Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 25, 2022

Ukraine - Railway Hits, U.S. War Aims, Ops Report

Updated below at 17:45 UTC

Last Thursday the first destruction of bridges along Ukrainian railway routes in eastern Ukraine took place. These were important for Ukraine's war effort and especially for the resupplies flowing from west towards the eastern front:

The Ukrainian military, like Russia's, depends on railways for all long distance mass supplies as both have relatively few logistic trucks.

The U.S. and others have said they would give the Ukraine dozens of 155mm towed artillery guns plus tens of thousands of shells with them. The U.S. guns come with one truck each to tow the gun.

That is all manageable so far but now let's look at the logistics (especially without railways). ...

I have estimated that the Ukraine does not have enough trucks to replace railway logistics and those logistics are now falling apart:

The Eurasianist @Russ_Warrior - 10:09 UTC · Apr 25, 2022
The Russian Armed Forces hit 7 substations in western #Ukraine:
_ Zdolbunov (trains stopped in Dubno area, delay of the trains to Kovel), _ Kazatin-2, _ Krasnoye, _ Podolskaya, _ Sknilov, _ Slavuta (decommissioning of the entire area of Zdolbunov and Slavuta stations), _ Fastov

bigger

The attacks have been confirmed:

Christopher Miller @ChristopherJM - 12:07 UTC · Apr 25, 2022
Ukraine state railway head Oleksandr Kamyshin on Telegram: “Russian troops continue to systematically destroy railway infrastructure. This morning, within an hour, 5 railway stations in central and western Ukraine came under fire.” 19 trains delayed; unknown number of injuries.

The 'substations' Russia destroyed are the electric ones which supply the electrified long range train routes.

Woofers @NotWoofers - 12:02 UTC · Apr 25, 2022
Electrical substation in Krasne, near Lviv was hit by a Russian missile earlier today. Much damage was caused and a large fire was started.
Picture

The substations transform higher voltage to whatever the rail network needs. Without the substations, which are not easy to replace, most of Ukraine's locomotives will not run.

Some traffic will continue by using diesel locomotives. However, those are relatively rare as the Wikipedia entry for Ukrainian railways explains:

Number of locomotives – 1,944 (electric - 1,627, diesel - 301)

Diesel locomotives are slower than electrified ones. They also need a lot of diesel which has become rare in Ukraine and must be imported  by rail(!) from Slovenia.

Supplying additional diesel locomotives from other countries in eastern Europe will not be possible. The Ukraine has, like Russia, wide gauge tracks of 1,524 mm (5 ft). Most other European countries use a normal gauge of 1,435 mm (4 ft 8+1⁄2 in).

Meanwhile the U.S. announced a vague new aim for its proxy war against Russia:

Austin was in Poland, answering questions from reporters after a brief trip Sunday with Secretary of State Antony Blinken to Kyiv, where the pair met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and other Ukrainian officials.

The defense secretary was asked how he defined “America’s goals for success” in Ukraine. He first said Washington wants to see “Ukraine remain a sovereign country, a democratic country, able to protect its sovereign territory.”

Then, he said, the United States hopes Russia will be “weakened” by the war. “It has already lost a lot of military capability and a lot of its troops, quite frankly, and we want to see them not have the capability to very quickly reproduce that capability,” Austin said.
...
Speaking in a hangar in Poland filled with crates of humanitarian aid, including diapers, destined for Ukraine, the top Biden administration officials announced more than $700 million in new military aid to Ukraine and other countries, and said the United States intends to resume diplomatic operations in Ukraine this week.

All the diapers, weapons and munitions the U.S. and other countries supply to Ukraine will now mostly be stuck in west Ukraine where they will rot until some clever Ukrainian oligarch manages to sell them off to some third country.

The fall out from the railway attacks will also hit civilian supplies in Ukraine. It will hinder civilian passenger traffic especially for people who have fled towards the west and now have less transport available to return home.

Since the war started Russia has intentionally avoided to hit civilian infrastructure in Ukraine. Electricity and communication networks as well as water supplies have all stayed intact. (In recent U.S. wars those were the first things it destroyed.) The attacks on the Ukrainian railway became only necessary after the U.S. and others provided more and more war materials to the Ukraine. Russia will not allow its troops to come under fire from those newly delivered weapons.

Despite warnings from Russia to Ukraine to not attack on Russian ground Ukrainian sabotage groups seem to have some success with destroying Russian infrastructure:

IWN @A7_Mirza - 14:22 UTC · Apr 25, 2022
#Russia #Ukraine
Large fire in #Druzhba oil depot in Russia's #Bryansk. Russia said it would investigate the cause of a large fire that erupted in the early hours of the morning at an oil storage facility in the city of Bryansk 154 km northeast of the border with Ukraine.
Pictures

This is the second large oil storage facility that in recent weeks suffered from such an accident or potential attack. However it is unlikely that this will hinder any Russian operation. Unlike Ukraine Russia has many refineries, very significant reserves and it can move large amounts of diesel by train throughout its country.

Next to its attacks on the Ukraine's traffic infrastructure to impede 'western' resupplies the Russian military continues to soften up the Ukrainian defense lines along the Donbas front. From this mornings 'clobber list' as published by the Russian Defense Ministry:

High-precision sea- and air-based long-range weapons on the northern outskirts of Kremenchuk destroyed fuel production facilities of an oil refinery, as well as storage facilities for oil products to supply military equipment of Ukrainian troops.

During the night, 6 enemy assets were hit by high-precision air-based missiles. Among them: 3 strong points and areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment, as well as 3 ammunition depots in Barvenkovo and Novaya Dmitrovka in Kharkov Region.

Operational-tactical and army aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces hit 56 military assets of Ukraine. Among them: 2 command posts and 53 areas of manpower and military equipment concentration, as well as 1 fuel storage facility near Novaya Dmitrovka.
...
Missile troops carried out 19 strikes during the night. Destroyed: 4 command posts of the nationalists, including the 81st Separate Airborne Assault Brigade and the 110th Territorial Defence Brigade, and three ammunition depots. 21 areas of Ukrainian manpower and military equipment concentration were hit.
...
Artillery units carried out 967 fire missions during the day. Destroyed: 33 command posts, 929 strong points, areas of manpower and military equipment concentration, as well as 5 missile and artillery weapons and ammunition depots.

Russian air defence means shot down 13 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles near Mezhurino, Balakleya, Borodoyarkoe, Nevskoe in Kharkov Region and Vysokoe and Chernobaevka in Kherson Region.

In addition, Pantsir-S anti-aircraft missile and cannon system shot down 1 Ukrainian Tochka-U missile and 18 rockets of a multiple-launch rocket system over Chernobaeka.

Since phase two of the war started last week there have been no larger battles. What we have seen so far from the Russian side does not amount to more than armored reconnaissance.

The nearly 1,000 artillery missions in the last 24 hours and on the days before speak of intense preparations for upcoming attacks by Russian mechanized forces. Over all artillery will do the most damage to the Ukrainian troops. In World War II and other modern mechanized wars some 65% of all casualties were caused by artillery strikes. The recent rate on the Ukrainian side will likely be higher.

I have said several weeks ago that the Ukraine has not chance to win in this war. It is losing more and more people and its economy has nearly ceased to exist.

But the U.S. wants to 'weaken' Russia by fighting it to the last Ukrainian. Ukraine's president Zelensky is obviously willing to go with that program. He should instead agree to Russia's reasonable peace conditions. He is destroying the Ukraine by not doing that. 

Update 17:45 UTC

A Politico piece about the situation in Ukraine confirms my above take:

Heavy weaponry pours into Ukraine as commanders become more desperate

Western countries are rushing heavy weaponry to Ukraine as the war enters what promises to be a deadly, and potentially protracted, new phase.

Those deliveries are coming amid increasingly desperate pleas from Ukrainian battlefield commanders as they endure withering Russian artillery and rocket fire that could last weeks or months.

Here is a realistic view of how the war feels on the ground:

Eighty miles north of [Mariupol], First Lt. Ivan Skuratovsky, serving in the 25th Airborne Brigade, told POLITICO that help needs to come immediately.

“The situation is very bad, [Russian forces] are using scorched- earth tactics,” the 31-year-old married father of two said via text. “They simply destroy everything with artillery, shelling day and night,” he said via text.

He fears that if reinforcements in the form of manpower and heavy weaponry — particularly air support — don’t arrive in the next few days, his troops could find themselves in the same position as those in Mariupol.

Skuratovsky described his soldiers’ situation as “very desperate.”

“I don’t know how much strength we will have,” he said, adding that the troops under his command around the city of Avdiivka, near Donetsk, have gone without rest since the start of the war. At least 13 of them have been wounded in recent weeks, he said, and they are running dangerously low on ammunition, reduced to rationing bullets.

The day before, he told POLITICO his soldiers were being bombarded with Russian howitzers, mortars and multiple-launch rocket systems “at the same time.” Just hours earlier, he said, they had been attacked by two Su-25 warplanes, “and our day became hell.”

Skuratovsky had a message for the United States and other NATO countries: “I would like to tell them that grenade launchers are good, but against airstrikes and heavy artillery we will not be able to hold out for long. People can no longer endure daily bombardments. We need air support now. We need drones.”

I feel b´very sorry for these soldiers and curse their leaders who pushed them into this.

Alastair Crooke warns that the 'west' might escalate when it finally recognizes that its proxy war against Russia is lost.

The conviction that the European liberal vision faces humiliation and disdain, were Putin to ‘win’, has taken hold. And in the Obama-Clinton-Deep State nexus, it is unimaginable that Putin and Russia still regarded as the author of Russiagate for many Americans, might prevail.

The logic to this conundrum is inexorable – Escalation.

For Biden, whose approval ratings continue to tank, disaster looms in the November mid-terms.
...
The only possible path out from this approaching cataclysm would be for Biden to pull a rabbit from the Ukraine ‘hat’ (one that, at the very least, would distract from soaring inflation). The Neo-cons and the Deep State (but not the Pentagon) are all for it.

...

