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April 10, 2022

The MoA Week In Review - NOT Ukraine OT 2022-43

Last week's posts at Moon of Alabama:

Interesting summery ...

... and a few corrections to it by Agitpapa:

1-This Swiss ex-gen staff colonel's Ukraine analysis has a lot of inaccuracies and speculation, as well as some interesting points. In 2014-17, the CIA/nazi Maidan coup regime's 1st attempt to exterminate Russian speakers in Donbass ended in a crushing ...

---
Other issues:

Europe's demise:

The JCPOA Nuclear Agreement is dead:

Use as open NOT Ukraine thread ...

Posted by b on April 10, 2022 at 13:25 UTC | Permalink

Comments
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Curious to hear people’s speculation - what was the point of publishing that article in nbc saying the gov’t often publish low-confidence intelligence? Caitlin Johnstone speculates it’s to get people used to being lied to, to give the true believers a reason to accept it. Other thoughts?

Posted by: Hickory | Apr 10 2022 13:54 utc | 1

Yes, Pepe Escobar is right the EU is committing suicide. But the struggle of the EU-Elite is existential: Their Colonial Hegemony is fatally endangered.

For this reason the US, UK and EU, the West, had their Sanctions Package from Hell ready for a long time. Prepared and coordinated very, very well. That should be clear to anybody by now, as Hudson noted.

To make these Sanctions from Hell possible, the West has done everything in its power to provoke military action by Russia in the Ukraine: Blocking of the Minsk Accords; Bio-Warfare Labs; Eight year long shelling of the Donbass resulting in around 13,000 civilian casualties; Extremely violent Neo-Nazi groups integrated in the Military Structure of the Ukraine Military, eight years long trained by Western instructors in coordination with NATO; Prospect of Hypersonic Missiles in South Ukraine; The US' preparation with Ukraine in Ukraine acquiring its own Nuclear Weapons.

Indeed, this diabolical plan succeeded by rejecting the security structure proposed by Russia in December 2021. So Russia began its military action in Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Many times correctly predicted by the US administration and President Joe Biden, only not by date and time.

For the US and UK, followed slavishly by the equally immoral EU, this unavoidable trap offers the ultimate opportunity to put Russia and its leaders into economic and "moral" obscurity and, if possible, eliminate it as a state. A goal that the US and the UK have still failed to achieve in the 20th century, despite all the attempts to do so, and all the fake narratives.

The West will fail in its intent this time as well. Russia is very well prepared and has many very unpleasant economic surprises up its sleeve for these "Unfriendly States", already expressed by others. Russia will patiently implement these at the moment it suits Russia towards its strategic goal. If necessary with military support to destroy any future Nuclear Missiles in Poland, Romania and other nearby countries.
Moreover, Africa, Asia and Latin America are not following slavishly their former cruel colonial masters. Another very important fact.

To be clear, the US, UK and the EU are powers of the Past, still obsessed by their colonial mindset. Thus predisposed to inflict terror on the achievement of its hegemonic pursuit at the cost of immeasurable suffering of civilians. Just look at their former slavery and colonial habits, now dressed in a different guise.

So the future does not lie in the Immoral West, but in a Moral East and South, with Russia as one of the leading pioneers, alongside India, China, and others. A challenge for sure, also regarding creating and upholding a well thought out moral fabric.

Posted by: Ton | Apr 10 2022 13:58 utc | 2

It's the "not wittingly" excuse. Or alternately "I had my fingers crossed". The reasoning is to declare that it is for information warfare (fancy way of saying lying our asses off) that justifies compromising truth.

Posted by: YY | Apr 10 2022 14:01 utc | 3

The JCPOA Nuclear Agreement is dead
Hurrah for that. Iran has been sanctioned for forty years and can deal with it, and the oil payments are going off the dollar. It's plain wrong to violate the UN Charter by stealing a country's sovereignty just because Washington doesn't like a country which doesn't follow US orders..

Also the charge that Iran is "the world's greatest state supporter of terrorism" is a bad joke, because being pro-Palestine is not terrorism. . . from the link: . . .Asked during an interview with NBC News whether the IRGC is a terrorist organization, Blinken answered, “So, they are.” But of course the 'journalist' would not ask: What makes it a terrorist organization? No Iranian has ever been charged by a US agency for terrorism. It's a fabricated bullshit charge. Iran is using this issue to prevent the JCPOA -- good for them. It would be torn up anyhow by a new Repub administration. It was not a treaty, it was an agreement which requires. . . agreement!

Iran has begun the process for full SCO membership. and it'll be a new world with the Eurasian alignments plus BRACS sinking the West.

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 10 2022 14:20 utc | 4

Hickory @ 1 - I'd speculate that the admission of lies, which most of us have already identified as such, is to suggest that lying is better than admitting to 'faulty intelligence' which was the cause (cough-cough) of 911 and the illegal invasion of Iraq etc.

Better to admit mendacity than incompetence.

Posted by: gottlieb | Apr 10 2022 14:23 utc | 5

The only two countries with US military bases on their territory that did not vote to expel Russia from the UN Human Rights council are Cuba and Syria.

Posted by: Passerby | Apr 10 2022 14:26 utc | 6

Don Bacon@4

It's almost as if US President's get a massive reward for forcing Iran, China and Russia into an unbreakable alliance.
Normal diplomacy would have seized the opportunity to re-establish good relations with Iran, try to put wedges between her, Russia and China and influence Iran (not to mention Iraq's) oil supplies.
But not the Gang that Couldn't Think Straight in DC- oh no.
Maybe they are going with the "If only all my enemies had one neck" strategy?
You are right. I guess Hubris is a terminal disease.

Posted by: bevin | Apr 10 2022 14:42 utc | 7

Azovstal will be the name of a computer game. A hopeless military mission to hold a doom like fortress against three approaching armies, dpr rf and the chechens. Mission is to evacuate the leadership before everything collapses. Almost impossible to achieve. It includes a 3d shooter and a diplomatic tool. I checked it, at least in germany the trademark is still free.
Maybe not attractive because the name is easy to spoof by calling it Azovstal ingrad. But the fact is, we really got the european version of caliphate. Made for recruiting fascist idealistic youth of a continent to go to fight. Was just right in time to stop this growing. Russia perhaps only force capable onto handle it.

Posted by: rico rose | Apr 10 2022 14:49 utc | 8

I agree with Jacques Baud on the vast majority of points, although it does not include the latest developments. At
krass-und-konkret.de/politik-wirtschaft/die-militaerische-lage-in-der-ukraine/
you can find a German translation of the original French text.

Posted by: Pnyx | Apr 10 2022 14:49 utc | 9

NOAA's record of atmospheric methane for 2021 was just published. Any of the charts on their page for tracking global methane (CH4) are enough to clue you in: something very serious is going on here on planet Earth.

https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends_ch4/

Consider their chart "Annual Global Increase of CH4". 2021's record increase of +17 ppb follows 2020's previous record +15. Their "Global Monthly Mean CH4" near the top of the page clearly shows a rate of growth steeper than any time since recordkeeping began in 1984. The Global Warming Potential of CH4 is around 85 times that of CO2, on a 20-year timescale. At the current rate, CH4 is the most rapidly-increasing of the big three GHG's (CO2, CH4, N2O).

I've investing some effort, attempting to track down explanations for what's going on. First off, hardly anyone is even noticing this new phase for atmospheric CH4, much less attempting to explain it. Isotopic analyses I've seen, so far, conclude by mainly implicating swamplands, mainly tropical. But that doesn't cut the mustard for me, as an explanation, because of the unprecedented nature of the abrupt increase we're witnessing.

Thawing permafrost is the obvious suspect. Katy Walter-Anthony has done some of the best work on precisely how brand-new thermokarst lakes get going. The point, I guess, is these numbers could indicate a global methane seep from permafrost -- a more or less permanent seep, until all the permafrost is gone, regardless of whether human emission continue as usual or cease entirely. Two years of this is nearly sufficient. Three years in a row, of CH4 increasing more than 15 ppb, would statistically confirm our global methane emergency, whatever its source.

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Apr 10 2022 15:26 utc | 10

@Aleph_Null | Apr 10 2022 15:26 utc | 11

Look to the North Slope in Alaska and the Conoco-Philips operations there. Last month there was an "incident" worth noting....

Gas leak spurs evacuation at ConocoPhillips field in Alaska’s Arctic
Residents in the nearby Inupiat village of Nuiqsut have reported smelling the gas since Friday.

https://www.arctictoday.com/gas-leak-spurs-evacuation-at-conocophillips-field-in-alaskas-arctic/#:~:text=Residents%20in%20the%20nearby%20Inupiat,smelling%20the%20gas%20since%20Friday.&text=ANCHORAGE%20%E2%80%94%20A%20days%2Dlong%20natural,the%20gas%20was%20still%20leaking.

ANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - ConocoPhillips Alaska is estimating the leak at their Alpine site on the North Slope that started over a month ago has released 7.2 million cubic feet of natural gas.

The leak was first observed on March 4, at the CD1 drill site of the Alpine Central Facility on the North Slope, which is operated by ConocoPhillips Alaska. The natural gas was observed releasing from the ground at a well house at the drill site.

