Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
May 27, 2022

As Things Fall Apart Biden May Want To Escalate

Is reality setting in? Is that why a Washington Post reporter, who has been on the frontline in Ukraine, was allowed to write this?

Ukrainian volunteer fighters in the east feel abandoned

[A]fter three months of war, this company of 120 men is down to 54 because of deaths, injuries and desertions.

The volunteers were civilians before Russia invaded on Feb. 24, and they never expected to be dispatched to one of the most dangerous front lines in eastern Ukraine. They quickly found themselves in the crosshairs of war, feeling abandoned by their military superiors and struggling to survive.

In mid February these people were still civilians in some town in west Ukraine. They then 'volunteered', to avoid a draft into the army, for the territorial defense forces with the hope to serve near their homes:

Lapko, built like a wrestler, was made a company commander in the 5th Separate Rifle Battalion, in charge of 120 men. The similarly burly Khrus became a platoon commander under Lapko. All of their comrades were from western Ukraine. They were handed AK-47 rifles and given training that lasted less than a half-hour.

“We shot 30 bullets and then they said, ‘You can’t get more; too expensive,’ ” Lapko said.

They were given orders to head to the western city of Lviv. When they got there, they were ordered to go south and then east into Luhansk province in Donbas, portions of which were already under the control of Moscow-backed separatists and are now occupied by Russian forces.

The men were put into a frontline ditch and have since been shelled again and again without any ability to respond. They then disregarded the orders from above and left. They have now be arrested.

The military values of such units was zero to begin with. Untrained men under command of an inexperienced civilian and with no real weapons have no chance to hold out against a professional military force like the Russian army.

That 60 or so of them got killed or wounded for no good reason is the responsibility of the servant of the corrupt (recommended), President Vlodomir Zelenski, and those 'western' politicians, like Boris Johnson, who egg him on.

But the biggest part of the responsibility for the life of those men falls to the Biden administration. It tried to push Zelensky to invade Donbas in early 2021. Back then Russia started large scale maneuvers and made clear that they would intervene. Zelensky got cold feet and pulled back. As the Carnegie Endowment's Dmitri Tretin reported at that time:

In February [2021], Zelensky ordered troops (as part of the rotation process) and heavy weapons (as a show of force) to go near to the conflict zone in Donbas. He did not venture out as far as Poroshenko, who dispatched small Ukrainian naval vessels through the Russian-controlled waters near the Kerch Strait in late 2018, but it was enough to get him noticed in Moscow. The fact of the matter is that even if Ukraine cannot seriously hope to win the war in Donbas, it can successfully provoke Russia into action. This, in turn, would produce a knee-jerk reaction from Ukraine’s Western supporters and further aggravate Moscow’s relations, particularly with Europe. One way or another, the fate of Nord Stream II will directly affect Ukraine’s interests. Being seen as a victim of Russian aggression and presenting itself as a frontline state checking Russia’s further advance toward Europe is a major asset of Kyiv’s foreign policy.

When the 2021 attempt had failed the Biden administration did not change its general plan as it is part of a larger strategy to push the 'west' into a new cold war with Russia and China. After the 2021 attempt on Donbas had failed the U.S. immediately prepared for a new attempt to provoke Russia in Ukraine in spring 2022.

The first instruction that Secretary of State Antony Blinken got from President Biden was to “reset” America’s alliances and partnerships abroad so that the United States could deal with the challenges ahead. That strategy would prove decisive in combating Russia’s aggression against Ukraine.

Blinken and other officials gave me new details this week, describing a series of behind-the-scenes meetings over the past year that helped forge the U.S.-led coalition to support Ukraine.
...
The Biden administration’s secret planning began in April 2021 when Russia massed about 100,000 troops on the Ukrainian border. The buildup turned out to be a feint, but Blinken and other officials discussed U.S. intelligence about Russia’s actions with leaders of Britain, France and Germany at a NATO meeting in Brussels that month. Their message was, “We need to get ourselves prepared,” a senior State Department official said.
...
The Ukraine threat got red-hot in October, when the United States gathered intelligence about a renewed Russian buildup on the border, along with “some detail about what Russian plans for those forces actually were,” Blinken said. This operational detail “was really the eye opener.” The Group of 20 nations were meeting at the end of October in Rome, and Biden pulled aside the leaders of Britain, France and Germany and gave them a detailed readout on the top-secret evidence.