I hope that Biden is still competent enough to recognize that any escalation will lead to a much larger war and, in the end, to a much bigger defeat of 'western' forces than the one that will come in Ukraine.

Posted by b on April 25, 2022 at 15:28 UTC | Permalink

Comments
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As a child I learned that my grandfather had been wounded at the Battle of the Somme and nearly killed.
As an adult I learned that the Battle of the Somme went on for 4 1/2 months and killed 300,000 Brits.
They just kept sending more men to die. The ruling class did not care about the human anguish they caused.
It is heartbreaking to watch the hapless conscripts of Ukraine being used as cannon fodder over 100 years later.
Heartbreaking and enraging.
The ruling class is just as evil and the working class just as clueless, it seems.

Posted by: wagelaborer | Apr 25 2022 20:56 utc | 101

some time ago there was a comment with a long list of links to MSM reports, over many past years since Maidan, on Azov and its corrosive presence in Ukraine. Is there a way or can anyone help to locate that post?

Posted by: urblintz | Apr 25 2022 16:47 utc | 28

Try this one out.

The MSM's Ukraine Neo-Nazi Amnesia - The MSM apparently can't take the time to Google their own past work.

Posted by: Will | Apr 25 2022 20:56 utc | 102

Grieved @79--

Thanks for your noticing and seconding my view! I just added another Kremlin transcript to the open thread; another meeting on economic matters. Some close reading reveals Glazyev's fingerprints, specifically in the "sacrifice" being mandated for the insurance industry in support of the national interest. I left a note at the Bank of Russia's VK site asking if transcripts of Nabiullina's remarks at those meetings could be made available to the public since her Duma testimonies are. I hope I get an answer either way. Did you get an opportunity to read Orlov's essay at Saker's? I thought it one of his best efforts.

/////

Kim @88--

Are you aware that Russia and China are two of the foundational members of The Group of Friends in Defense of the Charter of the United Nations that was founded in March of last year? If you've been reading the various declarations that are signed at the end of international conferences over the past 8-10 years, you'll have seen a marked escalation of signatories acknowledging the primacy of the UN Charter and its role in the foundation of International Law. I also wonder if you're aware of why I term the USA the Outlaw US Empire. It's an Outlaw because it's been continuously violating the UN Charter and thus its own Constitution since 22 October 1945 through its numerous illegal, unilateral actions and violations of national sovereignty. Also, the UN Charter was made to make FDR's Four Freedoms values the main goal of WW2 a lasting reality, which is the endgame of China and Russia's vow to end the illegal global hegemony of the Outlaw US Empire. That's the Big Picture I constantly invoke that Grieved was kind enough to reiterate.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 20:58 utc | 103

indian punchline today is worth a read...

US recruits Israel against Russia

here is a partial quote

"But Israel didn’t want to stick out its neck for Ukraine due to fears of jeopardizing its tacit deconfliction measures with Moscow during its operations against Iranian targets in Syria.

However, things changed dramatically in the past fortnight or so, as Israel gave up its neutrality toward Russia’s special operation and accused Moscow of committing war crimes. Biden’s conversation with Bennett took place as Russia-Israel relations began plummeting. Interestingly, the White House readout flagged a pointed reference by Biden to Israel’s Iron Dome system."

Posted by: james | Apr 25 2022 21:00 utc | 104

Doctorow has a new post today
"..As I have noted previously, there is a firewall between what Western major media are reporting daily about the situation in the Russia-Ukraine War and more generally about Russia versus what one sees on Russian state television and reads in the Russian news agencies. On the advice of a colleague in Washington, I will now as occasion requires post news developments from Russia that Western audiences otherwise are not receiving despite their importance as indicators of where East-West relations are headed and whether we are all likely to survive the coming weeks.

"The top such news item in Russia today is the successful capture by the Russian state intelligence agency FSB of a gang of would-be assassins based in Moscow and acting under orders from Kiev to kill the leading Russian talk show host Vladimir Solovyov, about whom I have written these past few weeks. And their ‘kill list’ went on to take in other leading personalities on Russian state television: Dmitry Kiselyov (director of all Russian television news programming), Yevgeny Popov, Olga Skabeyeva and Margarita Simonian (editor-in-chief of RT).

"The gang, which appears to consist of White Power and other neo-Nazi elements, was interrogated before video cameras and the videos have been posted on the Russian internet by TASS and other state news agencies...
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/

Orinoco Tribune carries an excellent and comprehensive article by Deborah L Armstrong: "If You Only Follow Mainstream McNews, You Have No Clue About Ukraine."
The article includes a long list of useful, alternative websites, many of which have been disappeared by the CIA/Google
https://orinocotribune.com/if-you-only-follow-mainstream-mcnews-you-have-no-clue-about-ukraine/

Posted by: bevin | Apr 25 2022 21:01 utc | 105

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 25 2022 20:14 utc | 86

I was thinking Russia might need the rail to the West to transport its tanks supplies etc if needed in future operations.Hence knocking it out in the West makes sense in this regard.

Posted by: Kim | Apr 25 2022 21:05 utc | 106

Israel is apparently trading its neutrality on the war for assurances that the US won't reenter the Iran nuclear treaty.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Apr 25 2022 21:06 utc | 107

On the nuclear issue.

The debate itself seems tricky to me (I'm sure I can't possibly have managed to keep to the following myself —mea culpa):
· On one hand trying to avoid assuming that nuclear war is unavoidable or that if it happens it will or has to involve the strategic weapons. Since this is so counterproductive to avoiding it.
· On the other hand trying to avoid downplaying the insanity of any nuclear escalation such as a single US/UK/etc.-run false flag tactical use in for example Ukraine. Again since this is so counterproductive to avoiding it.

(I find such a false flag very likely but also think/hope that the Russian response could completely baffle "the west". Maybe even enough to make any saner people take charge).

- - -

This is sort of a drive-by comment due to continuing health issues, I can only apologize for not responding or engaging (both now and previously).

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Apr 25 2022 21:07 utc | 108

Posted by: tim | Apr 25 2022 18:42 utc | 61

I can access Strategic Culture from my computer (where I always use a VPN), but not from my mobile phone (I am in Germany). I tried using a VPN on the phone also and it wouldn't work then either, but I think that is simply the VPN on the phone not working properly.

It looks like the same kind of block that they applied against RT and Sputnik, as I get the same error (failed DNS lookup, from what I can tell).

Posted by: Unnamed | Apr 25 2022 20:35 utc | 95

I use Brave Browser and open a 'new private window with Tor' by pressing ALT-SHIFT-N It gets you past most restrictions. This probably isn't a solution for mobile though.

Posted by: Will | Apr 25 2022 21:18 utc | 109

Dmitri Simes interviews Lavrov in a special issue of The Great Game programme. Too late for me to watch it, so I'll leave the link, tomorrow I'll see the reaction to it.

https://mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1810694/

Video link:

https://t.me/MID_Russia/19934

Posted by: Paco | Apr 25 2022 21:20 utc | 110

Kim | Apr 25 2022 21:05 utc | 106

That's a good point.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 25 2022 21:22 utc | 111

@karlof1 (35) The scenario that you describe of a generalized war between NATO and Russia is exactly the sort that could escalate into a nuclear holocaust. It is precisely because Russia could win with conventional weapons that crazy diehards in the US might be willing to push all the buttons. One should not fantasize about sweeping NATO away without considering the risk that everything and everyone else might go with it.

Posted by: Rob | Apr 25 2022 21:23 utc | 112

Grieved @ 79

Not a fall in status. A fall from grace.

The short version used by grandmothers and preachers, at least in a time when everyone literate was familiar with King James, was ‘Pride goeth before a fall.’

Posted by: oldhippie | Apr 25 2022 21:26 utc | 113

During Putin's Extended meeting of the Board of the Prosecutor General's Office, he made the following crucial remarks:

Separately, about the tasks facing the prosecutor's office and the entire law enforcement sphere in connection with the special military operation in the Donbas and Ukraine.

During the special operation, mass facts of gross violation of the norms of international law by neo-Nazi formations of Ukraine and foreign mercenaries were revealed. We are talking about the killing of civilians, the use of people, including children, as human shields, and other crimes. Open provocations against our Armed Forces, including using the resources of foreign media and social networks, also require a thorough investigation.

Also, of course, it is necessary to resolutely suppress any crimes on the territory of the Russian Federation. This morning, the Federal Security Service suppressed the activities of a terrorist group that planned the attack and murder of one of the well-known Russian television journalists. Of course, now they will disown this, but the facts and evidence are irrefutable.

In this regard, what I would like to say. To our surprise, high-ranking diplomats in Europe and the United States are urging their Ukrainian satellites to use every opportunity to win on the battlefield. Our partners in the United States and Europe have such strange diplomacy – diplomats are even calling for it. But as we realize that this is impossible, another task comes to the fore – to split Russian society, to destroy Russia from within. But here is a hitch, it does not work. Our society shows maturity, cohesion, supports our Armed Forces, supports our efforts aimed at ensuring, unconditionally ensuring the security of Russia itself and supporting citizens living in Donbass. Support for our people in Donbass, in fact. And since they are defeated in this information field, fooling, of course, their citizens, using their monopoly position in the information space of their countries and in some other countries, but failing here, on the territory of Russia, they have moved to terror, to the preparation of the murders of our journalists.

In this regard, of course, it should be noted that we know by name the curators from Western services, primarily, of course, the US CIA, who work with the security agencies of Ukraine. Apparently, they give such advice. That's the attitude to the rights of journalists, this attitude to the dissemination of information, this attitude to human rights in general. They care only about their own rights, some based on their imperial ambitions, and some in the old-fashioned way, based on their colonial past. But in Russia, this will not pass.

I ask the Investigative Committee of Russia and all investigative bodies to record such crimes in detail, to identify their organizers and perpetrators, to initiate and bring criminal cases to their logical conclusion, to court. On these and all other facts, prosecutors should, together with investigators, participate in the formation of the necessary evidence base, which should be used in court proceedings, including at the international level. Let me stress that such an evidence base should be accumulated for all the crimes of neo-Nazis and their accomplices, starting with the coup d'état in Kiev in 2014, which opened the way for civil war, bloodshed and violence in Ukraine.

