their war sponsors who of course have been chomping at the bit for them all along.
So for those baffled by these seemingly insane maneuvers that’s one possible explanation, the old ‘war is a racket’ one.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 4 2022 17:38 utc | 320

@Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 4 2022 17:04 utc | 320
Who do the UK military and security services swear allegiance to? The Queen. Britain does not have a written constitution so many realities can be hidden behind ambiguity. In the 1960s some of the military, together with Prince Philip wanted to carry out a coup against the Labour government. It didn’t happen because the Queen would not allow it.
Britain is far, far from being a democracy, the landed aristocracy joined together with the bourgeois oligarchs in the “Glorious Revolution” and not much has really changed since then.

Posted by: Roger | Sep 4 2022 18:25 utc | 321

While watching telegram channels, I have noticed that some of the Russian UAV footages are of outstanding quality in
contrast to the previous footages.
I wonder if this is the result of some new drones in use by the RF?

Posted by: CarlD | Sep 4 2022 20:40 utc | 322

I wish someone would explain why Russia seems to be STILL holding back!

Posted by: Jonathan Mills | Sep 5 2022 0:53 utc | 323

Posted by: Jimmy | Sep 3 2022 20:39 utc | 174
DPR and LPR are separate armed forces for each of the two Republics. The Russian Armed forces are separate from those two. The Dobas front fighting is still the main area of fortification to be breached and destroyed. It’s a primary goal of the SMO to secure those Republics borders and security. The Republics have volunteers and Wagner to help and the Russian armed forces do not fight there on the ground. Though the Russian military helps there those Republics are now better armed and better positioned.
The report could be real? Any guy giving an opinion? The fight on that front has been long and wearisome for those new Republics. It’s slow, hard, against fortified positions. Those positions continue to bombard and civilians die. Many young men and women there have been fighting and dying. To make a break through, they must fight onwards and forwards. But there will be the only outcome they must achieve. Russians are fighting across a long front. They are proceeding to eat away, gaining more ground while destroying Ukraines’ armies. It would be unimaginable for the Republics’ leaders not to remain in close interaction with Russian High Command. If they seek freedom, they need Russian security.

Posted by: Lbanu | Sep 5 2022 1:14 utc | 324

It appears that Russia does not want to advance much into the non Russian speaking Ukraine. They will win the war fighting where they are now. Ukraine will throw everything at them until there is nothing left. Zelinski will sue for a conditional ceasefire.

Posted by: Jj | Sep 6 2022 4:47 utc | 325

I would love to be a fly on the wall in one of those high level NATO strategy sessions where they discus the next Ukrainian “offensive”. What could they possibly say to each other? Looking at a map of Ukraine. “Lets see, we got our ass kicked here, and here, and pretty bad over there”. “Have we tried this area?”

Posted by: Mike G | Sep 6 2022 11:15 utc | 326