“Natural gas releases occurred at 7 wells on CD1 drillsite and through cracks on the pad near Doyon Rig 142,” an updated situation report from the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission.

The estimated size of the leak had been unknown until recently, but according to the situation report, ConocoPhillips disclosed that 7.2 million cubic feet of gas had been released in an April 1 letter to the commission.


https://www.alaskasnewssource.com/2022/04/07/conocophillips-alaska-is-estimating-72m-cubic-feet-gas-released-alpine-leak/#:~:text=The%20leak%20was%20first%20observed,house%20at%20the%20drill%20site.

Posted by: majoab | Apr 10 2022 16:15 utc | 11

Ton @ 2; IMO, absolutely spot on Ton. Nice finish.

"So the future does not lie in the Immoral West, but in a Moral East and South, with Russia as one of the leading pioneers, alongside India, China, and others. A challenge for sure, also regarding creating and upholding a well thought out moral fabric."

Posted by: vetinLA | Apr 10 2022 16:23 utc | 12

Yes JCOPA is dead, with two important news from Iran today. 1st Iranian government sanctioning new number of American for terrorist activity and secondly even on Palestinian and Yemen issues and secondly 250 members of parliament sent a letter to president with 8 points reminding him reinstatement of JCPOA will require a strong US guarantee such as congressional approval and also removal of trigger mechanism. In separate interview with FM he says all Iranians points have been agreed to by China and Russia. As Gordon Brown told CNN today the world is divided between to camps one is for good prosperity etc. and one that is by evil war mongers. To me it sounds like the west little by little is accepting a divided world which is good beginning, which shoes they are loosing power, now out of desperation just for propaganda, instead of going to UNSC they can only gather votes in UNGA. These are signs of more evenhanded affairs in the globe. When the pain of commodity supplies and prices moves further up their rectums they will be glad to see the coming multipolar world. The best thing Putin/ Russians did for the world is taking the war to west and their dear in Europe.

Posted by: Kooshy | Apr 10 2022 16:32 utc | 13

One more news from Iran, some in parliament are suggesting like Russia Iran should sell her oil in Rial backed by gold. Is this the new trend (rule) shaping to protect oil and other commodities in this new (rule based order)

Posted by: Kooshy | Apr 10 2022 16:37 utc | 14

It is rumored that first exit poll in France shows 24% for Macron, 24% for Le Pen, 19% for Melenchon
https://t.me/intelslava/24912

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 16:43 utc | 15

@ Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 16:43 utc | 16

does anyone know the french electoral system? is it a winner takes all, or a minor party can be a kingmaker? i am curious.. thanks..

Posted by: james | Apr 10 2022 16:49 utc | 16

@james | Apr 10 2022 16:49 utc | 17

https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/IMG/pdf/infographie_election_pr_vaccess_en_cle814c2a.pdf

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 17:09 utc | 17

Sputniknews mentions the same numbers as preliminary at 5 PM
Macron 24%
Le Pen 24%
Melenchon 19%
Zemmour 8%
Pecresse 8%

My guess is that they will squeeze in Macron in the end.

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 17:17 utc | 18

The French Presidency will be decided in a first and second round, the second round between first and second placed candidates. As usual, it will be Le Pen vs establishment candidate in the second round and then a heavy media campaign forces everybody behind the establishment candidate who then edges out a win.

Posted by: Arne Hartmann | Apr 10 2022 17:19 utc | 19

it would be interesting if the French officers be caught in Azozstal (and announced in French media) before the French second round election.

Posted by: Alan | Apr 10 2022 17:33 utc | 20

@ majoab | Apr 10 2022 16:15 utc | 12

The estimated size of the leak had been unknown until recently, but according to the situation report, ConocoPhillips disclosed that 7.2 million cubic feet of gas had been released in an April 1 letter to the commission.

Thanks for that. It would be interesting to find out whether drilling leaks such as this one are increasing, due to fragility of an icy cap. Katy Walter-Anthony finds, from isotopic analysis of the CH4 coming out of new thermokarst lakes, that the CH4 gas bubbling to the surface is very deep and millions of years old -- as lake formation stabs clean through the same icy cap. This process is provoked by elevated temperature, but self-sustaining from here on out, possibly, being a natural process, out of human control.

If we have, indeed, unleashed enormously latent, self-sustaining heat from thawing permafrost, that will dwarf direct GHG emissions from all human activities, relatively soon. The possibility or probability that Earth's most important "tipping point" (the permafrost tipping point) is in the rearview mirror -- nobody wants to think about that. Truth doesn't care about our avoidance techniques (as we're learning in other venues).

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Apr 10 2022 17:42 utc | 21

The agitpapa tweet re
https://www.sott.net/article/466340-Is-it-possible-to-actually-know-what-has-been-and-is-going-on-in-Ukraine

will not load.

Posted by: dadooronron | Apr 10 2022 18:05 utc | 22

RE: the Navigating Alternate Realities from Venezuela Analysis.

Thanks, that was a good and interesting read. I was already aware of this divide in which the "news" coming out of that country (and every "hostile foreign power" du jour) is presented by the Western establishment corporate intelligence-community-infested media.

This is similar to how news of Cuba is presented in the USA and it's complicated. The first Cubans to flee Castro's revolution were, for lack of a better word, the compradores who had made themselves relatively (sometimes fabulously) wealthy through the - again for lack of a better word - satrapy system put on the island by the Spanish and then the Americans. That first wave of Cuban "refugees" brought money and connections with them to Miami (where they started media outlets), from which they spread out geographically over time. The Cuban-American community grew into a politically important voting bloc which was always reliably anti-communist/anti-Castro and rabidly so. Later generations of actual refugees fleeing Uncle Scam's embargo-related economic crises in Cuba in many cases integrated with - at least from a voting perspective - the older, more established Cuban Americans, while at the same time, in many cases, these new darker, more brown-skinned Cubans were shunned as far as social mobility within the establishment Cuban-American community as well as in the same way as poor Mexicans and Central Americans have been historically.

The same holds true - although to a slightly lesser scope - with Venezuelan ex-pats, including their media influence and political importance of the Venezuelan vote which consists of mostly upper middle class and literal jet-setting rich, who - as in Cuba - had historically made their wealth by stealing land and controlling various industries (obviously oil in VZ).

Hence, the "news" or "analysis" we get about Cuba, even from Cuban-Americans and their outsized presence in the media ecosystem, as well as Venezuela, is strictly one-sided.

I am not as knowledgeable about ex-pat Iranians, but I suspect the same holds true. Heck, I know it does, because we never see anything remotely positive said about Iran in the corporate intelligence community captured MSM and now social media as well. I'd bet good money that the Iranians who fled the revolution were the same ones who supported the Shah and worked hand-in-hand with the Brits and Americans who were essentially stealing the oil from the country and other types of less visible embezzlement.

Which brings to mind a couple of Substack posts from Yasha Levine lately in which he discusses the importance that the Polish-American community played for Bill Clinton from an electoral perspective and how NATO membership was used as a carrot to get them to vote for him.

https://yasha.substack.com/p/nato-and-immigrants?s=r

https://yasha.substack.com/p/one-last-note-the-polish-vote-bill?s=r

So as one adds all of this up, the picture becomes less murky and it gets obvious as to how these ex-pat or second generation communities who fled places where they benefitted from their relationships with America/Americans (while large majorities of poor and indigenous people suffered as a result of US 'influence') have, if not directly driven, been used to amplify Uncle Scam's business elite narratives through political power or concessions (read: opportunity to become wealthy or increase their wealth) and give those narratives inertia/momentum such that they self-amplify as well. Particularly in the case of Venezuelans now, but also the Cubans back when it was a corrupt captive colony of the US, it is these already rich ex-pats who stand most to benefit from the overthrow of the democratically elected governments back home.

I suppose I ramble a little, but this isn't a topic that I get very many opportunities to discuss or hash out. Try talking to these aforementioned Cuban-Americans and Venezuelan ex-pats and it quickly devolves into insults, accusations of being a commie pinko, and the usual lies. I'm not saying that the Polish-American situation is exactly the same, but from a political and electoral angle, it's definitely very similar.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 18:33 utc | 23

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 18:33 utc | 24

I should have been more detailed than the carrot and stick analogy for Polish-Americans and NATO membership. As Levine's first piece points out, there was also much desire among that community to influence the politics 'back home' and in favor of Poland joining NATO. It wasn't strictly a carrot dangled in front of them by Bill Clinton.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 18:42 utc | 24

Posted by: dadooronron | Apr 10 2022 18:05 utc | 23

It looks like agitpapa has restricted who can view their tweets. I can't see it either.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 18:43 utc | 25

Can anyone provide any follow-up analysis or news on Khan's ouster in Pakistan? IIRC, b predicted that he might remain in power. How much and in what ways was American interference involved in this 'no confidence' vote in Pakistan?

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 18:44 utc | 26

Reply from the other non Ukraine Open Thread:

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 10 2022 7:02 utc | 70

"No can do. That would be anti-semitism, don't you know ?

