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‘Western’ Media Spread Copium To Prolong The War In Ukraine
The war in Ukraine is clearly progressing in Russia's favor. That is why I am appalled by the incompetent descriptions in 'western' media of past and current operations in that war.
Consider this June 21 map of the Lysichansk cauldron as it was developing. The frontline extended over 125+ kilometers (78 miles).
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Fourteen days later and the map looks like this.
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The frontline has been shortened to 25 kilometer (15 miles). On Sunday the Russia Defense Ministry announced that it troops had 'liberated' 184 square kilometer over the last 24 hours.
When I was in the military my tank battalion was expected to operate on a generally five kilometer (3 miles) wide frontline. That was of course just a rule of thumb depending on the terrain and other circumstances. But we can expect that a Russian Battalion Tactical Group (BTC) has similar abilities of frontline coverage.
Russia needed some 25 BTCs to cover the frontline on June 21. It now needs only 5 BTC to cover the current line. There were and now are of course additional reserve troops and some BTC are rotated out as rested ones come in just as Russia's president has ordered them to do:
Shoigu told Putin that “the operation” was completed Sunday after Russian troops overran the city of Lysychansk, the last stronghold of Ukrainian forces in Luhansk.
Putin, in turn, said that the military units “that took part in active hostilities and achieved success, victory” in Luhansk “should rest, increase their combat capabilities.”
In a week or two those BTCs which now rest and resupply will be back. They will create a new cauldron around Siversk and maybe Bakhmut, decimate the Ukrainian forces within it to then capture the whole area.
Despite this obvious path to progress for the Russian side the Associate Press headlines:
High cost of Russia gains in Ukraine could limit new advance
The only purported evidence of high Russian costs are the assertions of a 'military analyst in Ukraine' who claims that some Russian units lost half of their soldiers. I have seen nothing that would support such a claim.
The AP writer then adds this:
The limited manpower has forced the Russian commanders to avoid ambitious attempts to encircle large areas in the Donbas, opting for smaller maneuvers and relying on heavy artillery barrages to slowly force the Ukrainians to retreat.
Please. Look at the above maps. What did Russia just do? It had made an ambitious attempt to encircle a large are in Donbas and succeeded with the effort in just a few days. The Ukrainian army threw everything it had available into the cauldron and lost thousands of men while the Russian army avoided direct men against men fighting to minimize its own casualties.
So while the Ukrainians will also benefit from the now shorter frontline they have lost many soldiers and abandoned lots of equipment during the last weeks and will have difficulties to create any reserves.
There is absolutely no reason to believe that the Russian forces are not able to repeat the process over and over.
Copium pieces like the AP's one have the purpose of claiming that the Ukraine can still win the war and deserves wide support to achieve that.
Battlefield reality speaks against that. There is no chance that the Ukraine can gain superiority over the Russian army. No weapon delivery will help.
Yes, the HIMARS artillery system, directed by U.S. intelligence, can hit badly camouflage Russian weapon depots some kilometers behind the frontline as it did on two occasions so far. But Russia has no lack of ammunition and will take countermeasures to better protect it. Functioning armies always adapt to such challenges.
Any prolonging of the war will only lead to more deaths of Ukrainian soldiers, more wounded who will need care and more destruction. The only sane thing that can be done now is to press the Ukrainian president Zelensky to restart negotiations with Russia and admit the defeat of his troops.
Its much better to capitulate now instead of waiting for the Chechen leader Ramsan Kadyrov to come to Kiev and make him do so.
@ OttoE | Jul 5 2022 14:13 utc | 39
Some items have disappeared from the presentation/discussion on MoA.
No, not “disappeared.” We simply choose to deal in facts, rather than unsubstantiated rumors generated by a propaganda machine that is notorious for lying about any and everything it can build a deceit on.
(1) Russian atrocities have been successfully suppressed; No mass rapes and these typical heaps of corpses with arms bound in their backs in the streets anymore.
