Only news & views related to the Ukraine conflict …
The current open thread for other issues is here.
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July 30, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-117
Only news & views related to the Ukraine conflict … The current open thread for other issues is here.
Comments
@circumspect, Petri Krohn, BroncoBilly & others Posted by: SwissGuy | Jul 30 2022 20:32 utc | 101 I think various things are being missed here which I believe are quite important. Firstly, it is hidden in plain sight that Zelensky is clearly in the descent towards serious paranoia which is dangerous. Very dangerous. The evidence is clear. the ‘kill list’ Ukraine has including a 13yr old girl, is supported by him and he probably contributes names to it. He recently sent a list of American Citizens including Rand Paul, Glenn Greenwald and others for the USA to sanction or to take action against. The people on it are journalists and others who have expressed criticism and concern about the Ukraine Govt and are critical of how Ukraine is soaking up weapons and money delivered by the West. He has just undertaken an extraordinary purge of numerous high level Ukranian politicians and related public officials on the basis of ‘Treason’. He has wiped out all the opposition (except the Nazi Opposition Party) and closed all their outlets and arrested one of its leaders for Treason. He has threatened North Korea because they recognised the two independent republics. He, I strongly believe, gave the order to use HIMARs against the POW camp because he knows the POW’s are making statements that show his Government in a true and very distasteful light. He is suffering from serious delusions about retaking occupied territory. He is totally ignoring advice from Zhulezny (Head of Ukrainian Armed Forces) and has initiated a draconian conscription action that effectively, sends the conscripts to certain death, without batting an eyelid or expressing remote concern about this course of action. He is drunk with power and paranoia. There are many more issues I could list here but it would be too long. He is at the point where he is scrabbling around to justify his decisions and also, he is taking all of this very personally. Anybody who criticises him he makes totally irresponsible retorts. He wants the world banks charged with crimes against humanity (without of course, considering the atrocities the UAF have committed over the past 8yrs and the Azov Battalion in particular). In the midst of sending thousands and thousands of conscripts to certain death in the Donbass, ignoring military advice, purging his administration of top officials on the basis of ‘treason’, threatening North Korea, World Banks and other Politicians, journalists and others who are critical of him, he does a photoshoot for Vogue with his wife. Narcissism at its very worst. This whole thing is just a way of lining his wallet for a lucrative life in the USA no more no less. He is evil, with an advanced narcisstic personality disorder and descending into paranoia, fast. It makes him one hell of a dangerous individual in the world today. I sincerely hope the Russian Army arrest and imprison him for War Crimes. I hope they arrest his close group i.e. Arestovich et al for the same reasons. As an alternative, I would like to see a military coup in Ukraine to oust him once and for all. All his assets abroad need to be seized in keeping with current Western trends. Shame on the collective West for supporting this man. It says a lot about the world we live in. Posted by: Jo Dominich | Jul 30 2022 21:00 utc | 102 Scotch Bingeington @ 104
They stole it all, well, 95% of it, for 77 years. NATO’s a colossal grift, even bigger than the USA, which is hard to believe. I’ve come to realize as sick as the USA is the EU is much sicker. Knowing the civil institutions (national health, free university, etc.) I’d always given the EU more credit. The Russians might as well march straight to the Atlantic. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jul 30 2022 21:20 utc | 103 Ukrainian ship hit a mine at the mouth of the Danube today.
According to Interfx.ua summary of trilateral safety documents only Odesa, Chornomorsk and Pivdenny are covered, and
although Draghi purportedly said in the final leg of negotiaion that the plan was “very encouraging” as it did not require de-mining of UA ports, because Kiev said proposal under discussion would mean no need to de-mine waters to get grain moving. Posted by: sln2002 | Jul 30 2022 21:26 utc | 104 @accountant #90:
Yes.
