Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 28, 2022
Ukraine Open Thread 2022-56

Only news & views related to the Ukraine conflict …

Comments

Latest briefing from Russian MoD Telegram channel…

Briefing by Russian Defence Ministry
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation in Ukraine.
High-precision, long-range air-based weapons of the Russian Aerospace Forces have destroyed the production buildings of the Artyom missile and space enterprise in Kiev.
High-precision long-range sea-based Kalibr missiles have destroyed 3 traction power substations near Fastov, Krasnosyolka and Polonnoe railway hubs.
High-precision air-based missiles of the Russian Aerospace Forces have have hit 10 Ukrainian military assets.
Among them: 9 areas of manpower and military equipment concentration, as well as 1 ammunition depot near Illichovka.
Operational-tactical and army aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces have hit 112 military assets of Ukraine.
These include 2 command posts, 11 strong points, 95 areas of manpower and military equipment concentration, as well as 4 missile and artillery weapons depots in Pokrovskoe and Gorokhovskoe.
Missile troops have hit 13 military assets during the night.
1 Ukrainian Tochka-U missile launcher, from which a strike was launched yesterday against residential areas in Kherson city, has been identified and destroyed near Gorokhovskoe, Nikolaev Region.
In addition, 6 areas of Ukrainian manpower and military equipment concentration and 3 artillery batteries of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and 1 division of the AFU multiple rocket launchers were destroyed.
Artillery units have carried out 975 firing missions during the night.
The neutralised targets are 21 command posts, 69 strong points, 763 areas of manpower and military equipment, and 107 artillery positions.
The attacks have resulted in the elimination of more than 280 nationalists and up to 38 armoured and motor vehicles.

Russian air defence means have shot down 13 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles over Redkodub, Shiykovka, Nevskoe, Malaya Kamyshevakha, Stepnoy Yar, Petrovskoe, Zelenoe Pole, Bukovo, Panteleimonovka, Makeevka, Chernobaevka, including 1 Bayraktar-TB2 at the Russian-Ukrainian border near Novovodyannoe.
Also, 1 Ukrainian Smerch multiple-launch rocket system missile was shot down near Kamenka.
In total, 142 aircraft and 111 helicopters, 634 unmanned aerial vehicles, 278 anti-aircraft missile systems, 2,638 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 304 multiple launch rocket systems, 1,175 field artillery and mortars, as well as 2,467 units of special military vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were destroyed during the operation.
#MoD #Russia #Ukraine #Briefing
@mod_russia_en

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 29 2022 12:26 utc | 301

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 29 2022 12:19 utc | 298

Poland delivered about 200 tanks to Ukraine
Warsaw delivered 200 T-72M1 tanks to Kyiv, which makes it possible to equip 2 tank brigades.

I assume by “delivered” they mean, “moved over the border to a holding area”, and not actually shipped to the frontline in Donbas?

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 29 2022 12:30 utc | 302

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 29 2022 12:30 utc | 301
How about in a ship to Mogadiscio : it’s safer and will pay more!
Somalia will pay with “AID money” from the UN, once all bills paid profits will go to discreet accounts in remote tax heavens …
Meanwhile Russia will oblige by “Kalibrating” some empty storage in Dniepro and claim they have destroyed 200 tanks!
Illegal weapon trade amounts to 10% of world trade in peace time, in war time: sky’s the limit.

Posted by: Greg Galloway | Apr 29 2022 12:36 utc | 303

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 29 2022 10:20 utc | 276

I got:
Error 503 Service Unavailable
Service Unavailable
Odnamrod Meditation:
XID: 3031136099
The origin web server timed out responding to this request

CloudFlare is saying it timed out getting to MOAs web server. Not sure if that timeout was real (only b could say), or malicious.
I’d prepare an alternative to CloudFlare ahead of the day they decide to stop their service:
https://www.nationalreview.com/2022/04/bidens-ministry-of-truth/

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 29 2022 12:37 utc | 304

Posted by: Greg Galloway | Apr 29 2022 12:36 utc | 302

Illegal weapon trade amounts to 10% of world trade in peace time, in war time: sky’s the limit.