*queue the hasbara bots and anti-semitism commissars creeping out of the woodwork any minute now*"

Thanks for your reply Arch Bungle. Of course pseudo Semitic semantics are deployed to enforce silence on their murderous and criminal manipulations. They affect such hurt feelings to any criticism, legitimate or not. Bugger anti semolina. Pile it on, here are some examples of their fake and artificial stolen 'state' outrageously enforcing silence:

https://theintercept.com/2022/04/05/israel-palestine-journalists-incitement/

https://theintercept.com/2021/05/26/israel-journalists-palestinian-jerusalem-al-aqsa/

Posted by: Paul | Apr 10 2022 19:09 utc | 27

@ Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 17:09 utc | 18 / 19 and @ Arne Hartmann | Apr 10 2022 17:19 utc | 20

thanks guys... my take is the same as yours norwegian... the squeaky clean looking macron will win...it would be nice to be wrong here!! and yes, of course if russia could pull an upset by extracting any french nato reps inside mariupol - i am not sure that would make it to the western msm anyway, but it is nice to keep our hopes up... apparently all the work on the part of the yellow vests is for naught... at some point this inside game is going to breakdown..

Posted by: james | Apr 10 2022 19:18 utc | 28


Ok, thanks for all the help folks.

I had asked the bar for help in downloading a video.
The video shows the influence of the Ukrainian Nazis.
Surprisingly, the video came to us c/o the BBC.

I am suprised the video is still available, but just in case
it were made to "disappear" some day,
I wanted to save it for posterity.

Here is what I did (thanks again, barflies).

1) I navigated to https://www.videohelp.com/software/youtube-dl
2) Selected my Download (Download youtube-dl 2021.12.17 Windows )
3) From my Download folder I copied the downloaded exe file (youtube-dl.exe) to my User folder
(C:\Users\librul)
4) Fired up a Command Prompt (typed CMD in my Taskbar search area)
5) At the Command Prompt I pasted or typed in this line:
youtube-dl.exe https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5SBo0akeDMY
6) Watched it run for six minutes.
7) Located the downloaded video (Neo-Nazi threat in new Ukraine - NEWSNIGHT-5SBo0akeDMY.mp4) in my User folder
(C:\Users\librul)
8) Moved the downloaded video to a different folder of my choosing
9) Downloaded file is mp4 format. I doubled clicked on it and viewed
it with the software of my choice.
10) Success

Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:28 utc | 29

Having trouble getting my post
to post.

I wanted to thank the bar for their help
in downloading a video.

I wrote up the procedure for the benefit of all,
but perhaps there are too many links in
my instructions (?).

Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:31 utc | 30

@Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:31 utc | 30

Ok, the first line of my instructions is causing problems with a filter.
Apologies in advance to b
if my efforts to get past the filter are unwanted.

Ok, thanks for all the help folks.

I had asked the bar for help in downloading a video.
The video shows the influence of the Ukrainian Nazis.
Surprisingly, the video came to us c/o the BBC.

I am suprised the video is still available, but just in case
it were made to "disappear" some day,
I wanted to save it for posterity.

Here is what I did (thanks again, barflies).

1) I navigated to https://www.videohelp.com ... (url to be continued)

Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:37 utc | 31

Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:31 utc | 30

I, for one, would appreciate your summary. I had some issues yesterday with some of the methods sprinkled throughout the thread. For example, one of the sites has stopped allowing the capture of US-based videos (if I read correctly this applies anywhere, not just inside the US) due to repeated legal threats and the expense of defending against them. The site/method I'm referring to is the one where you simply add the capture domain to the front of the URL from which you wish to capture video. It doesn't work for me.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 19:39 utc | 32

https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI/status/1513232489464041473?cxt=HHwWgsCs0dC7ioAqAAAA

Look at the sea of ppl supporting Imran Khan. I dont think the forces within Pakistan that instigated the removal expected so much counter pressure. The army that is pro US cant do anything against Khan, eg take him prisoner and force him not to stand in next elections, without risking a civil war. Because going after Khan right now, means spilling blood of his supporters as well. I dont think the US can afford that.

Posted by: Arne Hartmann | Apr 10 2022 19:42 utc | 33

@Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 19:39 utc | 32

Sure thing, I had typed up a 10 step procedure. Overly detailed, you can't miss.
However, a filter at MoA is causing problems.

You have step 1.
1) I navigated to https://www.videohelp.com
Step 1b is to search on that site for Youtube-dl

I am going to give you the other steps in batches as I don't know yet when I will hit a filter again.
(apologies to b, if this is unwanted effort)

2) Selected my Download (Download youtube-dl 2021.12.17 Windows )
3) From my Download folder I copied the downloaded exe file (youtube-dl.exe) to my User folder
(C:\Users\librul)
4) Fired up a Command Prompt (typed CMD in my Taskbar search area)

Steps 5 thru 10 to follow

Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:45 utc | 34

@b and others

Don't forget there is a big and rather important (i.e. Federal) election in Australia on May 21. Given that pundits expect this year will be the year the RBA lifts interest rates (possibly as much as 4 times by Christmas, i.e. by ~0.5-1%) there will be an all out campaign by the corrupt and utterly incompetent cretins who hold government (Liberal/National Coalition) to spook Australians into returning them to power. I'd be happy to write up a longer post outlining the stakes, players and key issues for the non-Aussie barflies.

Posted by: Patroklos | Apr 10 2022 19:45 utc | 35

@Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:45 utc | 34

5) At the Command Prompt I pasted or typed in
youtube-dl.exe https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5SBo0akeDMY
6) Watched it run for six minutes.
7) Located the downloaded video in my User folder
(C:\Users\librul)
8) Moved the downloaded video to a different folder of my chosing
9) Downloaded file is mp4 format. I doubled clicked on it and viewed
it with the software of my choice.
10) Success

Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:47 utc | 36

Tom_Q_Collins | # 27

best read on Pakistan / Khan from Bhadrakumar:
https://thecradle.co/Article/columns/8783

Posted by: njet | Apr 10 2022 19:49 utc | 37

Thank you, librul and njet for the replies.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 19:52 utc | 38

This Guaido guy from Venezuela is impressive! He really ingratiated himself to the Pakistanis right-quick!

link

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Apr 10 2022 19:56 utc | 39

surprised that only Tom_Q_Collins is talking about Pakistan. I'm sad and angry that khan has been deposed by the US. it's also disgusting that the traitorous opposition party is claiming that the US letter is fake. they are utterly shameless.

the opposition party is dressing their move as democratic procedure but if an election were called today, Khan would win hands down. so how is this at all democratic?

@ Tom, Khan and the now former administration says that they have evidence that parliamentary members have received material gain from the US to buy their vote.

Id like to know if the supreme court is also compromised. in any case, the no confidence vote would not have proceeded without the knowledge and approval of Pakistan's head general, whose recent speech signalled his intention to shift towards the US. the military establishment thus seems thoroughly entangled with the US.

Posted by: mastameta | Apr 10 2022 19:56 utc | 40

@librul | Apr 10 2022 19:47 utc | 36

I also use youtube-dl under Linux. These days it is a good idea to back up important videos that might disappear.

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 20:07 utc | 41

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 20:07 utc | 41 and librul

I wanted to confirm that the downloadable .exe from this site (b's software preventing the inclusion of this one particular link for some reason) is safe and free of embedded malware.

ht tps://ww w. videohelp. com/software/youtube-dl (spaces removed)

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 20:25 utc | 42

@james | Apr 10 2022 19:18 utc | 29

thanks guys... my take is the same as yours norwegian... the squeaky clean looking macron will win...it would be nice to be wrong here!! and yes, of course if russia could pull an upset by extracting any french nato reps inside mariupol - i am not sure that would make it to the western msm anyway, but it is nice to keep our hopes up... apparently all the work on the part of the yellow vests is for naught... at some point this inside game is going to breakdown..

Recent update via Sputniknews:

Partial Results Show Le Pen Leading Macron With 27.8% of Vote
Early figures indicate that right-wing presidential candidate Marine Le Pen has gained 27.8% of the votes in the first round of the election cycle, with rival Emmanuel Macron gaining just 26.2%.
In third place, Jean-Luc Melenchon has attained 18.66% and fourth-place candidate Eric Zemmour with 6.59%.

Interesting, but yhis does not imply the result will be similar in the second round.

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 20:25 utc | 43

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 10 2022 14:20 utc | 4

& Posted by: Kooshy | Apr 10 2022 16:32 utc | 14

& Posted by Bevin..

"The JCPOA Nuclear Agreement is dead
... It's plain wrong to violate the UN Charter by stealing a country's sovereignty just because Washington doesn't like a country which doesn't follow US orders..

Also the charge that Iran is "the world's greatest state supporter of terrorism" is a bad joke, because being pro-Palestine is not terrorism. . . "

Thanks for making good points.

I would like to remind barflies the Geneva Conventions preceded the creation of the United Nations. The UN was flawed from its inception by not including the GC's in the UN Charter. BTW, why was amending the title deeds to Palestine in favour of alien invaders the first order of issues to be put before first the League of Nations AND then the newly created United Nations? Hmmmm. The veneer of legitimacy of the Bandit State has tarnished and fallen away.

