Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
July 29, 2022
A Panicking Biden Administration Seeks Talks With Russia

Here is another story that demonstrates the incompetence and arrogance of the Biden administration.

The New York Times reports of a potential prisoner swap between the U.S. and Russia:

[T]he Biden administration has proposed trading the merchant of death for the imprisoned basketball player as well as a former marine held in Russia on what are considered trumped-up espionage charges. In the harsh and cynical world of international diplomacy, prisoner exchanges are rarely pretty, but unpalatable choices are often the only choices on the table.

Whether the swap would go through remained unclear. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken made the offer public in part to reassure the families of Brittney Griner, the basketball player, and Paul N. Whelan, the former marine, that the administration is doing all it can to free them.

Russian officials, who have long sought the release of the arms trafficker Viktor Bout, confirmed the discussion on Thursday but said Foreign Minister Sergey V. Lavrov was too busy to talk with Mr. Blinken now.

Typically prisoner swaps are not talked about publicly before they happen:

Some veteran hostage negotiators were perplexed that Mr. Blinken made the offer public. “It is baffling why the U.S. would announce this proposal in the midst of the negotiations,” said Rob Saale, the former head of the F.B.I.-led Hostage Recovery Fusion Cell. “If you’re in sensitive negotiations why would you want to air this out publicly? It makes me wonder if the Russians haven’t already declined the deal.”

Mr. Saale suspicion was justified as the Washington Post now reports:

The Biden administration disclosed publicly that the United States had made “a substantial offer” to Russia to secure the release of two American prisoners because closed-door negotiations had stalled, an administration official said Thursday.

The administration hopes public pressure will lead Moscow to engage in negotiations resulting in basketball star Brittney Griner and security consultant Paul Whelan being released from Russian prison, the official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive deliberations.

U.S. officials say they have tried for weeks to broker the releases of Griner and Whelan. But the lack of progress, and the prospect of Griner soon facing conviction and sentencing on drug charges, prompted the administration this week to make the negotiations public.

I do not understand why the administration had started such negotiations even before the Griner court case has been closed. In general such prisoners will only be pardoned and released to the other side after they have been sentenced. Anything else would raise accusations of executive interference in the judicial process. The Brittney Griner case, over admitted smuggling of cannabis oil, is still in court. The Russian government will obviously refrain from doing anything about her before the judicial process has ended.

One suspects that the prisoner exchange is much more about Paul Whelan, who likely is a CIA asset. He had passports from four countries and in 2007 started traveling to Moscow while serving as a Marine in Iraq:

Whelan went on to seek out more Russian friends, using the country's social networking service VK among others.

A scroll through their profiles, soon after his arrest, revealed almost all to be men – most considerably younger than him. Some do have clear military connections – including photographs in uniform – though not all, and no-one who replied to my messages had seen any reason to doubt Whelan's motives.

The man Whelan accuses of framing him was one of his oldest friends in Russia. He is also a serving intelligence officer.

Defence lawyers disclosed some details of the men's relationship early on in the case, including how the American had visited his friend's house in Sergiev Posad outside Moscow for "saunas and kebabs" the winter before his arrest.

They also said he owed Whelan around 80,000 roubles ($1,147; £930) which the FSB claimed was advance payment for intelligence. The defence team said the Russian had requested a loan to buy a gift for his wife, as part of his trap.

The Russian side says that they found a USB stick in Whelan's pocket with a list of FSB members which had been handed to him by his bribed friend.

It may well be that Whelan was trapped by the FSB. But that does not exclude that he also was a spy. His documented behavior surely raises that suspicion:

On December 28, 2018, Whelan was arrested in the Moscow area by the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), which later confirmed his arrest. Whelan's twin brother David said Whelan arrived in Moscow on December 22 to attend the wedding of a former fellow Marine at the Hotel Metropol Moscow and to assist the groom's family members on their first visit to Russia, a country he had visited many times. He said his brother planned to return to Michigan on January 6, 2019, via Saint Petersburg.

Per MBK News, an outlet run by Putin critic Mikhail Khodorkovsky, Whelan had $80,000 in cash "temporarily confiscated" during a customs inspection at Domodedovo Airport. According to the New York Times, Whelan had acted as a local guide for the wedding guests, but had decided to spend the day of the wedding to meet a friend, per the account of other attendees.

Why is the Biden administration now racing to get a prisoner exchange? Why is it publishing that it is doing so? I really see no good reason for that.