Where’s the evidence for any of that? The “heaps of corpses with arms bound in [sic] their backs” have been in virtually every case conclusively proven to be murdered by the Ukronazis. In contrast, Russia has opened its prison camps to the Red Cross and all reports so far are that all prisoners–including the Nazi ones–are being treated humanely.
(2) Which food crisis?
There’s no food crisis in Russia or the rest of Asia.
The food crisis you’re talking about is the one created by NATO, the West, and their idiotic sanctions regime. That’s got nothing to do with Russia or Russian actions.
(3) In spite of some limited area gains and temporary occupation of a few third-tier settlements by the aggressors, evacuation corridors for civilians are neither needed to be negotiated for weeks in advance, nor are they subject to Russian shelling anymore.
Your geography is shit, mate. Donetsk, Luhansk, Mariupol, Kherson, Sievierodonetsk, and Lisichansk are literally the largest cities in Eastern Ukraine and form most of the commercial and industrial backbone of the entire Ukraine. Russia is now moving on Kharkiv (IIRC it’s the 2nd most important city in Ukraine after Kiev?) and has advanced to the outskirts of Siversk and has already taken two key villages in its advance on Bakhmut–again, towards which it is rapidly advancing. After taking the Siversk-Soledar-Bakhmut line, an advance towards . Izyum is taken, and Russia is preparing there for an advance on Sloviansk and Kramatorsk–again, both major industrial centers. Finally, all reports are that Russia is in advanced preparations for a move that will ultimate target Odessa.
(4) From the occupied territories, little is heard of forceful deportations (of children in the first place) to Siberia and worse (probably organ donor butcheries).
“Little is heard” of it because these are totally unsubstantiated rumors without any facts to back them up and clearly originating in Ukronazi and US “intelligence” agencies, both of which are notorious for simply making any old nonsense up to try and make it look like they reperesent the “good guys” and the “other guys” are the “bad guys.”
It’s called “propaganda.” You need to look that word up, especially since it seems you’re a paid propagandist working out of some US military rumor-mill.
(5) German state TV, however, showed 2 or 3 days ago a 7 y/o girl, dissolved in tears, pressing the obligatory teddy bear. As we were told, she boarded her parent’s passenger car to leave Lisichansk. Trough the battle area, I take. I coud’nt sleep that night.
Nonsense. You slept like a baby in your GI bed, cooled down by GI air-conditioning in your GI barracks. You probably got drunk on GI beer, I’m guessing, and had a big laugh with your GI friends about how stupid all those people on Twitter are.
So, they DO HAVE reporters AT SITE, and that’s what they come up with?
If you saw this on German corporate-sponsored television then what you saw wasn’t a “report” by a “journalist” but a bit of corporate-sponsored propaganda by a paid liar who was sent to try and convince you that the Russians are the “bad guys.”
Yes, there have been lots of people leaving the newly liberated areas of the Donbass for Belorussia and Russia. The reason is simple: after Russia liberates a city, the Ukronazis bomb the shit out of it in a bid to murder as many civilians and destroy as many of their homes and infrastructure as they possibly can. Thus, busloads and planeloads of those people go elsewhere in order to keep themselves safe.
My guess is your “reporter” showed you a video of a crying little girl who was leaving without the accompaniment of one or both of her parents. There could be any number of reasons for that:
A) Mother/Father got murdered by a Ukronazi shell coming down on him/her so the surviving parent is staying behind to look after what’s left of their home;
B) Mother is already established in Russia, and Father is staying behind while little girl gets sent along to Mama;
C) Ma & Pa are sending the little girl to live with relatives while they both stay to look after their home/business/possessions
D) Little girl’s parents got killed and she’s being sent to relatives in Russia.
Lots of different reasons why she’s being sent away, and “to the Gulag” is just the dumbest choice anyone could possibly choose to believe among them.
Go crawl back under a rock you paid liar, you.
Posted by: Pacifica Advocate | Jul 5 2022 15:32 utc | 68
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