Only news & views related to the Ukraine conflict …
The open thread for other issues is here.
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June 15, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-87
Only news & views related to the Ukraine conflict … The open thread for other issues is here.
Comments
Yesterday I saw a comment on The Saker 6/14 sitrep saying that Russia only controlled about 50% of the Donetsk region. Today they published 2 maps http://thesaker.is/sitrep-operation-z-messy-grind-again-and-more-great-walkback/?inmoderation, one showing the various regions clearly, and the other showing the Russian-controlled area. I decided to overlay the maps to see if the comment was correct/incorrect, the result is: Yesterday I saw a comment on The Saker 6/14 sitrep saying that Russia only controlled about 50% of the Donesk region. Today they published 2 maps, one showing the various regions clearly, and the other showing the Russian controlled area. I decided to overlay the maps to see if the comment was correct/incorrect, the result is: I too thought they controlled more than 50% of Donetsk territory must be tough sledding in there. This tactic of human shields must be slowing down the troops. Posted by: Lou Cypher | Jun 15 2022 13:49 utc | 3 From Intel Slava
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 13:51 utc | 4 @Saggy the operation in Donetsk didn’t start 100+ days ago Posted by: Oj | Jun 15 2022 13:52 utc | 5 Portrait of a scumbag by an empire lugenpresse outlet: Posted by: Figleaf23 | Jun 15 2022 13:53 utc | 6 @ Saggy | Jun 15 2022 13:45 utc | 1 Posted by: Figleaf23 | Jun 15 2022 13:57 utc | 7 From IntelSlava
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 13:58 utc | 8 Saggy, Lou Cypher, Russia made demands in December (that were ignored), Posted by: Greg Galloway | Jun 15 2022 14:01 utc | 10 From IntelSlava
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 14:03 utc | 11 From IntelSlava
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 14:05 utc | 12 Russia’s goals are the total denazification and demilitarization if the Kiev regime. Both goals are well within reach. Posted by: SingingSam | Jun 15 2022 14:08 utc | 13 Measure instead in terms of the destruction of Ukraine’s capacity to fight and the elimination of criminal neonazis. Posted by: annie | Jun 15 2022 14:12 utc | 14 Is Russia at war with Ukraine? NO. Posted by: Dutch | Jun 15 2022 14:14 utc | 15 @SingingSam (11) Posted by: bjd | Jun 15 2022 14:19 utc | 16 The general public is unwilling to accept the extent of stupidity in the Ukrainian and U.S. leadership. Zelensky is in no way competent to lead a war against the Russian army, and the U.S. Neocons have repeatedly demonstrated incompetentence in foreign policy. But facts are stubborn things, and the facts of steady Russian advances and the deterioration of economic conditions in the West will bring a final accounting. For Ukraine, the end will be a painful forced capitulation. For the U.S., it will be another humiliation to be processed by the amnesia machine. The U.S. reign of error will not end until China defeats the U.S. in the Pacific. Posted by: HH | Jun 15 2022 14:23 utc | 17 A take: if sanctions aren’t going to make the Russians beg for mercy, I doubt any counter-sanctions to Europe, say, cutting off the gas, will force France/Germany to rush to the negotiating tables. (Besides, not having winter fuel is a problem for the plebs.) The US has sanctioned places like Cuba, Venezuela, et. al. and those countries are still “online”. Russia cutting off the fuel won’t make the Europeans squeal like piggies. Posted by: Ursula Zandt | Jun 15 2022 14:25 utc | 18 Posted by: Ursula Zandt | Jun 15 2022 14:25 utc | 16 Posted by: HH | Jun 15 2022 14:29 utc | 19 Regarding Donetsk. The reality is that the Russian General Staff has not prioritized the vicinity of Donetsk as an important area militarily speaking. Unfortunately I have to admit they are correct, around Avdeevka it’s open land, so encircling it in a smash-and-grab action would require probably dozens of BTGs, which under the current parameters would not be feasible without massively depopulating the Kharkiv and Luganks front around Slavyansk