Further. Particular attention should be paid to those people who come to Russia from Ukraine, from the Donetsk and Lugansk people's republics. Today, there are already about a million of them, including over a hundred thousand children. People who are forced to leave their homes do not always have with them the documents necessary to receive material assistance, medical support, for placing children in schools and kindergartens. I ask the Prosecutor General's Office to provide people with legal assistance, protect their rights, including considering the appeals of victims as soon as possible. It's already hard for people, help them. [My Emphasis]

RT reports: "He was referring to Monday’s announcement by Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) that it had detained a group of 'neo-Nazis' instructed by the Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) to kill popular Russian TV host and journalist Vladimir Solovyov. Kiev has denied any role in organizing the assassination attempt." Sputnik has this report:

On Monday, Russia's Federal Security Service announced that it had arrested members of an international neo-Nazi group cooperating with the Security Service of Ukraine planning to assassinate a well-known TV and radio host. Commenting on the incident, President Putin said Moscow has info that Western security services were involved.

Vladimir Solovyev, a Russian media personality Russia's FSB said had been marked for assassination, believes Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky may have been directly involved in the plot.

"I think Zelensky is directly connected to this, because he threatened me directly, that is, he has mentioned my name repeatedly", Solovyev said.

Solovyev said the plot uncovered by the FSB made clear that he was the Ukrainian president's "favourite journalist".

"For some reason I drive him mad", he said.

Solovyev said he has been concerned about his safety for some time due to threats against his life by Zelensky and others, but said he didn't notice any surveillance by the plotters or by the FSB. "No, I didn't notice anything. There weren't any signs of anything, which speaks to the professionalism and precision of the work of the relevant authorities", he said.

Killing Solovyev would be the equivalent to killing Johnny Carson or Walter Cronkite. What's the next stage after depraved? Whatever that is, that's where the West has descended.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 21:31 utc | 114

US to Deliver More Punch to Ukraine

Not a proxy war …

Lloyd Austin: “In terms of our … ehh their ability to win, is … and so they believe we could win … “.

“The first step in winning is believing that you can win.”
🇺🇸 🇺🇦 The US Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin says that Ukraine can triumph against the Russian invasion provided it gets “the right equipment and the right support”

Pentagon likely to follow through on proposals made by extremist war hawk, former NATO Commander General Breedlove …

Former NATO Commander Says Western Fears Of Nuclear War Are Preventing A Proper Response To Putin | RFERL - Apr 7, 2022 |

https://www.rferl.org/a/breedlove-nuclear-fears-west-deterred/31791020.html

Posted by: Oui | Apr 25 2022 21:32 utc | 115

Looks like the crazies in Ukraine (or possibly the crazies in NATO) are trying to spread the conflict into Transnistria, the ministry of state building in Transnistria was just attacked with RPGs. Luckily no injuries, but pushing the conflict into Transistria/Moldavia is a dangerous escalation.

Posted by: Kadath | Apr 25 2022 21:35 utc | 116

@ karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 21:31 utc | 114 Re:

"Killing Solovyev would be the equivalent to killing Johnny Carson or Walter Cronkite. What's the next stage after depraved? Whatever that is, that's where the West has descended."

Totally.

Posted by: MarkU | Apr 25 2022 21:35 utc | 117

@Flying Dutchman (66) ”And yet most here believe Russia has the luxury of infinite time.”

No one here knows how much time Russia has to finish the SMO.

Posted by: Rob | Apr 25 2022 21:39 utc | 118

Posted by: Rob | Apr 25 2022 21:39 utc | 118

"No one here knows how much time Russia has to finish the SMO."

Easy - when they run out of Nazis to send to Bandera! Which could well be infinity and beyond.

Posted by: Mongo | Apr 25 2022 21:43 utc | 119

Rob @112--

I've certainly considered those risks. Do read what I report @114. In all of this, I'm merely an historian and observer whose choice is morality and the rule of law, which aligns me with Russia, China and the Multipolar World.

The frogs have been in the pot for decades while the water slowly heats. Yes, I'd say it's getting hot but most frogs don't feel the heat.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 21:44 utc | 120

karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 21:31 utc | 114

The way that reads 'taking to logical conclusion' makes me think Russia intends tracking down and either bringing to trial in Russia or delivering justice on the spot o even the CIA agents that are behind/responsible for war crimes.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 25 2022 21:45 utc | 121

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 20:58 utc | 103

Are you aware that Russia and China are two of the foundational members of The Group of Friends in Defense of the Charter of the United Nations that was founded in March of last year?

To be honest I didn't,
But,I do know that Russia and China support the UN Charter and want it to be the foundation of the NWO and to be honoured by all Countries as Russia and China set out in their Feb 4th Joint Statement.
And yes I do understand the big picture you refer too.
I appreciate & enjoy your posts.

Posted by: Kim | Apr 25 2022 21:46 utc | 122

Posted by: sln2002 | Apr 25 2022 16:45 utc | 27

It looks like some people still do not understand the Russians. They can only think to kill and destroy. Like the nazis, because they think like the nazis. Thas is: the yankee way of thinking, highly racist thinking. They also learned nothing from history.

Posted by: Olivier | Apr 25 2022 21:54 utc | 123

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 25 2022 20:14 utc | 86

"I was thinking at some point in time Russia would have to knock out most of the railway bridges, but they take some time to rebuild once the war is over plus the materials cannot be transported by rail."

The Ukrainians will destroy all bridges anyway, if Russia goas to West-Ukraine, and retreat is somewhat organized.
They surely have mined many bridges in advance, as they already taktiikkahave done with major dams.
This the familiar tactics of their idols, the real nazis. For example the Finnish Lapland was totally burned and destroyed , whe they were chased away in 1944-45.

Posted by: ka | Apr 25 2022 21:57 utc | 124

@Lolgege (77) ” I don't believe in so called Nato escalation, infact it's the opposite,it's the RF that can employ escalation dominance in NATO weak points such as Baltshit colonies and render NATO itself obsolete.Ask yourself regardless all the barking and posturing they do,will the cosmopolitan elites risk nuclear war over economic peripheries?”

Everything that you say here makes perfect sense to rational people. The hooker is that the neocon cult running US foreign policy is not rational, as their past actions have demonstrated beyond any doubt. If you know anything about the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, then you must know that there were powerful voices within JFK’s inner circle who pushed hard for war with the Soviet Union, consequences be damned. Are you willing to bet that there are not militarists amongst Biden’s advisors would do the same, if the US has its back against the wall in a war with Russia? Crazed cultists are capable of such things, and we cannot be certain that more responsible parties will be able to stop them.

Posted by: Rob | Apr 25 2022 22:01 utc | 125

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 21:44 utc | 120

"The frogs have been in the pot for decades while the water slowly heats"
Only now more apt to be the pot has been kicked to the floor and the frogs are scurrying all over the place.

NATO escalations are restricted by the ignored math of failed Western financial systems and are not as strong as they appear.

Debt limits choices so this fall from grace suffocates your options while reducing yourself to this unorganized "take all you can get and give nothing back" character no body recognizes, but should.

So it’s really hard to circle the wagons when they are burning up. Which means the US is not in a particularly strong position to save itself, let alone the Ukraine.

Posted by: George | Apr 25 2022 22:03 utc | 126

in defense of frogs, i don't think frogs actually act that way. people, otoh...

Posted by: pretzelattack | Apr 25 2022 22:05 utc | 127

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Apr 25 2022 21:07 utc | 108

This is what scares me,and the thinking of the Neocons in the US of A that they can pull it off without it affecting them on the other side of the world.
These crazies are probably itching to use as a plan B.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jan/28/us-nuclear-weapons-first-low-yield-warheads-roll-off-the-production-line

Posted by: Kim | Apr 25 2022 22:05 utc | 128

Peter AU1 @121--

Yes, there's a long thread at smoothie's on this topic. I should amend my closing sentence @114 as the Outlaw US Empire went beyond depraved along ago when it targeted its own citizenry and then upped its immorality to the nth degree on 911. I occasionally wonder which is worse--Rome or America. (Imagine Rome with nukes!)

As for the effect of this discovery on the Information War, the Global South will hear all about it, but it will be censored tightly by the West, which will only serve to isolate it further.

Did you get my research message @101 on the Week in Review thread?

//////

Kim @122--

Thanks for your reply! At times it's difficult to know how much prior knowledge commentators have. Welcome to the bar!

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 22:06 utc | 129

the noted cold warrior JFK could have backed off, negotiated with the USSR, but didn't till almost taking the world to the brink. then he covered his ass by hiding the fact that a quid pro quo was worked out.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Apr 25 2022 22:07 utc | 130

Hickory

Are we being accessed by someone from the Oil Drum?

Posted by: Duncan Idaho | Apr 25 2022 22:15 utc | 131

robin | Apr 25 2022 20:32 utc | 93

"...America is an ocean away..."

The hypersonic systems eliminate the protection of the "moat."

Posted by: donten | Apr 25 2022 22:23 utc | 132

Proverbs 16:32

He that is slow to anger is better than the mighty; and he that ruleth his spirit than he that taketh a city.

Suggested by karlof, mjoab, Grieved above.

Describes Putin quite well. I don’t know the Orthodox version, expect it is close enough. Really difficult to get ruleth past spellcheck. We English speakers are all poorer for not knowing King James any longer. Mostly it is not even allowed. No Shakespeare either.

Posted by: oldhippie | Apr 25 2022 22:28 utc | 133

With regards to a Russia Nato esculation.
Russia would prefer not to have a direct confrontation on its own doorstep, as the EU has been a major trade market and needs to be in the future.(pragmatism)
Whilst great Britain less so.
If nato becomes directly involved making an example of the UK would send a strong message to America Europe and the 5eyes.
I'm sure the eu would see posatives as would America Australia Canada. Well just about everyone would see a gain.
Uk resident.

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 25 2022 22:37 utc | 134

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 20:58 utc | 103

Thank you for providing that transcript (covering insurance premiums and other economic issues). I am often critical of Putin's economic policies but the measures suggested there and the reasoning behind them seem to me to be excellent. One can indeed see the hand of Glazyev behind them.

