Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
September 05, 2022

Kherson 'Counteroffensive' - Zelenski Is Going For Broke

After the first Ukrainian attempt to push towards had failed it is now reinforcing that failure. As I describe the move:

The only 'successful' attack was across the Inhulet river near Andriivka in the direction of the dam and river crossing that closes off the Kakhovka Dnieper reservoir.

The troops were cut off and mostly destroyed. On the western side of the salient a Russian unit crossed the Inhulet towards north and attacked the Ukrainians on that side. It soon had to pull back and the Ukrainians used the Russian crossing to reconnect with the cut off units in the salient.


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More Ukrainian reinforcements were pushed into the salient where they have little natural protection from Russian artillery and air force attacks.

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The political leadership of Ukraine is committed to continue this massacre. The Ukrainian Telegram channel 'Resident' reported:

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky holds a meeting every day on the counteroffensive in the South of Ukraine, at the moment the Armed Forces of Ukraine have the opportunity to create a foothold in the Krivoy Rog direction. Zalusky reported on the heavy fighting and losses suffered by the Ukrainian army in the steppes, but the political center of influence insist on continuing the #Battle_for_Kherson operation.

Reserves from the eastern front and Kharkov will be transferred to the Dnepropetrovsk region, in order to achieve the advantage of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, no information will be officially published in the media until the seizure of territories.

Earlier another war observer noted:

Ukrainian channel Legitimny reports Helensky is prepared to sacrifice up to 20K dead and 40k wounded in the Kherson offensive, which would be 6% of his army. Current losses are around 2% so he's going for 2nd offensive wave.

I believe that 60,000 men are more than 10% of the Ukrainian army but that is not the point.

'Resident' and 'Legitimny' are seen as authoritative Ukrainian sources. Unfortunately I have no access to the their Telegram channels so I can not verify the quotes. But it seems clear that Zelenski is going for broke.

Zalusky, the military leader of the Ukrainian army, will not be happy with this decision.

The only Ukrainian hope is that the Russian forces on the western side of the Dnieper can be cut off from the other side to then run out of supplies. The bridges across are damaged or destroyed but Russia has enough ferries to keep the supply line open. Large river crossing are part of every bigger Russian military training event. It has the materials and troops experienced with it. That is why I have my doubt that the Ukrainian hope can be realized.

Meanwhile the Russian military plays its usual defensive game. The frontline along the Kherson regions is currently held by lightly armored airmobile units. Whenever a Ukrainian push gets too strong they pull back from the front line, or leave the town under threat, to let the artillery and airforce do its work. They then pull up mobile reinforcements and push back until they are in their old positions. Rinse and repeat.

While this tactic costs the Russian side some losses the much higher ones are on the Ukrainian side.

The former Indian diplomat M.K. Bhadrakumar writes:

Russia’s “domain control” can be put in perspective: the enemy is, on the one hand, caught on the bare steppe and cut down with the overwhelming superiority of Russian artillery and aviation, and, on the other hand, encountering well-fortified, entrenched defence lines.

That said, Zelensky cannot give up, as he is desperately in need of a success story. Kiev still hopes to reverse the situation, but how that is achievable remains to be seen.

Against this sombre backdrop, more and more sceptical voices are being heard in the US about the Biden Administration’s policy trajectory. The latest is an opinion piece in Wall Street Journal by Gen. (Retd) Mark Kimmitt, formerly Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs in the Bush administration. Kimmitt predicts that “a breakthrough is unlikely” and soon, “logistics shortfalls” may force a change in US strategy.
...
In principle, the options are: i) “dig deeper into NATO stockpiles being held back for national defences”; ii) “ramp up critical shortfalls” by invoking Defense Production Act and its European equivalents; iii) escalate the conflict by targeting Crimea and Russia itself; or, iv) forcing Zelensky to face the grim reality that “diminishing resupplies” of weaponry actually contains “the message of declining outside support” for the war itself.