and Kramatorsk. Posted by: Micron | Jun 15 2022 14:32 utc | 20 Interesting that technical problems are reducing gas flows to Germany and maybe also for Italy. Posted by: ct | Jun 15 2022 14:32 utc | 21 From the Russian perspective, the operations in Donesk region is not a battle of territory. It is a battle of how fast the Russians can destroy the Ukrainian army using artillery. Posted by: DavidC | Jun 15 2022 14:39 utc | 22 The USA today is a shambles. Mission Accomplished! Posted by: gottlieb | Jun 15 2022 14:41 utc | 23 From the Russian perspective, the operations in Donesk region is not a battle of territory. It is a battle of how fast the Russians can destroy the Ukrainian army using artillery. Posted by: Bemildred | Jun 15 2022 14:45 utc | 24 Are the counter sanctions starting? Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Jun 15 2022 14:45 utc | 25 This note is regarding bombing of Donbas civilians by the Ukrainian army, which is presented in all Western media, especially the German media, as Russian bombardment of (Russian) civilians. In the West, we do live in a post-truth society. In other words, absolutely everything mentioned in any Western public media by any “authority” is a blatant lie, just like this reversal of the truth. Posted by: Kiza | Jun 15 2022 14:46 utc | 26 Not having energy is a problem for the plutocrats in Germany and other EU countries. Their industries will grind to a halt without Russian gas. If the sanctions war continues into the winter, governments will fall in much of the EU. Posted by: Ursula Zandt | Jun 15 2022 14:51 utc | 27 Well for what it is worth, the Battle of Berlin took 16 days. The soviets had 2.3 million troops, 6K tanks, 7K aircraft and 41.5K artillery pieces. The nazis had 766K troops and 1.5K afvs, 2.2K aircraft and 9.3K artillery pieces. It didn’t end well for the nazis. Posted by: DavidC | Jun 15 2022 14:51 utc | 28 Economics are now coming to the fore as the main event. Ukraine was the catalyst. Watch the western economic world. It is visibly starting to crumble. Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jun 15 2022 14:52 utc | 29 Posted by: Ursula Zandt | Jun 15 2022 14:25 utc | 16 Posted by: Lemming | Jun 15 2022 14:56 utc | 30 “Given that after 100+ days of war the Russians control only about 50% of the Donesk region, it seems to me that talk of a Ukrainian defeat or collapse is premature, at best. Yes? No?” Posted by: Vintage Red | Jun 15 2022 14:56 utc | 31
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 15:00 utc | 32 another day, battle proceeds in its slow, broad, and bloody way. Posted by: ptb | Jun 15 2022 15:02 utc | 33 Ct [19] Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jun 15 2022 15:03 utc | 34 @24; Posted by: moaobserver | Jun 15 2022 15:03 utc | 35 How to spin a boomerang Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jun 15 2022 15:06 utc | 36 “..Interesting that technical problems are reducing gas flows to Germany and maybe also for Italy…” Posted by: bevin | Jun 15 2022 15:09 utc | 37 A real tweet from
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 15:09 utc | 38 Bruised Nortgerner corrects my @35: Posted by: bevin | Jun 15 2022 15:13 utc | 39 Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 15:09 utc | 36 Posted by: Ursula Zandt | Jun 15 2022 15:13 utc | 40 @bevin; @35 Posted by: moaobserver | Jun 15 2022 15:14 utc | 41 moaobserver@39 Posted by: bevin | Jun 15 2022 15:27 utc | 42 Posted by: Ursula Zandt | Jun 15 2022 15:13 utc | 38 Posted by: Tom_12 | Jun 15 2022 15:28 utc | 43 Russia warned the US and its slaves in every possible way. Posted by: pasha | Jun 15 2022 15:29 utc | 44 @pasha (42) Posted by: bjd | Jun 15 2022 15:34 utc | 45 Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Jun 15 2022 14:45 utc | 23 Posted by: TomD | Jun 15 2022 15:35 utc | 46 @40 @bevin; Posted by: moaobserver | Jun 15 2022 15:37 utc | 47
As many cynics have pointed out, the USA (Canada is a vassal) and Russia together are defeating Germany for the 3rd time in just over 100 years Posted by: Opport Knocks | Jun 15 2022 15:45 utc | 48 Pasha-42 Posted by: Chevrus | Jun 15 2022 15:48 utc | 49 From IntelSlava