“It was galvanizing enough that there was an agreement … to fleshing out the consequences for Russia if it went ahead with the aggression,” Blinken said.
...
Threatening sanctions can be an empty diplomatic ritual. But in December, Blinken and his colleagues began seriously discussing with allies what steps they would take. The initial venue was a Group of Seven foreign ministers meeting in Liverpool, England, on Dec. 11. The attendees publicly committed that there would be “massive consequences and severe costs,” Blinken remembered. As a result, he said, “when the aggression actually happened, we were able to move immediately.”

NATO military planning accelerated along with the diplomacy. Air Force Gen. Tod Wolters, the NATO commander, told me that his colleagues began preparing in December and January the “ground lines of communication” that would allow rapid shipment of arms into Ukraine. They studied entry points for supplies and other practical details. This weapons pipeline delivered Stinger and Javelin missiles before the invasion began Feb. 24 and has transferred huge numbers of heavier weapons since then.

That narrative is of course deeply misleading. The U.S. did not know of a 'Russian invasion'. What it knew was that Zelensky, pushed by the U.S., would make another attempt to invade the Donbas republics with overwhelming force and that Russia's leadership would have to react to such an assault on its compatriots.

The Ukrainian assault began on February 16 when over several days Ukrainian artillery increased its bombardment of Donbas by a factor of 40. Russia reacted to that and on February 24 preempted the planned ground assault.

The above part of Biden's plan to provoke Russia into a war as a means to strengthen the U.S. position in Europe has worked well.

But how long will the coalition of the 'west' hold when inflation, energy scarcity and hunger set in? European unity is already falling apart with each country scrambling to fulfill its own energy needs.

Everyone can now see that the Ukraine, and with it the U.S., is losing the war. Meanwhile Russia is doing much better than anyone had expected.

What is Biden's plan now as things fall apart? Escalating towards a wider war is an option but the risk of it is much higher than potential gains.

Still, for Biden it may be the only way he is willing to go.

Posted by b on May 27, 2022 at 15:36 UTC | Permalink

Comments
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@ my 291, add:
US DOD - .... looming specter of starvation due to Russia's blockade in Ukrainian Black Sea ports. ... "And so coastal defense assets, including from the United States, are being sent to Ukraine to help them. The world community is mindful of the weaponization of food that Mr. Putin is now doing."

Posted by: Don Bacon | May 28 2022 16:11 utc | 293

Exceptionally potent Russia Did It voodoo on the issue of Kiev’s blockading of their own exports, hyper atavism.

Cover story for massive escalation in support of London’s bankster snuff-lords rolling the dice on a piece of Odesa?

Posted by: anon2020 | May 28 2022 17:08 utc | 301

@ mark u - Since this is approaching the end of the thread, I thought I would add a song. This one is for you!

Magazine - Shot by Both Sides (live)


Posted by: lex talionis | May 28 2022 17:13 utc | 302

Latest sit report from DPAaaasia says "Unavailable on my device" - whatever that means. Earlier videos still play fine.

Posted by: the pessimist | May 28 2022 17:19 utc | 303

@ Pagan | May 28 2022 17:06 utc | 299

That all sounds very agreeable as a final objective, I just don't see that a constitution foisted on a country during a military occupation will really do the trick. Much better that they do it themselves, that way no enforcement is necessary and it will be more complete. It will happen when the western Ukrainians realise that the Nazis are little more than cargo cultists waiting for largesse from the heavens (NATO) that ultimately won't materialise, chuck the fuckers out and start over.

Posted by: MarkU | May 28 2022 17:26 utc | 304

@ wagelaborer | May 28 2022 16:56 utc | 298

You must mean 2008, not 2004; 2004 was Dubya's reelection year.

And who is Jim Ryan?

Posted by: malenkov | May 28 2022 17:29 utc | 305

Macron, Scholz call for release of surrendered troops that left Azovstal - Elysee Palace

https://tass.com/world/1457311

Yup, they’re back =)

Posted by: anon2020 | May 28 2022 17:30 utc | 306

hey @ marku... i appreciate your posts... i replied to you on the new open thread on ukraine... i am curious what you think...

and, i agree with old hippie.. that timothy synder guy is a real propagandist....

Posted by: james | May 28 2022 17:32 utc | 307

@ lex talionis | May 28 2022 17:13 utc | 302

Perfect!!

Posted by: MarkU | May 28 2022 17:36 utc | 308

What was vk's offense?