The retired general with Republican Party leanings concludes: “Beginning the diplomatic resolution would be distasteful, and perhaps seen as defeatist, but as there is little chance of climbing out of the current morass, it may be better to negotiate now than later… Looking into a future of protracted war, diminishing high-tech systems and mounting casualties, Mr. Zelensky and NATO must face up to tough decisions before those decisions are forced on them.”

Of those four options the first will be rejected by the professional military. The second is, at least in Europe, currently impossible for lack of cheap energy. Metal smelters and forges in Europe are shutting down. The third option, escalation, is the one the neoconservatives will press for, likely with some success. The fourth option is one Joe Biden and other are yet unwilling to take.

I therefore expect that the U.S. will double down, most likely with some new attacks on Crimea and the Kerch bridges.

Posted by b on September 5, 2022 at 12:12 UTC | Permalink

Comments
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News of the Oil Price Cap counter offensive

OilPrice.com says this is (really) not going to work : OilPrice is one of those who speak of the brutal invasion but is (obviously) market savvy and quite realist

So if they say the counteroffensive is still born, it is; free markets anyone?

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Why-The-Russian-Oil-Price-Cap-Wont-Work.html

Posted by: Gerrard White | Sep 6 2022 7:49 utc | 201

Would agree with Mr B, the most likely move of our political leaders will be to escalate, and seems hitting certainly Crimea and possibly Russia proper likely. That could be a prelude to believing they can then extract better peace terms or just seeing how far they can push the Russians.

As to differing opinions on the war, what does it matter, it won't change the outcome to whatever it is you desire. Realism simply sees thing for how they likely are, seems to me the Russians are winning this, one can read whatever one choses into the slow approach, poor quality military or a very astute one taking its's time and ruthlessly destroying opposing troops. Time will tell.

Posted by: Organic | Sep 6 2022 7:58 utc | 202

the most likely move of our political leaders will be to escalate
Posted by: Organic | Sep 6 2022 7:58 utc | 203

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Any escalation would demonstrate a deepening miscalculation of the minimum swords/plowshares ratio.

Posted by: too scents | Sep 6 2022 8:07 utc | 203

The ukrainian playbook is still open.

As I see it, the preparations for escalation are already done. Most obviously in the baltics. The playbook says: treat the russians there like shit, let them freeze, if necessary shoot/burn/kill a few dozen of thhem until Russia reacts by sending in some troops. Putin will hope that the estonian, latvian, lithuanian russians simply move to Russia but that probably aint gonna happen.
If the scenario plays out the media can go on with the "unprovoked agression" narrative.

On another front: am i the only one who sees a connection between serbia-kosovo and greece-turkey? My interpretation is along the lines of "so you are threatening a second front in serbia? Look here we can do that too in greece."

Posted by: Orgel | Sep 6 2022 8:16 utc | 204

Posted by: Orgel | Sep 6 2022 8:16 utc | 205

Apples and oranges. Turkey is defacto allied more to Russia than Greece, despite religion similarities. Greece backs sanctions on Russia, Turkey does not.

Posted by: Blue Dotterel | Sep 6 2022 8:29 utc | 205

I can't find ANY videos supporting the Russian position on the front line. Every video in youtube is fanatically supporting the Ukrainian position. I'm assuming this is because they are banned rather than the fact that no-one is posting them. Does anyone have any sources to lift moral?

Posted by: chris owen | Sep 6 2022 8:36 utc | 206

The playbook says: treat the russians there like shit, let them freeze
Posted by: Orgel | Sep 6 2022 8:16 utc | 205

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LOL. Gazprom is trolling this level of thinking ==> https://youtu.be/n2b_0gfV_4E

Posted by: too scents | Sep 6 2022 8:37 utc | 207

@Norwegian
@Don Bacon
@ bar.

Antonovsky 2 the second (pontoon) bridge.
PIC:
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/7164

Posted by: Melaleuca | Sep 6 2022 8:40 utc | 208

much appreciated guys. I can never get enough

Posted by: chris owen | Sep 6 2022 8:42 utc | 209

@207 Whose morale, Chris Owen?

