Only news & views related to the Ukraine conflict …
The open thread for other issues is here.
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May 19, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-69
Only news & views related to the Ukraine conflict … The open thread for other issues is here.
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Congressman (Ret) Ron Paul and Daniel McAdams did an Episode Today on Bruce-Caitlin Jenner…er… Jankowicz – and Free Speech Issues. Posted by: IronForge | May 19 2022 19:28 utc | 101 Latest from Intel Slava Z, [19/05/2022 16:59] Posted by: Barofsky | May 19 2022 19:28 utc | 102 Re “why aren’t the cauldrons closed” Posted by: dave_k | May 19 2022 19:30 utc | 103 Latest Intel Slava Z, [19/05/2022 16:59] Posted by: Barofsky | May 19 2022 19:30 utc | 104 Russian army // National guard of Russia // LDPR forces (National militia) Posted by: BG13 | May 19 2022 19:39 utc | 105 @ Stonebird | May 19 2022 19:23 utc | 96 Posted by: james | May 19 2022 19:47 utc | 106 Posted by: BG13 | May 19 2022 19:39 utc | 104 Posted by: Seer | May 19 2022 19:50 utc | 107 Posted by: Doug Hillman | May 19 2022 19:27 utc | 99 Posted by: sln2002 | May 19 2022 19:57 utc | 108 The Russian POW tried for war crimes in Kiev was convicted of killing a 62 yr old man who was using a cell phone. The Russian troops feared that he was giving away their location and the soldier was ordered to shoot. Posted by: the pessimist | May 19 2022 20:06 utc | 109 Posted by: the pessimist | May 19 2022 20:17 utc | 110 Not-Zees or Null-Zees? Posted by: La Bastille | May 19 2022 20:26 utc | 112 “To “njet”: james | May 19 2022 19:47 utc | 105 Posted by: Stonebird | May 19 2022 20:34 utc | 114 Everyone, Posted by: IronForge | May 19 2022 20:40 utc | 115 “It is one thing for Washington Beltway Bandits to advocate for “fighting to the last Ukrainian”, it is different when Ukraine’s own government is doing the same. Maybe all these troops are fervent believers in Ukrainian nationalism etc and are willing to die… we will soon see.” Here’s a pretty darn good opinion piece called “With a $40 billion plan, the US is setting itself up for an expensive failure in Ukraine” by a fella named Scott Ritter. There ya go. Posted by: Aleph_Null | May 19 2022 20:44 utc | 117 Russia is doomed. Posted by: Aleph_Null | May 19 2022 16:41 utc | 61 Posted by: G | May 19 2022 20:48 utc | 119 Also it has been mentioned that the Ukies seem fairly determined – a point which was misjudged I think. Posted by: Boomheist | May 19 2022 14:13 utc | 11 Posted by: Emily Dickinson | May 19 2022 20:51 utc | 121 @Michael Keefer #33 Posted by: Cynica | May 19 2022 20:55 utc | 122 My 2 cents on Ritter, he’s a victim of the internet age and caught up in the frenzy, he reports much too often, every couple days even. He needs to be more old school typewriter meditative like Crooke and Escobar, report every 2-3 weeks, let stuff gel and coalesce a bit before offering up analysis. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | May 19 2022 20:57 utc | 123 Re: why the encirclement of Ukrainian positions in the Donbass has not occurred already – Posted by: Cynica | May 19 2022 20:59 utc | 124 Global famine likely this year – Putin aide Posted by: Stonebird | May 19 2022 20:34 utc | 113 Posted by: Seer | May 19 2022 21:25 utc | 126 George W Bush just made the mother of all Freudian slips. Posted by: lex talionis | May 19 2022 21:36 utc | 127 Alastair Crooke’s latest has a somewhat different slant since it’s not published by Strategic Culture, which I discussed a bit on the non-Ukraine thread. But it also deals with Ukraine, thus posting it here. Crooke’s main point is NATO’s King and his vassals believed their own self-justifying myths, which has driven them into the disaster that now confronts them. Anyone who’s read the transcripts of meetings with Rostec yesterday, ROSATOM today, and economic related meetings since December will know Russia faces no economic crisis or a political one driven by it. As many know, serial prevaricators often get lost in the web of falsehoods they weave, and example of which is provided by this article: “…One should not forget that 73% of Ukrainians voted for Zelensky in 2019 as a peace candidate who promised to implement the Minsk Accords, and thereby to put an end to the civil war in the Donbas, and to reintegrate the dissident Donetsk and Lugansk republics into what would become a newly federalized and bilingual Ukrainian state…” Posted by: juliania | May 19 2022 21:47 utc | 129 Posted by: Stonebird | May 19 2022 19:23 utc | 96 Posted by: Mongo | May 19 2022 21:49 utc | 131 $40 billion is a lot. It is easy to get spooked by that mountain of cash since it is enough to build a very formidable fighting force if you are careful about how you spend it. I think it is too easy to overestimate how effective that “investment” will be, though. This isn’t a carefully considered move by the United States, but rather a panicked spasm. Very little of that $40 billion will ever make it into combat, and instead will simply end up lining the pockets of a lot of people who already have well-lined pockets. I would be surprised if even 5% of that makes it into the Ukraine. Posted by: William Gruff | May 19 2022 21:50 utc | 132 @IronForge | May 19 2022 20:40 utc
Fortunately, there are legal systems that do not accept that the role of public authorities is to provoke citizens to commit crimes.
