Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
September 23, 2022
Historic Context Of The Referenda In Ukraine

Voting for membership in the Russian Federation has started in four oblast of Ukraine:

Russian proxy officials in four regions — Donetsk and Luhansk in the east, and Kherson and Zaporizka in the south — earlier this week announced plans to hold referendums over four days beginning on Friday. Russia controls nearly all of two of the four regions, Luhansk and Kherson, but only a fraction of the other two, Zaporizka and Donetsk.

Ukrainian officials have dismissed the voting as grotesque theater — staging polls in cities laid to waste by Russian forces and abandoned by most residents.

President Volodymyr Zelensky thanked Ukraine’s allies for their steadfast support and said “the farce” of “sham referenda” would do nothing to change his nation’s fight to drive Russia from Ukraine.

The Ukrainian regime has resorted to pure terrorism to prevent the votes from happening:

Ukrainian partisans, sometimes working with special operations forces, have blown up warehouses holding ballots and buildings where Russian proxy officials preparing for the vote held meetings. Ukrainian officials have acknowledged that they are engaged in a campaign to assassinate key Russian administration officials; more than a dozen have been blown up, shot and poisoned, according to Ukrainian and Russian officials.

Such behavior by the Zelenski regime against its still Ukrainian compatriots will only encourage the people in the four oblast to vote for an alignment with Russia.

The propaganda in the 'west' will declare that the vote is irregular and that the results, likely to be pro-Russian, will be fake.

But a view on historic election outcomes since Ukrainian independence in 1991 show clear geographic preferences in east and south Ukraine for pro-Russian policies:



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The graphic above is from research published by the Eurasian Research Institute of the International Hoca Ahmet Yesevi Turkish-Kazakh University. Its author writes:

As we can see, the have always been a clear-cut geographical split in the way the regions of Ukraine vote for particular candidates. The East and West division or also referred as Southeast and Northwest division was always present throughout the electoral history of the independent Ukraine. It is conventionally believed that the eastern part of Ukraine is more influenced by Russia politically, economically and culturally. Therefore, the presidential candidates proposing more pro-Russian agenda usually gain much more political support in eastern regions than in other parts of Ukraine. On the other hand, the western part of the country has traditionally been more pro-European with strong reference to traditional core Ukrainian ethnic traditions and values. Consequently, presidential candidates with pro-European political agenda and traditional Ukrainian appeal usually had strong support in western regions of the country. It is interesting to note that preferences of the electorate were not related to the geographical origin or background of the presidential candidates and any candidate could easily become popular in the east as well as in the west. Moreover, the same candidate could be both pro-eastern and pro-western in different periods of time as did Leonid Kuchma in 1994 and 1999, who is the only Ukrainian president to serve two consecutive terms from 1994 to 2005.

The division is consistent with ethnic and linguistic differences between those parts of Ukraine.


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In 2014, after the violent fascist coup in Kiev, one of the first laws implemented by the new government removed the Russian language from official use. Instead of overcoming the differences between its people it only sealed the predominant split in Ukraine.

The election promise of the current Ukrainian president Vladimir Zelenski to make peace with the Russia aligned rebellious Donbas region by adhering to the Minsk 2 agreements was rewarded with a large share of southeastern votes for his presidency. However, after having been threatened with death by fascists, Zelenski has made a 180 degree turn and has since posed as Ukrainian nationalist. In consequence he has lost all support in southeastern Ukraine.

The southeastern parts of today's Ukraine have for centuries been part of the central Russian empire. They were only attached to the Soviet Republic of Ukraine under Lenin's rule in 1922 and, in the case of Crimea, in 1954 under Nikita Khrushchev who himself had grown up in the Donbas region.


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A likely high turnout and majority vote for membership in the Russian Federation will only correct the historic misalignment created by those illogical transfers.

Comments

@aristodemos
17:12 utc | 173
Agreed. Referenda in (future) western breakaway parts of 404 are the only way in accordance with international law. I was just wondering how these referenda will be good, while those in Novorossia are depicted as bad.
Sep 23 2022 17:02 utc | 168
“…German policy was not to exterminate Jews…”
Here is the timeline missing. Before 1933: true. Just one example is Albert Einstein.
After 1933: Dead wrong. As you start your post with “…once the NSDAP took over in Germany…”, it made me think you mean the Third Reich. Do you? If so, I recommend Victor Klemperer’s book “Language of the Third Reich” (download here), a heart wrenching diary of one of the few Jews who survived on German soil with the help of his (massively harassed) Aryan wife. The book has also one chapter about Zionism (which he strongly opposes, just as Einstein, Hannah Arendt and many more). The main subject of the book is an analysis of the propaganda language and methods (Klemperer was a linguistic univeristy dean). Much of which we can witness today in our MSM and speeches of politicians.

Posted by: OttoE | Sep 23 2022 18:30 utc | 201

@S #58
According to zyri.net, it’s as follows:
In the self-proclaimed republics of Donetsk and Luhansk, the question is: “Do you support the incorporation of the republic in the Russian Federation with the rights of an entity of the Russian Federation?”
In the Kherson and Zaporiya regions it is: “Are you in favor of the region leaving Ukraine, creating a sovereign state and joining the Russian Federation?”
Yes/No questions, not “Enthusiastically Yes/Okay, yes” as some have tried to portray it.
(never heard of zyri.net, but the search results were a flood of “sham”, “illegal”, and the like. Even the ones not quite so rabid failed to specify the wording).

Posted by: T_Reg | Sep 23 2022 18:31 utc | 202

When I grew up in ordinary schools in Oldham in the 1950’s and 1960’s free to get in and free school milk, the vast majority of us were English, but around 15% of us had surnames, that were quite long, and different some of which I can still remember…mostly from Poland and some from Hungary
They were my best friends
I guess they were mostly Catholic, and some Jewish
I could never tell the difference myself
But They didn’t like Nazi’s, and neither did My Dad and I.
Now, I find The Nazi’s are Back. Now in control of both the UK and USA, and Most of Western Europe, Australia, New Zealand, and much of the rest of the World.
I can hardly blame the Russians, but that is where most of them came from after World War 2
The Russians kicked them out.
Now we have got them.
They have infiltrated all our Governments, and major institutions
The Evil NAZI Slime is Now in control of us.
How do we RESIST?
They are now trying to Freeze and Starve us To Death.
The vast majority of people will not be able to afford to keep their home warm and eat, even if they think they are middle class.
The UK Government have been exceedingly deceptive, about the average ordinary family – 2 adults and 2 kids energy bill capped at £2500
My quote from British Gas was close to £6700.
We are two Old Age Pensioners, with Grandkids around about half of the time.
How are we supposed to afford that and eat?
Tony

Posted by: Tony_0pmoc | Sep 23 2022 18:34 utc | 203

I’m very confident that the voting in the 4 republics will be as honest and fair as the voting in the 2020 US Presidential Election.

Posted by: WTFUD | Sep 23 2022 18:40 utc | 204

@Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 18:28 utc | 205

I thought they already declared independence on February 22nd and Duma and President P made an agreement to both recognize them as independent states and moreover support them.

Donetsk and Lugansk did. Kherson and Zaporizhia has not yet declared independence, so they need to do that now and then immediately join Russia.

Posted by: Norwegian | Sep 23 2022 18:41 utc | 205

@ Yenwoda | Sep 23 2022 16:31 utc | 151
It’s interesting how in the last month “UN” rapporteurs have produced virtually identical findings on Xinjiang, Venezuela, and now Ukraine without having found a moment to discuss Palestine or Yemen, for example.
I can’t help but notice that the reports are devoid of physical evidence and rely entirely on interviews conducted with interested parties and supposed victims, ie. the Uigher advocacy group based outside of China, the dispossessed former elites and oligarchs of Venezuela, and the individuals proffered by the Keiv regime.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, what is also missing is any sort of rational motive for the alleged criminals to do what they are accused of. Seems like a lot of effort expended for no benefit.

Posted by: Figleaf23 | Sep 23 2022 18:42 utc | 206

so if maybe, just maybe the russians now acklownedged that they should be totally erased ( I mean kinda all of em)

how might that play out?

Posted by: Macpott | Sep 23 2022 18:44 utc | 207

I was just thinking about the referenda in the captured oblasts and wondering why Russia moved ahead with them before liberating Odessa and Kharkiv, and a thought clicked for me.
Kharkiv would obviously be a key security objective as it’s closest to Moscow, but it is the least ‘Russian’ of the eastern oblasts, and might not be a shoo-in for an accession referendum. Odessa is the most ‘Russia’ oblast and can be relied on to vote for accession if given the chance without being militarily captured.
Successful referenda in areas that are not under military control would be important legitimization victories for Russia, so my assessment is that Russia hopes those oblasts will someday be given that opportunity. The withdrawal from Kharkiv has conveniently given the people there the chance directly experience the nature of the Keiv regime so they will have a full appreciation when they get their chance to vote.

Posted by: Figleaf23 | Sep 23 2022 18:57 utc | 208

Right now we have a game of chicken between Russia and the US. Will Russia dare to draw US blood? What will the US do in response? I believe that, given the neocons in charge of US foreign policy, Russia WILL have to draw US blood to bring this conflict to an end. The danger is that this necessity brings with it the very real risk of the annhilation of the species.
Posted by: WJ | Sep 23 2022 14:30 utc | 91
Great summary, thanks, but you left me wishing you had better defined ‘US blood.’ If it is mercenaries in U, I don’t think they count. Nor satellites, drones or the occasional instructor embedded with a drone-controlling trailer in a Kiev parking lot. Nor of course Ukrainians.
It seems to me that the ONLY way RF can win on the ground in Ukraine is if and when the US empire loses the will to dominate abroad because as long as they have the means they will keep sponsoring mayhem in Ukraine. If RF starts bombing financial centers in the City, Zurich (no longer neutral finally, note!) and Wall St, that will prompt nuclear response because a military one is not available. So, if RF attacks remain within Ukrainian territory then only Western financial and political collapse will stop the conflict there. As long as the West is standing there is no way a military conquest of Ukraine can buy either their population or the RF alliance peace.
I believe RF is well aware of this which is why they have been going so slow on the SMO. In a way, the less territory they hold there the better for the less there is to defend whilst maintaining their steady attrition of the opposing forces with minimal casualties. Because this must go on for years to be effective geopolitically.
Consider: if they were to suddenly capture Ukraine with overwhelming force and magically exile all dissenters they still would be subject to unending attacks from without and subterfuge from within and so the same dilemma as now would remain: in order to stop such attacks they would have to attack London, NY, Zurich etc. which leads to …….
So they need to take as little as possible whilst waiting for the geopolitical anaconda now squeezing the West to get it to stop struggling. Will take a long time. The problem is recently that the militia in Donetsk Peoples’ Republic was about to break after too long in the field with too little support. So RF has to step in to shore up that zone in order to provide long overdue relief. This entails are far more aggressive military exercise so bringing them into the RF fold finally (after refusing to do so for 8 years and counting causing much suffering to the Donbassians) makes that logistically and legally far easier. So yes, the gloves are coming off now, but probably mainly within that theatre near Donetsk, not world wide unless there is no choice.
Once Donbass is absorbed and secured the long, slow war of attrition will continue. And since both sides want it, there is little reason to believe they won’t get what they want. It is a type of phony war imo though of course real people are dying in it every day. But they will mainly die near the four oblasts now in contention since that also suits both sides the best.
Not for nothing does the word Ukraine mean ‘borderlands.’ Perfect place for an endless war.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:00 utc | 209