Posted by: Lysias | May 28 2022 18:08 utc | 309

Wagelaborer was writing about the election where Obama was elected to the US Senate.

Wayne Madsen's "The Manufacturing of a President" has a lot of details about how the CIA manufactured Obama.

Posted by: Lysias | May 28 2022 18:12 utc | 310

watcher | May 28 2022 4:31 utc | 197
uncle tungsten | May 28 2022 5:19 utc | 201

well might your spidey senses be tingling. Have a look at page 11 of this pandemic planning exercise
https://www.nti.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/NTI_Paper_BIO-TTX_Final.pdf

Not only is the disease in question monkeypox but the date of emergence is predicted as May 2022. Reuters is emphasising that this is just a coincidence. This reminds me of other coincidences like Event 201 or Crimson Contagion.

Posted by: cirsium | May 28 2022 18:14 utc | 311

Posted by: malenkov | May 28 2022 17:29 utc | 305

I think wagelaborer referred to the Senate election.

Posted by: pretzelattack | May 28 2022 18:19 utc | 312

@ cirsium | May 28 2022 18:14 utc | 311

Reuters is emphasising [sic] that this is just a coincidence. This reminds me of other coincidences like Event 201 or Crimson Contagion.

And you, cirsium, reminded me of a favorite character quote from DS9: "I believe in coincidences. Coincidences happen every day. But I don't trust coincidences." ~ Elim Garak

Posted by: majoab | May 28 2022 18:33 utc | 313

Sorry, cirsium et al, I was in error; "emphasising" is indeed the correct spelling. Again, my apologies.

Posted by: majoab | May 28 2022 18:41 utc | 314

To whymad above:
Let me inform you that Spengler a.ka. D Goldman is a rabid racists Jew just like Nuland, Blinken and all the rest. The Asia times is not Chinese and they try to sit on the fence. The Thai mogoul/oligarch that owns it is fully westernized.

This supposed allegory means that he sees what is going to happen, and putting a sarcastic twist on it, and with his bitterness. The world has changed and the Jews just want to bail out, as they did centuries prior.

Posted by: Karl luck | May 28 2022 18:51 utc | 315

Yes, Paul Greenwood had said that Obama was appointed by the governor of Illinois because of a vacancy in the Senate, but that was wrong.
Actually Obama was elected in 2004 when his Rep. opponent, Jim Ryan, had the details of his divorce to TV star Jeri Ryan, unsealed and publicized. Who did that?
Then the Republicans bizarrely replaced Jim Ryan with Alan Keyes, who didn't even live in Illinois.
It was in 2008 when Obama was elected that the opening in the Senate happened, and that is when Rod Blagojevich was impeached.
The whole thing was too weird to not be orchestrated.

Posted by: wagelaborer | May 28 2022 20:24 utc | 316

Obama went from Illinois state senate in 1996 to US senate in 2004 to US president in 2008.
Because, you know, "good speech giver".

Posted by: wagelaborer | May 28 2022 20:28 utc | 317

just want to bail out
Posted by: Karl luck | May 28 2022 18:51 utc | 315

Kind of describes Escobar's affiliation with the site. Asia Times is where I first found Escobar's columns, oh, a little over a decade ago. I'd read other stuff, too. irrc, Spengler was a novelty act among a few anglos. The majority of writers were C, SE asian (by name) with fin, econ angles into the regional project developments--informative reporting! I couldn't tell you who was staff or freelance; mostly freelance, I suppose, since I dimly recall one or two recruitment ads and a change in managment notice. When Mr Monthly Gad Fly cut anchor, I frequented even less over the proceeding 4 yrs or so and finally dropped bookmark. Now, look at it. It's like a Moscow Times masthead operation.

Posted by: sln2002 | May 28 2022 20:34 utc | 318

Posted by: wagelaborer | May 28 2022 20:24 utc | 316

HA! I surmise that you, like 90% of the nation, weren't paying any attention to Chicago dirty machinery that squeezed him out of state senate OBSCURITY into 2004 DNC primary. It was ugly. And his keynote address to the convention was even more ridiculous. My mom and I laughed and laughed: No Red states, No Blue states... WHERE did they get this joker?