The Court of Cassation decided that “the discovery of the possession of pornographic images was only made possible by the provocation to commit an offense organized by the American authorities and whose results had been transmitted to the French authorities”. The evidence was therefore not admissible in court. Posted by: Leuk | May 19 2022 22:01 utc | 133 The Chinese, Laos, Cambodia and the Ho Chi Minh Trail eventually spanked us back into reality. No amount of dead Vietcong and B-52s unracking their loads over Ban Laboy crossing was ever going to change that. Kinzals, cauldrons and good intentions are not going to change that for Russia. *That* is what Scott Ritter realized. Posted by: K | May 19 2022 22:03 utc | 134 K @133 Posted by: cdvision | May 19 2022 22:19 utc | 135 Posted by: karlof1 | May 19 2022 21:45 utc | 127 Posted by: Lex | May 19 2022 22:33 utc | 136 @William Gruff; #47: Posted by: Oriental Voice | May 19 2022 22:45 utc | 137 I had not seen this video of an interview (in French with eng subs) with a young French man who spent 16 days in the Ukraine as a medical/humanitarian volunteer. He witnessed POW executions by Azov and said he thought there were about 20k of them distributed throughout the Ukrainian military. Share with anyone who says “no Nazis in Ukraine”. Posted by: the pessimist | May 19 2022 22:58 utc | 138 William Gruff @131– Posted by: Dale | May 19 2022 18:00 utc | 73 Posted by: John Kennard | May 19 2022 23:14 utc | 140 “Perhaps many Ukies didn’t get the memo: today’s Russians aren’t the same as their grandparents and great grandparents Bolshevik Communists.” Scorpion@119 Posted by: bevin | May 19 2022 23:17 utc | 141 1. The $50 billion allocated by Washington to Ukraine, serves two purposes. One to fund the Ukrainian government’s expenses to allow it to keep functioning and pay for things like education and pensions. As far as I can make out that $7 billion per month so over the next six months that comes to $42 billion, leaving $8 billion over six months for purchases of weapons. A fraction of what Russia will spend over the same period. Posted by: Ghost Ship | May 19 2022 23:23 utc | 142 the pessimist @ 109 Posted by: circumspect | May 19 2022 23:34 utc | 143 @ Posted by: Leuk | May 19 2022 22:01 utc | 132 Posted by: jared | May 19 2022 23:41 utc | 144 #132 Leuk | May 19 2022 22:01 utc Posted by: IronForge | May 19 2022 23:46 utc | 145 Zelensky: “Victory in the war” will cost Ukraine tens of thousands of lives. Posted by: Undercutter | May 19 2022 23:55 utc | 146 1/ It is sad to see IronForge completing the smears and justifying the FBI’s politically motivated framing of Scott Ritter. Posted by: bevin | May 20 2022 0:04 utc | 147 Stonebird | May 19 2022 20:34 utc | 113 Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 20 2022 0:25 utc | 148
I would love a source for this. Much appreciated. Posted by: Lurker | May 20 2022 0:34 utc | 149 So many electrons fired over Scott Ritter. No analyst gets it right 100% of the time nor do I want to agree with any analyst 100% of time (I certainly don’t want an analyst who agrees with me 100% of the time.) That’s how the west got itself into this trouble. Posted by: Lex | May 20 2022 0:38 utc | 150 the pessimist | May 19 2022 20:06 utc | 108 Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 20 2022 0:42 utc | 151 @ Posted by: IronForge | May 19 2022 23:46 utc | 144 Posted by: jared | May 20 2022 0:45 utc | 152 Oceania is applying the “Zapp Branigan” strategy, using its slaves in Europe. Posted by: doubting tomas | May 20 2022 0:48 utc | 153 The Dumb Man theory Posted by: Duncan Idaho | May 20 2022 0:51 utc | 154 @ Posted by: IronForge | May 19 2022 23:46 utc | 144 Posted by: jared | May 20 2022 0:54 utc | 155 I think Ritter is wrong for one