NemesisCalling@184
Once again you make the claim, which nobody who is not a Nazi believes, that the Soviet Union was about to attack Germany before Barbarossa.
The only reason for bothering to refute this lie is that it is motivated not by a desire to improve historical knowledge but in order to rehabilitate Nazism and Hitler.
If one accepts the neo-Nazi thesis then Hitler, fighting to defend his people from unprovoked aggression becomes a hero not spotless but at least doing his best against incredible odds. Defending ‘western civilisation’ etc etc. And anything happening in consequence- the Holocaust for example- becomes incidental, understandable perhaps in the heat of total war with a nation fighting for its survival while shielding its weaker western brethren.
Now, in retrospect all the crypto fascists in Europe and America are discovered to have been right: What a pity that Churchill was not replaced! What a tragedy that the UK did not have its own Petain! Too bad that there were no Concentration Camps in the Midlands where the socialists and Trade unionists- Stalin’s useful idiots- could have been beaten to death, together with the Jews, Gypsies and mentally ill, the homosexuals and kids with autism!
The truth is not only that the Soviet Union was caught unawares by Barbarossa- just as the entire operation intended that it should be- but that eighty years on the matter is of no interest except to those seeking to re-establish the regime Hitler set up.
Only Nazis put forward the lie, which there is no evidence (as Nemesis’ posts prove) to support, unless one accepts the defence pleas of those involved in the crimes of Barbarossa as the truth, that the Soviet Union, in effect, started the war and that the Germans (poor innocent lambkins) were the victims of gross betrayal who were lucky to survive a planned surprise attack.
I post this as a warning to those who might be tempted to engage with this trolling from the fuhrerbunker- don’t bother: Operation Barbarossa almost succeeded, it was carefully planned, employed forces well assembled and cleverly hidden (forces which included thousands of horses), involved complex logistics and massive use of camouflage. There is no way on earth that it could have been or was an inspired response to a suddenly anticipated attack.

Posted by: bevin | Sep 23 2022 19:03 utc | 210

This morning the euro is at $0.97. The pound sterling is $1.09. Only beginning. Correct rate for either is “we don’t accept those.”
Posted by: oldhippie | Sep 23 2022 14:39 utc | 96
Looks like at some point they will have a Western CBDC unit and it helps if Euro, Pound and Dollar are all at par. Give the pound a little time (ambrose pritchards I believe is predicting further fall) and we’ll get there. Mexico is also said to be ‘researching’ this and they have been holding steady at around 20 to the $ since covid so…
First we need some sort of collapse though before they can effect their rescue of choice…

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:08 utc | 211

I was just thinking about the referenda in the captured oblasts and wondering why Russia moved ahead with them before liberating Odessa and Kharkiv, and a thought clicked for me.
Posted by: Figleaf23 | Sep 23 2022 18:57 utc | 213

A key part of it is sending the message to people living in Ukraine now that if Russia goes further it will be there to stay.
After the betrayal in Kharkov (which is in fact very Russian outside the city itself, which started to de-Russify only recently too) that was extremely important.
And not just for the pro-Russian people who are keeping the fact that they are pro-Russian to themselves.
The history here is very important. Two fundamental facts in particular:
1) This is the borderlands (literally, the name means that too), and identity has not been very stable for a very long time. The fact that a mere 10-15 years of super-intense propaganda preceded by another 15 years of less intense propaganda managed to produce the fanaticism you see now even outside the core hardcore Banderistan area around Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk is a testament to that.
If you wanna go deeper, the whole thing exists because of the desire of some second-rate 19th century intellectuals to be national heroes, which they would never have been in Russia because they were second rate while Russia already had plenty of first-rate ones of its own. Which was then exploited by the Austrians for their own purposes. And then the Bolsheviks had to make political compromises to keep control over territory while themselves hating “Russian chauvinism”.
But that works both ways — what has been done in a couple generations can be reversed in another two given sufficiently strong pressure.
2) Ukraine is corrupt. Super-mega-giga-hyper corrupt. Once it becomes clear that the Russian bear has come to take back what belongs to it, and it will not back down no matter the cost, and that the war is turning in its favor, you can expect local elites to start switching sides. Then we will hopefully get more Kherson and Melitopol (i.e. peaceful surrender) and fewer Mariupols and Bakhmut situations (i.e. long sieges and major destruction).

Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 19:13 utc | 212

For historical context..
There is almost nothing “Anglo” or English about them
“Lev Davidovich Bronstein[b] (7 November [O.S. 26 October] 1879 – 21 August 1940), better known as Leon Trotsky[c] (/ˈtrɒtski/),[2] was a Russian-Ukrainian Marxist revolutionary, political theorist and politician. Ideologically a Marxist, his developments to the ideology are called Trotskyism.
Born to a wealthy Ukrainian-Jewish family in Yanovka (now Bereslavka), Trotsky embraced Marxism after moving to Mykolaiv in 1896. In 1898, he was arrested for revolutionary activities and subsequently exiled to Siberia. He escaped from Siberia in 1902 and moved to London, where he befriended Vladimir Lenin.
https://www.voltairenet.org/article217976.html
Extract
“The EU brought to its knees by the Straussians
by Thierry Meyssan
A US grouping, constituted around the thought of the philosopher Leo Strauss, controls from now on both the Secretariat of Defense and the Secretariat of State. After having organized many wars since those of Yugoslavia, they imagined the one in Ukraine. It is now manipulating the European Union and is preparing to deprive it of energy sources. If European leaders do not open their eyes, their alliance with Washington will lead to the collapse of the Union’s economy. There is no point in believing that Europeans will be spared because they are developed. The Straussians wrote, as early as 1992, that they would not hesitate to destroy Germany and the EU.
Beginning in 1949, the German Jewish philosopher Leo Strauss taught at the University of Chicago. He soon formed a small group of Jewish disciples from among his students. He taught them orally, which was quite different from his writings. According to him, the democracies had shown their inability to protect the Jews from the Nazi final solution. To prevent this tragedy from happening again and the hammer from falling on them, his disciples had to be on the other side of the handle.
He advised them to build their own dictatorship.
Organizing his followers, Leo Strauss called them his “hoplites” (soldiers of Sparta). He trained them to disrupt the classes of some of his fellow teachers.
Several of the members of this sect have held very high positions in the United States and Israel. The operation and ideology of this grouping were the subject of controversy after the attacks of September 11, 2001. An abundant literature has opposed the supporters and opponents of the philosopher. However, the facts are indisputable [1].
Anti-Semitic authors have wrongly lumped together Straussians, Jewish communities in the Diaspora and the State of Israel. However, the ideology of Leo Strauss was never discussed in the Jewish world before 9/11. From a sociological point of view, it is a sectarian phenomenon, not at all representative of Jewish culture. However, in 2003, Benjamin Netanyahu’s “revisionist Zionists” made a pact with the US Straussians, in the presence of other Israeli leaders [2]. This alliance was never made public.
One of the characteristics of this group is that they are ready for anything. For example, they wanted to return Iraq to the stone age. This is indeed what they did. For them, all sacrifices are possible, including for themselves, as long as they remain the first; not the best, the first [3]!

Posted by: tonyopmoc | Sep 23 2022 19:15 utc | 213

This article by Thierry Meyssan is full of revealing contextual and contemporary information.
https://www.voltairenet.org/article217976.html
Including…..
“….The process of decrepitude of the European Union will continue as long as no one dares to oppose it. To everyone’s surprise, a first pro-Russian demonstration was held on September 3 in Prague. The police admitted to 70,000 people (for a country of 10 million), but there were probably many more. Political commentators despise them and consider them “Putin’s useful idiots”. But these insults do not mask the unease of European elites…”

Posted by: Paul GV | Sep 23 2022 19:18 utc | 214

@ robespyros | Sep 23 2022 17:27 utc | 185
An excellent point. I think Keiv’s threat against any voting must indicate they felt no hope whatsoever of winning any of the referenda. I personally wondered if the vote was a sure thing in Zaporhizia, but the Keivistanis must know best how despised they are.

Posted by: Figleaf23 | Sep 23 2022 19:19 utc | 215

So they need to take as little as possible whilst waiting for the geopolitical anaconda now squeezing the West to get it to stop struggling. Will take a long time.
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:00 utc | 214

It’s far from certain that this is the case and open conflict would not achieve that outcome more quickly and effectively.
Open conflict means you shut down all raw resource exports to the West and force them to go cold turkey.
If the Chinese want to help and stop exports of finished goods, you can make it even more devastating, the question is whether the Chinese economy can survive that, but for a few months on wartime footing they probably could.
That would send the West into a Mad Max scenario within months given their lack of domestic sources for critical commodities, just-in-time supply chains and the extent of deindustrialization there.
If anything, slow escalation has brought us close to a nuclear war.

Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 19:22 utc | 216

@ 202 Rudi
Before the revolution, Lenin had promised the Ukrainian-Nationalists autonomy to grease the skids.
One can infer that all that was needed by Lenin and the Bolsheviks during this consolidation of leadership phase of the early revolution was acquiescence to the communist party.
It was a slow-creep then, where Lenin’s ascendancy mirrored the steady-implosion of first the Tsar and then the liberal cabinet and interim government.
One of the great lessons here is to remember the empty-promises of communism. Where Lenin might have had an affinity for the plight of the Ukrainian-Nationlists, his successor might not have felt the same.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Sep 23 2022 19:23 utc | 217

So, according to the last map, the referenda are just starting to fix the artificial construct built by Lenin, in 1922.

Posted by: Poison Frogs | Sep 23 2022 19:23 utc | 218

Unfortunately it appears the wheels are coming off this “Special Operation” precisely because the Russian leadership are, unlike the Americans, too afraid to do shock and awe. The result is the constant humiliation of the Russian military. The leadership in Kiev remain of course untouched and doubtless unconcerned in their persons, yet they ceaselessly accuse Russia of the grossest inhumanity *and* incompetence.
It seems clear at this point that Russia should never have invaded, rather it should have fortified Crimea and invested in a Black Sea fleet capable in itself of dealing Ukrainian offensive capabilities massive and neutralizing blows. The fact that Odessa was allowed to be turned into a fortress by the Ukrainians is madness.
The entire Ukrainian litoral should have been rendered defenseless by the Russian airforce, following which a cordon sanitaire, in the German fashion, built to secure Crimea and its fleet. Fortress Crimea should have been the byword since the beginning. A dagger pointed unshakeably in the direction of any potentially hostile Kievan leadership.