Incumbent, Alice Palmer, following an unsuccessful bid at Congress, chose to defend her Illinois Senate seat despite having less than 2 days to gather the required petition signatures to run. Her campaign asked Obama, who she had previously supported, to step down. Not only did he not do so, he challenged the petition signatures of her and the other 3 candidates in the race, managing to disqualify enough to ensure he could run unopposed on the ballot. Grounds for dismissal of signatures included signatures printed but not signed, valid but collected by someone underage, and valid for the 1995 polling sheets but not the more recent 1996 ones.
cockroach alert of such unusual size Adolf Reed hijacked Chicago Defender to shade his campaign until the bitter end of 2008.

Posted by: sln2002 | May 28 2022 20:55 utc | 319

@sln2002 #319
I still distinctly remember reading a warning by someone out of Harlem - can't remember his name or find the link - in 2007, warning the Obama was a historical water carrier for the Pritzkers and was notable mostly for helping said Pritzkers evict blacks from low income housing so that fancy condos could be built.

But he had a kazoo and the Democrat party has a bullhorn...

Posted by: c1ue | May 28 2022 21:29 utc | 320

You didn't answer my question though. Assuming for arguments sake that the RF has conquered all of Ukraine and also assuming that the higher ranking Nazis and those who had committed obvious crimes against humanity were now in custody, what now? If we put you in charge of policy, what steps are you going to take? (specifics please, not platitudes)

Posted by: MarkU | May 28 2022 12:31 utc | 243

You are correct in that the elimination of Nazi ideology, writing and thought is mission impossible, without first becoming what you set out to destroy. There are lots of ethno-cultural ultra-nationalists in pockets all around the world. The goal is simply to remove them from all positions of power, in particular in the Ukraine armed forces and state security apparatus.

Posted by: Opport Knocks | May 28 2022 21:39 utc | 321

Posted by: MarkU | May 28 2022 14:11 utc | 265
"You idealist zealots are all the same aren't you, 'if you are not with us you are against us'. Apparently I am a fascist because I'm sceptical about the consequences of a military occupation."

Nazis have already had eight years of free rein in Ukraine, during which they have persecuted people not just for political opposition, but also for their language, culture and ethnicity.

This persecution includes: outlawing of languages, theft, sabotage, public humiliation, arson, intentional deprivation, kidnapping, assault, torture, murder, "disappearances", public mass murder, shelling of civilian areas, and the mocking publication of recordings of all of it.

These are not thought crimes, these are actual blood crimes. It is irrelevant whether these acts of wanton barbarism are made in the name of Bandera or in the name of Bart Simpson, what is relevant is that they have in fact happened and they have been carried away in a state-wide organized fashion with the intent of suppressing and eliminating a scapegoated part of the population and in complete impunity.

Not to speak of it all being gleefully fostered by prominent western countries.

If you think that putting a stop to such a criminal terror regime by all means necessary is, in any way, morally equivalent to developing it and participating in it in the first place, you have already made your choice. Because without a previously held sympathy for the nazi criminals, the equivalence simply doesn't hold any water.

You didn't voice any skepticism abot the results of a military occupation, or if you did I wasn't responding to that.

You were asking "what does denazification consist of" with an emphasis on specifics.

I gave you a comprehensive outline for a denazification program.

The fact that it makes you uncomfortable and defensive certainly raises questions.

"What are you going to do about demonstrators and agitators? What are you going to do about saboteurs and people that would aid and abet them?"

Public display of nazist symbols -> confiscation of material, fine if resisted, evaded or impossible.
Public glorification of nazism -> fine, then reeducation if continued
Sabotage -> as otherwise defined but aggravated
Aiding and abetting -> As organized crime if it goes beyond familial duties, proportional to deeds planned/attempted/committed (Nazi regalia and samizdat smuggling is not the same as carrying out a murder)

"How many people are you prepared to lock up?"

What kind of inane rhetorical question is this?

Posted by: Arganthonios | May 28 2022 23:56 utc | 322

Anyone still fighting for the Ukrainain Army is an idiot. Why would you give your life or risk your life for scum like Kolomoisky, Zelensky, Pinchuk, Nuland, Soros, and other criminals? Wake up Ukrainians.

Posted by: Jerry1 | May 29 2022 1:49 utc | 323

‘ restore a viable honest republic and get rid of the bankster-Intel autarchy masquerading as a Representative Republic?
Not likely Imo....
Posted by: Scorpion | May 28 2022 15:28 utc | 286’

Was there ever a viable honest republic???
No way unless you want a legalised slavery state imo.