Sometimes I sit back and regret my career choices.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 29 2022 12:39 utc | 305

Piotr Berman 281
Please: where do you learn all this tribal history? I haven’t been able to find books describing what happened in those times…

Posted by: Scorpion | Apr 29 2022 12:45 utc | 306

Video: https://t.me/BellumActaNews/76430
Since April 27, 2022, it was reported on Moldovan, Transnistrian and lately on Ukrainian & Russian media channels that the Romanian Armed Forces were transfering military equipment to its Eastern border regions, namely to Moldovan and Ukrainian one, as tensions on its Eastern Neighbors escalate and rumours about a possible Joint Romanian-Ukrainian Intervention on Transnistria enclave spreads

Posted by: Sundial | Apr 29 2022 12:51 utc | 307

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 28 2022 20:34 utc | 157
Lolol! I thoroughly enjoyed that bang on, slamming bit of Irish temper from Clare Daly.
A big thank you to President Putin for the Euro slide this week. A freefall will have the Euro Zone begging for mercy. I’m kind of wishing in that direction.

It is what great societies must do for less fortunate.
Posted by: SailorsWife | Apr 28 2022 23:16 utc | 199

Did you know the U.S. Congress intends to send the bill for all that reconstruction you listed there to Russia’s oligarchs? Not sure if it can be legally justified and feasible, but that’s the plan.
No more foie gras and oysters for them.
Of course, Abramovich is twisting himself into a pretzel to head off that threat by asking bidders for Chelsea FC to contribute an extra $500 million for Ukraine charitable aid.
▪︎▪︎▪︎▪︎▪︎▪︎
Early 3 a.m. Wednesday, Ukraine struck a munitions depot inside Russia, and *elensky’s advisor, Podolyak, stated: Karma is a cruel thing for Russia.
Later, Thursday overnight, Ukraine struck a TV tower in Kherson in an effort to take down Russian channels which was unsuccessful. Service was soon after restored.
Then Kiev military infrastructure was struck by multiple Russian missiles, and Podolyak tweeted: Postcard from Moscow? Recall why 🇷🇺 still takes a seat on the UN Security Council?…bla bla bla.
Silly Podolyak, 🤫 better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak out and remove all doubt. That was no postcard; that was your cruel thing boomeranging back…with a little help from Z.
The SMO is steamrolling through Eastern Ukraine. The EU is scrambling over gas imports with the Euro in decline; the U.S. economy got a reality check yesterday, and the mainstream media is rehashing a tired narrative and out of propaganda talking points. Oh, and one more thing: Putin’s in charge.

Posted by: Circe | Apr 29 2022 12:57 utc | 308

To Anne Brit,
As an R&D, Developmental, Operational Tech Director of these types of platforms- I don’t have the ability to learn much from most videos. Using Design of Experimentation (DOE) technique’s and standard DOD best test practices is where I worked.
UAV/Drones not really going to be effective against Russian Forces due to the integration of Air Defenses with Electronic Warfare units and Electronic Attack transmitters. Small scissors type Drone bombs can work but unless they are programmable, their range is limited by the return video feed. This feed is detectable and easy to locate using simple triangulation or, better yet, TDOA. Russians “invented” the TDOA math! This is my take so far on UAV use by Ukes. RF has a much better and more effective use of the UAV platforms in their TO&E due to compete OA air superiority.
Dog

Posted by: Mad Dog | Apr 29 2022 13:00 utc | 309

According to reports in telegram:
Vladimir Zelensky, his wife and children, received British citizenship. Zelensky’s parents categorically refused to obtain [British] citizenship.
Also, by the decision of the British government, citizenship was granted to Andriy Yermak and his family members, Mikhail Podolyak and his family members.
A number of employees of the General Staff of Ukraine and the SBU are also in the process of obtaining British citizenship.

Posted by: alaff | Apr 29 2022 13:01 utc | 310

I have a feeling Nato is preparing for some sort of offensive, with training exercises in several countries and the UK sending 8,000 troops tanks and heavy artillery to Germany.
“British troops are getting ready for one of their largest deployments in Europe since the cold war, the Defence Ministry (MoD) has said.
Thousands of UK soldiers are going to be sent to countries ranging from North Macedonia to Finland in the coming months to take part in joint drills with their counterparts from NATO, Finland, and Sweden.
It’s expected that the deployment is going to peak at some 8,000 troops between April and June. Dozens of British tanks and more than a hundred armored vehicles will also arrive in Europe this summer.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 13:14 utc | 311

Posted by: Cthulhu | Apr 28 2022 17:11 utc | 96
The US has almost total control of this war, including the use of nukes. Russia has control of their actions in the war but the US controls what weapons go into Ukraine, political support for Ukraine, and all the financial sanctions. Russia’s actions are basically a reaction to what the US does, including the start of the war. The US could easily cool off the war or even stop it in a heartbeat. Or they could expand it to total nuclear WWIII. There’s nothing out of control about this war and there will be no nukes without the US willing it. The US is a grand-master puppeteer in this.