Here’s the news item covering June 23 briefing (emphasis added):
And here’s the news item covering June 24 briefing (emphasis added):
So, in just one day, from the morning of June 23 until the morning of June 24, Russian forces have allegedly destroyed 3002 − 2088 = 914 field artillery cannons and mortars. Which is impossible. Following briefings continued with 3xxx figures. This must have been a data entry error that Russian MoD hasn’t noticed or has decided not to correct. Posted by: S | Jul 30 2022 21:30 utc | 105 reply to 106 Posted by: Eighthman | Jul 30 2022 21:30 utc | 106 Eighthman | Jul 30 2022 21:30 utc | 113 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jul 30 2022 21:39 utc | 107 I have no idea which side attacked the prison (precisely targeting one cell without harming any guards). It seems like Russia/proxies have a greater motive, though. They’ve discussed a desire to execute Azov prisoners, but safety of POWs from the surrender deal at Azovstal was guaranteed by the UN if I recall correctly (ok, that doesn’t mean much) and obviously doing that would be a major war crime. They have exchange value as prisoners, but giving them up is unpopular and caused backlash when they traded some Azov guys back for pilots. And since Ukraine wants them back, they get in the way of other prisoner exchanges that Russia could agree to. So killing them and blaming it on the enemy is “logical”. Posted by: Yenwoda | Jul 30 2022 21:39 utc | 108 @106 “….adding that residents would be given compensation.” Posted by: dh | Jul 30 2022 21:42 utc | 109 S | Jul 30 2022 21:30 utc | 112 Posted by: accountant | Jul 30 2022 21:53 utc | 110 @dfg #97:
Only if future actors know about the fate of past actors. Do you think Zelenskiy knows about Diệm? Of course not. Posted by: S | Jul 30 2022 21:59 utc | 111 Posted by: Yenwoda | Jul 30 2022 21:39 utc | 115 Posted by: CM of Berlin | Jul 30 2022 22:02 utc | 112 reply to 114 Posted by: Eighthman | Jul 30 2022 22:06 utc | 113 Posted by: Yenwoda | Jul 30 2022 21:39 utc | 115 Posted by: CM of Berlin | Jul 30 2022 22:24 utc | 115 @daffyDuct #106, quoting Reuters article:
Of course they refuse to leave! They are eagerly awaiting liberation by Russian/DPR/LPR forces! Posted by: S | Jul 30 2022 22:37 utc | 116 @Eighthman #119:
Actually, Hitler’s Volkssturm was conscripting 16–60 y.o. males. So Zelenskiy’s current plans to expand conscription from 18–60 y.o. males to 18–70 y.o. males and females go way beyond Hitler. Posted by: S | Jul 30 2022 22:45 utc | 117 Summary30072022 #29 Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jul 30 2022 22:52 utc | 118 If I were the residents of donetsk in areas still controlled by ukraine I’d stay put. The Ukr Govt, over the past 8yrs bombef shelled and massacred 18000 citizens. Zelensky has banned all Russian language and history in the region and they are still shelling donetsk civilians. Posted by: Jo Dominich | Jul 30 2022 23:11 utc | 119 @ uncle tungsten | Jul 30 2022 22:52 utc | 123 who wrote about Pelosi Posted by: psychohistorian | Jul 30 2022 23:18 utc | 120 @115 Yenwoda Posted by: Haassaan | Jul 31 2022 0:29 utc | 121 Posted by: Eighthman | Jul 30 2022 22:06 utc | 119 Posted by: Sushi | Jul 31 2022 0:53 utc | 122 So, when will Russia finally start a special operation for real? Soon at the door…” @ Donnie | Jul 30 2022 17:46 utc | 93 Posted by: james | Jul 31 2022 1:13 utc | 124 Sushi #127 Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jul 31 2022 1:18 utc | 125 Feels like Ukie forces are on the verge of buckling big-time and Z wants as much of a news blackout about it as possible… By the way barflies. Do not miss today’s Military Summary Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jul 31 2022 1:25 utc | 127 @ uncle tungsten | Jul 31 2022 1:25 utc | 132 Posted by: james | Jul 31 2022 1:27 utc | 128 Regarding the forced evacuation of civilians – I’m sure there are a number of reasons for this decision none of which are mentioned in the official pronouncement. The official reason – that Ukraine will be unable to provide gas for heating this winter – is actually probably true as by winter they will no longer control this territory and gas will be provided by the DPR and Russia. I am guessing that they wish to depopulate this area as much as possible to make things it for the allied forces to reconstruct/reconstitute the region, that they are afraid of ‘spies’ as likely at least 50% of the population is sympathetic to the SMO, and they with to punish (and conscript) the resident population. Hopefully many who leave now will be able to return in a few months. Haven’t seen any numbers from Mariupol about civilians returning but I am guessing that at least some are. I wonder how they expect to accomplish this? Another benefit to Ukraine would be the ability to label any civilians who elect to stay as traitors subject to arrest. Posted by: the pessimist | Jul 31 2022 2:23 utc | 129 Bhadrakumar heaping scorn on the Biden admin’s ‘Ukraine policy’ and attempts to reopen diplomatic dialogue over at Indian Punchline. Posted by: the pessimist | Jul 31 2022 2:42 utc | 130 The Himmars with American satellite info turns Ukraine into more of a super power type