The Geneva Conventions make it clear that occupied people, all and any occupied people, have the right to resist the occupier and the right "to take the fight to the territory of the occupier" no matter who is "right" or "wrong", Including Palestinians and Yemenis. This is not "terrorism", this is legitimate resistance.

Posted by: Paul | Apr 10 2022 20:32 utc | 44

Another people who started using their brians and thinking, fed up of being sucked dry by the same who sent their neighbor country to the Middle Ages after two decades of occupation...

https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI/status/1513232489464041473?cxt=HHwWgsCs0dC7ioAqAAAA

Posted by: Givi | Apr 10 2022 20:39 utc | 45

there are videos now on social media of enormous crowds protesting khan's ouster. this shows why the army fears him. Khan is his own man, with his own voice, with the people's backing. he can't be controlled or corralled. as such, he is a threat to the establishment order.

get ready to see US bases on Pakistani soil again, doing over the horizon strikes in Afghanistan. and a bevy of new "concerns" about the BRI.

there may yet be some good coming out of this. the army used to be sacrosanct and untouchable. now they are lumped in with the crooks and compradors who have sold out their country. it will never be the same again. but Khan will be back. if he isn't martyred before the next election.

Posted by: mastameta | Apr 10 2022 20:40 utc | 46

but Khan will be back. if he isn't martyred before the next election.

Posted by: mastameta | Apr 10 2022 20:40 utc | 46

I fear that plans to martyr him are already well underway. At the very least to exile him to another country so that they can go about cementing this theft of power and making it more difficult for a return in the future.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 20:42 utc | 47

Philosophical analysis, emerging from this war (a subject simultaneously Ukraine and Not Ukraine, in a fluid Dionysian way):

Evil, in its banality, cannot abide Russia’s wealth and splendor, be it state or private, material or spiritual, from the human realm or the animal: Russian gold has been robbed, her assets confiscated, and her gas is requested for free; the more vicious and public the seizure at the mention of Russia the better, but there is no disgust while seizing Russian yachts and mansions; Western artists and intellectuals cannot abide their Russian peers, even the dead ones, but they support the looting of her art and crafts; the only way to be better than Russians in sports is to ban them; even Russian cats are beyond competition and are canceled at exhibits; although Russia doesn’t use the Latin script, certain Latin letters are forbidden for they enrage the vapid Western imagination by their Russianness; the West has indignantly pulled its garbage out of Russia for even its junk food and diabetes-inducing sodas are not to be bestowed upon her hated people, and the Westerners are delighted to shower with cold water, freeze in their civilized homes, and desist from production in their factories so that the barbarian heretics may be put in their place.

-- https://thesaker.is/oh-hannah-if-only-you-could-see-it/

Višeslav Simić wrote this passionate response -- an updated embrace -- of Hannah Arendt's banal evil framework. I've read Arendt and come to my own conclusions. Some philosophers are so pivotal it doesn't matter what you think of them, I think.

The foregoing is just a taste. From the entire essay I sense a breakdown of categories which constrain thinking in "the west": To wit, Simić displays a gently startling freedom, ranging from geopolitics to theology in the same thought, because to him these are not entirely distinct categories, or not at all distinct. This form of epistemological, categorical freedom is something I'm learning to associate with Russian thinkers. (My longtime teacher, the late great Thay Nhat Hanh is also noted for a form of spiritual analysis which integrates political analysis.)

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Apr 10 2022 20:49 utc | 48

Posted by: njet | Apr 10 2022 19:49 utc | 37

thanks for the link. I think Pakistan is crucial to US plans, being a way to strike both at Russia by prolonging the war and China by handicapping the BRI.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Apr 10 2022 20:51 utc | 49

@Posted by: mastameta | Apr 10 2022 20:40 utc | 46

The US will set this country on fire as it did with Ukraine and it is trying with the restr of Europe by infiltrating nazis into our countries already causing turmoil in the strets harassing Russians.

Thus could be the starting of a new bloody civil war, but the days of the crooks in the military are counted...

It will be this generation, or the next one, but they for sure will get rid of the Americans and will live free and in prosperity along their neighbors, once they extirpate that cancer..

Posted by: Givi | Apr 10 2022 20:53 utc | 50

@mastameta | Apr 10 2022 20:40 utc | 46

there are videos now on social media of enormous crowds protesting khan's ouster. this shows why the army fears him. Khan is his own man, with his own voice, with the people's backing. he can't be controlled or corralled. as such, he is a threat to the establishment order.

Here is one such video, very impressive!

https://twitter.com/wyattreed13/status/1513255004014100483?s=20&t=JANPQXkP5IlnTGHrQyWa-w

Absolutely massive demonstration in Karachi against the overthrow of Prime Minister Imran Khan. Millions of Pakistanis are flooding the streets tonight to demand his return to office.

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 20:55 utc | 51

Thanks, as always, b for the insightful collection of info. I can’t decide if someone walked a shar-pei past Michael Brenner’s office… or if he has some other deeply personal reason for suggesting that Nuland and Blinken are more reasonable (they may be several not very nice things but not jerks?) in comparison to China’s Wang Yi?

I also note that there appears to be some belief that China owes the USA something. Like China kind of betrayed the USA, like a jerk might do. God Save the Queen. I’m off (to my own kitchen) for tea and crumpets.

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Apr 10 2022 20:56 utc | 52

the opposition leader Sharif, after khan's ouster, is saying that the country must move forward and not get stuck in the 'politics of revenge.' right. that's like if you murdered someone then told his family members to not engage in the 'politics of revenge.'

there will be consequences, this matter will not simply go away or be forgotten.

Posted by: mastameta | Apr 10 2022 21:03 utc | 53

To all discussing the Pakistan situation, including the massive public demonstrations/protests. As MoA regular james said yesterday, quoting Gil Scott-Heron, the revolution will NOT be televised (in the West).

Currently there is not a single story up about Khan and the protests on CNN or Drudge's websites. Nothing. Nada. Zip.

If and when they do cover them, I'm sure we'll see the same spin we always do and they'll be minimized and brushed off without much discussion.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 21:34 utc | 54

The thing with those JCPOA negotiations for me was - EVERY. SINGLE. DAY. - Antiwar would say "the deal is almost done, both sides are just waiting for the other side to agree to the MAIN CONDITIONS OF THE DEAL FROM THE START". In other words, the core requirements of Iran were 1) the US to get back into the deal, 2) the US to suspend all sanctions from before the deal and since the deal, and 3) guarantee that the US would stay in the deal. In return, Iran would reverse everything it did since the deal and return to the deal's requirements on their nuclear energy program.

It wasn't rocket science. All the US had to do, if it was sincere about wanting to get back into the deal, was to accept those three Iranian requirements.

But I knew from day one that Joe "I'm a Zionist" Biden was not sincere and couldn't be sincere. Despite the fact that he made it a campaign promise - and for the record, since when has any of his campaign promises come true, let alone an other US President's campaign promises - it was obvious he couldn't do it. Even he wanted to - and I didn't believe he did - the opposition from Israel - and therefore Congress - would make it impossible.

But EVERY. SINGLE. DAY. for months on end, it was reported that both sides had pretty much agreed and the deal was near. Except there was always a sentence in the report to the effect that one side or the other was not agreeing to "something", said something either left unsaid or was explicitly said to be one of the core requirements of the Iranians. In the latter case, how could one possibly say that the deal was "close" when one or more of the core requirements was still not agreed to?

Again, this went on for MONTHS. It was insane. And every day I posted my doubts on that threat on Antiwar.com. And I was assured by moronic Pollyannas that it was going to happen.

Even when the US became desperate to get Iran's oil back on the market, along with Venezuela's, I doubted. The US and Israel's fundamental animosity toward Iran simply wouldn't allow it to happen.

And I was right. So here I am crowing that I was right. And now I'm going over to Antiwar and post this statement there.

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 10 2022 21:35 utc | 55

Givi,

From the video the fellow speaks of, these creatures are Georgian and "Ukrainian."

Posted by: donten | Apr 10 2022 21:43 utc | 56

... the West has indignantly pulled its garbage out of Russia for even its junk food and diabetes-inducing sodas are not to be bestowed upon her hated people ...

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Apr 10 2022 20:49 utc | 48

Our findings support previous studies suggesting that soft drink consumption (including SSBs and ASBs) is positively related to BMI, whereas our results for fruit juice were less consistent. Policies regarding these beverages should be considered in Eastern Europe to lower the risk of obesity.

Keywords: body mass index, Eastern Europe, fruit juice, soft drinks
Go to:
Introduction

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and morbidity rates in Eastern European countries (EECs) are considerably higher than in the West 1. This health gap emerged in the 1970s, became more pronounced after the political reconstruction in the early 1990s and, despite some reduction in recent years, it still exists today 2.

Association between soft drink, fruit juice consumption and obesity in Eastern Europe: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8425279/

Summary: The biological robustness in the neural substrates of sugar and sweet reward may be sufficient to explain why many people can have difficultly to control the consumption of foods high in sugar when continuously exposed to them.
Sugar addiction: pushing the drug-sugar analogy to the limit https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23719144/

Global, Regional, and National Consumption of Sugar-Sweetened Beverages, Fruit Juices, and Milk: A Systematic Assessment of Beverage Intake in 187 Countries [2010] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0124845

En passant. ...