Posted by: Sylvanus | Sep 23 2022 19:25 utc | 219

If obscene comic and dyed in the wool Nazi Zelensky thinks the voting is a sham and means nothing to the glorious Ukrainian victory to come, then why does he launch so many attacks, terrorist shellings and missiles against those exercising their freedom to vote?

Posted by: WT Baker | Sep 23 2022 19:27 utc | 220

Posted by: Sylvanus | Sep 23 2022 19:25 utc | 224
if u want to see more shock and awe than now, gimme an example ,)

Posted by: Macpott | Sep 23 2022 19:30 utc | 221

@ Sylvanus | Sep 23 2022 19:25 utc | 224
You’ve been watching too many Hollywood movies.
A war is a long and dirty business, not a flick for an hour and a half attention span. Shock and Awe does nothing but unnecessary destruction. The real war means grinding down your enemy in the front while re-building in the back. IN THE SAME TIME. This is what the Russians are doing.

Posted by: Poison Frogs | Sep 23 2022 19:39 utc | 222

@ 202 Rudi
Addendum
Yes, it is interesting, thinking about your post more.
One can see that the agricultural side of Ukraine, in the west, leans more towards nationalism while the eastern, industrial side to Russia.
This can still tell us a lot about the motivations of each side and their alliance with nationalism and then in the east with the Soviets.
I am reminded of Jefferson’s writings where he spoke about a kind of pastoral idealism within the idea of his Jeffersonian-democracies: the Jeffersonians were vehemontly against urban industry and factory workers…to them it debased the soul.
We can gather more about the current Ukrainian motivations against Russia within this context. And it is a hell of a lot more informing than the crappy “muh Nazi!” narrative peddled around here by old-leftists.
That being said, I do not believe the Russians are acting in the interest of Soviet Revanchism, currently. On the other hand, I do believe the western Ukrainians are acting in the interest of western Jewish finance. But that is our Satanic-overlords MO isn’t it? To bury history and divert us into the black-and-white of democracy versus evil autocrats like Putin.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Sep 23 2022 19:41 utc | 223

Looks like at some point they will have a Western CBDC unit and it helps if Euro, Pound and Dollar are all at par. Give the pound a little time (ambrose pritchards I believe is predicting further fall) and we’ll get there. Mexico is also said to be ‘researching’ this and they have been holding steady at around 20 to the $ since covid so…
First we need some sort of collapse though before they can effect their rescue of choice…
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:08 utc | 216

I agree that “financial reset” is the inevitable endgame here and various entities are jockeying for position. The speed with which all major currencies are devaluing against the USD is scary, to say the least. Particularly in light of the de-dollarization movement.
As for a shared CBDC, I doubt that will be the outcome. As the EU indicates, monetary union without fiscal union creates even more problems.

Posted by: Opport Knocks | Sep 23 2022 19:42 utc | 224

Posted by: psychohistorian | Sep 23 2022 13:59 utc | 75
Happy birthday yesterday. Please continue to inform the bar.

Posted by: Paul GV | Sep 23 2022 19:44 utc | 225

@ Micron # 13
Does your moniker apply to the intellectual capacity of your brain?

Posted by: Beibdnn | Sep 23 2022 19:48 utc | 226

But then why mobilize so many people?
Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 14:50 utc | 98
It could be mainly for domestic consumption and putting the world on notice: they are not backing down and are willing to push harder. Russian people are getting used to the idea of this being a more serious, and most likely protracted, struggle than at first was thought. They are behind it, indeed they are demanding it. Meanwhile, the rest of the world has to understand that even when they throw in 300,000 more already-experienced troops, it is only 1% of their total capability.
So the mobilization might have as much to do with sending a message as changing all that much militarily.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:48 utc | 227

Disgusted by the number of Nazis hanging out here, derailing threads and spreading poison.

Posted by: line islands | Sep 23 2022 19:53 utc | 228

ZX @196–
You clearly need to study Russia’s political and election system as your statement about its drawbacks is 100% wrong.
Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 23 2022 18:04 utc | 198

I don’t think it is. President Putin is a very rich man for a chap who’s been working in the public sector all his life.
I’m sure he’s earned every rouble, but it seems naive to me to deny that bribery, intimidation and graft are features of the Russian system. Russia is definitely more meaningfully democratic than the collective West, where governments increasingly rule with open hostility towards their subjects, and you can vote for a rainbow of parties – all of whom do the permanent establishment’s evil bidding.
But it’s still crooked.

Posted by: ZX | Sep 23 2022 19:55 utc | 229

“So in all probability, referenda won’t change one thing for the Donetsk residents (and others) being shelled daily. It will continue because Russia won’t do anything. And Russia won’t do anything because it CAN’T do anything. Enough with this bullshit of millions of soldiers and weapons just waiting to be used. I’ll believe it when I’ll see it.”
“I must say that these past weeks have been a real eye-opener for me. The predictions and projections of the most famous “Urrapatriots” (Saker, Martyanov) have been completely exposed and ridiculed.”
Posted by: Micron | Sep 23 2022 11:30 utc | 13
These are the words of a troll parasite who has wormed its way into MoA, and now it is ready to expose itself for what it really is: A Russia phoebe pro-Ukrainian troll.

Posted by: Guernica | Sep 23 2022 19:56 utc | 230

So the mobilization might have as much to do with sending a message as changing all that much militarily.
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:48 utc | 232

The Russian military experts that are quoted in the John Helmer link that I provided at 188 suggest that the new role of the mobilized troops will be to defend the 1200km borders of the four Oblasts that will soon be annexed.
http://johnhelmer.net/and-then-there-were-none-2/

Posted by: Opport Knocks | Sep 23 2022 19:57 utc | 231

In the fall of 2021, Kolomoisky was sanctioned by the US state department and will be arrested if he sets foot in the USA or Ukraine. That signaled the transfer of ownership of Zelensky to the USA. He mouths the words, the script is written by the USA. He is an actor.
Posted by: Opport Knocks | Sep 23 2022 15:11 utc | 106
Maybe. Maybe he is simply out of the fray and living it up in a penthouse in Tel Aviv next to his good buddy Jeffrey E. A sort of Witness Protection Program without the anonymity.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:59 utc | 232

WTFUD @209, which brings me to ask what is possibly a stupid question. Why no international observers in US elections?ⁿ

Posted by: Immaculate deception | Sep 23 2022 20:04 utc | 233

Posted by: rk | Sep 23 2022 18:25 utc | 204
And here is another troll parasite. It blames Putin for everything that he thinks is wrong with the SMO, as if this big mouth ever even supported Putin and the SMO i the first [lace.

Posted by: Guernica | Sep 23 2022 20:08 utc | 234

Interesting things… Thanks to all for the historical perspectives.
Some people here want, ask and insist that :
– Russia should make “Shock and awe” in Ukraine;
– Putin must be a “war leader” or leave;
– One must do anything not to appear “weak”;
– RAF must go “nuke”;
It sems that all this is likely american “leaders” way of doing things.
So the question is : Why do they want russians to become americans ?

Posted by: UncleTom | Sep 23 2022 20:09 utc | 235

Posted by: Paul GV | Sep 23 2022 19:44 utc | 230
Happy birthday yesterday. Please continue to inform the bar.
“I have 12 years of formal Catholic education, 4 years with Pope Frank’s Jesuits… I turned 74 yesterday and over 50 years ago spent a full year studying humanities future with a cultural anthropologist.
Sorry dude, you have no clue about humanity”
Posted by: psychohistorian | Sep 23 2022 13:59 utc | 75
What a brilliant reply. My recent 69th’s birthday was crap. I gave up my Catholic Education when I was 15, but retained my basic Christian moral values, as did my wife – similar Catholic indoctrination, and response.

Posted by: tonyopmoc | Sep 23 2022 20:11 utc | 236

@Sylvanus | Sep 23 2022 19:25 utc | 224
Another unknown being concerned and advising “shock and awe” according to US american preference.

Posted by: Norwegian | Sep 23 2022 20:14 utc | 237

Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:59 utc | 237
Well said.
That important issue will have to be settled at some point. Of course he did not act alone; but to have raised a personal militia with a destructive ideology (out of a population that has been robbed blind and personal attachment has replaced a viable labour market) and acquire so cheaply plausible deniability point to hair-raising planning. TV may have some things coming to it, such as open viewing.

Posted by: @vec | Sep 23 2022 20:14 utc | 238

Posted by: UncleTom | Sep 23 2022 20:09 utc | 240
The initial idea of “tactical nukes” after the cold war was actually a US idea. 5-7 years ago Pentagon released a report about “tactical mini nukes” which were planned to be used in a war against Iran and considered it to within “acceptable thresholds”. I think they never really threw that idea in the trash can, and are still contemplating against Iran, China and in Ukraine.

Posted by: unimperator | Sep 23 2022 20:20 utc | 239

@ ZX | Sep 23 2022 19:55 utc | 234
Please tell us more about Putin’s net worth, what it consists of, and how the hell you would know.

Posted by: Figleaf23 | Sep 23 2022 20:23 utc | 240

80: “The tiny hats are afraid that Vlad is going to come back and take their toys away, which is why they put up such a stink. That’s it really.”
This was described fairly reliably in a 2014 article in the popular right-wing magazine “Forbes” in the USA:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesleadershipforum/2014/05/19/why-everything-youve-read-about-ukraine-is-wrong/
Regardless of claims by some commentators like Forbes contributor Greg Sattell, the divisions in Ukraine are real, and violence unleashed by the Kiev regime is polarizing the nation further. While the differences between the Ukrainian west and the more Russian-facing rest of the country are widely acknowledged, what tends to be overlooked is that the culture, language, and political thinking of western Ukraine have been imposed upon the rest of Ukraine. Ostensibly this is for the sake of “unifying the country,” but in fact the objective has been to put down and humiliate Ukraine’s Russian-speaking population. The radical nationalists of western Ukraine, for whom the rejection of Russia and its culture is an article of faith, intend to force the rest of the country to fit their narrow vision. […] Western Ukraine was joined to Russia only during Stalin’s era. For centuries it was under the cultural, religious, and/or political control of the Austro-Hungarian Empire and Poland. Hating Soviet occupation, western Ukrainian nationalists viewed Stalin as a much greater villain than Hitler, so that the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists aligned themselves with Nazis and, led by their radical leader Stepan Bandera, proceeded to rid their land of other ethnic groups, including Poles and Jews. […] Easterners are angry that pro-Bandera banners, posters and graffiti are popping up all over Ukraine and with the rewriting of history in general, where violent nationalists who fought alongside the Nazis are treated as heroes while Russians, who suffered under Stalin no less than the Ukrainians, are denigrated.
[…] Politicians do not really matter in Ukraine, because Ukraine is the land of oligarchs. For better or for worse, Putin has put an end to oligarch rule in Russia. Members of Putin’s inner circle may be immensely rich, but they know to whom they owe their wealth. […] Kolomoisky has employed paramilitary units at his disposal for all kinds of hostile takeovers. […] Even though he resides in Switzerland, he has been appointed the governor of the Dnepropetrovsk region. He has offered a bounty of $10,000 for any “Russian Separatist,” provided the Ukrainian army with necessary equipment, and armed nationalist volunteers. With the regular Ukrainian army reluctant to shoot its own population, Kolomoisky’s units have participated in various military attacks on the east, including the May 9 assault on Mariupol, where several civilians were killed. Russian sources connect him to the massacre in Odessa. Members of the new governor of Odessa, appointed after the massacre, are his close associates. […]
Annexation of Crimea, while responding to very strong popular demands both in Russia and Crimea, was a limited operation that enabled Putin to save his face after “losing” Ukraine. Since then he has given plenty of indications that he is ready to call it a day. His limited goals are acknowledged in the writings and interviews of such people as former ambassador to Russia Jack Matlock, or former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger.”