Posted by: ACPAL | Apr 29 2022 13:17 utc | 312

I’d say the same missiles were fired close to where UNSG Antonio Guterres was visiting in Kiev, Guterres is of course a Bilderberger and a member of Club Madrid. The UK (radio news) has said its sending war crimes investigators to Ukraine to help their Ukrainian counterparts log so called Russian war crimes.
“Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed on Thursday that Ukrainian forces fired more than a dozen missiles overnight at the city of Kherson in southern Ukraine, which was seized by Russian troops in early March. The ministry said in a statement that Russian air defenses intercepted the rockets.
According to Moscow, late on Wednesday the Ukrainian military launched at least two ‘Tochka-U’ ballistic missiles as well as 12 missiles from a high-powered multiple rocket launcher, apparently targeting residential areas of Kherson. The incoming rockets were, however, shot down by the Russian forces deployed in the city. A video released by the Russian Defense Ministry appears to show the aftermath of the shelling, with what looks like missile debris seen in the footage.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 13:18 utc | 313

I now know the Big Picture. This New Cold War cannot end except in nuclear war or the economic collapse of one of the 2 sides.
There can’t be anything else because the West is ruled by a greedy, narcissistic elite. They will not suffer the job loss or inflationary harm of a prolonged financial war. Their sons and daughters will not go to fight. Indeed, they probably hope to profit from it all.
More than that, the West is ruled by political mobs – as shown by Yellen’s remarks to slow down the oil embargo talk. The EU can’t stop or learn humility.
This is “prepper” time. I predict the West will goad a somewhat reluctant China into attacking Taiwan and sanctions war within two years. The dollar will soar, the yen will crash, then the euro. Finally, the US will lose dollar hegemony after giving the false impression of strength.
China’s harsh lockdowns are good practice for the sacrifice they will need to emerge in triumph. And Russia will suffer but can’t be defeated because it is too autarchic.

Posted by: Eighthman | Apr 29 2022 13:23 utc | 314

The Swedish government will not give their citizens a referendum vote on joining Nato, the government will decide. That is of course very undemocratic, I’m confident that there’s many citizens in Nato countries that would vote against remaining in the bully boy warhawk club.
Sweden does not plan to hold a referendum on the subject of NATO membership if its parliament approves of the measure, Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson announced on Thursday, suggesting that putting the matter to a vote would be a “bad idea”.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 13:26 utc | 315

First German companies are closing due to high energy prices. The company the newspaper piece is about is a mineral water producer in Baruth / Brandeburg. 225 ppl are losing their jobs. Local politcians are shocked and demand help from the govt.
https://twitter.com/sven_henschel/status/1519996620548546563/photo/1

Posted by: Arne Hartmann | Apr 29 2022 13:29 utc | 316

Sweden has maintained neutrality so that they can sell their weapons to both sides in a conflict. They would continue on this course if there were a market in china or russia.

Posted by: Platero | Apr 29 2022 13:29 utc | 317

Bloomberg is reporting that Russia has made their bond payment in usd.

Posted by: Platero | Apr 29 2022 13:30 utc | 318

So the two UK men that were arrested in Ukraine worked for, the Presidium Network, it is a UK non-profit CIC that operate tirelessly behind the scenes to help those currently embroiled in a humanitarian crisis.
It more than likely that they are British state actors blending into a NGO that has access to Ukraine, this is the most common way in which a country can be infiltrated by spies, the UK has used BP oil for years to get MI6 and other state actors and spies into countries, the Russian forces were smart enough to arrest these two guys before they could carry out whatever they were sent to carry out.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 13:42 utc | 319

The Polish government seizes Russian gas companies infrastructure in the country, and hands it over to Polish state gas suppliers.
“Warsaw has obliged the Polish subsidiary of the Russian energy giant Novatek to transfer its gas infrastructure to the nation’s state companies, Government Spokesperson Piotr Müller said on Friday. Novatek, which is on Poland’s sanctions list, on Thursday stopped gas supplies to some of the country’s regions.
“Today Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki requested state companies PGNiG, PSG and Gaz-System to immediately supply gas to grids formally owned by Novatek, on the basis of the crisis management law,” Müller said.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 13:46 utc | 320