Posted by: Unnamed | Apr 25 2022 22:37 utc | 135

Smoothie has this to say re:114--

"The attempts at assassination is what I was talking about yesterday--sleeper cells or 'insertions' in Russia from 404. Sabotage and terrorist acts will continue inside Russia, albeit FSB obviously is working and does its job. This is an act of desperation and those are now not just diversionary acts, those begin flow into a pure terrorism, which is CIA's and MI-6's and their poodles specialty. The whole (love) affair with ISIS or murdering General Soleimani while on diplomatic mission--are just small fragments of a much larger picture of a metaphysical problem with continental warfare for Anglo-American world in the 20th century. It got lucky once in WW II, after that its performance was rather dubious and today it is a pure terrorism. Terrorism is a weapon of weak. It is an axiom, not even a theorem.

"Plus, in case with Russian journalists it is a continuation of a total delusion and alternative reality combined West resides in when it comes to Russia. They still believe that they can 'regime change' in Russia if only they could kill n-amount of Russian media figures and their families and clear the road to 'forces of democracy', fifth column that is. Read more Solzhenitsyn and Russian anti-Soviet dissidents, that will ensure that you know shit about Russia and will continue to fail in every subversion endeavor in Russia." [My Emphasis]

The Anglos and Gringos have used terror for hundreds of years, always against peoples unable to defend themselves and began with attacks against their own kind. That's why Australia was founded as a prison colony and the vast majority of whites transported to North America prior to 1740 had similar fates. The terrorism afoot in 1941 prompted FDR make the Four Freedoms the USA's primary war aim which then became the basis for the Atlantic Charter declared by Winston Churchill and FDR in August 1941; the United Nations Declaration of January 1, 1942; the UN Charter; and the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. But as I've argued, once FDR died, that attempt to make the Four Freedoms reality was stifled by the emerging fascists who gained control of the post-war world. IMO, today's struggle is an effort to finally realize that goal, is being led by China and Russia, and totally opposed by the West which initiated the idea.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 22:42 utc | 136

Posted by: donten | Apr 25 2022 22:23 utc | 132

Yes, that is indeed one of the best and most wonderful implications of the new hypersonic missiles. But to truly threaten the US mainland with a massive conventional missile strike, they would need to be mass produced, similarly to how Iran holds the Zionist entity under threat with tens of thousands of ballistic missiles, hidden in vast tunnel structures under cities, which by of their great number do not need to be equipped with nuclear, chemical or biological warheads.

For this purpose, I believe those hypersonic weapons which have a flat (relatively low-altitude) flight profile would be the most suitable. The Avangard hypersonic glide vehicles, which are launched with ICBMs or medium-range ballistic missiles and begin their flight at very high altitudes (basically in space), could technically deliver a conventional warhead (or simply use their kinetic energy to devastating effect). However, the US, to the extent it could detect them and track them, would not be able to tell such an attack apart from a strategic nuclear strike, and would have no choice but to respond accordingly.

Presumably, Russia will develop (or is developing) longer-range variants of the Zircon (which seems to be a scramjet powered cruise missile, with a lift-generating body) and the Kinzhal (an air-launched ballistic missile, modified to follow a flatter, non-ballistic trajectory, with the ability to maneuver throughout its flight) missile families. These could be fired at the contintental United States from ships, submarines, aircraft, or if they have a long enough range, theoretically from ground platforms within Russia.

Posted by: Unnamed | Apr 25 2022 22:56 utc | 137

Another topic I haven't seen discussed here is the massive unfolding scandal of the OSCE spying for NATO/Ukraine as several of its workers were arrested and other evidence found. Here's one informed comment:

"The OSCE staff abandoned the archive. All OSCE field reports since 2014 were found, thousands of Ukrainian war crimes were documented, which the OSCE then hid in the official reports of the mission in Ukraine.

"And also, in the garage of the OSCE building at the address Mariupol, Primorsky Boulevard, 25, a warehouse of Italian-made mortar mines was found. The labels on the crates indicate that they were packed for shipping by sea on 2022-3-11."

There are many such items like this coming to fore. Years of impunity clearly made many very careless. With luck and hard work, hopefully most will be held accountable for their crimes. IMO Obama as policy setter needs to be arrested and put on trial, as does Kerry, Clinton, Biden, Nuland and a host of others. Only when the Big Rats get their tails & heads cropped will those down the chain stop.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 23:02 utc | 138

karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 22:42 utc | 135

I am often reminded of Patrick Armstrong's piece "Putin once dreamed the American dream".

What you write about is I think the essence of the American dream. Perhaps Putin and Russia are living the american dream rather than "once dreamed the american dream"

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 25 2022 23:02 utc | 139

The Russian mass of artillery is and was well known. USA's own assessments had noted Russian reliance and heavy investment into it. It isn't terribly useful in mobile and widespread small battles. But in a static front war you don't need to have attended war college to know superior artillery will be a major factor in the outcome.
Russian Air Forces will dominate the air over the battlefield. Nato and Ukrainian "Allies" are not going to give Ukraine the planes that could actually help. Mig 29s aren't going to change the tide.
Supply is a key moment. IF Russia is heavily hitting and neutralizing rail then it is going to get extra sad for the Ukrainian soldiers. The troop numbers projected in the east must have rail deliveries. The tonnage needed to sustain a field army is huge. If there is no rail deliveries and tas a last result are unable to start massive flatbed convoys daily, then the smart thing would be a full withdrawal westward. Otherwise Ukraine will be throwing lives away...

Posted by: Corsair66 | Apr 25 2022 23:06 utc | 140

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 23:02 utc | 137

let's not forget Bush, Cheney, and for that matter Trump. Interesting about OSCE, Craig Murray apparently considered them a reliable source in his long article on Ukraine, which surprised me.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Apr 25 2022 23:07 utc | 141

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 22:42 utc | 135

I have to disagree with the notion that "terrorism is a weapon of the weak". That is simply an empty slogan, and is frankly exactly the kind of sour grapes comment made by the weak, to portray their own impotence as somehow a sign of strength. The Soviet Union, which was anything but weak (and certainly much stronger than Russia), supported many organizations which would have to be called terrorist organizations, just as the United States and other Western powers did and still do.

The famous 1999 book "Unrestricted Warfare", written by two PLA colonels, also discusses terrorism as a mode of warfare (along with, for example, cyberwarfare, financial warfare and the weaponization of addictive drugs - witness the opium war of the 1800s and the West's karmic backlash in the form of fentanyl today). Terrorism is a key weapon for great powers, especially in the modern world, and if some people can't stomach that, too bad.

Posted by: Unnamed | Apr 25 2022 23:08 utc | 142

Lavrov was interviewed today in an episode of The Great Game show on Channel 1. There are a few news items that recap it somewhat. The transcript begins with what might appear to be an easy question:

Question: Thank you for agreeing to talk despite being incredibly busy.

Sergey Lavrov: Thank you for the invitation. If the game is big, you need to play.

Question: The game is big, the stakes are high. I am sure that much of what is said in Washington will not fit into your idea of beauty and reality. But I think you will agree with one statement by President Joe Biden – it is important to avoid a third world war. It is necessary to bear in mind the existing danger.

G. Ellison, a well-known leading American Harvard political scientist (former Deputy Secretary of Defense), says that in terms of danger, the current situation is not inferior to the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962. What do you think about the level of crisis we face today? How realistic is that? What can and will Russia do?

Lavrov's answer carry's on for 23 paragraphs! As is my usual practice nowadays, I'll post the entire machine translation to the latest open thread where barflies can read it at their leisure.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 23:11 utc | 143

karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 23:02 utc | 137

Russia has lifted a sheet of old iron that has been laying on the ground for years and exposed to the light of day all the vermin suspected of hiding there.

OSCE have never been impartial observers and for me that has been obvious for many years.

Ukraine is a treasure trove of 'rules based order' documents and physical evidence.

"He is not wearing a shred of clothing, while those around him don’t want to be accused of being stupid they remain silent and go along with the farce.

The naked emperor parades down the street and it is only a plain speaking child who calls out the lunacy."

I guess Russia is that plain speaking child.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 25 2022 23:14 utc | 144

Diapers are essential battlefield supplies for Ukrainian soldiers these days. Make sure they're all swaddled before the next barrage comes in.

Posted by: Thirdeye | Apr 25 2022 23:16 utc | 145

pretzelattack | Apr 25 2022 23:07 utc | 140

Murray needs to be put aside for anything to do with Russia. Some other subjects he can offer insights on. If it wasn't for his support of Assange I would dismiss him altogether.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 25 2022 23:21 utc | 146

"I hope that Biden is still competent enough to recognize that any escalation will lead to a much larger war and, in the end, to a much bigger defeat of 'western' forces than the one that will come in Ukraine." b.

Biden can't tell his a** from a hole in the ground. His irrelevance is Sumo-wrestler-size. So is the empty-headed second executive of the country. while the line of authority in the USA is somewhere in the weeds. The country is broken. Frighteningly so. Where its decision making takes place is absolutely unclear and effectively unconstitutional. Any McDonalds has more sense at the top and a clearer chain of command. Anything can happen and probably will.

Posted by: Carnabystreet Pete | Apr 25 2022 23:22 utc | 147

"Israel is apparently trading its neutrality on the war for assurances that the US won't reenter the Iran nuclear treaty."
pretzelattack@107

Which leads to the question, In a geopolitical struggle over eurasia, which ally would you choose, Iran, which has a population of 83 million and straddles west central Asia from Arabia to Afghanistan, or Israel?

Posted by: bevin | Apr 25 2022 23:23 utc | 148

@Unnamed #141

"terrorism is a weapon of the weak"

Post 9/11 I have given this a certain amount of thought. Terrorism is defined in such a way that it is a weapon of the weak. Government can do things like "shock and awe" to terrorize civilians who have no way of retaliating and it is not called "terrorism" (unless an enemy does it, in very limited circumstances, then it fits in a special limited cut-out called "state-sponsored terrorism").