There are of course, as M.K. Bhadrakumar notes, other important reasons why Blinken wants to talk with Russia:

Blinken then came to the real purpose of his forthcoming call with Lavrov — “the plans that Russia now has to pursue the annexation of Ukrainian territory.”

Blinken repeated the hyperbole that sanctions are having “a powerful and also growing effect” and has “weakened Russia profoundly” and the Biden administration will do all that it can “to strengthen Ukraine’s position on the battlefield so it has the strongest possible position at the negotiating table.”

However, what comes through is the growing disquiet in Washington that to its utter disbelief, the Russian stance has only hardened lately. Blinken said it is “causing alarms.” In particular, he noted Lavrov’s remark last week that the Kremlin’s goals in Ukraine had expanded. “Now they seek to claim more Ukrainian territory, beyond the Donbas,” he commented.

Indeed, the war has spun out of US algorithm. As Hungarian PM Orban pointed out last week, anti-Russian sanctions “have not shaken Moscow,” but Europe has already lost four governments and is in an economic and political crisis.

Russia is paying back to the US and NATO in the same coin that the latter did when they dismembered Yugoslavia.

The U.S. sees that its proxy war against Russia is not going into the hoped for direction:

The spectre of the collapse of EU economies is rattling the Biden Administration. A CNN report yesterday was titled US officials say ‘biggest fear’ has come true as Russia cuts gas supplies to Europe. It said the Biden administration “is working furiously behind the scenes to keep European allies united” as the blowback from the sanctions against Russia hits them  and the “impact on Europe could boomerang back onto the US, spiking natural gas and electricity prices.”

The report quoted an unnamed US official saying Russia’s retaliation for western sanctions has put the West in “unchartered territory.” Suffice to say, Blinken’s call underscores the desperate urgency in Washington to open a line of communication to Moscow at the political level.

It was obvious that the Russian side would use the publishing of the potential prisoner exchange to its advantage:

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters Thursday that diplomatic silence typically surrounds negotiations regarding prisoner releases. Announcements are usually made “about agreements that have been completed,” Peskov said, and no agreements have been finalized.

The Russian government acknowledged Thursday that it had received Blinken’s request, but the media service Interfax reported that Lavrov would respond “when his own schedule allows.”

“Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will pay attention to this request as soon as time allows,” ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said, according to Interfax. “Currently, his schedule of international contacts is packed full of real affairs: the SCO [Shanghai Cooperation Organization] council of foreign ministers in Tashkent, bilateral meetings.”

Yes, the foreign minister of 'isolated Russia', who was recently friendly received in several African countries, is very busy with meeting dozens of foreign dignitaries. He has no time for a call with some U.S. minion known for making unfounded accusations and unreasonable requests.

The Russian's will let Blinken squirm for a while over the unimportant prisoner affair and other issues.

The delusion reflected in the Washington Post write up shows that the U.S. has yet to come to its senses:

Lavrov on Wednesday concluded a four-day trip to Africa and is now in Uzbekistan, part of a flurry of recent diplomatic visits, as Russia seeks to bolster its remaining partnerships amid deepening international isolation over its war in Ukraine.

How please is the alleged international isolation of Russia 'deepening`? After the first flurry of sanctions, solely by NATO, EU and 5-eyes countries, no other country has joined the 'western' Russia bashing or put up sanctions. Russia's international standing with the other 80+% of humanity has in fact increased ever since.

The Washington Post writer, as well as the whole Biden administration, has some serious delusions about Russia's role in the now multipolar world.

Lavrov, Peskov and Maria Zakharova are experienced professionals. If one wants to talk with them one should be on a similar level.

Blinken does not even come near to that.

Comments

I think Michael Hudson lays it out fairly nicely:
“President Biden is a front man. They’re all the front men for the faceless people in the State Department, the neocons who are controlling things. Biden has always been right-wing, just a corrupt party politician. He does what he’s paid to do. He’s unimaginative. He’s brought in some real Russia haters – people who have a visceral hatred of Russia because of their family background under the tsars or under Stalin. Blinken said that his family was Jewish and lost under the tsars, and maybe under Stalin. He wants to kill Russians because he’s so angry at what they did to his ancestors. That is the neocon mentality in a nutshell. It’s a crazy mentality.
The Federal Reserve and the Treasury officials say they were not consulted in the political moves that Biden and Blinken and the neocons are making. There is the kind of single-minded tunnel vision at work. They really are Russia haters and China haters. There is a lot of racism you’re seeing in New York, where it’s very dangerous for Asian women to take a subway. Almost every week, the lead news item is yet another Asian woman attacked or pushed in front of a subway. There’s a there’s a new race hatred in America. And they are treating Russians as the Ukrainians do, as if Slavic speaking people are a separate race.”
https://michael-hudson.com/2022/06/economic-rent-and-exploitation/

Posted by: leaf | Jul 29 2022 10:18 utc | 1

Why Viktor Bout ???
https://twitter.com/marina0swald/status/1552528248415952897

Posted by: too scents | Jul 29 2022 10:19 utc | 2

I do not understand why the administration had started such negotiations even before the Griner court case has been closed. In general such prisoners will only be pardoned and released to the other side after they have been sentenced. Anything else would raise accusations of executive interference in the judicial process.