What will happen is what has been desired of Russia and China and all EurAsia; the same as of Middle East and Africa and yes Europe - with its artificial borders and ‘nation states’ from the point of invention of Nation States.
In a word - Balkanisation.

Some of these States are as populous as many countries, they have enormous gdp and in some the majority speak a ‘different’ language.

Nothing will keep it together under such centrifugal forces.

As far as CIA Obama, White House Slave imposter - the Chicago mob had their numero uno handler , guiding him into position and then retiring back to Illinois to take the Old Corrupt office of Mayor, he was a big hitter in getting CIA Clinton first elected NS installed too - Rham Emanuel Or to give his fuller name Rahm Israel Emanuel.
His wiki is self explanatory if you don’t believe it.
Currently sent to Japan to shore up the attack against the SCO from that front.

Posted by: DunGroanin | May 29 2022 12:03 utc | 324

Hi lex, was gonna post that link to the Magazine tune.
The singer Howard Devoto has been a postal worker since his musical career finished. A talented lyricist and a great band. Cheers

Posted by: Foxbat | May 29 2022 20:33 utc | 325

Man, there’s a lot to unpack here and it’s mostly baggage, hegemonic hype.

Posted by: Art | May 29 2022 20:39 utc | 326

@NedF | 117

not even remotely. Do you have more insights you could share?

If you agree that the planned documentation center is "to belittle the decisive contribution of the Soviet Union ... to the defeat of German fascism, but also to obscure the crimes of the Third Reich.."
then indeed, this is simply a
"rewrite the history of the Second World War and to rehabilitate the Third Reich."
and since we're talking about a center for documentation of WWII and not a article or even a publication, and given the imperialist (including German) existing falsification of WWII history, then this cannot be but "another step within the framework of the line taken by modern Berlin to rewrite the history of the Second World War".
Such a line must "include formulas aimed at equating German criminals and liberators of Europe"; no need to state it even implicitly in the concept document. Sorry that my reply consists in largely repeating the quote from Lavrov.

Even worse: painting Russia as "worse than Nazis" and inverting the entire history of the 20th century is necessary for Russo-phobia and the imperialist war effort. You cannot hate Russia if you don't invert history. In talking to some Ukrainian immigrants I have heard the equation: "we used to say Nazis, now we say Russians", as well as that exact "worse than" phrase, along with sickening lies of "child rapes", and absolute racist rubbish that I won't bother telling. I doubt that such ideas are limited to Ukrainian refugees or are not connected to institutional efforts, especially in this phase of the war when Russian is mounting an effective counteroffensive. Remarkably, I have heard some racist statements made about the Russians that were verbatim to those I heard about the Chinese on completely different platforms.

Posted by: SlowDL | May 29 2022 22:44 utc | 327

Help! I am so lost here, trying to find the link to an article that contained a chart of major artillery systems comparison. I thought I saw it here a day or so ago, but I can't locate it. The article, I think was about how the Russians were able to target the American-supplied M-777s. Can anyone here clue me in???

thanks,
John

Posted by: John | May 29 2022 22:45 utc | 328

Hi Foxbat @ 325 - I'm glad you are a Magazine fan, too! I am a big fan. Howard Devoto was also in the Buzzcocks, as I'm sure you know. I was reading the comments on YouTube, and they said that Shot by Both Sides was written by Pete Shelley (RIP) from the Buzzcocks. I didn't know the postal worker story.
Thank you and cheers back!

Posted by: lex talionis | May 29 2022 23:59 utc | 329

The White House's first robot.

Posted by: xsnake | May 31 2022 19:47 utc | 330

Hi lex didn't know that about who wrote the song.

Model Worker "I wanna work in machines and look handsome" (from memory)

Permafrost "I will drug you and fuck you on the permafrost"

Shot by Both Sides "... on the run to the other side of everything". Wow, Pete Shelley, I salute you wherever you are even if you are nowhere. Cheers lex

Posted by: Foxbat | Jun 1 2022 13:22 utc | 331

The Ukrainian assault began on February 16 when over several days Ukrainian artillery increased its bombardment of Donbas by a factor of 40. Russia reacted to that and on February 24 preempted the planned ground assault.

I spent a lot of time on the OSCE website. I could find nowhere that it attributed the increase in bombardment to either Ukraine or Russia. You seem to just attribute to Ukraine, how do we know it wasn't Russia?

Posted by: Sean | Jun 9 2022 0:12 utc | 332

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