Posted by: Blissex | Sep 23 2022 20:24 utc | 241

Posted by: Don Bacon | Sep 23 2022 16:12 utc | 140
Thank you for that video-tweet. I find listening to people on the ground very helpful in getting a feel for what’s happening. Texas Bentley was clearly rattled on Sept 19th but also defiant and loyal. He goes in and out of the fighting to has a particular perspective. In any case, hopefully they will get a good turnout for the referenda. I imagine only a few places will be under bombardment and also they have several days to vote. Then things can shift finally for these people who have had to wait far too long for help that is sorely needed given they are a small areas up against a much larger country backed by U$A.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 20:24 utc | 242

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:00 utc | 214
From what I understand, the risk for entire Donbass region is great. UAF is still managing to put continuous pressure in Liman and surroundings. The militias need not only Russian artillery and air support but fresh Russian ground troops to take over the defense, but there’s some possibility before that happens they might need to give up Lyman.
I’m not sure how many people from Donbass have evacuated over the years but it might be wise to temporarily evacuate some population closest to front until the fighting eventually pushed further away.

Posted by: unimperator | Sep 23 2022 20:34 utc | 243

Posted by: aristodemos | Sep 23 2022 16:30 utc | 150
Where are those mythical overwhelming forces that the Ukies are sposta use to assault Donetsk City? Russian missiles and stand-off aircraft as well as artillery have focused primarily at destruction of the Ukies armor and mechanized and presumably decently trained units.
+++++++++++++++
I don’t know. But Texas was saying that they might get over-run in a matter of days unless there was a substantive shift in approach. They have the highest concentration of troops right near Donetsk with the most extensive bunker networks I believe. Also, they have been massing for counter-offensives of late and presumably the ones slated to attack Western Donetsk City (only a mile or two from their bunkers) are not raw conscripts. The main thing is that Texas believed they were on the point of collapsing.
Now perhaps he is one man under stress and inaccurate. But it didn’t sound that way to me. If he is right then many others are aware of the problem in which case it might have contributed to moving up the referenda so that they can change how they conduct operations in that area. The bunker networks I gather are the most extensive in world history far beyond those in WW II and WW I. They are an extremely tough nut to crack. Until now the bulk of the fighting has been done by the Donetsk militias. Once Donetsk is RF, then RF military comes into play immediately plus any attack on Donetsk citizens is an attack on Russia, no longer a breakaway republic with disputed status. Ukraine won’t recognize the referenda of course, but Russia will. We’ll see whose endorsement matters most.
Perhaps, for example, they can just hyperbaricalize the bunker networks in a way they felt they couldn’t do before. I don’t know. My main thrust was just to share that info from a couple of people actually in Donetsk. They gave me the impression that things have reached a critical point there and unless something new is done soon that it won’t turn out well. Of course, I have no idea myself what the situation is.
That said, I have a few times here at the bar raised doubts about why there was no movement on the Donetsk line given how close they were to the city and how frequently civilians there were being shelled. I assume there is an explanation for it militarily or something but it doesn’t change the presumed fact that the residents at some point are going to start losing heart. Well, according to Tex that is what has been happening. And especially after the retreat from Kharkov area last week (or whenever) apparently that spooked many in Donbass wondering if they were going to be left to the Azov battalions after their lines crumpled.
Clearly they don’t regard the Ukie forces as push-overs, it seems. And they should know best: they have been fighting and dying resisting them.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 20:36 utc | 244

To those complaining that Russia has not moved swiftly or firmly enough, I would suggest that maybe it’s considered better to let the west destroy itself slowly with sanctions and wealth destruction than to spend Russian lives to do it quickly.

Posted by: Figleaf23 | Sep 23 2022 20:40 utc | 245

@Kamil #189:

The southeastern parts of today’s Ukraine have for centuries been part of the central Russian empire. They were only attached to the Soviet Republic of Ukraine under Lenin’s rule in 1922

This is not true. They were regions of independent Ukrainian People’s Republic.

First of all, the UPR wasn’t really “independent”. Secondly, it existed for 5 months, then was liquidated by Austrians and Germans, then, 8 months later, was reestablished and existed for another 2 years⁠—in other words, it was quite an ephemeral entity. Thirdly, it didn’t control half the areas it claimed as its own. Fourthly, in the areas that it did control, its control was quite tenuous. Fifthly, the regions in question changed hands multiple times. Let’s look at this last point in detail:
Characteristics of the regions in which referendums on joining the Russian Federation will be held (RIA Novosti, September 23, 2022 — in Russian)
On Donetsk (Yuzovka until 1924):

In May 1917 it received city status. At the end of 1917, Soviet power was established in the city. In January / February – March 1918, it was part of the Donetsk–Krivoy Rog Soviet Republic within the RSFSR. At the second All-Ukrainian Congress of Soviets held on March 17–19, 1918, it was included in the Ukrainian Soviet Republic. After the signing of the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk (1918), at the end of April 1918 it was occupied by German troops and until the end of 1918 was part of the Ukrainian State of Hetman Pavlo Skoropadskiy. Since December 1918, hard battles were being fought in the Yuzovka region between units of the Armed Forces of the South of Russia [South of Russia was a short-lived state recognized only by France — S] and the Workers’ and Peasants’ Red Army, in May 1919 units of AFSR entrenched in the city.
In December 1919, during the offensive of the Red Army, Soviet power was restored in the city.

On Lugansk:

On November 8, 1917, Soviet power was established in Lugansk. During the Civil War (1917–1922) in April–November 1918, the city was occupied by German and Austrian troops. In November 1918 – December 1919, Lugansk repeatedly changed hands. On December 24, 1919, units of the Red Army finally captured the city.

On Kherson:

After the fall of the monarchy, in November 1917 – January 1918, the city was under the control of the authorities of the Ukrainian People’s Republic […]. Soviet power was established at the end of January 1918. In April–December 1918, Kherson was occupied by Austrian troops, then was under the control of the local city duma and the military revolutionary committee, that in February 1919 recognized the authority of the Directorate of Ukraine (the central authority of the Ukrainian People’s Republic); at the same time, in January–March 1919, the Anglo–French and Greek troops were stationed in the city. On March 9–10, 1919, Kherson was captured by the detachments of ataman Nikolay Grigoryev (the leader of the armed formations in the Ukraine during the Civil War of 1917–1922). In May–August 1919 Kherson was under the control of the Workers’ and Peasants’ Red Army, in August 1919 – February 1920⁠—the Armed Forces of the South of Russia. On February 3, 1920, it was occupied by units of the Red Army.

On Zaporozhye (Aleksandrovsk until 1921):

During the Civil War (1917–1922) in April–November 1918 it was occupied by German–Austrian troops. In November–December 1918, it was controlled by the Directorate of Ukraine, and in the first half of 1919, by the Bolsheviks. In July 1919 it was occupied by units of the Armed Forces of the South of Russia. In 1919–1920, it was captured several times by detachments of Nestor Makhno. In January 1920, it was taken by units of the Red Army.

Posted by: S | Sep 23 2022 20:40 utc | 246

Observation in short is that when it comes to Judaics, one must not paint with a broad brush. The entire issue is quite nuanced.
Posted by: aristodemos | Sep 23 2022 16:39 utc | 155
Agreed, and am aware of most of the points you raised. But it still leaves us with vocabulary deficit!!

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 20:41 utc | 247

Posted by: tonyopmoc | Sep 23 2022 20:11 utc | 241
“…My recent 69th’s birthday was crap. I gave up my Catholic Education when I was 15, but retained my basic Christian moral values, as did my wife – similar Catholic indoctrination, and response….”
Thanks Tony, we often have a have a similar perspective.
As a young child I found Sunday School boring and spooky so I instead went to my treehouse. When my father discovered this he gave me the choice. In later life I figured he had other interests on a Sunday morning.

Posted by: Paul GV | Sep 23 2022 20:45 utc | 248

Maybe. Maybe he is simply out of the fray and living it up in a penthouse in Tel Aviv next to his good buddy Jeffrey E. A sort of Witness Protection Program without the anonymity.
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:59 utc | 237

There is no “maybe”, Blinken could not have made his opinion of the man who got Zelensky elected (and ousted “our Ukrainian insider”, Poroshenko) any clearer than this:

Today, I am announcing the public designation of oligarch and former Ukrainian public official Ihor Kolomoyskyy due to his involvement in significant corruption. In his official capacity as a Governor of Ukraine’s Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from 2014 to 2015, Kolomoyskyy was involved in corrupt acts that undermined rule of law and the Ukrainian public’s faith in their government’s democratic institutions and public processes, including using his political influence and official power for his personal benefit. While this designation is based on acts during his time in office, I also want to express concern about Kolomoyskyy’s current and ongoing efforts to undermine Ukraine’s democratic processes and institutions, which pose a serious threat to its future. [March 5, 2021]

https://www.state.gov/public-designation-of-oligarch-and-former-ukrainian-public-official-ihor-kolomoyskyy-due-to-involvement-in-significant-corruption/
People have such short memories. After his election, Zelensky was initially sucking up to Pres. Trump by co-operating with the investigation into Biden family corruption. It was the Obama era holdovers in the Ukrainian prosecutors office that managed to stonewall him.
After Biden’s selection, Zelensky was spun around faster than a dreidel on Hanukkah.

Posted by: Opport Knocks | Sep 23 2022 20:46 utc | 249

WTFUD @209, which brings me to ask what is possibly a stupid question. Why no international observers in US elections?ⁿ
Posted by: Immaculate deception | Sep 23 2022 20:04 utc | 238

I’ve posted this (with my reply) in “Open (NOT Ukraine) Thread 2022-154”.