From the Saker.
“Russia is likely to formally recognize Ukraine as a terrorist state The assassination attempts on Russian state media figures, which the FSB links to Ukraine’s SBU, and the attacks in Moldova’s breakaway Transnistria region are the pretexts for this move.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 14:02 utc | 321

Russia Rejects German Gas Payment From Seized Trading Unit
Russia’s major gas bank rejected a payment from a trading firm that Germany seized from Moscow’s control, the first sign of friction following the take-over amid a broader regional energy dispute.
Gazprombank declined payment for some April and May gas deliveries to Germany and Austria under contract with Gazprom Marketing & Trading Ltd., even as the company sought to pay for the fuel using a rubles account as Russia has demanded, according to people familiar with the matter.
GM&T was previously under the direction of Russian-state gas producer Gazprom PJSC’s German subsidiary. Germany took over the unit earlier this month to secure the country’s gas supplies, and it now risks being shunned under its new ownership.

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/russia-rejects-german-gas-payment-143628924.html

Posted by: Sundial | Apr 29 2022 14:02 utc | 322

Also Zelensky and his wife and children have been given British citizenship.
“Citizenship was also granted to the head of the office of the President of Ukraine Andriy Yermak and his family members, as well as Zelensky’s adviser Mikhail Podolyak and his family members. A number of employees of the General Staff of Ukraine and the SBU are in the process of receiving their British citizenships as well”.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 14:06 utc | 323

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 13:42 utc | 318
If it is a Non-Profit why is it registered as a Company to a terraced house in Stroud worth £346,000 and only started up in Nov 2021 with one Director being Danish ? Normally a cHarity is a charity

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Apr 29 2022 14:10 utc | 324

…from RT
Intelligence obtained by Russia suggests that Poland and the US are working on a plan for Warsaw to regain control of Ukrainian areas that Warsaw considers as “historically belonging” to it, Moscow’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) chief Sergey Naryshkin has said. . .here

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 29 2022 14:13 utc | 325

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 14:06 utc | 322
Can you provide a link, or a link to some confirmation of this claim? Thanks.

Posted by: WJ | Apr 29 2022 14:13 utc | 326

Posted by: ACPAL | Apr 29 2022 13:17 utc | 311
We were told Afghanistan was responsible for the destruction of WTC in New York and the USA set out to invade in 2001 in “Enduring Freedom” whereby the USA controlled Afghanistan for 21 years – it controlled armaments into the country and heroin out of the country –
The Great United States Imperial Army controlled Afghanistan together with the Imperial US Air Force and the Foreign Legionnaires of the American Empire…….
and today Taliban runs matters in Kabul

Posted by: Paul Greenwood | Apr 29 2022 14:15 utc | 327

Paul Greenwood (323).
Yeah I’ve been looking for info on it, here’s the trio that front it.
http://presidiumnetwork.com/

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 14:16 utc | 328


The US has almost total control of this war … The US is a grand-master puppeteer in this.
Posted by: ACPAL | Apr 29 2022 13:17 utc | 311

Azovstal

Posted by: anon2020 | Apr 29 2022 14:18 utc | 329

WJ (325).
Its from the Saker’s blog (SITREP : Operation Z). I don’t think a Saker link appears on here when you post it, so go the site and click on the Sitrep link, there you will find the info.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 14:19 utc | 330

This could well be a false flag, or the Ukrainians did it, Radio Liberty is a CIA funded outlet.
“Vera Girich, who was working at the time as a journalist and producer for Radio Liberty, is the latest journalist to have died in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Vera Girich, a former employee of the Israeli embassy in Ukraine, was killed Thursday as a result of a Russian shelling in central Kyiv, Israeli Ambassador to Ukraine Michael Brodsky announced via Twitter.”
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-705472

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 14:35 utc | 331

Posted by: Cthulhu | Apr 29 2022 4:07 utc | 251
Very insightful — from your keyboard to Putin’s ears!