The Russian troops in Kherson surely know the score, and they have faith in their generals or they don't.

Either way, I doubt they are scrolling through YouTube. They have other matters to attend to.

Posted by: Yeah, Right | Sep 6 2022 8:44 utc | 210

whose moral? Mine. Ours. You're quite right that the soldiers on the zero line won't be searching you tube - but what about the millions who are - in Russia, in the west, in China, in Iran. We are all wanting to see right prevail. We are wanting to see this war over and the only way out is a Russian victory.

Posted by: chris owen | Sep 6 2022 8:51 utc | 211

Ukrainian sources have reported that mass desertions have begun from the AFU formations sent to the Kherson front. And we are talking not only about Volkssturm and mobilized fighters, but also fighters trained abroad.

There is no doubt that the order of the Bankova to "dry up the agenda of the "battle for Kherson" by blocking the information on the course of military operations leads to the fact that rumors about the monstrous losses of the Nazis are rapidly spreading. Incidentally, this is also facilitated by the fact that all medical institutions not only in Mykolaiv, but also in Odessa, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhya are full of wounded, and doctors and nurses are being mobilized as far away as Central Ukraine.

The fighters are sure they are being driven to slaughter and are trying not to reach them. The wider the news of the real situation spreads, the more deserters there will be.

@WarDonbass

@Slavyangrad
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/7245

Posted by: unimperator | Sep 6 2022 9:19 utc | 212

chris owen | Sep 6 2022 8:51 utc | 212

Take a wider scope than this so called counteroffensive hour by hour who is winning, what village where etc

RF MOD gives you realist reports everyday

The war is won on a broader front: via political economic and industrial strength and manouevers : the consolidating and expansion of 'allied' co operation in all domains across Asia and the ‘global south’, being careful to give countries, especially China, the time to switch production markets and mindset away from the west

While wearing down the west logisitically

RF is doing real damage (to the west) by weakening economies to the point of surrender - the war is only incidentally in the Ukraine, which is just a show pony – and by building the après guerre now

So while westies have all grown used to live 24/7 as per CNN gloating, this operation is long drawn out and essentially takes place off screen - one can only understand the great changes occuring by not focusing, as the West has so far, on the minutiae

Posted by: Gerrard White | Sep 6 2022 9:20 utc | 213

Having just seen on Telegram the UKR losses in men and materiel recorded by Russian MoD for the Kherson offensive it is hard to understand how they can function losing 152 tanks, 3100 men, 4 fixed-wing planes plus AFVs.............

Then in "Die welt" Petraeus writes how Russia cannot but lose..........and you read he first saw combat aged 52 years old !!! This is surreal - a desk-jockey with no subaltern combat experience - no wonder Douglas MacGregor regards him with abject contempt.

USA is like Argentina - a bloated military to park sons of middle class families in secure employment when they are unsuited for the private sector

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Sep 6 2022 9:24 utc | 214

Paul Greenwood | Sep 6 2022 9:24 utc | 216

You should not insult that fine country Argentina – besides it is not needed for your argument against the US, which is unique in it’s decadence perversions crimes and so on, even England has to play second fiddle here

Agentina is the country, don’t you know, which refers to itself as the last of the tierras no contaminadas, which it is

Posted by: Gerrard White | Sep 6 2022 9:37 utc | 215

Watcher: ‘What do you mean by air superiority.’

‘Superiority’ might be too strong a word. I’d need to re-check the source. Suffice to say that the Russians don’t seem to be offering much by way of aircraft sorties in the area.

Posted by: MrB | Sep 6 2022 9:37 utc | 216

Scuppers: ‘How many? A couple? A few?'

From memory, Ukraine has hit at least half a dozen depots in Crimea, and a couple of airfields, as well as a main bridge and other, smaller bridges.

‘Russia takes out supply depots and aircraft on a daily basis...for 7 months!’; ‘the Ukies are getting annihilated, wiped out, obliterated’.

And yet, despite this months-long daily pounding by the Russians, and an 'obliterated' armed forces, here are the Ukrainians on the offensive.