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 15:50 utc | 50 Posted by: Dutch | Jun 15 2022 14:14 utc | 13 Posted by: CM of Berlin | Jun 15 2022 15:51 utc | 51 Siemens… The same Siemens whos’ controllers were “hacked” causing the centrifuges too speed up causing “damage” to the Iranian nuclear program. Posted by: Heavymetal101 | Jun 15 2022 16:01 utc | 52 Italian television documentary infers civilians in Bucha were executed by Ukrainian soldiers as reprisal for “collaboration” with RF units. Posted by: jayc | Jun 15 2022 16:03 utc | 53 How about all the food plant fires in the US? Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Jun 15 2022 16:14 utc | 54 What I don‘t follow is that Siemens supplies an SGT-A35 aerodrive compressor say to Gazprom. The firm RVG in UK Services all types of SGT-A35 whether Rolls-Royce or Siemens but ships a replacement before repair is undertaken and such repairs last 60 days Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Jun 15 2022 16:19 utc | 55 @Heavymetal101 | Jun 15 2022 16:01 utc | 50
It happens every time someone marches on Moscow, ref. the Minard diagram, at bottom is shown the temperatures during Napoleaon’s retreat from Moscow, it was -30C at times ! Posted by: Norwegian | Jun 15 2022 16:24 utc | 56 Posted by: TomD | Jun 15 2022 15:35 utc | 44 Posted by: Paco | Jun 15 2022 16:31 utc | 57 Posted by: bjd | Jun 15 2022 14:19 utc | 14 Posted by: Arioch | Jun 15 2022 16:32 utc | 58 Regarding those who are despairing that Russia seems bogged down or even on the back heel, not being a military expert, or even familiar with Russia’s actual military capability, it’s practically impossible to think that if Russia chose to, she doesn’t have the capability to reduce the entire Ukraine to rubble in about half a minute. Posted by: Geoff | Jun 15 2022 16:33 utc | 59 Russia lowers gas flows to Europe with part stuck in Canada Posted by: james | Jun 15 2022 16:34 utc | 60 Posted by: CM of Berlin | Jun 15 2022 15:51 utc | 49 Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | Jun 15 2022 16:39 utc | 61 “No previous society has had sociality, consciousness, transformed by smartphones before. We are in a new era.” Posted by: Vintage Red | Jun 15 2022 16:39 utc | 62 @Down South (10) That “analysis” by the Pentagon promotes a novel myth that there was a point in the war when the Russian army could have been stopped, if not defeated, but that point has long since passed. What is left unsaid, but implied, is that the Ukrainian army botched the job. This narrative is an attempt to absolve the US planners who were/are the driving force of the war. Truth be told, there was never a point where Russian forces were bogged down and could have been stymied. Russia’s war plan played out as it had to, given the goals of the SMO and the conditions on the ground. Russia’s military capabilities far exceed those of the US and all of its NATO allies combined, and the war is being fought on its doorstep, not thousands of miles away. There is no way that Ukraine, even if fortified with all the weapons in the NATO arsenal, could have stopped such a military juggernaut. Posted by: Rob | Jun 15 2022 16:41 utc | 63 Those who are wringing hands over how slowly Russia seems to be moving, or how little Russia seems to be acquiring, sound like a call to the kind of destruction the western war consumer has become accustomed. Posted by: Vintage Red | Jun 15 2022 16:42 utc | 64 So I am not clear how Siemens got into such a mess Posted by: Arioch | Jun 15 2022 16:42 utc | 65 ships a replacement before repair is undertaken and such repairs last 60 days Posted by: sln2002 | Jun 15 2022 16:43 utc | 66 Posted by: Norwegian | Jun 15 2022 16:24 utc | 55 Posted by: HistoryBuff | Jun 15 2022 16:50 utc | 67 Rule of thumb. If you see some issue in the smo that you are sure is a simple oversight and failure on Russia’s part, take a deep breath and realize it is because you lack the information needed to make those decisions. Repeating the claim over and over in every thread makes you look…well…. Posted by: Nook | Jun 15 2022 16:51 utc | 68 Posted by: Saggy | Jun 15 2022 13:45 utc | 1 Posted by: Roda | Jun 15 2022 16:55 utc | 69 @ SingingSam. 11 Posted by: Alpi | Jun 15 2022 17:12 utc | 70