Posted by: Doug Hillman | Apr 29 2022 14:38 utc | 332

The Polish army having exercises in North-Eastern Poland means that they are close to the border of Kaliningrad, would they really be crazy enough to attack actual Russian territory? Article 5 does not apply if a nation is carrying out a war of aggression against another sovereign nation. The move of the Belarus army to the Polish border makes sense, because if the Poles went into Kaliningrad it would be like the British Expeditionary Force moving into Belgium and then being cut off by the German drive to the sea from the Ardennes. A drive from Belarus to the sea (Gdansk?) would cut off the Polish forces. Are the Poles really that crazy?
Only slightly less crazy is any Polish move into Western Ukraine, as the Banderite Lviv region would just see them as another bunch of invaders. They have a history of killing Poles, which would certainly mess with the Western narrative of “plucky Ukrainians”. Also, no article 5 protection for the Polish forces, Russian artillery, missile and air power could go to town on them. I would also assume that any Polish attack would be met by an immediate reduction in Russian gas supplies to any nation reselling to Poland.
Then we have Transnistria, which again would remove article 5 for any Romanian or Bulgarian forces involved (Moldavia isn’t even in NATO) and would focus Russian forces on a full takeover of the South. Lets remember how much Russia is holding back, according to Amarynth at the Saker:
“So far the Russian Army has used for its special military operation in #Ukraine:
12% of its soldiers (total includes trained draftees)
10% of its fighter jets
7% of its tanks
5% of its missiles
4% of its artillery
And keeps advancing on a daily basis.”
The ruble is now at 71 to the US dollar, every day the Ruble strengthens must feel like a poke in the eye for the neocons. The contraction of the US economy in the first quarter certainly can’t help, and the US stock market is looking ripe for a serious drop. Even Amazon had an earnings miss and is down over 10%. Looks like all of the gains out of the March 2020 rally are being given back for the tech stocks.

Posted by: Roger | Apr 29 2022 14:40 utc | 333

@ my 324
More on Poland/Galicia from Doctorow
“According to SVR, Poland is coordinating this issue with the United States. The idea is to establish military and political control by Warsaw over the “its historic territories” which today fall within the boundaries of Ukraine. Poland would introduce its troops into the Western regions of the country under cover of a mission to “protect the territory from Russian aggression.” . . .However, none of the foregoing takes into account the military powerhouse that Russia is today. We may take the possibility of a Polish move of its forces into the Western Ukraine as the kind of intervention that Vladimir Putin had in mind when he said yesterday to legislators gathered in St Petersburg that it would provoke a lightning fast counter blow by Russia.”. . here

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 29 2022 14:45 utc | 334

Israeli authorities telling its citizens to get out of Transnistria as soon as possible, will attacks on Transnistria escalate.
https://twitter.com/AZmilitary1/status/1519788540128808971

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 14:58 utc | 335

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Apr 29 2022 13:46 utc | 319
Posted by: Sundial | Apr 29 2022 14:02 utc | 321
I’m dead, as the Z-ppl say.
BWAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHA
“Russian blackmail” or “Energy independence”? You be the judge.

Posted by: sln2002 | Apr 29 2022 15:01 utc | 336

Paul Greenwood, Republicofscotland
I clicked on the link @327, then tried to do a google search on Founding Partner Kristina Touvenis. She is a complete ghost. No internet presence at all except for that at your link. There seem to be no persons on the planet named Touvenis. Closest are genealogical links to French historical persons named Touveni or Touvenin.
Sloppy tradecraft. I expect better for my tax dollar.

Posted by: oldhippie | Apr 29 2022 15:06 utc | 337

Biden tried to implement aid and recovery programs for Americans worth three times as much as that sum but was blocked by the Republican party and two of his own two renegade Senators, Manchin and Sinema.
Posted by: Malchik Ralf | Apr 29 2022 10:01 utc | 271
____
Democracy ain’t broke, it’s fixed.
As with Obama’s perceived “failures”, votes are fixed back-room around true policy intent. Blocking votes are all scripted for democracy theater. Or am I too cynical?
Paraphrasing Lily Tomlin(?) re politics: “No matter how cynical I get, I’m not cynical enough.”

Posted by: Doug Hillman | Apr 29 2022 15:09 utc | 338

Oldhippie;
These people all have relevant LinkedIn profiles linked to on their website.
Usual “consulting” type bios. You can read behind some lines.

Posted by: moaobserver | Apr 29 2022 15:11 utc | 339

Today, three more new traction substations on Ukrainian railways were hit by missile strikes: in the area of ​​​​Fastov, Krasnoselka and Polonnoe stations.
https://t.me/intelslava/27259
The Map is possibly quite telling about Russian future intentions imo,(Rump Ukraine) although Russia could still use Diesel locomotives if it intends full occupation of Ukraine as it moves west and north from the Dombass.Who knows really.