BTW: if you want to know how big a BTG is, Google is your friend.

Posted by: MrB | Sep 6 2022 9:40 utc | 217

One thing that Scott Ritter seems to miss is that regardless of whether Russia is smashing Ukraine or even could if NATO got directly involved, the US can easily fill the gaps of NATO with arms. They outspend all other countries put together on their military.

Posted by: John | Sep 6 2022 9:41 utc | 218

Going for broke is also a danger when the consequences can be world war. Two few see the warnings of history, especially those who are prepared to plunge humanity into nuclear apocalypse.
https://patternofhistory.wordpress.com/
PS: Thank you B for allowing the link to my free e-book. It is appreciated.

Posted by: peter mcloughlin | Sep 6 2022 9:47 utc | 219

John | Sep 6 2022 9:41 utc | 220
>”US can easily fill the gaps of NATO with arms. “
No.
> “They outspend all other countries put together on their military”.
Yes.
Hey John. A little reading to understand why spending does not equate to capability.
RUSI: https://rusi.org
The Return of Industrial Warfare. 28 June 2022.
Extract:
>The Capacity of the West’s Industrial Base
…………… In short, US annual artillery production would at best only last for 10 days to two weeks of combat in Ukraine.
If the initial estimate of Russian shells fired is over by 50%, it would only extend the artillery supplied for three weeks.
The US is not the only country facing this challenge. In a recent war game involving US, UK and French forces, UK forces exhausted national stockpiles of critical ammunition after eight days.
Unfortunately, this is not only the case with artillery. Anti-tank Javelins and air-defence Stingers are in the same boat.
The US shipped 7,000 Javelin missiles to Ukraine – roughly one-third of its stockpile – with more shipments to come. Lockheed Martin produces about 2,100 missiles a year, though this number might ramp up to 4,000 in a few years. Ukraine claims to use 500 Javelin missiles every day.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Sep 6 2022 10:02 utc | 220

NATOland is very likely going to escalate.

They know only unconditional surrender as a outcome. They truely and honestly believe that although those evil Rooskies are in the short term benefitting from sanctions that in the medium term the Rookie economy will collapse without McDonalds, Netflix, and MasterCard.

NATOland still hasn’t grasped that 85% of the world is against their destructive agenda. NATOland also doesn’t understand that stealing private person’s assets and property located in NATOland is accelerating de-dollarization big time.

That’s why NATOland is going to double down on failure. They will escalate and escalate for years. They will escalate until they cause economic collapse within NATOland. My barroom estimate is this will take at least until 2024, maybe 2025.

Posted by: Exile | Sep 6 2022 10:05 utc | 221

Posted by: Exile | Sep 6 2022 10:05 utc | 223

Theoretically If Nato believes the sanctions are effective and will "collapse the Russian economy", they will not escalate in any way. That includes shipments of the best weapons in Nato arsenal.

This is precisely the largest risk of why an "escalation" will happen. USA is trying to push the balt statelets to do some idiotic provocation out of desperation. Also, it really is a "freebie" for USA. But that is different from SMO, if baltic statelets succeed in doing something causing a car, it will be by a legitimate casus belli recognized by international law. We can hope the neocons will just let it be but that probably won't be the case.

Posted by: unimperator | Sep 6 2022 10:13 utc | 222

"... causing a car" - meant "causing a war"

Posted by: unimperator | Sep 6 2022 10:15 utc | 223

OilPriceCap CounterOffensive – Update

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Russia-Will-Send-More-Oil-To-Asia-After-G7-Price-Cap.html

‘Russia will increase its shipments of oil to Asia after the G7 finance ministers announced a price cap on Russian oil and fuels, to enter into effect from December 5 and February 5, 2023, respectively.

"Any actions to impose a price cap will lead to deficit on (initiating countries') own markets and will increase price volatility," said Russia’s Energy Minister Nikolay Shulginov on the sidelines of the Eastern Economic Forum in Russia’s Far East, as quoted by Reuters.’