It's more like "terrorism may be the only weapon of the weak". The strong have a variety of weapons available, including terrorism and collective punishment.

Posted by: Billb | Apr 25 2022 23:23 utc | 149

when the usa and west do it - it is not terrorism... when russia or iran do it - terrorism... that is the present definition of terrorism..

Posted by: james | Apr 25 2022 23:30 utc | 150

#---I'd like to study the decisions, and without maps showing before/during/after it's hard to get much out of it. Many maps don't have enough info or verbal context to really learn much from. Any recommendations would be welcome.

Thanks.

Posted by: Hickory | Apr 25 2022 16:05 utc | 9

southfront.org provides daily updates, with maps.

Posted by: Anne B | Apr 25 2022 23:38 utc | 151

b wrote: "He should instead agree to Russia's reasonable peace conditions. He is destroying the Ukraine by not doing that. "

yes, if he was reasonable and rational and didn't believe his own propaganda, and think that the USA-Western Europe, like some knight in tarnished armor, was coming to the rescue..... which it isn't

Zelensky would be a dead man if he ever agreed to anything remotely resembling what the russians have in mind for Ukraine. They are going to take the entire East and the South all the Black Sea and Sea of Azov areas, and either make a statelet out of that huge area, or integrate into Russia itself; the later is more likely - Regardless of whether any other nations recognize that or not; Russia has had enough

the Russians are going for the full thing, total de-militarization of the entire Ukraine etc etc, just as Putin outlined, and the US-centralized Empire right now will not stand for that for one minute. There probably aren't half a dozen realists in the entire US government/Deep State right now - they are all neo-cons or liberal interventionists. And the Pentagon will do as its told.

....In other words I don't believe there's any chance Ukraine/Zelensky will surrender until practically the whole country is taken over by the Russians

Posted by: michaelj72 | Apr 25 2022 23:47 utc | 152

#----I'm guessing the US/NATO will create some kind of useless caretaker government in exile and finance a guerilla war for eternity in the former Ukraine to take back 'the stolen lands'. Mission accomplished!

Posted by: PavewayIV | Apr 25 2022 16:14 utc | 13

He might have a bigger fanbase than Juan Guaido, but the director is worse than Elliot Abrams.

Posted by: Anne B | Apr 25 2022 23:51 utc | 153

With 'friends' like this who needs enemies?

In videos, Israelis fighting with Ukraine thank Israel, Jewish people for support

"Videos posted to social media Sunday appeared to show several Israelis who are fighting with Ukrainian forces giving thanks to Israel and the Jewish people for supporting their efforts to repel the Russian invasion.

The clips, which circulated widely, showed the men in Ukrainian military uniforms in an unspecified forested area. The video was likely shot over the last week as the fighters thanked Ukraine’s chief rabbi for supplying them with kosher food to celebrate the weeklong Passover holiday.
In the first of two scenes, about a dozen men in combat gear stand, many of them with their faces covered.

“We want to give thanks to the people of Israel and the government of Israel for the help they give us. We are here fighting against the Russians in this very difficult war,” said one fighter in Hebrew.
He also thanked the main synagogue in Kyiv and Ukrainian Chief Rabbi Moshe Azman for providing the troops with kosher food and helping them celebrate Passover.

“I want to say thank you to the whole Jewish people who are helping us — we are here for you, for the whole nation,” said another man, also speaking in Hebrew. “We are here for all those whose lives are in danger. We are fighting for you, doing good work.”
In a second clip, nine men stood in a semicircle holding up a Ukrainian and an Israeli flag...."

https://www.timesofisrael.com/in-videos-israelis-fighting-with-ukraine-thank-israel-jewish-people-for-support/

Posted by: Paul | Apr 25 2022 23:54 utc | 154

B's update containing the agonized plea from a Ukrainian commander trapped in the Donbass makes me wonder if the commander has asked himself why his superiors are forcing him and his troops to withstand such punishment. Surely everyone in a position to know realizes that Ukraine cannot possibly emerge from the war without sustaining massive death and destruction, let alone victory. No quantity of supplies from the West can change the outcome. So, why force your soldiers suffer in a lost cause? The answer surely lies in the fact that the shots are being called, not by Kiev, but by Washington, which does not give a rat's ass about Ukrainian lives. They are mere proxies and sacrificial lambs, depending on whether they survive the torture.

Posted by: Rob | Apr 25 2022 23:57 utc | 155

Peter AU1 @138 & 143--

Thanks for your replies. I've harped on this often. The US Constitution's Preamble sets forth the goal to establish "a more perfect Union," but only on rare occasions is there any effort toward that goal, and they're always short-lived. Oh yeah, politicians play on that goal to get elected but don't do shit afterwards. What we see from Putin and his crew along with the Chinese are ongoing efforts toward that exact goal. That's why it's easy to see both nations as a collective community whereas the Outlaw US Empire looks more like an anarchic, chaotic, jumble lacking direction and wisdom--the chicken with its head cut off. And the Collective West isn't any better.

Unnamed @141--

Well, I was quoting Martyanov who wasn't the first to invoke that phrase. In the West's case, it's resorted to terrorism because it fails to be convincing otherwise. Its ideas of a bountiful political-economy are bankrupt thanks to then wholesale adopting of Zero-sum Neoliberalism. Its once bold ideas about human rights conflict with the goals of Neoliberalism so the former get trampled. And there's zero accountability for criminality/corruption performed by those at the top of the pyramid, so society eventually corrodes into an immoral morass. The Founders hoped those that followed them would be men of virtue some the mistakes of Rome would be avoided. Their hopes were dashed by the 1830s. Long ago I was taught to lead by example, but it seems too many from my generation never got that message. For years, I recited this pledge on a weekly basis:

On my honor, I will do my best
To do my duty to God and my country and to obey the Scout Law;
To help other people at all times;
To keep myself physically strong, mentally awake and morally straight.

I haven't thought of it until now. I hope all can see how that oath could/should become the basis for revolution. But how many Boomers entertain such thoughts or recall what they pledged 50+ years ago? Not anyone within the Federal Government.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 23:58 utc | 156

I can't get Strategic Culture either, and every time I try to go to John Helmer's site it tells me that the site is down.
But, to get to the question of whether Boris, Blinken, et. al., actually went to Kiev here is Helmer's assessment of a previous psy ops, from another website.
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2022/03/17/living-it-up-in-poland-zelenskys-march-15-meeting-in-poland-not-kiev-full-proofs/

Posted by: wagelaborer | Apr 25 2022 23:59 utc | 157

OMG, I've heard it all now. They want to impose sanctions on Putin's girlfriend. The admin. says no, but, begs the question; Who was the braindead MF'er who thought that up?

That info was on Fox, CNN, and MSNBC today. Must be a slow news day. ROFLMAO!!!

Posted by: vetinLA | Apr 26 2022 0:00 utc | 158

james | Apr 25 2022 23:30 utc | 149

In the west, terrorism has become another word like democracy. War on terror? No. War of terror.

From what I understand is terrorism consists of hitting soft targets - civilians. To create terror. Differentiated from guerrilla warfare that consists of hitting Government, military, police targets ect. More nuanced now than WWII in turning cities into firestorms.

US, closely backed by the UK is the world sponsor of terrorism.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 26 2022 0:01 utc | 159

@Balkanizer - 3

Flattening Kyiv, just because Russia can, would be their becoming no different than the US and NATO. If the Russians and Chinese of the future become the new empires replacing the current Empire of Lies, who really cares then for any of this carnage?

My armchair totally non-military advice: prepare to fight a long war of attrition in multiple theaters. Avoid unnecessary escalations through US/UK provocations. Time is running out on the Empire of Lies. They are rotting from within. The status quo is unsustainable. The collapse is only a matter of when.

Posted by: Moses22 | Apr 26 2022 0:05 utc | 160

Ukraine's War Aims

Did Ukraine seriously believe they could reconquer Donbass? Do they think they can win this war? Ukrainian strategic planning seems not to make sense. I reasonable commander would have pulled troops to defendable positions instead of allowing them to be defeated and obliterated.

Up to now I have believed that Ukraine never intended to win. Many people in Ukraine actually wanted to lose. A military defeat and the loss of Novorossiya or Donbass would allow Ukraine to build a linguistically purified, ethnically cleansed, fully nazified ethnostate and be fully integrated into the West.

In recent weeks Ukraine has turned from battles to information war. Their only aim seems to be to get NATO and the US involved in the war.

What is said about Ukraine may not apply to the Azov Battalion. They may have their own aims that are quite separate from Ukrainian and even US aims.

Juan Sinmiedo has published a long thread on Twitter on Azov and their links to Nazi accelerationism.

Juan Sinmiedo @Youblacksoul on Twitter, April 22, 2022

Extremest Neonazi Icon, James Mason, author of the "Siege" books, posing recently with an Azov flag.

If you haven't heard about Mason, he is the "Unabomber" of the Far right, his literature has inspired some of the worst terror attacks in the US.

Juan Sinmiedo uses text references and videos to make a strong argument that Azov is an accelerationist terror organization. Accelerationists want to accelerate chaos and drive organized society into collapse with acts of violence and terror.

It may be that Azov is not interested in winning or losing. They want to accelerate the war, so that it turns into a nuclear World War 3, that destroys Russia along with the liberal West.

At the core of Accelerationism is "Siege Culture", based on the "Collected Writings" of neo-Nazi James Mason published in book form in 1992.

Azovstal must be a wet dream for Siege Culture cultists. Almost like Valhalla on Earth! The last defenders of the White Race are about to be overrun by Mongol hordes. Like the Siege of Masada, it will be worshipped for millennia.

Posted by: Petri Krohn | Apr 26 2022 0:08 utc | 161

"Daniel Kovalik: Why Russia's intervention in Ukraine is legal under international law". Excellent op/ed on the topic. And a test to see if RT links still block comments.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 26 2022 0:10 utc | 162

“Imo,things have developed to the point of no return now.
Russia's SMO will develop further, to include the capture of the entire Ukraine at its own pace.It will flush the Nationalists through the Polish boarder as it pushes west”
Posted by: Kim | Apr 25 2022 16:58 utc | 31

@ karlof1 35 @ Rob 112
Kim notes "point of no return."