I think after Floyd and the huge BLM moment that seems to live in the minds of the US upper middle classes and up as much as African-American protestors on the street the US elite and media are just turbo concerned about anything that could be construed as them treating a black woman with his concern than they might. It’s a constant source of attack.
Also remember, the US public believes now that Russia and everything it does is illegitimate. You can’t go up to a podium and say “We have to wait until she is sentence” or not say that but wait none the less. Social media is reality to these people now.
And, yes, to a lesser extent the sheer stupidity of the people who are even in US politics anymore is also a factor.

Posted by: Altai | Jul 29 2022 10:20 utc | 3

The only people the West is fooling are their own citizens who consume legacy corporate media propaganda and fail to question or seek alternative sites such as this one. Unfortunately, that is a lot of people.

Posted by: Stephen | Jul 29 2022 10:24 utc | 4

Sergey Lavrov’s speech and answers to questions from the media following the meeting of the SCO Foreign Ministers
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M85lHuMPftE
Half way through it, SCO has lots of plans, economic, political, cultural including sports, and lots of countries wishing to join, unexpected not too ethical declarations by Macron concerning Lavrov visit to Africa, insulting to call Junta an illegitimate some of the governments visited by Lavrov.
Concerning the telephone conversation with Blinken, the request has been accepted but the date will be fixed when Lavrov is back in his working office, stand in line Blinky.
I imagine the transcript will be posted soon on the MID site, for the time being only video.

Posted by: Paco | Jul 29 2022 10:28 utc | 5

Posted by: Paco | Jul 29 2022 10:28 utc | 5
Some of the questions answered in English, half way through.

Posted by: Paco | Jul 29 2022 10:30 utc | 6

Holly shit – now they don’t want prisoner exchange so they are himarring them. – it is reported that many mercenaries have died in a missile attack in Donetsk!
Loony toons – that’s all folks! – it is OVER and the truth will out as most of these western mercs will have already made recorded testimonies of their orders and the remaining ones will now not hold back knowing they are targeted for not having taken their suicide pills but chosen life even as they went thousands of miles to kill ‘russkies’.
I expect mass surrenders by the remaininder or mass ‘evacuation’
Ellenskyy is going to be very unpopular everywhere except on loony toons lands fed on cartoons as facts.
If you and your kids haven’t already – stop consuming the poison of western media and entertainment- it is not fact and it is not culture and there are no marvel superheroes to save the Collective Waste.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jul 29 2022 10:30 utc | 7

Would it not be nice if Sergei Lavrov would stick to this pathetic piece of crap A. Blinken by demanding Julian Assange as exchange for the two Americans. He could explain why he wants Julian, who is a political prisonet, in a public forum and really embarrass the U.S.. That would be the ultimate humiliation for the U.S.

Posted by: Beverly | Jul 29 2022 10:35 utc | 8

The idea by “Beverly,” that Russia should publicly offer two Russian detainees in exchange for (America’s cancelling its extradition request to the UK regime regarding) the martyred international democratic hero Julian Assange is brilliant. I hope that it will be done before the stupids who run U.S. policies contemplate the possibility, in order that the U.S. regime’s global embarrassment will be maximized.

Posted by: Eric Zuesse | Jul 29 2022 10:51 utc | 9

Why is the Biden administration now racing to get a prisoner exchange? Why is it publishing that it is doing so? I really see no good reason for that.

It’s not about the prisoners themselves. They’re being used to try to get the Russians to talk with them but the Russians are refusing.
The real talks will be about the land.
As was pointed out before the Western media can lie about everything in Ukraine but the loss of territory. Either Ukraine controls it or they don’t no amount of propaganda can change that.
Once that reality seeps through to the populations in the West , the whole propaganda facade will collapse. How are the Russia taking territory in Ukraine if they’ve run out of ammo, soldiers, money, isolated from the rest of the world etc.
It all comes crumbling down.
Bringing the prisoner swap out into the open is an act of desperation from the US to try and force the Russians to talk.