Posted by: David Levin | Sep 23 2022 20:53 utc | 250

The Russians should do this all through mail-in ballots, with ballot harvesting. If their side prevails, I would love to hear the Biden admin disputing the results.

Posted by: ian | Sep 23 2022 20:56 utc | 251

@aristodemos | Sep 23 2022 16:46 utc | 158
You are an almost decent poster here but PLEASE, before attack or comment on other post, do double reading and thinking about what you’ve just read. Otherwise, you are not able to pass PISA test. (hope you know what is the test about)
You obviously have some good ideas, so don’t needlessly force people away of your postings.

Posted by: ldragon | Sep 23 2022 21:02 utc | 252

Public opinion in Russia among those who hadn’t paid much attention to events in the Donbas has since firmed up. The attention of that sector of the Russian public has certainly been focussed on the Donbass. They now know why the SMO was undertaken. They now also know that given the NATO involvement this is a war that cannot be lost, not if they wish to see their country survive. Majority support of the SMO was I believe there in Russia at the start. But again, it took time for it to reach the level it is today.
Posted by: English Outsider | Sep 23 2022 17:41 utc | 193
THanks for that excellent overview/synopsis.
I would add to the paragraph above that I believe the Russian public was taken aback by the virulence of the Russophobia displayed by the US-EU-NATO axis which especially at the beginning was truly shocking. The Saker seems to have had a nervous breakdown from it for example!
So that would have taken a bit of time to process and now they realize they are in an existential struggle of far greater import than whether their brothers and sisters in the Donbass area lead comfortable lives. After all, if things were too hairy they could always drive across the border to Russia and leave that troubled zone behind, no? Well, now they know something far bigger is going on. That took time.
I saw a spring in Putin’s step the last two speeches. He seems ten years younger. He leads a very powerful but relatively small and unified nation into an existential struggle that will last year and take many twists and turns. What would you rather be: a leader dragging a somewhat reluctant but obedient force behind him or leading a charge with all those behind urging him to go further and faster? Clearly the latter is better. That wouldn’t have been the case in February. Now in September it is. As so often happens with this leader, he seems to have matters very well in hand. And a big part of that is how he engenders and manages popular support so that he is leading a unified polity. As long as that remains the case there is no way they cannot win – in whatever form it eventually takes.

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 21:08 utc | 253

The ‘ethno linguistic ‘ map doesn’t give the language spoken in the ethnic Russian areas. What a surprise….

Posted by: Sean | Sep 23 2022 21:11 utc | 254

The impotent rage from the collective West means nothing to people who have been living under unrelenting fascist violence for the past 8 years.
I read that the mad man of Istabul is asking “world leaders”(who are those?) to talk to Putin and Zelensky. Rubbish! Too late. After supporting the escalation with sales of ineffective drones to the neo-nazis in Ukraine, he’s now asking for dialogue.
Posted by: Steve | Sep 23 2022 11:19 utc | 9
I’ve been 1-2 months almost without checking this site.
This very same post has been posted before, THIS IS SPAM.

Posted by: Arganthonios | Sep 23 2022 21:15 utc | 255

Donetsk and Lugansk did. Kherson and Zaporizhia has not yet declared independence, so they need to do that now and then immediately join Russia.
Posted by: Norwegian | Sep 23 2022 18:41 utc | 210
Gotcha. Thanks for correction. Now a question:
Is the Donetsk PR referendum going to be conducted in the places where the Ukies have their Maginot line bunker networks? Presumably not.
Is the referendum going to be legally binding for that territory which is part of the original Donetsk oblast? I presume so.
Meaning the minute PVP signs the decree acknowledging the Duma’s declaration of the four oblasts now being in Russia Federation proper that the Ukrainian forces in Donetsk Oblast Russia are there without permission of the Russian Federation.
Of course Ukraine and the West will refuse to acknowledge this new legal status from ‘sham’ referenda and of course the UN will do nothing to back RF position just as they did nothing to support citizens in Donbass for 8 years. But the Russians will feel fully justified and act accordingly. Foreign soldiers fighting Russians on Russian soil will be ruthlessly vernichted. And pronto!

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 21:25 utc | 256

Many thanks to b and the group of informative posters here.
I skip the trolls.
Question for the barflies: Is there a reasonably peaceful (eventually) outcome to what looks increasingly ominous?

Posted by: Cortes | Sep 23 2022 21:25 utc | 257

bevin | Sep 23 2022 19:03 utc | 215
Bravo again. Crystal clear message. Barbarossa caught the USSR unprepared as they relied on the agreements between Hitler and Stalin. Putin used this fact in February to explain why he decided to launch the SMO after decades of NATO’s eastward creeping. He argued that this unpreparedness cost them 20 million dead and that RUSSIA WILL NOT ALLOW THIS TO BE REPEATED.

Posted by: OttoE | Sep 23 2022 21:27 utc | 258

@Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:00 utc | 214
I think you really hit the center.
Russian, Chechen and Vagner forces could have a rest in this SOP, but DNR/LNR militias not so much. They must be exhausted after 8 years, but they are fighting for they own home-yards and lives and can’t complain to anybody. They just want to stop this madness. STOP

Posted by: ldragon | Sep 23 2022 21:29 utc | 259

NemesisCalling@184
Once again you make the claim, which nobody who is not a Nazi believes, that the Soviet Union was about to attack Germany before Barbarossa.
The only reason for bothering to refute this lie is that it is motivated not by a desire to improve historical knowledge but in order to rehabilitate Nazism and Hitler.
Posted by: bevin | Sep 23 2022 19:03 utc | 215
Once I read that opener I simply refused to read the rest even though you are a delightfully erudite poster here understandably well regarded by many. But that is so hyperbolic and condescending that I just can’t read further, sorry. Suvarov’s book is a well documented thesis with which you might disagree but it is way beyond being a simple ‘lie.’
Actually what it is is a thesis which threatens your established point of view probably formed decades ago on the information/narratives available at the time. A huge number of lies and exaggerations are told in war time by all sides. The side which loses uses get apportioned most of the blame and the sides which win tend to gloss over their crimes. I am sure you know very well that this is true for both the Russians, British and Americans after WW II. All three did truly terrible things which most of their populations to this day have no idea of (though again I suspect you do).
So just dismissing a well-researched and NOT unreasonable alternative narrative as no more than a ‘lie’ shows bad faith. You can and should do better, dear Sir!

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 21:34 utc | 260

NUCLEAR THREAT:
W: If you don’t behave, I’ll hit you with this hammer
E: If you use that hammer, I will hit you with everything I have
W: Mommy, mommy, he is threatening me with hammer
M: What hammer?
W: Just like this one I have, but I KNOW he has a bigger one somewhere

Posted by: ldragon | Sep 23 2022 21:42 utc | 261

too scents | Sep 23 2022 16:39 utc | 154
No. I’m a Vet. Served on an Air Warfare Coordinating Missile Cruiser in a War Zone in the Past.
The Drones UKR acquired are being shot down effectively by RUS. AFU may take awhile to start getting the hang of the IRNian Drones; but any coordinated efforts by AFU will most likely register to RUS SAM Suppressors.
In the meanwhile, IRN Drones are doing wonderful deeds extending the Range of Artillery, Army Aviation, and Close Air Support by RUS_AirForce
Obviously, you’re talking out of your Ass and copying from Desktop Games.

Posted by: IronForge | Sep 23 2022 21:43 utc | 262

AP | World opinion shifts against Russia as Ukraine worries grow reportage is horrible. If I hadn’t been following NSC’s “questions and concerns” script for last week’s SCO summit not to mention multiple off-shore commentary dragging US State through The Funeral, I might have been fooled by the season finale. Who would know this “journalist” conflates last week’s procedural vote to suspend rules for a Zelensk* Zoom call, 11-hours of UNGA plenary session (9/21), and one UNSC session (9/22) chaired by FRANCE, then misquotes Lavrov.

Unsurprisingly, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov was unapologetic and defensive at the same time and specifically targeted Zelenskyy. Citing a phrase often attributed to President Franklin Roosevelt, Lavrov called Zelenskyy “a bastard,” but said Western leaders regarded him as “our bastard.”

It’s not just a hit piece. It’s a psychotic break.

Posted by: sln2002 | Sep 23 2022 21:44 utc | 263

@aristodemos 70 and @xeen 80
I won’t tip-toe around and call these “particular tribalist ethnicity” or “tiny-hat oligarchs” as it is – The Global Jewish Cabal. They are the ones who are responsible for 99% of the problem in Ukraine [and in Russia, until Putin cleansed out the pigsty, well, mostly, from these parasites].
Let’s see.
2014.
A Jew by the name Victoria Nudelman (hiding under the anglo-saxonized name Nuland), following the neo-nazi ideas of another jew, Robert Kagan, her hubby under the patronage of Obama, using her jewish-neo-nazi-oligarch friends in Ukraine (Kolomoiski, Rabinovich, Pinchuk, Valtsman, Turchinov-bloody-pastor) in connection with these jews neo-nazi battalions, organized, funded, and CIA-supported an over-throw of the elected government in Kiev.
2014-2022:
Kolomoiski, together with his other “tribal ethnicity” buddies, organized ethnic cleansing / genocide of the ethnic Russians in the East, in Kiev, and in Odessa. He even was advertising paying a reward of $10,000 for killing a Russian on billboards all over Ukraine. Officially! Calls himself a “Zhido-Bandera” (Zhido, meaning Jew in Polish). And Bandera — well, a well-known Hitler collaborator responsible for slaying 100,000 Russian and Polish people during WW2.
+2014-2022:
Jews are 0.13% of the population of Ukraine. But somehow, this tiny-tiny percent of this parasitic “particular tribalist ethnicity” managed to organize to get Turchinov “elected” as an “interim president”, followed by another parasite Valtsman (hiding under his wife’s Ukrainian name “Poroshenko”) as the next “elected president”, followed by another jew Zelenski (whose main talent is to use his member to play piano) as the current “president”.
2022:
Russia, after the threat from the little jew-parasite Zelenski in Munich in Feb-2022 to acquire nuclear weapons and use them on Russia, after inviting since 2000s CIA bio-weapon labs to create genetically-ethnically targeted (to kill Slavic people, not jews, I assume) bio-weapons, and after inviting NATO to place its missiles 5min away from Moscow, decided ENOUGH IS ENOUGH and began its Special Military Ops.
Blinkin, another jew now running the US State Department, together with his second-in-command, Nudelman / Nuland, starts screaming “bloody murder” etc. etc.
Another jew, Abramovich (a Russian oligarch, living in, where else, London!), shows up to “save the day” and organizes “peace negotiations” in Turkey. But I guess the Abramovich jew did not square the plans with the Nudelman / Blinken jews who ordered the Zelenski jew to continue killing as many slavic (most brain washed, or fully indoctrinated neo-nazi ukranians) people as possible…
Quite a story, eh?!