I believe ‘price volatility’ most often means price rise

Posted by: Gerrard White | Sep 6 2022 10:24 utc | 224

The OPEC for Gas – Update, or 'How wars are won'

The shift in the balance of power in the oil industry, a long time coming, is matched by a more recent shift, at the initiative of Russia, in the gas industry

The alliance between Russia and Iran, potentially to include Qatar, has the full support and implication of China, with Russia replacing China involvement in certain areas as the article makes clear, and will be perhaps even more telling to the West than Russian influence/dominance in OPEC, and perhaps even more beneficial not only to the sanctioned countries but to the ‘East’ and 'Global South' in general

After all who, in Africa, can invest in military outcomes in Ukraine, when throwing off the burden of neo colonialism is at stake

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Russia-To-Help-Iran-In-Developing-Crucial-Gas-Reserves.html

Posted by: Gerrard White | Sep 6 2022 10:42 utc | 225

High precision long range sea based Kalibr missiles in the area of the settlement of Karpovka, destroyed a large storage of fuel intended for the grouping of Ukrainian troops in the Mykolaiv Krivoy Rog direction.

Posted by: destroyed | Sep 6 2022 10:52 utc | 226

quote: The Ukrainian soldiers are ready to die, and sent to die, and their motivation is called captagon. What the NATO command does to them is truly horrible, a crime against humanity.
Posted by: veto | Sep 5 2022 18:27 utc | 94
endquote:

https://www.newsweek.com/drugs-captagon-islamic-state-jihad-war-amphetamines-saudi-arabia-608233

anyone know if there's any truth in this? any more info?

Posted by: abrogard | Sep 6 2022 11:02 utc | 227

I see the Baud syndrome has re-emerged.

Baud is NATO. Baud speaks with forked tongue and neatly fragmented memory.

Baud is not plausible but he seems believable to those in need of a fraud upon which to assemble their incredible castle of lies.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Sep 6 2022 1:26 utc | 161

Given what uncle tungsten usually posts, I assume that some yenwoda clone has grabbed his nick and wrote the stuff above.

Baud has backed everything he stated up with officially available quotes and sources. Furthermore, as opposed to anyone else on here (I assume), he has first hand experience with all the machinations at work.

Posted by: CM of Berlin | Sep 6 2022 11:19 utc | 228

To: Norwegian | Sep 6 2022 6:33 utc | 200

@Don Bacon | Sep 6 2022 2:28 utc | 167

How the heck is Russia getting its logistics (ammo, food, etc) across the river -- any news on that?

Railway bridge ..

... pontoon bridges ...

---

Is the big airport near Kherson operational? Any others? What about Mil Mi-26 transport helicopters, they are still produced, how many of them do they have? So in other words, what about an air bridge as a last resort?

Posted by: C | Sep 6 2022 11:31 utc | 229

@ 193

"The Ukrainians have air superiority in the Kherson region. They have precision missiles to take out railways, bridges, roads, barges, etc."

In the Kherson sector, the Russians enjoy massive superiority in heavy artillery, rocketry, missiles, and fighter aircraft. Even the Ukrainian General Staff and its Western MSM cheerleaders acknowledge so (albeit reluctantly).

Anything the Ukrainians are doing to the Russians right now, the Russians are able to do to the Ukrainians, and to a far greater degree.

Based on your comments, I suspect you are a little too quick to buy into Western MSM reports on the war. You should use a jaundiced eye when reading those "news" articles.

Posted by: GW | Sep 6 2022 11:42 utc | 230

@ 193

"The Ukrainians have air superiority in the Kherson region. They have precision missiles to take out railways, bridges, roads, barges, etc."

In the Kherson sector, the Russians enjoy massive superiority in heavy artillery, rocketry, missiles, and fighter aircraft. Even the Ukrainian General Staff and its Western MSM cheerleaders acknowledge so (albeit reluctantly).

Anything the Ukrainians are doing to the Russians right now, the Russians are able to do to the Ukrainians, and to a far greater degree.