Posted by: Kim | Apr 29 2022 15:12 utc | 340

Posted by: Scorpion | Apr 29 2022 12:45 utc | 305
I’m not Piotr but here’s a black hole of info on Ukraine that I’ve used (and got lost for hours:).
Internet Encyclopedia of Ukraine
For example, click on Index Search and and type in Rus, or Russia, or Don, etc. Good luck!

Posted by: waynorinorway | Apr 29 2022 15:29 utc | 341

If the Russian MoD has assumed this war will be over in three months, then Russia will lose. As simple as that.
Again, the key, the reverse side of having production stamina, is stamina in keeping up an offense. This, the way this war is being fought, translates to missile strikes against Ukr assets and infrastructure. If Russia has to expand its offense against, to start out with, Romania and Poland, they either have to up maintain the rate of offense but over a much greater area of targets (hence much greater missile expenditure), or lower their offense to stay within a missile expenditure budget. If they can sustain their missile expenditure and also increase their attack area, the NATO/Ukr/U$A will run out first and either have to go nuclear or sue for peace.
The next month will be scarey interesting.
As for Ukr attacks on Russia, this is the “Bomber Harris” play – the German Luftwaffe had the RAF on the ropes hitting their airfields, and Bomber Harris turned it all around by bombing Berlin, tricking the arrogant Goering and Nazi leadership to change a winning gameplan for one that just “felt good” in providing revenge against German victims of the bombing…
The Ukrs (no doubt counseled by UK) are trying to make the Russians lose their concentration…

Posted by: Simplicius | Apr 29 2022 16:58 utc | 342

The US has almost total control of this war … The US is a grand-master puppeteer in this.
Posted by: ACPAL | Apr 29 2022 13:17 utc | 311
Azovstal
Posted by: anon2020 | Apr 29 2022 14:18 utc | 331
Kazakhstan

Posted by: AParadiseLost | Apr 29 2022 17:02 utc | 343

karlof1 @172, Doug Hillman @210, Richard Steven Hack @178
RSH, it is true that NATO isn’t what it used to be. Still, a bum-rush by a million psycho fluorescent-haired shrieking bearded ladies is nothing to laugh at regardless of how comical it would appear to be.
“Russia can decapitate NATO in a few days.”
The operative word here is “can”. The way Russia launched the SMO is encouraging, and the argument that Russia has no reason to pull their punches when the fight extends beyond their “family” in the Ukraine is a good argument, I still want to see those gloves come off before I will believe it. The liberals in Russia worshiped the West and hitting their former heroes hard will pain them.
The issue here is that if Russia still refuses to use nukes then the Empire of Stupidity will continue to believe the Russians don’t have what it takes to escalate that far, which would in turn mean that the Empire retains nuclear escalation dominance. The Russians are just not “man enough” as the psycho war pigs would say.
I hope that you are correct RSH, but I know that a demonstration will be required before the Empire of Delusion will be deterred by Russia’s nuclear deterrence.
karlof1, I’ve not been to Russia and I cannot read or otherwise understand Russian, so it is quite true that my knowledge of the details of the steps the current administration in Moscow have taken to prepare for war are limited to what I can piece together from incomplete sources. One of those sources that was somewhat revealing, though, is this article from John Helmer: “Last week the Duma began reviewing two new laws to decide whether the war economy will run on state planned lines, starting with the nationalization of the assets in Russia of all companies belonging to the hostile axis…”
If the Duma is debating starting state planning of the war economy, then that certainly seems to imply that they have not yet started such planning. Helmer then quotes Putin stating “…we are also aware that the most correct decision in the emerging situation is to debureaucratise the economy…”. It could be that my interpretation is flawed or the translation is munged, but “debureaucratisation” sounds a whole lot like “deregulation” which is in turn pretty much the opposite of state planning.
It needs to be remembered that it was the Communist Party; the real opposition in Russia, that introduced the bill to recognize the independence of the People’s Republics from the Ukraine. That move did not arise from the leadership of Putin or the party he is associated with. More important in my opinion is Helmer informs that the Crimean parliament, with the backing of the Communist opposition, has submitted a bill to nationalize assets needed by the federation with the control over those seized assets devolving to the various parliaments across the Russian Federation. Again, that such a bill is being proposed strongly suggests that this isn’t current policy. Why propose a new law if what is required by the new law is already current policy?
Doug Hillman, I recall immediately rejecting the claims America was making about Iraq’s WMD programs to justify war all those years ago based upon the simple fact that no country can have a secret military industry that is greater than that country’s aggregate industrial capacity. You simply cannot hide the supply chains and human resource development/education systems needed to produce technically complex products of any sort, military or otherwise. You can get a rough idea of a country’s military production capabilities by looking at their steel, motor vehicle, ship, and aircraft production capabilities. While Russia ranks at a decent level in all of these categories, it is by no means a monster in any of them. The supply chains for these industries pretty much define the limits for what Russia can produce, and you cannot rapidly grow those supply chains without aggressive state intervention and planning. “The Market™” [Hallowed be Its name] cannot accomplish that rapid development of supply chains, and Putin is definitely a fan of “The Market™” [Hallowed be Its name].