So be it.

USNATO continues to poke the bear. NATO is in expansion mode.

Terrifying development as per Reuters on April 14, 2022 and today, the Guardian.

Russia warns of nuclear, hypersonic deployment if Sweden and Finland join NATO

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-warns-baltic-nuclear-deployment-if-nato-admits-sweden-finland-2022-04-14/


Mon. 25 April 2022 as per The Guardian

Sweden and Finland agree to submit NATO applications
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/25/sweden-and-finland-agree-to-submit-nato-applications

And Russia does not bluff.


Posted by: Likklemore | Apr 26 2022 0:13 utc | 163

vetinLA | Apr 26 2022 0:00 utc | 157

Putin's biggest fear when Yeltsin asked him to take over the presidency of the Russian federation was for his family. He is very much a family man but as things heated up he divorced his wife, I think to separate his family from himself. Perhaps there were issues as he has devoted his life to his country, but safety of his family was high on his mind. But still his daughters have been sanctioned. They will be top priorities for the world leading sponsors of terrorism.
Putin was at one time asked he he feared being killed and he simply said - A drowned man cannot be hung'.
I guess there is only one life and that one life is the only chance you get to do what you believe.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 26 2022 0:17 utc | 164

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 25 2022 19:06 utc | 67

"Russia will act in a manner that does its best to promote the hoi polloi's interests while ridding the impediments to its security. As the rest of the year unfolds, we'll see how that occurs."

Intriguing remark. Pray tell more...

Posted by: Scorpion | Apr 26 2022 0:18 utc | 165

161 Cont'd--

That's a pleasant surprise. The case Kovalik presents IMO is rock solid. It will make interesting reading material for the UN's Secretary General when he meets with Lavrov tomorrow. Also, the evidence Kovalik presents isn't at all exhausted; there's much more. The most damning part is direct evidence that the genocide aimed at Donbass is official Outlaw US Empire policy and there're documents proving that truth.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 26 2022 0:20 utc | 166

From Crooke's latest in Strategic Culture 'The Dynamics of Escalation,' the opening paragraph:

"As it dawns on the West that whereas sanctions are deemed capable of bringing countries to their knees, the reality is that such capitulation never has occurred (i.e. Cuba; North Korea; Iran). And, in the case of Russia, it is possible to say that just ain’t going to happen.

Team Biden still has not fully grasped the reasons why."

This is yet another article touting the premise that the USG and Biden regime is working in order to promote America's interests whereas clearly their mission is to bring the country to its knees as quickly as possible. The Battle of Ukraine provides needed cover for this so that when the inevitable collapse occurs the American people will not blame it on their own government and therefore submit to whatever privations and loss of sovereignty those in power will dictate must be embraced, indeed even celebrated as noble sacrifice.

And the beat goes on...

Posted by: Scorpion | Apr 26 2022 0:28 utc | 167

Likklemore | Apr 26 2022 0:13 utc | 162

A couple of woke women thinking they are Amazons.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 26 2022 0:29 utc | 168

#---And yet most here believe Russia has the luxury of infinite time.

Posted by: Flying Dutchman | Apr 25 2022 19:05 utc | 66

You can bit your nails - I won't. I find the Russian approach to warfare to be the right one. They clearly know what they are doing.
They maybe naive to what evil the other side can come up with - but not the nuclear side. Besides - they are fast learners.

Posted by: Anne B | Apr 26 2022 0:33 utc | 169

@ karlof1 and others with the goals of the Ukraine military activity by Russia

karlof1 and I have been claiming that humanity is in a civilization war for some time and now more are seeing that, but not a preponderance yet which frustrates karlof1...grin

What frustrates me more reading about how folks view the world is not seeing and honoring the "high road" that Russia is taking in this military activity. This is not Shock And Awe military activity but incremental until the demands are agreed to....and that includes going into Poland or further, if necessary.

We are in a world war and many are dying while the rest of us play armchair textual white noise warriors.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Apr 26 2022 0:34 utc | 170

@166

Why would they do that?

Posted by: Zina | Apr 26 2022 0:35 utc | 171

Israel is apparently trading its neutrality on the war for assurances that the US won't reenter the Iran nuclear treaty.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Apr 25 2022 21:06 utc | 107


Not much of a tradeoff seeing as the USA couldn't reenter the JCPOA even if it wanted to -- and it doesn't anyway, because that would mean meeting Iran's eminently reasonable demands. Iran insists on lifting of all sanctions, many of which were imposed by Congress and can be lifted only by Congress.

Posted by: malenkov | Apr 26 2022 0:41 utc | 172

Posted by: Hickory | Apr 25 2022 16:05 utc | 9
Posted by: james | Apr 25 2022 16:07 utc | 10

There are maps all over the place. Besides the Defense Politics Asia Youtube channel mentioned by the pessimist | Apr 25 2022 16:23 utc | 19, there is MilitaryLand at https://militaryland.net/ which provides a daily summary.

The problem is the maps don't show what's going on. They just show a slow incremental taking - or more likely bypassing - of one village and small town after the next. That's irrelevant. What matters is what Ukrainian forces have been destroyed along the way. That information is almost never available. Sometimes the information is available as to what Ukrainian unit was stationed where, but not enough information about current strength. A lot of military units are listed as supposedly having a certain amount of men and materiel but in fact are not at full strength even before the war.

The other thing that matters is the overall progress of the destruction of the Ukrainian military. The best source for that is the daily Russian MoD briefing. But even that doesn't say much because one doesn't know how many of each category of hardware destroyed existed in the first place, nor how much of it has been replaced by the West.

The problem with Telegram channels as a source as they are mostly a collection of random videos with zero context. If I see one more video of a Kalibre or a Russian jet flying over somewhere, I'll puke. They're utterly useless. Occasionally I'll see a video of some major hit with a caption and I'll translate that using Google Translate to see where it was.

Most of the time I just read larger posts on Telegram from people who are actually trying to report or explain something. That can give hints as to what's actually going on - provided those people seem to have a clue.

Posted by: Unnamed | Apr 25 2022 20:32 utc | 94

It's probably Global Times. Mercouris reads that religiously.

Posted by: bevin | Apr 25 2022 21:01 utc | 105

Nice list at Orinoco Tribune. Pretty much everyone I follow and some I don't know.

Posted by: Petri Krohn | Apr 26 2022 0:08 utc | 160
" A military defeat and the loss of Novorossiya or Donbass would allow Ukraine to build a linguistically purified, ethnically cleansed, fully nazified ethnostate and be fully integrated into the West."

You're forgetting about the gas fields under Donbass. One of the Ukrainians, I think it might have been Arestovich, said the population of Donbass was "surplus" and had to be removed because "Donbass was a resource" - meaning gas. So you're not wrong about the desire for a "pure Ukraine" - but they - meaning the oligarchs and people like Hunter Biden - also want the gas. So they can't give up Donbass.

All: NATO protection promised to Sweden before membership – media
https://tinyurl.com/5xw8cd66

Should Sweden apply for membership, the UK and US have promised to provide military protection between application and membership, after which the alliance’s mutual defense clause would come into effect, Aftonbladet reported, citing multiple government sources.

One source said that while NATO members are forbidden from expressing any formal guarantees of protection to non-members, they would still be able to take informal measures like stationing troops in Sweden, hosting military exercises, and offering “political support.”

“In practice, Sweden will be treated as a full-fledged NATO member shortly after a declaration of interest,” the newspaper stated, claiming that the UK has specifically offered to increase its naval presence in Swedish waters during the application process.

Presumably this will apply to Finland as well, which shares a border with Russia. Scott Ritter believes that Russia will invade Finland if it joins NATO. This deal with Sweden indicates NATO is intent on turning Sweden - and likely Finland - into another Ukraine, thus starting another war.

This would indicate that the US neocons are intent on sacrificing NATO in wars with Russia in order to "weaken Russia", as Lloyd Austin said. I've suggested before that the US intends NATO to start a war with Russia, while the US itself stays out of it. Russia will likely not allow this, which will lead directly to WWIII.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 26 2022 0:43 utc | 173

#--i will make a point of only responding to one crazy comment per thread... i can't do anymore!

Posted by: james | Apr 25 2022 19:41 utc | 78

then I will do yours...

I would very much like to watch the CIA hold control over Kiev after a few months with-out running water. You think the urban population will put up with it?

Posted by: Anne B | Apr 26 2022 0:45 utc | 174

@wagelaborer | Apr 25 2022 20:56 utc | 101

> The ruling class is just as evil and the working class just as clueless, it seems.

I couldn't agree more. It's been happening over and over again, across the world for centuries. With the advancement of technology our prowess for destruction has increased but our morality seems to have regressed. I've seen photos of young men's passports, 20-22, dead now. Sent as fodder onto the front lines with hardly any training. Now you can find videos of teens being trained. All of it could have been avoided, but for the fact we are lead by the people we deserve.

Posted by: Sundial | Apr 26 2022 0:46 utc | 175

First, recap
2009 NATO's CDO racket craters, Brazil (Lula), Russia (Medvedev), India (Patil), and China (Jintao) declare Joint Statement of the BRIC Countries’ Leaders
2015 JCPOA
signatories ("guarantors"): CN, FR, DE, RU, UK, US, EU, IR
authority: UNSC Resolution 2231
inspector: IAEA

oh, look. US, UK do. not. do. international law; EU does US "international norms." And Israel is not a party to this or any other nuke non-proliferation or cease fire agreement; farts in general direction of UN conventions.