Posted by: Down South | Jul 29 2022 10:55 utc | 10

Lavrov told reporters today that the prisoner swap issue has nothing to do with the Russian Foreign Ministry.

“We have asked them [the U.S.] to specify issues that they want to discuss. We have not received their answer yet, but obviously they have already spoken about it in the media. If it is about an exchange of persons being held in custody in Russia and the U.S., we have already offered our comment on behalf of the Foreign Ministry that this matter was discussed more than a year ago at the Geneva meeting between [Russian] President Vladimir Putin and [U.S.] President Joe Biden in June 2021. At it, they agreed to appoint representatives in charge of these issues, and the Foreign Ministry is not among them. But, nevertheless, I will listen to what he has to say,”

Posted by: Brendan | Jul 29 2022 11:00 utc | 11

Blinky’s office said the call will be about warnings against annexation of any part of Ukr and grain exports, something like that.
Lavrov was smart to delay the call for an indefinite period. I’m sure they’ve targeted the nazi prison last night as a warning that US can hit anything they want. They are used to get what they want instantly, this is normal behaviour for them, master-slave mentality.

Posted by: rk | Jul 29 2022 11:03 utc | 12

@Beverly
Splendid suggestion!

Posted by: oscar | Jul 29 2022 11:06 utc | 13

The Blinky & The Brain

Posted by: NoOne | Jul 29 2022 11:09 utc | 14

@oscar | Jul 29 2022 11:06 utc | 13

Sadly Assange has higher value to the Russians in captivity than free.

Posted by: too scents | Jul 29 2022 11:10 utc | 15

Sadly Assange has higher value to the Russians in captivity than free.

Edit: but I suppose that depends upon how his freedom is won.

Posted by: too scents | Jul 29 2022 11:16 utc | 16

I do not see any advantage to Wikileaks or Assange for Assange being a part of a prisoner exchange between Russia and the US. It will only tar both Assange and Wikileaks as Russian agents, and be a propaganda coup for the US and UK, justifying their persectuation of Assange.

Posted by: Blue Dotterel | Jul 29 2022 11:17 utc | 17

“Persecution”. typo

Posted by: Blue Dotterel | Jul 29 2022 11:18 utc | 18

@Blue Dotterel | Jul 29 2022 11:17 utc | 17

Obviously.
Assange’s freedom must be organic.

Posted by: too scents | Jul 29 2022 11:20 utc | 19

The Biden administration hopes public pressure will lead Moscow to engage in negotiations resulting in basketball star Brittney Griner and security consultant Paul Whelan being released from Russian prison, the official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive deliberations.

The Biden administration hopes public pressure will lead… Where? Public pressure in Russia?
For Russians, one is a LGBT drug dealer and the other an American spy. They’d want more prison time for them!😃

Posted by: ostro | Jul 29 2022 11:27 utc | 20

@Eric Zuesse | Jul 29 2022 10:51 utc | 9
Although I sympathize with Julian Assange and condemn the crimes committed against him by Sweden, Australia, UK and USA, Julian Assange is not Russia’s responsibility to solve. Something like that would also require Julian Assange’s consent, and AFAIK I don’t believe it can be obtained. In any case it would be presented as proof of Wikipedia’s and Julian Assange’s supposed betrayal. To be clear, Julian Assange is totally innocent and is being punished for documenting the war crimes of the Empire.

Posted by: Norwegian | Jul 29 2022 11:31 utc | 21

Would it not be nice if Sergei Lavrov would ..demand..Julian Assange as exchange for the two Americans. He could explain why he wants Julian, ..
Posted by: Beverly | Jul 29 2022 10:35 utc | 8
The idea by “Beverly,” that Russia should publicly offer two Russian detainees in exchange for (America’s cancelling its extradition request to the UK regime regarding) the martyred international democratic hero Julian Assange is brilliant…
Posted by: Eric Zuesse | Jul 29 2022 10:51 utc | 9
Very interesting the proposal to use international diplomacy as a means to address first amendment concerns.
https://cynthiachung.substack.com/p/the-enemy-within-a-story-of-the-purge-cda

Posted by: snake | Jul 29 2022 11:31 utc | 22

lithuania has blocked the bank used for payments and will claim nothing can pass to Kaliningrad because Russia can’t pay for it. This is so funny.

Posted by: rk | Jul 29 2022 11:41 utc | 23

You mentioned in the other thread that you are a structural engineer (Jul 29 2022 9:58 utc | 272).
Posted by: Norwegian | Jul 29 2022 11:31 utc | 21
So, what kind of structures have you designed, or designed and constructed?