reason:the quickest way for the Ukrainians to build up their military is to agree to an immediate cease fire. They could bring back their combats units for rest and refit and start rebuilding their infrastructure. Posted by: ALex | May 20 2022 0:55 utc | 157 RT just now-“US to send anti-ship missiles to Ukraine – Reuters Posted by: Bobaree | May 20 2022 1:01 utc | 158 K@133 – “But none of those countries were being force fed munitions and soldiers by the US Empire et al. So I fail to see what comparison you are making? They all won through due to grit and determination of the people not willing to be colonised, and strong leadership.” Posted by: PavewayIV | May 20 2022 1:07 utc | 159 Nobody reads an old thread, so I am posting the following here …. Posted by: Cyril | May 20 2022 1:11 utc | 160 A walk through of Azov headquarters. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dSKqqw511do Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 20 2022 1:19 utc | 161 @104 Here it is from the Chechen leader himself. The Chechen’s haven’t even gotten a runny nose fighting in Ukraine Posted by: Gazza | May 20 2022 1:28 utc | 162 PavewayIW @ 158 Posted by: cdvision | May 20 2022 1:32 utc | 163 karlof1 @ 138 Posted by: Joe6pack | May 20 2022 1:33 utc | 164 PavewayIV | May 20 2022 1:07 utc | 158 Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 20 2022 1:40 utc | 165 @bevin | 146 Posted by: Doug Hillman | May 20 2022 1:41 utc | 166 Here in Hamilton Ontario we have a visible influx of Ukrainian refugees. Posted by: ld | May 20 2022 1:43 utc | 167 I’m not comparing the nature of the fighting in Vietnam to Ukraine, only the untenable position of a far superior military (U.S. in Vietnam, Russia in Ukraine) conducting limited operations to rout an arguably militarily inferior (albeit determined) but well-supplied adversary. Posted by: K | May 20 2022 1:48 utc | 168 Posted by: Et Tu | May 19 2022 13:36 utc | 3 Posted by: Lucci | May 20 2022 2:00 utc | 169 I think there are a number of items that we collectively have not come up with a good working hypothesis. Posted by: bobzibub | May 20 2022 2:19 utc | 170 bobzibub @ 169 Posted by: Joe6pack | May 20 2022 2:28 utc | 171 “I felt a great disturbance in the Force” Posted by: blues | May 20 2022 2:30 utc | 172 bobzibub | May 20 2022 2:19 utc | 169 “I’m afraid we’re missing something.” Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 20 2022 2:58 utc | 173 Joe6pack @ 170. Posted by: bobzibub | May 20 2022 3:02 utc | 174 Blues @171 Posted by: bobzibub | May 20 2022 3:06 utc | 175 @ bevin 140 From wikipedia: “Since 2006, the Holodomor has been recognized by Ukraine[29] alongside 15 other countries, as a genocide against the Ukrainian people carried out by the Soviet regime.[30]” bobzibub | May 20 2022 2:19 utc | 169 Posted by: Flying Dutchman | May 20 2022 3:10 utc | 177 I’m afraid we’re missing something. cdvision@162 – I must be missing your point here, cdvision. Posted by: PavewayIV | May 20 2022 3:24 utc | 179 A lot of discussion about Scott Ritter, U.S. Marine Corps major. I met Scott personally while I was frantically opposing the build-up to the absurd Iraq Gulf War. He’s not just your everyday intel officer. He is a seer — I got a solid reading on him at first sight. He certainly knows something very odd is happening. presumably not via factual knowledge, but by sheer intuition. Posted by: Chevrus | May 19 2022 16:01 utc | 45 Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | May 20 2022 3:29 utc | 181 @ PavewayIV 178 Posted by: Don Bacon | May 20 2022 3:32 utc | 182 Peter AU1 @ 172 Posted by: bobzibub | May 20 2022 3:36 utc | 183 Speaking of dreadful things in the USA, I would include the attacks on females including forcing them to birth children they (and probably