Based on your comments, I suspect you are a little too quick to buy into Western MSM reports on the war. You should use a jaundiced eye when reading those "news" articles.

Posted by: GW | Sep 6 2022 11:42 utc | 231

@231

In the short-term Russia has plenty of supplies in and around Kherson, three to five weeks worth with heavy fighting.

In the longer term resupply could become an issue, impeding logistics while forcing Russia to burn through its supplies is the longer term strategy, it is certainly a better option than a full on frontal assault followed by urban fighting.

If Ukrainian forces can keep up the pressure, and that is a pretty big if considering the heavy losses with little progress, Russia is going to have to figure it out.

Airlift works for some things, but not for the shear amount of ammo, fuel and food required for that size force.

I'd say a combination of air lift, pontoon, the rail bridge, boats and the main bridge for smaller stuff.

Posted by: Haassaan | Sep 6 2022 11:54 utc | 232

I fully agree that the Empire of Lies and Delusions will feel compelled to double down and escalate, but what escalatory options are available to them? Do keep in mind that the imperial heartlands of America have been largely deindustrialized, and what industry remains in the US is over-optimized. This is to say there is no margin available in manufacturing capacity to increase production except in the long term, which is measured in years (I would say decades). Melaleuca @222 details this above.

So the Empire escalating with conventional arms is problematic, to say the least. You can point out that the US has invested many $trillions building up its military forces but the majority of that has gone into luxury weapons systems with huge profit margins for the private sector suppliers. The amount of budget resources being consumed by big-ticket items like stealth aircraft, nuke submarines, and aircraft carriers boggles the mind and starves the rest of the military of funding.

Building up manufacturing capacity and the necessary supply chains to support increased arms procurement isn't something that can be done in the short term simply by throwing money at the problem. Factories must be built and workers trained. Recall how long it took for the US to increase disposable mask production for the pandemic, and remember that was an all-hands-on-deck emergency with massive rewards for whoever delivered first and note that assembling a HIMARS missile system is a bit more involved than attaching a couple elastic bands to a piece of filter paper.

Hopefully one can see that the ability of the Empire to produce industrial quantities of conventional weapons is severely constrained and "...the US can easily fill the gaps of NATO with arms..." is not even remotely a realistic claim. This leaves the US with only the options of using its existing weapons stockpiles, which means aircraft and ships, or going with unconventional weapons (nukes and bioweapons).

There is, however, one aspect the conflict that the Empire of Lies and Delusions can rapidly deploy and expand, and we can see that aspect right here in the MoA discussion threads. Propaganda.

I am often found in these discussions lamenting the radical decline in interest in STEM educations among domestic students in the US and the rise of interest in courses of study that are little more than Special Education for adults; courses of study like business administration, journalism, and grievance group studies. As a result of these tragic trends, what could be called the American workforce is now filled with people trained for nothing more than bullshitting their way through term papers on topics they have no actual interest in. Just google for some items that seems to support one's assigned point, connect those items with bland verbiage, run it through grammar and spell check, and call it done.

Perfect social media trolls, in other words!

And what is best about these people trained for trollery is that they have also now been acclimated to working the "gig economy" (what we older folks used to disparagingly refer to as "piecework"). They are dirt cheap! You can hire an army of them for wages that won't even cover the cost of housing and food!

So now you know where trollwoda and friends come from.

When Biden signs off on more $billions for the Empire's war in the Ukraine, that money cannot be spent on new HIMARS missiles that production capacity does not exist for. You have to know a fair chunk is being sunk into marketing the war since that is something America can do right now. Thus the incessant FUD and fairy tales.

But FUD and fairy tales cannot stop an artillery barrage. All that FUD and fairy tales can accomplish is keeping deluded fools marching into the meat grinder for the Empire.

I wonder if trollwoda & Co. are please with their role in the extermination of Ukronian cyborgs? Or perhaps they have a conscience and feel guilty? Nah, probably not.