Posted by: RockTime | Sep 23 2022 21:45 utc | 264

I can’t be the only one to suspect that a lot of these ‘angry’ at Putin for not being aggressive enough /decisive enough posts are popping up in order to sow confusion, and wear out resders with wasteful tiresome, invective laden dialogues, in order to reduce the kudos and prestige of MofA as a high quality source of alternative views and analysis.

Posted by: Gabriel in Ireland | Sep 23 2022 21:53 utc | 265

17 months, after 9/11 they thought I was mad.
3 months after the start of covid in March 2020, I bought a rotavator, about £70 on ebay, and started furiously digging up our garden, and planting seed potatoes, and lots of veg seeds – some from Eastern Europe – I did not want any of these terminator seeds.
I thought the evil bastards who did 9/11 and covid, were trying to kill us all by first starving us to death..
My wife, who is quite expert in these things, like for years she worked in the local community allotments (both council and private) where they give all the surplus food away, and encourage volunteers to help, who of course get first pick..they have done the work, and had the fun – all for free – meeting each other and having a laugh
She looked at me, as if I was mad.
The spuds were OK, the carrots, cauliflower and broccoli never did much…possibly not enough horsehit (we can get it free)
The rotavator was very useful over the past two years, for when our very old cats, sadly died.
There was absolutely loads of cheap food available from our supermarkets, despite the fact that we have had the longest hottest summer since 1976. Almost no rain.
But over the last few weeks, we have had quite a few thunderstorms. It’s not muddy yet, but all these potatoes from over 2 years ago, are suddenly sprouting. They have been sat underground for 2 years doing nothing.
Now they are growing like mad.
Maybe our garden will feed us, when it all goes to shit, as it probably will.
Digging keeps me fit, and we can forage too.
Probably won’t need a freezer over winter.
It’s not that bad. We have not been nuked yet, but probably will be.
if we don’t RESIST
these evil bastards in control are still out to kill us
Tony

Posted by: tonyopmoc | Sep 23 2022 21:55 utc | 266

@Kamil #189:
“This is not true. They were regions of independent Ukrainian People’s Republic.”
The Ukrainian People’s Republic declared its independence in January 1918. This political entity was predicated on a self-declared autonomous Ukrainian republic which came into existence in March 1917, with the approval of Russia’s Provisional Government.
The original autonomous Ukrainian republic, however, did not claim territory east of the Dniepr River. Therefore, the regions of Kharkov, Lugansk, and Donetsk were not originally part of the autonomous Ukrainian region or its successor entity, the Ukrainian People’s Republic.
Only in March 1918, at the Brest-Litovsk treaty negotiations, was the Ukrainian People’s Republic vastly expanded territorially at the expense of Russia. That’s because the Germans took political control of the UPR and turned it into a Central Powers puppet state. That’s why this fake, enlarged state of Ukraine included Crimea, Odessa, Kherson, the Black Sea littoral, Donbass, Kharkov, and many parts of southern Russia and the Russian Caucasus.
Nobody aside from the Germans and their allies recognized the existence of the UPR.
Note that even while the UPR existed, parts of eastern Ukraine refused to join it. In February 1918, the Russians and Russified Ukrainians of Donbass declared the Donetsk–Krivoy Rog Soviet Republic, which immediately assumed a state of war against the UPR. Later the DKRSR joined the Soviets, who by that time had pacified and Sovietized western Ukraine.
During the past two decades, Ukrainian nationalists have pushed the myth that the UPR was a real country and state, built around historical, political, and demographically authentic Ukrainian borders. But that’s just a lie. UPR was not a real country or state. It’s a shame that so many Western academics and media outlets are allowing the Ukrainian nationalists to get away with perpetuating the falsehood of the so-called UPR.

Posted by: Rudi | Sep 23 2022 21:59 utc | 267

Patrick Lancaster reports from kherson on referendum day…looks like a decent start….
https://youtu.be/lgYqusaO2Gg

Posted by: HERMIUS | Sep 23 2022 22:02 utc | 268

“So they need to take as little as possible whilst waiting for the geopolitical anaconda now squeezing the West to get it to stop struggling. Will take a long time.”
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 19:00 utc | 214
Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 19:22 utc | 221:
It’s far from certain that this is the case and open conflict would not achieve that outcome more quickly and effectively.
Open conflict means you shut down all raw resource exports to the West and force them to go cold turkey.
If the Chinese want to help and stop exports of finished goods, you can make it even more devastating, the question is whether the Chinese economy can survive that, but for a few months on wartime footing they probably could.
That would send the West into a Mad Max scenario within months given their lack of domestic sources for critical commodities, just-in-time supply chains and the extent of deindustrialization there.
If anything, slow escalation has brought us close to a nuclear war.

I think the difference between my (admittedly lumbering) argument and your (more succinct) one is probably the balancing act that both sides are conducting – too far vs not far enough.
You are basically arguing for what PCR has been advocating and as someone with senior USG experience who also worked with the START treaty process with the Russians (I believe), his opinion is at least worthy of consideration.
You argue: “It’s far from certain that this [slow anaconda squeezing] is the case and open conflict would not achieve that outcome more quickly and effectively.”
Consider: if Ukraine was captured next month and all the hostiles banished, do you think the West would just give up? Would they not start shelling from Poland and Bulgaria and Georgia and Latvia or whatever? To my mind all that would accomplish would be to give NATO a larger less defensible target with which to continue the conflict which they believe, because of international sanctions and economic slowdown, will cause Russia to collapse before they do. The point being that whether or not they take all of Ukraine, nothing geoeconomically will be effected either way, so why not stay where they are within Russian-speaking territories and yet still kicking up a geopolitical storm?
Well, I guess am repeating myself. Thanks again for your pithy and succinct post!
(PS: I happen to believe that there is a dog and pony show aspect to this whole thing because factions within the parisitical 1% are using this conflict as cover whilst they strive to collapse their own polities making this a bit of a phony war given that such an end suits the SCO axis just fine. But that is an unpopular view at this bar and I try not to repeat too often since time will tell one way or another.)

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:05 utc | 269

PS.
RE: “If the Chinese want to help and stop exports of finished goods, you can make it even more devastating, the question is whether the Chinese economy can survive that, but for a few months on wartime footing they probably could.”
I believe the massive lock-downs in China, a few months ago involving several major provinces with over 100,000,000 people in total, were mainly to disrupt the supply chain. Reports on the ground there were that those objecting were chided with remarks like ‘brace up! Don’t you know we’re at war with the Americans now!?’ The effect of these disruptions will probably hit hard this winter, as will the effect of less fertilizers next spring, not to mention the hundreds of food processing facilities burned down this year in the US. I think there actually IS a war already. It’s just not in the news because those waging it control the press and independents don’t have the budget to find and properly research these things.
The point being: I agree with you about China accelerating things were they to join in with a war. Except I think the war already started. We just haven’t been informed of it yet! (What business is it of ours after all?)

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:09 utc | 270

Say after the elections Russia decides to decapitate the Ukraine regime and Zelensky and the infamous foreign advisers are liquidated , then what?
How will that play out?

Posted by: Johnycomelately | Sep 23 2022 22:11 utc | 271

Posted by: Johnycomelately | Sep 23 2022 22:11 utc | 277
For describing the current war, I would compare it to the following sketch from Monty Python. That is what the war will end up. It won’t stop until it… physically stops.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmInkxbvlCs

Posted by: unimperator | Sep 23 2022 22:17 utc | 272

Graham Williams reports from Luhansk in the rain on referendum day….looks like a great start.
https://youtu.be/0CuiyWNrCV0

Posted by: HERMIUS | Sep 23 2022 22:19 utc | 273

I have been critical of Putin as a half measure kind of guy. Well, now he is doing better. Incorporating four Oblast is a strong move.

Posted by: Thim | Sep 23 2022 22:19 utc | 274

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:09 utc | 276
USA is screwing China up in a major way by interfering with their long lasting civil war and ripping old healed wounds upon, with the so-called Taiwan policy act. It’s something they won’t forget for the next 100 years. For this, China should have every major reason to make sure that Russian’s beat the cr#p out of Nato, in EU-rope, meaning Ukraine, and EU economy, the real core of Nato funding gets washed away.

Posted by: unimperator | Sep 23 2022 22:20 utc | 275

I’m somewhat optimistic that a month from now American voters are not going to want to hear about sacrifices being made so that the land of Russian speaking Russians becomes no longer part of Russia.
Dovetailing with that is President Biden showing more and more signs of dementia. A demented American President talking up nuclear war in the weeks before the mid-term election would have his political party, the Democrats, pay a heavy price at the polls.
I think there’s a window of a couple of weeks for the warmongers to ship America’s most potent arms to Ukraine. It would be risky, and if used Russia would retaliate in kind. The papers and talking heads would talk of the escalating effect of such a weapons transfer, and in America there are always accusations of “October Surprise” when the executive branch acts unilaterally before an election.
Independent voters are moving away from favoring support for Ukraine, and their influence is going to be key in some important upcoming elections. If the Democrats think that Biden will cost them the Senate with his saber rattling, he will be told shut the hell up.
We almost never hear about Russia’s geopolitical desires motivating them to time their actions in accordance with America’s election cycle, but six months from now Putin’s timing might look pretty genius. I think the clock is ticking for the Biden administration to get away (temporarily) with ramping things up.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Sep 23 2022 22:27 utc | 276

Consider: if Ukraine was captured next month and all the hostiles banished, do you think the West would just give up? Would they not start shelling from Poland and Bulgaria and Georgia and Latvia or whatever? To my mind all that would accomplish would be to give NATO a larger less defensible target with which to continue the conflict which they believe, because of international sanctions and economic slowdown, will cause Russia to collapse before they do. The point being that whether or not they take all of Ukraine, nothing geoeconomically will be effected either way, so why not stay where they are within Russian-speaking territories and yet still kicking up a geopolitical storm?
Well, I guess am repeating myself. Thanks again for your pithy and succinct post!
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:05 utc | 275

But I wasn’t talking about that.
What I was pointing out is that Russia + China literally have the power to totally collapse the West without firing a shot. You simply stop the flow of key commodities and finished goods, and the West descends into Mad Max chaos within months as everything runs out, unless it goes full open fascist with draconian rationing (but it’s far from clear that is even possible – in Europe it might be, but in the US where everyone is armed it probably isn’t).
The question is whether the West then resorts to open nuclear blackmail. I don’t know the answer. Perhaps the Russians and the Chinese do know it and it is “Yes”, which is why they are taking the anaconda approach.

Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 22:28 utc | 277

@279 Total sham! These people obviously want to be ruled by the Kiev regime. If you look closely you can see the Russian guns to their heads.