Posted by: Laurence | Apr 10 2022 22:03 utc | 57

Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:37 utc | 31
Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:45 utc | 34
Posted by: librul | Apr 10 2022 19:47 utc | 36
Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 20:07 utc | 41
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 20:25 utc | 42

I recommend using yt-dlp. It's cross-platform. It's an enhancement of youtube-dl with features the latter doesn't have, overcoming some occasional issues with the latter. Youtube occasionally makes efforts to prevent excessive downloading of videos through the API. People like me run into those problems, so alternatives to youtube-dl were developed by other developers. Being open source, youtube-dl can be improved upon and several such alternatives exist.

There's no malware. This thing is used by a lot of people and any malware would have been noticed by now. yt-dlp is also updated more often than youtube-dl.

OTOH, if all you want to do is download a single video at times, youtube-dl will probably function OK.

A youtube-dl fork with additional features and fixes
https://github.com/yt-dlp/yt-dlp

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 10 2022 22:11 utc | 58

Alarm bells should be ringing about the nexus between shortages of fuel, fertiliser, food, the economy and social cohesion.

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-business-health-europe-united-nations-fe2cc912195478f0dd861e6252c8f3b3

Of course the usual government response is more oppressive and draconian laws which themselves only lead to more mass public alienation.

The word "causes" is regarded as traitorous and are never addressed because if the real causes were examined changes to the status que and subsequent plans would necessarily follow.

Posted by: Paul | Apr 10 2022 22:13 utc | 59

@ Norwegian | Apr 10 2022 20:25 utc | 43

thanks! very interesting.. almost as interesting as the dynamic in pakistan - both volatile set ups at present..

Posted by: james | Apr 10 2022 22:33 utc | 60

Here is a rigorous assessment of Biden and the situation today, highly recommended for all:

https://johnmenadue.com/russian-and-us-parallel-pathways-to-a-nuclear-conflict/

No mention of the demented old fart's 'bathroom moment' when visiting the Pope.

Posted by: Paul | Apr 10 2022 22:46 utc | 61

Curious to hear people’s speculation - what was the point of publishing that article in nbc saying the gov’t often publish low-confidence intelligence? Caitlin Johnstone speculates it’s to get people used to being lied to, to give the true believers a reason to accept it. Other thoughts?

Posted by: Hickory | Apr 10 2022 13:54 utc | 1

Good question! I've been wondering that myself.

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 22:51 utc | 62

.Asked during an interview with NBC News whether the IRGC is a terrorist organization, Blinken answered, “So, they are.” But of course the 'journalist' would not ask: What makes it a terrorist organization?

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 10 2022 14:20 utc | 4

The IRGC is just the Iranian military. That's all it is. No military of any country can possibly be a terrorist organization. It's absurd. Blinken is a ratfuck.

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 22:56 utc | 63

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Apr 10 2022 15:26 utc | 11

I was wondering when the truly curious minds would be alarmed by recent CH4 trajectory. I am not aware of Katy Walter-Anthony but appreciate the opportunity to research that, so thank you. I am a big reader of Wadhams "A Farewell to Ice" and other sideshow literature on methane including peat bogs and let's not forget Fracking. Fracking emits enormous amounts of natural gas, which contains Carbon and Methane, directly into the air. Both of these gases are known to be very harmful to the atmosphere. Fracking alone is known to leak about 40-60 percent of Methane more than conventional natural gases reservoirs.

What piqued my curiosity at methane (as you referred to above) was how more damaging than CO2 it was to the thin atmosphere protecting Earth. As you and several others are aware, there will be no do-overs when already sequestered gases in that fragile belt overhead capitulates. The way I see it going down is long before heat, famine or sea rise take out the lot, our fragile oxygen generating ecosystem shuts down (already commencing) and quite abruptly there is no breathable air. Not unlike the outcome of Venus.

Sorry for the downer, maybe that's a reason it's not well discussed, better not to instill fear. Humans don't do that one well, but basically, instead of an immediate deep adaption towards full stop, are we not just sitting in a car inside a closed garage with the engine running high idle? Because I see little awareness of the uninhabitable Earth lying directly ahead of us.

Posted by: George | Apr 10 2022 23:04 utc | 64

Which brings to mind a couple of Substack posts from Yasha Levine lately in which he discusses the importance that the Polish-American community played for Bill Clinton from an electoral perspective and how NATO membership was used as a carrot to get them to vote for him.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 18:33 utc | 24

Yasha Levine is a complete rat. He's some shitty US Marxist who, of course, is 100% pro-Nazi in this war. A LOT of US "Marxists" are pro-Nazi.

I am starting to think that geography trumps ideology.

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 23:05 utc | 65

Reply from the other non Ukraine Open Thread:

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 10 2022 7:02 utc | 70

"No can do. That would be anti-semitism, don't you know ?

*queue the hasbara bots and anti-semitism commissars creeping out of the woodwork any minute now*"

Posted by: Paul | Apr 10 2022 19:09 utc | 28

I can't have any civil conversation with ANY Jews who are Zionist at all. That includes almost ALL Israelis. I'm talking to an Israeli professor lately, and it's going nicely, but he's a Marxist. Very quickly, within five minutes or so, they start yelling and calling me antisemite. And I am quite careful how I talk too because I don't like conspiratorial obsessive antisemitism either. I've always said that the only thing worse than SuperJews are obsessive conspiratorial antisemites. They deserve each other. They're both perfectly horrible people.

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 23:10 utc | 66

Try talking to these aforementioned Cuban-Americans and Venezuelan ex-pats and it quickly devolves into insults, accusations of being a commie pinko, and the usual lies.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 18:33 utc | 24

Yeah you can't talk to those FASCIST rats at all, and most of them are absolutely fascist, 100%. I call them gusanos or worms because that is exactly what they are.

The Poles are simply insane. Their lunatic Russophobia almost looks like a mental disorder. They almost appear psychotic to me, and I work in mental health.

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 23:13 utc | 67

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 10 2022 18:44 utc | 27

This was absolutely a coup. The new government is basically a military dictatorship and they are very dark indeed. The Pakistani military is EVIL. They're a mafia too. And they've always been strongly pro-US. So the military basically overthrew Khan, along with these opposition clowns. I don't think Khan can stay in power. The US or CIA was 100% behind this coup, absolutely! And it's a message too to any leader who dares to be independent of the US - we will remove you! Most Pakistanis are furious about this. The streets are enraged. Like I said, this government is dark. They're already going around rounding up all the pro-Khan politicians.

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 23:17 utc | 68

Pro Imran Khan/anti American demonstrations all over Pakistan

Posted by: C_A | Apr 10 2022 23:47 utc | 69

Macron can be defeated! All that has to happen is for an electoral alliance to be struck between Le Pen and Melenchon. Important posts in a new Le Pen government should be promised to Melenchon and his party, and some kind of common program should be agreed. Hopefully negotiations for this kind of deal are going on right now.

Posted by: Lysias | Apr 11 2022 0:21 utc | 70

RE: French election

It's actually a disaster for the mainstream. If you add all the "extreme" candidates, the 3 big ones (Le Pen, Melenchon, Zemmour) plus the small ones (Lassalle, Roussel, Dupont-Aignan, Poutou, Arthaud), you've got about 60%.

Of course many from the "extreme" left will never vote for Le Pen, so Macron is gonna win. But still, 60% of non-mainstream "extremists"!

Posted by: Robert Macaire | Apr 11 2022 0:21 utc | 71

It's hard not to relate to Ukraine, but hopefully the following will be considered more a general comment - I recently questioned a poster from NZ on the attitude online of the NZ public to the negative press Russia is currently recieving. A blog I visit that has accessible comments is thedailyblog.co.nz -- articles there have been overwhelmingly in favor of current msm western attitudes, and at first not much could be seen in comments there opposing this.

That is not remaining so; I am heartened. Here is an example:

D'Esterre...Consider this: the fact that there are so many dissenting voices on this comment thread provides an indication that the propaganda is increasingly failing to be effective.

People see and read the news, then read countervailing perspectives on the internet. And when said countervailing perspectives are backed up by evidence – remember Wikileaks? – it dawns on many of us that we were lied to. This leads inevitably to scepticism about every other narrative being pushed by the US/UK in particular. That cold war nonsense, which haunted us from the 1950s onward: read this to understand its provenance:
“The Devil’s Chessboard: Allen Dulles, the CIA, and the Rise of America’s Secret Government” a book by David Talbot.

Do you not recall the invasion of Afghanistan? The invasion of Iraq? The bombing of Libya? The tragedy of Serbia in the late 90s? All of them tragedies, actually, for which some western leaders ought to have faced trial for war crimes. But did not, regrettably. Still and all, there’s a special place in Hell reserved for Blair, G W Bush, Clinton and Obama.

I advise you to read. Start with David Talbot, but there is much else. Online, try the US site Consortium news, set up by the late great Robert Parry. Or MoonofAlabama, also a US site. And The Saker (another US site). There are many others.[My bold]

Reply
Gaby April 7, 2022 at 10:50 am
At last, the voice of common sense.