‘Those’ should go over to the not Ukraine thread and read the article S has posted @Posted by: S | Jun 15 2022 16:21 utc | 17 Posted by: waynorinorway | Jun 15 2022 17:18 utc | 71 AZ OSINT Posted by: anon2020 | Jun 15 2022 17:22 utc | 72 German Press reports yet another round up of sabotuers in Kiev. Supposedly this time they were planning a ‘terror attcak’ against ‘elensky Posted by: Exile | Jun 15 2022 17:40 utc | 73 Economics are now coming to the fore as the main event. Posted by: sln2002 | Jun 15 2022 17:42 utc | 74 Coming from the Brits and not confirmed by the Russian side the story might be fog, but a couple of US ex-military nationals have been captured according to The Telegraph. Posted by: Paco | Jun 15 2022 17:43 utc | 75 “If WWII is any lesson from the past it proves that you can annihilate a military with artillery but you can’t bomb an ideology to oblivion. You might send it underground at best or imprison it but you cant stop it from growing. Putin should have learned that since he is a student of history.” Posted by: bevin | Jun 15 2022 17:46 utc | 76 Five days ago, on June 10th, I posted an extract from an article by the President Posted by: librul | Jun 15 2022 17:47 utc | 77 Paco-74 Posted by: Chevrus | Jun 15 2022 17:50 utc | 78 Remember so far, it has been just batte for Lughansk, which is now probably 99% coplefe, allong with 60% of Kharkov region. Posted by: Bianca | Jun 15 2022 17:56 utc | 79 a military objective. Posted by: sln2002 | Jun 15 2022 18:01 utc | 80 Telegraph. Two American mercenaries were captured in Ukraine. Both are former servicemen of the US Armed Forces. Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Jun 15 2022 18:15 utc | 81 ________________________ Posted by: Anna Miller | Jun 15 2022 18:21 utc | 82 Apologies I was meaning just to post link and quote one paragraph ‘Slavoj Žižek Posted by: Anna Miller | Jun 15 2022 18:25 utc | 83 From IntelSlava
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 18:35 utc | 84 Posted by: Anna Miller | Jun 15 2022 18:25 utc | 82 Daily Mail also has an article on the two Americans captured as POWs in Ukraine (outside Kharkov, as it happens). Has photos of the two men. Posted by: Lysias | Jun 15 2022 18:37 utc | 86 kudos to mexico and the mexicans for having a leader that speaks the truth! Posted by: james | Jun 15 2022 18:38 utc | 87 China could ruin NATO and end western imperialism overnight by cutting off exports to hostile nations including via third parties. China manufactures virtually everything the US and the EU consumes. Posted by: Willow | Jun 15 2022 18:39 utc | 88 Is the President proposing here an assassination or coup? Posted by: Ursula Zandt | Jun 15 2022 18:41 utc | 89
Posted by: Down South | Jun 15 2022 18:43 utc | 90 @ Tito | Jun 15 2022 18:44 utc | 90 and his commentary is from april 18th – stale and irrelevant on all levels… Posted by: james | Jun 15 2022 18:46 utc | 92 China could ruin NATO and end western imperialism overnight by cutting off exports to hostile nations Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Jun 15 2022 18:48 utc | 93 @ Anna Miller | Jun 15 2022 18:25 utc | 82 Posted by: james | Jun 15 2022 18:48 utc | 94 Ukraine is not the only front in the Cold War 2.0 (although it’s the hottest one by far). In the latest Open Thread, I have posted translations of three Russian articles providing overview of some of the other fronts: Chinese, Turkish and Algerian. Posted by: S | Jun 15 2022 18:51 utc | 95 Posted by: SwissArmyMan | Jun 15 2022 18:48 utc | 92 Posted by: Wook | Jun 15 2022 18:53 utc | 96 “I don’t nearly agree with much of what Slovenian thinker says yet he brings to the debate that are worth considering. Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jun 15 2022 19:00 utc | 97 Ukraine is not the only front in the Cold War 2.0 (although it’s the hottest one by far). In the latest Open Thread, I have posted translations of three Russian articles providing overview of some of the other fronts: Chinese, Turkish and Algerian. Re: High pain threshold Posted by: William Gruff | Jun 15 2022 19:05 utc | 99 for the german barflies here Posted by: Macpott | Jun 15 2022 19:08 utc | 100 |
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