their mates) don’t want. . . .But I won’t bring it up until a female barfly does. . . .oops Posted by: Don Bacon | May 20 2022 3:36 utc | 184 from the web: Posted by: Don Bacon | May 20 2022 3:43 utc | 185 My problem with Scott Ritter, and I hope he’s reading this, is that he’s analyzing the trees and not the forest. What model cannon is being given to Ukraine may be significant in a battle but insignificant in the war. The “war” is a world-wide effort by the US to take over the world. I read that only recently the UK finally paid off its WWII debt, after some 80 years. By encouraging nations around the world to fight among themselves and against the US’s competitors, while keeping their (the US’s mainland) own territory safe from the ravages of the war, the US expects to Rule Americana over the world. Practically every nation will owe the US in perpetuity. My problem with Scott Ritter, and I hope he’s reading this, is that he’s analyzing the trees and not the forest. What model cannon is being given to Ukraine may be significant in a battle but insignificant in the war. The “war” is a world-wide effort by the US to take over the world. I read that only recently the UK finally paid off its WWII debt, after some 80 years. By encouraging nations around the world to fight among themselves and against the US’s competitors, while keeping their (the US’s mainland) own territory safe from the ravages of the war, the US expects to Rule Americana over the world. Practically every nation will owe the US in perpetuity. @PavewayIV 178 Posted by: cdvision | May 20 2022 4:06 utc | 188 Posted by: Don Bacon | May 20 2022 3:36 utc | 182 Posted by: Undercutter | May 20 2022 4:07 utc | 189 “…. Apples and oranges. South Vietnam and Afghanistan were regime change. Their guys were always better than our guys, because their guys were fighting for their country and our guys were fighting for us. Posted by: Exile | May 20 2022 4:09 utc | 190 K@167 – Posted by: PavewayIV | May 20 2022 4:10 utc | 191 With a $40 billion plan, the US is setting itself up for an expensive failure in Ukraine(Scott Ritter) Posted by: KitaySupporter | May 20 2022 4:12 utc | 192 Oh well. Only five days to go. For the Polish Army “Grand Army Invasion” to retake Lvov and western Ukraine…………….. Posted by: Bad Deal Motors On | May 20 2022 4:16 utc | 193 Bravo to Bevin@56. I feel that way too. Thanks. Posted by: Australian lady | May 20 2022 4:21 utc | 194 Peter AU1@164 – We’ll have to disagree on this point, then. The US will fight the Russians to the last Ukrainian, but has no intention of letting it get that far. The US won’t just ‘run out of Ukrainians’ and let the war end. We will try to insert as many additional non-Ukrainians as necessary by whatever means possible to prolong the war and ‘bleed Russia white’. We’re not trying to win anything – we’re trying to kill Russians for as long as possible. Because… [insert random US psychopathic logic here]. Posted by: PavewayIV | May 20 2022 4:24 utc | 195 US so called (indigenous) allies in their various attacks and occupations of various countries are always traitors that are more than willing to work with foreign invaders. They are a minority. Korea, Vietnam and every fucking war since. In Chechnya, Putin’s Russia worked with the Chechen’s that resisted the US pysop. In Syria Putin’s Russia worked with the Syrians. In Ukraine Putin’s Russia is working with the ethnic Russians. Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 20 2022 4:26 utc | 196 PavewayIV @ 178 Posted by: circumspect | May 20 2022 4:31 utc | 197 Scorpion @ 177. Posted by: bobzibub | May 20 2022 4:33 utc | 198 @ Stonebird | May 19 2022 20:34 utc | 113 Posted by: james | May 20 2022 4:41 utc | 199 |
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