Not as significant as the overwhelming protests in Pakistan, but at least it is a start.

[Point of disclaimer: I do not myself enter into these blog discussions - so I'm doubly heartened that MoA is mentioned. This was in answer to a post by John Minto whitewashing the Bucha false flag. He ought himself to be more aware than his article displays - I remember him protesting the Waihopi spy facility in Blenheim back in Iraq invasion times. That was then, I guess.]


Posted by: juliania | Apr 11 2022 0:51 utc | 72

Damn, Pakistan's street demonstrations are huge. The center cannot hold, big chances this will spill for good or worse.

Robert Macaire at #71 is also very good observation about global affairs. "Far" right and left are big numbers of French voters. Bread and butter politics can go fuck themselves.

Posted by: rrramirezzz | Apr 11 2022 0:57 utc | 73

Those from the extreme left will never vote for Le Pen, unless that vote is authorized by a deal with somebody like Melenchon. Especially when the alternative is allowing Macron to be re-elected.

Posted by: Lysias | Apr 11 2022 1:36 utc | 74

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 23:05 utc | 65

Hmmm, I'd need some backing evidence for that. He's definitely anti-Putin (in the war), but I have not seen him come close to supporting the Azov Nazis either directly or by implication/allusion. Could you please provide some proof that Yasha Levine is supporting the nazis?

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 11 2022 3:27 utc | 75

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 23:13 utc | 67

Agree. It devolves quickly. They are in fact fascist descendants of the original colonizers. As for Poles, I don't know much about them.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 11 2022 3:29 utc | 76

China's not disturbed by the changes in Pakistan.
. . from GlobalTimes

Chinese and Pakistani analysts consider that the solid China-Pakistan relations will not be affected by the internal political change in Pakistan because to safeguard and develop the bilateral ties is the joint consensus of all parties and all groups in Pakistan. The potential successor of Khan is from the Sharif family which has been promoting China-Pakistan ties for a long time, and cooperation between the two countries could be even better than under Khan.
Although the US has always attempted to instigate or make trouble for China-Pakistan ties, especially targeting the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project and the China-proposed Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), China does not need to be worried, experts noted. . .here

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 11 2022 3:33 utc | 77

Difference Frames the World

Beijing's Dynamic Zero Policy Does Not Work Fighting Omicron Variant?! 1,915 viewsApr 10, 2022

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=euSB234oaKc

Posted by: JC | Apr 11 2022 4:33 utc | 78

Today like yesterday, I'm angry at the insane media driven focus on Ukraine. It's not that it doesn't matter just that there are close to a half dozen conflicts in Africa where more people are getting butchered, raped and 'displaced' thanks to western greed stoking up wars, sending in arms, just to grab those 'displaced' people's resources. Same, same with Yemen which just like Saudi Arabia has oilfield on land once called useless where Shia people have been living for many generations. Now that the land is valuable USuk is arming and equipping wahabist fanatics to kill the indigenous population & steal the oil. Exactly what has been going on since the beginning of last century in Saudi Arabia.
Why is it that people who say they dislike corporate media obsessively follow whatever issues corporate media tells them are important?

I'm even angrier today than I was yesterday. Yesterday morning I woke to the news that a conspiracy of Pakistan's corrupt institutions had taken the US dollars and run a coup against the elected government. It reminded too well of when exactly the same thing happened in Australia when I was living there in 1975. A mixture of bullying, bribery and blackmail by the US drove the Whitlam government from power, consequently Australia hasn't had an independent sovereign government ever since. That can be seen in the decision lat year by the Biden regime who decided Australia must pay them another 300 billion for the cost of being oppressed by amerika. The Oz government pulled on their forelocks, kissed Biden arse by throwing out their submarine contract with France and signing up for a deal costing an order of magnitude more, which has no delivery date.

Oh and these wonderful weapons platforms will be equipped with current generation cruise missiles incapable of getting past either Russia's or China's self defense systems, yet Australians are told they need the useless white elephants to protect themselves from Russia or China. I'm angrier today though because I learned this morning that less than 24 hours after Imran Khan's government was corruptly dismissed by amerikan assistant state secretary Donald Liu, that amerika had launched a missile strike on the already suffering poverty stricken people of Afghanistan. Those missiles flew across Pakistan airspace and Imran Khan had refused permission while he was leader.

Not even one day after Imran's unjust dismissal and amerika is back to killing Afghanistan's citizens! Why? amerika has already seized all of Afghanistan's cash & gold reserves, but not content with that, the Biden crime family is punishing them even more for the crime of embarrassing amerika's military by beating them like a dusty old rug to the point where the amerikan military had to run out with their tails between their legs.

Apparently it takes too long to starve Afghanistan to death, so they're going back to bombing them 24/7/365.

Posted by: Debsisdead | Apr 11 2022 4:49 utc | 79

Oz will be looted same as Europe. People around me are like the children following the pied piper. Pakistan will be interesting. Khan has a huge amount of public support, and I suspect his support base wont fuck about.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 11 2022 5:01 utc | 80

My post @80 was a reply to your comment debs.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 11 2022 5:02 utc | 81

RE: French election

I think there was something very fishy about the polls all the years leading to this election. The Melenchon vote seems to have been systematically underestimated, the Zemmour vote systematically overestimated.

Posted by: Robert Macaire | Apr 11 2022 5:28 utc | 82

Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 23:10 utc | 66

"I can't have any civil conversation with ANY Jews who are Zionist at all. That includes almost ALL Israelis.....I am quite careful how I talk too because I don't like conspiratorial obsessive antisemitism either. I've always said that the only thing worse than SuperJews are obsessive conspiratorial antisemites. They deserve each other. They're both perfectly horrible people...."

Well put Robert, there are many honest and courageous Israeli jews, I have met a handful and studied some of their books. No dialogue is possible with any zionist, jewish or christian they are repellant.

Conclusion: more homework needed.

Posted by: Paul | Apr 11 2022 5:54 utc | 83

it's in the genes, folks, like the great fearless leader Joe Biden said, well, about the russians/Soviets. but now applied to the U.S.:


https://consortiumnews.com/2022/04/06/jerks/
Jerks - by Michael Brenner

".....Of course, if this impeccable logic were applied to us, he would have to link his government to the Americans who ethnically cleansed the 10 million indigenous peoples from its territory, conquered Mexico and stole half of its territory, caused the death of 400,00 Filipinos who rebelled against the Yankee imperial yoke, fire-bombed Hamburg/ Dresden/Tokyo, nuked Hiroshima and Nagasaki, wreaked death and destruction in Vietnam, financed and supplied “death squads” across Central America, illegally invaded Iraq with the heavy consequences we are still enduring, was an active accomplice in the mass killing of Houthis, committed atrocities at Abu Ghraib, Camp Bucca, Guantanamo and “black sites.”

And, just a few months ago, Biden personally stole outright $ 8billion belonging to the starving Afghans whose country we occupied on the specious grounds that we were escorting them into the land of milk & honey...."

Posted by: michaelj72 | Apr 11 2022 6:38 utc | 84

Members of the National Guard of Ukraine who surrendered described how the leadership ordered the shooting of civilians in Rubizhne:

"We had an order to shoot to kill any moving person, it doesn't matter if civilian or not."

"At some point they brought people there, there were both women and men... The people who were brought there had white armbands, they were residents of Rubezhnoye. They put them all in front of us, and we were ordered to shoot them all."

Posted by: hmmm | Apr 11 2022 7:07 utc | 85

"Macron can be defeated! All that has to happen is for an electoral alliance to be struck between Le Pen and Melenchon. Important posts in a new Le Pen government should be promised to Melenchon and his party, and some kind of common program should be agreed."

Posted by: Lysias | Apr 11 2022 0:21 utc | 70

Pie in the sky. it's to misunderstand the nature of support for Mélenchon and Le Pen. The support for Le Pen is the semi-fascist nationalist tendency, the equivalent of whom in Britain vote for Brexit and Johnson. She herself is an intelligent and thoughtful person, quite acceptable, but the party behind her is savage and untamed, apart from having zero government experience. Mélenchon is supported by left-wing intellectuals, immigrants, and the trade union movement and similar. If Mélenchon were to make a deal with Le Pen, unthinkable as it is, much of that support would fade away. The only people who think it possible, are those who think the gilets jaunes were left-wing, rather than right-wing nativists.

Anyway Macron will win. His position hasn't really been dented. The only surprise is how well Mélenchon has done, very, very close to Le Pen in percentage. The main issue being the cost of living crisis, which is affecting many European countries in the same way, not the current government's fault.

Posted by: laguerre | Apr 11 2022 8:04 utc | 86

“ Imran Khan threatened to impose martial law, documents suggest “

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/10/imran-khan-threatened-to-impose-martial-law-documents-suggests-pakistan-elections-army

Yells a Guardian headline on-line - when the neo-liberal globalist spooky guardian turns on its favourite celeb politicians for not playing cricket according to their own ever changing rules - it threatens with a projection of what it does - authoritarian bullshit.