Posted by: William Gruff | Sep 6 2022 12:13 utc | 233

The fog of war has confused my perception of what is going on. What I see for sure in all this fog is that Ukraine is mounting an offensive mainly in the Kherson region. It appears that the AFU may be suffering heavy losses but still continue to attack towards victory.

I think it best to wait at least a few days to see if the fog has dissipated. Maybe, then we can more clearly.

Posted by: young | Sep 6 2022 12:25 utc | 234

@Haassaan #234, good post. I have the same general sense - Russian command isn't dumb and the bridges have been targeted for a while now, it's just prudent to stockpile a good amount of supply on the north side. Won't last forever but also Russia can "live off the land" for a while for food and even diesel, ammo not so much.

Posted by: Yenwoda | Sep 6 2022 12:34 utc | 235

Posted by: young | Sep 6 2022 12:25 utc | 236

well, you're right about the incurring heavy losses part, don't know where you get the attacking toward victory part. like you say, wait a few days.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Sep 6 2022 12:36 utc | 236

Nostradamus | Sep 5 2022 13:59 utc | 41

G'day Nostradamus,
If you live up to your title you'll know that Russia is conducting the SMO to cleanse the Ukraine of the Khazarian Mafia and all its minions and enablers. That task has been delayed for millennia and has become urgent.

It requires securing Ukraine's nuclear weapons production facilities, and eradicating all it's bio-warfare labs, child and adult sex trafficking, torture and adrenochrome production, money laundering, gun running and drug trafficking facilities. The denazification and demilitarisation of ALL of Ukraine is necessary for that to be done.

Russia will achieve those goals and in the process it will denazify and demilitarise NATO and the EU. Russia's superior weaponary will ensure that should NATO seek to go nuclear it will be instantly defeated. This outcome must occur if our world isn't to disappear up its own fundamental orifice. Those who sneer at and reject Russia's righteous actions on behalf of humanity are free to do so in this free will world; and to wander in the woods in their own imaginary world... for as long as it lasts.

Russia will ultimately lead all of Europe and north Eurasia into a peaceful multinational, multipolar future in alliance with China, the BRICS and the US, which will be under new management.

Posted by: Ron Chapman | Sep 6 2022 12:36 utc | 237

Posted by: georgeg | Sep 5 2022 20:52 utc | 115

OK - found it.


https://twitter.com/AVindman/status/1564788470320619520

I don't see the claim of UA seizing "Kherson" (city? oblast?)

2:02 - Vindman claims UA has had enormous casualties, lost 30-40% of their company grade officers, lieutenants and captains - those who are doing the fighting right now"

"Kherson could take UA several months."

Posted by: daffyDuct | Sep 6 2022 12:57 utc | 238

"attack towards victory"

There will be no victory for the Ukrainian Nazi regime. The only thing the FUD and fairy tales will achieve is more dead Ukrainians.

But you don't actually care about the Ukrainians who are dying for your ego anyway.

Posted by: William Gruff | Sep 6 2022 13:00 utc | 239

"attack toward victory" = Westmoreland's "light at the end of the tunnel" during the Vietnam War.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Sep 6 2022 13:16 utc | 240

The Chinese are missing a great military opportunity to gain priceless military operational combat experience in Ukraine like the Russians gained in Syria. China should deploy some of it's combat land and aviation forces to Ukraine to train how deal with NATO/US military forces and tactics that will be used against China during the conquest of Taiwan.

Posted by: ptownpt | Sep 6 2022 13:47 utc | 241

Russia Admits Weaponization Of Gas, Halts NS1 Shipments "Until Sanctions Lifted" As EU Prepares Response To Energy Crisis

The take away quote


Putin is done playing around.

Two days after Russia indefinitely halted nat gas supplies via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline for the amusing reason that there was an "oil leak" (shown below)...

... on Monday Russia finally admitted what everyone has known since February - namely that it has weaponized commodities in response to the West's weaponization of currencies (as Zoltan Pozsar has said all along),when the Kremlin said that Russia’s gas supplies to Europe via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline will not resume in full until [Bold added--DL] the “collective west” lifts sanctions against Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Sep 6 2022 3:21 utc | 175

The title of this article is deceptive: it ignores the qualification "in full" on the phrase "will not resume."