country, it makes it difficult for the Russians. It causes a longer battle anf more death. If you notice Poland is being built up with massive artillery and tanks. I think they will take a run at them once the Russians have been stretched thin, or at least that was the plan but now that Russia is only using and loosing 20% of the soldiers the west projected things might be stressful. Posted by: OhhCanada | Jul 31 2022 2:43 utc | 131 You be the judge who is the one lacking logic, yet considering his/her hysterical pronouncements to be absolute truth. Posted by: Activist Potato | Jul 31 2022 3:05 utc | 132 Posted by: james | Jul 31 2022 1:13 utc | 129 Posted by: K | Jul 31 2022 3:51 utc | 133 @ K | Jul 31 2022 3:51 utc | 138 Posted by: james | Jul 31 2022 4:14 utc | 134 perhaps the chart i am using for ukraine and zelensky don’t work! Posted by: K | Jul 31 2022 4:55 utc | 135 @ K | Jul 31 2022 4:55 utc | 140 Posted by: james | Jul 31 2022 5:17 utc | 136 Is the UN Secretary General on the payroll of the United States? Anecdotal evidence continues to accumulate in that direction during the Ukrainian SMO. If such is the case, the United Nations has lost its vaunted impartiality, and more so its legitimacy of existence. Posted by: Matt | Jul 31 2022 5:22 utc | 137 Die Vereinigten Staaten kündigten die letzte Chance für die Ukraine an, den Konflikt in den Verhandlungen zu beenden Posted by: mac4 | Jul 31 2022 6:31 utc | 138 bevin #45
Thank you Bevin, that is a grueling read. Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jul 31 2022 7:20 utc | 139 @142, Matt: Yes: “Is the UN Secretary General on the payroll of the United States? Anecdotal evidence continues to accumulate in that direction during the Ukrainian SMO. If such is the case, the United Nations has lost its vaunted impartiality, and more so its legitimacy of existence.” Posted by: susan mullen | Jul 31 2022 7:47 utc | 140 forced evacuations ? Posted by: Exile | Jul 31 2022 8:01 utc | 141 … Military Summary’s suggestion that a surrender deal may be in the works (to save Odessa no doubt) may well be behind this sudden desire of the US to talk to Russia again. Also the POW strike, the bridge attacks in Kherson, and the forced evacuation order may all be signs of Ukraine’s end game – cause as much trouble as possible while they still can, while also trying to salvage something from the ruins they have created (not lose any more territory). Posted by: anon2020 | Jul 31 2022 8:15 utc | 142 Posted by: OhhCanada | Jul 31 2022 2:43 utc | 136 Posted by: ppp | Jul 31 2022 8:23 utc | 143 I suspect NATO commanders want to create free-fire zones. Posted by: mac4 | Jul 31 2022 8:38 utc | 144 @ppp | Jul 30 2022 22:18 utc | 120
He sits when told to sit. In the meantime, for your entertainment 3 x Stoltenberg. Posted by: Norwegian | Jul 31 2022 9:03 utc | 145 @Yenwoda. What garbage you post. You infer that a himar didn’t strike the prison and that it is suspicious that only one spot was hit and that it is suspicious that no guards were injured. Facts are prisons have strong walls so the damage would be concentrated to the spot where the missile punched in. But even outside that spot there were injuries including 8 guards. Posted by: Neal | Jul 31 2022 9:32 utc | 146
It is halfway alredy done after the 2014th. Posted by: Alef | Jul 31 2022 9:57 utc | 147 @mac4 | Jul 31 2022 8:38 utc | 149 Posted by: rk | Jul 31 2022 10:09 utc | 148 bevin #45 Posted by: CM of Berlin | Jul 31 2022 10:15 utc | 149 Conservapedia of hard line american conservatives posted:
And
Indeed maybe they just knew too mutch. But maybe there were some folks they just don’t want back.
1/3 of ukrainian arms could end up just everywhere. This is not a new. Terrorists alredy a long time was using weapons sold by ukrainian generals. Now this could be worse as they don’t have any earning capabilities left so it could become official state policy. Posted by: Alef | Jul 31 2022 10:22 utc | 150 @BroncoBilly #105
Is this true? The HIMARS rockets or missiles are not visibly any different than Uragan or other Russian/Soviet missiles, although I guess they could be made of some fancy materials. Posted by: c1ue | Jul 31 2022 10:44 utc | 151 @Peter AU1 #114 Posted by: c1ue | Jul 31 2022 10:57 utc | 152 @rk Posted by: mac4 | Jul 31 2022 11:01 utc | 153 @OhhCanada #136 Posted by: c1ue | Jul 31 2022 11:04 utc | 154 @james #141 Posted by: c1ue | Jul 31 2022 11:10 utc | 155 bevin #45 … Posted by: anon2020 | Jul 31 2022 11:35 utc | 156 I would never have believed that I would ever agree with one of the most conservative of Australian ex-politicians, Cory Bernadi, but here it is folks, Cory The Truth Teller on Australians Sky News: Posted by: Menz | Jul 31 2022 11:56 utc | 157 @ppp #148:
ostro, why are you now posting as ppp? Have you been banned? Posted by: S | Jul 31 2022 12:24 utc | 158 Re: a theory of the irrational “evacuation of civilians” Posted by: Old canadian | Jul 31 2022 12:57 utc | 159 @Haassaan, I could believe that damage was from a MAM-L missile (TB2 armament), especially the thermobaric warhead variant. Clearly not M31 rocket, come on. Posted by: Yenwoda | Jul 31 2022 13:20 utc | 160 |
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