It is without doubt a coup. Demanded by the West and carried out by the traitors of Pakistan aided and encouraged by the MSM here.

The elected PM is ousted.
His calls to go back to the country to demand ‘who governs’ rejected.
The citizens equal demand of fresh elections equally ‘Cancelled’ by the same media - note Not a single report of the mass show of spontaneous suppport for Khan - all because he has turned on his Masters who thought they had control over their ‘boy’ through the traditional method of marriage to a princess and having children of the blood that would keep him loyal.

He will need all his luck and steel to stay alive.

The US and Nato and 5+1 eyes have chosen a regime change without bothering with a Color revolution pantomime as they panic.

Pakistan is sacrificed to a civil war rather than let it finally modernise and improve its peoples lives through the only channel it has - the BRI and SCO - the west and Arabs will always need the. Pakistani slaves who are kept in a medieval mind set and thus reliable pliant.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Apr 11 2022 8:19 utc | 87

Posted by: Richard Steven Hack | Apr 10 2022 21:35 utc | 55


And I was right. So here I am crowing that I was right. And now I'm going over to Antiwar and post this statement there.

You're not the only rooster in the yard. Months back on this site I stated pretty clearly there wasn't a snowball's chance in hell the JCPOA would be agreed.

It's systemic impossibility while the Zionist elite control the US and the House of Saud is in power.

Not going to happen - not ever. The architecture of the system of relationships between US-Iran-Israel-Saudi doesn't physically support it.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 11 2022 8:23 utc | 88

I suspect that Imran Khan's supporters won't fare any better than ALP supporters post 1975, sure they will get to express their displeasure up to a point, doing so at the ballot box will earn them some mealy mouthed amerikan approved, low-life who will toe the line as requested. You must remember how Australians were tricked post the dismissal. No one listened to any of us warning about Bob Hawke, even after he helped Peter Abeles by giving visas to imported scab labour during the pilots' strike "it'll be OK" optimists kept voting for the enemy of the worker which the ALP had become.
As we saw with the mass defections from Tehreek-e-Insaf, Imran's party it is easier to find some two-faced careerist hypocrite in politics than it is to find a decent honest human being such as Imran. Some of the non-defectors will be staying on because amerika told them to; they get to keep their credibility AND the $USD. Right up until the point where the party gains power once more, then they will continue to kiss amerikan butt.

Going about it this way hoping that some leader will win, be decent and be permitted to stay is a mugs' game which can never succeed. The only possible way forward is to dispense with follow my leader politics and for people to follow themselves into a community of like minded humans.

Posted by: Debsisdead | Apr 11 2022 8:27 utc | 89

rico rose | Apr 10 2022 14:49 utc | 9

Azovstal will be the name of a computer game

Yeah, death by the Azov Sea...let's hope the winners get to write the software on this one.

Posted by: john | Apr 11 2022 9:49 utc | 90

Re: Zoltan Pozsar of Bretton Woods III fame

It looks like Pozsar predicted the 2019 Fed liquidity push into the markets: Repo Oracle Zoltan Pozsar Even More Turmoil - reprint on Reddit, original source Bloomberg

In September an often overlooked but vital part of the global financial system short-circuited. It’s called the overnight repurchase agreement, or “repo,” market, and when it seized up, the interest rate that institutional borrowers had to pay for very short-term loans went (briefly) through the roof.

...

Pozsar has some bad news: There’s more trouble ahead. Despite the Federal Reserve’s recent move to pump almost $500 billion into the repo market to prevent a yearend funding squeeze, deep-rooted problems remain.

The extent of those problems could become clear before the close of 2019, as banks scramble to get their books in order for regulators. “If the yearend is less of a problem because of the repo bazooka we got from the Fed, and if the message of my report played a part in getting that bazooka, then that’s a nice way to be proven wrong,” Pozsar says. “But now we’re getting into a point in the year when balance-sheet problems are going to flare up, and I think the system will get gummed up again.”

If he’s right, it means there’s something amiss in a more than $2 trillion market that lubricates the gears of finance. The repo market is where the cash-rich of the financial system lend to the cash-poor, with banks, money-market funds, hedge funds, broker-dealers, asset-managers, and others borrowing and lending to each other short-term. While borrowers in this system have plenty of longer-term assets, on a day-to-day basis they may not have the liquidity they need. Repo lets them borrow cash against those assets to tide them over.

In finance, a lack of liquidity “kills you quick,” says Perry Mehrling, a Boston University economics professor who co-authored a 2013 paper with Pozsar. “How do you not get killed by liquidity? By rolling it over. By saying, ‘I can’t make the payment today. I’ll make it tomorrow.’ That’s basically what overnight repo does.”

On Sept. 17, throughout Wall Street, fund managers were suddenly hurting for this short-term cash, and big banks seemed unwilling or unable to provide it. At the heart of Pozsar’s argument is the idea that two grand experiments—one in monetary policy, the other in regulation—have collided to make the repo market more prone to clogging up in this way.

The monetary experiment is quantitative easing. After the financial crisis, the Fed began stimulating the economy by buying bonds. The money it spent to do so added to the excess reserves held by banks. After years of QE, big banks became accustomed to always having cash to lend in the repo market—they were swimming in excess reserves. Excess Reserves of Depository Institutions

But then the Fed began tapering off QE, buying fewer bonds and reducing the excess reserves in the system. There’s still a lot, but this is where the regulatory experiment comes in. To prevent a repeat of the 2008 crash, bank watchdogs have tightened rules in such a way that the biggest lenders feel they have to keep more reserves on hand. So falling reserves and banks’ desire to hold on to more began to pinch.

At the same time, other financial players were starting to rely more on the repo market. “There’s been a very sharp increase in the demand for funding in the last 12 months, in particular from levered investors such as hedge funds,” says Joseph Abate, money-market strategist at Barclays Plc. In September all these forces combined with a few other quirky events—such as corporations needing cash to settle quarterly tax bills—to create a brief systemwide shortage of ready cash.

There's been talk at Wall Street On Parade, and other financial blogs, about the mysterious Fed infusion into the repo markets in late 2019. Some have linked this to Archegos, but that's likely false (Archegos failed in March 2021, the fund infusions were Q3/Q4 2019).

Pozsar also apparently wrote, earlier in 2019, that the above liquidity issues are possibly because the Big 4 banks were having trouble passing on the enormous Treasury purchases they had taken on.

Note that Pozsar's suspected new liquidity event in 2020 never happened due to COVID and the money printing fest that ensued...

In any case, the point of all this is that Pozsar isn't some nobody who popped out of nowhere.

Posted by: c1ue | Apr 11 2022 10:10 utc | 91

A 2nd economics note:

It seems likely that the Eurodollar is, at least right now, one of the primary pillars of the USD/Washington_Consensus supremacy in international finance.

Wiki says that the eurodollar market size is $13.833T in 2016; other sources say the eurodollar market is now $15T+ today.

Eurodollars are U.S. dollars held in time deposit accounts in banks outside the United States, which thus are not subject to the legal jurisdiction of the US Federal Reserve. Consequently such deposits are subject to much less regulation than deposits within the U.S.

To put the above numbers in perspective:

M1 = cash and very close equivalents. M1 today is about $20.7T but it was $4T in January 2020 St. Louis Fed source

M2 = M1 + savings accounts, money market accounts, small retail money market mutual funds. Cash plus so to speak. M2 today is about $21.8T today and was $15.4T in January 2020 St. Louis Fed source

M3 = M2 + large-denomination time deposits, balances in institutional money funds, repurchase liabilities, and eurodollars held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks. M3 size today is about $21.8T, and was $15.4T in January 2020.

Note the enormous shift above in M1 between January 2020 and later. Note also that M2 and M3 changed far less between January 2020 and today - is M2 and M3 truly including M1 now, according to definition?

The St. Louis Fed notes that the M1 change was due to a change in May 2020:

Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal, or NOW, and automatic transfer service, or ATS, accounts at depository institutions, share draft accounts at credit unions, and demand deposits at thrift institutions.

Beginning May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other liquid deposits, consisting of OCDs and savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts). Seasonally adjusted M1 is constructed by summing currency, demand deposits, and OCDs (before May 2020) or other liquid deposits (beginning May 2020), each seasonally adjusted separately.

The change is the bold above, it seems. What does "other liquid deposits" mean?
Hmm. I will be looking into that, especially since it seems to correspond closely to the eurodollar market...

Anyway, the point of all this is: if a significant amount of the eurodollars is truly "outside of the US, including US citizen accounts in foreign banks", then the eurodollar market is 1/2 to 2/3rds of the M1, M2 and even the M3 money supply of the United States.

This is effectively increasing the supply of existing dollars, which are devalued by issuance of new USD by the Federal Reserve, by at least 40%. I say 40% because $15T/($21.4T + $15T) = 40%, but if a significant amount of that $21.4T is actually eurodollar, then the eurodollar percentage is larger.

Now consider if say, 50% of global commodities are no longer financed in eurodollars - hence not denominated in dollars ($15T --> $7.5T).