Taking that qualification into account, the Kremlin's statement seems significant only in the absence of technological obstacles to bringing Nord Stream 1 back up to 100% of capacity. (I haven't been able to find out when Nord Stream 1 was most recently delivering at 100% of capacity, but perhaps someone at MoA recalls.)

Posted by: David Levin | Sep 6 2022 14:43 utc | 242

William Gruff @235--

Thanks for explaining the lack of ammo/arms production issue as that's implicitly included in my analysis.

Yes, FUD volleys are useless to deter genuine artillery barrages; but as you accuse, those trolls don't give a damn about anyone but themselves, and even that's debatable.

As myself and Escobar have noted, Vladivostok is where the action is this week. All the yelping coming from the West is meant to keep people from looking at what's happening everywhere else.

Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 6 2022 15:52 utc | 243

Ukraine’s and NATO’s dilemma is that they spent eight years preparing for a war and ended up faced with the Russian Federation’s “Special Military Operation”, which is being executed according to their own objectives, their own speed, and their own tactics.

It should be clearly understood that the Russian Federation no longer gives a larches’ fart what the West thinks and this is what is driving the various idiots (some of them appearing here at MoA) insane right now.

So, what has actually happened is that the Ukrainians “gave a war” and nobody came. What did come was a Russian Federation operation, which has been clearly achieving the goals of demilitarizing and de-nazifying Ukraine while bleeding the West dry of weapons, finances and lastly the motivation to continue.

As many here at MoA have observed, winter is coming and it will be hard not only on Ukrainian conscripts, but on Europeans themselves, who have chosen this particular form of foreign policy and economic Seppuku for unexplainable reasons.

In the long run, which can now be measured in months and not years, the U.S. special version of its own Seppuku and programmed demise will mark the end of the empire it sought to create and failed to achieve due to hubris, self-declared exceptionalism, deep ignorance, and general idiocy.

Here in Europe, we are going to freeze this winter. We are going to suffer deeply and beyond comprehension. But we will somehow make it.

The U.S. is going to other places from which it will never return.

Goodbye and don’t come back.

Posted by: GreyRaven | Sep 6 2022 19:04 utc | 244

I see the Baud syndrome has re-emerged.

Baud is NATO. Baud speaks with forked tongue and neatly fragmented memory.

Baud is not plausible.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Sep 6 2022 1:26 utc | 161


Could you please give an example of the "forked tongue" and why is he not plausible? You must be much better oriented than myself, because I thought Baud was "straight".

Posted by: fanto | Sep 7 2022 1:05 utc | 245

This is a great site. Lots of decent commentary.

It was surprising that no one mentioned the initial horror obtained by women and Children due to Uke nazis shelling of Donbass. There was also no reference to the hx and/or background of the Banderas and/or their killing of around 150,000 mostly women and children, as the men were in slav labour camps (east and West).

Posted by: bronek | Sep 7 2022 17:06 utc | 246

@William Haught

Who did you listen to, Alexander Mercouris? I follow him, TheNewAtlas and Military Summary for war news on YouTube.

Posted by: Tenet | Sep 5 2022 16:22 utc | 77

At the moment, it was the other Alex, video on Telegram. Sometimes I tune in to Mercouris, Berletic, Andrei Martyanov, Jeff J Brown and James Bradley (JB West and JB East), Dane Wigington (Geoengineering Watch.org and its Global Alert News program aired Saturday morning and later posted to J'tube), and undoubtly a few more I missed.

https://t.me/The_Duran
https://t.me/thedurancom
https://t.me/alexchristoforouofficial
https://www.youtube.com/c/AlexChristoforou/videos
Duran also on J'tube.

Posted by: William Haught | Sep 7 2022 19:57 utc | 247

Baud is straight , as straight up as they come.

Posted by: Buford T Justice | Sep 12 2022 9:32 utc | 248

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