Posted by: William Gruff | Apr 29 2022 17:04 utc | 344

Posted by: Mongo | Apr 28 2022 22:41 utc | 189
A firm that manufactures cruise missiles recently took on 500 additional staff and they have been working round the clock to churn out the missiles (3 shifts). Who knows what else has been ramped up.
———
Exactly,I am no rocket scientist,but it is pretty easy to see,what Russia decided since Ukraine,Crimea 2014.
That,was to invest in cutting edge Military technology for all Military forces,to provide them a Superior edge,and to be prepared for a direct conflict with the West which they knew was coming.This program is ongoing with many more developments soon to be revealed,produced and put into service.
Russia, when it invaded Ukraine knew full well it would potentially have to deal with Nato in the West and have the Ammunition,Weapons and forces to do just that.
It was the West that was unprepared and has already scored “multiple own goals”.

Posted by: Kim | Apr 29 2022 17:18 utc | 345

I feel you went a little hard on Altai though.
Posted by: Boomhauer | Apr 29 2022 0:48 utc | 230
I’m an “earnest noob” here, with no business going “a little hard” on anyone. I try to avoid that “t” word entirely, as it’s often deployed to silence dissent. So I apologize to Altai (I really do) if I appeared to fling that accusation. My wording was too careless (and nobody’s perfect).
Sometimes an irritated oyster produces a pearl. I’m glad Henryk Gorecki’s name came up — his Symphony #3 is practically a canticle on anguishes of war. At some point, healing might become possible, via epic masterpieces of empathy such as Gorecki’s #3.
Wendell Berry is uniquely attached to the place he lives, for a white US American. Hardly anyone else writes about simply staying put and appreciating where you’re planted. Where I live, the original inhabitants — the indigenes — are called Ohlone. An Ohlone elder once told me that Indians are puzzled about how Europeans could stand to leave their homes. This tangent has strayed too far — I’m just attempting to hold firm to this fervent prayer: I love my home — irrationally, unconditionally; Other folks feel the same about their own place on Earth; It’s possible to imagine understanding arising, if there’s any future for the human species.

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Apr 29 2022 17:25 utc | 346

Wiliam Gruff @346–
Glad I revisited this thread. Thanks for your reply. IMO, we’re both on the right track. Yes, United Russia has driven most legislation, while Russia’s Communist Party has provided additional input of a more Nationalist nature. Voting indicates that both parties are aligned on most issues, while debates/discussions are of a better quality than those performed by the Empire’s Duopoly.
The nature of the Outlaw US Empire’s war against Russia so far is hybrid and mostly financial, so Russia has instituted means to fend off those attacks, with which it’s had excellent results. The situation is now changing from hybrid to kinetic. Unfortunately, none of us know the extent of Russia’s plans for the securing of its security minimums, nor do we know the extent of Russia’s preparedness. Given Russia’s reputation, one would expect that the aims and abilities match or favor the latter; but again, we don’t know. The Communist Party’s suggestion that the economy be placed onto a war footing implies an expectation of a long campaign of the sort I’ve mooted involving the liberation of Europe from the NATO/EU/Neoliberal yoke. If that’s the case, then where are the indicators of such a policy? Has the draft been expanded? But Putin ordered no conscripts be used outside Russian territory.
I recall words from Putin saying that both Russia and the Outlaw US Empire are fighting to the last Ukrainian, which at the time I chalked up to a machine translation error. However, Putin’s words might have signified something altogether different that’s akin to the Tar Baby–induce NATO to pour most of its resources into Ukraine so they get destroyed, thus rendering NATO incapable of self-defense, which will make negotiating Russia’s security needs far easier.
All we can do is observe as intently as possible. We know that a new international financial order will be announced sometime this year thus spelling the end of Dollar Hegemony, which will be the Global South’s version of a nuclear attack on the Outlaw US Empire.