FF >>| 2022

23 Mar, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Wang Wenbin's Regular Press Conference in re: 48th session of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC)
7 Apr, India Punchline buries lede, foreclosing angsty EU comparisons to COSCO Piraeus ops in cradle of democracy: Israel leased Haifa port to Shanghai International Port Group [SPIG]
7 Apr, PRC State Council | READ OUT: "State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi held a phone conversation on April 6 with Israel's alternate Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Yair Lapid at the latter's request...." Wang said, Lapid said
9 Apr ISRAELI ARMY KILLS PALESTINIAN, WOUNDS 13 OTHERS IN JENIN REFUGEE CAMP RAID (VIDEOS), as is the custom; EU solicits alternative gas dev and production RFQs btw Israel-Bulgaria; RU, IN, CN, IR, BR finesse bi-lateral FX/fuel trade under the radar, etc

21 Apr parity watch
Israel Adds Yuan To Its Currency Reserves

Following discussions held by the monetary committee last year, the [GBP] and the [JPY] will account for 5% and the currencies of [CAD] and {AUD] will have 3.5% each. Under the new approach, the [RMB]’s proportion is set at 2% for 2022, according to the Israeli central bank’s annual report published at the end of last month.

To accommodate the changes, the [EUR]’s share will fall to 20% — the lowest in at least a decade — from just over 30%, while the [USD] will account for 61%, down from 66.5%. The pound’s weighting, by contrast, will almost double to 5%, returning to a level last seen in 2011.
[...]
The [IMF]’s survey on the currency composition of official foreign-exchange reserves shows that at the end of last year the [EUR] accounted for close to 20%, the [USD] for slightly less than 59% and the [GBP] for almost 5%. The [RMB] rose slightly from the third quarter to a new high of 2.79%.
[...]
Israel’s new currency basket also reflects the transformation of the country’s trade flows as it developed a booming technology industry with a global reach and discovered offshore natural gas to become self-sufficient and even export the fuel.

While the U.S. is still Israel’s biggest trade partner ahead of China, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, overall volumes with the Asian economy have surged, almost doubling between 2016 and 2021. In Europe, Germany and Switzerland account for the most trade with Israel.

Posted by: sln2002 | Apr 26 2022 0:50 utc | 176

It could be a prime motivation for dimwits cranking up this war, right now: to do something about Democrat's dismal prospects, betokened by Biden's plummeting approval rating. Still plummeting...

President Biden’s approval rating was down to 41 percent among young Americans, down nearly 20 percent on a year ago, a new poll out Monday showed.

The poll from the Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School indicated a drop from 46 percent approval for Biden last fall, and 59 percent last spring.

https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2022/04/25/harvard-poll-bidens-lost-18-points-among-young-voters-n464703

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Apr 26 2022 1:12 utc | 177

robin | Apr 25 2022 19:16 utc | 69

Hypersonic Missiles explained by Gordog

Posted by: donten | Apr 25 2022 19:38 utc | 76

Wow, thanks to the barflies that pulled MoA's/Gordog's post about hypersonic missile technology. Great read!

The bottom line is that these new Russian technologies are in fact tilting the global military balance going forward. They are game-changing because they are UNSTOPPABLE with today’s air defense technology. Just like the Plains Indians couldn’t hope to stop, with their bows and arrows, the US cavalry with their repeating rifles.

Even more profound may be the psychological effect that Russia’s engineering accomplishments must be exerting on the American psyche, which is used to assuming that they have the smartest engineers and make the best military hardware.

That is demonstrably NOT the case anymore.

And that may be the biggest game-changer of all!

Remembering that Russia is refraining from using their most advanced military hardware so as not to give their game away to the Natoz scum.

Posted by: Ricardo Ramirez | Apr 26 2022 1:19 utc | 178

Scott Ritter believes that Russia will invade Finland if it joins NATO.
Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 26 2022 0:43 utc | 172
O RLY?

What's FI's trade balance with RU?

And, no. I'm not going to look that up for you.

Posted by: sln2002 | Apr 26 2022 1:21 utc | 179

@ Peter AU1 | Apr 26 2022 0:01 utc | 158

the usa and uk are the last countries to talk about terrorism.. this imperialist shit has to stop..

@ Richard Steven Hack | Apr 26 2022 0:43 utc | 172

thanks richard.. that's a great website for maps!!

@ Anne B | Apr 26 2022 0:45 utc | 173

i can only respond to one a day, lolol! that is my limit!

Posted by: james | Apr 26 2022 1:38 utc | 180

Is Ukrainian Natural Gas Important?

The quick answer is No!

According to 2011 data from the US Energy Information Administration, Ukraine’s “estimated recoverable shale gas resources” amount to 42 trillion cubic feet. This figure is the 18th highest in the world, although it is dwarfed by the 1,275 trillion cubic feet of China, the 862 trillion cubic feet of the United States. It's unclear how much of that shale gas will be extracted. Russia has the largest total natural gas reserves of 1,688 trillion cubic feet.

While there are a number of sites with potential natural gas almost all of it is within two basins. The Yuzivska gas field located in Donetsk Oblast (province) and Kharkiv Oblast; and the Olesska gas field in Lviv Oblast and Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast. The Yuzivska gas field extends almost to Kiev, well inside the Ukrainian core, whereas the Lublin Basin, which may hold even more gas, is located in the heartland of Ukrainian nationalism in the west. Very little gas lies underneath the pro-Russian Donbass. Finally, these fields have been known for a long time but little to no activity has been done with them and there is no guarantee they will be that productive.

Tempting, but not worth fighting over.

See: https://www.geocurrents.info/place/russia-ukraine-and-caucasus/energy-issues-ukrainian-crisis

Posted by: Douglas Houck | Apr 26 2022 1:44 utc | 181

psychohistorian @ 169

I think you summed it up rather well. We should be thankful we aren't caught up in it ( Not yet at least).

Posted by: stratus | Apr 26 2022 1:45 utc | 182

Deconstruction by 1,000 cuts.

One wonders how long it will be until certain gas transit hubs to Europe are placed under inoperative "maintenance" with the only alternative routes being (surprise, surprise!) Nordstream I & II? My guess, on current trends, is around peak summer +1 month. German interest in Ukraine rumpland may rapidly decline thereafter.

I'm still puzzeled why there is no military coup and disposing of Zelenski and his fascist Judo-neoNazi oligarch gangs? The corruption since 2014 must be deep and systemic.

Posted by: imo | Apr 26 2022 1:46 utc | 183

So, looks like Moon of Alabama uses tags but they are not promoted as navigation tools.
Can we have that, b?
Do you regularly tag your posts?
If so, it should be just a matter of adding a Typepad widget :)

I just found the tag #gordog:

moonofalabama.org/gordog

(damn, I miss his posts, hope he's doing well, but in the midst of a pandemic, who knows)

Posted by: Ricardo Ramirez | Apr 26 2022 1:56 utc | 184

Regarding Russia's hypersonic missiles.

Is it true that these missiles allow Russia to do precisely targeted NON nuclear as well as nuclear strikes at a great distance?
Perhaps Putins "asymmetric means" might include such a response to the wests scorched earth nukes.
If so then could we expect Russia to use first strike in order to deter crazy Nato from using Nuclear bombs again on civilians?

Having read Mrs Putin and Lavrov's speeches for many years I think it's just ridiculous for anyone to claim that Russia is naive at any level whatsoever. They've had 70 years of nothing but crap from the West yet people are claiming they have not planned well enough.
Of course Russia can make mistakes but this is not the same as being ill prepared.

Even I know that Sun Tzu's first principle is that not to go to war at all is the best strategy (paraphrasing). I see Russia's tactic over many years is the preference to not go to war.
The truth is true whether its known by one or a million people, this blog keeps the truth alive as best as possible with regard to geopolitics and that's a very fine contribution and helps barflies stay relatively sane into the bargain.


Posted by: K | Apr 26 2022 1:59 utc | 185

Posted by: Kim | Apr 25 2022 22:05 utc | 128

"thinking of the Neocons in the US of A that they can pull it off without it affecting them on the other side of the world"

Kinda like drunk drivers walking away unscathed from crashes THEY create, while passengers & bystanders pay the price

Posted by: ianMoone | Apr 26 2022 2:00 utc | 186

Blinken and Austin take a train through to Kiev at the same time the Russians are taking out the rail network in the country.

That story is supreme bullshit. One tires of chicken hawks as shot callers. Can we go lower? Yes. They are ginning up another forever war.

Posted by: circumspect | Apr 26 2022 2:02 utc | 187

Late stage capitalism in action, it is revolving around share deals with a little known Australian nickel miner, Western Areas, WSA - ASX.

Banks lending to each other based on the collateral of millions of shares. Does this sound familiar?

It looks like the globalists are not  'banking' on a speedy return of Russian class 1 nickel sulphide any time soon, pun intended. Instead they are planning for a long war and years of mutual sanctions.

https://wcsecure.weblink.com.au/pdf/WSA/02513219.pdf

Posted by: Paul | Apr 26 2022 2:22 utc | 188

james - the usa and uk are the last countries to talk about terrorism.. this imperialist shit has to stop..

As with nazi germany and imperial japan - only force will stop it.
Goering rules in the so called west.

Many here in oz observe anzac traditions. To me they are something like Sunday Christians. Or crusaders. Very few have learned the lessons of the past. They will follow the pied piper into the next war.
No offence to those that respect the many sacrificed by our rulers. Perhaps the Australian victims of MH 17 should take pride of place on anzac day - sacrificed for the greater 'good'.

If you don't fight you get trodden in to blood and bone to spread on the garden. talk about addictive narcotics? for crowd control, brit originated democracy is manna from heaven. addicted to gambling the peasants fill out their lottery card thing this time they will win. if they win they receive a bottle of snake oil.

I guess that is our free and democratic west.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 26 2022 2:25 utc | 189

donten #76

Thank you for that reference to the excellent report by gordog at MOA in August 2021.

That report gathered some excellent posts by many regulars but there is one that now resonates as a very loud

GONG - its GAME OVER.

And that was that Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayast | Aug 2 2021 12:58 utc | 8

I have pasted it below as it is just so relevant:

"During the first Gulf War, the United States claimed a near-perfect record in shooting down Iraqi variants of the Scud. Subsequent analyses found that nearly all the interceptions had failed."

In circa 2005 the then newly elected Manmohan Singh regime in India decided to start wooing Amerikastan. Singh - a spineless rubber stamp for the Gandhi dynasty - hugged George W Bush and told him that "the people of India love you, Mr Bush." (This same Singh never even won a municipal corporation level election, such was his appeal among the people he spoke for.)