Posted by: ppp | Jul 29 2022 11:41 utc | 24

Posted by: rk | Jul 29 2022 11:41 utc | 23
———
In time to come there won’t be any Lithuania…😏

Posted by: ostro | Jul 29 2022 11:44 utc | 25

I think after Floyd and the huge BLM moment that seems to live in the minds of the US upper middle classes
Posted by: Altai | Jul 29 2022 10:20 utc | 3
Remember this episode? $AP Rocky is free, but thousands like him are still locked up in the US: a down-market demonstration of TRUMP presidency.
If by US upper-middle class (Biden income test: < $400K p.a., alias “working rich” campaign donors) you mean, persons of the causasian persuasion, then, yes, State Dept. attention to the plights of GRINER (FIFTH WAVE ‘woman and minorities’ minor “icon”) and WHELAN (“family man”) is a opportunity to flatter Biden administration coat tails this election year. I do not doubt one second that owner-operators of the DNC and the WNBA are pulling the levers behind this dead-end spectacle of the superior US criminal and civil “justice system“. BWAH!

The U.S. government has denounced the charges as false.

marijuana and its derivatives is a Schedule I drug; possession alone is a federal 3rd-degree felony–only gott knows what the statutes are in each of the states and uh territories–and I note with interest short shrift in human interest US stories paid to either person’s medical privations while detained.

The U.S. government has long resisted prisoner swaps out of concern that it could encourage additional hostage-taking and promote false equivalency between a wrongfully detained American and a foreign national regarded as justly convicted.

US data illustrate, however, that Griner’s odds, unlike Whelan’s, of “false” arrest and unwarranted use of force under “color of law” are greater in the USA.
Note also how the reporter planted Viktor BOUT in the lede to, ahem, “false equivalency” of crimes which then, ironically, demonstrates The Blinken Fallacy. It appears to me that everyone observing this dramedy is a graduate of a Ukraine School of Law, Medvedchuk Doctrine of PUTIN INTENTIONS. In a PANDEMIC.
Congratulations.

Posted by: sln2002 | Jul 29 2022 11:46 utc | 26

This article brings up an interesting point tangentially.
A lot of new news blog commentators fall into this trap that the actions of the Americans and their vassals, mainly the Europeans plus Japan, are well planned and thought out in advance of their actions. The cabal at WEF and Davos et al.
While I agree that there are overall objectives being painted mainly by a certain tribe, I don’t believe the US has any short term or long term strategies as the Russians and Chinese do.
The Americans are basically fire fighting and doing things to see if they work. If they don’t work, they move on to the next greatest move. In other words, they are reacting to their reactions. They don’t really have solid, well thought out plans. After all, they are on a 4 year political survival cycle. And they are extremely incompetent professionally.
I was listening to Gonzala Lira’s Roundtable discussion among him, Ray McGovern, Larry Johnson and Theodore Postol, all three have worked at the CIA. They all say the same thing.

Posted by: Sam Smith | Jul 29 2022 11:49 utc | 27

It takes a special kind of stupid to openly strike at a nuclear superpower, and not expect it to strike back.
It takes a special kind of clever, to strike back so effectively with so little effort.
As Putin said, “by and large, we haven’t even started anything yet”. Oh boy…
Still confused by the bizarre shelling of Azov POW’s. Each side naturally accuses the other. Either way, leaving valuable witnesses within range of Ukrainian weapons in what could have been an easy PR win for Russia, must be viewed as a failure of imagination and OpSec. UAF had bombed Azov before in Mariupol. One hopes any remaining ‘star witnesses’ will be transferred at a safe distance to avoid another such event.
There is an outside chance it was a false flag, no mention of Russian casualties, presumably there would have been guards nearby too, so why not mention them to quash that theory? Perhaps more details will emerge.
https://www.rt.com/russia/559831-ukraine-pow-missile-strike/
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62344358
Meanwhile BBC continues talking up an ‘offensive’ and Russian infantry shortages:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60506682
What is funny is within the same article, they use a map the has “Russian Advances”, while no such category is assigned to Ukraine. Can’t even sell their own bs LOL.
Closer to home:
Will a cold shower finally wake Germany up? I am not very optimistic, but we still have time. Unlike Russian gas, hope springs eternal…
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/28/german-cities-impose-cold-showers-and-turn-off-fountains-in-face-of-russian-gas-crisis

Posted by: Et Tu | Jul 29 2022 11:58 utc | 28