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 29 2022 18:09 utc | 347

re: karlof1 | Apr 29 2022 18:09 utc | 349
What has been the situation in the SMO with regard to the use of conscripts in the Russian military? I have yet to read a clear and authoritive report about this.

Posted by: tucenz | Apr 29 2022 20:04 utc | 348

General Austin, speaking today, said “And today, we’re grateful for Canada’s resolute support of the Ukrainian people after Russia’s reckless and lawless invasion.”
But he did not bother to identify which “Ukrainian people” he was talking about — nazi Ukrainian people or the victims of the nazi Ukrainian people.

Posted by: AntiSpin | Apr 29 2022 20:27 utc | 349

Sometimes I sit back and regret my career choices.
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 29 2022 12:39 utc | 307

____
Right! Oh, to be a murderous criminal oligarch — the essence of life in all its abundance.

Posted by: Doug Hillman | Apr 29 2022 21:16 utc | 350

Posted by: tucenz | Apr 29 2022 20:04 utc | 350
My understanding is that Russian law prohibits using conscripts outside the country, or even sending them into battle. They are “RAMF” (Rear Area Mother Fuckers) in US Army lingo. However, some conscripts did make it into Ukraine, and when some were captured, the rest were pulled out, and a criminal investigation instigated to find out how this happened.
See here:
The Best or Worst of Both Worlds?
Russia’s Mixed Military Manpower System
https://www.csis.org/blogs/post-soviet-post/best-or-worst-both-worlds
Russian Defense Ministry Confirms Presence Of Conscripts In Ukraine War For First Time
https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-consripts-ukraine-confirmed/31744964.html

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 29 2022 21:31 utc | 351

Posted by: Doug Hillman | Apr 29 2022 21:16 utc | 352

Right! Oh, to be a murderous criminal oligarch — the essence of life in all its abundance.

Oh calm down, you old drama queen. I said “sometimes” not always.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 30 2022 4:59 utc | 352

Posted by: Simplicius | Apr 29 2022 16:58 utc | 344

If the Russian MoD has assumed this war will be over in three months, then Russia will lose. As simple as that.

My estimate is that this war will indeed be over within the *next three months*. I don’t see the AFU surviving in any significant form beyond the end of May.
(what comes after is of course just general terrorism and occasional security incidents)
Of course, this precludes the following:
a) A sudden pause in the fighting due to *serious* peace negotiations, i.e, something is offered to the Russians which incentivizes them to ceasefire.
b) A massive intervention by NATO or the USA.
c) A massive, sustained attack on core Russian infrastructure which impacts essential civilian services and causes an existential crisis.
Outside of those three, at the current rate of destruction, there will be no Ukrainian armed forces in existence within 3 months from now.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 30 2022 5:07 utc | 353

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 29 2022 21:31 utc | 353

However, some conscripts did make it into Ukraine, and when some were captured, the rest were pulled out

I suspect a lot of these would have been young men itching to get to the front who sneaked themselves in, as has often been the case in previous conflicts (lying about age and fitness, etc …)

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 30 2022 5:19 utc | 354

Col. Richard Black: U.S. Leading World to Nuclear War
Posted by: Sundial | Apr 29 2022 11:17 utc | 288
Deeply informed person clearly qualified to discuss.
Unfortunately conducted by a Larouche outlet, so difficult to forward.

Posted by: daffyDuct | Apr 30 2022 15:53 utc | 355

In regards to the nuclear weapon angle, I would like this intelligent group to consider the possibility that nuclear weapons do not function.
Growing up pretty much all of my knowledge about them came from the movies and books. I almost thought I could build one if I had all the right materials. I’ve never seen one explode though. Has anyone?
It’s just a giant scam. One of the biggest and best kept secrets. Billions were stolen. Even today they’re at it again retouching all the “footage” and making it HD.
With the kind of funding there was, don’t you think it’s possible that one could get enough TNT laced with radioactive dust on some remote atoll in the Pacific, blow it up, and film it from all angles? Just calibrating the instruments right?

Posted by: John | May 1 2022 3:27 utc | 356