Anyway, I remember that immediately the Indian newspapers became loaded with obviously planted Amerikastani propaganda, including advertisements for Amerikastani weapons masquerading as news articles. One was a pitch to sell the Patriot missiles to India. The article - in the horrible tabloid The Times Of India - admitted that "the Patriot performed poorly in 1991 over Iraq, destroying no Iraqi SCUD missiles" but "the problems have been fixed. In 2003 no Iraqi SCUD succeeded in hitting coalition forces."

I immediately wrote a response saying that if Iraq had any SCUDs in 2003 it would have justified the invasion since they were WMDs but Iraq had none and so launched none. Of course the paper didn't publish my reply.

______________________

The most important part of the Russian hypersonic missile programme isn't whether the missiles are genuinely unstoppable. It is that they're sufficiently difficult to intercept that the target, in this case Amerikastani carrier groups, run an unacceptably high risk of being struck by one or more missiles even if they intercept most of those fired. This in turn compels the Amerikastani carrier group to stay out of range of the missiles, which is also out of range of their own aircraft, which de facto means that the Amerikastani carrier group ceases to exist as far as the battle is concerned.

This would not matter if the Amerikastani Empire was not fundamentally carrier dependent. It is because it's not just carrier dependent but carrier worshipping that the missiles are effective. They're effective because Amerikastan can't bear to give up its carriers.

In real terms this means that Amerikastani carrier groups will have a hard time blockading Russian shipping at the critical chokepoints between Denmark and Finland and at Gibraltar, which it could perhaps consider as an act of stand off economic war. Assuming that the Putinist regime finally abandons "restraint" and retaliates, the possibility of such a blockade disappears into thin air.

This is even more useful not for Russia but China. A hypersonic missile arsenal just about guarantees the People's Republic a free hand against the pseudostate of "Taiwan"; Amerikastani carriers won't dare come close enough to launch air strikes, let alone Marines in landing ships to bail out the secessionist rump regime.

______________________

+ some further comment that I exclude for the purpose of this post.

So big hat tip to Biswapriya Purkayast

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Apr 26 2022 2:32 utc | 190

There's this thing about liars ...
If you squint, Mekas begins to look Jewish.

Posted by: sln2002 | Apr 26 2022 2:33 utc | 191


Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 26 2022 2:25 utc | 188

I have noticed the terms 'the greater good' and 'the public good' are interchangeable but are really euphemisms for what is desirable policy, easiest and cheapest for governments. One size fits all.

They are never 'good' for me.

What constitutes desirable policy is decided elsewhere by crazed ideologues.

Posted by: Paul | Apr 26 2022 2:38 utc | 192

Aleph_Null #176


It could be a prime motivation for dimwits cranking up this war, right now: to do something about Democrat's dismal prospects, betokened by Biden's plummeting approval rating. Still plummeting...

President Biden’s approval rating was down to 41 percent among young Americans, down nearly 20 percent on a year ago, a new poll out Monday showed.

Thanks for the good news. Does the Secretary of State get rated? That would be worth considering here :)

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Apr 26 2022 2:50 utc | 193

Posted by: sln2002 | Apr 26 2022 1:21 utc | 178

According to a quick Google, Finland and Russia have a few billion in trade, and supposedly that collapsed in 2021 by 30%. Compared to that, Finland's exports and imports to the EU are in the neighborhood of 70 billion Euros. Finland is highly tied to the EU. And Finland wants to join NATO.


BOFIT Viikkokatsaus / BOFIT Weekly 2021/09
5 Mar 2021

Preliminary figures from Statistics Finland suggest that the value of Finnish exports of goods and services to Russia contracted by about 20 % last year to around 3.5 billion euros. The declines were led by exports of services, which fell by over 40 %. Restrictions on cross-border travel imposed in both Finland and Russia to deal with the covid pandemic froze Russian tourism to Finland and dragged down the services exports. Russia accounted for about 4 % of Finnish exports, making Russia Finland’s seventh-largest export market. The value of goods and services imported to Finland from Russia declined by 36 % to about 6 billion euro. Russia accounted for 7 % of Finland’s total imports and was Finland’s fourth largest import market. Both exports and imports fell to around their lowest levels in two decades.

List of the largest trading partners of Russia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_largest_trading_partners_of_Russia

Finland is not in the top ten.

So care to explain your reasoning? Or don't. Russia's security concerns supercede a trade balance.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 26 2022 2:51 utc | 194

I live in mexico, and Strategic Culture still doesn't come up, it always 'times out'
and the Russian military site gives me a 403 forbidden when I try to reach it

I can still access RT, but it's format is totally disjointed and weird; nearly unreadable
Sputnik comes up quickly all the time

a significant number of the twitter accounts that I was following 2-3 weeks ago are now Suspended. alas!

the Western info war against any and all alternative sources of news and analysis is in high gear, and I expect it to get worse over the next weeks, assuming we all survive the coming months

Posted by: michaelj72 | Apr 26 2022 2:56 utc | 195

b,
Karlof1,
RSH
and other stars of MoA

I am taken aback by the fact that none of the heavy guns of this enlightened blog has reacted to a game changing intervention by Turkey.

By impeding passage of Russian navy through the Bosphorus straits and by simultaneously cutting access to its airspace, Erdogan is creating problems, heavy ones for the Russian troops and effort in Syria.

Even if Iran will surely permit the use of it's airspace to help the war efforts of Russia RE Syria, there is still the delicate matter of going over Iraq from Iran on the way to Tartus and Damascus.

Let¡'s not forget that the whole of eastern Europe up to Turkey is closed to Russian flights.

Even if Russian flights bypass Turkey they might have to be cautious of Azerbaidjan as Alireev would want the whole of Nagorno Karabach under his rule.

Under the present circumstances, it is truly a logistics nightmare for Russia when supplying goods to its war effort in Syria is concerned.

With Turkeys attitude which risks enflaming Alirev's ambitions as well as effectively favor Israel's attacks on Syria, Iran may well be forced to counter Israel with more forcefulness. The probabilities of the middle East erupting in hot war is increased many times IMO.

Assuredly, Iran's contribution to keeping Russia Fueled and resupplied in Syria will be crucial in these precarious times.

I foresee that the hot conflict will spread as Erdogan wants to battle the Kurds and consolidate his claims on Northern Syria while the cat is busy with other mice and rats.

This will get worse before it gets better.

Posted by: CarlD | Apr 26 2022 3:13 utc | 196

"Scott Ritter believes that Russia will invade Finland if it joins NATO. "

Link?

I would think that by the time the Ukraine cleansing is completed there will be no need for more "Military- Technical" means to get the message across. I gather that simultaneously we will be seeing a tribunal to prosecute CBW weapons treaty violations and that will include Georgia and Poland and perhaps Romania and Moldova. There will be much to behold there.

How many CBW "fort detricks" are there in Finland? I guess none. I do know that Finland is 100 percent dependent on Russian gas and Russia is a fairly patient nation that might prefer to wait for Finland to come to its senses and failing that freeze its rs off. It is a fact that Russia is demonstrating that it means SERIOUS BUSINESS and wont be taken for granted from now on in.

Meanwhile I would urge Scott Ritter to consider the number of "fort detricks" in Georgia and Poland and Romania and perhaps Moldova.

If any barfly hears of Ritter making similar pronouncements do post a link here for our analysis.

Posted by: uncle tungsten | Apr 26 2022 3:13 utc | 197

Look at MSM and it is all about how Ukraine is winning and Russia humiliated. Even Mariupol is a win for Ukraine. There should be a point where this farce falls apart. Maybe not, maybe scriptwriters are all that is needed in modern warfare.

As western Ukraine figures out they will not be left alone should they continue to play games the population will be leaving. We shall create a desert and call it peace.

It's beyond shocking... my YouTube algorithm feeds an endless supply of videos claiming Ukrainian forces are routing the Russians; capturing regiments, shooting down aircraft, destroying armor etc. Then there's the ones claiming 1 A10 would be able to wipe out all the Russian armored forces singlehandedly, the Moskva incident shows how incompetent the Russian military is, and on and on.
The claims are beyond outrageous... worse yet this is the "information" the vast majority of the citizenry receives. The reckless provocations by the US and NATO are extremely risky. Had we had the current crop of fools running the country back during the Cold War, we would all be radioactive dust. The level of irresponsibility is off the charts.

Posted by: tsnamm | Apr 26 2022 3:22 utc | 198

Posted by: Douglas Houck | Apr 26 2022 1:44 utc | 180

The Ukrainians don't believe you.

Yuzivka: Between fake news and truth about Ukraine's gas independence
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-society/3372912-yuzivka-between-fakes-and-the-truth-of-ukraines-gas-independence.html

Neither does the United States...

Putin’s Ukraine Invasion Is About Energy and Natural Resources
https://www.wsj.com/articles/putins-ukraine-invasion-is-an-energy-heist-natural-gas-russia-ukraine-invasion-oil-nato-conflict-11649186174

The Forgotten Potential of Ukraine’s Energy Reserves
https://hir.harvard.edu/ukraine-energy-reserves/

Shell and Chevron pulled out of the big $10 billion deal back in 2010-2014, partly due to Ukrainian tax reasons and partly due to the civil war, and I've also heard that the fracking was likely to not be profitable.

None of that proves that Ukrainian gas in eastern Ukraine isn't on the minds of the people behind this situation. Again, and as usual, it doesn't matter what is the truth - what matters is what people believe is the truth.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 26 2022 3:24 utc | 199

What constitutes desirable policy is decided elsewhere by crazed ideologues.
Posted by: Paul | Apr 26 2022 2:38 utc | 191

Yeah. we had a mad Irishman here once upon time who fought the law and just before the law hung him, he said 'such is life'. I guess the torture dungeons for assange in the US will be much more scientific in their approach. A pity the multitudes that gather in masses for anzac day don't put bullshit into deeds and free assuage.
Assange fought the law and law has won. He is Australian and zombies gather in masses to mourn bygone victims.
Politicians leading the masses, on a day of remembrance for their past victims, like pied piper to the the next slaughter. the children cheer and forget about assange.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 26 2022 3:25 utc | 200

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