($21.4T+$7.5T)/($21.5T+$15T)=20% fall in the "USD supply worldwide"

Put another way: the US deficit in 2021 was $2.8T

$2.8T/($21.4+$15T+$2.8T)=7.14% vs.
$2.8T/($21.4T+$7.5T+$2.8T)= 8.83%

This delta of ~1.7% would go straight to higher US inflation. The greater the eurodollars counted in M3, the more this delta would be.

Again, this is purely an example; I am almost certainly not including all actual USD in existence. The actual presence of the eurodollar market in M1/M2/M3 is pretty damn important, for example.

Side note: the petrodollar standard. The petrodollar standard plays into the eurodollar directly, but the petrodollar itself consists of oil exports. Oil exports are somewhere around 42 million bpd (from wiki, but wiki sources are 2013 era). Let's make it 50 mbd for simplicity. And let's set oil price at $100/barrel, again for simplicity.

50 million * 365 * 100 = $1.825 trillion. So even if 100% of oil is priced in dollars, it would be around 10% of the eurodollar market (note that there are interest costs, shipping costs, risks etc that would inflate the actual eurodollars used in importing oil).

That last note is that foreign central bank holdings of USD are, supposedly, to backstop trade. Or in other words, they're also dependent on the percentage of trade in USD and thus have some kind of a relationship to the eurodollar market. The total official foreign holders of US Treasuries is $4.17T... Hmmm.

The picture still isn't sharply defined, but the outline is getting clearer.

Trade + USD standard = eurodollar market.
Eurodollar market drives foreign CB Treasury holdings = additional USD outside the US.
Eurodollar market + foreign CB Treasury holdings = $15T+$4.17T = $19.17T - compared to $21.4T M3 in the United States.
This is effectively doubling the money supply of the United States for free, steady state.

The constant eurodollar flow likely has an even greater effect since eurodollars are not real - they exist only as interest bearing loans which drive income into banks.

What Pozsar is talking about is how the "Just In Time --> Just In Case" plus "Good commodities vs. Bad commodities (Russian)" paradigms will affect the eurodollar flows (i.e. shrink them).

He postulates that China will step in to replace the eurodollar with the "eurorenminbi" - this part is a lot less clear, but now I understand that it is a "somebody must step up" viewpoint.

I still think there are structural issues with China regarding the closed convertibility of the renminbi; it is not clear at all that the e-yuan is ready to step into this opportunity just yet.

Or in other words: If this was 2027 and the e-yuan was proven in practice for 2,3 years - Pozsar would be spot on.

But in the absence of a convertible renminbi - i.e. China totally changes its position on a dime or conducts a hasty and risky rollout of the e-yuan (something China just doesn't do), I'm just not seeing the change anytime soon.

Posted by: c1ue | Apr 11 2022 11:27 utc | 92


c1ue wrote:

(3) other liquid deposits, consisting of OCDs and savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts). Seasonally adjusted M1 is constructed by summing currency, demand deposits, and OCDs (before May 2020) or other liquid deposits (beginning May 2020), each seasonally adjusted separately.

The change is the bold above, it seems. What does "other liquid deposits" mean?
____________________________________________________________

Maybe someday you will learn to read what you post.

Prior to May 2020 what is now called "other liquid deposits" were called "other checkable deposits" and "savings deposits" and were included in M2 but not included in M1. Beginning May 2020 they were classified as "other liquid deposits" and counted in M1 and the use of the terms "other checkable deposits" and "savings deposits" were discontinued. That means M1 went from around 25% of M2 to 95% of M2 in an instant by just changing the titles of the classifications.


Posted by: jinn | Apr 11 2022 13:39 utc | 93

what i don't understand is how easily and quickly the US carried out the Pakistan coup; they've been trying for regime change for years or decades in Venezuela, Cuba, Iran, and failing, and then just seemingly instantly accomplish this in Pakistan. I know the groundwork must have been laid long ago.

Posted by: pretzelattack | Apr 11 2022 13:53 utc | 94

Re: video game

Released in 1999:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syphon_Filter_(video_game)

Plot:


...In 1999, Gabriel Logan and his partner Lian Xing investigate a series of biological outbreaks triggered by international terrorist group Black Baton led by Erich Rhoemer ... Gabe's investigation takes him to a new lead from PharCom, a multinational pharmaceutical and biotechnology corporation headed by Jonathan Phagan ... Mara Aramov, now in custody, had attempted to locate PharCom's virus labs. Gabe must set aside the hunt for Phagan to destroy Rhoemer's base in Kazakhstan ... Markinson gives Gabe a report on the virus called Syphon Filter, a bioweapon that one can program on a genetic level to target specific groups of people. Markinson orders Gabe to infiltrate Rhoemer's stronghold in Ukraine to inject test subjects with a vaccine and locate Phagan, who is now Rhoemer's prisoner. In the catacombs, Phagan tells Gabe that Lian is alive, and they reunite...

Posted by: Browser | Apr 11 2022 14:26 utc | 95

@94
indeed human assets take years to develop, as with NGOs getting a foothold. it seems the US intelligence services are throwing everything at the wall, from HK to Belarus to Kazakhstan and Pakistan, while Myanmar and Thailand are still ongoing. that's just in Eurasia. but so much already, expending all the investment nearly at once.

the corruption of Pakistan officials, that view is broad and long-standing. I put it up there with HK as having decades old asset networks.

difference with HK is it targeted the lawyer association, academia, education programs like liberal studies, down to church societies and political activists, a lot of so called civil society though really astroturf. so much of the mobilization revolved around university students and lawyers.

difference with Pakistan is it involves the army, which is like their deep state.

a dying empire goes out flailing, with no hit war,it happens at the level of hybrid war.

I wonder whether parts of the Pakistan army also profited from the opium trade. that would explain part of the internal impetus for warming to US overtures.

Posted by: mastameta | Apr 11 2022 14:38 utc | 96

the point of publishing that article in nbc saying the gov’t often publish low-confidence intelligence?
Posted by: Hickory | Apr 10 2022 13:54 utc | 1

Good question! I've been wondering that myself.
Posted by: Robert Lindsay | Apr 10 2022 22:51 utc | 62

The article was basically a test-flight of delusionary armaments by a known CIA asset (and working for NBC news, wudya know?). Just as this war is an opportunity for Russia to demonstrate actual hardware such as the magnificent mach-10 Kinzhal, it's also exploited by feather dusters from USA to demonstrate the slushware which is popular US American consciousness.

As if someone staged this release just to win a bet: "I'll wager whatever you say: We can flat out admit that we lie all the time, on purpose, and nobody will believe us. They'll say we're lying about lying." Like test-firing a long range rocket to adjust the telemetry, on the information battlefield.

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Apr 11 2022 15:18 utc | 97

@hmmm 85
the leadership ordered the shooting of civilians in Rubizhne: "We had an order to shoot to kill any moving person, it doesn't matter if civilian or not."

That's US Marine Corps tactics, and Trump made Mattis the US Defense Secretary--

Retired Gen. James Mattis earned the nickname “Mad Dog” for leading U.S. Marines into battle in Fallujah, Iraq, in April 2004. In that assault, members of the Marine Corps, under Mattis’ command, shot at ambulances and aid workers. They cordoned off the city, preventing civilians from escaping. They posed for trophy photos with the people they killed.

During the siege of Fallujah, which I covered as an unembedded journalist, Marines killed so many civilians that the municipal soccer stadium had to be turned into a graveyard.

In the years since, Mattis – called a “warrior monk” by his supporters – repeatedly has protected American service members who killed civilians, using his status as a division commander to wipe away criminal charges against Marines accused of massacring 24 Iraqi civilians in Haditha in 2005 and granting clemency to some of those convicted in connection with the 2006 murder of a 52-year-old disabled Iraqi, who was taken outside his home and shot in the face four times. . .here

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 11 2022 15:45 utc | 98

@jinn #93
Oh, have you figured out that there really are federal subsidy dollars going into the ethanol industry yet?

As for your comment: that may be so, but it is still something that is a bit hand wavy because M2 actually was jumping before May 2020:

M1/January 2020: 3993.6
M1/February 2020: 4002.9
M1/March 2020: 4261.9
M1/April 2020: 4779.8
M1/May 2020: 16232.9
M1/June 2020: 16563.5
M1/July 2020: 16763.8

M2/January 2020: 15420.3
M2/February 2020: 15477.6
M2/March 2020: 16008.0
M2/April 2020: 17022.7
M2/May 2020: 17856.5
M2/June 2020: 18153.0
M2/July 2020: 18302.5

Now the CARES act was passed March 27, 2020 and the first stimulus checks didn't arrive until April 2020. Even if every single warm body in the US got that first stimulus check, that would be under $400B --> nowhere close to the $1T+ increase in M2.

Nor does that explain the $259B-M1/$430B-M2 increase from February 2020 to March 2020.

Prior to this February 2020 to March 2020 jump, M1 increases were $100B or less (generally much less) even though the absolute value of increases are visibly higher after 2008.

Hmm.

Posted by: c1ue | Apr 11 2022 15:46 utc | 99

@ my 98
...and George Walker Bush was never tried as a war criminal; it was never "Bush's war."

Posted by: Don Bacon | Apr 11 2022 15:55 utc | 100

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