Posted by: dh | Sep 23 2022 22:30 utc | 278

these evil bastards in control are still out to kill us
Tony
Posted by: tonyopmoc | Sep 23 2022 21:55 utc | 272
I fly out to London, where I grew up, for the first time in many long decades. I know I’ll feel like a foreigner there now but reading your yarns here is making me look forward to it greatly because now I know, thanks to you, THAT THEY’LL ALWAYS BE AN ENGLAND!!!
I just hope I can find a nice pub in Chiswick with Real Ale. Is that available everywhere now? Last time I was in London only 6 pubs had it. I love the stuff. Makes the eyes bright, the hair curl and other things besides!

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:32 utc | 279

So, since Russia’s military is assured that quality soldiers who just need some freshening up are in the pipeline, might they consider sending a lot of them to “the firing line” that stands at the ready to defend against NATO, and immediately transfer, say, ten percent of those ready to roll forces to Ukraine?
Given how much of their inventory has been sent to Ukraine, NATO’s conventional forces are probably as least threatening to Russia (and Belarus) as they’ve been in a long time, no?
Just thinking out loud here.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Sep 23 2022 22:33 utc | 280

I think it is significant that China has now come out firmly aside Russia in our civilization war.
Empire cannot say that Russia is isolated and as Tbx | Sep 23 2022 22:28 utc | 283 wrote

What I was pointing out is that Russia + China literally have the power to totally collapse the West without firing a shot. You simply stop the flow of key commodities and finished goods, and the West descends into Mad Max chaos within months as everything runs out, unless it goes full open fascist with draconian rationing (but it’s far from clear that is even possible – in Europe it might be, but in the US where everyone is armed it probably isn’t).
The question is whether the West then resorts to open nuclear blackmail. I don’t know the answer. Perhaps the Russians and the Chinese do know it and it is “Yes”, which is why they are taking the anaconda approach.

stay tuned…..

Posted by: psychohistorian | Sep 23 2022 22:34 utc | 281

karlof1 | Sep 23 2022 17:05 utc | 169

The Vote ought to be seen as a rallying symbol by angry Europeans tired at the lack of democracy and ignorance of their very real interests by their elected and non-elected elites. The Donbas is voting to escape Tyranny. All Europeans ought to do the same.

Thank you for that clarion call.

Posted by: cirsium | Sep 23 2022 22:35 utc | 282

I believe the massive lock-downs in China, a few months ago involving several major provinces with over 100,000,000 people in total, were mainly to disrupt the supply chain. Reports on the ground there were that those objecting were chided with remarks like ‘brace up! Don’t you know we’re at war with the Americans now!?’ The effect of these disruptions will probably hit hard this winter, as will the effect of less fertilizers next spring, not to mention the hundreds of food processing facilities burned down this year in the US. I think there actually IS a war already. It’s just not in the news because those waging it control the press and independents don’t have the budget to find and properly research these things.
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:09 utc | 276

No, the Chinese are the only ones acting rationally on COVID and there is absolutely no need to invoke elaborate conspiracy theories to explain why they are locking down.
You might think COVID is some kind of a nothingburger, but those of us who actually understand the biology of the virus know that the only viable policy there ever was is what the Chinese are doing. Everywhere else the elites committed the largest crime against humanity in the history of mankind, against their own people, by allowing the virus to become endemic.
The problem is that the effects of continued reinfections even in the (formerly) young and healthy will become only apparent decades from now (assuming nothing monstrously lethal appears as a result of uncontrolled spread and accelerated viral evolution, which it might very well do, the evolutionary potential is there) and by that time it will be so normalized and people will be so damaged (one of those effects is early onset dementia; very early onset) that few will be able to understand what has happened.
Meanwhile China will be the only country with a healthy and productive population and will rule the world by default.

Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 22:35 utc | 283

I can’t be the only one to suspect that a lot of these ‘angry’ at Putin for not being aggressive enough /decisive enough posts are popping up in order to sow confusion, and wear out resders with wasteful tiresome, invective laden dialogues, in order to reduce the kudos and prestige of MofA as a high quality source of alternative views and analysis.
Posted by: Gabriel in Ireland | Sep 23 2022 21:53 utc | 271

It’s a classic disruption tactic, but one that’s difficult to distinguish from the web’s (hey, remember the web?) evergreen crop of internet tough guyism, psychopathy, low effort trolling, and genuine retardation.

Posted by: ZX | Sep 23 2022 22:40 utc | 284

The question is whether the West then resorts to open nuclear blackmail. I don’t know the answer. Perhaps the Russians and the Chinese do know it and it is “Yes”, which is why they are taking the anaconda approach.
Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 22:28 utc | 283
Agreed and sorry for being too verbose. I find it hard to type out thoughts about things like this and get lost in ways that don’t happen when I speak out loud.
In any case, there seems to be an unwritten rule of God or some such that no matter what is going on we are never allowed to know exactly what it is so there are always important open questions left hanging. Why can’t the buggers just tell us what they are doing and why??!!

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:41 utc | 285

Posted by: Babel-17 | Sep 23 2022 22:33 utc | 286
Basically the whole existing Warsaw Pact arms inventory was dumped into Ukraine. That, and Nato weapons what they’re fighting with now. Nato has shipped so much more than stated weapons that US government even stopped publishing their annual World Military Expenditures and Arms Transfers (WMEAT) report.
There’s very little chance Nato will attack directly at least before the Ukraine war is decided. So the reservists could be used to replace active units on domestic territory and transfer active units in Ukraine, since that is in fact where majority of Nato power is, too.

Posted by: unimperator | Sep 23 2022 22:45 utc | 286

@Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 21:34 utc | 266
I completely agree with Bevin, the “Soviet Union was about to attack Germany” thesis has been utterly disproven and is just one of the many attempts to discredit the Soviet Union and the role it played in destroying Nazism. It is on the same level as the writing of Champion, Applebaum and other propagandist “historians”.
Suvarov (actually Vladimir Rezun) was a medium level intelligence officer (captain) with no access to senior level Soviet planning before defecting to the West. He then wrote a book using cherry-picked and misrepresented facts, with a heavy dose of the circumstantial, without properly revealing his sources. The most receptive have been those in Eastern Europe who wish to downplay their liberation from the Nazis by the Soviet people.
One of the not impressed reviewers of this “history” book on Amazon put it best:
“The way this book works is that it preys on people who do not have any knowledge of the prewar history. If you do not read well researched books before reading this fantasy, you risk getting “alternatively enlightened” and it will be hard to clean out these “alternative ideas”. He wrote a set of alternative history books where the main source of his material is his “knowledge” which he pulls from his elephant-like memory (strategic secrets like troop positions, equipment specs). They all make beautiful sense, but only if you don’t know anything about those issues. GET EDUCATED FIRST! There is an army of true historians working hard in archives all over the world for you. Then read this… as a pathology.”
Read some actual real historians, like Stephen Kotkin, Gabriel Kolko, David Glantz who do the actual hard work of going through the archives etc. to come to an understanding of things. Widely sourced and fully and deeply referenced like proper historians.

Posted by: Roger | Sep 23 2022 22:54 utc | 287

It would have been trivially easy for Russia’s leadership to prevent Rusich and units like it from deploying. Why do you think they didn’t do that?
Posted by: Yenwoda | Sep 23 2022 17:19 utc | 179
I finally figured out what Yenwoda means, it means a big mouth with a tiny brain. How dare you attack the good people from the four regions (Oblast) that are voting for their lives today and this whole weekend. These people asked Russia to help defend them from the most brutal Nazi Nationalists the world has known since WWII.
You call the Wager group an unapologetic neo-Nazis group (not true). WTF do you call the Azov regiment, choir boys?
And now we know that the former Black Water private military organization created by Erik Prince, is in Ukraine doing all the NAZI things that it was doing in Iraq and Afghanistan. And how do we know this; because Russia killed a bunch of them at their new Headquarters in Ukie occupied Donetsk region.
This war is not about Russia attacking Ukraine, it is about a US lead coup that replaced the elected Ukraine government with pro-Nazis and Russian haters who waged a war against the Ukraine citizens that lived in the Eastern, and Southeastern region of Ukraine.
So, big mouth with a tiny brain, please shut up.
Forgive me people at the bar, but I am not feeding the Troll. This is an enema!

Posted by: Guernica | Sep 23 2022 22:56 utc | 288

Posted by: Roger | Sep 23 2022 22:54 utc | 293
the “Soviet Union was about to attack Germany” thesis has been utterly disproven and is just one of the many attempts to discredit the Soviet Union and the role it played in destroying Nazism.

Yes, I’m sure Josef Stalin allied with Adolf Hitler for peaceful reasons.

Posted by: ZX | Sep 23 2022 22:57 utc | 289

Meanwhile China will be the only country with a healthy and productive population and will rule the world by default.
Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 22:35 utc | 289
So to your mind does that mean that this was a biolab-enhanced virus and the Chinese knew this and also how bad it was going to be over time for their population and reacted accordingly and in a way that has never been done before?
Or is this just a natural but unusually dangerous virus which, as you say, will gradually ruin the health of populations who led it spread throughout their populations with multiple reinfections as has happened with every other virus in history but again the Chinese knew that this particular one needed to be treated differently?
How do you know the virus is the bad thing over time and not the spike protein pathogens manufactured by those receiving the gene-scripting vaccines which haven’t had long-term testing or third party peer reviews including full laboratory analysis because of commercial privacy concerns?
(Though it arose as a valid part of this thread, probably it should now go over to the open thread, but I won’t continue this if you don’t want to. It’s one of those things that can go on a long time and am no expert nor pretend to be. If you are though, would enjoy learning more in the open thread. I generally don’t like discussing this topic though having made up my mind about it a long time ago: I don’t know what’s going on with the nature of the virus but I don’t want the vaccines – that’s basically it along with believing that much about it was used to effect social control habituation which may have dealt a final, fatal blow to our representative republics and democracies.)

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:59 utc | 290

Read some actual real historians, like Stephen Kotkin, Gabriel Kolko, David Glantz who do the actual hard work of going through the archives etc. to come to an understanding of things. Widely sourced and fully and deeply referenced like proper historians.
Posted by: Roger | Sep 23 2022 22:54 utc | 293
Thank you. That was a good post which puts me in my amateur place. But I read transcripts years ago of Heinrich “Gestapo” Mueller with the CIA in around 1947 I think (which of course could be fakes) in which he said the same thing (without the details about flying tanks) long before Suvarov. His baillywick was intel involving Russia. So I am disposed to regard it as correct and most of the mainstream historians as incorrect. That said, am fully aware that might be wrong. But Bevin’s insistence that the only reason one would hold such a view is to resurrect Hitler and Nazism is petty, wrong, condescending and inappropriate.
Because I’m one of the people who suspect that thesis is true. And I am not motivated by any of those things. I’ve also been on websites who feel that way and few of the people there are motivated by such things either. So if it’s alright with you, I still won’t read the rest of his post the introduction having been so flawed.
That said, am well aware that most of Bevin’s posts are way above my level. But there you are!
PS. Are you saying the flying tanks and 1,000,000 massed paratroopers are all false stories that Suvarov did not find in the archives and simply made up? If not, what purpose would a flying tank (aka a tank that is delivered as part of an airplane and then the wings are detached after landing) other than for an invasion? Where else were they going to be invading?

Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 23:09 utc | 291

Posted by: Rod | Sep 23 2022 11:29 utc | 12
What is that special ingredient in semiconductors, Rod?

Posted by: Brother Ma | Sep 23 2022 23:10 utc | 292

@297 Terribly sad about the Olympic Carrier. A lot of second-rate actors must have lost their lives.

Posted by: dh | Sep 23 2022 23:13 utc | 293

Why can’t the buggers just tell us what they are doing and why??!!
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:41 utc | 291
Scorpion, they keep the motives, and the knowledge why these motives are important so that gain, or maintain power over you and me. Knowledge is power said someone famous.

Posted by: fanto | Sep 23 2022 23:23 utc | 294

What are you going to think when this civilization war that is being fought is won by the non-aggressors, using non-aggressive, but defensive tactics?
Back in the annals of MoA threads there is lots of discussion about the last 2K+ years of unfettered patriarchy and its bastard child, monotheistic religions. Those concepts are the underpinnings of the God of Mammon social system of the West with global private finance at the core…….it may not look like it but the voting in Ukraine is a vote for/against God of Mammon hegemony and represents use of a non-aggressive tool in our civilization war by the good side.
Posted by: psychohistorian | Sep 23 2022 13:50 utc | 67
Jesus, Russian psyops is really getting religious.
Non-aggressive? Like invading Ukraine non-aggressive? Non-aggressors, like the eternal victims Russians?
Anyone else notice how the Israeli and Russian ‘blame everyone else but us’ tactics are identical? Two ethno-mythic nations with savior complexes.
Anyon else notice how “non-aggressor” RF military is like IDF’s “the most peaceful military” or whatever their b.s. motto is?
Did the US trick the (apparently) morons in Kremlin to stumble into a “forever war”?
Russia got its first European invasion in 19th century. That’s because the Russia tsar was AGREEMENT INCAPABLE and stabbed Napoleon in the back and traded with perfidious albion. (Yes, the very same “Anglo-Saxons” that they now must regret helping.) Further, this same Napoleon attacked everyone, even went to Africa to do some conquering. Yet the victim Russians count this war as one instance of some psycho European just deciding to “invade mother russia”. No. You back stabbed your ally.
Two. The Great War. Again, everyone and their mommy is fighting and invading one another. Nothing personal against “mother russia”.
Three. The one and only instance of some psycho in Europe saying “kill Russians”. And this same man attacked pretty much everybody else too!
What is Russia’s record during the same period of “non-aggressive” behavior? Pretty much if they could get away with it, they attacked and took land and then declared is ancient russland. Russia didn’t get to span the entirety of Asia because we’re dealing with peaceful people here. Quite the contrary, which is the very reason everyone in Baltics or other non-Russ places that has managed to get rid of Russian boots hates Russia.
So yeah, both sides suck here, and that is the only plainly evident fact.

Posted by: oxygen | Sep 23 2022 23:26 utc | 295

I see we’ve accumulated a crop of sophisticated trolls again. They do slowly give themselves away, but you must be sharp to catch their errors that expose them.
////
cirsium @288–
Thanks for your reply. I see Finian Cuningham is reporting that Germany wasn’t content with shooting itself in one foot and has now shot itself in the other:

Not content with committing its nation to economic suicide from deteriorating Russian relations, the German government now wants to bury the corpse by sabotaging trade relations with China.
Robert Habeck, Germany’s trade minister, has riled Beijing by telling a G7 summit last week that Berlin was aiming to adopt a new China policy to “reduce economic dependency”. Habeck said Germany would strive to take tougher controls over Chinese foreign investment and move away from German reliance on China for key commodities such as semiconductors, batteries and other electronics.
Sounding tough in front of other Western members of the G7 forum (a redundant elite club if ever there was one), Habeck said, “the naivety towards China is over”. He said that trade relations would no longer be viewed in isolation from alleged human rights violations and other international concerns, presumably meaning China’s alleged hostility towards Taiwan.
Beijing slammed Habeck’s remarks and retorted that he was the one who is being “naive” in seeking to damage mutually beneficial bilateral relations.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz doubled down on the provocation at the weekend when he was asked about China’s position on Taiwan. Scholz implied that Beijing was the hostile party in recent tensions over the breakaway island territory. He cautioned China: “It is important that we ban violence from international relations.”
It was another red flag being waved by Berlin in China’s face. Scholz doesn’t seem to realize, or doesn’t want to realize, that Taiwan is a sovereign part of China. That is the legal fact of treaties at the United Nations and the internationally accepted One China Policy. It is the United States, Britain, Australia, France and Germany that are increasingly deploying military forces in China’s territorial waters that are causing dangerous tensions and obliging Beijing to take a tougher position on defending its sovereignty, including its rightful claims over Taiwan.
What are the German leaders playing at? The recklessness of their stance and the damage being inflicted on the nation’s economy make you wonder whose interests are they serving. Certainly, it would seem, not the interests of the German population.

That fits well with the item I linked to yesterday, documenting WEF/EU attempt to shackle Europe with Neoliberal Parasitism, and the reasoning behind what you described as my “clarion call.”
With the German economy dead, what will the ECB do? Will it also die? If the Washington Consensus destroys the EU economically, how will European nations afford to buy products made in the Outlaw US Empire, which appears to be the plan–to make Europe 100% dependent on North America again as it was after WW2.
Lots of European barflies will want to read both linked articles and spread them around with the additional message that you’re being attacked by your own governments just as Donbas people were, except no military assault has occurred yet, although the upshot is very similar.

Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 23 2022 23:29 utc | 296

I have 12 years of formal Catholic education, 4 years with Pope Frank’s Jesuits… I turned 74 yesterday and over 50 years ago spent a full year studying humanities future with a cultural anthropologist.
Sorry dude, you have no clue about humanity
Posted by: psychohistorian | Sep 23 2022 13:59 utc | 75
I never would have thought I’d see the 4chan “marine copypasta” here. Or are you joking? It’s not difficult or unusual to be 74 and to have studied “a full year” fifty years ago, in fact most people manage those things without trying.
More seriously though, while organised religion (that is to say, churches, their personnel hierarchy and their education and dogma systems) can sometimes coincide with authentic religion, and religion can sometimes coincide with spirituality, quite often they have zero connection at all. So your impressive credentials can come off as amusing and tryhard.

Posted by: Jusses | Sep 23 2022 23:30 utc | 297

So to your mind does that mean that this was a biolab-enhanced virus and the Chinese knew this and also how bad it was going to be over time for their population and reacted accordingly and in a way that has never been done before?
Or is this just a natural but unusually dangerous virus which, as you say, will gradually ruin the health of populations who led it spread throughout their populations with multiple reinfections as has happened with every other virus in history but again the Chinese knew that this particular one needed to be treated differently?
How do you know the virus is the bad thing over time and not the spike protein pathogens manufactured by those receiving the gene-scripting vaccines which haven’t had long-term testing or third party peer reviews including full laboratory analysis because of commercial privacy concerns?
Posted by: Scorpion | Sep 23 2022 22:59 utc | 296

There are many extremely nasty viruses out there that do not behave at all like “every other virus in history”. The reason you didn’t have to deal with any of those until 2020 (and thus learn about the fact that they exist) is that any time they made a jump onto the human population a no-expenses-spared effort was launched to contain them.
SARS viruses (of which this is not the first one, neither it is the most dangerous, there is much much worse stuff out there, and this one can take a turn towards much worse too at any moment) are particularly bad. And we knew that from SARS1 in 2003. It killed 10% of the infected, which, had it become a pandemic, would have literally collapsed civilization. Fortunately back then it was contained. But 17 year later barely anyone remembered it. Barely anyone was also aware of what it did to the survivors – what is now known as LongCOVID is not much different from what afflicted up to half of the SARS survivors. And that was on the first infection. It was also known for decades that immunity against coronaviruses is not very long lasting and that subsequent exposures can be as or more severe as previous expourses meaning that if you let it rip, you don’t gain much in terms of population immunity. As we are seeing now.
All of the above taken together mandated that absolutely everything possible be done to contain any SARS viruses that makes the jump onto humans.
But the problem was that with SARS2, the properties of the virus were such that the no-expenses-spared effort would have threatened the existing power structure that is the basis of the rule of the current oligarchy. It boiled down to having to pay people to stay home and not work for the duration of the containment effort, doing debt jubilees, freezing the stock market, etc. It could have been done, but it necessitated those things. The ruling oligarchy vetoed it and that is why you have 20M+ dead worldwide and an endemic virus that will keep killing until people realize what has been done to them and make it so that the heads of those responsible find their way to the nearest roadside ditch as soon as possible. Which, unfortunately, given the current state of the world means that the virus will keep killing forever as the people are too ignorant to understand what was done to them.
Regarding the spike protein, there is a very clear negative correlation between vaccination coverage and excess mortality. Everyone let it rip eventually (minus the Chinese), but where that was done with very high vaccination rates the excess mortality is one fifth to one tenth of what it is where it was done before vaccination or where the vaccination campaign failed. That correlation is eroding because the virus is evolving so fast that the vaccines have barely any effect at this point, but it was a strong correlation for the first year or so of having vaccines.

Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 23:37 utc | 298

The USA and EU politicians and their media call the referendums in Ukraine “sham referendum” and they will not accept the results. What about the elections in Gaza where internationally supervised elections resulted in Hamas victory? Did USA accept those results?

Posted by: fanto | Sep 23 2022 23:37 utc | 299

You might think COVID is some kind of a nothingburger, but those of us who actually understand the biology of the virus know that the only viable policy there ever was is what the Chinese are doing. Everywhere else the elites committed the largest crime against humanity in the history of mankind, against their own people, by allowing the virus to become endemic.
Posted by: Tbx | Sep 23 2022 22:35 utc | 289

Disappointing to see another thread drift off into covid. Where to begin. Your first faulty assumption is that you know what is really happening in China and why. I trust Chinese reporting even less than the western equivalents. The second is that you know the sole truth about this virus in spite of contradictory evidence from other experts.
We know this was a Government/Media/Medi-Tech Psyop in the West because of the obvious and blatant suppression of all contrary views. China may have had other motives.
Why was the use of common preventative and therapeutic measures suppressed or ridiculed as soon as they gained any traction? Because the real goal was to instill fear and induce compliance. There was also a joint government effort to inflate the money supply by far more than was needed.
Before you continue to advocate a ridiculous “one size fits all” – “Made in China” solution, I respectfully suggest you read the section “Treatment Protocols” on the https://www.canadiancovidcarealliance.org web site. These people are Canadian University Virologists and MDs who are experts in the field.

Posted by: Opport Knocks | Sep 23 2022 23:37 utc | 300